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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Monday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolti on Bettingpros dot com. Was being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM. Here on YouTube for video and wherever

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Speaker 1: you get your audio podcasts. You guys have the offer

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Speaker 1: for Monday Night football. Tonight's five dollars bet to win

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Speaker 2: All right, I'm emotionally drained.

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Speaker 1: I'm frustrated by that loss as a Patriot fan and

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Speaker 1: somebody who had a money line that would have cashed

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Speaker 1: a plus four hundred parlay on that because I had

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Speaker 1: a Red Sox Patriots plus four hundred moneyline parlay. I'm

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Speaker 1: angry about a variety of things. I'm angry about the

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Speaker 1: third down throw that was knocked down that really was

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Speaker 1: the game. I'm angry that Belichick didn't trust Mac Jones

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Speaker 1: to go for that on fourth and three even though

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Speaker 1: that was the game, and I get it. You're asking

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Speaker 1: your quarterback to make a play there and that's the game.

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Speaker 1: Or you can line up and kick a fifty six

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Speaker 1: yard field goal with a guy who had hit like

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Speaker 1: thirty in a row but has a bum leg hit

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Speaker 1: the upright.

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Speaker 2: I mean, if the thing is.

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Speaker 1: Five yards closer, it's probably in, but it's not, and

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Speaker 1: it's in the rain. I mean the fact that hit

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Speaker 1: the upright was even. It was pretty impressive. I mean,

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Speaker 1: pretty good kick. But I mean I thought we would

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Speaker 1: go through Adam Vinitari two point zero with that, like,

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Speaker 1: oh my gosh, through.

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Speaker 2: The rain, bad leg to beat Brady.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the storylines would have been incredible to write that.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, Mac Jones is going to be such

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Speaker 1: a good quarterback in the NFL.

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Speaker 2: He's got such incredible moxie.

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Speaker 1: And look that secondary for the Bucks was why I

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Speaker 1: told you that betting on the Bucks was a bad id. Look,

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Speaker 1: I'm not gonna sit here and bang my chest and

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Speaker 1: be like I told you so, because I look, I

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Speaker 1: bet Patriots money line.

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Speaker 2: I had a personal teaser.

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Speaker 1: I teased the Patriots up to thirteen, and then I

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Speaker 1: took the under fifty five. I punted out of them,

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Speaker 1: turning on bolt going on both sides of seven. But

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Speaker 1: the fact that the money moved to six and a

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Speaker 1: half the way that it did in the morning of

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Speaker 1: Sunday morning, that was such a go oh my gosh.

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Speaker 2: I couldn't believe it.

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Speaker 1: So can't believe that number went down because the pros

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Speaker 1: came in and just started hammering and hammering and hammering,

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Speaker 1: and big bets came in all in the Patriots. Pros

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Speaker 1: came in all on the Patriots, and it was such

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Speaker 1: an incredible trap the books laid. They laid a trap

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Speaker 1: with Alabama Georgia and with the Patriots game they cleaned up.

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Speaker 1: The public got eviscerated this weekend, I mean.

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Speaker 2: Just by the millions.

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Speaker 1: There was an offshore sports book that reported the biggest

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Speaker 1: betting handle of any game in the history of their book,

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Speaker 1: Look Outside of a Super Bowl on last night on

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Speaker 1: plus six and a half in plus seven I mean

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Speaker 1: or minus six and a half minus seven for Tampa Bay.

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Speaker 1: I mean, just an unbelievable exercise in watching line movement,

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Speaker 1: in watching what the books are doing and trying to

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Speaker 1: telegraph and follow along the storyline that the books are

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Speaker 1: painting with their line movement. They tell the story, guys,

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Speaker 1: the books take a position, right, This is kind of like,

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Speaker 1: I don't know, I guess I equate it to kind

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Speaker 1: of like playing like a game of like two hand

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Speaker 1: touch with your older brother, and like you're running around.

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Speaker 1: You're running around, but then when your brother gets mad

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Speaker 1: and your brother wants to stand up and really blast you,

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Speaker 1: he can. And that's what the books did with Georgia,

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Speaker 1: with Alabama, and with this game. They just stood up

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Speaker 1: and blasted the public, saying, you can do whatever you want,

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Speaker 1: but when we want to take a side in a position,

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Speaker 1: we're taking a position. And they did in all three

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Speaker 1: of those games. Really wild stuff, huge win, huge win

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Speaker 1: for the books. So overall, a very good day. Top

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Speaker 1: to bottom. The Daily Juice Circa team five and oh beautiful,

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Speaker 1: my own personal team five and oh, I went ten

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Speaker 1: and oh in my circa million plays that was awesome.

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Speaker 1: I went on my full unit bets. I went four

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Speaker 1: and one on my full unit bets. Only thing I

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Speaker 1: got wrong was my own personal teaser with the with

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Speaker 1: the Vikings losing by seven and not losing by six unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: Packers to a pick. They win their game outright easily

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Speaker 1: over the Steelers, and that was the only thing I

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Speaker 1: got wrong, oh day, it was that one leg of

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Speaker 1: that teaser in terms of the full unit wagers. So

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Speaker 1: we got the Washington football team with a crazy come

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Speaker 1: from behind win, and thank you JD. McKissick with that

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Speaker 1: dive for the end zone that was awesome. Got that.

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Speaker 1: We got the Chiefs who covered, which was awesome. We

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Speaker 1: got the Ravens that came in, which was great, the

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Speaker 1: long teaser hit, which was Ravens and the Colts. The

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Speaker 1: long teasers now four and oh, and I'm probably gonna

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Speaker 1: stop doing my own personal teasers.

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Speaker 2: They're now oh and three my own.

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Speaker 1: Teaser, oh and three, Wong teasers four and oh, so

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna follow the Wong teaser philosophy.

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Speaker 2: And we're four and oh, I'm just gonna keep on

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Speaker 2: doing that.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna fight that urge to do my own personal

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Speaker 1: teasers and just follow the long teaser line, because you know,

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Speaker 1: being four and three, we're still up winning now money wise,

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Speaker 1: but to get over on the juice and long term,

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Speaker 1: you got to hit about seventy percent on the long teasers.

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Speaker 1: And we're four and oh, so we're after a really

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Speaker 1: good start here with Wong teasers. I'm probably gonna keep

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Speaker 1: on going with that. The prop bets go three and one,

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Speaker 1: which is really good. That Patriots quarter unit money line

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Speaker 1: bet doesn't hit. But my own personal uh same game

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Speaker 1: parlay came in that I told you about that I

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Speaker 1: was doing personally on the Discord channel. So all in all,

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Speaker 1: a phenomenal Sunday, really big up four units personally on

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Speaker 1: the day, so I'm not gonna really get angry and

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Speaker 1: scoff at it. It was really a nice day. So

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Speaker 1: Circa team beautiful five and oh, so that's great. We

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Speaker 1: were six and nine, so now we're eleven and nine

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Speaker 1: or over five hundred and my own my personal circuit

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Speaker 1: team just went to fourteen and six. So it just

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Speaker 1: it's huge. When you go five and oh, it just

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Speaker 1: it changes everything. It vaults you into such a great place.

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Speaker 1: And while I won't be anywhere near you know, the

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Speaker 1: money for the first quarter, to have a four and

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Speaker 1: a fourteen and six record going into the second, I guess, well,

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Speaker 1: there's one more leg for this.

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Speaker 2: There's five legs.

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Speaker 1: In week one in segment one for Circa, so it's

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Speaker 1: one more week left, I believe before we get to the.

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Speaker 2: End of the quarter pole. But I guess we go

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Speaker 2: another five and oh.

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Speaker 1: I guess maybe there'll be a chance to get in

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Speaker 1: the top three, but probably not.

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Speaker 2: I mean that's really unlikely. With six losses, that's kind

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Speaker 2: of really unlikely.

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Speaker 1: But you go nineteen and six and Okay, now we're talking.

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Speaker 2: So another five and O next week.

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Speaker 1: Could do a really would do a really good good

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Speaker 1: thing for my personal Circuit team Daily Juice Team is

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Speaker 1: still very much alive. It's a marathon long way to go,

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Speaker 1: but five and oh is awesome. I think we got

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Speaker 1: a pretty good system down the discord that's going pretty well.

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Speaker 1: I like what we did this week, and we really

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Speaker 1: rallied and got our picks together and everyone kind of

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Speaker 1: got together. My own personal plays, you know, helped. We

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Speaker 1: were five and zero going in with my own personal

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Speaker 1: plays and the guys really rallied nicely coming up with

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Speaker 1: some good plays. We all kind of had some consensus,

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Speaker 1: so it was nice. Okay, So that was cool. That's

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Speaker 1: where we are here, going into a Monday night. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so for Monday, I've got one pick.

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Speaker 2: This is not going to be that.

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Speaker 1: Long of a podcast because I'm, as I said, I'm

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Speaker 1: emotionally drained.

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Speaker 2: It's a long day. It was nice to get the winds.

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Speaker 1: It was nice that to bounce back after Saturday and

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Speaker 1: to finish the weekend up amazingly enough after losing oh

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Speaker 1: to one on Friday two and three on Saturday, but

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Speaker 1: then winding up up for the weekend, which was nice

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Speaker 1: because we had a really big Sunday. We come into

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Speaker 1: a Monday trying to end the football week out on

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Speaker 1: a good note. Okay, so, as you guys know, primetime

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Speaker 1: overs or eight and two, the primetime over on Thursday

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Speaker 1: night should have hit well eight and three now because

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Speaker 1: that was a primetime under, so eight and three, excuse me.

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Speaker 1: Tonight did not hit, so eight and three primetime unders.

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Speaker 1: But tonight was really predictable, or last night was really

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Speaker 1: predictable for the Monday night game. I mean that was

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Speaker 1: the Patriots were never going to allow that game to

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Speaker 1: go high scoring. They knew they couldn't play it like that.

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Speaker 1: And then the Buccaneers were dared to run and that's

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Speaker 1: all they did. And frankly, running the football is why

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Speaker 1: they won the game, because the Pats dared them to run.

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Speaker 1: They played great coverage on Evans and then that drop

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Speaker 1: at the back of the end zone by Antonio Brown,

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Speaker 1: who is not a good human being, not saying I'm

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Speaker 1: mad about that. I'm not mad about Antonio Brown dropping

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Speaker 1: that ball. That would have been a really nasty, nasty taste.

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Speaker 1: And look one thing about that Bucks offense.

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Speaker 2: They missed Gronk. They missed Gronk. He's a big part.

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Speaker 1: Of that offense man, especially in the red zone. He's

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Speaker 1: a big part of that team. They really they need him.

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Speaker 1: Cameron Braid, Uh that guy. He ain't it, sorry, he

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Speaker 1: ain't it.

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Speaker 2: All right.

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Speaker 1: So the total for the Vegas goal for the Las

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Speaker 1: Vegas Raiders and the LA Chargers told Jo I'm tired

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Speaker 1: Monday night football total is fifty one. Raiders are catching

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Speaker 1: three three and a half points here. I know a

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Speaker 1: lot of people who are on the Raiders at plus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. I may get involved at some point.

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Speaker 1: I may do a same game teaser with this game.

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Speaker 1: At some point during the day. I'm gonna watch the

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Speaker 1: line movement, see where it goes, See what happens if

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Speaker 1: we drop below two and a half. You know where

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Speaker 1: the total winds up going. But fifty one number open

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Speaker 1: up at fifty two and the numbers come down and

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Speaker 1: that maybe because of the Chargers defense, but I'm not

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Speaker 1: buying this by any stretch. In the imagination. Chargers defense

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Speaker 1: is given up twenty points per game. But the Raiders

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Speaker 1: can play, and they can throw, and they can move

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Speaker 1: the football. I'm pretty much anybody in my opinion. The

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Speaker 1: Chargers offense scores twenty two point three points per game.

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Speaker 2: That's nineteen best in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Raiders defense, though, gives up twenty four points per game,

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Speaker 1: and you could absolutely move the football on these guys.

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Speaker 1: They give up five point nine yards per pass play

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Speaker 1: four point eight yards per rush, that is twenty ninth

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. By the way, rush defense, you can

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Speaker 1: move the football on these guys, and you can throw

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Speaker 1: on these guys, giving up about two hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: three yards, sorry, two hundred and thirty five yards through

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Speaker 1: the air. That's fourteenth best in the NFL. Now, Chargers

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Speaker 1: defense is a little bit better than people think. Two

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Speaker 1: hundred and one yards per game through the air, six

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Speaker 1: point six yards per pass play, middle of the pack.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I know they've got some nice players, but look,

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Speaker 1: I just think Darren Waller is such a difference maker

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Speaker 1: and such a bad matchup for anybody having.

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Speaker 2: To go up against it.

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Speaker 1: And I think the receiving corp is starting to come

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Speaker 1: around here for the Raiders. Henry Ruggs is starting to

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Speaker 1: come into his own. The team is playing with supreme confidence.

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Speaker 1: They're going to drop back. Derek Carr is playing like

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Speaker 1: an MVP candidate. I got fifty one pitch a play

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Speaker 1: one unit. We're going over fifty one Raiders and the Chargers.

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Speaker 1: I just think this is a game where both teams

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Speaker 1: are scoring into the upper twenties, lower thirties, and I

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Speaker 1: don't see a low scoring game here by any means

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Speaker 1: between these two teams. I think we're going to see

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Speaker 1: a lot of scoring. And I know there are some

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Speaker 1: people out there who think the Unders to play here,

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Speaker 1: but I just don't see it personally. I just don't

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Speaker 1: see a lot of, you know, low scoring games to

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Speaker 1: come in here. Line opened up at fifty two and

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Speaker 1: a half. Actually it was bet to fifty three and

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Speaker 1: then Camps come all the way down now to fifty one.

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Speaker 2: I'm still gonna bet the over here.

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Speaker 1: I'm still gonna come in on the over and just

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Speaker 1: take a look at where these teams are.

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Speaker 2: The Raiders so far this year, they are two to

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Speaker 2: one to the over.

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Speaker 1: Chargers are zero and three, And that's one reason why

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Speaker 1: I think people are gonna bet the under here. But

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Speaker 1: look at Kansas City. It was a thirty to twenty

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Speaker 1: four game for the Chargers in their last game, and

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Speaker 1: it was a pretty low scoring game until the second

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Speaker 1: half and then it got kind of everything got going.

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Speaker 1: So you've got thirty twenty four against the Chargers against

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs, You've got twenty seventeen against Dallas. In twenty

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Speaker 1: sixteen against Washington, Dallas's offense wasn't playing all that well.

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Speaker 1: They made a lot of mistakes in that game. And

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Speaker 1: then Washington's offense is not good at all. Like we know,

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Speaker 1: it's not that good of an offense. This Raiders offense

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Speaker 1: is is scoring. He has scored thirty three points against Baltimore,

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Speaker 1: twenty six points against Pittsburgh, thirty one points against Miami.

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Speaker 1: The over went over by fourteen points in their last

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Speaker 1: game against Miami. It went over by nine and a

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Speaker 1: half points against Baltimore. The undercam in against Pittsburgh, but

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Speaker 1: that was a road game with the Steelers offense only

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Speaker 1: scoring seventeen points. I just think both teams are going

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Speaker 1: to score here. I do think the Chargers score and

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Speaker 1: move the football. I think they put up numbers. I'm

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Speaker 1: going over fifty one for one unit. There are two

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Speaker 1: prop bets I like they're both on the prop beet

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Speaker 1: cheat sheet. Bettingpros dot Com slash props to get onto

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Speaker 1: the prop bet cheat sheet. Austin Eckler over thirty six

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Speaker 1: and a half receiving yards at minus one fifteen. That's

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Speaker 1: available at DraftKings where I got that tonight. Austin Heckler

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Speaker 1: quarter unit over thirty six and a half yards receiving.

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Speaker 1: I think they're going to use him a ton in

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Speaker 1: the passing game, and I think the Raiders have a

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Speaker 1: tough time picking up Their linebackers are not good.

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Speaker 2: Okay, Raider linebackers are not good.

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Speaker 1: You can absolutely exploit this with Austin Necklet's ability to

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Speaker 1: catch the football out of the backfield, a couple of

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Speaker 1: big plays for him, and then old standby Darren Waller

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Speaker 1: over sixty eight and a half yards receiving at bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: This is available at minus one fifteen. Look, I just

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Speaker 1: think Darren Waller is gonna get a ton of balls

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Speaker 1: thrown his way. This is a perfect Darren Waller game.

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Speaker 1: This is a team that's not gonna be able to

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Speaker 1: guard him.

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Speaker 2: I like Waller. Prop at cheat sheet likes Waller.

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Speaker 1: I think Waller goes over sixty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving and they move the football because one he's

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Speaker 1: their best weapon.

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Speaker 2: But two, I think this is a wide open game.

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Speaker 1: I think Waller goes off for his traditional eighty ninety

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Speaker 1: yards here up against the LA Chargers. Okay, so we're

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Speaker 1: going over fifty one for one unit for this game

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Speaker 1: for Chargers and the Raiders. Austin Eckler over thirty six

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Speaker 1: and a half yards receiving for the Chargers at a

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Speaker 1: quarter unit, and we're going Waller over sixty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half yards receiving at a quarter unit. Both those

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Speaker 1: bets are one bet at bet MGM, other bet at

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Speaker 1: DraftKings for that. That leaves a half a unit out there.

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Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure where I'll use that half a unit.

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Speaker 1: I may come in with the same game teaser. I

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Speaker 1: may come in with a couple of more prop bets,

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Speaker 1: but I will have the other two units of the

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Speaker 1: other two bets will have another half unit in play

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Speaker 1: for this game coming up for sure. Now Tuesday is

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Speaker 1: Red Sox Yankees, and I don't know what to do

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Speaker 1: with that game, to be honest, because I'm a Red

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Speaker 1: Sox fan, so I'm completely biased. But we'll have something

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Speaker 1: in the Red Sox Yankees. We'll have something on the

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Speaker 1: Cardinals and the Dodgers on that game coming up on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: Awesome Tuesday, Wednesday Football Baseball. So we have football on Monday,

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Speaker 1: baseball Tuesday, Baseball Wednesday, and then right back at it

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Speaker 1: for Thursday for the NFL. So very good week, very

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Speaker 1: big week. I got a lot going on this week.

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Speaker 1: I'm crazy busy. G two E is in town, the

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Speaker 1: world's largest gambling convention is in town. I'm hosting a

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Speaker 1: panel with Matthew Metcalf from Circus Sports and Matt Holt

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Speaker 1: from US Integrity, So it's gonna be very cool. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna talk about how to take offshore gamblers and make

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Speaker 1: them business customers for onshore businesses. Really fun panel that

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Speaker 1: I'm hosting for an hour on Wednesday. So I'm going

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Speaker 1: to be all over the place, so uh, just a

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Speaker 1: heads up on I maybe not be in the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel as much as as I normally would be simply

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Speaker 1: because we're on that so Red Sox win during the postseason.

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Speaker 1: Bring on the Yankees, let's go on Tuesday. But tough

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Speaker 1: loss for the Patriots. They're now one in three. Brady

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Speaker 1: goes to three and one, but mac Jones outplayed Tom

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Speaker 1: Brady period. If for that, I can go to sleep

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Speaker 1: happy knowing that mac Jones is a stud, that he's

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Speaker 1: got a great career ahead of him, and the Patriots

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Speaker 1: just need to trust that kid a little bit more

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Speaker 1: in those big learning situations. But a lot of year left.

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Speaker 1: Patriots play for January or December and January. Being one

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Speaker 1: in three is not great, but does not end the

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Speaker 1: season by any means for New England, especially with the

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Speaker 1: division and where the division is so minus Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Each in morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM every morning right here on

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 2: Don't me