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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that Action boss.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Throwing up job. I'm sitting up to cash stop.

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Speaker 2: That's all.

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Speaker 1: We'll see the most gamblers when they go to gamble,

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Speaker 1: they go to wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 1: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. All right.

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Speaker 1: This is the ultimate kabine you want to pull, and

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Speaker 1: we are underway. What's up everyone? Welcome to the Action

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Speaker 1: Network Podcast. I'm your host, Chris Raybin, and this is

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Speaker 1: your NFL Week five betting preview. It's officially October, best

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Speaker 1: month of the sports gambling calendar. So we're gonna build

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Speaker 1: our Sunday six pack after going five oh to one,

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Speaker 1: I believe last week with the help of my co host,

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Speaker 1: the Prime Minister of Degenerate Nation, stucky stuff, good stuff.

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Speaker 1: Last week. You got hot, We're doing well. How you

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Speaker 1: feeling good.

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Speaker 2: I'm glad for September to be over. It wasn't a

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Speaker 2: great month for me overall. I just I couldn't ever

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Speaker 2: get a late drive. One late drive, it's all I want.

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Speaker 2: And the Jets couldn't get a field goal to beat

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Speaker 2: the Broncos for a teaser here, I mean, you gotta

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Speaker 2: be kidd the fewest amount of passing yards in a

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Speaker 2: win by teams in two thousand and seven. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Brodeck's a negative. I think seven yards passing the first half.

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Speaker 2: Baron Rodgers, two chances to get down and score. Can't

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Speaker 2: do it for me? Come on, Rogers, I mean that

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Speaker 2: was bad. We'll talk about Denver at a moment. Their

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Speaker 2: defense looks legit. Yeah, I just give me a late score.

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Speaker 2: Hearing that, I will say the Baltimore Ravens, they did

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Speaker 2: come through for me. It was a nice, sweat free win.

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Speaker 2: And it's funny how and we talk about this every week.

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Speaker 2: We'll talk about it again this week in a number

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Speaker 2: of games. It's funny how the NFL market works. Right

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Speaker 2: last week going into the Ravens Bills game, Biose are

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Speaker 2: the best team in the NFL. Josh Allen MVP Bill's

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Speaker 2: super Bowl. Ravens in one game, one game in a

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Speaker 2: great spot, Facett Carbo Spot, Ravens are the best team

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. The changing of narratives on a week

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Speaker 2: to week basis is just stunning. It'll never not make

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Speaker 2: me chuckle in the NFL. And you have those overreactions

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Speaker 2: and I'll carry over to this.

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Speaker 1: Week usually when these overreactions start, it's a good time.

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Speaker 1: So glad you got got off to Schneid and we'll

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Speaker 1: keep it going. This week. We'll get into Thursday night football.

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Speaker 1: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

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Speaker 1: Let's bet Thursday Night football. We got the books at

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Speaker 1: the Falcons. The Falcons are favored by one and a half.

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Speaker 1: The total is forty four. It looks like now thoughts

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Speaker 1: on this one. I mean, you had the Falcons in

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Speaker 1: that last game against the Saints. They, like you said,

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Speaker 1: they pushed. What did you think about them going forward?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, important to shopping around. I think I've had three

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Speaker 2: pushes on the six pack this year. Don't have a

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Speaker 2: strong feel. I actually kind of lean Falcons. Let me see.

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Speaker 2: I'm waiting on their injury board. They still haven't released

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Speaker 2: it as of the time that we're recording this. I

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Speaker 2: know Winfield's still going to be out. Cancy, He's still

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Speaker 2: going to be out for the Bucks. A couple of

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Speaker 2: their depth receivers. Their right tackle Troy Anderson's out for

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Speaker 2: the Falcons. That's pretty big at their linebackers. I think

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Speaker 2: he had seventeen tackles last week, a stunning number. He

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Speaker 2: was all over the field. I'm waiting to see on Bijon.

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Speaker 2: He's banged up, Ray Ray McLeod's banged up, CALEA. Mcgarret's

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Speaker 2: got a chance. Their right tackle Drew Dolman. Their center

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Speaker 2: is still out. You know, when I look at the

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Speaker 2: Falcons last week, I mean, even on that last drive,

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Speaker 2: not not to go down and score a touchdown, not

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Speaker 2: to get in the end zone once. I don't even

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Speaker 2: think they play in the red zone because that one holding,

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Speaker 2: that one call one touchdown I got called back for holding.

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Speaker 2: The offense is just it's it's just a little off.

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Speaker 2: I know they have offensive line injuries, but the Saints

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Speaker 2: were down to Mario Davis and Willie Gay went down.

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Speaker 2: They're just like spamming outside zone runs. There's not a

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Speaker 2: lot of variety. Kyle Pitts is non existent. Cousins is

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Speaker 2: still struggling under pressure, especially when teams blitz. He's coming

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Speaker 2: off that injuries, not very mobile. You're missing two offensive linemen.

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Speaker 2: What are the Bucks going to do here? I mean

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Speaker 2: it's Todd Bowles. They're gonna blitz, try to bring pressure,

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Speaker 2: so that might cause Cousins some issues. You know, the

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Speaker 2: Falcons defense is solid that their safety play really saves

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Speaker 2: them in a lot of areas. They're not going to

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Speaker 2: get give up a ton of explosive plays. This game's

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Speaker 2: probably gonna be close. Yeah, I don't I don't have

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Speaker 2: anything here. I might love to bet it live. Not

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Speaker 2: a strong take here, how about you.

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Speaker 1: Defenses are both a little underrated in this game. They

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Speaker 1: don't kind of pop it up in my motto and

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Speaker 1: I was like, wait, why is why is this Bucks

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Speaker 1: Falcons indoor game? Like pointing toward the under But I

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Speaker 1: think Todd Bowles has really you know, we kind of

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Speaker 1: clowned him a lot as a head coach, but as

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Speaker 1: a straight up just defensive game planner, I think he's

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Speaker 1: coming out with some good plans. I mean, you had

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Speaker 1: that that game where they just stymied the uh the

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Speaker 1: Lions like eight times in the red zone. And yeah, Falcons,

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Speaker 1: I agree. Something a little off with Cousins. He's almost

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Speaker 1: two system oriented, Like he's two. He's getting a little

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Speaker 1: two robotic. He's not really making any plays. He's just

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Speaker 1: the offensive version of Gus Brad. We like with that,

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Speaker 1: just easy to plan for, Like they're always in they're

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Speaker 1: mostly in the same personnel, so I think Todd Bowles

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Speaker 1: is probably going to have a good plan for this.

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Speaker 1: Once i'd i'd lean bucks. I don't really like what

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Speaker 1: I'm seeing from the Falcons, and the Falcons have no

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Speaker 1: get no pressure right, so like where.

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Speaker 2: I mean not being able to get any last week

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Speaker 2: against the Saints offensive line that was missing.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, a bunch of problems. I think I audibly

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Speaker 1: chuckled to him. We were talking about the Falcons pressure

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Speaker 1: because that's it's like this has been an issue for

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Speaker 1: years now. It doesn't matter who they signed. Every year

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Speaker 1: we get hyped and oh they signed Campbell, last year

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Speaker 1: they got Jude On. It's like nothing changes. Where are

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Speaker 1: they like bottom five, bottom five, bottom six in the

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Speaker 1: league in pressure rate? They have four SATs, which is

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Speaker 1: dead last. Of course I would lean Bucks in the under,

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Speaker 1: but you know it's one and a half. It's essentially

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Speaker 1: saying these teams are pretty even.

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Speaker 2: I will say, if you like the Falcons, maybe consider

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Speaker 2: a money line. I'd regret not doing so. Last week

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Speaker 2: we talked about this with the Texans. The Falcons in

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Speaker 2: these divisional games, they always seen that in one or two.

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Speaker 2: It's uncanny.

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Speaker 1: So let's jump into the Sunday six pack. Try to

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Speaker 1: stay hot before we do. Shout out to our Action

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Speaker 1: Network colleague Sean Zerillo, who had another great year in baseball,

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Speaker 1: finishing the MLB regular season up more than twenty five units.

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Speaker 1: And with Action Pro, you get instant notifications every time

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Speaker 1: Zerillo or any of our Action experts make a pick

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Speaker 1: in the Action Network app. Just visit actionnetwork dot com

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Speaker 1: slash Pro and use a promo code October for fifteen

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Speaker 1: percent off and Action Pro subscription. That's promo code October

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Speaker 1: oct ob e R fifteen percent Offactionnetwork dot Com Slash

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Speaker 1: Pro with the promo code October and be sure to

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Speaker 1: check Sean out every week talking mob playoffs on the

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Speaker 1: Payoff Pitch podcast, Very good podcast. All Right, Stuck Gotta

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Speaker 1: stay hot. Let's build our week five Sunday six pack

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Speaker 1: Thursday for Action Let's crack open the Sunday six pack.

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Speaker 1: Like I said, five oh when one last week, you're

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Speaker 1: up first? Where you're going? All right?

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Speaker 2: For my first pick of the week five Sunday six Pack,

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Speaker 2: I'm going with the Pittsburgh Steelers minus one and a

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Speaker 2: half anything on the three spine against the All Cowboys

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Speaker 2: on Sunday Night football. First of all, have to say

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Speaker 2: it first time. I said it all year.

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Speaker 1: Raw Ross Spot, what a raw rah, Mike Tomlin Spot,

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Speaker 1: we win the game.

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Speaker 3: We're just cruel bodies right here today, bring y'allly game to.

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Speaker 2: Day classic Tomlin ra Roths spot off the loss at

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Speaker 2: home in primetime against the Dallas Cowboys, the Steelers will

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Speaker 2: be Juice usually shows up on the defensive side of

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Speaker 2: the ball. That's why a lot of times in these

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Speaker 2: Tomlin raw Rosbots the Unders have been so successful.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna look at you real close today. If you

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Speaker 3: highly conditioned, it ready to go, and if you know,

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Speaker 3: I'm going to put you in the news.

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Speaker 2: Steelers are beat up on the offensive line. They've lost

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Speaker 2: three guys now. James Daniels has been their best offensive line.

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Speaker 2: But I think they should get Samoloa back who can

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Speaker 2: slot into that guard. Zach Fraser, by the way, he's

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Speaker 2: playing really well at center of the rookie. Cowboys also

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Speaker 2: have a rookie at center that's not playing particularly well.

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Speaker 2: And you know I've clowned him a lot in the past.

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Speaker 2: But if you look at the Steelers offensive line, you

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Speaker 2: know it's playing well. Dan Moore, oh yeah, yep, actually

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Speaker 2: playing okay, So you know, the offensive line is not great,

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Speaker 2: but it's not awful. But here's the thing. You know,

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Speaker 2: the Steelers want to run the ball, and Justin Fields

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Speaker 2: has played well. I mean, yes, he's exceeded all of

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Speaker 2: my expectations.

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Speaker 3: You know, he didn't urinate down his leg. Man, it's

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Speaker 3: a great place to begin.

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Speaker 2: He can use his legs to extend drives. He's making

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Speaker 2: smart throws, he's picking and choosing the right times when

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Speaker 2: to get the ball downfield to pickens, and he just

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Speaker 2: really as a command of this offense. But this offense

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Speaker 2: wants to run first and rely on its defense. Can

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Speaker 2: can they do that here?

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Speaker 3: Well?

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Speaker 2: Yes, because the Cowboys cannot stop the run. Thirty first

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Speaker 2: in line yards, thirty first in rush efficiency thirty first,

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Speaker 2: and EPA perrush. They can't stop the run at all.

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Speaker 2: And most importantly, no DeMarcus Lawrence, no Michael Parsons there

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Speaker 2: you go. I mean without those two, and they don't

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Speaker 2: have a second corner. Right now, what is this defense?

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Speaker 2: It's a bottom of the barrel unit. I mean, Michael

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Speaker 2: Parsons is one of the most valuable defensive players in

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Speaker 2: the NFL, and you don't have him and Lawrence. I mean,

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Speaker 2: look at that defensive line. I just don't see much here.

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Speaker 2: And if they're giving up a ton of explosive runs,

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Speaker 2: that's where Pitt has thrived. And like going back to fields,

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Speaker 2: he's eleventh in EPA plus completion percentage over expectation composite

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Speaker 2: Dak's twenty second. You know why Dak's struggling a bit.

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Speaker 2: It's like he doesn't have any help. They can't run

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Speaker 2: the ball. There's no run game to speak of. There's

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Speaker 2: no explosiveness there. The offensive line is struggling. Their rookies

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Speaker 2: are struggling. You have two good guards, but the rest

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Speaker 2: of the unit is pretty underwhelming. You have no help

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Speaker 2: in the run game. It's mainly what can I get

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Speaker 2: the ball to Lamb? Well, he gets all the attention,

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Speaker 2: so there's just not much help. So I really like

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Speaker 2: this matchup because what's going to happen here is Dallas

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Speaker 2: can't run the ball. There's going to be a lot

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Speaker 2: of known passing situations for Dallas. And what's going to

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Speaker 2: happen is t J. Watt is inevitable. He's probably going

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Speaker 2: to have a huge play in this game. There's going

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Speaker 2: to be pressure on Prescott the Pittsburgh linebackers. Yeah, I mean,

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Speaker 2: I was never a fan of Patrick Queen. They're not

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Speaker 2: great in coverage, so maybe you know the tight ends

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Speaker 2: Ferguson can have a big day here, but they're best

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Speaker 2: at rushing the pass or known passing downs. That's their strength,

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Speaker 2: which they can do here. So yeah, I mean, look,

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Speaker 2: Steelers should be able to run it, making things easier

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Speaker 2: on fields. Who can also use his legs take his

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Speaker 2: shots to pickens. Cowboys won't be able to run it,

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Speaker 2: won't be able to protect dat. So and look, one

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Speaker 2: of the biggest advantages that the Cowboys have is their kicker,

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Speaker 2: Brandon Aubrey, who can like make one from anywhere on

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Speaker 2: the field. Steels have a pretty good kicker themselves, most

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Speaker 2: accurate now in NFL history, so they could match. And

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Speaker 2: that's a really tough stadium to kick in. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: I like the Steelers. You know, robros spot I I

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Speaker 2: just can't be overstated enough the loss of both Lawrence

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Speaker 2: and more importantly Michael Parsons for this defense that already

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Speaker 2: had no chance of stopping the run. And that's what

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Speaker 2: the Steelers want to do. Landity run the ball.

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Speaker 3: They can do that here, made an opportunity to get

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Speaker 3: a quality dude at a discount like what we're talking about.

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Speaker 1: I agree with the pit, but I actually have a

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Speaker 1: hot ticket. I think the Steelers are a better passing

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Speaker 1: team the running team right now. I mean because remember

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Speaker 1: Cradell Patterson, Jalen Warren, those that are both banged up,

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Speaker 1: so you're really naw he Harris, and.

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Speaker 2: They might come back this week for what it's worth.

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Speaker 1: I mean, well, I don't know, because they did elevate

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Speaker 1: or not elevate. They signed to the active roster Aaron

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Speaker 1: Shamplin out of Harvard, So I feel like at least

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Speaker 1: one of them is gonna be out, don't I guess

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Speaker 1: think it's Patterson. But yeah, it's still as run. Game

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Speaker 1: is kind of hit or miss right now. But I

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Speaker 1: think Fields is Fields has really impressed me. I mean

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Speaker 1: the weird drop back fumbling unforced era is notwithstanding last

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Speaker 1: week in that game that just felt like it was

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Speaker 1: never gonna end and I was gonna lose that cover.

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Speaker 1: But uh yeah, I think what you'll probably see is

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Speaker 1: Dallas sell out to try to stop the run and

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Speaker 1: and just see if Pittsburgh will, you know, take its

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Speaker 1: shots and go down the field and then adjust from there,

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Speaker 1: because I mean, I don't really see any other way

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Speaker 1: to play it. If you're Dallas, like, you're not gonna

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Speaker 1: just sit back, you're not scared of fields. But I

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Speaker 1: think I think field's in a passing game is actually

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Speaker 1: gonna gonna be there their best way means of offense.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the Dallas secondary as holes too because of injuries.

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Speaker 2: They made Daniel Jones look the lead. I'm also happy

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Speaker 2: that I got to do this. Producer can throw in

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Speaker 2: some Tom Win clips. I don't know if he's used

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Speaker 2: the hot dog.

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Speaker 3: One, respectfully, There's certain things that go on among teams

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Speaker 3: as a leader that I talked to the collective about

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Speaker 3: that I have zero intentions of sharing with the larger public.

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Speaker 3: You know, I can't give you all the ingredients to

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Speaker 3: the hot dog.

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Speaker 2: You might not like it. Where are you going for

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Speaker 2: your first pick?

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Speaker 1: For my first pick in the second overall of the

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Speaker 1: week five Sunday six pack, I am going with the

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Speaker 1: Denver Broncos minus one and a half. Anything under three

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Speaker 1: or take the money line, but love the Broncos this

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Speaker 1: week against the Las Vegas Raiders. This defense, as you

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Speaker 1: mentioned earlier, is excellent, and this Raider team is just

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Speaker 1: in a bad spot because you're not gonna have Davante Adams.

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Speaker 1: Looks like Mayer is still away from the team as well.

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Speaker 1: You're right tackle they er Mumford looks like he's gonna

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Speaker 1: be out now to prosby still not practicing. But your

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Speaker 1: offense is in dire straight Uh got Minshew against a

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Speaker 1: defense that's top five and pressure eight, top five in dvoway,

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Speaker 1: number one in yards per play allowed at four point two.

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Speaker 1: Can blitz can pressure Minshew When he's pressures passer rating

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Speaker 1: goes from ninety six to sixty two this year. He's

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Speaker 1: you know, he's probably due for more mistakes than he's

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Speaker 1: even made this year. He's held up pretty well. I

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Speaker 1: mean he started off with what those three straight like

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Speaker 1: two hundred and seventy five yard games or something. But

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Speaker 1: I thought the Raiders, well both teams could be fair,

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Speaker 1: were extremely lucky to win last week. But but the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: I mean, there was a eighty two yard touchdown called back,

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Speaker 1: they got a fumble, took it like. It was just

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Speaker 1: a lot going on there for this Raider team. But

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Speaker 1: if you if you couldn't stop the pass for them,

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Speaker 1: they cannot run the ball. Their rushed success rate in

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Speaker 1: early downs twenty dead last by a land by a

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Speaker 1: mile in the National Football League. They're probably gonna give

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Speaker 1: Madison more carries. We know how that's gonna go. The

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Speaker 1: minute he becomes like not a backup, it's just downhill.

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Speaker 1: But the Broncos great against the run and the pass.

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Speaker 1: But Riley MOS's playing well, the secondary's playing well.

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Speaker 3: The right.

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Speaker 1: Exactly, just everyone at safety and everyone at corner. I

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Speaker 1: mean used to like Sir Ted is like kind of

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Speaker 1: going under the radar, but he's you know, he's shutting

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Speaker 1: people down. Uh McMillan. And this like everyone's playing well

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Speaker 1: for this team. They're they're getting pressure and if you

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Speaker 1: if you care, pass efficiently, if you're Vegas, which they

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Speaker 1: do not project to be able to do in this matchup,

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Speaker 1: it's gonna be really tough. And then this Bronco team

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Speaker 1: is already middle of the pack in d v O A.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 1: I figured they would start to get better a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks ago, and they ended up doing that. You know,

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Speaker 1: Sean Payton's gonna figure it out. We saw that last

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Speaker 1: year even with a team he kind of dragged to

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Speaker 1: what eight wins with Russell Wilson. Uh So I think

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Speaker 1: that I think this defense is for real and offensively, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we make fun of bo Nicks. It was, I mean

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Speaker 1: just disgusting last week. Uh And on top of that,

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Speaker 1: they you know, they try to get some more explosiveness

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Speaker 1: in the run game with Baty, he gets seriously injured

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Speaker 1: and fumbles and it was just a mass but so positives.

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Speaker 1: This Vegas defense not very good, bottom ten in pretty

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Speaker 1: much all metrics. Bo Nicks, I know, it's disgusting. It's

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Speaker 1: hard to bet on Bone, especially as a favorite, but

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Speaker 1: let's consider something. He's a rookie, He's had four starts,

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Speaker 1: the defenses he faced, he's playing Pittsburgh Seattle, which is

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Speaker 1: a top eight d v A defense. Even though I

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Speaker 1: know that they got crushed by Detroit, but still that was.

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Speaker 2: When they were healthy. Seattle was missing like five starter

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Speaker 2: in Seattle.

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Speaker 1: Uh And then he faced the Jets. We know the

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Speaker 1: Jets are really good.

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Speaker 2: And conditions proders didn't do anything.

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Speaker 1: And even the Bucks, like we said, you know, Todd

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Speaker 1: Bowles was he's you know, has them playing pretty above

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Speaker 1: their talent level anyway, considering all the injuries and but

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Speaker 1: uh so, yeah, he can look a lot different. Uh

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Speaker 1: this week kind of like a couple of weeks ago

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Speaker 1: against the Bucks where.

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Speaker 2: The d injuries not elite.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and they And what I do like about Sean

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Speaker 1: Payton is he's not just doing that thing that you expect,

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Speaker 1: especially like the older coaches to do with a young

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Speaker 1: rookie quarterbacks, like I'm just gonna hand the ball off,

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Speaker 1: like he's passed so much that now he can go

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Speaker 1: ahead and run it and I think the defense probably

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Speaker 1: won't even be expecting it. He started to run it

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Speaker 1: a little bit more in that second half against the Jets,

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Speaker 1: which I thought was smart. But overall, I like the

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Speaker 1: fact that he's gotten nicks just to get a ton

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Speaker 1: of dropbacks, so the experience is going to be there,

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Speaker 1: and just the tendencies you never you don't actually know

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Speaker 1: what's gonna happen. It's positive that Javonte got going. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if that's gonna last, but it is a positive.

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Speaker 1: This Raider team is not gonna be able to score.

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Speaker 1: I think the Broncos get some turnovers.

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Speaker 4: Uh.

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Speaker 1: I think their defenses, their offensive, they're playing really good

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Speaker 1: special teams as well. So yeah, like the Broncos under

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Speaker 1: three money line. Whatever you want to do, give me

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Speaker 1: a Denver and remember tough place to go play in Denver.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, this would have been one of my plays for

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Speaker 2: what it's worth, but you selected it. I'd prefer the

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Speaker 2: money line. By the way profiles is a low scoring

366
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Speaker 2: game could be like a weird you know, field goal game.

367
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Speaker 2: That's the route I went. But for my second pick

368
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Speaker 2: in the third overall the Week five Sunday six pack,

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Speaker 2: we're back, baby. We're going with the Carolina Panthers plus

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Speaker 2: four against the Chicago Bears. I know it hurts to do,

371
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Speaker 2: but the Panthers did get me and us to cover

372
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Speaker 2: against the Raiders. I didn't vet them last week, so

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Speaker 2: I think I've absolved of my sins. I think the

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Speaker 2: Bears were extremely fortunate last week against the Rams team

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Speaker 2: that was decimated by injuries. I mean, the Rams were

376
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Speaker 2: one of four in the red zone minus two turnover margin.

377
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Speaker 2: They were close to a yard better in net yards

378
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Speaker 2: for play, and it's a team that a whole offensive

379
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Speaker 2: line without caught without Nakula. The Bears have two wins

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Speaker 2: this year the Titans, which, by the way, the Titans

381
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Speaker 2: have one win. One of the most fraudulent wins in

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Speaker 2: the NFL over the past twenty five years. You get

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Speaker 2: two ridiculous touchdowns come back without ever scoring an offensive touchdown.

384
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Speaker 2: I don't want to talk about that game anymore. Meanwhile,

385
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Speaker 2: I thought the Panthers are pretty unlucky. Last week against

386
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Speaker 2: the Bengals, they were stopping the goal line to start

387
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Speaker 2: the game. They had a turnover inside there in twenty

388
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Speaker 2: that led to a touchdown, and then the Bengals scored

389
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Speaker 2: in the final play a half by like an inch.

390
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Speaker 1: He slipped it.

391
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Speaker 2: Yeah, huge swing.

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Speaker 1: I will say it is they deserve all that shit

393
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Speaker 1: for that sorry ass tackling job on the Jumar Chase touchdown,

394
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Speaker 1: because that was just ridiculous, like I have never seen

395
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Speaker 1: where I don't know if I've seen where's tackling, but no,

396
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Speaker 1: I agree they were very unlucky.

397
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Speaker 2: And then they tried to fake punt and it didn't work.

398
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Speaker 2: It was close to working, they didn't. And then the

399
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Speaker 2: Bengals had a short field, but the yard they were like,

400
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Speaker 2: the yardage was I don't it was like three seventy

401
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,879
Speaker 2: five to three seventy three. The upgrade to Andy Dalton

402
00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 2: cannot be overstated. I mean, let's look, he's seventh and

403
00:21:06,160 --> 00:21:10,880
Speaker 2: adjusted EPA per play at point two to one. Caleb

404
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:13,080
Speaker 2: Williams is twenty eight, you know where Bryce Young is

405
00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:18,280
Speaker 2: thirty third negative point five. I mean an adjusted EPA

406
00:21:18,320 --> 00:21:23,800
Speaker 2: per play. That's an unheard of, unbelievably bad number. That's

407
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Speaker 2: like I think I was going back and looking. That's

408
00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:30,200
Speaker 2: like Luke falk is like the only guy to see

409
00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:36,440
Speaker 2: in that territory. It's as bad as it gets. But this,

410
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Speaker 2: this Panthers offense is now competent.

411
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Speaker 1: Yeah, block, they could.

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Speaker 2: Block number one in the NFL in pressure rate allowed.

413
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Speaker 2: I mean it's they're there. I think there. Let's see

414
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Speaker 2: pressure percentage allowed on true dropback percentages. Panther's sixteen and

415
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Speaker 2: a half percent. That's by far the best in the league.

416
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Speaker 2: So Dalton's get in time, Dalton looks great. So yeah,

417
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Speaker 2: this this offense is competent. The Bears defense is good,

418
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Speaker 2: the Panthers offensive line, we'll be able to handle them.

419
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Speaker 2: And this is more of a fade of the Bears

420
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Speaker 2: is a favorite. I have to win by significant margin. Now,

421
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Speaker 2: you know, it's different, much different laying just a field

422
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Speaker 2: goal or under than four. And this Bears offense is

423
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Speaker 2: just it just doesn't look great. The offensive line is bad.

424
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Speaker 2: They're just not playing well. They can't really run the ball.

425
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Speaker 2: I didn't Swift had some success last week, but this

426
00:22:33,280 --> 00:22:36,000
Speaker 2: is still a bad rushing offense. That's how you really

427
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Speaker 2: attack the Panthers. What happened? What was the Panthers win

428
00:22:39,480 --> 00:22:42,640
Speaker 2: this year against the Raiders? A team that can't run

429
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Speaker 2: the ball with a struggling quarterback, right, that's how in

430
00:22:45,680 --> 00:22:47,880
Speaker 2: the Panthers defense. By the way, the Panthers defense, kid

431
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 2: keeps losing guys and they're not talented, but they're they're

432
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,399
Speaker 2: playing just above their heads. Everyone's playing better because of

433
00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:57,600
Speaker 2: this quarterback change, Like just the morale is better. And

434
00:22:57,920 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna with their coverages in the back.

435
00:23:00,240 --> 00:23:03,119
Speaker 2: Everyward does a good job there with his zone looks.

436
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:06,080
Speaker 2: I think they'll probably confuse Balib into a mistake or two.

437
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:08,520
Speaker 2: And they're blitzing a lot more because they can't generate pressure.

438
00:23:08,720 --> 00:23:10,360
Speaker 2: I think there's too much value here in the Panthers

439
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,120
Speaker 2: that just the upgrade is astronomical to Darnold.

440
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:19,920
Speaker 1: So Arnold, where's PJ. Walker at oh Man?

441
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:24,040
Speaker 2: The red Rocket is a massive upgrade and it's just

442
00:23:24,080 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 2: a whole different operation. So give me the Panthers plus

443
00:23:26,400 --> 00:23:28,200
Speaker 2: four on the road in Chicago.

444
00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,120
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I definitely can't get to the minus four,

445
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:33,960
Speaker 1: and I agree the Bears were lucky. I am a

446
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:36,720
Speaker 1: little concerned about this game just because I do think

447
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 1: there's some uncertainty with I talked about it last week.

448
00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 1: The Bears are offensively like actively making changes that are

449
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,040
Speaker 1: benefiting them, Like they did kind of switch up the

450
00:23:47,119 --> 00:23:49,840
Speaker 1: run scheme a little last week. You know, they're getting

451
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,639
Speaker 1: commeta on the field and the tight ends on the

452
00:23:52,680 --> 00:23:55,360
Speaker 1: field more. And if they do that against the Panthers,

453
00:23:55,400 --> 00:23:57,840
Speaker 1: which would be the right thing to do, they could

454
00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,879
Speaker 1: have some success and we might see Bears blow up

455
00:24:00,880 --> 00:24:01,800
Speaker 1: spot at any time.

456
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:01,959
Speaker 2: Now.

457
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:04,520
Speaker 1: That's got me a little worry, but I agree it's

458
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:07,960
Speaker 1: it's Panthers or nothing here at Bears minus Foort. It's

459
00:24:08,040 --> 00:24:12,879
Speaker 1: kind of kind of wild. For my second pick and

460
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:16,680
Speaker 1: the fourth overall the Week five Sunday six pack, let's

461
00:24:16,720 --> 00:24:19,640
Speaker 1: go with the Houston Texans plus one and a half

462
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:21,720
Speaker 1: plus one if you can't get the one and a

463
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:28,320
Speaker 1: half against the Buffalo Bills. And when I first started

464
00:24:28,320 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 1: to break down this game, I thought I was gonna

465
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,920
Speaker 1: land down. Okay, bounce back spot for the Bills. Texans

466
00:24:33,000 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 1: just haven't been quite right. But the more I dive

467
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:39,720
Speaker 1: into this matchup, the more I think the Texans just

468
00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:43,160
Speaker 1: have an edge and shouldn't be a home underdog at all.

469
00:24:43,280 --> 00:24:50,040
Speaker 1: Because the Texans, yes they their offense hasn't looked quite right,

470
00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:53,040
Speaker 1: but it's a lot of things that are correctable. Penalties,

471
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,119
Speaker 1: you know, just wats and wats of stupid penalties. It

472
00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:00,760
Speaker 1: looks like you're getting Tank del back this week. And

473
00:25:01,640 --> 00:25:03,920
Speaker 1: with those receivers, even if you don't have a Dell,

474
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:06,199
Speaker 1: you still have a dig, you still have Nico. But

475
00:25:06,480 --> 00:25:09,679
Speaker 1: what you could do with those receivers and CJ. Stroud's accuracy,

476
00:25:10,640 --> 00:25:12,959
Speaker 1: you know in the intermedia and deep levels of the fields,

477
00:25:13,240 --> 00:25:16,360
Speaker 1: is you can attack the Buffalo safeties. And the Buffalo

478
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:21,359
Speaker 1: safeties are not good, you know yet, DeMar Hamlin, you

479
00:25:21,480 --> 00:25:25,080
Speaker 1: got Cole Bishop tail raps in the concussion protocol. I

480
00:25:25,119 --> 00:25:29,440
Speaker 1: think so like this safety group is weak for Buffalo,

481
00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:32,840
Speaker 1: So this could be a spot where Houston gets right.

482
00:25:32,960 --> 00:25:37,960
Speaker 1: And Houston it seems a little kind of like man

483
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:41,439
Speaker 1: for them. But the three and one, just like the Bills,

484
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:45,440
Speaker 1: they've outgained their opponents in every game. Even the Minnesota

485
00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,119
Speaker 1: lost the Bills only did outgain their opponents in two

486
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 1: out of four, and I think this offense is gonna

487
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 1: have some success throwing the ball against these safeties. And

488
00:25:56,200 --> 00:26:00,919
Speaker 1: then on the other side, we know Buffalo wants to

489
00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:07,120
Speaker 1: do is run, and Houston is a top five defense

490
00:26:07,160 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 1: and run in adjusted lineyards and run defense DVOA. They've

491
00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,280
Speaker 1: been very good against the run. They've been good overall.

492
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:16,159
Speaker 1: I mean they're six in DVOA on defense, better than

493
00:26:16,160 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 1: the Bills actually. But uh, you have a Buffalo team

494
00:26:21,760 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 1: that really hadn't trailed much at all until last week.

495
00:26:25,240 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: And when you when they start trailing, that's when things

496
00:26:30,040 --> 00:26:31,360
Speaker 1: starts to start out.

497
00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:35,880
Speaker 2: He starts putting out Josh Allen right, and and Houston

498
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,520
Speaker 2: has the offense to get a lead on Buffalo.

499
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:44,399
Speaker 1: And that's really important because not only does Buffalo kind

500
00:26:44,440 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 1: of get out of their comfort zone, which you know

501
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,879
Speaker 1: they Underbrady they want to run. But cleersha Care is

502
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,560
Speaker 1: on the injury report with an ankle injury. He is

503
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:57,080
Speaker 1: there by far best receiver. That's good. And on top

504
00:26:57,119 --> 00:27:00,440
Speaker 1: of that, Houston on record thirty straight.

505
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,160
Speaker 2: Their edible record got broken thirty target with a catch.

506
00:27:04,359 --> 00:27:07,920
Speaker 1: That's imagine Toyota, Shakira and Jared Gofflin the same team.

507
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,760
Speaker 1: Uh but no so but yeah, Shakira that that's big,

508
00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 1: even if he's not one hundred percent because none of

509
00:27:15,359 --> 00:27:17,480
Speaker 1: the other receivers are one hundred percent of anything like

510
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:20,439
Speaker 1: they I mean, these are just spare parts. I mean,

511
00:27:20,480 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 1: Colban maybe he'll get there, but he's I don't think

512
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:25,720
Speaker 1: he's ready yet. He's kind of flashed here and there.

513
00:27:25,760 --> 00:27:29,280
Speaker 1: I do like the kid, But this Buffalo team gets behind.

514
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:31,399
Speaker 1: You don't have Shakira, and in Houston, not only have

515
00:27:31,400 --> 00:27:34,360
Speaker 1: they been really good on defense, but they're number one

516
00:27:34,400 --> 00:27:38,080
Speaker 1: against the tight end. So we know this Buffalo team,

517
00:27:38,400 --> 00:27:41,000
Speaker 1: especially because they're wide receivers, will are shaky. They've been

518
00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,800
Speaker 1: going to a lot of two tight end personnel. They

519
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 1: just you know, Gosson Knox continues to be a big

520
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:51,959
Speaker 1: part of their offense. So Houston pretty much matches up perfectly.

521
00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:55,000
Speaker 1: I mean, Buffalo's great, don't get me wrong, there's a

522
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:59,600
Speaker 1: reason they're a road favorite. Much respect Buffalo, but Houston

523
00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 1: pretty um which matches up perfectly. They have the chops

524
00:28:02,520 --> 00:28:04,920
Speaker 1: to get to attack Buffalo where their weakest done defense

525
00:28:05,000 --> 00:28:07,280
Speaker 1: and not just like oh yeah, they're missing some linebackers

526
00:28:07,280 --> 00:28:09,800
Speaker 1: Like no, I'm talking about like really attack them with

527
00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:13,440
Speaker 1: their safeties, you know, down the field and create some explosives,

528
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:15,240
Speaker 1: and then on the other side they stop the run

529
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:20,919
Speaker 1: and they can cover tight ends. It's like it's just

530
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:25,000
Speaker 1: a really good matchup for Houston Texans. So I like

531
00:28:25,080 --> 00:28:29,000
Speaker 1: the Texans here as an underdog. CJ. Stroud also just

532
00:28:29,080 --> 00:28:32,439
Speaker 1: a lot better playing at home for whatever reason. I

533
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,119
Speaker 1: mean not for whatever reason. Many quarterbacks are like that,

534
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 1: but you look at Stroud's home road splits. At home,

535
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:40,720
Speaker 1: he's eight and two on the road, he's four and

536
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:45,600
Speaker 1: five at home, eight point seven yards per attempt nine

537
00:28:45,640 --> 00:28:49,160
Speaker 1: point four adjusted yards per attempt on the road seven

538
00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:52,280
Speaker 1: point three and seven point five. So he's kind of

539
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:55,760
Speaker 1: just like an average every day Kirk Cousins on the road.

540
00:28:56,120 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: At home, that's when he turns into CJ. Stroud. Twenty touchdowns,

541
00:28:59,440 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 1: four picks at home, just nine and three on the road.

542
00:29:02,880 --> 00:29:05,720
Speaker 1: So give me the Texans.

543
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is the way I would look as an underdog.

544
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:13,200
Speaker 2: I do want Joe Mixon to play. He didn't practice today,

545
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:16,920
Speaker 2: but that's expected with a vet. If he practices tomorrow

546
00:29:16,960 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: and prouday in plays, that's big because what's happening to

547
00:29:18,880 --> 00:29:21,600
Speaker 2: the Texans the operations off you mentioned the penalties mixing

548
00:29:21,680 --> 00:29:25,200
Speaker 2: is important because what's happening to the Texans is what

549
00:29:25,320 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 2: happened to the Chiefs a couple of years ago and

550
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 2: is still happening to a certain extent, is that last year,

551
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:32,960
Speaker 2: I mean C. J. Strout was an explosive play merchant.

552
00:29:33,120 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 2: So what's happening way more cover too. Opponents have tripled

553
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,640
Speaker 2: their cover to usage against draw this year, trying to

554
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,480
Speaker 2: take away that. Exposedly, McDermott knows how to run a

555
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,040
Speaker 2: cover too. What do you have to do to kind

556
00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 2: of you have to draw the safeties in. You got

557
00:29:45,600 --> 00:29:47,960
Speaker 2: to establish the run of it. That's what the Chiefs do.

558
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 2: Texans haven't had an effective run game in recent years,

559
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 2: but you've seen it with mixing. So I think Mixon's

560
00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:57,960
Speaker 2: presence here is important. I do lean to towards him playing,

561
00:29:58,040 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 2: which I think is key. With that pick there for

562
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 2: my third pick and the fifth overall the Sunday six pack,

563
00:30:06,200 --> 00:30:10,440
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I'm going with the Cleveland Browns plus three

564
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:14,320
Speaker 2: and a half. I guess Washington commandments. Is this all

565
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:18,160
Speaker 2: the numbers game? If the Jets were three. I would

566
00:30:18,160 --> 00:30:20,520
Speaker 2: take the Jets. We'll talk about that game there. If

567
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,000
Speaker 2: the Bengals were three, I would take the Bengals at three.

568
00:30:23,360 --> 00:30:26,200
Speaker 2: I have my concerns with both. I had my concerns

569
00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:29,640
Speaker 2: with the Browns. My three favorite bets that we're gonna

570
00:30:29,640 --> 00:30:33,160
Speaker 2: be my picks were gonna be the Steelers, the Panthers,

571
00:30:33,240 --> 00:30:36,520
Speaker 2: and the Broncos. You took the Broncos. The only other

572
00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:39,400
Speaker 2: bet that I like right now that I bet myself

573
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 2: is the Browns plus three and a half minus one

574
00:30:41,880 --> 00:30:46,520
Speaker 2: fifteen still out there. There's a lot of uncertainty, which

575
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:50,080
Speaker 2: is I bet it smaller, I'll bet it bigger. Once

576
00:30:50,120 --> 00:30:51,200
Speaker 2: like at the injury report, like this is a joke.

577
00:30:51,200 --> 00:30:54,360
Speaker 2: Who gonna play? Who on their offensive line is gonna play?

578
00:30:54,400 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: They get their tackles back this week? Because the astir

579
00:30:56,240 --> 00:31:00,600
Speaker 2: center is what's coach? Is your status? There's so many injuries.

580
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:04,880
Speaker 2: Hicks I think is important too, but the Commander's love

581
00:31:05,000 --> 00:31:07,480
Speaker 2: is at an all time Hi. I mean, we just

582
00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:12,560
Speaker 2: saw the Bills. The Bills offense for three straight games

583
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:18,840
Speaker 2: destroy bad defenses. What happens they go to Baltimore and

584
00:31:18,880 --> 00:31:21,920
Speaker 2: whether they were out gained by what josh Ana like

585
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,200
Speaker 2: seventy yards in the first half. This is a different test. Look,

586
00:31:25,240 --> 00:31:28,120
Speaker 2: the Commander's offense look awesome. I think it's still early,

587
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 2: But I think I was wrong on Daniel's I thought

588
00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 2: it was.

589
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 1: Like, say his name, just get it out of the way. Now,

590
00:31:34,160 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 1: just give him a stops, give him the props. Just

591
00:31:36,840 --> 00:31:38,120
Speaker 1: give Cliff a props.

592
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,960
Speaker 2: Cliff Kingsbury getting all the love right now, Like we

593
00:31:42,040 --> 00:31:46,600
Speaker 2: haven't seen this before September, Cliff, everything's going right. Offense

594
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:50,480
Speaker 2: is unstoppable. This team's going to the playoffs. Once you

595
00:31:50,520 --> 00:31:54,720
Speaker 2: start seeing pumpkins on doorsteps, it all starts to go downhill.

596
00:31:55,400 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 2: The best fade in the NFL in recent years, Cliff

597
00:31:59,800 --> 00:32:03,040
Speaker 2: for the end of the season proved me wrong this weekend, Cliffy.

598
00:32:03,480 --> 00:32:06,800
Speaker 1: The sad thing is in a month, we might be

599
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:10,840
Speaker 1: saying that same exact thing, except insert Kyler Murray for

600
00:32:10,920 --> 00:32:15,560
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury. Because it's like Carl Dudy's coming out soon.

601
00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:16,960
Speaker 1: Where's Kyler?

602
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:17,719
Speaker 2: Like?

603
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:22,160
Speaker 1: Why is he? It's like, I just feel like Kyler

604
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:23,800
Speaker 1: Murray should be better than this.

605
00:32:24,760 --> 00:32:27,320
Speaker 2: It's just all a numbers game. But Jade and Daniels, Yeah,

606
00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:30,600
Speaker 2: he's been tremendous. I mean literally flawless. They planted once

607
00:32:30,640 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 2: in their past three games.

608
00:32:32,040 --> 00:32:35,120
Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, one pick against Arizona two.

609
00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 2: One pick on an overthrow. The offense looks great, but

610
00:32:39,360 --> 00:32:43,360
Speaker 2: I mean they played the Giants an awful one of

611
00:32:43,400 --> 00:32:46,040
Speaker 2: the worst secondaries, if not the worst in the NFL.

612
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:49,680
Speaker 2: They played the Bengals who didn't have a defensive line,

613
00:32:50,120 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 2: so they were able to establish the run and then

614
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,000
Speaker 2: just make easy throws. And then Daiel's made an incredible

615
00:32:55,040 --> 00:32:57,560
Speaker 2: throw at the end of the game down the sidelines

616
00:32:57,560 --> 00:32:59,800
Speaker 2: to McLaurin. He's not missing right now. And then you know,

617
00:32:59,840 --> 00:33:02,800
Speaker 2: you play the Cardinals defense, one of the worst in

618
00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:05,840
Speaker 2: the league, so it could not have been an easier path.

619
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,200
Speaker 2: Now you're gonna play a completely different type of defense,

620
00:33:09,720 --> 00:33:13,040
Speaker 2: a lot of cover one more aggressive. Right, They've been

621
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:16,560
Speaker 2: playing these more passive secondaries, which enables them to run

622
00:33:16,600 --> 00:33:19,000
Speaker 2: what they want to run. It's a different story with

623
00:33:19,040 --> 00:33:21,800
Speaker 2: the Browns, with their corners and how they play and

624
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,720
Speaker 2: aggressive like. This is a completely different scheam also just

625
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 2: a completely different class of defense. So I don't think

626
00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 2: the Washington offense is going to look as good. By

627
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,040
Speaker 2: the way, if you want to bet, I might even

628
00:33:34,080 --> 00:33:37,880
Speaker 2: come back and bet Washington small live because the Browns offense,

629
00:33:37,920 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 2: you know, when they're really good, the first drive of

630
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 2: the game, the Stefanski script has been tremendous. They go down,

631
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:45,520
Speaker 2: they score, they score every first they score a touchdown

632
00:33:45,920 --> 00:33:49,520
Speaker 2: the first drive of every game, and then they they

633
00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:54,080
Speaker 2: don't do anything. Might they don't do anything.

634
00:33:54,360 --> 00:33:58,360
Speaker 1: That's the perfect soundlife. But Deshaul Watson's the postseason right there?

635
00:33:58,440 --> 00:33:59,720
Speaker 1: Whatever that would just look.

636
00:34:00,280 --> 00:34:02,960
Speaker 2: Well, look, I will say Watson looked okay last week.

637
00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:07,840
Speaker 2: He had all kinds offers, drops, yes, but it's the Commanders.

638
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:13,520
Speaker 2: Commanders horrendous, and you're asking them to win by margin

639
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:16,919
Speaker 2: now against a totally different defense. This is the top

640
00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 2: of the top of the market on the Commanders. The Commanders, uh,

641
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,040
Speaker 2: you know, a three and a half point favorite. I

642
00:34:23,160 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 2: have to take the Browns here. The injuries could all

643
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:28,359
Speaker 2: work against me here, but I have to take it.

644
00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:30,600
Speaker 1: You're right, you're on the right side. I bet on

645
00:34:30,640 --> 00:34:32,319
Speaker 1: the Browns once this year, and they covered for me,

646
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 1: and I I feel like I just escaped. It's just

647
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,239
Speaker 1: such a struggle though it shouldn't be such a struggle,

648
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:41,839
Speaker 1: like it just shouldn't be because, like you said, Stefanski,

649
00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:45,280
Speaker 1: very good coach. I don't think he really wants watching

650
00:34:45,520 --> 00:34:47,920
Speaker 1: his quarterback. I think I think it's like an ownership

651
00:34:47,920 --> 00:34:51,360
Speaker 1: mandate or something, and he's trying to make do and

652
00:34:51,360 --> 00:34:54,000
Speaker 1: and Chrubb got designate. I'm not gonna play.

653
00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:58,640
Speaker 2: He was fifth in line, but come on, please plays

654
00:34:58,640 --> 00:34:59,040
Speaker 2: gonna play.

655
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:02,759
Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna knock you because my pick might

656
00:35:02,840 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 1: be even more disgusting. For my third and final pick,

657
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:10,640
Speaker 1: the sixth overall of the week five Sunday six pack,

658
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 1: I'm going with the Jacksonville Jaguars a minus three at

659
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 1: home against the Indianapolis Colts. I think this is their win.

660
00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,600
Speaker 1: I know they got their cover last week. I think

661
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:26,040
Speaker 1: this is their win. I think this could be a

662
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:29,040
Speaker 1: little bit of a get right spot for the Jaguars

663
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 1: because we know what the Colts do defensively, which is

664
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:38,240
Speaker 1: a lot of Cover three under Gus Bradley Trevor Lawrence.

665
00:35:38,360 --> 00:35:41,000
Speaker 1: This year, even against Cover three, eight point five yards

666
00:35:41,040 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 1: in attempt sixty six percent completion rate. I remember on

667
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:48,319
Speaker 1: a season just overall, his completion rates like fifty three

668
00:35:48,680 --> 00:35:50,719
Speaker 1: and his yards were kept at six point zero. So

669
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 1: pretty much the only kind of defense he's having success against.

670
00:35:54,960 --> 00:35:59,080
Speaker 1: He had been getting unlucky. He has a twelve percent

671
00:35:59,320 --> 00:36:02,040
Speaker 1: drop rate of his targets that is number one among

672
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:07,640
Speaker 1: qualified quarterbacks. The Jaguars lost three one score games, you know,

673
00:36:07,800 --> 00:36:10,279
Speaker 1: by three, five, and four. So we all remember the

674
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:12,520
Speaker 1: Bills won because it was on prime time. But they've

675
00:36:12,560 --> 00:36:15,920
Speaker 1: been right there in all the other games. Their offense

676
00:36:16,120 --> 00:36:19,640
Speaker 1: has been okay, not as bad as it, you know,

677
00:36:19,920 --> 00:36:24,200
Speaker 1: as the results, because they're fourteenth in early down success rate,

678
00:36:24,400 --> 00:36:28,440
Speaker 1: sixteenth pass twelfth with the run, which it kind of

679
00:36:28,480 --> 00:36:31,440
Speaker 1: surprised me. But if they're thirtieth and third down twenty

680
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:32,799
Speaker 1: eighth in the red zone, Well, why do we look

681
00:36:32,800 --> 00:36:36,000
Speaker 1: at early down success rate because sample is larger and

682
00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:39,040
Speaker 1: it tends to be more predictive things like third down rate,

683
00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,760
Speaker 1: red zone. If you're decent at early downs, tend to regress,

684
00:36:43,040 --> 00:36:46,040
Speaker 1: you know, towards that mean. So that's that's what's working

685
00:36:46,040 --> 00:36:48,600
Speaker 1: for them on offense. And then you have the coach

686
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:54,279
Speaker 1: injury reserve, the Forest Buttner, Samson, Ebukam, Taekwon Lewis, Juju Brant.

687
00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:57,040
Speaker 1: Looks like Jonathan Taylor is gonna miss this game, so

688
00:36:57,080 --> 00:36:59,960
Speaker 1: you're gonna have trace sermon. You might have Joe Flatt

689
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:03,320
Speaker 1: go and if I do think Flacco is probably a

690
00:37:03,360 --> 00:37:05,360
Speaker 1: bit of an upgrade on Richardson, at least in at

691
00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:08,640
Speaker 1: least for now. But let's not forget he's a turnover

692
00:37:08,719 --> 00:37:12,480
Speaker 1: machied ten picks on two hundred and sixty five attempts

693
00:37:12,560 --> 00:37:15,880
Speaker 1: last year, eleven turnover worth he plays, let's rates of

694
00:37:16,160 --> 00:37:19,000
Speaker 1: three point eight and four percent. He had two turnover

695
00:37:19,040 --> 00:37:23,040
Speaker 1: worthy he plays last week. So it's either him who's

696
00:37:23,080 --> 00:37:26,359
Speaker 1: a turnover machine, or Richardson, who's a turnover mahid. And

697
00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:30,880
Speaker 1: this is just always the Jaguar spot. The Colts are

698
00:37:31,160 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 1: an indoor team. They come to Jacksonville and they just

699
00:37:34,440 --> 00:37:38,839
Speaker 1: never seem to get it done. Since twenty fifteen, Jacksonville

700
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,920
Speaker 1: eight no at home, straight up eight to o against

701
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:47,960
Speaker 1: the spread against Indianapolis, covering by an average of twenty

702
00:37:48,200 --> 00:37:52,440
Speaker 1: point one points per game. So it's ugly, but give

703
00:37:52,480 --> 00:37:53,239
Speaker 1: me the Jags here.

704
00:37:54,880 --> 00:37:57,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think this is the side I want. I want.

705
00:37:57,800 --> 00:37:59,720
Speaker 2: I'll probably be on this in some form or fashion.

706
00:38:00,080 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 2: One Richardson to start against that man defense. He's so inaccurate.

707
00:38:05,840 --> 00:38:08,960
Speaker 2: I think Josh pines Allen is he out. He might

708
00:38:09,000 --> 00:38:09,279
Speaker 2: be out.

709
00:38:09,400 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's ugly on both sides.

710
00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,560
Speaker 2: The Jacks have no defense. Yeah, the Colts. You didn't

711
00:38:13,560 --> 00:38:15,799
Speaker 2: even mention, like Ryan Kelly the center, he might be

712
00:38:15,840 --> 00:38:20,160
Speaker 2: out again, would he pay didn't practice today? Kenny Moore

713
00:38:20,239 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 2: is by their most important defenders the preseason game. The

714
00:38:23,760 --> 00:38:28,799
Speaker 2: Colts defense is Yeah, it's the practice squad right now,

715
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:31,359
Speaker 2: So Lawrence, they should be able to move the ball here.

716
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:34,319
Speaker 2: But I think Flacco would be able to move the

717
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:38,600
Speaker 2: ball too, Like you know, no, Alan, there's no secondary there, Richardson,

718
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:40,840
Speaker 2: I don't think could take full advantage of the of

719
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:44,319
Speaker 2: Jacksonville's man coverage, but uh yeah, I want to. I

720
00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:47,000
Speaker 2: want to see how this and you mentioned Taylor. I

721
00:38:47,040 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 2: also think if Blackos starts and Taylor doesn't, this is

722
00:38:52,120 --> 00:38:55,720
Speaker 2: a sneaky I don't really like divisional game outdoor overs,

723
00:38:55,719 --> 00:39:00,360
Speaker 2: but sneaky over like, but both teams, I can hit

724
00:39:00,400 --> 00:39:03,920
Speaker 2: a ton of explosive places, actual really explosive offense. Who's

725
00:39:04,080 --> 00:39:07,399
Speaker 2: there's no one in either secondary. There's no tailor. You're

726
00:39:07,440 --> 00:39:10,040
Speaker 2: gonna see just the ball flying around.

727
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:12,839
Speaker 1: Rain though that's that's that's yeah.

728
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:15,040
Speaker 2: So I want to watch injury report, watch the watch

729
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,920
Speaker 2: the weather. But it could be a sneaky over. But

730
00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:20,760
Speaker 2: I like your side there Look, let's.

731
00:39:20,640 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 1: See what quarterbacks we got here. You got Justin Field,

732
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:26,920
Speaker 1: the Red Rifle, and Deshaun Watson.

733
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,360
Speaker 2: I got Bonix, but I think I called him the

734
00:39:29,400 --> 00:39:32,479
Speaker 2: Red Rocket earlier. Yeah, I called him Donald too.

735
00:39:34,400 --> 00:39:39,080
Speaker 1: Donald Tim Bradford last week, but he came through.

736
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,600
Speaker 2: It worked, It worked, So maybe this is the new

737
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:43,879
Speaker 2: thing we gotta. We gotta mispronounced the quarterbacks.

738
00:39:44,200 --> 00:39:47,200
Speaker 1: So yeah, you got Pittsburgh minus one and a half,

739
00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:50,280
Speaker 1: Carolina plus four, and the Browns plus three and a half.

740
00:39:50,360 --> 00:39:52,719
Speaker 1: I got the Broncos minus one and a half, the

741
00:39:52,719 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 1: Texas plus one and a half, and the Jags minus three.

742
00:39:56,440 --> 00:39:58,960
Speaker 1: That is gonna do it for our Week five Sunday

743
00:39:59,000 --> 00:40:01,359
Speaker 1: six pack. And now it's I'm for our coaches pep talk.

744
00:40:02,560 --> 00:40:04,480
Speaker 2: Every time we get ready to play, I just want

745
00:40:04,480 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 2: to throw up. I'm sick.

746
00:40:05,760 --> 00:40:10,040
Speaker 1: I'm watching you guys play. Just how bad can it get? All? Right?

747
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:12,200
Speaker 1: For this week's coach is pep talk. We're going to

748
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,800
Speaker 1: NFL Hall of Famer Michael Irvin and we're gonna dedicate

749
00:40:16,920 --> 00:40:19,879
Speaker 1: this to Mike McDaniel.

750
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:22,000
Speaker 2: Looks lost on the side.

751
00:40:22,520 --> 00:40:26,120
Speaker 1: Didn't you Mike here on Monday night and you didn't

752
00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 1: come through for me?

753
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 2: O Connell four and OHO with with Darnold was great

754
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 2: with backups last year The Floor two and O with

755
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:38,160
Speaker 2: willis this year stiching winning with backups. Last year's McDaniel two,

756
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 2: it goes down and the entire operation is completely dysfunctional.

757
00:40:42,719 --> 00:40:47,440
Speaker 2: He's on the sidelines just looking like a Starbucks baristas,

758
00:40:47,680 --> 00:40:51,120
Speaker 2: just clueless. Get your offense right. It is a disaster.

759
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:56,880
Speaker 1: You know, I use great moments to pull greatness.

760
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:57,759
Speaker 2: Out of great mint.

761
00:40:58,080 --> 00:41:01,719
Speaker 1: I did not shin David. Just slay Goliath.

762
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:07,200
Speaker 4: I say Goliath to prove that David that what RESI

763
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:13,160
Speaker 4: He's a giant. Say just before you the game, he

764
00:41:13,360 --> 00:41:17,560
Speaker 4: is not for your destructure, for your construction.

765
00:41:18,040 --> 00:41:22,480
Speaker 1: So you play together and you slay this gia.

766
00:41:23,040 --> 00:41:23,200
Speaker 2: Man.

767
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 1: You know it's crazy. I had to like as I

768
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 1: was going through I do. I watch every preseason snap

769
00:41:29,400 --> 00:41:32,880
Speaker 1: and I remember I was watching the Dolphins game and

770
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:35,840
Speaker 1: I had already I think we had already found out

771
00:41:36,120 --> 00:41:38,120
Speaker 1: that they had cut Mike White. But I was like

772
00:41:38,200 --> 00:41:41,680
Speaker 1: still watching the last Dolphins game and I was like why,

773
00:41:42,200 --> 00:41:44,040
Speaker 1: I just didn't understand, and.

774
00:41:44,120 --> 00:41:46,839
Speaker 2: I settle the preseason vines a mistake. Uh then they

775
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:50,000
Speaker 2: let him go. Legend Mike Mike White listeners.

776
00:41:50,120 --> 00:41:52,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean he he's like an NFL quarterback. He

777
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:54,640
Speaker 1: could stand in and take a hit and like throw

778
00:41:54,719 --> 00:41:55,080
Speaker 1: the ball.

779
00:41:55,440 --> 00:41:59,480
Speaker 2: Dolphins haven't had a lead the entire season. Uh, the

780
00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:05,239
Speaker 2: first through four games. The first team since then, the

781
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:08,520
Speaker 2: winless Browns Jacks sixteen Browns.

782
00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:15,719
Speaker 1: Yeah you Jackson Todd Haley Browns. Let's get to our

783
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:19,200
Speaker 1: favorite total of the week. Uh. Great, terrible week for

784
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,319
Speaker 1: totals for us last week. I think both of our

785
00:42:21,320 --> 00:42:23,919
Speaker 1: totals had like thirty fourths in the first half each,

786
00:42:24,920 --> 00:42:29,719
Speaker 1: So not the best. Uh. Yeah. I was gonna go

787
00:42:29,840 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: with the Steelers Cowboys under, and the reason being it's

788
00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:36,560
Speaker 1: it's jumped up a couple of points. I think it's

789
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:39,400
Speaker 1: up to forty four and a half now, and I

790
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:42,319
Speaker 1: get that, you know there the Cowboys have defenders out,

791
00:42:42,600 --> 00:42:44,920
Speaker 1: but I do think the Steelers are still going to

792
00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 1: try to run the ball. Uh, and probably is gonna

793
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:50,720
Speaker 1: be a lot of Naji Harris, which is actually better

794
00:42:51,320 --> 00:42:55,360
Speaker 1: for the under. But also you got a rain in

795
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:58,600
Speaker 1: the forecast number one Rara Tomins spot, so you know

796
00:42:58,640 --> 00:43:02,399
Speaker 1: the defense is gonna show up. Number two indoor team

797
00:43:02,840 --> 00:43:07,200
Speaker 1: that excels at home coming outdoors into the conditions.

798
00:43:07,280 --> 00:43:10,160
Speaker 2: Dallas Cowboys a lot of.

799
00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:13,280
Speaker 1: Things to still like the under for me in this spot,

800
00:43:13,760 --> 00:43:18,839
Speaker 1: I do not think that Dallas's offense is anywhere close

801
00:43:18,840 --> 00:43:21,239
Speaker 1: to what it's been even last year. I mean the

802
00:43:21,880 --> 00:43:23,879
Speaker 1: running games not existing. You talked about the running games

803
00:43:23,880 --> 00:43:27,879
Speaker 1: not existent. The old Lions and is good. Brandon Cooks

804
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,919
Speaker 1: is out, so I mean you just the receivers are thin.

805
00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:33,640
Speaker 1: I think there's this crazy stat and it held up

806
00:43:33,680 --> 00:43:35,920
Speaker 1: last week. I think Evan Abrams said it on convinced me.

807
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:40,120
Speaker 1: Justin Fields has never won a game where the opponents

808
00:43:40,120 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 1: scored more.

809
00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 2: Than twenty points.

810
00:43:42,040 --> 00:43:44,680
Speaker 1: So we like Justin Fields to win this one. In

811
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:46,480
Speaker 1: the Steelers to get to get right in this ra

812
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:48,920
Speaker 1: Ros spot. So at least one of the teams will

813
00:43:48,920 --> 00:43:53,479
Speaker 1: probably be under twenty. So give me the Cowboys Steelers under.

814
00:43:53,600 --> 00:43:54,600
Speaker 1: We'll see it see how.

815
00:43:54,440 --> 00:43:54,879
Speaker 2: Far it goes.

816
00:43:54,920 --> 00:43:57,160
Speaker 1: First off, no rush told better because it just just

817
00:43:57,160 --> 00:43:58,400
Speaker 1: went up to forty four and a half, so it

818
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:01,160
Speaker 1: might even hit forty five. That horn Babe less day

819
00:44:01,239 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 1: is all.

820
00:44:02,440 --> 00:44:04,640
Speaker 2: Right, I'm gonna kind of square. I'm going Ravens Bengals

821
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,200
Speaker 2: over fifty and a half. Any any trend in the

822
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,440
Speaker 2: world says bet the under here. I mean any total

823
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 2: above fifty has gone under like the last couple of years.

824
00:44:12,920 --> 00:44:16,799
Speaker 2: It's insane at like seventy eighty percent clip outdoor divisional game.

825
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:24,560
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, not Cliff. I don't see now the Bengals.

826
00:44:24,560 --> 00:44:26,279
Speaker 2: I don't know who's gonna play the defensive line. I'm

827
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 2: probably in the Bengals here. I won a three. I

828
00:44:29,360 --> 00:44:31,240
Speaker 2: just can't get this number. It's a great spot. Ravens

829
00:44:31,280 --> 00:44:34,520
Speaker 2: off that huge win. It is the peak of their market. Again,

830
00:44:35,239 --> 00:44:37,920
Speaker 2: see it all the time. But I think the Bengals

831
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,080
Speaker 2: that their offense, their offensive line is playing while Barrow's

832
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:42,840
Speaker 2: getting all day. They have the receivers unlike the Bills,

833
00:44:42,880 --> 00:44:45,720
Speaker 2: to take advantage of the Ravens on the outside. Barrow's

834
00:44:45,760 --> 00:44:48,200
Speaker 2: moving the ball extremely well. He already he had his

835
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 2: like early week. You know, we always see him start

836
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 2: to tick up. In the last two weeks he's been great.

837
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:56,800
Speaker 2: So I think the I think the Bengals are getting,

838
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:01,160
Speaker 2: you know, to twenty seve twenty. I think this turns

839
00:45:01,160 --> 00:45:04,080
Speaker 2: into a shootout. And how are the Bengals getting stopped

840
00:45:04,120 --> 00:45:07,279
Speaker 2: this Raven's offense firing all Siminars and especially another key

841
00:45:07,400 --> 00:45:09,840
Speaker 2: is like who's playing on the Bengals defensive line like

842
00:45:10,239 --> 00:45:12,800
Speaker 2: Hendrickson dealing with an injury, Do they get rankings and

843
00:45:12,880 --> 00:45:16,920
Speaker 2: hillback because if not, I don't see any path for

844
00:45:17,239 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 2: the Bengals defense to get stops. I mean, even the

845
00:45:19,160 --> 00:45:22,279
Speaker 2: Panthers were running all over them. Panthers can't run the ball.

846
00:45:22,640 --> 00:45:25,640
Speaker 2: So yeah, I think this turns into a shootout. Bengals

847
00:45:25,640 --> 00:45:27,719
Speaker 2: are just a pure over team right now. The market

848
00:45:27,760 --> 00:45:30,839
Speaker 2: always bets their unders for some reason, and they just

849
00:45:30,880 --> 00:45:35,759
Speaker 2: go over every week. So fifty one key, fifty and

850
00:45:35,760 --> 00:45:39,360
Speaker 2: a half's out there. I like this over, and you

851
00:45:39,440 --> 00:45:41,080
Speaker 2: might be able to get out in front of some

852
00:45:41,120 --> 00:45:43,160
Speaker 2: of the injury news, Like the Bengals just don't have

853
00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:44,680
Speaker 2: a defensive line how they can stop the run. So

854
00:45:44,680 --> 00:45:46,040
Speaker 2: give me the over there, and I do like the

855
00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:48,600
Speaker 2: Bengals regardless of the injuries. If this gets the three,

856
00:45:49,080 --> 00:45:51,840
Speaker 2: got to take the number, like the Ravens are not

857
00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:58,279
Speaker 2: three a field goal plus home field advantage better than

858
00:45:58,320 --> 00:45:58,800
Speaker 2: the Bengals.

859
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I agree with that. I was I was

860
00:46:01,800 --> 00:46:04,319
Speaker 1: hoping you would be on that side because I don't

861
00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:06,200
Speaker 1: like to bet against you with the Ravens, but I'm

862
00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,160
Speaker 1: I'm gonna be looking for that three as well. Yeah,

863
00:46:10,239 --> 00:46:12,880
Speaker 1: I mean that way as well. So we got Bengals

864
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:16,840
Speaker 1: Ravens over fifteen and a half and then Cowboys Steelers

865
00:46:16,960 --> 00:46:19,000
Speaker 1: under forty four and a half. See if against the

866
00:46:19,080 --> 00:46:22,920
Speaker 1: forty five it was going up. As we are recording this,

867
00:46:23,480 --> 00:46:28,640
Speaker 1: let's go to our favorite teaser of the week. Oh yeah,

868
00:46:29,000 --> 00:46:38,640
Speaker 1: six point teasers. Don't don't change, don't tease me please,

869
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:44,319
Speaker 1: I mean, we can't buy one this year. We used to, like,

870
00:46:44,520 --> 00:46:46,360
Speaker 1: I think last year we hit almost all our teasers.

871
00:46:46,360 --> 00:46:48,920
Speaker 1: This year hit like none of our teasers, so unbelievable,

872
00:46:49,160 --> 00:46:53,600
Speaker 1: I think. Yeah, I'm I'm actually switching out. I'm pivoting.

873
00:46:53,640 --> 00:46:55,040
Speaker 1: I know I said I was gonna use the Jets,

874
00:46:55,040 --> 00:46:57,279
Speaker 1: but I'm actually pivoting out of them. I still don't

875
00:46:57,280 --> 00:47:00,880
Speaker 1: feel good about this Jet team against the Vikings. Just

876
00:47:00,960 --> 00:47:03,760
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want a defense on defense matchup

877
00:47:03,800 --> 00:47:06,600
Speaker 1: with like a key difference maker and Jefferson on off Like,

878
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:08,759
Speaker 1: I don't want any parts today. I used to You're

879
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:09,960
Speaker 1: going with the Jets though, right.

880
00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:12,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean seize him up over a low total

881
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:15,480
Speaker 2: I chow value in the number. Let's stop throw Houston

882
00:47:15,480 --> 00:47:16,880
Speaker 2: in there. If you can get him above a touchdown.

883
00:47:17,040 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 1: All right, Jets from two and a half to eight

884
00:47:19,360 --> 00:47:21,320
Speaker 1: and a half. Remember that game is the early start

885
00:47:21,560 --> 00:47:24,279
Speaker 1: on in London. So if you are gonna bet that

886
00:47:24,320 --> 00:47:26,560
Speaker 1: game or you want any action on that game, I

887
00:47:26,640 --> 00:47:29,759
Speaker 1: just remember that's it's starting about four hours before the

888
00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:31,840
Speaker 1: rest of the Sunday games.

889
00:47:32,320 --> 00:47:34,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I will say just a comment on that game

890
00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:38,200
Speaker 2: because it is the London game. Is like Rogers, is

891
00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:40,719
Speaker 2: he going to be healthy? That's something I'm watching with

892
00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,759
Speaker 2: his knee. It's really interesting because you could go one

893
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,040
Speaker 2: of two ways. This is the peak of the market

894
00:47:46,040 --> 00:47:48,399
Speaker 2: on the Vikings. Like the Vikings are three points better

895
00:47:48,440 --> 00:47:51,359
Speaker 2: on a neutral field for the Jets. I can't get there.

896
00:47:52,080 --> 00:47:55,360
Speaker 2: But Rogers faced the number one blitzing defense last week.

897
00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:58,720
Speaker 2: Now he faces the number two blitzing defense. It's interesting

898
00:47:58,719 --> 00:48:00,919
Speaker 2: that the Packers startups to sess against the Bolts because

899
00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:03,400
Speaker 2: they went tempo Packers and I mean the Packers. The

900
00:48:03,520 --> 00:48:05,719
Speaker 2: Jets never do that. Slowest team in the league. You

901
00:48:05,760 --> 00:48:08,080
Speaker 2: can see the play clock. So like, I'm a little

902
00:48:08,080 --> 00:48:10,400
Speaker 2: bit worried about the protection and then Rogers, especially if

903
00:48:10,400 --> 00:48:13,759
Speaker 2: he's banged up with his knee. But Darnold has He's

904
00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:15,799
Speaker 2: been great, But he's been getting a bit lucky. You

905
00:48:15,840 --> 00:48:17,560
Speaker 2: look at his like turnover worth, he plays getting away

906
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:20,520
Speaker 2: with some throws like there's some more mistakes coming. The

907
00:48:20,600 --> 00:48:24,160
Speaker 2: Jets secondary can at least match up with the Vikings receivers.

908
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:28,080
Speaker 2: Not There's not many secondaries that can. So yeah, it's

909
00:48:28,080 --> 00:48:30,279
Speaker 2: just a classic Bilow cell high spot four and oh,

910
00:48:30,440 --> 00:48:34,280
Speaker 2: Vikings of a huge divisional win going to lone against

911
00:48:34,280 --> 00:48:36,120
Speaker 2: the Jets who were upset at home against a team

912
00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:40,920
Speaker 2: that threw for four yards at home. You just solve

913
00:48:40,920 --> 00:48:42,960
Speaker 2: the blitz. I think that helps you a bit and

914
00:48:43,000 --> 00:48:45,759
Speaker 2: they make the adjustments. Is Rogers healthy? I think the

915
00:48:45,840 --> 00:48:47,759
Speaker 2: Jets are three. I have to take them, even though

916
00:48:47,760 --> 00:48:48,719
Speaker 2: I do have my concerns.

917
00:48:48,960 --> 00:48:51,160
Speaker 1: I'm off the Jets. I just I think they have

918
00:48:51,239 --> 00:48:55,000
Speaker 1: some real issues and Rogers is probably the only non issue.

919
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:57,799
Speaker 1: But it's not as simple anymore as just Rogers making

920
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,720
Speaker 1: everybody better, because this is just a different type of team.

921
00:49:01,120 --> 00:49:04,040
Speaker 1: It experienced that at certain receiver spots. That'sy throwing a

922
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:10,800
Speaker 1: wizard so much. Oh absolutely, But like the coaching isn't great,

923
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:14,400
Speaker 1: the line isn't great. Now now the defense is showing

924
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,759
Speaker 1: cracks in all all different levels, Like nothing's really going

925
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:19,520
Speaker 1: right for them. I I don't know if.

926
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:23,520
Speaker 2: They got quick yeah, just but the line story.

927
00:49:25,920 --> 00:49:27,600
Speaker 1: I can see the Vikings. I can see this not

928
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 1: being the of the Vikings market because yeah, the Jets,

929
00:49:30,960 --> 00:49:35,040
Speaker 1: they have issues. But so Jet's Houston and I'll go

930
00:49:36,400 --> 00:49:39,760
Speaker 1: let's get ugly with one part. We just talked about

931
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 1: Mike McDaniel. Well, he's a one point underdog right now

932
00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:44,800
Speaker 1: to the Patriot.

933
00:49:44,840 --> 00:49:44,880
Speaker 2: No.

934
00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 1: One and a half point underdog to the Patriots. So,

935
00:49:48,320 --> 00:49:50,239
Speaker 1: I mean, this is what happens when you ship the

936
00:49:50,239 --> 00:49:53,120
Speaker 1: bat on Monday night football. You're an underdog to Jacoby

937
00:49:53,160 --> 00:49:56,000
Speaker 1: Brissett and the Patriots. I'll take the t's, I'll take

938
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:56,359
Speaker 1: the bait.

939
00:49:56,480 --> 00:49:56,640
Speaker 2: You know.

940
00:49:57,400 --> 00:50:00,680
Speaker 1: If Miami can't hang around here and at least keep

941
00:50:00,719 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 1: it within one score, I really don't know what to say.

942
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,400
Speaker 1: And then I'll go on the other side with Seattle.

943
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:10,040
Speaker 1: Tees them down to half point, looks like they're six

944
00:50:10,080 --> 00:50:14,200
Speaker 1: and a half. I just think the Giants are gonna

945
00:50:14,200 --> 00:50:15,960
Speaker 1: be a little bit out of sorts. I mean, neighbors

946
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,000
Speaker 1: still is he's in the early stage of their protocol,

947
00:50:18,080 --> 00:50:22,040
Speaker 1: so he's kind of against it to get cleared this.

948
00:50:22,440 --> 00:50:25,080
Speaker 1: I mean, yes, you got the long rest and Seattle's

949
00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 1: on a short week. But I just think the Seattle

950
00:50:28,000 --> 00:50:32,680
Speaker 1: offense with Kenneth Walker healthy, the defense can cover Gino's

951
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:36,359
Speaker 1: playing really well, and they actually tend to do well

952
00:50:36,400 --> 00:50:38,400
Speaker 1: against the Giants. You think this would be like a

953
00:50:38,400 --> 00:50:40,920
Speaker 1: wet down spot, but I think where they twenty seven

954
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:44,160
Speaker 1: six last year, twenty seven thirteen, something like that. So

955
00:50:44,920 --> 00:50:47,319
Speaker 1: I just don't really see the Giants pulling off the

956
00:50:47,400 --> 00:50:50,600
Speaker 1: upset in this spot they have. They can be feisty

957
00:50:50,640 --> 00:50:53,160
Speaker 1: at times. They did look better against Dallas, but that

958
00:50:53,239 --> 00:50:55,759
Speaker 1: might be saying worry about Dallas. So yeah, give me

959
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,879
Speaker 1: the give me the Seattle Seahawks, and we'll take somebody

960
00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:03,800
Speaker 1: ammy Dolphins, and I hope they can keep it close

961
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:05,480
Speaker 1: against Jakobe.

962
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:08,440
Speaker 2: There's no weather, no weather, the totals sitting there a

963
00:51:08,440 --> 00:51:10,759
Speaker 2: fround thirty five. I have no idea who's playing in

964
00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:13,080
Speaker 2: this game. They look at the injury reports for both

965
00:51:13,080 --> 00:51:17,160
Speaker 2: teams are massive due the Patriots offensive line. Who's playing there?

966
00:51:17,239 --> 00:51:21,080
Speaker 2: Andrews is already out, Dugger got hurt peppers, he didn't

967
00:51:21,120 --> 00:51:24,880
Speaker 2: practice today. He's dealing with an injury, fell on his back. Like,

968
00:51:25,239 --> 00:51:27,359
Speaker 2: I don't know who's playing in this game. So Yeah,

969
00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:29,400
Speaker 2: if you're teasing it up above a touchdown in the

970
00:51:29,440 --> 00:51:31,400
Speaker 2: total of thirty five, I don't know. I mean, I

971
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:34,680
Speaker 2: Brissette won't turn it over. That might be the difference.

972
00:51:34,960 --> 00:51:36,920
Speaker 2: And I don't know where this Miami team is mentally,

973
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 2: but I don't mind that tease. Also, Seattle Bibers obviously

974
00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:43,520
Speaker 2: he doesn't play. That's huge. The defensive line injuries, like

975
00:51:43,560 --> 00:51:45,160
Speaker 2: they need to get healthier, but they're not. That's not

976
00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:47,520
Speaker 2: as big of a deal. Against the Giants. They can't

977
00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:48,040
Speaker 2: run the ball.

978
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:51,319
Speaker 1: So yeah, everybody was like, oh my god, Devin Singletary's

979
00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:53,000
Speaker 1: gonna just run all over Dallas. What you got They

980
00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:54,520
Speaker 1: couldn't for twenty yards.

981
00:51:54,800 --> 00:51:57,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know why. Yeah, that was that was embarrassing.

982
00:51:58,520 --> 00:52:01,560
Speaker 1: All right, So you got the Dolphins in the Clchawks

983
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:03,680
Speaker 1: and the Jets at the East Text all right, now

984
00:52:03,680 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: it's time for our money line underdog parley turning good

985
00:52:12,719 --> 00:52:18,280
Speaker 1: weekends into great weekends. It's time for the money line parlay.

986
00:52:18,920 --> 00:52:21,359
Speaker 2: We almost said last week you shape by the way.

987
00:52:21,719 --> 00:52:23,879
Speaker 2: This saw hot raybounds fit. Last week in the six back,

988
00:52:23,920 --> 00:52:28,080
Speaker 2: he changed two picks the last minute. He changed Tampa

989
00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:32,520
Speaker 2: Bay and New Orleans to Chicago and Minnesota swapped out

990
00:52:32,520 --> 00:52:37,919
Speaker 2: two winners for two other winners. And but he did

991
00:52:38,040 --> 00:52:39,880
Speaker 2: you originally did have Tampa as your money on a

992
00:52:39,880 --> 00:52:42,200
Speaker 2: dog changed at the who should have won? But I

993
00:52:42,440 --> 00:52:44,759
Speaker 2: even mentioned the Raiders luck they Cleveland lost that game

994
00:52:44,840 --> 00:52:47,279
Speaker 2: because they missed the extra point. They would have been

995
00:52:47,320 --> 00:52:48,640
Speaker 2: able to kick a field goal at the end to

996
00:52:48,680 --> 00:52:52,680
Speaker 2: tie it too, and then the penalty. So yeah, we hit.

997
00:52:52,719 --> 00:52:54,520
Speaker 2: We hit to ten to one too. We almost hit again.

998
00:52:54,520 --> 00:52:55,719
Speaker 2: I had the Vikings last week.

999
00:52:56,239 --> 00:52:59,239
Speaker 1: Uh, it was this musical game to watch, by the way,

1000
00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:01,560
Speaker 1: just like just waiting for if you had the Vikings,

1001
00:53:01,600 --> 00:53:03,360
Speaker 1: just waiting for it to end, and it would just

1002
00:53:03,480 --> 00:53:06,359
Speaker 1: never end. That game in the Colts game is terrible.

1003
00:53:06,360 --> 00:53:07,000
Speaker 1: But yeah, where you.

1004
00:53:06,920 --> 00:53:10,040
Speaker 2: Going, I'm going Rams. The Rams stink. They have no

1005
00:53:10,040 --> 00:53:15,040
Speaker 2: one left their whole Their defense is terrible. The defensive

1006
00:53:15,040 --> 00:53:16,920
Speaker 2: line I got their draft picks have all played well

1007
00:53:17,000 --> 00:53:20,840
Speaker 2: last two years up along their front seven. The offense

1008
00:53:20,920 --> 00:53:23,279
Speaker 2: is no offensive lineman left. There's no Nikua, there's no

1009
00:53:23,360 --> 00:53:33,120
Speaker 2: Cup but Whittington. Yeah he's he So this is It's

1010
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:35,279
Speaker 2: just a great spot for the Rams. McVeigh called them

1011
00:53:35,280 --> 00:53:38,719
Speaker 2: all out. He saw this after the Cardinals game. They

1012
00:53:38,800 --> 00:53:41,319
Speaker 2: ended up. Yeah, they got a little bit fortunate, but

1013
00:53:41,360 --> 00:53:44,879
Speaker 2: they ended up beating the forty nine ers and the

1014
00:53:44,920 --> 00:53:51,640
Speaker 2: Packers defensive back injuries, some uncertainty there, and I just

1015
00:53:51,760 --> 00:53:55,719
Speaker 2: it's Stafford at home as a dog, kind of a

1016
00:53:55,800 --> 00:53:59,520
Speaker 2: must win game defense Mike Rally after getting called out

1017
00:54:00,120 --> 00:54:05,000
Speaker 2: they were unlucky last week. Uh so yeah, it's that's

1018
00:54:05,000 --> 00:54:07,759
Speaker 2: that's what I got. I see Valuement's number two.

1019
00:54:07,800 --> 00:54:10,239
Speaker 1: So yeah, I was thinking about this one. But it's

1020
00:54:10,400 --> 00:54:13,839
Speaker 1: it's so tough to handicap the Rams because they they

1021
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:17,040
Speaker 1: kind of exceed expectations and then they just I don't

1022
00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:18,680
Speaker 1: know what if what's up with them in the red zone.

1023
00:54:18,680 --> 00:54:21,000
Speaker 1: You would think Sean would may coach team with Matthew Stafford,

1024
00:54:21,080 --> 00:54:23,040
Speaker 1: like that would be an area they would do well in,

1025
00:54:23,120 --> 00:54:24,880
Speaker 1: but they just could. They've been doing this for like

1026
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:27,960
Speaker 1: a year and a half now, just throwing away red

1027
00:54:28,040 --> 00:54:28,600
Speaker 1: zone trips.

1028
00:54:28,880 --> 00:54:31,520
Speaker 2: So yeah, yeah, it's it's a high errands team. Like

1029
00:54:31,600 --> 00:54:34,319
Speaker 2: the It comes down to, like big Kim mcday have

1030
00:54:34,320 --> 00:54:36,480
Speaker 2: a great game plan here, like you saw against stan

1031
00:54:36,520 --> 00:54:39,160
Speaker 2: Fran and went with with more two tight end sets.

1032
00:54:39,600 --> 00:54:41,960
Speaker 2: There's a must wing game. I expect we'll see some

1033
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,879
Speaker 2: wrinkles here that the Packers aren't prepared for. Yeah, give

1034
00:54:44,880 --> 00:54:47,000
Speaker 2: me the Rams one qui at.

1035
00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:49,920
Speaker 1: A time for us laws and tak all right, I'm

1036
00:54:49,920 --> 00:54:51,800
Speaker 1: gonna go with the Bengals. Uh, you know, we already

1037
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:54,000
Speaker 1: talked about the game, so keep it short. But the

1038
00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:57,360
Speaker 1: Bengals have the offensive firepower beat the Ravens. Ravens a

1039
00:54:57,400 --> 00:54:59,560
Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot coming up a big

1040
00:54:59,560 --> 00:55:02,680
Speaker 1: prime time win, going on the road. Now Bengals finally

1041
00:55:02,760 --> 00:55:05,399
Speaker 1: hitting their stride and now they need this game more

1042
00:55:05,400 --> 00:55:06,080
Speaker 1: than the Ravens do.

1043
00:55:06,280 --> 00:55:09,799
Speaker 2: So huge game for the division. If the Ravens win

1044
00:55:09,840 --> 00:55:12,040
Speaker 2: this game, they'll probably winning the division. Sorry Steelers fan.

1045
00:55:12,440 --> 00:55:16,840
Speaker 2: If the Bengals win it, then Steelers fans will like this.

1046
00:55:17,000 --> 00:55:18,840
Speaker 2: Then you're probably back in it. If you beat Dallas

1047
00:55:18,840 --> 00:55:21,000
Speaker 2: and it's a three team race, probably to the end,

1048
00:55:22,360 --> 00:55:26,800
Speaker 2: because the Bengals already burned their AFC East advantage. Ravens

1049
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:29,479
Speaker 2: just beat the Bills and the and the Bengals lost

1050
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:33,160
Speaker 2: at home to the Patriots. That was like one of

1051
00:55:33,160 --> 00:55:35,520
Speaker 2: the benefits of the last play schedule, So you got

1052
00:55:35,520 --> 00:55:38,000
Speaker 2: to beat the Ravens at home for the division be

1053
00:55:38,080 --> 00:55:40,320
Speaker 2: a close race throughout. Bengals usually get hot light so

1054
00:55:40,440 --> 00:55:42,439
Speaker 2: huge game for the division. I agree, all.

1055
00:55:42,400 --> 00:55:45,799
Speaker 1: Right, So Rams plus one forty five, Bengals plus one

1056
00:55:45,840 --> 00:55:48,759
Speaker 1: twenty five, Parlam plus four to fifty. So not quite

1057
00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,480
Speaker 1: the ten to one and we had a couple of

1058
00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:53,279
Speaker 1: weeks ago, but still pretty juicy. And I think both

1059
00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:55,680
Speaker 1: of these teams do have a very good chance of

1060
00:55:55,719 --> 00:56:01,160
Speaker 1: winning their games. Pro Football's to superpower. Now let's get

1061
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:04,600
Speaker 1: to best of the arrest the games we didn't discuss

1062
00:56:04,680 --> 00:56:08,120
Speaker 1: in any other stegment. That's going to be.

1063
00:56:08,120 --> 00:56:10,440
Speaker 3: A touchdown, but that made me meaningful to some of you,

1064
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:12,640
Speaker 3: so you know what I mean.

1065
00:56:13,200 --> 00:56:16,359
Speaker 1: Final game. I was thinking about this then, but it's

1066
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:20,560
Speaker 1: a classic Bible spot Cardinals at Niners plus seven and

1067
00:56:20,560 --> 00:56:22,560
Speaker 1: a half. The total is forty nine and a half.

1068
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:26,759
Speaker 1: The Cardinals have been within seven and you know, two

1069
00:56:26,760 --> 00:56:28,879
Speaker 1: of their three losses and then they won. They blew

1070
00:56:28,920 --> 00:56:30,920
Speaker 1: up the Rams in the other game. I mean, I

1071
00:56:31,000 --> 00:56:32,920
Speaker 1: just don't know if this like, I don't know what

1072
00:56:32,960 --> 00:56:34,560
Speaker 1: to expect from this defense. I don't know if they

1073
00:56:34,600 --> 00:56:38,800
Speaker 1: could just kind of probably right, Yeah, it's the Niners

1074
00:56:38,800 --> 00:56:41,719
Speaker 1: are not the team that you want to that I

1075
00:56:41,800 --> 00:56:44,360
Speaker 1: want for the Cardinals to have to bounce back against,

1076
00:56:44,440 --> 00:56:48,279
Speaker 1: because yeah, they're now they're getting healthy with you know,

1077
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:50,480
Speaker 1: Debo looks like he's going to be a full go

1078
00:56:50,640 --> 00:56:54,120
Speaker 1: this week. Jennings has improved, you still hasn't had his

1079
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:59,040
Speaker 1: blow up, you know. So it's yeah, I think I'm

1080
00:56:59,040 --> 00:57:01,360
Speaker 1: just gonna end uplaying off. But it's tempted because you know,

1081
00:57:01,400 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 1: these teams when you when you give up forty plus

1082
00:57:03,880 --> 00:57:06,040
Speaker 1: usually cover around sixty percent the next week. It's just

1083
00:57:06,120 --> 00:57:07,440
Speaker 1: kind of you and nature.

1084
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:10,200
Speaker 2: And as a road dog, it's usually a yeah.

1085
00:57:10,239 --> 00:57:13,000
Speaker 1: Good Tyler's a road dog is seventeen and five against

1086
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:15,520
Speaker 1: the spread. So there are trends, but it's the Niners

1087
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:19,000
Speaker 1: and against this terrible defense, and yeah, all bets are off.

1088
00:57:19,480 --> 00:57:22,200
Speaker 2: I would lean that way. McBrien getting McBride back will help.

1089
00:57:22,920 --> 00:57:24,760
Speaker 2: I assume he's going to be back. But that was

1090
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:27,360
Speaker 2: a puzzling effort offensively last week. I wasn't surprised that

1091
00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:32,200
Speaker 2: Washington tore up their D. But the offense, yes, it's

1092
00:57:32,240 --> 00:57:34,960
Speaker 2: the worst defense in the league. Well maybe Arizona's the

1093
00:57:34,960 --> 00:57:36,640
Speaker 2: worst defense in the league. But that was, uh, that

1094
00:57:36,680 --> 00:57:38,720
Speaker 2: was head scratching for sure. So but yeah, I would

1095
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:41,400
Speaker 2: expect them the bounce back. I do like their staff,

1096
00:57:42,000 --> 00:57:43,920
Speaker 2: so I think the Cardinals are probably the right side,

1097
00:57:43,920 --> 00:57:45,360
Speaker 2: but stuff, are.

1098
00:57:45,320 --> 00:57:48,080
Speaker 1: We giving them too much credit? Like, I mean, you know, yeah,

1099
00:57:48,120 --> 00:57:52,440
Speaker 1: we like their staff, but they don't they are. Something's

1100
00:57:52,480 --> 00:57:53,520
Speaker 1: off with this team, and.

1101
00:57:53,640 --> 00:57:55,720
Speaker 2: I mean the rosters so bad though. The offensive line

1102
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:58,600
Speaker 2: is betened up and not good. The defense has no sense,

1103
00:57:58,920 --> 00:58:04,840
Speaker 2: and yeah, it's it's bad. And uh, Mary, I don't

1104
00:58:05,080 --> 00:58:07,760
Speaker 2: it was an awful game. Why wasn't he why wasn't

1105
00:58:07,760 --> 00:58:09,240
Speaker 2: he running either?

1106
00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:11,400
Speaker 1: I don't know, like he's.

1107
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:13,680
Speaker 2: Puzzling, puzzling performance.

1108
00:58:13,880 --> 00:58:16,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, I thought he looked like better than his stats

1109
00:58:16,600 --> 00:58:19,360
Speaker 1: against Detroit and then he just comes out this one

1110
00:58:19,400 --> 00:58:22,000
Speaker 1: against the what we thought was the worst defense, and yeah,

1111
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:24,360
Speaker 1: it just lays an egg. It's yeah, ridiculous.

1112
00:58:24,840 --> 00:58:26,880
Speaker 2: He looked good against the Bills. I mean, maybe that's

1113
00:58:26,880 --> 00:58:28,280
Speaker 2: another indictment on the Bills day.

1114
00:58:28,440 --> 00:58:30,280
Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, I mean the Bills might have just got

1115
00:58:30,280 --> 00:58:34,919
Speaker 1: I mean they played the Bills, played the Skylar Dolphins

1116
00:58:35,400 --> 00:58:38,320
Speaker 1: for most of that game. They played the Jaguars, who

1117
00:58:38,440 --> 00:58:41,720
Speaker 1: you know, just couldn't catch a break, and then they.

1118
00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:44,200
Speaker 2: Rat which is so big because you need tight ends

1119
00:58:44,200 --> 00:58:48,000
Speaker 2: against the Bills. Sorry, more Bills slander our producer two

1120
00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:48,480
Speaker 2: weeks in a row.

1121
00:58:48,760 --> 00:58:51,440
Speaker 1: N no, the bills are great. It's it's not often

1122
00:58:51,440 --> 00:58:54,800
Speaker 1: you even get to slander the bills. But uh yeah,

1123
00:58:54,800 --> 00:58:57,120
Speaker 1: that looks like it's gonna wrap it up for the

1124
00:58:57,400 --> 00:59:01,160
Speaker 1: week five Action Network podcast. You can hear more of

1125
00:59:01,240 --> 00:59:03,840
Speaker 1: me every week with my guy Sean Kerner talking fantasy

1126
00:59:03,960 --> 00:59:07,280
Speaker 1: DFS player projections, all that good stuff on the Fantasy

1127
00:59:07,280 --> 00:59:11,560
Speaker 1: Flex podcast, Stuck of course, talking college football over on

1128
00:59:11,680 --> 00:59:14,920
Speaker 1: Big Bets on Campus and he is on Twitter at

1129
00:59:14,920 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 1: Stuckey two. I'm at Chris Raybon and you can find

1130
00:59:18,520 --> 00:59:21,080
Speaker 1: us at those same handles on the free award winning

1131
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:34,800
Speaker 1: Action Network at bo Knicks. Get this Money, Let Go.

1132
00:59:36,840 --> 00:59:40,280
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1133
00:59:40,680 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 2: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1134
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:46,440
Speaker 2: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1135
00:59:46,520 --> 00:59:47,320
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