1 00:00:10,800 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Friday morning edition of 3 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralt. We 4 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,840 Speaker 2: you're here on bettingpros dot com. You can follow me 5 00:00:18,880 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports Talk Maatt. Each and every morning, 6 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,000 Speaker 2: we are here on bettingpros dot com. We're on YouTube 7 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 2: and anywhere and everywhere you get your podcasts, you can 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: find us here for the Daily Juice. We are being 9 00:00:30,720 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 2: brought to you by BETMGM with that twenty dollars offer 10 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,879 Speaker 2: one hundred dollars off any event using that promo code 11 00:00:36,920 --> 00:00:38,519 Speaker 2: juice one hundred when you sent him for a new 12 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 2: account with BETMGM BETMGM dot com on the application promo 13 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:45,840 Speaker 2: code juice one hundred for that offer with BETMGM. Okay, 14 00:00:46,440 --> 00:00:48,800 Speaker 2: so nothing yesterday due to the Red Sox and the 15 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: Yankees with COVID, and the Yankees could have as many 16 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 2: as six players out with COVID today. 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 1: I've learned my lesson with this. 18 00:00:57,400 --> 00:00:59,880 Speaker 2: Before you immediately jump to the Red Sox and say, oh, 19 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:02,920 Speaker 2: the Red Sox the Yankees are done, I'm staying away 20 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: from that game for a reason because I think we've 21 00:01:05,240 --> 00:01:08,520 Speaker 2: been burned enough times expecting a team to be shorthanded 22 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 2: due to COVID and then they win. 23 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:12,040 Speaker 1: So I'm just gonna watch the Red Talks and the 24 00:01:12,120 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 1: Yankees today. I'm not gonna get involved with the Red 25 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:14,880 Speaker 1: Talks and the Yankees. 26 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 2: However, I do have a PGA Tour Open Championship play 27 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 2: that they gave you last night on the Discord channel. 28 00:01:21,760 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 2: I have two bets for you on baseball today, which 29 00:01:26,160 --> 00:01:28,839 Speaker 2: is rot Row. You know how I am with baseball. 30 00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 2: Can we get to Saturday please and get to the UFC. 31 00:01:31,480 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: A couple of you guys on the YouTube channel we're saying, 32 00:01:33,480 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 2: like Matt bet UFC. I know I am better at 33 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 2: UFC betting, and I will have some plays on the 34 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 2: UFC card coming up on Saturday night with the return 35 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,960 Speaker 2: of Misha Tate's and Jeremy Stevens and whatnot at the Apex. 36 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,679 Speaker 1: So yeah, hold your horses. That's for Saturday. And we 37 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 1: have an NBA game. 38 00:01:47,560 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: Remember Game five is Saturday, not today on a Friday. 39 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,600 Speaker 2: But we got two baseball bets, a golf bet and 40 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 2: the parlay to give you guys here today. Now, just 41 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 2: real quick, I want to jump in to well an update. First, 42 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:05,960 Speaker 2: you guys have been asking where is the Sharp's report 43 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 2: on Apple. 44 00:02:07,760 --> 00:02:08,240 Speaker 1: I don't know. 45 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:13,120 Speaker 2: I told you the Apple is having some real problems. 46 00:02:13,720 --> 00:02:16,920 Speaker 2: Spotify is up. So if you don't use Spotify, I 47 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 2: do apologize, but maybe you can just listen to the 48 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: first episode with Todd Furman and I on Spotify and 49 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 2: then it's free. Right, So maybe you're not comfortable using Spotify, 50 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:28,520 Speaker 2: but it's not like you got to pay for Spotify. 51 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:31,359 Speaker 1: To listen to that podcast. It's free. It's on Stitcher. 52 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: I know that. I believe it's on other platforms as well, 53 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:35,720 Speaker 1: but I have not seen it. 54 00:02:35,760 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 2: As of tape time here tonight on a Thursday night, 55 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:40,040 Speaker 2: I have not seen it. 56 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: And that's frustrating. 57 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:44,360 Speaker 2: It's frustrating to me, it's frustrating to everybody with betting pros. 58 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 2: And so we hope that that gets rectified and Apple 59 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 2: approves it and puts everything up and we're good to go. 60 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:52,839 Speaker 2: But that's why I've been doing a lot of things 61 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:55,880 Speaker 2: with Spotify. I just I'm very angry at Apple, and 62 00:02:55,919 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 2: I'm very frustrated with Apple because I used to use 63 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,240 Speaker 2: it all the time because Apple had a cool thing 64 00:03:00,280 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 2: where they would rank where the podcast was, like what 65 00:03:04,560 --> 00:03:07,160 Speaker 2: your podcast was doing, and we were always in the 66 00:03:07,160 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 2: top one fifty. Sometimes we were in the top fifty 67 00:03:09,720 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 2: for podcasts. During football season, the Daily Juice was in 68 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:13,880 Speaker 2: the top fifty for of. 69 00:03:13,800 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 1: All of Apple for podcasts. 70 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 2: But now, I mean it's the summertime, so everyone's kind 71 00:03:19,000 --> 00:03:22,079 Speaker 2: of often doing their own thing. But the rankings, everything 72 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 2: else is just a mess. Everything is a mess with Apple. 73 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,799 Speaker 2: So I just I'm using Spotify now, I post Spotify. 74 00:03:27,880 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 2: I push you guys to Spotify more just because I 75 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:30,760 Speaker 2: can rely on it. 76 00:03:30,760 --> 00:03:31,640 Speaker 1: It's going to be there. 77 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: So The Sharp's Report is there on Spotify, and The 78 00:03:35,960 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 2: Daily Juice obviously is on Spotify as well. It's on audio, 79 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 2: it's on Audible, it's on Stitcher, it's on every podcast 80 00:03:41,720 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 2: platform you can find The Daily Juice. Hopefully the same 81 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,720 Speaker 2: thing for The Sharp's Report every single Wednesday coming up. 82 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,680 Speaker 2: But that's the update on the Sharp's Report. I am 83 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:52,720 Speaker 2: going to attempt in the next couple of days, in 84 00:03:52,960 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: the next couple of weeks, I'm going to do a 85 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 2: little bit bit of an experiment and I'm going to 86 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:01,920 Speaker 2: bet more plus money bets than I have. If you've 87 00:04:01,960 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 2: noticed in the last month and a half, as things 88 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:06,400 Speaker 2: started to kind of go spiraling out of control. 89 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: I started to bet a lot more on I started. 90 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 2: Laying juice a lot, and I was doing some research yesterday, 91 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 2: going through some of my wagers, trying to learn from 92 00:04:16,080 --> 00:04:19,560 Speaker 2: what mistakes I have made, and you know, tried to say, okay, 93 00:04:19,320 --> 00:04:20,880 Speaker 2: what happened in June? 94 00:04:21,080 --> 00:04:23,280 Speaker 1: Where did things go wrong? And a lot of it, 95 00:04:23,360 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: not all of it. 96 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:26,599 Speaker 2: I mean, it was bad picks, we're losing, but it 97 00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,120 Speaker 2: was also the fact that I was betting a lot 98 00:04:28,120 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 2: of favorites. I was laying a lot of juice, like 99 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,520 Speaker 2: minus one forty, minus fifty one sixty a lot. And 100 00:04:34,160 --> 00:04:37,560 Speaker 2: when you win, the problem is the record. I got 101 00:04:37,640 --> 00:04:39,200 Speaker 2: caught up in the record a lot of times too, 102 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 2: because the record was important to me and where we 103 00:04:41,360 --> 00:04:44,520 Speaker 2: were with, you know, once we started losing, losing not 104 00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,520 Speaker 2: just the record, which was really good, but also the 105 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:48,839 Speaker 2: number of units we were up, and so I started 106 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 2: to scramble a little bit and just like, okay, let's 107 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 2: just get a lay up here right to a better 108 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 2: one fifteen get in. Well, the problem is the record 109 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 2: doesn't really matter. What matters is winning wagers and winning 110 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:02,320 Speaker 2: money plus money bets. If I go one in three, 111 00:05:02,440 --> 00:05:04,720 Speaker 2: But the one win I hit is plus money like 112 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 2: a plus two fifty, Well that covers the day. So 113 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:11,560 Speaker 2: I've been more. I got too caught up in that 114 00:05:11,720 --> 00:05:13,880 Speaker 2: overall what the record was, and I should have been 115 00:05:13,920 --> 00:05:15,560 Speaker 2: paying more attention to the units. 116 00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: And that's me. That's on me, Like this is a 117 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:18,360 Speaker 1: learning experience. 118 00:05:18,400 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 2: I've never wagered for three hundred and sixty five days 119 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 2: in a row, and now here we are, what ten 120 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 2: days into the year two, so it's you know, three 121 00:05:26,760 --> 00:05:29,120 Speaker 2: hundred and seventy five days. I've never done this, so 122 00:05:29,480 --> 00:05:32,080 Speaker 2: I'm learning. I've always bet a lot, but I've never 123 00:05:32,160 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 2: bet every single day, So I'm learning. I'm trying to 124 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 2: figure these things out. I'm trying to look and see 125 00:05:38,080 --> 00:05:40,719 Speaker 2: where I'm making mistakes. So you are gonna see me 126 00:05:40,800 --> 00:05:43,320 Speaker 2: make more plus money wagers than I have in the 127 00:05:43,360 --> 00:05:44,920 Speaker 2: month of For the rest of July, I'm going to 128 00:05:45,000 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 2: attempt to do more. I'm gonna hunt for those plus 129 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:51,240 Speaker 2: money that I'm gonna get into. And in baseball, I'm 130 00:05:51,240 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 2: gonna bet a lot of run lines and that's just 131 00:05:55,279 --> 00:05:56,719 Speaker 2: kind of where I am. There's a lot of plus 132 00:05:56,800 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 2: money available every night. 133 00:05:58,080 --> 00:05:58,559 Speaker 1: These teams. 134 00:05:58,560 --> 00:06:01,560 Speaker 2: A lot of these teams are winning on the run 135 00:06:01,600 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 2: line and a really high clip, and they're really good 136 00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:07,800 Speaker 2: teams who are coming through. In the first game out 137 00:06:07,839 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 2: of the All Star Break is always a little bit dicey, 138 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:13,120 Speaker 2: so I'm a little concerned about tonight. But I'm just 139 00:06:13,160 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 2: going to start that philosophy right now with baseball and 140 00:06:15,680 --> 00:06:19,560 Speaker 2: try to find my way through these things and hopefully 141 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: it's a winning philosophy and hopefully it works out. So 142 00:06:22,480 --> 00:06:24,960 Speaker 2: I'm just gonna try some things. I'm going to experiment 143 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 2: a little bit. You can fade or follow these picks. No, 144 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:30,800 Speaker 2: this is all free content. You can do what you 145 00:06:30,839 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 2: want with it. Fade it great, follow it awesome. I'm 146 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:36,160 Speaker 2: not telling you what you have to bet, and I'm 147 00:06:36,160 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 2: not charging you a nickel for any of this information. 148 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:40,920 Speaker 2: So just heads up as to what's going to come 149 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:43,119 Speaker 2: down the pike. Okay, I gave you a golf bet 150 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:46,960 Speaker 2: last night on the Discord Channel. This is why it's 151 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 2: really important to be on the Discord Channel because the 152 00:06:49,560 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 2: Open Championship, the guys. 153 00:06:51,360 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 1: Have already teed off. 154 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,600 Speaker 2: If you're listening to this in the morning on Friday, 155 00:06:55,120 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 2: Roy McElroy and Justin Thomas are long gone. 156 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:00,280 Speaker 1: This bet is long on. 157 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,680 Speaker 2: Okay, but as I explained in the Discord channel, Justin 158 00:07:03,720 --> 00:07:06,720 Speaker 2: Thomas is tied for eighth in second round scoring this 159 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,920 Speaker 2: year on the PGA Tour, Roy McElroy is tied for 160 00:07:10,040 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 2: ninety ninth. Justin Thomas. The cut line is like it's 161 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 2: plus one. Basically it could be plus two, but he 162 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:19,400 Speaker 2: shot a two over par. But he hit sixty percent 163 00:07:19,480 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 2: more than sixty percent of the fairways in the first round. 164 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:24,040 Speaker 1: He putted like crap. 165 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:27,200 Speaker 2: Now, the greens are really slow, but normally Justin Thomas 166 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:29,880 Speaker 2: putts pretty well on slow greens because he just kind 167 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:30,480 Speaker 2: of hammers it. 168 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 1: Same thing with Jordan's speed. They just hammer the ball 169 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 1: into the back of the cup. 170 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:37,200 Speaker 2: So I expect a really good round for Justin Thomas. 171 00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:40,080 Speaker 2: On the other side, Roy McElroy shot an even par 172 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:43,280 Speaker 2: with four pars and four bogies. He was all over 173 00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 2: the place, a roller coaster ride. And there's no guarantee 174 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 2: that Roy McElroy's gonna make the cut. He could have 175 00:07:49,040 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 2: a really rough round two. He's had some rough rounds 176 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:55,680 Speaker 2: recently where things just haven't looked right. Scottish Open didn't 177 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 2: really look right. I'm taking Justin Thomas even money. I 178 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 2: know Raftkings had it at minus one ten. I got 179 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 2: it here in Vegas at the Westgate for even money. 180 00:08:05,040 --> 00:08:09,600 Speaker 2: Justin Thomas second round matchup up against Roy McElroy even money. 181 00:08:09,600 --> 00:08:12,160 Speaker 2: So I'm gonna wake up this morning in this round 182 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 2: this bet might actually be done. By the time I 183 00:08:14,960 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 2: wake up at seven am Pacific time, this bet might. 184 00:08:18,760 --> 00:08:20,240 Speaker 1: G be already cashed for me. 185 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:22,440 Speaker 2: So I'm hoping to wake up to a winner with 186 00:08:22,680 --> 00:08:26,120 Speaker 2: Justin Thomas over Roy McElroy half a unit for the 187 00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:29,360 Speaker 2: second round. These two sports, golf and baseball, I have 188 00:08:29,480 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 2: been awful, Okay. 189 00:08:30,760 --> 00:08:32,800 Speaker 1: I have not been good at all. 190 00:08:33,040 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 2: So if you want to Roy's favorite minus one twenty 191 00:08:35,679 --> 00:08:37,480 Speaker 2: at the West Gate, you want to bet on Rory, 192 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:39,720 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna get angry with you if you're listening 193 00:08:39,760 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 2: to this in time to go ahead and make that wager. 194 00:08:41,679 --> 00:08:42,400 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna get. 195 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,040 Speaker 2: Bad at you at all if you fade these bets, 196 00:08:44,080 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 2: because well, we know how I am with PGA Tour 197 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 2: golf betting. 198 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:48,600 Speaker 1: It's not been great. 199 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,560 Speaker 2: But the one full unit wager we made for the 200 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:54,959 Speaker 2: tournament at minus one sixty five, which is Bryson d. 201 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 2: Chambeau to finish behind Brooks Koepka. Bryson's had a pretty 202 00:08:59,640 --> 00:09:02,959 Speaker 2: rough round. He started to yell at the Cobra driver 203 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 2: manufacturer guy who called him an eight year old who 204 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:08,680 Speaker 2: is kind of throwing a temper tantrum. And he would 205 00:09:08,720 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 2: never say it to the guy's face. This is not good, 206 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:15,000 Speaker 2: Bryson said. The driver sucks. It's not an off the 207 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:18,480 Speaker 2: rack driver, it's a custom made driver to him, so 208 00:09:18,800 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 2: he's making excuses. And I don't know if Brysond Bryson 209 00:09:22,600 --> 00:09:27,400 Speaker 2: Deschambau makes the cut. However, Bryson because he scrambles well 210 00:09:27,440 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 2: to make cuts. Bryson is tied for six in second 211 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 2: round scoring. There are some people that say take a 212 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,160 Speaker 2: look at him as in head to heads here in 213 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:37,840 Speaker 2: round two. 214 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna place a small bet, a little flyer on. 215 00:09:41,800 --> 00:09:44,960 Speaker 2: Sam Burns at plus one twenty five, not officially, just 216 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:48,040 Speaker 2: personally head to head against Bryson day Shambeau. 217 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Sam Burns, who. 218 00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 2: Has never really played over here at the Open Championship, 219 00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:56,120 Speaker 2: but he's tied for second on the PGA Tour this 220 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,160 Speaker 2: year in second round scoring. Bryson's really good as well. 221 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:01,600 Speaker 2: I'm just scerned about Bryson so if you want even 222 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 2: more going, and they tea off later in the day. 223 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:07,520 Speaker 2: I think they tee off at six o'clock Pacific time, 224 00:10:07,559 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 2: maybe nine o'clock Eastern time, So you might be able 225 00:10:11,120 --> 00:10:13,760 Speaker 2: to get Burns over Bryson if you want to trail that, 226 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:16,240 Speaker 2: or faith or take Bryson if you want to. But 227 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 2: the official play is for half a unit Justin Thomas 228 00:10:19,960 --> 00:10:24,520 Speaker 2: over Roy McElroy second round, only for him to finish 229 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 2: better than Rory. He starts the day two strokes back 230 00:10:27,400 --> 00:10:30,640 Speaker 2: for Rory for the second round of the Open Championship. 231 00:10:30,640 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 1: Okay, so that's bet number one. Bet number two. 232 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:36,080 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the Houston Astros and really let's talk 233 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,839 Speaker 2: about where these teams are in terms of run line productivity. 234 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,160 Speaker 2: The San Francisco Giants are hitting the run line at 235 00:10:43,160 --> 00:10:47,599 Speaker 2: a sixty four percent clip. It is unbelievable. The Astros 236 00:10:47,640 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 2: are hitting it at a fifty one point six percent clip, 237 00:10:50,520 --> 00:10:53,320 Speaker 2: forty seven and forty four to the run line. The 238 00:10:53,400 --> 00:10:57,079 Speaker 2: Giants are fifty seven and thirty two to the run line. 239 00:10:57,240 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 2: Both those teams I'm eyeballing today for run line wagers. 240 00:11:02,600 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 2: With both bullpens being healthy, I don't think we have 241 00:11:06,040 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 2: to jump in or at least fully rested. I don't 242 00:11:08,520 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 2: have to jump in with first fives. This is I 243 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 2: was looking at you run line first fives for both 244 00:11:14,800 --> 00:11:16,920 Speaker 2: these two teams, and I just decided that, you know what, 245 00:11:16,960 --> 00:11:19,400 Speaker 2: for the first day after the All Star Break, both 246 00:11:19,440 --> 00:11:21,280 Speaker 2: bullpens completely rested. 247 00:11:21,679 --> 00:11:23,320 Speaker 1: I don't think we need to worry. 248 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:25,199 Speaker 2: The Bullpens can still blow the game and blow the 249 00:11:25,240 --> 00:11:27,200 Speaker 2: run line for us, but I just don't think we 250 00:11:27,320 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 2: need to do that. I think we can take the 251 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 2: plus money for the run line on both these teams 252 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,880 Speaker 2: for the entire game. Now the Astros are taking on 253 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 2: the White Sox on the road. Another thing I'm going 254 00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 2: to look to do a lot is I'm going to 255 00:11:40,240 --> 00:11:42,880 Speaker 2: bet the run line on the road for teams on 256 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 2: the road. The reason is for run line wagering. If 257 00:11:46,559 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 2: you bet the home team, the home team may not bat. 258 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:53,760 Speaker 2: And so I've been I've known that for a long time, 259 00:11:53,880 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: but I haven't really focused on it all that much. 260 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:58,240 Speaker 2: I've said, oh, it's not that big of a deal 261 00:11:58,240 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 2: to have a lead, they won't need to bet in 262 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 2: I fit, and that's fine. You want that at bat 263 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:04,920 Speaker 2: for the road team, they're guaranteed to bat. So it's 264 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,240 Speaker 2: three to two, the road team gets a chance to bat, 265 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,199 Speaker 2: they make it solo home runs four to two, and 266 00:12:09,240 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 2: you have a chance to cover on the run line. 267 00:12:11,080 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 2: Not the case if the home team is winning up 268 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 2: three to two and it goes to the bottom of 269 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 2: the ninth inning. So I'm gonna bet more run lines 270 00:12:16,679 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 2: for road teams. So the Giants and the Astros both 271 00:12:19,679 --> 00:12:22,040 Speaker 2: factor in here. The Astros on the road at the 272 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 2: White Sox, Dylan C's to the mound. Dylan See's pitched 273 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:28,080 Speaker 2: against these Astros back on the seventeenth of June. He 274 00:12:28,120 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 2: went three to one third, four hits, gave up seven runs, 275 00:12:31,559 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 2: six earned the start before the All Star Break, he 276 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:39,120 Speaker 2: went five innings, two hits, two runs, both earned one 277 00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 2: home run six k's. But the time of that on 278 00:12:41,840 --> 00:12:44,760 Speaker 2: the road against the Minnesota Twins, he pitched five and 279 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:48,360 Speaker 2: one thirds, give up six runs, all earned one home run, 280 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:51,000 Speaker 2: eight k's, a couple of walks, and his last started 281 00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,880 Speaker 2: at home before the All Star break, six innings, three hits, 282 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:57,040 Speaker 2: two earned runs, two solo home runs, given up seven 283 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 2: k's in a thirteen to three win. 284 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 1: Over the two wins. 285 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:03,319 Speaker 2: The Astros come in here with a really good record, 286 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:05,360 Speaker 2: as I mentioned, forty seven and forty four to the 287 00:13:05,400 --> 00:13:09,360 Speaker 2: run line, and they've just been crushing these White Sox 288 00:13:09,480 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 2: for whatever reason. The Astros. They're twenty six and seventeen 289 00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 2: on the road. The White Sox are thirty one and 290 00:13:15,160 --> 00:13:19,560 Speaker 2: fourteen at home. But ten to two, two to one, seven, three, 291 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 2: eight to two, those are the scores so far between 292 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 2: these two teams. Four and o for the Astros. So 293 00:13:25,840 --> 00:13:27,640 Speaker 2: if I'm banking on the Red Sox to go on 294 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:29,360 Speaker 2: the road and beat the Yankees, like. 295 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,560 Speaker 1: I bet yesterday didn't count. 296 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:33,640 Speaker 2: But I'm just gonna come back here and I'm gonna 297 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,360 Speaker 2: roll with the Astros again here to keep this rule, 298 00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:39,000 Speaker 2: keep this domination going. You can say, well, the White 299 00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 2: Sox are due and YadA, YadA, YadA, fine, whatever you 300 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:44,640 Speaker 2: want to do on that. But this Astros team is 301 00:13:44,679 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 2: swinging hot bats. They had to walk off against the 302 00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 2: Yankees right before the All Star break, al two ves 303 00:13:49,400 --> 00:13:52,959 Speaker 2: coming around with twenty home runs. Brantley's been knocking the 304 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 2: cover off the baseball. They've got this lineup that really 305 00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:59,400 Speaker 2: comes at you, and they hit cease pretty well. I'm 306 00:13:59,400 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 2: taking the ass on the run line plus one oh 307 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,920 Speaker 2: five for a half of Unit Houston on the road 308 00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:06,680 Speaker 2: at Chicago to continue the domination of the White Sox. 309 00:14:07,080 --> 00:14:09,319 Speaker 2: Astros win and win by more than one and a 310 00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:13,480 Speaker 2: half at plus one oh five, Giants are at the 311 00:14:13,520 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 2: Cardinals Kevin Gosman going against Adam Wainwright. Gosman has been 312 00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 2: phenomenal nine to three, one point seven to three EER 313 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 2: a point eight two whip wayn wrt's been pretty good 314 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:26,360 Speaker 2: seven and five, three point five eight ERA, one point 315 00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 2: one point five whip for him. Gosman's given up a 316 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,960 Speaker 2: grand total of eight home runs. Saint Louis leads this 317 00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:35,440 Speaker 2: series two to one. However, first game Cardinals five to three, 318 00:14:35,880 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 2: second game Cardinals sixty five, and the Giants in the 319 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:40,000 Speaker 2: last game one at five to two. 320 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: So here this these teams play again. 321 00:14:42,560 --> 00:14:45,600 Speaker 2: That was a series in st in San Francisco, just 322 00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: now being a series in Saint Louis. Cardinals are twenty 323 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 2: three and eighteen at home. Giants are twenty seven and 324 00:14:51,040 --> 00:14:56,360 Speaker 2: nineteen at home. Gosman's just been absolutely tremendous in the 325 00:14:56,440 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 2: start before the All Star Break against Washington at home 326 00:14:59,560 --> 00:15:03,160 Speaker 2: six and four hits, one earn run, nine k's. He 327 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,160 Speaker 2: has pitched against Saint Louis last time out seven innings, 328 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:09,760 Speaker 2: three hits, two earned runs, two walks, eight k's, but 329 00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:12,680 Speaker 2: he did get the loss in a five to three lost. 330 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: That game was at home. 331 00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:17,800 Speaker 2: Before that, pitched against the Dodgers five innings, three hits, 332 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,560 Speaker 2: three earned runs, one home run, five walks in that 333 00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 2: game season high for him with four ks. But this 334 00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 2: is a guy who could use the rest, and now 335 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 2: I think he'll come out and pitch really, really well 336 00:15:28,400 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 2: for this lineup that has. 337 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,720 Speaker 1: Been sneaky sneaky good. 338 00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:36,480 Speaker 2: This season, the Giants. I am really close to betting 339 00:15:36,520 --> 00:15:38,960 Speaker 2: on the Giants to win the West. It's plus three 340 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:42,160 Speaker 2: p fifty for the Giants to win the West right now, 341 00:15:42,200 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 2: and I'm so I'm not there yet, but I'm getting there. 342 00:15:46,520 --> 00:15:50,080 Speaker 2: They have a plus one sixteen run differential. They're thirty 343 00:15:50,120 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 2: and thirteen at home. They're twenty seven nineteen on the road. 344 00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,400 Speaker 2: They've only given up three hundred and twenty five runs 345 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:58,400 Speaker 2: this year. Dodgers given up three hundred and thirty four 346 00:15:58,520 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 2: runs on The Dodgers have scored more runs. But I 347 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 2: think the Dodgers are gonna have a tough second half 348 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:07,000 Speaker 2: with the Trevor Bauer story looming over their heads, the 349 00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:11,080 Speaker 2: Dustin May injury, Kershaw continuing to deal with injuries later 350 00:16:11,120 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 2: in his career during the second half of the year. 351 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,480 Speaker 1: Yeah. Sure, they've got Walker, Bueller and Arius and a 352 00:16:16,480 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 1: bunch of really good arms. But man, they. 353 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:21,840 Speaker 2: Better stay healthy offensively, and they have to score a 354 00:16:21,840 --> 00:16:24,280 Speaker 2: lot of runs. And the Giants and the Dodgers play 355 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 2: a ton of baseball up against each other starting after 356 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 2: this series with Saint Louis, and I cannot wait to 357 00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:35,120 Speaker 2: see what the Giants look like in this first of 358 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: they play a four game series on the road at 359 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 2: LA after this three game set against Saint Louis, then 360 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:44,200 Speaker 2: they play Pittsburgh and then they go back home to 361 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:47,840 Speaker 2: take on the Dodgers for three. So Saint Louis for three, 362 00:16:48,280 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 2: Dodgers for four on the road, Pittsburgh for three at home, 363 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 2: and then the Dodgers come in for three in San Francisco. 364 00:16:55,360 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 2: We're gonna learn a lot And if they play well 365 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,600 Speaker 2: against Saint Louis, I very well might jump on the 366 00:16:59,640 --> 00:17:02,520 Speaker 2: Giant to win the National League West if they're hot 367 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:06,880 Speaker 2: heading into that series against the LA Dodgers, because they're 368 00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:10,200 Speaker 2: up by two games. But man, if they get going, 369 00:17:10,240 --> 00:17:12,119 Speaker 2: they win three out of four or something like that, 370 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:14,439 Speaker 2: and they can stretch that lead out, maybe get it 371 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 2: to three or four games, then come back at home 372 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,280 Speaker 2: and maybe get it to four or five games. Giants 373 00:17:20,280 --> 00:17:23,920 Speaker 2: offense has been sneaky, sneaky good. Giants on the run 374 00:17:24,000 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 2: line at plus one point fifteen up against the Cardinals. 375 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:32,399 Speaker 2: I'm really excited, and I'm really getting higher and higher 376 00:17:32,400 --> 00:17:34,399 Speaker 2: on the Giants. I'm coming along. I'm coming around on 377 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:37,439 Speaker 2: the Giants to win it all. I'm starting to feel 378 00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:39,560 Speaker 2: like buying a ticket on the Giants to win the 379 00:17:39,560 --> 00:17:42,399 Speaker 2: World Series is the right play, given what they're pitching 380 00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:45,960 Speaker 2: has done, what they're hitting is looking like, and people 381 00:17:46,000 --> 00:17:48,000 Speaker 2: are still kind of sleeping on them. They're kind of 382 00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 2: they're not really all in. They're like, ah, yeah, when 383 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 2: are they going to fall apart? And it's still the 384 00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 2: Dodgers Division to win and we're not really all that 385 00:17:55,480 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 2: high on them, and yeah, okay, all right, Adam wayn 386 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:02,880 Speaker 2: Wright's not a sl He's not a chump. Okay, last 387 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,280 Speaker 2: start before the All Star break, he faced these Giants 388 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,719 Speaker 2: five innings, seven hits, three earned runs, He gave up 389 00:18:08,760 --> 00:18:11,639 Speaker 2: three k's, four walks. But I'm gonna take the Giants 390 00:18:11,680 --> 00:18:13,560 Speaker 2: to win this game head. Could be three to one, right, 391 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:15,760 Speaker 2: could be a tight game, three to one win, four, 392 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:17,119 Speaker 2: one win, four, two win. 393 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 1: Whatever it may be. 394 00:18:17,840 --> 00:18:20,800 Speaker 2: Giants on the run line at plus one fifteen for 395 00:18:20,960 --> 00:18:23,720 Speaker 2: half a unit on the road at the Saint Louis Cardinals. 396 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:25,520 Speaker 1: Okay, so three plays for you guys. 397 00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:29,720 Speaker 2: We've got a Justin Thomas over Rory bet half a 398 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:33,560 Speaker 2: unit for the Open Championship Astros run line on the 399 00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 2: road at Chicago for plus one oh five and the 400 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:40,719 Speaker 2: Giants run line at plus one fifteen for the official 401 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:44,399 Speaker 2: plays here for a Friday. Now here's the parlay. Okay, 402 00:18:44,640 --> 00:18:46,439 Speaker 2: told you, I'll give you the parlay. This is a 403 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:51,000 Speaker 2: plus seven to eighteen parlay. All right, we're gonna take 404 00:18:51,040 --> 00:18:54,359 Speaker 2: the Giants in the Astros on the money line minus 405 00:18:54,359 --> 00:18:57,440 Speaker 2: one sixty five and minus one thirty seven. We're gonna 406 00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:00,760 Speaker 2: come back with the Dodgers up against Let me go 407 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:03,120 Speaker 2: ahead and pull this up because it says the Dodgers 408 00:19:03,359 --> 00:19:06,600 Speaker 2: on the money line at minus one point eighty four, 409 00:19:06,720 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 2: which is obviously pretty expensive. But the Dodgers on the 410 00:19:09,640 --> 00:19:13,320 Speaker 2: road at Colorado. We know about Colorado. There are really 411 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 2: bad baseball teams are forty and fifteen, fourth place in 412 00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,880 Speaker 2: the division. Dodgers to come out and win Game one, 413 00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:24,480 Speaker 2: and then the A's on the run line against Cleveland. 414 00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 2: Now the Oakland A's on the run line. They are 415 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 2: the third best team in Major League Baseball on the 416 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:29,080 Speaker 2: run line. 417 00:19:29,080 --> 00:19:30,480 Speaker 1: They're fifty two and forty. 418 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 2: That's fifty six point five percent of the time they 419 00:19:32,840 --> 00:19:36,359 Speaker 2: are covering on the run line. So A's on the 420 00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:41,880 Speaker 2: run line up against the Seattle Mariners for Eli Morgan 421 00:19:41,960 --> 00:19:45,040 Speaker 2: against Chris Bassett. It's the last game of the night. 422 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,520 Speaker 2: Twenty seven and twenty two for Oakland. Cleveland is twenty 423 00:19:48,520 --> 00:19:51,879 Speaker 2: one and twenty three on the road. Eli Morgan has 424 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,760 Speaker 2: a eight point four to four ERA, Chris Bassett's got 425 00:19:54,760 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 2: a three point two eight ERA, a one point zero 426 00:19:57,640 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 2: five whip so minus one ten on the A's on 427 00:20:00,960 --> 00:20:04,600 Speaker 2: the run line. So Giants money line, Astro's money line, 428 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:09,400 Speaker 2: Dodger's money line, A's run line, four team four leg 429 00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 2: plus seven eighteen parlay for our five and twenty don't 430 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:17,000 Speaker 2: bet a parlay parlay which we have. It feels like 431 00:20:17,040 --> 00:20:19,640 Speaker 2: Friday was yesterday. We're right back here giving parlays out 432 00:20:19,640 --> 00:20:22,960 Speaker 2: on our Friday for the Daily Juice. Those are the plays. 433 00:20:23,040 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on 434 00:20:24,800 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 2: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's 435 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,240 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast right here on bettingpros dot Com, 436 00:20:30,320 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 2: brought you by BETMGM