WEBVTT - Ceasefire or Consequences

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<v Speaker 1>Thanks to all of you for being with us.

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<v Speaker 2>Right down our toll free telephone number if you want

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<v Speaker 2>to be a part of the program.

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<v Speaker 1>Eight hundred and nine point one. Sean.

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<v Speaker 2>Now, I've got a lot to get to and there's

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<v Speaker 2>so much misinformation, there's so much propaganda, there's so much

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<v Speaker 2>lying that goes on, and there's so many groups of

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<v Speaker 2>people that and we'll get into this in detail about

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<v Speaker 2>Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut. I mean, just just praying

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<v Speaker 2>for the IRGC to be more successful than our own

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<v Speaker 2>country and for the people of Iran. It's it's kind

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<v Speaker 2>of disgusting and sickening, and there's just a I mean

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<v Speaker 2>a complete lack of understanding. None of what the President

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<v Speaker 2>has been able to pull off, as historic of military

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<v Speaker 2>victory as this is bed and what Israel and the

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<v Speaker 2>US have pulled off is just never going to be

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<v Speaker 2>enough for people. And they don't understand nuanced, they don't

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<v Speaker 2>understand that there are many, many things that go into

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<v Speaker 2>to a decision such as wiping out the infrastructure of Iran,

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<v Speaker 2>wiping out carg Island. I don't often talk about my

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<v Speaker 2>conversations with the President, but I had one last night

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<v Speaker 2>and it was detailed nothing that he would not be

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<v Speaker 2>allowed to tell me. And we talked at length about

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<v Speaker 2>that and about a number of other things. I don't

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<v Speaker 2>usually talk about it when I talked to the president,

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<v Speaker 2>do I, Linda, you can verify this fact? And I

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<v Speaker 2>don't for a reason, but you know I have sources

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<v Speaker 2>and information now what I knew from other sources that

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<v Speaker 2>when the President announced that there's going to be a

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<v Speaker 2>slight extension of this UH ceasefire, I came on the

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<v Speaker 2>air on TV last night gave all the details because

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<v Speaker 2>I needed time after the radio program to get the details.

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<v Speaker 2>And I was told to no one's terms that it

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<v Speaker 2>was going to be very short lived and that the

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<v Speaker 2>President was really doing it for two very specific reasons.

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<v Speaker 2>And I would add a third actually, but one is

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<v Speaker 2>the Prime Minister of Pakistan pretty much was begging him

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<v Speaker 2>to give them more time and explain to the President

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<v Speaker 2>that they don't have regular communication ability that would that

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<v Speaker 2>would allow for the people that had been negotiating previously

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<v Speaker 2>in Islama Pod to be communicating with the Iranian Revolutionary

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<v Speaker 2>Guard Corps because they can't get on a phone. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>think about this. It may sound stupid, but it's true.

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<v Speaker 2>It's not like any one of these these leaders at

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<v Speaker 2>this point, or so called leaders, or anybody in a

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<v Speaker 2>position of power in Iran is going to be too

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<v Speaker 2>keen on getting on a phone call knowing the intercept

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<v Speaker 2>capability of the US and wanting to have a discussion

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<v Speaker 2>about you know what they can agree and disagree on

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<v Speaker 2>regarding a deal or potential deal with the US. It's

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<v Speaker 2>not something that they could pull off that easily. That's

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<v Speaker 2>why there's been such confusion. And the President also took

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<v Speaker 2>into account, I think, as evidenced by before Israel struck

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<v Speaker 2>after fifty days, they had an opportunity to come up

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<v Speaker 2>with a peace deal.

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<v Speaker 1>They didn't.

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<v Speaker 2>Day fifty one, the bombing began even before midnight hammer.

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<v Speaker 2>The President offered the Iranians a path to peace. They

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<v Speaker 2>chose not to take it then either and in this

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<v Speaker 2>specific case epic fury. The President again offered the Iranians

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<v Speaker 2>an opportunity to come to the table, come to a

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<v Speaker 2>peace agreement. And when the President repeats before every one

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<v Speaker 2>of these these conflicts begins that he wants peace, he

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<v Speaker 2>wants piece, he wants peace. He's not saying it for

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<v Speaker 2>the sake of just being heard that is his preferable choice.

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<v Speaker 2>And Democrats, the liberal media mob, the isolationists, lunatics that

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<v Speaker 2>would forever burden your children and grandchildren with a nuclear

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<v Speaker 2>armed Iran because they're just dumb and ignorant and know

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<v Speaker 2>nothing about history, although they claim some of them to

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<v Speaker 2>be great historians, which I find somewhat amusing, and they

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<v Speaker 2>would put the world at risk and they will have

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<v Speaker 2>learned nothing from the last century.

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<v Speaker 1>But okay, let people be stupid.

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<v Speaker 2>I I have absolutely no inclination to listen to stupid

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<v Speaker 2>and this president he had he's the person that ultimately

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<v Speaker 2>makes the decision based on every bit of intelligence information

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<v Speaker 2>available to him and what's going on on the ground,

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<v Speaker 2>what is negotiators of telling him. And he also is

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<v Speaker 2>somebody that reaches out and tries to get a wide

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<v Speaker 2>variety of opinions from a lot of different people. This

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<v Speaker 2>is what the President said to me last night, and

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<v Speaker 2>it was as I expected. It was not a shock

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<v Speaker 2>to me that he said this. He said, Sean, he goes,

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<v Speaker 2>I can wipe this place out. I said, I know

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<v Speaker 2>in fifteen minutes. He goes, no, I could do it

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<v Speaker 2>in five. That's he actually said those words to me.

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<v Speaker 2>I can he goes, really don't want to, because if

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<v Speaker 2>we end up going down that road, it's not just

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<v Speaker 2>going to be the IRGC, It's not just going to

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<v Speaker 2>be the guys in suits that would prefer a negotiated settlement,

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<v Speaker 2>or seemingly prefer I'm not sure if they're all coordinating

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<v Speaker 2>or not. Well well know soon enough, and he has

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<v Speaker 2>that option on the table, and it's a very easy option.

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<v Speaker 2>And as I was explaining yesterday, it probably if you

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<v Speaker 2>want to prevent the potential for the Iranians to ever

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<v Speaker 2>reconstitute or rebuild their weapons capability, be it nuclear, ballistics,

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<v Speaker 2>air defense systems, probably the better option in terms of

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<v Speaker 2>preventing that fomenting terror in the region would be to

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<v Speaker 2>just wipe them out, obliterate them. But with that comes

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<v Speaker 2>a great cost to the ninety plus million Iranian people

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<v Speaker 2>that desperately have been that have been living in tyranny

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<v Speaker 2>and oppression, that want to get out from under it

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<v Speaker 2>and want to regain their once great culture. The Persian

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<v Speaker 2>culture was a great culture. It has a rich history

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<v Speaker 2>of contributions to humankind, and that is also a factor

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<v Speaker 2>in the President's mind. The president, democrats and radical leftists,

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<v Speaker 2>what have you believe, oh, well, you know, Taco president,

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<v Speaker 2>and in spite of all of the action he's taken,

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<v Speaker 2>they would still make that ridiculous claim. Or they try

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<v Speaker 2>to put him in a box and say, well, if

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<v Speaker 2>he hits infrastructure, bridges and other places, carg Island and

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<v Speaker 2>those are war crimes, so he can't win for losing

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<v Speaker 2>when they're all legitimate military targets that have been used

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<v Speaker 2>historically because they have dual purpose use, which means that

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<v Speaker 2>the military needs the oil. Therefore, he would be well

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<v Speaker 2>within his rights to do it. They transport their troops

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<v Speaker 2>over bridges, he'd be within his rights to do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Other power infrastructure that could be used to constitute a

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<v Speaker 2>counterattack against US, all legitimate military targets. So that's what

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<v Speaker 2>their point is. Now, yesterday we reported on this program

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<v Speaker 2>that the President put out a truth social post requesting

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<v Speaker 2>that the Iranians, if they want to show good faith,

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<v Speaker 2>that they can release and stop the execution of these

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<v Speaker 2>eight Iranian women, some of them as young as sixteen.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, they have the whole lives ahead of them.

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<v Speaker 2>Their major crime is they're protesting against the tyrannical regime

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<v Speaker 2>that oppresses women, and so the President just announced about

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<v Speaker 2>an hour or so ago in a truth social post

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<v Speaker 2>that very good news. I've just been informed the eight

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<v Speaker 2>women protesters who are going to be executed tonight in

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<v Speaker 2>Iran will no longer be killed. Four will be released immediately,

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<v Speaker 2>four will be sentenced to one month in prison. I

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<v Speaker 2>appreciate that Iran that's leaders respect my request as President

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<v Speaker 2>of the United States and terminated the planned execution. I

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<v Speaker 2>know he'll never get credit for standing up for women,

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<v Speaker 2>Willy Linda, I don't think I've got credit.

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<v Speaker 1>For that definitely. Now. Now, I don't know if this

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<v Speaker 1>is going to hold.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, there there is this this power struggle that

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<v Speaker 2>is ongoing within the country. I don't know if it's

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<v Speaker 2>the hardline revolutionary guard, the guys with the guns that

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<v Speaker 2>now run the entire government, or if the Prime Minister

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<v Speaker 2>of Pakistan is correct in his hope and optimism that

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<v Speaker 2>the two sides. Now, as it was explained for me

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<v Speaker 2>from other sources now from the President, is that the

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<v Speaker 2>plan moving forward would be that they come up with

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<v Speaker 2>their united response to the President's proposal. That's it, and

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<v Speaker 2>that's what we're waiting for now. The White House today

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<v Speaker 2>was very very clear that they are giving between three

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<v Speaker 2>and five days for this to happen. After that, all

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<v Speaker 2>bets will be off. And as the President was saying

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<v Speaker 2>to me, those bets will be off. That means that

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<v Speaker 2>the President can you know, the President will will will

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<v Speaker 2>follow through on what he's been threatening to do.

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<v Speaker 1>That he's been hesitant to do.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, based on the fact that the government Iran

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<v Speaker 2>is seriously fractured, not expectedly unexpectedly so, and upon the

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<v Speaker 2>request of the Field Marshal and Prime Minister of Pakistan,

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<v Speaker 2>we have been asked to hold our attack on the

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<v Speaker 2>country of Iran until such time as their leaders and

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<v Speaker 2>representatives can come up with a unified attack on the

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<v Speaker 2>country of Iran.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm sorry.

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<v Speaker 2>I have therefore directed our military to continue the blockade

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<v Speaker 2>and in all other respects remain ready and able, and

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<v Speaker 2>therefore extend the ceasefire until such time and proposals admitted

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<v Speaker 2>so the blockade continues. The options all on the table.

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<v Speaker 2>The president, you know, is this, This is going to

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<v Speaker 2>be resolved one way or the other in short time.

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<v Speaker 2>It's I know I've been saying it, but it is

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<v Speaker 2>really true. It's going to be the easy way, It's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be the hard way, and there's not going

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<v Speaker 2>to be any in between here in terms of what

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<v Speaker 2>they do now. I understand the argument you don't want

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<v Speaker 2>a delay victory, but I don't think three to five

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<v Speaker 2>days is that big a delay. And the president is

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<v Speaker 2>he taking a risk for peace sake?

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah?

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<v Speaker 2>Is he putting off the inevitable? Maybe that I can't

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<v Speaker 2>I don't have a crystal ball. I can't tell you,

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<v Speaker 2>but the deadline now has been set. He has access

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<v Speaker 2>to the intelligence that he can't share things that we

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<v Speaker 2>don't know. And it doesn't mean he was wrong to

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<v Speaker 2>delay a return to active operations that is coming in

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<v Speaker 2>short order. I don't think there'll be another delay. So

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<v Speaker 2>if the Pakistani leaders, who have been trying very hard

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<v Speaker 2>and putting their best foot forward, are communicating to the

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<v Speaker 2>President that they are having a hard time, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>internally with varying factions, and that we need to give

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<v Speaker 2>them time to even communicate amongst themselves, our goal will

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<v Speaker 2>remain clear. We will end the RAN's nuclear ambition permanently.

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<v Speaker 2>We will eviscerate their conventional weapons. We've already done so.

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<v Speaker 2>We've taken out their navy, their air defense systems, and

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<v Speaker 2>they will no longer be able to bully their neighbors

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<v Speaker 2>and the straight of hor moves will remain open and completely.

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<v Speaker 2>You know, it's sort of like the president. And this

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<v Speaker 2>is what I think he was saying to me last night.

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<v Speaker 2>How I interpret it, He can go full Sherman. You

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<v Speaker 2>have you heard the saying, Linda, you've heard that. Have

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<v Speaker 2>you ever heard go full Sherman? In other words, not

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<v Speaker 2>a colloquial, you know expression. It means like total war,

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<v Speaker 2>you go hard, deepen the paint, use whatever analogy you want.

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<v Speaker 2>A strategy of overwhelming, unrelenting force that will target enemy armies,

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<v Speaker 2>economic infrastructure resources, civilian will to fight and sustain it.

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<v Speaker 2>And it draws directly from the Union General Sherman and

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<v Speaker 2>his campaign in the Civil War, especially his famous March

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<v Speaker 2>to the Sea. And at that point, after capturing Atlanta,

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<v Speaker 2>Sherman cut loose from his supply lines, led sixty thousand

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<v Speaker 2>troops on a two hundred and eighty five miles scorched

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<v Speaker 2>earth march across Georgia to Savannah and later Northwood, destroying railroads, bridges, factories,

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<v Speaker 2>telegraph lines, crippling Confederate logistics, and you know, avoided major

0:12:23.760 --> 0:12:27.360
<v Speaker 2>battles with Confederate forces when possible, instead focusing on breaking

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<v Speaker 2>the South's ability to desire to continue the war. That

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<v Speaker 2>is what it means, and that's what the President is communicating,

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<v Speaker 2>without going into the historic precedence behind his thinking. President

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<v Speaker 2>is far smarter than those people that have no interest

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<v Speaker 2>in understanding him, even though he's been on the world

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<v Speaker 2>stage for eleven years. And the President did truth out

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<v Speaker 2>to Iranian leaders who will soon be in negotiations with

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<v Speaker 2>my representatives. I greatly appreciate the release of these women.

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<v Speaker 2>Now they say they're going to release the women, we'll

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<v Speaker 2>learn lot and see if he does this, see if

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<v Speaker 2>they do this. Rather, we will learn a lot, will

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<v Speaker 2>learn a lot very very quickly. And I think the

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<v Speaker 2>President I frankly applaud his decision. I'm not in a

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<v Speaker 2>rush to destroy this country, knowing it's going to impact

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<v Speaker 2>ninety million people. However, when measured against the ability of

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<v Speaker 2>the Iranians to foam and terror, to also have a

0:13:26.600 --> 0:13:31.640
<v Speaker 2>nuclear weapon, coupled with their very very ugly twisted, sick ideology,

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.320
<v Speaker 2>is just not an option for me. And by the way,

0:13:35.480 --> 0:13:38.560
<v Speaker 2>in spite of oh the lowest polls ever, no President

0:13:38.640 --> 0:13:42.600
<v Speaker 2>Trump's approval rating hovering in the mid to upper forties

0:13:42.640 --> 0:13:45.760
<v Speaker 2>according to the actual polsters that know how to pull him.

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:50.880
<v Speaker 2>I mean it is the media is so abusively biased

0:13:50.960 --> 0:13:54.680
<v Speaker 2>and corrupt. Anyway, the White House did confirm the ceasefires

0:13:54.720 --> 0:13:58.720
<v Speaker 2>three to five days, and we'll see what happens and

0:13:58.760 --> 0:14:03.520
<v Speaker 2>see if the Arrangeians within themselves can somehow come to

0:14:03.559 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 2>an agreement. They did after Operation Midnight Hammer, remember that conflict.

0:14:09.559 --> 0:14:13.520
<v Speaker 2>They ended that after twelve days. They wanted out. And

0:14:13.559 --> 0:14:16.760
<v Speaker 2>if they're not able to assess how bad this is

0:14:16.800 --> 0:14:18.640
<v Speaker 2>going to be, then that's going to be on them.

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:24.320
<v Speaker 2>Whatever suffering the Iranian people go through will be on

0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 2>them too. All right, twenty five now till the top

0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 2>of the hour, eight hundred and nine foot one, Sean,

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 2>if you want to be a part of the program,

0:14:33.920 --> 0:14:35.680
<v Speaker 2>we have so much to get to today. I got

0:14:35.680 --> 0:14:40.120
<v Speaker 2>so much to tell you. Anyway, I want to tell

0:14:40.120 --> 0:14:42.840
<v Speaker 2>you too. The one thing that's also factoring into the

0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:48.360
<v Speaker 2>President's decision here, and he telegraphed in great detail last

0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:52.040
<v Speaker 2>night just before I went on the air, and it

0:14:52.080 --> 0:14:55.120
<v Speaker 2>was and it was reiterated during this brief conversation I

0:14:55.160 --> 0:14:58.360
<v Speaker 2>had with him yesterday. It was actually fairly extended and

0:14:58.680 --> 0:15:01.720
<v Speaker 2>he said in and as he was saying, I can.

0:15:01.960 --> 0:15:04.960
<v Speaker 2>I can wipe out this infrastructure in no time at all.

0:15:05.040 --> 0:15:08.960
<v Speaker 2>It's an easy decision to make in terms of the military,

0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:13.440
<v Speaker 2>the military aspects of it. Here's where there was a

0:15:13.440 --> 0:15:15.920
<v Speaker 2>pretty good analysis I thought from the New York Post

0:15:16.000 --> 0:15:20.200
<v Speaker 2>today because the ceasefire, though extended, you know, could end.

0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:23.080
<v Speaker 2>It's going to end in three to five days. Iran

0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.960
<v Speaker 2>has fired on tankers. They have played you know, fast

0:15:27.000 --> 0:15:30.160
<v Speaker 2>and loose with the straight of horn moves. Uh. The

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:35.520
<v Speaker 2>Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, the IRGC, not around civilian government,

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:38.200
<v Speaker 2>is calling the shots. They have the guns. The guys

0:15:38.200 --> 0:15:40.840
<v Speaker 2>in suits need to align with the guys who guns,

0:15:40.840 --> 0:15:42.960
<v Speaker 2>and they need to come to an agreement and what's

0:15:43.000 --> 0:15:45.600
<v Speaker 2>acceptable not acceptable, and then Donald Trump will see if

0:15:45.600 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 2>you can, if there is a deal to be made here.

0:15:49.320 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 2>And you know, and this is what Scott Besset was

0:15:51.840 --> 0:15:54.240
<v Speaker 2>trying to say in a truth post that he put

0:15:54.240 --> 0:15:58.360
<v Speaker 2>out yesterday, that the Iranians now they they are they

0:15:58.440 --> 0:16:01.720
<v Speaker 2>have they're at maximum capacity in terms of storing their energy,

0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:04.960
<v Speaker 2>their oil that they have, which means that their wells

0:16:05.000 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 2>are going to have to be shut down, which in

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:10.040
<v Speaker 2>and of itself is a monumental task if you ask

0:16:10.080 --> 0:16:13.440
<v Speaker 2>any landman or anybody that knows anything about the oil industry.

0:16:14.280 --> 0:16:19.120
<v Speaker 2>And as one senior US official confirmed this week, what

0:16:19.240 --> 0:16:22.800
<v Speaker 2>the numbers have shown all along, and the reason the

0:16:22.800 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 2>President has known this from the beginning, is that Iran

0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:33.400
<v Speaker 2>has no money. They are broke. They have a oil economy.

0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:37.960
<v Speaker 2>It is ninety percent of their economy. They're broke. We

0:16:38.040 --> 0:16:42.640
<v Speaker 2>know it, they know we know it. And as the

0:16:42.680 --> 0:16:44.920
<v Speaker 2>New York Post is analyzing it, which is different than

0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:49.160
<v Speaker 2>what I thought about until I read it, if that's true,

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:53.000
<v Speaker 2>they're believing a deal is closer than the chaos that

0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:58.160
<v Speaker 2>we're hearing about hour by hour is suggesting. But only

0:16:58.200 --> 0:17:00.840
<v Speaker 2>if Washington is using the right instruments. Then they go

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 2>into more specific analysis to say in the air campaign

0:17:05.400 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 2>produced real results.

0:17:07.040 --> 0:17:07.879
<v Speaker 1>I mean, think about this.

0:17:08.040 --> 0:17:12.240
<v Speaker 2>If what the Pakistani Prime Minister is saying to the

0:17:12.280 --> 0:17:15.879
<v Speaker 2>President is that the IRGC and the guys that have

0:17:15.880 --> 0:17:19.439
<v Speaker 2>been negotiating in Islamabad have a hard time reaching and

0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:22.040
<v Speaker 2>communicating with each other because none of them dare pick

0:17:22.119 --> 0:17:25.160
<v Speaker 2>up a phone for fear that they're going to be

0:17:25.560 --> 0:17:28.680
<v Speaker 2>instantaneously killed by either Israel.

0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:29.000
<v Speaker 1>Or the US.

0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:33.080
<v Speaker 2>That shows you the magnitude of fear that we have

0:17:33.200 --> 0:17:37.840
<v Speaker 2>instilled in whatever third or fourth or fifth yeer leadership

0:17:37.840 --> 0:17:43.680
<v Speaker 2>that remains. And Iran's nuclear infrastructure, we know, was severely damaged,

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:48.160
<v Speaker 2>the Navy destroyed, their air defense systems destroyed. We have

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:51.440
<v Speaker 2>greatly reduced any capacity that they would have to even

0:17:51.520 --> 0:17:54.240
<v Speaker 2>launch a ballistic missile, never mind their drone attacks on

0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:58.520
<v Speaker 2>top of it. So those are all real significant gains.

0:17:58.560 --> 0:18:01.239
<v Speaker 2>They all know that that is the truth, although they

0:18:01.320 --> 0:18:05.159
<v Speaker 2>might posture differently in public. And remember a lot of

0:18:05.200 --> 0:18:09.080
<v Speaker 2>this is being put out there for the audience of

0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:13.399
<v Speaker 2>the Iranian people as propaganda purposes and nothing else. But

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:19.000
<v Speaker 2>this naval blockade announced by the president is cutting off

0:18:19.119 --> 0:18:23.240
<v Speaker 2>ninety percent of Iran sea born trade. That means the

0:18:23.280 --> 0:18:27.040
<v Speaker 2>blockade has been a success, and the Iranians have tried

0:18:27.080 --> 0:18:30.879
<v Speaker 2>to disrupt it. The Iranians have tried to create chaos.

0:18:30.920 --> 0:18:33.280
<v Speaker 2>The Iranians are acting as though that they think that

0:18:33.320 --> 0:18:36.639
<v Speaker 2>they can control eventually the straight horn moves. But the

0:18:36.680 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 2>one country that's going to need the straight of hor

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:41.480
<v Speaker 2>moves the most is going to be the Iran more

0:18:41.520 --> 0:18:43.720
<v Speaker 2>than any other ones. The world is already looking for

0:18:43.800 --> 0:18:48.000
<v Speaker 2>alternative roots and they're finding them in terms of safe

0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 2>passage for oil out of the Middle East. You know,

0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:54.280
<v Speaker 2>now if you look at carg Island, they handle ninety

0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:58.240
<v Speaker 2>percent of Iran's crude exports ninety percent. That's one point

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:02.400
<v Speaker 2>five million barrels of oil a day. You know that

0:19:02.400 --> 0:19:06.119
<v Speaker 2>that's two hundred million dollars in revenue that they're not

0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:08.920
<v Speaker 2>getting in on any given day just from that one

0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:14.000
<v Speaker 2>source of revenue alone. Their defense budget channels over half

0:19:14.000 --> 0:19:18.000
<v Speaker 2>of those oil revenues go straight to the military, with

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:22.160
<v Speaker 2>the IRGC taking the largest cut that money. You know,

0:19:22.640 --> 0:19:26.000
<v Speaker 2>at the time they had one hundred and ninety thousand personnel.

0:19:26.160 --> 0:19:28.399
<v Speaker 2>We estimate now that the down to about one hundred

0:19:28.400 --> 0:19:32.359
<v Speaker 2>and thirty thousand. They've lost about sixty thousand IRGC troops.

0:19:32.400 --> 0:19:35.480
<v Speaker 2>The blockade, which is different and separate from the CUTS

0:19:35.560 --> 0:19:39.240
<v Speaker 2>Forces which is their real military, and the CUDS forces

0:19:39.320 --> 0:19:43.040
<v Speaker 2>while larger, you know, when nobody's really heard peep out

0:19:43.040 --> 0:19:45.000
<v Speaker 2>of out of where they stand on all of this,

0:19:45.119 --> 0:19:49.920
<v Speaker 2>but the blockade squeezes Iran's imports and has made outbound

0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:52.600
<v Speaker 2>shipments far risk. Here that's where the five hundred million

0:19:52.640 --> 0:19:55.080
<v Speaker 2>dollar four hundred to five hundred million dollar figure comes

0:19:55.080 --> 0:19:59.480
<v Speaker 2>from and it doesn't even touch carg islands loading terminals,

0:19:59.480 --> 0:20:04.399
<v Speaker 2>their story tanks, their pipelines connecting the island to the mainland. Now,

0:20:04.760 --> 0:20:09.920
<v Speaker 2>Washington has struck Carg's weapons, it has not struck Carg's

0:20:09.920 --> 0:20:15.119
<v Speaker 2>wallet yet, it's not the same target. If you force

0:20:15.359 --> 0:20:19.600
<v Speaker 2>ran and again this is the operation, the military operation,

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.399
<v Speaker 2>that would be a five minute operation for President Trump

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:29.240
<v Speaker 2>and our military if Washington strikes cargs wallet and they

0:20:29.320 --> 0:20:33.760
<v Speaker 2>forced Iran to shut down production, and which now is

0:20:33.800 --> 0:20:36.720
<v Speaker 2>even happening on its own because the blockade has been

0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:42.320
<v Speaker 2>so successful to lack the storage of it, that's going

0:20:42.400 --> 0:20:48.760
<v Speaker 2>to risk long term reservoir damage including you know, potential

0:20:48.840 --> 0:20:54.719
<v Speaker 2>permanent loss and what's called water coning and formation compaction

0:20:55.480 --> 0:20:59.840
<v Speaker 2>effects that could immediately and permanently reduce future output and

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:04.120
<v Speaker 2>cash flow. Now, the second lifeline is floating, the floating

0:21:04.200 --> 0:21:07.960
<v Speaker 2>reserve of two hundred million barrels of Iranian crude that

0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:11.720
<v Speaker 2>sits on tankers in and around you know, different areas

0:21:12.040 --> 0:21:15.040
<v Speaker 2>in the Strait of Hormus and nearby areas, you know,

0:21:15.440 --> 0:21:19.520
<v Speaker 2>and five months of exports supply that the IRGC stockpile

0:21:19.600 --> 0:21:24.000
<v Speaker 2>before the war as a financial cushion. That's fine, and dandy.

0:21:24.040 --> 0:21:25.679
<v Speaker 2>But you know, even if they had a couple of

0:21:25.720 --> 0:21:28.480
<v Speaker 2>months worth, that's still not going to be enough to

0:21:28.520 --> 0:21:31.040
<v Speaker 2>get them out of the economic stranglehold they're now in

0:21:31.200 --> 0:21:35.200
<v Speaker 2>right at this moment, and the blockade and planned boardings

0:21:35.240 --> 0:21:39.200
<v Speaker 2>do not fully neutralize this. As long as that reserve exists,

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 2>the IRGC can sustain their current position. How long they

0:21:43.040 --> 0:21:46.320
<v Speaker 2>can do it at most a month two months, not

0:21:46.400 --> 0:21:50.080
<v Speaker 2>going to go much longer than that. So a targeted

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:53.919
<v Speaker 2>strike on CARGS loading equipment, their trucks, they're pumps, the manifolds,

0:21:53.920 --> 0:21:57.560
<v Speaker 2>the loading arms that move oil from storage onto tankers.

0:21:57.840 --> 0:22:02.240
<v Speaker 2>Under normal conditions, the equipment can be repaired fairly, fairly expeditiously.

0:22:02.920 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 2>Under sanctions and spare parts not being available, the timeline

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:12.240
<v Speaker 2>now stretches into months, if not years, over time, depending

0:22:12.240 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 2>on how bad the damage is. So these facilities directly

0:22:16.160 --> 0:22:19.960
<v Speaker 2>fund the IRGC military operations. And I'm going to tell

0:22:19.960 --> 0:22:22.800
<v Speaker 2>you something, as loyal as these people may seem, and

0:22:22.800 --> 0:22:25.639
<v Speaker 2>as extreme as they may seem, once it impacts their life,

0:22:26.320 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 2>because remember usually I r c GC members and cuts forces,

0:22:32.440 --> 0:22:35.200
<v Speaker 2>they were among the highest paid inside Iran. They live

0:22:35.280 --> 0:22:38.520
<v Speaker 2>the wealthiest lifestyle that this this oil money does not

0:22:38.720 --> 0:22:42.560
<v Speaker 2>flow to the people of Iran, although hopefully the idea

0:22:42.640 --> 0:22:46.120
<v Speaker 2>would be that if they got you know, a different

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 2>form of government and got away from this you know,

0:22:48.680 --> 0:22:52.760
<v Speaker 2>radical Islamic theocracy that has been oppressing its people, that

0:22:52.760 --> 0:22:53.679
<v Speaker 2>that would all change.

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:54.919
<v Speaker 1>Anyway.

0:22:54.960 --> 0:22:58.800
<v Speaker 2>The other, the other less conventional but potentially powerful step

0:22:58.800 --> 0:23:03.399
<v Speaker 2>would be Washington could designate the entire floating reserve under

0:23:03.800 --> 0:23:07.680
<v Speaker 2>IRGC sanctions and extend the blockade intercept authority to cover

0:23:07.720 --> 0:23:12.600
<v Speaker 2>any tank or attempting delivery and offer China a structured

0:23:12.920 --> 0:23:17.000
<v Speaker 2>escro arrangement and proceeds for Marianian crewde purchases would be

0:23:17.040 --> 0:23:22.320
<v Speaker 2>held in a neutral account pending verified IRGC compliance. I mean,

0:23:22.359 --> 0:23:25.680
<v Speaker 2>there's there's a lot of ways that you can structure

0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:28.679
<v Speaker 2>a deal where it's a trust but verified deal, and

0:23:28.760 --> 0:23:30.680
<v Speaker 2>not one where they give you their word and then

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:32.840
<v Speaker 2>five weeks later you know, we're back where we were.

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:37.400
<v Speaker 2>But anyway, there's another piece that came out to and

0:23:37.640 --> 0:23:40.400
<v Speaker 2>I guess this goes directly to the heart of all

0:23:40.480 --> 0:23:43.359
<v Speaker 2>of the naysayers, the radical left in this country that

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:46.680
<v Speaker 2>wants Trump to fail, the Democrats that have been saying

0:23:46.720 --> 0:23:49.359
<v Speaker 2>from day one the president has failed. Meanwhile, It's one

0:23:49.400 --> 0:23:54.359
<v Speaker 2>of the most successful military efforts in history, and we

0:23:54.440 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 2>did so with great precision, avoiding as much you know,

0:23:57.840 --> 0:24:01.520
<v Speaker 2>collateral damage as possible, targeting mill military targets, not targeting

0:24:02.040 --> 0:24:04.920
<v Speaker 2>civilians the way the Iranians have been targeting civilians in

0:24:05.000 --> 0:24:08.439
<v Speaker 2>Gulf States and obviously in Israel and Tel Aviv with

0:24:08.520 --> 0:24:13.280
<v Speaker 2>their cluster bombs. But when Operation Epic Fury began Washington's

0:24:13.320 --> 0:24:16.000
<v Speaker 2>class of foreign policy experts, they were warning that it

0:24:16.040 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 2>would lead to several unintended, alarmingly negative secondary consequences. And

0:24:20.840 --> 0:24:25.879
<v Speaker 2>the consensus among the quote intellectual hate Trump, elitists on

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:29.080
<v Speaker 2>the left and the Democratic Party, and then the isolation

0:24:29.200 --> 0:24:32.959
<v Speaker 2>as loudmouths that haven't learned a single lesson from history.

0:24:33.840 --> 0:24:36.920
<v Speaker 2>But anyway, it was that the administration was not doing

0:24:37.000 --> 0:24:40.359
<v Speaker 2>the long term planning to prevent these bad outcomes. I

0:24:40.400 --> 0:24:45.119
<v Speaker 2>can tell you firsthand every single thing that they have

0:24:45.320 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 2>dealt with was thought about and planned for ahead of time,

0:24:49.000 --> 0:24:52.919
<v Speaker 2>including the mining of the Strato Hormuz. That was not

0:24:53.119 --> 0:24:57.240
<v Speaker 2>a shock to our military or to the president. It

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:00.639
<v Speaker 2>was something we thought was likely when we into this,

0:25:01.240 --> 0:25:04.680
<v Speaker 2>knowing it would complicate things, but not preventing the president

0:25:04.720 --> 0:25:06.959
<v Speaker 2>from achieving his ultimate goal, which is to have an

0:25:08.280 --> 0:25:10.240
<v Speaker 2>Iram that doesn't have nuclear weapons.

0:25:11.240 --> 0:25:15.439
<v Speaker 1>You know, is the outcome you know, really certain?

0:25:15.840 --> 0:25:18.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, if we use the right amount of military force,

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:21.280
<v Speaker 2>the outcome will be certain and they will not be

0:25:21.320 --> 0:25:24.960
<v Speaker 2>a nuclear power. What will the long term consequences be

0:25:25.280 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 2>that well, that will be based on what these emerging leaders,

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:32.920
<v Speaker 2>you know, the choices that they make in the next

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 2>seventy two hours, next one hundred hours or so. It's

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:40.239
<v Speaker 2>really going to be on them. And if you look

0:25:40.320 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 2>at China, except for this, there's one ship that appeared

0:25:43.920 --> 0:25:49.080
<v Speaker 2>to have dual purpose ballistic missile fuel. You know, they've

0:25:49.119 --> 0:25:52.479
<v Speaker 2>not been anywhere near this conflict. This is the China

0:25:52.600 --> 0:25:54.800
<v Speaker 2>does not like this. They get too much of their

0:25:54.920 --> 0:25:57.679
<v Speaker 2>energy from that area. They don't want this to go on.

0:25:57.800 --> 0:26:01.080
<v Speaker 2>They don't want this to continue. And let me see,

0:26:01.080 --> 0:26:04.359
<v Speaker 2>this just came out. This is actually pretty interesting. The

0:26:04.400 --> 0:26:08.040
<v Speaker 2>Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Lindsey Graham are now

0:26:08.080 --> 0:26:11.560
<v Speaker 2>taking the first step to passing another reconciliation bill to

0:26:11.680 --> 0:26:15.720
<v Speaker 2>fund our great border patrol ice agents. Radical left Democrats,

0:26:15.760 --> 0:26:18.600
<v Speaker 2>their so called leader crying Chucky Schumer, one of the

0:26:18.600 --> 0:26:21.600
<v Speaker 2>most incompetent senators in American history, will try to offer

0:26:21.640 --> 0:26:25.359
<v Speaker 2>amendments during the process to divide Republicans. Republicans need to

0:26:25.359 --> 0:26:28.600
<v Speaker 2>stick together. I love the idea of another reconciliation bill,

0:26:28.880 --> 0:26:32.720
<v Speaker 2>I really do so. With Iran losing five hundred million

0:26:32.760 --> 0:26:35.760
<v Speaker 2>dollars a day, how much longer can they survive?

0:26:36.520 --> 0:26:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Now?

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:39.639
<v Speaker 2>The Iranians can't be allowed to string us along. The

0:26:39.680 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 2>White House has said it's a three to five day

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:46.880
<v Speaker 2>break at the request of the Pakistani Prime Minister. And

0:26:47.800 --> 0:26:50.679
<v Speaker 2>you know, if you look at under President Trump's leadership

0:26:50.960 --> 0:26:54.440
<v Speaker 2>as part of economic fury, you know, the Treasury Department

0:26:54.480 --> 0:26:57.520
<v Speaker 2>is continuing to follow the money and target the Iranian

0:26:57.560 --> 0:27:01.160
<v Speaker 2>regime's recklessness and those who would enable it got best

0:27:01.240 --> 0:27:04.240
<v Speaker 2>and put this out and the regimes being held accountable

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:08.200
<v Speaker 2>for their extortion of global energy markets and indiscriminate targeting

0:27:08.240 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 2>of civilians with missiles and drones. These designations that that

0:27:13.359 --> 0:27:15.399
<v Speaker 2>they have put in place, these sanctions that they have

0:27:15.440 --> 0:27:19.320
<v Speaker 2>put in place now again are now bringing this regime

0:27:19.480 --> 0:27:23.480
<v Speaker 2>economically to its knees. It's it's not very often that

0:27:23.560 --> 0:27:27.439
<v Speaker 2>you have such a tactical advantage in war, where an

0:27:27.480 --> 0:27:30.800
<v Speaker 2>economy is based on one thing, and pretty much one

0:27:30.800 --> 0:27:35.639
<v Speaker 2>thing only like we're witnessing here. By the way, Linda,

0:27:35.640 --> 0:27:37.560
<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of other news today. Did you see

0:27:37.720 --> 0:27:40.520
<v Speaker 2>a black bear finally fell from a tree after being

0:27:40.880 --> 0:27:44.960
<v Speaker 2>hit with a tranquilizer A dart in all the name you're.

0:27:44.880 --> 0:27:47.440
<v Speaker 1>Not so sad?

0:27:47.720 --> 0:27:53.679
<v Speaker 2>Oh my gosh, why do you over feed your cat? Okay,

0:27:53.800 --> 0:27:55.960
<v Speaker 2>it's like it went to sleep. It's not a big deal.

0:27:57.800 --> 0:27:59.399
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, did you feel what it felt like when he

0:27:59.480 --> 0:28:01.360
<v Speaker 1>hit the ground. He's gonna feel that when he wakes up.

0:28:02.400 --> 0:28:06.119
<v Speaker 2>Congress's approval now at a record low ten percent. I

0:28:06.200 --> 0:28:08.000
<v Speaker 2>never thought he could get that back. You know this,

0:28:08.000 --> 0:28:12.159
<v Speaker 2>this Nazi guy, the Nazi tattoo guy Platner in Maine.

0:28:12.720 --> 0:28:16.200
<v Speaker 2>It looks like he may win the Democratic nomination anyway.

0:28:16.640 --> 0:28:17.040
<v Speaker 1>He says.

0:28:17.040 --> 0:28:20.560
<v Speaker 2>The overnight operation that took out Maduro and diverted Venezuela's

0:28:20.600 --> 0:28:24.600
<v Speaker 2>oil from America's pose to its allies was uniquely stupid.

0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:28.360
<v Speaker 2>How stupid is he for believing that there is You'll

0:28:28.440 --> 0:28:33.119
<v Speaker 2>like this because you now have kind of reignited your

0:28:33.119 --> 0:28:37.280
<v Speaker 2>Catholic faith. The world's oldest non celebrated one hundred and

0:28:37.320 --> 0:28:41.040
<v Speaker 2>thirteenth birthday on Long Island. Long Island, U will God

0:28:41.040 --> 0:28:45.160
<v Speaker 2>bless her. You know, I interviewed Gary Breco. We're going

0:28:45.160 --> 0:28:48.800
<v Speaker 2>to drop the pod with Gary tomorrow, and he says,

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:50.760
<v Speaker 2>if you want to live to one hundred, it'll be

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:51.520
<v Speaker 2>your choice.

0:28:51.960 --> 0:28:56.600
<v Speaker 1>Can you believe that? With Ai? Yeah, I choose not

0:28:56.720 --> 0:28:59.040
<v Speaker 1>one hundred. That's what I choose. I'm good.

0:28:59.040 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 2>I don't think I want you to live to one

0:29:00.400 --> 0:29:07.560
<v Speaker 2>hundred either. We're going to get into this with Nancy

0:29:07.600 --> 0:29:13.000
<v Speaker 2>Grace and Nicole Parker. I mean, there's eleven missing scientists.

0:29:13.080 --> 0:29:15.840
<v Speaker 2>This is not an accident. There's something going on here.

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:20.240
<v Speaker 2>I'm sorry, and I'm not a conspiracy theorist. One Florida resident.

0:29:20.320 --> 0:29:23.480
<v Speaker 2>There's a meltdown video. I gotta show it to you. Uh,

0:29:23.520 --> 0:29:26.640
<v Speaker 2>there are new limits for these EBT cards that people have.

0:29:27.480 --> 0:29:30.640
<v Speaker 2>No sodas, no ice cream? What are we gonna do?

0:29:31.600 --> 0:29:34.760
<v Speaker 2>Why don't you buy something healthy? Why don't you get eggs?

0:29:34.760 --> 0:29:37.800
<v Speaker 2>And I don't know, why didn't you get eggs and

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:43.280
<v Speaker 2>some ground beef? Eat something healthy? I thought that was

0:29:43.280 --> 0:29:45.360
<v Speaker 2>pretty funny. I knew you'd be upset over the bear,

0:29:45.440 --> 0:29:47.840
<v Speaker 2>but you know, you act like you're all into animals

0:29:47.840 --> 0:29:50.360
<v Speaker 2>and then you overfeed your cat and you killed your cat.

0:29:51.600 --> 0:29:56.000
<v Speaker 1>Are you okay? I'm not okay, I'm very upset.

0:29:56.120 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 2>I'm upset that the cat was, you know, seven times

0:29:58.760 --> 0:30:02.440
<v Speaker 2>the size of a regular cat. Listen, everybody needs to

0:30:02.440 --> 0:30:05.240
<v Speaker 2>be healthy, and that's why the EBT cards are being controlled,

0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:07.400
<v Speaker 2>because they're sick of people buying all the wrong stuff

0:30:07.440 --> 0:30:07.960
<v Speaker 2>on it.

0:30:07.960 --> 0:30:09.160
<v Speaker 1>It's the best thing they ever did.

0:30:12.120 --> 0:30:14.560
<v Speaker 2>All Right, when we come back, all right, if one

0:30:14.600 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 2>person is missing, an isolated incidence. If there's two, Nancy

0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:22.960
<v Speaker 2>Grace says, that's a coincidence. If it's three or more

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 2>in the case of these scientists, eleven of them, no,

0:30:27.480 --> 0:30:30.400
<v Speaker 2>that would be a pattern. We'll explain Nicole Parker and

0:30:30.480 --> 0:30:31.480
<v Speaker 2>Nancy Grace next