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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets and this beat Joey paid Joe p Zapia

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Speaker 1: and this is VP NFL. It's time to look at

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Speaker 1: the best bets for week two. Lick our wounds from

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Speaker 1: week one as always, and if you listen to Uncle Joe,

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Speaker 1: he told you to takets low in week one, and

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Speaker 1: hopefully you listen because there's a lot of football left.

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson, I know it was a rough start for you,

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Speaker 1: but there's a lot of football left. That is the

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Speaker 1: solace that I'm trying to give you as we enter

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Speaker 1: week two, because week one tends to be a bit

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Speaker 1: of an illusion most of the time.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you think that as the undertaker, I would have

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Speaker 2: made a ton of money this past weekend because all

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Speaker 2: the unders are hitting at an unreal rate. I mean

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Speaker 2: before the Ravens Bills Sunday night game, there was only

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Speaker 2: one game that went over the total, and of course

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Speaker 2: it was my best bet last week for going under

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Speaker 2: on the Steelers and Jets. So that kind of summarizes

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Speaker 2: my week in terms of the best bets one and four.

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Speaker 2: I did get one under from the Texans and Rams,

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Speaker 2: but I mean, you could have just bindly bet all

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Speaker 2: the Unders and you would have made way more money

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Speaker 2: than taking my recommendation. So looking to bounce back here

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Speaker 2: in week two, and I'm looking at some of these

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Speaker 2: overs maybe to also bite back after the Unders dominated

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Speaker 2: in week one.

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Speaker 1: Well, those Panthers, man, every time you love them, they

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Speaker 1: don't love you back, and every time you just push

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Speaker 1: them to the side, then that's when they perform. It's unbelievable. Now,

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Speaker 1: Terrell Ferman Junior, you had a much better start to

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Speaker 1: the year three and two last week, so that is

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Speaker 1: very good. Also, I just got to ask you, I

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Speaker 1: know I didn't get my upset special the Seahawks. It

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Speaker 1: did get real dark out though it got real close

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Speaker 1: to the end before Darnold unfortunately fumbled that football, But

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Speaker 1: ye as he would fair enough. But have you come

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Speaker 1: to my side yet about the whole you know, the

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Speaker 1: bear situation too with Caleb Williams. We had a heated

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Speaker 1: debate last week on the show about that, and I

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Speaker 1: continue to say the same thing. The reason why he

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Speaker 1: runs around as much as he does is not because

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Speaker 1: he's so athletic and making great plays all the times,

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Speaker 1: because he has no choice because he can't make his progressions,

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Speaker 1: he doesn't see the defense as well, and he misses

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Speaker 1: open guys constantly. Did you see enough? You can finally

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Speaker 1: come over and hang out with me on the bench

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Speaker 1: and we could talk about why Caleb Williams isn't gonna

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Speaker 1: work in the NFL. No.

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Speaker 3: Actually, if we if we look at that game, I

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Speaker 3: was actually right for seventy five percent of that game,

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Speaker 3: and you were wrong for twenty for You were only

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Speaker 3: right for twenty five percent. But the Seahawks, You're twenty

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Speaker 3: five percent is the one that matters most, is the

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Speaker 3: one that matters most. It's so kudos to you, very

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Speaker 3: kudos to you.

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Speaker 1: I notice I didn't say that I was seventy five

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Speaker 1: percent right about the Seahawks. I wasn't. You know, it's

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Speaker 1: right or wrong. It's black or white here. This is it, unfortunately,

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Speaker 1: and those are the standards we've set. But you are right.

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Speaker 1: JJ McCarthy did certainly sleep through first half of that game.

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Speaker 1: But I came through at the end, So that's all

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Speaker 1: that matters. So we're gonna come through for everybody here too.

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Speaker 1: So again, download the Betting pros app. Make sure you

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel, and let's get

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Speaker 1: after this week's picks.

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Speaker 2: Terrell.

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Speaker 1: Let's start with you, and let's start with the Jacksonville

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Speaker 1: Jaguars because you've got some feelings about them going into

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Speaker 1: the second week of the NFL season.

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Speaker 3: Yes, I do. I like the Jags plus three here,

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Speaker 3: like I really do. You look at the Bengals and

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Speaker 3: they start the year off horrible. It's not just weeks one,

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Speaker 3: it's weeks one and two that they really start off bad.

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Speaker 3: You look at this offensive line and they were absolutely

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Speaker 3: abysmo against the Cleveland Browns last week. They lost their

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Speaker 3: right guard out for a number of weeks in fact,

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Speaker 3: so they're bringing in another right guard. He struggled in

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Speaker 3: the run game. They were thirty first and PFS pass

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Speaker 3: block grade as well, so they really weren't defending Joe

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Speaker 3: Burrow and that's why they couldn't get the ball to

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Speaker 3: Jamar Chase or any of those weapons on the outside.

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Speaker 4: They couldn't get the run game going.

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Speaker 3: Whereas don't look, and I know it's the Carolina Panthers

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Speaker 3: and they had a random hour delay in that game,

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Speaker 3: but Travis CTN.

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Speaker 4: Looked really, really good in that run game.

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Speaker 3: I think it's going to be really interesting to see

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Speaker 3: that aspect in him in the pass game going up

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Speaker 3: against the linebackers for this Cincinnati Bengals defense. And then again,

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Speaker 3: I'm just really not concerned about the offensive the Bengals

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Speaker 3: right now. So for me, is Goldilocks competent If Goldie

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Speaker 3: Loss can be competent, I think that this is a

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Speaker 3: actually really solid Jags team that has a straight defense

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Speaker 3: that can get after you. And then also the offense

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Speaker 3: doesn't look horrible. So I like the Jags plus the

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Speaker 3: points here. I'm gonna just rinse and repeat, fading the

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Speaker 3: Bengals in the beginning of the season, they snuck out

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Speaker 3: a win in the first game. Maybe they don't sneak

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Speaker 3: out a win here. I think the Jags might be

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Speaker 3: competent enough to steal the outright win. So I love

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Speaker 3: plus three and a half and I'll sprinkle lot of

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Speaker 3: money line.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, if anything, I like the over in that one,

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Speaker 1: particularly myself. But one of the funniest memes I saw

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Speaker 1: was a picture of your friend Goldilocks Trevor Lawrence with

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Speaker 1: his daughter and said, oh look Trevor Trevor Lawrence with

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Speaker 1: his daughter pregame and somebody rode underneath. Oh what a

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Speaker 1: wonderful name, pregame, I'm hilarious. All right, let's get to

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Speaker 1: Andrew Ericson's first bet of Week two. Andrew, let's shake

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Speaker 1: off the dust and let's talk about the forty nine

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Speaker 1: Ers and the New Orleans Saints. The Niners without brock

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Speaker 1: perty not just this week, but now it looks like

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Speaker 1: two to five weeks with turfo on top of the

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Speaker 1: shoulder issue, on top of no George Kittle. My goodness,

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Speaker 1: they're following a part here. It's like the end of

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Speaker 1: Infinity War right here in Week two.

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Speaker 2: Well, we know what deal Kyle shanahan made to keep

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Speaker 2: Christian McCaffrey on the field was sacrifice all the other

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Speaker 2: offensive players so that he gets a healthy CMC.

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Speaker 1: So I think that this.

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Speaker 2: Matchup again going on the road for the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 2: I think that when we take a step back, we think, Okay,

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Speaker 2: mac Jones, he can operate the system, that he'll be fine.

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Speaker 2: But this system is not operating at one hundred percent.

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Speaker 2: We already talked about they're not just missing brock Perdy,

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Speaker 2: they're missing George Kittle. Juwan Jennings is also banged up.

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Speaker 2: Because offensive line. That's why Brock Purty's injured right now

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Speaker 2: is because the offensive line didn't play well. In Week one.

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Speaker 2: Perdy was getting hit and getting pressured. So Trent Williams

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Speaker 2: is looking more like a thirty seven year old left tackle,

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Speaker 2: not necessarily the All Pro Hall of Fame that he's

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Speaker 2: been throughout his career. So I have major concerns about

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Speaker 2: the forty nine ers offense just going on the road

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Speaker 2: playing against Brandon Staley. Okay, this guy is familiar with

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Speaker 2: Kyle Shannon, and these guys have met up at multi

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Speaker 2: stints in multiple when Staley's operated as a defensive coordinator

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Speaker 2: head coach. The last couple of seasons, they've matched up

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Speaker 2: three different times. Every single game it's been Shanahan versus Staley,

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Speaker 2: it has been under under Like all the game totals

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Speaker 2: have gone under the total. So given the trends, I

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Speaker 2: think that I like the under here again. Spencer Rattler

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Speaker 2: showed some I would say moxie in Week one where

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Speaker 2: he was dropping back to throw a lot. Kellen Moore's

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Speaker 2: offense I think was inspiring in terms of Okay, there's

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Speaker 2: gonna be volume here, maybe for some fantasy goodness but

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Speaker 2: Robert sala is going to put this guy through a blender.

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Speaker 2: Like Nick Bosa was talking about, how oh my god,

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Speaker 2: I did not realize how great having Robert sala is

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Speaker 2: having him back with in our defensive meetings because he

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Speaker 2: makes such a significant difference. And the forty nine ers

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Speaker 2: are going to have to lean more on their defense

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Speaker 2: because they don't have Rock Berdy and they're missing offensive weapons.

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Speaker 2: So I really like the under here at forty and

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Speaker 2: a half. I think it's way too high for a

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Speaker 2: game that to me screams more like a seventeen to

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Speaker 2: ten type of matchup.

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Speaker 1: Is a good football man, I feel like you got

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Speaker 1: a raw deal with the Jets. Go ahead.

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Speaker 3: I feel like, in my clause as a defensive or

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Speaker 3: offensive coordinator or coordinator of any statue, if it doesn't

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Speaker 3: work out when I inevitably get a head coaching job,

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Speaker 3: say that you're bringing me back as a coordinator, Like,

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Speaker 3: tell me I still have a job. Because the move

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Speaker 3: to bring Robert slid back after being a head coach

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Speaker 3: and saying, wait, no, you are really good as a

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Speaker 3: decordinator for us. Just because it didn't work over there,

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Speaker 3: we're gonna bring you back to do that very very

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Speaker 3: interested in getting a clause like that into my next

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Speaker 3: coordinator package.

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Speaker 1: Okay, well, we'll see if your agent get that done

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Speaker 1: for you. The Buffalo Bills, I had a dramatic comeback

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Speaker 1: against the Ravens. Now they travel to New York, well

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Speaker 1: New Jersey really from the upstate down to the Garden

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Speaker 1: State really to the New York Jets. Again, I recognize

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Speaker 1: they're all in the same state, But isn't that funny

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Speaker 1: that you know the one New York team is actually

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Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills. Just saying we have the Jets with

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Speaker 1: six and a half have points here? Is that too many? Terrell?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it is too many. I like the

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Speaker 3: Jets plus the points here. And you look at this.

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Speaker 3: You got a couple of things going for you. One

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Speaker 3: since two thousand and three in week four or earlier,

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Speaker 3: favorites looking ahead to Thursday Night Football eighteen twenty eighteen

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Speaker 3: thirty nine, and one that's eighteen thirty nine and one

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Speaker 3: favorites looking ahead to Thursday night. You got a short week.

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Speaker 3: You're preparing for two teams essentially in one week's time,

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Speaker 3: and so it's a little bit of split preparation there.

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Speaker 3: And the Bills offensive line a lot for an offensive

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Speaker 3: line that was so good last year. They gave up

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Speaker 3: a lot of pressure, like a lot of pressure to

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Speaker 3: that Ravens front, especially along the right side of that line.

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Speaker 3: I think the run defense was just as bad as

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Speaker 3: it could possibly be. I understand that you got Dereck

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Speaker 3: Henry on that side of the ball, and that's fine

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Speaker 3: and dandy, and I get it, Derrick Henry, Hall of Famer,

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Speaker 3: all of that, but this was one of the worst,

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Speaker 3: if not the worst, worse than the Panthers. How do

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Speaker 3: you have a worse run defense than the Panthers? I mean,

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Speaker 3: so with that, Brice Hall and Justin Fields both got

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Speaker 3: the churning against the Steelers there. I think that this

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Speaker 3: is going to be a spot where they couldn't really

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Speaker 3: get any type of pressure on Lamar Jackson because of

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Speaker 3: the fact of how mobile he is.

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Speaker 4: I think the mobile quarterbacks are going to give them

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Speaker 4: some issues.

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Speaker 3: And Justin Fields can go out there and put a

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Speaker 3: lot more up on the stat sheet on the ground

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Speaker 3: than he did in Week one. So I think they're

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Speaker 3: just going to have a lot of issues on the

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Speaker 3: ground here. That opened up the past game and Garrett

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Speaker 3: Wilson a couple of plays, But I think that this

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Speaker 3: is going to be a hard nose football game with

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Speaker 3: a lot of running primarily on both sides of the ball,

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Speaker 3: eating up a bunch of clock, and this game is

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Speaker 3: going to stay close. And I don't trust this Bills

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Speaker 3: defense after seeing what I saw Sunday night, especially after

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Speaker 3: they dumped the gatorade after getting what was a completely

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Speaker 3: improbable win at that point in time. So yeah, I'm

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Speaker 3: over the Jets here plus six and a half in

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Speaker 3: a division game.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the New England Patriots Mighty

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Speaker 1: Dolphins game. This was supposed to be easy part of

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins schedule right open up against the Indianapolis Colts,

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Speaker 1: played the Patriots, because if you look at the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: schedule after this, they played Buffalo, then a couple of

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Speaker 1: weeks later they have a string of games where they

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Speaker 1: played the Chargers, the Falcons, the Ravens, and the Bills again.

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Speaker 1: Oh and then the Commanders before the buy in week twelve.

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Speaker 1: So this is a very important game for the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: to get back on track. Can they do it against

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Speaker 1: the New England Patriots?

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Speaker 2: Andrew Erickson, No, because as bad as the Patriots looked

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Speaker 2: at times in Week one, again under wet conditions, and

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Speaker 2: they did actually have the lead entering the second half.

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Speaker 2: The Dolphins played significantly worse. So yes, I understand why

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Speaker 2: the Dolphins are favored at home.

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Speaker 1: They usually play.

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Speaker 2: Better at home, especially in September. But I just think

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Speaker 2: that the vibes around the Dolphins right now are terrible.

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Speaker 2: I think that you're going to see things start to unravel,

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Speaker 2: and they could even unravel mid game. We were seeing

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Speaker 2: it with Tyrek Hill like already things on the sideline,

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Speaker 2: so they're dealing with more injuries on the offensive line.

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Speaker 2: I think that the Patriots, even though they did ose,

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Speaker 2: there were moments in bright spots in that loss. Harold

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Speaker 2: Landry looked really good coming back as a pass rusher.

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Speaker 2: I think that's gonna have an impact. And if I'm

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Speaker 2: betting on one of these coaches to kind of write

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Speaker 2: the ship between Mike McDaniel and Mike Vrabel, I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: bet on Mike Rabel, especially when he's in this underdog

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Speaker 2: environment where this is where he thrives in a similar

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Speaker 2: way to Mike Tom. And like when Mike Tom's an underdog,

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Speaker 2: you want to bet on that team and that coach.

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Speaker 2: Same thing with Mike Vrabel. So it's why last week

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Speaker 2: we didn't come on here, at least I didn't saying

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Speaker 2: that the Patriots were one of my best bets. That

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Speaker 2: obviously wouldn't end up being the right case because they

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Speaker 2: end up losing the game out right, But I feel

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Speaker 2: better about them in this particular matchup here on the

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Speaker 2: road against Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins, yes, and the aggregate

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Speaker 2: have been better at home, but recently it really hasn't

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Speaker 2: been where they have succeeded. If you look at them

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Speaker 2: the last nine home games, they're three and five against

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Speaker 2: the spread at home, so two and five against the

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Speaker 2: spread as a home favorite. So I think that the

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Speaker 2: Dolph or excuse me, the Patriots can take advantage here,

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Speaker 2: could score on this Miami Dolphins defense.

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Speaker 1: So I like the Pats. All right, We've got one

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Speaker 1: of the biggest spreads of the week. We're gonna talk

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Speaker 1: in New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia. Okay, let's get to

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Speaker 1: the Browns and the Ravens. Now, last year the Ravens

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Speaker 1: started out zero to two, and everybody forgot that. I

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Speaker 1: think last year they had a tough week one loss,

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Speaker 1: went home and they were supposed to be a smash

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Speaker 1: against the Raiders and it was not. The Raiders ended

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Speaker 1: up beating them outright. So this is eleven and a

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Speaker 1: half you're getting at most books over on betting pros

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Speaker 1: for this game, Terrell, Is that too many points? That's

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Speaker 1: the question.

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Speaker 4: Oh yeah, it is too many points.

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Speaker 3: And in fact, speaking of hard rock bet, if you

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Speaker 3: go over to hard rock Bet, you can get twelve.

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Speaker 3: So that's what I doing me the Browns plus twelve

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Speaker 3: for here to be able to get it done one somehow, someway.

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Speaker 3: This is Joe Flacco's first start back.

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Speaker 4: At the bank.

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Speaker 3: I mean, this craziness that it's been that long since

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Speaker 3: we've seen Joe Flacco on the Ravens and we're just

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Speaker 3: now getting this revenge game in the stadium. Doesn't have

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Speaker 3: to do with the handicap, but I just want to

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Speaker 3: point that out. You go and you look at divisional opponents.

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Speaker 3: Since two thousand and three, double digit favorites in the

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Speaker 3: division are forty five percent. Ats bad spot here for

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Speaker 3: the Ravens, And I'm really just kind of faiting the

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Speaker 3: Ravens defensively and what I saw in that game, like

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Speaker 3: in the Ravens side the ball, it didn't make me

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Speaker 3: feel good.

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Speaker 4: How they were in coverage at times.

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Speaker 3: You got Jared Judy already going out here speaking on

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Speaker 3: the Ravens secondary, and so they're feeling confident. I think

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Speaker 3: fannin junior was really really good, and he's going to

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Speaker 3: add another dynamic piece of that offense because now they

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Speaker 3: don't have to go to a bunch of three wide

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Speaker 3: receiver sets. They can go run a bunch of two

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Speaker 3: tight end, two tight end, twelve personnel sets. And then

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Speaker 3: you go out there, you see Djoku and you see Fanning,

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Speaker 3: and that's something where you really really attack the Ravens defense.

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Speaker 3: You challenge those linebackers. You challenge them against with the

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Speaker 3: tight end, you challenge them in the passing game with

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Speaker 3: the running back, and guess who they've got Dylan Sampson,

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Speaker 3: who also I would like to add, has a birthday

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Speaker 3: on Sunday. Everything just keeps pointing me back to the

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Speaker 3: Browns here, So I'm gonna go with the Browns post.

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Speaker 1: Well, all right, I'm with you, Terrell, just for the record,

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Speaker 1: let the record show I am there. And of course

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Speaker 1: hard Rock you getting your best line there with the twelve.

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Speaker 1: I would take that in division game. And it's also

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Speaker 1: probably the last time Joe Flacca will play in Baltimore,

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Speaker 1: just saying it's probably very likely, although you never know.

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Speaker 1: With Joe Flacco, you never know. Ericson what's your take

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Speaker 1: on this game? Are we gonna hold hands all three

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Speaker 1: of us on it?

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Speaker 2: Yes, we are all handholding on the Browns because it's

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Speaker 2: just too it's too many points. It's too many points

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Speaker 2: for a divisional matchup. And as I write the Betting

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Speaker 2: pros Primer every week for the last two or three

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Speaker 2: seasons now I can't even exactly remember. But the thing

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Speaker 2: with the Ravens that's a constant is they play to

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Speaker 2: their level of competition. So last week against Buffalo, it

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Speaker 2: was MVP performances all around except for the fumble, right,

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Speaker 2: and they should have won that game had it not

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Speaker 2: been for that turnover. But when you have the opportunity

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Speaker 2: to play a lesser opponent, well, sometimes the Ravens come

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Speaker 2: up flat and I don't expect them to cover the

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Speaker 2: twelve eleven and a half points spread. Wherever the number

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Speaker 2: you get, whatever best number you get, obviously use the

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Speaker 2: betting pros app to find the best numbers. So for me,

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Speaker 2: I also agree. And also, Dylan Sampson turning twenty one

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Speaker 2: years old on Sunday, so this is just not any birthday,

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Speaker 2: but a twenty one year old rookie running back who

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Speaker 2: will be in the backfield with his forty year old quarterback.

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Speaker 1: And he played well too. I just want to say

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Speaker 1: he look good out of the backfield catching passes too.

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Speaker 2: I mean you look sharp, fan of Actually, I mean

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Speaker 2: the leader in the NFL right now is with ten

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Speaker 2: receptions and Dylan Sampson has eight. Yeah, Ricky right, and

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Speaker 2: my boy Cedric Tillman getting it dunk starting Joe Flacco,

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Speaker 2: Me too, me too, Let me tell you man, Joe

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Speaker 2: Flacko's go.

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Speaker 1: Have to throw that football down the parts. The Ravens

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Speaker 1: are going to put up points. I do believe, but

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Speaker 1: I think the Browns twelve I agrees too much. All right, Remember,

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Speaker 1: if you can't get enough football, go to join our discord.

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00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:01,760
Speaker 1: Fantasypros dot com is got discord, and so does Betting Pros.

382
00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:04,560
Speaker 1: So Bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. That's where you go

383
00:17:04,640 --> 00:17:06,919
Speaker 1: to join our discord. Whether it's NBA, which is right

384
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:08,720
Speaker 1: around the corner, believe it or not, Torell's gonna do

385
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,800
Speaker 1: a double duty pretty soon, NFL, MLB, you name it,

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00:17:11,800 --> 00:17:13,880
Speaker 1: we've got it here. The discussions are always going on.

387
00:17:13,920 --> 00:17:16,600
Speaker 1: You can connect with expert handicappers who provide free picks

388
00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:19,720
Speaker 1: over there for everything, Player props, Live, betting, you name it,

389
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,680
Speaker 1: we've got it. So you give you track your success

390
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,240
Speaker 1: there with the experts. So go to Betting Pros Discord

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00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,239
Speaker 1: today again Betting Pros dot Com slash Chat. All right,

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00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:29,120
Speaker 1: let's get to the next game here. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: the Broncos. This is a smash for me. This is

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Speaker 1: one of those there's two bounce back games for me

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Speaker 1: this week. One is Detroit bouncing back at home against

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Speaker 1: the Ben Johnson Bears, who are just rilled with injuries

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Speaker 1: on defense. And this is the other one where I

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Speaker 1: don't think the Bronco is really prepared properly for the

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Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans. They came out a little flat, they made

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00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,159
Speaker 1: some mistakes early, and luckily the Titans are bad enough

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Speaker 1: where it didn't matter. So I'm pretty sure Sean Payton's

402
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:57,720
Speaker 1: got everybody throwing up in a trash can right now

403
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Speaker 1: because they're running so hard and practicing so hard because

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00:18:01,520 --> 00:18:03,520
Speaker 1: it was not great. It was not a good look

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Speaker 1: for the Broncos of high expectations this year, and I

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Speaker 1: think they will be much more ready for Daniel Jones

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Speaker 1: and the Colts. Torel Furman Jr. Do you agree with me?

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Speaker 3: Okay, I'm sorry, I'm come. I'm gonna throw us off

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Speaker 3: right now real quick. But as a football coach, Joe,

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Speaker 3: you made me think about the running that he probably

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Speaker 3: had him doing.

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Speaker 4: Did you see Fran Brown.

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Speaker 3: After the game having his Syracuse team doing sprints on

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Speaker 3: the field because of and that was a win, that

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Speaker 3: was after a win, the Syracuse head coach had them

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Speaker 3: doing sprints in front of their families and Joe, which

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Speaker 3: you have the kids doing sprints after a win if

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Speaker 3: he wasn't happy with their performance.

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Speaker 1: No, I would not do that as a football coach.

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Speaker 1: We have tournament games on Sunday after so I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: miss some of the one o'clock games there, but I

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Speaker 1: should be back by the four o'clock ish hour to

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Speaker 1: catch these Did this team?

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Speaker 2: Did they cover the spread?

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Speaker 1: At least? No?

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Speaker 4: They didn't cover spread? Well, no, they technically did. It

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Speaker 4: was it depends where you got the line.

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Speaker 3: It was Yukon and it opened up and like, yeah,

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Speaker 3: the opening line opened up big. The closing line didn't

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Speaker 3: get there, so it depends.

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Speaker 1: I think the sprints are warranted.

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Speaker 2: Then good teams win, teams cover.

433
00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:23,720
Speaker 1: Let's get that fair. Let's get back to the Broncos though,

434
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:25,280
Speaker 1: I'll come on, Like, as soon as I saw this,

435
00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 1: we talked about this in the opening line show. I

436
00:19:27,040 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 1: smashed this as soon as I saw it. Please tell

437
00:19:28,920 --> 00:19:29,359
Speaker 1: me you did too.

438
00:19:29,440 --> 00:19:31,280
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm on Broncos Land one and a half here.

439
00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:37,320
Speaker 3: I I believe that it is the hugest overreaction to

440
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 3: what Daniel Jones did in that game. Yes, and so

441
00:19:41,200 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 3: I decided to push the Broncos down a little bit

442
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,399
Speaker 3: further as I feed Daniel Jones, but I was definitely

443
00:19:46,440 --> 00:19:49,200
Speaker 3: gonna make them a bet here Today, the Colts only

444
00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:52,000
Speaker 3: pressure two of five times in that game. You're not

445
00:19:52,040 --> 00:19:53,880
Speaker 3: going to be able to do that with that Broncos

446
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,639
Speaker 3: offensive line. You're gonna have to find other ways to

447
00:19:56,640 --> 00:19:58,159
Speaker 3: be able to get to bow Nicks and get to

448
00:19:58,160 --> 00:20:01,159
Speaker 3: the quarterback because if you give bow Nick too much time,

449
00:20:01,520 --> 00:20:04,879
Speaker 3: he's going to carve you up. Yes, they started off slow.

450
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:06,920
Speaker 3: It was the first game of the season. They were

451
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:09,119
Speaker 3: working out the Kings. I think they're going to be

452
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:10,680
Speaker 3: over prepared going on the road.

453
00:20:10,720 --> 00:20:10,920
Speaker 4: Here.

454
00:20:11,119 --> 00:20:14,520
Speaker 3: Broncos offensive line one of the best in the NFL.

455
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:17,439
Speaker 3: Then you got the Broncos who blitz at the third

456
00:20:17,520 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 3: highest rate in the NFL. And that's important because if

457
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 3: you know Dani Jones like I know Danie Jones, then

458
00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:25,359
Speaker 3: you know that Daniel Jones struggles when you bring extra

459
00:20:25,440 --> 00:20:28,240
Speaker 3: pass rushers. He doesn't know what to do. He doesn't

460
00:20:28,320 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 3: know how to make the checks and to make sure

461
00:20:30,440 --> 00:20:33,640
Speaker 3: that his blocking is right. He doesn't know to what

462
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:36,159
Speaker 3: option to even go to with the football. Sometimes he

463
00:20:36,160 --> 00:20:38,320
Speaker 3: holds onto the ball and takes a sack like so

464
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:41,680
Speaker 3: this blitz happy defense going up against Daniel Jones just

465
00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,520
Speaker 3: seems like the perfect recipe for disaster, and I'm all

466
00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:46,160
Speaker 3: over the Broncos getting it done.

467
00:20:46,800 --> 00:20:49,119
Speaker 1: Look, if Daniel Jones puts up another stellar performance this

468
00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:52,200
Speaker 1: time against the Broncos, then I will be I'll be impressed.

469
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:55,600
Speaker 1: I'm just not. I'm just not writing that Sunday Night

470
00:20:55,600 --> 00:20:57,600
Speaker 1: recap that way. It's just not how it's playing out

471
00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:00,000
Speaker 1: in my head. Again, I've seen too much Daniel Jille,

472
00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,520
Speaker 1: just like Terrell has seen. But I've also seen enough

473
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:05,800
Speaker 1: Sean Payton teams, and I just I think this is easy.

474
00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:08,920
Speaker 1: I think the Broncos again ericson, they just didn't. I

475
00:21:09,000 --> 00:21:11,679
Speaker 1: don't think week one out of the gate take the

476
00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,360
Speaker 1: Titans seriously enough, and they should have, because the Titans

477
00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,600
Speaker 1: are out there with a new quarterback and a new

478
00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:18,520
Speaker 1: lace on life and they're looking to prove something and

479
00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:21,080
Speaker 1: that's always dangerous. It was a letdown game in Week one,

480
00:21:21,320 --> 00:21:23,560
Speaker 1: which is not something you see very often, but to me,

481
00:21:23,640 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 1: that's exactly what it was, and that's all that it was.

482
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that on paper that this should not

483
00:21:28,560 --> 00:21:30,640
Speaker 2: be a one and a half point spread. I mean,

484
00:21:30,920 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 2: the look ahead lines with this was three and a

485
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,560
Speaker 2: half points, and like, what really happened? So we saw

486
00:21:35,680 --> 00:21:38,440
Speaker 2: the Miami Dolphins be horrible, which we already kind of

487
00:21:38,520 --> 00:21:42,080
Speaker 2: knew was a possibility. Obviously, the Broncos disappointed, but were

488
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 2: sloppy and to your point, I just think that they're

489
00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 2: going to get these things fixed again. It was you know,

490
00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,160
Speaker 2: it was formational things. It was penalties, and they still

491
00:21:51,200 --> 00:21:53,080
Speaker 2: almost covered and they covered for some people that got

492
00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 2: seven and a half, not me of course, because I

493
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:58,000
Speaker 2: went one to four last week. But they still end

494
00:21:58,080 --> 00:21:59,760
Speaker 2: up covering if you end up getting the line at

495
00:21:59,760 --> 00:22:01,840
Speaker 2: that's seven and a half. So again, boniks still has

496
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 2: been very strong as a favorite again. Now his record

497
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,440
Speaker 2: not perfect anymore, but still eight and one against the

498
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:08,400
Speaker 2: spread as a favorite. And I think that the fact

499
00:22:08,440 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 2: that the Broncos are still favored matters a lot because

500
00:22:11,600 --> 00:22:14,680
Speaker 2: something with the Colts, and this is what with Shane Steiken.

501
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:17,320
Speaker 2: He owns the second best record against the spread as

502
00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,040
Speaker 2: a favorite sixty four percent. The only guy that's been

503
00:22:20,080 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 2: better is Dan Campbell. But when as an underdog, the

504
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:26,760
Speaker 2: Colts are six and fifteen straight up since twenty twenty three.

505
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,400
Speaker 2: So when the market is telling you that they're underdogs

506
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:31,040
Speaker 2: even though a lot of these games are close. Even

507
00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:32,960
Speaker 2: last week they were still favored to beat the Miami

508
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 2: Dolphins end up coming through. I think you have to

509
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:38,080
Speaker 2: fade the Colts as underdogs. Take the Broncos in this

510
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: bounce back spot.

511
00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,440
Speaker 1: All right, we've got one more game to get to

512
00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: then the upset special and the nice little partlay of

513
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:47,679
Speaker 1: the week. Let's start with Terrell's pick here. You're on

514
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,200
Speaker 1: the Chargers here Monday night football, the late night game

515
00:22:51,240 --> 00:22:54,879
Speaker 1: two on the road against the Las Vegas Raiders. So

516
00:22:55,000 --> 00:22:57,159
Speaker 1: Chargers looked really good out of the gate, Terrell, you

517
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:58,800
Speaker 1: think they can roll that over for two weeks in

518
00:22:58,840 --> 00:22:59,240
Speaker 1: a row.

519
00:22:59,560 --> 00:22:59,800
Speaker 4: Yeah.

520
00:23:00,320 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 3: And I really struggled with this. I played around with

521
00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 3: the Chargers. I kind of wanted to bet the over

522
00:23:05,920 --> 00:23:07,800
Speaker 3: as well, because I saw a lot of things I

523
00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:10,960
Speaker 3: like from Gino. Gino threw for three sixty last week,

524
00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:15,159
Speaker 3: three sixty, and unfortunately it was just a couple of

525
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,600
Speaker 3: bad throws. It's kind of what you get with Gino.

526
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:21,480
Speaker 3: A couple of bad throws turned into an interception, and

527
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,879
Speaker 3: you know the momentum is going the pass away, but

528
00:23:23,920 --> 00:23:26,760
Speaker 3: the Pats are just unable to capitalize. Over it, and

529
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,360
Speaker 3: oh man, this Justin Herbert team looked locked and loaded

530
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:34,520
Speaker 3: on offense, ready to go, like they were aggressive, they

531
00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:39,120
Speaker 3: were pushing ball. Herbert looked confident, confident, comfortable, all of that.

532
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,960
Speaker 3: And this is early season, Justin Herbert where he thrives,

533
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:44,960
Speaker 3: and so I really really debated going back and forth,

534
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,920
Speaker 3: and I thought about just taking the points and saying that, man,

535
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:50,320
Speaker 3: I could I think this Raiders offense can account for

536
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:53,720
Speaker 3: twenty something points in the game. But I just think

537
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:56,640
Speaker 3: that maybe there's some upgrade from the defense of Jim

538
00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 3: Harball opposed to what they did with the Kansas City

539
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,960
Speaker 3: Chiefs in Week one. But that Chargers offense looks like

540
00:24:02,119 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 3: is fire and ready to go. So I think the

541
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:04,240
Speaker 3: Chargers are.

542
00:24:04,119 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 4: Actually just gonna go ahead and get this done. They're

543
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:06,240
Speaker 4: going to cover.

544
00:24:06,280 --> 00:24:08,399
Speaker 3: I think they win by seven here. It's a close

545
00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:11,160
Speaker 3: it's a close divisional game, but they win by a touchdown.

546
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:12,920
Speaker 3: I like the Chargers cover three and a half.

547
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 1: Okay, all right, let's get to you here, Andrew Rickson,

548
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,400
Speaker 1: with your final bet of the week that is your favorite,

549
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,119
Speaker 1: and let's chat a little bit about what I was

550
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:25,080
Speaker 1: talking about. That Detroit Lion Chicago Bears game. Look to me,

551
00:24:25,119 --> 00:24:27,679
Speaker 1: you get Jared golf back at home, another team that

552
00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,480
Speaker 1: had a lackluster first week. Jared Goff indoors is a

553
00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,560
Speaker 1: different guy. He's an indoor cat. I've told you that

554
00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:35,640
Speaker 1: for years now. But on top of that, even though

555
00:24:35,640 --> 00:24:36,960
Speaker 1: I do think the Lions are going to struggle the

556
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 1: rest of the year, I think this is a quote

557
00:24:38,480 --> 00:24:41,760
Speaker 1: unquote get right game for them against the Bears. But

558
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,080
Speaker 1: you have a different angle, ericson walk us through.

559
00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:47,040
Speaker 2: Well, where's this game being played Forfield?

560
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:47,680
Speaker 1: Detroit?

561
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:53,160
Speaker 2: Yes, Detroit, where Colorado the cores field of the NFL

562
00:24:53,280 --> 00:24:55,280
Speaker 2: where unders go to die. You know why there was

563
00:24:55,320 --> 00:24:57,040
Speaker 2: no overs last week because there was no game at

564
00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:59,639
Speaker 2: Ford Field, right, Like, that's why we didn't see any overs,

565
00:24:59,760 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 2: or not very many.

566
00:25:00,800 --> 00:25:03,399
Speaker 1: So well, there was one over in a stupid Jets,

567
00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:06,240
Speaker 1: stupid Stealers game. That's game the Bills game, and that

568
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:06,800
Speaker 1: was over.

569
00:25:07,920 --> 00:25:12,119
Speaker 2: The Bears game also went over with Dulan McCarthy's miraculous

570
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 2: comeback in the fourth quarter, which I know both of

571
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:17,439
Speaker 2: you were very in tune watching because of the debate

572
00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:22,359
Speaker 2: we had last week. So yeah, I'm just going back

573
00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,359
Speaker 2: to playing the hits here again. I agree with all

574
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:26,680
Speaker 2: the points you made about the Lions offense bouncing back here,

575
00:25:26,880 --> 00:25:29,040
Speaker 2: this has historically been I mean ever in the Dan

576
00:25:29,119 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 2: Campbell era. This team has been significantly better. Playing at home,

577
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,720
Speaker 2: five of the lions last six games as favorites have

578
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:36,919
Speaker 2: gone over the total. Again, they were not favored to

579
00:25:36,920 --> 00:25:39,320
Speaker 2: beat the Packers on the road last week. They were

580
00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:41,879
Speaker 2: expected to lose, and that's exactly what happens. So I

581
00:25:41,880 --> 00:25:45,400
Speaker 2: think playing the Bears defense that is severely banged up, honestly,

582
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:47,879
Speaker 2: coming off a really bad loss where they kind of

583
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: broke in the fourth quarter on a short week, I

584
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 2: have no issues believing that the line is going to

585
00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,040
Speaker 2: score at least thirty plus points against the Chicago Bears.

586
00:25:56,280 --> 00:25:58,400
Speaker 2: And then on the Bear side, I think that Ben

587
00:25:58,440 --> 00:26:02,000
Speaker 2: Johnson's intel on the defense personnel for Detroit. Do I

588
00:26:02,119 --> 00:26:03,160
Speaker 2: expect the Bears to win?

589
00:26:03,320 --> 00:26:03,359
Speaker 1: No?

590
00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:05,879
Speaker 2: But do I expect them to go down throwing the

591
00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 2: ball a ton and scoring points on there? And yes,

592
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 2: So I think that forty six and a half points

593
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:12,160
Speaker 2: is just too low of a number for a game

594
00:26:12,200 --> 00:26:14,439
Speaker 2: being played at Ford Field. Win the Lion Stevens has

595
00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,760
Speaker 2: not shown that, oh they're back to the beginning of

596
00:26:16,840 --> 00:26:18,640
Speaker 2: last year. I think it's still dealing through a lot

597
00:26:18,640 --> 00:26:21,200
Speaker 2: of the injuries. Hutchinson is still trying to get back

598
00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:25,639
Speaker 2: to his pre injury form. Average total lines last twenty

599
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:29,040
Speaker 2: nine home games fifty five point seven points. Seventy three

600
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 2: percent of the games have scored at least fifty one

601
00:26:31,840 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 2: total points. I mean, right now, at forty six and

602
00:26:35,400 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 2: a half is where the best line I'm seeing on

603
00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:40,800
Speaker 2: the betting pros consensus is an easy over smash for me.

604
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 1: Okay, there you have it, everybody. That's everybody's favorite bets

605
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,960
Speaker 1: for the week, and of course I'm gonna give you

606
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,359
Speaker 1: the upset special. Oh for one last week, Sorry, I

607
00:26:50,400 --> 00:26:53,200
Speaker 1: got close. All Terrell was just getting real nervous. He

608
00:26:53,240 --> 00:26:58,359
Speaker 1: was biting it. Yeah the ball, now you are nervous.

609
00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 1: He was in the red zone there for about a

610
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:03,760
Speaker 1: minute left and to go, oh, well, I got close.

611
00:27:04,320 --> 00:27:06,120
Speaker 1: Could have pulled it off. We'll see. But this week,

612
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:08,320
Speaker 1: I think we're gonna pull it off. And I'm looking

613
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:12,119
Speaker 1: to my old friend Baker Mayfield. Yes, Baker Mayfield on

614
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:13,160
Speaker 1: the road all day.

615
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:13,400
Speaker 2: Yeah.

616
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 1: The Houston Texans defense is very good, Houston Texas offensive

617
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:18,840
Speaker 1: line is not great, and I think the Tampa Bay

618
00:27:18,880 --> 00:27:20,919
Speaker 1: offense is pretty good. And I think they were in

619
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 1: a very heated game last week against the Atlanta Falcons.

620
00:27:24,520 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 1: And now look they're traveling again two weeks in a

621
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 1: row on the road. That's tough, little road warrior action.

622
00:27:29,200 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: I think Tampa is ready for that, especially under dog

623
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,560
Speaker 1: Baker Mayfield. Oh wait, do I love Tampa Bay Mayfield

624
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:39,000
Speaker 1: under dog all the time? So give me Tampa Bay

625
00:27:39,280 --> 00:27:42,040
Speaker 1: on the money line against Houston plus one point thirty.

626
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:45,240
Speaker 1: That's my upset special of the week. And on top

627
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:46,679
Speaker 1: of that, I'm gonna give you the parlay of the

628
00:27:46,680 --> 00:27:50,440
Speaker 1: week as well, which is give me those Detroit Lions

629
00:27:50,600 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 1: at minus five and a half. You could also take

630
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:54,760
Speaker 1: the over if you prefer and do it that way.

631
00:27:54,840 --> 00:27:58,160
Speaker 1: You can do that. Then give me the bounce back Broncos.

632
00:27:58,240 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 1: So this is the bounce back season right now. This

633
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,560
Speaker 1: is what we're in, and it's bounce back time for

634
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:04,960
Speaker 1: two teams. I'm gonna parlay them together with the other

635
00:28:04,960 --> 00:28:07,720
Speaker 1: thing that I'm very confident in, which is the Philadelphia

636
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,760
Speaker 1: Eagles are gonna beat the Chiefs again. The Chiefs are

637
00:28:09,960 --> 00:28:12,679
Speaker 1: down players. I know the Chiefs have a little bit

638
00:28:12,720 --> 00:28:14,879
Speaker 1: more respect for themselves. I know it was embarrassing. I'm

639
00:28:14,880 --> 00:28:16,399
Speaker 1: sure they're gonna show up a little bit more. I

640
00:28:16,440 --> 00:28:17,959
Speaker 1: just don't think they can beat the Eagles. I think

641
00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:20,760
Speaker 1: the Eagles are on a different level and certainly healthier

642
00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,440
Speaker 1: as well. So give me the Eagles on the money line,

643
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 1: give me the Broncos with the two and a half,

644
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,239
Speaker 1: the Lions with the two and a half, and all

645
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 1: of a sudden, we get the six to one on

646
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:30,800
Speaker 1: that bad boy. So that is my favorite parlay of

647
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:33,480
Speaker 1: the week. Don't forget to watch the guy's favorite parlays

648
00:28:33,520 --> 00:28:35,159
Speaker 1: as well here on the channel. You can find that

649
00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:38,160
Speaker 1: video on our YouTube channel. Also subscribe to the Betting

650
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:40,320
Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel. Make sure you go place your bets

651
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Speaker 1: over at hard Rock bet and that'll do it for us.

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Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Terrell

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Speaker 1: Furman Junior and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson. I'm Joey p.

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Speaker 1: We'll see you next time.

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Speaker 4: Kids.

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Speaker 5: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

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Speaker 5: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

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Speaker 5: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

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Speaker 5: Follow us on x and tick, talk at Betting Pros

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Speaker 5: and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our

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Speaker 5: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com.

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Speaker 4: Slash Betting pros