1 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:12,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:16,439 Speaker 1: DAYBAC podcast, available every morning on Apples, Spotify or wherever 3 00:00:16,480 --> 00:00:19,439 Speaker 1: you listen. It's Friday, the twenty second of March in London. 4 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: I'm Caroline Hepke and I'm Lizzie Verdon. 5 00:00:21,840 --> 00:00:22,560 Speaker 2: Coming up today. 6 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 3: Apple's value dropped by more than one hundred and ten 7 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 3: billion dollars as the tech giants legal challenges. 8 00:00:28,520 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 1: Mount, the Bank of England inches closer to rate cuts 9 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:34,040 Speaker 1: as the Hawks retreat. 10 00:00:34,080 --> 00:00:37,080 Speaker 3: Plus Reddit pops Shares in the social media firm rise 11 00:00:37,159 --> 00:00:41,560 Speaker 3: by forty eight percent as investors embrace their AI pitch. 12 00:00:42,120 --> 00:00:44,159 Speaker 1: Let's start with a raundup of our top stories. 13 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,159 Speaker 3: Apple's value has dropped by one hundred and thirteen billion 14 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,519 Speaker 3: dollars as regulators in the US and EU accused the 15 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 3: tech giant of abusing its market dominance. Once the world's 16 00:00:55,280 --> 00:00:57,639 Speaker 3: most valuable firm, with a market cup of more than 17 00:00:57,680 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 3: three trillion dollars, Apple has under formed both the Nasdaq 18 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,440 Speaker 3: and the SMP five hundred this year. The latest slide 19 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 3: in the tech firms share price comes after US Attorney 20 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 3: General Merrick Garland sued the company, accusing it of blocking 21 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 3: rivals from accessing hardware and software features on the iPhone. 22 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:18,520 Speaker 4: We allege that Apple has employed a strategy that relies 23 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:24,520 Speaker 4: on exclusionary anti competitive conduct that hurts both consumers and developers. 24 00:01:25,319 --> 00:01:29,759 Speaker 4: For consumers, that has meant fewer choices, higher prices and fees, 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 4: lower quality smartphones, apps and accessories, and less innovation from 26 00:01:35,160 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 4: Apple and its competitors. 27 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:42,120 Speaker 3: Merrick Garland's US Justice Department's lawsuit has been strongly refuted 28 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,080 Speaker 3: by Apple, who called it wrong on the facts and 29 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 3: the law. The iPhone maker also faces a competition probe 30 00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 3: by the EU, which could lovey penalties of up to 31 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 3: ten percent of global annual revenue. Earlier this month, Apple 32 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 3: was hit by a one point eight billion euro penalty 33 00:01:57,240 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 3: from the Block of releegations that it shoulds out music 34 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,920 Speaker 3: street rivals on its platforms now. 35 00:02:02,960 --> 00:02:05,440 Speaker 1: The Bank of England took a big step towards cutting 36 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,519 Speaker 1: interest rates at its March meeting. Although the central Bank 37 00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: kept interest rates on hold yesterday, none of its policymakers 38 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,799 Speaker 1: are now voting full rate rises, and the Central Bank 39 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 1: governor Agie Bailey says that the Bank of England can 40 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,360 Speaker 1: cut rates before reaching its two percent inflation target. 41 00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, we don't have to actually get inflation all the 42 00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,840 Speaker 3: way back to target sustainably to cut rates, for instance, 43 00:02:28,200 --> 00:02:30,320 Speaker 3: what we have to do is be convinced that it 44 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:31,280 Speaker 3: is going to go there. 45 00:02:31,760 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 2: We should act ahead. 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,800 Speaker 3: Of time in that sense, because we have to be 47 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 3: forward looking. 48 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: Reacting to those words from the Governor Ajie Bailey, markets 49 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:44,560 Speaker 1: moved up their expected first rate cut to June Bailey's 50 00:02:44,560 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 1: comments bring the Bank Viglin more in line with the 51 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:47,800 Speaker 1: Fed and the ECB. 52 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:51,280 Speaker 3: And staying in the UK, we brought you the retail 53 00:02:51,360 --> 00:02:54,600 Speaker 3: sales numbers. UK consumers are the most confident they've been 54 00:02:54,639 --> 00:02:57,840 Speaker 3: about their personal finances in years. This is according to 55 00:02:57,880 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 3: the GfK measure, which tracks the way people feel about 56 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:04,520 Speaker 3: their finances. It rose to plus two in the latest survey, 57 00:03:04,800 --> 00:03:07,799 Speaker 3: as the first positive reading since December twenty twenty one. 58 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: The figures indicate personal budgets remained strong even as the 59 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:13,680 Speaker 3: Bank of England chose to hold interest rates at that 60 00:03:13,840 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: sixteen year high. 61 00:03:15,960 --> 00:03:20,240 Speaker 1: Chinese authorities are examining the role of PwC in Evergrand's 62 00:03:20,280 --> 00:03:23,920 Speaker 1: accounting practices after the developer was accused of a seventy 63 00:03:23,960 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: eight billion dollar fraud. The move ramps up pressure on 64 00:03:27,240 --> 00:03:30,080 Speaker 1: the global accounting giant that order to a slew of 65 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: Chinese property firms before the sector's melt down. Evergrand's alleged 66 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 1: forward dwarfs that of Enron and has added fuel to 67 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 1: concern about how widespread such accounting issues are in China. 68 00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:46,520 Speaker 3: Shares in the social media company Reddit have soared by 69 00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 3: forty eight percent after its USIPO. Investors appear to have 70 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 3: embraced the company's vision of profiting from the growth of 71 00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 3: artificial intelligence. The COO, Gen Wong, says the AI revolution 72 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 3: is at the center of reddits value proposition. 73 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,520 Speaker 5: Large language models need data to train on, and when 74 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:07,480 Speaker 5: you look at riddit's corpus nineteen years of human experience 75 00:04:07,760 --> 00:04:12,920 Speaker 5: organized by topic with well in moderation and relevance. That's 76 00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 5: incredibly important to building both a chat capability and the 77 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,800 Speaker 5: freshness of information. So that's an area where you know, 78 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:21,919 Speaker 5: we see opportunity. 79 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:25,400 Speaker 2: Read it's Gen Wong, they're speaking to Bloomberg. 80 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 3: The firm also says it's in the early stages of 81 00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:32,720 Speaker 3: allowing third parties to license access to data on the platform. 82 00:04:33,160 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 1: After six and a half years in exile, the man 83 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: who tried to break up Spain is making a comeback. 84 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:42,320 Speaker 1: Carls Pouche demon led the Catalan independence movement and caused 85 00:04:42,360 --> 00:04:46,359 Speaker 1: Spain's worst political crisis since it became a democracy. He 86 00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 1: is now planning to run for his old job as 87 00:04:48,640 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 1: President of Catalan in the May elections. 88 00:04:54,480 --> 00:04:57,360 Speaker 6: I'm not looking for what is most comfortable and less 89 00:04:57,480 --> 00:05:01,840 Speaker 6: risky on a personal level. Not explain to myself after 90 00:05:01,880 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 6: having spent six and a half years its defending the 91 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 6: presidency in exile, now that we have an opportunity to 92 00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 6: restore the presidency, I think that was unjustly illicitly an 93 00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:16,719 Speaker 6: illegally destitute by Article one five to. 94 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 1: Five Prisdom while speaking there via a translator and referring 95 00:05:22,839 --> 00:05:26,039 Speaker 1: to Article one fifty five that is the controversial law 96 00:05:26,080 --> 00:05:29,479 Speaker 1: that the Spanish government used in twenty seventeen to force 97 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:33,560 Speaker 1: the regional Catalan administration to obey national law after an 98 00:05:33,640 --> 00:05:35,479 Speaker 1: illegal independence referendum. 99 00:05:36,360 --> 00:05:39,479 Speaker 3: Finally, there are signs of progress towards a possible Guards 100 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 3: of Peace agreement at the same time as Israel is 101 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 3: threatening to invade Raffa. This is as the US Secretary 102 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 3: of State Anthony Blincn is in the Middle East attempting 103 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:50,560 Speaker 3: to help breaker a deal between Humas and Israel. 104 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 2: Blomberg's Ed Baxter explains. 105 00:05:53,600 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 7: Delegations from Israel, the US, Cutter, and Egypt will meet 106 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,200 Speaker 7: today to try to draw up a plan so that 107 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:02,600 Speaker 7: the invasion doesn't have to happen. But Israel's Minister for 108 00:06:02,640 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 7: a Strategic Affairs, Ron Dermer, on a US podcast says, 109 00:06:05,960 --> 00:06:09,160 Speaker 7: Hamasha infrastructure remains in Rava. 110 00:06:08,680 --> 00:06:11,919 Speaker 8: Which you saw in October seventh, was a genocidal force 111 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,240 Speaker 8: that wants to wipe out all the Jews. And it's 112 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 8: the first program that we've had since the birth of 113 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:19,840 Speaker 8: the State of Israel. We have the ability to defend ourselves. 114 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,359 Speaker 7: He says. If there is not a piece deal, the 115 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:26,239 Speaker 7: assault will happen. Ed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio. 116 00:06:26,360 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 1: We're going to delve into the story around Apple and 117 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 1: the share price drop in just a moment. But there's 118 00:06:31,360 --> 00:06:34,360 Speaker 1: a very interesting piece on the Rumberg terminal from Dave Lee. 119 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:37,680 Speaker 1: Now Dave I've known for many, many years, and he 120 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,479 Speaker 1: writes on all things technology, and he's always just got 121 00:06:40,480 --> 00:06:43,480 Speaker 1: such a great turn of phrases, one of our opinion columnists, 122 00:06:43,520 --> 00:06:46,400 Speaker 1: and he's saying, look, you can't back Apple into a 123 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:49,480 Speaker 1: corner that is not what the US should be doing 124 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,960 Speaker 1: this after the case from the DOJS of looking into 125 00:06:54,000 --> 00:06:58,599 Speaker 1: anti competitive behavior. He's saying that actually Apple's authoritarianism is 126 00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:01,919 Speaker 1: what makes an iPhone iPhone and not an Android. He 127 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:06,559 Speaker 1: talks about you know, fans of Android, you know, saying 128 00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: that their phones can do everything that iPhone can do, 129 00:07:09,800 --> 00:07:14,320 Speaker 1: but they ignore that Actually the experience on an Android phone, 130 00:07:14,440 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: as Dave puts it, is a hot mess. 131 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:17,280 Speaker 2: Yeah. 132 00:07:17,400 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 3: I'm of the Holy Trinity of Apple myself. I'm just 133 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:21,920 Speaker 3: going to put it out there. I guess what you're 134 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 3: saying is that androids are clunky. That's what Apple loyalists 135 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:29,000 Speaker 3: would say. And yeah, Dave puts it really well. He 136 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 3: says that you don't want the US to force Apple 137 00:07:32,400 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 3: to make a worse iPhone. 138 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:34,960 Speaker 2: Through all this regulation. 139 00:07:35,080 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 3: If you level the playing field, it means adding complication 140 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:43,000 Speaker 3: and friction and insecurity to a device, he says, whose 141 00:07:43,040 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 3: success is based on getting rid of those things. So 142 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:50,120 Speaker 3: this is completely against the very best of the iPhone. 143 00:07:50,480 --> 00:07:53,520 Speaker 1: Well that's one perspective. Should we get the other perspective, 144 00:07:53,560 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 1: which is around the regulation. Shares in Apple Yesterday's slid 145 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,920 Speaker 1: by more than four percent, so wiping out that Hunter 146 00:08:00,080 --> 00:08:04,240 Speaker 1: thirteen billion dollars off of Apple's market cap. Investors do 147 00:08:04,320 --> 00:08:08,200 Speaker 1: seem to be spooked by another US lawsuit, also a 148 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:11,240 Speaker 1: European probe after a big EU fine. Let's bring in 149 00:08:11,240 --> 00:08:14,480 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Oliver Crook, who's been following all of this for US. 150 00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 1: I'm sure that's not the perspective of the Europeans who 151 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:22,080 Speaker 1: want to regulate Apple a bit more thoroughly. But firstly, 152 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 1: what about this Justice Department lawsuit the Biden administration getting 153 00:08:26,320 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: a bit tougher on tech. 154 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,680 Speaker 9: Yeah, this is very interesting because and there's a meaningful 155 00:08:30,720 --> 00:08:32,880 Speaker 9: set because it's coming out of the United States itself. 156 00:08:32,920 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 9: It's perhaps less of a shock to have regulation coming 157 00:08:35,280 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 9: out of Europe and having that happen to hit in 158 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:39,200 Speaker 9: your US firms, as we've seen a lot of that 159 00:08:39,240 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 9: in the past, but now it's coming directly from the 160 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 9: heart of the United States and the DOJ. So this 161 00:08:43,559 --> 00:08:46,120 Speaker 9: is all looking at how you can access hardware and 162 00:08:46,200 --> 00:08:50,640 Speaker 9: software for their iPhone, distributing apps for developers, but also 163 00:08:50,880 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 9: harder for people who use the phone to switch it. 164 00:08:53,600 --> 00:08:55,800 Speaker 9: Of course, Apple is firing back, has a very different 165 00:08:55,880 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 9: view of thing that they're wrong on the fact, and 166 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,000 Speaker 9: the laws has standardous precedent. They don't want the government 167 00:09:00,160 --> 00:09:03,520 Speaker 9: to get involved in, you know, designing of tech. But again, 168 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,320 Speaker 9: you know, I think the Europeans would argue in a 169 00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 9: number of people in tech is that our very concept 170 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 9: of how this technology work, our very concept of its experience, 171 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 9: what we think in our minds of its limits, are 172 00:09:13,880 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 9: actually governed by these companies and we, you know, we 173 00:09:16,640 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 9: need to be a little bit more expansive in the 174 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:20,040 Speaker 9: way that we think about these things. The App Store 175 00:09:20,120 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 9: is a great example. This is at the heart of 176 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 9: the European probe and this for Margarete a Vesta here 177 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,200 Speaker 9: is going to be front and center in her attack 178 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,880 Speaker 9: of both yes, Apple, but also potentially Google. 179 00:09:29,600 --> 00:09:32,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, you say, it's less surprising that the EU would 180 00:09:32,240 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 3: crack down on big tech. But it's not just Apple 181 00:09:34,679 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 3: that's for bearing the brunt to this, it's also Google. 182 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:40,040 Speaker 3: What exactly is the EU trying to pin them down 183 00:09:40,120 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 3: on to find them? 184 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 9: Yeah, so this is very interesting. So in burnas separate 185 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 9: this into kind of two different categories. So you remember 186 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:49,200 Speaker 9: the fine we got about three weeks ago for Apple, 187 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,800 Speaker 9: which is one point eight billion euros, right, and that 188 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 9: was about the App Store and Spotify and a complaint 189 00:09:54,240 --> 00:09:57,080 Speaker 9: that they had leveled. Since then, you have the Digital 190 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 9: Markets Act, which is a new regime of regulation coming 191 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:01,839 Speaker 9: out of that has come into power. That came into 192 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 9: power in fact that week, the week that we spoke 193 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 9: to Margaret's investor, who is the architect of it. And 194 00:10:06,400 --> 00:10:08,760 Speaker 9: this gives all kinds of new rules in terms of 195 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:10,720 Speaker 9: how to govern big tech to deal with exactly some 196 00:10:10,800 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 9: of these issues, the anti competitive behavior. And what's interesting 197 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 9: on this is it also gives us very clear consequences 198 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 9: if you violate this. They're talking about potentially ten percent 199 00:10:19,760 --> 00:10:22,880 Speaker 9: of international sales on the first violations, up to twenty 200 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,079 Speaker 9: percent if you're a repeat violator. And they're also talking 201 00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 9: about potentially breaking up these companies. So now we understand 202 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:30,079 Speaker 9: that under the digital market sector, which again we've had 203 00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:32,640 Speaker 9: no legal action for yet from the EU, we understand 204 00:10:32,679 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 9: that both Google and Apple are in the crosshairs and 205 00:10:35,120 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 9: a lot of this is going to focus on the 206 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:39,200 Speaker 9: apps and again their dominant position in the market. 207 00:10:40,160 --> 00:10:43,439 Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, And so this is I suppose what investors 208 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 1: are most concerned about. I mean, how significant is the 209 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:50,280 Speaker 1: share price drop and the worry about Apple's performance? Yeah? 210 00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 9: Well, I mean, well, Listen, we still can't take away 211 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 9: from the fact that context of Apple and its absolute 212 00:10:54,400 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 9: size and its performance over the last you know, many 213 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:58,680 Speaker 9: many years, and that is you know, so it's coming 214 00:10:58,720 --> 00:11:00,560 Speaker 9: up from a high base. But it's saying because if 215 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:02,319 Speaker 9: you do take a step back and you look at Apple, 216 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,160 Speaker 9: what's going on. More broadly, Europe and the US are 217 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:08,960 Speaker 9: increasingly important markets for Apple because a there's sort of 218 00:11:09,040 --> 00:11:12,280 Speaker 9: much more concern about tech supremacy and China wanting to 219 00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:14,600 Speaker 9: develop its own tech, pushing its own iPhones. And we 220 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 9: saw that report out earlier this month or last month 221 00:11:17,880 --> 00:11:20,680 Speaker 9: about Apple sales the iPhone down twenty five percent in 222 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 9: China in just the first few months of the year. 223 00:11:22,520 --> 00:11:24,880 Speaker 9: That is absolutely huge. So that puts the focus on 224 00:11:24,920 --> 00:11:26,840 Speaker 9: Europe and the United States and if they're going to 225 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 9: be coming under intense regulatory scrutiny in both of those markets, 226 00:11:30,040 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 9: which are increasingly important, investors are going to pay attention 227 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:35,440 Speaker 9: to that and clearly to the tune of over one 228 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 9: hundred billion dollars worth of market gap yesterday. 229 00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:40,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, Oliver, thank you so much for being with 230 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:43,280 Speaker 1: us this morning and take us through then the Apple story, 231 00:11:43,320 --> 00:11:46,360 Speaker 1: the European perspective, in more blue bags Oliver Crook there, 232 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:50,000 Speaker 1: so that's one key story. But then also want to 233 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,360 Speaker 1: think a bit about the Bank of England what happened 234 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,840 Speaker 1: yesterday sort of moving closer to interest rate cuts? 235 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:56,240 Speaker 2: Is there not in London? 236 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: I know you in Dubai, but it doesn't mean that 237 00:11:58,720 --> 00:12:02,200 Speaker 1: you haven't kept to be on Governor Andrew Bailey. 238 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:04,480 Speaker 2: So he gave a. 239 00:12:04,200 --> 00:12:08,040 Speaker 1: Short sort of clip interview to TV stations yesterday, there 240 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,800 Speaker 1: wasn't a full press conference and he's also there's a 241 00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:15,120 Speaker 1: piece in the Ft this morning from him too. He 242 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:19,600 Speaker 1: did talk about and told broadcasts in the UK that 243 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,160 Speaker 1: Rake huts and the UK's on the way to winning 244 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 1: its fight against inflation, so Rake cuts maybe on the way. 245 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: What did you make of the Bank of England decision yesterday? 246 00:12:29,920 --> 00:12:32,480 Speaker 1: I thought that it wasn't as devish as he did. 247 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:35,120 Speaker 1: We did lose two Hawks in the form of Catherine 248 00:12:35,120 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 1: Mann and Jonathan Haskell, but it was still a hold 249 00:12:38,840 --> 00:12:42,400 Speaker 1: and the majority of the committee voted to hold. What 250 00:12:42,480 --> 00:12:44,920 Speaker 1: I thought was interesting in terms of the signaling that 251 00:12:44,960 --> 00:12:48,079 Speaker 1: you ask about, was that you had Andrew Bailey saying 252 00:12:48,320 --> 00:12:51,679 Speaker 1: the bank could cut rates and still be restrictive. So 253 00:12:51,720 --> 00:12:54,680 Speaker 1: you might say maybe that's not so surprising rates are high, 254 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:57,440 Speaker 1: but actually I think that suggests that rates are coming soon. 255 00:12:57,520 --> 00:13:00,760 Speaker 1: You mentioned the ft interview with the Governor saying that 256 00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: rate cuts are in play at future meetings, reiterating the 257 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 1: point that inflation doesn't need to be at target to cut. 258 00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:10,439 Speaker 1: For me, that acknowledges the point that's been made by 259 00:13:10,840 --> 00:13:13,240 Speaker 1: Swatty Dinger at the Dove on the Committee time and 260 00:13:13,320 --> 00:13:16,640 Speaker 1: time again that there's this lag in monetary transmission. You've 261 00:13:16,640 --> 00:13:19,880 Speaker 1: got to wait for people to refinance their cars, re 262 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:23,480 Speaker 1: mortgage on their houses, for interest rates to transmit to 263 00:13:23,480 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 1: the real economy. That suggests you've got a lag. You 264 00:13:26,440 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 1: need to get ahead and you need to cut rates 265 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:29,600 Speaker 1: sooner rather than later. 266 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:30,760 Speaker 7: Yeah. 267 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:33,160 Speaker 1: Absolutely, And I remember speaking to the M and S 268 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,240 Speaker 1: chairman who was saying, look, you know, if a company, 269 00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,200 Speaker 1: I mean, if you think about that read across, if 270 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 1: a company doesn't have big debts, it's not going to 271 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 1: be you know, rate hikes or rate cuts that then 272 00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:45,960 Speaker 1: get passed through to the price of pasta, you know, 273 00:13:46,000 --> 00:13:48,280 Speaker 1: in his view straight away. So it does, you know, 274 00:13:48,280 --> 00:13:51,440 Speaker 1: it does take time. On the other hand, the Bank 275 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:56,520 Speaker 1: of England looks to be versus yesterday pre the decision 276 00:13:56,800 --> 00:13:58,679 Speaker 1: actually closer to the FED now, doesn't it? 277 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, more so now, But by comparison, both of them 278 00:14:02,520 --> 00:14:05,719 Speaker 3: pretty boring compared to all the other central banks out 279 00:14:05,760 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 3: there that surprised US overnight. So you had that quarter 280 00:14:08,440 --> 00:14:12,240 Speaker 3: point cut from the SNB, the Bank of Mexico with 281 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 3: its first quarter point cut this cycle, Turkey and Taiwan 282 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,360 Speaker 3: with a five hundred basis point and a twelve and 283 00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 3: a half basis point height, respectively. So all of those 284 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:23,880 Speaker 3: This is why I think that the BOE is a 285 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:25,000 Speaker 3: bit of a nothing burger. 286 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:25,600 Speaker 2: Caroline. 287 00:14:25,840 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 3: Look, speaking to strategists, they flag the risk that the 288 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:32,680 Speaker 3: FED lags European central banks in easing this year, and 289 00:14:32,880 --> 00:14:37,240 Speaker 3: HSBC was already warning that the pounds increasingly vulnerable even 290 00:14:37,280 --> 00:14:39,840 Speaker 3: though it's been the strongest in the G seven this year, 291 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 3: because it could be that the BOE seems dubbish by comparison. 292 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:47,600 Speaker 3: Our economists conclusion here at Bloomberg Economics and the r 293 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:51,000 Speaker 3: wise Head is that yes, the data justify a may 294 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:54,440 Speaker 3: cut from the BOE, but the Military Policy Committee is 295 00:14:54,480 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 3: going to be very cautious and it's not going to 296 00:14:56,960 --> 00:14:59,920 Speaker 3: want to cut first of its major central banking pick. 297 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 2: They didn't get the credit going first. 298 00:15:02,480 --> 00:15:04,240 Speaker 3: On the way in, so they're not going to rush 299 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 3: to be the first on the way out. This is 300 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:11,240 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the stories making 301 00:15:11,280 --> 00:15:13,600 Speaker 3: news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 302 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 1: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning on Apple, Spotify, 303 00:15:17,960 --> 00:15:19,840 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 304 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:23,520 Speaker 3: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 305 00:15:23,680 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 3: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg Park Flagship New York station. 306 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 1: Is also available on your Amazon Alexa devices. Just say 307 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:35,400 Speaker 1: Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 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