1 00:00:02,320 --> 00:00:05,680 Speaker 1: Global business news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg 2 00:00:05,720 --> 00:00:08,800 Speaker 1: dot Com, the radio plus mobile LAP and on your radio. 3 00:00:09,080 --> 00:00:13,120 Speaker 1: This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow 4 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: futures are higher this morning. Let's go to the First 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: Word Breaking news desk for today's morning call, and here's 6 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: Bill Maloney. Good morning Bill, Good morning Karen. US futures 7 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,240 Speaker 1: are maintaining their games since the last time we spoke. 8 00:00:24,480 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 1: Deaf futures currently hired by thirty five points says he's 9 00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:30,000 Speaker 1: game four and as a futures rise by six the 10 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:33,239 Speaker 1: US Tenniel at one point eight nine percent and w 11 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:36,199 Speaker 1: t I Crew futures hit forty one dollars a barrel. 12 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: Main Europan markets are all sit trading higher this morning. 13 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 1: Spain games point seven per cent on the US economic 14 00:00:42,640 --> 00:00:45,720 Speaker 1: front at ten o'clock, Michigan sentiment estimate ninety two point 15 00:00:45,760 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 1: two and FED speak at nine eleven and two thirty 16 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: after develos and at Adobe, Beat shares are up five 17 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:55,160 Speaker 1: percent pre market, and JP Morgan boosted's buy back by 18 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: an additional one point nine billion. In deal news trans 19 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 1: Canada by Columbia Hipeline Group for ten point two billion 20 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:06,560 Speaker 1: and another News, Tiffany EPs, beat revenues, war inline shares, 21 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: our little changed pre market finding some of your wall 22 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:12,200 Speaker 1: sheet upgrades and downgrades. Patterson U T I cut to 23 00:01:12,240 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 1: neutral at City Group, fleet Core race to buy It 24 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,120 Speaker 1: ever Core I s I A most Energy, cut to 25 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,480 Speaker 1: equal weight at Morgan Stanley, PayPal cut to hold at Steeple, 26 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:24,480 Speaker 1: Micrond cutting neutral at Susquehanna, and finally SeaWorld race to 27 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 1: outperform over at Wells Fargo. Live from the First Breaking 28 00:01:28,040 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: News Desk on Bill Maloney car all right, thanks to 29 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 1: Billian to hear live breaking news over your Bloomberg type 30 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 1: squaw go in your terminal. That's s q u a 31 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,160 Speaker 1: w k go. That's a Bloomberg business flash, Tom and 32 00:01:38,200 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: Mike karen I, thanks so much. Bloomberg Surveillance is Friday, 33 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: brought you by Investo. Looking for investment views. Experienced experts 34 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: are just a click away. Go to investco dot com 35 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 1: slash us to subscribe to the investco blog and follow 36 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: at investo US on Twitter. Where this Benjamin Friedman of 37 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: Harvard University dart in the Door in nineteen seventy two, 38 00:02:02,920 --> 00:02:06,480 Speaker 1: has written a few definitive books, Thinking Broader and with 39 00:02:06,560 --> 00:02:10,640 Speaker 1: greater perspective on our economy and of course productivity front 40 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: and center. But Michael McKee, there's something a little more 41 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 1: urgent right now than a broader discussion of capital, labor 42 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,919 Speaker 1: and total factor productivity. Well, it's not as urgent in 43 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 1: the United States, which is struggling along with about two 44 00:02:24,560 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: pc growth, but certainly in Japan it has become a 45 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:32,440 Speaker 1: central issue, as has uh. Europe adopted it, and that 46 00:02:32,600 --> 00:02:35,680 Speaker 1: is negative interest rates. Benjamin Friedman has been looking at 47 00:02:36,360 --> 00:02:39,320 Speaker 1: monetary policy tools, and this morning Christine Leguard of the 48 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: i m F came out and endorsed negative rates. Others 49 00:02:43,000 --> 00:02:48,440 Speaker 1: are suggesting that they may work in some circumstances and backfire, 50 00:02:48,440 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 1: and others. What do you think. I think they're helpful, 51 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:56,040 Speaker 1: but in a very, very modest way. The ability to 52 00:02:56,320 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: stimulate the economy through negative rates in the banking system 53 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:04,639 Speaker 1: is very modest. Fortunately, we in the United States were 54 00:03:04,680 --> 00:03:09,119 Speaker 1: sufficiently proactive in our monetary policy that we managed to 55 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:13,440 Speaker 1: engineer a recovery and now an expansion from the crisis 56 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:15,959 Speaker 1: a few years ago, and we didn't need to do that. 57 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 1: I think the Europeans and even more so the Japanese, 58 00:03:19,400 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: are in terrible trouble. So they're trying every tool they have. 59 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:26,320 Speaker 1: Is it useful, Probably a little bit, but I sure 60 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,840 Speaker 1: wouldn't look for much in the way of major results. 61 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:34,839 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the moral consequences of economic growth. 62 00:03:34,880 --> 00:03:38,640 Speaker 1: He wrote a fabulous book that people are bringing back 63 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 1: to the force there is. It has become a thing 64 00:03:43,360 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: people talking about on the internet, etcetera, um, where you 65 00:03:47,440 --> 00:03:50,040 Speaker 1: question whether the financial system is serving us well. And 66 00:03:50,080 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: there's certainly a whole lot of voters out there who 67 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:56,320 Speaker 1: would suggest the answer this year is no. Yeah, I 68 00:03:56,360 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 1: think alas, I'm sorry to say, the current election campaign 69 00:04:01,400 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 1: is exactly what the book was about. The Thesis of 70 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 1: the book is that when the broad bulk of the 71 00:04:08,440 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 1: population has a sense of getting ahead and its material 72 00:04:11,720 --> 00:04:16,760 Speaker 1: living standard, then the politics, the social relations, ultimately what 73 00:04:16,800 --> 00:04:20,400 Speaker 1: I call the moral character of the society is in 74 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 1: good shape and improves also. And by contrast, whenever the 75 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 1: bulk of the citizenry has a sense that they're not 76 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: getting ahead and they don't have optimism that that's going 77 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:34,520 Speaker 1: to turn around anytime soon, then not only is there 78 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:40,880 Speaker 1: no progress on these political, social, moral fronts, but often 79 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 1: there's a period of retrenchment, retreat, and bad things happen. 80 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:48,760 Speaker 1: The American people are not foolish. They know that it's 81 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 1: now been nearly twenty years since they've had any improvement 82 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: in their standard of living. It's not just a matter 83 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 1: of the crisis. Even in even in the years of 84 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 1: the two thousands leading up to the crisis, although the 85 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 1: g d P was moving forward at some quite acceptable rate, 86 00:05:08,400 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: people don't live by b dps. They live by their 87 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 1: standard of living and the fruits of that incremental production 88 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,839 Speaker 1: we're accruing to a very narrow slice of people within 89 00:05:19,040 --> 00:05:22,000 Speaker 1: your study, professor, just because of time, I've got to 90 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:25,560 Speaker 1: be rude here, but this is critical within your study 91 00:05:25,720 --> 00:05:31,960 Speaker 1: of this nation. Can policy makers affect in drive forward 92 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:36,920 Speaker 1: economic growth, Yes, they certainly can, and they have done 93 00:05:36,920 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: so in the past. And we've seen that in the 94 00:05:40,120 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 1: period of the Great Depression. We've seen that in the 95 00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: period of the nineteen sixties, we've seen that in the 96 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 1: period in the nineteen nineties. So it's absolutely within the 97 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,919 Speaker 1: power of government to drive the economy forward and to 98 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:54,840 Speaker 1: deliver a higher standard of living to the people. Now 99 00:05:54,839 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 1: we haven't done that for twenty years. Could the Big 100 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,920 Speaker 1: dig happen today in Boston. For those of you world, 101 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: why Benjamin Friedman single handedly got rid of the Northeast Expressway. 102 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:08,799 Speaker 1: Now could the Big Dig, that huge infrastructure project in Boston, 103 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:12,839 Speaker 1: Could that happen today? I'm very skeptical for just the 104 00:06:12,880 --> 00:06:16,039 Speaker 1: reasons you're hinting at. I think one of the consequences, 105 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,919 Speaker 1: and it's a familiar one of this stagnation of people's 106 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: standards of living, is that our politics becomes dysfunctional. And 107 00:06:24,800 --> 00:06:27,479 Speaker 1: for real listeners who don't know the Big Dig was 108 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:31,279 Speaker 1: a huge construction project paid for by the federal government, 109 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:34,240 Speaker 1: I find it very difficult in our current situation of 110 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 1: political stalemate to picture that if the President were to 111 00:06:38,400 --> 00:06:43,040 Speaker 1: propose a project like that, or think of new airport construction, 112 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:47,599 Speaker 1: think of newport facilities, think of regenerating the American highways 113 00:06:47,640 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: and bridges and port I find it very difficult to 114 00:06:50,880 --> 00:06:54,160 Speaker 1: imagine he'd get such a program through the Congress. Professor Freedman, 115 00:06:54,279 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 1: thank you so much, Benjamin Freedman. Folks that can't say 116 00:06:57,000 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: enough about the timelessness of the moral consequences of economic growth. 117 00:07:03,279 --> 00:07:05,680 Speaker 1: That has been over ten years and it is still 118 00:07:05,720 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: exceptionally maybe even more fresh today, uh than it than 119 00:07:09,640 --> 00:07:12,440 Speaker 1: it was then. Mike, I can say this is a 120 00:07:12,520 --> 00:07:16,280 Speaker 1: life changing event. The day I stood in downtown Boston 121 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 1: and looked across at the North End with no highway 122 00:07:20,480 --> 00:07:24,000 Speaker 1: in the way because they tore it down, was and 123 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:26,720 Speaker 1: that was twelve or fourteen billion dollars at the time, 124 00:07:27,160 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: maybe even twenty billion, was just stunning, just stunning. I 125 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,320 Speaker 1: think even more important than the view. With the jobs 126 00:07:34,320 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 1: that created and the stimulus that created for the Massachusetts economy, 127 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,720 Speaker 1: we say good morning the g E Senior Management. They're 128 00:07:41,760 --> 00:07:47,720 Speaker 1: moving to Boston. This is Bloomberg's surveillance time now where 129 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 1: they with all due respect, highlight brought to you by 130 00:07:50,240 --> 00:07:51,920 Speaker 1: land Rover. If it's in your nature to cast off 131 00:07:51,920 --> 00:07:53,720 Speaker 1: the every day and seek adventure, the Discovery Sport was 132 00:07:53,720 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 1: built to help your sharts visit Landover tri State dot 133 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:57,760 Speaker 1: com for special offers during the only Adventure Sales event. 134 00:07:57,840 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 1: Landrover Above and Beyond