1 00:00:02,560 --> 00:00:07,080 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News. 2 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 2: Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here 3 00:00:13,200 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 2: are the stories we're following today, Karen. 4 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:18,520 Speaker 3: Nearly a month into a fragile ceasefire in the Middle East, 5 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:21,960 Speaker 3: the US and Iran have been trading fire again. This morning. 6 00:00:22,000 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 3: A relative calm has returned, but not before US Central 7 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 3: Command says the military fought off Iranian drones, missiles, and 8 00:00:29,120 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 3: small armed boats as it guided two US flagged vessels 9 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,479 Speaker 3: through the Strait of Horror moves. The United Arab Emirates 10 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:38,560 Speaker 3: says it has also intercepted Iranian cruise missiles and taken 11 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:41,520 Speaker 3: a hit to its for jeraport from an Iranian drone. 12 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 3: We get more from Bloomberg's Jumana Borsecci in Dubai. 13 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:47,320 Speaker 4: As a resident of the UAE. In the evening yesterday, 14 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 4: we received multiple missile alert techts throughout the course of 15 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:55,560 Speaker 4: the night. This happens after an Adnok tanko was reportedly 16 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:58,480 Speaker 4: targeted by an Iranian drone and then also emerged in 17 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,840 Speaker 4: the evening. That's Randy and Drown had also managed to 18 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:05,679 Speaker 4: intercept uaeas air defense system and cause some damage at 19 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:08,600 Speaker 4: an oil exporting facility, and this is the first time 20 00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 4: we got such an incident. And as you say, the 21 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 4: four weeks since the seasfire. 22 00:01:12,959 --> 00:01:15,959 Speaker 3: Bloomberg's Jumanibers sets your reports. All this is raising questions 23 00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 3: now about whether the seasfire has been broken well. 24 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:21,440 Speaker 2: Nathan Chevron says the conflict has forced the company and 25 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:25,360 Speaker 2: other oil majors to reduce Middle East production. CEO Mike 26 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 2: Wirth says he's been warning the White House that supplies 27 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,319 Speaker 2: are tightening. He spoke to Bloomberg at the Milk and 28 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 2: Global Conference in Los Angeles. 29 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 5: My advice to the President really relates to energy markets, 30 00:01:36,560 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 5: not to diplomacy and negotiations. And you know, I've advised 31 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 5: people in the administration that the buffers and the system 32 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 5: that help ensure supplies are available to markets are being 33 00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,880 Speaker 5: drawn down. And what that does. That creates more upside 34 00:01:52,880 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 5: price pressure, potentially more volatility and more risk. 35 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,639 Speaker 2: And you can see our entire interview with Chevron's CEO, 36 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 2: Mike and dozens of others from the Milk and Global conference. 37 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 2: They're all on our new video experience on the Bloomberg 38 00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:07,360 Speaker 2: Business app. 39 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:07,960 Speaker 6: Karen. 40 00:02:08,000 --> 00:02:11,880 Speaker 3: Officials are investigating a shooting not far from the White House. 41 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:15,480 Speaker 3: The Secret Service says law enforcement shot an unidentified man 42 00:02:15,560 --> 00:02:18,360 Speaker 3: near the Washington Monument after he opened fire on them. 43 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 3: Secret Service Deputy Director Matt Quinn says agents were called 44 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 3: about a suspicious person who appeared to be carrying a 45 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:27,160 Speaker 3: firearm pawn making contact. 46 00:02:27,160 --> 00:02:31,440 Speaker 7: That individual fled briefly on foot, withdrew a firearm and 47 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 7: fired fired in the direction of our agents and officers. 48 00:02:34,880 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 7: They returned fire and engaged That individual was hit. 49 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:42,040 Speaker 3: Secret Service Deputy Director Matt Quinn says a teenager was 50 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:45,600 Speaker 3: also shot, but not seriously hurt. A motorcade with Vice 51 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 3: President jd Vance had passed through the area shortly before 52 00:02:48,760 --> 00:02:51,840 Speaker 3: the confrontation, but the Secret Service says there is no 53 00:02:51,960 --> 00:02:53,600 Speaker 3: indication he was a target. 54 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 2: Nathan Senate Republicans have unveiled their plans to pay for 55 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 2: President Trump's immigration enforcement agenda for the rest of his term. 56 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 2: The bills from the Homeland, Security and Judiciary committees would 57 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:08,240 Speaker 2: greenlight a combine seventy one point seven billion dollars for 58 00:03:08,360 --> 00:03:12,360 Speaker 2: Immigration and Customs enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. The 59 00:03:12,400 --> 00:03:15,959 Speaker 2: Secret Service would also receive a billion dollars for security 60 00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:20,919 Speaker 2: enhancements to the President's White House Ballroom project, Republicans could 61 00:03:20,960 --> 00:03:23,600 Speaker 2: move the bills through the Senat as soon as next 62 00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 2: week without Democratic votes under the Budget Reconciliation Process KARENT. 63 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:31,720 Speaker 3: Some key elections are on the docket today. Ohio is 64 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 3: holding statewide primaries and prominent ally of President Trump's running 65 00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 3: for an open governor's seat and their competitive races for 66 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 3: the House and Senate as well. Bloomberg's Amy Morris reports 67 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:42,920 Speaker 3: from Washington. 68 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:46,800 Speaker 1: The race to replace outgoing Republican Governor Mike DeWine includes 69 00:03:46,880 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: Trump backed tech entrepreneur vivek Ramaswami. The winner will face 70 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 1: doctor Amy Acton, who is unopposed for the Democratic nomination. 71 00:03:54,800 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: In the Senate race, former Senator Shared Brown is running 72 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 1: to reclaim his old job. He faces Ron for the 73 00:04:00,640 --> 00:04:04,440 Speaker 1: Democratic nomination. One of the notable House races features a 74 00:04:04,480 --> 00:04:07,840 Speaker 1: crowded Republican field competing to take on twenty two term 75 00:04:07,920 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 1: in combat Democrat Marcy Captor in the ninth Congressional district 76 00:04:11,840 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: in Washington. Amy Moore as Bloomberg Radio Right. 77 00:04:14,400 --> 00:04:16,440 Speaker 2: Amy, thank you. Let's turn to the markets now, and 78 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 2: futures are higher following yesterday's war related declines. Still, the 79 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 2: S and P five hundred out more than five percent 80 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 2: this year. Well, the Nasdaq is up almost eight percent. 81 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,640 Speaker 2: Stuart Kaiser, as head of US equity trading strategy at City. 82 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 8: You know, on our estimates, retail is accounting for about 83 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,120 Speaker 8: seven and a half percent of equity trading volumes. That 84 00:04:35,200 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 8: number was as high as eleven or twelve earlier in 85 00:04:37,560 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 8: the year, and as high as fifteen back in October, 86 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:42,880 Speaker 8: So retail is present. But I do think this is 87 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,160 Speaker 8: more institutional in the US, so hedge funds getting their 88 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,159 Speaker 8: risk up, and then frankly, I think international investors have 89 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:52,040 Speaker 8: gravitated back towards the US similar to the way they 90 00:04:52,080 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 8: did last April. 91 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,840 Speaker 2: And City Stuart Kaiser also says better than expected earnings 92 00:04:56,880 --> 00:04:58,800 Speaker 2: have helped fuel the market rally, and. 93 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,120 Speaker 3: Karen Pallenteer is of the those companies that have topped 94 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:04,480 Speaker 3: earnings estimates and raised their revenue outlook for the year. 95 00:05:04,560 --> 00:05:08,799 Speaker 3: Havarn Pallenteer's case, the tech company also posted disappointing commercial 96 00:05:08,880 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 3: sales in the US for the first quarter. Stock is 97 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:13,719 Speaker 3: down more than three percent. 98 00:05:14,040 --> 00:05:16,080 Speaker 2: Let's look at the flip side, Nathan shares of Intel. 99 00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: They are up more than three percent in early trading. 100 00:05:18,520 --> 00:05:21,840 Speaker 2: Bloomberg News has learned. Apple has held discussions about using 101 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:26,160 Speaker 2: Intel and Samsung Electronics to produce the main processors for 102 00:05:26,240 --> 00:05:29,720 Speaker 2: its devices. Beget the story with Bloomberg's John Tucker. 103 00:05:29,880 --> 00:05:32,680 Speaker 9: Sources see The iPhone and iPad maker has had early 104 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:37,719 Speaker 9: stage talks with Intel about enlisting the company's chip making services. Meanwhile, 105 00:05:37,800 --> 00:05:41,200 Speaker 9: Apple executives had made visits to a Samsung plant under 106 00:05:41,240 --> 00:05:44,760 Speaker 9: development in Texas that will also make advanced chips. For 107 00:05:44,800 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 9: more than a decade, Apple has designed the main processors 108 00:05:48,320 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 9: known as systems on a chip that power its devices 109 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:55,000 Speaker 9: and relied on Taiwan's semiconductor manufacturing to build them using 110 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:59,160 Speaker 9: the most advanced production processes in Taiwan. Apple is considering 111 00:05:59,200 --> 00:06:03,799 Speaker 9: additional supply due to supply chain disruptions, including recent shortages 112 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:07,080 Speaker 9: driven by the buildout of AI data centers and hired 113 00:06:07,120 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 9: demand for max, which has constrained the company's growth. I'm 114 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 9: John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio John Thanks. 115 00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,200 Speaker 3: In Europe, shares of HSBC are down about six percent. 116 00:06:16,320 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 3: The London based bank reported profit that missed estimates. HSBC 117 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:23,159 Speaker 3: was weighed down by an unexpected fraud related charge in 118 00:06:23,200 --> 00:06:26,120 Speaker 3: the UK and rising economic risks from the conflict in 119 00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:26,760 Speaker 3: the Middle. 120 00:06:26,520 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 2: East and Nathan a fine for Elon Musk. The billionaire 121 00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 2: has agreed to pay one and a half million dollars 122 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:37,159 Speaker 2: to settle SEC allegations that he cheated Twitter shareholders in 123 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 2: twenty twenty two by failing to properly disclose his growing 124 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,360 Speaker 2: stake in the social media company. It's a much smaller 125 00:06:44,440 --> 00:06:47,760 Speaker 2: penalty than what must attorney says the SEC initially sought. 126 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,360 Speaker 2: A letter from twenty twenty four seen by Bloomberg News 127 00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:53,160 Speaker 2: shows the agency asked Musk to pay more than two 128 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 2: hundred million dollars to settle. Time now for a look 129 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 2: at some of the other stories making news in New 130 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 2: York and around the world, and for that we're joined 131 00:07:02,440 --> 00:07:06,039 Speaker 2: by Bloomberg's Michael bar Michael, good morning, Good morning Karen. 132 00:07:06,160 --> 00:07:09,320 Speaker 10: A close call at Newark Airport is raising new concerns 133 00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 10: about aviation safety. Investigators say a United Airlines jet came 134 00:07:13,640 --> 00:07:16,520 Speaker 10: within feet of disaster when it struck a tractor trailer 135 00:07:16,760 --> 00:07:19,800 Speaker 10: and light poll while landing. There were no injuries on 136 00:07:19,880 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 10: board the plane. United now has removed the flight crew 137 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 10: from duty and is pledging a thorough investigation along with 138 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:30,600 Speaker 10: the NTSB. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. 139 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 9: This is unacceptable. We having low We have some really 140 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 9: well trained palads. 141 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,560 Speaker 5: This is one This should never happen in America. 142 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:41,480 Speaker 10: The driver of the truck was treated for minor injuries 143 00:07:41,520 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 10: and is okay. The sudden collapse of Spirit Airlines is 144 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 10: not only affecting travel, it's affecting local economies. Near Pittsburgh, 145 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:54,080 Speaker 10: the executive director of Arnold Palmer Regional Airport, Maurice Hunts, 146 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 10: says the loss of flights will force downsizing. 147 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,239 Speaker 2: We hate to do that because it's one big family 148 00:07:59,280 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: here at the airport. 149 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:01,960 Speaker 8: I mean a lot of people put their heart and 150 00:08:02,040 --> 00:08:05,040 Speaker 8: soul in making this place thrive. 151 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,520 Speaker 10: Airport director Maurice has says they will have to let 152 00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 10: people go until they can find a replacement airline, and 153 00:08:11,440 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 10: that could be a few months from now to maybe 154 00:08:13,920 --> 00:08:17,880 Speaker 10: a year. New York City officials say that anti Semitic graffiti, 155 00:08:17,920 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 10: including swastikas, were spray painted on Jewish homes and synagogues, 156 00:08:22,240 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 10: and queens congrets at a synagogue are angry. 157 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 11: I really lived in a comforting cocoon. 158 00:08:29,280 --> 00:08:31,680 Speaker 2: I grew up in forest shelles, and I felt, Oh, 159 00:08:31,800 --> 00:08:33,080 Speaker 2: it can't happen here. 160 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 10: Police say that no arrests have been made. A spokesman 161 00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 10: f Rudy Giuliani says the former New York City mayor 162 00:08:39,400 --> 00:08:42,800 Speaker 10: is now breathing on his own. Spokesman Ted Goodman says 163 00:08:42,800 --> 00:08:46,240 Speaker 10: though Giuliani is still in critical condition as he recovers 164 00:08:46,240 --> 00:08:49,520 Speaker 10: from pneumonia in a Florida hospital. Goodman said that the 165 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,600 Speaker 10: lung infection had overwhelmed Giuliani and that he had required 166 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 10: a ventilator to breathe. It's unclear when the eighty one 167 00:08:56,600 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 10: year old former mayor was hospitalized. Global News twenty four 168 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:02,320 Speaker 10: hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg 169 00:09:02,400 --> 00:09:04,880 Speaker 10: News Now. I'm Michael Barrn. This is Bloomberg Cameron. 170 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:09,240 Speaker 2: Thanks Michael. Time now for our Bloomberg Sports updating. For that, 171 00:09:09,400 --> 00:09:10,920 Speaker 2: we bring in John stash Hour. 172 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:11,800 Speaker 10: Thanks Darren. 173 00:09:11,840 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 6: How hot are the next? They've won four straight playoff games. 174 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 6: They've been by fourteen points, then by twenty nine fifty one, 175 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:20,240 Speaker 6: and last night in New York a thirty nine point 176 00:09:20,360 --> 00:09:23,080 Speaker 6: round of Philadelphia in Game one of that playoff series 177 00:09:23,080 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 6: in the West Minnesota one by two in San Antonio 178 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,160 Speaker 6: to take the opener of that series. Carolina Hurricanes undefeated 179 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:31,600 Speaker 6: the Stanley Cup playoffs. They beat Philadelphia three two and 180 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:34,040 Speaker 6: over time they leave the series two zip. Vegas won 181 00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:37,559 Speaker 6: Game one from Anaheim Yankees over Baltimore twelve to one. 182 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:39,840 Speaker 6: The Yanks have one sixteen of eighteen. That's the Bloomberg 183 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:40,440 Speaker 6: Sports Upteate. 184 00:09:42,000 --> 00:09:42,760 Speaker 1: Stay with us. 185 00:09:42,880 --> 00:09:45,640 Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg day Break coming up after this. 186 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:49,600 Speaker 5: Coast to coast. 187 00:09:49,640 --> 00:09:53,760 Speaker 3: I'm Bloomberg Radio nationwide on Sirius XM and around the 188 00:09:53,800 --> 00:09:57,400 Speaker 3: world on Bloomberg dot Com and the Bloomberg Business app. 189 00:09:57,600 --> 00:10:01,679 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Tensions 190 00:10:01,760 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 3: in and around the Strait of Horror moves are flaring 191 00:10:04,000 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 3: into open fire between the US and Iran, nearly a 192 00:10:06,920 --> 00:10:09,679 Speaker 3: month into their ceasefire, but after more than two months 193 00:10:09,720 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 3: of war, President Trump says it had to be done. 194 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 11: Can't let them have a nuclear weapon? 195 00:10:14,440 --> 00:10:15,160 Speaker 2: Where are you going to have? 196 00:10:15,360 --> 00:10:19,439 Speaker 8: You have problems like nobody would believe, and it's going 197 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:20,040 Speaker 8: very well. 198 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 3: Was President Trump, speaking at a small business summit at 199 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,679 Speaker 3: the White House yesterday. Joining us this morning from Dubai 200 00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:30,000 Speaker 3: is Bloomberg's head of Middle East coverage, Stuart Livingstone Wallace, Stuart, 201 00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:32,240 Speaker 3: it's good to speak with you this morning. How are 202 00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:37,199 Speaker 3: things going. How fragile is the ceasefire this morning? Good morning, Good. 203 00:10:37,040 --> 00:10:39,400 Speaker 11: Morning, Nathan. I mean, I think it's fair to say 204 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:42,320 Speaker 11: it is fragile, but in some respects it's been fragile 205 00:10:42,360 --> 00:10:44,400 Speaker 11: since day one. I mean, we did have sort of 206 00:10:44,520 --> 00:10:48,359 Speaker 11: open fire within the first couple of days of the ceasefire, 207 00:10:48,840 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 11: and as you said, you know, things already hotted up yesterday. 208 00:10:51,920 --> 00:10:54,080 Speaker 11: Now that largely seems to have been triggered by this 209 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:57,679 Speaker 11: US attempt to open a passageway through or moves. They 210 00:10:57,679 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 11: did get at least a couple of ships through that 211 00:10:59,640 --> 00:11:02,680 Speaker 11: we're of. You know, there were a couple of US 212 00:11:02,760 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 11: Navy ships that went through. There was a commercial ship 213 00:11:04,920 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 11: that went through, and the response I think from the 214 00:11:07,360 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 11: Iranian side was to, you know, dramatically try and close 215 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 11: it again. So we had fire on commercial shipping around 216 00:11:14,760 --> 00:11:18,960 Speaker 11: the UAE. We had you know, missiles and drones take 217 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:23,200 Speaker 11: off again again headed towards US. Now they were largely 218 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:27,720 Speaker 11: successfully intercepted, but it is sort of, I guess a 219 00:11:27,760 --> 00:11:30,360 Speaker 11: warning to us all that, yes, we are in the 220 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 11: middle of US eas far, but it's a pretty fragile 221 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:36,040 Speaker 11: one and it's quite hard to see just what the 222 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,120 Speaker 11: definitive agreement will look like when both sides are clearly 223 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 11: determined to keep pressing out. 224 00:11:42,400 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 3: So, after the flare ups that we've seen over the 225 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 3: last twenty four hours, are we back to a point 226 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 3: that we were sort of at the height of the war, 227 00:11:49,800 --> 00:11:53,079 Speaker 3: where we're asking whether other countries are going to get 228 00:11:53,440 --> 00:11:58,000 Speaker 3: thrown into this conflict, particularly with the UAE intercepting some 229 00:11:58,040 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 3: of the fire it's taken recently. 230 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 11: Yeah, I mean I don't think we're quite there yet. Again, 231 00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 11: you'll hear the hesitancy in my voice, because it's been 232 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 11: very hard to predict what the next steps in any 233 00:12:08,080 --> 00:12:11,079 Speaker 11: of this conflict are. I mean, it's one unprecedented a 234 00:12:11,120 --> 00:12:14,240 Speaker 11: vendor after another, starting from the closure of Horror moves 235 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,559 Speaker 11: to you know, to Iran directly attacking the Gulf States. 236 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,280 Speaker 11: So in terms of what comes next, I think the 237 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:23,480 Speaker 11: US administration is probably going to want to wait and 238 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:27,280 Speaker 11: see a few days at least whether this new initiative 239 00:12:27,320 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 11: to open up hor Moos has some impact, whether that 240 00:12:29,760 --> 00:12:32,960 Speaker 11: can be sustained. And also looking at the Iranian side, 241 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 11: I mean, one thing that's certainly come up in conversations 242 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 11: today is what exactly is the Iranian strategy here beyond 243 00:12:38,760 --> 00:12:41,400 Speaker 11: blocking horn moves forever. You know, what exactly do they 244 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:43,959 Speaker 11: want out of this? Do they truly expect the US 245 00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,560 Speaker 11: administration to walk away from its red lines that are 246 00:12:46,559 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 11: set out with regard to the nuclear file, ballistic missile 247 00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 11: support for Broxies, you know, all these hugely important issues. 248 00:12:53,559 --> 00:12:56,560 Speaker 11: And again that's something that we'll see, you know, over 249 00:12:56,559 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 11: the next week or two how that develops. In the meantime, 250 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:02,560 Speaker 11: we have, certainly Pakistan, but I'm sure lots of other 251 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:05,880 Speaker 11: interested parties working hard behind the scenes to try and 252 00:13:05,920 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 11: get the two sides talking again. If you recall we 253 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:10,640 Speaker 11: had that sort of rather aborted at term to the 254 00:13:10,640 --> 00:13:13,800 Speaker 11: second round of talks in Islamabad. What was that now 255 00:13:13,800 --> 00:13:17,000 Speaker 11: a couple of weeks ago. Again, I think there's a 256 00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:19,600 Speaker 11: great appetite out there to try and find some common ground. 257 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:21,679 Speaker 11: But right now that I don't think anyone's already seeing it. 258 00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 3: Only about thirty seconds or so left here Stewart. But 259 00:13:24,679 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 3: is there a sense this morning from where you are 260 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 3: that the ceasefire is broken now or is there still 261 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:31,400 Speaker 3: a chance that it could be holding. 262 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:35,040 Speaker 11: I mean, again, as got back to my original answer, 263 00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 11: and what does cease far look like I mean, in fairness, 264 00:13:37,480 --> 00:13:40,000 Speaker 11: all sease fars across this region have been rather patchy, 265 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:42,880 Speaker 11: you know, in terms of the multiple conflicts would have 266 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 11: over the last three years. As things stand right now, 267 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:49,360 Speaker 11: and it is just right now, it appears reasonably calm. 268 00:13:49,360 --> 00:13:51,719 Speaker 11: We've had no fresh reports of attacks on shipping, We've 269 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:55,400 Speaker 11: had no fresh missile alerts here in the UAE. So 270 00:13:55,600 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 11: as things stand pretty calm relative to the current environment. 271 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:02,319 Speaker 11: And again I think there is great appetite out there 272 00:14:02,360 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 11: to try and move things forward, because you know, right 273 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:06,920 Speaker 11: where we are now is having a ripple effect across 274 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:10,599 Speaker 11: the global economy that's not good for anyone. 275 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:14,120 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories 276 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:17,240 Speaker 2: making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. 277 00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 3: Look for us on your podcast feed by six am 278 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 3: Eastern each morning, on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. 279 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:26,400 Speaker 2: You can also listen live each morning starting at five 280 00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 2: am Wall Street time on Bloomberg eleven three to zero 281 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 2: in New York, Bloomberg in ninety nine to one in Washington, 282 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:36,040 Speaker 2: Bloomberg ninety two nine in Boston, and nationwide on serious 283 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,040 Speaker 2: XM Channel one twenty one. 284 00:14:38,200 --> 00:14:40,960 Speaker 3: Plus listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business App 285 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,800 Speaker 3: now with Applecarplay and Android auto interfaces. 286 00:14:44,040 --> 00:14:47,040 Speaker 2: And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. 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