1 00:00:14,000 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Wednesday 2 00:00:16,000 --> 00:00:18,439 Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is 3 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 1: Matt Parolti. You guys can follow me across all socials 4 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt in This podcast being brought to 5 00:00:24,079 --> 00:00:26,159 Speaker 1: you by Olmaha Steaks dot com. The end of the 6 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:29,080 Speaker 1: year's sale going on right now at Omaha Steaks dot com. 7 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:32,040 Speaker 1: The holiday sale went so so well they're going to 8 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,560 Speaker 1: extend this to the end of the year. It still 9 00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 1: is fifty percent off site wide and thirty dollars off 10 00:00:37,280 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 1: when you guys use that code Juice at checkout. That 11 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,680 Speaker 1: saves you thirty dollars off the already fifty percent off 12 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:46,239 Speaker 1: on all the great meat packages and their end of 13 00:00:46,320 --> 00:00:48,919 Speaker 1: yal year sale going on right now. They have a 14 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:51,480 Speaker 1: great number of things that are discounted and marked down 15 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 1: already as well as fifty percent off as well as 16 00:00:54,160 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 1: that thirty dollars off at checkout, so a great time 17 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:00,440 Speaker 1: to use it. Minimum purchase may be required. Use Juice 18 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:03,440 Speaker 1: at checkout for Omaha Steakes dot com. All right, somebody 19 00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: asked me, is this my childhood bedroom? No, this is 20 00:01:05,840 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: not my childhood bedroom. I actually never lived in this house. 21 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 1: I went to college, and then my mom and stepdad 22 00:01:12,080 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: moved into this house, and then I've never actually lived here. 23 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: So this is no this is my brother's room, not 24 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:20,560 Speaker 1: my room, but it is a bedroom. Yes, here in 25 00:01:20,600 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 1: andover where I will be taping for the next couple 26 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: of nights, and then I head to Connecticut for a 27 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: trip to New York. So I'll be doing that. And 28 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 1: this is the problem with this podcast. It is currently 29 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:36,880 Speaker 1: eight twenty one on the East Coast, which is five 30 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 1: twenty one on the West Coast. The games I bet 31 00:01:40,920 --> 00:01:43,800 Speaker 1: just started, one of them just started, another one hasn't 32 00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:47,320 Speaker 1: started yet. The basketball game involving the Rockets, that game's 33 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:50,000 Speaker 1: going on right now. The football game that I bet 34 00:01:50,200 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 1: has seen tremendous line movement, but the game kicks off 35 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 1: in Phoenix. Like, I could not do this job here. 36 00:01:57,160 --> 00:01:59,360 Speaker 1: It's just absolutely possible. I could not do the Daily 37 00:01:59,440 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: Juice living on the East Coast because these games are 38 00:02:02,400 --> 00:02:05,280 Speaker 1: just too darn late. I don't know how you guys 39 00:02:05,320 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: do it. I know how I did it. I lived 40 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 1: on the East Coast for I don't know what till 41 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: I was twenty four. I was in the Eastern Coast 42 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: till the past twenty years, I haven't lived in the 43 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:20,920 Speaker 1: Eastern time zone, but last eight living on the West Coast. 44 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:25,200 Speaker 1: I moved to Vegas in on January. I was like 45 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 1: December twenty sixth of twenty fourteen, but really January of 46 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 1: twenty fifteen is when I moved officially to Las Vegas. 47 00:02:32,840 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 1: And I've been there now here going into January of 48 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:37,480 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four been there for quite a long time. 49 00:02:37,560 --> 00:02:40,400 Speaker 1: Eight years, so going on my ninth year of living there. 50 00:02:40,440 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 1: So I am very much accustomed to the West Coast 51 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 1: and West Coast star times. So that's I'm taping this 52 00:02:46,000 --> 00:02:48,079 Speaker 1: at a time that you know, I normally tape the 53 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: Juice between eight and eleven somewhere in there, and I 54 00:02:51,400 --> 00:02:52,840 Speaker 1: I mean, if I'm gonna wait, I'm gonna tape this 55 00:02:52,880 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: at eleven thirty on the East Coast, and I'm going 56 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:58,000 Speaker 1: to be way past asleep here with all the traveling 57 00:02:58,000 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 1: and everything else I've been doing. There's no way I'm 58 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: gonna eleven o'clock on the East coast, let alone eleven 59 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: thirty or twelve o'clock. So that's how this is going 60 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 1: to go. So I have no idea what we did yesterday. 61 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:09,120 Speaker 1: So That's why I'm just going to give you two 62 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 1: bets every podcast, every day throughout the vacation. If there's 63 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:13,960 Speaker 1: an extra bet that I like, I'll throw it in 64 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: I'll tell you about it. But eyes have two plays 65 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:18,079 Speaker 1: to give you guys here. But I don't know how 66 00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: we did yesterday, so I'm not sure. But I've got 67 00:03:20,200 --> 00:03:22,160 Speaker 1: two college football bets that I want to give you 68 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:26,160 Speaker 1: guys here for games happening tonight. And let's start with 69 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: an eight pm kick in the Holiday Bowl between Louisville 70 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:33,600 Speaker 1: and USC. Total is fifty nine in this game, line 71 00:03:33,720 --> 00:03:37,520 Speaker 1: is seven. Now, the Holiday Bowl is notorious for points, 72 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:41,080 Speaker 1: just notorious. USC is four and one away from home 73 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:44,200 Speaker 1: this year to the over. Louisville is three and three 74 00:03:44,840 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: seven and three. USC ended the year, but their final 75 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 1: two games went under as their offense kind of went 76 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:52,560 Speaker 1: a little south, but they were on a streak where 77 00:03:52,600 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: they had had six straight games go over. Three of 78 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,480 Speaker 1: the last four for Louisville went over, but their last 79 00:03:57,480 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 1: game against Florida State in the ACC Championship game went 80 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 1: way under sixteen to six. Was the final in that game. 81 00:04:04,360 --> 00:04:06,720 Speaker 1: We bet over in that game, if remember, and it 82 00:04:06,760 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: came in so I'm staying away from the totals of 83 00:04:08,960 --> 00:04:11,880 Speaker 1: these because these offenses haven't been trending in the right direction. 84 00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:14,640 Speaker 1: But look at there's been a lot of players in 85 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,440 Speaker 1: the transfer portal for both these teams at that time 86 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:21,679 Speaker 1: of the year. But I read something this morning actually 87 00:04:22,080 --> 00:04:26,239 Speaker 1: that was kind of stunning about previewing this game, about 88 00:04:26,240 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: the number of people who really are questioning what USC 89 00:04:29,560 --> 00:04:32,080 Speaker 1: looks like and the fact that they think that Lincoln 90 00:04:32,160 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: Riley is punting on this job, that he's sort of 91 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: sitting back and he's not taking it seriously, and that 92 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 1: things might be not so great for USC. And it 93 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:43,720 Speaker 1: got me really thinking, and I started to kind of 94 00:04:43,760 --> 00:04:45,800 Speaker 1: look a little bit deeper into all of this, and 95 00:04:45,839 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: I realized that both these teams are pretty bad on 96 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:54,719 Speaker 1: the road. ATS. Louisville one in five, ats away from home, 97 00:04:55,200 --> 00:05:00,520 Speaker 1: USC one in four ats. Why is Louisville favored by 98 00:05:00,560 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 1: seven points? That seems extremely heavy. This seems like it's 99 00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:07,119 Speaker 1: going to be a three or a four point game 100 00:05:07,520 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 1: on either side. And I don't know if there's that 101 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:14,039 Speaker 1: big of a talent discrepancy from Louisville to USC. And 102 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 1: I know you could say, well, Matt, look at you know, 103 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 1: you know, Cayleb Williams isn't playing, and so like, what's 104 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,080 Speaker 1: USC's offense going to look like. I don't know. I 105 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 1: think the backup quarterback situations okay for USC, and I 106 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:24,799 Speaker 1: think they're going to be able to move the football. 107 00:05:24,839 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 1: And I don't know, maybe the defense for USC will 108 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:30,400 Speaker 1: step up here and win this game outright. I just 109 00:05:30,440 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 1: think people are jumping ship a little bit too quickly. 110 00:05:32,600 --> 00:05:34,560 Speaker 1: And I didn't like the way Louisville played in the 111 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:37,359 Speaker 1: last game against Florida State. There was a real speed 112 00:05:37,400 --> 00:05:39,680 Speaker 1: differential in that game, and I think USC may have 113 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: the speed differential as well. It's in San Diego. You 114 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: would expect a lot of Trojan fans to be down 115 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: there for the Holiday Ball. You'd expect it to be 116 00:05:47,839 --> 00:05:50,599 Speaker 1: somewhat of a hostile environment, but you expect quite a 117 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 1: few USC fans and sort of a home field advantage 118 00:05:53,360 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: for USC. I don't know if they win the game. 119 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,240 Speaker 1: I just think seven points is too heavy for Louisville. 120 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: I don't trust them. Maybe this is a hate because 121 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,520 Speaker 1: of what happened in the last game. You know that 122 00:06:02,560 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: they did not We bet two units on Louisville to 123 00:06:05,000 --> 00:06:07,720 Speaker 1: win the game outright, and then they lost to Flora State. 124 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:11,360 Speaker 1: I don't know how good Louisville actually is. USC plus 125 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: seven for one point one units. And then the Texas Bowl. 126 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:19,600 Speaker 1: That game will kick off at nine pm Eastern Eastern Time. 127 00:06:19,680 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: That is a six o'clock start on the West coast, 128 00:06:22,839 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 1: eight o'clock start in Houston, Texas. For this one, Texas 129 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:31,120 Speaker 1: A and M against Oklahoma State, this number has completely flipped. 130 00:06:31,120 --> 00:06:34,000 Speaker 1: If you bet this early, Bravo, you got plus money 131 00:06:34,000 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 1: on Oklahoma State. I'm coming in here late, but I 132 00:06:36,440 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: don't think it really matters. As long as this number 133 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,760 Speaker 1: doesn't get to three. I think we're okay. Texas A 134 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:44,039 Speaker 1: and M has a brand new coaching staff, and they 135 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:47,280 Speaker 1: have so many players in the transfer portal. I mean, 136 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: it is wild to watch the transfer portal. They just 137 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 1: I mean, even with their full company of players. A 138 00:06:54,880 --> 00:06:57,400 Speaker 1: and M this year was one, three and one ats 139 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:00,279 Speaker 1: on the road. Okie State was three and three, But 140 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:03,080 Speaker 1: Oklahoma State played pretty well in the middle part of 141 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:05,920 Speaker 1: the year, and then sort of things spiraled for them. 142 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: They lost two of their last four. They didn't cover 143 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 1: in three of their last four, but they beat BYU 144 00:07:12,000 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 1: and they beat Houston in this very city that they 145 00:07:14,480 --> 00:07:17,320 Speaker 1: are in. They beat them, laying six and a half points, 146 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 1: winning by thirteen. The loss to LSU for texts A 147 00:07:20,520 --> 00:07:23,200 Speaker 1: and M pretty much sealed the fate for Jim bow Fischer. 148 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: He's out interim coach, in place players leaving all over 149 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:29,760 Speaker 1: the place. We really have no idea of the talent 150 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:31,840 Speaker 1: level for Texas A and M here. This is more 151 00:07:31,880 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: of a fate on A and M than I bet 152 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:36,760 Speaker 1: on Oklahoma State. But I mean, nobody knows what to 153 00:07:36,800 --> 00:07:39,040 Speaker 1: expect out of the Aggies, and that's why this number 154 00:07:39,040 --> 00:07:42,200 Speaker 1: has moved so dramatically. A and M was favored. Now 155 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: they're dogs as long as you don't get to three. 156 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 1: I think even two and a half is okay, but 157 00:07:46,720 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 1: three I wouldn't bet this, okay. I've got pushed potential 158 00:07:49,480 --> 00:07:53,320 Speaker 1: written all over it. But we've seen some dramatic line 159 00:07:53,360 --> 00:07:56,760 Speaker 1: movement here in the last two days, this game in particular, 160 00:07:57,000 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: with dramatic line movement, and I think you can lay 161 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 1: the two points with Oklahoma State, and I think you 162 00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 1: got a chance to, you know, because of who is 163 00:08:04,640 --> 00:08:07,240 Speaker 1: left A and M. You could see a blowout. I 164 00:08:07,240 --> 00:08:09,200 Speaker 1: mean you could, depending I don't know how much A 165 00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:10,720 Speaker 1: and M is gonna want to be in this game. 166 00:08:11,520 --> 00:08:13,880 Speaker 1: The number of players I can't even list all the players. 167 00:08:14,240 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: There was another one as a wide receiver yesterday who 168 00:08:16,800 --> 00:08:19,400 Speaker 1: bailed right for the game. Bailed like this is just 169 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:21,040 Speaker 1: an A and M team that just I don't think 170 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:23,640 Speaker 1: they want any part of this bowl game. Oklahoma State's 171 00:08:23,680 --> 00:08:26,360 Speaker 1: going in there with a good offense averaging over thirty 172 00:08:26,360 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: points per game, a pretty good defense. It's not outstanding, 173 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,440 Speaker 1: but you know, a pretty decent defense giving up about 174 00:08:33,440 --> 00:08:35,839 Speaker 1: thirty points per game. But A and M defensively, that's 175 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 1: why they are favored. On paper, they were the better 176 00:08:38,640 --> 00:08:40,760 Speaker 1: team this year, but not with the players that have 177 00:08:40,840 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 1: left this program, in the head coaching situation and everything else. 178 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,560 Speaker 1: Going into A and M, I'm taking Oklahoma State. Give 179 00:08:46,559 --> 00:08:51,320 Speaker 1: me OSU minus two for one point one units. Okay, 180 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:54,079 Speaker 1: So nothing in the NBA really jumps out at me, 181 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: and that's mostly because the numbers aren't really out for 182 00:08:56,840 --> 00:08:59,840 Speaker 1: tomorrow from a schedule standpoint. If there's anything that I 183 00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,120 Speaker 1: do like for tomorrow, I may jump in and tell 184 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,160 Speaker 1: you guys about it, but it's just too early in 185 00:09:04,240 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 1: the day to kind of come in to jump on it. 186 00:09:06,160 --> 00:09:09,320 Speaker 1: I mean, Philadelphia's at Orlando. That game is pretty interesting. 187 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 1: Phoenix is at Houston. If Houston does well here tonight 188 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 1: for us, we may come back. They'll be on a 189 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:16,800 Speaker 1: back to back, but we may take the Rockets again, 190 00:09:16,840 --> 00:09:19,840 Speaker 1: depending on the price. So that game obviously in action 191 00:09:19,920 --> 00:09:24,719 Speaker 1: at the moment for the Houston Rockets, who have been very, 192 00:09:24,800 --> 00:09:27,240 Speaker 1: very good at home. So we'll kind of watch the 193 00:09:27,360 --> 00:09:29,959 Speaker 1: NBA a little bit. I haven't had a good feel 194 00:09:30,040 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 1: for hockey and I'm not watching it as much as 195 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:34,679 Speaker 1: I could, So this may be kind of a time 196 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,200 Speaker 1: for me to take a little bit of a breath, 197 00:09:37,240 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 1: if you will, with hockey and then come back after 198 00:09:40,640 --> 00:09:43,080 Speaker 1: the break, after the vacation, come back with the NHL. 199 00:09:43,160 --> 00:09:45,320 Speaker 1: But for right now, I'm going to pause on that. 200 00:09:45,559 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: So two bets, both of them in college football USC 201 00:09:49,400 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 1: plus seven in the Holiday Bowl in Oklahoma State, minus 202 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:56,640 Speaker 1: two in the Texas Bowl for US, both for one 203 00:09:56,720 --> 00:09:59,520 Speaker 1: point one units. Mine's Matt Parolt, you guys, and follow 204 00:09:59,559 --> 00:10:02,160 Speaker 1: me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt every single 205 00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 1: morning the Diligence Podcast. I was being brought to you 206 00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:20,240 Speaker 1: by Olma Steaks dot Com.