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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you happy? Monday?

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Speaker 2: Welcome into the Daily Juice podcast being brought to you

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Speaker 2: by Omaha Steaks dot Com. My name is Matt Parout.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me on socials at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 2: And we are back after a brutal weekend, and I

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Speaker 2: mean brutal. Oh and six down about seven units and

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Speaker 2: we put a dent in the overall record for the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice since I've come back. My goodness, we were

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Speaker 2: up twenty units and now we are not still up

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Speaker 2: double digits. But this is the roller coaster ride, hopefully

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Speaker 2: as we start the new week. Hopefully that's about it,

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Speaker 2: although this is the worst week for sports betting of

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Speaker 2: the twenty twenty three year. Welcome to the desert. We've

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Speaker 2: hit the bottom. Time to climb our way out of it.

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Speaker 2: This podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com.

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Speaker 2: You guys can go and have a really fun conversation

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Speaker 2: if you like this deal, you might want to jump

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Speaker 2: on it today.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: This is sixty one percent off the Gourmet Grill pack.

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Speaker 2: it all plus eight. Omaha Steak Burgers promo code is juice.

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Speaker 2: If you like this offer, you're gonna put it in

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Speaker 2: the top right hand corner in the search bar. That's

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Speaker 2: going to activate it for ninety nine to ninety nine.

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Speaker 2: New offer will hit you tomorrow for the Omaha Steaks sponsorship.

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Speaker 2: So if you like this offer, today's the day to

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Speaker 2: get it, or wait for the new offer tomorrow and

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Speaker 2: see what it is.

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Speaker 1: Maybe better, I don't know, but this one's pretty darn good.

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Speaker 2: It's a lot of food for less than one hundred bucks,

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Speaker 2: all right, So I'm not I can't even recap yesterday.

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Speaker 2: It was just Red Sox win. Now on the run line,

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Speaker 2: they win four to three. There were four runs scored

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Speaker 2: in the sixth inning, not four runs scored in the

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Speaker 2: fifth inning. That would have given us the over five

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Speaker 2: and a half in the first five of the Rangers game.

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Speaker 2: Rangers lost by the way Patrick Corbin pitched. Really well,

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Speaker 2: that was weird, kind of a bummer situation there, and

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Speaker 2: then the Braves got beat up pretty badly. We bet

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Speaker 2: the streaks yesterday. The Red Sox did win, just not

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Speaker 2: on the run line, so they ended up up, you know,

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Speaker 2: winning five games in a row going into the All

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Speaker 2: Star Break, Braves got spanked by the Raids, who snapped

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Speaker 2: their seven game losing streak. Looks pretty good doing it.

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Speaker 2: It's mabe Tampa. It's got something to say in the

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Speaker 2: second half of the year. But you know those were

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Speaker 2: you bet the streaks. You know those things can happen.

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Speaker 2: If it goes against you, it goes against you. You

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Speaker 2: got to wear it and you got to move on

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Speaker 2: to something else. So it is a week of wonkiness. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So I got to search around to see what I

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Speaker 2: want to bet on. I only have two plays for

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Speaker 2: us here today. If you want to fade them both,

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Speaker 2: go right ahead. I'm not going to be angry. Okay,

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Speaker 2: you can go ahead and do that, because I'm ice cold.

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Speaker 2: I never get angry about you guys fading and making money.

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Speaker 1: Never get mad.

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Speaker 2: Use my losses to benefit you, right, you guys win,

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Speaker 2: I lose. I'm totally fine with it, but I kind

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Speaker 2: of do like both these bets coming up here for today.

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Speaker 2: The first one is in the home run derby. Okay,

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Speaker 2: who wins this thing? I have no idea? Okay, all

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Speaker 2: I know is that Major League Baseball juices the balls

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Speaker 2: in the home run derby. They want home runs, but

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Speaker 2: Team Mobile is not exactly conducive for home runs.

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Speaker 1: All right.

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Speaker 2: So here's the weather forecast. Seventy degrees for the home

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Speaker 2: run derby during the day, low of about fifty four.

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Speaker 2: That's not really warm, but that's not bad because the

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Speaker 2: guys aren't going to be overly sweaty and hot. They're

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Speaker 2: going to be able to keep themselves relatively cool, which

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Speaker 2: is unlike we've seen other places like San Diego or

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Speaker 2: La with a temperature gets pretty high.

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Speaker 1: The wind is gonna be slight.

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Speaker 2: It looks like the dome will be open, all right,

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Speaker 2: So it's gonna be an open air. What direction the

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Speaker 2: wind blows, what they wait and see?

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Speaker 1: This is not a home run friendly ballpark. Okay.

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Speaker 2: The record for T Mobile Park in its twenty four

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Speaker 2: year history is four hundred and eighty two sorry, four hundred, yeah,

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Speaker 2: four and eighty two feet hit back in April of

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Speaker 2: this year. That's the longest home run at the park

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Speaker 2: in the stat cast era. Okay, there's only been six

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Speaker 2: home runs in the history of the park hit over

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Speaker 2: four hundred and sixty feet. Okay, so four eighty two

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Speaker 2: is the record. Draft Kings has set the number for

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Speaker 2: the longest home run at four hundred and ninety and

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Speaker 2: a half feet. Okay, so this will be the longest

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Speaker 2: home run in the history of the park. I just

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Speaker 2: can't get around the idea that we have seen really

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Speaker 2: far home run be hit by guys who are in

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Speaker 2: the field here, namely Pee Alonzo. So Pee Alonso when

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Speaker 2: it was at Colorado and chorus Field, and you're gonna go, Matt.

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Speaker 2: Chorus Field is at altitude mile high. This is sea

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Speaker 2: level Seattle, thick air, sixty percent humidity.

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Speaker 1: What are you talking about?

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Speaker 2: Just saying Peter Alonzo hit a home run, hit a

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Speaker 2: bomb of a home run back in twenty twenty one

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Speaker 2: last year of five hundred and fourteen feet.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: He also hit four home runs of at least five

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Speaker 2: hundred and eight feet. Okay, this is what this dude does.

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Speaker 2: He's favored to win it because he actually cares about

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Speaker 2: the home run derby. He wants to win this thing

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Speaker 2: because it's a million dollar prize. His base salary is

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Speaker 2: a half a million, so he can double his annual

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Speaker 2: salary here tonight by winning this thing. The longest home

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Speaker 2: run ever in the Statcast era during a home run

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Speaker 2: derby is five hundred and twenty feet last year, set

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Speaker 2: by Juan Soto, who won the event. Trevor Story last

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Speaker 2: year hit five hundred and eighteen Sorry, yeah, five hundred

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Speaker 2: and eighteen foot home run that nearly left the entire

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Speaker 2: ballpark yet last year. Okay, so the longest home runs

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Speaker 2: were all hit last year. It's at altitude, is what

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Speaker 2: you would expect. Okay, this is not anywhere near it. However,

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Speaker 2: I do think you have to look at the fact

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Speaker 2: that Major League Baseball will know this, and Major League

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Speaker 2: Baseball might be a little bit concerned because according to

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Speaker 2: stat Cast, I mean, we were talking about one of

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Speaker 2: the worst home run ballparks in all of baseball, twenty

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Speaker 2: first in the league. According to onlyhomers dot com for

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Speaker 2: Team Mobile Park, there's only been ninety two home runs

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Speaker 2: in total hit this season at T Mobile this year,

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Speaker 2: So that's a little concerning. I think Baseball might be

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Speaker 2: a little bit concerned in terms of well, how many

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Speaker 2: home runs get hit? Okay, so if you want some

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Speaker 2: extra action on this the number of home runs hit,

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Speaker 2: you can go and try to find some different opportunities. Here.

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Speaker 2: Number of home home runs hit is two hundred and

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Speaker 2: seventy six and a half. I actually would lean towards

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Speaker 2: the under in that of two hundred and seventy six

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Speaker 2: and a half. I don't know if we see as

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Speaker 2: many home runs simply because of this ballpark, the weather,

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Speaker 2: everything I just mentioned. However, I do think there's a

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Speaker 2: good shot that we get one monster home run that

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Speaker 2: somebody because of either the weather the ball early this

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Speaker 2: this most likely needs to be done in the first round, Okay,

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Speaker 2: going over four hundred and ninety and a half feet

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Speaker 2: for the home run derby, all right, just because I

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Speaker 2: don't trust baseball, I think they'll know all these storylines.

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Speaker 2: It's going to be talked about a ton during the

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Speaker 2: pregame show. But the lack of home runs hit in

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Speaker 2: Seattle this season, and that this is a hard ballpark

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Speaker 2: to get the ball out of in particular, and dead

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Speaker 2: center field, which is over four hundred feet, but again

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Speaker 2: four hundred and eighty two feet being the longest home

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Speaker 2: run ever done this year at the ballpark. I just

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Speaker 2: think these are gonna be super Bowls, that they're gonna

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Speaker 2: juice it up. And I think Pete Alonzo or Vlad

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Speaker 2: Guerrero Junior or you know, Julio Rodriguez want you know,

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Speaker 2: Luis Robert, somebody's gonna crank one over four hundred and

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Speaker 2: ninety and a half feet. All right, it's juice to

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Speaker 2: the under for everything I just said, all right, this

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Speaker 2: is going against the numbers. This is just going with like,

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Speaker 2: what does baseball want tonight? Baseball wants eyeballs ratings and

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Speaker 2: they want mom, you know, mammoth home runs over four

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Speaker 2: hundred and ninety and a half feet one It's mine,

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Speaker 2: one oh five, one point zero five units down on it.

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Speaker 2: It lets us watch every single swing and every single

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Speaker 2: home run. It gives us action on every single home run.

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Speaker 2: It lets us have some excitement on every single swing.

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Speaker 2: Does someone connect and hit an absolute moonshot and if

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Speaker 2: they do, goes four hundred and ninety and a half

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Speaker 2: feet over four hundred and ninety and a half feet

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Speaker 2: for the long home run tonight in the home run derby,

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Speaker 2: minus one oh five, one point zero five units down

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Speaker 2: on that.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 2: Summer League is starting here in Las Vegas. It's already

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Speaker 2: been going on, and one of the best teams. I've

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Speaker 2: been waiting on this for a bit. The Orlando Magic

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Speaker 2: have not looked good so far in what they've done

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Speaker 2: in the Orlando Magic. Who they're sending here to Vegas.

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Speaker 2: They're sending basically nobody. I mean, Jet Howard is coming. Okay,

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Speaker 2: he was the eleventh pick in the draft. He will play.

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Speaker 2: You've got Ked Houston, who is the thirty second pick

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Speaker 2: in the draft last year, and Anthony Black who was

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Speaker 2: the sixth pick last year this year rather by the

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Speaker 2: Orlando Magic. Okay, they're young and that's about it. Okay,

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Speaker 2: everyone else is undrafted. Everybody else is just a roster

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Speaker 2: that the Magic threw together. The Pacers, on the other side,

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Speaker 2: are doing something different. The Pacers are sending the sixth

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Speaker 2: pick in last year draft, the thirty first pick in

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Speaker 2: last year's draft, the twenty sixth pick in this year's draft,

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Speaker 2: the fifty fifth pick in this year's draft, and a

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Speaker 2: couple of guys who they had draft rights to that

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Speaker 2: they grabbed a hold of during the NBA Draft.

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Speaker 1: Okay, this is a relatively.

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Speaker 2: I hesitate to say talented, but Isaiah Wong is on

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Speaker 2: this team, ben Enigma Thuran is on this team. Andrew

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Speaker 2: Nemhart is on this team. Okay, Pacers have got a roster. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's only minus three and a half up against the

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Speaker 2: Orlando Magic here tonight in Vegas. This is a game

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Speaker 2: worth watching. This is a game I think the Pacers

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Speaker 2: win relatively easily, and I think it's a decent play.

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Speaker 2: I mean, you start looking at roster, Okay, here in Vegas,

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Speaker 2: you got I mean, for me, it's like how many

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Speaker 2: guys were drafted by the team that they're playing for,

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Speaker 2: because that matters to me, because you've got the coaching staff.

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Speaker 2: It's not the head coaching obviously, but like they're gonna

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Speaker 2: want to get these players into the system like teams

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Speaker 2: like the Warriors have sense like nobody, Like they've got

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Speaker 2: the guy who they drafted nineteenth overall coming here and

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Speaker 2: that's about it. I Mean, their roster just isn't talented.

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Speaker 2: It's just not very it's just not very good. Same

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Speaker 2: like the Boston Celtics. So, like I said, nobody, the

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Speaker 2: guy they picked JD. Davidson, they picked them fifty third

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Speaker 2: in last year's draft, the only drafted player they've gotten

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Speaker 2: this entire roster.

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Speaker 1: Now, maybe these guys.

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Speaker 2: Do like, you know, little engine that could type stuff,

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Speaker 2: but generally speaking, if you're not drafted, if you're not

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Speaker 2: you know, if the team's not really invested in it,

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Speaker 2: they're not really going you know, heavily with you. The Clippers,

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Speaker 2: on the other hand, the Clippers have sent you know,

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Speaker 2: Kobe Brown, a guy they drafted thirtieth this year, Jordan Miller,

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Speaker 2: a guy that drafted forty eighth this year, like you know,

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Speaker 2: a player that drafted forty third.

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Speaker 1: In the draft.

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Speaker 2: I just it's not really a great rhyme or reason

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Speaker 2: to come up with it, but I just think that

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Speaker 2: matters to me in terms of how these players are going.

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Speaker 2: Like the Spurs, obviously Victor one Byama played last night,

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Speaker 2: but it's not just Victor one Byama who they're doing

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Speaker 2: with it. They've got guys who they took twentieth last

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Speaker 2: year in the draft, twenty fifth last year in the draft,

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Speaker 2: forty fourth this year in the draft. Talking about players

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Speaker 2: that they are invested in and players that they want

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Speaker 2: to see develop. Summer League is all about development, So

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Speaker 2: that's one way of taking a look at how these

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Speaker 2: teams are going to go. And for this week, we

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Speaker 2: got to pay attention to the summer League. Okay, it's

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Speaker 2: not the most fun thing to bet. I'm not in

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Speaker 2: love with it, but it's just what we have to do.

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Speaker 2: And you know, I don't mind this. Okay, I'm betting

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Speaker 2: units one unit and whatnot. But this is not a

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Speaker 2: bad time to take a look at your bank roll

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Speaker 2: and start to assess what your one unit play actually is. Okay,

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Speaker 2: if your bankroll has been good and done well in

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Speaker 2: hockey in the NBA and you want to keep playing

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Speaker 2: same one unit plays, that's fine. If you want to

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Speaker 2: shrink your one unit size and shrink it down here

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Speaker 2: to you know, whatever you need to be remember your

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Speaker 2: one unit. People always ask me, like Matt, what's one unit?

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Speaker 2: To me, it's three to five percent of your bankroll,

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Speaker 2: all right, So your bank roll is one hundred dollars,

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Speaker 2: it's a three to five dollars bet that you're making. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So if you're going to go and you can, you know,

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Speaker 2: push it out one thousand dollars or thirty or fifty,

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Speaker 2: ten thousand dollars and so on and so on and

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Speaker 2: so on July.

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Speaker 1: Right now, not a bad time.

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Speaker 2: Take a look at what's going to happen for the

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Speaker 2: second half of the year, the next six months. As

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Speaker 2: you head towards football, where's the bankroll? How are you doing?

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Speaker 2: Or have a summertime bankroll and get ready for the

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Speaker 2: fall saying you don't want to blow the bankroll in

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Speaker 2: the summertime betting on baseball and home run Derby's a

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Speaker 2: chance for you to say, all right, so I'm going

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Speaker 2: to shrink the bank roll, isn't you know? I'm going

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Speaker 2: to do three percent, not five percent? And that is

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Speaker 2: what the pros really do, Okay. The pros will shrink

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Speaker 2: their unit size when it's not advantageous to push.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: So if in the fall it's going to be a

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Speaker 2: five percent one unit bet, but right now it's a

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Speaker 2: three percent one unit bet, not a bad idea, okay.

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Speaker 2: Just something to take a look at, Just something to

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Speaker 2: watch your bankroll with bank world management. Something to take

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Speaker 2: keep in mind as we head towards this wonky week

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Speaker 2: where there won't be real baseball being played till Friday,

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Speaker 2: right Thursday or Friday, so get some time off from

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Speaker 2: baseball's we're given the where I was the last two

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Speaker 2: days not too bad to take.

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Speaker 1: Some have a smaller type of week.

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Speaker 2: All right, two bets for us here today, just a

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Speaker 2: little over two units in play.

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Speaker 1: We are going with the.

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Speaker 2: Over four hundred and ninety and a half feet for

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Speaker 2: the longest home run tonight in the Major League Baseball

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Speaker 2: home run derby from Seattle. That is a minus one

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Speaker 2: oh five bet one point zero five units down, and

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Speaker 2: the Pacers minus three and a half against the Orlando

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Speaker 2: Magic here in Las Vegas for the Summer League minus

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Speaker 2: one ten one point one units down on VET minus.

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Speaker 2: Matt Parol's following me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt

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Speaker 2: or all the socials at Sports Talk Matt. It is

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Speaker 2: the Daly Juce Podcast being brought to you by Olmaha

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Speaker 2: Steakes dot com