1 00:00:01,040 --> 00:00:03,280 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: your bets and it's me Joey Pa joe p z 3 00:00:05,240 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: Apia And today it's Friday. You know what that means. 4 00:00:07,600 --> 00:00:09,400 Speaker 1: It's time to hit the prop market. We're gonna talk 5 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:12,120 Speaker 1: about our favorite prop picks, and of course who better 6 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: to speak of that than the prop profit himself. Andrew 7 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: ericson back with us from the thirty third team. Samantha 8 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 1: PERVIDI you can follow her on exit Samantha NFL. I'm 9 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: getting better now. I don't say Twitter anymore. Are you 10 00:00:23,040 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: proud of me? Andrew? I've made that transition. 11 00:00:25,840 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 2: I mean you were going to make it eventually, eventually. 12 00:00:28,720 --> 00:00:31,440 Speaker 1: Thanks, thanks, Thanks, Well, here's the thing. What do we 13 00:00:31,480 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: call it? Are We're still calling it a tweets. 14 00:00:34,360 --> 00:00:37,040 Speaker 2: Called twis That's what I call it. It's like Twitter. 15 00:00:37,680 --> 00:00:39,280 Speaker 2: I don't want to do that now, you know. 16 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 3: It's like you have to change like the year you start. 17 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:44,680 Speaker 3: You always write the wrong year at the beginning of 18 00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 3: the year, and then it's like halfway through the year 19 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 3: that you start writing like they're going to change the 20 00:00:48,720 --> 00:00:50,000 Speaker 3: platform's name at some point. 21 00:00:50,040 --> 00:00:50,320 Speaker 1: It's not. 22 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,120 Speaker 3: But by the time I start saying X, of course. 23 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:56,240 Speaker 1: That's true, that they will absolutely change it by the 24 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: time I'm still writing twenty nineteen. It also shocks me. 25 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: I heard a stat the other day, non related to football, 26 00:01:03,120 --> 00:01:05,680 Speaker 1: that you know the movie Back to the Future took 27 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:08,679 Speaker 1: place thirty years ago. Is in Orlando with my daughter's 28 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 1: getting a little vacation last week bogging and Welsh covering 29 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 1: for me with Andrew and they said, you know, if 30 00:01:14,120 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: you did that movie today, it would be the year 31 00:01:16,680 --> 00:01:18,560 Speaker 1: nineteen ninety three that they would go back to. And 32 00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 1: that made me feel old, Samantha, That made me feel old. 33 00:01:20,760 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 1: What do you think about that? 34 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,200 Speaker 3: That makes me feel old too? I was actually, well, 35 00:01:25,240 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 3: I guess I was one. 36 00:01:26,400 --> 00:01:28,120 Speaker 2: Then, but oh, there you go. 37 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:28,880 Speaker 4: I was. 38 00:01:29,440 --> 00:01:31,160 Speaker 2: I was just a thought at that point, you. 39 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 1: Were just a thought. There you go. Well, we've got 40 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 1: thoughts about some of the week eleven props. See that transition. 41 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,400 Speaker 1: That's why I'm a professional, and we're gonna talk about them. 42 00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: But don't forget. If you've got props that you feel 43 00:01:41,240 --> 00:01:43,120 Speaker 1: strongly about, we want to hear from you. Drop your 44 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 1: comments below in the YouTube channel. I want to know 45 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: what you're in on this week. This is our community. 46 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 1: This is our fun. This is what we do. And 47 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 1: of course if you drop that comment below and you 48 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:53,880 Speaker 1: subscribe to Betting Pros, you could win a one year 49 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: free premium upgrade to Betting Pros Premium. That's right, the 50 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,720 Speaker 1: best betting tools on the planet. We've got that tool 51 00:02:00,840 --> 00:02:03,320 Speaker 1: just around the corner too, So Sinker sports Bus, download 52 00:02:03,320 --> 00:02:05,640 Speaker 1: the app, subscribe to the YouTube channel ring that Bell 53 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 1: to let Goes Day, and drop your comment below and 54 00:02:07,640 --> 00:02:10,400 Speaker 1: you could win a one year free premium upgrade. Samantha, 55 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 1: you are our guest today, so you guests always go first, 56 00:02:13,280 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: So tell me about the number one thing you're in 57 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: on this week A week eleven for the prop department. 58 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 3: Okay, so my first prop that I'm going to talk 59 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:24,600 Speaker 3: about is jamieer Gibbs over twenty one and a half 60 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 3: receiving yards. That's minus one fifteen at Draft Kings right now. 61 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 3: So it certainly took a minute, but it is finally 62 00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 3: Jamier Gibbs season. Since returning from injury, he has sixty 63 00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,120 Speaker 3: eight touches, four hundred and twenty seven scrimmage yards and 64 00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:41,920 Speaker 3: four touchdowns over three games. Absolutely manhandled the Chargers run defense. 65 00:02:42,080 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 3: Last week was the RB two four fantasy and now 66 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 3: he gets this cupcake matchup against the Bears. They're allowing 67 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:51,200 Speaker 3: an NFL high sixty one and a half receiving yards 68 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 3: per game to fantasy running backs. He's averaging just shy 69 00:02:54,720 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 3: of twenty nine receiving yards per game this year and 70 00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:59,600 Speaker 3: would have hit the over in his last three games. 71 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 3: So if you really like this one, I got this 72 00:03:01,960 --> 00:03:04,480 Speaker 3: idea from you, Joey last time. You can even laughter 73 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:09,040 Speaker 3: about it because yeah, because I think that he's going 74 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 3: to get a ton of work out of the passing game. 75 00:03:11,040 --> 00:03:14,440 Speaker 3: So their's do you have the second highest yards per 76 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,639 Speaker 3: catch two running backs this year, so you can even 77 00:03:16,720 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 3: take the longest reception for Gibbs. 78 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:21,480 Speaker 1: I forgot that was the week that we did that 79 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:24,000 Speaker 1: that you were. You were a chan actually on the show, right, 80 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:26,080 Speaker 1: it was Chen and we're finally getting him back this week. 81 00:03:26,120 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 1: So really, you're the good luck charm when it comes 82 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 1: to divine a chan. I just realized that. So you're 83 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:31,639 Speaker 1: gonna have to come on every week to keep him 84 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 1: on the field. They're just going to figure that out somehow. 85 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 1: But it's a great point about Gibbs too. I don't 86 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: know why Sam, the people aren't more patient with these 87 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: rookies because I feel like they go through this every 88 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,160 Speaker 1: single year. Like the first six weeks are kind of 89 00:03:42,200 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: blah if you look at the fantasy productivity, seven points 90 00:03:45,160 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 1: nine points, nine points, seven points. Then he misses two weeks, 91 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 1: then twenty three, twenty seven, twenty five, the last three weeks. 92 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I know that Montgomery was gone for someone, 93 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: but he was back last week. And I just don't 94 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,720 Speaker 1: understand why there's such impatience at the market, And maybe 95 00:03:57,760 --> 00:04:00,240 Speaker 1: we should all be smarter going forward and understand, Hey, 96 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 1: for six weeks, we hold off a little bit, we 97 00:04:02,720 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 1: pumped the brakes on the rookie running backs, and then 98 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:06,800 Speaker 1: second half of the season is when we start to 99 00:04:06,840 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: really turn things on here Andrew Erickson. I wish Arthur 100 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: Smith would abide by that with Bejean Robinson, but I 101 00:04:11,920 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 1: guess we can't think of everything. Yeah, I know, I 102 00:04:14,960 --> 00:04:17,560 Speaker 1: guess he didn't get the memo, but I'll try to 103 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:19,400 Speaker 1: email him after the show. Ericson what do you have 104 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 1: for the people here? In the props for Week eleven? 105 00:04:21,839 --> 00:04:24,840 Speaker 4: Going after my favorite running back, Joe Henderson, They're still 106 00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:26,559 Speaker 4: putting his props out on the market. 107 00:04:26,600 --> 00:04:27,719 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take advantage of it. 108 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 4: So under forty one and a half rushing arts for 109 00:04:30,080 --> 00:04:33,000 Speaker 4: a one mister Daryl Henderson. So he's viewed by the 110 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,599 Speaker 4: sportsbooks as the Rams clearcuts starting running back. But we 111 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:38,640 Speaker 4: just look at how this team deployed its running backs 112 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:40,320 Speaker 4: the last time we saw them playing Week nine. 113 00:04:40,520 --> 00:04:42,159 Speaker 2: That was not the case in the second half. 114 00:04:42,200 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 4: Like Henderson was the leader in the Rams backfield ten 115 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 4: carries for nineteen yards in the first half, but in 116 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:48,279 Speaker 4: the second half he had zero carries. 117 00:04:48,440 --> 00:04:49,239 Speaker 2: He had two targets. 118 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,720 Speaker 4: Royce Freeman saw all the carries in the second half 119 00:04:51,760 --> 00:04:53,919 Speaker 4: the last time we saw the Rams play. So the 120 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:55,919 Speaker 4: fact that there's a chance that this is just a 121 00:04:56,000 --> 00:04:59,359 Speaker 4: split fifty to fifty down the middle, and they're playing 122 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 4: the Seattle Sea Hawks, who have been one of the 123 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:05,120 Speaker 4: tougher defenses to run against this season. They have allowed 124 00:05:05,240 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 4: fewer than sixty rushing yards to every single running back 125 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 4: except for two running backs they have faced the season. 126 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,720 Speaker 4: Henderson isn't good number one because he was literally a 127 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 4: free agent three weeks ago and he's flown under this 128 00:05:15,920 --> 00:05:18,039 Speaker 4: number and back to back games failing his past thirty 129 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:20,800 Speaker 4: one yards. So I love betting unders. I love betting 130 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,000 Speaker 4: unders on bad running backs. I love betting unders on 131 00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,800 Speaker 4: bad running backs with bad matchups that are on the 132 00:05:25,880 --> 00:05:29,000 Speaker 4: rams named Daryl Hunderson. So I'm gonna bet the under here. 133 00:05:29,240 --> 00:05:31,479 Speaker 1: All good points. I won't tell Scott Bogman that you 134 00:05:31,520 --> 00:05:33,080 Speaker 1: bet the under. And I love it too, because I'm 135 00:05:33,120 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: always doing a Thursday night show with Bogman, who is 136 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 1: over central always life is too short for the under. 137 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,080 Speaker 1: And then we come here and I heard last week 138 00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: when I was gone, Welsh gave you a nickname. Is 139 00:05:42,839 --> 00:05:43,359 Speaker 1: this true? 140 00:05:43,680 --> 00:05:47,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm known as Andrew Underson or or something along 141 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 4: those lines. I may not have been a name, but 142 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,760 Speaker 4: it was. They threw under my name and unders. 143 00:05:53,160 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 2: There you go. 144 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's get back to a Bronco's running back 145 00:05:57,040 --> 00:06:01,799 Speaker 1: who is finally again we waited anciently for Javonte Williams, Samantha. 146 00:06:02,000 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 1: It looks like finally we're getting the Javante Williams we 147 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: were told was super healthy in training camp and then 148 00:06:08,279 --> 00:06:10,360 Speaker 1: he would get ten touches a game or all looking 149 00:06:10,360 --> 00:06:12,599 Speaker 1: at Hrther like what's going on here? But the last 150 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:16,880 Speaker 1: couple of weeks fifteen twenty seven, twenty one carries He's 151 00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: also getting work in the passing game and seeing at 152 00:06:18,839 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 1: least three targets in the last three games. But what 153 00:06:20,800 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 1: prop do you have for Javante this week for the people? 154 00:06:23,800 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, So to that point about Javante in training camp, 155 00:06:27,680 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 3: how do you know when a head coach is lying 156 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 3: or an OC is lying when their lips are when 157 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:36,360 Speaker 3: they're so yes talking. So yes, It's been good that 158 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 3: he's been strong of late, but I am at least 159 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,559 Speaker 3: fading him a little bit this week. So the prop 160 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 3: that I like is for his longest rush to be 161 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:46,600 Speaker 3: under fourteen and a half yards. It's kind of a 162 00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:48,200 Speaker 3: little bit of a weird one, but you can get 163 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:50,600 Speaker 3: that at minus one fifteen at that three six five. 164 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 3: I also happen to like be under on his rushing 165 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:56,080 Speaker 3: total and total scrimmage yards. That's sixty eight and a 166 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:59,520 Speaker 3: half and eighty eight and a half. Yeah, he's He's 167 00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,320 Speaker 3: been getting a ton of workload, not too too much 168 00:07:02,360 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 3: efficiency average of twenty four carries per game the last 169 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:07,520 Speaker 3: two weeks, but only has three point four yards per 170 00:07:07,520 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 3: carry to show for it. This pick, though, has to 171 00:07:10,440 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 3: do more with the Vikings run defense than I think 172 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:15,040 Speaker 3: it does have to do with Williams and digging into 173 00:07:15,080 --> 00:07:18,200 Speaker 3: the numbers, the Vikings have allowed an nflow one rushing 174 00:07:18,200 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 3: attempt over twenty yards all season, so that was to 175 00:07:21,520 --> 00:07:24,400 Speaker 3: DeAndre Swift back in Week two. So if we throw 176 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 3: out week two, there actually hasn't been one running back 177 00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:28,920 Speaker 3: that would have hit this over and they faced good 178 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 3: competition including Alvin Kamara, Beijon Robinson, Aaron Jones, and cmc 179 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,560 Speaker 3: all in the last four weeks. And as for Javonte, 180 00:07:36,560 --> 00:07:38,960 Speaker 3: he has one twenty yard rush this year, which came 181 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 3: against the Packers, so this will definitely be the toughest 182 00:07:41,840 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 3: defense he's faced so bar so I expect him to 183 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:46,480 Speaker 3: struggle overall and don't really see him breaking off a 184 00:07:46,560 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 3: huge run here. 185 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:51,160 Speaker 1: All right, Well, the Broncos have certainly right of the 186 00:07:51,200 --> 00:07:53,960 Speaker 1: ship the last few weeks. But it's like the two 187 00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,480 Speaker 1: Cinderella teams meeting up here on Sunday night. We'll see 188 00:07:56,480 --> 00:07:58,600 Speaker 1: who comes out with the victory. I can't stop the Vikings. 189 00:07:58,600 --> 00:08:00,840 Speaker 1: It fields like no matter what's going on? All right, Andrew, 190 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: back to you for another pick for a week eleven. 191 00:08:02,560 --> 00:08:03,120 Speaker 1: What do you got? 192 00:08:03,320 --> 00:08:05,720 Speaker 4: So I'm going to pile on here with Samantha's calling. 193 00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 4: I love the Javanta Williams under sixty eight and a 194 00:08:07,800 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 4: half rushing yards just kind of adding some more fuel 195 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:13,360 Speaker 4: to the fire to Faye Javant, to Faye Juggernaut Gavante. 196 00:08:13,400 --> 00:08:16,080 Speaker 2: I know he's been great, but heater, it's cooling off 197 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 2: right now. 198 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 4: So again, looking at the Vikings defense, how much better 199 00:08:19,600 --> 00:08:21,080 Speaker 4: they have been over their five game wins streak. Only 200 00:08:21,080 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 4: one running back is to pass their projected rushing total 201 00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:26,600 Speaker 4: against the Minnesota Vikings, and we have me talked about 202 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:30,040 Speaker 4: DeAndre Swift ripping off the one rush of twenty plus yards. 203 00:08:30,280 --> 00:08:33,640 Speaker 4: Javonte Williams hasn't only do that once, but just overall, 204 00:08:34,200 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 4: the Vikings haven't given up more than sixty five rushing 205 00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:39,000 Speaker 4: yards to any running back except for DeAndre Swift, like 206 00:08:39,040 --> 00:08:40,960 Speaker 4: he was the only running back in that Thursday night 207 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 4: game where he was just unstoppable and as Brian Flores 208 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 4: being like, just run the ball on us, please do 209 00:08:45,600 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 4: not throw. Since that point, like this defense has been 210 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:51,719 Speaker 4: a no run zone. So I get. I just love 211 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:54,800 Speaker 4: getting it at this really high number for Javonte because 212 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:56,280 Speaker 4: he has been so good, it's why the number is 213 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 4: so high. 214 00:08:57,040 --> 00:08:59,880 Speaker 2: But the matchup is really bad. So I like the 215 00:09:00,080 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 2: Monte calls, well. 216 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he's going over that number eighty two, 217 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:05,480 Speaker 1: eighty five, seventy nine the last three weeks, so we'll 218 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:07,559 Speaker 1: see if he can do it again four times in 219 00:09:07,559 --> 00:09:10,679 Speaker 1: a row, or if mister Anderson is right again. By 220 00:09:10,679 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 1: the way, if you're making pick account the unders, that's 221 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:15,120 Speaker 1: that's a better one. 222 00:09:15,160 --> 00:09:16,520 Speaker 2: I like that. I like that. 223 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:20,160 Speaker 1: We're sure preying on my wrestling love too, so I mean, 224 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,720 Speaker 1: we gotta tell about that. But undertakers aside, make sure 225 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 1: you're betting over on the Betting Pros app, but also 226 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,959 Speaker 1: make sure you're betting on the NFL contest again. Betting 227 00:09:28,960 --> 00:09:31,800 Speaker 1: Pros dot Com slash NFL Contest a grand prize, we're 228 00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:34,640 Speaker 1: giving away a JSN autograph jersey. And you're saying, well, 229 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 1: it's too late, I can't do it. No, that's not true. 230 00:09:37,600 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: You can because we're also doing weekly prizes of swag 231 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:44,080 Speaker 1: from our Betting Pros and our Fantasy Pro shops. We're 232 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:46,960 Speaker 1: also giving away monthly prizes as well, so it's never 233 00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:50,440 Speaker 1: too late to join. We're doing premium subscriptions to Betting Pros, 234 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:54,200 Speaker 1: to Fantasy Pros. We're just giving away stuff. Ericson's car 235 00:09:54,480 --> 00:09:57,120 Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe we'll give that away. Certainly, not the 236 00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 1: engagement room he gave your toy Corolla anything but that 237 00:10:03,240 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: we should get that car. Come on, I love you ours, 238 00:10:07,360 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: but go join right now bettingbros dot Com slash NFL 239 00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:12,560 Speaker 1: Contest or if you have the app, and I know 240 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 1: you do, just go to the community tab and join 241 00:10:14,720 --> 00:10:16,280 Speaker 1: the NFL contest. There again, you don't even have to 242 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,000 Speaker 1: make the bet. You just have to make the pick. 243 00:10:18,240 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 1: Five picks a week, one hundred on the season. That's 244 00:10:20,280 --> 00:10:22,080 Speaker 1: what you gotta do to win that big grand prize too. 245 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,000 Speaker 1: All right, let's get back to you, Samantha for another 246 00:10:24,000 --> 00:10:26,520 Speaker 1: one of your picks for week eleven, and it's a 247 00:10:26,559 --> 00:10:27,560 Speaker 1: cowboy this week. 248 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 3: Yes, so I didn't know that the theme of the 249 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 3: show was unders on running backs, but I'm gonna keep 250 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:36,199 Speaker 3: going with that. So Tony Pollard under sixty nine and 251 00:10:36,240 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 3: a half rushing yards. That's minus one ten at bet MGM. 252 00:10:39,480 --> 00:10:41,840 Speaker 3: I know it sounds like insanity against the Panthers, but 253 00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:43,440 Speaker 3: hear me out. So. First of all, it was brought 254 00:10:43,480 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 3: to my attention on Twitter that the Panthers run defense 255 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 3: has actually been slightly better of late, only allowing an 256 00:10:50,280 --> 00:10:52,679 Speaker 3: average of eighty six rush yards per game two running 257 00:10:52,679 --> 00:10:55,440 Speaker 3: backs since thereby and only one of their running backs 258 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 3: would have hit this over now. Pollard was an afterthought 259 00:10:59,120 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 3: last week against the Giants, who's run defenses also garbage. 260 00:11:02,440 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 3: He was outperformed by some guy named Rico Dowdell, who 261 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:07,840 Speaker 3: only saw twenty eight percent of the snaps but rushed 262 00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:10,720 Speaker 3: for more yards on fewer attempts. So Daddle was one 263 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,040 Speaker 3: of three Cowboys to rush for a touchdown. The other 264 00:11:13,080 --> 00:11:15,960 Speaker 3: two were Dak Prescott and Ceedee Lamb. So that was 265 00:11:16,000 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 3: a very disappointing week obviously. Like I feel like Fantasy 266 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 3: Twitter decided it was Tony Pollard week last week because 267 00:11:21,600 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 3: it really should have been and it wasn't. And I 268 00:11:23,400 --> 00:11:26,960 Speaker 3: feel like that same logic is being applied here with 269 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,839 Speaker 3: this big number. But I just don't believe in him 270 00:11:29,880 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 3: right now. He was probably a late first round or 271 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 3: early second round pick in most people's drafts too, and 272 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:37,120 Speaker 3: it just really has not paid off since Week three 273 00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:40,560 Speaker 3: would not have hit this over ones, So I'm going 274 00:11:40,640 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 3: under here. 275 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,840 Speaker 1: I'm a little hurt by the disparity about my boy 276 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: Rico Dowdle that he just threw out there. He went 277 00:11:47,400 --> 00:11:50,439 Speaker 1: to South Carolina. Look just because he was undrafted, that's 278 00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: just where running backs are nowadays. They just look the 279 00:11:53,120 --> 00:11:55,280 Speaker 1: league is just devalue them. But I know it was 280 00:11:55,320 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: garbage time last week. However, Rico did look pretty good 281 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,800 Speaker 1: between the tackles, something that Tony Howard does not look 282 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: good all year doing. I know, the Giants quit by 283 00:12:03,520 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 1: the time we got to the third quarter or maybe 284 00:12:05,120 --> 00:12:06,360 Speaker 1: the right and they're going to be in for. 285 00:12:06,559 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 3: Each time, probably this game, I mean. 286 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:14,320 Speaker 1: You know, and trying and to that point too. You know, 287 00:12:14,360 --> 00:12:16,360 Speaker 1: when you look at Pollard and those numbers, even in 288 00:12:16,360 --> 00:12:18,559 Speaker 1: some of these bigger games where they're more contested, I mean, 289 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: he hasn't gone over this number since week three. That 290 00:12:22,240 --> 00:12:23,880 Speaker 1: is a long time here. I mean, if you go 291 00:12:23,920 --> 00:12:26,880 Speaker 1: through the game log forty seven, nine, thirty, fifty three, 292 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:30,160 Speaker 1: fifty one and fifty five, Ericson is calling for how 293 00:12:30,160 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: many touchdowns for Pollard this week? By the way, Erickson 294 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:34,840 Speaker 1: or we up to three? Up to three? We better 295 00:12:34,880 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: end the show soon because I'm me tell you, if 296 00:12:37,160 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: if we stay a much longer, it's going to be four. 297 00:12:39,120 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 1: I can't stop him. We started at one and then 298 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:42,720 Speaker 1: it went to two yesterday in the livestream. Now he's 299 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: up to three. So here we go, all right, Ericson, 300 00:12:45,880 --> 00:12:47,440 Speaker 1: let's get back to you here with another pick for 301 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: a week eleven. What do you have? 302 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:48,880 Speaker 2: All right? 303 00:12:48,920 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 4: Sticking with this Panthers Cowboys game, quarterback Bryce Young over 304 00:12:52,320 --> 00:12:54,640 Speaker 4: ten and a half rushing yards. I actually really like 305 00:12:54,679 --> 00:12:56,839 Speaker 4: the rushing props on Bryce Young from rushing yards and 306 00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:58,600 Speaker 4: rushing attempts. But you look at what he's done on 307 00:12:58,640 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 4: the ground last three games. He's gone over ten and 308 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:04,360 Speaker 4: a half rushing yards. He's facing the Dallas Cowboys pass rushers. 309 00:13:04,400 --> 00:13:06,280 Speaker 4: Means to me, he's gonna be running for his life. 310 00:13:06,280 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 4: He's gonna be scrambling a lot. So look, seven of 311 00:13:08,880 --> 00:13:11,040 Speaker 4: the nine quarterbacks Dallas has faced this year has gone 312 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:14,240 Speaker 4: over they're projected rushing totals because again they play a 313 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 4: lot of man coverage. 314 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 2: What does that mean? 315 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 4: Defensive backs have their backs turn to the quarterback. They're 316 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 4: running down field with receivers and that opens up a 317 00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:22,720 Speaker 4: lane for the quarterback to run, especially when Micah Parsons 318 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 4: is trying to kill you. So Bryce Young, I think, 319 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,160 Speaker 4: is going to use his legs a lock to protect himself. 320 00:13:27,840 --> 00:13:30,320 Speaker 4: You look at how much they're averaging on the ground. 321 00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:33,520 Speaker 4: The Cowboys defense twenty seven point three second most rushing 322 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 4: attempts allowed on the ground to quarterbacks five point eight 323 00:13:36,920 --> 00:13:37,200 Speaker 4: ten and. 324 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,240 Speaker 2: A half yards. He could get this on the first drive. 325 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 4: So I think that Bryce Young this is my favorite 326 00:13:41,880 --> 00:13:43,439 Speaker 4: bed of all the ones I've listened out so far. 327 00:13:43,559 --> 00:13:45,400 Speaker 4: It's Bryce Young over his ten and a half rushing 328 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 4: yards and you can get the attempts at plus money 329 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:48,720 Speaker 4: on DraftKings. 330 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,559 Speaker 1: No, well, it's nice to see you taking over somewhere too. 331 00:13:51,720 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 1: Just change it up a little bit. But I love 332 00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:55,120 Speaker 1: the low numbers. I always do because I think those 333 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,680 Speaker 1: are those are locks. You can get this on one play, 334 00:13:57,880 --> 00:13:59,640 Speaker 1: you know, where he just breaks free on one of 335 00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:01,920 Speaker 1: those moment that's there and the pass rush is ferocious. 336 00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 1: So you got to make sure you're staying alive. Let's 337 00:14:05,040 --> 00:14:07,920 Speaker 1: stay another one of Sam's here, because the next guy 338 00:14:07,920 --> 00:14:10,640 Speaker 1: we're going to talk about, the QB four on the 339 00:14:10,679 --> 00:14:13,840 Speaker 1: year guy coming off three straight three hundred yard games, 340 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:15,720 Speaker 1: and I don't know, do we want to call him 341 00:14:15,720 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 1: the most prolific passer of our generation, of our time. 342 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:21,680 Speaker 1: I don't know, But it's Sam how people, It's Sam Howe. 343 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,960 Speaker 1: So let's talk about this number here it's two forty 344 00:14:25,000 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: five and a half. Sam, Where are you going with 345 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:27,320 Speaker 1: this one? 346 00:14:28,160 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 2: Sure? 347 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 3: So I like the over on his passing yards. I 348 00:14:31,880 --> 00:14:33,640 Speaker 3: really feel like no one wants to hear it. But 349 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:36,720 Speaker 3: he is the QBA on a per game basis, averaging 350 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 3: more Fantasy points than guys like Tua Lamar and Joe Burrow. 351 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 3: Currently has a league leading two seven hundred and eighty 352 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 3: three passing yards over ten games, seventeen game pace of 353 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,520 Speaker 3: over forty seven hundred yards. And what I think is 354 00:14:50,560 --> 00:14:52,800 Speaker 3: impressive is that he's doing this behind an O line 355 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,640 Speaker 3: that's giving up the second most sacks per year so 356 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,880 Speaker 3: this year. So the good news is that the Giants 357 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:02,160 Speaker 3: pass rush hardly inspires much fear. One point five sacks 358 00:15:02,160 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 3: per game. Howell would have hit this over on the 359 00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 3: bet in seven of ten games this year, in each 360 00:15:08,440 --> 00:15:10,520 Speaker 3: of the last four, so I think he's on quite 361 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 3: the heater. He's got that hot streak on his side 362 00:15:13,240 --> 00:15:16,760 Speaker 3: home field advantage. Also like the over on his longest 363 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,760 Speaker 3: pass attempts to send us the Giants are particularly bad 364 00:15:19,840 --> 00:15:20,120 Speaker 3: in the. 365 00:15:20,280 --> 00:15:21,000 Speaker 2: Long ball game. 366 00:15:22,000 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I know the Giants game was well not entertaining. 367 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:27,680 Speaker 1: Is that a kind way of saying it last time 368 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:28,360 Speaker 1: these two teams. 369 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 2: It was ugly. 370 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: It was not a fun game to watch. I tried 371 00:15:33,000 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 1: to watch parts of it and I just like, I 372 00:15:34,360 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 1: couldn't do it. But even hit that number over in 373 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:39,040 Speaker 1: that game, which was a mess. He only had ten 374 00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:40,760 Speaker 1: Fantasy points, but he had two hundred and forty nine 375 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,760 Speaker 1: yards passing that one. So yeah, he has truly been 376 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:45,680 Speaker 1: on a heater last few weeks. And I don't think 377 00:15:45,720 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 1: any of us saw this coming. But who knows. Maybe 378 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 1: he's even saving Ron Rivera's job. You think that's true, 379 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:53,960 Speaker 1: and Erickson, can anyone do that? Can Sam Howe do that? 380 00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 4: I mean if it was Ron Rivera, we wouldn't even 381 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:58,720 Speaker 4: have If it was Ron Revera's call. Sam how Wull 382 00:15:58,760 --> 00:16:01,680 Speaker 4: never even played, so he just dessure any of this credit. 383 00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 4: It's Eric b Enemy and Sam Howell that have really 384 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 4: been saving his butt because he was like, I didn't 385 00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:07,040 Speaker 4: even know Sam Howells this good. 386 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:10,600 Speaker 2: It's like, dude, you kind of comment? Is that so well? 387 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:12,280 Speaker 1: I mean he did have a bad last year of 388 00:16:12,360 --> 00:16:17,320 Speaker 1: college and that's what happened the draft, then that's true. 389 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 1: But I got to the case too great, but great 390 00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:22,960 Speaker 1: quarterbacks also make the name weapons around them. You know, 391 00:16:23,000 --> 00:16:26,160 Speaker 1: we we you and I spent twenty years watching Tom 392 00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:28,440 Speaker 1: Brady play with Dian Branch and Troy Brown and guys 393 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: like that. Yeah, he did have Randy Moss that did helpen. 394 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:32,720 Speaker 2: Eight through fifty touchdowns. It was great. 395 00:16:32,760 --> 00:16:34,480 Speaker 1: He did were fifty touchdowns. So it does help when 396 00:16:34,480 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 1: you have guys that are very good, but you could 397 00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 1: still win with mediocre talent. 398 00:16:38,480 --> 00:16:40,320 Speaker 2: I mean, they're not really winning. He's just throwing for 399 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:41,240 Speaker 2: a lot of yards. 400 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,160 Speaker 1: All that too, too. All right, let's get back to you, 401 00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 1: ericson for another pick for a week eleven? What do 402 00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:46,080 Speaker 1: you have? 403 00:16:46,280 --> 00:16:49,000 Speaker 2: All right? Doing another over here? Don't worry, guys, I'm fine. 404 00:16:49,360 --> 00:16:51,640 Speaker 4: I like this over Mike Evans over get Wellness and 405 00:16:51,800 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 4: a half. Receiving yards minus one twenty. 406 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 2: At bet MGM. 407 00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 4: I just think this number is really low for Mike Evans, 408 00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,520 Speaker 4: who's been really surprising how effective he's been with Baker 409 00:17:00,560 --> 00:17:02,280 Speaker 4: Mayfield this year. Look at the match against the forty 410 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:04,880 Speaker 4: nine ers. They've allowed sixty plus receiving yards to eight 411 00:17:04,920 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 4: different wide receivers over the last six games. 412 00:17:06,880 --> 00:17:08,440 Speaker 2: That's how you attack this team. 413 00:17:08,440 --> 00:17:10,679 Speaker 4: The Buccaneers don't want to run the ball, and that's 414 00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:13,040 Speaker 4: how you attack a forty nine ers, you attack their secondary. 415 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:15,679 Speaker 4: The over has hit for seven of nine games for 416 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:17,879 Speaker 4: number one wide receivers facing the forty nine Ers, including 417 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:20,160 Speaker 4: four straight games where they've given up one hundred plus 418 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:22,840 Speaker 4: yards to posing number ones. Evans has gone over this 419 00:17:22,920 --> 00:17:24,840 Speaker 4: number six of nine games played this year at sixty 420 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 4: seven percent. Three of his last four projections have about 421 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 4: sixty six receiving yards. So I just think the number 422 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 4: is really too low for a guy, especially with Mike 423 00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:34,920 Speaker 4: Evans who's used so heavily downfield, like he can get 424 00:17:34,920 --> 00:17:37,760 Speaker 4: this on one or two passes from Baker Mayfield in 425 00:17:37,760 --> 00:17:39,439 Speaker 4: a game where they're going to have to throw the 426 00:17:39,440 --> 00:17:41,800 Speaker 4: ball to keep pace with this high power San Francisco 427 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 4: forty nine ers offense, So I think it's gonna be 428 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:46,040 Speaker 4: a lot of passing overall in this game. The Buccaneers 429 00:17:46,040 --> 00:17:47,480 Speaker 4: can't run the ball, they don't want to run the ball, 430 00:17:47,480 --> 00:17:48,880 Speaker 4: so I think it's gonna be a lot of targets 431 00:17:48,960 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 4: for Mike Evans. 432 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:50,520 Speaker 2: So are like the over here. 433 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,120 Speaker 1: Okay, let's get to another one from you, Samantha. As 434 00:17:54,119 --> 00:17:56,640 Speaker 1: we continue to go through all of our prop bets 435 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:58,840 Speaker 1: for this week and don't forget everybody too. If you're 436 00:17:58,880 --> 00:18:01,399 Speaker 1: looking for some of the best prop bets out there, 437 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 1: The prop bet cheat sheet is available over on betting 438 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:06,000 Speaker 1: Pros app or on bettingpros dot com, where you can 439 00:18:06,040 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 1: see basically for those of you who haven't checked this 440 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:10,560 Speaker 1: out yet, I'm gonna lay it out what it is. 441 00:18:10,920 --> 00:18:13,480 Speaker 1: You go there, you go for any game you want. 442 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:15,720 Speaker 1: You can sort them for any props you want, rushing 443 00:18:15,720 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: props or receiving props, anything you want there, and you 444 00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:21,560 Speaker 1: could see not only the fantasy projections for those where 445 00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:23,679 Speaker 1: you're looking at what the yards tolls are going to be, 446 00:18:24,040 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 1: then the variants, the best variance you can find over 447 00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:28,120 Speaker 1: or under those, and then the best place to bet 448 00:18:28,119 --> 00:18:29,800 Speaker 1: them with the best line. It's all done for you. 449 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,199 Speaker 1: It is literally the cheat sheet. Okay, it's not just 450 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,560 Speaker 1: a clever name. It's fantastic. Go check that out, Samantha, 451 00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 1: What do you have next year for Week eleven? 452 00:18:37,880 --> 00:18:38,120 Speaker 2: Sure? 453 00:18:38,160 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 3: So my last prop maybe and not the sexiest, but 454 00:18:41,119 --> 00:18:44,919 Speaker 3: it's Kate Auten over seventeen and a half receiving yards. 455 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:48,479 Speaker 3: That's minus one fourteen at FanDuel. So the forty nine 456 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,199 Speaker 3: ers are quite good against most positions. Including tight end. 457 00:18:51,280 --> 00:18:53,720 Speaker 3: But I just think this is crazy low. Even they 458 00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 3: have given up an average of over thirty three receiving 459 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:59,800 Speaker 3: yards to the position per game and would have a 460 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 3: life this over to hit in six of nine of 461 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 3: two six of nine tight ends faced this year. So 462 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,440 Speaker 3: I think it's a little lower because is coming off 463 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 3: of his worst game of the season, where he only 464 00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 3: logged two catches for ten yards, but prior to that, 465 00:19:12,920 --> 00:19:15,760 Speaker 3: he had his best game with six catches for seventy yards, 466 00:19:15,880 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 3: and his target chair has been going up in this offense. 467 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 3: He's had a respectable eight point five yards per catch 468 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:23,119 Speaker 3: this year. So essentially, I think if you think he 469 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:25,560 Speaker 3: can get two catches in this game, which he's done 470 00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,760 Speaker 3: in all but two games this year, there's a decent 471 00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:29,400 Speaker 3: chance that he will hit this over. 472 00:19:30,359 --> 00:19:33,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. Interesting one for sure, Kate Auten, I mean, if 473 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:35,600 Speaker 1: a sexy pick, I'm looking at the dude to look 474 00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: at he's got that all American boy kind of quality 475 00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: about him, Like he's no Travis Kelcey. You know, we're 476 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:42,960 Speaker 1: talking about the sexy tight ends obviously. 477 00:19:42,520 --> 00:19:45,400 Speaker 2: But Kelsey was no Travis Kelcey. Andrew in the league 478 00:19:45,840 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 2: we've seen true since. 479 00:19:48,119 --> 00:19:50,200 Speaker 3: Made Travis Kelly. She put him up. 480 00:19:50,160 --> 00:19:53,240 Speaker 1: All that's what my kids are telling me, that's for sure. 481 00:19:53,520 --> 00:19:55,680 Speaker 1: And they are, let me tell you, they are excited 482 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,600 Speaker 1: for Monday Night football because they heard she's going to 483 00:19:57,680 --> 00:20:01,000 Speaker 1: be there and it's Kelsey first Kelsey, It's a whole thing. 484 00:20:01,400 --> 00:20:03,639 Speaker 1: So they're like, yeah, Monday Night, like, we're watching that game. 485 00:20:03,680 --> 00:20:05,280 Speaker 1: I was like, oh great, I'm glad. I'm glad that 486 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,040 Speaker 1: we're That's what everyone's decided in the house, so it 487 00:20:08,080 --> 00:20:11,320 Speaker 1: should be fun. We'll put the put the Christmas Village 488 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:14,879 Speaker 1: out and we'll watch a little Eagles versus Gansa. The 489 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:16,840 Speaker 1: Chiefs ericson give us one more prop before we get 490 00:20:16,840 --> 00:20:18,480 Speaker 1: to the anytime touchdown calls for the week. 491 00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:20,120 Speaker 2: I'm sticking with the tight ends here. 492 00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:22,200 Speaker 4: I'm going to go under on Dalton Schultz under four 493 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,160 Speaker 4: and a half receptions. I think it's just really another 494 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 4: really high number for Schultz. Again, he's obviously been boosted 495 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:30,880 Speaker 4: by how good CJ. Strout has been over the last 496 00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 4: couple of weeks, but it's just really high number. He's 497 00:20:33,280 --> 00:20:35,600 Speaker 4: gotten over the number just two times and nine games 498 00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,479 Speaker 4: played this season. Arizona's a tough matchup four tight ends 499 00:20:38,520 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 4: allowing just three point seven catches per game to entire 500 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:44,120 Speaker 4: teams tight ends, not just one guy per week. Only 501 00:20:44,119 --> 00:20:47,160 Speaker 4: two tight ends they've played this year have over five catches. 502 00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,160 Speaker 2: In any of their games. So I know Noah Brown 503 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:49,520 Speaker 2: is going to. 504 00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:51,480 Speaker 4: Miss this game, but he's not someone that like vacuums 505 00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:53,639 Speaker 4: up a bunch of targets underneath. I could see Nico 506 00:20:53,720 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 4: Collins coming back eating into Dalton Schultz target share. So 507 00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:59,439 Speaker 4: for me, anytime I can bet an under on a 508 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,040 Speaker 4: fringy tight end that's been hot, it's usually the move 509 00:21:02,119 --> 00:21:03,800 Speaker 4: to make. So Dalt Schultz under four and a half 510 00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:04,520 Speaker 4: receptions for me. 511 00:21:05,240 --> 00:21:06,600 Speaker 1: You know, I gotta say, I don't have a lot 512 00:21:06,600 --> 00:21:08,400 Speaker 1: of shares of Schultz this year. So I didn't even 513 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: realize that. And I'm looking at the game log as 514 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:12,920 Speaker 1: you're saying it, and yeah, you have the ten catches 515 00:21:12,920 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 1: in week nine. He had these seven catches in Week 516 00:21:15,440 --> 00:21:17,760 Speaker 1: five and he had a couple four spots. But it's 517 00:21:17,800 --> 00:21:20,720 Speaker 1: funny because he's scoring so many touchdowns, right He's got one, two, three, 518 00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:23,600 Speaker 1: four touchdowns in his last five games. We kind of 519 00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:27,320 Speaker 1: forget that he's not getting the volume. He's getting the targets, 520 00:21:27,640 --> 00:21:29,119 Speaker 1: but he's not making all the catches, you do a 521 00:21:29,160 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 1: lot of four for seven, two for five, four for 522 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 1: six kind of the situations there. 523 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 4: So it's a number that's too high for just like 524 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 4: a basically just like kind of carbon copy cookie cutter 525 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,280 Speaker 4: tight end. It's like, Okay, you're good because you're any 526 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 4: good offense right now, but not because the player in 527 00:21:43,320 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 4: himself is like, oh, Schultz is like this elite, so 528 00:21:46,200 --> 00:21:48,240 Speaker 4: good after the catch, Like nobody was. 529 00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:49,679 Speaker 2: Saying that about Dualt Schultz. 530 00:21:49,680 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 4: He's obviously benefited from having Stroud, but you know, with 531 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:54,600 Speaker 4: all of his toys back, especially with Nico Collins back 532 00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:56,360 Speaker 4: this week, I think Schultz takes a hit. 533 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:57,360 Speaker 3: All right. 534 00:21:57,440 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 1: This is our favorite time of the show where we 535 00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:02,879 Speaker 1: give calls for any time touchdown. So Samantha kick us 536 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,840 Speaker 1: off here, give us the touchdown lock for you. In 537 00:22:05,880 --> 00:22:07,000 Speaker 1: week eleven, who do you have. 538 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 3: Sure going with another tight end? Dalton Kincaid versus the 539 00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:13,679 Speaker 3: Jets at plus two hundred, you can get that at 540 00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:17,120 Speaker 3: bet three sixty five. The Jets have been just particularly 541 00:22:17,160 --> 00:22:20,160 Speaker 3: exploitable against tight ends and have allowed an NFL high 542 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,240 Speaker 3: zero point sixty seven touchdowns per game to the position 543 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:25,760 Speaker 3: of this year. Michael Mayer just found the end zone 544 00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 3: last week. Kinkaid didn't do much in Week one against 545 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:29,879 Speaker 3: the Jets, though, I've got to say that was a 546 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:32,320 Speaker 3: very weird game and you got to give him a 547 00:22:32,359 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 3: couple of games to get acclimated into the NFL. But 548 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,960 Speaker 3: since Week seven, Kinkaid is the tight end three and 549 00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:41,480 Speaker 3: a half ppr. Also like potentially like the over on 550 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:43,600 Speaker 3: his catches as well, that's four and a half. 551 00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:47,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think we're all seeing finally the Dalton kinkd 552 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:49,439 Speaker 1: that all of us were so excited about that we 553 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:51,920 Speaker 1: saw in Utah look so good in college and we're 554 00:22:52,000 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 1: very excited about coming into the NFL patients. 555 00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:54,720 Speaker 2: But that's another issue. 556 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:57,119 Speaker 3: I'm just going to say, it's another guy that, like 557 00:22:57,160 --> 00:22:59,720 Speaker 3: people gave up on in one week. I saw him 558 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 3: on ways after one week because people were like, oh, 559 00:23:02,640 --> 00:23:03,160 Speaker 3: he's trash. 560 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 1: Yeah, what do you think happens with Buffalo getting rid 561 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:08,920 Speaker 1: of Dorsey? What Buffalo Bill's offense? Do we see this week? 562 00:23:08,920 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: I know it's a tough matchup against the Jets, but 563 00:23:11,359 --> 00:23:14,840 Speaker 1: do we see I mean, in your guess, what would 564 00:23:14,840 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 1: it look like? Are we seeing a little bit more 565 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:18,560 Speaker 1: free flowing? Are we seeing a little bit more just 566 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:21,760 Speaker 1: maybe committing to the run for change, giving James Coke 567 00:23:21,760 --> 00:23:23,760 Speaker 1: the ball more. What change do you think we're gonna see, 568 00:23:23,760 --> 00:23:25,520 Speaker 1: if any with Dorsey out as OC. 569 00:23:25,480 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 3: Now, Sam, I don't know, because I'm not sure that 570 00:23:28,160 --> 00:23:31,040 Speaker 3: Dorsey was necessarily the huge issue. I mean, if you 571 00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:33,920 Speaker 3: watch the game against the Broncos, it just seems like 572 00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:35,760 Speaker 3: Josh Allen would to throw it to the wrong team 573 00:23:35,760 --> 00:23:39,000 Speaker 3: the whole time. So I would think that, you know, 574 00:23:39,040 --> 00:23:42,119 Speaker 3: we've seen this before with coaches or things get people 575 00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,200 Speaker 3: getting fired mid season, that maybe they have a kind 576 00:23:44,200 --> 00:23:47,920 Speaker 3: of like rally around game they really come out kind 577 00:23:47,920 --> 00:23:50,280 Speaker 3: of strong, or they could come out as a hot mess. 578 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 3: So it really could go either way. I would like 579 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:54,600 Speaker 3: to see a little more volume for James Cook as 580 00:23:54,760 --> 00:23:56,960 Speaker 3: a manager who has to I. 581 00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: Think Sean mcdermot's running out of scapegoats ericson that's what 582 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:02,679 Speaker 1: I you know. I mean, Brian day Bole left, so 583 00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:06,199 Speaker 1: he was, you know, conquering hero. But Leslie Frasier's gone now, 584 00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:09,639 Speaker 1: Ken Dorrisy's gone, like eventually, Sean McDermott, it's see how 585 00:24:09,640 --> 00:24:12,320 Speaker 1: watch Survivor the Girls and I was watching Survivor every week. 586 00:24:12,440 --> 00:24:14,920 Speaker 1: You gotta have a shield, you know, like you gotta wait. 587 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: You make that move later in the off season so 588 00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 1: they don't come after you. You know, like you can't 589 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:21,720 Speaker 1: do him mid season because after if things don't right, 590 00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:23,760 Speaker 1: the ship all of a sudden, next thing you know, 591 00:24:23,880 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 1: it's you, Sean McDermot that is off the island, and 592 00:24:26,080 --> 00:24:27,760 Speaker 1: then they snuff your torch and then they send you 593 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 1: back where you get to become a coordinator again. Ericson call. 594 00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:32,840 Speaker 1: Touchdown for me this week? Who do you have? 595 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,520 Speaker 2: All right? Buckle up, guys, because we're going. 596 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,240 Speaker 1: We're going to the moon. 597 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 4: Darnell Mooney plus four seventy third receiving yards or third 598 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,360 Speaker 4: most receiving yards with just one touchdown score this year, 599 00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:47,520 Speaker 4: so he's due for some just natural aggression because of 600 00:24:47,560 --> 00:24:49,720 Speaker 4: how many yards he has totaled. He has zero touchdowns 601 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 4: on his four red zone targets. The Lions matchup is 602 00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,919 Speaker 4: great for wide receivers. Find of the fourth most receiving 603 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,120 Speaker 4: touchdowns to wide receivers face the second most red zone 604 00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:00,000 Speaker 4: targets to wide receivers mood He has the scort sce 605 00:25:00,080 --> 00:25:03,439 Speaker 4: week one, and the kicker here is Lions are one 606 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,760 Speaker 4: of the worst teams against defending number two wide receivers 607 00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,920 Speaker 4: thirty versus and dvo Way against number two pass catchers. 608 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 4: So I love darn On Mooney overs at twenty six 609 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:14,080 Speaker 4: and a half yards. I love Darna Mouoni to score. 610 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:16,320 Speaker 4: I love him the DFS. We're going to the moon 611 00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:17,240 Speaker 4: with darn On Mooney. 612 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 1: All right, well, I will say you have a theme 613 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,160 Speaker 1: this week. So Ericson's theme for week eleven is guys 614 00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:26,360 Speaker 1: who scored in week one who haven't scored since will 615 00:25:26,400 --> 00:25:28,439 Speaker 1: score in week eleven. It's all the ones, it's right, 616 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:31,000 Speaker 1: it's the numerology of it, Andrew, like everything's lining up, 617 00:25:31,040 --> 00:25:31,920 Speaker 1: the stars are aligning. 618 00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:33,800 Speaker 2: Do you think about that? But that makes a lot 619 00:25:33,800 --> 00:25:34,919 Speaker 2: of sense now. 620 00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 1: Now see, now it's all true. Now we know for sure. 621 00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,680 Speaker 1: Samantha Pervidi, everybody make sure you follow her again on X. 622 00:25:40,760 --> 00:25:44,000 Speaker 1: Check out her work over at Samantha NFL. You can 623 00:25:44,080 --> 00:25:46,280 Speaker 1: check her out at thirty third Team doing great stuff 624 00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,280 Speaker 1: for them. We love having her on the program here, 625 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:51,399 Speaker 1: taking time out of her busy schedule doing important things 626 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:53,360 Speaker 1: to hang out with us and talk a little football. 627 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,080 Speaker 1: And of course Andrew always has to be here with me. 628 00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: He's contractually obligated. But don't forget drop a comment below. 629 00:25:58,600 --> 00:25:59,760 Speaker 1: We want to know what you are in on this 630 00:25:59,800 --> 00:26:02,600 Speaker 1: week week on the YouTube channel. Drop the comments in there. 631 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,840 Speaker 1: I want to see them, and then don't forget to 632 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,600 Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel. Click that bell to lick goes things. 633 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:09,560 Speaker 1: You know, if you're the big winner of that next 634 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,360 Speaker 1: big BP premium upgrade that we're giving away to somebody, 635 00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,600 Speaker 1: it could be you. It should be you. That'd be you, 636 00:26:15,760 --> 00:26:17,199 Speaker 1: that'll do it for us. But the story of the 637 00:26:17,200 --> 00:26:19,680 Speaker 1: game goes on for Samantha and Andrew. I'm Joey p. 638 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:21,639 Speaker 1: We'll see you next time. Kids. 639 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,240 Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 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