1 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:16,960 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday 2 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast. My name is 3 00:00:19,480 --> 00:00:21,439 Speaker 1: Matt Perrault. You guys can follow me across all of 4 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 1: my socials at sports Talk Matton. As you can see, 5 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 1: we are back home in our normal confines after the 6 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,440 Speaker 1: trip to New Hampshire. We're back in Las Vegas. So 7 00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:35,720 Speaker 1: it's late for me. It's not late technically here on 8 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 1: the West coast. It's only nine to twenty on the 9 00:00:37,520 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 1: West coast, but it's twelve twenty for me on East 10 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:42,239 Speaker 1: Coast time. So I'm all kind of messed up. So 11 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna tape the podcast here. I'm gonna give you 12 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:49,400 Speaker 1: three plays today for Saturday, and then we will do 13 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,199 Speaker 1: the live chat. We're gonna do that tomorrow morning. We 14 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: will do that at eight o'clock Pacific time, New eleven 15 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 1: am Eastern. Let me double check can make sure that 16 00:01:01,000 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: that's gonna get us for all the big games in 17 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: the morning. From a start time perspective, Let's see, should 18 00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: be nine am for all the games tomorrow morning at 19 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: nine in Pacific noon Eastern time. Yeah, okay, Tennessee and 20 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: Texas A and m is noon Eastern time so perfect, 21 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,119 Speaker 1: So we'll get We'll get going with eight and a half. 22 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,559 Speaker 1: With eight eight o'clock in the morning Pacific thirty minute 23 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:26,800 Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Sorry, on the Betting 24 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 1: Pros Discord channel. Betting Pros dot COM's last chat live 25 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: chat for Saturday morning college basketball. I'll give you at 26 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:35,600 Speaker 1: least one more play, maybe two more plays that I 27 00:01:35,720 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: like coming up here for Saturday, Big Card, Big Day 28 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 1: of college basketball. We'll give it to you all coming 29 00:01:42,000 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: up later on today, but I'll give you three plays 30 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:47,680 Speaker 1: here for us today. Last night a one and two mark. 31 00:01:47,720 --> 00:01:50,920 Speaker 1: We lose both college basketball bets. One of the more 32 00:01:51,320 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 1: disappointing days. Michigan got housed in the second half by 33 00:01:55,360 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: Tom Izzo again January February Izzo. So that was shocking 34 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:03,000 Speaker 1: see Michigan fall apart. They were up pretty much the 35 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,840 Speaker 1: whole first tap and got killed after halftime. And then 36 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 1: Marquette got destroyed at Villanova. I lose bets all the time, 37 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: I don't normally lose both bets by double digits. That 38 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:16,160 Speaker 1: was two very bad bets. The Warriors coming in and 39 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 1: let me just make sure I'm counting that as a win. 40 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:23,760 Speaker 1: But the Warriors are currently yeah finals. Yeah, the Warriors 41 00:02:23,800 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 1: won by twenty three. They killed the Sacramento King, so 42 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 1: good call, good bet there one and two one of 43 00:02:29,160 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 1: the day down one point three to seven units. So 44 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: a losing day for us there today, but still a 45 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:35,160 Speaker 1: chance to have a winning week Saturday, Sunday and the 46 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 1: week strong here today for us, So three bets going. 47 00:02:39,720 --> 00:02:42,000 Speaker 1: Don't give you here in just one second, But first 48 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 1: let me tell you about our friends at bet three 49 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:48,520 Speaker 1: six five. Have you guys taken advantage of the offer 50 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:51,680 Speaker 1: from bet three six y five yet, Daily Juice listeners, 51 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:53,960 Speaker 1: You can turn five dollars into one hundred and fifty 52 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: dollars in bonus bets when you joined bet three six 53 00:02:56,639 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: y five claim the offer. 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All right, 62 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,360 Speaker 1: let's start with Tennessee and tex A and M Big 63 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: game neon Eastern ESPN. A and M at home. Now, 64 00:03:39,120 --> 00:03:43,200 Speaker 1: A and M coming off a road loss against oh 65 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: against Missippi State, they shot horrendously. Told you guys this before. 66 00:03:48,480 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: I like taking teams from the comeback home in must 67 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:56,640 Speaker 1: win situations against conferenced opponents after a bad loss. A 68 00:03:56,680 --> 00:03:59,880 Speaker 1: and M needs this game. Now Tennessee does two. But 69 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: A and M really needs this game. This is going 70 00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 1: to be a low scoring game. This is going to 71 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 1: be a game in which I think Budz Williams's team 72 00:04:07,960 --> 00:04:11,440 Speaker 1: will shoot the basketball better than they did in their 73 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:15,000 Speaker 1: game against Mississippi State because they couldn't buy a bucket. Okay, 74 00:04:15,040 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 1: remember we were take We took them on the over. 75 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 1: They was scored fifty four points. They lost seventy to 76 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:22,400 Speaker 1: fifty four. This is sixty four to sixty three a 77 00:04:22,520 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 1: win for Tennessee. But A and M is favored here 78 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:30,320 Speaker 1: in this game. A and M offensively effective field goal percentage. 79 00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,960 Speaker 1: They've been just inconsistent all over the place. They're two 80 00:04:33,040 --> 00:04:36,000 Speaker 1: hundred and ninety sixth and effective field goal percentage, but 81 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: they are fifty third in offensive efficiency. But the offensive 82 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: numbers are what really scare people with A and M. 83 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:44,960 Speaker 1: They're three hundredth and three point shooting, and that's with 84 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:48,919 Speaker 1: really good guards like Wade Taylor. They are two hundred 85 00:04:48,920 --> 00:04:50,880 Speaker 1: and sixty eighth and two point shooting, and they don't 86 00:04:50,920 --> 00:04:53,800 Speaker 1: hit their free throws three hundred and fourth, So in 87 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 1: the tournament. I have no problem fading text A and 88 00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 1: M in the NAA tournaments, and the metrics for Tennessee 89 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 1: are obviously defensively their first efficiency, their first and effective 90 00:05:04,000 --> 00:05:06,800 Speaker 1: field goal percentage, their third and three point defense, their 91 00:05:06,839 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: tenth and two point percentage. They're phenomenal. Tennessee hangs a 92 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 1: hat on defense, best defense in college basketball. But A 93 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 1: and M is not that far behind their fifth in efficiency, 94 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 1: thirty eighth in effective field goal percentage, sixty ninth in 95 00:05:20,520 --> 00:05:23,479 Speaker 1: three point shooting, in fortieth and two point percentage. Okay, 96 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 1: they're not that far behind. This year, A and M 97 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:32,200 Speaker 1: at home is nine to three and one ats they 98 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 1: did not cover in their last game but they're six 99 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 1: five and two in the SEC this year against the 100 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: number Tennessee is fifteen and eleven overall, but they're six 101 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:44,480 Speaker 1: and seven ats wise against the SEC, and they're six 102 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,080 Speaker 1: and five on the road, just five and five over 103 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,840 Speaker 1: their last ten on the road. Against Kentucky, they laid 104 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:53,920 Speaker 1: three and a half, they lost by eleven. They were 105 00:05:53,920 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: on the road against Oklahoma laying five and a half 106 00:05:57,160 --> 00:05:59,840 Speaker 1: and they blew them out, winning by eighteen. For the 107 00:06:00,040 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: coming off of a game against Vanderbilt where they were 108 00:06:01,960 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 1: laying twelve and a half and they only won by five. 109 00:06:05,680 --> 00:06:08,240 Speaker 1: I think A and M wins this game. I think 110 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,919 Speaker 1: this is going to be a really fun environment. I 111 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 1: think you're gonna see A and M shoot the basketball 112 00:06:13,320 --> 00:06:15,599 Speaker 1: much better. If you want to lay the one and 113 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:18,920 Speaker 1: a half, you can. It's two at certain books. I'm 114 00:06:18,960 --> 00:06:21,320 Speaker 1: just gonna bet money line. I'm not gonna play around 115 00:06:21,320 --> 00:06:24,200 Speaker 1: with it. It's minus one twenty five, not that expensive. 116 00:06:24,720 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: A and M in a must win situation, backs against 117 00:06:27,760 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 1: the wall, bounce back spot here on the Aggies at 118 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,760 Speaker 1: home against Tennessee. I'll take Texas A and M to 119 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 1: win the game here at home again February hard to 120 00:06:36,520 --> 00:06:40,160 Speaker 1: win on the road A and M money line at 121 00:06:40,200 --> 00:06:45,160 Speaker 1: minus one twenty five Bet number two Alabama and Kentucky. 122 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:49,679 Speaker 1: These two teams played earlier this year. In Kentucky total 123 00:06:49,839 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 1: was one seventy eight at Rupp The game flew over 124 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 1: by twenty one points. This total is one eighty. Why 125 00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,719 Speaker 1: this total should be higher, sorry, one to eighty. The 126 00:07:01,839 --> 00:07:06,040 Speaker 1: last three games have gone over for Alabama. Against Texas 127 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 1: it was one sixty seven. It went over by sixteen points. 128 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 1: Against Auburn, it was one seventy four and a half. 129 00:07:12,400 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: It went over by four and a half points. Against Missouri, 130 00:07:15,360 --> 00:07:17,800 Speaker 1: it was one seventy three. The game went over by 131 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:21,040 Speaker 1: thirty five points. Call it square, call it basic, call 132 00:07:21,080 --> 00:07:24,520 Speaker 1: it whatever you want. I don't care. Alabama and Kentucky 133 00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:29,040 Speaker 1: play up tempo basketball. They look to run. Kentucky is 134 00:07:29,080 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 1: in the top forty for adjusted tempo in college basketball. 135 00:07:33,440 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 1: Alabama is first number one in adjusted tempo. They're gonna run, 136 00:07:39,280 --> 00:07:41,520 Speaker 1: They're gonna shoot threes, and they just give up one 137 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: hundred and ten points on the road to Missouri. Bama 138 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:48,240 Speaker 1: does not play defense. Kentucky, even with their injuries, they 139 00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: are still capable of scoring. They scored one hundred and 140 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:53,440 Speaker 1: two points in the first meeting. They scored eighty two 141 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,880 Speaker 1: against Vanderbilts. They scored seventy eight against Texas, they scored 142 00:07:56,920 --> 00:08:01,880 Speaker 1: seventy five against Tennessee eightying in South Caro Carolina. They score, 143 00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:05,119 Speaker 1: they run, they push tempo, they shoot the three well, 144 00:08:05,240 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: their top twenty five and three point shooting, top thirty 145 00:08:08,120 --> 00:08:10,640 Speaker 1: and two point shooting. They get to the rim, they 146 00:08:11,600 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 1: put up points, and Alabama's defense doesn't stop anybody. Bama's 147 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 1: at home, you expect them to shoot better. This is 148 00:08:18,560 --> 00:08:21,560 Speaker 1: a ninety four to eighty eight win for Alabama. According 149 00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,320 Speaker 1: to Kempalm, that's one eighty two, so we have two 150 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:27,240 Speaker 1: points of value there. With one eighty I'm playing the 151 00:08:27,280 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 1: over Alabama Kentucky over one point eighty for one point 152 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:36,480 Speaker 1: one units, and finally here for us as we head 153 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,880 Speaker 1: into what's going to be a really fun, fun day. 154 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:44,080 Speaker 1: I'm really looking forward to seeing how these teams perform today. 155 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:46,480 Speaker 1: And there's just two games in particular, one in the 156 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:48,120 Speaker 1: SEC one of the Big ten that I'm gonna be 157 00:08:48,160 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 1: watching as to what I'm gonna do with the Discord channel. 158 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,760 Speaker 1: If I'm gonna have four plays or five plays, but 159 00:08:53,880 --> 00:08:57,880 Speaker 1: we're gonna have Aight and M, money Line, Alabama and 160 00:08:58,440 --> 00:09:03,640 Speaker 1: Kentucky over and finally, Arkansas is at home against Missouri. 161 00:09:04,920 --> 00:09:09,080 Speaker 1: I like Missouri a lot at home again. This is 162 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: a home team with a must win scenario facing them. 163 00:09:13,280 --> 00:09:17,560 Speaker 1: Arkansas has to win this game. Arkansas needs to stack 164 00:09:17,720 --> 00:09:22,000 Speaker 1: wins because Arkansas's remaining schedule, They've lost to A and M. 165 00:09:22,200 --> 00:09:25,319 Speaker 1: They lost to Auburn. Now they have Missouri, then they 166 00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 1: have Texas. After that it's South Carolina, Vanderbilt and Mississippi State. 167 00:09:31,480 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 1: This is a top fifteen team, top twenty team in Missouri. 168 00:09:36,040 --> 00:09:38,320 Speaker 1: If you're gonna get quad one wins, if you're gonna 169 00:09:38,320 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 1: get quality wins, you gotta win at home. And they 170 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,160 Speaker 1: have Missouri and Texas in back to back games on 171 00:09:44,240 --> 00:09:48,319 Speaker 1: Saturday and on Wednesday for Arkansas. And if the Razorbacks 172 00:09:48,320 --> 00:09:50,800 Speaker 1: are gonna get in and John Keliparti's gonna take this 173 00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 1: Arkansas team to the tournament in his first year in Fayetteville, 174 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:57,760 Speaker 1: this is a game they have to have. This is 175 00:09:57,800 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 1: a two point loss. According to Kemp, the number is two. 176 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:04,920 Speaker 1: I think you can take money Line if you want, 177 00:10:05,080 --> 00:10:06,440 Speaker 1: if you want to go with sort of a if 178 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 1: you want to play it with a plus money situation. 179 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,280 Speaker 1: I don't hate on just taking the money line, but 180 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,880 Speaker 1: I'm gonna take the points. I think it's worth taking 181 00:10:14,920 --> 00:10:17,559 Speaker 1: the points. It's worth saying, Okay, we're not going to 182 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: play around with it because I want you know, they 183 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 1: may lose by a bucket last second shot Arkansas at 184 00:10:23,880 --> 00:10:27,160 Speaker 1: home this year in the SEC or at home. Overall, 185 00:10:27,200 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 1: they're six and eight, but they're four and one over 186 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:32,599 Speaker 1: their last five games all in the SEC. Missouri is 187 00:10:32,640 --> 00:10:36,120 Speaker 1: eleven and two. I'm not debating that Missouri has been tremendous. 188 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,960 Speaker 1: They want to get against Oklahoma, Georgia, and Alabama, winning 189 00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: by twenty four, thirteen, and twelve, but they lost at 190 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:45,960 Speaker 1: home to A and M, and they lost to Tennessee 191 00:10:46,080 --> 00:10:49,600 Speaker 1: on the road. I just think this is a game 192 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 1: they've already played Arkansas at home. They are five and 193 00:10:52,160 --> 00:10:55,120 Speaker 1: a half point favorites. They won by eighteen points. This 194 00:10:55,160 --> 00:10:58,439 Speaker 1: is the second time. I think it's payback for Arkansas. 195 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 1: They have to win this game. Backs against the wall. 196 00:11:02,400 --> 00:11:05,000 Speaker 1: They have no choice. You want to bet the hotter team, 197 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:07,360 Speaker 1: the hotter teams in Missouri, but this is a bilo 198 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:11,080 Speaker 1: spot on Arkansas. Back to back losses by eight to 199 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:13,720 Speaker 1: A and M and seven to Auburn. They were winning 200 00:11:13,720 --> 00:11:17,439 Speaker 1: that game at Auburn with three minutes to play. Arkansas 201 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,200 Speaker 1: had the lead against the number one team in the 202 00:11:19,240 --> 00:11:22,320 Speaker 1: country and they couldn't finish. They've lost three of four. 203 00:11:22,679 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: If they lose this game, that's pretty much it for them. 204 00:11:26,040 --> 00:11:30,240 Speaker 1: I think this is desperation time night game in Fayeteville, Arkansas. 205 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 1: I'll take the Razorbacks plus two for one point one units. 206 00:11:35,240 --> 00:11:38,839 Speaker 1: All right, So our three plays for today A and 207 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:43,040 Speaker 1: M money line minus one twenty five, Alabama Kentucky over 208 00:11:43,160 --> 00:11:46,359 Speaker 1: one point eighty for one point one units, and Arkansas 209 00:11:46,400 --> 00:11:49,480 Speaker 1: plus two at home at minus one ten for one 210 00:11:49,600 --> 00:11:52,199 Speaker 1: point one units. There will be at least one more play, 211 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:55,319 Speaker 1: if not two more plays coming at you on our 212 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,200 Speaker 1: Discord channel Chat at eleven am Eastern time, eight o'clock 213 00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:01,680 Speaker 1: in the morning Pacific Betting dot Com slast chat to 214 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:03,839 Speaker 1: join it. I hope to see all there. We'll talk 215 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,800 Speaker 1: college basketball the whole day, break down the cards, and 216 00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:08,800 Speaker 1: have a lot of funds free. Come on in join it. 217 00:12:08,840 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: I think bros dot com s last chat man as 218 00:12:11,200 --> 00:12:13,320 Speaker 1: Matt parolto follow me because all my socials at sports 219 00:12:13,320 --> 00:12:16,839 Speaker 1: Doc Matt every single morning, even when I'm back off 220 00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:20,120 Speaker 1: of a five hour flight. Played it is the daily 221 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:31,160 Speaker 1: juice