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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go fifteen Conny twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, forty coty five fifty and.

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Speaker 1: The Kickers block Book, College Football.

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Speaker 3: World stund Oh my goodness, he stumble and football the

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Speaker 3: lateral turn, the corner on the inside. Don't you believe

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Speaker 3: I'm not the table up the field to night. It's

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Speaker 3: not the side on the dog any fun.

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Speaker 1: It's the side of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: Week six college football betting preview. I'm stucky and joining

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Speaker 2: me as always is Colin Wilson. Have a lot to

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Speaker 2: get to for this weekend. Lots and lots of quarterback

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Speaker 2: uncertainty across the board, especially in the big games. Colin,

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Speaker 2: what's going on?

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Speaker 1: I think you said in our company slack like I'm

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Speaker 1: checking twenty quarterback concussions. You know what's you know? What's

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Speaker 1: better is tracking a hurricane and predicting whether these coaches

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Speaker 1: love to hold their cards. These quarterback situations are mind boggling.

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Speaker 2: We'll get some Friday night lights here in just a sec.

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Speaker 2: Bring back look Ahead and look away. We'll cover four

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Speaker 2: Marquee games, cover four more in the rundown, and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna take out the trash. Obviously, I think I got

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Speaker 2: four or five last weekend. It's a great weekend. Hopefully

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Speaker 2: we can repeat it, and we're going to try and

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Speaker 2: get to the window with some dumpster diving. But I

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Speaker 2: do first want to give it heads up to our

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Speaker 2: listeners out there. Today is the start of the MLB Playoffs.

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Speaker 2: That means actually Networks Baseball betting podcast Payoff Pitch, Great crew.

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Speaker 2: We'll have new playoff best bet episodes basically every weekday

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Speaker 2: through the World Series. So if you want to bet

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Speaker 2: some playoff baseball, check out the Payoff Pitch podcast, presented

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Speaker 2: by our friends at bet MGM. They do a tremendous job.

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Speaker 2: Love listening to Zerillo and company. You will be smarter

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Speaker 2: and most likely make money along the way if you're

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Speaker 2: into the baseball playoffs, which I can't wait for. I

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Speaker 2: was exhausted by the end of this meaningless MLB season.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's hop right in to our first segment

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Speaker 2: and talk some Friday night lights.

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Speaker 1: That's here, gentlemen, clear eyes, full hearts. Hey, let's go

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Speaker 1: play some football.

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Speaker 2: Well, there's four games. I don't know if I'm going

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Speaker 2: to subject anybody to talking nebraskat Rutgers. Colin Lets you

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Speaker 2: have a take.

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Speaker 1: You have to back Ruggers at three and a half

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Speaker 1: four the big difference of special teams. The corn Oskers

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Speaker 1: can't defend anything, so Rutgers of three and a half

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Speaker 1: or four has value. I can't say that I'm going

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Speaker 1: to play it.

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Speaker 2: Though. You said you have the bet Ruggers. Now you don't.

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Speaker 2: You don't have the bet Ruckers. You don't have to

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Speaker 2: the bet in Nebraska. You don't have to bet this game.

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Speaker 2: We'll see just how bad the Nebraska defense is against

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Speaker 2: this Rutgers offense.

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Speaker 1: Hard pass Nebraska. Honestly, it's not for everyone.

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Speaker 2: But let's talk the other three games, which I do

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Speaker 2: think that there are some things worth betting. We've got

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Speaker 2: really good feedback, by the way, on the new format

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Speaker 2: for the new BCS with myself, Coen and Brett McMurphy,

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Speaker 2: which comes out every Tuesday, talk some betting takeaways from

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Speaker 2: the weekend, look ahead to some betting things, and it's

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Speaker 2: a really fun episode. Every week. I talked about Colorado State,

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Speaker 2: who might be I think it's gonna be without their

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Speaker 2: starting quarterback here, but I don't think it really matters.

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Speaker 2: I think their backup is fine. There's not much of

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Speaker 2: a Downgraady knows the system they're coming off of bye week,

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Speaker 2: has been able to run with the ones based in

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Speaker 2: my handicap, and this is going to be Look, it's

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Speaker 2: an awful gay between two of the worst teams, but

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Speaker 2: it'll be fun to watch because these two teams hate

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Speaker 2: each other because a novel left Nevada went to Colorado State,

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Speaker 2: took ten players with him, took some of the stats.

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Speaker 2: Ken Wilson, and new Nevada coach has been coming at

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Speaker 2: him in the press this week. You have players that

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Speaker 2: are on Colorida State replying to his tweet saying about

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Speaker 2: his quotes, saying that's not true, you're lying. So these

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Speaker 2: teams definitely don't like each other. My handicap is simple here.

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Speaker 2: These are two dumpster fires, the theme of the past

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Speaker 2: two weeks. There are two awful teams. I think it's

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Speaker 2: basically a coin flip. Colorado State has been unbettable, unbackable

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Speaker 2: all season because of their offensive line issues. You know

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Speaker 2: there's a new air raid. They're also you know breaking

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Speaker 2: in a new scheme. Well, you're coming off of a bye,

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Speaker 2: you've had four games, and so there should be a

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Speaker 2: little bit more continuity. You're also going up against a

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Speaker 2: bad defense, and more importantly, they should be getting everyone

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Speaker 2: on the offensive line back. Like they lost a bunch

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Speaker 2: of starters. They were playing with backups that just weren't

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Speaker 2: cutting it. I think they've been sacked twenty four times,

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Speaker 2: most of the country by far, running narra eight if

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Speaker 2: you have zero seconds to throw. So with the offensive

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Speaker 2: line being now healthy, two weeks to prepare, four games

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Speaker 2: under the belt with a brand new scheme, and I'm

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Speaker 2: talking brand new onein eighty from what they ran last year,

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Speaker 2: I think you'll see some improvement. My confident College State's

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Speaker 2: gonna win this, Kip, No, could they lose by thirty?

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Speaker 4: Sure?

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Speaker 2: Could Nevada lose therety? Sure? I just think it's a

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Speaker 2: point flip between two garbage teams. I'll take the hook here.

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Speaker 1: You know you mentioned a quarterback play, But how much

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Speaker 1: does it hurt to lose Clay Millen He's got double

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Speaker 1: the turnover worth he plays and he does big time

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Speaker 1: throws and Ken Wilson's just throwing fire at Jay Norvel.

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Speaker 1: You know who tells, you know, players to skip a bowl,

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Speaker 1: who tells players just head onto the NFL. And but

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Speaker 1: I don't know if that's going to translate to a

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Speaker 1: fired up Nevada team here at home because the spread's

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Speaker 1: too high. You're right, I make it a pick. It

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Speaker 1: should be a pick. Number says to bought by Colorado

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Speaker 1: State stuff. But they're near dead last and offensive finishing

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Speaker 1: drives their special teams is one hundred and fifteenth Colorado State. Like,

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Speaker 1: I'm just looking for signs of life to try to

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Speaker 1: back this team. And you know, Nevada is like top

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Speaker 1: twenty in special teams right now, so at least there's

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Speaker 1: a little bit of advantage there. I think some points

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Speaker 1: are going to be scared.

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Speaker 2: Their kickers out for there. I think they're kickers out

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Speaker 2: for the year. Yeah, yeah, like their best player.

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Speaker 1: So which I think points will be scored because maybe

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Speaker 1: you're going forward on fourth downs, maybe you're going for

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Speaker 1: touchdowns instead of kick kicks. So you know, I think

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Speaker 1: that we've reached the bottom of where the steam is

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Speaker 1: going on the total. So I'll probably be on the game,

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Speaker 1: but probably more on the over than I would be

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Speaker 1: with you on Colorado State.

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Speaker 2: Well, if you're listening, come swimming in the dumpster with me.

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Speaker 2: We're going with the Rams, all right. Another game Friday night,

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Speaker 2: Houston at Memphis. Memphis two and a half point favorite

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Speaker 2: over under fifty seven and a half. I dug into

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Speaker 2: this game. Unfortunately, my life is sad for about an

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Speaker 2: hour last night at three in the morning, and I

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Speaker 2: was thinking I was good to bet Memphis. I'm betting

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Speaker 2: you here, and I'm sad about it. Trust me, hopefully

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Speaker 2: doesn't get an overtime in data that doesn't take the

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Speaker 2: ball first. You know, when you look at these two teams,

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Speaker 2: Houston has been there's just something that's been off. And

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Speaker 2: they did lose their sack leader, one of the best

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Speaker 2: defensivelignment for the season. But you know, and they lost

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Speaker 2: to a third string like a third string quarterback drove

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Speaker 2: the field of them last week. But they easily could

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Speaker 2: have won that game. They went to overtime. Utsa overtime

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Speaker 2: with a really good Texas Tech team. I think they've

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Speaker 2: been running a bit poorly, and I think that the

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Speaker 2: main culprit has been the play calling. And if you

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Speaker 2: look at them, out of runs they're calling, how about

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Speaker 2: this against Tulane last week, twelve of the ninth and

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Speaker 2: twelve of the nineteen last at nineteen early downs, excuse me,

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Speaker 2: twelve of the final nineteen first downs at the second

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Speaker 2: half of overtime. They ran the ball. They were running

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Speaker 2: the ball in Orton in right, this is not you have.

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Speaker 2: You have a quarterback, a fifth year quarterback, one of

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Speaker 2: the best receivers in the country. After listening to everything

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Speaker 2: you know, and apparently like Dawson's calling the plays and

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Speaker 2: he's being too conservative, I think I think Holgerson is

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Speaker 2: either going to whip them into being more aggressive here

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Speaker 2: or you're gonna see Holgerson take over play calling here.

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Speaker 2: And that is a good thing against Memphis because Memphis

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Speaker 2: pass defense is horrendous. There's also injury news, which kind

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Speaker 2: of swung me. So Memphis has a couple offensive linemen,

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Speaker 2: key offensive linemen that are fifty to fifty at best

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Speaker 2: to play. They didn't play last week against Temple, and

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Speaker 2: it was a disaster. They were up three to nothing

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Speaker 2: in the fourth quarter to Temple sacked a bunch. They

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Speaker 2: got no protection. If they don't play. I just don't

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Speaker 2: see this Memphis offense having much success. And you say Okay, well,

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Speaker 2: Tulane last week they were moving the ball back up quarterbacks. Yes,

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Speaker 2: but Houston's two best defensive backs, and this is from

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Speaker 2: a team that lost two defensive backs to the NFL

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Speaker 2: ones on the Patriots, ones on the Ravens. They were

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Speaker 2: both out last week. They are both confirmed in this week.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a major difference. And I think this

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Speaker 2: is just a good time to buy low on Houston

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Speaker 2: and sell high on a four and one Memphis team that,

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Speaker 2: like I said, down three to nothing the Temple at

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Speaker 2: the half. Their run defense has been pretty good. They

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Speaker 2: beat Navy. Okay, they got truck by Miss State, put

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Speaker 2: up a bunch of garbage points. They beat Arkansas State

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Speaker 2: forty four to thirty two. In that game, Arkansas State

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Speaker 2: moved the ball. Fine. The one really troublesome result for

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Speaker 2: me is they beat North Texas forty four to thirty four.

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Speaker 2: Memphis had two pick six's in that game. Two and

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Speaker 2: they beat North Texas forty four to thirty four. They

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Speaker 2: got absolutely shred. I mean they got five hundred yards.

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Speaker 2: They should have lost that game. The six yards per

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Speaker 2: play to four and a half yards per play. Yeah,

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Speaker 2: I was low on this Memphis team coming into the year,

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Speaker 2: they lost their best offensive player in Calvin Austin, lost

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Speaker 2: an important tight end. Their defense was yeh if they

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Speaker 2: could be shaky, and after digging in, I think this

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Speaker 2: is the right time to sell Memphis and by Houston.

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Speaker 2: I only concern as Houston is quit. But we're buying

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Speaker 2: the kugs. We're riding with Dana on Friday night. You agree, disagree.

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Speaker 1: You would never buy a hook on a two and

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Speaker 1: a half down to a two, But Dana Holgerson makes

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Speaker 1: you think, huh. I mean, you get a little bit

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Speaker 1: nervous with his overtime strategies. But I agree that Houston

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Speaker 1: is aside they should be favored. But with two and

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Speaker 1: a halfs acrossboard, you do get a little bit nervous

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Speaker 1: about that. But I think I think the over is

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Speaker 1: where I'm going to be playing. There's like stuck. You

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Speaker 1: mentioned heavy rush stats favoring Houston's stuff right lineyards. It

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Speaker 1: should be dominationed by the Cougars here on their offense.

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Speaker 1: I think the problem is is Brandon Campbell and Ton

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Speaker 1: Henry are not near as explosive if as Clayton Tune

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Speaker 1: has been on the ground, so you know that is

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Speaker 1: something to kind of monitor. But you know when you

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Speaker 1: go to the other side, why I like the over

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Speaker 1: is stuck. You mentioned that there's going to be a

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Speaker 1: pass rush applied by Houston and a Memphis offensive line

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Speaker 1: that can't do anything about it, even with injury. It

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Speaker 1: makes it worse. Now, seth in Agan is nine to

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Speaker 1: one TD to I in T ratio, but when you

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Speaker 1: look at his big time throw turnover worthy play ratio,

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Speaker 1: it's like one to one. So it's a little bit

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Speaker 1: inflation there on the TD stats. He's already got twelve

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Speaker 1: hundred yards in for Memphis and Houston is sixteenth and coverage,

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Speaker 1: they can be exposed, but they do have the best

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Speaker 1: pass rush of the nation graded by PFF. There's gonna

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Speaker 1: be plenty of busted plays here. There's gonna be sacks

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Speaker 1: on Memphis and passing downs and the Tigers are eighteenth

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Speaker 1: and explosiveness on passing downs. I think it's like an

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Speaker 1: all or nothing thing from Hennegan and the Memphis offense.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're gonna see like sacks so that it's

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Speaker 1: like third and twenty five, but you're also going to

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Speaker 1: see like thirty yard gains against this Houston defense. It

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Speaker 1: just is just out. Did they just lose their minds?

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Speaker 1: Like they're not even paying attention sometimes in passing downs.

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Speaker 1: So I think that's gonna be a real problem. So

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Speaker 1: I favor the over here more than back in Houston.

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Speaker 2: Last game, you UNLV at San Jose States, and as

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Speaker 2: I State six and a half point favored here over

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Speaker 2: under forty two. You like the Spartans here, right.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah a lot. I mean my power ratings makes

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Speaker 1: this San Jose State thirteen. And I really sat there

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Speaker 1: and stared at it, like have I screwed up here somehow?

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Speaker 1: And grading these games? And the truth is I just

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Speaker 1: have never been a believer in what UNOV has been

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Speaker 1: able to do with their new offensive quarter and nicols.

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Speaker 1: I love Schavon Cordero, and I was not thrown off

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Speaker 1: by an early season slow start against FCS team. An

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Speaker 1: eight point loss to Auburn on the road is actually

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Speaker 1: pretty respectable. I think there's even better value backing San

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Speaker 1: Jose State in the first half, considering UNLV was losing

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Speaker 1: to New Mexico in the second half. They needed eight

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Speaker 1: turnovers to win their two games the week before. A

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Speaker 1: big key to stopping UNLV's attack is the ground unit

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Speaker 1: of Doug Brumfield at quarterback and Aiden Robbins running back UNLV,

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Speaker 1: that's a really good tandem on the ground, but San

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Speaker 1: Jose State is twenty first and stuff rate. But when

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Speaker 1: you go over the offensive side of the ball for

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Speaker 1: San Jose State, Chavon Cordero is just he's been on fire.

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Speaker 1: Everything that we loved about him for being a dual

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Speaker 1: threat at Hawaii, he's brought over here and he's made

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Speaker 1: San Jose State better. One hundred and fifty one scramble

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Speaker 1: yards so far this season, a thousand yards passing, no

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Speaker 1: interceptions when San Jose State is forced into long passing downs.

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Speaker 1: The fact that Cordero is so good at scrambling and

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Speaker 1: getting big gains has really been a positive here. UNLV

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Speaker 1: does have great coverage grade. They've been pretty good in

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Speaker 1: defending the past, but they rank outside the top one

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Speaker 1: hundred and defending passing downs explosiveness. So, like I said,

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Speaker 1: if Chavon Cordero in San Jose State is in third

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Speaker 1: and long, they've actually been able to convert a lot

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Speaker 1: and UNLV has been giving it up a lot, So

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Speaker 1: I think some scores are going to come from there too.

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Speaker 1: I like the Spartans. I don't think they're properly graded

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Speaker 1: by the rest of the market because I make this

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Speaker 1: game thirteen, so we'll see.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm aloud a touchdown to it. I agree, I'll

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Speaker 2: be on them in some sense. This NLB team I

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Speaker 2: think is overvalued and it's good matchup for the Spartans.

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Speaker 2: Go San Jose State and that wind total. I think

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Speaker 2: we're both on the overlooks really strong. Yeah, they're scheduled

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Speaker 2: the rest of the way in the Mountain West. That

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Speaker 2: is just bad this year. This is for first place

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Speaker 2: in the division, by the way. All right, let's bring back,

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Speaker 2: say a favorite take of my mind, look ahead or

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Speaker 2: look away? Hangovers, sleepers and the dreaded sandwich spot.

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Speaker 3: Is it time to look ahead or look away?

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Speaker 2: Look at some of the best spots on the board,

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Speaker 2: look at who teams played last week, who they played

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Speaker 2: next week. Ultimately comes down with the number in the matchup.

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Speaker 2: But sometimes you might have a favorite that takes his

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Speaker 2: foot off the gas a little earlier, might not show

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Speaker 2: as much, etc. Etc. Let's start, Oh, miss at Vandy.

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Speaker 2: Vandy's catching seventeen here over under sixty two and a half.

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Speaker 2: I played Vanderbilt here plus seventeen and a half, I

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Speaker 2: still liked them. At seventeen. Vandy's improved. They guess, I

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Speaker 2: got drilled by Alabama, but that was to be expected.

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Speaker 2: They're coming off of a bye here, and Ole Miss,

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Speaker 2: for what it's worth, just played Kentucky in a hard

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Speaker 2: falck game, pretty fortunate with some fumbles late. You know,

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Speaker 2: after this Vandy game, they go Auburn at LSU at

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Speaker 2: Texas A and m home home against Alabama at Arkansas

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Speaker 2: home against Miss State, like the Gauntlet. So I doubt

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Speaker 2: that Lane, who has been doing this all year, get

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Speaker 2: a lead and then sit on it. And I'm not

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Speaker 2: gonna show much, probably wants to make sure that they're

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Speaker 2: healthy for this SEC stretch run. So not only that,

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Speaker 2: I think Vanderbilt can hang around here, I just haven't

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Speaker 2: been impressed with Old Miss. I mean, like they barely

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Speaker 2: escaped KENTUCKYO. I'm really low on barely escape Tulsa. Like

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Speaker 2: they're letting these teams hang around. Not impressed with Jackson

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Speaker 2: Dart and like Vandy's run defense has been okay and

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Speaker 2: that's how you have to stop this Old Miss offense.

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Speaker 2: And I like AJ Swan and some of the things

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Speaker 2: that I've seen from him at quarterback for Vanderbilt. This

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Speaker 2: is a team there was a thirty five point underdog

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Speaker 2: against Ada ole Miss last year, lost by fourteen. I

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Speaker 2: think they'll have some confidence here and I think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna keep this close and even if it gets a

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Speaker 2: little out of hand, I don't think ole Miss is

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Speaker 2: gonna try and run this out. And there might be

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Speaker 2: a chance for a Vandy back door. But I think

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Speaker 2: Van you'll be feisty here in a good spot.

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Speaker 1: Do you agree, Yeah, it's a fantastic spot. I'm glad

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Speaker 1: we're leading off this segment with this team. Vanderbilt is

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Speaker 1: a home sleeper this weekend, and we came into the

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Speaker 1: season from the summer saying Lane Kiffen doesn't like the

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Speaker 1: makeup of this team. It is not Matt Carrou's version

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Speaker 1: of ole Miss, the one that could, you know, just

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Speaker 1: be electric through the air. There is none of that

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Speaker 1: on this team. This team has been terrible passing with

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Speaker 1: Jackson Dart, they've become a run first team sixty three

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Speaker 1: percent of the time. And so when you switch back

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Speaker 1: over to Vanderbilt, you mentioned aj Swan. I mean, for

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Speaker 1: two years we had this Mike right Ken seals quarterback

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Speaker 1: battle and all of a sudden, freshman you know, aj

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Speaker 1: Swan is named the starter and is really kind of

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Speaker 1: run with it. Six tds, no interceptions, more big time

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Speaker 1: throws than turnover worthy plays. Just watch film on this kid.

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Speaker 1: He he makes plays. I mean he gys guys driving very.

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Speaker 2: Smart high IQ you could tell you can. He progresses,

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Speaker 2: he reads the defense, goes through his progressions well. And

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Speaker 2: Mike Wright, who's a hell of an athlete, he'll get

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Speaker 2: some plays here.

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Speaker 1: The best route of attack against ole Miss is actually

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Speaker 1: on the ground. Ray Davis has created twenty six Miss tackles.

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Speaker 1: The averages are real healthy three point four yards after contact.

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Speaker 1: So I think Vanderbilt's going to have some success running

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Speaker 1: the ball here. And that's exactly what ole Miss is right.

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Speaker 1: They are a cash cow under team. They've gone under

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Speaker 1: in twelve of their last thirteen games dating back to

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Speaker 1: last season. Their pace is still there, but the passing

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Speaker 1: success rate the havoc allowed, it's dipped outside the top

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Speaker 1: eighty five. This is not the same offense. They are

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Speaker 1: not explosive in passing downs and now they're a heavy

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Speaker 1: run first team. That plays into the fact that they're

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Speaker 1: not going to run away with ball games. So I

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Speaker 1: do like Vandy here. I mean, I make the game nineteen,

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Speaker 1: but because of the situational spot, I come back and

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Speaker 1: I want to bet Vandy try to get that seventeen.

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Speaker 1: Believe in aj Swan stuck. I think my best bet

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Speaker 1: was Tulsa on the show a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: and ole Miss was terrible in that game last week

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Speaker 1: watching that they couldn't put Kentucky away. Now you're going

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Speaker 1: to get a Vanderbilt tem with a spread this large.

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Speaker 1: I don't think you can cover this either, or at

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Speaker 1: least maintain a three score lead. Give me a J

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Speaker 1: Swan and Vanderbilt to get a cover here, ohe.

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Speaker 2: The fourth down Variances goes are way because Lane's gonna

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Speaker 2: go for the lot. So you just hope that every

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Speaker 2: fourth down early doesn't go against Danny and if one

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Speaker 2: or two goes the other way, and we'll be sitting

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Speaker 2: pretty all right. Let's move on to the next game here.

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Speaker 2: Clemson off that huge win against NC State, now will

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Speaker 2: head up to Boston College. You know BC is going

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Speaker 2: to be hype for this to face Clemson. It's also

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Speaker 2: a Red Bandada game honoring wellscrother an amazing story hero

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Speaker 2: from nine to eleven. If you haven't heard it already,

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Speaker 2: look it up. Clemson's obviously off that huge win against

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Speaker 2: Ends State. They have Florida State on deck. They're also

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Speaker 2: coming off that weight game. They got Florida State on deck.

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Speaker 2: Syrah houset a Notre dame like this is a very

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Speaker 2: sleepy spot. BC was lifeless until last week and then

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Speaker 2: they upset Louisville that. I mean, they couldn't if you

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Speaker 2: watched that vob Tech game. I mean, I don't think

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Speaker 2: that one hundred total yards twenty one. I'll probably on

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Speaker 2: BC in some former fashion, but I went to twenty one.

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Speaker 2: He would worry right away about the offensive line, like

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Speaker 2: the Boston College offensive line had to replace everyone from

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Speaker 2: last year. They couldn't do a thing up until that

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Speaker 2: Louisville game. DC current likes one hundred and thirty first

385
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Speaker 2: in line yards, one hundred and twenty sixth in sacrate,

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Speaker 2: but with a brand new unit, they you know, had

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Speaker 2: another guy in there last week. They finally had some

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Speaker 2: time because they have such talented players on the outside.

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Speaker 2: Zay Flowers were the most explosive players should be a

390
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Speaker 2: first round draft pick. He's amazing. You have a quarterback

391
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Speaker 2: with an NFL arm. They finally got some time to

392
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Speaker 2: do some things last week that was against Why I

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Speaker 2: was even more impressed with that. And they tried to

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Speaker 2: give a game. That game away too, But why I

395
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Speaker 2: was so impressed with that effort was what does What's

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Speaker 2: one thing that Louisville does very well? They rank in

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Speaker 2: the top ten in sacrate and passing down saccarate And

398
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Speaker 2: you would think BC, their whole offense would get blown

399
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Speaker 2: up by that. Nope, they handled themselves. So trending up

400
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Speaker 2: in that direction. How about Clemson right, oh, the best

401
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Speaker 2: offensive line in the history of college football, which many

402
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,240
Speaker 2: people thought, you know what, they're passing down sacerate is

403
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:21,359
Speaker 2: one hundredth the regular sacrate seventy sixth. This has been

404
00:20:21,400 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 2: an average defensive line that will also be without Brian

405
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Speaker 2: Verse again maybe Xavier Thomas. So I think PC's offense

406
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Speaker 2: could get some things done here. I think they'll cover

407
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Speaker 2: this number in an awful spot for Clemson. I'm riding

408
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Speaker 2: with the Eagles again, and my boy Phil Jerkovich, the.

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Speaker 1: Number is completely inflated. I mean it's just way too

410
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Speaker 1: high right now. I projected at fifteen and a half.

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Speaker 1: So there's certainly some value on Boston College. But there's

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Speaker 1: just a lot of love in the market for Clemson

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Speaker 1: after what they did to NC State last week, putting

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Speaker 1: it together on the offensive side of the ball, Like, Hello,

415
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Speaker 1: Clemson offense, welcome back to the world you know of

416
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Speaker 1: actually mattering in the college football national title landscape. Here

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Speaker 1: we are recording this podcast on a Thursday. I'm staring

418
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Speaker 1: at a two deep the Dabbo puts out and it's

419
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Speaker 1: not even close to the reality of what this defense

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Speaker 1: is going to have on the field. You know, at

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Speaker 1: Boston College. If you go to the other side, you know,

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Speaker 1: with Clemson's offense, Boston College is one hundred and twelfth

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Speaker 1: and defensive pass covers, they're not generating any havoc whatsoever.

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Speaker 1: And Clemson is now a top ten team and standard

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Speaker 1: downs explosiveness that is DJ running, that is DJ throwing.

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Speaker 1: You know, Clemson should absolutely shut down this BC attack.

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Speaker 1: That's you know, dead last in lineyards. They can't run

428
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 1: the ball whatsoever. Who are we going to see on

429
00:21:34,520 --> 00:21:37,000
Speaker 1: this defensive side for Clemson. So it's tough for me

430
00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:39,119
Speaker 1: to buy into some flate. It's spread on Clemson. But

431
00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:41,840
Speaker 1: I do like the over in this game. I'm probably

432
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,199
Speaker 1: gonna hit it here while we're recording the podcast. I

433
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:46,800
Speaker 1: think DJ continues to roll with this offense. The BC

434
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,640
Speaker 1: defense can't throw up any resistance, and I don't think

435
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:51,560
Speaker 1: Clemson is fully healthy, and I don't think we'll see

436
00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,520
Speaker 1: their full list of starters as to what we'll see

437
00:21:54,520 --> 00:21:55,800
Speaker 1: against Florida State next week.

438
00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:59,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I also think the BC offensive line numbers are

439
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:02,359
Speaker 2: are going to continue to improve, like we saw last week,

440
00:22:02,440 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 2: brand new unit. You would expect like literally five new guys.

441
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,399
Speaker 2: You would expect improvement as the year goes on. I

442
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,360
Speaker 2: think we saw that last week against a team that's

443
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,879
Speaker 2: top ten and sacarate and you know, they put up

444
00:22:12,920 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 2: thirty five even with some crazy turnovers, and the town

445
00:22:16,280 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 2: is there on the outside. So yeah, I think pc'll score.

446
00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:21,240
Speaker 2: I mean, Furman moved the ball on Clemson. This is

447
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:25,760
Speaker 2: not your elite Clemson defense and especially offense.

448
00:22:26,119 --> 00:22:28,159
Speaker 1: This is a DJU podcast, or at least on my

449
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:28,760
Speaker 1: side on this.

450
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:30,639
Speaker 2: On this side of my one, it's a half, it's

451
00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:31,679
Speaker 2: a d podcast.

452
00:22:32,840 --> 00:22:38,199
Speaker 3: No no no no no no no no no no

453
00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,160
Speaker 3: no no no.

454
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:42,639
Speaker 5: One.

455
00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: Last one I would Illinois We're not gonna spend a

456
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:46,159
Speaker 2: lot of time as Illinois three point they were over

457
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:48,400
Speaker 2: under thirty six and a half. These are the only

458
00:22:48,400 --> 00:22:50,920
Speaker 2: two teams in the country that are allowing fewer than

459
00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:56,440
Speaker 2: five yards per attempt to opposing pass offenses. Iowa off

460
00:22:56,520 --> 00:22:59,600
Speaker 2: of a lost to Michigan with Ohio State on deck,

461
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:05,280
Speaker 2: going up to Sleepy Champagne Sandwich City Sandwiches. But I

462
00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:07,040
Speaker 2: don't know. I doesn't come across to me as a

463
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:09,800
Speaker 2: team that's like going to overlook an opponent. It's like

464
00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:13,240
Speaker 2: they're and generally been good on the road. He's good.

465
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,879
Speaker 2: The special team's travels forcing turnovers and defense travels well,

466
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:18,640
Speaker 2: I would lean Owa here if you can get over

467
00:23:18,680 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 2: three under, if you get thirty seven, I don't think

468
00:23:22,119 --> 00:23:25,439
Speaker 2: the spot really applies here. Any thoughts here. I know

469
00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:27,880
Speaker 2: you're an Illinois call. Your haters are gonna be calling

470
00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:28,320
Speaker 2: if you get this.

471
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:31,640
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, man, the Illinois season win total under got

472
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,199
Speaker 1: some phone got some phone calls already on the on

473
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:37,520
Speaker 1: the podcast this season. But listen, I mean, I guess

474
00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,280
Speaker 1: credit to Brebi Ilima for you know, used to coach

475
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,359
Speaker 1: a Wisconsin got Paul Chris fired and now he played

476
00:23:42,400 --> 00:23:45,879
Speaker 1: nose guard at Iowa. Maybe he can get Brian Furenz fired,

477
00:23:45,880 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 1: maybe his offensive coordinator, who knows. But listen, everybody in

478
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,159
Speaker 1: this division is one one on one except for Wisconsin.

479
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,639
Speaker 1: So it's a really big two game stretch with Iowa

480
00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:56,440
Speaker 1: and Minnesota on deck for Illinois, we'll see what We'll

481
00:23:56,440 --> 00:23:58,520
Speaker 1: see what the fighting line I got. But when you

482
00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:01,200
Speaker 1: look at the advanced metrics up against each other, both

483
00:24:01,240 --> 00:24:04,960
Speaker 1: of these defense should absolutely dominate in this game. And

484
00:24:05,280 --> 00:24:07,600
Speaker 1: you know there isn't quite the extremes when Illinois has

485
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:10,520
Speaker 1: the ball, when Tommy DeVito's there at quarterback, you know,

486
00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:13,119
Speaker 1: the Hawkeys are second, you know, in the back seven

487
00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:15,600
Speaker 1: when it comes to coverage rating, So you know, I

488
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:17,760
Speaker 1: think the cover and the win for Illinois is going

489
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:19,760
Speaker 1: to have to come through Chase Brown in the run game.

490
00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:22,480
Speaker 1: He's creating a ton of miss tackles through zone runs

491
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,199
Speaker 1: this year. But at the same time, this projection is

492
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,440
Speaker 1: below three, so I think it's a little bit inflator

493
00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:29,560
Speaker 1: right now. There's a lot I love in the Illinois market.

494
00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 1: I think for me, the total I mentioned in playing

495
00:24:33,200 --> 00:24:35,120
Speaker 1: at thirty five and above, this thing is steamed down

496
00:24:35,119 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: to thirty six and a half. There are major havoc

497
00:24:37,880 --> 00:24:40,560
Speaker 1: advantages for both defenses that could cause a lot of

498
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:44,199
Speaker 1: easy scores, and Iowa special teams is ninth and sp plus.

499
00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:46,840
Speaker 1: Like I said last week, I mean, anytime we get

500
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 1: these Iowa totals and they get down around this five

501
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:53,480
Speaker 1: touchdown range, you're just a mistake away from Iowa turning

502
00:24:53,520 --> 00:24:56,080
Speaker 1: that into points. So if there's a thirty five that's

503
00:24:56,080 --> 00:24:58,040
Speaker 1: going to pop, this is going to continue to steaming down.

504
00:24:58,160 --> 00:24:59,320
Speaker 1: I will look to play an over.

505
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,480
Speaker 2: Unfortunately for Iowa Rutgers, it took two defensive touchdowns and

506
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:06,320
Speaker 2: a fifty one yard people other banked in to go

507
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 2: over by a point and a half. All right, let's

508
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:15,359
Speaker 2: move on to our marquee games of the day. It's

509
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,760
Speaker 2: another fabulous weekend of college football.

510
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:21,960
Speaker 1: Let's check out the marquee matchups.

511
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 3: We'll all end up being for week six.

512
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:28,199
Speaker 2: All right, let's start. We got another great noon slate. Now,

513
00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:32,080
Speaker 2: this slate overall probably the worst left of the year

514
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 2: because a couple of the top games Texas A and

515
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:42,600
Speaker 2: m Alabama preseason that was so hyped obviously not as

516
00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:47,080
Speaker 2: appetizing as of now, like Michigan State Ohio State was

517
00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:50,480
Speaker 2: Michigan State going to be decent. Nah, the dumpster, you know,

518
00:25:50,640 --> 00:25:53,080
Speaker 2: Arkansas like a lot of these injuries. Texas Oklahoma aren't

519
00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 2: even ranked. Those are four Big Twelve games this week

520
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,920
Speaker 2: and the only one of unranked teams is Texas Oklahoma.

521
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 2: First time since ninety eight neither team has been right.

522
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 2: We'll talk about all those games, but the noon slide

523
00:26:04,040 --> 00:26:07,520
Speaker 2: is at least really intriguing. Let's kick things off in

524
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:15,400
Speaker 2: the SEC and let's talk Tennessee at LSU. This is ah,

525
00:26:15,720 --> 00:26:18,719
Speaker 2: I mean, man, I was digging into this game for forever.

526
00:26:18,800 --> 00:26:21,960
Speaker 2: I obviously like Tennessee here because I'm super high on

527
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:24,879
Speaker 2: them coming into the year, still high on them. Also

528
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:27,359
Speaker 2: like the spot they're coming off of a bye. I

529
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: don't look, you have two potential first round draft picks

530
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:34,320
Speaker 2: at receiver in this game. I don't know. And look,

531
00:26:34,359 --> 00:26:36,920
Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with Keishan Boutez. I

532
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:39,520
Speaker 2: don't think he's one hundred yards receiving yet. And Cedric

533
00:26:39,560 --> 00:26:43,640
Speaker 2: Tillman might play, but I don't think he will Tennessee's

534
00:26:43,640 --> 00:26:46,960
Speaker 2: star receiver. But when I look at this game like Tennessee's,

535
00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 2: like Tennessee should be able to move the ball through

536
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: the air Hendon Hooker. I think that their pace of

537
00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:54,360
Speaker 2: play is going to wear down the CELSUGP spine, which

538
00:26:54,400 --> 00:26:56,600
Speaker 2: has been excellent. I think that can work in their

539
00:26:56,600 --> 00:26:59,720
Speaker 2: favorite here also the time of this game, eleven am

540
00:27:00,359 --> 00:27:03,720
Speaker 2: Tennessee man as a Tennessee Division backer. I'm glad this

541
00:27:03,760 --> 00:27:07,600
Speaker 2: game isn't a Knight in Death Valley. So I think

542
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,320
Speaker 2: Tennessee watch success moving the ball. The LSU secondary has

543
00:27:10,359 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 2: some issues, you know, but when I look at the

544
00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,600
Speaker 2: other side of the ball, it's trying to figure out

545
00:27:15,760 --> 00:27:17,680
Speaker 2: what is I can't figure out what's going to happen.

546
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,960
Speaker 2: So LSU has just not been throwing the ball down

547
00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,680
Speaker 2: the field. It's not working. In the passing game, they

548
00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,800
Speaker 2: have been running the ball well. Their offensive line has

549
00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:28,399
Speaker 2: been run blocking very well. But that's Tennessee's strength. Like

550
00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,960
Speaker 2: the Tennessee's run dy has been really good. I don't

551
00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 2: think LSU is going to keep up if they're just

552
00:27:33,040 --> 00:27:34,960
Speaker 2: going to run the ball. So that comes down to

553
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 2: Jayden Daniels. Can he throw the ball accurately and down

554
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 2: the field. Brian Kelly came out and said, we got

555
00:27:41,480 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 2: to take more risks, we have to be more aggressive.

556
00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:46,240
Speaker 2: Probably lend itself to an over if you think about it.

557
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:50,199
Speaker 2: But his whole career, Jane Danils has not proven that

558
00:27:50,240 --> 00:27:52,680
Speaker 2: he's accurate downfield. He's not been accurate downfield on a

559
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:54,880
Speaker 2: few times he's thrown. This year, they get thirty three

560
00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:58,840
Speaker 2: percent accuracy rate. There's something off with the receivers. But

561
00:27:58,920 --> 00:28:02,760
Speaker 2: then again, so I'm like, this is this is Tennessee, Tennessee, Tennessee.

562
00:28:03,440 --> 00:28:05,000
Speaker 2: But then on the flip side, then I look at

563
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:07,760
Speaker 2: Tennessee and I'm like, they gave up five Like they

564
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:11,160
Speaker 2: gave up five hundred yards passing to Tandall Richardson in Florida.

565
00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:15,880
Speaker 2: And so now I'm a bit worried I show value

566
00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:17,040
Speaker 2: in the balls. I think the balls are gonna win

567
00:28:17,080 --> 00:28:21,280
Speaker 2: this game. But there's enough things that I'm like about

568
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:24,639
Speaker 2: that I'll probably stay away, maybe have the balls in

569
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,800
Speaker 2: a round robin. But I know that you love LSU

570
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:28,840
Speaker 2: and the over here.

571
00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:31,919
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have it in my script right here, it

572
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:37,280
Speaker 1: says love LSU. So yeah, I do listen. I think

573
00:28:37,320 --> 00:28:39,920
Speaker 1: I'm higher than everybody else when it comes to LSU.

574
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: It's a game that I make a pick. They're a

575
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,640
Speaker 1: team that has had an influx of transfers New schemes,

576
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:49,760
Speaker 1: new coaches, and this is the kind of team where

577
00:28:49,960 --> 00:28:52,440
Speaker 1: they're going to improve week after week and it's not

578
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,000
Speaker 1: going to look like anything that opened up against Florida State.

579
00:28:55,080 --> 00:28:57,520
Speaker 1: And I feel like we've seen this movie.

580
00:28:57,680 --> 00:28:59,280
Speaker 2: Can you explain them what happened last week?

581
00:28:59,320 --> 00:28:59,480
Speaker 5: Then?

582
00:28:59,640 --> 00:29:03,680
Speaker 2: I mean, and I say right, I were dominated by Auburn.

583
00:29:03,920 --> 00:29:05,640
Speaker 1: I'm getting the throne of my face all week. I

584
00:29:05,680 --> 00:29:09,440
Speaker 1: started getting text messages Sunday night from people saying thank

585
00:29:09,480 --> 00:29:11,719
Speaker 1: you for hitting LSU on Sunday so that I can

586
00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,800
Speaker 1: get a good Tennessee line, like I'm getting razzed for

587
00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:17,800
Speaker 1: my love for LSU. But you know, I know the

588
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:19,960
Speaker 1: postgame win expecting He says, Auburn should have won that

589
00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,120
Speaker 1: game and this opening numbers should have been like LSU

590
00:29:22,200 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: plus six. I get it, But.

591
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:25,480
Speaker 2: Dangels of that game was eight of twenty for eighty

592
00:29:25,560 --> 00:29:30,560
Speaker 2: yards and Ashford for Auburn was nineteen of thirty eight

593
00:29:30,600 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 2: for three forty I get it.

594
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,840
Speaker 1: But this is also not the first time we've seen

595
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:38,240
Speaker 1: a team go on the road for the first time

596
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,040
Speaker 1: in their season and not act like anything what they've

597
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: acted like before. Think about USC going to Oregon State, like,

598
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: I mean, we have seen teams go on the road

599
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 1: and just not look like anything that they did at home.

600
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:50,720
Speaker 2: I mean, LS you at home shut down Mississippi State too,

601
00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:52,760
Speaker 2: like that had a great game plan Missisippi State. I

602
00:29:52,840 --> 00:29:54,000
Speaker 2: was with sixteen points.

603
00:29:54,280 --> 00:29:56,320
Speaker 1: The defense absolutely shut down Auburn. At the end of

604
00:29:56,320 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 1: the game, it was like six drives where you know,

605
00:29:58,040 --> 00:29:59,960
Speaker 1: Nussmeyer came in and it was just it was horror.

606
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:03,320
Speaker 1: John Emery Junior is fumbling the ball. Nus Meyer looks

607
00:30:03,320 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 1: like he's never even thrown a pass before in his life,

608
00:30:05,360 --> 00:30:08,160
Speaker 1: which I loved his arm. I thought that he could

609
00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:09,880
Speaker 1: do some damage against Tennessee, but I don't think he's

610
00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:11,840
Speaker 1: going to see the field. And you're right, it doesn't

611
00:30:11,840 --> 00:30:14,080
Speaker 1: look like Cedric Tillman is going to return for Tennessee.

612
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:16,400
Speaker 1: And he's the most explosive weapon for Hendon Hooker in

613
00:30:16,400 --> 00:30:19,200
Speaker 1: that passing game. I know bru McCoy and Ramalll Keaton

614
00:30:19,240 --> 00:30:21,320
Speaker 1: have not you know, they are kind of getting the

615
00:30:21,360 --> 00:30:23,480
Speaker 1: love now, but if you look at you know, yards

616
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,040
Speaker 1: per route run, Bruce McCoy is not the explosive wide

617
00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 1: receiver that I kind of expected to be with his

618
00:30:28,360 --> 00:30:31,080
Speaker 1: recruiting pedigree that came in so for Tennessee to win

619
00:30:31,120 --> 00:30:33,560
Speaker 1: this game, they're going to have to establish the rush

620
00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,480
Speaker 1: with Jabari Small and Jalen Wright and Josh Heipel said

621
00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,800
Speaker 1: the key to this game was keeping Tennessee on schedule

622
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:42,400
Speaker 1: ahead of the chains. This LSU defense is top ten

623
00:30:42,440 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 1: and standard down success rate. The defensive line is the

624
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:47,920
Speaker 1: size of a house, and they're completely equipped to shut

625
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 1: down the success rate in standardowns from Tennessee. Also, look

626
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:55,160
Speaker 1: at Tennessee's penalties. They're outside the top one hundred penalties

627
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:57,600
Speaker 1: per game. They shoot themselves in the foot more than

628
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,480
Speaker 1: just about anybody. But the biggest handicap this game, and

629
00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:04,000
Speaker 1: you've already mentioned it, is the Tennessee secondary one hundred

630
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:06,840
Speaker 1: and twentieth in coverage grading by PFF. You mentioned what

631
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:09,440
Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson did to them, and the narrative is right.

632
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,959
Speaker 1: Jayden Daniels hasn't thrown deep, he isn't on target, and

633
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:15,400
Speaker 1: there's just way too many drops. That's Boute's problem, right.

634
00:31:15,520 --> 00:31:17,760
Speaker 1: I mean, he's got like a I think twenty five

635
00:31:17,760 --> 00:31:22,120
Speaker 1: percent of drop ratio right now. I mean it's bad,

636
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:23,840
Speaker 1: and I mean a lot of that could be inaccuracy,

637
00:31:23,920 --> 00:31:25,600
Speaker 1: A lot of that can't always be on the wide

638
00:31:25,600 --> 00:31:29,719
Speaker 1: receivers Ken Jaden Daniels actually throw downfield. Jaden Daniels is

639
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:32,479
Speaker 1: capable of throwing downfield. He's done in his career before.

640
00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,720
Speaker 1: He hasn't been asked to, and when he has there's

641
00:31:35,720 --> 00:31:38,320
Speaker 1: been drops involved. And now Brian Kelly's coming out and

642
00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,800
Speaker 1: publicly saying I am asking Jaden Daniels to be more

643
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:45,080
Speaker 1: aggressive in the passing game. Brian Kelly is not a fool.

644
00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,720
Speaker 1: He knows what he sees in the Tennessee secondary and

645
00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 1: he is challenging his quarterback openly in public. He's not

646
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,880
Speaker 1: doing that because he's irrational or it just came to

647
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,120
Speaker 1: his brain, like he is doing this on purpose and

648
00:31:56,160 --> 00:32:00,160
Speaker 1: for a reason. So I love LSU plus three. I

649
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:03,600
Speaker 1: think Jayden Daniels is going to cook. And considering the

650
00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:08,479
Speaker 1: opposing offensive attack, you know, this Tennessee coverage grade is

651
00:32:08,560 --> 00:32:11,280
Speaker 1: so bad. And at the same time, the way that

652
00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:13,720
Speaker 1: Tennessee wins this game on offense is that they established

653
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:15,160
Speaker 1: the rush, which I don't think they're going to be

654
00:32:15,160 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 1: able to do against this LSU front seven. I like

655
00:32:17,720 --> 00:32:19,920
Speaker 1: LSU plus three at home, and please stop with the

656
00:32:20,000 --> 00:32:23,360
Speaker 1: narratives that because it's an eleven am game. It takes

657
00:32:23,400 --> 00:32:27,120
Speaker 1: away home field advantage that is completely overdrawn. It's going

658
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,400
Speaker 1: to be loud, it's going to smell of corn dogs,

659
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 1: and LSU is gonna roll.

660
00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, Now I disagree. The difference to me is both

661
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,680
Speaker 2: secondaries have questions like and I mean, if you look

662
00:32:38,720 --> 00:32:44,360
Speaker 2: at EPA per pass, the Tennessee defense is eighty eighth,

663
00:32:44,520 --> 00:32:49,600
Speaker 2: I think, and the LSU passing offense is like eighty fifth.

664
00:32:49,960 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 2: So I'm like, okay, yeah, the Tennessee. But then if

665
00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:55,840
Speaker 2: you look at the other side, it's a top fifteen

666
00:32:56,520 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 2: EPA per pass offense with Hendon Hooker against a secondary

667
00:33:00,560 --> 00:33:03,160
Speaker 2: that's outside the top fifty in EPA for pass. I

668
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:05,600
Speaker 2: also think that the LAC defensive line, which is gonna

669
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:07,920
Speaker 2: have to say early on. That's if they come out

670
00:33:07,960 --> 00:33:09,680
Speaker 2: and don't ship the bet early on, as they've done

671
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 2: every game this year on offense, if they get behind,

672
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:13,440
Speaker 2: if they get behind in this game, they're done. They

673
00:33:13,600 --> 00:33:16,120
Speaker 2: not coming back against Tennessee. This isn't Robbie Ashford, but

674
00:33:16,320 --> 00:33:18,440
Speaker 2: Hendon Hooker in this offense I think is gonna wear

675
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:20,920
Speaker 2: down that defensive line over time. That's why I would

676
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,400
Speaker 2: trust Tennessee more. It's like I know the known commodity

677
00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,640
Speaker 2: in Hendon Hooker. Fair difference of opinion. There in a

678
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,920
Speaker 2: game that I think warrants it. All right, let's stay

679
00:33:27,960 --> 00:33:33,520
Speaker 2: at noon and talk Red River shootout rivalry Oklahoma.

680
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 1: Not the premier Big twelve game of the day. You

681
00:33:34,720 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: want to call it that for the first time.

682
00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, Oklahoma out to nine point underdog. Where it is

683
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:44,760
Speaker 2: daytill and Gabel probably won't play over under sixty five.

684
00:33:45,120 --> 00:33:47,800
Speaker 2: It was just announced that quin yours will start and

685
00:33:47,880 --> 00:34:00,960
Speaker 2: no limitations practice this week. I go again. So the

686
00:34:01,040 --> 00:34:03,200
Speaker 2: question is Oklahoma defense, What the hell is going on?

687
00:34:03,680 --> 00:34:06,560
Speaker 2: Texas defense looks good like you look at a lot

688
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,560
Speaker 2: of their underlying metrics. This is the defense. Is why

689
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,000
Speaker 2: I bet on Texas in the Big I thought the

690
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 2: defense would improve. Texas been great. I mean they should.

691
00:34:13,480 --> 00:34:15,800
Speaker 2: They should have beat Alabama. They should have been textaic.

692
00:34:15,840 --> 00:34:18,359
Speaker 2: They should be four and up. Oklahoma should not be

693
00:34:18,480 --> 00:34:21,920
Speaker 2: for they've been in their two losses. They got destroyed

694
00:34:22,480 --> 00:34:26,280
Speaker 2: the past two weeks against Kansas State and then against TCU,

695
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: both as favorites. The defense is a mess. Their offense

696
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:31,560
Speaker 2: won't have Dyan Gabriel. Now who's going to be quarterback?

697
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,640
Speaker 2: They got this kid who came in last week there

698
00:34:33,680 --> 00:34:35,960
Speaker 2: was a pit transfer is not very good. Then you

699
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 2: have General Booty, one of the best names. But a

700
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:46,520
Speaker 2: little birdie told me that they think not confirmed that

701
00:34:46,640 --> 00:34:49,600
Speaker 2: Nick Evers is going to get the start for Oklahoma.

702
00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:53,920
Speaker 2: Who's their best backup? Highly tauted Kidney's a freshman, so

703
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:57,239
Speaker 2: that's very interesting. He's got a big arm. We'll see

704
00:34:57,320 --> 00:34:59,480
Speaker 2: what their offense is going to look like with the

705
00:34:59,480 --> 00:35:02,560
Speaker 2: freshman there. Obviously it's a downgrade from Dylan Gabriel and

706
00:35:02,640 --> 00:35:05,280
Speaker 2: you have to assume it is what yours will start

707
00:35:05,320 --> 00:35:09,000
Speaker 2: and no limitations practice this week. Weird things happen in

708
00:35:09,000 --> 00:35:11,840
Speaker 2: this game. I don't want to lay nine, but it's

709
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,360
Speaker 2: hard to make any case for Oklahoma.

710
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I want to lay it with Oklahoma too.

711
00:35:16,680 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 1: The problem is is it's not even the quarterback that's

712
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:21,360
Speaker 1: given me heartburn about. It's the defense. It's giving me

713
00:35:21,520 --> 00:35:25,040
Speaker 1: so many issues with what they are as a rush

714
00:35:25,040 --> 00:35:28,040
Speaker 1: stop unit. You saw a push off of the seven

715
00:35:28,239 --> 00:35:30,839
Speaker 1: across the board all the way up to a ten.

716
00:35:31,040 --> 00:35:33,520
Speaker 1: There was a ten that floated, sent the runner to

717
00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:36,200
Speaker 1: get it, couldn't get it, so it got whacked back

718
00:35:36,239 --> 00:35:39,399
Speaker 1: down to eight and a half. As we're recording, there's

719
00:35:39,440 --> 00:35:41,360
Speaker 1: a few nine and a half's on the board. I

720
00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,200
Speaker 1: would like to have a ten. I get a ten,

721
00:35:43,440 --> 00:35:45,160
Speaker 1: I'll be in there in Oklahoma and I'm just going

722
00:35:45,239 --> 00:35:48,760
Speaker 1: to swallow how bad this defense has been against the rushow.

723
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:50,799
Speaker 1: I'm going to swallow who whatever quarterback it is it's

724
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:53,800
Speaker 1: going to play for the Sooners because it's just too much. Now,

725
00:35:54,200 --> 00:35:57,440
Speaker 1: if Dylan Gabriel was healthy, the numbers should be Texas

726
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:01,719
Speaker 1: minus one. Oklahoma has weapons side the quarterback position. They

727
00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,960
Speaker 1: can get huge chunk yards. You just didn't notice it

728
00:36:05,000 --> 00:36:07,600
Speaker 1: against TCU because TCU was running the whole team up

729
00:36:07,640 --> 00:36:09,799
Speaker 1: a flag bowl. And I think that brings me next

730
00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:11,920
Speaker 1: to my This is two weeks in a row that

731
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:14,319
Speaker 1: the Oklahoma defense has had to go up against two

732
00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:19,839
Speaker 1: elite ground attacks with two quarterbacks that can play at

733
00:36:19,880 --> 00:36:23,400
Speaker 1: an elite dual threat level. Quinn Ewers is not a

734
00:36:23,520 --> 00:36:26,640
Speaker 1: dual threat quarterback now. B Sean Robinson, Yeah, I mean

735
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:29,520
Speaker 1: he's just plowing through defenses, but not gonna go out

736
00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:31,839
Speaker 1: here on a road that you know Oklahoma's winning this game.

737
00:36:32,080 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: But to go from Texas minus one all the way

738
00:36:35,320 --> 00:36:37,760
Speaker 1: up to a nine and a half, I mean that

739
00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:40,120
Speaker 1: we're just in crazy town here with this number. So

740
00:36:40,560 --> 00:36:43,200
Speaker 1: I get it. Thou defense has been awful against the run.

741
00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:47,080
Speaker 1: I like under sixty five in this game. It's crazy

742
00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:49,480
Speaker 1: we call it shootout. We think there's going to be

743
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:52,240
Speaker 1: a ton of points. Oklahoma is allowed a ton of points.

744
00:36:52,719 --> 00:36:55,399
Speaker 1: But at the same time, I'm telling everybody, I don't

745
00:36:55,440 --> 00:36:58,160
Speaker 1: think we really know how great Kansas State and TCU

746
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:01,879
Speaker 1: is with their the Adrian Martin is playing peak, Max

747
00:37:01,960 --> 00:37:04,359
Speaker 1: Duggan is playing peak. Texas is not the same at

748
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:07,680
Speaker 1: the quarterback position. If a ten pops, I'm gonna hit it.

749
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:10,719
Speaker 1: Call in on the voicemails on Saturday night if you want,

750
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:15,800
Speaker 1: or Saturday afternoon. But that's just way way too many points.

751
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 2: Uh nine to five nine V By the way, Yeah,

752
00:37:18,280 --> 00:37:20,799
Speaker 2: I don't think I can do it. Weird things happen

753
00:37:20,880 --> 00:37:23,440
Speaker 2: in this game, and yeah, it is too much of

754
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: an overreaction based on what we saw, like just adjusting

755
00:37:27,000 --> 00:37:30,200
Speaker 2: spreads based on one result. But maybe at the end

756
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:31,799
Speaker 2: of the year we look back and say, oh, let's

757
00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 2: spread was right, because then the only reason I think

758
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:38,840
Speaker 2: that is the Oklahoma defense. It was really sad to

759
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:45,080
Speaker 2: watch a unit that got embarrassed at home the week before,

760
00:37:45,360 --> 00:37:50,560
Speaker 2: embarrassed and they come out and are down thirty four points,

761
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,719
Speaker 2: gave up five hundred yards in the first half. Like

762
00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:57,799
Speaker 2: that's a you come out as a defender, you come

763
00:37:57,800 --> 00:38:00,560
Speaker 2: out on five? That the what is it's bottom for

764
00:38:00,600 --> 00:38:02,799
Speaker 2: this defense? I don't know. We'll find out a lot

765
00:38:02,840 --> 00:38:06,640
Speaker 2: more on Saturday. Hookem horns. As a reminder, the Big

766
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:09,880
Speaker 2: Bets on Campus podcast is probably presented by bet MGM.

767
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783
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784
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786
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787
00:39:12,719 --> 00:39:15,040
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788
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789
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790
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791
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:25,160
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792
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794
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795
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: and other states were prohibited. Promotional offers not available in

796
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:38,520
Speaker 2: Nevada and New York. Hi Le's yeah, well you mentioned

797
00:39:38,560 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 2: TCU at Kansas game day is in Lawrence. Yes, for

798
00:39:42,440 --> 00:39:47,080
Speaker 2: two undefeated top twenty teams Kansas six and a half

799
00:39:47,120 --> 00:39:50,759
Speaker 2: point underdog six and a half seven over under sixty nine. Nice.

800
00:39:51,080 --> 00:39:53,719
Speaker 2: This total is over has taken money. It's funny to

801
00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:56,840
Speaker 2: see a college game day at a location where the

802
00:39:56,880 --> 00:40:00,879
Speaker 2: game is on espn U at night. I don't think

803
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:03,719
Speaker 2: should get many steffsh defense was better last week, agains

804
00:40:03,719 --> 00:40:08,920
Speaker 2: Iowa State. Can Kansas's offense exploit some potential holes in

805
00:40:08,960 --> 00:40:13,480
Speaker 2: the TCU defense? Or and is this end? Or is

806
00:40:13,480 --> 00:40:17,480
Speaker 2: this the end of the run for Cinderella Kansas.

807
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:21,040
Speaker 1: This is the end of the run for Cinderella Kansas.

808
00:40:21,080 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 1: And I think there's a few technical reasons why that's

809
00:40:24,200 --> 00:40:26,320
Speaker 1: going to happen. This is I mean, here we are stucky.

810
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: If you're a long time listener, if you're a short

811
00:40:28,640 --> 00:40:32,520
Speaker 1: time listener, here we are again with our TCU tickets.

812
00:40:32,880 --> 00:40:36,000
Speaker 1: All the money in the world is on TCU. Everybody's grandmother,

813
00:40:36,040 --> 00:40:38,920
Speaker 1: including my grandmother, has money on TCU, and we're kind

814
00:40:38,920 --> 00:40:40,880
Speaker 1: of floating back off a key number of seven and

815
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,600
Speaker 1: questioning like, do we have the right side. I'm pretty

816
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:45,319
Speaker 1: sure we have the right side, at least from a

817
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:48,880
Speaker 1: schematical perspective. And it's crazy to think that Max Duggan

818
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:53,919
Speaker 1: was the backup for Taylor Morris at Colorado ever since

819
00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:56,760
Speaker 1: he came in there. Just a single fumble, no interception

820
00:40:56,880 --> 00:40:59,759
Speaker 1: so far this year. Pretty impressive. And if you've listened

821
00:40:59,760 --> 00:41:02,920
Speaker 1: to the post, you know that we love Amari de Mericado,

822
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:05,719
Speaker 1: Kendre Miller. Let me tell you, I'll just stop talking

823
00:41:05,760 --> 00:41:08,000
Speaker 1: about the tc offense because we talk about it every week.

824
00:41:08,320 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 1: But let me just say they've had forty nine offensive

825
00:41:11,239 --> 00:41:14,880
Speaker 1: drives this year. Twenty nine of them have been scoring drives.

826
00:41:15,480 --> 00:41:17,839
Speaker 1: That's sick. You won't even know. It's even more sick.

827
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:21,239
Speaker 1: Of the twenty nine offensive drives TCU has scored on

828
00:41:21,320 --> 00:41:24,359
Speaker 1: this year, twenty seven of them have been touchdowns. They've

829
00:41:24,440 --> 00:41:27,160
Speaker 1: kicked two field goals. Sunny Dyke sain't stopping to kick

830
00:41:27,160 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: a field goal. I mean, this is amazing stats that

831
00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:32,560
Speaker 1: they're doing on offense. So you know, lots of reasons

832
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,279
Speaker 1: they are to love the TCU offense. Those are the

833
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:36,960
Speaker 1: two biggest. But I think the reason why you like

834
00:41:37,040 --> 00:41:39,840
Speaker 1: TCVE in this game is because of the defense. Kansas

835
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,000
Speaker 1: had issues with the Iowa State three to three five stack.

836
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 1: What does that mean? Jalen Daniels couldn't read the defense,

837
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:49,600
Speaker 1: He doesn't know where to throw. He only threw fourteen times,

838
00:41:49,640 --> 00:41:50,680
Speaker 1: completed half of those.

839
00:41:51,239 --> 00:41:53,319
Speaker 2: It was just one hundred yards in less than twenty

840
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:54,160
Speaker 2: yards rushing too.

841
00:41:54,480 --> 00:41:57,360
Speaker 1: Not the same Jalen Daniels that we've seen weeks past.

842
00:41:57,480 --> 00:41:59,479
Speaker 1: I mean that three three to five stack gave them

843
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:03,320
Speaker 1: a ton of problems. You don't adjust your defense based

844
00:42:03,360 --> 00:42:07,400
Speaker 1: on the offense motion. Why do offenses use motion so

845
00:42:07,440 --> 00:42:09,600
Speaker 1: that they can get the defense to tip their hand

846
00:42:09,719 --> 00:42:13,640
Speaker 1: and where they are with coverage and blitz Kansas sinds

847
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:17,200
Speaker 1: three to five guys in motion before Jalen Daniels gets

848
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 1: that ball back in pistol. Iowa State doesn't move, they

849
00:42:20,200 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 1: don't tip anything. And now what are they going to do?

850
00:42:23,160 --> 00:42:23,640
Speaker 2: They're going to.

851
00:42:23,640 --> 00:42:27,879
Speaker 1: Play Joe Gillespie three three five stack defense. So if

852
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:31,040
Speaker 1: Lancelipolt and Jalen Daniels didn't figure it out last week,

853
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:33,399
Speaker 1: here you go. You've got a three three five ball

854
00:42:33,440 --> 00:42:35,759
Speaker 1: over again. I don't care where you put your age back.

855
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:38,360
Speaker 1: I don't care how many reverses you run. They're going

856
00:42:38,440 --> 00:42:42,680
Speaker 1: to play discipline contained and you know, I think with

857
00:42:42,760 --> 00:42:45,600
Speaker 1: that that is a huge leg up for TCU in

858
00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:47,120
Speaker 1: this game is on the defensive side of the ball,

859
00:42:47,280 --> 00:42:51,479
Speaker 1: not the offensive side. TCU dead last in the nation

860
00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:55,040
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty first and allowing opposing offenses to

861
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:58,000
Speaker 1: have an explosive play in passing downs. What does that

862
00:42:58,120 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: mean Kansas is going to score. It's just gonna be

863
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:03,719
Speaker 1: like third and eighteen and Jalen Daniels is gonna pop

864
00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,719
Speaker 1: a touchdown and that's exactly how Kansas is gonna get

865
00:43:06,760 --> 00:43:08,720
Speaker 1: it out. I don't think they're gonna have the ability

866
00:43:08,760 --> 00:43:10,680
Speaker 1: to be methodical. I don't think they're gonna have the

867
00:43:10,719 --> 00:43:14,880
Speaker 1: ability to have fourteen play drives and end with a touchdown.

868
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:18,120
Speaker 1: It's gonna be coming from explosive plays. The real difference

869
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,880
Speaker 1: in this game, though, I have to mention TCU's pass

870
00:43:21,200 --> 00:43:24,440
Speaker 1: Max Duggan is going to light up this Kansas secondary.

871
00:43:24,920 --> 00:43:28,400
Speaker 1: It has been vulnerable against other teams that they've played,

872
00:43:28,719 --> 00:43:32,719
Speaker 1: and corner Jacobe Bryant has been terrible for Kansas. He's

873
00:43:32,760 --> 00:43:36,120
Speaker 1: been targeted thirty times more than any other defensive player.

874
00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:39,719
Speaker 1: He has a nineteen percent mistackle rate. That's just too

875
00:43:39,800 --> 00:43:42,879
Speaker 1: much for this TCU offense. So give me, TCU, give

876
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 1: me the team total over. Let's ride these horn frogs

877
00:43:46,160 --> 00:43:50,040
Speaker 1: until they stop cashing at the window. But schematically, technically,

878
00:43:50,400 --> 00:43:52,799
Speaker 1: this is another win for TCU. Yeah.

879
00:43:52,880 --> 00:43:54,319
Speaker 2: I don't have a hot take on it yet, but

880
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: I don't disagree with you. All right, Let's move on

881
00:43:56,520 --> 00:43:59,080
Speaker 2: to our final marquee game, and we'll talk about that

882
00:43:59,120 --> 00:44:01,560
Speaker 2: game again on Big Bets on Campus Live ten thirty

883
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:05,239
Speaker 2: am Eastern Saturday morning. Move on to our final market

884
00:44:05,280 --> 00:44:07,680
Speaker 2: game Utah at UCLA. Ucla three and a half point

885
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:11,440
Speaker 2: underdog here over under sixty four and a half. The

886
00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:15,480
Speaker 2: only other team you love more than TCU is Utah.

887
00:44:15,719 --> 00:44:17,880
Speaker 2: I think that we're gonna disagree on this game. I

888
00:44:17,920 --> 00:44:20,680
Speaker 2: am ninety nine percent sure we're gonna be on UCLA,

889
00:44:21,040 --> 00:44:25,680
Speaker 2: who I think is underrated in the market. Dtr is

890
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:29,439
Speaker 2: a different player this year. There was all you read

891
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:31,719
Speaker 2: a lot about how he's taken everything more serious over

892
00:44:31,719 --> 00:44:35,400
Speaker 2: the past year with his diet and film and sleep,

893
00:44:35,520 --> 00:44:39,120
Speaker 2: and like, I just looks like a much better player

894
00:44:39,160 --> 00:44:42,319
Speaker 2: out there, and I don't know. I think that this

895
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:44,920
Speaker 2: Utah team took a step back this year. And if

896
00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:48,520
Speaker 2: you look at their results, like, Okay, they beat Southern Utah,

897
00:44:48,560 --> 00:44:51,040
Speaker 2: who cares? They beat the corpse of San Diego State,

898
00:44:51,200 --> 00:44:55,120
Speaker 2: who cares? They beat the corpse of Arizona State, who cares?

899
00:44:55,360 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 2: So there are two results that they have that you

900
00:44:57,440 --> 00:44:59,239
Speaker 2: could take any meeting from this year. They lost at

901
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:04,160
Speaker 2: Florida doesn't look as good than it did maybe initially

902
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: the Florida almost losing it home to South Florida. And

903
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 2: last week against Oregon State, you know, they get a

904
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:15,160
Speaker 2: billion interceptions and whatever at home, and weird things happened

905
00:45:15,200 --> 00:45:18,560
Speaker 2: at Utah, but they got out gained by Oregon State,

906
00:45:18,600 --> 00:45:21,040
Speaker 2: who had their backup quarterback in for half the game.

907
00:45:21,800 --> 00:45:25,439
Speaker 2: They allowed six point three yards per play, they only

908
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:28,840
Speaker 2: had six point four. That game was twenty one to

909
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,280
Speaker 2: sixteen in the third quarter with the Oregon State's backup

910
00:45:31,360 --> 00:45:33,960
Speaker 2: quarterback in. In an awful spot for Oregon State at

911
00:45:34,000 --> 00:45:37,839
Speaker 2: the USC game. And so there's a couple of things

912
00:45:37,880 --> 00:45:42,040
Speaker 2: that worried about Utah. Their secondary is better, so hurt

913
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:43,600
Speaker 2: less you're in Clark Phillips is a stud that he

914
00:45:43,640 --> 00:45:46,000
Speaker 2: had a bunch of picks last week. They might be

915
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:49,680
Speaker 2: a bit vulnerable against a mobile quarterback, and their run

916
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:53,400
Speaker 2: defenses slipped a bit. They lost some a lot of

917
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:55,480
Speaker 2: talent on that front. Seven. You know, the one thing

918
00:45:55,480 --> 00:45:59,920
Speaker 2: that I'm worried about with UCLA is just being out,

919
00:46:00,200 --> 00:46:02,640
Speaker 2: you know, being bullied here, which is been a problem

920
00:46:02,640 --> 00:46:07,160
Speaker 2: for them against like a Utah type team. But I

921
00:46:07,160 --> 00:46:10,680
Speaker 2: don't know. I think that I think that UCLA has

922
00:46:10,719 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 2: value here plus three and a half. I think they're

923
00:46:12,280 --> 00:46:17,520
Speaker 2: very live. Maybe Utah is peaking a head to that

924
00:46:17,560 --> 00:46:20,640
Speaker 2: game against USC next week. I think I'm gonna be

925
00:46:20,680 --> 00:46:24,040
Speaker 2: on Ucla over a field goal. I think this game

926
00:46:24,920 --> 00:46:27,440
Speaker 2: is close throughout. Tell me why Utah is going to

927
00:46:27,560 --> 00:46:28,560
Speaker 2: roll as you always do.

928
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:32,920
Speaker 1: I'm not. I'm on Ucla. I just haven't. Wow, I

929
00:46:33,000 --> 00:46:34,160
Speaker 1: just haven't bought the number yet.

930
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,640
Speaker 2: It is going on. I literally hid it in your

931
00:46:36,719 --> 00:46:38,440
Speaker 2: Ucla allegiance for TCU.

932
00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:40,960
Speaker 1: I do have a Ucla helmet right behind me right

933
00:46:40,960 --> 00:46:42,399
Speaker 1: here over, I mean right there.

934
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:42,920
Speaker 2: Yeah.

935
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:44,759
Speaker 1: I might have to put my sissy blue shirt on

936
00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:45,760
Speaker 1: this weekend.

937
00:46:45,719 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 5: Right hey, hey, right, yes on right, yes, one shirt.

938
00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,120
Speaker 1: And Frankly, to tell you the truth, I kind of

939
00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,480
Speaker 1: want Ucla to blow Utah out so I can just

940
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:58,560
Speaker 1: hammer the living shit out of the Utes next week

941
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:03,759
Speaker 1: against USC But well, we'll see UCLA wins this game, everybody,

942
00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:07,759
Speaker 1: you better believe. Sunday about two thirty o'clock in the afternoon,

943
00:47:07,840 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 1: there's a big old Utah bet coming down to pipe

944
00:47:10,600 --> 00:47:13,760
Speaker 1: in the action app, so you know, just for the future.

945
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: But as far as this game goes, I think it

946
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,080
Speaker 1: lands three like I think the game lands three like

947
00:47:19,200 --> 00:47:23,080
Speaker 1: Utah by three. So I am being greedy right now.

948
00:47:23,239 --> 00:47:24,720
Speaker 1: I haven't put a play in on the app.

949
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:26,840
Speaker 2: I'm about to bomb about them betting it right now.

950
00:47:26,840 --> 00:47:28,759
Speaker 1: Then I'm gonna argue, Yeah, I mean I could buy

951
00:47:28,760 --> 00:47:30,960
Speaker 1: a four right now and pay minus one eighteen on.

952
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 1: I don't really want to do that. But at the

953
00:47:32,440 --> 00:47:34,120
Speaker 1: same time, I don't think it's coming back to four.

954
00:47:34,520 --> 00:47:35,480
Speaker 1: I think it's I.

955
00:47:35,480 --> 00:47:37,239
Speaker 2: Just want to ensure I grabbed the over. I can

956
00:47:37,239 --> 00:47:38,320
Speaker 2: get a three and a half mine as one of

957
00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:39,560
Speaker 2: seven right now, which I'm locking in.

958
00:47:39,760 --> 00:47:43,240
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go bet at myself. Listen the Chip Kelly

959
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:45,840
Speaker 1: dtr offensive attack starts on the ground. They're second the

960
00:47:45,960 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 1: nation and stuff right, and they're fifth in line yards

961
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:50,760
Speaker 1: nothing's change. I mean this is this is a great

962
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,960
Speaker 1: ground unit. I mean that's what Chip Kelly offense is

963
00:47:53,960 --> 00:47:56,600
Speaker 1: being run to a t by DTR and Utah has

964
00:47:56,719 --> 00:47:59,319
Speaker 1: not controlled the trench against the run. They're ninety fifth

965
00:47:59,320 --> 00:48:02,320
Speaker 1: in line yards defensively, and UCLA is just going to

966
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,399
Speaker 1: have success on the ground and have sustained drives. Utah

967
00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:07,520
Speaker 1: isn't getting a pass rush either. They're ranked outside the

968
00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:10,959
Speaker 1: top one hundred. There's been plenty of drop eight scenarios,

969
00:48:11,160 --> 00:48:12,759
Speaker 1: so I can kind of understand why there hasn't been

970
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:15,400
Speaker 1: a pass rush, but the defense stood up in the

971
00:48:15,440 --> 00:48:18,360
Speaker 1: red zone. A top twenty five rank in defensive finishing drives,

972
00:48:18,840 --> 00:48:21,800
Speaker 1: UCLA is going to have opportunities to score answer just

973
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,399
Speaker 1: a question of whether they're actually going to get more

974
00:48:24,440 --> 00:48:28,200
Speaker 1: touchdowns than field goals. As for Utah, there is talk

975
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:30,600
Speaker 1: that tav On Thomas is going to have an expanded

976
00:48:30,719 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 1: role this weekend against UCLA. That makes sense. Against the

977
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: UCLA defense, they're eighty ninth and stuff right, they struggle

978
00:48:36,960 --> 00:48:40,120
Speaker 1: with tackling keeping opponents out of the red zone, and

979
00:48:40,160 --> 00:48:42,839
Speaker 1: the Bruins have been a top fifteen team in coverage,

980
00:48:42,920 --> 00:48:44,920
Speaker 1: so they're really good against the pass. So I expect

981
00:48:44,920 --> 00:48:47,359
Speaker 1: a lot less cam Rising throwing and a lot more

982
00:48:47,360 --> 00:48:50,279
Speaker 1: Tavan Thomas doing his work from the backfield where he

983
00:48:50,320 --> 00:48:51,480
Speaker 1: should get some clean looks.

984
00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:53,879
Speaker 2: So, by the way, Utah is also without their top

985
00:48:53,920 --> 00:48:54,560
Speaker 2: pass catcher.

986
00:48:54,920 --> 00:48:58,640
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, so yeah, again, we can make a case

987
00:48:58,640 --> 00:49:00,640
Speaker 1: here for the under. I do see it trickle down

988
00:49:01,440 --> 00:49:03,560
Speaker 1: very big key number of sixty five, and the board

989
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:05,680
Speaker 1: is lit up at sixty four and a half. So

990
00:49:06,880 --> 00:49:08,680
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna be firing on the under and

991
00:49:08,800 --> 00:49:11,160
Speaker 1: buying a four here as soon as I get in talking.

992
00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:13,480
Speaker 1: But I think the game is a grinder. I want

993
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 1: four with UCLA. I leaned to the under with the

994
00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:20,520
Speaker 1: expected game plan being on the ground for both teams.

995
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:23,000
Speaker 1: Now we're on the same side. I'm gonna take a

996
00:49:23,000 --> 00:49:24,759
Speaker 1: little break from Utah, and actually I kind of hope

997
00:49:24,800 --> 00:49:28,720
Speaker 1: they get pounded because I'm dying to burn money against

998
00:49:28,840 --> 00:49:29,680
Speaker 1: usc next week.

999
00:49:31,680 --> 00:49:34,439
Speaker 2: Unreal, I can't believe that you're on the same side.

1000
00:49:34,440 --> 00:49:36,240
Speaker 2: I thought you were going to make a long winded

1001
00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,399
Speaker 2: case for your beloved youths me. But you're right.

1002
00:49:39,520 --> 00:49:41,440
Speaker 1: Out of all my children and I rank them all,

1003
00:49:41,520 --> 00:49:42,720
Speaker 1: Utah is higher than UCLA.

1004
00:49:42,880 --> 00:49:45,239
Speaker 2: So I give you that the TCU must be the

1005
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:48,200
Speaker 2: favorite child right now in twenty twenty two. All right,

1006
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:51,399
Speaker 2: let's certainly are in Arkansas. All right, let's move on

1007
00:49:51,800 --> 00:49:55,280
Speaker 2: to the rundown. We'll go through four games fairly quickly

1008
00:49:55,760 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 2: BYU Notre Dame in Vegas notunar Dame three and a

1009
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:00,320
Speaker 2: half point favorite over under fifte and a half to

1010
00:50:00,360 --> 00:50:04,480
Speaker 2: this game for a while. I want Notre Dame. Bau's receivers,

1011
00:50:04,520 --> 00:50:06,799
Speaker 2: by the way, are banged up again. BA just hasn't

1012
00:50:06,840 --> 00:50:10,440
Speaker 2: been impressive this year, Like outside of the game against Baylor,

1013
00:50:10,880 --> 00:50:13,760
Speaker 2: like if they opened up against South Florida, South Florida

1014
00:50:13,840 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 2: just gave up six trillion yards to hold nailers. You know,

1015
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:22,799
Speaker 2: after that, they beat Baylor, who's not been impressive. You know,

1016
00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:25,279
Speaker 2: they beat Baylor in double overtime in a game they

1017
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,839
Speaker 2: easily could have lost. Since then, it's like they get

1018
00:50:27,840 --> 00:50:30,040
Speaker 2: blown out by Oregon. They don't look great against Wyoming,

1019
00:50:30,480 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 2: and don't they look awful against Utah State. And from

1020
00:50:33,719 --> 00:50:36,640
Speaker 2: a schematic perspective, I think this sets up well for

1021
00:50:36,719 --> 00:50:40,200
Speaker 2: Notre Dame because Notre Dame can push around. Basically, what's

1022
00:50:40,239 --> 00:50:42,399
Speaker 2: what's gonna go on here is that Notre Dame could

1023
00:50:42,480 --> 00:50:45,040
Speaker 2: run the ball. B why you can't and I think

1024
00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,680
Speaker 2: that's the difference, and B why you can't really get pressure.

1025
00:50:48,800 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 2: BA doesn't give up explosives. That's fine. Notre Dame can't

1026
00:50:52,440 --> 00:50:54,799
Speaker 2: get them, doesn't rely on them. I think they can

1027
00:50:54,880 --> 00:50:57,920
Speaker 2: kind of pound their way down the field. Freeman, not

1028
00:50:58,040 --> 00:50:59,839
Speaker 2: your boy, but my boy will come on a good

1029
00:51:00,040 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 2: that's a game plan here to take away BYU's passing

1030
00:51:03,040 --> 00:51:05,799
Speaker 2: attack and they're struggling to run the ball and the

1031
00:51:05,920 --> 00:51:08,760
Speaker 2: receivers are banged up. Notre Dame's coming off of a bye.

1032
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:10,759
Speaker 2: I just would prefer the three. I'm gonna be on

1033
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:13,920
Speaker 2: the Irish here some form or fashion. I think these

1034
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:17,400
Speaker 2: are two teams headed and opposite directions. So I like

1035
00:51:17,400 --> 00:51:18,480
Speaker 2: the Irish show. How about you?

1036
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:22,640
Speaker 1: I think Notre Dame absolutely wins this game. The problem

1037
00:51:22,719 --> 00:51:25,719
Speaker 1: is I make it minus two, and I've got a

1038
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,040
Speaker 1: lot of heartburn about doing three and a half three

1039
00:51:28,080 --> 00:51:33,719
Speaker 1: and maybe could be talked into but listen, yeah, yeah,

1040
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:37,839
Speaker 1: that's yes, absolutely, you can expect that on the show

1041
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:40,399
Speaker 1: on Saturday. And I think, really what's going on here

1042
00:51:40,480 --> 00:51:42,920
Speaker 1: is that Notre Dame is absolutely going to dominate in

1043
00:51:42,960 --> 00:51:45,120
Speaker 1: the trench. Let me give you the stuff, right, numbers

1044
00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:47,319
Speaker 1: for BYU on both sides of the ball. Offensively one

1045
00:51:47,400 --> 00:51:50,840
Speaker 1: hundred and tenth defensively one hundred and nineteenth. That's not

1046
00:51:50,960 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 1: good against a Notre Dame offensive line that is improving.

1047
00:51:54,680 --> 00:51:57,480
Speaker 1: It was youthful, it's improving, it's getting you know, we

1048
00:51:57,520 --> 00:52:00,600
Speaker 1: have a different quarterback. But they listen, Notre Dame is

1049
00:52:00,640 --> 00:52:03,600
Speaker 1: going to dominate BYU in the trench. BYU might not,

1050
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,760
Speaker 1: you know, allow explosives, but that's not really Notre Dame's offense.

1051
00:52:08,200 --> 00:52:10,560
Speaker 1: Notre Dame doesn't really have any weapons on the outside,

1052
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:13,120
Speaker 1: and so what you're gonna see is is Notre Dame

1053
00:52:13,200 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 1: methodically move the ball down the field with their offense

1054
00:52:17,440 --> 00:52:20,040
Speaker 1: slow moving drives. But at the same time BYU is

1055
00:52:20,160 --> 00:52:23,319
Speaker 1: near dead last and defensive finishing drives. Everybody gets a

1056
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:25,320
Speaker 1: touchdown when they get to the end of the field.

1057
00:52:25,360 --> 00:52:26,879
Speaker 1: So that would make me a little bit nervous about

1058
00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:29,759
Speaker 1: playing an under here. But yes, Notre Dame is going

1059
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:32,279
Speaker 1: to be the winner. I am just you know that

1060
00:52:32,360 --> 00:52:34,120
Speaker 1: three and a half is too much for me. But

1061
00:52:34,719 --> 00:52:36,440
Speaker 1: you know they're gonna win. They win the trench battle,

1062
00:52:36,440 --> 00:52:37,080
Speaker 1: they win the game.

1063
00:52:38,320 --> 00:52:39,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would agree. All right, let's move on to

1064
00:52:40,280 --> 00:52:44,480
Speaker 2: another top ten team, well ranked at least in the

1065
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:48,520
Speaker 2: top ten. Oklahoma State minus nine at home against Texas

1066
00:52:48,640 --> 00:52:53,080
Speaker 2: Tech over under sixty eight. You know, I'll be guns

1067
00:52:53,080 --> 00:52:55,080
Speaker 2: of Blaze and I'm on Texas Tech here waiting to

1068
00:52:55,120 --> 00:52:57,160
Speaker 2: see if this pops the tents in a dead range here,

1069
00:52:57,719 --> 00:52:59,960
Speaker 2: Texas Tech, what are they playing like? There's sixth ranteen

1070
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:03,279
Speaker 2: of the year. All this schedule is brutal. Meanwhile, I mean,

1071
00:53:03,320 --> 00:53:07,280
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State overperformed my expectations against Baylor. I was wrong

1072
00:53:07,360 --> 00:53:11,840
Speaker 2: on Baylor last week, but I just really lowered Baylor again.

1073
00:53:12,360 --> 00:53:15,200
Speaker 2: We just talked about the BYU game or they didn't

1074
00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:18,840
Speaker 2: like their offense, couldn't do anything against and so I

1075
00:53:18,880 --> 00:53:21,279
Speaker 2: don't think that that said much to me about the

1076
00:53:21,320 --> 00:53:24,279
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State defense, which I think is a problem. And

1077
00:53:24,320 --> 00:53:27,839
Speaker 2: they still haven't played anybody that you're really scared of.

1078
00:53:28,200 --> 00:53:29,800
Speaker 2: You know, you should be scared of if your Oklahoma

1079
00:53:29,800 --> 00:53:32,640
Speaker 2: States defense is Donovan Smith and this Texas Tech passing

1080
00:53:32,680 --> 00:53:39,759
Speaker 2: offense that can absolutely light it up, and I think

1081
00:53:39,800 --> 00:53:45,920
Speaker 2: they will against the Oklahoma State defense that is. I mean,

1082
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:48,759
Speaker 2: if you look at some of their defensive numbers, they

1083
00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:53,360
Speaker 2: are ugly when you consider they played no bunch of nobodies.

1084
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:57,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think Texas Tech can exploit this defense

1085
00:53:57,680 --> 00:54:01,759
Speaker 2: that I think is what is it a wolf? A

1086
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:03,759
Speaker 2: sheep in wolf's clothing? Why I can't I think of

1087
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:07,000
Speaker 2: that for like three days, Paper Tiger, you know they

1088
00:54:07,000 --> 00:54:09,200
Speaker 2: got the I think TCU next week too, off the

1089
00:54:09,200 --> 00:54:13,000
Speaker 2: Baylor revenge might come out a little flat here. Texas

1090
00:54:13,000 --> 00:54:15,160
Speaker 2: Tech already has two ranked wins in the year. Won't

1091
00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 2: be afraid of the stage. Give me the right Raiders.

1092
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,080
Speaker 1: No, I agree with you. I like Texas Tech here,

1093
00:54:20,440 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 1: Miles Price. He is a game time decision. That's a

1094
00:54:23,239 --> 00:54:25,879
Speaker 1: weapon out there that they could use for Texas Tech

1095
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:27,839
Speaker 1: on the offensive side of the ball. Would like to

1096
00:54:28,160 --> 00:54:30,399
Speaker 1: hear more about that injury. But I mean Texas Tech

1097
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 1: has been very well coached up twenty fourth and tackle

1098
00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:39,360
Speaker 1: grading defensively their top twenty and success rate. That's against

1099
00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:41,719
Speaker 1: the rush and against the pass. You're going to need

1100
00:54:41,760 --> 00:54:44,680
Speaker 1: that against Spencer Sanders, who has been lighting it up

1101
00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:47,840
Speaker 1: through the air. But you know, Texas Tech again thirteenth

1102
00:54:47,880 --> 00:54:51,279
Speaker 1: in the nation. And defensive pass rush oblom state has

1103
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:54,600
Speaker 1: not been good and havoc allowed, especially in protecting Spencer Sanders.

1104
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:56,640
Speaker 1: And the book has always been the same thing on

1105
00:54:56,680 --> 00:54:59,160
Speaker 1: Spencer Sanders. If you popped in a podcast from three

1106
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:01,640
Speaker 1: years ago, you'd hear me say this, get pressure in

1107
00:55:01,680 --> 00:55:04,640
Speaker 1: Spencer Sanders face is as a completion percentage takes a

1108
00:55:04,640 --> 00:55:07,400
Speaker 1: major drop. Texas text Defense is able to do that.

1109
00:55:07,680 --> 00:55:09,919
Speaker 2: So that's what they do. They'll blitz from everywhere, They'll

1110
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:12,600
Speaker 2: send pressures from all over stunts and yeah.

1111
00:55:12,680 --> 00:55:14,400
Speaker 1: So I'm with you, absolutely with you.

1112
00:55:14,880 --> 00:55:18,040
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to your boys, Arkansas traveling

1113
00:55:18,080 --> 00:55:21,640
Speaker 2: to Mississippi State. Mississippi State nine point favorite here over

1114
00:55:21,719 --> 00:55:25,240
Speaker 2: under fifty eight. Your boys versus my boys, my leech

1115
00:55:25,400 --> 00:55:30,160
Speaker 2: leech nation. We failed to make our coaching points and

1116
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:32,920
Speaker 2: our points more compelling than their fat little girlfriends.

1117
00:55:32,920 --> 00:55:35,719
Speaker 3: Now their fat little girlfriends have some obvious advantages.

1118
00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:39,920
Speaker 2: Will Rodgers just got done disposing of Texas A and M.

1119
00:55:40,160 --> 00:55:42,920
Speaker 2: Jimbo Fisher. It's gonna be a tough ass for arkeets

1120
00:55:42,920 --> 00:55:44,719
Speaker 2: all here. But I mean they got to be exhausted

1121
00:55:44,760 --> 00:55:47,840
Speaker 2: to two games that like they were in against Alabama

1122
00:55:47,840 --> 00:55:49,120
Speaker 2: and Texas A and M, like they should have beat

1123
00:55:49,120 --> 00:55:52,160
Speaker 2: Texas A and M. Then you know they get back

1124
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:54,840
Speaker 2: in it against Alabama and now you to travel again

1125
00:55:54,920 --> 00:55:58,680
Speaker 2: out to Starkville while Mississippi State the past two weeks,

1126
00:55:58,719 --> 00:56:01,239
Speaker 2: it's like chilling. It's a really tough spot and you

1127
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,680
Speaker 2: probably want to have your quarterback. So tell us what

1128
00:56:03,719 --> 00:56:05,600
Speaker 2: that means. I like mistake. I don't know if on

1129
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,480
Speaker 2: late nine I'll do'll be on a money line or

1130
00:56:08,520 --> 00:56:10,719
Speaker 2: something in some form or fashion where I might end

1131
00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:13,359
Speaker 2: up playing it. But how's this going to play out?

1132
00:56:14,000 --> 00:56:16,200
Speaker 2: Jefferson's I mean he hasn't been ruled out, He's traveling

1133
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:19,759
Speaker 2: with a team that Sam Pittman's cryptic message or the

1134
00:56:19,800 --> 00:56:21,520
Speaker 2: most cryptic MESSAGEES have ever heard all week?

1135
00:56:21,520 --> 00:56:22,879
Speaker 1: But go home?

1136
00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:26,320
Speaker 2: What's going on there? And how's this play out? Woo

1137
00:56:26,560 --> 00:56:29,839
Speaker 2: pick suey absolute dumpster fined.

1138
00:56:30,560 --> 00:56:31,879
Speaker 1: I don't know how we win a game the rest

1139
00:56:31,880 --> 00:56:34,040
Speaker 1: of the year. Just blow the program up, give us

1140
00:56:34,040 --> 00:56:34,800
Speaker 1: a death sentence.

1141
00:56:35,280 --> 00:56:37,600
Speaker 2: Collins talking razorback football.

1142
00:56:39,000 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 1: I don't really understand what the why we're so hidden

1143
00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:45,759
Speaker 1: about what kJ Jefferson is in his status. They you know,

1144
00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:48,400
Speaker 1: Sam Pittman comes out before practice on Wednesday and he says,

1145
00:56:48,480 --> 00:56:50,439
Speaker 1: if you practice on Wednesday, then you're on the plane

1146
00:56:50,480 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 1: ride in Mississippi State. So they're out there on the

1147
00:56:52,719 --> 00:56:56,640
Speaker 1: field all the reporters are watching kJ Jefferson isn't practicing whatsoever.

1148
00:56:57,239 --> 00:56:59,640
Speaker 1: They cut the practice, they go to their indoor facility

1149
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:02,960
Speaker 1: over there by Barnhill, and reporters are peeking in and

1150
00:57:03,040 --> 00:57:06,719
Speaker 1: kJ Jefferson is in pads thrown around, right, So it's

1151
00:57:06,840 --> 00:57:09,560
Speaker 1: like we're hiding the aspect that he's throwing the ball around,

1152
00:57:09,560 --> 00:57:11,560
Speaker 1: but at the same time he's not cleared. And Sam

1153
00:57:11,600 --> 00:57:14,400
Speaker 1: Pittman won't say that he's in concussion protocol. He won't

1154
00:57:14,400 --> 00:57:17,440
Speaker 1: even say the word concussion. So I don't understand what

1155
00:57:17,480 --> 00:57:20,520
Speaker 1: the strategy is here. And there's even more drama after that.

1156
00:57:20,640 --> 00:57:23,280
Speaker 1: Malie Hornsby was supposed to be the backup quarterback.

1157
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:26,000
Speaker 2: He was a groom to be transferring right that they did.

1158
00:57:26,120 --> 00:57:28,560
Speaker 1: Right, and so the whole word out was he's you know,

1159
00:57:28,600 --> 00:57:30,920
Speaker 1: he's immediately going to transfer because he's been passed over

1160
00:57:30,960 --> 00:57:34,080
Speaker 1: by cave Forton. There are memes out there popping up

1161
00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:37,440
Speaker 1: all over Arkansas message boards of Malie Hornsby sitting on

1162
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:41,040
Speaker 1: a stool by himself on the sidelines while cave Forton

1163
00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:43,720
Speaker 1: was out there playing against Alabama, and then he just

1164
00:57:44,440 --> 00:57:46,160
Speaker 1: walked off the field at the end of the game

1165
00:57:46,280 --> 00:57:48,440
Speaker 1: like didn't you didn't want to talk to anybody, not

1166
00:57:48,480 --> 00:57:51,320
Speaker 1: even his teammates are anybody, And so I mean there's

1167
00:57:51,400 --> 00:57:54,640
Speaker 1: drama all over the place. There has been miscommunication with

1168
00:57:54,680 --> 00:57:57,720
Speaker 1: the coaches. Sam Pittman was not happy with Kendlebrows offensive

1169
00:57:57,720 --> 00:58:01,040
Speaker 1: play calling in the Texas A and M game. The

1170
00:58:01,200 --> 00:58:03,920
Speaker 1: complete breakdown on defense, which is what got Alabama the

1171
00:58:03,960 --> 00:58:07,320
Speaker 1: cover you bring in Jalen Milrow. It doesn't matter. It

1172
00:58:07,360 --> 00:58:11,240
Speaker 1: doesn't matter this Arkansas defense. I could go over how

1173
00:58:11,280 --> 00:58:18,000
Speaker 1: bad they are tackling coverage, special teams, rushing against rush explosiveness,

1174
00:58:18,040 --> 00:58:21,520
Speaker 1: and pass explosiveness. They're now bottom ten. And what I'm

1175
00:58:21,560 --> 00:58:25,640
Speaker 1: staring at defensively in passing downs, they're outside top one nineteen.

1176
00:58:27,000 --> 00:58:29,400
Speaker 1: I can't even talk about how bad. It looks like

1177
00:58:29,440 --> 00:58:31,160
Speaker 1: I'm looking at a MAC team and we're trying to

1178
00:58:31,200 --> 00:58:33,960
Speaker 1: dissect a Tuesday night game. That's how bad this defense

1179
00:58:34,040 --> 00:58:37,400
Speaker 1: is on paper. So you know, you go back to

1180
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 1: Mississippi State slow, methodical, high and success rate not explosive.

1181
00:58:43,160 --> 00:58:46,040
Speaker 1: There is a reason that undertook a lot of money.

1182
00:58:46,040 --> 00:58:47,880
Speaker 1: Today from fifty nine and a half, we're down to

1183
00:58:47,880 --> 00:58:50,360
Speaker 1: fifty seven. Fifty five is key if you still want

1184
00:58:50,360 --> 00:58:54,600
Speaker 1: to go under, Cape Forton is a non scholarship quarterback

1185
00:58:54,640 --> 00:58:57,120
Speaker 1: and he has passed over Mali Hornsby, and he's the

1186
00:58:57,200 --> 00:59:01,360
Speaker 1: expected quarterback for Arkansas in this game. It's not going

1187
00:59:01,360 --> 00:59:04,800
Speaker 1: well in Razorback Nation, so I would say avoid the spread,

1188
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:07,840
Speaker 1: play the under look for a shot to get in

1189
00:59:07,840 --> 00:59:11,680
Speaker 1: Mississippi State live. The number is pretty inflated now, even

1190
00:59:11,720 --> 00:59:14,200
Speaker 1: with Cad Forton in there, but there is no love

1191
00:59:14,200 --> 00:59:16,439
Speaker 1: for Arkansas. I'd probably have to have fourteen to play

1192
00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:19,840
Speaker 1: Cad Forton. That's all going to play this slow, I think.

1193
00:59:19,920 --> 00:59:22,200
Speaker 2: So just run the ball and try to keep it

1194
00:59:22,200 --> 00:59:23,360
Speaker 2: out in the city State's hands.

1195
00:59:23,520 --> 00:59:27,000
Speaker 1: Run the ball and save health for the remaining SEC

1196
00:59:27,080 --> 00:59:29,680
Speaker 1: schedule because if you don't have kJ Jefferson, your probability

1197
00:59:29,720 --> 00:59:32,760
Speaker 1: of winning is extremely low, and you need this roster

1198
00:59:32,880 --> 00:59:34,960
Speaker 1: for upcoming games. They can still get back up on

1199
00:59:34,960 --> 00:59:39,920
Speaker 1: the horse, but the defense has shown no improvement whatsoever

1200
00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:43,320
Speaker 1: week after week. And you know, I like the under here,

1201
00:59:43,360 --> 00:59:44,720
Speaker 1: but Artista's got to do their part.

1202
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:47,880
Speaker 2: You convinced me MP I can see it because miss

1203
00:59:47,960 --> 00:59:50,560
Speaker 2: State's really slow and methodical too. Yeah, they're not like

1204
00:59:50,640 --> 00:59:53,800
Speaker 2: throwing bombs, which is just killed Darkansas. I don't play

1205
00:59:53,840 --> 00:59:55,800
Speaker 2: it's small here Ooh, there's a fifty eight and a

1206
00:59:55,840 --> 00:59:56,400
Speaker 2: half out.

1207
00:59:56,240 --> 00:59:57,320
Speaker 1: There, all right.

1208
00:59:57,440 --> 00:59:59,920
Speaker 2: Last game on the rundown text A and M and

1209
01:00:00,080 --> 01:00:04,760
Speaker 2: Alabama Alabama twenty four point favorite over under fifty one.

1210
01:00:05,120 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 2: Max Johnson won't play. It will be Haines King. We

1211
01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:12,240
Speaker 2: don't know the status of Bryce Young. It could be

1212
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:16,960
Speaker 2: Milroy who's not a polished passer but freak athlete. This

1213
01:00:17,040 --> 01:00:21,640
Speaker 2: is this is Bama, Bama Bama for me. I mean

1214
01:00:21,920 --> 01:00:25,480
Speaker 2: Haines King is going to get the start for Texas

1215
01:00:25,480 --> 01:00:28,440
Speaker 2: A and M, who also lost their top playmaker at

1216
01:00:28,520 --> 01:00:32,760
Speaker 2: receiver for the year. Can I tell you about Haines

1217
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:39,760
Speaker 2: King's stats this year? Here's he played Sam Houston State

1218
01:00:39,800 --> 01:00:43,120
Speaker 2: and he threw two picks. He played app State. He's

1219
01:00:43,200 --> 01:00:46,640
Speaker 2: thirteen to twenty for ninety seven yards. Thirteen to twenty

1220
01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:49,800
Speaker 2: ninety seven yards last week against Mississippi State, six of

1221
01:00:49,920 --> 01:00:54,040
Speaker 2: thirteen forty nine yards, two picks. Good Lord, good luck

1222
01:00:54,040 --> 01:00:57,640
Speaker 2: to him against Nick Saban with revenge and by the way,

1223
01:00:57,760 --> 01:01:02,480
Speaker 2: Nick Saban with revenge. He's played fifteen teams that have

1224
01:01:02,480 --> 01:01:04,320
Speaker 2: beat him the previous year, which Texas A ANDAM did

1225
01:01:04,400 --> 01:01:07,320
Speaker 2: last year fourteen and one straight up, eleven and four

1226
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:10,520
Speaker 2: against the spread seventy three point three percent, covering by

1227
01:01:10,560 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 2: about a touchdown per game.

1228
01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:13,720
Speaker 5: And I'm gonna tell you what, if I had a

1229
01:01:13,720 --> 01:01:16,080
Speaker 5: barometer up here to say whether you were give an

1230
01:01:16,080 --> 01:01:18,280
Speaker 5: effort or not, it was about fifty percent.

1231
01:01:18,480 --> 01:01:19,760
Speaker 1: Why did you push yourself?

1232
01:01:20,200 --> 01:01:22,840
Speaker 2: The only quarterback to ever beat him back in the

1233
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:26,720
Speaker 2: second year was Chad Kelly, the goat it old miss.

1234
01:01:26,840 --> 01:01:29,920
Speaker 2: But here's what's really crazy. You know, Saban just boils

1235
01:01:30,000 --> 01:01:32,960
Speaker 2: boils in these games, and you're putting all the preseason

1236
01:01:33,000 --> 01:01:37,080
Speaker 2: comments that Jimbo had on top of that, How's how's

1237
01:01:37,120 --> 01:01:40,040
Speaker 2: this uh? In the games that Albama's favored in these

1238
01:01:40,080 --> 01:01:43,120
Speaker 2: revenge spots by more than ten points, which they obviously

1239
01:01:43,120 --> 01:01:45,680
Speaker 2: are here, they're six and zero against the spread, covering

1240
01:01:45,720 --> 01:01:47,400
Speaker 2: by nine points per game.

1241
01:01:47,840 --> 01:01:50,560
Speaker 5: Nobody wants to win more than the players that played,

1242
01:01:50,800 --> 01:01:52,440
Speaker 5: so that you can be entertained.

1243
01:01:52,720 --> 01:01:57,040
Speaker 2: But the craziest part is Saban never lets up in

1244
01:01:57,080 --> 01:02:00,800
Speaker 2: these spots. In those six games, all against s teams

1245
01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:03,280
Speaker 2: that beat him the year before. Do you know what

1246
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:05,920
Speaker 2: the second half total scoring margin ones in those six games,

1247
01:02:06,320 --> 01:02:11,360
Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty to twenty seven. Six SEC teams

1248
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:15,080
Speaker 2: in blowouts managed twenty seven total points in the second half.

1249
01:02:15,440 --> 01:02:17,480
Speaker 2: One of them was an Auburn kick return for a touchdown.

1250
01:02:18,040 --> 01:02:21,640
Speaker 2: In all of those blowouts, six blowouts against SEC teams

1251
01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:27,680
Speaker 2: with revenge, Saban's teams allowed seven total points in the

1252
01:02:27,720 --> 01:02:31,800
Speaker 2: fourth quarter. One. They're not gonna let text Anum score.

1253
01:02:31,840 --> 01:02:33,960
Speaker 2: They're gonna keep his defense in the whole game. I

1254
01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:36,680
Speaker 2: don't know if Haines King could score on the backups,

1255
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:39,960
Speaker 2: So I'm looking at texts AM team total under. If

1256
01:02:39,960 --> 01:02:42,080
Speaker 2: Bryce Young can't go, it does hurt the upside of

1257
01:02:42,120 --> 01:02:44,720
Speaker 2: Alabama because just it'll be easier for Texts A and

1258
01:02:44,880 --> 01:02:47,320
Speaker 2: M to defend them, and they'll be more like three

1259
01:02:47,400 --> 01:02:50,000
Speaker 2: and outs. There's higher variants, but text A and M,

1260
01:02:50,160 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 2: their defense or secondary was gonna be good this year

1261
01:02:52,360 --> 01:02:54,280
Speaker 2: even though got Rick de Barkin the state. They were

1262
01:02:54,280 --> 01:02:56,960
Speaker 2: replacing everyone up front with a bunch of five star guys,

1263
01:02:56,960 --> 01:03:00,640
Speaker 2: and they've been bad. They can't stop anybody. I'm gonna

1264
01:03:00,680 --> 01:03:02,920
Speaker 2: light with Alabama. I'm gonna look at Texas A and

1265
01:03:03,040 --> 01:03:05,200
Speaker 2: M team total under, and then you know what I'm

1266
01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:07,640
Speaker 2: gonna look at, which might have to be the best bet,

1267
01:03:08,000 --> 01:03:11,160
Speaker 2: is if Alabama's up twenty eight to nothing at the half,

1268
01:03:11,360 --> 01:03:14,480
Speaker 2: bet Alabama again for the second half because they're not

1269
01:03:14,520 --> 01:03:16,680
Speaker 2: gonna let up, and the line will probably assume that

1270
01:03:16,720 --> 01:03:19,880
Speaker 2: they will. And to look at the pregame line, don't

1271
01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:22,800
Speaker 2: I don't know how Haines King is gonna score here.

1272
01:03:23,280 --> 01:03:26,080
Speaker 5: For all you self absorbed folks out there that can't

1273
01:03:26,120 --> 01:03:29,240
Speaker 5: look past your own self, have some gratitude.

1274
01:03:29,720 --> 01:03:32,320
Speaker 1: What do you think Jalen Milrose forty time is I

1275
01:03:32,360 --> 01:03:37,840
Speaker 1: mean three nine? Holy cow? When he got free in

1276
01:03:37,920 --> 01:03:41,400
Speaker 1: Razorback Stadium, it was like a lightning bolt win down

1277
01:03:41,440 --> 01:03:45,840
Speaker 1: the sideline. I can't see why Bryce Young plays this game.

1278
01:03:46,520 --> 01:03:49,919
Speaker 1: He's listed his game time decision. Let's go back. Let's

1279
01:03:49,920 --> 01:03:54,040
Speaker 1: backtrack to a week ago. Nick Saven comes out and says, offensively,

1280
01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:57,320
Speaker 1: we always have a philosophical approach to how we're gonna

1281
01:03:57,320 --> 01:04:00,520
Speaker 1: attack opposing defense. Nick Saban's the shark in the water

1282
01:04:00,520 --> 01:04:03,240
Speaker 1: and he smells blood and he wants to pounce on Jimbo,

1283
01:04:03,480 --> 01:04:06,959
Speaker 1: maybe get him fired and maybe get that ninety million

1284
01:04:06,960 --> 01:04:09,840
Speaker 1: dollars buyout God. But you know so, I mean, from

1285
01:04:09,880 --> 01:04:12,560
Speaker 1: a narrative angle, it's fun to say like Saban is

1286
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:14,800
Speaker 1: going to absolutely blow this game out, Okay, but how

1287
01:04:14,880 --> 01:04:16,960
Speaker 1: is he going to do it? Why would you subject

1288
01:04:17,000 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 1: Bryce Young and a game will a spread this big

1289
01:04:20,320 --> 01:04:22,640
Speaker 1: when your defense could take over and easily win this

1290
01:04:22,720 --> 01:04:26,000
Speaker 1: game by itself. So I expect Jalen Milroe to be

1291
01:04:26,080 --> 01:04:28,320
Speaker 1: the starter. I expect him to play. But let's talk

1292
01:04:28,360 --> 01:04:32,400
Speaker 1: about the philosophical aspect of this. Why would Nick Saban

1293
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:36,200
Speaker 1: throw one single pass in this game? Texas A and

1294
01:04:36,320 --> 01:04:38,800
Speaker 1: M's rush defense is horrific one hundred and eleventh and

1295
01:04:38,880 --> 01:04:41,680
Speaker 1: rushing success rate on defense one hundred and ninth in

1296
01:04:41,720 --> 01:04:44,840
Speaker 1: the line yards one hundredth defensively in stuff right, they

1297
01:04:44,880 --> 01:04:47,840
Speaker 1: can't stop the run. And the Jalen Milroe zone lead.

1298
01:04:48,400 --> 01:04:51,040
Speaker 1: It's perfect. It is a perfect attack against this Texas

1299
01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:53,680
Speaker 1: A and M defense. And if they miss one tackle,

1300
01:04:53,720 --> 01:04:57,000
Speaker 1: which they're fifty second in tackling, you know, he'll take off.

1301
01:04:57,080 --> 01:04:59,400
Speaker 1: They'll be scores, They'll be fine. I don't know how

1302
01:04:59,440 --> 01:05:01,600
Speaker 1: much you're going to run jamieor Gibbs. But look at

1303
01:05:01,600 --> 01:05:05,720
Speaker 1: the schedule. Who does Alabama play next week? Tennessee? What

1304
01:05:05,800 --> 01:05:10,760
Speaker 1: is what is Tennessee? Yeah? What is Tennessee's biggest weakness?

1305
01:05:11,040 --> 01:05:14,440
Speaker 1: The secondary? I wouldn't throw a single pass against Texas

1306
01:05:14,480 --> 01:05:16,520
Speaker 1: A and M. I would keep it all off film

1307
01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:19,480
Speaker 1: I keep Bryce Young healthy because the way that you're

1308
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:22,440
Speaker 1: philosophically going to go into the Tennessee game is to

1309
01:05:22,480 --> 01:05:25,960
Speaker 1: attack the secondary. So I do think this game is

1310
01:05:26,240 --> 01:05:29,120
Speaker 1: completely going to be on the ground for Alabama. I'm

1311
01:05:29,160 --> 01:05:33,120
Speaker 1: not sure if that makes the scoring slower because Texas

1312
01:05:33,160 --> 01:05:35,160
Speaker 1: A and M is going to give up explosives and

1313
01:05:35,280 --> 01:05:38,200
Speaker 1: they're going to miss some reads by Jaylen Milroe and

1314
01:05:38,280 --> 01:05:40,680
Speaker 1: he's going to take off. But at the same time,

1315
01:05:40,760 --> 01:05:43,040
Speaker 1: I agree with Stuck there is no letting up in

1316
01:05:43,080 --> 01:05:45,160
Speaker 1: the score. I don't think there is going to be

1317
01:05:45,200 --> 01:05:48,280
Speaker 1: any let up by this defense. They're out for.

1318
01:05:48,240 --> 01:05:50,280
Speaker 2: Blad Saban is going to be calling a time out

1319
01:05:50,280 --> 01:05:52,960
Speaker 2: if it's like fourth and goal at the one with

1320
01:05:52,960 --> 01:05:53,440
Speaker 2: a minute to go.

1321
01:05:53,920 --> 01:05:57,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, this isn't Saban taking on a former assistant that

1322
01:05:57,400 --> 01:06:01,520
Speaker 1: he This isn't Kirby, right, I mean, this isn't Lane

1323
01:06:01,800 --> 01:06:05,320
Speaker 1: is Jimbo Fisher who had some pretty derogatory things to

1324
01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:08,040
Speaker 1: say over the summer, which were, in my opinion, pretty

1325
01:06:08,120 --> 01:06:08,520
Speaker 1: uncalled for.

1326
01:06:08,880 --> 01:06:10,840
Speaker 2: But you would agree text adem team total under like,

1327
01:06:10,840 --> 01:06:12,040
Speaker 2: how do they get the two touchdowns?

1328
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:17,080
Speaker 1: I don't say Alabama is. I mean they don't fumble

1329
01:06:17,080 --> 01:06:19,200
Speaker 1: the ball and allow their teams to like create havoc.

1330
01:06:19,360 --> 01:06:21,840
Speaker 1: So I just I don't see how text Standum scores either.

1331
01:06:22,000 --> 01:06:25,040
Speaker 1: I really don't quarter which player is going to score.

1332
01:06:25,120 --> 01:06:29,040
Speaker 1: Nia Smith is gone, Max Johnson was playing decent, he's gone.

1333
01:06:29,480 --> 01:06:30,960
Speaker 1: I don't know how they score.

1334
01:06:30,760 --> 01:06:34,040
Speaker 2: With who yeah outside, with Saban here going for the shutout?

1335
01:06:34,480 --> 01:06:37,120
Speaker 2: All right, Like Kyle, let's move on to said you

1336
01:06:37,160 --> 01:06:39,360
Speaker 2: finally got right? You find you said san Diego State over.

1337
01:06:39,800 --> 01:06:43,200
Speaker 2: It went over despite San Diego State's quarterbacks they combined

1338
01:06:43,200 --> 01:06:46,160
Speaker 2: to go I think three of sixteen for eight yards.

1339
01:06:46,160 --> 01:06:48,600
Speaker 2: It's not a joke. By the way, San Diego State

1340
01:06:48,600 --> 01:06:53,160
Speaker 2: Boise went over and the San Diego State they played

1341
01:06:53,160 --> 01:06:55,280
Speaker 2: three quarterbacks. I had got to look up the exact

1342
01:06:55,280 --> 01:06:59,920
Speaker 2: stats the San Diego State quarterbacks went they combined. I mean,

1343
01:07:00,040 --> 01:07:02,680
Speaker 2: this is just hysterical. I remember looking at it last

1344
01:07:02,680 --> 01:07:05,640
Speaker 2: week and was thought it was a typo two of

1345
01:07:05,680 --> 01:07:09,600
Speaker 2: sixteen for thirty three yards in an interception, two of

1346
01:07:09,720 --> 01:07:13,680
Speaker 2: sixteen and it went over. That's what it took. Colin.

1347
01:07:14,360 --> 01:07:17,200
Speaker 2: I feel bad making you do this. What do you

1348
01:07:17,240 --> 01:07:20,200
Speaker 2: got over under in the worst game ever? And it's

1349
01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:23,560
Speaker 2: the late night game between Hawaii. I don't know if

1350
01:07:23,560 --> 01:07:28,640
Speaker 2: Hawaii's bottom. By the way, Hawaii's floor is Hawaii's catching

1351
01:07:28,760 --> 01:07:31,840
Speaker 2: twenty one and a half against the San Diego State offense. Yeah,

1352
01:07:31,840 --> 01:07:34,680
Speaker 2: it looks like Burmeister will go. He was banged up

1353
01:07:34,840 --> 01:07:38,120
Speaker 2: over under forty eight overs take of steam? What do

1354
01:07:38,120 --> 01:07:39,120
Speaker 2: you got over under?

1355
01:07:39,400 --> 01:07:42,960
Speaker 1: Well? As of the latest injury report, brax and Burmeister

1356
01:07:43,040 --> 01:07:45,600
Speaker 1: practiced after leaving the game last week with a head injury.

1357
01:07:45,600 --> 01:07:48,080
Speaker 1: It appears to make him available this week. He was

1358
01:07:48,120 --> 01:07:51,680
Speaker 1: officially called day to day backup. Kyle Crumb's gonna have

1359
01:07:51,720 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 1: surgery for a broken collar bone. Hillmets forty eight weeks

1360
01:07:54,880 --> 01:07:59,480
Speaker 1: and Louis Almave was working as a backup. Listen Braxen

1361
01:07:59,520 --> 01:08:03,280
Speaker 1: Burmeister is playing. This is the San Diego State over

1362
01:08:04,560 --> 01:08:06,600
Speaker 1: That news is actually what shot it up from like

1363
01:08:06,640 --> 01:08:09,240
Speaker 1: forty five and a half up to forty eight. I

1364
01:08:09,320 --> 01:08:11,160
Speaker 1: do believe San Diego stay can do their part to

1365
01:08:11,160 --> 01:08:13,800
Speaker 1: get their points. But when I look at Hawai, I

1366
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:15,920
Speaker 1: mean you gotta look at Hawaii's statue like they're one

1367
01:08:16,000 --> 01:08:18,680
Speaker 1: hundred and thirtieth and everything on defense it's bad and

1368
01:08:18,760 --> 01:08:22,559
Speaker 1: offensively a lot of things outside the top one hundred. Also,

1369
01:08:22,680 --> 01:08:25,880
Speaker 1: I don't know how Hawaii's going to score, but I

1370
01:08:25,920 --> 01:08:28,080
Speaker 1: will say San Diego State will do their part. So

1371
01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:30,240
Speaker 1: whether it is a San Diego State team total over

1372
01:08:30,360 --> 01:08:34,719
Speaker 1: or it's a full game over all, it's not an under,

1373
01:08:34,960 --> 01:08:35,559
Speaker 1: it's an over.

1374
01:08:36,080 --> 01:08:37,479
Speaker 3: As techovers.

1375
01:08:37,960 --> 01:08:40,120
Speaker 2: By the way, before we move on here, shout out

1376
01:08:40,160 --> 01:08:41,880
Speaker 2: to our group of five guys on the Group of

1377
01:08:41,920 --> 01:08:44,880
Speaker 2: five Deep Dive, the episode that comes out the day

1378
01:08:44,920 --> 01:08:46,960
Speaker 2: before hours. They went five and one on their side

1379
01:08:47,000 --> 01:08:50,040
Speaker 2: in totals last week. To make sure you check them out.

1380
01:08:50,200 --> 01:08:53,160
Speaker 2: They always do an incredible job. Before we get to

1381
01:08:53,200 --> 01:08:55,639
Speaker 2: three and out, let's go stink of the week, I'm

1382
01:08:55,640 --> 01:09:02,160
Speaker 2: gonna go a quick dumpster dive. That smell it's digs

1383
01:09:02,680 --> 01:09:07,559
Speaker 2: me this trash, the sweet sweet trash. The trash is

1384
01:09:07,600 --> 01:09:12,240
Speaker 2: a gold mild. Now everyone's clamoring for these now, and

1385
01:09:12,320 --> 01:09:15,240
Speaker 2: I promise you they will not be on the week

1386
01:09:15,280 --> 01:09:17,080
Speaker 2: that they go like oh and six. And you got

1387
01:09:17,080 --> 01:09:18,719
Speaker 2: to sit there and lose money on the words teams,

1388
01:09:18,760 --> 01:09:21,840
Speaker 2: all right? Uh? New Mexico plus three and a half

1389
01:09:21,880 --> 01:09:25,360
Speaker 2: against Wyoming. Yeah, Wyoming is a fraud. What New Mexicos

1390
01:09:25,400 --> 01:09:27,080
Speaker 2: beat them by? They were double digit dogs the last

1391
01:09:27,080 --> 01:09:29,799
Speaker 2: two years and beat them. Danny Gonzalez and this defense

1392
01:09:30,439 --> 01:09:33,640
Speaker 2: has a Craig Bowls number. I'll take the three and

1393
01:09:33,680 --> 01:09:36,759
Speaker 2: a half year against a bad dad Wyoming defense offense.

1394
01:09:36,800 --> 01:09:39,000
Speaker 2: The best unit on the field to be New Mexico's defense.

1395
01:09:39,360 --> 01:09:42,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, one hundred percent agree. And the fact that New

1396
01:09:42,040 --> 01:09:44,519
Speaker 1: Mexico flamed out in the second half against UNLV makes

1397
01:09:44,560 --> 01:09:47,840
Speaker 1: me think a New Mexico first half money line might

1398
01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:50,680
Speaker 1: actually be worth a play here. I'm with you on this.

1399
01:09:51,080 --> 01:09:52,639
Speaker 1: We'll see if it makes the cut for the round

1400
01:09:52,720 --> 01:09:53,839
Speaker 1: robin on the show Saturday.

1401
01:09:54,000 --> 01:09:56,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, New Mexico, I'm not as worried about that. I

1402
01:09:56,240 --> 01:09:58,080
Speaker 2: think New Mexico died down because they were just at

1403
01:09:58,200 --> 01:10:00,920
Speaker 2: LSU and they were in a short week on their

1404
01:10:00,960 --> 01:10:02,920
Speaker 2: second straight road game. You know, they've been playing better.

1405
01:10:02,920 --> 01:10:05,000
Speaker 2: They blew out Utaph, They could have beat you, you know,

1406
01:10:05,400 --> 01:10:07,720
Speaker 2: but they have an extra day now of prep. And

1407
01:10:07,760 --> 01:10:10,200
Speaker 2: then you know, it wasn't LSU they were playing and

1408
01:10:10,200 --> 01:10:13,479
Speaker 2: Wyoming's a snail. So like that in New Mexico's a snail.

1409
01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:15,800
Speaker 2: No one's gonna get tired in this game. Three the

1410
01:10:15,920 --> 01:10:18,400
Speaker 2: totals like thirty five, By the way, I mean, I

1411
01:10:18,479 --> 01:10:20,120
Speaker 2: like to actually kind of like the make the total

1412
01:10:20,200 --> 01:10:22,800
Speaker 2: thirty three, So give me. Yeah, of course, I'm taking

1413
01:10:22,840 --> 01:10:25,439
Speaker 2: the three and a half points here. Akron plus eleven

1414
01:10:25,880 --> 01:10:30,120
Speaker 2: against my Ohio. Bob's Ohio is beat up on defense.

1415
01:10:30,560 --> 01:10:34,280
Speaker 2: Ohio defense is already horrendous. They give up like sixty

1416
01:10:34,320 --> 01:10:36,840
Speaker 2: to the forum. This is a terrible spot. You know,

1417
01:10:36,920 --> 01:10:39,320
Speaker 2: it really sucked last week for Ohio Future. I had

1418
01:10:39,360 --> 01:10:41,720
Speaker 2: some like twenty to one, twenty five to one to

1419
01:10:41,800 --> 01:10:44,679
Speaker 2: win the MAC. They got Kent State in overtime last week.

1420
01:10:44,720 --> 01:10:47,000
Speaker 2: That's the game they needed to win to steal that

1421
01:10:47,080 --> 01:10:50,240
Speaker 2: game for the division. They state they had them and

1422
01:10:50,280 --> 01:10:52,280
Speaker 2: by the way, they you know, Ohio gave up seven

1423
01:10:52,360 --> 01:10:54,479
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty yards to Kent State in that game

1424
01:10:55,800 --> 01:10:57,759
Speaker 2: and it was twenty four off the end of regulation.

1425
01:10:58,120 --> 01:11:03,080
Speaker 2: Kent State had seven hundred and eighty yards boredom foredam

1426
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:06,600
Speaker 2: by the way, against Ohio again that didn't go to overtime,

1427
01:11:07,160 --> 01:11:11,519
Speaker 2: had six hundred and seventy yards against Ohio. So this

1428
01:11:11,680 --> 01:11:15,120
Speaker 2: is just a devastating spot after that devastating loss to

1429
01:11:15,200 --> 01:11:18,160
Speaker 2: Kent State, I think it's a sleepy spot against Akron.

1430
01:11:18,320 --> 01:11:19,200
Speaker 2: I'll take the eleven.

1431
01:11:19,560 --> 01:11:22,000
Speaker 1: Well, don't forget about the elite Penn State offense that

1432
01:11:22,080 --> 01:11:24,240
Speaker 1: also went for five hundred and seventy two against the

1433
01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:28,080
Speaker 1: Ohio defense. I can't argue with you. You know, Akrons

1434
01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:30,800
Speaker 1: covered too straight against Bowling Green and Liberty. You know

1435
01:11:30,920 --> 01:11:32,840
Speaker 1: that's enough for me to say, yeah, let's roll on with.

1436
01:11:32,800 --> 01:11:39,040
Speaker 2: This and the final one. It's the biggest dumpster of

1437
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:47,559
Speaker 2: them all. We are laying points with the econsts in

1438
01:11:48,439 --> 01:11:52,840
Speaker 2: at FIU. My case is FIU is real, real, real,

1439
01:11:52,920 --> 01:11:57,040
Speaker 2: real bad. Yukon is improving. FU doesn't enough pads. I

1440
01:11:57,120 --> 01:11:59,040
Speaker 2: think they're just like three trade road games are coming home.

1441
01:11:59,080 --> 01:12:02,519
Speaker 2: There's no home homefield advantage FIU. Last week. You know,

1442
01:12:02,720 --> 01:12:04,640
Speaker 2: you know how much time I wrote this game up.

1443
01:12:04,680 --> 01:12:06,200
Speaker 2: You know much time I have spent finding out like

1444
01:12:06,240 --> 01:12:08,160
Speaker 2: what happened in this game finding clips.

1445
01:12:08,320 --> 01:12:09,160
Speaker 1: There's not a lot of info.

1446
01:12:09,439 --> 01:12:13,200
Speaker 2: FIU came out and they usually passed. They ran like

1447
01:12:13,240 --> 01:12:16,400
Speaker 2: this Reid option with a slow quarterback. New Mexico State

1448
01:12:16,520 --> 01:12:20,759
Speaker 2: was just not prepared for it. They multiple times FIU

1449
01:12:20,800 --> 01:12:23,200
Speaker 2: scored on like third and longs when New Mexico State

1450
01:12:23,200 --> 01:12:25,080
Speaker 2: didn't have eleven guys on the field. They were running

1451
01:12:25,120 --> 01:12:27,960
Speaker 2: guys off the field. Jerry Kill was living. I don't

1452
01:12:27,960 --> 01:12:30,240
Speaker 2: know what New Mexico State was doing the week leading

1453
01:12:30,280 --> 01:12:32,120
Speaker 2: up to that, and then on the defensive side of

1454
01:12:32,120 --> 01:12:36,000
Speaker 2: the ball, FIU just loaded. They just put ten guys

1455
01:12:36,000 --> 01:12:38,800
Speaker 2: in the box and said you got to throw it

1456
01:12:38,800 --> 01:12:40,880
Speaker 2: because Mexico State can't throw, and they couldn't complete a

1457
01:12:40,880 --> 01:12:43,920
Speaker 2: pass like they just kind of shocked in the Metico

1458
01:12:44,000 --> 01:12:46,439
Speaker 2: State was just drunk. FIU has the strength is the

1459
01:12:46,479 --> 01:12:48,519
Speaker 2: worst strength of schedule in the country, and they've been

1460
01:12:48,600 --> 01:12:51,640
Speaker 2: this bad. Yukon's played like a powerhouse schedule. They have

1461
01:12:51,680 --> 01:12:54,360
Speaker 2: a top thirty strength of schedule and they just beat Friends,

1462
01:12:54,400 --> 01:12:57,240
Speaker 2: though I know it was their backup, but I've liked

1463
01:12:57,280 --> 01:12:59,320
Speaker 2: it I seen from Ukon. I think because FIU won

1464
01:12:59,439 --> 01:13:01,400
Speaker 2: last week, you're getting this under a touchdown. I think

1465
01:13:01,400 --> 01:13:03,439
Speaker 2: it should be over a touchdown with line it with Yukon.

1466
01:13:03,840 --> 01:13:06,360
Speaker 1: Yeah, I have Yukon minus eight in the Power ratings,

1467
01:13:06,400 --> 01:13:09,160
Speaker 1: and one of the sharp books that you and I

1468
01:13:09,200 --> 01:13:11,640
Speaker 1: respect has blown through this five to five and a

1469
01:13:11,640 --> 01:13:14,160
Speaker 1: half and up to six. Who am I to argue

1470
01:13:14,640 --> 01:13:18,840
Speaker 1: fading a Florida international team that I saw open up

1471
01:13:18,840 --> 01:13:21,720
Speaker 1: the season get pushed around by Brian. That was all

1472
01:13:21,720 --> 01:13:24,800
Speaker 1: I needed to see. So yeah, I guess I'm not sure.

1473
01:13:24,800 --> 01:13:26,280
Speaker 1: If I'm there with you, I think it's gonna be

1474
01:13:26,320 --> 01:13:29,080
Speaker 1: a lot of points. So I don't know, maybe playing

1475
01:13:29,120 --> 01:13:34,160
Speaker 1: over here, but yeah, I'm with you, justin from reading

1476
01:13:34,560 --> 01:13:37,439
Speaker 1: Yo stuck. I listened to you one more time on

1477
01:13:37,520 --> 01:13:40,439
Speaker 1: anything involving Utah. I'm coming after you.

1478
01:13:41,160 --> 01:13:41,799
Speaker 3: Take it easy.

1479
01:13:43,560 --> 01:13:48,479
Speaker 2: Four for four, baby, agreeing on the dumpster. All right,

1480
01:13:48,960 --> 01:13:49,320
Speaker 2: let's go.

1481
01:13:52,200 --> 01:13:54,360
Speaker 1: Let's make it a quick three and out.

1482
01:13:55,960 --> 01:14:00,080
Speaker 2: All right, first down, we're going to start with our

1483
01:14:00,120 --> 01:14:04,040
Speaker 2: favorite bet. I'll kick things off here with South Carolina.

1484
01:14:05,040 --> 01:14:06,880
Speaker 2: They were ten and a half. I got some ten,

1485
01:14:07,200 --> 01:14:09,560
Speaker 2: some ten. I still like it at seven six and

1486
01:14:09,600 --> 01:14:11,360
Speaker 2: a half. But wait, you're at six and a half.

1487
01:14:11,400 --> 01:14:13,720
Speaker 2: Now you're gonna see if will Levis is out, but

1488
01:14:14,800 --> 01:14:16,840
Speaker 2: he's rumored to be out. He might have a boot

1489
01:14:16,880 --> 01:14:19,160
Speaker 2: on if he is. It's gonna be a freshman in there.

1490
01:14:19,560 --> 01:14:22,200
Speaker 2: I've been low in Kentucky all year. Their offensive line

1491
01:14:22,240 --> 01:14:24,719
Speaker 2: is a mess, and now you're not gonna have Will Lewis,

1492
01:14:24,720 --> 01:14:26,439
Speaker 2: who I think is overrated, like he should be number

1493
01:14:26,439 --> 01:14:28,120
Speaker 2: one pick, but he's still an NFL quarterback. And now

1494
01:14:28,160 --> 01:14:30,280
Speaker 2: you're gonna go to a freshman and the offense is

1495
01:14:30,280 --> 01:14:32,680
Speaker 2: just gonna be a train ride. This is a phenomenal

1496
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:35,479
Speaker 2: spot for South Carolina, A phenomen I wrote about this

1497
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:37,280
Speaker 2: in my spot in my piece earlier in the week.

1498
01:14:37,760 --> 01:14:40,360
Speaker 2: South Carolina a lot of their defensive metrics are so bad.

1499
01:14:40,439 --> 01:14:42,679
Speaker 2: They were down like eight starters for a lot of games.

1500
01:14:42,960 --> 01:14:45,240
Speaker 2: They've had two weeks to prepare for this and get healthy.

1501
01:14:45,280 --> 01:14:49,120
Speaker 2: They had Charlotte and then South Carolina State. Meanwhile, Kentucky

1502
01:14:49,520 --> 01:14:51,360
Speaker 2: just had Old Miss. They have Misstate on deck. It

1503
01:14:51,439 --> 01:14:54,160
Speaker 2: is a huge game for South Carolina. This is I

1504
01:14:54,400 --> 01:14:56,599
Speaker 2: think South Carolina's going a really good chance to win

1505
01:14:56,600 --> 01:14:59,040
Speaker 2: out right, especially if Levis is out. This is my

1506
01:14:59,240 --> 01:15:01,599
Speaker 2: favorite bet on set. Give me the game. Cuts who

1507
01:15:01,600 --> 01:15:04,320
Speaker 2: are healthier across the board, like most of their starters

1508
01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:05,680
Speaker 2: are going to play a defense. They lost two for

1509
01:15:05,680 --> 01:15:08,160
Speaker 2: the year. The others should be back. Their tackle should

1510
01:15:08,160 --> 01:15:11,719
Speaker 2: be back, one of the receivers should be back. Really fresh,

1511
01:15:12,120 --> 01:15:14,519
Speaker 2: ready to go here. I like South Carolina.

1512
01:15:15,160 --> 01:15:17,760
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm going to go with Navy. This is a

1513
01:15:17,800 --> 01:15:20,200
Speaker 1: team that we backed last week because their defense is

1514
01:15:20,240 --> 01:15:22,439
Speaker 1: on the upswing. It's something that we didn't think was

1515
01:15:22,479 --> 01:15:24,680
Speaker 1: going to show up with this team, but all of

1516
01:15:24,720 --> 01:15:26,479
Speaker 1: a sudden, they are the second best team in the

1517
01:15:26,560 --> 01:15:29,920
Speaker 1: nation and defensive finishing drives. What does that mean any

1518
01:15:29,960 --> 01:15:33,360
Speaker 1: opponent that gets within the forty yard line severely limited

1519
01:15:33,560 --> 01:15:36,560
Speaker 1: in scoring opportunities, one of the lowest rates in the

1520
01:15:36,640 --> 01:15:39,680
Speaker 1: nation of anybody trying to test this Navy defense, and

1521
01:15:39,720 --> 01:15:43,000
Speaker 1: this Tulsa offense has not been great whatsoever in anywhere

1522
01:15:43,040 --> 01:15:46,080
Speaker 1: except for the passing game, so that you know that

1523
01:15:46,360 --> 01:15:48,960
Speaker 1: decreases with the efficiency the closer that you get to

1524
01:15:49,000 --> 01:15:51,240
Speaker 1: the goal line. This Navy defense is tenth in the

1525
01:15:51,240 --> 01:15:53,439
Speaker 1: line yards. I don't expect anything on the ground from

1526
01:15:53,640 --> 01:15:56,200
Speaker 1: the Tulsa offense, which is a balance fifty to fifty.

1527
01:15:56,560 --> 01:15:59,800
Speaker 1: But more importantly, you know, maybe in from a stuff rate,

1528
01:15:59,840 --> 01:16:02,479
Speaker 1: per Pive is going to completely dominate this game. They're

1529
01:16:02,479 --> 01:16:04,559
Speaker 1: gonna have their way on the offensive and defensive side

1530
01:16:04,600 --> 01:16:05,040
Speaker 1: of the ball.

1531
01:16:05,520 --> 01:16:05,640
Speaker 5: Uh.

1532
01:16:05,880 --> 01:16:09,000
Speaker 1: You know, Navy is what we thought was dead to

1533
01:16:09,040 --> 01:16:12,120
Speaker 1: the podcast. They're covered too straight and I expect them

1534
01:16:12,160 --> 01:16:14,080
Speaker 1: to cover here against a Tulsa team game that I

1535
01:16:14,160 --> 01:16:17,679
Speaker 1: project to be Navy plus two is high up around

1536
01:16:17,720 --> 01:16:19,240
Speaker 1: six five and a half. I think it's good all

1537
01:16:19,240 --> 01:16:21,000
Speaker 1: the way down to a field goal, but.

1538
01:16:21,080 --> 01:16:23,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I would be no way to I'm going to

1539
01:16:23,360 --> 01:16:24,880
Speaker 2: dig into that game this morning. I think I may

1540
01:16:24,920 --> 01:16:25,559
Speaker 2: be joining.

1541
01:16:25,360 --> 01:16:41,439
Speaker 4: You all right, Moving on to second down, let's talk

1542
01:16:41,520 --> 01:16:45,320
Speaker 4: our favorite overdog, aka our favorite favorite.

1543
01:16:45,520 --> 01:16:47,559
Speaker 2: I'll kick things off here. I'm gonna go Florida minus

1544
01:16:47,640 --> 01:16:50,639
Speaker 2: ten and a half at home against Missouri. Miserable spot

1545
01:16:50,680 --> 01:16:54,519
Speaker 2: for Missouri. Look, they just they have a devastating loss

1546
01:16:54,520 --> 01:16:57,200
Speaker 2: at Auburn. I don't know in overtime, I don't know

1547
01:16:57,240 --> 01:17:00,160
Speaker 2: how they lost. Then they picked themselves up, respond with

1548
01:17:00,680 --> 01:17:05,000
Speaker 2: a ridiculous effort against Georgia. Are leading most of that game.

1549
01:17:05,200 --> 01:17:08,439
Speaker 2: Take them right to the wire, like exhausting effort back

1550
01:17:08,479 --> 01:17:11,000
Speaker 2: to back weeks, emotionally physically draining. Now you get to

1551
01:17:11,000 --> 01:17:13,719
Speaker 2: go to the swamp on the road against the Florida

1552
01:17:13,760 --> 01:17:15,679
Speaker 2: team the fase that a bye. They played Eastern Washington,

1553
01:17:15,720 --> 01:17:18,320
Speaker 2: they played eighty five kids in a blowout, And I

1554
01:17:18,320 --> 01:17:21,320
Speaker 2: think this is a really good matchup for Florida because

1555
01:17:21,360 --> 01:17:25,920
Speaker 2: Missouri's offense is bad, Florida's defense has been bad. Kind

1556
01:17:25,920 --> 01:17:30,400
Speaker 2: of neutralizes itself there. Florida Anthony Richardson has been better

1557
01:17:30,400 --> 01:17:34,479
Speaker 2: of late. Missouri only faced one mobile quarterback this year,

1558
01:17:34,920 --> 01:17:37,719
Speaker 2: Adrian Martinez, and they got destroyed. I think they're anund

1559
01:17:37,720 --> 01:17:40,160
Speaker 2: forty to nothing at one point to Kansas State. Little

1560
01:17:40,240 --> 01:17:43,400
Speaker 2: misleading score, but I think Florida cannot success. You're in

1561
01:17:43,400 --> 01:17:47,160
Speaker 2: a great spot. Florida lost by one in overtime last year.

1562
01:17:47,680 --> 01:17:52,160
Speaker 2: Dan Bullen gets fired right after drake Witz is talking shit.

1563
01:17:52,600 --> 01:17:55,760
Speaker 2: The players are talking shit. Florida wants this game up

1564
01:17:55,840 --> 01:17:58,519
Speaker 2: until last year, the previous eight they play every year,

1565
01:17:58,520 --> 01:18:01,040
Speaker 2: we're all decided by seventeen plus. I think this one

1566
01:18:01,040 --> 01:18:04,000
Speaker 2: gets ugly again. Big Florida jumps out. Missouri is not

1567
01:18:04,000 --> 01:18:05,800
Speaker 2: the type of team that's ever going to come back

1568
01:18:05,840 --> 01:18:08,760
Speaker 2: to get back into a game. And uh yeah, I

1569
01:18:08,800 --> 01:18:12,360
Speaker 2: think the extra time, the extra prep rest really helps Florida.

1570
01:18:12,439 --> 01:18:14,519
Speaker 2: Here for two coaches that are really familiar with each other.

1571
01:18:14,600 --> 01:18:17,200
Speaker 2: These are ex Sunbock guys. So give me the Gators.

1572
01:18:17,280 --> 01:18:20,360
Speaker 1: Chump chump. Yeah, I'm gonna go with USC is my

1573
01:18:20,520 --> 01:18:24,400
Speaker 1: favorite favorite And you say, WHOA like this was supposed

1574
01:18:24,439 --> 01:18:26,920
Speaker 1: to be a team that we fade on this podcast. Listen,

1575
01:18:27,000 --> 01:18:30,559
Speaker 1: there's a time to fit USC and this week isn't it.

1576
01:18:30,920 --> 01:18:32,639
Speaker 1: I would take the Trojans at twelve and a half

1577
01:18:32,680 --> 01:18:36,920
Speaker 1: thirteen up to fourteen, and considering what this Washington State defense,

1578
01:18:36,960 --> 01:18:40,559
Speaker 1: which has numbers that look really good on paper, but

1579
01:18:40,680 --> 01:18:46,040
Speaker 1: these passing defense numbers came against Wisconsin Colorado State cow

1580
01:18:46,960 --> 01:18:49,240
Speaker 1: Bo Nicks got four hundred and forty six yards up.

1581
01:18:49,280 --> 01:18:51,360
Speaker 1: Cow went for two to eighty passing in the air.

1582
01:18:52,240 --> 01:18:54,880
Speaker 1: I mean for USC to bet Utah next week, they

1583
01:18:54,920 --> 01:18:56,680
Speaker 1: have to be able to sling it against a four

1584
01:18:56,720 --> 01:18:59,680
Speaker 1: to two five defense. Well, guess what, Jake Dicker to

1585
01:18:59,720 --> 01:19:02,280
Speaker 1: watch State runs a four to two five. I think

1586
01:19:02,360 --> 01:19:05,400
Speaker 1: USC is absolutely going to have a scrimmage here. They're

1587
01:19:05,439 --> 01:19:08,519
Speaker 1: going to learn how to detect signals, uh, you know,

1588
01:19:08,600 --> 01:19:12,360
Speaker 1: defensive coverage, schemes, blitzes, everything from a four two five

1589
01:19:12,400 --> 01:19:14,880
Speaker 1: defense they get out of Washington State. I think USC

1590
01:19:15,080 --> 01:19:17,120
Speaker 1: is going to roll and play all four quarters here,

1591
01:19:17,280 --> 01:19:20,120
Speaker 1: and Caleb Williams is not going to see a pass rush.

1592
01:19:20,400 --> 01:19:23,519
Speaker 1: He has just a completion percentage has a huge drop

1593
01:19:23,560 --> 01:19:26,640
Speaker 1: from eighty one percent down to sixty percent when he

1594
01:19:26,760 --> 01:19:29,439
Speaker 1: has a crowded pocket. Washington State is one of the

1595
01:19:29,479 --> 01:19:32,559
Speaker 1: worst teams in the nation applying pressure on quarterbacks from

1596
01:19:32,600 --> 01:19:35,639
Speaker 1: a pass rush and a havoc perspective, and Washington State,

1597
01:19:36,160 --> 01:19:38,559
Speaker 1: you know right now, sixty percent pass or eighty fourth

1598
01:19:38,560 --> 01:19:39,320
Speaker 1: and rushing success.

1599
01:19:39,439 --> 01:19:39,599
Speaker 2: Right.

1600
01:19:39,640 --> 01:19:42,479
Speaker 1: The key to beating this USC defense we saw from

1601
01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:46,080
Speaker 1: Oregon State is a ground game. USC is going to

1602
01:19:46,240 --> 01:19:49,200
Speaker 1: roll here because Washington State has no ground game whatsoever,

1603
01:19:49,240 --> 01:19:51,479
Speaker 1: and they throw sixty percent of the time. Give me

1604
01:19:51,600 --> 01:19:55,320
Speaker 1: USC twelve and a half, thirteen doesn't matter. This is

1605
01:19:55,360 --> 01:19:58,639
Speaker 1: my favorite favorite you know, a four two five defense

1606
01:19:58,680 --> 01:20:00,920
Speaker 1: that they need practice against before they go play Utah

1607
01:20:01,000 --> 01:20:01,519
Speaker 1: next week.

1608
01:20:02,760 --> 01:20:05,200
Speaker 2: Yeah. Well, hopefully hopefully the turn of aggression doesn't hit

1609
01:20:05,360 --> 01:20:08,519
Speaker 2: and then it can hit. Yeah for you next week,

1610
01:20:08,560 --> 01:20:10,960
Speaker 2: all once against Utah. So yeah, we're in USC East

1611
01:20:10,960 --> 01:20:17,880
Speaker 2: and USC West are two favorite overdogs are Florida and USC.

1612
01:20:18,640 --> 01:20:22,920
Speaker 2: Favorite bets are South Carolina and Mavy. And we have

1613
01:20:23,000 --> 01:20:26,400
Speaker 2: one final order business third down, and that's our underdog

1614
01:20:26,439 --> 01:20:34,000
Speaker 2: money on parlay, turning good weekends into great weekends. It's

1615
01:20:34,120 --> 01:20:38,559
Speaker 2: time for the money line parlay. Last week you suggested

1616
01:20:38,560 --> 01:20:41,799
Speaker 2: we switched the order and we finally hit. I had Troy,

1617
01:20:42,520 --> 01:20:46,000
Speaker 2: you had TCU. It all worked out. We have to

1618
01:20:46,080 --> 01:20:48,200
Speaker 2: keep that same order so you kick things off where

1619
01:20:48,200 --> 01:20:48,479
Speaker 2: you're going.

1620
01:20:49,040 --> 01:20:52,080
Speaker 1: Well, Sadly, we're no longer able to use TCU in

1621
01:20:52,120 --> 01:20:54,439
Speaker 1: this segment. It was making us look like a genius.

1622
01:20:54,439 --> 01:20:56,679
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna flip over. I'm gonna do LSU already

1623
01:20:56,680 --> 01:20:59,280
Speaker 1: talked about it on the podcast. There are major advantages

1624
01:20:59,320 --> 01:21:01,200
Speaker 1: in the trench on both sides of the ball. That

1625
01:21:01,320 --> 01:21:04,439
Speaker 1: offensive line for LSU is fortified by Garon Delager coming

1626
01:21:04,479 --> 01:21:07,479
Speaker 1: back left guard. He's their best offensive lineman. That's going

1627
01:21:07,520 --> 01:21:10,959
Speaker 1: to give Jayden Daniels time to throw a pass against

1628
01:21:11,000 --> 01:21:15,559
Speaker 1: a very poor Tennessee secondary that is allowing a lot

1629
01:21:15,600 --> 01:21:18,120
Speaker 1: of explosive plays and when you look at like some

1630
01:21:18,160 --> 01:21:20,840
Speaker 1: of the MAC teams and some of the quarterbacks they

1631
01:21:20,920 --> 01:21:23,760
Speaker 1: faced from Pitt, it's not a good look for what

1632
01:21:23,800 --> 01:21:27,280
Speaker 1: Tennessee's done on defense in the secondary. And Brian Kelly

1633
01:21:27,360 --> 01:21:29,920
Speaker 1: has publicly called out his quarterback and asked him to

1634
01:21:29,920 --> 01:21:32,519
Speaker 1: do a little bit more. The problem is he's been

1635
01:21:32,800 --> 01:21:35,040
Speaker 1: kind of inaccurate and there's been a lot of drops

1636
01:21:35,040 --> 01:21:39,040
Speaker 1: from the wide receivers, particularly Booty. So what I'm looking

1637
01:21:39,040 --> 01:21:42,120
Speaker 1: for is LSU to absolutely dominate the trench. They're going

1638
01:21:42,160 --> 01:21:44,360
Speaker 1: to stop the run from the Tennessee offense, which is

1639
01:21:44,400 --> 01:21:46,720
Speaker 1: the only way Tennessee can compete in this game. Is

1640
01:21:46,720 --> 01:21:49,559
Speaker 1: if they stay ahead and down in distance and keep

1641
01:21:49,560 --> 01:21:52,120
Speaker 1: the chains moving, that rushing attack is going to run

1642
01:21:52,120 --> 01:21:55,200
Speaker 1: into a wall against LSU. You take out Cedric Tillman

1643
01:21:55,200 --> 01:21:57,640
Speaker 1: as a weapon from Hindon Hooker that's severely going to

1644
01:21:57,720 --> 01:21:59,320
Speaker 1: limit what they're going to be able to do in

1645
01:21:59,360 --> 01:22:02,280
Speaker 1: passing down and just weapons on the outside in general,

1646
01:22:02,479 --> 01:22:05,160
Speaker 1: where you can take advantage of some LSU players. So

1647
01:22:05,320 --> 01:22:08,519
Speaker 1: I love LSU plus three here. I think they win outright,

1648
01:22:09,400 --> 01:22:12,040
Speaker 1: So you know, me getting to go first. Hopefully I'm right.

1649
01:22:12,080 --> 01:22:14,000
Speaker 1: It's one of the first games of the day, so

1650
01:22:14,240 --> 01:22:16,519
Speaker 1: hopefully it'll get us to the window. But I love

1651
01:22:16,560 --> 01:22:21,360
Speaker 1: it here playing at home. Trench Warfare obviously favors LSU

1652
01:22:21,520 --> 01:22:21,960
Speaker 1: all the way.

1653
01:22:22,560 --> 01:22:25,360
Speaker 2: Well, I disagree, but you've been better at these this

1654
01:22:25,520 --> 01:22:29,040
Speaker 2: year than I have. So who am I to question you.

1655
01:22:29,160 --> 01:22:31,320
Speaker 2: I just came. I just got to the party last

1656
01:22:31,320 --> 01:22:33,920
Speaker 2: week for the first time, and you've been here for

1657
01:22:34,000 --> 01:22:38,880
Speaker 2: the entire season. But I'm gonna go late night and

1658
01:22:38,920 --> 01:22:40,599
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to the West Coast. I'm gonna take

1659
01:22:40,680 --> 01:22:45,519
Speaker 2: Stanford Money, a team that hasn't covered eleven straight games.

1660
01:22:45,520 --> 01:22:47,080
Speaker 2: They're a who to eleven it gets to spread their

1661
01:22:47,160 --> 01:22:49,519
Speaker 2: last eleven. I'm not even gonn I do have them

1662
01:22:49,520 --> 01:22:51,519
Speaker 2: to cover, but I'm also gonna take them to win,

1663
01:22:51,880 --> 01:22:53,439
Speaker 2: so I do. Not only do I need them to

1664
01:22:53,439 --> 01:22:56,160
Speaker 2: cover for the first time in twelve games, I need

1665
01:22:56,160 --> 01:22:57,519
Speaker 2: them to win outright. But I think they have a

1666
01:22:57,520 --> 01:22:59,160
Speaker 2: really good shot here. I think this is the bottom

1667
01:22:59,200 --> 01:23:01,880
Speaker 2: of the market for stamp It's also a great spot.

1668
01:23:01,920 --> 01:23:04,280
Speaker 2: You have Oregon State quarterback questions of their own. They

1669
01:23:04,320 --> 01:23:07,080
Speaker 2: really missed their tight end to who's the leading receiver

1670
01:23:07,200 --> 01:23:09,000
Speaker 2: through the first two games, and he's now out with

1671
01:23:09,040 --> 01:23:12,000
Speaker 2: an injury. But they're coming off the game against UFC

1672
01:23:12,200 --> 01:23:15,120
Speaker 2: like they probably should have won. Then they go to Utah.

1673
01:23:15,520 --> 01:23:17,280
Speaker 2: It's a mass that gets out of late and gets

1674
01:23:17,280 --> 01:23:19,120
Speaker 2: out of hand late. Now they go to Stanford, really

1675
01:23:19,160 --> 01:23:24,200
Speaker 2: sleepy spot here. Stanford has been really bad in a

1676
01:23:24,400 --> 01:23:29,559
Speaker 2: couple aspects here, which has made their scores just balloon.

1677
01:23:29,640 --> 01:23:31,400
Speaker 2: And they've played some really good teams. I mean, they've

1678
01:23:31,479 --> 01:23:34,519
Speaker 2: played three top twenty five teams already. But if you

1679
01:23:34,560 --> 01:23:37,160
Speaker 2: look at Stanford, what has happened. It's their offensive line.

1680
01:23:37,400 --> 01:23:39,360
Speaker 2: Their offensive line has been a disaster. They're running this

1681
01:23:39,400 --> 01:23:41,760
Speaker 2: new offense. It's new mesh point offense, kind of like

1682
01:23:42,000 --> 01:23:44,839
Speaker 2: wakesh You need time, you need time to do anything,

1683
01:23:44,880 --> 01:23:46,720
Speaker 2: and Dana McKey has not had it, and he has

1684
01:23:46,720 --> 01:23:49,800
Speaker 2: great weapons, a great arm. I think that they're finally

1685
01:23:49,880 --> 01:23:52,240
Speaker 2: solved some of the issues. Two of their offensive linemen

1686
01:23:52,720 --> 01:23:55,240
Speaker 2: starters who've been out since the USC game might come

1687
01:23:55,280 --> 01:23:57,400
Speaker 2: back this week. I just should say one of them.

1688
01:23:57,400 --> 01:23:59,040
Speaker 2: Another one got hurt, but he had a move from

1689
01:23:59,120 --> 01:24:01,599
Speaker 2: right guard to right tap. He's only good at right guard.

1690
01:24:02,040 --> 01:24:04,920
Speaker 2: The right tackles that they've had in were I go

1691
01:24:04,960 --> 01:24:07,240
Speaker 2: to the Washington game, guy had a passing grade of one.

1692
01:24:07,400 --> 01:24:10,599
Speaker 2: Never seen anything like it. Last game against the Oregon

1693
01:24:11,360 --> 01:24:13,519
Speaker 2: their guard that moved the tackle got hurt and he

1694
01:24:13,640 --> 01:24:16,840
Speaker 2: was awful. They put this kid in for his first

1695
01:24:16,920 --> 01:24:19,719
Speaker 2: collegiate action and he was awesome. He's been their highest

1696
01:24:19,760 --> 01:24:23,000
Speaker 2: rated offensive line. So they should get their regular tackle back,

1697
01:24:23,040 --> 01:24:24,639
Speaker 2: I think. But if not, this kid held his own.

1698
01:24:25,040 --> 01:24:29,440
Speaker 2: And more importantly, who did they play so far this year? Washington,

1699
01:24:29,920 --> 01:24:35,799
Speaker 2: Oregon and USC. Washington and USC are top ten sackraate

1700
01:24:36,120 --> 01:24:38,760
Speaker 2: in the nation. Oregon good d line. These seams all

1701
01:24:38,760 --> 01:24:40,800
Speaker 2: get pressure. You know what Oregon State does not do

1702
01:24:41,280 --> 01:24:44,120
Speaker 2: get pressure. They do not get any pressure. They ranked

1703
01:24:44,160 --> 01:24:46,840
Speaker 2: one hundred and twentieth in sacray last year. Guess where

1704
01:24:46,880 --> 01:24:49,960
Speaker 2: they are this year, one hundred and twentieth. So finally

1705
01:24:50,000 --> 01:24:53,040
Speaker 2: Stafford will get a little break here and have and

1706
01:24:53,120 --> 01:24:56,360
Speaker 2: McKee will have some time to operate and I think

1707
01:24:56,400 --> 01:24:57,879
Speaker 2: Stanford's really live here.

1708
01:24:58,200 --> 01:25:00,760
Speaker 1: Full transparency. I wrote this up on ACT Network. You'll

1709
01:25:00,800 --> 01:25:04,960
Speaker 1: go and read it. Stanford worst turnover margin in the nation.

1710
01:25:05,160 --> 01:25:07,160
Speaker 1: We said USC is going to come down from the

1711
01:25:07,160 --> 01:25:10,080
Speaker 1: best turnover margin. Stanford's going to come back up. And

1712
01:25:10,120 --> 01:25:13,200
Speaker 1: by the way, those turnovers that they've all committed, none

1713
01:25:13,200 --> 01:25:15,360
Speaker 1: of the only two of them came from Tanner McKee.

1714
01:25:16,120 --> 01:25:19,280
Speaker 1: I mean that Stanford absolutely is the play here. I

1715
01:25:19,280 --> 01:25:21,560
Speaker 1: love it, Stuck. I think we're going to cash.

1716
01:25:21,840 --> 01:25:23,960
Speaker 2: There you go. That'll do it for us tex As.

1717
01:25:23,960 --> 01:25:25,840
Speaker 2: Always to Calum for joining me. Thanks to all of

1718
01:25:25,920 --> 01:25:30,639
Speaker 2: you for listening. Make sure you subscribe. Unsubscribed, subscribe, tell friend,

1719
01:25:30,640 --> 01:25:33,720
Speaker 2: tell them enemy. Thanks as always to our video and

1720
01:25:33,760 --> 01:25:37,519
Speaker 2: audio team producer Matt Mitchell. And don't forget about the

1721
01:25:37,560 --> 01:25:39,519
Speaker 2: voicemail nine to five nine Bad Beat. Don't forget about

1722
01:25:39,520 --> 01:25:41,920
Speaker 2: our live show Big Bets on Campus, presented by bet

1723
01:25:42,000 --> 01:25:45,120
Speaker 2: MGM ten thirty am Eastern Saturday morning. We'll tweet out

1724
01:25:45,120 --> 01:25:47,920
Speaker 2: the link. Leave a review, five star review. They really

1725
01:25:47,960 --> 01:25:50,840
Speaker 2: help us out. We'll do giveaways for the voicemail callers,

1726
01:25:50,960 --> 01:25:53,600
Speaker 2: get cash. Call it the week, Jack, I think I

1727
01:25:53,600 --> 01:25:56,920
Speaker 2: still have to pay Jack. I'll pay you tonight here

1728
01:25:57,600 --> 01:26:00,200
Speaker 2: but car the week. Don't forget about the voicemails. Wish

1729
01:26:00,200 --> 01:26:02,519
Speaker 2: everyone luck. It's time for us to go find some

1730
01:26:02,600 --> 01:26:04,679
Speaker 2: last minute winners. We'll see you on the live show

1731
01:26:04,760 --> 01:26:05,439
Speaker 2: Saturday morning.

1732
01:26:05,680 --> 01:26:06,000
Speaker 1: Cheers.

1733
01:26:06,400 --> 01:26:06,880
Speaker 2: He's out.