Speaker 1: You were listening to the Miami Dolphins podcast Network. This
Speaker 1: is Drive Time with Travis wheat Field. Back to throw
Speaker 1: to a looking what's the wine open touchdop cleric kill, unbelievable,
Speaker 1: just blue fire for a second time. Don't know where
Speaker 1: he was going right away to hit that man. I
Speaker 1: want to help you soon up on his way. Wattle,
Speaker 1: waddle to a shotgut back to throw all looking steps
Speaker 1: up fires touchtop again, it's waddle. It's six touchdown pass
Speaker 1: out of this day. Drive Time with Travis Wingfield begins.
Speaker 1: Now let me check your pulse. What is up? Dolph
Speaker 1: fans and welcome to the Drivetime Podcast, part of the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins podcast Network, covering your team, your Miami Dolphins.
Speaker 1: How's it going everybody? I am your host, Travis Wingfield,
Speaker 1: And on today's show, Thursday means a pre you and
Speaker 1: you know your boy is fired up for Jets week.
Speaker 1: Will go to the tape, to the numbers and break
Speaker 1: this thing down position by position, will tell you what's
Speaker 1: at stake and give you the three keys to victory.
Speaker 1: From the Baptist Health Studios inside the Baptist Health Training Complex.
Speaker 1: This is the Drive Time Podcast. It is that time again,
Speaker 1: the time for that trip up the coastline from nearly
Speaker 1: the deepest points south in the continental United States up
Speaker 1: to New Jersey's northernmost point on that same eastern coastline.
Speaker 1: A battle of two teams whose colors registers somewhere within
Speaker 1: the realm of green, though on either end of that spectrum,
Speaker 1: a rivalry that has spawned streaks and runs through over
Speaker 1: fifty years of competition. And yet just two wins separate
Speaker 1: these two sides. Fifty seven fifty five and one all time.
Speaker 1: Are your Miami Dolphins, thinks in large part to a
Speaker 1: four game winning streak and eight of the last nine,
Speaker 1: and the Dolphins have looked the art of a team
Speaker 1: on the rise through the first four games. And the
Speaker 1: Jets are doing something of the same with two wins
Speaker 1: in their first four games for the first time in
Speaker 1: a long time for that team. And you know by
Speaker 1: now about Miami's build to this point. Let's look at
Speaker 1: how the Jets collected a pair of wins and sit
Speaker 1: at five hundred in the month of October for the
Speaker 1: first time since and are going to have a fired
Speaker 1: up home crowd Sunday with the possibility of getting over
Speaker 1: five hundred in the month of October for the first
Speaker 1: time since seen against their most hated rival. It's year
Speaker 1: two of Robert Salo coaching a roster put together by
Speaker 1: GM Joe Douglas, who arrived in twenty nineteen and went
Speaker 1: to work right away accumulating draft capital for this Jets roster,
Speaker 1: most notably with the Jamal Adams trade, getting a pair
Speaker 1: of first rounders back for that and that's where the
Speaker 1: bulk of this roster has been built through the draft.
Speaker 1: He and his staff have been put together this roster
Speaker 1: after that season where they won just two games and
Speaker 1: very late in the year or threat in there for
Speaker 1: a winless season and obviously playing at a deficit. On
Speaker 1: that roster, it was one of the more i would
Speaker 1: say talent poor rosters we've seen in the National Football
Speaker 1: League in some time, but they have built upon that.
Speaker 1: They drafted a quarterback with the second overall pick one.
Speaker 1: We'll see if that works out for him. They went
Speaker 1: to work on the offensive line by trading up for
Speaker 1: Elijah Vera Tucker who absolutely looks the part so far.
Speaker 1: They made a splash on draft night this year getting
Speaker 1: Sauce Gardner, who looks like an absolute hit Garrett Wilson,
Speaker 1: Jermaine Johnson, and Breece Hall, who are all contributing as
Speaker 1: rookies so far, not to mention some solid free agent
Speaker 1: pickups along the way, Allah Corey Davis, George Fant, Carl Lawson,
Speaker 1: D J. Reid, and Jordan Whitehead. Dolphinsive one four straight
Speaker 1: over the Jets, but those weren't the same Jets teams
Speaker 1: you'll see on Sunday. They are improved. And we start
Speaker 1: our preview as we do weekly, with the Miami offense
Speaker 1: and the quarterback position. A changed this week obviously, with
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater getting his first start for his hometown Dolphins,
Speaker 1: and if you haven't had a chance to see his
Speaker 1: Wednesday press conference, go check it out. What an easy
Speaker 1: guy to root for. I sure hope he lights it
Speaker 1: up on Sunday. He talked about the support he feels
Speaker 1: from the organization, not just this week as the starter,
Speaker 1: but since he signed here. He talked about the genuine
Speaker 1: vibes and how they're contagious throughout the entire building, and
Speaker 1: he just gives you this real calming presence and knowledge
Speaker 1: and experience. I think it's going to be invaluable, not
Speaker 1: just for the team, but it has been so far
Speaker 1: for the quarterbacks room to start the year, and coach
Speaker 1: McDaniel said as much, referring to Teddy's openness and the
Speaker 1: ability to share insights and be a sounding board for
Speaker 1: younger guys to come to, saying that not all veterans
Speaker 1: are like that, you know some sometimes they don't want
Speaker 1: to give those secrets out. And now he gets to
Speaker 1: start a big road game with a chance to get
Speaker 1: to three no in the division. I wrote a breakdown
Speaker 1: slash evaluation of Teddy back in shoot what was that
Speaker 1: had to have been twenty nineteen, right after Tannehill was gone,
Speaker 1: when he was visiting with the Dolphins and it was
Speaker 1: looking like he might sign here to be the potential
Speaker 1: starter before Ryan Fitzpatrick signed, and so I got to
Speaker 1: work on the podcast and the film breaking Down a
Speaker 1: written piece on Lockdown Dolphins dot com, and I remember
Speaker 1: loving how he grew from his time in Minnesota as
Speaker 1: a young player to an experience veteran with his anticipation, timing,
Speaker 1: and feel those things that improve and get better into
Speaker 1: your mid to late twenties and into your thirties, and
Speaker 1: obviously that was a tough situation. Thursday, night, coming off
Speaker 1: the you know, the bench, and coming off you know,
Speaker 1: a loss in a wild week, coming off that stuff.
Speaker 1: I think that Teddy is exactly what this team needs
Speaker 1: right now. I think he's gonna play poised. I think
Speaker 1: he's gonna play smart. I think he's gonna take advantage
Speaker 1: of the matchups that he determines to be most beneficial
Speaker 1: to the offense, which, if you heard the presser, he said,
Speaker 1: this is the most offensive firepower he's had in his career.
Speaker 1: And it's tough to argue that when you have the
Speaker 1: number one receiver in the league and the number six
Speaker 1: leading receiver in the national football with Tyreek Hill and
Speaker 1: Jalen Waddle. And here's the point that I think it's
Speaker 1: also worth mentioning Teddy has been pretty even in his career,
Speaker 1: wins and losses and and you know, good performances and
Speaker 1: not so great performances, some big moments, some losing streaks,
Speaker 1: a little bit of everything in between. But if you
Speaker 1: look at his body of work, and really last year
Speaker 1: for the Broncos, game by game and you know, not
Speaker 1: going back to the Vikings, but Broncos and Saints and Panthers,
Speaker 1: it's kind of come down to this for him, how
Speaker 1: good is the opponent? Because last year with Denver seven
Speaker 1: and six as a starter, the seven wins were versus
Speaker 1: non playoff teams, six of them picked in the top
Speaker 1: ten in the draft last year in fact, and in
Speaker 1: those games he never turned it over. He threw for
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns and had a one passer rating in all
Speaker 1: of them. In the losses never a rating over one
Speaker 1: hundred seven picks against six playoff teams and a seventh
Speaker 1: against Cleveland that was decent as well last year. This
Speaker 1: is why I think Teddy is so damn valuable. You
Speaker 1: need him to win a game that you are, by
Speaker 1: the numbers, supposed to win, right, I think he probably will.
Speaker 1: So the question then becomes, well, what do you think
Speaker 1: of the Jets team? I have my answer well to
Speaker 1: that for the rest of the podcast. How about one
Speaker 1: of the keys we look at weekly, throwing versus pressure
Speaker 1: and versus the blitz. The Jets blitz at the fourth
Speaker 1: lowest clip in the league sixteen point eight percent of
Speaker 1: the time, and they pressure at a higher rate, which
Speaker 1: is a sign of a team with a good four
Speaker 1: man rush. That's a twenty three point four percent pressure rate.
Speaker 1: That's eighteenth best in the NFL so twenty uh numbers,
Speaker 1: most frequent blitzing team, eighteenth best pressure team so far.
Speaker 1: And we'll use Teddy's numbers from last year since it's
Speaker 1: a greater sample size than just the one and some
Speaker 1: change games he played this year. I guess it's less
Speaker 1: than one game in totality versus the blitz last year.
Speaker 1: Seventy three point nine percent completion, eight point nine yards
Speaker 1: per tempt, nine touchdowns and just two picks. Now you
Speaker 1: have to imagine this means the Jets go to what
Speaker 1: they do best and get pressure with four man rushes.
Speaker 1: But you never know against pressure, Teddy fifty eight point
Speaker 1: four percent, five point nine yards per attempt, seven touchdowns
Speaker 1: and one pick. I mean the poise right there. The
Speaker 1: numbers like the ball comes out fast, lower percentage, lower
Speaker 1: yards per tempt, but seven touchdowns, one pick. The poison.
Speaker 1: Not turn it over against pressure. You know you're always
Speaker 1: gonna get dips in the completion percentage in y p A.
Speaker 1: But man, that touchdown interception ratio, it's good. It's really
Speaker 1: good against pressure. And Teddy will get you know, a
Speaker 1: lot of the same looks on down by down basis.
Speaker 1: They just don't mix up their personnel very often. To
Speaker 1: the New York Jets, uh, their three four they run
Speaker 1: that eighteen percent of the time. It's a base package
Speaker 1: for three seven percent of the time, so they really
Speaker 1: are in base. Oh boy, some more math to come here.
Speaker 1: That looks like forty to me. And then your nickel
Speaker 1: is the other half of the time, So you know
Speaker 1: that's gonna be matchup base for them there and dine,
Speaker 1: by the way, four point five percent making up the remainder.
Speaker 1: But if they're not gonna substitute match personnel, that could
Speaker 1: be an area that Dolphins say, Hey, let's go ahead
Speaker 1: and take advantage of this matchup, this, that or the other.
Speaker 1: They're in uh fifty fifty split between single high and
Speaker 1: two high safeties. They've run eleven plays this year with
Speaker 1: zero safeties that you know cover zero look and one
Speaker 1: play this year with three high safety. See, you typically
Speaker 1: get nickel half the time based the other or half
Speaker 1: the time, and even split between single and two high
Speaker 1: safety looks. There's a difficulty here for me trying to
Speaker 1: figure out the best route to win because I'm looking
Speaker 1: at a potential game plan where maybe you do try
Speaker 1: to spread them out and get them into mismatches where
Speaker 1: they don't match our receivers. Like if you get a
Speaker 1: safety or you know, a lineback around receiver, go after it.
Speaker 1: But also I think the running game and attacking these
Speaker 1: linebackers and coverage out of you know, twelve personnel looks
Speaker 1: twenty one personnel personnel and force the linebackers to play
Speaker 1: coverage on alec Ingold, Mike Ka sick E, Durham Smith,
Speaker 1: Hunter Long potentially back this week, or you know, the
Speaker 1: one receiver on the field, Tyreek Hill, Jalen Waddle, whatever
Speaker 1: the case may be. Because other teams have had a
Speaker 1: lot of success, and we'll get to this. Running the
Speaker 1: football and throwing behind that second level of the Jets defense.
Speaker 1: They only play two safeties barely at all. Ashton Davis
Speaker 1: essentially is your dime back. That four point five percent usage.
Speaker 1: That's basically his playing time. Jordan Whitehead and LaMarcus Joiner
Speaker 1: are the full time players. They have their white Heads
Speaker 1: just tremendously heavy. He tends to be around the football.
Speaker 1: He's kind of like our safeties in terms of the
Speaker 1: fact that he uses instincts and knowledge and preparation to
Speaker 1: put himself in advantageous situations, plays all over the field.
Speaker 1: A hundred and seventeen snaps in the post, down in
Speaker 1: the box, twenty nine in the slot, So find Jordan
Speaker 1: Whitehead every snap, and the LaMarcus Joiner is pretty similar,
Speaker 1: although he's in the post more often. He's a ball hawk,
Speaker 1: though already has two picks. He pulled down a fifty
Speaker 1: fifty ball out of the hands of Chase Claypool last week.
Speaker 1: He's been in the post for a hundred and sixty
Speaker 1: eight snaps with forty seven in the box, so they're
Speaker 1: pretty interchangeable in terms of their alignment, although Whitehead does
Speaker 1: spend more time down in the muck and the meyer.
Speaker 1: I'm curious to see if they play too high a
Speaker 1: little more, you know, fifty fifty on the year, just
Speaker 1: because if you're gonna play single high and you're gonna
Speaker 1: have waddle and hill on the field, you're playing with fire.
Speaker 1: So I'm curious to see what they do with regards
Speaker 1: to that. And combined those guys, those two stafies have
Speaker 1: been targeted sixteen times, twelve catches, a hundred and seventy
Speaker 1: six yards, three touchdowns, three picks or kind of feast
Speaker 1: or famine there in the touchdown interception world, and then
Speaker 1: receivers and tight ends versus corners, and of course that
Speaker 1: coverage is also dictated with those safeties by the underneath corners.
Speaker 1: The Jets had a home room with Sauce Gardner in
Speaker 1: the draft. He looks the absolute part so far. He
Speaker 1: has excellent press and mirror skills. He competes up the
Speaker 1: stem and at the catchpoint. Really good looking player for them.
Speaker 1: It looked like he gambled some in the preseason and
Speaker 1: training camp based upon the videos we saw, but I
Speaker 1: think he's kind of dialed that back and playing more
Speaker 1: true to their zone coverages. His individual matchups this year
Speaker 1: have been impressive. The Steelers completed just two of seven
Speaker 1: on him for nine yards. Tee Higgins caught two of
Speaker 1: three for fifty one him, but Jamar Chase didn't catch
Speaker 1: a pass on just one target against him. Marii Cooper
Speaker 1: caught all four of his targets in the Browns game
Speaker 1: for thirty three yards. Donovan Peoples Jones got the only
Speaker 1: other target, did not catch that pass, and then the
Speaker 1: Ravens completed one of three targets against Gardner for just
Speaker 1: eight yards. In his first career games, so he's seen
Speaker 1: targets against speedsters, size guys, tight ends, and lot so
Speaker 1: I ding number one is a good idea. He's kind
Speaker 1: of a straw that stirs a drink already as a
Speaker 1: rookie in that defensive backfield, he did not register a
Speaker 1: r A S workout number because he didn't work out.
Speaker 1: But the other two primary corners are DJ Reid and
Speaker 1: Michael Carter. Read never leaves the field. Carter plays sixties
Speaker 1: six percent of the time in the slot you know
Speaker 1: all the time, and their coverage numbers are eight of
Speaker 1: eighteen seventy three yards, no touchdowns, one pick for Read,
Speaker 1: eleven of thirteen one one touchdown, one pick against Michael Carter,
Speaker 1: and frankly, I think those contexts needs some numbers because
Speaker 1: remember the discussion we had about defensive metrics are largely
Speaker 1: a result of who you've played well. Last week Trabisky
Speaker 1: and Pickett wasn't their best game in Jacoby Brissette the
Speaker 1: week prior to that was not lighting the scoreboard up either,
Speaker 1: So those numbers I think a little bit inflated. We'll
Speaker 1: see about with him facing Josh Allen. You know, I
Speaker 1: wish I wish it was two of but that's down
Speaker 1: the line hopefully. Um guys, you know who else we're
Speaker 1: playing this freaking schedule. Let me look real quick, justin Herbert, Um,
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers, those guys, you know, we'll see about that.
Speaker 1: So those are the individuals. But as we know, this
Speaker 1: tends to be, you know, a team operation, especially since
Speaker 1: the Jets play zone at the sixth highest rate in
Speaker 1: the NFL and they just don't have corners travel, so
Speaker 1: you can dictate and create matchups that you want that way,
Speaker 1: and playing man against the speed this Dolphins team has
Speaker 1: typically is not the best idea. So the design is
Speaker 1: a critical element for creating space and then Teddy processing
Speaker 1: it quickly. And as we know, Tyreek and Jalen can
Speaker 1: take a ten yard throw and turn them into explosive plays.
Speaker 1: But I'm looking at the potential of ball control, sustaining
Speaker 1: drives to function off the running game and setting down
Speaker 1: some guys like Cedric Wilson, Trent Scherfield, Mike Siki into
Speaker 1: the soft spots of the zone, because as we'll get to,
Speaker 1: those areas have been exploited by the first four teams
Speaker 1: that Jets have played so far. And then of course
Speaker 1: it always starts in the trenches. Right, We'll come back
Speaker 1: on the other side of the uh the break here
Speaker 1: easy for me to say, and preview Dolphins offensive line
Speaker 1: versus Jets defensive line. Plenty more to come here on
Speaker 1: this edition of the Drivetime Podcast. Our preview of the
Speaker 1: Jets game you our host Travis Wingfield, brought to you
Speaker 1: by Auto Nation. Segment number two here on a preview
Speaker 1: Thursday edition of the Drive Time Podcast. I always try
Speaker 1: to get the entire Dolphins offense segment done in the
Speaker 1: first segment, but it never works out because these podcasts
Speaker 1: go a little bit long. But I don't think anyone's
Speaker 1: complaining about ten extra ments of podcast per day. But
Speaker 1: we do pick it back up here Dolphins o line
Speaker 1: versus the Jets defensive line, and really few teams use
Speaker 1: rotation as much as the Jets. Here their top defensive
Speaker 1: tackles and defensive ends in terms of snap counts and
Speaker 1: their pressure numbers to follow. Quentin Williams, a sixty one
Speaker 1: percent player, leads defensive tackles, also has the most pressures
Speaker 1: with eleven, then a big drop off in terms of pressure.
Speaker 1: Sheldon Rankin's fifty percent player four pressures Solomon Thomas and
Speaker 1: Nathan Shepherd both at thirty and both have one pressure each.
Speaker 1: So Quentnin Williams kind of like Sauce Gardner is your
Speaker 1: straw that stirs a drink. He is. We'll talk about
Speaker 1: him in a second. Off the edge. Carl Lawson fifty
Speaker 1: three percent snaptakers, that's our top guy. He's playing barely
Speaker 1: half the snaps eleven pressures, also tied for the team lead.
Speaker 1: And then again a big drop off Franklin myerscent snaptaker
Speaker 1: five pressures, Jacob Martin thirty eight percent snaptaker eight pressures,
Speaker 1: and then Michael Clemens the rookie plays a quarter of
Speaker 1: the snaps and has four pressures to show for. So
Speaker 1: Williams inside absolute force, commands a ton of attention, lots
Speaker 1: of doubles, and can win with both power and speed.
Speaker 1: He's kind of the man, like we said with Sauce
Speaker 1: that stirs the drink for them. There and off of that,
Speaker 1: they are just a big, big physical group with heavy ends.
Speaker 1: These teams have a decent amount of mirrored prototypes. That way.
Speaker 1: Carl Lawson's terrific the way he plays the run and
Speaker 1: gets after the quarterback, and that two d and seventy
Speaker 1: pound type of build guy not far off from what
Speaker 1: we do here. Franklin Myers is the same way. He's
Speaker 1: like Wilkins and that he can play up and down
Speaker 1: the line. Rankins is a space eater inside. Jacob Martin.
Speaker 1: We told you thirty eight percent player, but eight pressures
Speaker 1: this year. He's a terrific nickel rusher type, a guy
Speaker 1: that comes in third long and just goes after the
Speaker 1: quarterback and can take advantage of the one on ones
Speaker 1: that he gets created by the aforementioned players, and he
Speaker 1: wins them with regularity. It's a game like this, and
Speaker 1: I'm very happy we've got Tehron Armstead and Connor Williams.
Speaker 1: The play of the line this year has been really good,
Speaker 1: and those two guys have certainly brought a big time
Speaker 1: level of production with them. Frankly, I like to Ron
Speaker 1: against anybody in the NFL. He's proven that through four games.
Speaker 1: I mean, nobody's gotten him yet, and that includes Von
Speaker 1: Miller and Trey Hendricks in the last two weeks, and
Speaker 1: then Connor Williams, you know whoever. He kind of gets
Speaker 1: to double Quentin and Williams inside with and I like
Speaker 1: Rob Hunting that matchup as well. Uh, you know, maybe
Speaker 1: to the right you let Quinnin go free. Maybe to
Speaker 1: the left you double them up there a little bit um,
Speaker 1: but he's definitely someone you have to contend with and
Speaker 1: then hopefully you can just win your one on ones
Speaker 1: across the board the rest of the way. But focus
Speaker 1: on Carl Lawson and Quinn and Williams. And then this
Speaker 1: part really bleeds into our next section as this is
Speaker 1: want to do. But kind of here's my thought. You know,
Speaker 1: big ends a defensive line that utilizes rotation and can
Speaker 1: get worn down as the game goes long as far
Speaker 1: as the you know, the conditioning goes, so running the
Speaker 1: ball wide, stretching them out and attacking those bigger edges directly,
Speaker 1: like run the ball right at them and utilize play
Speaker 1: pass against linebackers who this year in coverage have really struggled.
Speaker 1: I keep thinking about how a dept we are at
Speaker 1: throwing the football behind that second level of the defense
Speaker 1: With two in the game, man, we need Teddy to
Speaker 1: be right on that same level right or two a
Speaker 1: left off because other teams have had so much success
Speaker 1: in that area. It's why I love this matchup pre
Speaker 1: injuries so here's the last three quarterbacks they've faced. Right,
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissette was six of eight in the ten to
Speaker 1: nineteen yard range for eighty yards. Joe Burrow was six
Speaker 1: of seven for nine one in the touchdown, Trabinsky and
Speaker 1: Pickett four or five for seventy one yards. So there
Speaker 1: you go. I mean, suck those guys up with the
Speaker 1: running game, throw behind them and get those matchups on
Speaker 1: the linebackers. We'll talk about here. It's a big key
Speaker 1: for me this week. They utilize to linebackers is a
Speaker 1: running back linebacker matchup now that never leave the field.
Speaker 1: Mosley is the primary backer who plays a hundred percent
Speaker 1: of the snaps, and then Quincy Williams when he's healthy,
Speaker 1: it's him, but last week it was Kwan Alexander who
Speaker 1: played of the snaps. Mosley is a force against the run,
Speaker 1: twelve run stop to lead the team this year on
Speaker 1: just a hundred and nine rundown snaps. Alexander has been
Speaker 1: in their first seventies six and has seven of his own.
Speaker 1: So you know, right around ten percent for both of
Speaker 1: those guys is a good number. But if they can
Speaker 1: get single coverage on anybody inside a situation where you
Speaker 1: have a backer taking on either a back, tight end
Speaker 1: or best case, wide receiver man. That's where it's got
Speaker 1: to go and it can happen. And also in the
Speaker 1: slot position as well. We talked about the numbers against
Speaker 1: their slot corners, like those inside formations where you can
Speaker 1: kind of dictate it that way, or I should say
Speaker 1: the in the interior of any formation attacking in that direction.
Speaker 1: It could be a game where you need to get
Speaker 1: the backs going to set that stuff up though, right because,
Speaker 1: like coach said on his Wednesday press conference, he could
Speaker 1: see some instances in the Bengals game where he thought
Speaker 1: that guys maybe doing a little bit too much trying
Speaker 1: to make a play. But the truth is it is
Speaker 1: a team effort and when one guy goes down, you
Speaker 1: need others to step up. That obviously means Teddy, But
Speaker 1: how about taking some of the pressure off. What if
Speaker 1: this is the game where the running game gets going,
Speaker 1: that would certainly do it, wouldn't it. I'm excited to
Speaker 1: see what Chas and Raheem can do. I think their
Speaker 1: speed against the front that doesn't really feature speed is
Speaker 1: their primary calling card, is a valuable asset. I think
Speaker 1: in this game, I think we can get the run
Speaker 1: game going. Let's go ahead and finish up here with
Speaker 1: the Jets coverage numbers at this position and round it out.
Speaker 1: Moseley twelve of eighteen for a hundred and thirty one yards,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns or picks. It's pretty efficient going after him.
Speaker 1: Alexander eight of eight, seventy four yards efficient, Williams Quincy
Speaker 1: Williams fifteen of sixteen for a buck twenty one and
Speaker 1: a touchdown against him. So you know, again between the
Speaker 1: actual slot corner, you know Michael Carter the second who
Speaker 1: is three cone time and shut time where we talked
Speaker 1: about that every week. It's not on the upper echelon
Speaker 1: linebackers and safeties and coverage. This is the route that
Speaker 1: I think is best forward. And we know how this
Speaker 1: offense can create matchups inside and get favorable looks based
Speaker 1: upon personnel and varying looks off of said personnel to
Speaker 1: create that matchup. You know the look where you get
Speaker 1: a gold Ingold as the split out wide receiver, the
Speaker 1: one with wattle and closes the three. I think you
Speaker 1: could see some stuff like that on Sunday. And then
Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel's ability of sequence and design place to attack
Speaker 1: the vulnerabilities with ten days off to prepare. To me,
Speaker 1: that's a big difference here. I don't think the passing
Speaker 1: game will drop off a whole lot as a result,
Speaker 1: So I expect the Dolphins to be able to move
Speaker 1: the ball offensively, and then defensively is where they have
Speaker 1: to relate it after. As we pick it up here
Speaker 1: with the Dolphins defense versus the Jets offense, quarterback versus safety.
Speaker 1: Here's the Jets personnel groupings. It's a lot like last week.
Speaker 1: Eleven personnel seventy four percent of the time, twelve personnel,
Speaker 1: the two tight ends on the field seventeen percent of
Speaker 1: the time, and then two backsets twenty one personnel is
Speaker 1: five point two percent. Nothing else is over one and
Speaker 1: a half percent. So three quarters of the time they'll
Speaker 1: be one back, one tight end, three receivers, and then
Speaker 1: seventeen percent at the time one back, two tight ends,
Speaker 1: two receivers, and then a couple of two back sets
Speaker 1: there as well. And you heard coach McDaniel talk about
Speaker 1: being closest with the Jet staff over any besides his
Speaker 1: previous stop with the Niners. He came up with Robert Sala.
Speaker 1: He worked a ton with their offensive coordinator Mike Lafleur.
Speaker 1: So there's obviously some scheme carry over. The Jets love
Speaker 1: the same modern principles you're seeing around the league. A
Speaker 1: lot of condensed formations with deep drops off of play action.
Speaker 1: They typically pair that with an over route and some
Speaker 1: type of layer throw where you have a deep middle
Speaker 1: and short opportunity cut the field in half. We'll see
Speaker 1: if Miami can kind of, you know, play into that
Speaker 1: a little bit. Of course, that pairs with the wide runs,
Speaker 1: the stretches, the outside zones, the toss plays. But where
Speaker 1: I think Miami has the advantage here is the Jets
Speaker 1: are really thin at the tackle position, and if they
Speaker 1: have to pull Vera Tucker to play tackle, that just
Speaker 1: thins out their guard position. More So, I think Miami
Speaker 1: can really kind of win this game by dominating the edges,
Speaker 1: both in the run game and the passing game. More
Speaker 1: on that in a moment. Remember the last last game
Speaker 1: or last year in the game when they had like
Speaker 1: four or five rick plays in that first half and
Speaker 1: they scored seventeen first half points and they gained like
Speaker 1: fifty yards the entire second half. Be ready for that,
Speaker 1: because they did that against the Steelers again to some
Speaker 1: success and then didn't have success in their traditional, you know,
Speaker 1: real type of NFL offenses. He's Zack Wilson scored on
Speaker 1: Philly Special last week and they also ran a double
Speaker 1: pass successfully in the game. So keeping your head on
Speaker 1: the spable for the Tom foolery is a big one.
Speaker 1: Speaking as Zack Wilson, how did his debut go last week?
Speaker 1: Eighteen of thirty six. That's seven yards per pass, one touchdown,
Speaker 1: two picks. He averaged three point three one seconds time
Speaker 1: to throw, And that lends credence to what I think
Speaker 1: his game is, which is big play hunting, trying to
Speaker 1: show off the multiple armed talent or multiple arm angle
Speaker 1: talents that he features. He wants to create and keep
Speaker 1: plays alive. So tackling is a huge key against him,
Speaker 1: and you know, thinking about a potential doomsday scenario from
Speaker 1: their perspective, I could see playing out is the shorthanded
Speaker 1: nature of that tackle position making it difficult to run
Speaker 1: wide way. You know, they couldn't really block the edges
Speaker 1: in that Pittsburgh game. That paired with Wilson, who has
Speaker 1: never really seen a pocket that he wants to step
Speaker 1: up into. He put the ball in harm's way several
Speaker 1: times in that game. He was lucky he wasn't picked
Speaker 1: off more than just two times. It should have been
Speaker 1: four or five in that game. The other area that
Speaker 1: he must be better in to beat Miami, he missed
Speaker 1: a lot of layups in that game. That's who he's
Speaker 1: been so far through however many starts, it's been the
Speaker 1: ten or eleven for him in his career. Screens, swings, checkdowns,
Speaker 1: the accuracy kind of fluctuates. You do that one time
Speaker 1: in a drive and suddenly you get behind the chains.
Speaker 1: And I don't think they can survive being behind the
Speaker 1: chains against this Dolphins defense, especially with their offensive line situation,
Speaker 1: and uh, you know the turnover nature, the turnover potential
Speaker 1: nature of the offense. His advanced stats in that first
Speaker 1: start here you go man like against the blitz three
Speaker 1: of eleven forty one yards and a pick. It's not good.
Speaker 1: Pressured three of thirteen forty six yards and two picks. Worse.
Speaker 1: In the Dolphins game last year, he was thirteen of
Speaker 1: twenty three for a buck, seven d and no touchdowns
Speaker 1: and no picks when they blitzed him. Six of eleven
Speaker 1: eighty one when he was pressured three of six for
Speaker 1: fifty six. So getting pressure on this guy that's how
Speaker 1: you beat him. It's the case for most guys, but
Speaker 1: for a young quarterback, especially three point one eight time
Speaker 1: to throw in that game and watch just tape. When
Speaker 1: he gets that pressure, he wants to retreat, not step up.
Speaker 1: He wants to retreat and then attack the line of
Speaker 1: scrimmage and try to make those off script big plays
Speaker 1: that make the highlight reels. So it's important to stick
Speaker 1: to your man in coverage on the back end for
Speaker 1: safeties and corners alike. His career versus the blitz forty
Speaker 1: four point seven percent, four point eight yards per attempt,
Speaker 1: no touchdowns, and two picks. It's what Dolphins do best, right,
Speaker 1: They blitz the quarterback. His career versus pressure point three
Speaker 1: percent with five yards per pass, four touchdowns, and three picks.
Speaker 1: Getting pressure on this guy. Four man rushes, five man,
Speaker 1: six man, whatever you gotta do. Put pressure on Zach Wilson.
Speaker 1: As for our guys, it's the same story as our
Speaker 1: first four games. Javon holland Brandon Jones. They're so quick,
Speaker 1: they're so instinctive. They disguise what they do so very well.
Speaker 1: They've been fantastic, but staying on your man and extending
Speaker 1: the play along with Wilson, that's my key for those guys.
Speaker 1: I cannot wait to see what we have cooked up
Speaker 1: with our mini buy for our first not rookie quarterback.
Speaker 1: But I mean as far as games played, he is
Speaker 1: a rookie because he has less than sixteen games. I
Speaker 1: don't put mac Jones in that category after playing the
Speaker 1: entire year last year for a week one this season,
Speaker 1: but you know if you want to do that. I
Speaker 1: mean three sacks of pick and two fumbles there. So
Speaker 1: just not a sharp day all for the Pat's offense
Speaker 1: against the Dolphins defense. I think that's what this defense
Speaker 1: will do all year against teams that don't have that.
Speaker 1: I think Miami will look really, really good and against
Speaker 1: the really good offenses like everybody else in the league
Speaker 1: might not look as good. Let's go ahead and take
Speaker 1: our last break right there and come back on the
Speaker 1: other side and preview the rest of this Jets offense
Speaker 1: versus the Dolphins defense. That's next on the Drivetime podcast,
Speaker 1: your host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation.
Speaker 1: We are through the quarterback versus safety position of Jets
Speaker 1: offense Dolphins defense. We pick it up with the weapons
Speaker 1: at Zack Wilson's disposal versus this Dolphins cornerback group, and
Speaker 1: those weapons have gotten better each year. I mean, we
Speaker 1: saw Elijah Moore when he was capable of last year.
Speaker 1: Rookie Garrett Wilson looks like a stud and Corey Davis
Speaker 1: has been solid now for a long time. We know
Speaker 1: Miami can mix up their coverages as well as anybody,
Speaker 1: and we even saw in the two games last year.
Speaker 1: Elijah Moore had the big game in New York and
Speaker 1: then we kind of did our part to limit their
Speaker 1: entire passing game in the second go around, largely through pressure.
Speaker 1: More on that in a moment, but here are the
Speaker 1: snap counts from last week. Elijah More played, here is
Speaker 1: the number one receiver, Garrett Wilson played seventy seven percent,
Speaker 1: Corey Davis played seventy percent, and Braxton Barrios played ten percent.
Speaker 1: So they play more Wilson and Davis and then a
Speaker 1: tight end. Tyler Conklin, c j Uzama. More and Wilson
Speaker 1: are crafty route unners who can separate against man coverage.
Speaker 1: We'll see if Dolphins play a lot of man coverage
Speaker 1: in this game, and then Davis is kind of a
Speaker 1: bull in the china shop who can just out physical you.
Speaker 1: It's hard to peg this matchup when you're not entirely
Speaker 1: sure who's going to be out there. We know Ex's
Speaker 1: day today, we know Byron will not be activated this week.
Speaker 1: Kator Co who has played really well, and obviously Nick
Speaker 1: Needum has played a ton against this Jets team and
Speaker 1: has shut down some of the good receivers in the past,
Speaker 1: Allah Jamison Crowder, although he's no longer a Jet. But
Speaker 1: I think the key here and this plays to the
Speaker 1: past rush, as we mentioned, is to disrupt timing and
Speaker 1: just make getting from point A to point B for
Speaker 1: these receivers as difficult as possible. And that can be
Speaker 1: a challenge because do you play man where your backs
Speaker 1: get turned on a quarterback who wants to extend and
Speaker 1: create or even run the football, or do you stay
Speaker 1: primarily zone and forced Wilson to beat you pre snap
Speaker 1: with his anticipation and processing. Mixing is always a good
Speaker 1: way to go, but my pick is for the latter
Speaker 1: because of those pressure numbers against this quarterback. Make the
Speaker 1: windows tight, give yourself plenty of opportunities for batted and
Speaker 1: tip balls and capitalize on the opportunities that you will
Speaker 1: definitely get in this game to make those splash plays.
Speaker 1: I've been saying this for a while. I think it's coming.
Speaker 1: The cavalcade of negative plays for defense, sacks, tackles, for losses,
Speaker 1: and takeaways. I think it's coming. I think it's this game.
Speaker 1: I guess we'll find out. But either way, it starts
Speaker 1: here in our next group on the offensive line versus
Speaker 1: defensive line. And again, you know the tackle situation with
Speaker 1: Wilson's proclivity to go backwards, it's a bad combination. The
Speaker 1: Dolphins have to find a way to capitalize on that
Speaker 1: because this Jets offensive line has been a war of attrition.
Speaker 1: Mackay Beckton lost for the season back in August, so
Speaker 1: they signed Dwayne Brown. He's been on i R, but
Speaker 1: he returned to practice this week, opening up his twenty
Speaker 1: one day window to return. We'll see if we get
Speaker 1: him on Sunday. Uh Robert Salasa. They'd have to go
Speaker 1: up until game time to see if he's ready to
Speaker 1: rock for a game time decision. George Fant, who was
Speaker 1: a big hit for them in free agency at right tackle.
Speaker 1: He's down. They lost rookie Max Mitchell in the game Sunday,
Speaker 1: so he's down. They've shuffled ali Ja. Vera Tucker kicked
Speaker 1: out to play tackle for the first time in his
Speaker 1: career and all he did was pitch a shutout in
Speaker 1: that position, So he's a dang good player. Again. We'll
Speaker 1: see about Dwayne Brown. But this is the line up
Speaker 1: they finished last week with and the pressure numbers to
Speaker 1: go off of. This is among two seventeen pass blocking snaps,
Speaker 1: which only Vera Tucker and or left guard Lincoln Tomlinson
Speaker 1: have played the entire season. Vera Tucker four team pressures,
Speaker 1: Tomlinson fifteen allowed, So the two best guys, that's a
Speaker 1: pretty high number. Still for those guys. Connor McGovern on
Speaker 1: fifty three pass blocking snaps, five pressures, Nate her Big
Speaker 1: forty forty four pass blocking snaps, three pressures, and then
Speaker 1: Connor McDermott came off the bench to play right tackle
Speaker 1: fifty three pass blocking snaps, seven pressures. So really, let's
Speaker 1: pick your poison. When the Dolphins get one on ones,
Speaker 1: they have to win him. That's that's kind of how
Speaker 1: it goes here. We'll find out about Dwayne Brown. He
Speaker 1: could be a big get if he comes back for
Speaker 1: the Jets to get Vera Tucker back to guard. But
Speaker 1: even inside, Wilkins pass rush win rates twenty nine point
Speaker 1: four percent via ESPN and next Gen, which is third
Speaker 1: among defensive tackles pretty damn good. His ability to continuously
Speaker 1: do that could be a big factor this week. I
Speaker 1: think injuries and player absences can be a little bit
Speaker 1: overblown sometimes. Obviously, being down certain players your quarterback is
Speaker 1: always gonna pretend a big challenge to overcome. But all
Speaker 1: of these guys are pros, and you know there's a
Speaker 1: reason that It's never as simple as saying player X
Speaker 1: is out, therefore they can't overcome situation. Why, Like teams
Speaker 1: find ways to scheme around losses and things of that nature.
Speaker 1: So it's more about coaching and using that depth to
Speaker 1: your advantage. But the reason I bring up Wilkins is
Speaker 1: importance in size because it could be that second wave,
Speaker 1: which admittedly is one of Zack Wilson's strengths, the ability
Speaker 1: to make the first guy missed and extend beyond that.
Speaker 1: But as I mentioned in the quarterback segment, he tends
Speaker 1: to drift from pressure and that the way this defense
Speaker 1: plays so gap sound, with both interior and exterior pressure.
Speaker 1: Excuse me, my expectation is to turn the ball over
Speaker 1: several times. I think this has been sort of bubbling
Speaker 1: for a while now. I think this is the game
Speaker 1: where it happens. The first quarterback where we will see
Speaker 1: with fewer than sixteen starts, if Miami can generate the
Speaker 1: pressure you'd expect against a banged up offensive line, I
Speaker 1: think some decisions can get made where the ball will
Speaker 1: be there for Miami to take it away. Another nice
Speaker 1: start to the year for Manuel Ogba. I think he
Speaker 1: could have a big game. Melvin Ingram was a defensive
Speaker 1: player of the Month and September. I think he could
Speaker 1: be in line for a big game. Andrevanning getting back.
Speaker 1: Jalen Phillips has been so close so many times. He
Speaker 1: did get home last week. I think Phillips have another
Speaker 1: kind of breakout game here this week. And then inside
Speaker 1: Wilkins that pass wash, pass wash, pass rush, win rate,
Speaker 1: Seiler doing his thing. It's so cliche to say this,
Speaker 1: but if the Dolphins can control the trenches, I think
Speaker 1: they'll do really well with with the result on Sunday. Finally,
Speaker 1: running backs and linebackers. We finish up with their backs,
Speaker 1: which has been a two man show this year. They
Speaker 1: even operate in some two back personnel without a fullback
Speaker 1: on the roster, which tells you what they bring. Both
Speaker 1: Breese Hall and Michael Carter onto the field at the
Speaker 1: same time. Their splits are kind of funny. It's almost
Speaker 1: I mean it's a ten percent, but it tells you
Speaker 1: how much they use these guys. Breese Hall sixty Michael Carter.
Speaker 1: Carter is a shifty, big play threat, had that big
Speaker 1: run of the game last year's at their first touchdown,
Speaker 1: but brue Hall has three times as many ten plus
Speaker 1: yard runs six to two. He's averaged three point three
Speaker 1: seven yards after contact. Anything over two is good. Carters
Speaker 1: at two point seven, So again, tackling very important here
Speaker 1: in this one. Again, I think the style of this
Speaker 1: at you up benefits Miami because Breece Hall is patient
Speaker 1: to a fault sometimes and I think that our flow
Speaker 1: can cut him down before he can make his decisions.
Speaker 1: And then Jerome Baker's played so well the last couple
Speaker 1: of games. I like the way his speed pairs up
Speaker 1: with Carter and Duke Riley's as well. Then when they
Speaker 1: get in the rundowns versus or short yard situations where
Speaker 1: it looks like it's going to be a run and
Speaker 1: they want to hammer the rock. That's where I think
Speaker 1: a landing can kind of show off what he's done
Speaker 1: so well the last couple of years. Good matchup there
Speaker 1: on paper, and we finish up. Just took a sweatshirt
Speaker 1: off mid podcast. What do you think about that? Pretty
Speaker 1: good finish up here with these specialists. D v o
Speaker 1: A Jets Franks second in special teams, the Dolphins thirty one.
Speaker 1: Gotta get that number up. Jason Sanders has one missed
Speaker 1: this year, a fifty plush yard last week. Also missed
Speaker 1: his first extra point and forever, but he's kicking at
Speaker 1: eighty three point three percent clip, including one on field
Speaker 1: goals forty nine yards and in Greg's rline. A little
Speaker 1: bit accuracy issues the last couple of years, but you
Speaker 1: know he's got the big leg. Just one missed this
Speaker 1: year and it came between the forty nine yard range.
Speaker 1: Also has one missed extra point, but he's three for
Speaker 1: three from fifty plus. He's always been known for that
Speaker 1: big leg, and so this is one of those games
Speaker 1: where as soon as they cross midfield, they can start
Speaker 1: thinking about potential three point opportunities. And then Thomas Morstead
Speaker 1: averaging forty five point to per punt but has been
Speaker 1: nothing short of brilliant and flipping the field. And then
Speaker 1: Brandon Mann their punter forty five point seven yards per punt.
Speaker 1: What's at stake in this game? I've been one to
Speaker 1: use cliches both as evidence and in something of a
Speaker 1: mocking tone, and frankly, I'm not sure where I come
Speaker 1: down on this one. That you gotta go five hundred
Speaker 1: on the road and when all your home games you
Speaker 1: do that, you'll get the twelve and four. Obviously, you
Speaker 1: can tell that's an outdated mantra because we don't play
Speaker 1: sixteen games anymore, so twelve and four is not possible.
Speaker 1: And while I do fully agree that when it comes
Speaker 1: to divisional road games, any win is a massive one
Speaker 1: because you hold serve at home in your division, and
Speaker 1: you still wantn't you on the road get to five
Speaker 1: one in the division, You're going to be right in
Speaker 1: the mix there at the end of the year. So
Speaker 1: that's a stake, A chance to get to three and
Speaker 1: o in the division, a win over all of our
Speaker 1: biggest rivals and out to a four and one start
Speaker 1: for the first time since two thousand three. And also
Speaker 1: all those would be in conference. How big would that be? However,
Speaker 1: some more notes here. Interestingly enough, did you know that
Speaker 1: for the first four weeks this year, home teams are
Speaker 1: actually under five hundred? Home teams are thirty one and
Speaker 1: thirty three this season, and that is a trend that
Speaker 1: began to develop in the pandemic impacted season. Naturally, you
Speaker 1: could assume that limited fans or no fans at all
Speaker 1: in some places would lessen the impact of home field advantage,
Speaker 1: but this number includes one as well, including post season
Speaker 1: games in road teams were one thirty two and one
Speaker 1: thirty six, almost five hundred. Last year. That trend stayed similar.
Speaker 1: You add sixteen more games obviously the extra week one
Speaker 1: thirty six and one forty eight for road teams, so
Speaker 1: the home and road splits are not that drastic anymore.
Speaker 1: But in the case of a divisional game, which coach
Speaker 1: said himself is like the moneyball at the end of
Speaker 1: the rack in a three point contest. Again, Ford one
Speaker 1: with three divisional wins foreign conference, that is about as
Speaker 1: good as you can start a season. Let's make it happen.
Speaker 1: The three keys of the game. Don't let Zach Wilson
Speaker 1: get comfortable. Pressure and blitz him for man pressure looks.
Speaker 1: Whatever the case, maybe keep him uncomfortable and you'll do
Speaker 1: just fine. On Sunday. Number two, continued success attacking the
Speaker 1: intermediate part of the field, talking about the linebackers, sucking
Speaker 1: those guys up, throwing the ball to their biggest vulnerabilities
Speaker 1: on the defense in terms of coverage. Go after that
Speaker 1: intermediate portion of the field. Number three, Finish plays. They're
Speaker 1: gonna give you opportunities for takeaways. Finish them, Finish your
Speaker 1: big play opportunities, break tackles in the open field, Finish
Speaker 1: on special teams, cover kicks, make your kicks. All the
Speaker 1: above finished plays. That's it. That's the previous podcast. Friday,
Speaker 1: Antoine Staley is going to join us, you guys know
Speaker 1: who he is, to help give us the Jets perspective.
Speaker 1: We'll talk to some college football, will open up the
Speaker 1: Twitter mail bag, and then it's onto the weekend for
Speaker 1: Jets Week and then Mariners playoffs in college football this weekend,
Speaker 1: big big sports weekend this weekend. In the meantime, that's
Speaker 1: gonna be my time you all, please be sure to
Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcasts. Leave us a rating,
Speaker 1: leave us a review. You can follow me on Twitter
Speaker 1: at Wingfold NFL, follow its eam at Miami Dolphins. Check
Speaker 1: out the fish Tank podcast with my guy Seth and Juice,
Speaker 1: our postgame show on w q A M five sixty.
Speaker 1: Also the weekly Twitter Spaces show every Wednesday at eight o'clock.
Speaker 1: We did take this week. I'll back you guys next Wednesday.
Speaker 1: Check out the YouTube channel for Dolphins Today, Media availabilities,
Speaker 1: and of course, last but not least, Miami Dolphins dot com.
Speaker 1: Until next time, finds up Caroline Daddy, He's coming home.