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Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we

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Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Collins c O

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Speaker 1: l I N FanDuel Sports Book App. Sign up. This

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Speaker 1: is Prime Cuts best of the Colin Coward Podcast. Great, great,

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Speaker 1: great week My buddy Nick Wright, probably my favorite conversation ever,

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Speaker 1: his frustration with Aaron Rodgers, a key to lead host

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Speaker 1: of Catching Fades on our volume sports podcast network. Join me,

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Speaker 1: Great reaction to the crazy NFL weekend, Chad Millman, Sharper

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Speaker 1: Square our picks for the AFC NFC Championship games. But first,

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Speaker 1: my top takes of the week. I'm going to say

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Speaker 1: this about Sean Payton. I have been told now by

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Speaker 1: three different people, some in football, sum in broadcasting, that

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Speaker 1: Sean Payton is not going to coach for a year.

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Speaker 1: What I would do, This is what I would do

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Speaker 1: if I ran Fox Sports, And I have no insight

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Speaker 1: to what my bosses are going to do because they

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Speaker 1: wouldn't tell me. I would pay him two two and

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Speaker 1: a half million dollars a year if I was at

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Speaker 1: Fox or NBC or CBS or ABC, and I would

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Speaker 1: just pay him and get him in the building and

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Speaker 1: figure out what to do with them once he's in

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Speaker 1: the building. I think he's that talented. There is, by

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Speaker 1: the way, a current professional athlete America who is being

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Speaker 1: paid about that much money and he's still a vibrant player,

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Speaker 1: but he's getting older. He's paid that much money buy

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Speaker 1: a network to not go to the other networks. So

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Speaker 1: that's kind of my theory of what I would do

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Speaker 1: with Sean Payton. I would just pay him if I

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Speaker 1: was one of these networks, get him in the building,

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Speaker 1: and figure the rush of it out later. I think

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Speaker 1: he's that talented, But I have been told he's just

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Speaker 1: burnt out. And I mean the last five exits for

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Speaker 1: the Saints have been just full of tumult and I

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Speaker 1: think it's time. Okay. In what is one of the

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Speaker 1: more memorable losses of Aaron Rodgers career, a shocking upset

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Speaker 1: to the forty nine Ers. The forty nine Ers didn't

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Speaker 1: even play particularly well. In fact, on offense, they were

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Speaker 1: anemic and nerve racking for much of the game. This

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Speaker 1: is on Aaron. Can he throw to anybody beyond DeVante Adams? Ever,

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Speaker 1: this is one of my knocks on Aaron for years.

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Speaker 1: Aaron doesn't throw interceptions, and he knows he's not going

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Speaker 1: to have as many trophies as Tom He's never going

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Speaker 1: to be as likable as far or Peyton Manning, he

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Speaker 1: won't have as many records as Drew Brees. So Aaron

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Speaker 1: is really into his passer rating and his lack of interceptions.

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Speaker 1: That's the thing he's going to end up with, right Like,

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Speaker 1: that's the one thing. He's the most remarkable passer rating guy.

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Speaker 1: He doesn't throw interceptions, and he plays like it. He

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Speaker 1: plays like he's protecting it. I thought he was super

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Speaker 1: conservative in the second half of this game. He was

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Speaker 1: trying not to lose, and I said, I voted Joe

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Speaker 1: Burrow would be my MVP, and I said that before

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Speaker 1: the playoffs started. I think he throws the ball down

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Speaker 1: the field. He plays more aggressively, He's not afraid of

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Speaker 1: making mistakes. He has a short memory when he does,

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Speaker 1: sometimes to a fault Joe Burrow holding the ball along

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Speaker 1: looking for a play that developed. Everything with Aaron is

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Speaker 1: checking down, getting it out, not getting hit, not making

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Speaker 1: a mistake, throwing to the one receiver he trusts. This

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Speaker 1: is on Aaron, and this has been a criticism forever

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Speaker 1: of Aaron. Not to be a psychologist, but you know,

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Speaker 1: with Aaron, he's very much aware of how he's viewed

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Speaker 1: right Like he's trying to control the media. He's trying

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Speaker 1: to control his legacy and the narratives. He's not going

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Speaker 1: to end up with the trophies or the likability. He's

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Speaker 1: not going to end up in the record books like Breeze.

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Speaker 1: It's that passer ratings, those lack of interceptions, and he

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Speaker 1: plays safe. And I think last year, Matt Lafleur, you know,

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Speaker 1: you got to walk on eggshells a little bit with

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Speaker 1: Aaron when you coach him. Last year I thought Matt

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Speaker 1: Lafleur was affected by that in the playoffs when he

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Speaker 1: got safe with Aaron Rodgers. But this is you can't

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Speaker 1: play like this. Matt Stafford's not sitting around worrying about interceptions.

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrows not Brady's had pick sixes in the Super Bowl,

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Speaker 1: Andrew Luck didn't care. Peyton Manning threw a lot, so

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Speaker 1: did Eli Manning. And I love Davante Adams. There's got

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Speaker 1: to be a consistent second outlet. And can we stop

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Speaker 1: always blaming the Packers front office for lack of weapons.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you got to give me a break on

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Speaker 1: this stuff. Sometimes sometimes you have to forge a relationship

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Speaker 1: with a second and a third receiver. But this is

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Speaker 1: going to leave a mark for Aaron Rodgers for a

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Speaker 1: kind of a mild weather team to play poorly. I mean,

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Speaker 1: the first half the Niners offense was atrocious. Jimmy g

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Speaker 1: essentially now throws the ball only over the middle to

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Speaker 1: Kindle her Deebo Samuel, He's got one route he loves

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Speaker 1: to throw. He's very effective at it. But I just

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Speaker 1: felt like the Packers defense there was a lot of

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Speaker 1: three and outs. I mean, Aaron that these were not

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Speaker 1: extended drawives three and out, punt three and out, three

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Speaker 1: and out, punt three and out. And you know, I

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Speaker 1: said this about the MVP race. If you're gonna sit

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Speaker 1: around and worry, if you're going to talk about Hall

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Speaker 1: of Fames, it's what you do, not what you avoid.

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Speaker 1: Like I think Mike Tomlin gets into the Hall of Fame, right,

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Speaker 1: but I don't care that he has never had a

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Speaker 1: losing season. Like that's just saying, you know, I'm not crappy. Ever, Well,

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Speaker 1: I'm looking for what you can do, not what you avoided.

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Speaker 1: Congrats on not throwing many interceptions. Go look at those

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Speaker 1: decisions by Rogers in the second half. Look at those

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Speaker 1: series three and out, three and out, punt three and out.

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Speaker 1: NFL's just crazy, It's just insane. But the question now

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Speaker 1: for Green Bay. Okay, so Aaron's Aaron's given, y'ell this drama.

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Speaker 1: Aaron can be difficult to deal with. Aaron's really expensive.

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Speaker 1: Aaron wants to say in personnel, I got to get

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Speaker 1: something for it. I mean, when in the division is

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Speaker 1: not the standard of the Packers. They've been winning the

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Speaker 1: divisi And since bart Star's going to be very interesting

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Speaker 1: and Aaron, as we know, is beyond high maintenance. He

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Speaker 1: will not take the criticism well, and many will mock him.

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Speaker 1: He took shots. He put himself above a lot of people.

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Speaker 1: That twenty five minute, twenty minutes soliloquy banging on the

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Speaker 1: Packers front office. You're ripping the media, you know, say

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Speaker 1: what you want about his vaccine didn't come off well.

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Speaker 1: And I went tonight in the last fifteen minutes of

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Speaker 1: the game, I went to a Packer's message board. It

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Speaker 1: was a barnyard musical. There are a lot of people

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Speaker 1: in Green Bay, a lot of people in Wisconsin tired Aaron.

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Speaker 1: You know, Aaron puts himself way up here above the fray.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people are tired of it and hate

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Speaker 1: to see him go. You know, he's such a likable guy.

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Speaker 1: Let's go to a key to lead knows all four

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Speaker 1: of these teams. Well, all right, time to bring in

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Speaker 1: my buddy Nick. Right about once a month, the co host,

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Speaker 1: first things first, joins me. He's you know, the co host,

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Speaker 1: but he is. He runs that circus and it is

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Speaker 1: every bit of circus. So here I'll throw something people

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Speaker 1: are you're not and I'm not. You really lean into

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Speaker 1: it and I just don't care. On Twitter, you'll throw

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Speaker 1: out thought bubbles and uh, and you really play Twitter

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Speaker 1: the way it should be played. I use it more

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Speaker 1: in marketing. You won't use it more as am I like.

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Speaker 1: I use it to stir, stir things up a bit,

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Speaker 1: throw things out there. Yeah you're you're I'll throw this

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Speaker 1: at you. Brady retires in two weeks. Aaron Rodgers says,

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Speaker 1: I want out, so Davante Adams is out. Aaron agrees

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Speaker 1: to Tampa. Green Bay says, we want Mike Evans. We're

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Speaker 1: not losing Davante and getting nobody. Tampa needs to cut

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Speaker 1: money because Brady's contract has a punitive salary cap hit

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Speaker 1: if he doesn't play a plus Aaron's salary cap. The

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Speaker 1: Packers get Mike Evans and JPP, but they've been looking

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Speaker 1: for an Egge rusher for years. Between the two, it's

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Speaker 1: thirty three million, thirty seven million dollars of salary. Green

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Speaker 1: Bay gets JPP Mike Evans. Two first's up to three

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Speaker 1: if Aaron plays a third year, which has always been

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Speaker 1: something you've talked about, two guaranteed, up to three. If

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Speaker 1: he plays a third year, if he retires after two,

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Speaker 1: you get two minimum even if he retired after a year.

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Speaker 1: Three if he stays for three Jordan Love plays. With

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Speaker 1: Aaron's contract out, you have a little more wiggle room

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Speaker 1: plus drafting to make a better roster, still the best

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Speaker 1: in division and competes with Chicago to win it. Aaron

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Speaker 1: goes on and dominates the NFC South. What's going to

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Speaker 1: be the worst of it with Sean Bayton now gone

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Speaker 1: that it's going to be the worst division in football

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Speaker 1: by a mile. It's going to be a terrible division.

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Speaker 1: So it worked if you can make it work financially.

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Speaker 1: Green Bay would obviously not like to send him to

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Speaker 1: an NFC team, But but Tampa, think about this. The

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Speaker 1: Steelers and the Broncos are maybe better fits right for

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Speaker 1: the Packers in the AFC, But both organizations have sharp

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Speaker 1: gms and sharp front offices. They're not willing to roll

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Speaker 1: the dice on Aaron with his seemingly endless retirement talk.

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Speaker 1: Tampa does not have that infrastructure. They just like winning.

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Speaker 1: They just flew up tam Tampa would do it. That's

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Speaker 1: my question to you, is this though, because you do

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Speaker 1: seem to have a good line on how Aaron Rodgers ticks,

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Speaker 1: I would think the last thing he would want to

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Speaker 1: do is go to the place Brady just won, because

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Speaker 1: it's very hard to be like, can't win here. It's

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Speaker 1: very hard to be like, oh, it's not my fault

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Speaker 1: when Tom just did it. Okay here, right, But if

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Speaker 1: he goes to the NFC North and is overshadowed by Burrows, sure,

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Speaker 1: order the AFC West and is overshadowed by Mahomes and Herbert,

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Speaker 1: but we know he'll be at least as good or

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Speaker 1: better than Tom who was forty four. So it looks

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Speaker 1: better imaging hey, hey, he's as good or better than Tom. Well,

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Speaker 1: I do listen. I think the idea of going to

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Speaker 1: the AFC West is insane. It would be if if

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr is the far and away worst quarterback in

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Speaker 1: the division, it's the greatest division of quarterbacks ever, right,

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Speaker 1: I mean, Mahomes Herbert would be the third best quarterback

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Speaker 1: in the division. It's like that, you have the it's impossible.

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Speaker 1: So it just seems like that would be a very

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Speaker 1: audacious move to go to the AFC West with with

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Speaker 1: Herbert and Mahomes already there. And the reason I think

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Speaker 1: it's possible because Denver's got world championships several and so

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Speaker 1: to the Steelers. The retirement talk. I've been told this

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Speaker 1: by somebody in the league, the retirement talk. Aaron talked

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Speaker 1: about it in August, December and yesterday on Pat McAfee's

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Speaker 1: YouTube show. I know it's turning people a lot. People

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Speaker 1: are like, I'm not giving you up three first round

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Speaker 1: picks and three players you could leave for Jeopardy in

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Speaker 1: a year. It's turning people off in the league. Well,

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Speaker 1: I the Steelers to me, though, Tomlin can deal with

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Speaker 1: a lot man. Tomlin kept they be fine. We didn't.

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Speaker 1: We didn't know what a basket, what a disaster. He was.

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Speaker 1: Big Ben's exactly easy. Big Ben also is a guy

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Speaker 1: that loves the spotlight. Was doing the daily, the weekly

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Speaker 1: radio show, did the retirement. Now we're done, and I

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Speaker 1: think you know, remember the Steelers they traded a first

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Speaker 1: round pick for a safety the year big Ben got hurt.

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Speaker 1: That's on which they want to win. The Big Ben

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Speaker 1: out for the year were Duck Hodds is in Mason Rudolph,

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Speaker 1: We'll trade you our first round Thick. We're gonna be

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Speaker 1: that first round pick we've had in ten years for

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Speaker 1: Mena Fitzpatrick because we want to win. Now, yes, I

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Speaker 1: do that. I think there is personally, the Steelers is

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Speaker 1: the one that makes the most sense to me, Tampa,

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Speaker 1: I had not considered. Also because do you think Tom's retiring.

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Speaker 1: I think it's the closest he's been. And another reason,

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Speaker 1: Aaron is smart enough to know that the lack of

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Speaker 1: competition in the NFC North, like Brady in the AFC East,

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Speaker 1: is why it keeps playing home playoff games. That division

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Speaker 1: is going to be so bad if Brady retires, it's

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Speaker 1: out layout, it's so bad. Can I can I talk

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Speaker 1: about the Brady retirement with you for a moment, because

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Speaker 1: I tried to do this on television, but it's there

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Speaker 1: are certain topics that if you don't get exactly right,

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Speaker 1: you're just gonna get excoriated for. And it was two

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Speaker 1: I didn't I didn't want to get it wrong in

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Speaker 1: the small bits of television. But I think you and

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Speaker 1: I even talk about so to me, it's pretty clear

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Speaker 1: Tom wants to keep playing football, and that if he doesn't,

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Speaker 1: it's because his wife and his kids don't want him

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Speaker 1: to write like that. He wants to play, all right.

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Speaker 1: So here's the thing that I'm pondering here. I understand

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Speaker 1: everyone has responsibility of their family. I get that if

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Speaker 1: you are the family of someone who is literally in

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Speaker 1: the discussion for the greatest in the history of the

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Speaker 1: world at something, do you have a responsibility to them

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Speaker 1: that is different than if dad's seventh in command at

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Speaker 1: the local electronics store and he works eighty hours a week.

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Speaker 1: Is there not an element of listen being the family

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Speaker 1: or the kids or whatever. Of Tom Brady as a

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Speaker 1: lot of awesome stuff that comes with it. One negative

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Speaker 1: thing is he might be so locked in and dedicated

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Speaker 1: to the field that there's time you don't get with him.

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Speaker 1: By the way, he'll still retire fifty years younger thin

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Speaker 1: fifty years twenty years younger than most people retire. He

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Speaker 1: retires at forty five. I just I feel funny about

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Speaker 1: this idea that a guy who might be the greatest

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Speaker 1: football player ever is going to walk away before he

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Speaker 1: wants to, not because he can't play anymore, not because

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Speaker 1: he's not great, but because the people he loves want

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Speaker 1: him to. Like I I don't know, I'm not exactly

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Speaker 1: saying it right, but it feels it feels weird to me,

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Speaker 1: like like Tom Brady owes it to himself to do

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Speaker 1: exactly what he wants to write the final chapter of

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Speaker 1: his football life. Does that make sense? Yeah, Tom said

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Speaker 1: the other day to Jim Gray, he said it pains

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Speaker 1: Giselle when I get hit. He did not say it

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Speaker 1: pains Gizelle when I go to practice or watched film.

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Speaker 1: She doesn't want to see her husband get hurt. That's

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Speaker 1: the issue. I do think that it is different if

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Speaker 1: you are if you are someone that is one of

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Speaker 1: the greatest ever at something, yeah, it is more reasonable

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Speaker 1: to put that your field, you know, high on the

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Speaker 1: priority list. Then if you're you know, the executive vice

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Speaker 1: president of a widget company, and it's you know, I

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Speaker 1: just I don't know. Maybe I'm an asshole for it,

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Speaker 1: and I know we got other sub talk about. But

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Speaker 1: I firmly believe that. Yeah, I mean, I think Giselle

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Speaker 1: the resentment would be Giselle thinking, hey, pal, I was

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Speaker 1: a supermodel and gave up more money than you. That's

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Speaker 1: a good point. That's a good point because she did it.

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Speaker 1: That would be the argument is I was the Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady of supermodeling and you won't ever stop. That is

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Speaker 1: a good point. You know that that is a really

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Speaker 1: good point because she is like there is there is

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Speaker 1: a whole element of It's not the typical superstar athlete

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Speaker 1: family where the husband is the breadwinner by more than him.

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Speaker 1: She made more so wild. It's so wild. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: a good points. Yeah. I don't think the kids would

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Speaker 1: have the resentment. I think they'd love dad. I think, um,

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Speaker 1: you know, recently I moved into a house and um,

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Speaker 1: and this is on me. It did not have an

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Speaker 1: art studio for my wife. It had this broadcasting area

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Speaker 1: and at the time the house serves so many um

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Speaker 1: needs for us that we really liked and my wife.

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Speaker 1: I found it and then I showed my wife and

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Speaker 1: she loved it. But neither of us in the purchase

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Speaker 1: thought about how important a studio of art is for

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Speaker 1: my wife. And I feel bad. I've this is something

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Speaker 1: that I'm trying to solve right now. So I find

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Speaker 1: in my life. My kids understand dad's busy, and understand

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Speaker 1: Dad can't be there for everything. But I'd better make

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Speaker 1: my wife happy. And if I f that up, I'm

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Speaker 1: into trouble, of course, which is you know. My takeaway

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Speaker 1: from that story is Colin's about to have to buy

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Speaker 1: one of his neighbor's houses. Two house, two house, guys,

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Speaker 1: same block. Why why do you have two houses? I

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Speaker 1: put this up. I didn't have from the studio for

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Speaker 1: my wife's and I have two houses to two house

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Speaker 1: and Brentwood guy two minutes on Rogers then goes that cool, Yes,

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Speaker 1: I I really don't like the victimhood that he is,

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Speaker 1: just like, it's so exhausting, nauseating and edies to me,

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Speaker 1: so detached from not only are like his facts and

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Speaker 1: figures on vaccines and COVID detached from reality, his analysis

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Speaker 1: of like he has been. Remember when he did the

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Speaker 1: foot press conference and he was loud about this person

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Speaker 1: wrote the article fake news, bad journalism, and the person

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Speaker 1: who saw himbout didn't write the article. It was a

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Speaker 1: different reporter. I like to be that loud and that

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Speaker 1: wrong about something that basic and not publicly apologized maybe

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Speaker 1: privately did I don't know, not publically apologize, and then

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Speaker 1: to come out and be like the whole world was

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Speaker 1: rooting for me because they're rooting against me. Yeah, man,

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Speaker 1: because you have been intentionally provocative, you have been intend

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Speaker 1: You can't wade into these waters intentionally, knowingly smugly, And

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Speaker 1: then it would have been could you imagine this is

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Speaker 1: an analogy? I was trying to bring up with their

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Speaker 1: shoulder that if after the Chiefs loss, if I went

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Speaker 1: on TV, if they had lost to the Bills, if

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Speaker 1: I went on TV and I was like, I gotta

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Speaker 1: tell you guys, I think it's outrageous the thing Bills

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Speaker 1: fans are saying to me on Twitter what I've been

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Speaker 1: an asshole to them for two years. I've been daring

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Speaker 1: them to do it. Like there's an element of like

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Speaker 1: if you are to cross pollinate a bit. I think

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Speaker 1: if people are mean on Twitter to Scott Van Pelt,

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Speaker 1: they're probably just assholes. Because Scott is in our business

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Speaker 1: but doesn't do especially since he left radio. He doesn't

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Speaker 1: give controversial opinions. He seems incredibly likable. He does Sports Center.

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Speaker 1: He's always smiling, he's nice. He's nice online. When people

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Speaker 1: are mean to you or me, I'm usually like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: probably it's probably fair, you know. I mean, I prefer

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Speaker 1: not some of it. But like we we we're provocative people,

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Speaker 1: and so like I just it is so baffling to me,

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00:20:48,960 --> 00:20:52,640
Speaker 1: Like at least Baker doesn't whine about it. Like Baker

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Speaker 1: knows that people are gonna come after him. I think

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Speaker 1: he wants people too, and he like uses it and

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00:20:57,040 --> 00:20:59,280
Speaker 1: tries to use his fuel. Maybe it doesn't work, but

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Speaker 1: for Aaron to do this, woe is me stuff. I

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Speaker 1: think it is unbecoming. I think it's really unbecoming. Well,

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Speaker 1: and also Russell Wilson, Brady Peyton, Manning, Mahomes, Josh Allen

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Speaker 1: keep illustrating and telling you how much they love the game.

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Speaker 1: Aaron is constantly reminding you he could leave it tomorrow

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Speaker 1: and be totally happy. It's called projecting when you have

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Speaker 1: to remind me that you don't need something. You need something.

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Speaker 1: But even by the way, even if it's not projecting,

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Speaker 1: even if it's totally true, it's terrible marketing. It's like you,

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Speaker 1: this is a sport where you have eighty thousand people

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Speaker 1: in zero degree weather paying money to be in that environment.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna pay hundreds or thousands of dollars to sit

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Speaker 1: in the cold, in the snow to cheer for you.

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Speaker 1: That's how much I care about I'm gonna build my

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Speaker 1: Sunday's running. That's how much I care about it. You

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Speaker 1: don't want to hear from the star players. Yeah, you

359
00:22:08,680 --> 00:22:11,199
Speaker 1: know I could take it or leave it. Even if

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Speaker 1: it's true, it's just it's just terrible again, I'll just

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Speaker 1: use our business. It's the number one thing you probably

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Speaker 1: used to hear maybe you still do it, is people say,

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Speaker 1: oh my god, you have the dream job, Like, oh

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Speaker 1: my god, I wish I could do what you do

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Speaker 1: for a living. You get to talk about sports for

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Speaker 1: a living. Do you think people would find you or

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Speaker 1: me as relatable or as likable if we were regularly

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Speaker 1: being like, let me tell you something, I don't really

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Speaker 1: love the gig that much. Like I'm really more into

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Speaker 1: like art and sculpting. Like I do it because I'm

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Speaker 1: good at it and it pays well. But yeah, kind

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Speaker 1: of bores me. People be like, man, bleep, you I

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Speaker 1: kill for that job, like you just eat. And by

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Speaker 1: the way, they're probably been times in your career where

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Speaker 1: it maybe you have need a new challenge. Maybe it

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Speaker 1: did bore You're like, okay, I've kind of mastered this

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Speaker 1: part of it, but you wouldn't tell people that, even

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Speaker 1: not publicly. It's I don't know the fact that Rogers

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Speaker 1: has gone from the public like a curating or whatever

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00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 1: that he had nine months ago to this without there

381
00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 1: being a crime committed is unprecedented. Yeah, it's unprecedented for

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Speaker 1: someone's public image to go through this without there being

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00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:24,320
Speaker 1: some massive scam. Yeah, listen, you can't rip the president, Fauci,

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Speaker 1: the vaccine, the media and think they'll be absolutely no

385
00:23:27,800 --> 00:23:36,120
Speaker 1: blowback talking about it's so nuts, it's such a it's

386
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Speaker 1: and that's the thing is. And I always worry like,

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Speaker 1: this is the thing with people and that Kyrie and

388
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Speaker 1: this is not a vaccine thing with Kerry. People that

389
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Speaker 1: are smart ish that think they're brilliant usually end up

390
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Speaker 1: sounding incredibly dumb, way dumber than the dumb guy who

391
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Speaker 1: knows he's not that bright. So he's like, I'm not

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Speaker 1: really gonna talk about all this stuff. Like do I

393
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Speaker 1: think Aaron Rodgers has a higher IQ than Travis Kelsey? Yeah?

394
00:24:05,640 --> 00:24:08,960
Speaker 1: I knew. I guess what Travis Kelsey's doing, dating shows

395
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 1: and making jokes and catching footballs and having fun. He's

396
00:24:12,520 --> 00:24:15,040
Speaker 1: not trying to tell you, Hey, here's my An rain

397
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:19,239
Speaker 1: Rand book, shut Up Atlas Lost, Shut up with your

398
00:24:19,280 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 1: Atlas shrug nonsense. Of all the books you could show

399
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:27,240
Speaker 1: on the Manning Cast, you show maybe the most politically

400
00:24:27,359 --> 00:24:31,280
Speaker 1: charged novel ever, like the novel that made a whole

401
00:24:31,320 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 1: generation of wanna be Reagan conservatives that's your book. You're like, oh,

402
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:38,160
Speaker 1: but I'm a political You say, like, Biden, how could

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00:24:38,160 --> 00:24:40,320
Speaker 1: he still be present with how you publicly speak? What

404
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 1: are you talking about, buddy? And by the way, you

405
00:24:42,560 --> 00:24:44,520
Speaker 1: can see you can have all those opinions, but you

406
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,399
Speaker 1: can't have all those opinions then be like, why is

407
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:54,199
Speaker 1: everyone rooting against me? So stupid? NFL playoffs are in

408
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:57,080
Speaker 1: full gear and everybody can get in on the action

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437
00:26:18,840 --> 00:26:25,600
Speaker 1: to five three four two in Arizona. Well, He's a

438
00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,280
Speaker 1: member of the volume has been from almost day one,

439
00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:31,320
Speaker 1: twelve years in the NFL, multiple Pro Bowls, a Super

440
00:26:31,359 --> 00:26:34,680
Speaker 1: Bowl winner, played with Brady in New England, has a

441
00:26:34,760 --> 00:26:37,680
Speaker 1: storied NFL career. Let's go to a key to lead.

442
00:26:38,240 --> 00:26:40,480
Speaker 1: What do you make of the Rams culture that von

443
00:26:40,640 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 1: Miller and Obj? Last week it was Obj this week

444
00:26:44,080 --> 00:26:48,119
Speaker 1: von Miller. That guys can come in, they learn the system,

445
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:52,400
Speaker 1: they play pressure free football. Like von Miller is better

446
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:54,199
Speaker 1: than I thought he would be. I yes, I mean

447
00:26:54,320 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: they both are. They both are. Be honest with you.

448
00:26:56,040 --> 00:26:58,760
Speaker 1: OBJ had the drops in Cleveland. I was like, dude,

449
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:01,720
Speaker 1: he has lost his confidence. What is it about the

450
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:05,600
Speaker 1: Rams culture that you can bring a veteran in three

451
00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:08,080
Speaker 1: weeks later you feel like they've been there for four years.

452
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:12,200
Speaker 1: They know the system, they make the place. I gotta

453
00:27:12,280 --> 00:27:14,159
Speaker 1: I gotta get some of that credit to Sean Man.

454
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,000
Speaker 1: Sean just make you feel super comfortable when you come there.

455
00:27:19,080 --> 00:27:21,280
Speaker 1: He really direct on what do you expect from you?

456
00:27:21,600 --> 00:27:23,879
Speaker 1: And he reminds me a lot of Bill when it

457
00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,679
Speaker 1: comes to his message when you sit in front of him, Man,

458
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:28,320
Speaker 1: what I expect from you? This is how we're gonna

459
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 1: use you. He really honest. You know what I'm saying.

460
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,320
Speaker 1: So a lot of that is due to Sean man.

461
00:27:33,400 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 1: Just how he treats the players, how he runs building. Man,

462
00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:37,440
Speaker 1: you're just gonna be super comfortable. He treats you like

463
00:27:37,480 --> 00:27:39,560
Speaker 1: a pro. He treat you like a grown man. Is

464
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:42,200
Speaker 1: you know, like micro managing? You know what I'm saying

465
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:45,080
Speaker 1: this is it's a lot a lot of that. How

466
00:27:45,520 --> 00:27:47,919
Speaker 1: guys are so comfortable, how guys are you can get

467
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,440
Speaker 1: in the system and get into the flow of things easy.

468
00:27:50,840 --> 00:27:53,680
Speaker 1: It's how Sean run that building. You always told me

469
00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:56,800
Speaker 1: about Belichick, you always said he You've said that twice

470
00:27:56,840 --> 00:27:59,200
Speaker 1: to me. He treated you like a grown man and

471
00:27:59,320 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: explaining actually what that is. I mean, it's it's it's

472
00:28:03,720 --> 00:28:05,680
Speaker 1: it's not a lot of rules he just got. It's

473
00:28:05,720 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: just clear, man, it's clear. It's not like I'm not

474
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 1: going to really police you. You know what to do

475
00:28:11,480 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 1: and he just let you do it. You know what

476
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,080
Speaker 1: I'm saying. He gave you great directions and it's up

477
00:28:16,119 --> 00:28:18,080
Speaker 1: to you to follow those directions, you know what I'm saying.

478
00:28:18,119 --> 00:28:21,720
Speaker 1: So as long as everybody follow those directions, the building

479
00:28:21,880 --> 00:28:24,680
Speaker 1: is ran a certain way. I'm saying, he don't. There's

480
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,240
Speaker 1: no leeway when it comes to whatever your last name is,

481
00:28:27,359 --> 00:28:29,399
Speaker 1: there's no leave it don't matter who you are. Everybody

482
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 1: got these certain three rules. They're not crazy, right, Everybody

483
00:28:32,680 --> 00:28:35,840
Speaker 1: agree these rules at school, everybody agree, and we just

484
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,800
Speaker 1: live by those few rules. Man, that's that's That's a lot.

485
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,600
Speaker 1: How both of those guys run that building and you

486
00:28:41,720 --> 00:28:44,040
Speaker 1: just could be a pro. I've been in situations where

487
00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,520
Speaker 1: guys got a thousand rules and you're like, man, we can't.

488
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:49,840
Speaker 1: We can't even talk about football all. We're talking about

489
00:28:49,880 --> 00:28:51,640
Speaker 1: his coach rules all day, you know what I'm saying.

490
00:28:51,680 --> 00:28:54,320
Speaker 1: So I've been on the other side of that. So, man,

491
00:28:54,760 --> 00:28:58,520
Speaker 1: that means a lot. How do you explain Cooper Cup?

492
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: I mean he is not only putting up numbers a keep.

493
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:08,719
Speaker 1: He is open for every Sunday. How do you explain

494
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:12,880
Speaker 1: the rout is sneaky? It is sneaky movement. Man, Guys

495
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 1: don't understand. At the top of the routs, Cooper Cup

496
00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:21,320
Speaker 1: is second to none. He had wiggled sometimes and give

497
00:29:21,360 --> 00:29:24,280
Speaker 1: you some work sometimes sometimes he boomed his speed break

498
00:29:24,320 --> 00:29:27,560
Speaker 1: out these routes. Man for the game. You see he

499
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: made my dog fall, he put him on the ground.

500
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:33,920
Speaker 1: He Man, it's sneaky movement. I promise you. I lined

501
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 1: up in front of this guy, man, he got some

502
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,280
Speaker 1: of the best top of the route movement that I've

503
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,280
Speaker 1: ever seen. So when you say top of the route movement,

504
00:29:41,360 --> 00:29:44,240
Speaker 1: so he's twelve yards down the field and he's just manipulating,

505
00:29:44,280 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: and it's time to break once. It ain't gotta be

506
00:29:46,320 --> 00:29:48,959
Speaker 1: twelve yards. It could be six yards downfield, and it's

507
00:29:49,000 --> 00:29:50,720
Speaker 1: time to break. When it's time for him to break,

508
00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:54,480
Speaker 1: he got three or four moves, and guys never know

509
00:29:54,640 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 1: what he's doing. You don't know if he's gonna just

510
00:29:57,000 --> 00:29:58,760
Speaker 1: just cut straight into the break or if he's gonna

511
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 1: hit you with the double or a triple or man,

512
00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,600
Speaker 1: he got moves out the gate. Man, Me and Marcus

513
00:30:04,640 --> 00:30:06,560
Speaker 1: Peters need to sit out and like really give y'all

514
00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,240
Speaker 1: a soul about it, because we got to see it

515
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:12,840
Speaker 1: firsthand and is second to none. I promise you, man,

516
00:30:12,880 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 1: I promise you. This is top in the league. All right,

517
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,400
Speaker 1: So let's go to Saturday Night. I do want to

518
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:24,800
Speaker 1: address Garoppolo and Aaron Rodgers. I've said this before about

519
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:27,560
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. A lot of guys in this league have talent.

520
00:30:29,120 --> 00:30:31,800
Speaker 1: Not a lot of guys are great leaders. Derek Jeter

521
00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:33,680
Speaker 1: was a great leader. I always thought Aaron was just

522
00:30:33,720 --> 00:30:36,080
Speaker 1: a great talent, But there was something about Jeter that

523
00:30:36,160 --> 00:30:38,520
Speaker 1: he was one of the guys and a leader, Like

524
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:42,000
Speaker 1: there was a clutch component, there was a relatability to him.

525
00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 1: And I do think Aaron, like, here's my big criticism.

526
00:30:47,320 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: He's had this receiving core for about four years. He

527
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,320
Speaker 1: doesn't trust anybody beyond Davante Adams, and you can sense it.

528
00:30:54,760 --> 00:30:58,080
Speaker 1: You can sense the Niners. The Niners know it. They don't,

529
00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,440
Speaker 1: they just they know it, and so they give him

530
00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:02,720
Speaker 1: bits and pieces of DeVante Adams. But I feel like

531
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 1: with Brady, look at Stafford. Stafford gets OBJ. He had

532
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:12,400
Speaker 1: a great relationship with Woods, Hickbee, cup Ben Jefferson two

533
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:17,719
Speaker 1: weeks into OBJ. They clearly have a relationship. Aaron's had

534
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 1: four dudes for four years. He doesn't throw to anybody

535
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,000
Speaker 1: in crisis. Isn't that at some point? I mean, hell,

536
00:31:26,560 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 1: Brady made everybody work. Edelman was a college quarterback. I

537
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,800
Speaker 1: just don't I feel like Aaron sometimes he gets loyal.

538
00:31:35,440 --> 00:31:39,000
Speaker 1: He gets loyal to his guys and he just that's

539
00:31:39,040 --> 00:31:41,080
Speaker 1: who he's throwing too in big spots. And I think

540
00:31:41,160 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 1: defenses consents that, yeah, and I agree with that, But

541
00:31:46,080 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: at the same time, Devant is one of them are

542
00:31:51,000 --> 00:31:54,240
Speaker 1: unguardable guys. So he's the same. If you try to

543
00:31:54,240 --> 00:31:56,880
Speaker 1: guard him with a man with a safety over the top,

544
00:31:57,240 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 1: he just all underneath rous and the man under candy

545
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,560
Speaker 1: and guard like you can't stay with me the garden underneath,

546
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 1: and we don't even go up top. We just run

547
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 1: all underneath stuff because the guy can't guard him. So

548
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,200
Speaker 1: and then when you playing his own DeVante so smart

549
00:32:12,280 --> 00:32:14,200
Speaker 1: in his own courage, he always gonna be open. And

550
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 1: they got a great report those two guys. So I

551
00:32:17,080 --> 00:32:19,360
Speaker 1: can't blame him for thorn it to DeVante all the time.

552
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:22,239
Speaker 1: Mannors on, I'm going to DeVante. That's what I'll do too.

553
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:24,640
Speaker 1: That's what type of talent he is in the NFL.

554
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 1: So I think it was one time he should have

555
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:29,240
Speaker 1: went to somebody else, and that was on the last

556
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,680
Speaker 1: play front of his last throw, he threw it d

557
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:33,800
Speaker 1: to Devote. He had a guy right in the middle

558
00:32:33,840 --> 00:32:35,240
Speaker 1: of the field open. That's about the only time he

559
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:38,520
Speaker 1: should have threw it to somebody else besides that man. Look,

560
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:42,240
Speaker 1: I'm looking at DeVante too, and I can't black, do

561
00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 1: you m It's part of the loss for Aaron and

562
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:51,200
Speaker 1: the Packers, that the Niners front defensively is back and healthy,

563
00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 1: and that Armstead is playing and Boas is playing at

564
00:32:54,160 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 1: DJ Johnston. A lot of this to me was not

565
00:32:59,280 --> 00:33:01,640
Speaker 1: that they had to show shortened their routes, but anytime

566
00:33:01,680 --> 00:33:05,040
Speaker 1: you make a quarterback throw to half step quicker. I

567
00:33:05,480 --> 00:33:08,560
Speaker 1: kind of felt like I felt Tom Brady especially in

568
00:33:08,600 --> 00:33:11,320
Speaker 1: the first half, and Aaron Rodgers in the second half.

569
00:33:11,800 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 1: I just felt their rhythm was off a little. He

570
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:19,640
Speaker 1: was checking down a little more than he was comfortable with. Now,

571
00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:21,120
Speaker 1: some of this is it's hard to get into a

572
00:33:21,160 --> 00:33:24,000
Speaker 1: rhythm when it's zero degrees, Yeah, but I felt I

573
00:33:24,160 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 1: felt Aaron a Keeb looked uncomfortable, definitely more than in

574
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,160
Speaker 1: the second half. He looked over. It's hard to get

575
00:33:31,240 --> 00:33:34,120
Speaker 1: in the rhythm when when you got botha and guys

576
00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 1: aren't state when you got guys wrestling you like that.

577
00:33:36,360 --> 00:33:38,720
Speaker 1: So when you got pressure on you, that's gonna make

578
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:40,760
Speaker 1: it hard to get into the rhythm. Man. So you

579
00:33:40,840 --> 00:33:43,200
Speaker 1: know the receiver's gonna be a step slower. And what

580
00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:45,280
Speaker 1: I'm saying just because it's it's it's zero degrees, like

581
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,640
Speaker 1: you said, So man, it's it's that's part of it.

582
00:33:48,920 --> 00:33:52,120
Speaker 1: It's the pressure is what makes you hard to get

583
00:33:52,160 --> 00:33:54,280
Speaker 1: in the rhythm well on both sides. That's why Tom

584
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 1: couldn't get in the rhythm. That's why a rack couldn't

585
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:58,640
Speaker 1: getting ridd because both of them had great pressure on

586
00:33:58,720 --> 00:34:05,800
Speaker 1: them all day. All right, everybody, welcome in time for

587
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:13,440
Speaker 1: another edition of Sharp or Square. Now I bring in

588
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:17,920
Speaker 1: Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. He is,

589
00:34:17,960 --> 00:34:22,480
Speaker 1: of course a sharp, somebody who bets, talks to professional

590
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:27,799
Speaker 1: sports gamblers. I am, of course a square. I think

591
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:30,480
Speaker 1: all of you know that on mini levels. And so

592
00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 1: let's bring in Chad Melman, chief Content Officer of the

593
00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:39,000
Speaker 1: Action Network. So here we go. Bengals plus seven at

594
00:34:39,040 --> 00:34:41,879
Speaker 1: the Chiefs Andy Reid's not only great off a bye,

595
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 1: this is not a bye when he faces a team

596
00:34:44,680 --> 00:34:46,880
Speaker 1: for the second time within a year. He's twenty three

597
00:34:47,040 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 1: thirteen and one against the spread mahomes at home. I

598
00:34:52,440 --> 00:34:57,759
Speaker 1: still don't think the Bengals are completely healthy. Their offensive

599
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,080
Speaker 1: line is obviously the weakness right now of their franchise.

600
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:06,839
Speaker 1: I felt last week they had topped out. I feel

601
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:10,240
Speaker 1: the differences. The Chiefs are a much more dynamic offense

602
00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:15,000
Speaker 1: than Tennessee. I would take Kansas City to win. I

603
00:35:15,120 --> 00:35:17,839
Speaker 1: think they'll dominate. I think they'll cover. I think it's

604
00:35:17,880 --> 00:35:24,880
Speaker 1: potentially a blowout. Sharp or square. That is a square play,

605
00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 1: my friend, I can't say that you're alone. For the record,

606
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,600
Speaker 1: you know, we do the Favorites podcast for the volume

607
00:35:33,160 --> 00:35:38,080
Speaker 1: and me and professional better Simon Hunter. All of the

608
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:41,840
Speaker 1: wise guys are coming in on the Bengals, and this

609
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 1: was sort of the biggest debate that we had today.

610
00:35:45,000 --> 00:35:47,319
Speaker 1: I love the Bengals in this spot. If you can

611
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:49,560
Speaker 1: get the Bengals at seven and a half, you should.

612
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:54,320
Speaker 1: The majority of the money is coming in on the Bengals,

613
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:56,959
Speaker 1: the majority of the tickets are coming in on the Chiefs.

614
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 1: When you have that discrepancy, it basically means to profess

615
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:04,400
Speaker 1: chals are on the Bengals. The public are on the

616
00:36:04,480 --> 00:36:10,600
Speaker 1: Chiefs the Bengals. Most people have this game power rated

617
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:14,200
Speaker 1: five to six, so you're getting about anywhere from a

618
00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,160
Speaker 1: point to two points of an advantage if you're betting

619
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,480
Speaker 1: the Bengals. The Chiefs played the six most man coverage

620
00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:23,439
Speaker 1: in the NFL this year. Cincinnati ad an NFL best

621
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:28,680
Speaker 1: eleven point four yards per pass attempt against man coverage

622
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,520
Speaker 1: Kansas City against the playoff teams from the divisional weekend

623
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:34,839
Speaker 1: in this season, we're one in three. That one win

624
00:36:35,000 --> 00:36:38,839
Speaker 1: was against Buffalo and overtime. Obviously, none of those games

625
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 1: have been by more than seven points in Kansas City winning.

626
00:36:42,719 --> 00:36:45,040
Speaker 1: They played nineteen games this year, only eight wins of

627
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:47,640
Speaker 1: seven or more. Cincinnati played in nineteen games only two

628
00:36:47,719 --> 00:36:50,759
Speaker 1: losses of seven or more. So, but what really gets

629
00:36:50,800 --> 00:36:54,239
Speaker 1: me here, what really gets me is that this is

630
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,960
Speaker 1: a huge, huge number for a Cincinnati team that is

631
00:36:59,480 --> 00:37:02,359
Speaker 1: explosive as it is, and that has a quarterback who

632
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:06,360
Speaker 1: does not get rattled, who's very very good against the blitz,

633
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:10,440
Speaker 1: and who has talent and Jamar Chase who can get

634
00:37:10,520 --> 00:37:13,960
Speaker 1: downfield and score points in bunches. So if this game

635
00:37:14,520 --> 00:37:17,200
Speaker 1: as the Chiefs up by fourteen with two minutes left

636
00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,440
Speaker 1: and a Swiss cheese defense that has gotten better but

637
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:23,920
Speaker 1: it's still not, you know, top twenty defense, do I

638
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:25,560
Speaker 1: really think that the Bengals aren't going to find a

639
00:37:25,560 --> 00:37:27,320
Speaker 1: way to score a touchdown in less than two minutes.

640
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:29,759
Speaker 1: I'm taking the seven, seven and a half because of

641
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:32,520
Speaker 1: the backdoors. That's really it. I think the Chiefs are

642
00:37:32,520 --> 00:37:35,160
Speaker 1: going to win. I think they'll probably win by a

643
00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 1: decent number. But if there's backdoor protection here, especially if

644
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:41,480
Speaker 1: you can get the seven and a half, all right,

645
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:44,040
Speaker 1: let's go Sharper square Niners plus three and a half

646
00:37:44,080 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 1: at the RAM. So Sean McVeigh has averaged about twenty

647
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 1: seven and a half points since he came into this

648
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,919
Speaker 1: league with Jared Goffin Matt Stafford. In the last six

649
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:57,120
Speaker 1: games against the forty nine ers, he's averaged about eighteen points,

650
00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:02,360
Speaker 1: so almost ten point it's less. I think this matchup

651
00:38:02,800 --> 00:38:05,160
Speaker 1: and a couple of these matchups in the last six

652
00:38:05,239 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 1: against the Niners they scored seven months, they scored ten months,

653
00:38:08,480 --> 00:38:11,480
Speaker 1: they scored only seven in the second half and overtime

654
00:38:11,560 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 1: in their last matchup. I think the defensive front, which

655
00:38:14,760 --> 00:38:17,360
Speaker 1: has a couple of first rounders, is a matchup problem

656
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: for the Rams because I think the defensive line talent

657
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:27,480
Speaker 1: Armstead boasts of first round picks simply overwhelmed less talented

658
00:38:27,520 --> 00:38:29,799
Speaker 1: players from the Rams. I think the Rams offensive line

659
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:33,360
Speaker 1: as a unit is very good in pass protection. The

660
00:38:33,560 --> 00:38:37,879
Speaker 1: run is often blown up. Of Sean mcvay's run games

661
00:38:37,920 --> 00:38:40,840
Speaker 1: often blown up by this defensive front. Adding Fred Warner,

662
00:38:41,120 --> 00:38:43,440
Speaker 1: who I think is the best linebacker in football. This

663
00:38:43,640 --> 00:38:47,960
Speaker 1: is a matchup problem for the Rams. This game will

664
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:52,759
Speaker 1: be close sharper square. I think the Niners three and

665
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:56,760
Speaker 1: a half is the side, So that's the sharp side.

666
00:38:57,080 --> 00:39:02,480
Speaker 1: What's really interesting here is that you'd think a Niners

667
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:06,120
Speaker 1: team that swept the Rams, that has done what you've

668
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:11,000
Speaker 1: described sort of schematically, that is six and oh straight

669
00:39:11,120 --> 00:39:15,839
Speaker 1: up the past three seasons, what they've won all five

670
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 1: games when they've been an underdog. This is a team

671
00:39:21,320 --> 00:39:24,279
Speaker 1: that you would think, this line gets posted, it should

672
00:39:24,320 --> 00:39:28,000
Speaker 1: be Rams minus three, and it should stay there. It's

673
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:30,240
Speaker 1: been a three and a half a week. It's barely

674
00:39:30,320 --> 00:39:33,239
Speaker 1: come down. You look at the numbers, the majority of

675
00:39:33,320 --> 00:39:37,000
Speaker 1: the bets by a very small percentage. Whereas like the

676
00:39:37,120 --> 00:39:40,239
Speaker 1: Chiefs and Bengals, there's a wide disparity between the money

677
00:39:40,280 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 1: bet on the Bengals and the tickets on the Chiefs.

678
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,360
Speaker 1: This one is much closer. It's all in that forty

679
00:39:45,400 --> 00:39:49,600
Speaker 1: to sixty range that band, but it's a little bit

680
00:39:49,800 --> 00:39:52,120
Speaker 1: in favor of the Rams, which is why the number

681
00:39:52,600 --> 00:39:55,279
Speaker 1: hasn't come back down to three. There are a bunch

682
00:39:55,280 --> 00:39:57,880
Speaker 1: of syndicates and syndicates we've talked about this. These are

683
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:00,640
Speaker 1: these groups that are professional betters that cool their money.

684
00:40:01,000 --> 00:40:03,480
Speaker 1: They bet a lot sort of game to game together.

685
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:06,360
Speaker 1: From the beginning of the season, they've been on the RAMS,

686
00:40:06,680 --> 00:40:10,400
Speaker 1: and this is sort of indicative of the believing in

687
00:40:10,480 --> 00:40:14,440
Speaker 1: the Rams. It's a really interesting spot to me. It's

688
00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:16,479
Speaker 1: kind of like with the Bengals. If you're getting that hook,

689
00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:19,880
Speaker 1: you take the hook. I mean, this is a matchup

690
00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:21,960
Speaker 1: Jimmy g As fifteen and four as a dog in

691
00:40:22,040 --> 00:40:24,840
Speaker 1: his career, fourteen and five straight as a straight up

692
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 1: as a dog, best winning percentage of any quarterback in

693
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,920
Speaker 1: Super Bowl era in Super Bowl era as a dog.

694
00:40:31,760 --> 00:40:34,879
Speaker 1: Kyle Shanan eighteen and ten as a road and dog

695
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 1: seven and three against the spread against McVeigh home field.

696
00:40:39,239 --> 00:40:42,200
Speaker 1: Here is basically a zero. We've seen it. We've seen

697
00:40:42,239 --> 00:40:46,520
Speaker 1: the Rams trying to manipulate the ticket selling so it

698
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,479
Speaker 1: favors the Rams. Most professionals have this game power raided

699
00:40:50,520 --> 00:40:52,360
Speaker 1: as RAMS minus one, so there's about two and a

700
00:40:52,360 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 1: half points of value, and schematically, you're right, like to me,

701
00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:59,279
Speaker 1: the Niners can attack the middle of the field and

702
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:02,279
Speaker 1: use the Rams aggressiveness on defense with Von Miller with

703
00:41:02,400 --> 00:41:07,000
Speaker 1: Aaron Donald against them, and you can see how debo

704
00:41:07,120 --> 00:41:10,279
Speaker 1: will get these pitches in the backfield and find a

705
00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:13,560
Speaker 1: way to cut inside rather than having to run outside

706
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:17,840
Speaker 1: based on the aggressiveness of the RAMS defense. So I

707
00:41:17,920 --> 00:41:19,560
Speaker 1: think the Rams are the right side here. You're getting

708
00:41:19,600 --> 00:41:21,640
Speaker 1: a hook and you're getting a team that matches up

709
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:28,400
Speaker 1: really well. Go to the YouTube page, look up the

710
00:41:28,480 --> 00:41:32,359
Speaker 1: Volume Sports. Click that red button. Also Instagram rate review,

711
00:41:32,440 --> 00:41:57,960
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