1 00:00:00,840 --> 00:00:07,960 Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of his information five dollars. 2 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:11,119 Speaker 1: This is a regular Les Company tackle ship. 3 00:00:11,240 --> 00:00:11,440 Speaker 2: One. 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:18,400 Speaker 1: Man, you're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable. 5 00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: Humans need fantasy to be human? My goodness, that's good. 6 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:31,320 Speaker 1: I suppose it's the best. Relentless refusing to give up. 7 00:00:31,800 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 3: All right, hit that horn, baby, let's and welcome to 8 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 3: the Fantasy Flex Props Podcast. 9 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:39,639 Speaker 1: I am your host. 10 00:00:39,680 --> 00:00:42,840 Speaker 3: Chris Raybond joined us always but my dude Sean Kerner. 11 00:00:42,920 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 3: The show is presented by Prize Picks. Sean, how are 12 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:45,520 Speaker 3: you doing? 13 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 1: What's up? I'm pretty good. 14 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: I feel like I'm finally over this three week sickness 15 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,360 Speaker 2: I had. So we need to go catch al Aker 16 00:00:53,440 --> 00:00:53,880 Speaker 2: game soon. 17 00:00:53,920 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 1: What do you think? Hey, I'm down man, atch a 18 00:00:57,600 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: Waker game? What about what about hockey? Anyone? Thanks? Hockey 19 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:01,440 Speaker 1: over here? No? 20 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 2: No, no, no, no Laker game or Clipper game. But 21 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:07,360 Speaker 2: you know it's across the street from Saples Center, right, 22 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 2: what's the cars the street? 23 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:13,360 Speaker 1: Kanye runbar? Yeah? 24 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,039 Speaker 3: For those that those that don't know, I think like 25 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 3: the first time, yeah, I think the first time Sean 26 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:20,800 Speaker 3: and I ever met in real life. Uh, he took 27 00:01:20,840 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 3: me there on like a sun Sunday afternoon, right and it. 28 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,119 Speaker 1: Was pretty lit. So yeah, got to hit it back. 29 00:01:26,120 --> 00:01:27,800 Speaker 3: I mean, the Lakers, if there's still a team by 30 00:01:27,840 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 3: the time you get to go to a gay, I mean, 31 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:33,200 Speaker 3: it's it's crazy. And right now being I haven't been 32 00:01:33,200 --> 00:01:37,119 Speaker 3: paying the west Brook Lebron Lebron said, Lebron was out 33 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:39,920 Speaker 3: the game. And then west they buy Bull We to 34 00:01:39,959 --> 00:01:42,600 Speaker 3: the Thunder and lost by eight. And then Westbrook got 35 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 3: ejected because some basally dunked with a second and a 36 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:46,360 Speaker 3: half to go into. 37 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: Game and they were already had already won. And it's 38 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: just a mess. 39 00:01:49,280 --> 00:01:52,680 Speaker 3: But this is a football podcast, so we digress. Let's 40 00:01:52,720 --> 00:01:55,160 Speaker 3: start with breaking down the Sunday night football state, then 41 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 3: we'll get into our favorite props for the weekend. On 42 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:02,760 Speaker 3: Prize Picks, we got the Vikings, we got the Cowboys. 43 00:02:03,000 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: Good game, both teams coming out of a bye. 44 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 3: The one thing about the Vikings is they're underlying advanced 45 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:13,160 Speaker 3: metrics are a lot better than their win loss record. 46 00:02:13,160 --> 00:02:15,720 Speaker 1: They're three and a three and three, three and three 47 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:16,799 Speaker 1: now yeah. 48 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:19,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, because they have a buy yeah three, Yeah, they're 49 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,840 Speaker 2: three and three, but there metrics make them, you know, 50 00:02:23,160 --> 00:02:26,120 Speaker 2: an above average team by almost any thing you look at, 51 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:27,360 Speaker 2: So this should be a good game. 52 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:32,280 Speaker 3: Sean, who are you thinking in the captain spot. 53 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:35,360 Speaker 2: There's a lot of options on this slight obviously, but 54 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,079 Speaker 2: I think Justin Jefferson is the way to go. I 55 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 2: always love having receivers in my captain slot, but with 56 00:02:42,160 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 2: the Vikings, they have such a narrow target tree. He's 57 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 2: just a lock for a big game. And Adam Field 58 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 2: has been great the past one or two games, but 59 00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:52,160 Speaker 2: you know Justin Jefferson one. 60 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 3: Or two games that season, well, I mean. 61 00:02:56,600 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 1: Twenty touchdowns since last ye he has a touchdown like 62 00:02:59,320 --> 00:02:59,760 Speaker 1: every game. 63 00:02:59,800 --> 00:03:02,000 Speaker 2: But the whole point is, I mean he put it 64 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:04,919 Speaker 2: all together for an eleven catch, one hundred and twenty 65 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:07,040 Speaker 2: six yard games, so we haven't really seen that from 66 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 2: him other than the touchdowns. Either way, I digress. Justin 67 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 2: Jefferson scoreless in the past two so I think he's 68 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,800 Speaker 2: due for a touchdown. So I think just when it 69 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:17,919 Speaker 2: comes to the captain slot, I'm going to go Justin 70 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 2: Jefferson here. 71 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 1: The key question is Adam Thiewen the White Mike Evans. Yeah, 72 00:03:24,000 --> 00:03:24,359 Speaker 1: well he. 73 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 2: Is because I mean he's touchdown dependent, but he's always 74 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:31,519 Speaker 2: going to be scoring touchdowns. So that's why it's it's 75 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 2: hard to ever fade him. So yeah, I would agree 76 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:35,920 Speaker 2: with that. 77 00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:38,840 Speaker 3: I mean no, because usually and I'm half black and 78 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 3: half white, so I'm just joking. Don't cancel me, please, 79 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 3: But what you know, it's funny because like a lot 80 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 3: of times when people compare white receivers, it's always to 81 00:03:46,120 --> 00:03:48,560 Speaker 3: another white receiver. So I'm just trying to give I'm 82 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:51,320 Speaker 3: just trying to be accoustive here and give love where 83 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:52,000 Speaker 3: love is due. 84 00:03:52,240 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 2: And Adam Well, to be sure, it's all like feeling 85 00:03:54,760 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: ever has those three catch for three yards and three 86 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 2: touchdown games. 87 00:03:58,400 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 3: You know, usually he. 88 00:03:59,240 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 2: Gets like, you know, thirty yards, so it's yeah, he's 89 00:04:02,960 --> 00:04:05,960 Speaker 2: quite the touchdown to pet like where he just scores 90 00:04:05,960 --> 00:04:09,160 Speaker 2: it insane him out, but he's certainly in that ballpark. 91 00:04:09,520 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I have I don't have the numbers 92 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:14,000 Speaker 3: on the off the top, but I'm sure. 93 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 1: The and and Evans are among the league leaders. 94 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 3: In like fewest yards per touchdown, Like they just get 95 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 3: so many touchdowns. 96 00:04:20,600 --> 00:04:24,760 Speaker 1: But John Ross is probably the all time great. Oh 97 00:04:24,880 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: John Ross on the Giants in that mess. 98 00:04:27,800 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 3: But uh yeah, I like the Jefferson call a lot 99 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:33,960 Speaker 3: he's the guy on Minnesota that I would look to, uh, 100 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:37,880 Speaker 3: because Dallas is now playing the six most man coverage. 101 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:39,960 Speaker 1: Dan Quinn's come a long way, you know. 102 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:42,280 Speaker 3: He used to just play that kind of zone defense, 103 00:04:42,320 --> 00:04:44,320 Speaker 3: and running backs used to get like hundreds of catches 104 00:04:44,520 --> 00:04:47,760 Speaker 3: every year on his defenses. But now Dallas is very multiple. 105 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:52,560 Speaker 3: They're playing the six most man coverage. Justin Jefferson has 106 00:04:53,000 --> 00:04:56,520 Speaker 3: twenty two targets, eighteen catches, two hundred and eighty two yards, 107 00:04:56,680 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 3: two touchdowns against man coverage. 108 00:04:58,960 --> 00:05:01,960 Speaker 1: The next highest on the team is Steeling and. 109 00:05:01,960 --> 00:05:04,599 Speaker 3: He's got just fourteen targets and ten catches for one 110 00:05:04,680 --> 00:05:07,080 Speaker 3: hundred and thirty nine yards at two scores, So Jefferson 111 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:09,240 Speaker 3: has double the yardage against man coverage. 112 00:05:09,279 --> 00:05:11,880 Speaker 1: He's been cousins go to guy in this spot. 113 00:05:11,880 --> 00:05:14,560 Speaker 3: I'm sure you know Trevon Diggs will be on him some, 114 00:05:14,680 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 3: so it'll be a good battle back and forth. But 115 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 3: Mike Jefferson and then for the Cowboys, I still think 116 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:22,800 Speaker 3: it's Zeke just because you look at Minnesota. They're number 117 00:05:22,800 --> 00:05:26,599 Speaker 3: three in pass defense DVOA according to Football Outsiders, but 118 00:05:26,880 --> 00:05:28,920 Speaker 3: they're number twenty four against the run, so they set 119 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:31,560 Speaker 3: up as a run funnel. You know, Zeke is still 120 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:33,680 Speaker 3: that lead back in Dallas even though they're mixing. 121 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:34,760 Speaker 1: Pollered in more. 122 00:05:34,800 --> 00:05:37,120 Speaker 3: But Minnesota is kind of every one of those kind 123 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:39,360 Speaker 3: of new age defenses that says, hey, you know, we 124 00:05:39,720 --> 00:05:42,400 Speaker 3: know our offense is pretty good, so we're gonna focus 125 00:05:42,400 --> 00:05:44,320 Speaker 3: on stopping the pass. If you want to run on us, 126 00:05:44,560 --> 00:05:47,720 Speaker 3: run on us, and so they invite the run. So yeah, 127 00:05:47,800 --> 00:05:52,640 Speaker 3: Zeke and Jefferson. For me, what about for DFSCHA codes, Well, 128 00:05:52,720 --> 00:05:55,680 Speaker 3: it rains us be seen if Michael Gallup's gonna suit up. 129 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,039 Speaker 3: So if he suits up, we'll have to see, you 130 00:05:58,080 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 3: know how healthy is. But he might be a potential. 131 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:03,159 Speaker 2: Cheat code certainly that would that would make a guy 132 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:08,480 Speaker 2: like Cedric Wilson almost unplayable. So also unpack on the 133 00:06:08,520 --> 00:06:11,040 Speaker 2: Cowboys side, I think for the Viking side, our boy 134 00:06:11,120 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 2: kJ Osborne, it's hard to tell, Like do you think 135 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:16,839 Speaker 2: he's gonna be his roster ship is gonna be pretty 136 00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:18,640 Speaker 2: high here or is he still kind of overlooked. 137 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 3: I think it's it's gonna be kind of split because 138 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 3: you're gonna have other options like Conklin and like you're 139 00:06:25,200 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 3: gonna have a lot of those ancillary receivers options in 140 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 3: this game because Dak has been so good with the 141 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:32,360 Speaker 3: Cowboys and and uh and the Bike is kind of 142 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:33,919 Speaker 3: those two guys, So I don't think it will be 143 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 3: crazy then, But yeah, then. 144 00:06:36,320 --> 00:06:40,080 Speaker 2: I'm going kJ Osbourne. Then he and Tyler Conklin seem 145 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 2: to rotate. You know who's Kirk cousins number three target, 146 00:06:43,600 --> 00:06:45,800 Speaker 2: So I think, you know, picking your spots for either 147 00:06:45,880 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 2: one of those two, I think it's probably the way 148 00:06:48,839 --> 00:06:50,920 Speaker 2: to go here. So I'm going with kJ Osborne as 149 00:06:50,960 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 2: my cheat code. 150 00:06:51,760 --> 00:06:52,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Osborne. 151 00:06:52,720 --> 00:06:55,279 Speaker 3: I think Conklin and Osborne both have a case in 152 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:58,320 Speaker 3: this one because Osborne has been their guy against man coverage. 153 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 3: Dallas does play a lot of man but Dallas is 154 00:07:01,240 --> 00:07:03,479 Speaker 3: one of those teams, you know. They they're number thirty 155 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,480 Speaker 3: two in DVOA against tight ends. Now it doesn't necessarily 156 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 3: mean that teams are thrown all over them, but you know, 157 00:07:09,360 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 3: when they do throw to tight ends, teams have been effective. 158 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 3: So I think Osworn might get an extra target or too, 159 00:07:16,080 --> 00:07:18,160 Speaker 3: So I probably mean him, but I like Osbourne as well. 160 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 3: I mean I like Conquin as well, just because of 161 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:23,600 Speaker 3: the matchup. And then on the Dallas side, I still 162 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:27,480 Speaker 3: like Dalton Schultz. Whether Gallup is back or not, Minnesota 163 00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:30,440 Speaker 3: is twenty six and dvoa against tight ends. Schultz the 164 00:07:30,480 --> 00:07:33,480 Speaker 3: last three games has been running around an over seventy 165 00:07:33,560 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 3: percent of the dropbacks, so he's really run away with 166 00:07:36,000 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 3: that job. He's getting twice as many snaps or routes 167 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 3: as Dalton as a Blake Jarwin. And that's really what 168 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 3: you need at tight end is those routes. So like 169 00:07:44,880 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 3: Schultz as well. Yeah, I'm never gonna fade Schultz for 170 00:07:49,520 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 3: the time being. But so you think if if Michael 171 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 3: got returns and say runs, you know, seventy percent of 172 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,320 Speaker 3: the routes, you don't think he'll impact Schultz at all. 173 00:07:58,800 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 3: I mean not enough, not enough, because you're still getting 174 00:08:03,480 --> 00:08:05,840 Speaker 3: a full time tight end and you're really just replacing 175 00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:07,720 Speaker 3: the Cedric Wilson. 176 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: Outs with Gallup. And I know, Gallup he may get 177 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:14,680 Speaker 1: a couple more you know, smaller higher percent. Wait, let 178 00:08:14,680 --> 00:08:15,200 Speaker 1: me say that again. 179 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:18,200 Speaker 3: Gallup might get a little bit more of a target 180 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,679 Speaker 3: share per route than a guy like Wilson. But Schultz 181 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,880 Speaker 3: has still been you know, he's been a key part 182 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 3: of the offense because the more receivers you have, the 183 00:08:26,960 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 3: more you have to pay attention to all those Dallas receivers. 184 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:33,040 Speaker 3: You kind of have to pick your poison, and it 185 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,199 Speaker 3: tends to be Sholtz because he also got Jump Pollard. 186 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 3: So yeah, Dallas is just tough man like they're just kidding. 187 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,960 Speaker 3: They're also underfeated against the spread. Remember, and they started 188 00:08:42,440 --> 00:08:44,400 Speaker 3: eight against the spread last year, so they could go 189 00:08:44,640 --> 00:08:47,520 Speaker 3: from eight to eight and oh they get the next two. 190 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,600 Speaker 1: Nice, So I think I'll be on many here on 191 00:08:50,640 --> 00:08:51,160 Speaker 1: the spread though. 192 00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:53,480 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, I love Minnesota in this, but I'm just saying, 193 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,440 Speaker 3: you know, Dallas, they haven't just d them. 194 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 1: No, That's what I'm saying. I love it. Yeah, you 195 00:08:58,760 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 1: just jinxed them. 196 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:04,480 Speaker 3: Okay, let's get into our props for this week. Sean, 197 00:09:04,480 --> 00:09:06,000 Speaker 3: where are you going with your quarterback prop? 198 00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:10,199 Speaker 2: I'm going with the trustee Jalen Hurts over his rushing 199 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,720 Speaker 2: prop this week gets forty two and a half yards 200 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 2: surprisingly against the Lions. I'm projecting this closer to forty 201 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 2: nine and a half. And I think he's gone over 202 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:22,840 Speaker 2: this all but two games this year and the three 203 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 2: starts yeah lost year where he played the entire game 204 00:09:24,960 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 2: he went over as well. So he's just a machine 205 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,760 Speaker 2: when it comes to these rushing props in the low forties. 206 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,520 Speaker 2: It almost doesn't really matter on the matchup. They could 207 00:09:33,559 --> 00:09:35,560 Speaker 2: be trailing and he's still running. They could be leading, 208 00:09:35,559 --> 00:09:37,679 Speaker 2: he's still running. So I just love the high floor 209 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:41,360 Speaker 2: that he offers for the rushing prop. So I'm taking 210 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,800 Speaker 2: his over forty two and a half yards here. Yeah, 211 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:44,840 Speaker 2: I have this around fifty. 212 00:09:44,960 --> 00:09:47,640 Speaker 3: So, yeah, that's interesting that they posted it so low 213 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:48,360 Speaker 3: to start the week. 214 00:09:48,920 --> 00:09:51,640 Speaker 1: I'm sure that one will go up in short order. 215 00:09:52,880 --> 00:09:55,200 Speaker 3: For my first for my quarterback prop, I'm going with 216 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:57,319 Speaker 3: Sam Darnold under two hundred and forty two and a 217 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:58,400 Speaker 3: half passing yards. 218 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:00,800 Speaker 1: I have this closet two thirty. 219 00:10:01,240 --> 00:10:04,200 Speaker 3: And part of that is because Matt Rule has come 220 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:06,360 Speaker 3: out and said we want to be more run heavy. 221 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,199 Speaker 3: Part of that is because Donald has been ridiculously ineffective 222 00:10:10,320 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 3: these last three games. And part of it is because 223 00:10:13,600 --> 00:10:17,199 Speaker 3: there's a benching risk with Donald. So you have kind 224 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 3: of like the perfect storm aside from the matchup with 225 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,200 Speaker 3: the Falcons, which is never a perfect storm. But that's 226 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:23,880 Speaker 3: why we're getting it as high as two forty two 227 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 3: and a half. Uh, most defensesould be lower, but these 228 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:31,839 Speaker 3: last three games one seventy seven, two oh seven and 229 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 3: one twelve for Sam Donald. He played only seventy percent 230 00:10:35,800 --> 00:10:37,920 Speaker 3: of the snap so last week and got benched. So 231 00:10:38,360 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 3: there's a lot of outs for Donald to go under this, 232 00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:44,559 Speaker 3: and even if the Panthers rebound a little bit, he 233 00:10:44,600 --> 00:10:47,080 Speaker 3: could go under it in a winning game script. So yeah, 234 00:10:47,200 --> 00:10:49,160 Speaker 3: just a lot of outs here under two forty two 235 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:50,240 Speaker 3: and a half for Donald. 236 00:10:50,640 --> 00:10:51,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it. 237 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 2: You know, I'm projecting them to play one hundred percent 238 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,440 Speaker 2: of the snaps and I have this at you know, 239 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:59,160 Speaker 2: two thirty five. But what's what's the percent chance he 240 00:10:59,240 --> 00:11:02,400 Speaker 2: gets bench It's it's greater than five percent, right, I 241 00:11:02,480 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: have it around Tish Tennis Peru. Yeah, like it once, 242 00:11:04,960 --> 00:11:07,400 Speaker 2: You've talked about it, and now this is over sixty 243 00:11:07,440 --> 00:11:10,319 Speaker 2: percent chance of hitting. So that's the thing when it 244 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: comes to betting unders, especially, you know, like a problem 245 00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:16,360 Speaker 2: like this, you have so many outs, including him getting benched, 246 00:11:16,360 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 2: and that's that's going to be a no brainer. 247 00:11:18,559 --> 00:11:20,719 Speaker 1: Whin so love the problem. 248 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:23,760 Speaker 3: I usually have quarterbacks projected for one hundred percent outside 249 00:11:23,800 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 3: of like you know, Jamis, but last week I actually. 250 00:11:26,280 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: Did have PJ. Walker projecting, like oh you did? 251 00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:31,960 Speaker 3: Yeah, I just I mean anytime a quarterback has, like 252 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 3: a quarterback like that has like two three bad games 253 00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 3: in a row, you always have to be on alert. 254 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:39,160 Speaker 3: So that's one of my favorite things is the season progresses. 255 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:41,520 Speaker 3: Because you always talk about how quarterback props. You know, 256 00:11:41,559 --> 00:11:43,960 Speaker 3: there's usually not a ton of value on betting them 257 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:48,520 Speaker 3: because yardage is kind of predictable for the most part. 258 00:11:48,640 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 3: But a lot of times I've had success is just 259 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 3: targeting those quarterbacks that can potentially get benched with unders 260 00:11:54,600 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 3: because you're not only getting you know, unders usually hit 261 00:11:56,679 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 3: more than overs as it is, but when you're getting 262 00:11:58,440 --> 00:12:01,040 Speaker 3: that extra chance of a benching, it. 263 00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: Usually puts it over the top and gives you a 264 00:12:02,640 --> 00:12:03,760 Speaker 1: little bit of edge. Yeah, exactly. 265 00:12:03,840 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 2: I mean passing yards, there's just a wide range of outcomes, 266 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 2: So even if we see something like ten yards of value, 267 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:12,439 Speaker 2: it doesn't mean it's you know, an over sixty percent 268 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:16,000 Speaker 2: chance of hitting. But when those range of outcomes include 269 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 2: a benching. Again, that's that's why a probably like this, 270 00:12:19,880 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 2: there's so much value on the under is because it 271 00:12:22,440 --> 00:12:24,520 Speaker 2: kind of taps in that wide range of outcomes. The 272 00:12:24,520 --> 00:12:28,000 Speaker 2: extreme being he's not even playing, so it's really easy 273 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:30,560 Speaker 2: to go under when the guy's not playing, So that's why, Yeah, 274 00:12:30,760 --> 00:12:32,800 Speaker 2: probably like this offers a ton of hidden value. 275 00:12:33,120 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's a good point. 276 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 3: Like the like ten yards doesn't mean much because the 277 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,880 Speaker 3: average completion in the NFL is about eleven eleven yards, 278 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:42,480 Speaker 3: just over eleven, So you know, one completion, you know, 279 00:12:42,520 --> 00:12:44,640 Speaker 3: it could send it crazy. But yeah, all right, let's 280 00:12:44,640 --> 00:12:47,040 Speaker 3: go to running back. Who you got I'm going with 281 00:12:47,080 --> 00:12:50,360 Speaker 3: another over here. You're going with unders, I'm going with overs. 282 00:12:50,800 --> 00:12:53,559 Speaker 3: I'm going Elijah Mitchell over sixty six and a half 283 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:56,719 Speaker 3: rushing yards. I still don't think this is too high 284 00:12:56,760 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 3: because you know, ever since he returned, he's the lead back, 285 00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:04,120 Speaker 3: Trey Sermon has only carried the ball once over the 286 00:13:04,120 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 3: past two games. And obviously, you know, Mitchell went off 287 00:13:07,440 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 3: against the number one rush team against the running DV 288 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:12,560 Speaker 3: Away and the Colts last week. 289 00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 2: That was without Trent Williams. Trent Williams could return this week, 290 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:19,320 Speaker 2: so that that'll be huge for Mitchell and the foreign 291 00:13:19,320 --> 00:13:22,840 Speaker 2: Anders run blocking scheme. So I'm projecting him closer, you know, 292 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:24,760 Speaker 2: like seventy three and a half here, and I just 293 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 2: think he has a very high floor considering they're giving 294 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 2: him the majority of the work. Jamichael Hasey returned last 295 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 2: week and had three carries and three receptions. So if anything, 296 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:38,000 Speaker 2: Hasty can eat into his Mitchell's receiving work and that 297 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:40,800 Speaker 2: that will only help him in this market. If he 298 00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 2: becomes just sort of the lead, you know, early down back. 299 00:13:44,880 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 2: This is another one of those props, right. I just 300 00:13:47,040 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 2: think he has. 301 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:49,400 Speaker 1: A too high of a floor. 302 00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:52,880 Speaker 2: So you know, even though overs, it's always tough to 303 00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:54,880 Speaker 2: take an over when a player has a high floor 304 00:13:54,920 --> 00:13:57,559 Speaker 2: like this, I definitely prefer to go over here. 305 00:13:58,240 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm Mitchell for seventeen, He's seventy yards Hasty like 306 00:14:02,559 --> 00:14:04,520 Speaker 3: three carries because Hasty has been the third down back. 307 00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 1: Really, that's what it is. Like how many cars for Sermons? 308 00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 1: Zero point three? Okay, all right, yeah he's not getting 309 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:11,559 Speaker 1: in this game. 310 00:14:12,600 --> 00:14:16,760 Speaker 3: Kyle sh like he's getting the injury. Whatever percent chance 311 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 3: that would both of those guys get injured, that's that's 312 00:14:19,440 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 3: the carricter. But I mean I had that last week too. 313 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:24,560 Speaker 3: I got the minute they said Hasty was activated. I 314 00:14:24,600 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 3: was like, this is the guy that they deactivated Sermon for. 315 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 3: He's getting zero carries, Like I'm projecting him from like 316 00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:31,760 Speaker 3: a half a carrier, and but no, I. 317 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:32,640 Speaker 1: Agree with the Mitchell prob. 318 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,360 Speaker 3: But I think that's you know, it's one of those 319 00:14:35,480 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 3: he's like he's kind of a guy that everyone looks 320 00:14:37,400 --> 00:14:39,600 Speaker 3: at him lumped in with all those other Niner backs, 321 00:14:39,760 --> 00:14:42,440 Speaker 3: but he's he's been the lead back every time he's 322 00:14:42,440 --> 00:14:45,040 Speaker 3: been active, like whether like at first it was like 323 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 3: maybe people got hurt, people didn't think he was the 324 00:14:46,920 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 3: true lead back, But every time he's been active, it's 325 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,440 Speaker 3: been you know, like two thirds of the snaps or 326 00:14:52,480 --> 00:14:54,960 Speaker 3: more two thirds of the backfield touches or more. 327 00:14:55,000 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 1: So, Yeah, he's shnning. 328 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:01,000 Speaker 2: Do you think when Jeff Wilson returns, he's gonna uh, 329 00:15:01,040 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: you know, split work with him become the lead back? Like, 330 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 2: how do you think he's going to factor in if 331 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,960 Speaker 2: at all? Yeah, I mean he's always like the fourth back. 332 00:15:08,080 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 3: So like I'm just trying to go off Shanahan here, 333 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:13,960 Speaker 3: and it's which is extremely difficult, but Wilson had always 334 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:16,640 Speaker 3: been like the fourth back to start every season. So 335 00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:18,200 Speaker 3: I don't think he's gonna come off an injury and 336 00:15:18,240 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 3: suddenly usurp Mitchell, Like I think he may. He may 337 00:15:21,720 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 3: be the reason sermon is scratch on game days. Again, 338 00:15:25,040 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 3: that's that's. 339 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 1: Probably what it might be. 340 00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:30,120 Speaker 2: I know how much you love talking about running back, 341 00:15:30,160 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 2: so I'm just trying to draw it all out of 342 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 2: you right now. 343 00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the fan of forty nine er backs 344 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:36,960 Speaker 1: is still going pretty well. 345 00:15:37,000 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 3: I mean, I know Mitchell had a couple of good weeks, 346 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,560 Speaker 3: but it's like even those weeks, people weren't always starting 347 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:42,800 Speaker 3: him those weeks. 348 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:44,560 Speaker 1: So it's like it's been a mess in that back. 349 00:15:44,760 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 3: But I think Mitchell's Shanahan's guy, and I think there 350 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:50,240 Speaker 3: was some disconnect between, Like, I don't I just don't 351 00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 3: think he likes He's done this a lot with draft picks. 352 00:15:52,440 --> 00:15:56,320 Speaker 3: I you pettish Sererman like these high draft picks. He 353 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:58,880 Speaker 3: just I don't know if it's the front office and Winch, 354 00:15:59,240 --> 00:16:01,240 Speaker 3: you know, make too much of the decision or what. 355 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:03,960 Speaker 1: But it's been ugly. But anyway, let's go to. 356 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 3: Running backs, and I'm going Chewba Hubbard under sixty eight 357 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,280 Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards. I think we talked about 358 00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 3: this one earlier in the week. You know, I do 359 00:16:13,640 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 3: think Carolina does rebound. I obviously think they want to 360 00:16:16,640 --> 00:16:18,320 Speaker 3: run the ball and take it out of donald'svance, hence 361 00:16:18,360 --> 00:16:21,560 Speaker 3: to Donald under. But you look at Hubbard, and even 362 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:24,560 Speaker 3: with being the lead back for the past four weeks, 363 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:27,840 Speaker 3: he's been under this number in three of those four 364 00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 3: and every you know, he's had double digit carries five 365 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:33,680 Speaker 3: times he's been under this number, and four he's only 366 00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:35,560 Speaker 3: had this twenty four for one on one against Philly. 367 00:16:35,560 --> 00:16:37,960 Speaker 3: Besides that, it was you know eight sixteen for sixty 368 00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:40,880 Speaker 3: one against Minnesota, twelve for twenty eight last week when 369 00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:43,720 Speaker 3: they wanted to run. So the old line is really 370 00:16:43,720 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 3: making it tough. He's had you know, four more catches 371 00:16:46,720 --> 00:16:48,640 Speaker 3: in two of the last three. They're they're gonna have 372 00:16:48,640 --> 00:16:50,480 Speaker 3: to start to use them more like a McCaffrey where 373 00:16:50,480 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 3: they're just using him in the in the past game 374 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,640 Speaker 3: to try to take the pressure off Donald because they're 375 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,720 Speaker 3: not getting enough push in the run game to get 376 00:16:57,760 --> 00:16:59,880 Speaker 3: this number. I mean, he may need like, you know, 377 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,600 Speaker 3: twenty plus carries and he's only got that, you know, 378 00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,679 Speaker 3: he's only got over sixteen and once in four starts. 379 00:17:04,720 --> 00:17:06,840 Speaker 3: So like Tuba under sixty eight and a half, I 380 00:17:06,840 --> 00:17:07,840 Speaker 3: have this closer. 381 00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 1: To sixty two. 382 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, and the game script probably doesn't dictate him getting 383 00:17:13,680 --> 00:17:15,600 Speaker 2: twenty plus touches, right are they are? They now a 384 00:17:15,640 --> 00:17:16,520 Speaker 2: field goal underdog. 385 00:17:17,040 --> 00:17:18,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, d be fair. 386 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 3: I like I like Carolin. I think it's a good 387 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 3: Bilo spot on Carolina. I mean division game. But they're 388 00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,040 Speaker 3: just like all these lines are just being set so 389 00:17:25,160 --> 00:17:27,439 Speaker 3: high because I guess no one has any respect for 390 00:17:27,440 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 3: Atlanta's defense, but it just doesn't factor in, Like, yeah, 391 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 3: any gamescript going wrong, a benching for Donald. You know 392 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:38,520 Speaker 3: with Hubbard, they've still been mixing Royce Freeman in, so yeah, 393 00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:40,960 Speaker 3: going under him. Who you got for your second running 394 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:41,359 Speaker 3: back prop? 395 00:17:41,840 --> 00:17:44,400 Speaker 2: So last week I was pretty bold and I took 396 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:46,600 Speaker 2: the under forty one and a half receiving yards for 397 00:17:46,680 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 2: Cordell Patterson. I'm going the other way this week. I'm 398 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:52,960 Speaker 2: going over thirty four and a half receiving yards. I'm 399 00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:56,080 Speaker 2: buying the dip on c pat when it comes to 400 00:17:56,080 --> 00:17:59,359 Speaker 2: as receiving usage because you know, last week he he flucked. 401 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:01,879 Speaker 2: He had two catches for one yard, but that was 402 00:18:01,920 --> 00:18:04,680 Speaker 2: despite running his season high and routes run last week 403 00:18:04,720 --> 00:18:07,760 Speaker 2: at sixty seven percent. If you can get anywhere near that. 404 00:18:08,320 --> 00:18:11,400 Speaker 2: This week, he is sailing over this number. He's gone 405 00:18:11,440 --> 00:18:14,440 Speaker 2: over this number I think four times other six games 406 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:17,239 Speaker 2: to start the season. So his role is only going 407 00:18:17,320 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 2: to grow. He might not see the same target rate 408 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:21,719 Speaker 2: he's seen on his routs run this year. I think 409 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 2: it's somewhere around like thirty three percent. Obviously that's unsustainable, 410 00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 2: but if he can, if he can pass, you know, 411 00:18:27,720 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 2: twenty five percent of his routs run where he sees 412 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:33,360 Speaker 2: a target, he will clear this number more times than 413 00:18:33,400 --> 00:18:36,480 Speaker 2: not if he's getting you know, over fifty percent of 414 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:37,080 Speaker 2: the routes run. 415 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:38,400 Speaker 1: So love the over here. 416 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 2: I've been projecting this coastre to forty one and a half, ironically, 417 00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:43,399 Speaker 2: which is what the number was last week. 418 00:18:44,400 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, and his looks like his rushing projection has come down. 419 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 3: You know, we talked about that one. I think it 420 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:50,960 Speaker 3: was fifty three and a half earlier in the week. 421 00:18:51,920 --> 00:18:53,960 Speaker 3: Now it's down forty four and a half. And I 422 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:57,120 Speaker 3: guess there are essentially one way or another to say 423 00:18:57,119 --> 00:19:00,400 Speaker 3: he's gonna get like eighty five yards. But now, yeah, 424 00:19:00,400 --> 00:19:02,760 Speaker 3: I have it just over I have it around thirty seven. 425 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,359 Speaker 3: You know, I have him under ten yards of catch. 426 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,240 Speaker 3: Still he's kind of split time between the backfield and 427 00:19:08,600 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 3: the slot. 428 00:19:09,320 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: But yeah, I think I. 429 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:12,679 Speaker 3: Mean, one way or another, he's a high end running 430 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,080 Speaker 3: back two and he's got a chance to kind of 431 00:19:15,080 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 3: get like forty forty ish rushing and receiving. 432 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:18,920 Speaker 1: Yards yep, each week. 433 00:19:19,640 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 3: All right, for my second running back prop, I'm going 434 00:19:22,640 --> 00:19:25,040 Speaker 3: a Leonard four Nette under fifty five and a half 435 00:19:25,119 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 3: rushing against the Saints. And this this is just a 436 00:19:28,680 --> 00:19:30,720 Speaker 3: target of the Saints defense or a fate of a 437 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,840 Speaker 3: back against the Saints defense. This is a game where 438 00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:37,080 Speaker 3: the Bucks probably come out throwing. I mean, the Saints 439 00:19:37,080 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 3: have just been lights out against the run. They've given 440 00:19:40,760 --> 00:19:43,679 Speaker 3: up three hundred and thirty three yards on one hundred 441 00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:46,880 Speaker 3: and twenty carries two running backs this year. So now 442 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:48,800 Speaker 3: they're even better than the Bucks. They're giving up just 443 00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 3: two point seven eight yards per carry to backs. Last week, 444 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 3: Alex Collins had sixteen carries, which is a feasible number 445 00:19:57,040 --> 00:20:00,480 Speaker 3: for four net got just thirty five yards. You know, 446 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:02,879 Speaker 3: they've only given up this number twice in six games. 447 00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:05,159 Speaker 3: More than this number twice in six games. One of 448 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:07,840 Speaker 3: them was to Christian McCaffrey and the other one was 449 00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,560 Speaker 3: to Antonio Gibson who got twenty carries. I just guess 450 00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:12,640 Speaker 3: this is not how the Bucks play like. They they're 451 00:20:12,800 --> 00:20:15,280 Speaker 3: very game plan specific. They're getting Gronk they should be 452 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:17,879 Speaker 3: getting gronk back for this one. So I had this 453 00:20:17,960 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 3: at forty eight for four nette and he also his 454 00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:22,879 Speaker 3: carries share dipped a little bit. I know it was 455 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 3: a blowout, but we can't always expect him to get 456 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,000 Speaker 3: like ninety percent of the of the carries, So I 457 00:20:28,000 --> 00:20:30,480 Speaker 3: have him getting about seventy percent, and I'm well under 458 00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:30,960 Speaker 3: this number. 459 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think, you know, the past few games 460 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:38,800 Speaker 2: he's benefited from some serious blowout game scripts. You know, 461 00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,960 Speaker 2: Tom Brady's thumb issue might have been a bigger issue 462 00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:43,280 Speaker 2: than we realized. So yeah, this is a good time 463 00:20:43,320 --> 00:20:46,000 Speaker 2: to sort of sell high on Fournette. But I mean, man, 464 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 2: has he been a beast this year. And I remember 465 00:20:49,000 --> 00:20:51,000 Speaker 2: like during the summer when I was doing basket balls 466 00:20:51,000 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 2: and his ADP was like slightly below Ronald Jones. Yeah, 467 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 2: I could not get enough of Leonard Fournette. But yeah, 468 00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,960 Speaker 2: so I think you know Storry next week, Hill both 469 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,560 Speaker 2: back to this RB one stats, but I am projecting 470 00:21:02,600 --> 00:21:04,920 Speaker 2: him as a low end RB one this week because, 471 00:21:04,960 --> 00:21:08,040 Speaker 2: like like you said, like anytime a running back faces 472 00:21:08,040 --> 00:21:09,719 Speaker 2: the Saints, you kind of have to fade them when 473 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:12,320 Speaker 2: it comes to their rushing production. So yeah, and this 474 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:14,800 Speaker 2: game should be pretty close, right, The Bucks are only 475 00:21:14,880 --> 00:21:17,240 Speaker 2: minus four, so yeah, tom Brady's gonna be slinging it around. 476 00:21:17,280 --> 00:21:19,880 Speaker 2: This probably isn't going to be a Lunder four net game, 477 00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,520 Speaker 2: So yeah, sell high just for this week only. 478 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:27,840 Speaker 3: In our Action Network NFL podcast, Stucky has Saints Bucks 479 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:33,360 Speaker 3: as his favorite total under, and I have these Saints as. 480 00:21:33,480 --> 00:21:35,200 Speaker 1: My money line underdog pick. 481 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,720 Speaker 3: So nice. Yeah, we're kind of we're kind of betting 482 00:21:37,720 --> 00:21:39,720 Speaker 3: on a little bit of a comeback down to earth 483 00:21:39,760 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 3: for Tom Brady in the Bucks. 484 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:42,440 Speaker 1: You know, it's never it's. 485 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:45,320 Speaker 3: Never a crazy good bet, But I just think this game, 486 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,040 Speaker 3: you know, with just the way the Saints played defense 487 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,040 Speaker 3: can be, it's just not going to be quite as 488 00:21:49,080 --> 00:21:50,040 Speaker 3: fruitful and offense for it. 489 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,639 Speaker 2: Does this mean you're coming around and jamis having a 490 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:53,920 Speaker 2: sneaky good game this week? 491 00:21:54,560 --> 00:21:56,560 Speaker 3: No, I think it's actually well, I think I think 492 00:21:56,560 --> 00:21:57,240 Speaker 3: it's the opposite. 493 00:21:57,280 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: I think I think he can do enough. I think 494 00:21:59,040 --> 00:21:59,800 Speaker 1: he can do enough. 495 00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,600 Speaker 3: But like, I think the Saints win this game by 496 00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:04,800 Speaker 3: taking the air out of the ball and making it 497 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:07,200 Speaker 3: just kind of mucking up the game, reducing the possessions, 498 00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 3: which is another reason why I'm going under on four. 499 00:22:09,600 --> 00:22:11,040 Speaker 1: Nette. And there's another under. 500 00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:12,440 Speaker 3: That I got on the Bucks that I'll talk about 501 00:22:12,440 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 3: in a moment, but that's a tease. Let's get into 502 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:16,840 Speaker 3: your first wide receiver prop. 503 00:22:18,000 --> 00:22:21,200 Speaker 2: So my first prop is Jalen Waddle under sixty four 504 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 2: and a half receiving yards against the Bills. 505 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:25,399 Speaker 1: Now, I love Jaalen Waddle. 506 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:27,800 Speaker 2: I think he's one of the best rookie wide receivers 507 00:22:27,840 --> 00:22:30,960 Speaker 2: in the game, but this numbers is too high, especially 508 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,040 Speaker 2: considering the matchup. You know, the Bills have been really 509 00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:38,199 Speaker 2: good against opposing receivers this year. DeVante Parker might return, 510 00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,120 Speaker 2: so that's going to eat into Joleen Waddle's target share. 511 00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,280 Speaker 2: And you know Preston Williams returned last week, his role 512 00:22:44,320 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 2: could grow this week. So Jalen Waddle has seen some 513 00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:50,240 Speaker 2: massive target games in the past past few weeks because 514 00:22:50,240 --> 00:22:52,760 Speaker 2: they've been decimated at receiver. But I think with improved 515 00:22:52,800 --> 00:22:55,399 Speaker 2: help on the depth chart and the brutal matchup, like 516 00:22:55,600 --> 00:22:58,920 Speaker 2: this number seems like ten yards or so too high, 517 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:00,320 Speaker 2: So I'm going under here. 518 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:04,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, Watto is a guy who I mean, even if 519 00:23:04,119 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 3: he catches a bunch of balls, they're usually underneath. So 520 00:23:06,680 --> 00:23:08,080 Speaker 3: what has he been under this in like five out 521 00:23:08,119 --> 00:23:10,920 Speaker 3: of seven. Oh really here, Yeah, I think it's five 522 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,639 Speaker 3: out of seven. Yes, so he's you know, he's a 523 00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:16,120 Speaker 3: guy who he'll catch a lot of balls, but I'm 524 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:20,440 Speaker 3: not always going to be downfield for my first receiver prop. 525 00:23:20,560 --> 00:23:24,080 Speaker 3: I am going with Chris Godwin under a half a 526 00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 3: receiving touchdown, So essentially Chris Godwin not to score a 527 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:30,199 Speaker 3: receiving touchdown. I think this is a great bet when 528 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:33,600 Speaker 3: you're talking about essentially fifty to fifty. So Godwin's been 529 00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,560 Speaker 3: held without a touchdown in four out of the seven 530 00:23:36,640 --> 00:23:39,680 Speaker 3: games this year, and including the postseason. Last year, he 531 00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:43,040 Speaker 3: was held without a touchdown in nine of the fifteen games, 532 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:48,040 Speaker 3: so altogether that's thirteen of twenty two that he's been 533 00:23:48,040 --> 00:23:51,480 Speaker 3: held without a touchdown. I know Lattimore, you know, plays 534 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:54,000 Speaker 3: Evans well. But Evans, as you mentioned, he can still 535 00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,080 Speaker 3: get those like two catches for two touchdowns and he's 536 00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,800 Speaker 3: actually done that in this kind of matchup before. So 537 00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:02,639 Speaker 3: I think, you know, looking at this game, the sharps 538 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,680 Speaker 3: are on the under. It's just one of those games 539 00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:07,840 Speaker 3: where Godwin betting him fifty to fifty to score a touchdown, 540 00:24:08,160 --> 00:24:09,800 Speaker 3: I think you're going to win that more often than not. 541 00:24:09,920 --> 00:24:10,520 Speaker 1: Going under. 542 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 3: This is not like a Miami Dolphins defense or you know, 543 00:24:13,640 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 3: one of those defenses you could just go nuts on. 544 00:24:16,119 --> 00:24:19,720 Speaker 1: So God would under a half a touchdown for the Bucks. Yeah, 545 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:20,639 Speaker 1: this is a good catch. 546 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:24,640 Speaker 2: I'm projecting him for point four to six receiving touchdowns. 547 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,639 Speaker 2: It might sound like, oh, that's near point five, but 548 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:31,120 Speaker 2: when it comes to just the distribution of touchdowns things 549 00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 2: like that, it's actually a projection of point sixty seven 550 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 2: would equal like fifty to fifty coin flip. 551 00:24:37,359 --> 00:24:39,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, because you have the multi touchdown games. 552 00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,280 Speaker 2: Yeah, because like, yeah, so if a guy averages half 553 00:24:42,280 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 2: a touchdown a game for a season, I mean think 554 00:24:45,720 --> 00:24:49,199 Speaker 2: about his floor is zero, but the ceiling could be 555 00:24:49,320 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 2: you know, five touchdowns, So the distribution of touchdowns is 556 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,200 Speaker 2: significantly skewed towards the positive. So yeah, it's a projection. 557 00:24:57,320 --> 00:24:59,399 Speaker 2: Has to be over point sixty five for it to 558 00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:02,840 Speaker 2: be even over fifty percent chance. So long story short, 559 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,399 Speaker 2: I'm projecting this to go under sixty one percent of 560 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 2: the time. 561 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,240 Speaker 1: So I love how you just did that. I'm pretty 562 00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,679 Speaker 1: sure you did that on the fly because the outline 563 00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:13,320 Speaker 1: anything anything. 564 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:16,000 Speaker 2: Near like point five is probably sixty percent chance. So 565 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 2: since it's a little bit lower added a percent, But 566 00:25:19,080 --> 00:25:20,760 Speaker 2: that's that's a tip for just when it comes to 567 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:23,919 Speaker 2: like receiving projections, and yeah, these props like it. It 568 00:25:23,960 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 2: seems like, oh, it'd be easy for him to get 569 00:25:25,520 --> 00:25:28,480 Speaker 2: a touchdown, but you'd beat surprised, like anytime you get 570 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:32,200 Speaker 2: a half, unless it's like a real stud Chris Collins 571 00:25:32,240 --> 00:25:35,080 Speaker 2: a stud. But still it's it's a situation where definitely 572 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:35,920 Speaker 2: some value on the under. 573 00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:38,879 Speaker 3: Yeah, and I have Evans like right around point seven, 574 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:42,120 Speaker 3: so he'd be like barely over. So that just kind 575 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,440 Speaker 3: of shows you, yeah, difference in the two. All right, 576 00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:47,040 Speaker 3: where are you going for your second receiving prop? 577 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:50,920 Speaker 2: So I'm going with Brandon Cooks over sixty and a 578 00:25:50,960 --> 00:25:53,760 Speaker 2: half receiving hours. I was actually surprised to see this 579 00:25:53,840 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 2: low because I'm projecting him like seventy four and a half. 580 00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,359 Speaker 2: I mean, he's just a lock to see targets. You know, 581 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,679 Speaker 2: it almost doesn't matter if he's blanketed by Jalen Ramsey 582 00:26:03,760 --> 00:26:05,840 Speaker 2: all game, which probably isn't going to be the case. 583 00:26:06,080 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 2: You know, he's going to get his target share. So 584 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,080 Speaker 2: I love the over here. And you know, plus there's 585 00:26:11,119 --> 00:26:15,119 Speaker 2: a chance Tyrod Taylor could return and then I'll be 586 00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 2: projecting Cooks like probably over eighty. So I think it's 587 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 2: a good idea to get on this before a potential 588 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 2: scenario where Tyrod's announced in Right now, I have Davis 589 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:28,480 Speaker 2: Mill still playing quarterback, and I still have Cooks going 590 00:26:28,480 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 2: over this number. So I like locking this in early 591 00:26:30,880 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 2: at over sixty and a half. 592 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:34,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, we like Cooks, de LEI huh. 593 00:26:34,720 --> 00:26:36,440 Speaker 3: I think we have him in like a couple of 594 00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,439 Speaker 3: our DFS lineups on the Main Street podcast, which is 595 00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:43,600 Speaker 3: on the Fantasy Flex feed out right now. Yeah, I 596 00:26:43,600 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 3: think Cooks has a good week. You know, the targets 597 00:26:45,760 --> 00:26:48,920 Speaker 3: have been there a week in and week out, all right. 598 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:52,639 Speaker 3: For my second and final receiving prop going with Devonte 599 00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,080 Speaker 3: Smith under sixty three and a half receiving yards, I 600 00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:59,120 Speaker 3: have this in the high fifties, like fifty seven, about 601 00:26:59,160 --> 00:27:01,520 Speaker 3: fifty seven, fifty eight to fifty seven and a half. 602 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:03,600 Speaker 3: He's been under this number in four out of the 603 00:27:03,640 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 3: seven games, and a lot of times you would think, hey, 604 00:27:06,359 --> 00:27:08,760 Speaker 3: you know they're going against Detroit, it's a weak defense, 605 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 3: and it is obviously, but everyone's been calling for Philly 606 00:27:12,880 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 3: to run the ball. Jalen Hurts has been starting games 607 00:27:15,560 --> 00:27:19,719 Speaker 3: awfully these last few weeks. So in a game like this, 608 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,080 Speaker 3: you can have a positive game scrier, which Philly hasn't 609 00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,040 Speaker 3: had much of this year, which means you might not 610 00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,479 Speaker 3: pass as much. So he's are having him already been 611 00:27:26,560 --> 00:27:28,280 Speaker 3: under and four out of seven, even though Philly spent 612 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:31,320 Speaker 3: so much time trailing these few weeks. 613 00:27:31,320 --> 00:27:34,320 Speaker 1: And then you look at Detroit and they're allowing. 614 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 3: The second fewest schedule adjusted targets to number one receivers, 615 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,919 Speaker 3: just six point one. And some of that, you know 616 00:27:41,040 --> 00:27:43,920 Speaker 3: is obviously you know, they're just giving up some big plays, 617 00:27:43,960 --> 00:27:47,479 Speaker 3: but they're also just limiting opponents volume because opponents can 618 00:27:47,520 --> 00:27:50,119 Speaker 3: just run on them, you know, and they're not sticking 619 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:52,200 Speaker 3: as close in most of these games. So, like Devonte 620 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:54,920 Speaker 3: Smith under, I just don't know where the Eagles game 621 00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:56,520 Speaker 3: plan is going to be at as far as throwing 622 00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,840 Speaker 3: the ball in a matchup that they should be able 623 00:27:58,840 --> 00:28:01,440 Speaker 3: to win if they can, if they conservatively. 624 00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:01,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like this call. 625 00:28:01,920 --> 00:28:06,639 Speaker 2: I haven't projected at fifty seven for my mean, so 626 00:28:07,000 --> 00:28:10,320 Speaker 2: you know, I projected meeting closer fifty three and a half. Obviously, 627 00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,160 Speaker 2: he's the type of receiver where if he goes over 628 00:28:12,200 --> 00:28:16,360 Speaker 2: this number, he'll probably crush it. But yeah, he's he's 629 00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:19,159 Speaker 2: certainly a player that I've noticed probably has a lower median. 630 00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:21,639 Speaker 2: Then people realize, you know, a guy like Janellen Rager 631 00:28:22,040 --> 00:28:24,480 Speaker 2: or Kelez Watkins can catch a long touchdown pass and 632 00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:28,160 Speaker 2: that'll screw over Smith in this market. And like you said, 633 00:28:28,200 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 2: the Eagles really haven't had that many positive game scripts, 634 00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:34,200 Speaker 2: so they could certainly be a run heavy offense this week, 635 00:28:34,240 --> 00:28:36,760 Speaker 2: even if Miles Sanders doesn't suit up. So yeah, love 636 00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 2: the under here as well. 637 00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 1: All right, that is going to do it. 638 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:44,320 Speaker 3: To recap, we got Sean going with Jaywen Hurts over 639 00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:46,840 Speaker 3: forty two and a half rushing yards, Elijah Mitchell over 640 00:28:46,880 --> 00:28:49,520 Speaker 3: sixty six and a half rushing yards, called Darryl Patterson 641 00:28:49,560 --> 00:28:53,080 Speaker 3: over thirty four and a half receiving, Jaywon Watto under 642 00:28:53,120 --> 00:28:55,600 Speaker 3: sixty four and a half receiving, and Brandon Cook's over 643 00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:58,640 Speaker 3: sixty and a half receiving. I'm going Darnold under to 644 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,640 Speaker 3: forty two and a half passing for Net under fifty 645 00:29:01,640 --> 00:29:04,960 Speaker 3: five and a half rushing, Cuba under sixty eight and 646 00:29:05,000 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 3: a half rushing, Davonte Smith under sixty three and a 647 00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 3: half receiving, and Chris Godwin under a half of receiving touchdown. 648 00:29:13,800 --> 00:29:15,880 Speaker 3: Next up here on the Fantasy Flex is the segment 649 00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:18,120 Speaker 3: we call Elite entries, where Sean and I dive into 650 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,120 Speaker 3: the prize picks app and compare our player projections to 651 00:29:21,160 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 3: the props to build some entries. Sean, what's your first 652 00:29:24,000 --> 00:29:28,160 Speaker 3: prize picks? A lead entry best bet for Week number eight? 653 00:29:28,640 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 2: So I'm going with Jalen Hurts over forty two and 654 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,160 Speaker 2: a half rushing yards. They face the Liones this week, 655 00:29:34,160 --> 00:29:37,000 Speaker 2: which is a great matchup, but you know, Hurts always 656 00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:38,720 Speaker 2: has a very high floor when it comes to his 657 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:42,560 Speaker 2: rushing prop. He's gotten over this and five of seven 658 00:29:42,640 --> 00:29:45,480 Speaker 2: games this year, and I'm projecting closer to fifty, So 659 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 2: I think this is one of those times where the 660 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,920 Speaker 2: number is too low and I would take this probably 661 00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:51,280 Speaker 2: up to about forty six and a half. 662 00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:54,720 Speaker 3: For my first one, I'm going with Chris Godwin under 663 00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:57,840 Speaker 3: a half a receiving touchdown even under this in thirteen 664 00:29:57,880 --> 00:30:00,720 Speaker 3: of twenty two dating back to last season, including the postseason, 665 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 3: He's an under it in four out of seven this year, 666 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:08,000 Speaker 3: and we have Gronk back expected for the Bucks. Sean, 667 00:30:08,000 --> 00:30:10,320 Speaker 3: who's your second prize pix and lead entry best bet 668 00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:10,760 Speaker 3: for wee Gate. 669 00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:14,040 Speaker 2: So my second best bet is Cordill Patterson to go 670 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:16,960 Speaker 2: over thirty four and a half receiving yards. Now, last 671 00:30:17,000 --> 00:30:19,440 Speaker 2: week I took the under forty one and a half 672 00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 2: receiving yards. He only got two passes for one yard, 673 00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:25,160 Speaker 2: but he did set a season high end routes run 674 00:30:25,320 --> 00:30:27,600 Speaker 2: last week at sixty percent, So I think if we 675 00:30:27,640 --> 00:30:30,400 Speaker 2: could see that sort of usage going forward, I mean 676 00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 2: he's gonna crush this prop. So I'm projecting this coach 677 00:30:34,040 --> 00:30:36,560 Speaker 2: to forty one and a half forty two, and I 678 00:30:36,560 --> 00:30:38,040 Speaker 2: think he clears this number this week. 679 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:41,720 Speaker 3: For my second prize pix and lead entry best bet 680 00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:44,120 Speaker 3: for we Gate, I'm going Leonard Fournette under fifty five 681 00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:47,640 Speaker 3: and a half rushing yards. The Saints are allowing two 682 00:30:47,720 --> 00:30:51,320 Speaker 3: point eight yards per carry topposing backs and they're allowing 683 00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:54,440 Speaker 3: fifty five and a half rushing yards to opposing backs total. 684 00:30:54,640 --> 00:30:56,920 Speaker 3: So in West Fournette gets one hundred percent of the carries, 685 00:30:57,120 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 3: which he hasn't. He's come, you know, into the eighties 686 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,360 Speaker 3: and the high, but never one hundred percent. He's a 687 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 3: good bet to go under this in a pass heavy 688 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,880 Speaker 3: games script for Tampa. So like the under for Fournette 689 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:09,760 Speaker 3: fifty five and a half. That's going to do it 690 00:31:09,960 --> 00:31:13,440 Speaker 3: for a Prize Picks Elite entry for Week eight. As 691 00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:15,760 Speaker 3: a recap, Sewan going Jaywen Hurts over forty two and 692 00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:21,920 Speaker 3: a half rushing yards and Corderyl semisids three two. As 693 00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,120 Speaker 3: a recap, Sean going Jayalen Hurts over forty two and 694 00:31:25,160 --> 00:31:28,760 Speaker 3: a half rushing yards against the Lions and Cordarryl Patterson 695 00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:33,240 Speaker 3: over thirty four and a half receiving yards against the Panthers. 696 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:36,320 Speaker 3: I'm going Chris Godwin under a half a receiving touchdown 697 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,720 Speaker 3: against the Saints and Leonard Fournette under fifty five and 698 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:42,080 Speaker 3: a half rushing yards against the Saints. As a reminder, 699 00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 3: Prize Picks markets do move, so you want to get 700 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:45,520 Speaker 3: on it quickly in. 701 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,760 Speaker 1: Order to lock in the best numbers. 702 00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:50,440 Speaker 3: If you have not created a Prize Picks account yet, 703 00:31:50,640 --> 00:31:53,280 Speaker 3: check out the link in our episode description. They will 704 00:31:53,280 --> 00:31:56,560 Speaker 3: match your first deposit up to one hundred dollars. Or 705 00:31:56,840 --> 00:31:58,920 Speaker 3: you can visit prize picks dot com and use the 706 00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:03,400 Speaker 3: promo code action ten that's act Io N one zero. 707 00:32:03,960 --> 00:32:07,240 Speaker 3: You can find Sean on Twitter at the Underscore Oddsmaker. 708 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:08,800 Speaker 1: You can find me at Chris Raybon. 709 00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,160 Speaker 3: You can find us at those same handles in the 710 00:32:11,280 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 3: award winning Action Network app, where you can follow all 711 00:32:15,200 --> 00:32:19,800 Speaker 3: of our bets or track yours for three until next time. 712 00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:26,440 Speaker 1: Just get this money.