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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Sunday morning edition the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parott. You can

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Speaker 2: follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. We're here

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Speaker 2: every morning on Bettingpros dot com and we're always being

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Speaker 2: brought to you by bet MGM. All right, so I

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Speaker 2: come on the podcast today and I'm not gonna lie.

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty frustrated. I'm pretty annoyed with myself. And I

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Speaker 2: told you that their aggression for player props was going

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Speaker 2: to come, and I was bracing myself for them, but

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Speaker 2: I previewed it last night that if I went oh

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Speaker 2: into today, we would stop betting half of units on

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Speaker 2: the player props and we'd go back to quarter units,

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Speaker 2: which is what we're going to do today. Look, you

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Speaker 2: don't hit things at eighty percent consistently. And now I've

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Speaker 2: gone one for my last seven bets on the NBA

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Speaker 2: player props as Bogdanovitch does not or over fourteen and

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Speaker 2: a half points and Joe Harris does not score over

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Speaker 2: eleven and a half points. Both those were very high

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Speaker 2: on the on our Betting Pros NBA prop.

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Speaker 1: Bet cheat cheat. So I'm gonna pause it for a while.

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Speaker 2: Okay, we're gonna cool, We're gonna take some time, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna reassess, we're gonna kind of recycle things through here

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Speaker 2: a little bit to let things come back down and

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Speaker 2: figure out where we're gonna go here. Because this is

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Speaker 2: what happened when we were talking to my friend Jill

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Speaker 2: Gallant from odd Shark a lot about the money line

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Speaker 2: bets for underdogs. In the first half of the NBA season,

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Speaker 2: one hundred dollars better would have been up like five

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Speaker 2: grand if they bet just every game money line dog.

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Speaker 1: Well, the same.

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Speaker 2: Bet in the second half of the year, you'd be

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Speaker 2: down like four thousand dollars. So things do tend to

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Speaker 2: level off. Things do tend to come to their level,

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Speaker 2: and that's where we are here with the player props.

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Speaker 2: So because of that, I'm gonna take a couple of

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Speaker 2: days and we're just gonna rest and we're not gonna

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Speaker 2: force it. We're not gonna chase. Okay, but we've lost lost,

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Speaker 2: you know, zero to four. I think lust two days,

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Speaker 2: So that's two units down on NBA player props. And

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Speaker 2: it's really annoying because I would have had a two

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Speaker 2: and one day yesterday if I didn't have for the

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Speaker 2: player props and said to two and three day yesterday

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Speaker 2: because Hockey's burned us man, the Wild lose in overtime

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Speaker 2: to the Saint Louis Blues. Now that just flat out stunk. Okay,

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Speaker 2: there's no way around that. There are two to one lead,

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Speaker 2: Blues tie it and then the Wild lose it in overtime.

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Speaker 2: That was a kick to the groin and I wasn't

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Speaker 2: really happy to see that. But we had will Zlatoris

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Speaker 2: and that head to head against Brian Harmon. We got

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Speaker 2: that right for a half a unit, so that was

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Speaker 2: nice to see that come in. And then we got

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Speaker 2: the what was our other bet yesterday? I'm blanking on

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Speaker 2: the other bet that we had that hit for us Oh,

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Speaker 2: because the White Sox were rained out, we added Mackenzie

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Speaker 2: Dern on the money line at plus one oh eight

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Speaker 2: for a half a unit to win her fight. I

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Speaker 2: should have taken by submission. The way she wins her fights,

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Speaker 2: youre by submission. It was plus two to eighty by submission,

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Speaker 2: and she got it in the first round late in

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Speaker 2: the first round of the UFC fight, and I just

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Speaker 2: was like, all right, let's just guarantee a win and

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Speaker 2: not get greedy. But if you took by submission, that

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Speaker 2: was great. It rose before the fight started. It didn't

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Speaker 2: make a lot of sense as to why that fight

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Speaker 2: was going up, but it rose, and so I got

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Speaker 2: plus one o eight. But if you got submission is

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Speaker 2: plus two eighty. I know a bunch you guys in

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Speaker 2: the discorre channel bit at both both to win and

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Speaker 2: by submission, So that was a nice little cash for

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Speaker 2: you guys. I just got the half unit win right

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Speaker 2: at plus one o eight, So that was nice. But

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Speaker 2: we wind up down for the day and pretty much

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Speaker 2: up a little for the week. Now we still have

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Speaker 2: a winning week, which is we'll take that every time,

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Speaker 2: but it's we really cut into our winnings big time

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Speaker 2: over the last two days. And so we're here on

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Speaker 2: a Sunday trying to get rolling here and trying to

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Speaker 2: start things up. So let's talk about where we are

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Speaker 2: for the Masters going into the final round. So what

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Speaker 2: we know of the bets we made, we are not

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Speaker 2: looking great, all right. So the Dustin Johnson top ten

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Speaker 2: bet he didn't make the cut, that BET's dead. The

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Speaker 2: Patrick can't lay top ten bet, that BET's dead. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so we're down one unit already there. John Rahm to

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Speaker 2: win to finish in the top ten. John Rahm right

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Speaker 2: now is tied for twenty first as they start play

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Speaker 2: for the fourth and final round. More on John Rahm

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Speaker 2: in just one second. That's still alive for top ten.

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Speaker 2: He needs to shoot a little score today to get

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Speaker 2: their top ten. And Justin Thomas threw up all over

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Speaker 2: himself going down the stretch after the stoppage on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: He just collapsed and he went, I mean just completely

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Speaker 2: and totally fell apart. And now if you look at

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Speaker 2: the leader board, he's tied for thirteenth, so he can

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Speaker 2: still make the top ten if he bounces back. But

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Speaker 2: he completely and totally just blew his shot at winning

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Speaker 2: this He's not winning this tournament.

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Speaker 1: He's ten strokes back. Okay.

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Speaker 2: A triple bowlgie eight on the par five thirteenth, the

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Speaker 2: only one recorded there this week after the stoppage, I mean,

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Speaker 2: just horrific. Aadecki Mantayama was on fire after the stoppage.

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Speaker 2: The exact opposite happened for Justin Thomas, who's pretty much

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Speaker 2: out of it right now for his chance to win

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Speaker 2: this thing. Mattiyama's got a four stroke lead. As we

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Speaker 2: start with a litany of golfers including Justin Rose, Mark Leishman,

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Speaker 2: Willis latorres seven unders in a Shopley all at seven

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Speaker 2: hundred par, Thomas is one under. So if he comes

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Speaker 2: back and shoots us sixty seven again on Sunday today,

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Speaker 2: he probably finishes in the top ten. So that bet

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Speaker 2: for him at plus one thirty is still alive. John

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Speaker 2: ram As I mentioned at he's tied for twenty first

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Speaker 2: at even par. He needs to shoot something in the

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Speaker 2: mid sixties, like he's gone seventy two, seventy two, seventy two.

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Speaker 2: He needs something magical on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: Can he do that?

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Speaker 2: Sure, he's set it before, but we really need him

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Speaker 2: to play really well on Sunday, So that would be

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Speaker 2: at even money. So if we get even money and

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Speaker 2: plus one thirty, well that covers everything for the five

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Speaker 2: other bets that we had here.

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Speaker 1: Okay, so we'll be flat.

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Speaker 2: So because of that reason, I'm gonna double down a

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Speaker 2: little bit. I'm gonna push my leg a little bit

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Speaker 2: with one master's bet coming up here for today. But

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Speaker 2: it kind of is gonna come down to John Rahm

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Speaker 2: and If John rom plays well on Sunday, we're gonna

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Speaker 2: be looking good. If he doesn't, it's gonna be kind

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Speaker 2: of a bummer situation, and we're gonna kind of cringe

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Speaker 2: and go ouch, this really hurt. So, you know, one

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Speaker 2: of the things about the Daily Juice and it's been

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Speaker 2: fun to have my two brothers here. I took them

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Speaker 2: to Circa Sports here in Vegas and showed them that

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Speaker 2: sports book and they were just in awe. They made

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Speaker 2: a bunch of bets at stations and a bunch of

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Speaker 2: bets at Circa. It was just fun to be around

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Speaker 2: them because they're twenty eight and twenty six and they

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Speaker 2: both gamble every day, and they just really it was

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Speaker 2: super fun to kind of be the big brother and

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Speaker 2: take them around everywhere and show them the ropes of

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Speaker 2: gambling in Vegas and whatnot. In their eyes were just

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Speaker 2: all saucers and really wide eyed and oh my gosh,

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Speaker 2: this is so fun, and it is this is just

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Speaker 2: so incredibly fun. But one thing that was fun about

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Speaker 2: the whole thing is as I was going through my

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Speaker 2: with them each and every day, a lot of them

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Speaker 2: are like, so wait, you bet UFC and golf and

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Speaker 2: baseball and you bet hockey and you like, I was

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Speaker 2: going through all the things the daily Jews that we

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Speaker 2: bet on, and yeah, that's what really makes this podcast

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Speaker 2: unique that through my career now being a forty four

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Speaker 2: year old guy, I've seen and been around so many

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Speaker 2: different sporting events, as so many different leagues. I do

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Speaker 2: feel comfortable betting on all of these different things. And

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Speaker 2: I try to give the only thing we haven't done

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Speaker 2: much on. And my brother brought this up. He's like,

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Speaker 2: didn't you bet Nascar a lot during the during COVID

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Speaker 2: And I was like, yeah, not a lot, but we

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Speaker 2: did bet it, and I haven't bet it much. I

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Speaker 2: do want to get back involved here. I'm not gonna

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Speaker 2: do it coming up today or I haven't really I

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Speaker 2: got to do more.

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Speaker 1: Homework on it.

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Speaker 2: I'm not really tapped in a NASCAR right now, but

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Speaker 2: I do want to get a couple of bets down

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Speaker 2: at some point as we get away from the NAA

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Speaker 2: tournament and we have some more options, trying to find

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Speaker 2: some more things. But that's what I love about the

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Speaker 2: Juice is that we have something for everyone and picks

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Speaker 2: in place for everyone. So we do have a lot

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Speaker 2: going here for the Masters I do have one pick

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Speaker 2: in hockey to get to and I've bet one NBA

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Speaker 2: pick to get into that. I've made bets I've made again.

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Speaker 2: I'm not doing player props today. Okay, I just can't

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Speaker 2: do it. I can't bring myself around to it. But

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Speaker 2: here's where I'm going today, all right. First bet, as

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Speaker 2: I mentioned John Rahm, he starts the day tied for

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Speaker 2: twenty first at even money. I got John Rahm up

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Speaker 2: against Bryson Day Shambau, who's tied for thirty first at

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Speaker 2: two over par head to head at the Westgate here

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Speaker 2: in Vegas. I got it at minus one thirty for

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Speaker 2: John ram to shoot a better score than Bryson Day

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Speaker 2: Shambeau on Sunday. Bryson's gone seventy six, sixty seven, seventy five.

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Speaker 2: I don't think he can play this golf tournament the

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Speaker 2: way he wants to. I don't think he's got a

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Speaker 2: lot of game for Augusta. He's an incredible golfer, and

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Speaker 2: he could put up a crazy score. He's got the

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Speaker 2: ability to hit these bomb pots and put it, put

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Speaker 2: the ball in, you know, in places that nobody else

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Speaker 2: can put them with his distance off the tee. But

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Speaker 2: that's not what this golf course setup is like at Augusta.

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Speaker 2: It's putting the ball in the right place. It's being

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Speaker 2: in the right spot, it's being on the right side

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Speaker 2: of the hole. And that's just not Bryson's game right now.

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Speaker 2: So it is John Rom's game. So Rom at seventy two,

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Speaker 2: seventy two, seventy two. If you shoots seventy two again

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Speaker 2: and we got seventy six, sixty seven, seventy five, if

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Speaker 2: Bryson shoots a seventy five again or seventy six, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna be good here for half a unit with John

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Speaker 2: Ram head to head against Bryson day Shambeau. I'm taking

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Speaker 2: Rom to have a big Sunday. All eyes for me

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Speaker 2: will be on John Rahm. I need him to get hot,

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Speaker 2: I need him to put up a low score. I

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Speaker 2: need him to be in the top ten, and I

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Speaker 2: need him to beat Bryson. Half a unit there, another

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Speaker 2: half a unit on him on the top ten even money.

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Speaker 1: So John Rahm is gonna make or break my masters.

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Speaker 2: Okay, that's gonna make or break my master's betting coming

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Speaker 2: up here, So cross our fingers. Hopefully John Rom plays

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Speaker 2: really well today and we got John Rahm against Bryson

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Speaker 2: Day Shambau for half a unit at mis one thirty.

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Speaker 2: All right, one NBA play I want to get into here.

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Speaker 2: It's the Pelicans and the Calves. So the Pelicans the

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Speaker 2: over is seven and one in the pelicans last eight

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Speaker 2: road games against the team with a losing record at home.

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Speaker 2: Pelicans the over six and one in the Pelicans last

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Speaker 2: seven games as a road favorite.

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Speaker 1: Which they are here against the Cavaliers.

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Speaker 2: The Cavaliers played yesterday and the Cavaliers won.

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Speaker 1: Uh did they one.

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Speaker 2: Against OKCU and I guess they played two days ago?

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Speaker 2: And I'm looking at the Calves here and I know

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Speaker 2: their numbers haven't been phenomenal, but they have been scoring.

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Speaker 2: They scored one nine against OKAC, one twenty five against

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Speaker 2: San Antonio. Yesterday against Philadelphia, the Pelicans only scored one

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Speaker 2: hundred and one points.

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Speaker 1: It was a really two days ago. It was a

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Speaker 1: really weird game.

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Speaker 2: I don't know what to make of that game. It's

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Speaker 2: not the Pelicans. In the game before that scored one

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Speaker 2: hundred eleven. They give up one hundred and thirty nine.

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Speaker 2: Against Atlanta they scored one hundred and seven, give up

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Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty three against Houston that'scored one hundred

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Speaker 2: and twenty two and gave up one hundred and fifteen.

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Speaker 2: It just feels to me like this is a game

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Speaker 2: where you have an up tempo, fast paced two pat

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Speaker 2: who fast paced teams, and I think we see the

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Speaker 2: overcoming here. The total is two twenty seven, and I

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Speaker 2: think and I think the over is gonna hit here.

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Speaker 2: I like the over between these two teams, and I

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Speaker 2: totally understand why people are looking at this and they're like, well,

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Speaker 2: you know, I'm not really jumping up and down here

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Speaker 2: for New Orleans because there's Zion. And then kind of

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Speaker 2: after that is where are they?

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Speaker 1: Who are they?

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Speaker 2: I'm a little bit perplexed by the way that Philadelphia

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Speaker 2: game went, and I'm gonna go ahead and bank on

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Speaker 2: it being an anomaly, and I'm gonna bank on it being,

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Speaker 2: you know, a game that's not gonna happen again here

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Speaker 2: on a Sunday, and we're gonna see more up tempo,

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Speaker 2: We're gonna see more scoring here between these two teams.

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Speaker 2: Because New Orleans to the over. It's thirty four and

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Speaker 2: eighteen this year. Cleveland's twenty three twenty eight and one.

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Speaker 2: And but the over for the last four games for

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Speaker 2: Cleveland has hit. The over is only hit once in

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Speaker 2: the last three games for New Orleans. That's not typical.

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Speaker 2: And now we have a two twenty seven, which is

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Speaker 2: a pretty low number considering they've had two thirty one,

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Speaker 2: they've had two thirty seven, they have two forty two.

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Speaker 2: We're going over Cleveland and New Orleans here to twenty

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Speaker 2: seven over for a half a unit. This is my bet,

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Speaker 2: my pick for my brother Collins. So if my brother

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Speaker 2: Colin gets this right, we'll tip my cap. He said, Hey,

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Speaker 2: what about New Orleans and Cleveland over Given the fact

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Speaker 2: that that game against Philadelphia was so weird, Cleveland's got

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Speaker 2: to I mean, New Orleans got to bounce back, you

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Speaker 2: would think offensively right and score more. And Cleveland don't

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Speaker 2: really play defense, but they can score at times. Over

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Speaker 2: two twenty seven miss one ten for Cleveland and New

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Speaker 2: Orleans in one hockey play. And we're going back to

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Speaker 2: the old standby Buffalo in the over. Here go again

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Speaker 2: for another bet against the Sabers. The Philadelphia Flyers are

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Speaker 2: hosting the Buffalo Sabers. Here the Flyers. The over is

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Speaker 2: is five and zero in the last five games. Is

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Speaker 2: a home favorite, which they are a monster minus two

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Speaker 2: to forty favorite against Buffalo today. The over is thirteen

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Speaker 2: and three in the Flyers last sixteen games as a favorite.

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Speaker 2: In general here, the over is twenty four nine and

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Speaker 2: two over the last thirty five meetings in Philadelphia between

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Speaker 2: these two teams, and the over in general is forty

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Speaker 2: one twenty and one over the last sixty two meetings.

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Speaker 1: The total is five and a half.

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Speaker 2: We're going early morning, early early afternoon start time in

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia over for Buffalo in Philadelphia. I know there are

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Speaker 2: some numbers that look at the kind of look at

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Speaker 2: the the underlimit. But the over is seven and three

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Speaker 2: in the Sabers last ten road games, okay, and the

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Speaker 2: over is five and two in the Sabers last seven games. Overall,

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Speaker 2: we're going over five and a half for Buffalo in Philadelphia.

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Speaker 2: Can shop around a little bit and try to find

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Speaker 2: the best number there for you with that one. But

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Speaker 2: I from a juice perspective, but pretty much at the

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Speaker 2: time of taping here, pretty much everybody is at five

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Speaker 2: and a half here, and my guess is that the

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Speaker 2: number is gonna climb a little bit here as the

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Speaker 2: day goes, because I can't see. I'm shocked as to

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Speaker 2: why the numbers five.

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Speaker 1: And a half between these two teams.

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Speaker 2: So we're going over. Maybe the early start time is

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Speaker 2: scaring people away. Two o'clock Eastern time start time. Buffalo

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Speaker 2: and Philadelphia over five and a half at mine one ten. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so are three bets going today, John ram over Bryson

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Speaker 2: Day Schambeau from minus one thirty and a half a unit.

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Speaker 2: We're going over to twenty seven Cavaliers and the Pelicans,

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Speaker 2: and we're going over five and a half goals, Sabers

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Speaker 2: in Philadelphia, the Buffalo and Philadelphia Sabers and Flyers coming

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Speaker 2: up today in the NHL. All right, a little bit

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Speaker 2: of lighter day. Three bets for us. No player props

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Speaker 2: are coming in the Discord channel. Okay, I'm gonna pump

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Speaker 2: the brakes for a while. When I do go back

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Speaker 2: to betting NBA player props, they're gonna go. We're going

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Speaker 2: back to a quarter unit, all right. I'm just we

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Speaker 2: pushed our a little bit, and this is what happens

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Speaker 2: when you're hot, You ride that hot hand and then

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Speaker 2: you get stuck. I don't like betting half units for

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Speaker 2: that reason, because props are so volatile, they're just so

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Speaker 2: incredibly and I held off.

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Speaker 1: I held off.

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Speaker 2: I said I'll do it for a week. I did

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Speaker 2: it for a week and I paid the price. So

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Speaker 2: not interested in doing it right now. Twenty nine to twelve.

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Speaker 2: On our NBA player props, we're going back to a

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Speaker 2: quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: Coming up.

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Speaker 2: After a couple of days off here, NBA player prop

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Speaker 2: will return, I don't know, Tuesday or Wednesday of next week.

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Speaker 2: Of this week, we will go back to the NBA

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Speaker 2: player props for right now. No NBA player props today

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Speaker 2: in the Discord channel. We're just gonna sit back, watch

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Speaker 2: the Masters, enjoy it, and hope that John Rohm plays

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Speaker 2: his ass off. Coming up today here for the final

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Speaker 2: round of the Masters. My name is Matt Parolt. You

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Speaker 2: can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every

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Speaker 2: morning it's the Daily Juice podcast right here on Bettingpros

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Speaker 2: dot Com, brought to you by bet i'mgm M