1 00:00:01,480 --> 00:00:05,480 Speaker 1: Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Burger Studios is Bloomberg Daybreak 2 00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: for Monday, September twelve two. Coming up this hour, Promising 3 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: signs for Ukraine as military forces retake key territory from Russia. 4 00:00:14,800 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: The UK enters a week of mourning as the public 5 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:20,920 Speaker 1: prepares to pay respect to Queen Elizabeth. And on Wall Street, 6 00:00:20,960 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: It's all about inflation? Is traders await the next greeting 7 00:00:24,040 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: on consumer prices? The New York police officer was killed 8 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:30,880 Speaker 1: while heading to nine eleven ceremonies, plus the sentencing phase 9 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 1: continues for the Parkland High School shooter. I'm Michael barr 10 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: More ahelf. I'm John stash Owen Sports a thrillion season 11 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,120 Speaker 1: Open and went for the Giants. The Jets lost the 12 00:00:39,200 --> 00:00:42,200 Speaker 1: Mets and Yankees one on Carlos Alcarez one the US Open. 13 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: That's All's training ahead on Bloomberg day Break on Bloomberg 14 00:00:48,080 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: eleven Free on New York, Bloomberg N one, Washington, d C, 15 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:56,720 Speaker 1: Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixties, San Francisco, 16 00:00:57,200 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: Syrius x AM one nine Team and around the World 17 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:03,680 Speaker 1: Old on Bloomberg Radio Dot. Carmen via the Bloomberg Business app. 18 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: Good morning, I'm Nathan Haker and I'm Karen Moscow. US 19 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:13,560 Speaker 1: DOT index futures on the rise this morning. We're going 20 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: to have to fago went on Wall Street and we 21 00:01:15,360 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day 22 00:01:18,000 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 1: on bloomberg S and P Future is of twenty six bys, 23 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 1: Dow futures of a hundred seventy five and NASTAG futures 24 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: up ninety two. The ten year treasury up three thirty seconds, 25 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:30,039 Speaker 1: held three point to nine percent, and they yield on 26 00:01:30,080 --> 00:01:33,400 Speaker 1: the two year three point five three percent and nine X. 27 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: Screwed oil is up three quarters of a percent at 28 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:39,200 Speaker 1: eighty seven dollars forty five cents of barrel. Nathan, Karen. Thanks. 29 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: We begin this morning in Ukraine. It's been more than 30 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,679 Speaker 1: two hundred days since Russia invaded the country, and now 31 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,800 Speaker 1: we are seeing promising signs for Ukraine as the country's 32 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: military advances in the east and retakes some key territories. 33 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:56,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg's Amy Morris has the latest from our newsroom in Washington, Nathan. 34 00:01:56,200 --> 00:02:00,360 Speaker 1: Unconfirmed reports overnight suggests the Ukrainian troops have retaken hounds 35 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 1: in and around the Kharkiv region, not far from the 36 00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:07,080 Speaker 1: Russia Ukraine border. Ukraine's top commander says they've returned about 37 00:02:07,160 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: three thousand square kilometers of lost territory back to Ukrainian control. 38 00:02:11,840 --> 00:02:14,600 Speaker 1: Russia's Defense ministry published a map showing that much of 39 00:02:14,600 --> 00:02:17,079 Speaker 1: the country's forces are out of the Kharkiv region now, 40 00:02:17,320 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: but they didn't comment further. Military experts tell Bloomberg News 41 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:24,040 Speaker 1: Ukraine should watch for an unexpected reaction from Vladimir Putin 42 00:02:24,400 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: in Washington. I'm Amy Moore as Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Amy, 43 00:02:27,440 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 1: thank you. We turned to the UK now, where the 44 00:02:29,520 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: nation continues its period of mourning in the wig of 45 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 1: Queen Elizabeth's death. King Charles will speak in Westminster today 46 00:02:35,639 --> 00:02:39,040 Speaker 1: as political leaders gathered to offer their condolences. Then the 47 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,560 Speaker 1: Queen lies in state for twenty four hours in Edinburgh, Scotland, 48 00:02:42,639 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 1: where the public will pay their respects before she's moved 49 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:49,200 Speaker 1: to London. Bloomberg's Lizzie Burden has more details from Buckingham 50 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: Palace to plority lining up to pay their respects. They 51 00:02:53,200 --> 00:02:55,680 Speaker 1: have been since before the sun even came up, just 52 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: to take a quiet moment of reflection. The King Charles 53 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,880 Speaker 1: the Third over the weekend. Of course, he formally took 54 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,880 Speaker 1: the throne trust swore allegiance to him in the last 55 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: Prime Minister do do. That was Winston Churchhill. For the 56 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: rest of the week as well as she's going to 57 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,960 Speaker 1: accompany him on a tour of Britain. Tomorrow, the Coffin 58 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:16,480 Speaker 1: will return here to Buckingham Palace, and then from Wednesday 59 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,920 Speaker 1: until the funeral now confirmed for September nineteenth, the Queen 60 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:23,000 Speaker 1: will lie in state at Westminster Hale and Bloomberrys. Lizzie 61 00:03:23,000 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: Burden at Buckingham Palace says the Queen's funeral be hounded 62 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:29,799 Speaker 1: Westminster Abbey one week from today. Man. President Biden is 63 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 1: going to attend that funeral next week, Karen. But back 64 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,640 Speaker 1: in the US, it was a somber weekend for the 65 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:37,960 Speaker 1: White House. Politics hit the pause button Sunday as we 66 00:03:38,000 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: marked twenty one years since the attacks of nine eleven. 67 00:03:41,280 --> 00:03:44,320 Speaker 1: President Biden used the events of our vigilance against future 68 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: terror threats in remarks made at the Pentagon. What was destroyed, 69 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: we have repaired, what was threatened, We fortified what was attacked. 70 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 1: The abdominable spirit has never ever wavered. President Biden later 71 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:01,400 Speaker 1: reef at the panda on that has become a tradition 72 00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: for US presidents on the anniversary of nine eleven. Well, 73 00:04:04,600 --> 00:04:06,880 Speaker 1: it was indeed a somber weekend, Nathan, And as we 74 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: emerge from it, President Biden faces a possible labor crisis 75 00:04:10,880 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 1: that threatens to shock supply chains across the country. US 76 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:16,919 Speaker 1: railroad workers are threatening a strike, and we get details 77 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: from Bloomberg's Lisa Mateo. Tens of thousands of US rail 78 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:22,880 Speaker 1: workers could be on strike by the end of this week. 79 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:27,000 Speaker 1: Their warning of potential disruptions as soon as today. Negotiations 80 00:04:27,040 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: have been challenging and ongoing for more than two years. 81 00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: Current rail labor contracts are frozen at levels, and the 82 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: White House is urging negotiators to continue talks throughout the week. 83 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:41,720 Speaker 1: According to rail officials, a strike could snarl supply chains, 84 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:45,760 Speaker 1: disrupt agricultural deliveries, and cost the US economy more than 85 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:48,800 Speaker 1: two billion dollars a day. In New York, I'm Lisa 86 00:04:48,839 --> 00:04:52,359 Speaker 1: Mateo Bloomberg Daybreak. Al Right, Lisa, thank you. As inflation 87 00:04:52,480 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: sees workers fight for higher wages, it also remains front 88 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 1: and center on Wall Street. Janet Yelling came out to 89 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,880 Speaker 1: address the matter this weekend. The Treasury Secretary tell CNN 90 00:05:01,160 --> 00:05:03,839 Speaker 1: she's hopeful the FED can bring down prices without sending 91 00:05:03,880 --> 00:05:06,960 Speaker 1: the US economy into recession. The FIT is going to 92 00:05:07,120 --> 00:05:11,080 Speaker 1: need great skill and also some good look to achieve 93 00:05:11,240 --> 00:05:15,239 Speaker 1: what we sometimes call a soft landing, which is bringing 94 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:19,719 Speaker 1: inflation down while maintaining the strength of the labor market. 95 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,400 Speaker 1: And my hope, I believe there is a path to 96 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 1: accomplishing that, and my hope is that we will achieve 97 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 1: the soft landing. Jenny Gellen says taming inflation is the 98 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: main priority for the FED and that the US cannot 99 00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:37,559 Speaker 1: have a strong labor market if prices remain high. Well, Nathan, 100 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:39,719 Speaker 1: we won't have to wait long for the next reading 101 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,159 Speaker 1: on inflation consumer prices headline the list of economic data 102 00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 1: on TAMP this week. We get that rating tomorrow and 103 00:05:45,680 --> 00:05:48,279 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Schress Condon says it will be key for the 104 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: Fed's next meeting. There's still ten days to go before 105 00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: this meeting, but we're gonna get a lot of data 106 00:05:53,960 --> 00:05:56,840 Speaker 1: this week, so the Fed is going to want to 107 00:05:57,040 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 1: not by seventy basis points as they seem to have 108 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,240 Speaker 1: signaled to the markets. Then they're going to have to 109 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:07,040 Speaker 1: change that signal by the end of the week, and 110 00:06:07,080 --> 00:06:10,320 Speaker 1: of course that will be data dependent. Mer Chris Condon 111 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 1: says CPI data is not the only key indicator this week. 112 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:16,080 Speaker 1: The FED will also be looking at readings on producer 113 00:06:16,120 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: prices and retail sales. But we're seeing the dollar weekend 114 00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:21,520 Speaker 1: sharply this morning, Karena. That's giving a lift of the 115 00:06:21,560 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: euro and the pound. It also gave a boost to 116 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: stocks in Asia overnight. Bloomberg's Juliette Sally joins US from Sydney, 117 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:30,760 Speaker 1: Australia with the details. Good morning Juliette, Good morning Nathan 118 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,960 Speaker 1: and Karen. Semiconductor stocks led the games, t SMC, rising 119 00:06:33,960 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 1: more than three percent in Taipei, boosting Taiwan's gage after 120 00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: August sales rose from a year ago and Routs reported 121 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 1: the US plans to broaden curbs on ship shipments to 122 00:06:43,800 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 1: China reopening. Stocks in Japan gained after fn N and 123 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:50,040 Speaker 1: The Decay News reported the nation may soon ease travel 124 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:53,600 Speaker 1: curbs and scrap daily passenger cabs. Australia as a sex 125 00:06:53,640 --> 00:06:55,919 Speaker 1: two hundred grows more than one percent in Sydney, and 126 00:06:55,960 --> 00:06:58,440 Speaker 1: markets were closed for a holiday in China, Hong Kong 127 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:03,240 Speaker 1: and South Korea. In Sitney, Juliet Sally Bloomberg, daybreak. All right, Juliette, 128 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: thanks SMP futures. Right now, we're up twenty five point 129 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,720 Speaker 1: staff futures up a hundred seventy four and NASTAC futures. 130 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 1: You're hired by ninety two points ten. Your treasury is 131 00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:14,080 Speaker 1: up three thirty seconds, the yield three point to nine. 132 00:07:14,840 --> 00:07:17,960 Speaker 1: Straight ahead, your latest local headlines and a check of sports. 133 00:07:18,000 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg five oh seven on Wall Street, sixty 134 00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 1: nine degrees in Central Park. We've got two accidents on 135 00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,000 Speaker 1: the northbound FDR Drive in the upper east Side. Details 136 00:07:31,040 --> 00:07:33,280 Speaker 1: coming up in traffic. First, Michael Barr, What else is 137 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:35,560 Speaker 1: going on in New York and around the world? Morning, Michael, 138 00:07:35,600 --> 00:07:38,720 Speaker 1: Good morning, Nathan and New York Port Authority police officer 139 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:42,400 Speaker 1: was killed yesterday while heading to a nine eleven ceremony. 140 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:46,280 Speaker 1: Anthony Vavarro from Staten Island was heading to serve at 141 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:48,680 Speaker 1: the World Trade Center Command on Sunday morning when he 142 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,640 Speaker 1: was killed in the car crash near the Holland Tunnel. 143 00:07:52,040 --> 00:07:56,000 Speaker 1: Vavaro voluntarily retired as a picture from Major League Baseball 144 00:07:56,040 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: from the Braves to join the Port Authority only a 145 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: few days later, and Enny of Vavarro was thirty seven 146 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 1: years old. The trial resums today in the sentencing phase 147 00:08:04,760 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 1: of the Parkland High School shooter Nicholas Cruz, who is 148 00:08:07,760 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: twenty three years old, pleaded guilty in October to the 149 00:08:11,040 --> 00:08:14,600 Speaker 1: eighteen attack that killed seventeen students and staff members. The 150 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: jury will decide where the Cruise will be sentenced to 151 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: death or life without parole. In Madara County, California, officials 152 00:08:21,480 --> 00:08:25,239 Speaker 1: are now saying the Fork fire is six contained. Chris 153 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: Hamilton's and her husband Rick have been lucky so far 154 00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 1: and their house has remained unharmed. But Chris Hamilton's says 155 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:34,440 Speaker 1: one of their friends hasn't been as fortunate. One of 156 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,200 Speaker 1: the gentlemen that helps many of us up here with 157 00:08:37,240 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 1: our yards, he did lose his house. It's just heartbreaking. 158 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 1: What I know. There's nothing you can say that makes 159 00:08:42,720 --> 00:08:46,040 Speaker 1: it better. Um, because we've been there. They'll go through 160 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,880 Speaker 1: the motions and do the best they can. The fire 161 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: so far has consumed at least twenty eight structures in 162 00:08:53,080 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 1: fifteen outbuildings. We reached the halfway date of the Atlantic 163 00:08:57,679 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 1: hurricane season. It was supposed to be above average year 164 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: for storms, but for now, experts say the odds of 165 00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 1: a quiet season are increasing with each passing day. Last spring, 166 00:09:09,000 --> 00:09:12,520 Speaker 1: federal forecasters predicted as many as twenty one named storms, 167 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: including three to six major hurricanes. The seventy four Annual 168 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: Emmy Awards takes place tonight. One show nominated Netflix Squid Game, 169 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: the first non English speaking show to be nominated in 170 00:09:31,280 --> 00:09:35,199 Speaker 1: the Outstanding Drama category. Global News twenty four hours a 171 00:09:35,320 --> 00:09:38,400 Speaker 1: day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more 172 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,840 Speaker 1: than dred journalists and analysts more than a d twenty countries. 173 00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,040 Speaker 1: Michael Barr, I'll get under the table. This is Bloomberg, Nathan, 174 00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: never too early to creep us out. Thank you, Michael. 175 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,520 Speaker 1: Five O nine on Wall Street, Time for the Bloomberg 176 00:09:54,559 --> 00:09:57,800 Speaker 1: Sports Update. Football's back, John stash Our, Yeah, Nathan, the 177 00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:00,079 Speaker 1: giants are want to oh that doesn't happen off and 178 00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:03,040 Speaker 1: in Nashville they fell line thirteen uphing and then two 179 00:10:03,080 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 1: big plays in the third quarter of sixty eight yard 180 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,280 Speaker 1: run by se Kwan Barkley, who had a huge afternoon, 181 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 1: a sixties six yard touchdown past Daniel Jones, the Sterling 182 00:10:11,320 --> 00:10:14,640 Speaker 1: Shepherd those two plays longer than any plays all of 183 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:17,000 Speaker 1: last season. Giants took the league with just over a 184 00:10:17,000 --> 00:10:20,840 Speaker 1: minute left, converting on a risky two point conversion. Titans 185 00:10:20,840 --> 00:10:23,319 Speaker 1: had a chance to win at the end, Naps clean 186 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 1: tick on its way and doncer end and its left 187 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:35,000 Speaker 1: one for the first thirty two thousand sixteen, the Giants 188 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 1: have won the season over twenty one twenty and Brian 189 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:41,200 Speaker 1: Bables coaching debut, asked the Jets more of the same 190 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:43,839 Speaker 1: couple of turnovers dropped passes. Jets only touchdown came with 191 00:10:43,880 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 1: a minute left. They lost to Baltimore nine. Jets have 192 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,880 Speaker 1: lost thirteen games in a row in September. Last night 193 00:10:49,920 --> 00:10:52,280 Speaker 1: in Dallas, Tampa Bay won nineteen three Leonard four an 194 00:10:52,280 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 1: ad A hundred twenty seven yards Patrick Mahomes been five 195 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:58,280 Speaker 1: TV passes, easy win for Kansas City, four teeny fasses 196 00:10:58,360 --> 00:11:01,960 Speaker 1: for Carson wentzon Is Washington a View. Minnesota upset Green 197 00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,360 Speaker 1: Bay easily for Justin Jefferson hundred eighty four receiving yards, 198 00:11:05,559 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 1: a couple of two vings. The day after the Yankees 199 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 1: one ten to three, they won ten to four over 200 00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay scored all ten and the first two innings 201 00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:14,800 Speaker 1: and four home runs, two by Glabor Torres yanks Nelly 202 00:11:14,840 --> 00:11:17,280 Speaker 1: the Rays by five and a half. Mets moved game 203 00:11:17,280 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 1: and a half ahead of Atlanta nine three win in 204 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 1: Miami after three straight five set wins. Carlos Alcarez won 205 00:11:23,280 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 1: the US Open finally in four sets over Norway's Casparou, 206 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:29,880 Speaker 1: the nineteen year old Alcarez youngest Open winner in thirty 207 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:34,000 Speaker 1: two years. John stash were Bloomberg scorts. Okay, John, thank you. 208 00:11:34,000 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 1: We're watching equities move higher this morning. You have SMP 209 00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:39,199 Speaker 1: futures right now twenty six points down, futures of a 210 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,840 Speaker 1: hundred seventy five. Nast decks futures are higher by nineties 211 00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,360 Speaker 1: six points, leading the games this morning. Look at the 212 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:47,199 Speaker 1: jacks in Germany up one point six percent right now. 213 00:11:47,240 --> 00:11:50,680 Speaker 1: We are seeing euro strength on stronger hawk ish talk 214 00:11:50,720 --> 00:11:53,640 Speaker 1: from European central bankers. The euro right now one point zero, 215 00:11:53,800 --> 00:11:57,559 Speaker 1: one eight zero against the dollar. Dennis Gartman, the former 216 00:11:57,600 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: publisher of the Gartment Letter, now chairman of the univer 217 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:03,200 Speaker 1: City of Akron's Endowment Investment Committee, joins US next on 218 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:08,439 Speaker 1: these markets. This is Bloomberg Bloomberg eleventh three. Weather a 219 00:12:08,480 --> 00:12:10,760 Speaker 1: few showers early then turning probably to mostly cloudy with 220 00:12:10,760 --> 00:12:13,199 Speaker 1: a high near eighty degrees. Morning showers a good way 221 00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 1: to sunshine Tomorrow. Low eighties will be near eighty under 222 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:22,680 Speaker 1: sunny skies Wednesday. Right now sixty nine in Central Park Markets, 223 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,840 Speaker 1: headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at 224 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 1: Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Business at and at Bloomberg 225 00:12:29,360 --> 00:12:39,240 Speaker 1: Quicktake's a Bloomberg Business Flash, and I'm Camra in Moscow. 226 00:12:39,320 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 1: European stocks and US stock index futures are extending a 227 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,719 Speaker 1: rally and the dollar retreating as traders bet inflation is 228 00:12:45,800 --> 00:12:49,959 Speaker 1: nearing peak, even as policymakers ramp up hawkish rhetoric. We 229 00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 1: checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day 230 00:12:52,640 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 1: on bloombergs and Key futures are up twenty six points 231 00:12:55,840 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 1: down futures up one hundred seventy and NASDAGG futures up 232 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:01,839 Speaker 1: ninety two. The decks in Germany is at one point 233 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 1: seven percent, ten year treasury at four thirty seconds here 234 00:13:04,840 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: three point nine percent. The yield on the two year 235 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 1: three point five three percent. Nine max screwed oil is 236 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 1: up seven tenths per cent, or sixty one cents at 237 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: eighty seven dollars forty one cents a barrel. Comic schoold 238 00:13:15,840 --> 00:13:18,080 Speaker 1: is up half percent or eight dollars fifty cents is 239 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 1: seventeen thirty seven ten an ounce the euro one point 240 00:13:21,320 --> 00:13:23,840 Speaker 1: one seven five against the dollar, British found one point 241 00:13:23,880 --> 00:13:26,559 Speaker 1: one six eight three and again one forty two point 242 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:29,920 Speaker 1: seven one. Look at bitcoin, it is up two point 243 00:13:30,000 --> 00:13:33,239 Speaker 1: eight percent at twenty two thousand, two hundred fifty dollars. 244 00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:36,320 Speaker 1: An Oracle is among companies schedule to report earnings today. 245 00:13:36,600 --> 00:13:39,319 Speaker 1: That's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael Barb with 246 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 1: more on what's going on around the world. Michael, good morning, 247 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,600 Speaker 1: Good morning Karen. Ukrainian soldiers are taking back territory that 248 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:48,600 Speaker 1: had been controlled by Russia for several months as part 249 00:13:48,600 --> 00:13:52,760 Speaker 1: of a swift counter offensive. The Ukrainians are claiming gains 250 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,199 Speaker 1: in the northeast and south of their nation. Queen Elizabeth's 251 00:13:56,240 --> 00:14:00,480 Speaker 1: flying Draped Confidness slowly percessed through the Scottish country reside 252 00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:03,599 Speaker 1: on a journey from her bell Moral Castle to the 253 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 1: Scottish capital of Edinburgh. In football, the Giants won, the 254 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:11,119 Speaker 1: Jets lost to the Ravens. The Commanders won the Patriots 255 00:14:11,160 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 1: and Forts lost. In baseball, the Yankees and Mets won, 256 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:18,240 Speaker 1: the Nationals lost, the Red Sox beat the Orioles one zip, 257 00:14:18,600 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: The A's and Giants won. Global news twenty four hours 258 00:14:22,920 --> 00:14:25,880 Speaker 1: a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by 259 00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,560 Speaker 1: more than journalist and analysts more than a hundred twenty countries. 260 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:33,040 Speaker 1: I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg, Nathan, Michael. Thanks. 261 00:14:33,080 --> 00:14:35,520 Speaker 1: It's five nineteen on Wall Street Live from the Bloomberg 262 00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:39,280 Speaker 1: Interactive Brokers studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. On the morning 263 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,320 Speaker 1: when we're seeing pretty strong gains in equities, looks like 264 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:45,880 Speaker 1: risk on this morning, let's bring in Dennis Gartman to 265 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:48,600 Speaker 1: help us kick off this trading week, the chairman of 266 00:14:48,640 --> 00:14:51,680 Speaker 1: the University of akronin Downmin Investment Committee and of course 267 00:14:51,720 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 1: former publisher of the Gartment letter. Dennis great as always 268 00:14:55,040 --> 00:14:57,480 Speaker 1: to speak with you. As a stocks are coming off 269 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 1: their best week since late July. Do you expect this 270 00:15:01,600 --> 00:15:03,360 Speaker 1: rally to continue? What do you think is driving in 271 00:15:04,320 --> 00:15:06,920 Speaker 1: I think there's some optimism about what's happening in Ukraine 272 00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 1: and the fact that the gig ping in China has 273 00:15:09,560 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 1: decided to travel outside of China for the first time 274 00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 1: in months, indicating that there's some reduction, and the concerns 275 00:15:16,440 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 1: over COVID in China. I think those two things are 276 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 1: driving prices higher. There's no question that the FED is 277 00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:26,160 Speaker 1: going to be very uh uh is going to tighten 278 00:15:26,200 --> 00:15:28,800 Speaker 1: monetary policy again at the September meeting. The question shall 279 00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:31,280 Speaker 1: be what will they do in the November and December meetings. 280 00:15:31,320 --> 00:15:34,640 Speaker 1: I think they'll tighten again, and I'm I've been bearish 281 00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: of the stock market since basically January this year, and 282 00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: I continue to be bearish. I think the rally that 283 00:15:40,200 --> 00:15:43,560 Speaker 1: we're having is on extremely light volume, and good bull 284 00:15:43,640 --> 00:15:46,920 Speaker 1: markets always go up on good volume, fall on light volume. 285 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,680 Speaker 1: Bear markets go up on light volume and down on 286 00:15:49,720 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: heavy volume, and what we're seeing is a rally on 287 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:54,360 Speaker 1: very light volume. So I continue to say that this 288 00:15:54,440 --> 00:15:56,520 Speaker 1: is a bear market. It's nice to see the market rally. 289 00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:59,760 Speaker 1: Everybody feels better when stock prices go up. Everybody feels 290 00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 1: bad when stock prices go down. But I think if 291 00:16:02,240 --> 00:16:04,000 Speaker 1: you're long the stock market, I think you should be 292 00:16:04,040 --> 00:16:06,240 Speaker 1: using this rally that we've had the first one in 293 00:16:06,240 --> 00:16:08,640 Speaker 1: a long while to lighten up your positions. That's what 294 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:10,520 Speaker 1: I've been doing, and I think that's the right course 295 00:16:10,560 --> 00:16:12,960 Speaker 1: of action at this point to FED is gonna FED 296 00:16:13,040 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 1: is going to continue to take nine billion dollars out 297 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,960 Speaker 1: of its assets over the course of the next several years, 298 00:16:19,280 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 1: and that was the fuel that drove the stock market 299 00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:24,440 Speaker 1: and drove the economy higher. Now they're taking that fuel away. 300 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:27,800 Speaker 1: We mentioned some of the exogenous indicators like the gains 301 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,960 Speaker 1: in Ukraine and a Chinese president she moving out of 302 00:16:30,960 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 1: the country now, so much of the inflation we've seen 303 00:16:33,720 --> 00:16:36,440 Speaker 1: has been driven by exogenous factors. When you see the 304 00:16:36,720 --> 00:16:39,760 Speaker 1: developments like this on a headline basis, does that raise 305 00:16:39,880 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 1: the possibility that we could see a stronger gain for 306 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:48,600 Speaker 1: risk assets given what central banks can do against inflation, 307 00:16:48,600 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 1: which is fairly limited. It's it's possible. I've been in 308 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:56,040 Speaker 1: the business for forty forty five years, have been training 309 00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 1: for my own account for that long period of time. 310 00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,160 Speaker 1: Been very lucky over the course of those or in 311 00:17:00,160 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: a half decades. But what I've learned is follow the 312 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:06,280 Speaker 1: follow volume more than anything else. Follow don't fade the 313 00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: FED and follow volume. Those are the two things to 314 00:17:08,840 --> 00:17:10,520 Speaker 1: pay attention to. There's a lot of green on the 315 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 1: board today, grains are up, livestock prices are up, crude 316 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:16,960 Speaker 1: oil prices are up. There's a risk off circumstance going 317 00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 1: on right now. But I do think that this will 318 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,240 Speaker 1: be very short term and duration. And again I'll just 319 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 1: simply say I've been bary since January five, and I 320 00:17:24,600 --> 00:17:27,119 Speaker 1: think that that's been the proper course of action. So 321 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 1: I'm going to continue to say the same thing. Don't 322 00:17:29,520 --> 00:17:31,840 Speaker 1: don't be a buyer here. If you've been lucky and 323 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,080 Speaker 1: you've been long, use this, Use this rally that we've 324 00:17:34,080 --> 00:17:36,000 Speaker 1: had in the course of the past five five training 325 00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:39,600 Speaker 1: sessions to become less and less involved, less long raise 326 00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 1: some cash. Well. Of course, a lot of attention is 327 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:45,920 Speaker 1: going to be on the August Consumer Price Index coming 328 00:17:45,920 --> 00:17:47,960 Speaker 1: out tomorrow, because it's gonna be a big focus for 329 00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:50,959 Speaker 1: the FED as well. What are your expectations there in 330 00:17:51,080 --> 00:17:54,479 Speaker 1: terms of whether we could see peak inflation or at 331 00:17:54,520 --> 00:17:58,320 Speaker 1: least a trough uh in inflation. I think we're I 332 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:00,200 Speaker 1: think we've been lucky with inflation for the US the 333 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,679 Speaker 1: past month and a half or two. Crude oil prices 334 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:04,920 Speaker 1: have fallen, obviously, from a hundred twenty dollars a barrel 335 00:18:05,160 --> 00:18:08,400 Speaker 1: earlier this year. To eighty one dollars a barrel. It's 336 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:11,440 Speaker 1: bounced a bit. We've seen grain prices come off. We've 337 00:18:11,480 --> 00:18:14,320 Speaker 1: seen a weed, for example, which was trading thirteen dollars 338 00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: a bushel falling all the way to eight dollars a bushel. 339 00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,120 Speaker 1: But that's turned higher and going from the lower left 340 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,479 Speaker 1: to the upper right. Corn prices now have turned from 341 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 1: the lower left and are moving to the upper right. 342 00:18:23,680 --> 00:18:27,280 Speaker 1: Livestock prices are getting stronger. Comper prices are beginning to 343 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,600 Speaker 1: turn better. So I think people who have hoped that 344 00:18:29,640 --> 00:18:32,720 Speaker 1: we'd have a peak and inflation, probably our ill advised, 345 00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:35,280 Speaker 1: probably are wrong. I think we've had a good month 346 00:18:35,320 --> 00:18:37,600 Speaker 1: and a half or two of weaker prices, but now 347 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:39,720 Speaker 1: they're turning from the lower Now they're turning up again, 348 00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:42,879 Speaker 1: And I think inflationary problems will be incoming again, not 349 00:18:43,040 --> 00:18:45,480 Speaker 1: in the not too distant future. So don't get carried 350 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,440 Speaker 1: away with a hope for peak in inflation. I don't 351 00:18:47,480 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 1: think we've seen one. Well, what are you looking at 352 00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 1: the would give you some confidence that we could see 353 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:56,560 Speaker 1: peak inflation? What what would need to change? Grain prices 354 00:18:56,680 --> 00:18:58,760 Speaker 1: have to turn lower again, live stock prices have to 355 00:18:58,800 --> 00:19:01,480 Speaker 1: turn lower again, copper prices would have to turn lower again. 356 00:19:01,960 --> 00:19:04,560 Speaker 1: Gold would have to trade under seventeen hundred dollars announced 357 00:19:05,280 --> 00:19:08,600 Speaker 1: uh bitcoin would have to trade back below eighteen thousand dollars. 358 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:10,919 Speaker 1: You need all of those things to to convince me 359 00:19:10,960 --> 00:19:13,960 Speaker 1: that inflation has been negated. I I don't think that 360 00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:17,320 Speaker 1: that's possible. As as we learned in graduate school and 361 00:19:17,880 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 1: undergraduate economics, inflation is always an everywhere, a monetary phenomenon. 362 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: And the fact that the set has taken its assets 363 00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:27,880 Speaker 1: from nine nine nine billion, nine hundred billion dollars, get 364 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:31,520 Speaker 1: it right, Dennis, nine hundred billion dollars to nine trillion 365 00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:33,680 Speaker 1: dollars over the course of the past decade and a half. 366 00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 1: That's that was what supplied the impetus for inflation, and 367 00:19:37,560 --> 00:19:39,600 Speaker 1: it's going to continue to be a problem for years 368 00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:41,719 Speaker 1: to go into the future. So, yes, we may get 369 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 1: a better number two more. It's probably gonna be about 370 00:19:43,640 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 1: eight point one percent or so, a little bit better 371 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,000 Speaker 1: than we had seen in the course of the past 372 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:49,960 Speaker 1: several months. But I think that that's gonna be the 373 00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:51,960 Speaker 1: best number we're gonna see for quite some period of time. 374 00:19:52,320 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 1: Speaking for prices, labor, labor cross continue to rise and 375 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:57,919 Speaker 1: that's the real problem. We're speaking with Dennis Gartman, the 376 00:19:57,920 --> 00:20:00,000 Speaker 1: former publisher of The Garment Letter now chairman of the 377 00:20:00,080 --> 00:20:04,040 Speaker 1: University of acron Endowment Investment Committee. Dennis, with your advice 378 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:08,639 Speaker 1: that investors should take this opportunity to pile into more cash. 379 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,800 Speaker 1: Where do you see the path for the US dollar 380 00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:12,960 Speaker 1: at this point? We've seen a lot of dollar strength 381 00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 1: in recent days that we're starting to pull back on 382 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,399 Speaker 1: that in the current session. Where do you see the 383 00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 1: path for the dollar going forward? It's still the