WEBVTT - The Blackberry Problem | The Mistakes Series 

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin.

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<v Speaker 2>It dawns on all of us at some point before

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<v Speaker 2>adolescence that there is something called smart, and it is

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<v Speaker 2>really rare. Only a small number of people are smart.

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<v Speaker 2>And then a few years later you have an even

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<v Speaker 2>more important realization, which is that smart comes in many

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<v Speaker 2>different varieties. I feel I spent my adolescence cataloging all

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<v Speaker 2>the varieties of smart. There was my high school friend

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<v Speaker 2>who had a mind that was a giant sponge that

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<v Speaker 2>could soak up what seemed like an infinite amount of knowledge.

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<v Speaker 2>Then I got to college, I met a guy who's

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<v Speaker 2>thinking seemed effortless. He could be distracted or procrastinating, or

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<v Speaker 2>dancing at a party, it didn't matter. Somewhere in a

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<v Speaker 2>back room in his brain was a giant computer that

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<v Speaker 2>just quietly hummed along, solving one problem after another. Oh

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<v Speaker 2>then I had a friend who to mind that she'd

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<v Speaker 2>attached to a giant V eight with like eight hundred horsepower.

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<v Speaker 2>I'd never seen smart attached to energy like that before.

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<v Speaker 2>I spent a lot of time in college working on

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<v Speaker 2>my taxonomy of smart, and along the way I had

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<v Speaker 2>a third realization that every kind of exceptional intelligence has

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<v Speaker 2>a downside, a price that person had to pay for

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<v Speaker 2>being one of the chosen few. And every time I

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<v Speaker 2>think of that third role, I think of my old

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<v Speaker 2>college friend Jim Balsley.

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<v Speaker 1>My mistake in naivety was to think that people were

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<v Speaker 1>with me. So you're flying around the world, You're trying

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<v Speaker 1>to get people on side, and you think they're on side,

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<v Speaker 1>but they're not, and you get blindsided.

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<v Speaker 2>My name is Malcolm Gladwell. You're listening to Revisionist History,

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<v Speaker 2>my podcast about things overlooked and misunderstood. This episode is

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<v Speaker 2>the fourth in our series on mistakes, inspired by Michael

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<v Speaker 2>Linton and Josh Steiner's book From Mistakes to Meaning, And

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<v Speaker 2>this story is about the big mistake, the change the

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<v Speaker 2>life of my old college friend Jim, who I will say,

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<v Speaker 2>without reservation, is possessed of one of the most remarkable

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<v Speaker 2>minds I have ever met, and paid a price for it.

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<v Speaker 2>What was it like for you growing up? You grew

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<v Speaker 2>up in Peterborough, Yes, I did. And you went to

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<v Speaker 2>public high school in Peterborough.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes.

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<v Speaker 2>Peterborough, For those unfamiliar with southern Ontario is just over

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<v Speaker 2>an hour east and north of Toronto. It is to

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<v Speaker 2>Toronto roughly. What I don't know Poughkeepsie is to New

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<v Speaker 2>York City.

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<v Speaker 1>My dad was a tradesman, My mom was a homemaker.

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<v Speaker 2>Your high school, I suspect was a lot like my

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<v Speaker 2>high school. We're not talking about Exeter No, although actually

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<v Speaker 2>I don't mean to diss it, because I got an

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<v Speaker 2>amazing education from fabulous teachers. So what was it like

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<v Speaker 2>to be you were the smart kid in high school?

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<v Speaker 1>Yes?

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<v Speaker 2>What was that like?

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<v Speaker 1>I don't think they know what to do with you,

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<v Speaker 1>So I think you're just I think there's a premium

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<v Speaker 1>on compliance. I think we've learned now that high energy

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<v Speaker 1>kids need to run around and when they're young, until

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<v Speaker 1>they're tired. But kind of making them sitting at a

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<v Speaker 1>desk all day is when they're young, it's really really difficult.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you talking about yourself? Yes, very much so. And

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<v Speaker 1>it was just incredibly boring and you just look at

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<v Speaker 1>the clock and count minutes and.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, did you get in trouble in high school?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah? Yeah, a few times. One time, when I was

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<v Speaker 1>in grade seven, a teacher did a long formula across

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<v Speaker 1>three or four boards and he said, where did I

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<v Speaker 1>go wrong? And from the back of the class, I said,

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<v Speaker 1>when you were born? And Malcolm and he took me

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<v Speaker 1>out of the class and he held me up by

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<v Speaker 1>the scruff of the neck and I was my fever

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<v Speaker 1>off the ground against a locker, and he had me

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<v Speaker 1>taken out of the math class. And I was just

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<v Speaker 1>it seemed funny at the time. And then and then

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<v Speaker 1>a couple months later there was there was a provincial

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<v Speaker 1>math contest for you know, the ten million people in Ontario,

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<v Speaker 1>and as a grade seven I came first in grade

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<v Speaker 1>seven and eighths in Ontario.

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<v Speaker 2>He was the best math student in the entire province,

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<v Speaker 2>but he wasn't allowed in his own math class. What

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<v Speaker 2>did your parents make of you?

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<v Speaker 1>When I was four years old, they took me to

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<v Speaker 1>some child psychologist, which was they didn't know what to do.

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<v Speaker 2>What were you doing for that led your parents to

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<v Speaker 2>take you to a child psychologist?

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<v Speaker 1>I don't know, I don't know. We're we're kind of

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<v Speaker 1>Presbyterian southern Ontario, so you don't really talk a lot,

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<v Speaker 1>you don't sort of you just sort of carry on

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<v Speaker 1>and so you don't it's not like this rich unpacking

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<v Speaker 1>of psychologists kids or something like that. Everybody's just, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's kind of go play outside and you know, try

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<v Speaker 1>try to make it home for a dinner kind of thing. Right.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a very different era, very different era.

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<v Speaker 2>In my taxonomy of smart, Jim has a whole category

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<v Speaker 2>to himself. I don't mean this in a derogatory way,

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<v Speaker 2>but Jim has cunning. My brain I was beginning to

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<v Speaker 2>understand at that time likes to take the long way home.

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<v Speaker 2>Jim only took shortcuts if life was amazed. Most of

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<v Speaker 2>us stumble along, retracing our steps from one dead end

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<v Speaker 2>to another dead end until we finally get to the

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<v Speaker 2>other side. Jim would see the right path instantly, or

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<v Speaker 2>more accurately. He would recognize that there's actually a gap

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<v Speaker 2>in the hedge right at the start, which no one

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<v Speaker 2>had ever noticed before, with a straight shot to the finish,

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<v Speaker 2>and he'd just cut through there. And by the time

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<v Speaker 2>the rest of us stumbled to the end, he had

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<v Speaker 2>won the trophy, gone home, changed, and was having a beer.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Canada, remember. Not long after college, Jim met

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<v Speaker 2>an engineer named Mike Lazaritas who had a little company

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<v Speaker 2>called Research in Motion RIM, as it was known. Jim

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<v Speaker 2>becomes co CEO, and to the surprise of absolutely no

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<v Speaker 2>one who knew him, builds RIM into a multi billion

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<v Speaker 2>dollar juggernaut. Remember fifteen years ago when everyone had a BlackBerry,

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<v Speaker 2>first real smartphone with those clickety clackety buttons. That was Jim,

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<v Speaker 2>So why don't you use a BlackBerry anymore? In the

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<v Speaker 2>business school case studies about the fall of BlackBerry, there

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<v Speaker 2>are pages and pages on the rapidly shifting smartphone landscape

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<v Speaker 2>of the early oughts, miscalculations, the cloud of Apple, all

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<v Speaker 2>the things that business goal case studies like to dwell on.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think there's a simpler explanation. I think you

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<v Speaker 2>need to understand something about my old friend Jim set

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<v Speaker 2>the stage for me.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure, it's interesting because when you talk about mistakes, and

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<v Speaker 1>I do think the biggest mistake in my career when

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<v Speaker 1>I look back with Rim, we had a fork in

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<v Speaker 1>the road and I mismanaged the board relationship at a

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<v Speaker 1>time where I wanted to go left and they decided

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<v Speaker 1>to go right. And that not only changed the trajectory

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<v Speaker 1>of the company, it changed the trajectory of the global

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<v Speaker 1>technology industry.

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<v Speaker 2>So tell me what do you mean by you wanted

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<v Speaker 2>to go left and they wanted to go right? And

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<v Speaker 2>what we're talking about?

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<v Speaker 1>What?

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<v Speaker 2>First of all, let's date this what ear are we

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<v Speaker 2>talking about.

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<v Speaker 1>We're talking twenty eleven, and a couple things were going on.

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<v Speaker 1>One our hardware business had grown a lot, but it

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<v Speaker 1>was under pressure, huge pressure, and there were new operating systems,

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<v Speaker 1>one from Apple and one from Google. They were putting

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<v Speaker 1>tremendous pressure on our hardware sales. But our services business

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<v Speaker 1>was where we made all our money, our messaging services.

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<v Speaker 1>So that year twenty eleven, we had more profit from

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<v Speaker 1>our services business than Facebook had total revenue at that time.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to talk about BlackBerry, the belaguered smartphonemaker.

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<v Speaker 2>BlackBerry CEO himself has admitted one of the reasons they're

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<v Speaker 2>struggling is because they didn't innovate fast enough.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, givening like two do twelve prediction with the

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<v Speaker 1>company that brings us the BlackBerry, and predicting that they

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<v Speaker 1>were going to be on the bridge of bankruptcy.

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<v Speaker 2>There were two sides to BlackBerry in those years. There

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<v Speaker 2>was the phone that rectangular plastic block with the physical keyboard,

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<v Speaker 2>and there was also a messaging function BlackBerry Messenger BBM.

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<v Speaker 2>That was what Jim is calling this service business. Hardware

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<v Speaker 2>and services were separate, and Jim thought that BlackBerry should

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<v Speaker 2>get out of the physical phone business, which wasn't making

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<v Speaker 2>any money anymore, and just be in the BlackBerry Messenger business.

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<v Speaker 1>And so I'd spent a year and a half buying

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<v Speaker 1>companies to avail a service, to make it an open service,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'd spent time with the carriers, and they were

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<v Speaker 1>going to launch it with SMS, call it SMS two

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<v Speaker 1>dot zero, and it had storage and rich media phone.

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<v Speaker 2>What he was imagining was turning BlackBerry Messenger into the

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<v Speaker 2>backbone of the entire smartphone ecosystem.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's effectively what we know of as social media

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<v Speaker 1>right now. And there was a small emerging player called

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<v Speaker 1>WhatsApp that worked cross platform, but we had a multiple

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<v Speaker 1>of users as they did. And so yeah, I'd beavered

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<v Speaker 1>away on it. And I thought the board was on side.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought everyone was on side.

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<v Speaker 2>Apple had just come out with the first iPhones. Jim

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<v Speaker 2>was thinking that there was no way little BlackBerry, as

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<v Speaker 2>fast as it was growing, could compete with Apple or

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<v Speaker 2>giants like Samsung. But BlackBerry Messenger was a different matter.

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<v Speaker 2>BlackBerry was dominant in that space and in the version

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<v Speaker 2>of the world Jim imagined your texting and social media

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<v Speaker 2>would come bundled with your wireless contract. So the minute

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<v Speaker 2>you hooked up your new iPhone or Samsung phone to

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<v Speaker 2>a wireless provider, you'd be using BBM. Stop there, and

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<v Speaker 2>let's go back, and I want to make sure everyone

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<v Speaker 2>understands what we're talking about here. So it's in twenty eleven.

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<v Speaker 2>Many of us still have a BlackBerry, and there's two

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<v Speaker 2>components here. There is the physical phone and there's also

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<v Speaker 2>you're talking about a service that could live, a messaging

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<v Speaker 2>service that could either live on a BlackBerry or live anywhere. Correct, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>that would be the equivalent of WhatsApp became.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that the math model Facebook and WhatsApp became. That's correct.

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<v Speaker 1>What at the time was BBM effectively what social media.

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<v Speaker 1>And the difference would be is it would be in

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<v Speaker 1>your subscription plan as part of your texting rather than

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<v Speaker 1>an ad supported social media service. Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>So that the goal here or the play was to

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<v Speaker 2>make the BlackBerry services business the backbone of basically new media,

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<v Speaker 2>of new social.

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<v Speaker 1>Media, that's correct, and it would be embedded in your cell,

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<v Speaker 1>your plan. And I worked with the carriers, the major

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<v Speaker 1>CEOs throughout Europe and already had two of the big

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<v Speaker 1>three committed in US. So all you need is enough

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<v Speaker 1>to keep it going and it eventually tips. So yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>people would have said, I'm migrating to an android. I'

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<v Speaker 1>might degrading to an iOS. I'll just take my BBM

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<v Speaker 1>with me. I'll maintain all my contacts, all my and

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<v Speaker 1>you remember you had digital voiceover IP happening on those

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<v Speaker 1>things at that time. You had pictures, you could store them,

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<v Speaker 1>you established groups, you had status of delivery. All the

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<v Speaker 1>things that were social media that was emerging at that time.

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<v Speaker 1>We had that in the BBM.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, how many users BBM users did you have at

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<v Speaker 2>the beginning of twenty twelve, say, or the beginning of

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<v Speaker 2>twenty eleven, eighty million?

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<v Speaker 1>Eighty million.

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<v Speaker 2>So you what would you put the probability of of

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<v Speaker 2>BBM becoming the dominant becoming this kind of dominant player

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<v Speaker 2>in the in the telecommunications world if you had gone

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<v Speaker 2>that route, do you think you could have how big

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<v Speaker 2>do you think you could have grown it?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, it's the probability that it would have stayed a

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<v Speaker 1>major force is one hundred percent.

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<v Speaker 2>That's the vision, he pitches to the board. We're trapped

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<v Speaker 2>in the maze along with everyone else. Here's the shortcut.

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<v Speaker 1>Was he right?

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<v Speaker 2>Of course he was. Jim's always right.

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<v Speaker 1>So yeah, in the immortal words of the Yoki Barrow,

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<v Speaker 1>when you reach the fork in the road, you got

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<v Speaker 1>to take it.

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<v Speaker 2>So you go tell me about the board meeting. You

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<v Speaker 2>go to the board, You go to the board, and

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<v Speaker 2>what happens.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, they we'd had the board, had brought in consultants,

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<v Speaker 1>and I was explaining this and presenting this and talking

0:14:22.876 --> 0:14:28.276
<v Speaker 1>about the strategy, thinking they were with me, and really

0:14:28.316 --> 0:14:35.196
<v Speaker 1>I was just speaking into just a vacuum of perceptivity

0:14:35.236 --> 0:14:36.076
<v Speaker 1>and interest to it.

0:14:36.476 --> 0:14:37.436
<v Speaker 2>Why weren't they with you?

0:14:39.276 --> 0:14:42.996
<v Speaker 1>I think it was too radical what I was trying

0:14:42.996 --> 0:14:47.396
<v Speaker 1>to do. I'd not spent near enough time with them

0:14:47.996 --> 0:14:53.876
<v Speaker 1>explaining it and debating it, which is a lesson I learned.

0:14:54.836 --> 0:15:00.036
<v Speaker 1>And you've really driven the company strategies for twenty years

0:15:00.436 --> 0:15:05.116
<v Speaker 1>to a twenty billion dollar company, and you think they'll

0:15:05.236 --> 0:15:06.796
<v Speaker 1>just follow you.

0:15:08.196 --> 0:15:11.596
<v Speaker 2>They say, what are you talking about? We're a company

0:15:11.596 --> 0:15:15.836
<v Speaker 2>that makes phones. An SMS two point zero. Jim's vision

0:15:15.916 --> 0:15:19.316
<v Speaker 2>for the next stage of BlackBerry is killed just a

0:15:19.316 --> 0:15:21.276
<v Speaker 2>few weeks before it was supposed to launch.

0:15:22.356 --> 0:15:26.396
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't consulted. I didn't know it was happening. It

0:15:26.476 --> 0:15:31.876
<v Speaker 1>was just on the agenda, presented and decided and I

0:15:31.956 --> 0:15:35.436
<v Speaker 1>called the lead director after that and I said, what

0:15:35.436 --> 0:15:37.756
<v Speaker 1>what's going on here? This will kill the company? And

0:15:37.756 --> 0:15:43.316
<v Speaker 1>they say, the decisions made and so I resigned from

0:15:43.356 --> 0:15:45.996
<v Speaker 1>the board and sold my shares. The remaining shares at

0:15:45.996 --> 0:15:49.476
<v Speaker 1>that time, and they were extremely confident for a year

0:15:49.516 --> 0:15:53.596
<v Speaker 1>and a half, marketing campaigns, super Bowl ads, lots of

0:15:54.036 --> 0:15:58.396
<v Speaker 1>declarations of its future and its success and it's going

0:15:58.436 --> 0:16:00.876
<v Speaker 1>to be great. And there was just one board member

0:16:00.876 --> 0:16:03.276
<v Speaker 1>who was from the tech industry and from the telecom

0:16:03.316 --> 0:16:07.956
<v Speaker 1>industry who called me and said, there's nothing I can

0:16:07.996 --> 0:16:12.876
<v Speaker 1>do to stop it. This is Mattess. Yeah, And it

0:16:12.916 --> 0:16:16.676
<v Speaker 1>was just jaw on the floor. I just never experienced

0:16:16.716 --> 0:16:21.276
<v Speaker 1>anything like that, and I didn't see it coming. And

0:16:21.436 --> 0:16:25.796
<v Speaker 1>how could somebody be so blind to something like that

0:16:26.476 --> 0:16:34.276
<v Speaker 1>when it's such a consequential decision. We'll be right back.

0:16:43.316 --> 0:16:45.836
<v Speaker 2>Jim and I both went to Trinity College at the

0:16:45.916 --> 0:16:49.916
<v Speaker 2>University of Toronto, which was and still is the smallest

0:16:50.436 --> 0:16:52.636
<v Speaker 2>and the snobbiest of the colleges that make up the

0:16:52.716 --> 0:16:55.476
<v Speaker 2>University of Toronto. I met Jim in the first few

0:16:55.516 --> 0:16:59.036
<v Speaker 2>weeks of freshman year. I had just turned seventeen. I

0:16:59.156 --> 0:17:01.636
<v Speaker 2>just had eye surgery. So I had a huge scarveting

0:17:01.636 --> 0:17:04.556
<v Speaker 2>down the side of my face, a massive afro, lots

0:17:04.596 --> 0:17:07.476
<v Speaker 2>of acne, maybe one hundred and ten pounds, and all

0:17:07.476 --> 0:17:10.476
<v Speaker 2>the wrong clothes. I was from a small town way

0:17:10.476 --> 0:17:13.436
<v Speaker 2>off in the countryside. Here I was at swanky Trinity,

0:17:13.796 --> 0:17:16.236
<v Speaker 2>and I had no idea how the fancy kids dressed

0:17:16.676 --> 0:17:19.156
<v Speaker 2>and no money to do anything about it. I had

0:17:19.156 --> 0:17:21.716
<v Speaker 2>a moment of truth, I need to figure out how

0:17:21.756 --> 0:17:24.676
<v Speaker 2>to fit in. Jim lived across the hall from me.

0:17:25.236 --> 0:17:28.636
<v Speaker 2>He taught me how to play backgammon. I played endless

0:17:28.676 --> 0:17:31.156
<v Speaker 2>games at touch football with him. I had a beloved

0:17:31.236 --> 0:17:33.956
<v Speaker 2>jade tree that I called William F. Buckley, and he

0:17:34.076 --> 0:17:36.636
<v Speaker 2>used to steal Buckley from my room and put him

0:17:36.636 --> 0:17:40.276
<v Speaker 2>in some perilous place. And I think the reason that

0:17:40.356 --> 0:17:43.076
<v Speaker 2>I felt a certain affinity with Jim is that I

0:17:43.156 --> 0:17:47.396
<v Speaker 2>since he shared my urgency about fitting in, only it

0:17:47.476 --> 0:17:49.396
<v Speaker 2>was going to be much harder for him than me.

0:17:50.116 --> 0:17:54.236
<v Speaker 2>First of all, he was from Peterborough. Nobody was from Peterborough.

0:17:54.516 --> 0:17:58.156
<v Speaker 2>He had further to climb. And second, he was really

0:17:58.196 --> 0:18:01.716
<v Speaker 2>really ambitious. I mean I was ambitious, but not like Jim.

0:18:02.476 --> 0:18:07.516
<v Speaker 2>Jim wanted it more. Do you remember what was it

0:18:07.636 --> 0:18:13.516
<v Speaker 2>like when you came to university. What's your account of

0:18:13.556 --> 0:18:14.956
<v Speaker 2>your kind of first year at Trinity.

0:18:15.396 --> 0:18:18.916
<v Speaker 1>Ah, well, it was very intimidating. I found these people

0:18:18.956 --> 0:18:23.676
<v Speaker 1>from tremendous privilege and just very very intimidating and meeting

0:18:23.716 --> 0:18:27.476
<v Speaker 1>people with stellar backgrounds. I'd never been on an airplane,

0:18:27.716 --> 0:18:33.676
<v Speaker 1>I've never been outside of Ontario. Very modest background. Yeah,

0:18:33.756 --> 0:18:36.876
<v Speaker 1>just tremendously intimidating. I mean, I was smart, but then

0:18:36.916 --> 0:18:40.636
<v Speaker 1>you'd see Robertson Davies at high table and sometimes his

0:18:40.756 --> 0:18:44.596
<v Speaker 1>friend north of Fry there and it's like, con Dorothy,

0:18:44.676 --> 0:18:46.076
<v Speaker 1>this is not Kansas anymore.

0:18:47.356 --> 0:18:50.396
<v Speaker 2>Just so you know, Robertson Davies and north of Fry

0:18:50.516 --> 0:18:53.796
<v Speaker 2>were two of the biggest Canadian intellectual celebrities of that era,

0:18:54.276 --> 0:18:56.996
<v Speaker 2>and we'd see them out our window walking through the

0:18:56.996 --> 0:19:01.236
<v Speaker 2>college quadrangle God out for a stroll. For those of

0:19:01.316 --> 0:19:05.716
<v Speaker 2>us from the sticks, this seemed unbelievable. So we just

0:19:05.796 --> 0:19:09.996
<v Speaker 2>to remember you and I in You were across the

0:19:09.996 --> 0:19:13.436
<v Speaker 2>hall in our second year, and I remember there were

0:19:13.636 --> 0:19:15.916
<v Speaker 2>how many people were our floor? Thirteen people on our

0:19:15.956 --> 0:19:18.796
<v Speaker 2>floor or something like that. I remember telling my dad,

0:19:18.836 --> 0:19:22.276
<v Speaker 2>I Max Max Max maybe twelve. It was like private

0:19:22.276 --> 0:19:26.356
<v Speaker 2>school kids and kids who went up for Canada College,

0:19:26.396 --> 0:19:30.476
<v Speaker 2>you know, and kids who went to it was Did

0:19:30.516 --> 0:19:36.836
<v Speaker 2>you feel like you had to work harder to prove

0:19:36.876 --> 0:19:39.116
<v Speaker 2>yourself in that world? What was yours?

0:19:39.396 --> 0:19:42.436
<v Speaker 1>Yeah? Well, I worked all the time as a kid.

0:19:42.476 --> 0:19:44.876
<v Speaker 1>I had five or six paper roots, four or five

0:19:44.996 --> 0:19:48.116
<v Speaker 1>paper roots almost all the time. And then I got

0:19:48.156 --> 0:19:50.716
<v Speaker 1>summer and winter jobs from grade and seven on. I

0:19:50.756 --> 0:19:53.516
<v Speaker 1>bought my own clothes. I still to this day have

0:19:53.676 --> 0:19:57.796
<v Speaker 1>my own pants and darn socks. Yeah, I can darn

0:19:57.876 --> 0:19:59.836
<v Speaker 1>socks with the best of them. I sew my own

0:19:59.836 --> 0:20:01.996
<v Speaker 1>buttons on because you learn how to do it. And

0:20:02.116 --> 0:20:04.636
<v Speaker 1>I'll sit there, watch the news and sew up my

0:20:04.676 --> 0:20:07.516
<v Speaker 1>clothes all the time. It's very, very funny. I just

0:20:07.636 --> 0:20:10.956
<v Speaker 1>enjoy sewing. And but I always so I had my

0:20:10.996 --> 0:20:16.036
<v Speaker 1>own clothes. I stitched in my shirts, I darn socks. Yeah,

0:20:16.036 --> 0:20:18.316
<v Speaker 1>it's a funny thing, right. And when something rips, I'll

0:20:19.196 --> 0:20:20.636
<v Speaker 1>you know, my wife says, why don't you buy a

0:20:20.676 --> 0:20:23.716
<v Speaker 1>new pair sweatpants and sid well, I can fix those,

0:20:23.916 --> 0:20:26.036
<v Speaker 1>and it's very funny. So I'll sit there with a

0:20:26.036 --> 0:20:30.516
<v Speaker 1>big thing and do a catch stitch on it, and yeah,

0:20:30.596 --> 0:20:32.156
<v Speaker 1>and then and so you work all the time, and

0:20:32.196 --> 0:20:35.356
<v Speaker 1>then you go to school and you you know, I

0:20:35.396 --> 0:20:37.476
<v Speaker 1>would I would do the math club, and I'd go

0:20:37.516 --> 0:20:40.836
<v Speaker 1>to basketball, and then I'd go out to a party,

0:20:40.876 --> 0:20:43.236
<v Speaker 1>and then I'd work all weekend. So yeah, I just

0:20:43.396 --> 0:20:45.036
<v Speaker 1>I just I work every day.

0:20:45.916 --> 0:20:48.876
<v Speaker 2>Jim went off to Harvard Business School right after graduation.

0:20:49.676 --> 0:20:52.436
<v Speaker 2>He could have gotten a job anywhere, but he chose Rim,

0:20:52.996 --> 0:20:55.636
<v Speaker 2>right near where I grew up in Waterloo, Ontario. And

0:20:55.796 --> 0:20:57.636
<v Speaker 2>RIM's rise was swift.

0:20:58.876 --> 0:21:06.356
<v Speaker 1>It's important to understand that that Apple launched the iPhone

0:21:06.636 --> 0:21:12.276
<v Speaker 1>in January two thousand and seven, and in response there

0:21:12.316 --> 0:21:15.476
<v Speaker 1>was a very aggressive selling and marketing and device function.

0:21:16.476 --> 0:21:22.476
<v Speaker 2>Apple supercharged the smartphone category the same way Starbucks supercharged cappuccinos,

0:21:22.836 --> 0:21:25.836
<v Speaker 2>and in the beginning, Rim was able to ride that wave.

0:21:27.036 --> 0:21:30.076
<v Speaker 1>So when they launched in two thousand and seven, we

0:21:30.076 --> 0:21:32.676
<v Speaker 1>were three billion sales. The next year we grew to six.

0:21:33.236 --> 0:21:35.196
<v Speaker 1>The next year we grew to eleven billion. The next

0:21:35.276 --> 0:21:38.236
<v Speaker 1>year we grew to fifteen. The next year we grew

0:21:38.236 --> 0:21:41.516
<v Speaker 1>to twenty billion. Fortune had us in the middle of

0:21:41.516 --> 0:21:44.236
<v Speaker 1>that time the fastest growing company in the world. Smarter

0:21:44.636 --> 0:21:48.636
<v Speaker 1>and sleeker now with real time turn by turn GPS navigation.

0:21:49.596 --> 0:21:52.956
<v Speaker 1>It has the intelligence you require with the beauty you desire,

0:21:53.236 --> 0:21:54.756
<v Speaker 1>the all new BlackBerry curve.

0:21:55.356 --> 0:21:58.076
<v Speaker 2>I would drive through Waterloo in those years and see

0:21:58.156 --> 0:22:01.836
<v Speaker 2>building after building after building with a big RIM logo

0:22:01.916 --> 0:22:05.316
<v Speaker 2>on it. Even today, my mom lives across the street

0:22:05.316 --> 0:22:08.436
<v Speaker 2>from a giant recreational center donated to the city by

0:22:08.516 --> 0:22:11.556
<v Speaker 2>Rim back in now that era Rim Park. It is

0:22:11.636 --> 0:22:14.156
<v Speaker 2>impossible not to have a certain amount of pride and

0:22:14.196 --> 0:22:16.796
<v Speaker 2>affection for the guy who used to steal your jade

0:22:16.836 --> 0:22:20.636
<v Speaker 2>tree and ended up a billionaire. And then at the

0:22:20.756 --> 0:22:24.436
<v Speaker 2>very height of BlackBerry's success, Jim wanted to go left

0:22:24.916 --> 0:22:28.836
<v Speaker 2>and the board of directors wanted to go right. But Jim,

0:22:28.916 --> 0:22:32.116
<v Speaker 2>b this is a good moment for a reflection here,

0:22:32.876 --> 0:22:35.916
<v Speaker 2>how are they not with you? You've built this thing,

0:22:36.716 --> 0:22:42.436
<v Speaker 2>You've been this strategic force behind this extraordinary company. You're

0:22:43.316 --> 0:22:46.556
<v Speaker 2>you know, the device is in the hands of President

0:22:46.556 --> 0:22:50.116
<v Speaker 2>of the United States. I mean, like, how how is

0:22:50.116 --> 0:22:52.596
<v Speaker 2>it that they could look at that, they would see

0:22:52.596 --> 0:22:54.716
<v Speaker 2>what you had done for the company and look at

0:22:54.876 --> 0:22:56.716
<v Speaker 2>come to this crucial fork in the road, and not

0:22:56.796 --> 0:22:59.836
<v Speaker 2>even they don't even seem interested in your option.

0:23:02.036 --> 0:23:05.796
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Well, Mike and the new CEO Thorston didn't. They

0:23:05.796 --> 0:23:12.956
<v Speaker 1>were hardware people, and Mike did say right in the

0:23:13.076 --> 0:23:15.156
<v Speaker 1>end in a meeting before the board meeting, if we

0:23:15.276 --> 0:23:19.316
<v Speaker 1>do this, it'll kill hardware. And I said, hardware is

0:23:19.356 --> 0:23:24.036
<v Speaker 1>already dead. And and it's like I told him his

0:23:24.156 --> 0:23:25.556
<v Speaker 1>dog just got hit by a car.

0:23:26.876 --> 0:23:30.316
<v Speaker 2>When you look at your what you did, and where

0:23:30.316 --> 0:23:31.516
<v Speaker 2>do you think the mistake lay?

0:23:32.436 --> 0:23:35.876
<v Speaker 1>I think it's many things that you're touching on. One is,

0:23:36.076 --> 0:23:38.356
<v Speaker 1>for sure, you're busy because you're flying around the world

0:23:38.396 --> 0:23:44.876
<v Speaker 1>trying to enact this shift. I underestimated how a strategic

0:23:44.916 --> 0:23:53.316
<v Speaker 1>shift is hard for people. You'd much rather have a continuum. Yeah,

0:23:53.556 --> 0:23:58.916
<v Speaker 1>more time, for sure, more more preparation, more persuasion. I

0:24:00.276 --> 0:24:05.476
<v Speaker 1>did not spend the time I needed to. I'd always

0:24:05.676 --> 0:24:09.636
<v Speaker 1>driven the decisions, and they'd always been yes, of course,

0:24:09.676 --> 0:24:13.636
<v Speaker 1>we'll do what I'm pushing. But ultimately the board held

0:24:13.676 --> 0:24:18.956
<v Speaker 1>the power. So underestimated their power, underestimated how they were

0:24:18.996 --> 0:24:20.596
<v Speaker 1>sold in their way of thinking.

0:24:20.956 --> 0:24:24.036
<v Speaker 2>If we cut to the bottom line, here is you

0:24:24.036 --> 0:24:28.796
<v Speaker 2>you have a notion of where the company's future lies,

0:24:29.396 --> 0:24:32.556
<v Speaker 2>which turns out in retrospect to be accurate. Right, yours

0:24:32.676 --> 0:24:38.556
<v Speaker 2>was the only path. There was no path, the right

0:24:38.556 --> 0:24:40.316
<v Speaker 2>word fork in the road was only going to lead

0:24:40.356 --> 0:24:42.836
<v Speaker 2>to disaster. There was no path that BlackBerry was going

0:24:42.876 --> 0:24:44.836
<v Speaker 2>to emerge a winner by focusing on hardware.

0:24:44.916 --> 0:24:46.676
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, there's no there's no debate on that now.

0:24:46.796 --> 0:24:50.276
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, there was at least a decent probability it could

0:24:50.316 --> 0:24:52.236
<v Speaker 2>have come out on top or at least very healthy

0:24:52.276 --> 0:24:55.276
<v Speaker 2>in the other path you had. You came up with

0:24:55.316 --> 0:24:59.476
<v Speaker 2>this idea, You had an enormous amount of intellectual confidence

0:24:59.516 --> 0:25:06.556
<v Speaker 2>in the accuracy of your decision. But what you what

0:25:06.596 --> 0:25:10.396
<v Speaker 2>you overestimated, was that you you thought that having a

0:25:10.396 --> 0:25:15.276
<v Speaker 2>great idea, well supported by evidence would be sufficient to

0:25:15.316 --> 0:25:18.516
<v Speaker 2>win over a group of intelligent people. And what you

0:25:18.596 --> 0:25:23.956
<v Speaker 2>discovered was actually no, A room full of allegedly intelligent

0:25:23.956 --> 0:25:27.476
<v Speaker 2>people need more than an intellectual argument to win them over.

0:25:28.516 --> 0:25:30.556
<v Speaker 2>They need to have You need to go out to

0:25:30.596 --> 0:25:34.516
<v Speaker 2>dinner with them seven times and at a lovely restaurant

0:25:34.596 --> 0:25:38.556
<v Speaker 2>and hold their hand and kind of, you know, make

0:25:38.596 --> 0:25:40.636
<v Speaker 2>them feel like they're wanted and needed and that you're

0:25:40.676 --> 0:25:43.236
<v Speaker 2>someone who they can trust, et cetera, etcetera, et cetera.

0:25:43.796 --> 0:25:48.276
<v Speaker 2>That was the It was all that soft stuff that

0:25:48.316 --> 0:25:51.396
<v Speaker 2>you underestimated the importance of. You thought it was what

0:25:51.436 --> 0:25:54.156
<v Speaker 2>you needed was what you needed to be. You thought

0:25:54.156 --> 0:25:57.276
<v Speaker 2>what was what was most important was to be right.

0:25:58.556 --> 0:26:03.316
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, yeah, yeah, and yeah no. I do a lot

0:26:03.556 --> 0:26:05.876
<v Speaker 1>kind of in I do a lot in public policy.

0:26:05.956 --> 0:26:09.516
<v Speaker 1>And my wife makes a joke. She says, Jim's was

0:26:09.556 --> 0:26:11.236
<v Speaker 1>why convince when you can confuse?

0:26:13.236 --> 0:26:15.596
<v Speaker 2>By the way, what's Jim doing as all this is

0:26:15.636 --> 0:26:18.956
<v Speaker 2>going on trying to buy a National Hockey League franchise,

0:26:19.436 --> 0:26:22.756
<v Speaker 2>the Pittsburgh Penguins in two thousand and six, the Nashville

0:26:22.836 --> 0:26:25.916
<v Speaker 2>Predators in two thousand and seven, the Phoenix Coyotes in

0:26:25.916 --> 0:26:29.476
<v Speaker 2>two thousand and nine. In each case, the franchises were

0:26:29.476 --> 0:26:33.036
<v Speaker 2>struggling financially, and Jim proposed to move them to a

0:26:33.076 --> 0:26:37.516
<v Speaker 2>big city in southern Ontario called Hamilton. Was Jim right

0:26:37.596 --> 0:26:40.676
<v Speaker 2>to want to do this, of course he was. Southern

0:26:40.716 --> 0:26:44.316
<v Speaker 2>Ontario is home to fourteen million people and at present

0:26:44.396 --> 0:26:47.756
<v Speaker 2>has just one hockey team, the Toronto Maple Leafs, which

0:26:47.836 --> 0:26:51.156
<v Speaker 2>is absolutely bananas. They could easily be three or even

0:26:51.236 --> 0:26:54.596
<v Speaker 2>four more franchises in the Toronto region, and each would

0:26:54.596 --> 0:26:57.796
<v Speaker 2>be more successful than almost any franchise in the entire league.

0:26:58.436 --> 0:27:00.916
<v Speaker 2>But could Jim convince the other owners to let him

0:27:00.916 --> 0:27:01.196
<v Speaker 2>do it?

0:27:01.796 --> 0:27:02.756
<v Speaker 1>No? He couldn't.

0:27:04.196 --> 0:27:10.196
<v Speaker 2>I'm wondering, isn't the Penguins story a version of this that?

0:27:10.196 --> 0:27:14.716
<v Speaker 2>That was another case where you were right. The Penguin

0:27:14.716 --> 0:27:18.476
<v Speaker 2>should not be in Pittsburgh. The Penguins should be in Hamilton. Right,

0:27:18.916 --> 0:27:23.596
<v Speaker 2>You are a hundred percent correct. The future of the league.

0:27:24.036 --> 0:27:26.156
<v Speaker 2>This is a terribly run league by a bunch of

0:27:26.156 --> 0:27:29.956
<v Speaker 2>idiots who have not understood that Canada is the natural

0:27:29.996 --> 0:27:33.076
<v Speaker 2>home for has way too few hockey teams, and Hamilton

0:27:33.316 --> 0:27:37.116
<v Speaker 2>is would be one hundred times better as a home

0:27:37.156 --> 0:27:38.436
<v Speaker 2>for the Penguins in Pittsburgh.

0:27:38.516 --> 0:27:38.716
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:27:39.476 --> 0:27:43.236
<v Speaker 2>So in both instances, the story of BlackBerry's Folk in

0:27:43.276 --> 0:27:46.316
<v Speaker 2>the Road and the story of the Penguins, you are correct.

0:27:47.116 --> 0:27:51.076
<v Speaker 2>And in both instances you cannot convince the board. In

0:27:51.116 --> 0:27:52.716
<v Speaker 2>one case the rest of the owners and the other

0:27:52.796 --> 0:27:56.716
<v Speaker 2>case the board of the company. You cannot convince them

0:27:56.796 --> 0:28:00.316
<v Speaker 2>of the one hundred percent accuracy of your position.

0:28:01.916 --> 0:28:04.836
<v Speaker 1>Had you done No, I think they're different because one

0:28:05.036 --> 0:28:08.076
<v Speaker 1>just was never meant One was just never meant to be.

0:28:08.196 --> 0:28:11.516
<v Speaker 1>It wasn't ever they weren't going to allow it to happen.

0:28:12.116 --> 0:28:15.076
<v Speaker 2>Was it never going to happen? Is the one blind

0:28:15.116 --> 0:28:17.836
<v Speaker 2>spot in the otherwise sublime mind of a man like

0:28:17.956 --> 0:28:20.796
<v Speaker 2>Jim that he can't see how he could have made

0:28:20.796 --> 0:28:23.836
<v Speaker 2>it happen. You were. Let me, let me, let me

0:28:23.916 --> 0:28:25.516
<v Speaker 2>let me just I just want to one last point

0:28:25.516 --> 0:28:29.316
<v Speaker 2>about Pittsburgh, the Penguins. I'm going to imagine a completely

0:28:29.396 --> 0:28:33.276
<v Speaker 2>different Jim. Imagine. I'm gonna imagine if you are the

0:28:33.316 --> 0:28:39.556
<v Speaker 2>schmoozer of schmoozers. You are the most kind of gregarious backslapping.

0:28:40.516 --> 0:28:41.796
<v Speaker 2>You're everyone you know.

0:28:41.956 --> 0:28:43.116
<v Speaker 1>You're like this.

0:28:43.636 --> 0:28:47.436
<v Speaker 2>Beloved social bluh. You spend and you had wind and

0:28:47.556 --> 0:28:50.316
<v Speaker 2>dined and got to know every single owner in the

0:28:50.356 --> 0:28:53.076
<v Speaker 2>in the NHL, and then you had said to them

0:28:53.596 --> 0:28:56.676
<v Speaker 2>you buy the Penguins. And then you say to them, guys,

0:28:57.476 --> 0:28:58.916
<v Speaker 2>this is a bad hockey market.

0:28:58.956 --> 0:28:59.356
<v Speaker 1>I think.

0:28:59.716 --> 0:29:01.636
<v Speaker 2>Let me talk to you about a future of the

0:29:01.716 --> 0:29:03.396
<v Speaker 2>league where blah blah blah blah. Right, is there not

0:29:03.436 --> 0:29:06.356
<v Speaker 2>a version if you can't do it, because that's not

0:29:06.396 --> 0:29:09.076
<v Speaker 2>who you are. But imagine a version of yourself where

0:29:09.116 --> 0:29:13.796
<v Speaker 2>I shave off forty IQ points and I give you

0:29:14.036 --> 0:29:19.596
<v Speaker 2>a a beer belly and an afshucks like you know,

0:29:19.996 --> 0:29:22.836
<v Speaker 2>and an endless appetite for Martiniz and steaks, and I

0:29:22.916 --> 0:29:25.076
<v Speaker 2>send you on a tour of all the good old

0:29:25.076 --> 0:29:28.876
<v Speaker 2>boys who run NHL franchises. Do you get your way

0:29:28.916 --> 0:29:29.636
<v Speaker 2>if you do it that way?

0:29:29.636 --> 0:29:33.676
<v Speaker 1>If you're that person in hindsight, I don't think I

0:29:33.756 --> 0:29:34.876
<v Speaker 1>see no chance.

0:29:35.276 --> 0:29:40.716
<v Speaker 2>Go on, really, Oh come on, Jim, this is your mistake,

0:29:41.316 --> 0:29:44.796
<v Speaker 2>This is your blind spot. Doesn't this drive you? Why

0:29:44.836 --> 0:29:46.436
<v Speaker 2>am I the only one who's driven crazy by this?

0:29:46.796 --> 0:29:49.756
<v Speaker 2>They are morons? They are morons. Well, it would have

0:29:49.796 --> 0:29:53.636
<v Speaker 2>been very, very profitable. There's no question. We had facility,

0:29:53.676 --> 0:29:55.276
<v Speaker 2>and we had the real estate. Yet it would have

0:29:55.316 --> 0:29:57.836
<v Speaker 2>been very very proper. It is concentration of hockey fans

0:29:57.836 --> 0:30:01.636
<v Speaker 2>in the entire world, with hockey fans with money in

0:30:01.676 --> 0:30:04.276
<v Speaker 2>an underserved market who can't get any tickets.

0:30:03.996 --> 0:30:06.916
<v Speaker 1>To That's the math. That's the math.

0:30:08.596 --> 0:30:11.676
<v Speaker 2>Several times times during our conversation, Jim used the word

0:30:11.756 --> 0:30:15.156
<v Speaker 2>heretic to describe the way other people at RIM, the board,

0:30:15.196 --> 0:30:18.036
<v Speaker 2>and everyone else viewed him, and I think it's the

0:30:18.076 --> 0:30:21.996
<v Speaker 2>perfect word. The heretic is the person who strays from

0:30:21.996 --> 0:30:26.716
<v Speaker 2>the orthodoxy, but not quietly or passively. The heretic does

0:30:26.756 --> 0:30:31.796
<v Speaker 2>it loudly, without regard for everyone else's sensibilities. I said

0:30:31.836 --> 0:30:33.876
<v Speaker 2>at the beginning that when Jim and I came to

0:30:33.916 --> 0:30:36.676
<v Speaker 2>Trinity from the sticks. Both of us were engaged in

0:30:36.716 --> 0:30:39.636
<v Speaker 2>the project of figuring out how to fit in. We

0:30:39.676 --> 0:30:42.196
<v Speaker 2>came in with chips on our shoulders, and we had

0:30:42.196 --> 0:30:45.036
<v Speaker 2>to find a way to remove them without calling too

0:30:45.076 --> 0:30:49.036
<v Speaker 2>much attention to ourselves. I think I was better at

0:30:49.036 --> 0:30:53.316
<v Speaker 2>that than he was. My j tree William F. Buckley

0:30:53.916 --> 0:30:57.476
<v Speaker 2>kept getting stolen because in nineteen eightys Canada, to openly

0:30:57.476 --> 0:31:01.196
<v Speaker 2>affiliate with a conservative like William F. Buckley was a provocation.

0:31:01.916 --> 0:31:04.596
<v Speaker 2>So when I got a second j tree, I called

0:31:04.636 --> 0:31:07.796
<v Speaker 2>it run Dmtree. I put the lyrics on the side

0:31:07.796 --> 0:31:11.156
<v Speaker 2>of the pot sucker. Jade tree can't grow much higher.

0:31:11.436 --> 0:31:14.516
<v Speaker 2>All you other jade trees can call me sire, and

0:31:14.556 --> 0:31:17.756
<v Speaker 2>no one ever stole my run Dmtree. There were simple

0:31:17.796 --> 0:31:21.316
<v Speaker 2>ways to appease the Orthodoxy, but I don't think Jim

0:31:21.476 --> 0:31:24.636
<v Speaker 2>really ever wanted to appease anyone. I think he just

0:31:24.676 --> 0:31:27.156
<v Speaker 2>wanted to find the hole in the hedge. It's how

0:31:27.156 --> 0:31:29.356
<v Speaker 2>he got out of Peterborough, It's how he made his

0:31:29.396 --> 0:31:31.836
<v Speaker 2>way to Trinity. It's how he turned a little startup

0:31:32.036 --> 0:31:39.836
<v Speaker 2>into a juggernaut. There's a famous psychology experiment from the

0:31:39.916 --> 0:31:43.436
<v Speaker 2>nineteen fifties where infant monkeys are taken from their mothers

0:31:43.876 --> 0:31:48.276
<v Speaker 2>and given a choice between two inanimate surrogates. Cloth Mother,

0:31:48.996 --> 0:31:52.876
<v Speaker 2>a toy mother monkey that soft and cuddly, and wire Mother,

0:31:53.436 --> 0:31:56.436
<v Speaker 2>a surrogate made out of steel wire holding a banana.

0:31:57.196 --> 0:32:01.276
<v Speaker 2>Which did they choose cloth Mother? They went for short

0:32:01.356 --> 0:32:05.876
<v Speaker 2>term comfort over long term survival. At the end of

0:32:05.876 --> 0:32:08.956
<v Speaker 2>the day, I think the rimboard wanted a cloth mother

0:32:09.676 --> 0:32:14.516
<v Speaker 2>and Jim was wire mother. They weren't rejecting BlackBerry messenger.

0:32:15.076 --> 0:32:19.716
<v Speaker 2>They were rejecting Jim, And maybe Jim's mistake was simply

0:32:19.716 --> 0:32:22.476
<v Speaker 2>that he didn't understand that for the rest of us monkeys,

0:32:22.996 --> 0:32:39.396
<v Speaker 2>a banana isn't enough. Revisious History is produced by Ninabird Lawrence,

0:32:39.556 --> 0:32:43.996
<v Speaker 2>Lucy Sullivan, and Ben Adaf Haffrey. Our editor is Karen Chakerji.

0:32:44.316 --> 0:32:48.996
<v Speaker 2>Fact checking by Angelie Mercado. Our executive producer Jacob Smith.

0:32:49.476 --> 0:32:52.956
<v Speaker 2>Engineering by Nina Bird Lawrence, original music by Luis Quarra,

0:32:53.756 --> 0:32:58.516
<v Speaker 2>Sound design and mastering by Marcelo di'ela vera. I'm Malcolm Gladwell.