1 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:17,160 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to another episode of Snake's Territory, part 2 00:00:17,280 --> 00:00:20,680 Speaker 1: of the Foults Territory Network. Be sure to like this video. 3 00:00:20,720 --> 00:00:23,200 Speaker 1: If you're joining us on YouTube, subscribe to our channel, 4 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:26,000 Speaker 1: maybe leave us a five star review wherever you get 5 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: your podcasts. I am Jesse Friedman alongside the one and 6 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: only Jack Summers, and we do not go live often 7 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 1: in the off season, Jack, but this felt fitting that 8 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 1: we do this for this moment as the Diamondbacks they 9 00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:44,240 Speaker 1: continue their trend of bringing back familiar faces. Zach Gallon 10 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,720 Speaker 1: is back on a one year, twenty two point zero 11 00:00:47,880 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: two five million dollar deal, the exact same amount of 12 00:00:51,479 --> 00:00:54,640 Speaker 1: money that he would have gotten if he accepted the 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 1: qualifying offer from the Diamondbacks a few months back. Jack, 14 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:01,760 Speaker 1: your initial thoughts on this move for the d Backs? 15 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:06,800 Speaker 2: Baseball is a humbling sport, and first and foremost I 16 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:12,080 Speaker 2: feel humbled, because, you know, since whenever the beginning of 17 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 2: the season, talking about Zach Gallon and his walk year 18 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: and what's he going to get and what's going to 19 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 2: be the value, and whether or not they'll get the 20 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 2: qualifying offer after the rough start, and then whether or 21 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 2: not they should give it to him, and then it 22 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:28,039 Speaker 2: became a foregune conclusion they would and then would he 23 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 2: would the Dbacks get a high draft pick, And everything's 24 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 2: come back full circle to essentially him getting the qualifying 25 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 2: offer value in a in a in a contract. And 26 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 2: I just nobody predicted things to go the way they went. 27 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 2: And we're pretty well informed, and we're pretty insightful, you know, 28 00:01:48,720 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 2: And we are I mean, I took pretty you know, 29 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 2: and so it just shows how clueless we are. And 30 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,640 Speaker 2: of course humbling for Zach, right, I mean, you know, 31 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: this has been had to have been a tough pill 32 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:02,080 Speaker 2: for him to swallow, that his market deteriorated to this 33 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:05,400 Speaker 2: degree and so on all things. Baseball is just a 34 00:02:05,480 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 2: humbling sport. That's the primary thought that's going through my 35 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:09,280 Speaker 2: mind tonight. 36 00:02:10,800 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 1: Yeah. I absolutely feel you there. Yeah, I mean this 37 00:02:14,440 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: is somewhat surprising for us, there's certainly no question about that. 38 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: But I think this is also surprising for Zach Gallen 39 00:02:21,360 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 1: in his camp. I mean, you don't reject the qualifying 40 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: offer in November if you think this is the way 41 00:02:27,800 --> 00:02:29,920 Speaker 1: that things are going to end up. There are deferrals 42 00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: in this contract we'll get into at a little bit more. 43 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:36,799 Speaker 1: The net present value in all those details. But there 44 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: are deferrals in this deal, which means even though the 45 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,280 Speaker 1: sticker price is twenty two point zero two five the 46 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 1: exact same numbers that qualifying offer, it's actually it's actually 47 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,839 Speaker 1: less money when you consider the time value of money. 48 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:52,519 Speaker 1: Zach Gallen would have been better off financially if he 49 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:56,480 Speaker 1: had just accepted the qualifying offer several months ago. And 50 00:02:56,919 --> 00:03:00,800 Speaker 1: I remember down the stretch, Jack, when Zach really started 51 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 1: to pitch well, he finished the season strong. As we 52 00:03:04,840 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 1: discussed down the stretch, I thought he was gonna do 53 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:10,440 Speaker 1: all right in free agency. I really did. I mean, 54 00:03:10,480 --> 00:03:11,960 Speaker 1: I didn't think it was going to be one hundred 55 00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:15,600 Speaker 1: plus million. But you know, for a guy who has 56 00:03:15,680 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 1: the track record that Zach Gallen has is not all 57 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: that far removed from being one of the better pitchers 58 00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:24,840 Speaker 1: in baseball and finishing the season strong at thirty years old, 59 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 1: you figure there was going to be a team that 60 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: was going to be willing to go out and take 61 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: a chance on him, give him, you know, not a 62 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: seven year deal, but maybe a three or four year deal, 63 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:38,320 Speaker 1: and give him a decent chunk of change. And as 64 00:03:38,360 --> 00:03:40,440 Speaker 1: we saw over the course of the offseason, it just 65 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 1: felt like no team was willing to do that. And 66 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,240 Speaker 1: I think you and I see where those teams are 67 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: coming from. I mean, again, I did not expect it 68 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: to come to this, But if you're really hesitant to 69 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: give Zack Gallen a four year, five year contract, whatever 70 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,000 Speaker 1: it was, I see where you're coming from. I mean, 71 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,400 Speaker 1: the trend has been in the wrong direction for the 72 00:03:59,440 --> 00:04:02,240 Speaker 1: past couple of years. You look at his numbers since 73 00:04:02,280 --> 00:04:06,360 Speaker 1: he started the All Star Game in twenty twenty three, 74 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:09,360 Speaker 1: not all that long ago. He's basically been a league 75 00:04:09,360 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 1: average pitcher ever since then, and it just feels like 76 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:16,640 Speaker 1: teams are not really buying in to him returning to 77 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 1: form at some point in the future. 78 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 2: It's notable, I guess. John Hammond reported that there were 79 00:04:23,200 --> 00:04:26,400 Speaker 2: multi year offers out there that he rejected, or at 80 00:04:26,480 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 2: least a multi year offer he rejected in order to 81 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:31,560 Speaker 2: take this deal. I think a little bit about the 82 00:04:31,600 --> 00:04:33,599 Speaker 2: comments he made out of the golf tournament. You know, 83 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:38,080 Speaker 2: he's recently married. His wife is from Arizona, and you 84 00:04:38,120 --> 00:04:41,320 Speaker 2: know that very much. You know, personal stuff can play 85 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:43,760 Speaker 2: a big role here. I mean, if you decide you 86 00:04:43,880 --> 00:04:45,920 Speaker 2: just want to do a one year deal and try 87 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:50,159 Speaker 2: the market again next year, unencumbered by that qualifying offer, 88 00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 2: you may as well stay where you're comfortable. And you know, 89 00:04:53,279 --> 00:04:56,000 Speaker 2: for Zach clearly, you know he said over and over 90 00:04:56,040 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 2: this is home. Now you know his wife from here. 91 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,359 Speaker 2: I'm sure that goinging forward, he's probably going to be 92 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:05,159 Speaker 2: making his offseason home here, regardless of who he pitches for. 93 00:05:05,440 --> 00:05:08,440 Speaker 2: So you know, all those things factor in is like, Okay, 94 00:05:08,520 --> 00:05:10,479 Speaker 2: well screwed. If I'm going to do a one year deal, 95 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:13,960 Speaker 2: I'm definitely going back to Arizona. At one point I thought, well, 96 00:05:13,960 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 2: if he's only going to do a one year deal, 97 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:18,160 Speaker 2: if there was a team out there that maybe appeared 98 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:20,960 Speaker 2: to be in a better position to compete for the postseason, 99 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:26,080 Speaker 2: that might be an enticement away from here. But ultimately, 100 00:05:26,120 --> 00:05:28,360 Speaker 2: you know, he probably has confidence that this team will 101 00:05:28,400 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 2: do better, especially with him on it, and I'm sure 102 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 2: he believes in himself and he's betting on himself. That's 103 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:34,640 Speaker 2: what athletes do. 104 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,720 Speaker 1: Part of the narrative that is compelling to me is 105 00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,920 Speaker 1: like Zach Gallen's career has been trending in the wrong 106 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 1: direction the past couple of years, as we said, but 107 00:05:45,480 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: this deal, to me, says Zach Gallen does not think 108 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,720 Speaker 1: the Dbacks are at fault for that, Like he does 109 00:05:52,760 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: not view this organization as being, you know, some kind 110 00:05:57,240 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 1: of place where pitchers just can't succeed. If you did 111 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:04,800 Speaker 1: think that this Diamondbacks organization was a place where pitchers 112 00:06:05,640 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: were not in good position to succeed, like there would 113 00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: be evidence for that. I mean, this organization from a 114 00:06:10,880 --> 00:06:14,840 Speaker 1: pitching standpoint, has really struggled for the past couple of years, 115 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:18,080 Speaker 1: and I would understand if somebody felt that way, but 116 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:20,279 Speaker 1: clearly that's not where Zach Gollans stands. He would not 117 00:06:20,320 --> 00:06:23,080 Speaker 1: have returned to this team and you know, continued to 118 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,440 Speaker 1: say all the positive things about his time in the 119 00:06:25,520 --> 00:06:30,960 Speaker 1: organization if that's how he really felt. So it's fascinating 120 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 1: to me that it's come to this. I mean, once again, 121 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:34,359 Speaker 1: like if you told me at the beginning of the 122 00:06:34,360 --> 00:06:39,080 Speaker 1: off season that Zach Gallen and Merrill Kelly were both 123 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:41,680 Speaker 1: coming back to the Diamondbacks, I would have thought you 124 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 1: were crazy. But here we are. I Mean, we've said 125 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 1: it before with Ken Kendrick Jack, Like, these are the 126 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: moments that Ken Kendrick lives for. When when a player's 127 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:55,160 Speaker 1: market falls, when there's a unique opportunity he is, He's 128 00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:59,000 Speaker 1: willing to spend a little bit more money, And you 129 00:06:59,000 --> 00:07:01,640 Speaker 1: could make the case like, maybe it'd be nice if 130 00:07:01,680 --> 00:07:03,840 Speaker 1: ken Kendrick would open up the wallet a little more 131 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 1: on the front end. Maybe maybe, as you've said before, 132 00:07:06,960 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: like you'd rather have allocated this money in a different way. 133 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: But at the very least you have to respect that 134 00:07:12,640 --> 00:07:16,480 Speaker 1: Ken Kendrick is opportunistic and he's shown that separal off 135 00:07:16,520 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 1: seasons in a row. 136 00:07:17,320 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 2: Now. Yeah, you know, it's funny. I've been One other 137 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:22,840 Speaker 2: thought I was having is like I wonder how this 138 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:26,600 Speaker 2: offseason would have played out had Zach just accepted the 139 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:30,560 Speaker 2: offer right up front, Yeah, you know, and whether or 140 00:07:30,640 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 2: not that would have precluded them at that point from 141 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:35,680 Speaker 2: bringing back Meryl, or if they still would have done 142 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 2: it anyway. 143 00:07:36,320 --> 00:07:39,120 Speaker 1: You know, I think it would have. Honestly, I think 144 00:07:39,160 --> 00:07:39,560 Speaker 1: it would have. 145 00:07:41,040 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 2: I mean it just a lot of questions there about 146 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 2: how all that would have played out. But you know, 147 00:07:45,720 --> 00:07:48,720 Speaker 2: this came down to the wire. You know. I guess 148 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 2: as we move into the contract portion of the discussion, 149 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 2: we can kind of get into some of the nuts 150 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,240 Speaker 2: and bolts here. That'll probably help us get into a 151 00:07:56,240 --> 00:07:59,000 Speaker 2: little more clarity as to why this may have happened 152 00:07:59,040 --> 00:07:59,720 Speaker 2: in the sequence that. 153 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:04,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, so it's one year, twenty two point zero two 154 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:08,320 Speaker 1: five million dollar deals twenty two point zero two five 155 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,840 Speaker 1: million dollar deal. We don't know the exact nature of 156 00:08:11,880 --> 00:08:15,760 Speaker 1: the deferrals. There's some conflicting reports out there. As of 157 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:19,960 Speaker 1: right now, it seems most reporters are talking about Gallon 158 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:23,800 Speaker 1: receiving two point eight million dollars. I know this is 159 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:26,320 Speaker 1: what Gambo has said. It's two point eight million dollars 160 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: per year from year six to year ten, so starting 161 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,680 Speaker 1: starting paid out in year six and then through year ten, 162 00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 1: and then the other portion of the money is just 163 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 1: up front, so it's fourteen million deferred then and then 164 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:41,440 Speaker 1: the rest of the money is paid out as normal. 165 00:08:41,480 --> 00:08:44,480 Speaker 1: At least that's what we think this contract is. So 166 00:08:44,880 --> 00:08:48,000 Speaker 1: we certainly talked Jack about the dbacks needing to get 167 00:08:48,000 --> 00:08:50,880 Speaker 1: creative in order to make this happen. You don't often 168 00:08:51,000 --> 00:08:54,400 Speaker 1: see deferrals on a one year contract, especially not to 169 00:08:54,480 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 1: this degree. And that's why I thought this wasn't going 170 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 1: to happen. But apparently Zach Gallon was willing to take 171 00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 1: a bit of a take a bit of a hit 172 00:09:04,559 --> 00:09:06,760 Speaker 1: coming back to the d Backs. As you said before, 173 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:11,480 Speaker 1: he had multiple he had offers for you know, multi 174 00:09:11,559 --> 00:09:14,320 Speaker 1: year deals from other teams that he chose to turn 175 00:09:14,400 --> 00:09:17,439 Speaker 1: down and take what is really a bizarre contract with 176 00:09:17,960 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 1: the Arizona Diamondbacks. 177 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 2: Right, So keep in mind with deferrals, the amount deferred 178 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:26,840 Speaker 2: has to be deposited in the escrow account by July 179 00:09:26,920 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 2: one of twenty twenty seven. Okay, So a lot of 180 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 2: people forget that with deferrals, it's not like they get 181 00:09:33,000 --> 00:09:34,360 Speaker 2: to hold on in the money and let it burn 182 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 2: a hole in their pocket or whatever investments they're in. 183 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,400 Speaker 2: They have to put it. I mean, those accounts are 184 00:09:39,440 --> 00:09:42,720 Speaker 2: in interest. But there's rules around what kind of accountcilos 185 00:09:42,720 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 2: can be. They have to be pretty conservative accounts. There 186 00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:48,480 Speaker 2: can be much risk to them. And so you know, 187 00:09:48,520 --> 00:09:51,559 Speaker 2: if the dbacs are deferring fourteen million out of twenty 188 00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 2: twenty six, now fourteen million has got to be deposited 189 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:57,960 Speaker 2: in the bank or in the escrow account by July 190 00:09:58,080 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 2: one of twenty twenty seven, and then however, many years 191 00:10:01,800 --> 00:10:06,199 Speaker 2: out and however, the money is then doled out two 192 00:10:06,240 --> 00:10:09,959 Speaker 2: point eight million per year over five year period starting 193 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,360 Speaker 2: I guess in twenty thirty one or whatever it is. 194 00:10:13,320 --> 00:10:17,800 Speaker 2: You know, then that's that's where they'll decrease the net 195 00:10:17,800 --> 00:10:21,319 Speaker 2: present value. I think you did see a few different 196 00:10:21,720 --> 00:10:24,679 Speaker 2: numbers out there of what the net present value of 197 00:10:24,720 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 2: this is, but it's probably going to be what eighteen 198 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 2: eighteen and a half million jesse. Is that correct? 199 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:33,920 Speaker 1: That's that's what I estimated it to be. We also 200 00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:37,040 Speaker 1: got this tweet from John Becker, who does great work 201 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: at Fangrafts working on their roster resource stuff that we 202 00:10:40,679 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 1: reference all the time. He estimated just under eighteen point 203 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:48,079 Speaker 1: seventy five million dollars for luxury tax purposes. So that 204 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:51,960 Speaker 1: sounds that sounds pretty reasonable to me, somewhere in the 205 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:55,360 Speaker 1: you know, four to five million dollar range under the 206 00:10:55,679 --> 00:10:57,800 Speaker 1: sticker price of twenty. 207 00:10:57,480 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 2: Two listeners of our last well, remember we kind of 208 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:06,120 Speaker 2: joked a little bit about Chris Bassett money, yes, because 209 00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,160 Speaker 2: see Chris Bassett, the thirty seven year old signed for 210 00:11:09,720 --> 00:11:13,679 Speaker 2: just over eighteen million, and you know, we were wondering, like, 211 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:18,360 Speaker 2: does the age factor for Bassett offset the qualifying offer 212 00:11:18,800 --> 00:11:22,200 Speaker 2: factor for Zach Gallon and the apparently it did because 213 00:11:22,360 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 2: net present value they got the same deal they effectedly. 214 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, assuming that that's right, I know Gambo tweeted out 215 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: a different number, and Nate Cleveland is mentioning fourteen million 216 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 1: deferred over three years in the chat. I know that's 217 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:39,480 Speaker 1: what Bob Nightingale reported. So there's some conflicting reports out there. 218 00:11:39,559 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 1: We'll see, we'll see where the where the dust ultimately 219 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 1: settles with this. But in terms of Zach Gallon the pitcher, Jack, 220 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 1: I think if you're a Diamondbacks fan who is disappointed 221 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:54,960 Speaker 1: by this after the season, Gallan just had like, I 222 00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:57,200 Speaker 1: see where you're coming from. To an extent, I mean 223 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,360 Speaker 1: a four eight three RAS, a four eight three RAS, 224 00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:01,960 Speaker 1: Zach Gallan not have a good season in twenty twenty five. 225 00:12:02,480 --> 00:12:04,640 Speaker 1: But if you think that Zach Gallen is a four 226 00:12:04,720 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 1: eight three er caliber pitcher moving forward, I think there's 227 00:12:08,640 --> 00:12:11,360 Speaker 1: a pretty good chance you're going to be pleasantly surprised. 228 00:12:11,720 --> 00:12:14,679 Speaker 1: Like the underlying numbers, we have the XCRA, the FIP, 229 00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,040 Speaker 1: the x FIP on the screen here, not that those 230 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: numbers are the end all be all, but across the board, 231 00:12:20,360 --> 00:12:24,720 Speaker 1: Zach Gallen's underlying metrics suggested he's a better pitcher than 232 00:12:24,760 --> 00:12:27,600 Speaker 1: a four point eight three er. On the other hand, 233 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 1: if you're looking at this and you're expecting Zach Gallen 234 00:12:31,440 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 1: to return to form and to go out and have 235 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 1: a three to three er or something like that. I 236 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,760 Speaker 1: don't think that's impossible. I mean, I acknowledge the upside 237 00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:43,160 Speaker 1: is there, given Zach Gallen's history, but I think if 238 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:45,440 Speaker 1: if that's your mindset, I think you're probably likely to 239 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: be disappointed. As is as is often the case, and 240 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:51,320 Speaker 1: I know it's maybe boring to have this take, but 241 00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 1: as is often the case in baseball, like the truth 242 00:12:53,920 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 1: probably lies somewhere in between. Zach Gallen is kind of 243 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:01,360 Speaker 1: hovered around a low four er if you look at 244 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:04,520 Speaker 1: at much larger samples going back the past few years, 245 00:13:04,960 --> 00:13:08,319 Speaker 1: and that's kind of my baseline expectation. And is that 246 00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:11,640 Speaker 1: super exciting. It's not. But I also at the same 247 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: time would say the Diamondbacks are better. They're a better 248 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: team with Zach Gallen, even if he is a low 249 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,960 Speaker 1: four er pitcher. I mean, we know what the pitching 250 00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:22,640 Speaker 1: for this team was like in twenty twenty five. You 251 00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,680 Speaker 1: never can have too much starting pitching, and you certainly 252 00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:29,840 Speaker 1: cannot given where this Diamondbacks team has been recently. 253 00:13:31,040 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 2: Yeah, so looking at the projections, if you go over 254 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:37,320 Speaker 2: to fangraphs, you can see Zips has a projection of 255 00:13:37,559 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 2: three point eight one era, Steamer has a projection of 256 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 2: four point two two. It's a pretty big gap there. 257 00:13:43,640 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 2: So their fangraphs depth chart, which averages those two comes 258 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:50,200 Speaker 2: in at four point zero two and at one hundred 259 00:13:50,240 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 2: and ninety one innings, that's a two point four war 260 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:57,319 Speaker 2: pitcher according to fangraphs. Some of the other projections atc 261 00:13:57,679 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 2: is at four point one eight is a four two three, 262 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 2: and the bat X is four point one four. So 263 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:09,080 Speaker 2: I think there's fairly large consensus in the projections world 264 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,679 Speaker 2: that he's looking at, you know, a low for his er. 265 00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:19,400 Speaker 2: That's that's how he projects. Now, remember, projections are not predictions, right, 266 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,760 Speaker 2: it's just how it lines out on paper. I mean, 267 00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 2: I'm sure as heck didn't project him to have a 268 00:14:25,160 --> 00:14:28,240 Speaker 2: four eight three RA and his projections were for the 269 00:14:28,320 --> 00:14:32,000 Speaker 2: high threes, you know. Coming into twenty twenty six, I 270 00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:35,160 Speaker 2: think he was projected for like a three eight something 271 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 2: era and a lot of people saw those projections and said, 272 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 2: no way, he's going to be that high. But you know, 273 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 2: as it turned out, he was a full run worse 274 00:14:43,440 --> 00:14:48,680 Speaker 2: than his projections. So again, humbling, right. We can't predict anything. 275 00:14:48,720 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 2: All we can do is project and analyze and kind 276 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 2: of take a look at it once. Mileage may vary 277 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,880 Speaker 2: how much value there is in that. I like to 278 00:14:57,960 --> 00:15:01,720 Speaker 2: look at the projections and study them simply so I 279 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 2: have a baseline of expectation, but I'm always fully cognizant 280 00:15:06,200 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 2: that they're not a prediction. I don't expect guys to 281 00:15:08,880 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 2: come in on that number on the nose or anything 282 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 2: close to it, so you know what they get. Who knows, 283 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 2: maybe Zach bounces back, maybe he figures out some things, 284 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:20,520 Speaker 2: and you know, he drops in under three point five. 285 00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:24,160 Speaker 2: You never know what's going to happen in this wonderful 286 00:15:24,200 --> 00:15:24,760 Speaker 2: game of ours. 287 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:28,720 Speaker 1: Just to dig a little deeper on kind of what 288 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:32,160 Speaker 1: has happened with Zach the past few years, I don't 289 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:35,040 Speaker 1: know if I would say the stuff is way different 290 00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:37,040 Speaker 1: than it was a few years ago when he was 291 00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: at his peak. But as we look at the stuff 292 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: plus numbers here from Fangrafts, just to get kind of 293 00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,080 Speaker 1: a rough idea. Again, these numbers are not the end 294 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,520 Speaker 1: all be all, we acknowledge that, but you can see 295 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 1: his overall stuff plus kind of near the far right 296 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,160 Speaker 1: side of the screen here. In twenty twenty it was 297 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,760 Speaker 1: one oh six, with one hundred being league average, so 298 00:15:55,800 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: one o six. I know it doesn't seem huge, but 299 00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:01,040 Speaker 1: that's a pretty impressive number for a pitcher starting pitcher's 300 00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 1: overall stuff plus In twenty twenty one, it was similar 301 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,760 Speaker 1: at one oh two. In twenty twenty two, the best 302 00:16:06,800 --> 00:16:09,280 Speaker 1: season that we've ever seen Zach Gallon have it was 303 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 1: one oh five, and then the past three years ninety 304 00:16:13,320 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 1: eight in twenty twenty three, so it dropped off there, 305 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,920 Speaker 1: although he was still he was still effective, kind of 306 00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: wasn't as good in the second half in twenty twenty three, 307 00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 1: but was still was still quite good for the Diamondbacks overall. 308 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 1: And then in twenty twenty four stuff plus was ninety two, 309 00:16:28,320 --> 00:16:30,680 Speaker 1: and in twenty five pretty similar at ninety three, So 310 00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,960 Speaker 1: both of those numbers coming in a little bit below average. 311 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,280 Speaker 1: So it's it's not a huge drop off, Jack, but 312 00:16:38,240 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 1: there has been a drop off, and I think the 313 00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: two key pitches that stand out you can see the 314 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: fastball stuff plus numbers on the far left of the 315 00:16:46,120 --> 00:16:49,400 Speaker 1: screen that has dropped into the below average range the 316 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:52,920 Speaker 1: past couple years. And then I'm closer to the far 317 00:16:53,000 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 1: right side of the screen you could see the knuckle 318 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:58,400 Speaker 1: curve stuff plus numbers ninety and ninety one. At the 319 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,320 Speaker 1: past couple of seasons, those members have dropped off fairly 320 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:06,080 Speaker 1: significantly as well. So you know, again, these numbers are 321 00:17:06,160 --> 00:17:08,360 Speaker 1: not the end all be all. It's not like there's 322 00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 1: a huge difference in stuff from Gallon a few years ago. 323 00:17:11,480 --> 00:17:13,720 Speaker 1: It's not like he was throwing ninety seven miles an hour. 324 00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:18,280 Speaker 1: From a velo standpoint, He's held relatively steady, but it's 325 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,399 Speaker 1: just been a little regression with the fastball, a little 326 00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:25,760 Speaker 1: regression with the curveball. The command I think has also 327 00:17:25,840 --> 00:17:28,840 Speaker 1: been a part of this, Especially in twenty twenty five, 328 00:17:28,920 --> 00:17:30,679 Speaker 1: it felt like he just hung a curveball at the 329 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 1: wrong like at the worst moment in the game a 330 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,440 Speaker 1: few too many times led to some three run homers 331 00:17:36,440 --> 00:17:39,640 Speaker 1: that really inflated his ra. So it's not a huge 332 00:17:39,720 --> 00:17:42,640 Speaker 1: drop off, Jack, but there's under the hood you can 333 00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,040 Speaker 1: see that Zach Gallen is not the pitcher that he 334 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 1: was a few years ago. 335 00:17:47,440 --> 00:17:50,640 Speaker 2: I've just wanted to acknowledge some of the good folk 336 00:17:50,760 --> 00:17:54,640 Speaker 2: that are making some comments and asking some questions at 337 00:17:54,760 --> 00:18:00,359 Speaker 2: Joe grap a grap is that conection with all the 338 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 2: new defense pieces, no idea how they factor that stuff. 339 00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 2: That's a great question. I thought that was interesting. So 340 00:18:08,359 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 2: they do have defense projections for each player's defense is projected, 341 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:18,199 Speaker 2: and that goes into their war projection, but I'm not 342 00:18:18,240 --> 00:18:21,800 Speaker 2: sure exactly how fine tuned and how quickly they catch 343 00:18:21,880 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: up now Zach's Zach's projections that I just read off 344 00:18:26,560 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 2: certainly do not account for Nolan Arnatto playing third and 345 00:18:31,119 --> 00:18:35,160 Speaker 2: Carlo Santana playing first because they haven't updated it yet. Now. 346 00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,679 Speaker 2: I also don't know what stadium they're pegging him to, 347 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 2: probably Chase Field, so once the deal is official and 348 00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:46,400 Speaker 2: Fangrass updates, those might change a little bit. So if 349 00:18:46,440 --> 00:18:50,199 Speaker 2: you're curious about that, what I would suggest is go 350 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 2: to his Fangrass page, screenshot the projections portion, and then 351 00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:57,879 Speaker 2: circle back in a few days and see if they 352 00:18:57,920 --> 00:19:00,560 Speaker 2: changed it all. They may not, but that's a really 353 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 2: great question, and I was wondering about that as well, 354 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,840 Speaker 2: whether or not, you know, the improved infield defense should 355 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:10,199 Speaker 2: help him. We'll see how much improved it ultimately is 356 00:19:11,160 --> 00:19:12,520 Speaker 2: once the season gets underway. 357 00:19:14,359 --> 00:19:18,199 Speaker 1: Ryan referenced your your Twitter poll, Jack on who the 358 00:19:18,240 --> 00:19:21,479 Speaker 1: opening day's starter will be, so maybe we hit that 359 00:19:21,560 --> 00:19:26,560 Speaker 1: topic real quick. You put this out about an hour ago. 360 00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 1: Who will be the Diamondbacks opening day starter? The option 361 00:19:30,320 --> 00:19:33,399 Speaker 1: Zach Gallon, Mary Kelly, or someone else. This is fascinating 362 00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 1: to me. Thirty seven point nine percent said Zach Gallen, 363 00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 1: fifty six point one percent Mary Kelly, and then six 364 00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:45,440 Speaker 1: point one percent someone else. I slightly leaned toward Mary 365 00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:50,000 Speaker 1: Kelly here because even though Zach Gallen has kind of 366 00:19:50,040 --> 00:19:54,200 Speaker 1: been the guy over Mary Kelly for most of their 367 00:19:54,240 --> 00:19:59,280 Speaker 1: Diamondbacks tenure. I think the d Backs also are looking 368 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:02,080 Speaker 1: at numbers from twenty twenty five and like, are they 369 00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:03,679 Speaker 1: going to start a Guyn opening day who just had 370 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:05,399 Speaker 1: an ERA almost of almost five. 371 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 2: I don't. 372 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,920 Speaker 1: My guess is they won't. My guess is they'll start 373 00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:11,800 Speaker 1: Meryll Kelly on opening day. Of course, there's a case 374 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,600 Speaker 1: for Ryan Nelson too. I don't think it's gonna be 375 00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: Ryan Nelson, though, it's probably one of these two guys. 376 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 1: And I think I leaned toward Meryll Kelly. 377 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,439 Speaker 2: Yeah. By the way, the polls updated, We're up to 378 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 2: three hundred and sixty seven votes since fifty Meryll thirty 379 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:29,560 Speaker 2: eight point four percent Sack and six point five percent 380 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:30,200 Speaker 2: someone else. 381 00:20:31,840 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 1: So so get in on the poll, everybody, let us 382 00:20:33,880 --> 00:20:35,639 Speaker 1: let us know what you think, or just tell us 383 00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:38,560 Speaker 1: in the chat. That works too. We're curious, what what 384 00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:39,160 Speaker 1: do you think? 385 00:20:39,240 --> 00:20:44,000 Speaker 2: Jack? I think he'll they'll go with Meryl, but it's 386 00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,720 Speaker 2: impossible to say. I mean, who knows. With Tory and 387 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:48,680 Speaker 2: some of the ways he does some of this stuff. 388 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:51,719 Speaker 2: I defend him a lot, but that was pretty annoying 389 00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 2: last year. He did that whole thing with Burns and 390 00:20:54,480 --> 00:20:58,400 Speaker 2: Gallon and so hopefully you know, he won't put himself 391 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:03,439 Speaker 2: and everybody else through it or nonsense this year, and 392 00:21:03,560 --> 00:21:06,280 Speaker 2: look to look to the early you know, set up 393 00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 2: and we'll start counting the days. I don't know if 394 00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 2: this deal is going to be official by tomorrow. I 395 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,840 Speaker 2: mean it's pending physical. Tomorrow's Saturday. We may have to 396 00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:17,080 Speaker 2: wait until Monday or something for this to be official. 397 00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:20,000 Speaker 2: It would be nice if it was official before Sunday, 398 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:25,120 Speaker 2: because you know, the Sunday's full squad workouts and we're 399 00:21:25,119 --> 00:21:27,919 Speaker 2: all going to be out there Sunday, so you know, 400 00:21:28,000 --> 00:21:31,400 Speaker 2: we'll get to talk to to Mike and Tory and 401 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:34,159 Speaker 2: kind of figure out what's going on. Hopefully Zach's going 402 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 2: to be in there. Our good friend Alex Weiner said, 403 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,040 Speaker 2: come to think of it, there was an empty locker 404 00:21:39,160 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 2: in the locker room, so that's that's good stuff. And so, 405 00:21:43,400 --> 00:21:45,680 Speaker 2: you know, well, we'll see how how long this takes. 406 00:21:45,720 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 2: They still haven't made the Paul Seawald signing official, so 407 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,280 Speaker 2: you know, we'll we'll just have to see how quickly 408 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 2: the doctors can work through this. I think the team 409 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 2: is probably going to push to get it done because 410 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,080 Speaker 2: I think that they're going to want everybody out there. 411 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,360 Speaker 1: I mean, we were talking about it earlier this week, 412 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,639 Speaker 1: Jack that we thought Zach Gallon would sign soon, and 413 00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:10,160 Speaker 1: that we thought he should sign soon because the last 414 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: thing he needs is to be delayed in spring training. 415 00:22:13,240 --> 00:22:15,679 Speaker 1: We've seen that really not work out well for some 416 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,200 Speaker 1: pictures in recent years. So I don't know if that 417 00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:22,000 Speaker 1: has anything any impact on the urgency when it comes 418 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 1: to the physical and everything. But yeah, you figure that 419 00:22:24,320 --> 00:22:26,879 Speaker 1: dbacks probably want to probably want to get that done 420 00:22:27,119 --> 00:22:28,200 Speaker 1: as soon as possible. 421 00:22:28,760 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 2: You know, now that I'm thinking about it, this probably 422 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 2: gives Tory his out right because the other guys have 423 00:22:33,840 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 2: already thrown you know, plenty of bullpens. I think Merrill's 424 00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 2: already thrown two two bullpens, you know, since camp opened 425 00:22:41,400 --> 00:22:45,439 Speaker 2: officially opened. So you know, although Zac has probably been 426 00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:49,400 Speaker 2: throwing on the side, you know, probably gives Tory some 427 00:22:49,440 --> 00:22:52,280 Speaker 2: cover to be able to like push him down to 428 00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 2: fourth or fifth starter to start the season because he's 429 00:22:55,640 --> 00:22:56,640 Speaker 2: getting in a little late. 430 00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 1: That's fair, Yeah, like that. 431 00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:01,840 Speaker 2: Kind of well, you know, he's a little bit behind, 432 00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:04,080 Speaker 2: so you know, he's got a little Tory's probably got 433 00:23:04,080 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 2: a little cover. 434 00:23:04,640 --> 00:23:08,720 Speaker 1: Here from a pr standpoint, I'm sure, yeah, that would 435 00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 1: be that would be nice for him. Well, of course, 436 00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,480 Speaker 1: there are other angles to get into here as well. 437 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: We referenced Ryan Nelson earlier, and I think we should 438 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,600 Speaker 1: have the conversation of is Ryan Nelson gonna wind up 439 00:23:19,640 --> 00:23:21,600 Speaker 1: in the bullpen again? I don't think so. I don't 440 00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,239 Speaker 1: think that's a serious concern that people should have, but 441 00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:28,639 Speaker 1: somebody theoretically could could wind up in the bullpen, and 442 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:32,359 Speaker 1: we definitely will we'll touch on that before we get there, though. 443 00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:35,959 Speaker 1: We would really appreciate it if all of you who 444 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,719 Speaker 1: are here in the chat with us, which there's almost 445 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:41,560 Speaker 1: one hundred of you, we really appreciate you all hopping 446 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:43,880 Speaker 1: in here late on a Friday night being with us. 447 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:46,960 Speaker 1: But if all of you would consider hitting that like 448 00:23:47,000 --> 00:23:50,119 Speaker 1: button for us, that really does does us a huge favor. 449 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,359 Speaker 1: We'd really appreciate that. And as I said from the 450 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:55,080 Speaker 1: top of the show, be sure to subscribe to the channel, 451 00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:58,400 Speaker 1: hit the bell icon for notifications so you never miss 452 00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:01,879 Speaker 1: an episode. As well, if you're listening after the fact 453 00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,919 Speaker 1: on an audio only platform, we'd really appreciate it if 454 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,400 Speaker 1: you would leave us a five star review there as well. 455 00:24:08,440 --> 00:24:10,919 Speaker 1: So thank you in advance to all of you for 456 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:14,240 Speaker 1: doing those things. And now Jack, we'll dive into the 457 00:24:14,280 --> 00:24:18,080 Speaker 1: inevitable question of who gets bumped from the starting rotation 458 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:21,399 Speaker 1: if anyone. I guess the rooster in the chat just 459 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:23,840 Speaker 1: floated the idea of a six man rotation. I don't 460 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,000 Speaker 1: expect that that will be the case, but I guess 461 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,320 Speaker 1: it is possible. But of course there are six guys 462 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: that we have here. Jack, it's basically the same five 463 00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:37,720 Speaker 1: as last year with Gallen, Kelly, e Rod Fott, Nelson, 464 00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: and then plus Michael Soroka, who was the first move 465 00:24:41,920 --> 00:24:46,040 Speaker 1: the Diamondbacks made this offseason several months back. Certainly sounded 466 00:24:46,160 --> 00:24:48,959 Speaker 1: like they wanted to use him in the starting rotation. 467 00:24:49,520 --> 00:24:52,720 Speaker 1: But at least my starting point in this conversation Jack 468 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:55,560 Speaker 1: is if everyone stays healthy through spring training, which I 469 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,119 Speaker 1: will say is a big if. I don't know if 470 00:24:57,160 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: that is a given, but if everyone stays healthy through 471 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,680 Speaker 1: spring train, it feels like Michael Soroka is probably had 472 00:25:02,680 --> 00:25:06,480 Speaker 1: to be the bullpen in a swingman swingman sort of role. 473 00:25:07,480 --> 00:25:09,639 Speaker 2: Yeah, unless they decide they want Ryan Nelson to be 474 00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:10,119 Speaker 2: the closer. 475 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,720 Speaker 1: That would be something. I mean, They're not really gonna 476 00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:20,600 Speaker 1: do that though, right I have trust. I mean, there's 477 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:24,160 Speaker 1: there's a case that, like I think Ryan Nelson could 478 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:27,119 Speaker 1: be a pretty good closer. I mean, the Diamondbacks before 479 00:25:27,160 --> 00:25:29,440 Speaker 1: the Corbyn Burns injury, like they were ready to move 480 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: him into the bullpen, and I don't know if they 481 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:33,840 Speaker 1: were gonna have him closed immediately, but I think he 482 00:25:33,880 --> 00:25:36,640 Speaker 1: could have grown into that role. But even if Ryan 483 00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:39,560 Speaker 1: Nelson could be a good closer, and for as much 484 00:25:39,560 --> 00:25:43,080 Speaker 1: as the Diamondbacks need that, I still maintain that. I mean, 485 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 1: if a guy can give you a three five ERA 486 00:25:45,920 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 1: for thirty starts, like you would rather have that than 487 00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,280 Speaker 1: a good closer. Even if Ryan Nelson could be could 488 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 1: be good in that role as well. 489 00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, look Mike has said over and over again, 490 00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,399 Speaker 2: and Jesse and I were talking about this as I 491 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,560 Speaker 2: was driving home. You know, although last year, basically they 492 00:26:03,600 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 2: went into the season with their top six guys all intact. 493 00:26:07,040 --> 00:26:10,840 Speaker 2: We won't include Jordan Montgomery in the top six. I 494 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,320 Speaker 2: think he was seventh or eighth anyway, and was slated 495 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 2: to be traded had he gotten through spring training healthy. 496 00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:20,680 Speaker 2: For whatever financial relief they could have gotten. Jordan Montgomery 497 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:22,520 Speaker 2: wasn't going to be a diamondback even if he was 498 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:24,800 Speaker 2: fully healthy. He wasn't definitely not going to be in 499 00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:28,440 Speaker 2: the rotation. Anything you heard otherwise was just to keep 500 00:26:28,520 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 2: leverage so that they could, you know, maybe get a 501 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:35,600 Speaker 2: decent trade. So, you know, they ended up going with 502 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:39,080 Speaker 2: Ryan Nelson to the bullpen last year. After all, they 503 00:26:39,080 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 2: had just extended Brandon Fought and everybody else was getting 504 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 2: paid a lot more and there was nobody else to move. 505 00:26:44,160 --> 00:26:46,120 Speaker 2: So as much as I hated and didn't like that 506 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 2: at all, I understood why that happened. This situation is 507 00:26:50,560 --> 00:26:52,720 Speaker 2: a little bit different. I mean, obviously, you know, look 508 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,520 Speaker 2: when they signed Michael Soroka, they signed him to be 509 00:26:55,520 --> 00:26:58,720 Speaker 2: a starting pitcher. The incentives in his deal are tied 510 00:26:58,800 --> 00:27:01,479 Speaker 2: to you know, I think starts and innings or whatever, 511 00:27:02,240 --> 00:27:05,399 Speaker 2: and so he's not going to get there. You know, 512 00:27:05,560 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 2: if he's pitching out the bullpen, he's not going to 513 00:27:08,280 --> 00:27:10,000 Speaker 2: earn those incentives. So he's not going to be a 514 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:12,399 Speaker 2: happy camper if he's the one cent to the bullpen. 515 00:27:12,480 --> 00:27:15,240 Speaker 2: But it certainly seems logical that he would be the 516 00:27:15,240 --> 00:27:18,480 Speaker 2: one sent I know a lot of people are enamored 517 00:27:18,520 --> 00:27:20,919 Speaker 2: with the six man rotation idea, but that's not going 518 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 2: to happen. We talked about this a lot last year 519 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:28,679 Speaker 2: with Mike. You know, the combination of off days sometimes, 520 00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,520 Speaker 2: you know, it's not like with a six man rotation 521 00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:35,000 Speaker 2: doesn't mean that guys are automatically on you know, five 522 00:27:35,080 --> 00:27:38,399 Speaker 2: days rest instead of four and all of that. It 523 00:27:38,480 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 2: can turn out to be six or seven or even 524 00:27:41,119 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 2: sometimes eight days. If you ever actually take a spreadsheet 525 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:46,560 Speaker 2: and the schedule and try to work out a six 526 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:52,000 Speaker 2: man rotation where you don't skip anybody, it gets really 527 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:55,919 Speaker 2: messy and pretty quick. So you know, they're not going 528 00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 2: to do a six man rotation. They don't want to 529 00:27:57,720 --> 00:28:00,840 Speaker 2: take these guys out of their routines and The only 530 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:03,720 Speaker 2: time they'll quote unquote have a six man rotation is 531 00:28:03,760 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 2: sometimes midseason, when guys are tired and everybody needs a 532 00:28:07,359 --> 00:28:10,920 Speaker 2: few extra days. Sure, they'll insert somebody in there and say, yeah, 533 00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,520 Speaker 2: we're going with a six man rotation, and then two 534 00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:16,919 Speaker 2: weeks later there's no such thing. So you know, just 535 00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:20,119 Speaker 2: it's not gonna happen. There's no six man rotation in 536 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:22,280 Speaker 2: the only way you're going to have a six man 537 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:26,239 Speaker 2: rotation in MLB at this point is if teams just say, 538 00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:28,199 Speaker 2: all right, screw it. You know, starting pitchers go three 539 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:29,680 Speaker 2: four innings and it's to the bullpen. 540 00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:35,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, we may say, sorry to interrupt, I will say 541 00:28:35,600 --> 00:28:38,600 Speaker 1: just just real quick that there are certain guys where, 542 00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:41,360 Speaker 1: if you sign them from Japan, I think teams maybe 543 00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,800 Speaker 1: feel more comfortable with a six man rotation just to 544 00:28:44,840 --> 00:28:47,160 Speaker 1: give those guys the extra day that they're used to. 545 00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: We've seen that at times. But yeah, by and large, 546 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:51,760 Speaker 1: I totally agree with you. It's just not something we 547 00:28:51,800 --> 00:28:55,040 Speaker 1: see in baseball, and it's particularly not something we've really 548 00:28:55,040 --> 00:28:57,800 Speaker 1: ever seen the Diamondbacks do you know, maybe one or 549 00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:02,520 Speaker 1: two turns through the rotation at times, but it's not 550 00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:06,240 Speaker 1: something that we really see the Diamondbacks do ever beyond that. 551 00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,120 Speaker 2: And I mean they flat out said that they wouldn't. 552 00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 2: You know, they looked into it, they studied it last year, 553 00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 2: and they had plenty of good reason to do so, 554 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:17,920 Speaker 2: you know, considering all that, almost everybody, the top six 555 00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:21,680 Speaker 2: guys got through spring training healthy and they didn't do it. 556 00:29:21,720 --> 00:29:23,000 Speaker 2: So if they weren't going to do it, then they're 557 00:29:23,000 --> 00:29:23,720 Speaker 2: not going to do it now. 558 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 1: I in general, when it comes to the question of 559 00:29:28,000 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 1: who gets bumped, and I recognize that Ryan Nelson has 560 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:33,480 Speaker 1: been the odd man out a couple of times now, 561 00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:36,280 Speaker 1: and it's hard for people to forget that. I acknowledge that, 562 00:29:36,720 --> 00:29:40,200 Speaker 1: But I think in general it is true. We say 563 00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:41,840 Speaker 1: it so often, but it is true that you can 564 00:29:41,880 --> 00:29:45,200 Speaker 1: never have too much starting pitching, particularly with this Diamondbacks 565 00:29:45,240 --> 00:29:49,040 Speaker 1: team that's really struggled in that area. And it's just 566 00:29:49,160 --> 00:29:51,920 Speaker 1: not a question while well, I don't know exactly how 567 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 1: it will work out, it's not a question that I 568 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: would be overly worried about if I was a Diamondbacks fan. 569 00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,920 Speaker 1: I mean, if if they have six darting pitchers who 570 00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:05,360 Speaker 1: are healthy and effective at the same time, like I mean, 571 00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:08,200 Speaker 1: that's like a thought that's very hard to imagine. Frankly, 572 00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 1: I mean, with the struggles that Brandon Fott had last year, 573 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 1: with the struggles that Wardo Rodriguez has had, you know, 574 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:16,640 Speaker 1: the injuries that some of these guys have had, Merrill 575 00:30:16,760 --> 00:30:20,600 Speaker 1: Kelly aging, Edwardo Rodriguez aging a little bit, with an 576 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:23,800 Speaker 1: injury track record. We've talked about Michael Soroka and his 577 00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:26,560 Speaker 1: injury track record, like, I don't think you're getting two 578 00:30:26,640 --> 00:30:29,200 Speaker 1: hundred innings from him this year. And I know Corbyn 579 00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:31,840 Speaker 1: Burns is another factor in this, like you expect to 580 00:30:31,880 --> 00:30:34,760 Speaker 1: get him back later in the year. But I just 581 00:30:34,840 --> 00:30:36,720 Speaker 1: wouldn't be worried if I was a fan of this 582 00:30:36,800 --> 00:30:38,680 Speaker 1: team about like, oh no, now we have too many 583 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,920 Speaker 1: starting pitchers. It just does not tend to be a 584 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,800 Speaker 1: real issue. These these things have a way of working 585 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:47,560 Speaker 1: themselves out. And as much as I hate to say it, 586 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:49,560 Speaker 1: I mean it could be as simple as someone goes 587 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,400 Speaker 1: down in spring training. You hate to see that, You 588 00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:55,440 Speaker 1: certainly would hate to see that happen, but you know, 589 00:30:55,520 --> 00:30:58,600 Speaker 1: you look at the past several years of spring training, 590 00:30:58,720 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 1: like last year, Jordan Montgomery goes down. The year before, 591 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:05,360 Speaker 1: Merril Kelly and e Rod go down, Like, we've been 592 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:08,040 Speaker 1: doing this long enough to know it's not all that 593 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:10,720 Speaker 1: likely to make it through spring training with all your guys, 594 00:31:11,560 --> 00:31:14,360 Speaker 1: and if somehow you do, like that's great and you'll 595 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 1: kind of figure it out from there. 596 00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,360 Speaker 2: For sure. Hey, by the way, Ryan, don't feel bad 597 00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,400 Speaker 2: I missed at Rinjifo signed with the Brewers as well. 598 00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:31,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, apparently that is a thing which I don't really 599 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:34,520 Speaker 1: understand what the Brewers are doing with the Caleb Durbin trade. 600 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't really ever understand what the Brewers 601 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,440 Speaker 1: are doing, and yet they win ninety games a year 602 00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:40,960 Speaker 1: after year. So I'm sort of done. I'm sort of 603 00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 1: done questioning them at this point. Although yeah, I didn't 604 00:31:43,920 --> 00:31:48,440 Speaker 1: really understand the Luis rang GIFA move. But one other 605 00:31:48,520 --> 00:31:52,560 Speaker 1: thought on this Gallon situation, Jack, is it time to 606 00:31:52,760 --> 00:31:57,360 Speaker 1: just like stop having payroll conversations at the beginning of 607 00:31:57,400 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: the off season, because it feels like, I mean, I 608 00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:02,880 Speaker 1: know this move when you factor in the deferrals, it's 609 00:32:02,920 --> 00:32:05,360 Speaker 1: not like the Dbacks are going forty million over what 610 00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:08,040 Speaker 1: we expected them to spend or anything like that. But 611 00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:12,920 Speaker 1: I still think we're probably we're probably above the range 612 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:14,600 Speaker 1: that we thought this team would end up in or 613 00:32:14,600 --> 00:32:17,480 Speaker 1: at least I don't know. Maybe I'm wrong with that, Jack, 614 00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:19,200 Speaker 1: Do you think it's fair to say that at this 615 00:32:19,280 --> 00:32:21,880 Speaker 1: point that it's that their payroll is a little higher 616 00:32:22,360 --> 00:32:24,160 Speaker 1: than we thought it would be after this move. 617 00:32:24,640 --> 00:32:26,600 Speaker 2: Oh, sure, it's a little higher. I mean, look, you 618 00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:29,240 Speaker 2: know there was always a well maybe they only cut 619 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:33,680 Speaker 2: it ten million. There was that, you know, what's reducing payroll? Mean, 620 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:36,760 Speaker 2: you know, and in this case they've cut it about 621 00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,120 Speaker 2: ten million at the end of the day. I mean, 622 00:32:39,280 --> 00:32:41,000 Speaker 2: it depends on how you want to count it, right, 623 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:43,480 Speaker 2: are you counting eight million he's getting this year or 624 00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:46,320 Speaker 2: are you counting all twenty two? Like when I do 625 00:32:46,440 --> 00:32:51,040 Speaker 2: my charts, even though we have ten million deferred out 626 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,400 Speaker 2: from corbyn Burns contract, I show the thirty one point seven. 627 00:32:55,920 --> 00:32:58,320 Speaker 2: So you know, it just really depends on how you 628 00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:00,800 Speaker 2: want to line it out. I think we still need 629 00:33:00,840 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 2: to track it. I think it's still relevant. We just 630 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:06,920 Speaker 2: need to always understand that come the end of the 631 00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:10,240 Speaker 2: off season, can made, you know, write an extra check 632 00:33:10,280 --> 00:33:13,000 Speaker 2: that we just didn't see coming. He's consistently done that, 633 00:33:14,320 --> 00:33:16,760 Speaker 2: and again we go back to that conversation like why 634 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,200 Speaker 2: not just do that at the beginning, so that Mike 635 00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:21,280 Speaker 2: has a little bit clearer picture of how he can 636 00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 2: best allocate his resources. You know, I don't know where 637 00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:29,560 Speaker 2: he was at this year. I do know that, you know, 638 00:33:30,200 --> 00:33:33,680 Speaker 2: last year, had they not signed Corbyn Burns, he was 639 00:33:33,720 --> 00:33:38,360 Speaker 2: probably going to sign a fairly expensive reliever. That that's 640 00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 2: that was my understanding, you know, That's what I the 641 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,320 Speaker 2: scuttle butt that I heard from within. I don't know 642 00:33:43,320 --> 00:33:45,800 Speaker 2: which one, probably one of the ones that got. 643 00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:49,160 Speaker 1: Hurt, but you know, or was just terrible one one 644 00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:49,600 Speaker 1: of the two. 645 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:52,720 Speaker 2: You know, I think he was going to invest in 646 00:33:53,040 --> 00:33:56,600 Speaker 2: a higher ticket reliever last year, and then the Corbyn 647 00:33:56,600 --> 00:33:59,720 Speaker 2: Burns signing came came to fruition, and so that went 648 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:03,800 Speaker 2: by the wayside. You know, I don't know if again 649 00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:06,400 Speaker 2: we go back to sequences, right, you know, if you 650 00:34:06,600 --> 00:34:10,399 Speaker 2: look at the sequence of events here, I don't think 651 00:34:10,400 --> 00:34:13,200 Speaker 2: any of it was predictable. If Zach had accepted the 652 00:34:13,280 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 2: qualifying offer right out of the gate, things would have 653 00:34:15,680 --> 00:34:16,319 Speaker 2: looked different, for. 654 00:34:16,280 --> 00:34:21,719 Speaker 1: Sure, on that note of the sequence of events. And 655 00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:24,200 Speaker 1: I know we talked about Ken Kendrick earlier and you know, 656 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:25,719 Speaker 1: kind of tip of the cap to him in a 657 00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:29,120 Speaker 1: situation like this, is the DBACS kind of surprised some people. 658 00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:33,360 Speaker 1: Yet again, there is this element that we referenced earlier 659 00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:37,200 Speaker 1: of you know, could Ken Kendrick maybe come out at 660 00:34:37,239 --> 00:34:39,800 Speaker 1: the beginning of the off season and instead of waiting 661 00:34:39,960 --> 00:34:44,439 Speaker 1: for situations like this where a player's market falls there's 662 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:48,200 Speaker 1: some special circumstance. You know what if he kind of 663 00:34:48,239 --> 00:34:50,719 Speaker 1: changed his approach and was a little more aggressive on 664 00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:53,160 Speaker 1: the front end and gave Mike Caysen a little bit 665 00:34:53,160 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 1: more money to spend. I mean, again, I don't want 666 00:34:56,600 --> 00:34:59,080 Speaker 1: to be like critical of Ken Kendrick in a situation 667 00:34:59,280 --> 00:35:01,720 Speaker 1: like this, but you could at least imagine a world 668 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:05,680 Speaker 1: where he he shifts and operates that way instead. And 669 00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:11,120 Speaker 1: I guess I'm curious, Jack, like, could the Diamondbacks be 670 00:35:11,160 --> 00:35:13,160 Speaker 1: a much better team in that world? Like if they 671 00:35:13,239 --> 00:35:15,719 Speaker 1: knew they had this money from the beginning, could they 672 00:35:15,719 --> 00:35:18,160 Speaker 1: have played their pieces in a different way to wind 673 00:35:18,239 --> 00:35:20,400 Speaker 1: up with a much better roster. I don't know if 674 00:35:20,400 --> 00:35:24,520 Speaker 1: I would say a much better roster, But maybe there's 675 00:35:24,560 --> 00:35:28,239 Speaker 1: a world where you actually get a closer and you know, 676 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:31,200 Speaker 1: you feel a little better about your your bullpen situation. 677 00:35:32,200 --> 00:35:34,799 Speaker 2: Oh, I'm absolutely Look, if you know what you have 678 00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:36,600 Speaker 2: to spend. I mean, you know, when it comes to 679 00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:43,680 Speaker 2: financial and resource allocation, the more accurate information you have upfront, 680 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:44,920 Speaker 2: the better job you're going to be able to do. 681 00:35:44,960 --> 00:35:48,399 Speaker 2: It just goes without saying, Yeah, I'm sure that Mike 682 00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:50,759 Speaker 2: would prefer that, But at the same time, he's not 683 00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,319 Speaker 2: going to complain about it because at the end of 684 00:35:53,360 --> 00:35:55,680 Speaker 2: the day, Ken has spent enough money to put a 685 00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:56,920 Speaker 2: winning team on the field. 686 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:02,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, And Mike Kyson has said that year after year 687 00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:06,480 Speaker 1: after year. He's never really been one to, you know, 688 00:36:06,640 --> 00:36:10,319 Speaker 1: talk about payroll publicly as a limitation, which, granted, from 689 00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,440 Speaker 1: a pr standpoint, like you can't really do that as 690 00:36:12,440 --> 00:36:15,360 Speaker 1: a GM, you know, you can't really put your your 691 00:36:15,760 --> 00:36:18,400 Speaker 1: owner on blast even if you wanted to. But I 692 00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:22,719 Speaker 1: genuinely think that's like where Mike Kyson stands is the Diamondbacks. 693 00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,080 Speaker 1: They're not spending as much as other teams, certainly not 694 00:36:25,160 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 1: the Dodgers, which have been a big topic around the 695 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:31,480 Speaker 1: game here in recent days. But yeah, they're I mean, 696 00:36:31,520 --> 00:36:33,920 Speaker 1: they're spending, They're they're holding their own when it comes 697 00:36:33,960 --> 00:36:36,560 Speaker 1: to to spending and you know, being able to put 698 00:36:36,560 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 1: a decent product on the field. 699 00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:41,560 Speaker 2: Yeah. So last year, you know, I had them about 700 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,719 Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety five give or take opening day, 701 00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,480 Speaker 2: and they were at one hundred and seventy two as 702 00:36:48,520 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 2: of just a little bit ago, and then they signed 703 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:54,319 Speaker 2: Paul Seawald, bring up to about one hundred and seventy three, 704 00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,799 Speaker 2: you know, just to give or take. So if you 705 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:01,359 Speaker 2: just take the eight million that Zack skidding this year, 706 00:37:01,440 --> 00:37:05,560 Speaker 2: then that's that's one hundred and eighty one. If you 707 00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,640 Speaker 2: want to count the full net present value of eighteen, 708 00:37:09,320 --> 00:37:11,839 Speaker 2: then it's right up around on one ninety one ninety one, 709 00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:15,040 Speaker 2: so just barely under last year. So just depends on 710 00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 2: how you want to count it. You know, they're the 711 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:19,960 Speaker 2: ones that said that they were going to spend less, 712 00:37:20,560 --> 00:37:23,520 Speaker 2: and you know, they looks like they spent a little 713 00:37:23,520 --> 00:37:26,680 Speaker 2: bit less, but at most they reduced it only about 714 00:37:26,719 --> 00:37:29,120 Speaker 2: ten million, and they're not done yet. 715 00:37:29,960 --> 00:37:32,360 Speaker 1: Yeah. I was just going to say, we got a 716 00:37:33,360 --> 00:37:36,720 Speaker 1: tweet from Gambo earlier today. Is a great, great segue. 717 00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:39,879 Speaker 1: A tweet from Gambo earlier today that said the Diamondbacks 718 00:37:39,880 --> 00:37:43,680 Speaker 1: are working towards adding a utility player to replace recently 719 00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:47,719 Speaker 1: traded Blaze Alexander, with that player most likely coming via 720 00:37:47,800 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 1: trade and using minor league depth, and we you and 721 00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:56,360 Speaker 1: I think have been following Gambo's reporting long enough to 722 00:37:56,440 --> 00:38:00,200 Speaker 1: know that when he speaks in these terms, it you 723 00:38:00,239 --> 00:38:03,440 Speaker 1: feel very confident, something like I feel quite confident something 724 00:38:03,520 --> 00:38:08,160 Speaker 1: is going to happen when Gambo uses, you know, using 725 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,279 Speaker 1: their their minor league depth. It was maybe a little 726 00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:15,080 Speaker 1: easier earlier to figure out who the d Backs were 727 00:38:15,440 --> 00:38:17,799 Speaker 1: going to trade. We sort of were able to do 728 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:22,360 Speaker 1: that with Blaize Alexander compared to Tim Tawa or Jordan Lawler. 729 00:38:22,680 --> 00:38:25,160 Speaker 1: We had a sense they had some depth when it 730 00:38:25,200 --> 00:38:28,560 Speaker 1: came to utility players, and so it felt like Blaze 731 00:38:28,560 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: Alexander was the trade candidate that made the most sense there. 732 00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:34,520 Speaker 1: But here Gambo is a little more vague in just 733 00:38:34,560 --> 00:38:37,799 Speaker 1: his minor league depth. So my guess, if I had 734 00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:41,160 Speaker 1: to guess, was they're maybe willing to trade a pitcher. 735 00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:45,280 Speaker 1: Not that the d Bacs have an excess of starting pitching, 736 00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,080 Speaker 1: certainly not, but you feel a little better about your 737 00:38:48,080 --> 00:38:52,279 Speaker 1: starting pitching depth after getting Zach Gallen, and they do 738 00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:55,839 Speaker 1: have more depth of young starters who are relatively close 739 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:58,640 Speaker 1: to the majors than they've had before. And not that 740 00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:00,839 Speaker 1: you ever really want to deal with those guys, but 741 00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:04,319 Speaker 1: you got to give something to get something, and you 742 00:39:04,360 --> 00:39:07,040 Speaker 1: can talk yourself into that being an area of depth 743 00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:08,719 Speaker 1: that they could trade from. 744 00:39:09,360 --> 00:39:11,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, you know, if you look in spring training camp, 745 00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:14,560 Speaker 2: I mean, how many guys are there that are legit 746 00:39:16,320 --> 00:39:20,600 Speaker 2: possibilities to play shortstop behind Heraldo Padomo Because you have 747 00:39:20,680 --> 00:39:23,480 Speaker 2: to have a guy that's at least capable of playing 748 00:39:23,480 --> 00:39:25,279 Speaker 2: a few games here and there. I mean Podomo, Yeah, 749 00:39:25,280 --> 00:39:27,440 Speaker 2: you played one hundred and sixty one games. Say you 750 00:39:27,520 --> 00:39:30,040 Speaker 2: can't count on that every year, and they really shouldn't 751 00:39:30,160 --> 00:39:33,520 Speaker 2: grind him into the ground quite that hard in my opinion. 752 00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,600 Speaker 2: So you know, you have Jordan Lawler can play shortstop, 753 00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:40,360 Speaker 2: and you have Eldemar Vargus, who's not even on the 754 00:39:40,360 --> 00:39:43,720 Speaker 2: forty man roster play shortstop. I mean a few other guys, 755 00:39:43,800 --> 00:39:47,960 Speaker 2: a couple other NRIs non roster invitees that can play 756 00:39:48,000 --> 00:39:51,200 Speaker 2: a little shortstop too. But I would have to think 757 00:39:51,280 --> 00:39:54,439 Speaker 2: that if they're trading for a utility player, it's got 758 00:39:54,440 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 2: to be somebody that they feel confident can play back 759 00:39:57,000 --> 00:40:00,040 Speaker 2: up shortstop. I mean, if it's not, then the and 760 00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:03,120 Speaker 2: I guess it's just Jordan is the guy, you know 761 00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:07,839 Speaker 2: to back up Pedomo and which case, Like, so are 762 00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:10,400 Speaker 2: we really concentrating on putting him in center field? Like 763 00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:14,440 Speaker 2: it just seems like another recipe for confusion and not 764 00:40:14,560 --> 00:40:19,719 Speaker 2: putting Jordan in the best situation to succeed. So I 765 00:40:19,760 --> 00:40:22,440 Speaker 2: don't really want to see that. Like, I think that 766 00:40:22,560 --> 00:40:24,840 Speaker 2: if they want Jordan Lawler to play in the outfield, 767 00:40:25,040 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 2: then make him an outfielder. Let him focus on that. 768 00:40:27,920 --> 00:40:29,520 Speaker 2: I know that they're going to split some time on 769 00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:32,600 Speaker 2: the dirt in spring training, but they said most of 770 00:40:32,600 --> 00:40:34,440 Speaker 2: his time would be in the outfield. Of course, if 771 00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:38,080 Speaker 2: he needs to step into the infield in an emergency situation, 772 00:40:38,760 --> 00:40:41,560 Speaker 2: but he should not be the primary backup shortstop if 773 00:40:41,600 --> 00:40:45,560 Speaker 2: they want him to play center field, I mean, give 774 00:40:45,560 --> 00:40:49,640 Speaker 2: the guy a chance. Yeah, stop scrolling with him. 775 00:40:50,239 --> 00:40:52,480 Speaker 1: That's a fair point. I hadn't really thought of it 776 00:40:52,520 --> 00:40:55,560 Speaker 1: that way. I kind of figured, like, hey, Perdomo can 777 00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:59,440 Speaker 1: start ninety five percent of games, and if you need 778 00:40:59,480 --> 00:41:01,800 Speaker 1: someone to just step in every once in a while, 779 00:41:01,880 --> 00:41:03,759 Speaker 1: Jordan Lawler could do it if he had to. But 780 00:41:04,560 --> 00:41:07,560 Speaker 1: you're right, like, if you're really wanting to invest in 781 00:41:07,640 --> 00:41:10,120 Speaker 1: Jordan Lawler as an outfielder and make his life as 782 00:41:10,120 --> 00:41:12,759 Speaker 1: simple as possible, there's a case to be made that 783 00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:15,359 Speaker 1: you should just kind of forget the shortstop thing and 784 00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:18,520 Speaker 1: make it more of an emergency situation than anything else, 785 00:41:18,960 --> 00:41:21,399 Speaker 1: and go find you someone else can who can play 786 00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:26,040 Speaker 1: that position. It's hard for me to know. The rooster says, 787 00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:29,720 Speaker 1: please don't trade Daniel Egan. My guess is this wouldn't 788 00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:33,040 Speaker 1: the d Bacs wouldn't go there. Again. Gambo used the 789 00:41:33,040 --> 00:41:36,920 Speaker 1: phrase minor league depth, which, yeah, I guess. I don't 790 00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:38,799 Speaker 1: know if that means like guys who are right on 791 00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,160 Speaker 1: the verge of the majors, or maybe he's talking about 792 00:41:41,200 --> 00:41:43,560 Speaker 1: depth that at like the lower levels of the miners. 793 00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:47,040 Speaker 1: So yeah, I would be pretty surprised if they traded 794 00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:50,640 Speaker 1: a pitching prospect the caliber of Egan. But the they 795 00:41:50,680 --> 00:41:53,279 Speaker 1: have a number of guys, including the guys they got 796 00:41:53,280 --> 00:41:56,759 Speaker 1: in the Merrill Kelly trade in in July, that you 797 00:41:56,800 --> 00:41:59,320 Speaker 1: know they have. They have some guys in that camp 798 00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:01,239 Speaker 1: who are who are close and that would have some 799 00:42:01,440 --> 00:42:04,520 Speaker 1: value for other teams that that they could they could 800 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:05,320 Speaker 1: maybe deal away. 801 00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:11,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, so Alex down here at the bottom of the chat, No, 802 00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:12,880 Speaker 2: Tommy Troy is not an option shortstop. 803 00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, not anymore. It doesn't seem like they've been really 804 00:42:16,600 --> 00:42:22,560 Speaker 1: into that for for a little while now. Yeah, I 805 00:42:22,560 --> 00:42:26,319 Speaker 1: guess another another storyline that that came out today. Jack 806 00:42:26,360 --> 00:42:29,920 Speaker 1: Gambo tweeted about Lordis Guriel Junior and the fact that 807 00:42:30,040 --> 00:42:33,160 Speaker 1: he could spend significant time at d H, which is 808 00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,080 Speaker 1: something I hadn't I hadn't thought about too much, which 809 00:42:36,120 --> 00:42:38,799 Speaker 1: I mean, it makes sense, right, you're coming off a 810 00:42:39,080 --> 00:42:42,320 Speaker 1: pretty significant injury with with the a c L. Maybe 811 00:42:42,360 --> 00:42:44,400 Speaker 1: you want to just not have him be on his 812 00:42:44,480 --> 00:42:47,560 Speaker 1: feet all that often. And the DBAC certainly at d H, 813 00:42:47,640 --> 00:42:50,319 Speaker 1: I mean, they have they have questions there, right, We've 814 00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:53,440 Speaker 1: we've kind of made the assumption that Peven Smith maybe 815 00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 1: would would get some time at at d H. Adrian 816 00:42:56,960 --> 00:43:01,399 Speaker 1: Delcasto's well, but certainly when it comes to facing left 817 00:43:01,440 --> 00:43:05,160 Speaker 1: handed pitching, Lordis Garyel Junior could could totally slide in 818 00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:08,120 Speaker 1: a DH. He's hit left these pretty well throughout his career, 819 00:43:08,560 --> 00:43:11,040 Speaker 1: and even in twenty twenty five as well, he had 820 00:43:11,160 --> 00:43:13,520 Speaker 1: left these. He had left these pretty well, even though 821 00:43:13,520 --> 00:43:15,480 Speaker 1: it was kind of a kind of a down season 822 00:43:15,520 --> 00:43:16,359 Speaker 1: for him. 823 00:43:16,920 --> 00:43:18,799 Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, it's funny. As you were talking, I 824 00:43:18,880 --> 00:43:21,600 Speaker 2: popped open my spreadsheet that I haven't gone back to 825 00:43:21,719 --> 00:43:24,000 Speaker 2: for a few weeks because I need to update it, obviously, 826 00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:27,120 Speaker 2: but I kind of track where I think the playing 827 00:43:27,160 --> 00:43:31,000 Speaker 2: time is going to shake out. And I originally had 828 00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:34,880 Speaker 2: lordis starting about eighty seven games, actually getting starts in 829 00:43:34,920 --> 00:43:37,840 Speaker 2: the eighties. That doesn't include pinch hit opportunities and so 830 00:43:37,920 --> 00:43:41,279 Speaker 2: forth like that. So, you know, based on the fact 831 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,920 Speaker 2: that he looks to be coming back earlier than I 832 00:43:43,960 --> 00:43:46,640 Speaker 2: had projected, I mean, I figured he would be out 833 00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,000 Speaker 2: the first two months of the season and come back 834 00:43:49,040 --> 00:43:52,120 Speaker 2: in June, you know, and things seem to be trending 835 00:43:52,360 --> 00:43:55,719 Speaker 2: for a mid or late April return. I mean, you know, 836 00:43:56,239 --> 00:43:58,040 Speaker 2: he's like, I'm going to be ready opening day and 837 00:43:58,080 --> 00:44:00,160 Speaker 2: Tori's like, you know, hold the phone here, guys know 838 00:44:00,640 --> 00:44:03,120 Speaker 2: that's not going to happen. But you know, maybe he's 839 00:44:03,200 --> 00:44:05,640 Speaker 2: back by May one the way things are trending for him. 840 00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:10,880 Speaker 2: We'll see. But I had eighteen games at d H 841 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:15,000 Speaker 2: amongst his eighty seven started, so I was already thinking that, 842 00:44:15,600 --> 00:44:18,279 Speaker 2: you know, a not insignificant number of starts for him 843 00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:21,480 Speaker 2: would be at d AH. Now, based on what Gambo's saying, 844 00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:24,120 Speaker 2: you know, it seems like that would be more of 845 00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:28,000 Speaker 2: like an early on situation like the first month, three 846 00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:30,040 Speaker 2: or four times a week, he's going to DH and 847 00:44:30,120 --> 00:44:34,239 Speaker 2: then eventually transition to the outfield. So you know, the 848 00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:38,120 Speaker 2: next time I do my playing time projection, I'll probably 849 00:44:38,160 --> 00:44:40,960 Speaker 2: bump orders up to one hundred hundred and ten games started, 850 00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:43,760 Speaker 2: and I'll probably put thirty of those games at Dhe 851 00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:47,360 Speaker 2: I think he's still going to play outfield, but they'll 852 00:44:47,440 --> 00:44:49,600 Speaker 2: they'll be in a position to slow play it if 853 00:44:49,640 --> 00:44:50,080 Speaker 2: they need to. 854 00:44:51,480 --> 00:44:54,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I think that makes a lot of sense. Here, 855 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:57,040 Speaker 1: here's a random question for a jack, and then at 856 00:44:57,080 --> 00:44:59,600 Speaker 1: some point we'll end this stream and get out of here. 857 00:44:59,719 --> 00:45:04,040 Speaker 1: But you mentioned earlier that Chris Bassett got basically the 858 00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:07,440 Speaker 1: same contract as Zach Gallen. Right, Gallen is one and 859 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,120 Speaker 1: a little over twenty two, but with the deferrals, it's 860 00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:13,960 Speaker 1: basically one in around eighteen we think, and Bassett got 861 00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:18,120 Speaker 1: one in eighteen with with some incentives which I think 862 00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,520 Speaker 1: could bring it up to eighteen point five something like that. 863 00:45:20,560 --> 00:45:24,120 Speaker 1: So basically the same contract. Would you rather have Chris 864 00:45:24,160 --> 00:45:28,040 Speaker 1: Bassett than bring back Zach Gallen? Chris Bassett again the 865 00:45:28,120 --> 00:45:33,880 Speaker 1: last few years has been sin I accidentally make Jack 866 00:45:33,960 --> 00:45:38,960 Speaker 1: smaller on the screen. This is the wonderful world of technology. 867 00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,520 Speaker 1: All Right, there we go. Jack is back to back 868 00:45:41,560 --> 00:45:45,120 Speaker 1: to normal size. All right. As I was saying, Chris 869 00:45:45,160 --> 00:45:48,360 Speaker 1: Bassett has been kind of the model of consistency the 870 00:45:48,360 --> 00:45:50,680 Speaker 1: past few years. He had a much better twenty twenty 871 00:45:50,719 --> 00:45:53,160 Speaker 1: five season than Gallon, with a three nine six ERA 872 00:45:53,880 --> 00:45:55,880 Speaker 1: four one six the year before and one hundred and 873 00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,839 Speaker 1: seventy one innings three six zero ERA in twenty twenty 874 00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:02,319 Speaker 1: three in two innings. Uh So, Jack, what do you 875 00:46:02,480 --> 00:46:04,640 Speaker 1: what do you think would you have preferred the DBAC 876 00:46:04,719 --> 00:46:07,840 Speaker 1: spend basically the same money on Chris Bassett instead. 877 00:46:10,640 --> 00:46:13,040 Speaker 2: I mean, that's an interesting question. I don't have an 878 00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:16,839 Speaker 2: answer for that at the moment because fancrasts won't come up. 879 00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:21,200 Speaker 2: I wanted to look at his projection. I was just 880 00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:24,000 Speaker 2: curious what it came up to. I mean, you know, 881 00:46:24,080 --> 00:46:26,279 Speaker 2: he look he looked pretty good in the postseason. You know, 882 00:46:26,320 --> 00:46:30,640 Speaker 2: sometimes he looked pretty pretty DWN effective And you know 883 00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:32,799 Speaker 2: it was up and down with Zach last year, right, 884 00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:36,239 Speaker 2: so familiar reality sometimes for his contempt And I hate 885 00:46:36,280 --> 00:46:39,480 Speaker 2: to use those words, but the point being is, you know, 886 00:46:39,560 --> 00:46:41,839 Speaker 2: when a guy's going great, we tend to overrate them. 887 00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:44,239 Speaker 2: He's our guy. When a guy's struggling. We tend to 888 00:46:44,360 --> 00:46:47,839 Speaker 2: underrate them. He stinks. Get him out of here. You know, 889 00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 2: everybody kind of has that a little bit of that 890 00:46:51,120 --> 00:46:53,920 Speaker 2: going on. The one thing, you know, I just want 891 00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 2: to reiterate, and we talked about this at the end 892 00:46:57,239 --> 00:47:00,959 Speaker 2: of last season, is Zach that's a stand up guy, 893 00:47:01,320 --> 00:47:03,919 Speaker 2: right Like, you know, he's been a good teammate, he's 894 00:47:03,920 --> 00:47:08,480 Speaker 2: been a good Arizona diamondback. And every time we went 895 00:47:08,520 --> 00:47:10,720 Speaker 2: to his locker and talked to him, he never ducked 896 00:47:10,719 --> 00:47:14,479 Speaker 2: a question. You know, he never like he talks about 897 00:47:14,520 --> 00:47:17,000 Speaker 2: what's going on, but he's not making excuses. He took 898 00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:21,600 Speaker 2: ownership when he didn't go well, that speaks for a lot. 899 00:47:21,719 --> 00:47:25,279 Speaker 2: You know. They know the character of the man, and 900 00:47:25,360 --> 00:47:28,960 Speaker 2: so I think that that counts for something here. I 901 00:47:28,960 --> 00:47:31,040 Speaker 2: don't know anything about Chris Bassett. I do know the 902 00:47:31,520 --> 00:47:34,279 Speaker 2: character of Zach, and so in this case, I think 903 00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:36,439 Speaker 2: it's probably the right move for them to just bring 904 00:47:36,520 --> 00:47:39,239 Speaker 2: him back. And I think that they got a good 905 00:47:39,360 --> 00:47:41,600 Speaker 2: chance of getting a really effective season out of him. 906 00:47:41,800 --> 00:47:44,759 Speaker 2: He's certainly going to be motivated, you know, to go 907 00:47:44,800 --> 00:47:47,520 Speaker 2: get his bag next year. And you know, with the 908 00:47:47,560 --> 00:47:49,680 Speaker 2: comfort level of being in an organization he knows, and 909 00:47:49,719 --> 00:47:53,880 Speaker 2: the stadium he knows with pardon me, with fans he knows, 910 00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:58,279 Speaker 2: you know, and with his wife and family here, I 911 00:47:58,280 --> 00:48:00,279 Speaker 2: think a lot of things line up well for him, So, 912 00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,440 Speaker 2: you know, best for luck to him. You know, it 913 00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:05,759 Speaker 2: would be great if he has just a kick ass 914 00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:10,200 Speaker 2: season and pitches the Dbacks back into the postseason. You know, 915 00:48:10,280 --> 00:48:13,200 Speaker 2: nobody wants to see that more than us. And again, 916 00:48:13,280 --> 00:48:16,640 Speaker 2: I just Zack's been a good guy and so I 917 00:48:16,680 --> 00:48:18,120 Speaker 2: think we all need to acknowledge that. 918 00:48:19,360 --> 00:48:22,520 Speaker 1: I think for me, I would probably also say Zach. 919 00:48:22,680 --> 00:48:27,480 Speaker 1: And it's because Chris Bassett might have a higher chance 920 00:48:27,520 --> 00:48:31,640 Speaker 1: of giving you, you know, like a sub four er 921 00:48:32,040 --> 00:48:35,400 Speaker 1: just given his recent track record. Maybe I'm not totally 922 00:48:35,440 --> 00:48:38,400 Speaker 1: convinced of that, but Chris Bassett has been steadier the 923 00:48:38,440 --> 00:48:42,040 Speaker 1: past few years. But Zach Gallen has the higher ceiling, 924 00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:44,680 Speaker 1: certainly at this stage in his career. Like I could 925 00:48:44,680 --> 00:48:48,400 Speaker 1: imagine Zach Gallen going out and having a you know, 926 00:48:49,080 --> 00:48:52,319 Speaker 1: ace like sort of season. I don't think it's likely. Again, 927 00:48:52,360 --> 00:48:55,200 Speaker 1: it's not the baseline expectation for him, but I can 928 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:57,640 Speaker 1: envision a world where that happens, where he goes out 929 00:48:57,680 --> 00:49:00,400 Speaker 1: and just has an awesome year and is able to 930 00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:03,560 Speaker 1: really get paid next offseason. It's hard to imagine that 931 00:49:03,600 --> 00:49:06,719 Speaker 1: with Chris Bassett. I mean, Chris Bassett is thirty six 932 00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:09,520 Speaker 1: years old going on his age thirty seven season, and 933 00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:12,279 Speaker 1: if you're the d Backs right now, like, yes, you 934 00:49:12,360 --> 00:49:15,239 Speaker 1: do need stability as well. That also is a good thing, 935 00:49:15,719 --> 00:49:20,640 Speaker 1: but you also need some breakouts. Like the only way, frankly, 936 00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,000 Speaker 1: the only way this Diamondbacks team is gonna get where 937 00:49:23,040 --> 00:49:25,759 Speaker 1: they want to go is if a few guys kind 938 00:49:25,760 --> 00:49:28,560 Speaker 1: of come out of nowhere and are just awesome, right Like, 939 00:49:28,560 --> 00:49:31,120 Speaker 1: You're gonna need a few of those to happen. Not 940 00:49:31,200 --> 00:49:32,839 Speaker 1: everyone on the roster, but you're gonna need a few 941 00:49:32,840 --> 00:49:35,480 Speaker 1: of those. And so I think for this team in 942 00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:39,040 Speaker 1: this situation, it makes sense for them to chase ceiling 943 00:49:39,320 --> 00:49:40,960 Speaker 1: for them, for them to chase a guy who has 944 00:49:41,000 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 1: a chance to go out there and be really, really good, 945 00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:48,000 Speaker 1: even if you're not necessarily expecting that. So that's where 946 00:49:48,040 --> 00:49:50,120 Speaker 1: that's where I stand on this. I also did find 947 00:49:50,120 --> 00:49:54,600 Speaker 1: the Fangrafts projection for Bassett looks like looks like Zips 948 00:49:54,600 --> 00:49:56,640 Speaker 1: has him at a four oh five ERA and Steamer 949 00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:59,960 Speaker 1: has him at four point three zero. So pretty pretty 950 00:50:00,120 --> 00:50:01,800 Speaker 1: similar to Gallen in that regard. 951 00:50:02,520 --> 00:50:04,839 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I finally got mine to pull up too. 952 00:50:04,920 --> 00:50:08,399 Speaker 2: So four point one eight on the average one point 953 00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:11,319 Speaker 2: nine WAR versus two point four for Zach, So you know, 954 00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:15,399 Speaker 2: point zero point two runs in point five War. That's 955 00:50:15,440 --> 00:50:19,120 Speaker 2: the difference of their projection, which is reasonable. I mean, 956 00:50:19,160 --> 00:50:22,719 Speaker 2: you know, it's fewer innings. I mean, they're projecting Zach 957 00:50:22,760 --> 00:50:24,560 Speaker 2: one hundred and ninety one innings in Bass at one 958 00:50:24,640 --> 00:50:27,520 Speaker 2: hundred and seventy one seventy four. 959 00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:33,719 Speaker 1: So yeah. The fact that Zach Gallen only got a 960 00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,319 Speaker 1: one year contract though Jack is still just I mean, 961 00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,200 Speaker 1: it is a thirty year old pitcher, right, I mean, 962 00:50:38,239 --> 00:50:40,400 Speaker 1: this just doesn't happen. I know he's coming off a 963 00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:44,520 Speaker 1: rough season, certainly that played an enormous impact, but a 964 00:50:44,560 --> 00:50:47,960 Speaker 1: thirty year old was Zach Allen's track record, even coming 965 00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:50,840 Speaker 1: off a down year. The fact that he took a 966 00:50:50,880 --> 00:50:53,760 Speaker 1: one year contract is this is gonna blow my mind 967 00:50:53,840 --> 00:50:55,080 Speaker 1: for for a little while. 968 00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,719 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, he's you know, he's got the opportunity to 969 00:50:59,760 --> 00:51:02,319 Speaker 2: turn around and have a good season and still going 970 00:51:02,360 --> 00:51:04,439 Speaker 2: to fre free agency at the age of thirty one 971 00:51:05,000 --> 00:51:07,560 Speaker 2: and go get a five year, two hundred million dollar 972 00:51:07,680 --> 00:51:09,480 Speaker 2: deal if he has a great season, so you know, 973 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:11,880 Speaker 2: go for it, Zach, you can do it. 974 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:16,680 Speaker 1: Well. Happy Gallantine's Day to all of you, all of 975 00:51:16,680 --> 00:51:18,840 Speaker 1: you in the chat. I've been waiting to pull that 976 00:51:18,960 --> 00:51:21,600 Speaker 1: pun out this whole time Grant did. It was also 977 00:51:21,680 --> 00:51:23,680 Speaker 1: on the thumbnail if you're joining us on YouTube, so 978 00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:27,480 Speaker 1: maybe maybe you've already seen it, but but yes, we 979 00:51:27,520 --> 00:51:30,080 Speaker 1: appreciate all of you for being here in the chat, 980 00:51:30,200 --> 00:51:35,560 Speaker 1: interacting with us, sticking around throughout the duration of this episode. 981 00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:38,400 Speaker 1: As always, we'd really appreciate it if you would hit 982 00:51:38,440 --> 00:51:42,440 Speaker 1: the like button here on YouTube, subscribe to our channel, 983 00:51:42,680 --> 00:51:45,799 Speaker 1: hit the bell icon, get notifications, make sure you never 984 00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:47,800 Speaker 1: miss an episode. If you're joining us on an audio 985 00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:51,120 Speaker 1: only platform after the fact, we'd also really appreciate it 986 00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:53,560 Speaker 1: if you would leave us a five star review. You 987 00:51:53,600 --> 00:51:55,839 Speaker 1: can find us on social media. I am at Jesse 988 00:51:55,960 --> 00:51:58,359 Speaker 1: and Friedman on Twitter. Jack is at sho Wizard fifty nine. 989 00:51:58,440 --> 00:52:01,960 Speaker 1: The show is at same territory, and of course Jack 990 00:52:02,000 --> 00:52:05,480 Speaker 1: does a great job covering the Arizona Diamondbacks over at 991 00:52:05,520 --> 00:52:09,920 Speaker 1: Arizona Diamondbacks on SI Jack any final thoughts here as 992 00:52:09,960 --> 00:52:14,080 Speaker 1: we close out this emergency edition of Snake's Territory. 993 00:52:15,239 --> 00:52:17,960 Speaker 2: I've got some work to do. I gotta go rework 994 00:52:18,040 --> 00:52:22,120 Speaker 2: some projections and payroll numbers and playing time numbers. I 995 00:52:22,120 --> 00:52:24,399 Speaker 2: think we're getting pretty close to dial in a few 996 00:52:24,400 --> 00:52:24,759 Speaker 2: things in. 997 00:52:25,800 --> 00:52:28,880 Speaker 1: Well, we've said it before, expect the unexpected when it 998 00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:32,160 Speaker 1: comes to the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they did it once 999 00:52:32,239 --> 00:52:34,920 Speaker 1: again as Zachallen returns to the Diamondbacks on a one 1000 00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:37,680 Speaker 1: year deal for a little over twenty two million dollars 1001 00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:40,480 Speaker 1: little under twenty million when you factor in the deferrals. 1002 00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:43,400 Speaker 1: Fascinating move from them. Be good to see Zach Gallen 1003 00:52:43,520 --> 00:52:46,520 Speaker 1: out at the ballpark, hopefully here in a few days 1004 00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:49,000 Speaker 1: when you and I are both out there. And of 1005 00:52:49,040 --> 00:52:51,879 Speaker 1: course we'll be back with with more coverage here soon 1006 00:52:52,000 --> 00:52:54,480 Speaker 1: on Snake's Territories. I said before, be sure to hit 1007 00:52:54,480 --> 00:52:56,760 Speaker 1: the like button on your way out, subscribe to our channel. 1008 00:52:56,960 --> 00:53:00,440 Speaker 1: We really appreciate your support and we'll be back another 1009 00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:03,279 Speaker 1: edition of Snake's Territory very very soon. 1010 00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:14,759 Speaker 2: Hm.