1 00:00:01,720 --> 00:00:07,000 Speaker 1: Also media, and we're back. 2 00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 2: It's behind the Bastards. This is our special episodes on 3 00:00:10,640 --> 00:00:13,399 Speaker 2: the guys who built the nuclear doomsday machine that could 4 00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 2: kill us all at any moment. Episode five, The end 5 00:00:17,520 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 2: is finally in sight. That could be literal. Margaret Kiljoy, 6 00:00:23,239 --> 00:00:25,239 Speaker 2: Welcome back to the program. How you doing. 7 00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,760 Speaker 3: I'm doing great. I've gone full circle. I've accepted that 8 00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 3: this is reality, and I am just very happy to 9 00:00:32,920 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 3: get to live in these times. 10 00:00:35,000 --> 00:00:37,320 Speaker 2: It's great that you got to that point because actually 11 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 2: the next ten pages are all Warhammer. Oh I just 12 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 2: stopped writing about nukes at a certain point, but you 13 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:44,280 Speaker 2: can just assume that that's real. 14 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:47,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, because that's what your brain does when presented with 15 00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 3: this much disaster, is you're like, yeah, man, I really 16 00:00:50,680 --> 00:00:51,840 Speaker 3: like fantasy books. 17 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm just gonna I'm just gonna relax to the 18 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 2: comfort of a game where every single person is worse 19 00:00:56,720 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: than Hitler, Like we're Hitler would be a moderate bleeding hearts. Well, 20 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,199 Speaker 2: let's get back to talking about this insane minute man system, 21 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 2: because we've talked about some of the shit that's crazy 22 00:01:17,319 --> 00:01:19,160 Speaker 2: about this, but we still have not gotten to the 23 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 2: craziest thing about this, right, Good, So we left off. 24 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: John Ruble has been having in nineteen fifty nine and 25 00:01:25,760 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 2: start at sixty. He's having conversations with all these Air 26 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 2: Force guys about the minute Man system, and he's come 27 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,640 Speaker 2: up with some serious concerns about, well, how do we 28 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: decide when these things are fired? When you choose to 29 00:01:39,880 --> 00:01:43,920 Speaker 2: shoot one, how do the other nine get launched? Is 30 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,960 Speaker 2: it really just four guys who have to turn their 31 00:01:47,040 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 2: keys in order to launch fifty missiles? Are there ways 32 00:01:50,040 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 2: they could at fifty random cities? Are there ways they 33 00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:57,240 Speaker 2: could accidentally get launched due to, you know, an electrical error? 34 00:01:57,320 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 3: Right? 35 00:01:57,560 --> 00:01:59,720 Speaker 2: These are all concerns, and the Air Force is like, 36 00:01:59,760 --> 00:02:02,680 Speaker 2: with the fuck are you asking questions for? You fucking nerd? 37 00:02:02,720 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 2: Get the hell out of here. Let us killed. Yeah 38 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:11,919 Speaker 2: you a commie? So here's Rubelt are tell me? Yeah, 39 00:02:12,000 --> 00:02:14,119 Speaker 2: you got to tell me if you're a communists. Here's 40 00:02:14,160 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 2: Rubel discussing his concerns. I was curious about the procedures 41 00:02:17,800 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 2: for launching. How are the decisions to be made and 42 00:02:19,680 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 2: what happens when the launch commands are given? What if 43 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 2: you decide you really didn't want to launch the rest 44 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 2: after you've already launched some can you launch missiles one 45 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,320 Speaker 2: at a time selectively, what if some operators decide to 46 00:02:29,360 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: launch without authority? Here I cite from a transcript of 47 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,480 Speaker 2: my discussion of this matter for the John F. Kennedy Library. 48 00:02:34,960 --> 00:02:36,679 Speaker 2: A moment arrived in this briefing in the June of 49 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 2: nineteen fifteen. In June of nineteen fifty nine, when I 50 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:40,799 Speaker 2: could ask the question I wanted to ask, when I 51 00:02:40,840 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 2: had asked Bennett in private before, but without getting a 52 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:45,800 Speaker 2: satisfactory response. I had the feeling that if I asked 53 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,960 Speaker 2: the question surrounded as I was by members of the 54 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,040 Speaker 2: President's Science Advisory Committee panel, that I might elicit a 55 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 2: better answer. So I said something like, Bob, can you 56 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 2: describe how the missiles are launched? Now? I began to 57 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 2: think he was made uncomfortable by the question. He seemed 58 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 2: reluctant to grasp it simple meaning. And Bob gives the 59 00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,519 Speaker 2: explanation I gave you earlier about how well these guys 60 00:03:04,520 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 2: are all behind bulletproof glass, and they have guns so 61 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 2: they you know, one guy can't threaten the other, and 62 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:11,560 Speaker 2: they turn their keys at the same time or close 63 00:03:11,600 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 2: to it, and that'll count as a vote to launch 64 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 2: the missile. Right the first miss and so Rebel's immediate 65 00:03:17,440 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: question is when you say the missiles are launched, do 66 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 2: you mean all fifty? And Bob said, well, that depends 67 00:03:23,840 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 2: on whether or not the missiles are ready, but yeah, 68 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 2: all fifty will launch. Now, this upsets everybody on the 69 00:03:30,680 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 2: President's Science Advisory Panel. These people are not These are 70 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 2: like normal people, right, These are not maniacs. These are 71 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:43,000 Speaker 2: like science guys who were, you know, scared of nuclear holocaust? Right, 72 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 2: And they're like, what or guys live launch fifty missiles 73 00:03:47,800 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 2: with no one getting in the way. Really, and there's 74 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,480 Speaker 2: no way to stop all fifty from launching once you 75 00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:57,880 Speaker 2: start the process of launching one. Are you serious? He was, 76 00:03:58,640 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 2: So everybody gets upset. So Bob Bob is like, now 77 00:04:01,440 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 2: in damage control mode, and Bob Bennett goes like, now, look, 78 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 2: you have to understand, this isn't as crazy as it sounds. 79 00:04:06,600 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 2: There are two modes that we can fire these in. Right. 80 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 2: One of these modes is salvo and the other is 81 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 2: ripple launch. Right, one of them launches all the missiles 82 00:04:18,520 --> 00:04:22,320 Speaker 2: as close as simultaneously as possible, and the other staggers them. Right, 83 00:04:22,640 --> 00:04:26,080 Speaker 2: does that make it better? There's two modes Margaret, there's 84 00:04:26,080 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 2: two modes. It's fine. 85 00:04:27,440 --> 00:04:34,280 Speaker 3: The hose has shower and jet. Yeah, not a hose. 86 00:04:35,960 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 2: You just know, Bob has not sat down with anyone 87 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 2: who is not constantly spending every second of their life 88 00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 2: like touching themselves to the thought of ending humanity, right, 89 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: and he's just like, wait, people don't they don't know 90 00:04:47,000 --> 00:04:49,240 Speaker 2: there's two modes that'll fix it. I'll tell them about 91 00:04:49,240 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 2: the modes, right. 92 00:04:51,240 --> 00:04:51,400 Speaker 4: See. 93 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,120 Speaker 3: I think they and its consequences have been a disaster 94 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: for the years. 95 00:04:55,160 --> 00:04:58,760 Speaker 2: It's a fucking catastrophe. Yeah, once people start thinking about 96 00:04:58,760 --> 00:05:00,960 Speaker 2: game again, that needs to be a bricking. If you 97 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:04,440 Speaker 2: ever encounter somebody who starts talking game theory shit, just 98 00:05:04,520 --> 00:05:06,280 Speaker 2: brick them, you know, give them a good heart. 99 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:08,359 Speaker 3: Theory says you have to brick them. That's the you 100 00:05:08,440 --> 00:05:09,160 Speaker 3: have to brick them. 101 00:05:09,160 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: It's the only way to stop these people. Yeah, all right, 102 00:05:12,920 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 2: Rubel continues quote. It turned out in pursuing the matter 103 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:18,080 Speaker 2: further that if you had preset the system for a 104 00:05:18,160 --> 00:05:20,400 Speaker 2: ripple launch, there was no way to interrupt it. After 105 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 2: the launch command was transmitted to the silos. If the 106 00:05:22,880 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: first missile went then six seconds later, let us say 107 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 2: the second and after another six seconds the third, and 108 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,280 Speaker 2: if after the twentieth missile you decide that was really 109 00:05:30,400 --> 00:05:33,200 Speaker 2: enough missiles, you couldn't stop the system from launching the 110 00:05:33,240 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 2: remaining thirty. According to what Bennett told us at the time, 111 00:05:37,560 --> 00:05:41,400 Speaker 2: Rubelle describes the committee as pretty shook by this revelation. 112 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:44,240 Speaker 2: I don't think anybody had ever realized before that there 113 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 2: would be four men buried in the ground somewhere in 114 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 2: North Dakota who might someday stick their keys into four 115 00:05:49,800 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 2: little slots, turn them, and irrevocably launch fifty minutemen missiles. 116 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 3: Yeah that's life on Earth. 117 00:05:57,960 --> 00:06:02,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's insane. The next question this inspired was under 118 00:06:02,760 --> 00:06:05,520 Speaker 2: what circumstances would these men get the order to turn 119 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,640 Speaker 2: their keys? Everyone outside the Air Force assumed they'd have 120 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:11,159 Speaker 2: to be a verified command from the President or a 121 00:06:11,200 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 2: designated military authority, but that wasn't physically required, and as 122 00:06:15,720 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 2: Rubel notes, the whole system was designed to remove choices 123 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 2: from civilian leadership. Quote. By design, the president could not 124 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:27,279 Speaker 2: decide to launch one missile or two or a few 125 00:06:27,520 --> 00:06:32,400 Speaker 2: against specific targets. This was intentional. The Air Force built 126 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 2: it this way to remove choice from the president. So 127 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,320 Speaker 2: the president, if he was asked to make that decision 128 00:06:38,360 --> 00:06:40,440 Speaker 2: in ten or fifteen minutes do we start a nuclear war? 129 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 2: So he would not have any option but to do it. 130 00:06:43,279 --> 00:06:46,240 Speaker 2: That's why they built it this way. That was conscious, 131 00:06:46,440 --> 00:06:47,479 Speaker 2: that was intentional. 132 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 3: Fuck. 133 00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:54,440 Speaker 2: So now I should note here, and this is something 134 00:06:54,480 --> 00:06:57,680 Speaker 2: Rebel points out, fifty of these Minuteman missiles, with the 135 00:06:57,720 --> 00:07:02,080 Speaker 2: standard explosive loads they had, would have meant more explosive 136 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,880 Speaker 2: power than all of the bombs used in all of 137 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:08,359 Speaker 2: the wars in human history put together up to that point. 138 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 2: Four guys could do this, and again, the whole minute 139 00:07:16,960 --> 00:07:19,640 Speaker 2: Man system was meant to eventually have at least a 140 00:07:19,680 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 2: thousand missiles general power. In fact, advocated for two hundred 141 00:07:23,360 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 2: squadrons a total of ten thousand missiles, all set up 142 00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 2: the same way. 143 00:07:28,440 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 3: Every state gets four, every state gets four. 144 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:35,320 Speaker 2: Yeah. So Rubel was so frightened by all of this 145 00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 2: that he dedicated his career to stopping the system as 146 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 2: it existed from being implemented. He sat down first with 147 00:07:40,680 --> 00:07:43,360 Speaker 2: General Curtis LeMay, than the Air Force Chief of Staff. 148 00:07:43,560 --> 00:07:45,640 Speaker 2: Rubelle expressed to LeMay that he believed the minute Man 149 00:07:45,680 --> 00:07:48,800 Speaker 2: system represented a crucial loss of civilian command and control. 150 00:07:49,120 --> 00:07:53,160 Speaker 2: Here's LeMay's response, command and control. Command and control, what's that? 151 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 2: It's telling the fighting man what to do. That's what 152 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 2: it is, and that's a job with a professional soldier. 153 00:07:57,600 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: They talk about the president, exercise and command and control? 154 00:08:00,200 --> 00:08:03,080 Speaker 2: What is the president? Rebel notes that le may spit 155 00:08:03,120 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 2: out the p and president a politician. What does the 156 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 2: politician know about war? Who needs a president? If there's 157 00:08:09,480 --> 00:08:12,320 Speaker 2: a war? Nobody. All we need him for is to 158 00:08:12,360 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 2: tell us that there is a war. We are professional soldiers, 159 00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:21,880 Speaker 2: will take care of the rest. Just out of his mind. 160 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 3: Hell yeah, I'm impressed that you got This is like 161 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 3: almost the worst bat. This is Schrodinger's worst bastard in 162 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:31,280 Speaker 3: all right. 163 00:08:31,160 --> 00:08:36,800 Speaker 2: Right, yeah, absolutely, yeah, Like this man's dedication to ending 164 00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 2: all life on earth is really unique in history. I mean, 165 00:08:39,559 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 2: I assume he had a Soviet counterpart, but like, I'm 166 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 2: not as familiar with them. 167 00:08:44,760 --> 00:08:46,840 Speaker 3: Do you think that they get like lonely, the American 168 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:48,439 Speaker 3: one and the Russian one, and they have only each 169 00:08:48,480 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 3: other to talk to when they talk about their doomsday machine, 170 00:08:52,160 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 3: that they're the only people who really understand. 171 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:57,559 Speaker 2: Yeah, man, they won't give me ten thousand missiles, bro, 172 00:08:57,840 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 2: I know, it's so hard to get enough missiles to 173 00:08:59,840 --> 00:09:02,840 Speaker 2: kill the whole world a thousand times over. Like, don't worry, 174 00:09:02,880 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 2: we got a bunch too, though, homie, Like, it'll be fine. 175 00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 2: The no one's gonna live through this. 176 00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 3: We'll do our part too, all right, as long as 177 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:10,560 Speaker 3: you do your part. 178 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 2: Mm hmm. So it's here that Rubell points out every 179 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,880 Speaker 2: detail of the minute Man system discussed so far was 180 00:09:16,920 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 2: designed per the specifications of the Air Force. This was 181 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 2: true right down to the mechanics of how turning the 182 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:25,319 Speaker 2: keys led to firing the missiles, which is the scariest 183 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:29,320 Speaker 2: part of the whole system. To make a complicated story 184 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:33,320 Speaker 2: kind of simpler, the keys send out these electronic pulse 185 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 2: generators which travel to electronic gates, and once the get 186 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:40,000 Speaker 2: the signal pat the pulse passes through the gate, it 187 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:44,280 Speaker 2: advances one notch for each pulse that passes through the gate, right, 188 00:09:44,559 --> 00:09:47,360 Speaker 2: and if enough pulses pass through the gates, it starts 189 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:48,880 Speaker 2: launching the missiles automatically. 190 00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:52,280 Speaker 3: Right. Oh my god, so I start You can hack 191 00:09:52,360 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 3: one position and get all four sorry, yeah. 192 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, it doesn't even have to be that. Because 193 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,280 Speaker 2: I explained this to a friend of mine who has 194 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 2: never read a book about nukes, but who has done amateur, 195 00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:05,800 Speaker 2: unlicensed electrician work. And she immediately asked, hey, wait, does 196 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 2: that mean that, like, if the power goes out and 197 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,840 Speaker 2: then comes back on, it might send a pulse and 198 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 2: advance one notch closer to firing the missiles. Wow, God, 199 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 2: you wouldn't think so, right. Clearly, anyone putting the effort 200 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 2: of putting missiles and hardened bunkers meant to a stand 201 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 2: an atom bomb would have made sure that something as 202 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:26,480 Speaker 2: simple as a power outage in rural North Dakota in 203 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 2: the sixties wouldn't trigger an atomic holocaust. Only they did not. 204 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:33,319 Speaker 2: They never considered it for a second. 205 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 3: My god, this. 206 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:41,079 Speaker 2: Thing could have started launching fifty missiles if there was 207 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 2: a power outage or a couple of power outages. Because 208 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:48,280 Speaker 2: once Rubel starts taking this to other engineers, they bring 209 00:10:48,320 --> 00:10:50,319 Speaker 2: this up and they start looking into how the system 210 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:54,200 Speaker 2: design realized that's totally possible, Like it absolutely could have 211 00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,000 Speaker 2: happened if they had built the system the way it 212 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 2: was originally designed. And no one in the Air Force 213 00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:01,480 Speaker 2: even fought to look into that, Like that's how reckless 214 00:11:01,520 --> 00:11:04,680 Speaker 2: these pieces of shit are. Now the reason why the 215 00:11:04,679 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 2: Air Force doesn't care about this sort of thing is 216 00:11:06,240 --> 00:11:08,440 Speaker 2: that they are more concerned that just two guys can 217 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:10,800 Speaker 2: launch a whole squadron of ICBMs if everyone else in 218 00:11:10,800 --> 00:11:13,520 Speaker 2: the country is killed first. So they built an automated 219 00:11:13,559 --> 00:11:15,920 Speaker 2: clock system. The other thing they added to this is 220 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:19,480 Speaker 2: they have this automatic clock system that counts down from 221 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:21,520 Speaker 2: between six hours. You can set it to like one 222 00:11:21,559 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 2: hour or six hours. You can set it to a 223 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 2: variety of times, but depending on how you set it, 224 00:11:26,120 --> 00:11:30,480 Speaker 2: if one command center votes to launch the missiles after 225 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,240 Speaker 2: a limit, after whatever time you set it to, this 226 00:11:33,400 --> 00:11:36,320 Speaker 2: automated system will act as the second vote to fire 227 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:42,680 Speaker 2: the remaining forty missiles, and Jesus right, yeah, Now, when 228 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:43,120 Speaker 2: this is. 229 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 3: Explained, this is worse than I expected. 230 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: It's so bad, so fucked. 231 00:11:49,120 --> 00:11:55,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's so bad, like it's the Taurus firearms of 232 00:11:55,880 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 3: nuclear missiles. It's nuts, like to not. 233 00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 2: Even no, not even Celtech. Yeah, they built a nuclear 234 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:08,920 Speaker 2: cig P three twenty to go off in a cops box. 235 00:12:10,160 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 2: Oh man. So when all this was explained to Rubel, 236 00:12:13,800 --> 00:12:16,280 Speaker 2: the Air Force guy who's telling him this says that, like, well, 237 00:12:16,320 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 2: the minimum setting is fifty eight minutes, right, and we 238 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,040 Speaker 2: want to have at least that much time to allow 239 00:12:21,040 --> 00:12:23,600 Speaker 2: the military to disable the system. If two men vote 240 00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:25,520 Speaker 2: to launch without warning and we decide we don't want 241 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 2: to launch the rest of the squadron, right, that seems 242 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 2: like maybe it's a safety feature. Right now, many of 243 00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:34,079 Speaker 2: these silos are hours away from anything else. That's kind 244 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:36,640 Speaker 2: of the point. Even to this day. You can't reach 245 00:12:36,679 --> 00:12:38,840 Speaker 2: a lot of these in fifty eight minutes, you know. 246 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 2: But the other problem is that the Air Force colonel 247 00:12:42,760 --> 00:12:45,160 Speaker 2: who described the way this clock system worked to Rubel 248 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:47,920 Speaker 2: lied to him. The minimum count you could set it 249 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:53,920 Speaker 2: to wasn't fifty eight minutes. It was zero minutes. 250 00:12:55,600 --> 00:12:59,600 Speaker 3: So you really genuinely could just automate all the minute men. 251 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:04,680 Speaker 2: Yeah we damn near? Did we damn near? Did? Here's 252 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:07,800 Speaker 2: rebel again. Zero could mean that only two men or 253 00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 2: perhaps none at all, could set off the unstoppable firing 254 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,440 Speaker 2: of fifty minute man missiles by accident or effectively by 255 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 2: designing the system this way in the event of a 256 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:22,240 Speaker 2: series of power interruptions. So Rubel is like, oh God, 257 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 2: I have to do something this system. These missiles are 258 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:28,120 Speaker 2: not active yet, these silos aren't active yet, and I 259 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 2: have to stop them from being made active at least 260 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 2: until this is fixed. Right, So he sets to work 261 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:36,520 Speaker 2: trying to get someone at the Air Force to give 262 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:39,520 Speaker 2: a shit about these problems. Right. He sits down with 263 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 2: the head of missile Development, General Shreiverer, who he described 264 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:47,560 Speaker 2: as conspicuously disinterested in discussing the subject. Eventually, in late 265 00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:50,560 Speaker 2: nineteen sixty he manages to have lunch with the Deputy 266 00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:53,800 Speaker 2: Secretary of Defense, and while they're arguing about this system, 267 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,680 Speaker 2: he's like, look, man, tell me, would you feel safe 268 00:13:56,720 --> 00:13:58,920 Speaker 2: knowing the Soviets had a system that worked the way 269 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 2: the minute man does? And yeah, he thought I had 270 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 2: a point there, but my concerns again dropped into another 271 00:14:06,920 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 2: organizational black hole. Everyone's just trying to push this guy on. 272 00:14:10,280 --> 00:14:11,720 Speaker 2: I don't want to deal with it. I don't want 273 00:14:11,720 --> 00:14:13,640 Speaker 2: to think about it. Why are you trying? Why are 274 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,160 Speaker 2: you causing problems? Just let us build this thing and 275 00:14:16,160 --> 00:14:18,800 Speaker 2: forget about it. Man, No one else has a problem 276 00:14:18,840 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 2: with this. That's literally how he's being treated. 277 00:14:21,760 --> 00:14:24,000 Speaker 3: It's like, so it's not even the torment Nexus. It's 278 00:14:24,040 --> 00:14:26,600 Speaker 3: like one guy's trying to stop the torment Nexus from 279 00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 3: being built by a bunch of people who also don't 280 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,240 Speaker 3: think that the Torment Nexus needs to be. They're just 281 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:31,800 Speaker 3: doing their part. 282 00:14:32,360 --> 00:14:35,480 Speaker 2: Torment said, come on, man, don't fuck with us. A 283 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: lot of people's jobs are on the line building the 284 00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 2: Torment Nexus. Yeah, come on. So, as I noted Rubel, 285 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:44,720 Speaker 2: because he's good at his job, he gets promoted regularly, right, 286 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 2: and in sixty one I think sixty sixty one, he 287 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 2: passes his job at the Strategic Warfare Office I think 288 00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:53,280 Speaker 2: it's sixty onto a guy named Martin Stern. He tells 289 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:56,200 Speaker 2: Stern that his top priority is to change the Minuteman 290 00:14:56,280 --> 00:14:59,560 Speaker 2: launch control system and warns him, you will not get 291 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:02,320 Speaker 2: this done unless you get a presidential directive ordering the 292 00:15:02,360 --> 00:15:04,640 Speaker 2: Air Force to do something. And Marvin has a good 293 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,600 Speaker 2: relationship with some of these generals, and so he starts 294 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 2: at being like, that's not how you get things done 295 00:15:08,400 --> 00:15:10,240 Speaker 2: in the Air Force, right, you just gotta let me 296 00:15:10,280 --> 00:15:12,720 Speaker 2: talk to these guys. But then he starts talking to 297 00:15:12,760 --> 00:15:14,880 Speaker 2: these guys and all of these generals lie to him, 298 00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,120 Speaker 2: and he realizes like, oh fuck, no, they really are 299 00:15:17,240 --> 00:15:21,360 Speaker 2: refusing to fix these problems, these apocalyptic problems, and they're 300 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:24,880 Speaker 2: trying to fast track these missiles to being activated. To 301 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 2: make a long story short, Rubel and several of his 302 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 2: friends spend the next two years of their lives shouting 303 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:33,080 Speaker 2: at everyone who will listen about this. This culminates and 304 00:15:33,160 --> 00:15:35,600 Speaker 2: another guy at the DoD named Jim Fletcher heading a 305 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:38,120 Speaker 2: committee that issues a report on the minute Man system. 306 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:41,800 Speaker 2: Their research found that a very real chance that simple 307 00:15:41,840 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 2: power outages could cause large portions of our nuclear arsenal 308 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:49,360 Speaker 2: to fire. The ultimate bill and this is it's because 309 00:15:49,360 --> 00:15:52,800 Speaker 2: of this commission report that we retrofit the whole minute 310 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,960 Speaker 2: Man system. Right, And the ultimate bill for retrofitting the 311 00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: system is hundreds of millions of dollars. Right. It's very 312 00:15:58,440 --> 00:16:00,640 Speaker 2: expensive to fix these problems, which is why the Air 313 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:03,480 Speaker 2: Force hadn't wanted to fix them. But Rubel does win. 314 00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 2: The most dangerous features for the economy, Yeah yeah, yeah, 315 00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 2: real bad fucking. The stock market does not do well 316 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:16,920 Speaker 2: when everyone's dead. Nope, Nope, doesn't do much at all. 317 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,880 Speaker 2: Now Rubel does win. The most dangerous features are removed 318 00:16:20,880 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 2: by the time the first minute Man silo goes active 319 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:25,120 Speaker 2: at the end of nineteen sixty one. But a big 320 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 2: part of why I noted all of this stuff. None 321 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,680 Speaker 2: of this comes out until two thousand and eight, when Rubel, 322 00:16:29,760 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 2: at the end of his life, publishes a confession talking 323 00:16:32,720 --> 00:16:34,320 Speaker 2: about all this right as a way to try to 324 00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,360 Speaker 2: warn people. Essentially, he's warning people, nothing's really all that 325 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:39,840 Speaker 2: much better today, right, Like, that's why he writes this, 326 00:16:40,320 --> 00:16:43,320 Speaker 2: to try to get people to understand how much danger 327 00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,560 Speaker 2: we're all in. And a big part of the point 328 00:16:46,560 --> 00:16:48,760 Speaker 2: of that confession is he's talking about all of the 329 00:16:48,840 --> 00:16:52,160 Speaker 2: gaps in the system of civilian control of the military 330 00:16:52,200 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 2: that allowed all of this to happen in the first place, 331 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 2: because those gaps weren't entirely eradicated by fixing this one system. 332 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:01,640 Speaker 2: He documented a conversation one of his allies had with 333 00:17:01,680 --> 00:17:05,959 Speaker 2: another Air Force general around the same time. Quote General 334 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,960 Speaker 2: Cutter told me that we had to complete the BMEWS 335 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:11,679 Speaker 2: Ballistic Missile Early Warning System as soon as possible, and 336 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 2: he urged that we expanded in order to create a 337 00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 2: highly redundant capability at each site. We must have an 338 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:21,320 Speaker 2: absolutely reliable early warning of a missile attack. Basically, I agreed, 339 00:17:21,800 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 2: all would have been well if he had stopped there, 340 00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,560 Speaker 2: but he didn't. In words I can't precisely recall, he 341 00:17:26,600 --> 00:17:27,919 Speaker 2: went on to say that we had to have this 342 00:17:28,000 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 2: redundancy in the resulting high level of right reliability, so 343 00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:34,040 Speaker 2: that when we finally connected the warning system directly to 344 00:17:34,160 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 2: the launch button of our own ICBMs, there would be 345 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:41,120 Speaker 2: no false alarms. I was astonished. I told him flatly, 346 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,000 Speaker 2: we would not automate our response at We would not 347 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 2: connect the warning system directly to the launch button. We 348 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:49,600 Speaker 2: would not, in some go to a launch on warning strategy. 349 00:17:49,800 --> 00:17:52,199 Speaker 2: We would especially not go to one that did not 350 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 2: have the president in the decision making. Loop Cutter coldly replied, 351 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: in that case, we might as well surrender now. 352 00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:04,200 Speaker 3: I love it. It's like no one who's ever done plumbing 353 00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 3: or hacking. No, yeah, air gap, you need a fucking 354 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:10,920 Speaker 3: air gap, needs for so many gaps. 355 00:18:11,119 --> 00:18:15,680 Speaker 2: Never trust a computer, don't trust people, and don't trust computers. 356 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 3: Every hacker is like, this is my computer that matters, 357 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 3: So it doesn't have the Internet right like it. 358 00:18:23,600 --> 00:18:26,600 Speaker 2: It's just it's fucking insane, like the whole Well, we 359 00:18:26,680 --> 00:18:28,399 Speaker 2: might as well surrender now. If we're not just going 360 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:30,719 Speaker 2: to have an automatic doomsday device that goes off, if 361 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:33,640 Speaker 2: a radar has an hallucination, why don't we just quit? 362 00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:38,439 Speaker 2: Fuck it? What's the communists like? It's fucking crazy? And 363 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:41,600 Speaker 2: I should note that this happens later, but the Soviet 364 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 2: Union does devise a similar automated system called the dead Hand, 365 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,840 Speaker 2: and some aspect it's kind of unclear exactly how put 366 00:18:49,880 --> 00:18:51,800 Speaker 2: together this is, but they do a version of the 367 00:18:51,880 --> 00:18:56,960 Speaker 2: same thing, right this right it is a really cool name, 368 00:18:57,400 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 2: but it's basically a way to guarantee that if the 369 00:18:59,280 --> 00:19:02,439 Speaker 2: US wiped out out their command and control first, that 370 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:07,000 Speaker 2: there would be an automatic launch system in order to retaliate. Right, 371 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 2: It's kind of unclear exactly what got actually built, but 372 00:19:11,080 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: they this is these same conversions of all of these 373 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:15,960 Speaker 2: same conversations happened in the USSR. 374 00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 3: Right two, because they, if nothing else, they need the 375 00:19:17,359 --> 00:19:20,560 Speaker 3: Americans to believe they do that right right exactly, and 376 00:19:20,640 --> 00:19:23,280 Speaker 3: like everyone is worried about what the other guy is 377 00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:24,639 Speaker 3: doing and everybody's out. 378 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:25,479 Speaker 2: Of their fucking minds. 379 00:19:26,400 --> 00:19:26,720 Speaker 3: Yeah. 380 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:30,159 Speaker 2: Now the good news is, Margaret, it's time for ads. 381 00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:33,679 Speaker 3: Oh good, it is a nice thing that makes the 382 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 3: ads seem like a nice refreshment. 383 00:19:35,720 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, probably not going to get ads for nukes. 384 00:19:39,320 --> 00:19:39,800 Speaker 4: Huzzah. 385 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 2: And we're back. So the good news is this, This 386 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:54,879 Speaker 2: is not the only kind of thinking exhibited by modern 387 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:59,959 Speaker 2: military advisors and officers today. But general Cutters type of 388 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:02,359 Speaker 2: thinking is not extinct at the Pentagon, and it is 389 00:20:02,400 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 2: still very common. I don't know if i'd say it's 390 00:20:04,600 --> 00:20:07,200 Speaker 2: completely dominant, but there are a lot of guys who 391 00:20:07,280 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 2: think this way who are still part of our nuclear 392 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 2: defense architecture, right. 393 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 1: This. 394 00:20:13,440 --> 00:20:16,640 Speaker 2: In fact, getting that job kind of requires that you're 395 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,840 Speaker 2: at least a little bit like these people. 396 00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 4: Right. 397 00:20:19,480 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 2: It fairly uncommon for people who don't somewhat agree with 398 00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:25,879 Speaker 2: some of this to wind up in those positions. Rubell 399 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 2: points out that there was no technical auditing practice standardized 400 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,120 Speaker 2: for examining the technical status of launch controls for any 401 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:35,680 Speaker 2: of our nuclear weapons systems, and there is none today, right, 402 00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:39,800 Speaker 2: And that's a real problem. There's no one checking other 403 00:20:39,840 --> 00:20:42,040 Speaker 2: than guys like Rubel to make sure we don't build 404 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:47,320 Speaker 2: another really flawed, suicidally flawed missile system, which the Minuteman 405 00:20:47,440 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 2: initially was. Now, while Rubel was fighting to reform the 406 00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:53,520 Speaker 2: minute Man system, he was part of the problem in 407 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:55,680 Speaker 2: a different way. Right. We've just talked about him. Maybe 408 00:20:55,720 --> 00:20:58,199 Speaker 2: he saved everybody's lives. Here's him being kind of a 409 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:02,360 Speaker 2: bastard and late night. Yeah, in late nineteen sixty, which 410 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,200 Speaker 2: is right in the middle of when he's having this fight. 411 00:21:04,480 --> 00:21:08,200 Speaker 2: President Eisenhower issued an order for all three military departments 412 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:12,160 Speaker 2: to formulate a single operational plan or PSYOP for nuclear 413 00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:15,119 Speaker 2: war like SIOP, not like a psyop, but it is 414 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 2: pronounced the same way, right, and this will this will 415 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:19,879 Speaker 2: get finalized in sixty two. But they start working on it, 416 00:21:19,880 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 2: and they presented initially in nineteen sixty. So in late 417 00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 2: nineteen sixty the DoD the Department of Defense, shares a 418 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:28,600 Speaker 2: cohesive plan for nuclear war to a mix of military 419 00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:32,040 Speaker 2: personnel and selected civilian defense officials for the first time. 420 00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:36,560 Speaker 2: The Single Integrated Operational Plan or PSYOP sixty two was, 421 00:21:36,640 --> 00:21:40,560 Speaker 2: in Rubel's words, deliberately designed to inflict hundreds of millions 422 00:21:40,600 --> 00:21:43,840 Speaker 2: of deaths and uncounted casualties, mostly on in innocent civilians 423 00:21:43,840 --> 00:21:47,520 Speaker 2: in the USSR in China. This plan was presented at 424 00:21:47,560 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 2: an underground meeting at the SAC headquarters near Omaha, Nebraska. 425 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:55,520 Speaker 2: General Power Stage managed a deliberately theatrical display in which, 426 00:21:55,520 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 2: at his command, AIDS would simultaneously set up easels and 427 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:01,560 Speaker 2: start flipping maps over that like each new map would 428 00:22:01,560 --> 00:22:05,199 Speaker 2: show different detonations from different waves of planned strikes, you know, 429 00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 2: five minutes, in ten minutes, twenty minutes. Right, this is 430 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:10,800 Speaker 2: like it's an analog PowerPoint, right, he has like guys 431 00:22:10,840 --> 00:22:15,680 Speaker 2: being his PowerPoint presentation basically, Yeah, and I'm going to 432 00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 2: quote from Rubel, because Reubella is at this meeting, right, 433 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:20,879 Speaker 2: I'm going to quote from his description of what he 434 00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 2: sees here. At the point in the briefing where some 435 00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:26,399 Speaker 2: bombers were described flying northeast from the Mediterranean on their 436 00:22:26,440 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 2: way to Moscow, General Power waved at the speaker, saying 437 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,439 Speaker 2: just a minute, just a minute. He turned in his 438 00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:34,040 Speaker 2: front row chair to stare into the obscurity of uniforms 439 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:36,480 Speaker 2: and dusk stretching behind me, and said, I just hope 440 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,840 Speaker 2: none of you have any relatives in Albania, because they 441 00:22:38,840 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 2: have a radar station there that is right on our 442 00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:43,439 Speaker 2: flight path, and we take it out with that, to 443 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:46,240 Speaker 2: which the response was utter silence. Power turned to the 444 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,280 Speaker 2: speaker and with another wave of his hand told him 445 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 2: to go ahead. Just Cashry was like, by the way, 446 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,119 Speaker 2: we're killing everyone in Albania immediately. 447 00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, famously our enemy Uh huh. 448 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,960 Speaker 2: Hope you don't got family there, because again we knew 449 00:23:00,000 --> 00:23:02,120 Speaker 2: pok them right away. Because of a radar station. We're 450 00:23:02,119 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 2: just going to kill everyone in the country. Because of 451 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,680 Speaker 2: a radar station, everyone in the country. We're wiping the 452 00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:07,480 Speaker 2: whole country out. 453 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:09,320 Speaker 3: Yeah. 454 00:23:09,359 --> 00:23:13,440 Speaker 2: So, Rubel, I think we've established is a thinking man 455 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,159 Speaker 2: and a man who cares about ethics. He's not a monster. 456 00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 2: He's a part of this terrible system, but he has 457 00:23:18,600 --> 00:23:22,200 Speaker 2: a soul and he's upset. He's upset at this general 458 00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:25,159 Speaker 2: casual being, like, so we start by killing albaniact just 459 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,360 Speaker 2: for shit, right, He's upset, but he doesn't say shit right. 460 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 2: He writes about this decades later. He writes about his 461 00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:35,200 Speaker 2: discomfort in this meeting, and that specifically, he writes about 462 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,719 Speaker 2: his discomfort at the fact that SIAP sixty two quote 463 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:41,760 Speaker 2: deliberately removed effective operational control from the president or any 464 00:23:41,880 --> 00:23:44,639 Speaker 2: other civilian or even military commander in the event of 465 00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:48,520 Speaker 2: a nuclear conflict. Now, none of this is public knowledge 466 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:52,400 Speaker 2: for decades, right, it takes a long time. We only 467 00:23:52,440 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 2: know what we know because in two thousand and eight, 468 00:23:54,359 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 2: Rubell published his experiences as a warning to the rest 469 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,439 Speaker 2: of the country, and he noted that during this meeting, 470 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:02,200 Speaker 2: General Power and the other authors of si UP sixty 471 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:06,199 Speaker 2: two gave an anticipated death count of five hundred to 472 00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 2: six hundred million deaths from fallout alone in the USSR 473 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:10,000 Speaker 2: in China. 474 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,440 Speaker 3: That gets into that, like, that's like a combined death 475 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,400 Speaker 3: count of every war that's ever happened. Levels ye problem, yeah. 476 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:25,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, like right, it's got to be up there, right. Quote. 477 00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:28,359 Speaker 2: No accounting was presented of reciprocal effects in the United 478 00:24:28,400 --> 00:24:31,040 Speaker 2: States or collateral deaths and damage in many other parts 479 00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,520 Speaker 2: of the globe where global clouds of radioactive dust would 480 00:24:33,560 --> 00:24:36,159 Speaker 2: eventually descend. They just don't bother with that. We're not 481 00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,440 Speaker 2: interested in what the fallout might do. We're not interested 482 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,399 Speaker 2: in the knock on effects. We're just interested in killing 483 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:43,480 Speaker 2: half of all of the people or more in the 484 00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:47,480 Speaker 2: USSR in China, right yeah. And the way in which 485 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:50,399 Speaker 2: Power and the other briefers talk about civilian death on 486 00:24:50,480 --> 00:24:55,080 Speaker 2: an unimaginable scale struck Rubel as ghoulish. Quote. There are 487 00:24:55,080 --> 00:24:58,199 Speaker 2: about six hundred million Chinese in China. He said, his 488 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:00,639 Speaker 2: chart went up to half that number, three hundred million. 489 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,199 Speaker 2: On the vertical axis. It showed that debts from fallout 490 00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:05,199 Speaker 2: as time passed after the attack leveled out at that 491 00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 2: number three hundred million. Half the population of China. 492 00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:13,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, they don't care. 493 00:25:13,400 --> 00:25:18,679 Speaker 2: They don't give a shit. Yeah, now I say they 494 00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:20,679 Speaker 2: don't give a shit. Someone in this meeting does give 495 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:24,880 Speaker 2: a shit, right, And I'm gonna continue with Rubel's reminiscence. 496 00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:28,240 Speaker 2: A voice out of the gloom from somewhere behind me interrupted, saying, 497 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 2: may I ask a question. General Power turned again in 498 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 2: his front row seat, stared into the darkness, and said, yeah, 499 00:25:34,000 --> 00:25:36,160 Speaker 2: what is it? In a tone not likely to encourage 500 00:25:36,200 --> 00:25:39,760 Speaker 2: the timid What if this isn't China's war? The voice asked, 501 00:25:39,920 --> 00:25:41,879 Speaker 2: what if this is just a war with the Soviets? 502 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:46,399 Speaker 2: Can you change the plan? Well? Yeah, General Power said resignedly, 503 00:25:46,640 --> 00:25:48,880 Speaker 2: we can, but I hope nobody thinks of it because 504 00:25:48,920 --> 00:25:55,000 Speaker 2: it would really screw up the plan. Hey, what if 505 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,080 Speaker 2: we don't need to kill three hundred million people in China? 506 00:25:57,200 --> 00:25:58,800 Speaker 2: Can we like nix that part? 507 00:25:59,040 --> 00:25:59,159 Speaker 4: Well? 508 00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:01,560 Speaker 2: I hope not. That fucks up my plan. We're not 509 00:26:01,600 --> 00:26:03,720 Speaker 2: killing three hundred million people in China. That really fucks 510 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 2: things up for me. 511 00:26:05,080 --> 00:26:06,920 Speaker 3: We already had the banner printed, you know. 512 00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got the banner printed in everything. We had 513 00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,640 Speaker 2: a mission accomplished board here. Come on, Yeah, you don't 514 00:26:12,640 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 2: want to kill three hundred million people in China. What's 515 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:15,080 Speaker 2: wrong with you? 516 00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,640 Speaker 3: Yeah? But what was that? Bonus effects? 517 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, bonus effects. Now it says something about Rubel 518 00:26:22,560 --> 00:26:25,200 Speaker 2: that it was not until this moment that he found 519 00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:28,560 Speaker 2: himself thinking about the Vonse Conference in January of nineteen 520 00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:31,119 Speaker 2: forty two, in which a group of top Nazis planned 521 00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:33,480 Speaker 2: the Holocaust. For some reason, this is one of the 522 00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,959 Speaker 2: most frightening moments of the Cold War to me, A 523 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,880 Speaker 2: man who truly cared about protecting his country and stopping 524 00:26:38,920 --> 00:26:42,000 Speaker 2: a dangerous system from going live finds himself stuck in 525 00:26:42,040 --> 00:26:45,000 Speaker 2: a room where something many times worse than the Holocaust 526 00:26:45,040 --> 00:26:48,560 Speaker 2: is being casually planned, and he realizes, oh fuck, oh shit, 527 00:26:48,880 --> 00:26:51,240 Speaker 2: I'm like some junior SS guys sitting in the back 528 00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 2: of the Vonse conference too scared to speak up and 529 00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,880 Speaker 2: ruin micro fuck fuck, I'm a not fuck like. That's 530 00:26:57,920 --> 00:27:00,639 Speaker 2: literally how he describes his recollection is like, this is 531 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,720 Speaker 2: the fuck. This is so much worse than the they're 532 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 2: talking about skilling six hundred million people. He doesn't say shit, 533 00:27:09,640 --> 00:27:12,640 Speaker 2: he does not. He is not that kind of brave, right, 534 00:27:13,760 --> 00:27:15,840 Speaker 2: He is a work within them that's. 535 00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,920 Speaker 3: Like a telling human conditioned thing right, because we all 536 00:27:18,960 --> 00:27:21,720 Speaker 3: imagine ourselves saying something right now. 537 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,760 Speaker 2: You want to hope you would. And I get the 538 00:27:25,800 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 2: feeling from his writing that Rubelle never quite forgave himself 539 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 2: for not right. 540 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:31,280 Speaker 3: Good. 541 00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,399 Speaker 2: He shouldn't have, Yeah, he shouldn't have. This should haunt 542 00:27:34,440 --> 00:27:36,080 Speaker 2: you to the end of your days. 543 00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,960 Speaker 3: But he's still the most deeply human person in that room. 544 00:27:39,840 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 2: I'll say the second most, because we're about to talk 545 00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:44,480 Speaker 2: about someone who does speak up. There is one guy 546 00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:49,040 Speaker 2: who has who actually has some courage here. Okay, So 547 00:27:49,160 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 2: the day after this first meeting at the SAC headquarters, 548 00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:55,560 Speaker 2: Rubel takes part in a smaller meeting about the meeting 549 00:27:55,600 --> 00:27:58,000 Speaker 2: they just had. Right, even the military, you can't escape 550 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:02,840 Speaker 2: meetings about meetings, you know, like that's that's that's just bureaucracy, baby. 551 00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:06,359 Speaker 2: So this smaller meeting includes the Secretary of Defense, all 552 00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,440 Speaker 2: of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and the secretaries of 553 00:28:08,480 --> 00:28:11,560 Speaker 2: each major branch of the military, plus the Commandant of 554 00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 2: the Marine Corps, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Speaking 555 00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:17,760 Speaker 2: on the harrowing meeting they just had, quote told everyone 556 00:28:17,800 --> 00:28:21,959 Speaker 2: that they'd done a very fine job, a very difficult job, right, So, 557 00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,080 Speaker 2: and that sentiment is echoed by everyone. Everyone just goes 558 00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:27,160 Speaker 2: around congratulating each other at the start of this meeting 559 00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:29,040 Speaker 2: being it was a great meeting. It was really tough, 560 00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:31,199 Speaker 2: but you guys really pulled together and came up with 561 00:28:31,200 --> 00:28:33,280 Speaker 2: a plant two six hundred million people, and I'm proud 562 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:35,199 Speaker 2: of you. You know, it's not easy to figure out 563 00:28:35,240 --> 00:28:37,239 Speaker 2: how to kill half a billion people or more, but 564 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:41,720 Speaker 2: you guys really got a job. Yeah. Yeah, So everyone 565 00:28:41,760 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 2: in the room echoes this congratulatory sentiment except for one guy, 566 00:28:46,400 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 2: General David M. Shoop, commandant of the Marine Corps. And 567 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:53,719 Speaker 2: you know, the Marines. The Marines are an interesting branch 568 00:28:53,840 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 2: because both the chuttiest maniacs and the military and the 569 00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,760 Speaker 2: absolute like coolest, like best soldiers in American history, like 570 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:05,680 Speaker 2: Smedley Butler were Marines, right, Yeah, they have a history 571 00:29:05,720 --> 00:29:10,680 Speaker 2: of producing occasionally these like really weirdly like woke generals 572 00:29:10,680 --> 00:29:13,640 Speaker 2: and stuff like Smedley Butler is a committed anti capitalist 573 00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:16,880 Speaker 2: and anti imperialist who gets very angry about being used 574 00:29:16,880 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 2: as a gangster for capitalism. And David and Shupe, who's 575 00:29:20,200 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 2: the commandant of the Core at this point, is cut 576 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,520 Speaker 2: from the same cloth. He's the same kind of guy, and. 577 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,520 Speaker 3: He probably seem like more like honor, like more like yes, 578 00:29:28,520 --> 00:29:31,000 Speaker 3: whatever you believe in, you're still like you're like, no, 579 00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 3: I'm willing to risk my life to go do this thing. 580 00:29:33,520 --> 00:29:35,000 Speaker 2: That's why I joined the Marines. 581 00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:37,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, right, Like my dad was a marine. It doesn't 582 00:29:37,600 --> 00:29:40,280 Speaker 3: have entirely positive things to say about the people in 583 00:29:40,360 --> 00:29:41,080 Speaker 3: it with that, Like. 584 00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:44,160 Speaker 2: That's what I'm saying is there's they run the gamut, 585 00:29:44,360 --> 00:29:49,000 Speaker 2: you know. Yeah, but Shop is a really interesting guy 586 00:29:49,040 --> 00:29:51,160 Speaker 2: in the long history of Marine Corps commandants. He is 587 00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:54,040 Speaker 2: one of the men who earned that job title the most. 588 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:56,880 Speaker 2: He'd been born in Indiana in nineteen oh four to 589 00:29:56,960 --> 00:30:00,120 Speaker 2: a poor family, and he was raised politically progressive and 590 00:30:00,200 --> 00:30:03,440 Speaker 2: grew into a staunch anti imperialist with a very strong 591 00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 2: anti business outlook. He is not super sold on capitalism 592 00:30:08,080 --> 00:30:11,600 Speaker 2: and he hates imperialism. As a starving young man, he 593 00:30:11,720 --> 00:30:14,719 Speaker 2: joins the military to survive. He proves very good at 594 00:30:14,760 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 2: the job and is deployed twice to China during their 595 00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,760 Speaker 2: Civil war. He serves as a staff officer in the 596 00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 2: Pacific during World War II until he was given a 597 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,440 Speaker 2: combat command to lead the invasion of an island called Tarawa. 598 00:30:26,080 --> 00:30:29,800 Speaker 2: His forces encountered immediate and fierce resistance. His transport was 599 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:32,400 Speaker 2: disabled before landing, and he had to wade ashore, where 600 00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,600 Speaker 2: he was struck by shrapnel and shot in the neck. 601 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 2: Despite this, he continued to organize and lead his men 602 00:30:37,880 --> 00:30:40,160 Speaker 2: from the front with a gunshot wound to the neck. 603 00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 2: On the afternoon of the second day of the attack, 604 00:30:42,880 --> 00:30:46,960 Speaker 2: he sent a message to his divisional headquarters Combat Efficiency colon, 605 00:30:47,080 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 2: we are winning. Just just a badass, Like, what are these? 606 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:56,880 Speaker 2: What of our absolute coolest battlefield commanders in the war. 607 00:30:57,440 --> 00:31:00,360 Speaker 2: Shep receives a Congressional Medal of Honor for his efforts, 608 00:31:00,440 --> 00:31:03,800 Speaker 2: right if you want to know, like, how what kind 609 00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:06,120 Speaker 2: of a badass this dude was? Like he is a 610 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,240 Speaker 2: general leading from the front in such a way that 611 00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:10,800 Speaker 2: he gets a medal of Honor for his service in combat. 612 00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,240 Speaker 2: And he is the only man in this entire story 613 00:31:14,360 --> 00:31:16,800 Speaker 2: who gives us anything we can be truly proud of 614 00:31:16,840 --> 00:31:19,760 Speaker 2: as Americans. And I'm going to quote from Annie Jacobson's 615 00:31:19,760 --> 00:31:24,320 Speaker 2: book Nuclear War here, and this is after they're going 616 00:31:24,400 --> 00:31:26,920 Speaker 2: over the plan again to kill six hundred million people. 617 00:31:27,360 --> 00:31:29,720 Speaker 2: No one spoke up to object to the indiscriminate killing 618 00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,040 Speaker 2: of six hundred million people in a US government led 619 00:31:32,080 --> 00:31:35,400 Speaker 2: preemptive first strike nuclear attack. Rubel wrote, not any of 620 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:38,880 Speaker 2: the joint chiefs, not the Secretary of Defense, not John Ruble. 621 00:31:39,200 --> 00:31:42,560 Speaker 2: Then finally, one man did, General David M. Shupe, the 622 00:31:42,600 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 2: commandant of the US Marine Corps, a marine awarded the 623 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:47,160 Speaker 2: Medal of Honor for his actions in World War Two. 624 00:31:47,960 --> 00:31:50,320 Speaker 2: Shupe was a short man with rimless glasses who could 625 00:31:50,320 --> 00:31:52,520 Speaker 2: have passed for a school teacher from a rural Mid 626 00:31:52,560 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 2: American community. Recalled Rubel, he remembered how Shop spoke in 627 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:57,920 Speaker 2: a calm, level voice when he offered the sole a 628 00:31:58,000 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 2: poising view on the plan for nuclear war. That Shop said, 629 00:32:01,440 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 2: all I can say is any plan that murders three 630 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 2: hundred million Chinese when it might not even be their 631 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 2: war is not a good plan. That is not the 632 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:13,880 Speaker 2: American way. The room fell silent. Rubel wrote, Nobody moved 633 00:32:13,880 --> 00:32:18,200 Speaker 2: a muscle, nobody seconded Shoop's descent. No one else said anything. 634 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:21,320 Speaker 2: According to Rubel, everyone just looked the other way. 635 00:32:23,080 --> 00:32:27,440 Speaker 3: Yeah fuck yeah, yeah. 636 00:32:27,520 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 2: At least there was one I know, at least there 637 00:32:31,080 --> 00:32:32,760 Speaker 2: was one guy being like, are you do you guys 638 00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:35,600 Speaker 2: realize how fucking evil this is? Ht you out of 639 00:32:35,640 --> 00:32:38,520 Speaker 2: your minds. You know what you're talking about killing three 640 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:40,720 Speaker 2: million people who might not have fun, fuck all to us. 641 00:32:40,720 --> 00:32:41,960 Speaker 2: They don't even have nukes yet. 642 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:47,160 Speaker 3: Yeah, we we killed Japan for trying to kill all 643 00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,080 Speaker 3: the Chanese people. 644 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:51,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, did you not see a problem here? Yeah? Yeah, 645 00:32:53,600 --> 00:32:56,440 Speaker 2: that's not the American way. Unfortunately it is. But I 646 00:32:56,480 --> 00:32:59,840 Speaker 2: can't blame for trying to make it not be Yeah, exactly. 647 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,160 Speaker 2: Shoop goes on to be a cool guy the rest 648 00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,480 Speaker 2: of his life. He spoke vocally against nuclear escalation during 649 00:33:06,480 --> 00:33:08,560 Speaker 2: the Cuban missile crisis, like he was a major voice 650 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:10,080 Speaker 2: trying to be like, no, no, no, we need to 651 00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 2: take a step back. And he was also he advised 652 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:16,040 Speaker 2: against entering South Vietnam during the opening stages of the 653 00:33:16,120 --> 00:33:18,200 Speaker 2: Vietnam War. He was one of the few generals who 654 00:33:18,280 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 2: was like, this is a terrible idea and we should 655 00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:22,880 Speaker 2: not get involved at all. This is a really bad plan. 656 00:33:23,120 --> 00:33:23,880 Speaker 3: Right Yeah. 657 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:27,280 Speaker 2: In general, he was the one sane man not afraid 658 00:33:27,280 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 2: to speak his mind in the entire defense establishment during 659 00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,040 Speaker 2: some of the maddest years of the Cold War. Right, 660 00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 2: So yeah, thank you, general, i'd I know what this 661 00:33:37,360 --> 00:33:39,080 Speaker 2: is involved. We shouldn't do this. 662 00:33:39,320 --> 00:33:41,400 Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah, and he. 663 00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,280 Speaker 2: Clearly like not afraid of confrontation, is willing to say, like, 664 00:33:44,320 --> 00:33:46,000 Speaker 2: you people are fucking maniacs. 665 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,320 Speaker 3: Yeah. 666 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:51,320 Speaker 2: But unfortunately he uh, he's the only one. So Ruebel, 667 00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:54,320 Speaker 2: who is not a fighter, not great at confrontation, one 668 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,920 Speaker 2: gets the idea, does continue to push bureaucratically for a 669 00:33:57,960 --> 00:34:00,520 Speaker 2: saner nuclear posture, but he does so from within the 670 00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,640 Speaker 2: bureaucracy in which he was comfortable. In his two thousand 671 00:34:03,640 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 2: and eight report, he accused defense planners of building both 672 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,560 Speaker 2: Syops sixty two and the minute Man system deliberately to 673 00:34:09,640 --> 00:34:12,640 Speaker 2: deny quote any but a go no go option to 674 00:34:12,680 --> 00:34:16,439 Speaker 2: civilian leadership. As Henry Kissinger put it in nineteen sixty one. 675 00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:19,080 Speaker 2: And this is the only time I'll quote Kissinger approvingly, 676 00:34:19,440 --> 00:34:23,400 Speaker 2: these plans offered the president just one choice quote suicide 677 00:34:23,480 --> 00:34:28,480 Speaker 2: or surrender, holocaust or humiliation. In other words, the military 678 00:34:28,520 --> 00:34:30,400 Speaker 2: has set it up that the only choice the president 679 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:34,160 Speaker 2: gets to make is let the country get nuked or 680 00:34:34,239 --> 00:34:35,120 Speaker 2: kill everybody. 681 00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:36,160 Speaker 3: Right. 682 00:34:37,040 --> 00:34:39,320 Speaker 2: The good news is that in the early nineteen sixties, 683 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:42,520 Speaker 2: at the very start of the Kennedy administration, is probably 684 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,279 Speaker 2: the high water mark for at least the danger of 685 00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:48,359 Speaker 2: an atomic Holocaust during the Cold War. Part of why 686 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:55,640 Speaker 2: we stepped to tell you, yeah, during the war so far. Yeah. 687 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:57,880 Speaker 2: Part of what got us to step back from the 688 00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:01,400 Speaker 2: brink a little bit is that after the Berlin Crisis, 689 00:35:01,440 --> 00:35:03,560 Speaker 2: which is, you know, the Soviet Union tries to cut 690 00:35:03,560 --> 00:35:06,799 Speaker 2: off supplies into the chunk of Berlin that NATO is 691 00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:09,319 Speaker 2: occupying and we have to drop a bunch of shit 692 00:35:09,320 --> 00:35:12,160 Speaker 2: in by plane. Right after that, and then the Cuban 693 00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:16,680 Speaker 2: Missile crisis, Kennedy comes to realize what Rubel had known 694 00:35:16,719 --> 00:35:18,680 Speaker 2: for a while, which is that the men running the 695 00:35:18,719 --> 00:35:21,440 Speaker 2: Strategic Air Command in particular and the Air Force in 696 00:35:21,480 --> 00:35:25,040 Speaker 2: general are out of their goddamn minds. Right like that, 697 00:35:25,080 --> 00:35:27,239 Speaker 2: he starts to become Kennedy starts become very aware that, like, 698 00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:29,239 Speaker 2: these people are crazy and they're going to get us 699 00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:31,640 Speaker 2: all killed. I have to do something about the way 700 00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:35,160 Speaker 2: this system works, right, And this is arguably the best 701 00:35:35,160 --> 00:35:37,800 Speaker 2: thing he did in his presidency. One of the first 702 00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:39,600 Speaker 2: moments where this was made clear to him was on 703 00:35:39,640 --> 00:35:42,919 Speaker 2: September fifth, during Kennedy's first year in office, in which 704 00:35:42,960 --> 00:35:46,600 Speaker 2: several Air forcemen submitted a first strike study that suggested 705 00:35:46,719 --> 00:35:50,840 Speaker 2: killing fifty four percent of the USSR's population. An alternate 706 00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:54,319 Speaker 2: plan suggested just attacking Soviet military targets, which a guy 707 00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:57,439 Speaker 2: named Casin, the study author, estimated would kill only around 708 00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,800 Speaker 2: a million civilians. However, US casual he's from a Soviet 709 00:36:00,840 --> 00:36:04,239 Speaker 2: response ranged from basically none to seventy five percent of 710 00:36:04,239 --> 00:36:05,279 Speaker 2: the US population. 711 00:36:06,000 --> 00:36:07,600 Speaker 3: Uh huh right. 712 00:36:08,480 --> 00:36:11,360 Speaker 2: Rubell includes a note about the reactions of people in 713 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:14,759 Speaker 2: the Kennedy administration to this horror show. Ted Sorensen, the 714 00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:16,960 Speaker 2: chief White House counsel and speechwriter who had been with 715 00:36:17,040 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 2: Kennedy since his earliest Senate days, was outraged when Cayson 716 00:36:20,080 --> 00:36:23,040 Speaker 2: told him about the study, shouting, you're crazy. We shouldn't 717 00:36:23,080 --> 00:36:25,799 Speaker 2: let guys like you around here. Even Moripauld was a 718 00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,800 Speaker 2: friend of Caseon's on the NSC staff named Marcus Raskin. 719 00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:31,759 Speaker 2: Raskin had served as foreign policy advisor to a few 720 00:36:31,800 --> 00:36:35,200 Speaker 2: Liberal Democratic senators and had been hired as a token leftist. 721 00:36:35,520 --> 00:36:38,400 Speaker 2: Raskin was horrified by the very existence of such a study. 722 00:36:38,680 --> 00:36:40,480 Speaker 2: How does this make us any better than those who 723 00:36:40,600 --> 00:36:42,840 Speaker 2: measured the gas ovens or the engineers who built the 724 00:36:42,880 --> 00:36:45,640 Speaker 2: tracks for the death trains in Nazi Germany, he hollered. 725 00:36:45,640 --> 00:36:50,439 Speaker 2: At one point Raskin never spoke to Cason again. Good question, yeah, 726 00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:56,400 Speaker 2: really good question. Yeah. Kennedy himself was briefed on the 727 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,560 Speaker 2: likely death toll of a nuclear war, basically on the 728 00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:00,920 Speaker 2: result like he's briefed on this case and study, and 729 00:37:01,000 --> 00:37:04,560 Speaker 2: his response is characteristically eloquent. He says, and we call 730 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:06,040 Speaker 2: ourselves the human race. 731 00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, oh fuck yeah. 732 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,360 Speaker 2: The Cuban missile crisis unfolded across thirteen days in nineteen 733 00:37:15,440 --> 00:37:17,680 Speaker 2: sixty two, and it seems to have inspired Kennedy to 734 00:37:17,719 --> 00:37:20,800 Speaker 2: take action to reduce the ability of his insane generals 735 00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:23,880 Speaker 2: to destroy the world. When he imposed a blockade of 736 00:37:23,920 --> 00:37:26,720 Speaker 2: Cuba to force the USSR to remove their nukes. General 737 00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:31,040 Speaker 2: LeMay insisted on direct military intervention as the only path forward, 738 00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,160 Speaker 2: claiming that any attempt to solve the problem without violence 739 00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,479 Speaker 2: would lead to war. Look, we might have a war 740 00:37:37,520 --> 00:37:40,200 Speaker 2: if we don't get violent with these guys. You don't 741 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:44,960 Speaker 2: want a war, do you? Quote LeMay indirectly threatened to 742 00:37:45,000 --> 00:37:47,200 Speaker 2: make his dissent public. I think that a blockade and 743 00:37:47,239 --> 00:37:49,000 Speaker 2: the political talk would be considered by a lot of 744 00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,280 Speaker 2: our friends and neutrals as being a pretty weak response 745 00:37:51,320 --> 00:37:52,520 Speaker 2: to this. And I'm sure a lot of our own 746 00:37:52,560 --> 00:37:55,000 Speaker 2: citizens would feel that way too. In other words, you're 747 00:37:55,040 --> 00:37:57,560 Speaker 2: in a pretty bad fix at the present time. LeMay's 748 00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:01,360 Speaker 2: words angered Kennedy, who asked, what did you say? LeMay responded, 749 00:38:01,400 --> 00:38:04,040 Speaker 2: You're in a pretty bad fix. Kenneth O'Donnell recalled in 750 00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,480 Speaker 2: his memoirs that after the meeting, Kennedy asked him, can 751 00:38:06,520 --> 00:38:09,200 Speaker 2: you imagine LeMay saying a thing like that? These brass 752 00:38:09,200 --> 00:38:11,400 Speaker 2: hats have one great advantage in their favor. If we 753 00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:13,120 Speaker 2: listen to them and do what they want us to do, 754 00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,160 Speaker 2: none of us will be alive later to tell them 755 00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:15,760 Speaker 2: they were wrong. 756 00:38:19,560 --> 00:38:23,480 Speaker 3: I better understand the like second half of the twentieth 757 00:38:23,520 --> 00:38:27,719 Speaker 3: century is a big push for pacifism on the left. Yeah, yeah, Like, 758 00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:29,839 Speaker 3: and it's one of those things you like look back 759 00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 3: at and you're like, oh, that seems kins silly, and 760 00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:32,439 Speaker 3: you're like. 761 00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:36,840 Speaker 2: Some parts worked, some didn't, But oh yeah. 762 00:38:36,200 --> 00:38:37,719 Speaker 3: I get why people lean towards that. 763 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:43,360 Speaker 2: Yeah yeah. And this is arguably the best thing Kennedy 764 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:47,319 Speaker 2: does is it's during the Kennedy administration that we take 765 00:38:47,440 --> 00:38:51,680 Speaker 2: trigger control mostly and eventually entirely away from the military. 766 00:38:51,880 --> 00:38:52,040 Speaker 4: Right. 767 00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:56,160 Speaker 2: The scenario now, and this is I don't I think 768 00:38:56,160 --> 00:39:00,240 Speaker 2: it's better, but it's also differently bad. Now, some general 769 00:39:00,520 --> 00:39:03,280 Speaker 2: or some colonel or some kid in a silo couldn't 770 00:39:03,360 --> 00:39:05,080 Speaker 2: launch our arsenal. 771 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:05,600 Speaker 4: Right. 772 00:39:05,960 --> 00:39:08,279 Speaker 2: You can't have four kids launching fifty missiles on their 773 00:39:08,280 --> 00:39:11,000 Speaker 2: own because you have to have like codes transmitted and stuff, right, 774 00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:16,359 Speaker 2: But one guy can decide to launch everything, and it's 775 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,080 Speaker 2: the president. Now, that does mean we have civilian control, 776 00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:21,719 Speaker 2: and I think that's a positive step away from a 777 00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:25,399 Speaker 2: bunch of insane generals potentially having that command, or four 778 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:28,040 Speaker 2: kids in a cornfield having that ability. 779 00:39:28,160 --> 00:39:28,319 Speaker 4: Right. 780 00:39:29,760 --> 00:39:33,359 Speaker 2: But and that is a major thing that happens under Kennedy, right, 781 00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:36,719 Speaker 2: is that command and control of our nuclear arsenal gets 782 00:39:36,760 --> 00:39:39,920 Speaker 2: shifted much further to the president, and that process continues 783 00:39:39,960 --> 00:39:43,120 Speaker 2: over the years. This is what leads to the nuclear football, right, 784 00:39:44,000 --> 00:39:46,239 Speaker 2: which I think people are generally aware of, right because 785 00:39:46,239 --> 00:39:49,080 Speaker 2: it's under Kennedy. I talked about how that Los Alamos 786 00:39:49,080 --> 00:39:50,880 Speaker 2: scientists came up with the idea to we need a 787 00:39:50,920 --> 00:39:53,680 Speaker 2: lock on these fucking things, and they figure out how 788 00:39:53,760 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 2: to do that during the Kennedy administration, and Kennedy gives 789 00:39:57,560 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 2: the order to start putting locks on our weapons, right, 790 00:40:01,080 --> 00:40:03,960 Speaker 2: which starts moving this this all, I'm YadA yading. This 791 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:06,480 Speaker 2: takes longer to get to where we are now, but 792 00:40:06,560 --> 00:40:10,120 Speaker 2: this starts the process, right that leads to the situation 793 00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:12,759 Speaker 2: we have now where these weapons all do at least 794 00:40:12,800 --> 00:40:15,200 Speaker 2: have a lock, and where we have the football, right, 795 00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:18,160 Speaker 2: the nuclear football, which is ultimately a product of both 796 00:40:18,160 --> 00:40:21,120 Speaker 2: that scientist Agnu realizing a single private with eight bullets 797 00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,200 Speaker 2: was all that stood between a nuke and whoever, as 798 00:40:23,239 --> 00:40:25,880 Speaker 2: well as Rubel and his allies repeatedly insisting to their 799 00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:27,759 Speaker 2: bosses that these Air Force fuckers are out of their 800 00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:32,800 Speaker 2: goddamn minds, right, like that is you know, a really 801 00:40:32,800 --> 00:40:36,360 Speaker 2: good thing that happens here. And characteristically, when the switch 802 00:40:36,520 --> 00:40:39,160 Speaker 2: the lock is first demoed, it was presented to President 803 00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:41,680 Speaker 2: Kennedy who immediately is like, yeah, put these on everything 804 00:40:41,719 --> 00:40:45,440 Speaker 2: we can right immediately, right now, do it today. You 805 00:40:45,520 --> 00:40:50,360 Speaker 2: have no other priorities, and the military loses their fucking mind. 806 00:40:50,480 --> 00:40:54,080 Speaker 2: The faust are bombs. They put a lock, our bombs up. 807 00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,560 Speaker 2: The fears of one General Alfred Starbird, which is a 808 00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:00,880 Speaker 2: wild name, were summarized as follows. How is a pilot 809 00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:03,040 Speaker 2: us are four and somewhere around the world going to 810 00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:05,080 Speaker 2: get a code from the president of the United States 811 00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:07,840 Speaker 2: to ourma nuclear weapon before being overrun by a massively 812 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:12,919 Speaker 2: superior number of Soviet troops. Okay, maybe it's this. I'm 813 00:41:12,920 --> 00:41:13,400 Speaker 2: fine with that. 814 00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:17,840 Speaker 3: Actually, yeah, a couple instead of all of us. I 815 00:41:17,880 --> 00:41:18,200 Speaker 3: don't know. 816 00:41:19,160 --> 00:41:22,880 Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, I'm not casual about the lives of soldiers. 817 00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:26,480 Speaker 2: They're people too, But it's a soldier's job to potentially 818 00:41:26,560 --> 00:41:28,640 Speaker 2: die for their country, and I prefer that to the 819 00:41:28,680 --> 00:41:33,359 Speaker 2: whole world dying, including that soldier. Including that soldier, they're 820 00:41:33,360 --> 00:41:36,240 Speaker 2: not living through it all. None of these bomber guys, 821 00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,719 Speaker 2: all of these sac bombers know that their missions are 822 00:41:38,760 --> 00:41:40,640 Speaker 2: suicide missions. If they get the order to fly to 823 00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:43,000 Speaker 2: the USSR, they are not coming back. There won't be 824 00:41:43,040 --> 00:41:46,200 Speaker 2: anywhere to come back to, right, Yeah, although the. 825 00:41:46,280 --> 00:41:51,400 Speaker 3: Only people still alive, they'll flying from other ten minutes before. Yeah, yeah, I. 826 00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:53,120 Speaker 2: Mean that would That's how it is now, because we 827 00:41:53,120 --> 00:41:56,080 Speaker 2: have these doomsday planes that we literally call like doomsday planes, 828 00:41:56,080 --> 00:41:59,000 Speaker 2: which are these huge shielded planes that are able to 829 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,840 Speaker 2: president basically can hand over control of continuing to launch 830 00:42:02,840 --> 00:42:06,880 Speaker 2: our nukes to the official in the plane because the 831 00:42:06,920 --> 00:42:09,439 Speaker 2: President's going to be dead pretty soon. Everyone is. None 832 00:42:09,440 --> 00:42:11,840 Speaker 2: of these bunkers working as well as people want to 833 00:42:11,880 --> 00:42:14,320 Speaker 2: believe they do, especially not when you're talking about multiple 834 00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:16,880 Speaker 2: thermonuclear impacts. It doesn't matter how deep. If people are 835 00:42:16,920 --> 00:42:20,600 Speaker 2: dropping multiple hydrogen bombs as they would be, or missiles 836 00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:24,200 Speaker 2: as they would be in this very few things could 837 00:42:24,560 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 2: could protect you. All of these fancy bunker complexes are 838 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:32,480 Speaker 2: great if you don't get directly hit by multiple thermonuclear bombs, 839 00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,120 Speaker 2: but they're not going to protect you from it, which 840 00:42:34,120 --> 00:42:37,400 Speaker 2: is you're going to boil alive, right, yeah, yeah, no, 841 00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:41,840 Speaker 2: And that's anti Jacobson's Nuclear War book, which posits a 842 00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,719 Speaker 2: pretty chilling theory about how this could all go down. 843 00:42:45,320 --> 00:42:48,400 Speaker 2: Does have everyone dies, like everyone in command and control 844 00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:50,240 Speaker 2: is fucking dead, except for the guy in the doomsday 845 00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:52,200 Speaker 2: plane who make sure that everyone dies on the other 846 00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:57,600 Speaker 2: side of the world. That's nuclear war. Anyway. Let's have 847 00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,680 Speaker 2: some ads and we'll come back and finish this story. Whew, 848 00:43:07,640 --> 00:43:10,880 Speaker 2: all right, we're back. So this is what gets us. 849 00:43:10,880 --> 00:43:13,000 Speaker 2: The stuff with Kennedy evolves into like, you know, the 850 00:43:13,040 --> 00:43:15,760 Speaker 2: system we have today which gives the president's sole authority 851 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:18,520 Speaker 2: to end civilization. We'll talk about that a little more 852 00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:20,320 Speaker 2: in a second, but I want to finish with Curtis 853 00:43:20,400 --> 00:43:24,600 Speaker 2: LeMay's story first in nineteen sixty four, now is Chief 854 00:43:24,600 --> 00:43:28,080 Speaker 2: of Staff of the Air Force. Curtis Lamay is still 855 00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,839 Speaker 2: in nineteen forty five, Curtis LeMay is in charge of 856 00:43:30,920 --> 00:43:35,680 Speaker 2: all of the US air power in Southeast Asia. Basically 857 00:43:36,520 --> 00:43:40,120 Speaker 2: during the Korean War, same deal. During the start of Vietnam, 858 00:43:40,520 --> 00:43:44,520 Speaker 2: same deal. So when in nineteen sixty four, when we 859 00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:48,120 Speaker 2: really start upping our commitment in Vietnam, he is running 860 00:43:48,160 --> 00:43:51,280 Speaker 2: things and he pushes a plan to bomb northern Vietnam 861 00:43:51,320 --> 00:43:54,680 Speaker 2: into submission. The plan is described, and I believe this 862 00:43:54,840 --> 00:43:58,960 Speaker 2: was his name for it, as the genteel du Pey Plan. Right. 863 00:43:59,040 --> 00:44:01,319 Speaker 2: I mentioned that like the polite version of the dou 864 00:44:01,400 --> 00:44:03,799 Speaker 2: Hay plan, Right, do Hay being the guy who's like, 865 00:44:03,840 --> 00:44:06,080 Speaker 2: you just kill all the civilians until they're not willing 866 00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:10,560 Speaker 2: to fight anymore. Now, there's a big battle between Kennedy's 867 00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:14,080 Speaker 2: civilian advisors who wanted the US to threaten North Vietnam's 868 00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:17,000 Speaker 2: industry but not actually blow it up immediately, So that 869 00:44:17,040 --> 00:44:18,719 Speaker 2: we blow up some of it and we make it 870 00:44:18,760 --> 00:44:21,480 Speaker 2: clear we can really cripple their industry so that we 871 00:44:21,480 --> 00:44:24,440 Speaker 2: have a negotiating hand to push for peace, right, And 872 00:44:24,080 --> 00:44:25,919 Speaker 2: I don't think we should have gotten involved in fucking 873 00:44:25,960 --> 00:44:28,160 Speaker 2: Vietnam whatsoever. I'm not saying that, like these guys were 874 00:44:28,200 --> 00:44:31,000 Speaker 2: good and ethical, but that is a much saner response 875 00:44:31,120 --> 00:44:34,080 Speaker 2: than Leamy's, because Limay just wants to send North Vietnam 876 00:44:34,120 --> 00:44:37,000 Speaker 2: back to the Stone Age, right right. Like these liberals 877 00:44:37,040 --> 00:44:38,520 Speaker 2: are like, well, we can bomb them, you know, kind 878 00:44:38,520 --> 00:44:40,880 Speaker 2: of strategically in order to exert a cost and make 879 00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 2: them willing to come to the negotiation table. And the 880 00:44:42,640 --> 00:44:44,560 Speaker 2: May is like, what if we just fucking kill everybody. 881 00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:47,799 Speaker 2: I'm going to quote from the book Bombing to Win 882 00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:52,080 Speaker 2: by Robert Pape quote. Destroying the North's industrial economy appears 883 00:44:52,120 --> 00:44:54,120 Speaker 2: to have been valued more for its effect on civilian 884 00:44:54,120 --> 00:44:56,439 Speaker 2: morale than for reducing the flow of military goods into 885 00:44:56,440 --> 00:44:59,200 Speaker 2: the South. For instance, the rationale for closing the port 886 00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:01,840 Speaker 2: of Haiphong was not to interdict battlefield hardware, but to 887 00:45:01,920 --> 00:45:06,960 Speaker 2: weaken civilian morale, right, which keeps not working it. Yes, 888 00:45:07,040 --> 00:45:10,799 Speaker 2: you may recall none of this did. This led to 889 00:45:10,880 --> 00:45:14,840 Speaker 2: Operation Rolling Thunder, And Rolling Thunder is LeMay's baby. This 890 00:45:14,960 --> 00:45:17,759 Speaker 2: is like Operation Rolling Thunder is the genteel dou Hay 891 00:45:17,840 --> 00:45:20,440 Speaker 2: plan put into effect it is a three year bombing 892 00:45:20,480 --> 00:45:23,719 Speaker 2: campaign that resulted in what, Margaret, you want to. 893 00:45:23,719 --> 00:45:28,440 Speaker 3: Guess, no, effective destruction of the morale of the enemy. 894 00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:31,719 Speaker 2: I mean stuff was just yeah, yeah, yeah, it doesn't work. 895 00:45:32,719 --> 00:45:37,640 Speaker 2: We don't win Vietnam. In case you were unaware of that. Interesting, 896 00:45:38,400 --> 00:45:42,080 Speaker 2: This does not stop their ability to equip and support 897 00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,759 Speaker 2: their troops. It does not break civilian morale. It does not. 898 00:45:45,400 --> 00:45:48,560 Speaker 2: It doesn't do the trick and thiss me. 899 00:45:48,640 --> 00:45:51,840 Speaker 3: One of the main things I've learned over this epic 900 00:45:51,920 --> 00:45:55,400 Speaker 3: journey we've been on. If you had asked me, I 901 00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:57,600 Speaker 3: would have been like, well, it's probably a moral to 902 00:45:57,600 --> 00:46:00,840 Speaker 3: bomb all these enemy cities, but it probably is effective 903 00:46:01,719 --> 00:46:04,920 Speaker 3: at destroying morale. And what I have learned is that 904 00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:05,520 Speaker 3: it's not. 905 00:46:06,360 --> 00:46:10,120 Speaker 2: No, no, Well, you gotta think if like, if somebody, 906 00:46:10,680 --> 00:46:15,120 Speaker 2: for example, goes and stabs the person you love most 907 00:46:15,120 --> 00:46:17,319 Speaker 2: in the world in the gut, are you gonna like 908 00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,799 Speaker 2: walk away because you're demoralized, or are you gonna fuck 909 00:46:20,840 --> 00:46:21,560 Speaker 2: that person up? 910 00:46:21,800 --> 00:46:21,880 Speaker 4: Like? 911 00:46:21,920 --> 00:46:24,440 Speaker 2: Are you gonna do everything in your power to destroy 912 00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:25,440 Speaker 2: that person? Right? 913 00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:25,839 Speaker 4: Yeah? 914 00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:26,600 Speaker 3: Yeah. 915 00:46:26,719 --> 00:46:29,960 Speaker 2: I think people think similarly when their family is incinerated 916 00:46:29,960 --> 00:46:31,239 Speaker 2: from the sky. 917 00:46:31,360 --> 00:46:33,640 Speaker 3: Yeah. 918 00:46:33,880 --> 00:46:36,040 Speaker 2: But this the fact that this fails and the fact 919 00:46:36,040 --> 00:46:39,840 Speaker 2: that LeMay's plans kind of fail a lot brings me 920 00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,120 Speaker 2: to a key point about LeMay and all the dou 921 00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,560 Speaker 2: Hay acolytes who came to run our air power during 922 00:46:44,560 --> 00:46:45,959 Speaker 2: this time. These guys. 923 00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:48,120 Speaker 3: Surrealist Manray is also one of these people. 924 00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:54,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, these guys loved nukes because nukes were the only 925 00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:57,440 Speaker 2: weapon system that worked the way they thought all weapons 926 00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,160 Speaker 2: should work. So they always insisted on using nukes at 927 00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:04,520 Speaker 2: every corner, and when they were denied, they didn't know 928 00:47:04,560 --> 00:47:07,160 Speaker 2: how to fight a modern war well, because they only 929 00:47:07,200 --> 00:47:09,520 Speaker 2: have the one strategy and it only works if you 930 00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:11,839 Speaker 2: use nukes. So when the president says no, you can't 931 00:47:11,920 --> 00:47:13,880 Speaker 2: nuke them, then they're left leg Well, I guess we 932 00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:16,399 Speaker 2: try to use conventional bombs and it just doesn't do it. 933 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:20,760 Speaker 2: But they don't. None of these people are actually capable 934 00:47:20,760 --> 00:47:24,000 Speaker 2: of adapting and looking their failure in the face because 935 00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:27,440 Speaker 2: they've based everything on this being how war works. And 936 00:47:27,440 --> 00:47:31,000 Speaker 2: because unless you're killing everyone, right, yes, yeah, because they're 937 00:47:31,000 --> 00:47:34,880 Speaker 2: twelve year old boys. Yeah, now, fuck, I'm ending this 938 00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,959 Speaker 2: story in the mid sixties, right, which there's a lot 939 00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:41,200 Speaker 2: more to talk about in terms of nukes and shit. Obviously, 940 00:47:41,239 --> 00:47:43,719 Speaker 2: after this point. But I'm ending here because kind of 941 00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,680 Speaker 2: by the point we're at in the story, right, Vietnam, 942 00:47:47,000 --> 00:47:52,400 Speaker 2: the tale of how our nuclear arsenal functions changes, but 943 00:47:52,600 --> 00:47:57,279 Speaker 2: not like in earth shattering ways. Right, everything gets kind 944 00:47:57,280 --> 00:47:59,960 Speaker 2: of better. Our early warning systems get better, are missile 945 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:03,799 Speaker 2: get more destructive and reliable. Nuclear submarines are by this 946 00:48:03,840 --> 00:48:05,719 Speaker 2: point a part of the determent. We're not talking about 947 00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:07,560 Speaker 2: that all that much, but that's a major part of 948 00:48:07,560 --> 00:48:11,080 Speaker 2: the deterrent package, right, because a nuclear submarine absolutely cannot 949 00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:14,279 Speaker 2: be found, right, It's basically impossible. Like, if you have 950 00:48:14,400 --> 00:48:17,359 Speaker 2: nuclear submarines, you always have nukes out there that you 951 00:48:17,400 --> 00:48:20,000 Speaker 2: can throw back at whoever fucks with you, So it's 952 00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:21,680 Speaker 2: a guarantee that you'll be able to get some sort 953 00:48:21,680 --> 00:48:25,040 Speaker 2: of second strike. Nuclear submarines are fucking terrifying. They're the 954 00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:28,160 Speaker 2: scariest weapons human beings have ever made and probably ever 955 00:48:28,200 --> 00:48:31,239 Speaker 2: will make. Right, Like it is just death tubes. They're 956 00:48:31,280 --> 00:48:34,440 Speaker 2: fucking nightmares. I had a friend, Yeah, I have a 957 00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:39,759 Speaker 2: friend who went to Annapolis that's the Naval Academy, and 958 00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:44,400 Speaker 2: was a nuclear submarine pilot during the eighties. There's a 959 00:48:44,440 --> 00:48:47,279 Speaker 2: book called blind Man's Bluff that's about like all the 960 00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:49,400 Speaker 2: stuff that he used to do, and all of his 961 00:48:49,600 --> 00:48:53,080 Speaker 2: like stories are because what US and Soviet subs were 962 00:48:53,080 --> 00:48:55,160 Speaker 2: doing in this period of time was like d basically 963 00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:57,400 Speaker 2: one would try to like plain chicken, trying to force 964 00:48:57,440 --> 00:49:00,719 Speaker 2: the other to surface, right, so, you know, because it 965 00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:03,360 Speaker 2: was like that was kind of part of the game 966 00:49:03,440 --> 00:49:05,759 Speaker 2: that we were playing in the high seas, and so 967 00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,000 Speaker 2: he has all these stories of just like he and 968 00:49:08,040 --> 00:49:11,080 Speaker 2: a couple of his friends are standing and I guess 969 00:49:11,080 --> 00:49:13,839 Speaker 2: the bridge or whatever, doing a bunch of complicated math 970 00:49:13,880 --> 00:49:15,760 Speaker 2: in their heads, and if they fuck up the math, 971 00:49:15,960 --> 00:49:18,320 Speaker 2: everyone dies because they crash into something. 972 00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:18,560 Speaker 3: Right. 973 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:23,280 Speaker 2: Like, It's like those kind of stories like sub nuclear 974 00:49:23,320 --> 00:49:25,960 Speaker 2: subs are fucking taro. But you know, once we get 975 00:49:26,080 --> 00:49:28,960 Speaker 2: nuclear subs, that's we have all three kind of arms 976 00:49:29,080 --> 00:49:32,400 Speaker 2: of our nuclear like posture. We have our ICBMs, we 977 00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,200 Speaker 2: have nuclear subs, we have our bombers. Right obviously we 978 00:49:35,239 --> 00:49:37,799 Speaker 2: also have like field artillery and you know, nukes and 979 00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:40,920 Speaker 2: stuff that the army can use. But nothing that happens 980 00:49:40,960 --> 00:49:44,439 Speaker 2: after this point seriously alters the fundamental calculus up until 981 00:49:44,480 --> 00:49:47,400 Speaker 2: something that's kind of more recent, and that fundamental calculus 982 00:49:47,480 --> 00:49:50,480 Speaker 2: is we and the Russians and other people China now 983 00:49:50,520 --> 00:49:53,319 Speaker 2: as well. Right, obviously, more people have nukes, but all 984 00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:56,239 Speaker 2: of the nuclear powers have a bunch of nukes ready 985 00:49:56,239 --> 00:49:59,200 Speaker 2: to fire at a moment's notice, and in both the 986 00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:02,160 Speaker 2: US and Russia, only the president gets to decide when 987 00:50:02,200 --> 00:50:06,520 Speaker 2: we use them, right, Right, That's the way it is 988 00:50:07,080 --> 00:50:09,720 Speaker 2: starting in the sixties, and that's the way it is today, 989 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:11,960 Speaker 2: right Obviously, Like I'm not gonna talk a lot about 990 00:50:12,000 --> 00:50:14,880 Speaker 2: hypersonic missiles. That's kind of the biggest recent change that 991 00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:18,400 Speaker 2: might seriously alter a lot of calculus because it allows 992 00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,319 Speaker 2: a strike that potentially might not get spotted at all, 993 00:50:21,480 --> 00:50:24,640 Speaker 2: and so maybe there's no warning, which is why I 994 00:50:24,680 --> 00:50:26,839 Speaker 2: read a really fucked up war on the Rocks article. 995 00:50:26,920 --> 00:50:31,760 Speaker 2: There's basically arguing for like an automated AI like second 996 00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:34,560 Speaker 2: strike system because of the fact that, well maybe they 997 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:36,040 Speaker 2: are able to if they blow up the president, no 998 00:50:36,080 --> 00:50:37,120 Speaker 2: one can launch the nukes back. 999 00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,880 Speaker 3: Right, So, no one's watched the movie war Games, That's 1000 00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:40,319 Speaker 3: what I'm meaning. 1001 00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:43,200 Speaker 2: No one has ever watched the movie war Actually, the 1002 00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:46,160 Speaker 2: actually wargames. Literally one of the generals they quote references 1003 00:50:46,200 --> 00:50:49,200 Speaker 2: Wargames in order to say that we don't have a 1004 00:50:49,239 --> 00:50:51,280 Speaker 2: machine that does that right now, like this is so 1005 00:50:51,560 --> 00:50:53,200 Speaker 2: they were arguing that we need to do it. 1006 00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:54,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, oh my god. 1007 00:50:55,360 --> 00:50:57,880 Speaker 2: And this is part of one of the one of 1008 00:50:57,960 --> 00:51:00,959 Speaker 2: the things that that that I have worry about, because 1009 00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:03,759 Speaker 2: I don't really think it's an immediate worry that they're 1010 00:51:03,760 --> 00:51:07,080 Speaker 2: going to like give AI the ability to launch nukes 1011 00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:10,439 Speaker 2: or do that. That's not my immediate worry. But they're 1012 00:51:10,480 --> 00:51:14,720 Speaker 2: already integrating different machine learning tools into like the radar 1013 00:51:14,960 --> 00:51:18,560 Speaker 2: systems in our early warning systems. That's the worry is 1014 00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:21,880 Speaker 2: that people are being advised by these by machines that 1015 00:51:22,640 --> 00:51:27,800 Speaker 2: like them, that like the minute Man, will have unanticipated 1016 00:51:27,840 --> 00:51:31,359 Speaker 2: flaws that the arrogant pieces of shit who designed these 1017 00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:35,319 Speaker 2: weapons refuse to consider because they cannot accept the fact 1018 00:51:35,360 --> 00:51:37,759 Speaker 2: that maybe they didn't think of everything, and they will 1019 00:51:37,800 --> 00:51:40,279 Speaker 2: fuck up and miss stuff and it could cause it 1020 00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,680 Speaker 2: could cause the end of the world. Right, That's what 1021 00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:46,080 Speaker 2: scares me more than like a death computer, right. 1022 00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:50,960 Speaker 3: Which any hacker or wanna be hackers you would immediately 1023 00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:53,880 Speaker 3: be like, oh, you can't build systems that don't have flaws. 1024 00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:55,520 Speaker 3: That doesn't happen. 1025 00:51:56,000 --> 00:51:58,680 Speaker 2: No, No, That's why up until very recently this was 1026 00:51:58,719 --> 00:52:01,680 Speaker 2: all being done onlike the big nineteen eighties floppy discs 1027 00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:04,400 Speaker 2: and everything's fucking air gapped. Is like, you want this 1028 00:52:04,520 --> 00:52:11,160 Speaker 2: shit simple and reliable as possible. Yeah. Anyway, well now 1029 00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:14,200 Speaker 2: it's all bluetooth. So now's yeah exactly. Well, that's the 1030 00:52:14,200 --> 00:52:17,000 Speaker 2: most reliable thing in electronics is bluetooth. Everyone who has 1031 00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:20,040 Speaker 2: a headset knows that. So it's important everyone know that 1032 00:52:20,320 --> 00:52:24,000 Speaker 2: our launch policy from nineteen sixty four to today remains 1033 00:52:24,200 --> 00:52:27,839 Speaker 2: launch on warn. Now, the USSR, to be fair to them, 1034 00:52:28,360 --> 00:52:31,879 Speaker 2: officially rejected a launch on warn policy. There are grave 1035 00:52:31,920 --> 00:52:33,799 Speaker 2: doubts as to whether or not that was the real 1036 00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:36,480 Speaker 2: policy or propaganda. Right, A lot of people say they 1037 00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:39,640 Speaker 2: were definitely launch on warn too. I think that's probably right. 1038 00:52:39,960 --> 00:52:42,560 Speaker 2: I think both the US and Russia more or less 1039 00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:44,680 Speaker 2: would have fired if they felt like they had a 1040 00:52:44,680 --> 00:52:47,320 Speaker 2: credible warning that the other was firing. Right, Well, I 1041 00:52:47,360 --> 00:52:48,279 Speaker 2: don't think either of US. 1042 00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:51,960 Speaker 3: Russia needs us to believe they're launch on warn, even 1043 00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:53,880 Speaker 3: if they're saying something else. They have to say it 1044 00:52:53,920 --> 00:52:56,360 Speaker 3: in a way where they're like, oh, don't worry, we 1045 00:52:56,400 --> 00:52:59,160 Speaker 3: would totally not launch on warn, but scare people to 1046 00:52:59,239 --> 00:52:59,880 Speaker 3: thinking they would. 1047 00:53:00,400 --> 00:53:03,399 Speaker 2: Well, and now since Putin's taken and this is really interest. 1048 00:53:03,440 --> 00:53:05,040 Speaker 2: In the last few years, Putin has made it very 1049 00:53:05,080 --> 00:53:07,399 Speaker 2: clear that the Russian Federation is now launch on warn 1050 00:53:07,400 --> 00:53:09,399 Speaker 2: as well, right, So they are just straight up saying 1051 00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:12,120 Speaker 2: like everyone is now launch on warn, the US and Russia, 1052 00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:14,680 Speaker 2: and that's all that really matters. China's got some nukes. 1053 00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,040 Speaker 2: I don't know as much about their system, but they 1054 00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:19,160 Speaker 2: don't have near like both. The all it takes is 1055 00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:23,799 Speaker 2: the US and Russia, right, Yeah, Like, you know, it's 1056 00:53:23,800 --> 00:53:26,840 Speaker 2: worth being concerned about North Korea obviously, because one missile 1057 00:53:27,239 --> 00:53:29,960 Speaker 2: opens the possibility that all of the missiles start flying, right, 1058 00:53:30,000 --> 00:53:32,839 Speaker 2: because of the kind of cascading decision trees people will make. 1059 00:53:33,840 --> 00:53:36,880 Speaker 2: But the US and Russia are by far the most 1060 00:53:36,920 --> 00:53:41,520 Speaker 2: heavily armed right now. I know there's a tendency among 1061 00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:43,759 Speaker 2: folks on our side of the political aisle to say, 1062 00:53:43,800 --> 00:53:46,560 Speaker 2: oh my god, isn't it terrifying that Donald Trump has 1063 00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:48,200 Speaker 2: the fucking nuclear football? 1064 00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 4: Right? 1065 00:53:49,080 --> 00:53:51,600 Speaker 2: And I'm gonna say something controversial here, which is, I 1066 00:53:51,600 --> 00:53:53,840 Speaker 2: don't think Donald Trump is less suited to make that 1067 00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:56,799 Speaker 2: call than any other present, not because he would do 1068 00:53:56,840 --> 00:53:59,120 Speaker 2: a good job at that, but because no one can. 1069 00:53:59,320 --> 00:54:03,439 Speaker 2: Everyone is bad at this. Nobody is competent to make 1070 00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:08,000 Speaker 2: that call, and it's a dangerous mistake to believe that, well, well, 1071 00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:10,960 Speaker 2: Obama's would have been a good guy to have in 1072 00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:13,640 Speaker 2: the seat or Biden wou No, they're all bad at this, 1073 00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:16,200 Speaker 2: They would all have been terrible. No one will do 1074 00:54:16,239 --> 00:54:18,320 Speaker 2: a good job if they are put in that situation. 1075 00:54:18,920 --> 00:54:22,239 Speaker 2: In her chilling book Nuclear War, Annie Jacobson makes one 1076 00:54:22,400 --> 00:54:26,200 Speaker 2: very important point. Several times. She quotes John Wolfstal, the 1077 00:54:26,239 --> 00:54:29,719 Speaker 2: former national security advisor to President Obama, who said, no one, 1078 00:54:30,080 --> 00:54:32,719 Speaker 2: not even the president, has complete knowledge of what is 1079 00:54:32,760 --> 00:54:35,160 Speaker 2: going on in a crisis or in a conflict, let 1080 00:54:35,200 --> 00:54:39,800 Speaker 2: alone a nuclear war. Former Secretary of Defense for Reagan, 1081 00:54:39,880 --> 00:54:43,520 Speaker 2: William Perry added, many presidents come into the office uninformed 1082 00:54:43,560 --> 00:54:46,440 Speaker 2: about their role in a nuclear war. Some seem not 1083 00:54:46,640 --> 00:54:49,680 Speaker 2: to want to know. This is a point made several 1084 00:54:49,680 --> 00:54:52,960 Speaker 2: times that presidents generally don't know much about this, even 1085 00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:54,759 Speaker 2: though this football is with them at all times. They 1086 00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:56,640 Speaker 2: don't like to think about it, they don't like to 1087 00:54:56,640 --> 00:54:58,840 Speaker 2: ask too many questions about it. They don't like to 1088 00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,319 Speaker 2: dwell on it. A bunch of people who were in 1089 00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,279 Speaker 2: a position to know have said similar things that like 1090 00:55:03,560 --> 00:55:06,759 Speaker 2: President's not super well informed, generally on how all this 1091 00:55:06,880 --> 00:55:10,160 Speaker 2: works because it's scary. They don't like to think about it. 1092 00:55:11,000 --> 00:55:13,120 Speaker 3: I don't like to think about it like this knells 1093 00:55:13,200 --> 00:55:16,840 Speaker 3: firmly into the lake. Dude, things that you can't control, 1094 00:55:16,920 --> 00:55:21,640 Speaker 3: you don't worry. Absolutely. If I was the president, I would. 1095 00:55:21,400 --> 00:55:25,440 Speaker 2: Think about this a lot. Yeah, yeah, yeah, I'd be 1096 00:55:25,440 --> 00:55:30,360 Speaker 2: sending those missiles straight to the Great Lakes. But yeah, yeah, yeah. 1097 00:55:30,000 --> 00:55:33,120 Speaker 3: That's why we're that's why you're running in what twenty 1098 00:55:33,200 --> 00:55:33,640 Speaker 3: thirty two? 1099 00:55:34,320 --> 00:55:37,680 Speaker 2: That's right, that's right on a takeout Lake Superior. 1100 00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,319 Speaker 3: Yeah, more like inferior. 1101 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,600 Speaker 2: That's right, that's right. We're going to get revenge for 1102 00:55:42,640 --> 00:55:47,920 Speaker 2: those brave men on the Edmund Fitzgerald know. Anyway, Jacobson 1103 00:55:48,000 --> 00:55:51,480 Speaker 2: continues talking about how unready presidents are to make these 1104 00:55:51,560 --> 00:55:54,280 Speaker 2: kind of calls. Once, at a press conference in nineteen 1105 00:55:54,320 --> 00:55:57,040 Speaker 2: eighty two, President Reagan went so far as to incorrectly 1106 00:55:57,040 --> 00:56:00,680 Speaker 2: tell the public that submarine ballistic missiles are recalling. That's 1107 00:56:00,719 --> 00:56:03,719 Speaker 2: why that myth exists. After the Berlin Wall came down 1108 00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:06,319 Speaker 2: and the Soviet Union was dissolved, William Perry found in 1109 00:56:06,360 --> 00:56:09,560 Speaker 2: his experience as Secretary of Defense that many people clung 1110 00:56:09,600 --> 00:56:12,000 Speaker 2: to the idea that nuclear war was no longer a threat, 1111 00:56:12,160 --> 00:56:14,640 Speaker 2: when in fact he now says nothing could be further 1112 00:56:14,680 --> 00:56:18,280 Speaker 2: from the truth. In a nuclear war, confusion over protocol 1113 00:56:18,320 --> 00:56:21,760 Speaker 2: and speed of action will have unintended consequences beyond anyone's grasp. 1114 00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,080 Speaker 2: It will send the United States of America into the 1115 00:56:24,120 --> 00:56:26,919 Speaker 2: heart of darkness that defense official John Rubel warned about 1116 00:56:26,920 --> 00:56:30,600 Speaker 2: in nineteen sixty, into what he called a twilight underworld 1117 00:56:30,640 --> 00:56:34,919 Speaker 2: governed by disciplined, meticulous, and energetically mindless group think aimed 1118 00:56:34,960 --> 00:56:37,279 Speaker 2: at wiping out half the people living on nearly one 1119 00:56:37,320 --> 00:56:38,480 Speaker 2: third of the Earth's surface. 1120 00:56:40,719 --> 00:56:42,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, yep. 1121 00:56:42,840 --> 00:56:45,640 Speaker 2: The fundamental issue here in terms of his Trump any 1122 00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:49,279 Speaker 2: worse than anyone else on this specific issue. Theoretically, the 1123 00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:51,200 Speaker 2: president is only going to be asked to make a 1124 00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:54,000 Speaker 2: call on whether or not to launch our missiles if 1125 00:56:54,080 --> 00:56:56,360 Speaker 2: one or more are known to have been launched towards 1126 00:56:56,400 --> 00:56:59,120 Speaker 2: the US or an ally. Because of the way all 1127 00:56:59,160 --> 00:57:02,480 Speaker 2: of these weapons systems work, this means that the hypothetical 1128 00:57:02,520 --> 00:57:05,920 Speaker 2: president in this scenario is going about his day doing 1129 00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:09,600 Speaker 2: something else and is grabbed and taken bodily like the 1130 00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:13,040 Speaker 2: Secret Service. Like response teams job is to literally physically 1131 00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:15,960 Speaker 2: haul him like carry him into the bunker and then 1132 00:57:16,000 --> 00:57:18,600 Speaker 2: into like a chopper to get to a more secure locations. 1133 00:57:18,640 --> 00:57:21,360 Speaker 2: The White House bunker isn't really all that safe, but 1134 00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:23,560 Speaker 2: he will be grabbed in the middle of his day, 1135 00:57:24,080 --> 00:57:28,080 Speaker 2: taken into a situation room, and told that the entirety 1136 00:57:28,080 --> 00:57:31,000 Speaker 2: of Washington, DC is about to die in flames, including 1137 00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:34,600 Speaker 2: nearly every member of his administration in the most likely scenarios. 1138 00:57:34,720 --> 00:57:36,640 Speaker 2: He will then be told that he has between three 1139 00:57:36,760 --> 00:57:39,880 Speaker 2: and six minutes to decide to launch a world killing 1140 00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:44,560 Speaker 2: salvo of in most situations, hundreds to one thousand nuclear warheads. 1141 00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:48,520 Speaker 2: The entire time that he struggles with this decision, military advisors, 1142 00:57:48,520 --> 00:57:51,200 Speaker 2: who his entire job is to think about how important 1143 00:57:51,240 --> 00:57:53,960 Speaker 2: it is that we strike back before being decapitated, will 1144 00:57:53,960 --> 00:57:57,760 Speaker 2: shout for him to launch everything that we've got. No 1145 00:57:57,800 --> 00:58:03,400 Speaker 2: one is qualified for that job. Yeah, the only president 1146 00:58:03,480 --> 00:58:06,120 Speaker 2: we've ever had who could be argued to have stood 1147 00:58:06,160 --> 00:58:08,800 Speaker 2: up to this kind of pressure was JFK. Right, and 1148 00:58:08,920 --> 00:58:12,120 Speaker 2: JFK was a combat veteran, had been in some scary 1149 00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:15,240 Speaker 2: situations before, and thank fucking god he was the guy 1150 00:58:15,280 --> 00:58:17,240 Speaker 2: on the ground at that point in time, because it 1151 00:58:17,240 --> 00:58:19,120 Speaker 2: could have been a lot worse than it was. The 1152 00:58:19,160 --> 00:58:21,560 Speaker 2: Cuban missile crisis of a bunch of others. Shit, I 1153 00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:24,479 Speaker 2: don't have any real faith that Obama or Biden would 1154 00:58:24,480 --> 00:58:27,360 Speaker 2: have performed much better than Trump in this nightmare scenario. 1155 00:58:27,840 --> 00:58:30,280 Speaker 2: As John Ruble wrote in two thousand and eight, we 1156 00:58:30,400 --> 00:58:33,360 Speaker 2: know that this mentality, given half a chance, will surface 1157 00:58:33,360 --> 00:58:36,320 Speaker 2: in military and government councils. We know from recent history 1158 00:58:36,320 --> 00:58:39,680 Speaker 2: that a compliant bureaucracy, military and civilian will murder six 1159 00:58:39,720 --> 00:58:42,760 Speaker 2: million people in cold blood, or plan by design, build 1160 00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:44,880 Speaker 2: and deploy the means to murder half of the people 1161 00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:48,680 Speaker 2: on earth, probably including themselves. How come is all this 1162 00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:52,040 Speaker 2: built into the human genome? A melancholy procession from stones 1163 00:58:52,080 --> 00:58:55,160 Speaker 2: to atoms, a predestined progress toward the end times, the 1164 00:58:55,200 --> 00:59:00,560 Speaker 2: inevitable rise of maligned leaders over compliant masses. Anyway, thanks 1165 00:59:00,600 --> 00:59:01,680 Speaker 2: for listening to my podcasts. 1166 00:59:02,440 --> 00:59:04,520 Speaker 4: Yeah, wow what a wait end? 1167 00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:08,000 Speaker 3: Yeah? Like, what did you do today? 1168 00:59:08,040 --> 00:59:08,200 Speaker 1: Oh? 1169 00:59:08,280 --> 00:59:10,280 Speaker 3: I get My job is that I have to make 1170 00:59:10,360 --> 00:59:13,200 Speaker 3: jokes during the as I get described the mechanism by 1171 00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:14,120 Speaker 3: which the world will end. 1172 00:59:14,760 --> 00:59:19,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, cool stuff, legit, I don't know. Probably should be 1173 00:59:19,640 --> 00:59:24,120 Speaker 2: something people are like asking presidents to change. We could 1174 00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:26,800 Speaker 2: change this. It doesn't have to be this way. It 1175 00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:30,760 Speaker 2: doesn't have to be this dangerous, Like, there are other 1176 00:59:30,840 --> 00:59:33,360 Speaker 2: ways this could all be designed to where we're not 1177 00:59:34,120 --> 00:59:37,920 Speaker 2: permanently fifteen minutes or less away from annihilation, you know, 1178 00:59:38,240 --> 00:59:42,040 Speaker 2: and if we step back, probably the Russians do at 1179 00:59:42,120 --> 00:59:43,720 Speaker 2: least a little bit. You know. I don't have a 1180 00:59:43,760 --> 00:59:45,360 Speaker 2: lot of faith in Buden, but I don't think he 1181 00:59:45,400 --> 00:59:47,360 Speaker 2: wants to die in nuclear. 1182 00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:49,800 Speaker 3: Hell fire either, and most people don't. 1183 00:59:50,120 --> 00:59:55,760 Speaker 2: I think most people don't. Uh. Anyway, maybe this should 1184 00:59:55,800 --> 00:59:58,400 Speaker 2: be like a voting issue that people talk about, right, 1185 00:59:58,480 --> 01:00:01,520 Speaker 2: Like it's you know, climate change obviously very important, and 1186 01:00:01,640 --> 01:00:03,720 Speaker 2: people it needs to be much more of an issue. 1187 01:00:03,880 --> 01:00:06,600 Speaker 2: But this is up there, This is an equivalent problem, 1188 01:00:06,800 --> 01:00:11,360 Speaker 2: right because this is potentially a much more thorough destruction 1189 01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:13,120 Speaker 2: of the biosphere that climate. 1190 01:00:12,880 --> 01:00:14,920 Speaker 3: Change will bring even quicker. 1191 01:00:15,400 --> 01:00:17,480 Speaker 2: We should probably care about this a lot. 1192 01:00:18,560 --> 01:00:27,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, anyway, what a good system we all have. Yeah, 1193 01:00:28,040 --> 01:00:31,880 Speaker 1: it's pretty nuts. I actually recommend all the books that 1194 01:00:31,920 --> 01:00:37,640 Speaker 1: I read for this, Annie Jacobson's Nuclear War A Scenario. Again, 1195 01:00:37,680 --> 01:00:39,720 Speaker 1: I don't entirely agree with kind of some of her 1196 01:00:40,120 --> 01:00:44,040 Speaker 1: panic about North Korea, but it's a pretty good book 1197 01:00:44,080 --> 01:00:46,240 Speaker 1: on the whole about the way the system works today. 1198 01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:49,320 Speaker 1: The book Fifteen Minutes is a really good look at 1199 01:00:49,520 --> 01:00:51,840 Speaker 1: like basically how we got to the point where we're 1200 01:00:51,840 --> 01:00:54,360 Speaker 1: fifteen minutes away from annihilation at all times. And then 1201 01:00:54,360 --> 01:00:57,240 Speaker 1: Command and Control, among other things, talks about a bunch 1202 01:00:57,240 --> 01:00:59,400 Speaker 1: of the different like fuck ups and errors that have 1203 01:00:59,440 --> 01:01:02,160 Speaker 1: happened along the way. They're all good books. 1204 01:01:03,680 --> 01:01:06,920 Speaker 3: I h the movie house a dynamite that just came 1205 01:01:06,960 --> 01:01:09,800 Speaker 3: out recently. It's the one that the way specifically the 1206 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:13,880 Speaker 3: drama is just around. It's around the nuclear football, it's 1207 01:01:13,920 --> 01:01:16,920 Speaker 3: around the chain of command. This relates to it and 1208 01:01:16,960 --> 01:01:19,400 Speaker 3: the current one. And it's what started me, like a 1209 01:01:19,400 --> 01:01:22,240 Speaker 3: couple weeks before this started thinking about being like, oh, 1210 01:01:22,280 --> 01:01:25,760 Speaker 3: this isn't as like I sort of thought. I was like, oh, 1211 01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:27,920 Speaker 3: we probably have like decent intercept systems if it's just 1212 01:01:27,960 --> 01:01:32,200 Speaker 3: like one missile, right, you know, you're like, uh. 1213 01:01:31,600 --> 01:01:34,360 Speaker 2: If it's just one maybe, But again, we don't have 1214 01:01:34,480 --> 01:01:38,280 Speaker 2: decent intercept systems. None of these work nearly as well 1215 01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:40,880 Speaker 2: as they're supposed to, and there are some similar problems 1216 01:01:40,880 --> 01:01:43,560 Speaker 2: with at least some of the different early warning systems. 1217 01:01:43,600 --> 01:01:45,400 Speaker 2: It's been this is really a problem for the Russians 1218 01:01:45,400 --> 01:01:47,120 Speaker 2: because the Russians like one of the problems with the 1219 01:01:47,160 --> 01:01:49,880 Speaker 2: Russian system is that it's not smart enough to know 1220 01:01:50,080 --> 01:01:52,560 Speaker 2: because each of the missiles that we would be firing 1221 01:01:52,960 --> 01:01:54,880 Speaker 2: launches a bunch of chafe, right, So you have the 1222 01:01:54,880 --> 01:01:58,320 Speaker 2: actual warheads and ICBMs now often have multiple warheads, right 1223 01:01:58,320 --> 01:02:02,200 Speaker 2: that it's called an mirv I think, and basically what 1224 01:02:02,240 --> 01:02:04,200 Speaker 2: you can do, and this is particularly a case with 1225 01:02:04,240 --> 01:02:06,800 Speaker 2: like a lot of the sub mounted missiles too, is 1226 01:02:06,960 --> 01:02:09,640 Speaker 2: you launch one missile, but then it splits into like 1227 01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:13,320 Speaker 2: multiple warheads, each of which is targeted at a different area. Right, 1228 01:02:14,280 --> 01:02:16,440 Speaker 2: But also all of these missiles have what's called chaff, 1229 01:02:16,480 --> 01:02:21,040 Speaker 2: which is basically like like little strips of aluminum that 1230 01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:26,640 Speaker 2: come out with like the warhead in order to confuse 1231 01:02:27,240 --> 01:02:31,160 Speaker 2: like its system right right, right, yeah, yeah, yeah exactly, 1232 01:02:31,200 --> 01:02:34,320 Speaker 2: so that like it can protect the missile basically, but 1233 01:02:35,000 --> 01:02:37,560 Speaker 2: one of the main Russian systems can't tell the difference 1234 01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:41,000 Speaker 2: between that chaff and a shitload of additional missiles. So, 1235 01:02:41,080 --> 01:02:44,720 Speaker 2: like say there was a situation where North Korea launched 1236 01:02:44,760 --> 01:02:48,720 Speaker 2: an ICBM at somebody, and we launch a decapitation strike 1237 01:02:48,760 --> 01:02:50,880 Speaker 2: at North Korea or a strike at their nuclear facilities. 1238 01:02:50,880 --> 01:02:53,160 Speaker 2: That's a limited strike. We're just firing a couple of missiles. 1239 01:02:53,760 --> 01:02:56,480 Speaker 2: It might look because of where North Korea is, Russia 1240 01:02:56,560 --> 01:02:58,880 Speaker 2: and China might both think, oh shit, the Americans are 1241 01:02:58,920 --> 01:03:01,400 Speaker 2: launching hundreds of missiles and they could be coming for us. 1242 01:03:01,440 --> 01:03:04,320 Speaker 2: We don't know where they're targeted. And if the President 1243 01:03:04,400 --> 01:03:08,080 Speaker 2: hasn't gotten through to both of those leaders to inform them, 1244 01:03:08,080 --> 01:03:09,720 Speaker 2: and if or if they don't trust the president, right, 1245 01:03:09,840 --> 01:03:11,160 Speaker 2: who knows what's going to happen. 1246 01:03:11,880 --> 01:03:13,760 Speaker 3: I hate to say that HG. Wells is right because 1247 01:03:13,760 --> 01:03:17,000 Speaker 3: I don't actually believe in one world government, kind of 1248 01:03:17,000 --> 01:03:20,680 Speaker 3: famously with my political position, but this idea that like, 1249 01:03:21,200 --> 01:03:24,120 Speaker 3: the only way out of this, besides everyone de escalating, 1250 01:03:25,320 --> 01:03:29,600 Speaker 3: is better diplomacy and everyone talking to each other, and like, yeah, 1251 01:03:29,600 --> 01:03:33,360 Speaker 3: I'm moving away from nationalism, moving away from guarding your 1252 01:03:33,440 --> 01:03:37,840 Speaker 3: borders zealously, and moving well, I think the solution of 1253 01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:39,720 Speaker 3: most problems is to get rid of national borders. But 1254 01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:43,680 Speaker 3: I'm you know whatever, Yeah, I'm I'm so glad I'm 1255 01:03:43,680 --> 01:03:44,880 Speaker 3: not in charge of trying to figure out how to 1256 01:03:44,880 --> 01:03:46,920 Speaker 3: solve this. That's the main takeaway that I have. 1257 01:03:47,840 --> 01:03:52,560 Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a couple of things we could do. Jacobsen 1258 01:03:52,560 --> 01:03:54,040 Speaker 2: talks about this, like one of the things that we 1259 01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:56,840 Speaker 2: don't do, but ought to because it's so hard to 1260 01:03:57,280 --> 01:04:01,240 Speaker 2: basically impossible almost to stop an ICBM reliably once it 1261 01:04:01,320 --> 01:04:04,920 Speaker 2: gets above a certain level, like once it gets and 1262 01:04:05,480 --> 01:04:07,840 Speaker 2: in terms of like there's no real way to like 1263 01:04:08,040 --> 01:04:10,920 Speaker 2: protect against the mass of ICBMs that Russia could launch, 1264 01:04:11,240 --> 01:04:13,240 Speaker 2: but North Korea doesn't have all that many. And if 1265 01:04:13,240 --> 01:04:16,200 Speaker 2: we were to keep like a bunch of predator drones 1266 01:04:16,560 --> 01:04:19,800 Speaker 2: in the area, we could theoretically have a quick reaction 1267 01:04:19,960 --> 01:04:22,280 Speaker 2: for US that could intercept an ICBM before it could 1268 01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:23,760 Speaker 2: get to the point of no return where you have 1269 01:04:23,840 --> 01:04:26,320 Speaker 2: no ability to shoot it down. But we just decided 1270 01:04:26,360 --> 01:04:28,120 Speaker 2: not to do that. Like that got theorized and it 1271 01:04:28,160 --> 01:04:29,720 Speaker 2: was like, I think it was too expensive. It's the 1272 01:04:29,760 --> 01:04:31,800 Speaker 2: same thing with like, well, we could have fad batteries 1273 01:04:31,840 --> 01:04:34,440 Speaker 2: to protect certain things that might be like that nuclear 1274 01:04:34,480 --> 01:04:36,360 Speaker 2: plant that might be a target, but we're not. We're 1275 01:04:36,400 --> 01:04:38,640 Speaker 2: just going to keep them, you know, protecting Israel. We're 1276 01:04:38,640 --> 01:04:41,479 Speaker 2: not going to have them, you know, in the US 1277 01:04:41,600 --> 01:04:44,200 Speaker 2: or whatever. For the most part, I mean obvious we 1278 01:04:44,200 --> 01:04:46,520 Speaker 2: have a lot of those in Ukraine, and there's good 1279 01:04:46,560 --> 01:04:50,200 Speaker 2: reason for that, but we don't devote It's both a 1280 01:04:50,240 --> 01:04:53,520 Speaker 2: mix of none of it really works all that well. 1281 01:04:53,560 --> 01:04:58,400 Speaker 2: None of our missile interception stuff is perfect. The fad 1282 01:04:58,680 --> 01:05:00,200 Speaker 2: is about as good as it gets, but it it's 1283 01:05:00,200 --> 01:05:02,800 Speaker 2: not good for everything. Like it could be useful against 1284 01:05:02,880 --> 01:05:04,680 Speaker 2: like some of those sub based missiles, but I don't 1285 01:05:04,680 --> 01:05:08,040 Speaker 2: think like it can take out ICBMs, certainly not or 1286 01:05:08,200 --> 01:05:10,720 Speaker 2: certainly not a hypersonic. I don't think anything can take 1287 01:05:10,760 --> 01:05:13,080 Speaker 2: out a hypersonic if it actually works the way they're 1288 01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:18,520 Speaker 2: supposed to. There's just not really reliable ways to stop 1289 01:05:19,480 --> 01:05:22,000 Speaker 2: a massive nuclear attack. If you get shot at by 1290 01:05:22,040 --> 01:05:24,439 Speaker 2: one missile, you might be able to do something right. 1291 01:05:24,920 --> 01:05:26,080 Speaker 2: That's kind of where we are. 1292 01:05:27,960 --> 01:05:28,400 Speaker 1: Well away. 1293 01:05:29,280 --> 01:05:32,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I love talking about it though I love me 1294 01:05:32,160 --> 01:05:32,640 Speaker 2: some nukes. 1295 01:05:33,880 --> 01:05:35,400 Speaker 3: The ideas of all the things that I want to 1296 01:05:35,400 --> 01:05:36,840 Speaker 3: write fiction about is related to it. 1297 01:05:36,960 --> 01:05:40,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Folks, get out there to go 1298 01:05:40,320 --> 01:05:43,480 Speaker 2: to the Wassaw Sound, you know, look around, hike around, 1299 01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:45,880 Speaker 2: get your metal detectors out. There's a couple of nukes 1300 01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:48,160 Speaker 2: just waiting for a new home. 1301 01:05:47,960 --> 01:05:48,920 Speaker 3: Out you know. 1302 01:05:50,680 --> 01:05:51,440 Speaker 2: Nuclear power. 1303 01:05:52,600 --> 01:05:55,720 Speaker 3: Uh yeah, take care of each other and tell your 1304 01:05:55,760 --> 01:05:57,919 Speaker 3: friends you love them, but not in a way where 1305 01:05:57,960 --> 01:06:00,680 Speaker 3: you don't get completely lost thinking about this stuff all 1306 01:06:00,720 --> 01:06:04,600 Speaker 3: the time. And also podcasts cool people who did cool stuff, 1307 01:06:04,640 --> 01:06:07,160 Speaker 3: which is the opposite of this, but. 1308 01:06:08,040 --> 01:06:14,640 Speaker 2: You know, yeah, yeah, sweet, all right, everybody go away. 1309 01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:18,640 Speaker 4: Behind the Bastards is a production of cool Zone Media. 1310 01:06:18,960 --> 01:06:22,200 Speaker 4: For more from cool Zone Media, visit our website Coolzonemedia 1311 01:06:22,440 --> 01:06:25,640 Speaker 4: dot com, or check us out on the iHeartRadio app, 1312 01:06:25,720 --> 01:06:28,880 Speaker 4: Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. Behind the 1313 01:06:28,880 --> 01:06:32,960 Speaker 4: Bastards is now available on YouTube, new episodes every Wednesday 1314 01:06:33,040 --> 01:06:36,720 Speaker 4: and Friday. Subscribe to our channel YouTube dot com slash 1315 01:06:36,880 --> 01:06:39,120 Speaker 4: at Behind the Bastards