1
00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:12,920
Speaker 1: What's up, boys and girls? How are you Welcome to

2
00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:15,840
Speaker 1: the Thursday morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My

3
00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,880
Speaker 1: name is Matt Perrault. This is on Bettingpros dot com.

4
00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:22,680
Speaker 1: It's always being brought to you by bet MGM. Well

5
00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:26,000
Speaker 1: last night was fun, guys. Look, this has been a

6
00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:27,880
Speaker 1: good week, all right, And it's a lot of fun

7
00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:29,600
Speaker 1: and we're picking up a lot of momentum, a lot

8
00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:31,720
Speaker 1: of steam. We're adding a lot of new listeners, we're

9
00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,559
Speaker 1: adding a lot of new people following on Twitter and

10
00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,640
Speaker 1: being a part of some things happening with this podcast.

11
00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:41,720
Speaker 1: And look, if you're new, welcome. I highly recommend interacting

12
00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:44,400
Speaker 1: with me and whether it be on Instagram, whether it

13
00:00:44,400 --> 00:00:47,559
Speaker 1: be on Twitter, it's sports talk Matt on both. But

14
00:00:47,760 --> 00:00:49,559
Speaker 1: it's been a lot of fun, and it's been so

15
00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:52,600
Speaker 1: fun that the guys at Betting Pros we've got some

16
00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,320
Speaker 1: cool things cooking. Man, you guys are doing some really

17
00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,440
Speaker 1: good work and we really appreciate the interaction and the energy.

18
00:00:58,560 --> 00:01:02,440
Speaker 1: And this is the ninth edition of this podcast, at

19
00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,120
Speaker 1: least by my count, it's the ninety ninth edition, so

20
00:01:05,120 --> 00:01:09,280
Speaker 1: tomorrow is number one hundred, and it's been awesome. I

21
00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:13,600
Speaker 1: mean just absolutely awesome. I can't believe we're only one

22
00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:17,039
Speaker 1: hundred in, but we've done a great thing here. I

23
00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,360
Speaker 1: think it's been awesome. Dan Harris and the guys at

24
00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:23,080
Speaker 1: Betting Pros are really excited and it's all thanks to

25
00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:26,000
Speaker 1: you guys and the energy that you're providing me. And look,

26
00:01:26,000 --> 00:01:28,080
Speaker 1: we're doing well with picks this week. It's not always

27
00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:30,760
Speaker 1: gonna be like this. And the Coastal Carolina win last

28
00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,640
Speaker 1: night was beautiful. The plus two forty on the money

29
00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,920
Speaker 1: line was gorgeous. I got really nervous, and I want

30
00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:38,760
Speaker 1: to talk about a couple of things here on the podcast.

31
00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:40,760
Speaker 1: I'll give you the bet MGM offer again here in

32
00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:42,800
Speaker 1: just one second, and then the picks. It's not gonna

33
00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:44,520
Speaker 1: be as heavy as a pick day as normal because

34
00:01:44,520 --> 00:01:47,840
Speaker 1: no NFL Thursday, So unfortunately, we just have another sun

35
00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:50,400
Speaker 1: Belt game, the Fun Belt on back to back nights.

36
00:01:50,760 --> 00:01:52,920
Speaker 1: I don't think I've bet Fun Belt games in back

37
00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,680
Speaker 1: to back nights maybe ever, but we're gonna do that

38
00:01:55,720 --> 00:01:58,840
Speaker 1: coming up here tonight, because well it's that in baseball.

39
00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,760
Speaker 1: And that's about it. But two things first, somebody asked

40
00:02:02,760 --> 00:02:05,360
Speaker 1: me to talk about teasers today, so I'm gonna do that,

41
00:02:06,000 --> 00:02:09,480
Speaker 1: And secondly, I just want to say a quick thing

42
00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:13,160
Speaker 1: about Pros versus Joe's here, and this goes back to

43
00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,200
Speaker 1: if you were with us on the live stream on

44
00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:17,959
Speaker 1: Sunday morning, I think it was two weeks ago off

45
00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:21,359
Speaker 1: of YouTube, the Betting Pros YouTube channel, where I kind

46
00:02:21,400 --> 00:02:23,440
Speaker 1: of went off on a tangent a little bit about

47
00:02:23,480 --> 00:02:28,240
Speaker 1: the fact that, look, professionals win and they lose. The

48
00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:32,760
Speaker 1: public wins and they lose. It's not one or the other.

49
00:02:33,240 --> 00:02:36,480
Speaker 1: You can't just blindly bet with the public. You can't

50
00:02:36,520 --> 00:02:41,880
Speaker 1: just blindly bet with professionals. And there's a huge raging

51
00:02:42,040 --> 00:02:45,119
Speaker 1: argument going on right now with gambling Twitter about whether

52
00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,760
Speaker 1: or not we should be reporting these big bets. If

53
00:02:47,800 --> 00:02:50,280
Speaker 1: you guys read Bettingpros dot com and you read my

54
00:02:50,320 --> 00:02:53,480
Speaker 1: book report every week, so I write about all the sportsbooks,

55
00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,040
Speaker 1: all the legal sports books of America, you know big bets,

56
00:02:56,040 --> 00:02:59,440
Speaker 1: big parlays. Things are reporting things that are happening. You

57
00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:02,880
Speaker 1: know the fact that the CJ Cup, starting today, four

58
00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:06,080
Speaker 1: rounds of in game wagering odds are gonna be up

59
00:03:06,080 --> 00:03:08,560
Speaker 1: on Golf Channel today for the CJ Cup here in

60
00:03:08,639 --> 00:03:11,040
Speaker 1: Vegas with BETMGM. That's the first time it's ever happened.

61
00:03:11,080 --> 00:03:13,240
Speaker 1: So it's like, look at the future. I'll be watching

62
00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,520
Speaker 1: a lot of golf and maybe I'll probably bet golf

63
00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:17,760
Speaker 1: this weekend because I'm gonna be watching a lot of it.

64
00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:20,799
Speaker 1: Because it's history. We haven't seen this before, so we're

65
00:03:20,800 --> 00:03:23,840
Speaker 1: gonna get more and more gambling information put out there.

66
00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:26,280
Speaker 1: And so we don't know why the books are reporting

67
00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,160
Speaker 1: what they're reporting. We have no idea. So if someone

68
00:03:29,200 --> 00:03:31,800
Speaker 1: tells you that the public is all on one side

69
00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:34,560
Speaker 1: and the pros are all on another, and so you

70
00:03:34,600 --> 00:03:37,920
Speaker 1: should go with the pros. Last night, do you know

71
00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:41,240
Speaker 1: what the quote professional play was last night? It was

72
00:03:41,600 --> 00:03:44,880
Speaker 1: not coastal Okay, it was the fact that everybody and

73
00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,000
Speaker 1: their mom was on the Raging Cajuns to go ahead.

74
00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:51,080
Speaker 1: And it was seven, then seven and a half, then eight,

75
00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,200
Speaker 1: then eight and a half, then nine, then nine and

76
00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:55,480
Speaker 1: a half. You guys were dming me, going, Matt, it's

77
00:03:55,560 --> 00:03:57,760
Speaker 1: nine and a half? Should I take it? And I

78
00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:00,720
Speaker 1: was like, yeah, I mean it's a heard me. I'm

79
00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:03,600
Speaker 1: not gonna lie. I got nervous. I was like, uh,

80
00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,120
Speaker 1: what am I missing? Because I was on the money

81
00:04:06,160 --> 00:04:08,600
Speaker 1: line and I did a lot of homework and I

82
00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,480
Speaker 1: broke it down. I looked at the numbers, and I

83
00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,640
Speaker 1: looked at the quarterback play and look at the defenses,

84
00:04:12,680 --> 00:04:14,520
Speaker 1: and look at the stats, looked at who they played.

85
00:04:14,560 --> 00:04:16,640
Speaker 1: I mean, I went through it. I did my homework,

86
00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,320
Speaker 1: and I thought this should be a three point line,

87
00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,520
Speaker 1: not a seven point line. Sure was held on a

88
00:04:21,640 --> 00:04:23,640
Speaker 1: nine and a half point line. I was like, shoot,

89
00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:26,039
Speaker 1: take the money line, flyer, let's just see what happens.

90
00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:29,600
Speaker 1: And what happened. The game was won by three points

91
00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,560
Speaker 1: by Coastal. I said it was gonna be a coin

92
00:04:32,560 --> 00:04:34,000
Speaker 1: flip one way or the others. It's go ahead to

93
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,400
Speaker 1: take the plus two forty why not and they're giving

94
00:04:36,400 --> 00:04:38,360
Speaker 1: me seven and a half points. I love it. Some

95
00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:40,560
Speaker 1: of you guys got nine and a half points on that.

96
00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:43,400
Speaker 1: If it wasn't for the stupid miskick missed extra points

97
00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:46,839
Speaker 1: by the kickers, we had a sweep yesterday. Dodgers run

98
00:04:46,880 --> 00:04:50,560
Speaker 1: line Coastal with the wind, Coastal, with the cover and

99
00:04:50,600 --> 00:04:54,200
Speaker 1: the over. But unfortunately, because of the damn kickers, we

100
00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:56,359
Speaker 1: missed two extra points in the first half and that

101
00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,559
Speaker 1: caused it to be under fifty eight and a half

102
00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:02,279
Speaker 1: at fifty seven instead of fifty nine. So we were

103
00:05:02,279 --> 00:05:04,520
Speaker 1: on one yesterday, Right, we had a really good day.

104
00:05:04,720 --> 00:05:06,919
Speaker 1: But you got to be careful with this pros versus

105
00:05:06,960 --> 00:05:09,440
Speaker 1: Joe's bullshit, because I can say that, right, I can

106
00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:12,159
Speaker 1: swear in this right. I'm sorry if I offended somebody,

107
00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:16,039
Speaker 1: but I can say that it's it's whatever, it's it's

108
00:05:16,080 --> 00:05:20,320
Speaker 1: frustrating because reverse line movements. Okay, for those of you

109
00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:23,279
Speaker 1: that are new, if you hear reverse line movements, what

110
00:05:23,320 --> 00:05:28,120
Speaker 1: that means is there was money coming in yesterday on Louisiana,

111
00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,880
Speaker 1: but all the bets were coming in on coastal, So

112
00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:34,840
Speaker 1: the public was on coastal, the pros were on Louisiana.

113
00:05:35,120 --> 00:05:37,960
Speaker 1: So the numbers, you know, sixty five seventy percent of

114
00:05:37,960 --> 00:05:40,760
Speaker 1: the bets were on coastal, but the money was on Louisiana,

115
00:05:40,880 --> 00:05:43,640
Speaker 1: so the numbers started to go against coastal even though

116
00:05:43,640 --> 00:05:47,920
Speaker 1: the public was on the coastal side. Right, understand that.

117
00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:53,080
Speaker 1: So when you hear reverse line movements, it doesn't mean anything,

118
00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:56,440
Speaker 1: all right. When you hear people say that they don't

119
00:05:56,520 --> 00:05:58,960
Speaker 1: know what they're what they're going off of, it is

120
00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:02,760
Speaker 1: the information that's being told to the sports books offshore,

121
00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:06,640
Speaker 1: because no legal sports book in America reports that to

122
00:06:06,760 --> 00:06:10,400
Speaker 1: any media member. They don't give their information. They do

123
00:06:10,560 --> 00:06:15,279
Speaker 1: occasionally after the fact, but not before the fact. Sometimes

124
00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:17,640
Speaker 1: they'll say it on a radio show or a television show,

125
00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:20,560
Speaker 1: but it's not up to the second. It's not instantaneous.

126
00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:23,159
Speaker 1: It's old information. By the time they tell the public,

127
00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,799
Speaker 1: it's already moved. They've already taken money, the line's moving.

128
00:06:26,960 --> 00:06:30,039
Speaker 1: We don't know what these guys do. Every time we

129
00:06:30,120 --> 00:06:33,320
Speaker 1: come up with this information, it's what they tell us.

130
00:06:34,320 --> 00:06:39,120
Speaker 1: Understand that all sports book information is simply information that

131
00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:41,920
Speaker 1: we have been told, and they have withheld the other

132
00:06:42,040 --> 00:06:45,280
Speaker 1: stuff because they don't have to tell us a damn thing.

133
00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:48,320
Speaker 1: So always be really careful about that. That's why it's

134
00:06:48,360 --> 00:06:51,599
Speaker 1: super important to bet what you think. Okay, bet what

135
00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,120
Speaker 1: you think, not what you hear on the media. Not

136
00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,200
Speaker 1: even when I say, okay, I'm giving you my place.

137
00:06:56,400 --> 00:06:58,240
Speaker 1: This is what I'm playing. But if you think I'm

138
00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:00,560
Speaker 1: wrong but against me, I don't care. If it makes

139
00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:02,760
Speaker 1: you money, great, That's why I've said fun to get

140
00:07:02,800 --> 00:07:05,080
Speaker 1: go here with this podcast. It's not so much about

141
00:07:05,120 --> 00:07:08,560
Speaker 1: me making money or me showing off, going like, hey

142
00:07:08,600 --> 00:07:10,560
Speaker 1: look at me, look at my big balls. Look what

143
00:07:10,600 --> 00:07:12,520
Speaker 1: I did. Now, that's not what I'm doing here, Okay.

144
00:07:12,720 --> 00:07:15,280
Speaker 1: I want to build a community of sports gamblers. We're together,

145
00:07:15,440 --> 00:07:18,440
Speaker 1: we have fun watching games, and if we all are

146
00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:21,680
Speaker 1: on one side together, awesome. But you guys told me, ah,

147
00:07:21,720 --> 00:07:24,080
Speaker 1: I faded this, or I faded you, or I took

148
00:07:24,360 --> 00:07:26,280
Speaker 1: you know, I didn't bet the run line or I

149
00:07:26,320 --> 00:07:28,560
Speaker 1: bet the under for the Dodgers game last night and

150
00:07:28,600 --> 00:07:31,400
Speaker 1: it was dead in the first inning. Right, That's fine.

151
00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:33,160
Speaker 1: I mean I don't have a problem with that, because

152
00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,560
Speaker 1: there's going to be games I'm gonna lose. So use

153
00:07:36,640 --> 00:07:40,280
Speaker 1: me as information. Fade or follow, do what you want

154
00:07:40,360 --> 00:07:43,840
Speaker 1: with it, but use me as information because everything I'm

155
00:07:43,880 --> 00:07:46,240
Speaker 1: doing is just what I think. I'm not the end

156
00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,480
Speaker 1: all be all. Okay, I'm not no tre dominance here.

157
00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,040
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna go seventy five percent. It's just not

158
00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:54,080
Speaker 1: gonna happen. We had a good day yesterday, good day

159
00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:57,480
Speaker 1: to day. We hope to keep it going now quickly,

160
00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,080
Speaker 1: real quickly here, because I don't want this to be

161
00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:02,720
Speaker 1: too long. With a podcasts, somebody asks me about teasers. Look,

162
00:08:02,880 --> 00:08:06,640
Speaker 1: there are two ways of teasing, either way before right

163
00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,600
Speaker 1: when the lines come out, or waiting until like the

164
00:08:09,680 --> 00:08:13,200
Speaker 1: night before or ripe for a kickoff. Wong teasers at

165
00:08:13,240 --> 00:08:16,200
Speaker 1: some point during the live stream, I'll get into Wong teasers.

166
00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:19,080
Speaker 1: If you don't know what those are, Wong look it

167
00:08:19,160 --> 00:08:23,880
Speaker 1: up Wong teaser. It's essentially totals under forty nine. You

168
00:08:23,920 --> 00:08:26,680
Speaker 1: know three and six. You're gonna tease through those keys,

169
00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:30,960
Speaker 1: those key numbers up or down plus three mostly or

170
00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:34,520
Speaker 1: you know minus seven, teas down to one. You're trying

171
00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,280
Speaker 1: to cross three and six and seven as much as possible.

172
00:08:37,280 --> 00:08:38,880
Speaker 1: Those are the numbers you want to move around in.

173
00:08:39,320 --> 00:08:42,560
Speaker 1: So really it comes in two times, either teas on

174
00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:45,920
Speaker 1: Monday when the numbers first come out, or wait till

175
00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,080
Speaker 1: the night before, or if you can wait, wait all

176
00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:51,640
Speaker 1: the way until right for a kickoff, that's the best

177
00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,400
Speaker 1: time to do it. So if you're curious about teasers,

178
00:08:54,840 --> 00:08:57,080
Speaker 1: you want to get through the key numbers of three, six,

179
00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,560
Speaker 1: and seven. That's the key. Okay, you don't want to

180
00:08:59,559 --> 00:09:01,400
Speaker 1: go Try not to go to double digits if you

181
00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:03,160
Speaker 1: can avoid it. I did it last week and got

182
00:09:03,160 --> 00:09:05,920
Speaker 1: burned right eleven and a half. Try to avoid that

183
00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,400
Speaker 1: if you can. But really you're trying to get yourself

184
00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,040
Speaker 1: you know, three, six and seven up either below those

185
00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:13,360
Speaker 1: numbers or above those numbers. It's where you're trying to

186
00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,280
Speaker 1: get from a teaser perspective, which more are the three

187
00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:18,920
Speaker 1: most important numbers when it comes to football sports gambling.

188
00:09:19,720 --> 00:09:22,240
Speaker 1: Hopefully that makes some bit of sense to you here

189
00:09:22,280 --> 00:09:25,000
Speaker 1: and on the live stream. Come on the live stream

190
00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:27,240
Speaker 1: months Monday asking me that question again, and I'll give

191
00:09:27,240 --> 00:09:29,920
Speaker 1: you a full example live in person as do right

192
00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:32,600
Speaker 1: before kickoff. I'll give you an example of a long

193
00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:34,719
Speaker 1: teaser or when to tease a game, or how I'm

194
00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:36,640
Speaker 1: teasing a game. I haven't made my teaser bet yet

195
00:09:36,640 --> 00:09:38,440
Speaker 1: because there are so many questions right now going on

196
00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:40,160
Speaker 1: with the COVID nineteen stuff that I'm not going to

197
00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,480
Speaker 1: bet anything yet until i find out who is playing

198
00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:45,959
Speaker 1: and who is not playing. But bet MGM's got another offer.

199
00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:51,080
Speaker 1: It's for game four tonight between the Dodgers and the Braves.

200
00:09:51,440 --> 00:09:54,040
Speaker 1: This is the same offer from yesterday, but it's the

201
00:09:54,120 --> 00:09:57,720
Speaker 1: Juice one hundred offer. You must be in one of

202
00:09:57,760 --> 00:10:01,400
Speaker 1: the states that has this avail to you. Those states

203
00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:05,280
Speaker 1: are Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, in West Virginia. If you

204
00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:08,720
Speaker 1: are not in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey or West Virginia,

205
00:10:08,880 --> 00:10:11,240
Speaker 1: this offer does not apply to you. So I know

206
00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:13,400
Speaker 1: someone sent me a message last night saying, hey, I'm

207
00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:15,880
Speaker 1: in a legal bet MGM state, and this Juice one

208
00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,400
Speaker 1: hundred offer is being said to be invalid. That's why. Okay,

209
00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,480
Speaker 1: you need to be in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, or

210
00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,760
Speaker 1: West Virginia, but you bet one dollar on the Dodgers

211
00:10:25,880 --> 00:10:29,360
Speaker 1: or the Braves to win the game tonight. If either

212
00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:31,679
Speaker 1: team hits a home run, you will win one hundred

213
00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:35,280
Speaker 1: dollars in free bets from BETMGM. So one hundred dollars

214
00:10:35,679 --> 00:10:38,480
Speaker 1: up for grabs if you bet one dollar with the

215
00:10:38,520 --> 00:10:41,280
Speaker 1: code Juice one hundred for the Dodgers of the Braves

216
00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,960
Speaker 1: to hit a home run tonight in Game four of

217
00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:47,600
Speaker 1: the National League Championship Series. Go to BETMGM dot com

218
00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:49,960
Speaker 1: for terms and conditions. You must be twenty one years

219
00:10:50,040 --> 00:10:55,119
Speaker 1: or older. And you must be physically located in Colorado, Indiana,

220
00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,480
Speaker 1: West Virginia or New Jersey. And you must be twenty

221
00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:02,400
Speaker 1: one years or older. Please scamber responsibly. Gambling problem called

222
00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:04,560
Speaker 1: one hundred five to two two forty seven hundred in

223
00:11:04,640 --> 00:11:07,800
Speaker 1: Colorado or Nevada, one hund gambler in New Jersey in

224
00:11:07,840 --> 00:11:11,240
Speaker 1: West Virginia or one hundred and nine with it in Indiana.

225
00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:15,880
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this game here tonight in

226
00:11:15,960 --> 00:11:20,120
Speaker 1: the Fun Belt, in the Sun Belt. Georgia State catching

227
00:11:20,160 --> 00:11:24,160
Speaker 1: three and a half from Arkansas State. So Arkansas State

228
00:11:24,240 --> 00:11:27,600
Speaker 1: has a receiver that everybody talks about, Jonathan Adams Junior.

229
00:11:28,280 --> 00:11:31,640
Speaker 1: This dude is a stud. He's six foot three and

230
00:11:31,760 --> 00:11:34,400
Speaker 1: he can really get after it. And why my computer

231
00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:37,240
Speaker 1: just made that sound, I apologize two hundred nine pounds.

232
00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:41,600
Speaker 1: He's just an absolute weapon and Arkansas State's gonna really

233
00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:43,440
Speaker 1: go and try to feed him as much as possible.

234
00:11:43,480 --> 00:11:45,760
Speaker 1: He's a huge weapon in the red zone. Difficult guy

235
00:11:45,800 --> 00:11:51,320
Speaker 1: to cover. Georgia State's interesting. They average forty points a game,

236
00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:53,520
Speaker 1: but they give up thirty one and a half points

237
00:11:53,520 --> 00:11:56,800
Speaker 1: a game. Arkansas State scores thirty three points a game,

238
00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:00,160
Speaker 1: but they give up thirty six point eight points per game.

239
00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:01,840
Speaker 1: When you look at the way these teams have played

240
00:12:01,880 --> 00:12:07,400
Speaker 1: so far against Louisiana Lafayette and against East Carolina Georgia State,

241
00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:09,840
Speaker 1: you know, you start looking at some of these you know,

242
00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,960
Speaker 1: it's early in the year, okay, and it's also the

243
00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:14,840
Speaker 1: Sun Belt Conference, so it's kind of hard to get

244
00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:18,200
Speaker 1: into this, but they were catching seventeen points from Louisiana

245
00:12:18,280 --> 00:12:21,080
Speaker 1: Lafayette and they won the game. Sorry that they lost

246
00:12:21,120 --> 00:12:23,800
Speaker 1: the game by three, so they covered by fourteen points.

247
00:12:24,080 --> 00:12:27,320
Speaker 1: Georgia State also was catching two points to East Carolina

248
00:12:27,800 --> 00:12:30,760
Speaker 1: and they won by twenty all right, so they covered

249
00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:33,120
Speaker 1: that by twenty two points. But on the other side,

250
00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:37,199
Speaker 1: Arkansas State they were catching eighteen against Memphis and they

251
00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:40,480
Speaker 1: lost by thirteen. They were catching fifteen and a half

252
00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:42,600
Speaker 1: against Kansas State and they won by four, and then

253
00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,760
Speaker 1: they turned right around feeling all good about themselves. After

254
00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:47,880
Speaker 1: they had to sit and wait for the COVID nineteen

255
00:12:47,920 --> 00:12:52,280
Speaker 1: problems untilmost a month. They played Coastal Carolina, our favorite Chantelliers,

256
00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:54,320
Speaker 1: who won last night. They were three and a half

257
00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:57,680
Speaker 1: point favorites and they lost by twenty nine. Okay, so

258
00:12:58,160 --> 00:13:00,280
Speaker 1: you start looking at where they are and how they've

259
00:13:00,320 --> 00:13:02,640
Speaker 1: played and in the teams they've played, and you know,

260
00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:05,559
Speaker 1: it's not the greatest of schedule. They beat Central Arkansas,

261
00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:08,439
Speaker 1: which I don't believe is in FCS FBS school in

262
00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,280
Speaker 1: FCS school, they beat them fifty to twenty seven last time.

263
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:15,080
Speaker 1: So you know, two games for Georgia State, four games

264
00:13:15,080 --> 00:13:17,760
Speaker 1: for Arkansas State. So Arkansas State comes into this game

265
00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,079
Speaker 1: and they're favored by three and a half points. The

266
00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:22,600
Speaker 1: total is seventy two and a half. It opened at

267
00:13:22,640 --> 00:13:25,679
Speaker 1: seventy And if you look at bettingpros dot com and

268
00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:27,520
Speaker 1: the consensus odds, you can always go and find the

269
00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:30,240
Speaker 1: consensus odds for a variety of different sports books across

270
00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,400
Speaker 1: the entire country. It's at three and a half minus

271
00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:36,040
Speaker 1: one oh five or plus three and a half at

272
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,760
Speaker 1: minus one fifteen. So the juice is gonna matter. It's

273
00:13:38,760 --> 00:13:41,560
Speaker 1: gonna fluctuate a little bit. I found it here in

274
00:13:41,640 --> 00:13:45,240
Speaker 1: Vegas at minus one oh five or in sorry, minus

275
00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,440
Speaker 1: one oh one o eight. Sorry is what I found

276
00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,760
Speaker 1: it here in Vegas. Bet MGM is mis one ten

277
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:55,800
Speaker 1: FanDuel MIAs one twenty. William Hill mines one fifteen. DraftKings

278
00:13:55,840 --> 00:13:58,319
Speaker 1: is minus one o eight. Sugarhouse in Pennsylvania is minus

279
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,640
Speaker 1: one o eight. So I felt like, okay, I was

280
00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:05,560
Speaker 1: leaning towards Georgia State. But I'm a little concerned about

281
00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,439
Speaker 1: Georgia State and a little bit concerned about their defense.

282
00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:12,079
Speaker 1: So I have a play on this game, and I'm

283
00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:15,839
Speaker 1: gonna go back to the same game teaser that may

284
00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:19,320
Speaker 1: be a little bit dicey, But I get to tease

285
00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,400
Speaker 1: Georgia State a six point teaser up to nine and

286
00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:26,840
Speaker 1: a half, I think that's pretty decent. And then you

287
00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:29,680
Speaker 1: take the total at seventy two and a half and

288
00:14:29,720 --> 00:14:33,320
Speaker 1: you tease that down to sixty six and a half.

289
00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,320
Speaker 1: Pretty much everybody's at seventy two and a half. A

290
00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:39,880
Speaker 1: couple of books, DraftKings is at seventy three. But if

291
00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,200
Speaker 1: you can get seventy two or seventy two and a

292
00:14:42,240 --> 00:14:44,320
Speaker 1: half and you pull it down to six six and

293
00:14:44,320 --> 00:14:47,120
Speaker 1: a half, for me, I got minus one zero five

294
00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:50,200
Speaker 1: odds on this, So it's one bet you need two

295
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,560
Speaker 1: legs inside the same game. But I think you're gonna

296
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:54,960
Speaker 1: see a lot of points in this game. I don't

297
00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,360
Speaker 1: think either one of these teams are gonna play a

298
00:14:56,360 --> 00:14:58,080
Speaker 1: whole lot of defense. I think it's gonna be a

299
00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:01,000
Speaker 1: back and forth type of battle. And again I'm a

300
00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:05,000
Speaker 1: little concerned here with whether or not Georgia State can

301
00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:06,960
Speaker 1: keep it. You know, all the new dudes keep it

302
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:10,040
Speaker 1: within seven points, right, just don't get blown out by

303
00:15:10,120 --> 00:15:12,640
Speaker 1: Arkansas State here, and they look they may be live

304
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,280
Speaker 1: to win this game. I just don't see the same

305
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,640
Speaker 1: type of numbers here that I did. You know. Cornelis Brown.

306
00:15:18,720 --> 00:15:22,960
Speaker 1: Georgia State's quarterback is okay. He's not bad, but I'm

307
00:15:23,000 --> 00:15:25,720
Speaker 1: I'm you know. He's thrown a couple of picks, three

308
00:15:25,760 --> 00:15:29,320
Speaker 1: picks in two games so far, completing about sixty percent

309
00:15:29,360 --> 00:15:32,960
Speaker 1: of his passes. He's okay. Georgia State can really run

310
00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:34,840
Speaker 1: the football. They're going to look to kind of pound

311
00:15:34,840 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 1: the rock here and lean on some of their running backs,

312
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,240
Speaker 1: and Coach is probably their best one, with about about

313
00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,680
Speaker 1: two hundred and six three yards rushing. He had one

314
00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:45,760
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty in the first game one hundred and

315
00:15:45,760 --> 00:15:48,960
Speaker 1: thirteen in the second game, so look for him to

316
00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,840
Speaker 1: put up some big numbers in the running game. I

317
00:15:52,240 --> 00:15:54,200
Speaker 1: just don't think this is going to be a game

318
00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:55,960
Speaker 1: I want to get into too much with the three

319
00:15:55,960 --> 00:15:57,840
Speaker 1: and a half, even though I like the hook there.

320
00:15:58,640 --> 00:16:01,160
Speaker 1: Arkansas State's offense is pretty good. Again, like I mentioned,

321
00:16:01,200 --> 00:16:04,200
Speaker 1: Adams is a really impressive player, really impressive receiver. So

322
00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:07,200
Speaker 1: I'm gonna do a same game teaser. We're teasing up

323
00:16:07,240 --> 00:16:09,160
Speaker 1: to nine and a half, taking Georgia State plus nine

324
00:16:09,160 --> 00:16:11,000
Speaker 1: and a half, taking the total down to six six

325
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,120
Speaker 1: and a half and We're taking the over for Georgia

326
00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:16,880
Speaker 1: State and Arkansas State, another Sun Belt Fun Belt game

327
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:20,240
Speaker 1: on Thursday night. Football. All right, to baseball. I'm not

328
00:16:20,320 --> 00:16:24,600
Speaker 1: gonna overthink this, and this is an interesting pitching matchup

329
00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:27,960
Speaker 1: because Bryce Wilson going is a rookie for the Braves.

330
00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,440
Speaker 1: I know he's been okay, but this is a big moment.

331
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,200
Speaker 1: This is the biggest game of the year for the Dodgers,

332
00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,480
Speaker 1: and this is a monster start for Clayton Kershaw. I

333
00:16:37,520 --> 00:16:40,600
Speaker 1: know the back is an issue. I like Clayton Kershaw

334
00:16:40,640 --> 00:16:44,000
Speaker 1: both personally and professionally. I had an incredible day with

335
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,160
Speaker 1: him that I always harken back to with the He

336
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:48,360
Speaker 1: was the second interview I ever did here in Vegas

337
00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:50,920
Speaker 1: when we when I moved here five years ago, I

338
00:16:50,960 --> 00:16:54,480
Speaker 1: had Mike Tyson in Clayton Kershaw as my two first

339
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,120
Speaker 1: The first two guests for my radio show when it

340
00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 1: started here in Vegas was Clayton Kershaw and Mike Tyson.

341
00:17:00,320 --> 00:17:02,720
Speaker 1: And Clinton just sat and talked to baseball with me

342
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:04,919
Speaker 1: for like an hour after the interview was over, and

343
00:17:04,960 --> 00:17:07,280
Speaker 1: the dude just couldn't be nicer. So I want him

344
00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:10,440
Speaker 1: to win a ring desperately. So I will tell you

345
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:13,439
Speaker 1: that I'm not exactly unbiased here by taking this, but

346
00:17:14,280 --> 00:17:16,960
Speaker 1: I'm taking the Dodgers on the run line at minus

347
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,760
Speaker 1: one thirty, and I think there's value on the team total.

348
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,119
Speaker 1: I've bet a half a unit on the team total

349
00:17:23,200 --> 00:17:26,480
Speaker 1: five and a half at minus one oh three. I

350
00:17:26,520 --> 00:17:29,280
Speaker 1: took the team total for the Dodgers because I think

351
00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:31,000
Speaker 1: the bats are gonna come to life. I don't think

352
00:17:31,040 --> 00:17:33,600
Speaker 1: Wilson's gonna have it. I think the Dodgers win this

353
00:17:33,680 --> 00:17:35,760
Speaker 1: game by more than one and a half runs, and

354
00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:38,000
Speaker 1: I think this series evens up a two games apiece,

355
00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:40,560
Speaker 1: and I think the pressure is gonna be on. But

356
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:44,080
Speaker 1: once they get back to Anderson and to Freed, it's

357
00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:47,600
Speaker 1: gonna be very difficult. But these rookies that the braves

358
00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,399
Speaker 1: are thrown out there, this is deep water. This is

359
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,320
Speaker 1: a difficult lineup who they're now seeing the ball really well.

360
00:17:53,359 --> 00:17:55,600
Speaker 1: I mean, they scored eleven freaking runs in the first

361
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:58,520
Speaker 1: inning with a grand Slam, and they scored fifteen runs

362
00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,680
Speaker 1: last night. I don't think that they come back down

363
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,800
Speaker 1: to earth entirely. I think they still score I think

364
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,919
Speaker 1: they'll still score six or more runs here tonight. And

365
00:18:07,000 --> 00:18:09,480
Speaker 1: I think the bullpen for the Braves is taxed. This

366
00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:12,480
Speaker 1: is where playing every single day with no travel and

367
00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:14,800
Speaker 1: no days off is gonna come up and really bite

368
00:18:14,840 --> 00:18:18,120
Speaker 1: the Braves. And they just gotta hang on until they

369
00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:20,920
Speaker 1: get back to Freed and they get back to Anderson

370
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,480
Speaker 1: in game six, in game seven. So it's not gonna

371
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:26,639
Speaker 1: shock me in the least if the Dodgers win the

372
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,320
Speaker 1: next three games and we're sitting at a three to

373
00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:31,520
Speaker 1: two game and then here we go with Freed and

374
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,800
Speaker 1: Anderson and it could very well be a Game seven

375
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,280
Speaker 1: win for the for the Braves. That's why you can say, Matt, wy,

376
00:18:36,280 --> 00:18:37,960
Speaker 1: aren't you just betting the Dodgers who win the series.

377
00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:39,879
Speaker 1: That's why I'm not betting the Dodgers to win the

378
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:42,119
Speaker 1: series because of the starting pitching that the Braves have

379
00:18:42,160 --> 00:18:44,720
Speaker 1: coming up later run in this series. But for Game four,

380
00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:48,159
Speaker 1: we're taking the Dodgers run line at minus one thirty

381
00:18:48,520 --> 00:18:51,480
Speaker 1: like last night, and we're taking the over five and

382
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,240
Speaker 1: a half runs team total for a half of units

383
00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,720
Speaker 1: at minus one oh three. I cannot bet the Rays game.

384
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,720
Speaker 1: So if you follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk, Matt,

385
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:03,640
Speaker 1: you can go ahead and I will add I'm sure

386
00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,399
Speaker 1: raise money line is at least for a half a unit.

387
00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:09,640
Speaker 1: So I'm invested in that game. I'm gonna throw out

388
00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:12,080
Speaker 1: something on it because if they win, we cast that

389
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:14,800
Speaker 1: plus one thousand tickets. So I mean, if that ball

390
00:19:14,880 --> 00:19:16,480
Speaker 1: that was hit in the ninth inning, if that thing

391
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:18,760
Speaker 1: wasn't hit on the top spin side, if that was

392
00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:21,000
Speaker 1: under the ball instead of over the ball, that's a

393
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:23,640
Speaker 1: home run. We're tied, and maybe this series is over

394
00:19:23,840 --> 00:19:26,560
Speaker 1: right now. So I don't think the Astros they're just

395
00:19:26,640 --> 00:19:29,800
Speaker 1: delaying the inevitable. Rays are gonna win today regardless of

396
00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:32,960
Speaker 1: who's pitching for the Rays or the Astros. Raise win today,

397
00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:36,280
Speaker 1: and it's over only the Red Sox. Since the O

398
00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,160
Speaker 1: four Red Sox, no one has extended to a Game

399
00:19:39,240 --> 00:19:42,040
Speaker 1: six when going down three to zero in a championship series.

400
00:19:42,280 --> 00:19:44,639
Speaker 1: So I don't think this is the Astros team to

401
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,880
Speaker 1: do it. Personally, I think this is it for them,

402
00:19:47,040 --> 00:19:48,800
Speaker 1: and so the Rays win today, but I can't bet

403
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,639
Speaker 1: it because there's nothing up yet for numbers. So watch

404
00:19:51,640 --> 00:19:53,560
Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt, and I'll tell

405
00:19:53,560 --> 00:19:56,320
Speaker 1: you what I'm doing exactly for the Rays and the Astros.

406
00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:59,800
Speaker 1: Game five to day, all right, So here are the

407
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:04,240
Speaker 1: pl Thursday. Remember no NFL. We're playing a same game

408
00:20:04,320 --> 00:20:07,119
Speaker 1: teaser in the fun Belt Georgia state plus nine and

409
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:10,680
Speaker 1: a half an over sixty six and a half for

410
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 1: a total one unit play on that one unit on

411
00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,560
Speaker 1: the Dodgers run line at miles one thirty and the

412
00:20:17,440 --> 00:20:19,560
Speaker 1: over team total five and a half runs for the

413
00:20:19,600 --> 00:20:23,000
Speaker 1: Dodgers at minus one three a half a unit on

414
00:20:23,160 --> 00:20:26,080
Speaker 1: that bet. My name's Matt Perrault. We got a big

415
00:20:26,119 --> 00:20:28,800
Speaker 1: football weekend coming up. Dan Harris and I are taping

416
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:32,640
Speaker 1: a podcast later today, the NFL Betting Pros Podcast. Look

417
00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:36,880
Speaker 1: for it on YouTube and on Bettingpros dot com. We've

418
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:38,919
Speaker 1: got the live stream coming up. Make sure you have

419
00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:41,480
Speaker 1: subscribed to our YouTube channel. Trying to get to one

420
00:20:41,520 --> 00:20:43,879
Speaker 1: thousand and one of those. I'll tell you tomorrow more

421
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,200
Speaker 1: about the Clyde Edwards t Layer giveaway that we got

422
00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 1: going on. We've got a bunch of reviews, a bunch

423
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:52,040
Speaker 1: of entries. It's been so much fun. This is awesome.

424
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:55,240
Speaker 1: Make sure you're following me on Twitter at Sports Talk, Matts,

425
00:20:55,560 --> 00:20:58,320
Speaker 1: Football and Baseball. Again, let's sweat some games and have

426
00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,840
Speaker 1: some fun together. It's the introduced podcast every morning of

427
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:10,960
Speaker 1: bettingfros dot com brought to you by bedam GM