WEBVTT - $800 Million Crypto Fund Sees A Revolution in Finance: Masters

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to the Bloomberg p m L Podcast. I'm pim Fox.

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<v Speaker 1>Along with my co host Lisa Bramowitz. Each day we

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<v Speaker 1>bring you the most important, noteworthy, and useful interviews for

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<v Speaker 1>you and your money, whether you're at the grocery store

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<v Speaker 1>or the trading floor. Find the Bloomberg p m L

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<v Speaker 1>Podcast on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, and Bloomberg dot com. Our

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<v Speaker 1>next guest ran JP Morgan's New York energy trading business.

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<v Speaker 1>In the nineties, set up his own commodities fund and

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<v Speaker 1>now is investing in crypto assets. Daniel Masters Joins is

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<v Speaker 1>now Chief Investment Officer of Global Advisors, also chairman of

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<v Speaker 1>coin Shares Group. He manages about eight hundred million dollars

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<v Speaker 1>of assets, including crypto assets. Danielle, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 1>for being with us. UM. In an interview last month,

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<v Speaker 1>you said, for us, it is abundantly clear that we

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<v Speaker 1>are in the midst of a true financial revolution. You're

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<v Speaker 1>referring to cryptocurrencies. What makes you so confident about that? Yes,

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<v Speaker 1>good a good morning, and thanks very much for having

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<v Speaker 1>me back. UM. The distributed ledger technology that's being pioneered

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<v Speaker 1>by in development surrounding bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is really

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<v Speaker 1>the democratization of transactions in the same way as when

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<v Speaker 1>the Internet appeared, we saw the news and information traveling

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<v Speaker 1>around without the necessity for big organizations centers for distribution

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<v Speaker 1>of that information. So blockchains, bitcoin and other such crypto

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<v Speaker 1>assets are democracyizing the transactional interaction between individuals. That's at

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<v Speaker 1>the core of what makes us a revolution. Can you

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<v Speaker 1>tell us what is How do you describe coin shares?

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<v Speaker 1>What what does coin shore is do for for customers?

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<v Speaker 1>Coin Shares is a nascent digital investment bank. Many of

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<v Speaker 1>the things we do are an analog and parallel to

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<v Speaker 1>what happens in the legacy financial services industry. So we

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<v Speaker 1>provide investment entry points for people to come into crypto

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<v Speaker 1>assets without having to own them directly, and we take

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<v Speaker 1>care of that hedging and replication. We provide services to

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<v Speaker 1>people within the crypto community, and this is you know,

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<v Speaker 1>at the peaks of the December prices approaching a trillion

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<v Speaker 1>dollar ecosystem. We provide a treasury and assets and liability

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<v Speaker 1>management type of services, hedging services, and some advisory. We

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<v Speaker 1>also deploy proprietary capital within that ecosystem, funding these small

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<v Speaker 1>companies and participating in some of the initial coin offering

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<v Speaker 1>type of activity that I'm sure you're aware of. Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>The reason I want just to set that in some

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<v Speaker 1>contexts is because my next thought it has to do

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<v Speaker 1>with what's known as leakage. Right, this is the lead

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<v Speaker 1>the financial the rather the fractional reserve banking system, and

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<v Speaker 1>the leverage that you have in that system is the

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<v Speaker 1>use of cryptocurrencies. Is this causing a leakage in that leverage? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>that's a great question, and you know, I mean, I

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<v Speaker 1>think what is clear is that there was a kind

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<v Speaker 1>of a regulatory sandbox in which digital assets of all

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<v Speaker 1>kinds existed all the way from back when we started

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<v Speaker 1>in right through the third or fourth quarter of last year.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, when when an ecosystem is a billion or

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<v Speaker 1>five billion or ten billion, it's almost experimental in the

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<v Speaker 1>scope of the main financial system. But you know, once

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<v Speaker 1>you start rapidly approaching a trillion, and with the associated

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<v Speaker 1>media hype around it, this all of a sudden became

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<v Speaker 1>something that regulators, banks, authorities of various kinds of central

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<v Speaker 1>bank governments decided that it could no longer be ignored. So,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't think there's any concern from that

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<v Speaker 1>community at the moment that there's lead kids, as you

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<v Speaker 1>put it, but I think they're beginning to realize that

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<v Speaker 1>there is potential for that in the future. I've never

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<v Speaker 1>thought that it would be a sort of a fight

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<v Speaker 1>to the death between you know, crypto and and the

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<v Speaker 1>the dollar or the pound or the legacy financial system.

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<v Speaker 1>To me, it's always been a question of what portion

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<v Speaker 1>of the total financial ecosystem a cruise to cryptocurrencies. And

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<v Speaker 1>I think, you know, even if it's only five at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of the day, that market will then still

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<v Speaker 1>be much bigger than this right now, Danny, how much

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<v Speaker 1>of the eight million dollars that you manage, how much

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<v Speaker 1>is in crypto assets? All of it? All of it? Okay?

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<v Speaker 1>So how do you go about determining how to invest

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<v Speaker 1>that money? I mean, is you just sort of invest

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<v Speaker 1>in bitcoin or sort of? Oh? No, we do a

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<v Speaker 1>range of things. So, first of all, the largest bulk

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<v Speaker 1>of our assets are from one of our companies we

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<v Speaker 1>own called xpt Provider. An xpt Provider provides bitcoin and

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<v Speaker 1>the etherorium certificate, the track the price of those assets

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<v Speaker 1>on Nastack nastack coaxin Stockholm. That is by far our

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<v Speaker 1>our largest product pool, and let's call that a passive strategy.

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<v Speaker 1>Then we have active strategies. And the active strategies are

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<v Speaker 1>essentially funds of various kinds. Um. We currently have two

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<v Speaker 1>hour soon to be four, and um, you know, I

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<v Speaker 1>can describe them generically as multi currency multi strategy in

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<v Speaker 1>one bucket and index based in another bucket. So in

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<v Speaker 1>the in the in the the interesting part is the

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<v Speaker 1>active funds, the multi strap multi coin funds, and there

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<v Speaker 1>will do anything from protocol coins so the mainstream bitcoin,

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<v Speaker 1>etherorium z cash, from narrow uh you name it down

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<v Speaker 1>to you know, small boutique niche type of initial coin

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<v Speaker 1>offerings and everything in the middle. So how do you

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<v Speaker 1>just in just real quick, how do you prevent fraud? Uh? Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we have a very very a very very detailed screening system. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>The there are pros and cons to digital finance, and

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<v Speaker 1>you know, one of the cons is chaos. Um, one

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<v Speaker 1>of the pros is in that chaos, there is some

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<v Speaker 1>rich information. It's almost as though, you know the concept

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<v Speaker 1>of stock analysts stocks analyzing stocks has gone back to

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<v Speaker 1>where it was before. We have perfect information. So we

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<v Speaker 1>have a multi stage screening process. I would say of

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<v Speaker 1>the small initial coin offering type of things we get

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<v Speaker 1>coming across our desk. Fewer than three percent make it

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<v Speaker 1>through that filter. So there is a process to it,

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<v Speaker 1>and and that's what we have to go through in

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<v Speaker 1>order to get comfortable. I want to thank you very

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<v Speaker 1>much for joining us. Daniel Master's chief investment officer for

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<v Speaker 1>Global Advisors. He is also the chairman of coin Shares,

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<v Speaker 1>a group Global Advisors on a seventy interest in a

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<v Speaker 1>coin shares. I want to bring in Ira Jersey, or

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<v Speaker 1>interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence. Uh, Ira, what if

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<v Speaker 1>you could comment on Richard Clarenda, the number two pick

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<v Speaker 1>for the Federal Reserve. He is um a respected economist

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<v Speaker 1>at Columbia University, professor and also a lot of experience

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<v Speaker 1>in the world of markets asset manager at pimco UM.

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<v Speaker 1>What if you could tell us what are your thoughts

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<v Speaker 1>about Mr Clarenda and what do you think he's going

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<v Speaker 1>to bring to the Federal Reserve. Yeah, so I think

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<v Speaker 1>Mr claren is a mainstream pick. Uh just like quite frankly,

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<v Speaker 1>like J. Powell wasn't even even Governor Quarrels, who's right

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<v Speaker 1>in front of the House Financial Services Committee as as

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<v Speaker 1>we speak. Um. You know, Donald Trump has has not

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<v Speaker 1>gone outside the box. So he's done a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>other things that are outside the box with who he

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<v Speaker 1>picked for some cabinet posts and the like, but when

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<v Speaker 1>it comes to the Fed, um uh, the FED governors,

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<v Speaker 1>he's really been more or less mainstream. Certainly, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>he had certain litmus tests that things like, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people who are for modesty regulation and even quarrels. Today,

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<v Speaker 1>in his prepared remarks is saying that he uh um,

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<v Speaker 1>that he favors most of the basis of of the

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<v Speaker 1>post crisis of financial regulations, but that he wants to

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<v Speaker 1>you know, scale scale some of them back. And I

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<v Speaker 1>think most people would see that that that's probably not

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<v Speaker 1>a bad thing for the economy or or markets in general.

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<v Speaker 1>And Richard Clarenda is just within that same kind of mold.

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<v Speaker 1>So iro this is FED Speak week. They're about four

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<v Speaker 1>hundred thousand speeches by different FED officials this week, more

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<v Speaker 1>or less roughly. Um. One of them caught my attention,

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<v Speaker 1>John Williams, speaking in Madrid, uh just a bit ago,

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<v Speaker 1>addressing the flattening US yield curve, saying so far it's normal. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>That said, he said if the yield curve were to invert,

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<v Speaker 1>they would take it seriously and it would be a

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<v Speaker 1>sign of a recession. What do you make of that,

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<v Speaker 1>given the fact that the gap between ten and two

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<v Speaker 1>year yields right now is that it's narrowest since two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand seven and steadily narrowing a short term rates rise. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>and we think we'll continue to narrow further. We actually

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<v Speaker 1>think another fifteen basis points are so in the two's

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<v Speaker 1>tens treasury curve for the for the course of the year. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>So you know that we we we don't have a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of experience with this. You know, we have to

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<v Speaker 1>take into account that we've only had, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>limited number of recessions over the past fifty years, and

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<v Speaker 1>and in more than half of them we certainly saw

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<v Speaker 1>when yield curves got to got to zero or or

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<v Speaker 1>inverted that at some point in the future you had

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<v Speaker 1>you had a recession. But but those legs tend to

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<v Speaker 1>take a very long time, So I don't think it's

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<v Speaker 1>a foregone conclusion. I think what what it tends to

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<v Speaker 1>happen is the yield curve gets too flat, but the

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<v Speaker 1>fed continues to hike after that and when they continue

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<v Speaker 1>to hike after that, they basically, um, they basically clamp

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<v Speaker 1>down too far in financial conditions, interest rates, the whole

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<v Speaker 1>entire yield curves goes up too far, and that's when

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<v Speaker 1>you end up getting recession. Now, can they can they

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<v Speaker 1>stop that this time? They They probably can. And one

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<v Speaker 1>of the ways that they can do that is as

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<v Speaker 1>you approach that zero, stop hiking, right, just just let

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<v Speaker 1>the market be for a while. See if the yield

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<v Speaker 1>curve starts to steep in a little bit, which implies

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<v Speaker 1>that you're going to have faster inflation in the future

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<v Speaker 1>and better growth in the future as opposed to you know,

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to hike to kind of clamp down on on

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<v Speaker 1>that growth and inflation. So um, so you have to

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<v Speaker 1>be you know, the fit has to be very careful.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think now that we've had kind of these

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<v Speaker 1>three distinct periods over the last thirty years or so

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<v Speaker 1>where that's all happened, maybe they've they've learned their lesson.

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<v Speaker 1>And you know, Richard Clarada is one of those people

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<v Speaker 1>who I think understands us as an economic historian as

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<v Speaker 1>monetary policy person. It's good to have him in that

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<v Speaker 1>vice chair seat. Because he brings that historical perspective that

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<v Speaker 1>maybe a few other folks on the Board of Governors

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<v Speaker 1>doesn't have to follow up on on a Leasta's comment

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<v Speaker 1>about the four thousand speeches that we're going to have

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<v Speaker 1>to digest, you can add to that tweets from the

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<v Speaker 1>President of the United States having to do with currencies

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<v Speaker 1>and specifically the US dollar. Is that having any effect

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<v Speaker 1>on on the value of the U S Dollar? I

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<v Speaker 1>was noting, for example, stronger at least against the Canadian

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<v Speaker 1>dollar and just a little bit move lower against the

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<v Speaker 1>euro today. Yeah, not not huge moves in in the

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<v Speaker 1>euro from from the tweets. I think, you know, the

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<v Speaker 1>market at some level is um uh. I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to say getting numb to tweets, but you know they

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<v Speaker 1>they know that that. I think the president only can

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<v Speaker 1>control markets so much and and and it's things like uh,

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<v Speaker 1>fiscal policy that he'll wind up impacting significantly more or

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<v Speaker 1>what he does things in trade policy and the like

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<v Speaker 1>that he can control directly. Um, you know, tweets about

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<v Speaker 1>you know, interest rates and things like that. Given who

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<v Speaker 1>he's he's appointed, probably are going to have a huge effect.

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<v Speaker 1>And you haven't seen huge moves in the end, for example,

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<v Speaker 1>or or the euro today, it's been very modest. Um. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>after after some of those tweets, A Jersey thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for being with us. Our Jersey chief US

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<v Speaker 1>interest rate strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence. It has over twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four billion dollars in assets. It's the second largest credit

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<v Speaker 1>union in the United States. Pen FED and our and

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<v Speaker 1>the chief executive and the president joins us. Now this

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<v Speaker 1>is the Pentagon Federal Credit Union, James Skank, thanks very

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<v Speaker 1>much for being with us. Based in Alexandria, Virginia. Mr Skank,

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<v Speaker 1>maybe just tell us a little bit about pen FED

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<v Speaker 1>and what you're doing with a new program entitled the

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<v Speaker 1>Entrepreneur Investment Program. Great. You know pen FED has been

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<v Speaker 1>serving our community for over eighty three years, and we're

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<v Speaker 1>as a credit union founded on the principle of people

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<v Speaker 1>helping people and as a defense credit union, we think

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<v Speaker 1>it's very important to continue to create jobs across America.

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<v Speaker 1>And each year over two hundred thousand veterans leave the service,

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<v Speaker 1>and about a quarter of them plan to start their

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<v Speaker 1>own business. So pen FED, several years ago has created

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<v Speaker 1>a foundation in which we pay a hundred percent of

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<v Speaker 1>the foundation operating costs, so all the money the foundation

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<v Speaker 1>raises goes back to support our programs. The one we're

0:13:35.520 --> 0:13:39.160
<v Speaker 1>very excited about announcing is a program in which donors

0:13:39.200 --> 0:13:42.320
<v Speaker 1>can donate to the pen Fed Foundation and we're going

0:13:42.400 --> 0:13:44.840
<v Speaker 1>to invest in startup companies. And so this is going

0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:47.199
<v Speaker 1>to be a gift that keeps on given because if

0:13:47.240 --> 0:13:50.320
<v Speaker 1>we can invest in the right startups, help these veterans

0:13:50.360 --> 0:13:54.320
<v Speaker 1>that bring some incredible leadership and technical skills, give them capital,

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:57.760
<v Speaker 1>and give them a network to succeed, that money will

0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:00.000
<v Speaker 1>come back to the foundation allows to continue to create

0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:02.480
<v Speaker 1>eight jobs and invest in more startup companies. So we're

0:14:02.480 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 1>pretty excited about this new initiative through the pen Fet Foundation.

0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:10.520
<v Speaker 1>Just to clarify, these are not loans, their gifts correct,

0:14:10.520 --> 0:14:13.000
<v Speaker 1>We actually it'll be these will be loans, this will

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:17.559
<v Speaker 1>be investments in so in other words, donate correctly seed

0:14:17.559 --> 0:14:20.040
<v Speaker 1>capital okay. So okay, So potentially you'll get the money

0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:23.320
<v Speaker 1>back with dividends, but you're providing it as sensibly at

0:14:23.320 --> 0:14:26.320
<v Speaker 1>a lower rate, that's correct, and bringing an incredible network.

0:14:26.360 --> 0:14:29.800
<v Speaker 1>So pen FET has over business partners, We have relations

0:14:29.840 --> 0:14:32.880
<v Speaker 1>across all fifty states. We think we can identify the

0:14:33.000 --> 0:14:36.200
<v Speaker 1>right veterans and what a veterans need. What all entrepreneurs need.

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 1>They need capital, and they need a powerful network. We

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:41.680
<v Speaker 1>think bringing these things together can help really create jobs

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.120
<v Speaker 1>across America. James, I want to talk to us generally

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:47.040
<v Speaker 1>about the idea of a credit union today, at a

0:14:47.080 --> 0:14:51.560
<v Speaker 1>time when credit availability is uh pretty pretty rampant. I mean,

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:54.760
<v Speaker 1>you can get a loan pretty easily. Why is a

0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:58.520
<v Speaker 1>credit union better, especially when there's a certain sort of

0:14:58.880 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 1>advantage to having scale and a bank beside you, and

0:15:02.200 --> 0:15:05.400
<v Speaker 1>other sorts of advantages that say Bank of America and

0:15:05.520 --> 0:15:10.240
<v Speaker 1>uh well Struggle might have. It's about corporate structure. Nothing

0:15:10.240 --> 0:15:13.120
<v Speaker 1>wrong with the banking industry, but it's a different structure.

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:17.480
<v Speaker 1>Of bank. CEO's primary purpose is to return value to

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 1>the shareholder, So they want to pay their depositors, the

0:15:20.400 --> 0:15:23.960
<v Speaker 1>lease charge their commercial loan customers the most, to increase

0:15:24.000 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 1>their spread margin, provide return to their shareholders. A credit

0:15:27.800 --> 0:15:30.760
<v Speaker 1>union is a whole different corporate structure. The whole reason

0:15:30.800 --> 0:15:33.880
<v Speaker 1>a credit union exists is a service specific field of

0:15:33.920 --> 0:15:37.080
<v Speaker 1>membership and to provide the value back to the consumer. So,

0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:40.000
<v Speaker 1>as a credit union CEO, my job is to pay

0:15:40.040 --> 0:15:43.280
<v Speaker 1>the absolute highest rate fund deposits, for example two oh

0:15:43.320 --> 0:15:46.080
<v Speaker 1>seven on a one year CD right now market leader,

0:15:46.400 --> 0:15:48.800
<v Speaker 1>and the lowest rates on our loans to our member

0:15:48.800 --> 0:15:52.400
<v Speaker 1>owners run at the lowest spread margin possible to give

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 1>the value back to our owners, which is the members.

0:15:55.000 --> 0:15:58.120
<v Speaker 1>I don't have shareholders, I have the members by giving

0:15:58.160 --> 0:16:02.360
<v Speaker 1>them a lower loan rate or higher dividend rate. By structure,

0:16:03.120 --> 0:16:05.480
<v Speaker 1>is a better value for the consumer. But at the

0:16:05.520 --> 0:16:08.280
<v Speaker 1>same time, as the CEO of a large financial institution

0:16:08.560 --> 0:16:11.160
<v Speaker 1>as pen Mention twenty four billion, I have to run

0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:14.800
<v Speaker 1>extremely operationally efficient. The one thing that surprises me here

0:16:14.800 --> 0:16:16.880
<v Speaker 1>in America is that more banks don't want to convert

0:16:16.920 --> 0:16:19.520
<v Speaker 1>to become a credit union to align with the structure

0:16:19.560 --> 0:16:22.080
<v Speaker 1>for the consumer who they're trying to help. Talked a

0:16:22.080 --> 0:16:24.480
<v Speaker 1>little bit about the members that may try to do

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.880
<v Speaker 1>business with you in Puerto Rico and what you're doing there. Yeah,

0:16:28.040 --> 0:16:30.560
<v Speaker 1>we've been in Puerto Rico for over a decade. We

0:16:30.680 --> 0:16:33.320
<v Speaker 1>merged with the Fort Buchanan Federal Credit Union about a

0:16:33.320 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 1>decade ago. At the time we had just under eighteen

0:16:36.000 --> 0:16:39.920
<v Speaker 1>thousand members. Today we're one of the largest financial institutions

0:16:39.920 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 1>in Puerto Rico with two hundred thousand members. They've come

0:16:43.080 --> 0:16:46.280
<v Speaker 1>to Penn FED for trust and commitment. We've been there

0:16:46.440 --> 0:16:49.280
<v Speaker 1>with them through hard times. I've been there twice this year,

0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>right after the hurricane, and I've been back in early March.

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:55.080
<v Speaker 1>I bought Gary Sinise back to do a free concert.

0:16:55.400 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>We opened up the military base Fort Buchanan to the

0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:01.239
<v Speaker 1>San Juan community and the Greater Island to one show

0:17:01.280 --> 0:17:04.840
<v Speaker 1>that we appreciate the hardship in the struggle they've been through,

0:17:05.080 --> 0:17:07.400
<v Speaker 1>but at the same time, to continue to raise awareness.

0:17:07.440 --> 0:17:10.920
<v Speaker 1>There's Americans in Puerto Rico that need our help. Just

0:17:10.960 --> 0:17:13.719
<v Speaker 1>like we helped the victims of the storms in Texas, Florida,

0:17:13.800 --> 0:17:16.800
<v Speaker 1>New Jersey. These are fellow Americans that continue to need

0:17:16.840 --> 0:17:19.280
<v Speaker 1>the leadership of the private sector in the public sector

0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:23.159
<v Speaker 1>to help close gaps to bring life back to stability

0:17:23.160 --> 0:17:27.520
<v Speaker 1>and normal. They're still over eighty thousand individuals without power

0:17:27.680 --> 0:17:30.120
<v Speaker 1>six months into it. Can you imagine if a loved

0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.040
<v Speaker 1>one that you knew here in the States, you know

0:17:32.080 --> 0:17:34.159
<v Speaker 1>in New York or New Jersey or Connecticut or here

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:37.280
<v Speaker 1>in Virginia went a week without power. Imagine going six

0:17:37.320 --> 0:17:40.480
<v Speaker 1>months without power and fresh water in your home. It's

0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:44.200
<v Speaker 1>it's Americans need our help, you know, James, I'm struck

0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:47.840
<v Speaker 1>by the idea that pen fed is trying to serve

0:17:48.240 --> 0:17:51.040
<v Speaker 1>a specific group of clients. It's a nonprofit. It's trying

0:17:51.119 --> 0:17:53.679
<v Speaker 1>to be run up by the people. I'm trying to

0:17:53.720 --> 0:17:56.200
<v Speaker 1>square that with making sure that you're you know, fiscally

0:17:56.320 --> 0:17:58.879
<v Speaker 1>responsible and catering to clients at a time when to

0:17:58.960 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 1>false are starting to up. How how do you sort

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.120
<v Speaker 1>of manage that and what do you see as far

0:18:04.160 --> 0:18:07.560
<v Speaker 1>as the consumer credit landscape goes. Given the fact that

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>we are seeing delinquencies and defaults increase, we still see

0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:16.240
<v Speaker 1>amazing demand for our business. The the administration's tax cuts

0:18:16.240 --> 0:18:19.560
<v Speaker 1>have been very bullish. Uh. I think we have historically

0:18:19.600 --> 0:18:24.320
<v Speaker 1>low unemployment right now. We're seeing demand for consumer loans, automobiles,

0:18:24.560 --> 0:18:27.960
<v Speaker 1>our market leading credit card products, and home mortgages above

0:18:28.000 --> 0:18:31.040
<v Speaker 1>the norm. We've grown over forty thousand new members the

0:18:31.040 --> 0:18:34.679
<v Speaker 1>first quarter of eighteen alone, So we're seeing great demand

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:37.880
<v Speaker 1>for consumer products. But like all CEOs within the finance

0:18:38.160 --> 0:18:41.119
<v Speaker 1>financial services sector, we have to make good loans. We

0:18:41.160 --> 0:18:42.919
<v Speaker 1>need to make full doc loans, we need to make

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:45.600
<v Speaker 1>sure we know who the consumer is. So we're seeing

0:18:45.680 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 1>really strong demand for our products and services. We had

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:51.080
<v Speaker 1>a record year in twenty seventeen. We grew one point

0:18:51.080 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 1>seven billion. We've grown five dred million in assets the

0:18:54.119 --> 0:18:58.359
<v Speaker 1>first quarter. So the current administration policies, low unemployment, is

0:18:58.440 --> 0:19:02.040
<v Speaker 1>still historically low interest rate cycle. We're seeing great demand

0:19:02.080 --> 0:19:04.919
<v Speaker 1>for consumer lending. Even though we're late in the cycle

0:19:04.960 --> 0:19:07.080
<v Speaker 1>as you would think, we still think there's a few

0:19:07.119 --> 0:19:09.720
<v Speaker 1>years left to run because of a strong demand and

0:19:09.720 --> 0:19:13.119
<v Speaker 1>with these recent tax cuts. Last year, you opened something

0:19:13.200 --> 0:19:16.879
<v Speaker 1>called the Availability Command Center. Tell us what it is

0:19:16.920 --> 0:19:19.600
<v Speaker 1>and why you decided that this was worth your time,

0:19:19.760 --> 0:19:22.880
<v Speaker 1>energy and money. Definitely worth our time, energy and money.

0:19:22.880 --> 0:19:25.840
<v Speaker 1>Because we're an online firm. Pen Fed by Design does

0:19:26.880 --> 0:19:33.320
<v Speaker 1>percent of our business remotely, phones, mobile web. Of our

0:19:33.320 --> 0:19:37.040
<v Speaker 1>transactions are done remotely. We do a hundred million transactions

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:41.119
<v Speaker 1>a month. Our Availability Command Center insures our systems are

0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:43.960
<v Speaker 1>up running twenty four hours a day, seven days a

0:19:43.960 --> 0:19:47.480
<v Speaker 1>week to do real time processing, not batch processing, real

0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:51.280
<v Speaker 1>time processing anywhere in the world. For our customers are

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.359
<v Speaker 1>consumers what we call pen Fed members. With that said,

0:19:54.400 --> 0:19:56.840
<v Speaker 1>we could also from a forensis perspective, we can track

0:19:56.920 --> 0:20:00.480
<v Speaker 1>back any one of a hundred million transactions. Look for trends,

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:04.040
<v Speaker 1>look for cyber hacked trends. We have really good visibility

0:20:04.040 --> 0:20:06.720
<v Speaker 1>and everything flowing into and out of our network real time.

0:20:06.800 --> 0:20:10.159
<v Speaker 1>So in financial services, like in all industries today, UM

0:20:10.320 --> 0:20:13.280
<v Speaker 1>making the investment and information technology and infrastructure is worth

0:20:13.320 --> 0:20:15.879
<v Speaker 1>every penny. James Kank, thank you so much for joining us.

0:20:15.960 --> 0:20:20.240
<v Speaker 1>James Kink, President, chief executive officer of Pentagon. Federal Credit

0:20:20.320 --> 0:20:24.359
<v Speaker 1>Union is Penn FED, which is based in Alexandria, Virginia,

0:20:24.480 --> 0:20:28.440
<v Speaker 1>talking about a new program for veterans who are opening

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:47.639
<v Speaker 1>new businesses as well as credit unions. China and the

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:52.199
<v Speaker 1>automobile industry, it is lifting a nearly twenty year restriction

0:20:52.400 --> 0:20:57.560
<v Speaker 1>on foreign ownership of local jet is Chinese operations. Here

0:20:57.600 --> 0:21:00.320
<v Speaker 1>to tell us more. Kevin Tynan, Senior Auto zanns for

0:21:00.520 --> 0:21:04.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Intelligence, and you can follow Kevin on Twitter at

0:21:05.119 --> 0:21:09.040
<v Speaker 1>keV Tyne and ten And alright, keV Tyne and ten.

0:21:09.160 --> 0:21:13.480
<v Speaker 1>Why is China doing this well? I think they there's

0:21:13.520 --> 0:21:17.480
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of of the feeling that they want

0:21:17.480 --> 0:21:20.760
<v Speaker 1>to penetrate some markets outside of their own. UH. You know,

0:21:20.800 --> 0:21:25.040
<v Speaker 1>it's been very difficult to get Chinese manufacturers established in

0:21:25.119 --> 0:21:27.919
<v Speaker 1>Europe or in the US. UH. And the feeling is

0:21:27.960 --> 0:21:30.320
<v Speaker 1>that if they open up a little bit more, will

0:21:30.320 --> 0:21:32.920
<v Speaker 1>reciprocate and and get some of their brands in here.

0:21:33.560 --> 0:21:36.880
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk about exactly what China was doing. They

0:21:36.880 --> 0:21:41.160
<v Speaker 1>basically are saying that foreign automakers can own more than

0:21:41.280 --> 0:21:45.000
<v Speaker 1>fifty percent of local venturers. This would remove a two

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:50.040
<v Speaker 1>decade restriction UH that had prevented some companies, including Tesla,

0:21:50.520 --> 0:21:55.520
<v Speaker 1>from going to China. Is Tesla the biggest potential beneficiary

0:21:55.560 --> 0:21:57.600
<v Speaker 1>of this or can you point to another company that

0:21:58.200 --> 0:22:01.080
<v Speaker 1>might see a bigger boon from this? Well, I think

0:22:01.280 --> 0:22:03.639
<v Speaker 1>from where we are now, he said, that would be

0:22:03.680 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 1>the idea that Tesla probably is the biggest beneficiary. Right,

0:22:07.240 --> 0:22:11.679
<v Speaker 1>All the other automakers have established partnerships UH that probably

0:22:11.720 --> 0:22:14.800
<v Speaker 1>don't expire for ten years at a minimum. VW and

0:22:14.960 --> 0:22:19.600
<v Speaker 1>f A W probably double that twenty five years. Um,

0:22:19.640 --> 0:22:22.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, and and and and those are gonna those

0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:25.160
<v Speaker 1>are gonna remain in place. So Tesla sort of coming

0:22:25.160 --> 0:22:28.359
<v Speaker 1>in as a new entrant into the market probably can

0:22:28.480 --> 0:22:32.240
<v Speaker 1>establish something, UH in these terms, a little bit more beneficial.

0:22:32.280 --> 0:22:34.879
<v Speaker 1>But I'm just not sure that you really want to

0:22:34.880 --> 0:22:37.719
<v Speaker 1>be that involved in the Chinese market without a local partner.

0:22:37.800 --> 0:22:39.800
<v Speaker 1>I think that would be very difficult to do as well.

0:22:40.119 --> 0:22:42.639
<v Speaker 1>So the idea that that Tesla walks in and can

0:22:42.680 --> 0:22:46.800
<v Speaker 1>be independent uh in that marketplace and just gained huge

0:22:46.800 --> 0:22:49.800
<v Speaker 1>amount of market share I think is unrealistic. Well, Kevin,

0:22:49.800 --> 0:22:51.280
<v Speaker 1>can you just give us a sense of what the

0:22:51.280 --> 0:22:56.280
<v Speaker 1>objection to this fifty type of ownership structure is. Well,

0:22:56.280 --> 0:22:58.199
<v Speaker 1>that that's a huge market and there's a lot more

0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:00.439
<v Speaker 1>money to be made and you're basically sharing it with

0:23:00.520 --> 0:23:03.600
<v Speaker 1>your with your venture partners. I've always said, you know,

0:23:03.760 --> 0:23:06.199
<v Speaker 1>and we hear all the time about, you know, the

0:23:06.280 --> 0:23:09.400
<v Speaker 1>largest automotive market in the world. But when you look

0:23:09.440 --> 0:23:13.800
<v Speaker 1>back at at you know, General Motors income statement, Um,

0:23:13.920 --> 0:23:17.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, the the revenue contribution that is brought back

0:23:18.000 --> 0:23:20.720
<v Speaker 1>into the income statement is just it's it's pennies on

0:23:20.760 --> 0:23:23.800
<v Speaker 1>the dollar compared to what they generate here in North America.

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:26.960
<v Speaker 1>So it's really a volume story there. It always has

0:23:26.960 --> 0:23:28.800
<v Speaker 1>been a volume story there, but it's not really a

0:23:28.800 --> 0:23:31.760
<v Speaker 1>profit story, or it hasn't been as large a profit story.

0:23:31.800 --> 0:23:34.360
<v Speaker 1>And this sort of opens it up where you can

0:23:34.359 --> 0:23:36.439
<v Speaker 1>bring back a lot more of those earnings than you

0:23:36.480 --> 0:23:39.560
<v Speaker 1>had been able to previously. Kevin, is this going to

0:23:39.680 --> 0:23:43.760
<v Speaker 1>relate in any way to Chinese automobile companies looking to

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:47.160
<v Speaker 1>get into the US market. I would I would think so.

0:23:47.520 --> 0:23:49.840
<v Speaker 1>I think there's other hurdles there as well, in terms

0:23:49.840 --> 0:23:55.840
<v Speaker 1>of UM regulation, safety compliance kind of things. UM, But

0:23:55.840 --> 0:23:57.359
<v Speaker 1>but I would I would tend to think that that

0:23:57.400 --> 0:23:59.960
<v Speaker 1>would be the goal here. Um when you look at

0:24:00.040 --> 0:24:03.199
<v Speaker 1>the size of the Chinese market and then the size

0:24:03.200 --> 0:24:06.600
<v Speaker 1>of Europe or or even North America, and you have

0:24:06.680 --> 0:24:09.440
<v Speaker 1>to wonder, what you know that that Chinese market continues

0:24:09.440 --> 0:24:12.119
<v Speaker 1>to growing year after year after year, UM, what the

0:24:12.160 --> 0:24:14.720
<v Speaker 1>interest would be? And I don't think that the Chinese

0:24:14.800 --> 0:24:18.680
<v Speaker 1>government would really be doing something uh detrimental to their

0:24:18.680 --> 0:24:21.679
<v Speaker 1>own companies at the expense of being beneficial for for

0:24:21.800 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 1>their uh Western partners, just for the sake of letting

0:24:24.600 --> 0:24:27.040
<v Speaker 1>them make more money. Kevin, how much of this comes

0:24:27.040 --> 0:24:32.440
<v Speaker 1>in response to President Trump? Uh? Some of it for sure. UM,

0:24:32.800 --> 0:24:36.520
<v Speaker 1>but it's been it's been talked about for probably five years. Uh,

0:24:36.560 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>so this this predates him, for sure. Maybe the the

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:44.359
<v Speaker 1>rhetoric intensifies, uh since he's been in place. But this

0:24:44.480 --> 0:24:47.680
<v Speaker 1>is not a new concept or or something that's been

0:24:47.720 --> 0:24:50.920
<v Speaker 1>that's been tried to push forward. Uh, it's at least

0:24:50.920 --> 0:24:55.680
<v Speaker 1>five years. Kevin you're at the You're You're a consumer

0:24:55.680 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Electronics show? Yeah, I was there, Yeah, Yeah. Why did

0:24:59.080 --> 0:25:02.400
<v Speaker 1>you find there that that applies to the automobile industry?

0:25:02.440 --> 0:25:04.560
<v Speaker 1>Is it really all about trying to automate everything that

0:25:04.600 --> 0:25:08.439
<v Speaker 1>goes on in the cabin? It is. But what I thought,

0:25:08.640 --> 0:25:12.040
<v Speaker 1>and I was there with Michael Dean, our European analysts,

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:16.119
<v Speaker 1>and what really surprised me is is that there is

0:25:16.160 --> 0:25:20.040
<v Speaker 1>a lot of that, But how far away we really are? Um,

0:25:20.720 --> 0:25:22.520
<v Speaker 1>you know, this idea that we're going to be level

0:25:22.600 --> 0:25:28.440
<v Speaker 1>five full self driving anytime soon. Um, especially for the consumer,

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>for you know, your everyday passenger vehicle, is I think

0:25:31.359 --> 0:25:34.760
<v Speaker 1>much further away than people realize. Kevin Tynan, thank you

0:25:34.800 --> 0:25:37.360
<v Speaker 1>so much for being with us. Kevin Tynan, senior autos

0:25:37.359 --> 0:25:42.040
<v Speaker 1>analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence UH, and he was talking about

0:25:42.280 --> 0:25:46.720
<v Speaker 1>the move of China to open up its market to UH,

0:25:47.000 --> 0:25:49.720
<v Speaker 1>to the U S and two carmakers in general around

0:25:49.720 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 1>the world other than in China. Thanks for listening to

0:25:54.480 --> 0:25:57.399
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg P and L podcast. You can subscribe and

0:25:57.440 --> 0:26:00.879
<v Speaker 1>listen to interviews at Apple Podcasts, sound Cloud, or whatever

0:26:00.960 --> 0:26:04.439
<v Speaker 1>podcast platform you prefer. I'm pim Fox. I'm on Twitter,

0:26:04.720 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>at pim Fox. I'm on Twitter at Lisa Abramo. It's

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:11.320
<v Speaker 1>one before the podcast. You can always catch us worldwide

0:26:11.359 --> 0:26:12.240
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio