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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: March the second episode of the Daily Juice podcast with

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Speaker 1: me Matt Peralta. You guys can follow me on my

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Speaker 1: socials at Sports Talk Matt. And if you've been fading

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Speaker 1: me the last three days, you've been profitable. If you've

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Speaker 1: been trailing, I apologize. We have been in a little

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Speaker 1: bit of a rut. Unfortunately, we just have kind of

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Speaker 1: been banging around here. Purdue loses outright the Spurs and

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Speaker 1: the Knicks go way under. The Knicks killed the Spurs,

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Speaker 1: those two bets miss Michigan State gets to win in Indiana.

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Speaker 1: So again another one and two mark for us. It's

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Speaker 1: been sort of the where we've been over the last

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Speaker 1: three days one and two, one and two, one and two.

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Speaker 1: I will give you the full accounting for the month

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Speaker 1: of February, hopefully tomorrow, and then I give you last week.

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Speaker 1: I'll add into the math. I think we were slightly

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Speaker 1: down last week. We weren't on for Monday and Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: We were back on Wednesday. Yeah, I think we were

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Speaker 1: not heavily down, but I think we're down probably a unit,

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Speaker 1: maybe one point five something like that for us. Last week,

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Speaker 1: so losing week last week, as we start a new

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Speaker 1: week in a brand new month here in the month

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Speaker 1: of March. And yes, the Karen Williams jersey will be

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Speaker 1: given away in the next couple of days, so stay

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Speaker 1: tuned for that when I announced the winner of that

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Speaker 1: autographed jersey thanks to our friends at Pristine Auction dot Com.

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Speaker 1: Now for today, there is an NBA player prop that

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Speaker 1: I've got for you guys that will be on the

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Speaker 1: well with this five star prop bets have hit at

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Speaker 1: player props picks based on projections and sportsbook lines. It's

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Speaker 1: like to join after checking out the prop bet cheat sheet.

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Speaker 1: If you want to do that, it's bettingpros dot com slash.

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Speaker 1: NBA props are going download the Betting Pros app. So,

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Speaker 1: like I mentioned, we have one NBA player prop which

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Speaker 1: will be out later on today on the Betting Pros app.

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Speaker 1: Search at Sports Talk Matt to go and find my

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Speaker 1: account and that's where I will put the NBA player prop.

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Speaker 1: We're back into NBA player props are going to do

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Speaker 1: a lot of that coming up this week. It's that

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Speaker 1: time of the year where basically we have college basketball,

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Speaker 1: we have the NBA, and we have the NHL, and

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Speaker 1: that's pretty much all. We've got. Maybe a little NASCAR,

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Speaker 1: maybe a little golf once in a while, but for

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Speaker 1: the most part, those are the three sports that we're

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Speaker 1: going to be focusing on here for the month of March.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with Duke on the road at NC State.

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Speaker 1: This is going to be an interesting game because the

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Speaker 1: number is nine and a half. Here's the thing. NC

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Speaker 1: State has not been covering recently. NC State is seven

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Speaker 1: six and one at home, but they're one in four

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Speaker 1: ats over their last five. They're eight seven and one

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Speaker 1: in acc play. But that in covering it's Notre Dame

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Speaker 1: lost by six as favorites on the road to the Irish.

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Speaker 1: In their last game Virginia, they lost by twenty nine points.

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Speaker 1: On the road to Virginia. They did beat North Carolina,

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Speaker 1: but that was after they lost to Louisville in Miami.

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Speaker 1: So I mean, in typical NC State fashion, watching them

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Speaker 1: lose to Miami, in lose to Louisville, they'll beat North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: They lost to Virginia, and they lost to Notre Dame.

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Speaker 1: Watching them beat Duke. But here's the thing. Duke has

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Speaker 1: won six games in a row. Duke has covered four

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Speaker 1: games in a row. They beat Virginia by twenty six

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Speaker 1: points at home, laying nine and a half points. They

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Speaker 1: beat Notre Dame by forty four points, laying sixteen and

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Speaker 1: a half points. They had that big win over Michigan.

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Speaker 1: They're just playing really solid basketball right now. Kembom has

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Speaker 1: this for Duke as a nine point victory. The number

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Speaker 1: is nine and a half, so we're right there with that.

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Speaker 1: But the problem I think for NC State is going

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Speaker 1: to be that their defense just is not going to

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Speaker 1: be able to stop this Duke offense. They're forty six

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Speaker 1: defensive efficiency, they're two hundred and tenth in defensive effective

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage, they're two hundred and twenty second in

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Speaker 1: three point defense, and they're one hundred and eighty eighth

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Speaker 1: in two point defense. Up against Boozer in company, this

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Speaker 1: Duke offense is the fourth best two point percentage shooting

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Speaker 1: team in the country, getting nearly half their points from

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Speaker 1: inside the arc. I just think it's too tough with Boozer,

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Speaker 1: who has been so good over the last four games.

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Speaker 1: I don't think NC State is going to have an

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Speaker 1: answer against this Duke defense. They're number one in defensive efficiency,

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Speaker 1: number ten in defensive effective field goal percentage, eighteenth and

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Speaker 1: three point shooting even though NC State does hit their threes,

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Speaker 1: And if NC State's going to be in this game,

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Speaker 1: it's going to because they bury a ton of threes.

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Speaker 1: They're eleven to the country with thirty eight point six

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Speaker 1: percent shooting from behind the three point line, and they

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Speaker 1: get thirty seven percent of their offense from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: That's in the top fifty of the country. So if

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Speaker 1: NC State, if the Will back hit their three, it

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Speaker 1: could be tough on Duke. And we're not going to

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Speaker 1: cover this game, but I'm going to take the Duke

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Speaker 1: offense up against a poor NC State defense to be

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Speaker 1: able to get to the basket and score pretty much

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Speaker 1: at will. We're going with Duke minus nine and a

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Speaker 1: half at NC State for one point one units bet

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Speaker 1: number two. Before I give you that, let me tell

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Speaker 1: and make your first deposit. Let's talk about Arizona and

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Speaker 1: Iowa State. I've been on kind of a kick of

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Speaker 1: betting and getting these games wrong with Iowa State. In Arizona,

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Speaker 1: I haven't been very good here, so maybe you want

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Speaker 1: to fade this play. But these teams played last year

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Speaker 1: in Arizona and it was a very similar situation. This

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Speaker 1: is senior night for Arizona. This is a whiteout for Arizona.

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Speaker 1: The white out happened last year in the game when

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Speaker 1: to overtime. Now you could say, well, look, Matt Arizona

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Speaker 1: and I'm winning that game eighty six to seventy five.

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Speaker 1: But it went to overtime and they were two and

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Speaker 1: a half point favorites. Now Arizona is seven and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites up against an Iowa State team that

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Speaker 1: has been played playing well. Iowa State getting blown out

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Speaker 1: at Arizona. Yeah, maybe it could happen. It's possible, but

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Speaker 1: I want to focus on the total instead of the

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Speaker 1: side because I think Iowa States live to be in

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Speaker 1: this game and cover. So the last game Rie Was

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Speaker 1: State went over, but their last road games at Utah

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Speaker 1: under by ten and a half points, at BYU under

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Speaker 1: by six and a half points, at TCU under by

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Speaker 1: thirty and a half points. The last three games rye

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Speaker 1: Was State have all gone under and they're Big ones.

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Speaker 1: Last game home against Kansas for Arizona they got Pete back,

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Speaker 1: which is a huge deal to have the freshman kid

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Speaker 1: in the middle to protect the rim. They'll give up

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Speaker 1: sixty one points to Kansas. Game went under by seven

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Speaker 1: and a half points one fifty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: It went under against BYU won sixty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: The game went under by nineteen and a half points

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Speaker 1: against Texas Tech one fifty six and a half. Game

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Speaker 1: went under by three and a half points. Their last

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Speaker 1: three home games have all gone under. Arizona's eight and

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Speaker 1: eight on the year to a total, but Iowa States

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Speaker 1: eight and five to the under on the road and

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Speaker 1: eleven and five to the under in Big twelve play.

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Speaker 1: Arizona is nine and seven to the under in Big

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Speaker 1: twelve play. I think we're getting defense here, and I

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Speaker 1: know both these offenses can fill it up, and they

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Speaker 1: both can shoot. I mean, Iowa State's top ten in

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Speaker 1: the country in three point shooting at thirty nine percent,

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Speaker 1: forty fifth in the country in two point percentage. But

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Speaker 1: Arizona's defense is third in defensive efficiency, third in effective

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage defensively, second in two point percentage defensively

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Speaker 1: fifty second and three point percentage defensively in Iowa States

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Speaker 1: no slouch themselves. Their eighth in defensive efficiency, eighty eighth

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Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage defensively, ninety third and three

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Speaker 1: point defense, and one hundred and thirteen and two point defense.

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Speaker 1: But Arizona's offense is highly efficient, but not that great

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Speaker 1: stats wise, one hundred and second shooting threes, fifty second

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Speaker 1: shooting twos. They only get twenty percent of their offense

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Speaker 1: from behind the arc. That's great for unders, fifty seven

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Speaker 1: point seven percent of their offense coming inside the arc

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Speaker 1: for Arizona, that's tenth in the country. Let's just ride

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Speaker 1: this trend and play the under in this game. Just

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Speaker 1: being kind of a slog fest rock fight old School

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Speaker 1: Big twelve basketball game Arizona Iowa State under one forty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half for one point one units. So,

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Speaker 1: like I mentioned, the NBA player prop will hit you

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Speaker 1: later on today on the Betting pros app. We're going

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Speaker 1: with NC State laying nine and a half on the

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Speaker 1: road against the Wolfpack Duke minus nine and a half

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Speaker 1: Arizona and Iowa State under one forty seven and a half,

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Speaker 1: and an NBA player prop will be found on the

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Speaker 1: Betting pros app by searching at Sports Talk Matt. That

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Speaker 1: will hit you some point during the middle of the day.

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Speaker 1: It'll be up set the alert hit the little bell

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Speaker 1: to alert you when that prop bet does go up

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Speaker 1: for us on a Monday, Minu's Matt Parol. You guys

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Speaker 1: can follow me because all my socials at Sports Talk

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Speaker 1: Matt every morning wherever you guys can podcasts. It is

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Speaker 1: the Daily Juice