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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Tuesday morning edition of the Day of

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Speaker 1: the Jews podcast. My name is Matt paralg You can

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Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Doc Matt. This podcast

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Speaker 1: being brought to you by bet MGM off of our

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Speaker 1: friends and our great website, bettingpros dot com. All Right,

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Speaker 1: so I am pissed off beyond all belief right now,

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Speaker 1: and well I had to kind of take a lap

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Speaker 1: here and take a breather before I tape the podcast

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Speaker 1: because I'm not happy. It's not that that I got

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Speaker 1: the bet wrong. It's that we got the bet right.

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Speaker 1: We picked the Titans to cover that two and a

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Speaker 1: half point line, and we were right. It was the

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Speaker 1: right side. I had that in the circum Million contest.

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Speaker 1: I had that pick. In the DraftKings Pro Football pick'em contest,

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Speaker 1: I had it. I had money on that game. That

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Speaker 1: was a game that my week, I mean, regardless of

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Speaker 1: what we did on Sunday, Okay, my week personally, just

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Speaker 1: for me, My whole entire week was riding on that game.

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Speaker 1: Because we wind up three and two in the DraftKings,

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Speaker 1: Dan Harris and I rather than four and one, which

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Speaker 1: is a monster difference in those contests. Four and one weeks.

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Speaker 1: That's a really big deal. Three and two is not

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Speaker 1: that hard. Four and one is difficult. Five and oho

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Speaker 1: is even more difficult. But four and one is a

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Speaker 1: big deal. It's only week one, but it's frustrating. In

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Speaker 1: the Circa, we end up two and three, and my

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Speaker 1: partner and I that's not what we want at all.

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Speaker 1: Two and three. Losing weeks are not good. It's still early,

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Speaker 1: but losing weeks really put you behind the eight ball

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Speaker 1: and it pretty much knocks you out for the first

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Speaker 1: quarter Pole Award, which is now up to like one

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty four thousand every four weeks or whatever

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Speaker 1: it is to come in first place. You go two

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Speaker 1: and three, you're pretty much done. You're given you can

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Speaker 1: have basically three losses during a four week period, but

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Speaker 1: if you have any more than that, you're pretty much done.

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Speaker 1: So for the first quarter, at least in the Circa,

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Speaker 1: we're done. We're still alive. The amount of players in

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Speaker 1: the DraftKings contest, there's six hundred and sixty nine I

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Speaker 1: believe was the final tally. There's three thousand, two hundred

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Speaker 1: or so in the Circa, so very different competition. It's

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Speaker 1: gonna be much easier to move up if you have

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Speaker 1: a big week, a big five and zero run, and

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Speaker 1: you'll have a much better chance of moving up in

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Speaker 1: the DraftKings. But I mean, yesterday, just oh gosh, I'm

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Speaker 1: not happy today. I'm really not happy. Stephen Goskowski is

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Speaker 1: supposed to be a Hall of Fame kicker, and the

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Speaker 1: dude missed three field goals in an extra point and

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Speaker 1: we lost on the hook. A quarterback in Ryan Tannehill

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Speaker 1: had a receiver wide open in the end zone. He

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Speaker 1: is signed, he's in a monster contract in the offseason.

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Speaker 1: You have to hit that receiver like you have to

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Speaker 1: if you want to be a championship caliber quarterback. You've

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Speaker 1: got to hit that receiver like not even a question.

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Speaker 1: And he overthrew them. And then Mike Vrabel decides to

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Speaker 1: on fourth and one from inside the ten yard line,

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Speaker 1: after your kicker has shown no ability to make a kick,

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Speaker 1: he decides to let him kick rather than going for it.

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Speaker 1: He had two timeouts. I mean, I understand, you get

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Speaker 1: stopped there, you lose, So I get it that third

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Speaker 1: down play was crucial, But my goodness, there are ways

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Speaker 1: to lose bets, and there are agonizing haunt you in

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Speaker 1: your dreams type of losses. And that's what that game

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Speaker 1: was for me. Obviously, I'm clearly pretty emotional here. The

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Speaker 1: game just ended. We're tapping this overnight like we always do.

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Speaker 1: I'm fired up and mad man, I'm just mad. Dominated.

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Speaker 1: That's what the Titans did. They dominated that game. Aj

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Speaker 1: Bouje got hurt. You saw Lindsey get hurt. It was

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Speaker 1: just my gosh, when you pick a game and you

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Speaker 1: have your whole week writing on that and that's what happens,

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Speaker 1: it's very frustrating and very difficult to deal with. And

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Speaker 1: then I mean, you go from I thought my bad

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Speaker 1: beat of the night was going to be the Giants.

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Speaker 1: Because the Giants Daniel Jones runs to his left, throws

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Speaker 1: to his right and throws a pick that I could

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Speaker 1: have caught in the end zone. That all we needed

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Speaker 1: was a field goal there. That's it, not a touchdown,

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Speaker 1: a field goal if he kicked. If the Giants kick

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Speaker 1: a field goal there, the over forty five cashes. Instead,

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Speaker 1: it goes to forty two and it doesn't cash. It

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Speaker 1: closed at forty four. So that two point conversion at

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Speaker 1: the end of the game that did not go in.

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Speaker 1: That was also equally devastating because that would have gotten

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Speaker 1: at least a push out of that. So that didn't happen.

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Speaker 1: So we got that wrong. And I guess you could

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Speaker 1: say it evened doubt a little bit with the Dallas

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Speaker 1: Stars coming back from a two to zero deficit deficit

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Speaker 1: to score three straight goals to get to five for us.

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Speaker 1: They go to overtime and they knock out the Vegas

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Speaker 1: Gold Knights. But that stinks because that's a bet we had.

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Speaker 1: We had Vegas to win that series, so we got

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Speaker 1: that bet row. So just a night where you know,

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Speaker 1: on the plays, we got you know, down two units.

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Speaker 1: We'll go back and correct. Now, we got that pick

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Speaker 1: that future wage wrong, so we'll go back and correct

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Speaker 1: that a little bit. Here, just one of these days

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Speaker 1: that you just shake your head at and just go, okay,

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Speaker 1: turn the page. Let's get to Tuesday, because I'm just

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Speaker 1: so incredibly angry about what happened and frustrated by what happened.

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Speaker 1: So not the start to the week that we want.

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Speaker 1: But I mean, look at we are right there. I

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Speaker 1: mean in terms of like picking sides, like I've talked

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Speaker 1: about this before, you can pick the right side and

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Speaker 1: lose we were on the right side. I still maintained

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Speaker 1: the over was the right play on that Giants game,

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Speaker 1: that was the right side to be on. And then

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Speaker 1: I still maintained that being on the Titans was the

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Speaker 1: right side. I mean ten points, they left ten points

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Speaker 1: on the leg of Gskowski. Ten he makes one of

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Speaker 1: those field goals. We we we would go ahead in cash. So,

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Speaker 1: I mean, just a really rough night. Bad sits you,

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Speaker 1: and so we're back at it. I'm excited to bet

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Speaker 1: football again. We're gonna get in some basketball today here.

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Speaker 1: I've got three plays in the NBA and I've got

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Speaker 1: one play in hockey that I want to make coming

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Speaker 1: up here for a Tuesday. So, uh, one's a future wager,

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Speaker 1: one's a hedge. So I'm gonna give you two plays

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Speaker 1: to kinda sink your teeth into here a little bit

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Speaker 1: if you haven't played it yet, for this coming day.

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Speaker 1: But I just want to remind everyone. Bet MGM is

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Nevada, or West Virginia. Please gambler responsibly got

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Speaker 1: a gambling problem. You're gonna call one hundred and five

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Speaker 1: So let's start in the NBA, and let's start with

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Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics against the Miami Heat. I am betting.

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Speaker 1: I have bet the Boston Celtics to win the Eastern

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Speaker 1: Conference and to win this matchup against the Miami Heat.

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Speaker 1: My prediction is six games. I'm not gonna bet that,

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Speaker 1: although you get some decent plus money if you want

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Speaker 1: to bet an exact number. I think Boston wins the

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Speaker 1: series in six. There's a couple of reasons why I

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Speaker 1: think Boston wins the series. Number One, Miami's gonna have

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Speaker 1: to hit threes at a really high level, and we'll

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Speaker 1: watch the overs here and we may be on the

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Speaker 1: over in game two or Game three if both these

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Speaker 1: teams are hitting a bunch of threes. But the Miami

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Speaker 1: Heat were the perfect matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks. Everything

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Speaker 1: that you have to do is stop Milwaukee. Miami was

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Speaker 1: able to do the problem for the Miami heat. It's

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Speaker 1: the same problem that the Sixers had. It's the same

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Speaker 1: problem that the Bucks would have had, even though I

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Speaker 1: think the Bucks probably beat the Celtics because they don't

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Speaker 1: Boston matches up very poorly with Milwaukee. Is that Jason

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Speaker 1: Tatum and Jalen Brown on the wing, they're so long,

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Speaker 1: Marcus Smart is such a good defender, and you've got

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Speaker 1: Kemba Walker who is a great facilitator in a floor

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Speaker 1: general that the backcourt is just really tough to deal with.

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Speaker 1: And the front court for Boston Tice is highly underrated.

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Speaker 1: And if Gordon Hayward comes back and plays, and I

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Speaker 1: think he'll play in game two, I don't think he'll

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Speaker 1: play in game one, but he plays in game two.

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Speaker 1: It's another wing score that Miami had a tough time

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Speaker 1: to match up with. And look, Butler is a force,

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Speaker 1: and Bam is really impressive, and Hero has played incredibly well,

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Speaker 1: and they've got Goroan to shoot threes. But the amount

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Speaker 1: of threes that miam is gonna have to hit to

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Speaker 1: keep up with Boston, I just don't see it. I

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Speaker 1: think over the course of a seven game series, best

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Speaker 1: of Boston wins four games before Miami does. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: bet the Celtics to win the series at minus one

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Speaker 1: point thirty Boston to get to advance to the finals,

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Speaker 1: which is insane. He stop and think about it, because

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Speaker 1: they very well might wind up playing the Lakers, which

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Speaker 1: is awesome, Boston, La. The Celtics have seventeen championships, the

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Speaker 1: Lakers have sixteen championships, and this would be epic for

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Speaker 1: the NBA. I would probably fade the Celtics are a

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Speaker 1: little bit. I think the Lakers will the side to

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Speaker 1: be on there, but we'll get to that maybe later on.

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Speaker 1: But I like Boston at my one thirty to win

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Speaker 1: the series. So in game one here, this is where

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Speaker 1: Boston is really difficult coming out of the gates. I

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Speaker 1: got Boston at minus one here, and I think at

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Speaker 1: least in Game one, I expect Boston to play really well.

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Speaker 1: I know Jimmy Butler is an absolute dog to play

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Speaker 1: against in the NBA, and you gotta love his attitude

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Speaker 1: here in the bubble, but he's facing a team that's deeper,

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Speaker 1: that has more talent on it, and Spolster is a

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Speaker 1: phenomenal coach. I'm not knocking it, but Brad Stevens can

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Speaker 1: hold his own against Eric Spultra. Spolster just you know,

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Speaker 1: literally dominated Mike Budenholzer just coach circles around him. He's

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Speaker 1: not gonna do that with Brad Stevens. I mean, look,

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Speaker 1: they've had some bench help, some really nice bench help

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Speaker 1: Boston has with some size coming off the bench. I

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Speaker 1: think Boston is a more talented basketball team. And I

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Speaker 1: don't think Miami matches up all that great with Boston. Here.

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Speaker 1: So Boston in Game one minus one, Boston to win

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Speaker 1: the series at my one thirty or our two plays

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Speaker 1: here for that game one, that best of seven series

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Speaker 1: for the Eastern Conference Finals. Now, the other game tonight

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Speaker 1: is the Clippers taking on the Nuggets. All right, So

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Speaker 1: here's what I have done. And I don't really recommend

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Speaker 1: laying minus three hundred for juice on a money line,

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Speaker 1: but here is why I'm going to do it. So

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Speaker 1: about a week and a half ago, I told you

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Speaker 1: about the line movement that took place for the Nuggets

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Speaker 1: and the LA Clippers. It opened up at about plus

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Speaker 1: three fifty for the Nuggets minus three fifty for the Clippers.

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Speaker 1: So much money came in here in Las Vegas. At

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Speaker 1: the line went to minus sixteen hundred here in Vegas

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Speaker 1: at the Westgates Super Book plus nine hundred on the

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Speaker 1: other side. So I played a half a unit, and

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Speaker 1: I got criticized. People said, you're dumb, you're throwing your

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Speaker 1: money away, And I said, well, at plus nine hundred

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Speaker 1: when the first number was plus three fifty, why wouldn't

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Speaker 1: I take that money? Why wouldn't I take that value

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Speaker 1: right there? It's better than two and a half to

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Speaker 1: one I get on the opening number versus where that

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Speaker 1: number was. So I got plus nine hundred. Okay, half

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Speaker 1: a unit. If you're playing with one hundred dollars as

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Speaker 1: your one unit, that's fifty bucks to win four to fifty, okay,

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Speaker 1: So just for math's sake, here go buy that. So

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Speaker 1: you're talking about five fifty bucks into four fifty. So

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Speaker 1: we're gonna cash a five hundred dollars return, right, So

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Speaker 1: fifty bucks plus four four to fifty to win five

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Speaker 1: hundred bucks coming back. I have bet the Clippers at

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Speaker 1: minus three hundred on the money line tonight at one

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Speaker 1: and a half units. The reason I'm gonna get MI

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Speaker 1: initial wager back, okay. So I'm just gonna have some

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Speaker 1: fun here either, I win fifty bucks if the Clippers win,

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Speaker 1: and I make back the wager that I made, so

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Speaker 1: we're even on units. It's half a unit win versus

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Speaker 1: a half a unit loss. But at the Denver Nuggets

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Speaker 1: somehow shocked the world here, right, If you're going off

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Speaker 1: of one hundred buck unit, you're putt down one hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty bucks to win fifty or you're gonna win

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Speaker 1: four fifty. So we're gonna clear either a really nice

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Speaker 1: big profit with the Clippers losing the Nuggets, or if

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Speaker 1: the Clippers win, we're gonna wind up getting ourselves just

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Speaker 1: that wager back. So I think the Clippers win. You

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Speaker 1: wanna lay the minus three hundred, the minus three ten, three,

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Speaker 1: twenty three, thirty three forty wherever this game is gonna

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Speaker 1: go off at, you wanna lay it. I don't hate it.

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Speaker 1: I cannot see the NBA. I can't see the I

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Speaker 1: just cannot see the Lakers not facing the Clippers in

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Speaker 1: the Western Conference Finals. I just can't see it. We've

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Speaker 1: waited for months and months, We've basically played this whole bubble.

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Speaker 1: This whole thing was designed to get to this point

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Speaker 1: where Kawhi and Lebron play in a best of seven series,

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Speaker 1: so I just cannot, for the life of me, I

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Speaker 1: just cannot imagine how we don't get there. So I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna hedge. I think it's it's the right move personally

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Speaker 1: to hedge on this. But I would love it if

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Speaker 1: the Nuggets win and we cash that plus nine hundred ticket.

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Speaker 1: That would be awesome, but probably not so most likely

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Speaker 1: it's the Uppers winning Game seven. So we're gonna lay

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Speaker 1: on the money line one and a half units at

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Speaker 1: minds three hundred for the Clippers to win tonight to

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Speaker 1: advance to the Western Conference Finals, which I do think

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Speaker 1: they're going to do. And then finally, I do have

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Speaker 1: one play here on Tampa taking on the Islanders. I

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Speaker 1: think this is a three to two hockey game, all right.

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Speaker 1: I think the Islanders are in trouble here. I think

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Speaker 1: Tampa's gonna win. I think Tampa's gonna score, and they've

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Speaker 1: scored a bunch of goals, four or five goals pretty much.

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Speaker 1: You know, when they get rolling, they can score on anybody.

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Speaker 1: And I just don't know if the Islanders are going

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Speaker 1: to be all that interested. They may need to open

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Speaker 1: up a little bit. That's gonna cause them to be

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Speaker 1: a little bit susceptible to some counter strikes. I got

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Speaker 1: the Tampa team total of two and a half goals

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Speaker 1: at minus one point fifty, and I've bet the over

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Speaker 1: on Tampa's team totals. I think Tampa scores at least

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Speaker 1: three goals coming up tonight against the Islanders. They may

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Speaker 1: not close it out, but I do think they get

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Speaker 1: to three goals. I think it's probably a three to

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Speaker 1: two win for Tampa. So I'm not gonna bet the total.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna take Tampa. My is one fifty their

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Speaker 1: team total at two and a half. In order to

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Speaker 1: win in advance to the Stanley Cup Finals, well, they

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Speaker 1: will face incredibly enough, they're gonna face a team in

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Speaker 1: the Dallas Stars, which look, I can't remember I talked

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Speaker 1: about that or not, but that was that push was

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Speaker 1: you know we got lucky on that. Yeah, I talked

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Speaker 1: about that. So we got that push because of that

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Speaker 1: going to overtime with two to two and then three

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Speaker 1: to two. So the five got got pushed in totals

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Speaker 1: five in this game too, So we're gonna avoid the five.

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Speaker 1: Tampa team total two and a half over. Am Ius

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Speaker 1: won fifty two plays with Boston Celtics minus one. Boston

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Speaker 1: win the series at minus won thirty and the Clippers

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Speaker 1: on a hedge of one and a half units at

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Speaker 1: minus three hundred to win here. But the Nuggets win,

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Speaker 1: that's even better for us here to go ahead and

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Speaker 1: take that. So basketball and hockey for you here on

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Speaker 1: a Tuesday, we may bet a little baseball on Wednesday,

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Speaker 1: then we got Thursday night football, and then we'll roll

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Speaker 1: into Friday and Saturday and we're back to betting football

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Speaker 1: once again. So rough night, tough night stays. You're gonna

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Speaker 1: have bad breaks and bad losses like that. Not happy

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Speaker 1: about it, but that's gambling. That's how how things go.

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Speaker 1: When Titans win but they don't cover. We are back

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Speaker 1: tomorrow morning on a Wednesday for the Daily Juice off

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Speaker 1: of bettingpros dot Com and this whole thing being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by BETMGM. My name is Matt Perrault. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt, and we're back

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Speaker 1: tomorrow morning for another edition of the Daily Juice