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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into another episode of the Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice Podcast. I am your host, Matt Perrault. We're here

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Speaker 2: every single morning, three hundred and sixty five.

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Speaker 1: Days a year.

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Speaker 2: Pick some plays that you might want to fade. Things

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Speaker 2: have not been going good at all. One and two

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Speaker 2: last night frustration. I guess if I'm going to miss

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Speaker 2: a hockey bet. Let's miss a hockey bet like five

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Speaker 2: goals in the first period. When you bet the first

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Speaker 2: period under, great bet at least if I'm going to

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Speaker 2: be wrong, be way wrong. But I make that play

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Speaker 2: all the time. You should bet the Sabers, sorry the

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Speaker 2: crack in first period under in their next game. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it was nine straight, then that happens. Most likely we

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Speaker 2: go back to the streak in the next game for

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Speaker 2: the Seattle Kraken. But you know we lose that there.

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Speaker 2: Celtics go under. So do the Philadelphia seventy six ers.

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Speaker 2: They continue to be one of our best bet team

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Speaker 2: here for the under on Philadelphia. But Boston, the Caid

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Speaker 2: Cunningham news stinks. That's the breaks, right, you bet overnight

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Speaker 2: Caid Cuttingham didn't play and so they you know, they

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Speaker 2: got beat by twenty five. Whenever they got beat, Boston

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Speaker 2: covered that fifteen to sixteen point line pretty easily. With

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Speaker 2: Kid Cunningham being out, Jalen Brown played, Boston won big.

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Speaker 2: So betting overnight, that's just what happens. Somebody said to me,

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Speaker 2: by the way, they accused me of making things up

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Speaker 2: yesterday on Twitter. I put it on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: I don't make anything up.

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Speaker 1: Guys.

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Speaker 2: When you bet overnight, the information sometimes is accurate, sometimes

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Speaker 2: it's not. This is the game, okay, you could do

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Speaker 2: what you want, fade follow, do what you want. I'm

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Speaker 2: just telling you what I bet right and right now.

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Speaker 2: I've been losing for like two months straight. I've been losing,

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Speaker 2: so every once in a while I sweep the board.

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Speaker 2: That's the problem. It's like going one and two, one

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Speaker 2: and two, one and two, four and o one and two,

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Speaker 2: one and two, one and two, three and oh right.

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Speaker 2: That's just kind of how this has been going. It's

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Speaker 2: feast or famine. It's kind of annoying. But that's why

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Speaker 2: the numbers they're not good, but they could be way worse,

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Speaker 2: just because I'm having these days where I'm just coming

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Speaker 2: up and winning four units out of the blue. And

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Speaker 2: when you're betting, you know, three point three units a day,

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Speaker 2: and if you're losing one, losing one, losing one, win four,

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Speaker 2: you know it. Basically it makes up for the week

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Speaker 2: and gets you into a place where you can have

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Speaker 2: a winning week. So that's just the way things are going.

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Speaker 2: Fade follow do whatever you want with these picks. I've

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Speaker 2: got my first NCAA tournament bet to give you. I've

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Speaker 2: got a bet in dayton for the play in tonight

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Speaker 2: on one of the two games, and I've got two nit.

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Speaker 1: Bets all college basketball. Today.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you also a for fun parlay that's even

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Speaker 2: money if you want to bet hockey, extremely chocky dope.

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Speaker 2: It's not making I'm not making an official but if

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Speaker 2: you want a parlay, it's an even money parlay in hockey.

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Speaker 2: They'll give to you here in just one second. But

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Speaker 2: first and foremost, omawt Stakes dot com. They tell us

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Speaker 2: sponsor of the Daily Juice Omaha Steaks dot com slash

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Speaker 2: does the tournament begin tonight or does begin on Thursday?

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Speaker 2: Most would tell you the tournament begins on Thursday, so

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Speaker 2: that means you've got some time to use the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Bracket Optimizer. To get there, You're going to go

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Speaker 2: to Bettingpros dot com slash Bracket if you are watching

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Speaker 2: on YouTube, that is on the screen for you. Build

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Speaker 2: a winning March Madness bracket in seconds with the Betting

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Speaker 2: Pros Bracket Optimizer. Get to optimize your bracket using trusted

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Speaker 2: sources like KENPOMBPI and the most accurate bracket experts tracked

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Speaker 2: by Betting Pros. Lock in your top picks and let

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Speaker 2: us optimize the rest of your bracket based on advanced stats, history, odds,

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Speaker 2: and more. Quickly view key matchup info as your fellow

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Speaker 2: As you fill out your bracket with the optimizer, get

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Speaker 2: optimal upsets and sleeper picks based on the size of

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Speaker 2: your bracket pool as well. To access the bracket optimizer,

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Speaker 2: visit Bettingpros dot com slash Bracket or download the Betting

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Speaker 2: prosapp at bettingpros dot.

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Speaker 1: Com slash apps.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's start with my first NCAA tournament bet So

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Speaker 2: I told you guys before, I've been doing work with

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Speaker 2: sports Grid and there's a guy on there named Joe

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Speaker 2: Ranieri who is really smart, sharp and a guy I

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Speaker 2: love talking gaming, gambling, basketball. He turned me onto this.

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Speaker 2: This is strictly I'm giving credit to Joe because it

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Speaker 2: didn't hit in the last game, but it has hit consistently.

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Speaker 1: He told me about this play. I don't know how long.

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Speaker 2: Three weeks ago, four weeks ago, I've been doing Saturday

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Speaker 2: afternoons with him on sports Grid. Houston in the first half,

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Speaker 2: they've been housing people and they just got housed by

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Speaker 2: Iowa State. You don't think they're chomping at the bit

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Speaker 2: right now to go and destroy Longwood. The number is fifteen.

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Speaker 2: The game number is twenty four and a half. I

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Speaker 2: was talking to a book maker on my other show

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Speaker 2: on BVB and they thought the line should be thirty. Well,

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Speaker 2: guess what the halftime line is. Fifteen. We're gonna lay it.

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Speaker 2: Houston in the first half of their game in the

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Speaker 2: first round of the NCAA Tournament. Houston minus fifteen to

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Speaker 2: come out in just boat race Longwood in a similar

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Speaker 2: way to what they did in the Big twelve tournament.

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Speaker 2: If you remember, they just got out and destroyed people

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Speaker 2: in the Big twelve Tournament. It was just like, oh

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Speaker 2: my gosh, what's the score? What did they do? They

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Speaker 2: just completely depanted whoever they were facing in the Big

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Speaker 2: twelve tournament. And I think in this one, I mean,

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Speaker 2: this could be a really bad, bad, bad situation for

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Speaker 2: I mean, frankly, a team that is very lucky to

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Speaker 2: be in the NCAA tournament, right, I mean, let's be

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Speaker 2: frank here. Let's just call a spade a spade here,

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Speaker 2: number one team in the South, I still think Houston

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Speaker 2: should have been the number one overall seed, or at least,

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Speaker 2: you know, had a real good shot at being the

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Speaker 2: number one overall seed. Yes, I know what Yukon did.

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Speaker 2: They won their conference tournament, so they get it. But

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Speaker 2: Longwood's gonna get killed here. Houston minus fifteen for one

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Speaker 2: point one units that game we played on Friday night,

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Speaker 2: nine to twenty Eastern time for Houston first half. Okay,

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Speaker 2: so let's sit to the card for today, Colorado State

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Speaker 2: up against Virginia. The number is two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Certain books in Vegas have already gone to three. Most

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Speaker 2: books on the East Coast, in most books here in

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Speaker 2: Vegas are at two and a half. They're trying to

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Speaker 2: find the dog money. Nobody wants Virginia. They're almost daring

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Speaker 2: you to bet Virginia. Okay, and I understand why, Okay

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Speaker 2: about a game with a really really low total. Kempom

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Speaker 2: has this as a two point win for Colorado State.

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Speaker 1: The numbers two and a half.

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Speaker 2: Like I mentioned, boy oh boy, twenty four to ten CSU.

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Speaker 2: They lost to New Mexico in the Mountain West Conference tournament.

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Speaker 2: Nevada and San Jose State. They beat them both eighty

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Speaker 2: five seventy eight for Nevada, seventy two to sixty two

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Speaker 2: over San Jose States. Now Virginia's played in the ACC, Okay,

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Speaker 2: and I think the natural inclination is to go Virginia

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Speaker 2: is the ACC team. And yes, it could be really

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Speaker 2: ugly and most likely this game is going to go under.

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Speaker 2: But Virginia's gonna find a way to win this basketball game.

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Speaker 2: I can't see it. Virginia has been bounced far too

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Speaker 2: often early in tournaments because they can't score. And look

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Speaker 2: this team for the Rams. They're not awful defensively. They

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Speaker 2: are thirty eighth in adjusted efficiency. They're one hundred and

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Speaker 2: eleventh in effective field goal percenters defense. But Virginia's two

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Speaker 2: hundred and forty six offensively in effective field goal percent Now,

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Speaker 2: they do hit their threes, that's their whole offense.

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Speaker 1: If they miss their.

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Speaker 2: Threes neutral court, new place in Dayton, Ohio, forty six

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Speaker 2: in the country, but two point percentage, they're three hundred

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Speaker 2: and tenth. And Virginia doesn't hit their free throws. This

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Speaker 2: is the weirdest thing about Virginia. They don't hit their

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Speaker 2: free throws. They are three hundred and fifty fifth in

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Speaker 2: free throw percentage sixty three point seven. When you're in

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Speaker 2: a low scoring, tight game, what is going to be

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Speaker 2: the difference free throws? And guess what, see as you

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Speaker 2: seventy five point four percent, fifty fourth in the country,

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Speaker 2: top fifty almost in the country in free throws. The

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Speaker 2: Rams hit their free throws. Virginia does not huge problem there. Look,

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Speaker 2: I know all the metrics for UVA are tremendous, seventh

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Speaker 2: in efficiency defensively, fourteenth in effective field goal percentage defensively

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Speaker 2: eighteenth and three point defense thirty eighth and two point defense.

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Speaker 2: They're fourth in block shot percentage per game. Okay, great, okay, phenomenal,

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Speaker 2: But they do foul and teams are hitting about seventy

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Speaker 2: five percent of their free throws against them. That's a

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Speaker 2: high number. That's three hundred and thirty second in the country.

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Speaker 2: For worse, for teams that do hit their free throws

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Speaker 2: against Virginia, CSU hits their free throws. This game very

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Speaker 2: well gets decided at their free throw line here. Referees

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Speaker 2: will play a factor here. But this is a nine

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Speaker 2: to ten tip off Eastern time on True TV. Remember

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Speaker 2: go find True TV. I'll lay the two and a

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Speaker 2: half here. Okay, I don't buy Virginia. I think Cutloro

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Speaker 2: State in the Mountain West Conference. This is a chance

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Speaker 2: to kind of say, wait a minute, this is why

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Speaker 2: we got six teams in.

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Speaker 1: We should not be in Dayton.

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Speaker 2: I think there may be a chip on their shoulder

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Speaker 2: for the Rams here, just a more efficient team, low

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Speaker 2: scoring game. Most likely it goes to the under, but

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Speaker 2: I'll take the Rams to win the game and cover

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Speaker 2: two and a half points. CSU minus two and a

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Speaker 2: half for one point one units. Feel free to fade

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Speaker 2: it n it, oh boy.

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Speaker 1: Now here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna give you a PI that I can't make

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Speaker 2: official yet. Okay, I may be on this myself. I

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Speaker 2: really want to take Georgia plug. Sorry minus one and

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Speaker 2: a half. I don't know if Xavier wants to be here.

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Speaker 2: And motivation is a gigantic thing in this tournament, like

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Speaker 2: we know. Okay, George's at home, they were seven ten

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Speaker 2: and one ats at home. They're seven and three over

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Speaker 2: their last ten games, four and one over their last five.

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Speaker 2: Xavier is the complete opposite. Xavier was seven and eight

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Speaker 2: ats on the road. There are two and eight over

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Speaker 2: their last ten ATS, and they're one in four ats

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Speaker 2: over their last five. I love the Big East. I

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Speaker 2: love the SEC. George's is really inconsistent. Lost by five

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Speaker 2: to Florida. They beat Missouri by five at Missouri stinks.

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Speaker 2: They lost by fourteen on the road to Auburn. They

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Speaker 2: beat Ole miss by three as two point favorites, but

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Speaker 2: they lost at home to A and M by fourteen

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Speaker 2: at two point dogs. They lost to LSU on the road.

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Speaker 2: They covered in the game, but they lost. Auburn beat

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Speaker 2: them by.

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Speaker 1: Two twenty one points at home.

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Speaker 2: Just a little bit concerned because the last team that

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Speaker 2: Xavier played was Yukon, and like going from a Yukon

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Speaker 2: game up against Georgia is like, I don't know, Like

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Speaker 2: you're going from playing calculus or doing calculus to like

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Speaker 2: algebra one. Right, it can be tricky at times, but

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Speaker 2: it's a whole lot easier to play against Georgia on

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Speaker 2: the road or not. Now, how much does Xavier want

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Speaker 2: to be there? We don't know, so I can't bet officially,

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Speaker 2: but like a part of me says, take Georgia, Take Georgia.

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Speaker 2: But I got this birdie on my shoulder saying it's

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Speaker 2: the Big East, Matt, It's Xavier in the Big East,

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Speaker 2: and that's the right side.

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Speaker 1: Take the dog.

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Speaker 2: It's a one point win according to Kempom for Xavier

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Speaker 2: seventy eight, Sorry for Georgia, rather seventy eight to seventy seven.

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Speaker 2: Georgia to win by one numbers one and a half.

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Speaker 2: If you want that, you can jump on it. I

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Speaker 2: don't hate it at all. It may be very good play.

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Speaker 2: The play I do like, And well, the Big East

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Speaker 2: does come into play here is Butler.

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Speaker 1: Butler is on the.

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Speaker 2: Road, is at home rather against Minnesota, seventy nine to

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Speaker 2: seventy five, four point win. According to KEMPOM, the numbers

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Speaker 2: three and a half. Now, Minnesota was tremendous at home

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Speaker 2: ats and everybody including me loved to bet on Minnesota.

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Speaker 2: But on the road this year, Minnesota is emph Okay.

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Speaker 2: They were seven and five ats versus seventeen and three.

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Speaker 2: The Gophers didn't cover over their last four games, one

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Speaker 2: in four over the last five. They were red hot

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Speaker 2: twenty four and eight. One of the best teams ATS

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Speaker 2: on the year. Butler was fourteen and seventeen. Butler three

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Speaker 2: and seven over their last ten games ats. But again,

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Speaker 2: this is the Big East. Okay. They lost his aver

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Speaker 2: by four in the Big East Tournament. They beat them

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Speaker 2: at home by six in the previous game. Tough to

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Speaker 2: beat the team you just beat. They beat to Paul

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Speaker 2: My nineteen. But they that snapped a horrific wretch where

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Speaker 2: they played Marquette, Creighton, Villanova, Seaton Hall, Saint John's.

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Speaker 1: They lost them all.

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Speaker 2: But that's a gauntlet that is so hard to go

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Speaker 2: through that they're going they're trying to play.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to see this.

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Speaker 2: The NIT Championship is play this year at Hinklefieldhouse, which

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Speaker 2: is where we're going to see this game being played.

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Speaker 2: Butler can play at home the entire tournament. Okay, they're

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Speaker 2: at home. They're going to have a crowd, and look,

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Speaker 2: there's some incentive, right they win this game, they win one, two, three,

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Speaker 2: four games, and they win the bracket, all at home.

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Speaker 2: They have a home court advantage. Now, they weren't great

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Speaker 2: at home, but motivation matters in these tournaments. I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: lay the three and a half here with Butler. Again,

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Speaker 2: it's difficult to say, but officially, I love the fact.

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Speaker 2: I love the narrative. I love the fact that they

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Speaker 2: play at home. They can win the NIT by playing

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Speaker 2: in their home gym, which is huge in my opinion

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Speaker 2: for Butler. I'll lay the three and a half points

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Speaker 2: Butler or minus three and a half in the NIT

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Speaker 2: for one point one units. I can't wait to watch

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Speaker 2: this game. Butler at home against Minnesota three and a

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Speaker 2: half second play in the NIT. Kansas State, let's talk

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Speaker 2: about case Kansas State here. I am really surprised that

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Speaker 2: this number is as heavy as it is. Iowa is

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Speaker 2: a opened up as a six point favorite. It's down

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Speaker 2: to five and a half Kansas State was eight and

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Speaker 2: eight on the road this year ATS in the Big Twelve,

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Speaker 2: they were ten nine and one. It's the best conference

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Speaker 2: in basketball. Iowa was thirteen and eight in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: They were eleven and six at home. Oh sorry, sorry

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Speaker 2: old oh sorry, that's that's that's all right, that's that's over.

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Speaker 2: Under Case State was eleven and nine in the Big twelve.

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Speaker 2: They were nine and seven on the road. Iowa at

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Speaker 2: home was six ten and one at home this year,

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Speaker 2: they were seven thirteen and one in the Big Ten.

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Speaker 2: Iowa is twelve nineteen and one ats on the season,

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Speaker 2: and they were three six and one over their last ten,

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Speaker 2: one three and one over their last five.

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Speaker 1: Why is Iowa five.

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Speaker 2: And a half point favorites here? They lost by twelve

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Speaker 2: to Ohio State in the Big Ten Tournament. They lost

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Speaker 2: by twelve at home to Illinois. In their last home game.

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Speaker 2: They beat Northwestern on the road, but they beat Penn

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Speaker 2: State by nine at home as nine point dogs. They

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Speaker 2: lost to Illinois by ten on the road. They beat

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Speaker 2: Michigan State on the road somehow that was the shocker,

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Speaker 2: and they beat Wisconsin at home, but that was after

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Speaker 2: they lost. They didn't cover against Minnesota, they lost to

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Speaker 2: Ohio or didn't cover against Ohio State. I mean again,

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Speaker 2: these are teams. This is a team that just they

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Speaker 2: may win the game, but this is too heavy. Kansas

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Speaker 2: State plus five and a half, I think Case State

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Speaker 2: is a real good shot winning this game outright. On

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Speaker 2: top of the fact that Iowa basketball fan, what are

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Speaker 2: you watching Iowa men in the NIT?

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Speaker 1: Are you getting fired up to watch.

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Speaker 2: Caitlyn Clark play in Albany as the number one seed

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Speaker 2: overall in the women's bracket? Like, who's going to go

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Speaker 2: to this game besides people who are bored on a

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Speaker 2: Tuesday night in Iowa City. I mean, they'll have some

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Speaker 2: fans there, but it's not going to be I mean,

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Speaker 2: come on, Iowa State's a two seed with the chance

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Speaker 2: to win it all. Hockey fans are not jumping up

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Speaker 2: and down about being in the NIT Kansas State. Sometimes

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Speaker 2: it's easier to play on the road in the n

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Speaker 2: I T in these situations because you just go play basketball.

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Speaker 2: You don't have to play in front of your friends

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Speaker 2: or realize that, like the place is half empty. Carver

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Speaker 2: Hawkeye was always full for the women. This year not

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Speaker 2: really for the men. The women have all the energy,

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Speaker 2: all the attention. Give me case State plus five and

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Speaker 2: a half, Case Statement win the game outright. But I'm

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Speaker 2: taking the better team here. I'm taking Case State plus

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Speaker 2: five and a half for one point one units. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So again, fade everything. Not going to make me upset

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Speaker 2: at all, right now, I am just these are my bets. Okay,

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Speaker 2: this is what I am betting. Things have been rough. Okay,

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Speaker 2: but you know, maybe this is a feast day and

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Speaker 2: maybe I'll go three and oh here, and you know,

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Speaker 2: maybe the Houston bet comes in as well. But Houston

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Speaker 2: minus fifteen in the first half for Friday. That's our

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Speaker 2: first NCAA tournament bet. Colorado State in the play in

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Speaker 2: against Virginia minus two and a half, Butler minus three

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Speaker 2: and a half at home against Minnesota in the n IT,

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Speaker 2: Kansas State plus five and a half on the road

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Speaker 2: against Iowa also in the ni All right, hopefully we

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Speaker 2: have a decent night here in college basketball. Hopefully we

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Speaker 2: can end on a solid note now that we're in tournaments.

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Speaker 2: It's happened before end of the year struggled, you know,

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Speaker 2: kind of like the NFL struggled. Then you get to

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Speaker 2: the playoffs and things pick up. It's a little bit

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Speaker 2: more consistent with how the teams are going to perform.

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Speaker 2: You get maximum effort and whatnot, so hopefully things go well.

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Speaker 2: Minus Matt Parol followed me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt every morning the Deal Juice Podcast I was

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