WEBVTT - 4/9/26: Oil Executives Panic, Bibi Rejects Ceasefire, Iran Victory Cements Gov Power 0:00:00.080 --> 0:00:01.599 Hey, guys, Saga and Crystal here. 0:00:01.680 --> 0:00:05.200 Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election, 0:00:05.360 --> 0:00:07.840 and we are so excited about what that means for 0:00:07.880 --> 0:00:08.720 the future of the show. 0:00:08.880 --> 0:00:10.719 This is the only place where you can find honest 0:00:10.760 --> 0:00:13.239 perspectives from the left and the right that simply does 0:00:13.320 --> 0:00:14.680 not exist anywhere else. 0:00:14.760 --> 0:00:17.080 So if that is something that's important to you, please 0:00:17.120 --> 0:00:19.599 go to Breakingpoints dot com. Become a member today and 0:00:19.640 --> 0:00:22.800 you'll get access to our full shows, unedited, ad free 0:00:22.800 --> 0:00:25.600 and all put together for you every morning in your inbox. 0:00:25.680 --> 0:00:27.560 We need your help to build the future of independent 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:29.920 news media and we hope to see you at Breakingpoints 0:00:29.960 --> 0:00:32.839 dot com. Let's turn now to the most critical thing. 0:00:32.880 --> 0:00:35.840 The Strait of Horror moves. The White House is all 0:00:35.880 --> 0:00:36.319 over the. 0:00:36.240 --> 0:00:37.560 Place on the Straits of hornor moves. 0:00:37.600 --> 0:00:40.040 They are claiming that, as part of the Seasfire, that 0:00:40.080 --> 0:00:43.320 the strait would be free and open, and yet immediately 0:00:43.720 --> 0:00:47.680 after the Seasfire was implemented, Iran announced yao ships you 0:00:47.720 --> 0:00:50.680 can pass maybe only twelve to fifteen a day with 0:00:50.800 --> 0:00:55.320 the permission of the IRGC in coordination with Iranian military forces. 0:00:55.480 --> 0:00:57.880 You have to avoid the minds. Only we know where 0:00:57.920 --> 0:00:59.800 they are, so you're going to have to go exactly 0:00:59.800 --> 0:01:00.840 where or we tell you to go. 0:01:00.920 --> 0:01:03.240 Oh, and you're going to have to pay us. 0:01:03.480 --> 0:01:06.400 Here's what the White House how they reacted to some 0:01:06.480 --> 0:01:08.959 of this news that clearly the strait was not open. 0:01:09.160 --> 0:01:09.960 Let's take a listen. 0:01:10.160 --> 0:01:13.440 Safe media is saying that Iran is now closed off 0:01:13.480 --> 0:01:15.840 the straight at four Moose today a response to really 0:01:15.959 --> 0:01:18.760 attacks on Lebanon. What's the White House response to that? 0:01:19.240 --> 0:01:22.280 With respect to the first reporting out of Iranian state media, 0:01:22.319 --> 0:01:25.000 the President was made aware of those reports before I 0:01:25.120 --> 0:01:25.920 came to the podium. 0:01:26.480 --> 0:01:27.919 That is completely unacceptable. 0:01:27.920 --> 0:01:29.920 And again this is a case of what they're saying 0:01:29.920 --> 0:01:32.720 publicly is different privately. We have seen an uptick of 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:35.760 traffic in the strait today, and I will reiterate the 0:01:35.760 --> 0:01:39.279 President's expectation and demand that the strait of her Moose 0:01:39.400 --> 0:01:42.880 is reopened immediately, quickly and safely. 0:01:43.400 --> 0:01:44.440 That is his expectation. 0:01:44.640 --> 0:01:47.120 It has been relayed to him privately that that is 0:01:47.160 --> 0:01:50.000 what's taking place in These reports publicly. 0:01:49.560 --> 0:01:53.600 Are false, Yeah, these are false. Not so far. 0:01:53.800 --> 0:01:56.640 Actually, let's go and put C two up there on 0:01:56.680 --> 0:01:57.160 the screen. 0:01:57.280 --> 0:01:59.920 Don't believe us. Believe the oil industry. 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:03.240 The oil industry has gone and lit up the White 0:02:03.280 --> 0:02:08.000 House switchboard, saying, hey, you can't have this happen. You 0:02:08.040 --> 0:02:11.840 can't just allow them to charge tolls. One of them 0:02:11.880 --> 0:02:14.840 even said, but you said you won the war, and 0:02:14.919 --> 0:02:18.400 here we are having to pay the Iranian government and 0:02:18.480 --> 0:02:23.440 potentially in crypto and or in one to circumvent the 0:02:23.480 --> 0:02:28.200 petro dollar and any sort of US sanctions regime. They say, quote, 0:02:28.200 --> 0:02:29.960 we didn't have to do that before. I thought we 0:02:30.040 --> 0:02:32.400 won the war. Any place you have access to the administration, 0:02:32.480 --> 0:02:37.280 you ask what are you guys thinking? The response administrations 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:41.520 officials were giving is not a cold shoulder. It's more like, yeah, okay, 0:02:42.000 --> 0:02:44.400 we'll take note noted, Yeah, noted. 0:02:44.639 --> 0:02:47.120 But getting left on thumbed up. 0:02:47.480 --> 0:02:50.440 If you're the CEO of Exxon Mobile, it shows you 0:02:50.480 --> 0:02:52.920 who's got the power in this relationship, though, doesn't it? 0:02:53.000 --> 0:02:55.520 Not to mention? I mean, get used to it. This 0:02:55.600 --> 0:02:56.520 is the new reality. 0:02:56.760 --> 0:02:58.839 And as I was saying, Yannis Farah Fox, I think 0:02:58.880 --> 0:03:02.240 we know now how this will ultimately end. Now does 0:03:02.240 --> 0:03:04.640 it actually end now in some sort of agreement or 0:03:04.680 --> 0:03:06.840 does the US Is it too much for Jerome Trump 0:03:06.880 --> 0:03:08.560 to swallow right now? Does he need to go in 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:12.800 and take more pain? Before ending up with effectively the 0:03:12.840 --> 0:03:15.120 same agreement that they would have to come to now, 0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:19.280 which includes incredible concessions to Iran. You know, it's just 0:03:19.320 --> 0:03:23.240 a question of when, because the Iranians have de facto 0:03:23.280 --> 0:03:27.160 effectively already won wars really reveal what an actual what 0:03:27.200 --> 0:03:30.320 the actual power dynamics are, and Iran has proven that 0:03:30.400 --> 0:03:35.240 there is effectively no military operation that could take back 0:03:35.280 --> 0:03:37.640 control of the straight of hormones. There is going to 0:03:37.760 --> 0:03:41.360 be a new reality there period end of story that 0:03:41.480 --> 0:03:44.240 is going to be consequential, not only in terms of. 0:03:44.080 --> 0:03:46.320 Iran becoming tremendously I mean quite. 0:03:46.200 --> 0:03:49.080 Wealthy, the toll that they're going to be able to charge, 0:03:49.400 --> 0:03:53.440 and having incredible power. Now they have effectively the ability 0:03:53.440 --> 0:03:56.480 to sanction countries and wield levers that they did not 0:03:56.600 --> 0:03:58.880 have before. So you have the rise of Iran as 0:03:58.920 --> 0:04:01.920 this new fourth World. But you're gonna have other countries 0:04:01.960 --> 0:04:04.360 around the world who are like, hey, we've got a 0:04:04.480 --> 0:04:07.160 key waterway here as well, why can't we do what 0:04:07.200 --> 0:04:08.200 the Irradiance do. 0:04:08.440 --> 0:04:10.200 Why can't we also charge it toll. 0:04:10.240 --> 0:04:11.640 If they're going to do it, we're going to take 0:04:11.640 --> 0:04:14.400 advantage of that too. So this is a whole new 0:04:14.400 --> 0:04:17.680 world and the oil industry executives can bitche moon all 0:04:17.680 --> 0:04:20.400 they want, but at the end of the day, I'm 0:04:20.400 --> 0:04:23.520 sure the Trump administration would love to figure out how to. 0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:24.800 Get the straight of hor. 0:04:24.640 --> 0:04:27.080 Moves back to the status quol that existed before they 0:04:27.200 --> 0:04:29.360 themselves started this incredibly stupid war. 0:04:30.000 --> 0:04:32.000 If they knew how to do that, they would have 0:04:32.000 --> 0:04:32.560 already done. 0:04:32.600 --> 0:04:35.040 Air. All the Zionists in like twenty twenty three were like, 0:04:35.080 --> 0:04:37.480 there was a sea spire on October sixth, there's tea spiring. 0:04:37.520 --> 0:04:39.480 It's like, well, there's free and open straight on February 0:04:39.480 --> 0:04:41.920 twenty seven. There was a free and open to straight 0:04:41.960 --> 0:04:45.160 of horn moves on February twenty seven. Now there's not. Okay, Well, 0:04:45.480 --> 0:04:47.200 they're the ones who get to set those terms. Let's 0:04:47.200 --> 0:04:50.000 put C three up there on the screen. Iran now 0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:53.920 demands crypto fees for ships passing horror moves through c SPAR. 0:04:54.000 --> 0:04:55.640 I'm going to read through this just to show you 0:04:55.760 --> 0:04:58.680 exactly how much control they have over the straits of 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:01.600 Horror moves, so you can actually hear it out. Hamad Hosseini, 0:05:01.720 --> 0:05:04.760 he's a spokesperson for the Iranian Oil and Gas Exporters Union, 0:05:04.920 --> 0:05:07.640 told the Financial Times. Iran wanted to collect toll fees 0:05:07.839 --> 0:05:11.440 from any tank or passing and to assess each ship quote. 0:05:11.480 --> 0:05:14.279 Iran needs to monitor what goes in and out of 0:05:14.320 --> 0:05:17.039 the strait to ensure these two weeks aren't used for 0:05:17.120 --> 0:05:21.200 transferring weapons. Everything can pass through, but the procedure will 0:05:21.240 --> 0:05:23.520 take time for each vessel, and Iran is not in 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:25.480 a rush. So this is not just charging a fee. 0:05:25.600 --> 0:05:27.960 This is like being boarded by the coast guard some 0:05:28.000 --> 0:05:31.120 sort of customs union. And we're not talking about you know, 0:05:31.160 --> 0:05:33.120 we're not talking about in their destinarily, just in their 0:05:33.200 --> 0:05:35.599 territorial waters. We're talking about in a previously free and 0:05:35.720 --> 0:05:39.360 open international shipping corridor where basically it's now like here 0:05:39.360 --> 0:05:41.559 in the Potomac River, where if you have a boat 0:05:41.720 --> 0:05:43.600 and this coast they're like, oh, where's your license? 0:05:43.800 --> 0:05:45.960 Can we see the cargo list? What do you have 0:05:46.279 --> 0:05:46.800 on board? 0:05:47.000 --> 0:05:47.120 Now? 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:48.000 Let me continue. 0:05:48.040 --> 0:05:50.520 They also say that it is halting passage of the 0:05:50.520 --> 0:05:53.679 oil tankers in response into the Israeli strikes on Lebanon. 0:05:53.880 --> 0:05:58.000 But before that, any tank or passing must send exactly 0:05:58.080 --> 0:06:00.600 as I said, a cargo listening that it informs them 0:06:00.600 --> 0:06:03.479 of what is on board. Iran will then inform them 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:05.599 of the toll to be paid. He said that the 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:09.000 tariff is now one dollar per barrel of oil, adding 0:06:09.040 --> 0:06:11.760 that empty tankers may a lot be allowed to pass freely. 0:06:12.080 --> 0:06:16.159 Once the email arrives and Iran completes his assessment, vessels 0:06:16.200 --> 0:06:19.000 will be given a few seconds to pay in bitcoin, 0:06:19.400 --> 0:06:23.280 ensuring that they can't be traced or confiscated. Due to sanctions, 0:06:23.520 --> 0:06:26.400 The tankers on the golf have received a radio broadcast 0:06:26.640 --> 0:06:29.760 saying they will be targeted with military strikes unless they 0:06:29.800 --> 0:06:34.920 first gain approval from Iranian authority. That is total and 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:39.640 complete control of the strait for mouse. It literally rivals 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:43.239 like you know, any other choke point in the globe, 0:06:43.320 --> 0:06:46.440 like the Panama Canal or Egypt. As Yana said on 0:06:46.480 --> 0:06:49.640 our show, Panama only owns five or gets five billion 0:06:49.960 --> 0:06:53.040 from its transit through the Panama Canal. Egypt gets ten. 0:06:53.320 --> 0:06:55.359 Iran is on track if this were to hold, to 0:06:55.440 --> 0:06:59.600 get seventy to ninety billion dollars, it would make them 0:06:59.800 --> 0:07:03.080 one one of the wealthiest countries in the entire Middle East. 0:07:03.080 --> 0:07:05.159 So if they're able, let's say that even if we 0:07:05.200 --> 0:07:08.280 don't take sanctions, relieve off and yeah, you get bitcoin 0:07:08.360 --> 0:07:11.400 and wand I mean, this country will be filthy rich. 0:07:11.680 --> 0:07:14.760 They may be richer than Riot, than Qatar, than the UAE, 0:07:15.120 --> 0:07:18.360 because they have an intellectual base, they have natural resources 0:07:18.560 --> 0:07:20.200 like oil, they have water, they don't have to rely 0:07:20.240 --> 0:07:23.000 on the sunding. They have an industrial base. Now, I 0:07:23.040 --> 0:07:26.520 mean this is a very very educated country. With the 0:07:27.000 --> 0:07:29.400 maybe the diaspora will go back. I mean, who knows, 0:07:29.440 --> 0:07:32.960 Like you can envision a scenario where you got direct flights. 0:07:32.640 --> 0:07:34.440 Tehran to Beijing, new planes. 0:07:34.480 --> 0:07:37.960 I mean, there's an entire new ecosystem which is going 0:07:38.000 --> 0:07:40.120 to be happening here. Maybe you know these shah Head 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:43.440 drones that will become one of the biggest exporters. They 0:07:43.480 --> 0:07:47.280 will be the biggest exporter to any American adversary across 0:07:47.320 --> 0:07:49.480 the world. And we're gonna pay for it literally with 0:07:49.560 --> 0:07:53.040 the oil. Like this is a nightmare of a strategic 0:07:53.080 --> 0:07:54.560 defeat for the United States. 0:07:54.600 --> 0:07:55.200 It's crazy. 0:07:55.280 --> 0:07:57.920 And imagine over in Yemen, the houthies look at this 0:07:58.000 --> 0:08:01.200 and they're like, oh, bob el mandebs, which is at 0:08:01.320 --> 0:08:03.440 least as important as the straight up form. It is 0:08:03.480 --> 0:08:06.480 also very critical choke point. Yemen has been a very 0:08:06.480 --> 0:08:09.000 poor country. Imagine they're like, Okay, we'll set up a 0:08:09.000 --> 0:08:11.160 toll and they've got you know, Irani and support and 0:08:11.240 --> 0:08:13.160 access to those shaw head drones and what they need. 0:08:13.160 --> 0:08:16.760 It's not doesn't take a lot to demonstrate your ability 0:08:16.800 --> 0:08:19.320 to control those choke points. And I mean that it's 0:08:19.480 --> 0:08:23.240 really really up ends the way the whole world has 0:08:23.320 --> 0:08:26.800 operated and the way you have to think about geopolitics. So, 0:08:27.480 --> 0:08:30.840 like I said, I think whether or not this happens 0:08:30.960 --> 0:08:33.840 in the next couple weeks, or whether Trump is not 0:08:34.000 --> 0:08:38.880 ready to swallow this level of a clear defeat and 0:08:39.120 --> 0:08:41.319 decides to go back in and try some crazy thing 0:08:41.360 --> 0:08:43.199 and see if you can bomb their electrical grid or 0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:46.240 whatever into submission, it's ultimately going to fail, and we're 0:08:46.280 --> 0:08:49.520 going to end up in something like this new world. 0:08:49.800 --> 0:08:52.479 The crypto part is obviously also really significant. 0:08:52.520 --> 0:08:53.360 What does that indicate? 0:08:53.480 --> 0:08:59.559 They are bypassing the US led global financial structure again, 0:08:59.600 --> 0:09:04.040 that makes it so it is on their own terms underdog. 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:05.640 It doesn't mean that it's the. 0:09:05.480 --> 0:09:08.080 Total end of the petro dollar, the end of the 0:09:08.200 --> 0:09:10.600 US you know as the global reserve currency, or any 0:09:10.600 --> 0:09:13.160 of that, but it certainly does undermine it. It certainly 0:09:13.240 --> 0:09:16.280 does start to push the world more aggressively in that direction. 0:09:16.600 --> 0:09:19.840 And you know that is a massive, massive, complete change 0:09:19.840 --> 0:09:20.680 as well. 0:09:20.360 --> 0:09:23.760 Right, And I mean, let's think even bigger, shall we, Like, 0:09:23.960 --> 0:09:27.200 let's think just globally about the straits of horn Moves 0:09:27.679 --> 0:09:30.400 and what this level of destruction. You know, I'm really 0:09:30.440 --> 0:09:32.400 just thinking about what Yanna said, the law not the 0:09:32.520 --> 0:09:34.120 entire law the sea, because I don't think the US 0:09:34.200 --> 0:09:36.400 was even the signatory of it, even though we were 0:09:36.440 --> 0:09:39.520 like the guaranteur of the international Law of the Sea. 0:09:39.720 --> 0:09:42.880 It was based on the post World War two Blue 0:09:42.880 --> 0:09:46.319 Water Navy ethos of we control commerce on the high 0:09:46.360 --> 0:09:49.120 seas anywhere and everywhere. This goes back to like the 0:09:49.160 --> 0:09:53.320 Barbary pirates that Thomas Jefferson dispatched the US Marines to say, no, 0:09:53.480 --> 0:09:55.959 we will not allow a pirate veto. It's like, well, 0:09:56.000 --> 0:09:58.360 now we just did. Now what do we do? Like 0:09:58.440 --> 0:10:01.800 what do you do in this? And because we didn't 0:10:01.920 --> 0:10:05.400 envision a place where the American public, I mean, if 0:10:05.400 --> 0:10:08.400 you were to pull and ask ultimately, did America have 0:10:08.720 --> 0:10:11.880 the capability of actually taking over the straight storm, Yeah, 0:10:11.920 --> 0:10:14.600 we do. It would take you know, hundreds of thousands 0:10:14.640 --> 0:10:18.480 of troops, lives, endless amounts of money. It would take 0:10:18.480 --> 0:10:21.360 a literal almost a Pearl Harvard type event for somebody 0:10:21.400 --> 0:10:24.040 to really be able to support that, but we don't, 0:10:24.120 --> 0:10:26.960 and so in the interim you are actually left with 0:10:27.000 --> 0:10:29.120 trying to accomplish it from the air with these billions 0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:32.400 of dollars in weapons. The toll, the price that I 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.640 have now seen was that the war cost hundreds of 0:10:35.679 --> 0:10:39.480 millions a day. The total cost was between thirty three 0:10:39.559 --> 0:10:42.360 and fifty three billion dollars just for the six or 0:10:42.360 --> 0:10:45.880 seven weeks of the war. The backlog in weapons will 0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:50.240 take probably five to ten years to completely replace, even 0:10:50.320 --> 0:10:53.120 with the one point five trillion defense budget that was 0:10:53.160 --> 0:10:56.960 It is a strategic disaster and for this to be 0:10:57.600 --> 0:10:58.720 now that the result. 0:10:58.840 --> 0:11:01.920 So what do we have left? We have left nukes. 0:11:01.720 --> 0:11:04.319 Or ground troops. We don't want to use either of 0:11:04.360 --> 0:11:07.040 those things. So we have to live with this reality. 0:11:07.080 --> 0:11:09.240 And also just to show you their control, can we 0:11:09.280 --> 0:11:13.200 put C five up there on the screen. Yesterday oil 0:11:13.480 --> 0:11:16.720 had the biggest drop since COVID, so it dropped all 0:11:16.760 --> 0:11:19.120 the way down to like ninety dollars a barrel. Well 0:11:19.160 --> 0:11:22.959 as of this morning, actually they've increased significantly. It's now 0:11:22.960 --> 0:11:26.280 some ninety eight dollars a barrel. Into terms of Brent crude, 0:11:26.320 --> 0:11:29.280 and from it's all time high, it's only down about 0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:32.280 seven percent, whereas it was actually down almost fifteen percent 0:11:32.559 --> 0:11:35.199 at one point. Same whenever it comes to the crude 0:11:35.200 --> 0:11:38.600 oil futures here in the United States, which means that 0:11:38.640 --> 0:11:42.559 those gas prices are really not coming all the way 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:45.680 back down. Remember the national price of gas before the 0:11:45.720 --> 0:11:49.000 war was some two point eighty a gallon. That's phenomenal. 0:11:49.080 --> 0:11:53.199 That's great actually for trying to check inflation. Now if 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:55.920 we're living around ninety I mean, if everybody's watched that 0:11:56.440 --> 0:11:59.280 Landman quote, you're living in a world of about a 0:11:59.320 --> 0:12:02.800 dollar more than where you were before, and it's not 0:12:02.920 --> 0:12:06.400 going to go down anytime soon. So there's punishment for 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:11.320 the US economy, for the US military and majorly empowered 0:12:11.480 --> 0:12:14.200 Iran who, yes, they lost their eyetola. Maybe it's the 0:12:14.200 --> 0:12:15.640 best thing that ever happened to them. He was a 0:12:15.679 --> 0:12:19.439 doddering old man. Now they've got a much more hardcore, 0:12:19.800 --> 0:12:24.440 battle tested reality of the people who survived with much 0:12:24.480 --> 0:12:27.000 more cynical much where're willing to use hard power. 0:12:27.120 --> 0:12:29.400 They could emerge from this stronger than ever. 0:12:29.440 --> 0:12:31.440 In fact, if I think if all of this status 0:12:31.480 --> 0:12:33.520 quo stands twenty five years from now, I think they'll 0:12:33.520 --> 0:12:35.720 be filthy rich, and I think they'll be they'll either 0:12:35.760 --> 0:12:38.199 be a full blown nuclear power, or they'll have some 0:12:38.240 --> 0:12:41.560 sort of latent nuclear deterrent like they did before, maybe 0:12:41.559 --> 0:12:44.160 some North Korea style program which where they can switch 0:12:44.200 --> 0:12:46.880 on at any moment and sprint in six weeks if 0:12:46.920 --> 0:12:49.160 they need to. Twenty five years. That's what I would 0:12:49.160 --> 0:12:52.600 predict if the current status quo were Absolutely the logic 0:12:52.679 --> 0:12:54.800 is clear. The logic is as clear as it could be, 0:12:55.400 --> 0:12:58.120 just so you guys see what the current reality is. 0:12:58.480 --> 0:13:02.040 So since Israel has continue not just continued, but escalated 0:13:02.120 --> 0:13:06.959 them their bombardment and mass massacres in Lebanon, we can 0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:09.560 put see six up on the screen. So the number 0:13:09.720 --> 0:13:14.760 of ships in the straight offor moves has reduced directly. 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:17.760 So this is some of the details about what they 0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:21.079 had indicated while these negotiations are going on. They told 0:13:21.160 --> 0:13:23.679 mediators they will be limiting the number of ships crossing 0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:27.400 to around twelve per day and imposed tolls. But now 0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:30.200 yesterday that should have been the first day where the 0:13:30.720 --> 0:13:32.679 you know, the new law of the land. Okay, twelve 0:13:32.720 --> 0:13:34.880 per day and we're going to assess tolls where that happened. 0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:39.280 Only four ships passed through, but reportedly none of those 0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.520 ships actually had oil on them, they did not have 0:13:41.600 --> 0:13:45.360 cargo on them, and so effectively zero tankers actually went 0:13:45.400 --> 0:13:48.520 through the street, and that was a dramatic reduction. There 0:13:48.520 --> 0:13:51.320 was the fewest ships passing through of any day in 0:13:51.360 --> 0:13:52.520 April so far. 0:13:52.960 --> 0:13:55.600 So this is their threat. Now they have not done. 0:13:55.679 --> 0:14:00.160 I do think they maybe shot some missiles towards Israel yesterday, 0:13:59.679 --> 0:14:02.920 but they have not re upped as much, you know, 0:14:02.960 --> 0:14:05.400 as much of the missile barrages and drone barrages as 0:14:05.440 --> 0:14:08.040 they'd been doing in the past. Instead, they're using their 0:14:08.040 --> 0:14:10.520 economic leverage, which is the thing that the US and 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:13.199 Trump is most sensitive to. And we can see C 0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:15.640 seven as well. There was a tanker that was actually 0:14:15.679 --> 0:14:18.840 turned around that was headed toward the straight of horror 0:14:18.880 --> 0:14:23.520 moves Panama flagged tanker Aurora. In any case, they are 0:14:23.800 --> 0:14:27.000 you know, they are clamping down completely now, which will 0:14:27.040 --> 0:14:29.600 hurt them because that means they're not getting revenue either. 0:14:29.920 --> 0:14:32.840 But it is the reason why we're seeing oil prices 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:36.760 go back up right now, both because of the realization 0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:39.640 there's going to be a new reality period, but also 0:14:39.720 --> 0:14:43.080 because of the realization that this thing is far from 0:14:43.120 --> 0:14:45.960 being completely settled and may be quite a while before 0:14:45.960 --> 0:14:48.440 you actually have any sort of traffic flowing through the 0:14:48.440 --> 0:14:51.600 Strait of Hormuz. So long as Israel continues to bomb 0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:52.400 and invade Lebanon. 0:14:52.480 --> 0:14:57.480 Yeah, well, all right, skeets Israel, shall we yep? 0:14:57.920 --> 0:15:01.320 So neat Yahoo making planes in a speech yesterday, that 0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:03.680 he does not want the war to end, that he 0:15:03.720 --> 0:15:06.000 does not think the war is ending, and that he 0:15:06.160 --> 0:15:09.560 remains ready to go back in and accomplish their quote 0:15:09.600 --> 0:15:11.680 unquote objectives. Let's go ahead and take a listen to that. 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:14.840 And Israel is stronger than ever. This is the bottom 0:15:14.880 --> 0:15:18.560 line of this campaign up until now. Let me say 0:15:18.560 --> 0:15:22.040 there are still additional objectives for us to achieve, and 0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:26.080 we will achieve them either by agreement or by resumption 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:30.920 of the fighting. And we are ready to resume the 0:15:30.960 --> 0:15:35.480 fighting at any moment. Our finger is on the trigger. 0:15:37.160 --> 0:15:40.720 As you know. Two weeks ceasefire has been announced between 0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:45.040 the US and Iran. No, we were not surprised in 0:15:45.120 --> 0:15:49.000 the last moment, and I want to emphasize this is 0:15:49.040 --> 0:15:50.080 not the end of the war. 0:15:50.760 --> 0:15:53.520 So he says there one thing that's interesting is he says, 0:15:53.560 --> 0:15:57.080 it's a ceasefire between the US and Iran does not 0:15:57.160 --> 0:15:59.400 include Israel and not at all. But we can put 0:15:59.400 --> 0:16:01.080 the next one up screen that just has the direct 0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:03.840 quote here he says the truth is quote not the 0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:06.520 end of the war, but a stop on the way 0:16:06.560 --> 0:16:11.080 to achieving all our goals. And of course Israel already 0:16:11.200 --> 0:16:14.600 doing what they can to destroy this quote unquote seas fire. 0:16:15.640 --> 0:16:18.640 They have long He of course, was very influential. 0:16:18.680 --> 0:16:19.400 We know he was in the. 0:16:19.320 --> 0:16:22.240 Situation room, apparently at the head of the table making 0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:25.520 the hard sell for this war, which Donald Trump chose 0:16:25.600 --> 0:16:28.920 to go along with, and has also reportedly been one 0:16:28.920 --> 0:16:31.680 of the most hawkish people in the administration in terms 0:16:31.720 --> 0:16:36.200 of wanting to pursue this absolute insanity. And that is 0:16:36.200 --> 0:16:39.760 not going to change. Israel is going to continue trying 0:16:39.800 --> 0:16:43.240 to destroy the ceasefire, trying to blow up any potential 0:16:43.280 --> 0:16:46.200 negotiations that could end the war, and even if there 0:16:46.360 --> 0:16:49.600 is some sort of agreement which is reached in the 0:16:49.640 --> 0:16:53.240 short term, they will never stop trying to undermine US 0:16:53.440 --> 0:16:56.600 it and try to go back to war. Because as 0:16:56.680 --> 0:16:58.760 much as this is a strategic defeat for US, I mean, 0:16:58.760 --> 0:17:03.000 it's a disaster for the Israelis, especially in their way 0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:05.840 of thinking, because they have no interest in coexistence and 0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:07.640 trying to live peaceably with their neighbors. 0:17:07.640 --> 0:17:09.840 Well, look, don't take our word for it, take the 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:12.800 Israeli's word for it. Listen to the Israeli opposition. Put 0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:15.400 D three up there on the screen, shall we nef? 0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:19.000 Tally Bennett, the former Prime Minister, slams the government for 0:17:19.119 --> 0:17:22.760 leaving Israel exposed to avengeful Iran after truce. I mean, 0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:25.239 he's not wrong. Is kind of right, isn't he? The 0:17:25.280 --> 0:17:28.399 former Prime minister joins the chorus of opposition criticizing the 0:17:28.400 --> 0:17:31.880 government over the ceasefire, arguing in a live TV announcement 0:17:31.920 --> 0:17:34.840 that Netanyahu had failed to achieve the war's goals and 0:17:34.920 --> 0:17:38.120 this will leave Israel facing a vengeful Iran, which will 0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:40.200 be even more determined to go nuclear. 0:17:40.480 --> 0:17:40.880 True. 0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:44.119 The reason why so many people feel disappointed tonight is 0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:47.400 that the leadership sold us illusions. All their empty promises 0:17:47.440 --> 0:17:50.800 have exploded in our face. Unfortunately, each of us sees 0:17:50.840 --> 0:17:54.240 with our own eyes that Hamas is getting stronger, Hezbola 0:17:54.320 --> 0:17:57.040 and Iran are standing on their own t feet. This 0:17:57.119 --> 0:17:59.840 is happening because a government that dismantles Israel from within, 0:18:00.320 --> 0:18:04.199 cannot defeat the enemy from without. And then you have 0:18:04.560 --> 0:18:08.240 Yayer Lapede, the main opposition leader. Let's put his statement 0:18:08.320 --> 0:18:11.400 up there on the screen, translated from Hebrew. There has 0:18:11.480 --> 0:18:15.600 never been such a political disaster in all our history. 0:18:15.920 --> 0:18:18.119 Israel was not even at the table when decisions were 0:18:18.160 --> 0:18:21.080 made concerning the core of our national security. The military 0:18:21.119 --> 0:18:23.320 carried out everything that was asked of it, the public 0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:28.000 demonstrated amazing resilience. But Netanyahu failed politically, failed strategically, and 0:18:28.040 --> 0:18:29.960 didn't meet a single one of the goals that he 0:18:30.040 --> 0:18:33.080 himself set. It will take years to repair the political 0:18:33.119 --> 0:18:36.680 strategic damage that NATANYAHUO wrought due to arrogance, negligence, and 0:18:36.800 --> 0:18:37.959 lack of strategic planning. 0:18:38.200 --> 0:18:39.520 More details here today. 0:18:39.720 --> 0:18:41.720 Important to keep in mind that all of these people 0:18:41.720 --> 0:18:44.960 supported this absolutely insane and stupid war, which was the 0:18:45.000 --> 0:18:47.159 original sin of you know how they end up in 0:18:47.160 --> 0:18:49.440 this situation. But yeah, think of it from their perspective. 0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:53.720 They were hoping to collapse the Iranian state into a 0:18:53.760 --> 0:18:56.960 failed state, some sort of civil war, you know, dramatically 0:18:58.080 --> 0:19:01.840 degrade their capabilities, maybe install some sort of a you know, 0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:06.680 US Israeli puppet leader but more likely just completely destroy 0:19:06.760 --> 0:19:07.160 this thing. 0:19:07.200 --> 0:19:08.600 They you know, less arm the curds. 0:19:08.680 --> 0:19:11.560 Let's get some sort of civil war going now, and 0:19:11.600 --> 0:19:14.879 so that they could be the undisputed hedgemon in the region. 0:19:14.960 --> 0:19:16.680 And nat Nyala at the beginning of this war was 0:19:16.720 --> 0:19:20.680 talking about them being a global superpower. That was their 0:19:20.720 --> 0:19:24.720 ambitions at the beginning of it. Now the Iranians are 0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:28.440 going to have much more power. They have demonstrated their 0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:32.720 military effectiveness. They have proven they can strike inside of 0:19:32.880 --> 0:19:36.640 Israel and cause significant damage. They approve in the holes 0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:39.720 and the you know, also the dwindling supplies in terms 0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:42.879 of the Israeli air defense. And now they're going to 0:19:42.960 --> 0:19:46.080