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Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros. This is the Fantasy

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Speaker 1: Baseball Podcast. Is me Joey p Joe Pizipia, and it's

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Speaker 1: time to look ahead now to our ultimate guide, this

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Speaker 1: time at the hot corner. Joe Rico, the Welsh and

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Speaker 1: myself are here to take you through the best of

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Speaker 1: the third base position and possibly some land mindes to avoid,

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Speaker 1: as well as some sleepers to draft. These are the

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Speaker 1: ultimate guides here and they're gonna live on our YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Think of this basically, if you've taken the whole off

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Speaker 1: season off where you've been hanging out worrying about other

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Speaker 1: things in life, and you're coming back to fantasy baseball,

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Speaker 1: these will help you get set up for all of

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Speaker 1: your drafts, so you can binge watch them all here

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Speaker 1: on our YouTube channel, but you can't unless you subscribe,

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Speaker 1: So subscribe to our YouTube channel here, subscribe to the

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Speaker 1: podcast feed as well at Fantasy Pros MLB. Before you

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Speaker 1: know it, we'll be here every single day talking baseball

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Speaker 1: and leading off and this year we're gonna be doing

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Speaker 1: our Opening Day special live together the Welsh myself. Maybe

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Speaker 1: you can even get Scott Bob if you wake up early.

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Speaker 1: Enough to come join us because we're all gonna be

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Speaker 1: out there for the Diamondbacks game. Well, I'm super excited.

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Speaker 1: You and I have never been to a ball game together.

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Speaker 2: No, we've been to a hockey game together. We've been

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Speaker 2: to a basketball game together, we've played football together. We

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Speaker 2: did a home run derby, but we have actually never

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Speaker 2: been to a baseball game together. So you're gonna be

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Speaker 2: coming out here, you me, Bogman. We might have a

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Speaker 2: few other crew. We are gonna have to set up

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Speaker 2: kind of some type of a live show or we'll

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Speaker 2: be together. So we always do something fun right around

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Speaker 2: opening day. Sometimes we dress like Mario. Sometimes I dress

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Speaker 2: like the Tiger King we found out. But this year

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Speaker 2: we'll do a live show together, so it'll be pretty great.

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Speaker 1: Man. Yes, we have to figure out whatever the next

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Speaker 1: watermark is of what we dressed up like when we

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Speaker 1: hit the big YouTube number. Joe Larrico, I wish you

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Speaker 1: were coming to join us. There's still tickets available, I heard,

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Speaker 1: so why don't you take that flight down.

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Speaker 3: You know, I'm just hearing about this with the first time. Now, guys,

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Speaker 3: this is upsetting to me. But two trips to Arizona

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Speaker 3: for you this year. I guess Joe, because I've already

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Speaker 3: heard that you're gonna be there in November. So are

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Speaker 3: we gonna get Jelly?

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Speaker 2: Maybe?

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Speaker 1: I'm certainly thinking about it. It all depends on what

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Speaker 1: my children allow me to do on their break as well,

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Speaker 1: because they're off that week. So if I'm splitting the week,

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Speaker 1: I might have to come out a couple of days

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Speaker 1: there in Arizona and then maybe a couple of days

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Speaker 1: somewhere else. They want to go to Chicago, we'll figure

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Speaker 1: that out. But we're talking third base today. All the

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Speaker 1: nonsense aside, So we're going to dig in here, and

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Speaker 1: let's start with the very top of our rankings, which

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Speaker 1: you can find at fantasypros dot com. Just click on

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Speaker 1: MLB go to the rankings here for the redraft. And

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Speaker 1: of course it's no surprise at the top of those

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Speaker 1: rankings this year, you're gonna see Jose Ramirez. He is,

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Speaker 1: without a doubt, the number one guy that is not

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Speaker 1: able to argue whatsoever. Junior Kameranaro coming in at number two,

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Speaker 1: Jazz Chishmunt number three, Manny Machado at four, Austin Reiley

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Speaker 1: at five, mikel Garcia at six, then Alex Bregman, the

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Speaker 1: newest member of the Chicago Cubs at seven. You Hano Sarez?

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Speaker 1: What's old is new again? Sort of? Or I guess

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Speaker 1: is new and old? I don't know, but you hain

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Speaker 1: No Source is back with Cincinnati at number eight, Jordan

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Speaker 1: Westburg at nine, Matt Chapman coming in at ten from

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Speaker 1: San Fran noelve. Marte is still hanging around eleven, although

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Speaker 1: it looks like he might be ticketed now for a

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Speaker 1: right field position now that Suarez is there in East

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Speaker 1: sac Parades at twelve. So let's start with the top here,

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Speaker 1: because it's kind of simple. You got Jose Ramirez. We've

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Speaker 1: had a lot of conversations on these shows already about

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Speaker 1: Junior Camanero, what it might look like now that he's

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Speaker 1: moving from that little Tandy ballpark back into Tampa. And

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Speaker 1: then of course we know what Jazz chis and we

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Speaker 1: know what Manny Machado are. Let's talk about Austin Riley

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Speaker 1: and Michael Garcia, because I think these two right now

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Speaker 1: are kind of choose your own adventure. Austin Riley a

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Speaker 1: couple of years ago breakout season looked like he was

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Speaker 1: going to be a superstar. And then there's been some

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Speaker 1: struggles built in there. Michael Garcia another player I know

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Speaker 1: Welsh you are very high on as well. That feels

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Speaker 1: like a player that you have some upside still too

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Speaker 1: to come. I know he was one of our favorite guys.

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Speaker 1: I want to say it was last season actually in

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Speaker 1: terms of return on investment, and he did not disappoint.

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Speaker 1: He's coming off a season where he at sixteen homers,

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Speaker 1: twenty three steals at two eighty seven. So would you

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Speaker 1: take Michael Garcia here or in the middle, would you

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Speaker 1: take Austin Riley, a guy that has flashed much more

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Speaker 1: power but has struggled in recent seasons to find consistency.

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Speaker 2: If we're talking, if you're talking to me right here, Michael.

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Speaker 1: That is Welsh. He's his name, right, Joe? I pretty sure? Well,

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Speaker 1: I thought you'reence everybody else on the show was named Joe.

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Speaker 2: That's a good point. I thought you were referencing me

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Speaker 2: because as we highlight some players, my highlighted player is MIKEL.

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Speaker 2: Garcia on this and it's a lot about his value. Now,

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Speaker 2: if you're talking about like overall eightyps, it does create

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Speaker 2: kind of a bigger you know, like a bigger question.

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Speaker 2: I think positionally because Austin Riley's going off at fifty two,

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Speaker 2: mikeel Garcia trying to find where his ADP is. I

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Speaker 2: believe it's just a tad bit lower. But regardless of

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Speaker 2: the point, it actually doesn't matter for me because mikeel

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Speaker 2: Garcia that's the guy, that's the guy that I'm looking

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Speaker 2: at for this season, simply because when we talk about

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Speaker 2: like out of position stats that we're getting out of players,

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Speaker 2: that's something that makes Josier Ramirez so uniquely great. You know,

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Speaker 2: you said like it's not even a question, but mikel

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Speaker 2: Garcia is one of those as well. Sixteen homers, twenty

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Speaker 2: three stolen bases. Last year he hit two eighty six.

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Speaker 2: He was a beast. He was an absolute beast across

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Speaker 2: the board. Plus his hitting profile is the thing that

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Speaker 2: is so beastly top percentile as far as a multitude

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Speaker 2: of things on the hitting side, but maybe the most

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Speaker 2: important and the most impactful is that he's not a

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Speaker 2: whiff guy. He's not a strikeout guy. Twelve percent k percentage,

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Speaker 2: nine percent walk started barreling more. His expected batting average

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Speaker 2: was very supportive of how he ended up a hitting

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Speaker 2: and like Austin Riley's great. Austin Riley's a good source

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Speaker 2: of power, He's a good source of RBI and run.

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Speaker 2: From the batting average standpoint, I think he's just more

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Speaker 2: than serviceable on a solid team. But Mikel Garcia has

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Speaker 2: a legitimate shot to be a four category player and

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Speaker 2: he's coming at cheaper costs. So you know, when I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at these two guys, this is a really poorest position.

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Speaker 2: That's something we didn't really open up to talk about,

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Speaker 2: which I think we could have, is that this is

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Speaker 2: not a great position this year. This is a position

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Speaker 2: that can easily get ahead of you, and I think

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Speaker 2: you need to make sure you're focused and paying attention

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Speaker 2: on it. That Mikel Garcia not only is a great option,

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Speaker 2: he is an option that's going to hit the solent

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Speaker 2: base market and it is a four or five category.

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Speaker 2: So given the ADP as well, I'm going to take

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Speaker 2: Mikel Garcia over Austin Riley.

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Speaker 1: Joe, I don't know if you called that or not,

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Speaker 1: but that was Welsh's backhanded way of saying, I'm better

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Speaker 1: at hosting these guide shows than you will. No, just no, no, no, no, no,

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Speaker 1: no no, No, that's okay. We're still friends. I'm still

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Speaker 1: going to buy you a beer in Arizona of the

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Speaker 1: Diamondbacks game. Now, I might throw it at you after

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Speaker 1: I buy it for you, but that's ten dollars well spent.

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Speaker 1: Joe Rico, I want to talk here about roster construction

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Speaker 1: because I know that's probably an argument a lot of

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Speaker 1: people will make in this decision process between players like

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Speaker 1: this in the middle of this grouping, because you've seen

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Speaker 1: the power ceiling of Austin Riley, which is twice as

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Speaker 1: many potential home runs. We're talking about thirty seven thirty

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Speaker 1: eight home run guy we saw a couple of years ago.

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Speaker 1: I know everything went wrong for the Braves last year,

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Speaker 1: but there's no denying the power. If you're looking for

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Speaker 1: it is Austin Riley. But maybe you know when you're

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Speaker 1: cutting at half of those home runs, you're getting more

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Speaker 1: stolen bases, you're getting better batting average, you're getting other

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Speaker 1: categories as Welshin. So does it just come down to,

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Speaker 1: as you're drafting the roster construction of that team, or

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Speaker 1: do you favor one of these two guys depending on

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Speaker 1: your approach, do you prefer the all around guy? With

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Speaker 1: Michael Garcia, even though you're capping the power or is

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Speaker 1: power such a premium you'll figure out stolen bases later.

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Speaker 3: I think there's been a ton of good arguments made

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Speaker 3: and the point of how your draft has gone up

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Speaker 3: to the fifth or sixth round when you're approaching these names,

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Speaker 3: I think we'll really dictate your decision if you've taken

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Speaker 3: Bobby Witt Junior and you have Jazz Chisholm, and you're

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Speaker 3: stolen bases or not something you really need to worry about.

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Speaker 3: I don't know that you really need to focus in

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Speaker 3: on the out of position steals from Garcia as much

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Speaker 3: as it helps you. On the other side of that,

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Speaker 3: maybe you know you've drafted Vlattie and you took Pete Alonzo,

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Speaker 3: you need a little bit of help in the speed department,

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Speaker 3: then I could be more inclined to go to Garcia.

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Speaker 3: I think their neck and neck, and they should be.

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Speaker 3: If you look at the most recent NFBCADP seventy eight

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Speaker 3: point four seventy eight point eight over the last twenty

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Speaker 3: five drafts, these guys are going in the exact same spot.

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Speaker 3: And I do think it makes sense because while the

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Speaker 3: skill set is different. I think when you're looking at

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Speaker 3: the overall dollar value at the end of the season,

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Speaker 3: they'll probably be very similar. The concern with Austin Riley

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Speaker 3: is that he missed the last two months he had

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Speaker 3: surgery on his core, and the performance the last couple

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Speaker 3: of seasons had not been amazing, but they haven't been

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Speaker 3: full seasons. When Austin Riley and his career is played

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Speaker 3: a full season, they've been phenomenal numbers and it includes

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Speaker 3: batting average as well, three zero three, two eighty one,

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Speaker 3: two seventy three in those full seasons. I'm also buying

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Speaker 3: back in on the Braves. You know, fool me one,

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Speaker 3: Shame on you. This has fooled me four times. I

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Speaker 3: think at this point with the Braves, they keep disappointing.

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Speaker 3: But when I look at this lineup with a healthy Acunya,

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Speaker 3: with Drake Baldwin there now Matt Olson, somebody we talked

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Speaker 3: about on Monday that I really like, I think that

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Speaker 3: Riley probably provides a slightly safer floor overall. Mikelgararcia did

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Speaker 3: hit sixteen homers, but it took six hundred and sixty

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Speaker 3: six played appearances to get there. He's coming off a

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Speaker 3: season in twenty four where he had just seven homers

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Speaker 3: in one hundred and fifty seven games. So a single

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Speaker 3: digit home run total is definitely in the cards here.

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Speaker 3: Only a five percent barrel rate forty five percent ground

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Speaker 3: ball rate. He could revert back to single digit homers.

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Speaker 3: I think Riley is ever so slightly safer, but depending

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Speaker 3: on roster construction, I don't have a problem going either

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Speaker 3: way here.

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Speaker 1: And so Welsh, I know Garcia is your guy that

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Speaker 1: you want to talk about in this section anyway, And

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Speaker 1: I set this up because I figured Joe would be

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Speaker 1: on that other end. So make your case again a

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Speaker 1: little bit more for Garcia overall as a value with

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Speaker 1: this position, because Joe brings up some good points the

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Speaker 1: Bower Ray concerning there also, you know, as good as

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Speaker 1: some of the things that he does do that help

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Speaker 1: your roster, there's certainly a deficit there within that power

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Speaker 1: that can set you back a little bit in earlier rounds.

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Speaker 1: So why is Garcia guy that you believe in so

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Speaker 1: much this year? And maybe shy away from the notion

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Speaker 1: of he could revert power wise in twenty twenty six.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean anybody can revert. I suppose, like to

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Speaker 2: some of the small degrees that you're talking about, but like,

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Speaker 2: he has increased his barrel percentage year over year, And

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Speaker 2: I think the thing that makes the power a little

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Speaker 2: bit more sticky, if you will, we're using that, is

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Speaker 2: that your MaxV has gone over the one ten threshold.

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Speaker 2: He's rocking a second career high. And by the way,

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Speaker 2: this is a great number. Ninety one average ex velocity.

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Speaker 2: That's a lot of big power hitters. He's also at

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Speaker 2: forty five percent hard hit rate. He had fifty percent

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Speaker 2: last two years. So he has taken the last couple

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Speaker 2: of years some metrics outside of the barrel rate, which

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Speaker 2: has not been good. But if you told me, hey, like, hey,

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Speaker 2: there's this dude with you know, a fifty percent hard

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Speaker 2: hit rate, ninety one average exit velocity, and he steals

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Speaker 2: twenty plus bases at a bad position, you'd be like,

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Speaker 2: oh my god, there's a lot of big potential here. Well,

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Speaker 2: the barrel rate doesn't tell it, but here's a better story.

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Speaker 2: His launch angle has continuously gone up from six degrees

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Speaker 2: up to nine. So what I think makes some of

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Speaker 2: that more sticky is in that, like I've always called it,

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Speaker 2: like the CJ. Abrams world where it's these guys that

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Speaker 2: don't barrel really great, but they get the ball in

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Speaker 2: the air and they pull the ball. Well, guess what,

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Speaker 2: Michael Garcia pulled the ball, almost doubling it. It was

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Speaker 2: ten percent over sixteen percent this past year. So yes,

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Speaker 2: the barrel's low, but it's really good hard hit. He's

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Speaker 2: getting the ball in the air, and he lowered a

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Speaker 2: strikeout rate to a twelve percent marker. Now, just come

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Speaker 2: back to it. He's hitting at the top of a

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Speaker 2: Royals lineup. He steals twenty plus bases. He's an elite bastealer.

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Speaker 2: Twenty three, thirty seven and twenty three are the bases

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Speaker 2: he stolen last couple of years. Seventy rbi plus eighty

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Speaker 2: plus runs like this is a relatively complete player that

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Speaker 2: I'm really not going to buy the notion that he

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Speaker 2: is going to lose that power because I think there's

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Speaker 2: a lot of things in his game that is setting

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Speaker 2: at least a double digit home run marker. And then

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Speaker 2: the only thing I wanted to add when we're talking

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Speaker 2: about the ranks and ADP, which super interesting. So the

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Speaker 2: NFBC is right next to each other. The ADP shows

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Speaker 2: almost a round difference the aggregate ADP we have on

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Speaker 2: Fantasy pros has Mikel Garcia had seventy three and rally

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Speaker 2: at sixty six, So then there's a difference. But the rank,

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Speaker 2: the ECR rank if you look on overall thirty spot

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Speaker 2: difference between Riley and Mikel Garcia. So NFBC is great

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Speaker 2: to talk about, and it's what you should pay attention to,

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Speaker 2: but a lot of you are going to play in

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Speaker 2: like the you know, the Consumrie, Yahoo and ESPN leagues,

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Speaker 2: and you might have two plus round differences between these guys. Mikel.

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Speaker 2: Garcia has created an incredible floor that some do not

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Speaker 2: provide in batting average and stolen bases, and I think

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Speaker 2: his hit tool is at least flourish enough that you're

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Speaker 2: getting those double digits as far as the power goes,

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Speaker 2: and I think there's still more in the tank with

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Speaker 2: that hard hit rate and him getting the ball in

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Speaker 2: the air. So I think Mikel. Garcia is a really

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Speaker 2: good option for you, especially given those stolen bases. Even

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Speaker 2: though Riley is kind of a you know, he's a mainstay,

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Speaker 2: mainstay at the position, but Garcia is cheaper.

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Speaker 1: Joe, I want to talk about the guy that is

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Speaker 1: your favorite target in this group, and he is expensive.

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Speaker 1: He is junior camin Arrow, so he is that number

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Speaker 1: two guy in this grouping and look, phenomenal season for

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Speaker 1: camin Aro, There's no doubt about that. One of my

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Speaker 1: favorite players and what forty five home runs, one hundred

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Speaker 1: and ten RBI. My made a hot take last year

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Speaker 1: that he was going to be, you know, the number

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Speaker 1: one third basement overall going into next season. Of course,

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Speaker 1: hosir mirror is still there, but he's ahead of a

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Speaker 1: shot all this year and ahead of a lot of

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Speaker 1: other mainstay guys at the position. But there is that

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Speaker 1: little bit of concern too, is like what happens here

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Speaker 1: as you look and take away that home park factor

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Speaker 1: that he had last year at home? Obviously, the home

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Speaker 1: runs were fine everywhere, twenty two homers at home, twenty

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Speaker 1: three on the road he had three thirteen though in

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Speaker 1: that other ballpark in the little tiny Yankee Stadium in Tampa,

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Speaker 1: but two eighteen on the road last year and the

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Speaker 1: ops dropped off almost two hundred points. So what is

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Speaker 1: the concern level there for you when it comes to

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Speaker 1: Kem and Aerro in those splits.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, the reason I wanted to bring him up is

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Speaker 3: because he's just such a hot commodity. He's a first

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Speaker 3: round pick in a lot of rooms, and I'm gonna

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Speaker 3: throw you for a bit of a curveball. He's not

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Speaker 3: really so much of a target. He's more along the

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Speaker 3: lines of a fate. Now we're gonna talk about like

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Speaker 3: my big bus later on. He's not my big bus.

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Speaker 3: But I can't see myself taking him in the first round.

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Speaker 3: If he falls into the second, then occasionally you do

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Speaker 3: get him in the second round. If he's into the

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Speaker 3: mid twenties in a certain room, then I could be persuaded,

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Speaker 3: partly because third base is just so bad. But I

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Speaker 3: really worry about buying in. And we made the same

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Speaker 3: kind of argument with Nick Kurtz the other day, buying

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Speaker 3: in off of such a small track record to make

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Speaker 3: this guy your cornerstone offensive player on your team. I

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Speaker 3: think the home and away splits are really concerning two

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Speaker 3: eighteen average away from home, But at two sixty six

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Speaker 3: on base rate, it's like Michael Harris ESQS Joe, I

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Speaker 3: don't know how many runs you're going to score when

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Speaker 3: you're getting on base only twenty six percent of the time. Now,

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Speaker 3: is that going to continue as he progresses another year,

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Speaker 3: he has another year of development. He's he's going to

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Speaker 3: improve as a hitter, and we saw that down the

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Speaker 3: stretch home away wherever he was hidden. September October he

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Speaker 3: had a one sixty eight WRC plus he hit three nineteen,

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Speaker 3: so I think he did improve as a hitter as

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Speaker 3: the year went on. But those concerns about the ballpark

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Speaker 3: specifically are going to keep me away in the first round.

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Speaker 3: I also think that the Rays right now, they're not

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Speaker 3: a bad team, but the lineup is leaving something to

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Speaker 3: be desired. When you got Gavin Lux projected a lead off,

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Speaker 3: Cedric Mullins, Jake Frailey, Taylor Walls occupying middle of the

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Speaker 3: order spots. I don't think it's a great surrounding environment

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Speaker 3: for him either to jack up the runs in RBIs

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Speaker 3: as much as I would want to for a first

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Speaker 3: or second round pick. So I'll take him if he falls,

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Speaker 3: but I can't think that costs so.

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Speaker 1: You love him in the second round first rounds to

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Speaker 1: do a little dicey for you. That makes sense when

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Speaker 1: it comes to the guys in the back half of

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Speaker 1: this first tier here seven through twelve, it's Bregman, Suarez,

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Speaker 1: Westburg Chapman twelve. Marte Paradis, give me the twenty second

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Speaker 1: look at who your favorite of this grouping that remains

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Speaker 1: in that second part of the top twelve.

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Speaker 3: It would be you Hanio Suarez at this point for me,

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Speaker 3: you know, people are probably still getting caught up on

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Speaker 3: the fact that he's back in Cincinnati and he's going

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Speaker 3: from the worst park in baseball to the best. And

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Speaker 3: we've seen Suarez with both of the extremes in Seattle,

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Speaker 3: absolutely no good. What he did in Seattle after he

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Speaker 3: was traded there last year he hit a buck eighty nine,

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Speaker 3: No good at all. But in Cincinnati, we have a

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Speaker 3: forty nine home run season on the docket from him

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Speaker 3: in twenty nineteen, and he hit forty nine as well

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Speaker 3: even with a partial season in Seattle last year. So

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Speaker 3: he's going into a lineup that I'm actually really excited

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Speaker 3: about in Cincinnati. Top to bottom, they're looking really good.

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Speaker 1: I love. TJ.

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Speaker 3: Friedel mentioned him on a short on the channel yesterday.

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Speaker 3: You guys can check out on our YouTube channel. But

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Speaker 3: after TJ. Friedel, you got Marte, you got Cruise, you

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Speaker 3: got Suarez. In the cleanup spot there where he should

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Speaker 3: be able to drive in one hundred runs in that ballpark,

365
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Speaker 3: and even behind him Salth Stewart, Tyler Stevenson, Matt McClain,

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Speaker 3: it's a really solid group for Suarez. If you're talking

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Speaker 3: about projecting his runs in RBI, I think we can

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Speaker 3: get close to one hundred of each. I think that

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Speaker 3: he's a forty home run threat, even if he's not

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Speaker 3: going to help your batting average so much. Jugano Suarez

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Speaker 3: just hit fifty home runs essentially, and I don't think

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Speaker 3: anybody should be shocked if he does it again, especially

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Speaker 3: in Cincinnati.

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Speaker 1: Well, just give me your quick take on who you

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Speaker 1: like in the back half of this first round tier. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: he's first grouping tier.

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Speaker 3: Sure.

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Speaker 2: One thing I gotta do though, because you didn't ask

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Speaker 2: me about Ginna Cammonero, and I just want it on record.

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Speaker 2: I disagree. I disagree with Joe here. I think there

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Speaker 2: are bigger con with Nick Kurtz because of the strikeout issues.

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Speaker 2: I disagree that this position sucks. You can get forty

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Speaker 2: plus homers his elite batted ball skills with low strikeout rates.

384
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Speaker 2: I don't think it matters what park. If he regresses

385
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Speaker 2: completely and he can't hit for average, that's a question,

386
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Speaker 2: but that's not something he did in the minors, so

387
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Speaker 2: I pretty firmly disagree. I think he's a great wheel

388
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Speaker 2: pick that you compare with another player because he's so hot.

389
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Speaker 2: Getting forty homers out of third base, I think is

390
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Speaker 2: absolutely elite also, but I do agree Iohanel Swarez is

391
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Speaker 2: the guy here. Hitting in Great American Ballpark is just

392
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Speaker 2: a phenomenal spot. So I would have picked him. But

393
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Speaker 2: Matt Chapman. I think Matt Chapman is like a super

394
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Speaker 2: big core player. Everybody is just kind of like whatever

395
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Speaker 2: about him. He gets close to the ending tier of

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Speaker 2: where this thing really falls. Apart twenty plus homers. The

397
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Speaker 2: last two years he started stealing some bases. His expected

398
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Speaker 2: batting average is better. It's like elite hard hit. You've

399
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Speaker 2: got some really great run support. Luisa Rise is going

400
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Speaker 2: to be getting on base in front of him. You

401
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Speaker 2: got Raphael Devers behind. I think there's still so much

402
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Speaker 2: in his game. While he lowered his strikeout rate, he

403
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:08,840
Speaker 2: got on base more, he can score more runs. He's

404
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Speaker 2: going outside the top one hundred, well outside of it.

405
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Speaker 2: I mean, you can get twenty five homers, maybe ten

406
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Speaker 2: stolen bases, you might score a bunch more runs this year.

407
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Speaker 2: The Giants are super competitive. I just think that Matt

408
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Speaker 2: Chapman in that maybe he's not as sexy, but the

409
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Speaker 2: guys that are going right after him are like Noelvie

410
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Speaker 2: Marte and Paritis, like Jordan Westberg is right in front

411
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Speaker 2: of him, Like Matt Chapman is an incredibly maybe boring,

412
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Speaker 2: but great player that you can throw in at third

413
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Speaker 2: base if you've missed a lot of opportunity, or if

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Speaker 2: you want to be a jerk and you want to

415
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Speaker 2: take one of those high third basemen, take Matt Chapman

416
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Speaker 2: off the board, and then let everybody else just scramble

417
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Speaker 2: like the lights got turned on in New York with

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Speaker 2: a bunch of roaches running around on the ground, and

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Speaker 2: they're going to be freaking out. So I don't mind

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Speaker 2: him as a corner infielder. I love Matt Chapman and

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Speaker 2: pretty much all of my drafts.

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Speaker 1: All right, make sure before all of your drafts you're

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Speaker 1: using the mock draft simulator as well. Take all this

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00:19:01,560 --> 00:19:03,199
Speaker 1: knowledge that we're giving you about all these players and

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00:19:03,200 --> 00:19:06,080
Speaker 1: all these takes, and you can complete realistic mock drafts.

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Speaker 1: In minutes. With our draft simulator that's available now Fantasy Pros.

427
00:19:10,440 --> 00:19:12,680
Speaker 1: You don't have to wait in between picks. The simulator

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00:19:12,760 --> 00:19:15,200
Speaker 1: just bangs out those picks for you. You can undo

429
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,240
Speaker 1: picks if you don't like the way your team is going.

430
00:19:17,480 --> 00:19:19,520
Speaker 1: You can even look and see how that roster's being

431
00:19:19,560 --> 00:19:22,159
Speaker 1: built as you go to are you light on stolen bases,

432
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:24,760
Speaker 1: your light on batting average, strikeouts. That's the great thing

433
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:26,679
Speaker 1: about all these tools here at Fantasy Pros. We're here

434
00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:28,239
Speaker 1: to help you dominate all your leagues. And you can

435
00:19:28,240 --> 00:19:30,720
Speaker 1: even get instant feedback and grades at the end to

436
00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,440
Speaker 1: let you know how you are doing in your mock

437
00:19:33,560 --> 00:19:36,119
Speaker 1: draft journey. But you got to start it somewhere, right.

438
00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: You got to put one foot in front of the other.

439
00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:40,320
Speaker 1: So start with our mockdraft simulator at a fantasypros dot

440
00:19:40,359 --> 00:19:43,159
Speaker 1: com slash Draft Wizard or download the Draft Wizard for

441
00:19:43,280 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 1: MLB today to your phone. All right, let's get to

442
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:49,080
Speaker 1: the second tier group here from thirteen to twenty four

443
00:19:49,080 --> 00:19:51,199
Speaker 1: on fantasypros dot com. Again, you can see the rankings

444
00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 1: over there. Let's start with Royce Lewis at thirteen, then

445
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,520
Speaker 1: Addison Barger at fourteen. You have Mark Viento's we'll see

446
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,080
Speaker 1: what kind of home he has or where he's gonna

447
00:19:59,080 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 1: play every day for the Mets. If he plays every

448
00:20:01,000 --> 00:20:03,240
Speaker 1: day for the Mets, Colson Montgomery or the White Sox

449
00:20:03,280 --> 00:20:06,439
Speaker 1: at sixteen, Alec Bohm at seventeen, Carlos Carrea back with

450
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:10,360
Speaker 1: Houston at eighteen, Matt Shaw another guy to his spot

451
00:20:10,440 --> 00:20:12,640
Speaker 1: kind of in question, along with Bret Baidy at twenty.

452
00:20:12,840 --> 00:20:14,680
Speaker 1: So a lot of question marks in terms of playing

453
00:20:14,720 --> 00:20:16,600
Speaker 1: time and where these guys are gonna be this season.

454
00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:20,119
Speaker 1: Caleb Durbin from Milwaukee at twenty one, Max Montsi at

455
00:20:20,119 --> 00:20:23,240
Speaker 1: twenty two, Jose Cavalero at twenty three, and then Joare

456
00:20:23,359 --> 00:20:26,240
Speaker 1: Polanco at twenty four. I'm of the mind that Hatch,

457
00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:28,080
Speaker 1: you think Polanko is the best value of any of

458
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,879
Speaker 1: these guys because they just paid him, and I think

459
00:20:30,920 --> 00:20:32,919
Speaker 1: the Mets are gonna either play him every day at

460
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:35,520
Speaker 1: first base or play him every day at DH. But

461
00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:37,360
Speaker 1: I think he is in the lineup every single day

462
00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:42,000
Speaker 1: because they are paying him. Number One rule, follow the money,

463
00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,240
Speaker 1: follow the money, always follow the money. That's actually three rules,

464
00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:46,719
Speaker 1: so I hope you got all three of them. But

465
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 1: to me, Polanco at twenty four is a good value

466
00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:50,600
Speaker 1: coming off the season he had. I want to talk

467
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:53,000
Speaker 1: about another guy too on this list, though, Colson Montgomery,

468
00:20:53,080 --> 00:20:55,439
Speaker 1: because oftentimes with the young players, we tend to get

469
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,000
Speaker 1: very excited about them, and sometimes too excited too quickly.

470
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:02,600
Speaker 1: Age twenty three season, twenty one home runs, fifty five RBI,

471
00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:05,400
Speaker 1: forty three runs scored. He hit just two thirty nine,

472
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,879
Speaker 1: but clearly a guy that's got some power. Clearly some

473
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:12,280
Speaker 1: strikeouts as well. Before we get to mister prospect in

474
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,560
Speaker 1: welsh Arico, I want your take on Colson Montgomery's redraft

475
00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:17,560
Speaker 1: value in twenty twenty six.

476
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,439
Speaker 2: And i'd like to hear your take on his power,

477
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 2: mister jo Rico, I'd like to hear what you think

478
00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:22,720
Speaker 2: about his power now too.

479
00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:26,200
Speaker 3: So I see you remember our conversations from last year. Yeah,

480
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,159
Speaker 3: Wilson and I have disagreed about Colson Montgomery for about.

481
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 1: A year now.

482
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:32,000
Speaker 3: I don't think the power is as legit as it looked.

483
00:21:32,040 --> 00:21:34,280
Speaker 3: Twenty one homers in seventy one games. Is he a

484
00:21:34,280 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 3: forty home run guy if you're extrapolating, No, Could he

485
00:21:37,119 --> 00:21:39,760
Speaker 3: be like a twenty home run guy in a full season?

486
00:21:39,840 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 3: I think he can, but I don't buy into the

487
00:21:43,680 --> 00:21:45,919
Speaker 3: per game numbers that we saw from him last year,

488
00:21:45,960 --> 00:21:47,600
Speaker 3: and a lot of it just comes down to the

489
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,760
Speaker 3: play discipline and the swing and misnumbers. He had a

490
00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:53,000
Speaker 3: twenty nine percent strikeout rate, doesn't make great contact in

491
00:21:53,000 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 3: the zone. It's eighty two percent zone contact, sixty nine

492
00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:00,240
Speaker 3: percent contact rate overall, and a fifteen percent swinging strike eight.

493
00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:02,560
Speaker 3: So this is gonna be a guy with a thirty

494
00:22:02,720 --> 00:22:06,040
Speaker 3: plus percent strikeo rate likely will be I think in

495
00:22:06,080 --> 00:22:08,959
Speaker 3: the White Sox lineup, and I just can't get that

496
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,479
Speaker 3: excited about it. The White Sox have made some decent

497
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:14,720
Speaker 3: moves this offseason, bringing in Murakami. I like the Austin

498
00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,520
Speaker 3: Hayes signing. Austin Hayes was really good last year, but

499
00:22:17,760 --> 00:22:19,560
Speaker 3: at the end of the day, it's still not a

500
00:22:19,600 --> 00:22:21,760
Speaker 3: great lineup here. I don't know that you can project

501
00:22:21,800 --> 00:22:24,399
Speaker 3: them to be even a top twenty lineup in baseball.

502
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:26,680
Speaker 3: They're probably gonna be hovering around that, you know, twenty third,

503
00:22:26,720 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 3: twenty fourth ranked lineup in the league, and I don't

504
00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:30,720
Speaker 3: think there's gonna be enough counting stats there to go

505
00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,680
Speaker 3: around to make Colson Montgomery worth it as a starting

506
00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 3: first base or a starting third baseman here now, where

507
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,280
Speaker 3: he's being drafted sixteenth in our ECR, maybe he's more

508
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:40,679
Speaker 3: of a corner. But if you're playing in a lot

509
00:22:40,680 --> 00:22:42,560
Speaker 3: of fifteen teamers like I am, there's a chance that

510
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,440
Speaker 3: he's your starting third basement and I just can't really

511
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 3: get behind it. I think I was wrong about the

512
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:50,040
Speaker 3: power to a certain extent, but I don't think he's

513
00:22:50,040 --> 00:22:52,800
Speaker 3: going to be a thirty plus home run hitter perennially.

514
00:22:52,880 --> 00:22:54,680
Speaker 1: I think he can be into the mid twenties.

515
00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 3: Like the projections kind of expect the ranging from about

516
00:22:57,320 --> 00:22:59,560
Speaker 3: twenty one to twenty six homers. That's what I would

517
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:01,439
Speaker 3: expect the course of a full season. I think that

518
00:23:01,480 --> 00:23:03,879
Speaker 3: he got super hot last year, but I think some

519
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,600
Speaker 3: people might expect that he can extrapolate that total over

520
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,440
Speaker 3: a whole season, and I wouldn't be banking on it personally.

521
00:23:09,800 --> 00:23:12,840
Speaker 1: Well, to a Rico's point, over three hundred and seventy

522
00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 1: six minor league games, he did just have a slugging

523
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,240
Speaker 1: percentage of four to fourteen, So that's a pretty good

524
00:23:18,280 --> 00:23:21,720
Speaker 1: sample size there of the power being questionable. Now, he's

525
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:24,680
Speaker 1: already hit twenty one home runs and seventy six games

526
00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:28,280
Speaker 1: at the major league level. So talk to me about

527
00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:31,000
Speaker 1: Colson Montgomery. Why you think last year is actually something

528
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:33,440
Speaker 1: you can build upon as opposed to something that is

529
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:34,639
Speaker 1: going to regress automatically.

530
00:23:34,720 --> 00:23:36,639
Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So let me start with like, he's not

531
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:38,680
Speaker 2: a target for me. I think there are two big

532
00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:41,240
Speaker 2: of questions on the batting average, and that has followed

533
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:44,320
Speaker 2: him his entire minor league career, which I have followed

534
00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:47,520
Speaker 2: since the beginning two straight years of the AFL into

535
00:23:47,560 --> 00:23:51,280
Speaker 2: White Sox camp. The strikeout problem, it's absolutely real. The

536
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:55,280
Speaker 2: contact issues are real. But a Rico, You're like, I

537
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 2: think he could probably hit twenty he hit twenty homers

538
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:01,280
Speaker 2: and like under three hundred a bats last year he

539
00:24:01,400 --> 00:24:04,239
Speaker 2: hit twenty eight. Yes, he can hit twenty homers. He

540
00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 2: also can hit thirty. We could probably go down a

541
00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:11,080
Speaker 2: pretty nice list of stupid strikeout guys that hit thirty homers. Listen,

542
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 2: he had a fourteen percent barrel rate, forty five percent

543
00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:17,280
Speaker 2: hard hit rate, he got the launch angle of eighteen degrees,

544
00:24:17,320 --> 00:24:19,120
Speaker 2: and he pulled the living crap out of the ball

545
00:24:19,160 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 2: twenty seven percent. He's built for homers. He is always

546
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,639
Speaker 2: He had multiple risk issues in the miners, So stop

547
00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:27,520
Speaker 2: looking at the minor league numbers. He got to stop

548
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:29,840
Speaker 2: looking at the minor league stuff because that is the

549
00:24:29,880 --> 00:24:33,639
Speaker 2: progression of like prospects they're going through in their building.

550
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:37,440
Speaker 2: He's a big physical dude. He did this in the AFL,

551
00:24:37,440 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: which you don't get to see those numbers. When you

552
00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:42,520
Speaker 2: look at this stuff, crushed one dead center in Peoria,

553
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,919
Speaker 2: hitting a wall, huge exit velocity. It's like he's a

554
00:24:45,920 --> 00:24:49,680
Speaker 2: big freaking dude. But I absolutely agree that his contact

555
00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 2: issues are a problem, and he really had that stunted.

556
00:24:52,520 --> 00:24:54,040
Speaker 2: They actually, I don't know if you guys remember this,

557
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,679
Speaker 2: they had to put him in God and I'm forgetting

558
00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,159
Speaker 2: what it's called, like developmental the developmental lead. It's not

559
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,360
Speaker 2: developmental league, but they took him out of the minors

560
00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:06,720
Speaker 2: for a month because they had to rework his swing.

561
00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:07,960
Speaker 1: I mean instructional league.

562
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 2: No, it wasn't instructional, but it's like where they a

563
00:25:09,880 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 2: developmental list. It's where they put a guy a jack

564
00:25:12,160 --> 00:25:15,000
Speaker 2: Lider did this as well. They'll take them off so

565
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:17,080
Speaker 2: they're not occupying a roster spot in the minor leagues

566
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,120
Speaker 2: to re jack lad of your buddy, to rework suffering.

567
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 2: And they did that with Colson Montgomery to rework his swing.

568
00:25:23,359 --> 00:25:27,000
Speaker 2: Everybody knows the contact stuff is going to be a problem,

569
00:25:27,640 --> 00:25:29,119
Speaker 2: but I've just been trying to tell you, like, the

570
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,479
Speaker 2: power's not and he can also steal some bases if

571
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:33,119
Speaker 2: he ends up wanting to. He didn't do that at

572
00:25:33,119 --> 00:25:35,199
Speaker 2: the Major League, so I'm not I'm also trying not

573
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:37,200
Speaker 2: to make the case he's going to thirty five forty

574
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,720
Speaker 2: because I agree you can't extrapolate and the batting average

575
00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,240
Speaker 2: could be a problem, but he had a two thirty XBA,

576
00:25:43,320 --> 00:25:44,920
Speaker 2: which was about what he hit. He had a really

577
00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:47,800
Speaker 2: low babb he put up. If you didn't see the

578
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,520
Speaker 2: name and I told you almost fifteen percent barrel, forty

579
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,400
Speaker 2: five percent hard hit rate, eighteen degree launch angle while

580
00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,479
Speaker 2: pulling the ball, you'd be like, this is pretty sweet.

581
00:25:56,680 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 2: Colson Montgomery has legit power that might be his best

582
00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:01,880
Speaker 2: carrying cool. The other things are a problem. There's no

583
00:26:01,960 --> 00:26:03,919
Speaker 2: chance I want to go in with him as my

584
00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:06,919
Speaker 2: starting third basement and a fifteen team. That's why, from

585
00:26:06,960 --> 00:26:10,199
Speaker 2: a strategy standpoint, you have to prioritize the position a

586
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:12,760
Speaker 2: bit so you don't fall behind. If you are comfortable

587
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:14,760
Speaker 2: and it's a big competitive league. I actually don't hate

588
00:26:14,760 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 2: like guys like Jorge Polanco taking over the position. But

589
00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:20,480
Speaker 2: get me a core guy early, and then if you

590
00:26:20,520 --> 00:26:22,320
Speaker 2: want to play in this pool and screw around, you can.

591
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,960
Speaker 2: Colson Montgomery, there's a ton of upside, but I think

592
00:26:24,960 --> 00:26:28,159
Speaker 2: there's a ton of downside as well with his contact issues.

593
00:26:28,680 --> 00:26:31,880
Speaker 1: I think this whole group is suspect Royce Lewis all

594
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 1: the way down to Max Muncy and that I mean,

595
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 1: there's so many questions. We were just marking through them,

596
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:39,840
Speaker 1: talking about questions about playing time. You gota have questions

597
00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: about age, you gonna have questions about performance last year.

598
00:26:42,280 --> 00:26:44,200
Speaker 1: There's a lot of questions. We're gonna dive a little

599
00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:45,800
Speaker 1: bit deeper into this group before we do, just a

600
00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,120
Speaker 1: shout out to the sponsor of today's show, hard Rock Bet.

601
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,840
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602
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606
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611
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612
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613
00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:19,880
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614
00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,119
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615
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,359
Speaker 1: Concerned about gambling in Florida, I call one eight three

616
00:27:25,480 --> 00:27:28,000
Speaker 1: three play wise. In Indiana, if you are someone you

617
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:30,080
Speaker 1: know as a gambling problem wants help, called one eight

618
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,439
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619
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:36,480
Speaker 1: hundred gambler in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Tennessee, Virginia.

620
00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 1: Joe Rico. Let's talk about one of those question mark guys,

621
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:41,240
Speaker 1: and it's Matt Shaw, who had a lot of hype

622
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,000
Speaker 1: going into last year. Things didn't really work out, got

623
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 1: sent down, did come back up eventually, But now Alex

624
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,040
Speaker 1: Bregman has taken over the everyday gig at Third Base

625
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:50,840
Speaker 1: So what does that mean for Matt Shaw now in

626
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:51,720
Speaker 1: twenty twenty six.

627
00:27:52,000 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, I expected that the market would kind of adapt

628
00:27:54,640 --> 00:27:57,760
Speaker 3: once Bregman signed and we would see Shaw's price come down.

629
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:01,320
Speaker 3: It hasn't really happened, not the way that I was expecting. Anyway,

630
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,639
Speaker 3: You're still seeing him sometimes even inside the top one

631
00:28:04,720 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 3: hundred and fifty two hundred picks. He's slipped sometimes. But

632
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,639
Speaker 3: I think that Matt Shaw should be somebody that's not

633
00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 3: even really getting drafted at this point. So some fantasy juice,

634
00:28:13,640 --> 00:28:16,680
Speaker 3: we saw thirteen and seventeen as a rookie, but as

635
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:18,879
Speaker 3: a whole it was a ninety three WRC plus a

636
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:22,480
Speaker 3: twenty nine percent hard hit rate, sub seven percent barrel rate.

637
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:25,800
Speaker 3: You know, the contact rates are are fine, they're decent,

638
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:28,760
Speaker 3: eighty six percent zone contact. But the main concern here

639
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:30,320
Speaker 3: is that I just don't think he has a job

640
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,600
Speaker 3: right now. There's a chance he gets traded and maybe

641
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:35,560
Speaker 3: they try and you know, bring back a pitcher or

642
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:37,520
Speaker 3: something like that. He's still young, he'd still be able

643
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:39,760
Speaker 3: to fetch something decent in the trade market. But in

644
00:28:39,880 --> 00:28:43,680
Speaker 3: terms of looking at the twenty twenty six Chicago Cubs,

645
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,160
Speaker 3: I don't really see a room for him even as

646
00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 3: a platoon bat outside of an injury or a trade.

647
00:28:49,640 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 3: So as of right now, people are still drafting him

648
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,320
Speaker 3: in the starting rounds of drafts. I don't understand it.

649
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 3: I really don't.

650
00:28:56,920 --> 00:28:58,840
Speaker 1: Well, I want to talk about Alec Bohm here on

651
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:01,880
Speaker 1: this list too. Ninety seven RBI in twenty twenty three

652
00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:05,400
Speaker 1: and in twenty twenty four. Last year, he missed twenty

653
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:07,360
Speaker 1: more games than he played in the previous two seasons,

654
00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,080
Speaker 1: so only one hundred and twenty games played, but that

655
00:29:09,160 --> 00:29:12,280
Speaker 1: number fell off to fifty nine. Batting everage is still

656
00:29:12,280 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 1: strong for him a two eighty five, but the power

657
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 1: has regressed a couple of years in a row.

658
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:15,960
Speaker 4: Now.

659
00:29:16,000 --> 00:29:17,720
Speaker 1: I know last year did miss some time, but Alec

660
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,120
Speaker 1: Bohm seems to be a guy that the Phillies seemed

661
00:29:20,120 --> 00:29:23,160
Speaker 1: to always be in rumors about replacing. Do you think

662
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,640
Speaker 1: he's a viable option this season in fantasy?

663
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:26,360
Speaker 2: He stinks?

664
00:29:26,840 --> 00:29:26,959
Speaker 4: No.

665
00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 2: This is why I put this on here, Joe, I

666
00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:32,360
Speaker 2: didn't realize we were both doing this. Arico put up

667
00:29:32,400 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 2: Matt Shaw as kind of a negative. I agree Alec

668
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,000
Speaker 2: Boum stinks and shouldn't be drafted, and I don't know

669
00:29:38,040 --> 00:29:39,800
Speaker 2: why we do it. Maybe in a points league you

670
00:29:39,800 --> 00:29:43,600
Speaker 2: can do it, but everything continuously just gets worse. What

671
00:29:43,680 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 2: he does do is he hits for average, but he's

672
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:48,360
Speaker 2: not put in a Now I know there's like some

673
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:50,400
Speaker 2: early depth chart stuff that might be putting him out

674
00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:51,760
Speaker 2: there where it's like, could he get back to the

675
00:29:51,840 --> 00:29:54,920
Speaker 2: ninety rbi? Listen the year prior he did hit two

676
00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,440
Speaker 2: eighty fifteen omers ninety seven rbi. That was like Josh

677
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 2: Naylor light from a couple of years ago. I remember

678
00:30:01,520 --> 00:30:04,640
Speaker 2: when he was doing that. But I think everything about

679
00:30:04,720 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 2: Alec Bohm's game sucks, and I think he's gonna be moved,

680
00:30:08,640 --> 00:30:10,840
Speaker 2: and I think that's gonna put a big question like

681
00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,240
Speaker 2: what's one of what's the thing when you talk about

682
00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:17,520
Speaker 2: Alec Bohm that everyone talks about, they're like Philly's lineup, Like,

683
00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 2: oh well, when he's traded and he's off of this

684
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 2: lineup and he's hitting in Pittsburgh or he's a white sock,

685
00:30:24,840 --> 00:30:28,640
Speaker 2: it's gonna suck. And I just I like it's low barrel.

686
00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 2: He doesn't hit the ball super hard. I mean forty

687
00:30:31,520 --> 00:30:34,120
Speaker 2: six percent hard hit rate is decent, but is on

688
00:30:34,240 --> 00:30:37,320
Speaker 2: average isn't great. His launch angle has decreased. He got

689
00:30:37,360 --> 00:30:40,880
Speaker 2: into the single digits this past year. He does not

690
00:30:41,080 --> 00:30:43,840
Speaker 2: pull the ball whatsoever. So he's just a line drive

691
00:30:43,960 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 2: hitter that I don't think is gonna be put in

692
00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:49,360
Speaker 2: a prominent spot. And they're building up for Aiden Miller

693
00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:51,720
Speaker 2: to be a third baseman, like when that happens, I

694
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,520
Speaker 2: think by the trade deadline. I would be shocked if

695
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,680
Speaker 2: Alec Bohm is a Philly after the trade deadline. So

696
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 2: maybe there's some inherent value in there. But like I

697
00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:03,320
Speaker 2: look at positionally where he's being ranked and I'm like, no, thanks,

698
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:08,080
Speaker 2: you know what, It's seventeen. Why is Carlos Korea any

699
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 2: worse than him? Why Brett Batty? If Brett Batty wasn't blocked,

700
00:31:11,920 --> 00:31:13,880
Speaker 2: he would be on this list. I'm now worried I

701
00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:18,480
Speaker 2: would take Beatty's a better player. Cavalero has more stolen bases,

702
00:31:18,560 --> 00:31:22,800
Speaker 2: Planco I think has more impact, Like Alec Boehm needs

703
00:31:22,840 --> 00:31:24,680
Speaker 2: to probably not be on this list. To me, maybe

704
00:31:24,760 --> 00:31:27,120
Speaker 2: I'm just like more dramatic about it, but this is

705
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:29,800
Speaker 2: it's just so little. It's starting to like, I know

706
00:31:29,880 --> 00:31:32,200
Speaker 2: this isn't Luisa Rise, but you know we'd always be like, oh,

707
00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:33,880
Speaker 2: Louis right, is such a good player, and it's like,

708
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 2: for like five years, I would just argue, be like

709
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,240
Speaker 2: no in points league, that's it. Alec Bohm, to me,

710
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 2: is kind of starting to float into that area where

711
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,600
Speaker 2: it's like he's not a good power department, he's not

712
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:47,960
Speaker 2: good in the stolen based department. Runs and RBIs have

713
00:31:48,000 --> 00:31:50,720
Speaker 2: fallen off, so it's it's an office space. What would

714
00:31:50,760 --> 00:31:54,120
Speaker 2: you say you do here? So I'm out on Alec

715
00:31:54,160 --> 00:31:56,720
Speaker 2: Bowm and I think he's being like Matt Shaw. I

716
00:31:56,760 --> 00:31:59,680
Speaker 2: think both of those guys are just like being valued

717
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,640
Speaker 2: too high for people because people start to panic about

718
00:32:02,640 --> 00:32:04,640
Speaker 2: the position and they're like, ooh do I really want

719
00:32:04,720 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 2: Jorge Planco and it's like, yeah, take people spots over.

720
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 1: Is that he's twenty nine entering thirty. This is supposed

721
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 1: to be the prime years. These are supposed to be

722
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:15,880
Speaker 1: your best years. I don't feel like we're getting the

723
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:17,640
Speaker 1: best version of Alec Bohm that we've seen. He's not

724
00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:20,320
Speaker 1: a player that's growing into something. He's actually a player

725
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,360
Speaker 1: going in the other direction. To me, when you do

726
00:32:22,400 --> 00:32:25,760
Speaker 1: that in age twenty eight to thirty one, that's no buno.

727
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 1: That's not something I want on my fantasy team.

728
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:31,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, question, he's a jack. Who would rus just another guy?

729
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:35,040
Speaker 1: Who would you rather have this year? Viento's or Batty curiosity?

730
00:32:35,120 --> 00:32:36,520
Speaker 1: What's your answer? Real quick? Beaty?

731
00:32:37,160 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 2: Like, I think Beatty just over all his profile is ridiculous.

732
00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,040
Speaker 2: I know Vanta showed some, like you know, some potential

733
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 2: in the power department, but I think like if Beatty

734
00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,080
Speaker 2: were given every day at bats, he legitimately could be

735
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,680
Speaker 2: a top twelve at this position. I think Elshill qualifies

736
00:32:50,720 --> 00:32:53,400
Speaker 2: at second. So I really like Beatty. I'll probably still

737
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:55,280
Speaker 2: take him in some spots, but that would be the guy.

738
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:59,160
Speaker 1: Arico Vento's or Beatty baby easily for me.

739
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:01,240
Speaker 3: I'm going to talk about Biento's a little bit. I'm

740
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:03,960
Speaker 3: not in on Biento's. I thought I was going to be,

741
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:06,200
Speaker 3: but there's they've made too many moves this offseason. They've

742
00:33:06,200 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 3: brought in too many names. There's not not enough room anymore.

743
00:33:09,360 --> 00:33:11,120
Speaker 1: All right, Well, we're gonna get into those names here.

744
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:13,000
Speaker 1: We can talk about sleepers. When about bus and the

745
00:33:13,040 --> 00:33:15,480
Speaker 1: must have, Let's start with the sleepers. Joe Rico, give

746
00:33:15,480 --> 00:33:18,120
Speaker 1: me your sleeper. The third base position for twenty twenty six.

747
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 3: It's gonna be my boy Addison Barger. And yes I'm

748
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:24,200
Speaker 3: not beating the home er allegations today, but Addison Barger

749
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:27,280
Speaker 3: is somebody that his price just doesn't make any sense

750
00:33:27,320 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 3: to me outside of the top two hundred picks. Still,

751
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 3: if you're looking at NFBC drafts, AR consensus rankings have

752
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:36,800
Speaker 3: him fourteenth, which I mean that's not terrible, but when

753
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:39,640
Speaker 3: I'm looking at the overall draft board, he's still falling

754
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 3: way later than he should. He's also a multi eligible guy,

755
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:44,120
Speaker 3: so you can put him in the outfield when you

756
00:33:44,200 --> 00:33:46,400
Speaker 3: need to. But just looking at the offensive output was

757
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 3: twenty one homers, seventy four ribies. You get two forty

758
00:33:49,280 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 3: three in one hundred and thirty five games Toronto. I

759
00:33:52,080 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 3: thought they were going to make a bunch of moves

760
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 3: this offseason. They missed out on a bunch of them.

761
00:33:55,720 --> 00:33:58,000
Speaker 3: Thank you to your New York Mets for stealing Bobushet

762
00:33:58,040 --> 00:33:59,880
Speaker 3: away from US Joe. But part of the reason that

763
00:34:00,200 --> 00:34:02,640
Speaker 3: works for Adason Barger's because there's not as much competition.

764
00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:04,600
Speaker 3: If they had brought it, if they brought back with set,

765
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 3: if they brought in Talker, made a bunch of other moves,

766
00:34:07,120 --> 00:34:09,520
Speaker 3: then Barger might have been squeezed for playing time a

767
00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 3: little bit, but he should be hitting second in that

768
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:14,680
Speaker 3: lineup pretty much every day, sandwiching Springer or sandwich by

769
00:34:14,760 --> 00:34:17,839
Speaker 3: Springer and Vladdie. I don't know how much he's gonna

770
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,120
Speaker 3: play against lefties, but he has shown an ability to

771
00:34:20,160 --> 00:34:21,880
Speaker 3: hit lefties a little bit more. Later in the season.

772
00:34:21,880 --> 00:34:23,520
Speaker 3: He had a grand slam off of Blake Snell in

773
00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:27,399
Speaker 3: the World Series. Man, I'm still not over it. I'll

774
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:29,840
Speaker 3: never be over it. But Addison Barger, I think the

775
00:34:29,880 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 3: power is there is absolutely legit for a thirty home

776
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,359
Speaker 3: run type of season, eleven percent barrel rate, fifty one

777
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:37,880
Speaker 3: percent hard hit rate, in a good spot, in a

778
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:41,240
Speaker 3: good lineup. I think he's essentially Jordan Westburg one hundred

779
00:34:41,239 --> 00:34:44,240
Speaker 3: picks later, a guy that's hitting second for a really

780
00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:46,959
Speaker 3: good lineup that there maybe are some questions about still,

781
00:34:46,960 --> 00:34:49,319
Speaker 3: But if you have that kind of interest looking for

782
00:34:49,360 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 3: a guy at the top of an order who can

783
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 3: hit you twenty plus homers, don't go for Westburg. Wait

784
00:34:53,200 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 3: one hundred picks and take Adason Barger, all.

785
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,239
Speaker 1: Right, give us your sleeper for twenty twenty six at

786
00:34:59,239 --> 00:34:59,640
Speaker 1: third base.

787
00:34:59,680 --> 00:35:01,400
Speaker 2: Well, yeah, and I feel like I got like a

788
00:35:01,400 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 2: true sleeper here too. Sometimes it's hard for us to like,

789
00:35:04,560 --> 00:35:06,960
Speaker 2: you know, the world of sleepers, like everybody knows everybody

790
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:09,200
Speaker 2: and stuff like that, and sleepers become about value. But

791
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:13,240
Speaker 2: I think brooks Lee is a sleeper, and I really

792
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,760
Speaker 2: like brooks Lee a lot. You know, from last season

793
00:35:15,800 --> 00:35:18,720
Speaker 2: he had sixteen homers in just under five hundred at bats.

794
00:35:18,920 --> 00:35:22,000
Speaker 2: Batting average wasn't quite there at two thirty six, and

795
00:35:22,040 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 2: I think there's some elements in his game that they

796
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,799
Speaker 2: don't signal to people, Oh, this is a sleeper because

797
00:35:27,800 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 2: it's not a guy that had like a you know,

798
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:32,439
Speaker 2: ten percent barrel rate or a really big hard hit rate.

799
00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:34,200
Speaker 2: But I think this is a guy that is going

800
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,920
Speaker 2: to grow into that five point eight percent barrel thirty

801
00:35:36,920 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 2: eight percent hard hit rate. Those don't jump off the page,

802
00:35:39,200 --> 00:35:42,680
Speaker 2: but those were increases from the year before max x

803
00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,000
Speaker 2: velocity one oh seven, the year before one ten. This

804
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 2: year another increase average X velocity over three miles prior

805
00:35:48,440 --> 00:35:51,319
Speaker 2: another increase launch angle up. You get the trend of

806
00:35:51,320 --> 00:35:54,480
Speaker 2: what's going on here. There's increases and I think we're

807
00:35:54,520 --> 00:35:56,960
Speaker 2: going to continue to have that. He's also a pretty

808
00:35:56,960 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 2: big physical guy. He had sixteen homers in those almost

809
00:35:59,719 --> 00:36:02,080
Speaker 2: five hundred bats. I think we're going to see some

810
00:36:02,120 --> 00:36:04,120
Speaker 2: big jumps this year. He does a good job at

811
00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:05,600
Speaker 2: pulling the ball in the air. It went down a

812
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:07,440
Speaker 2: little bit this year, I think that will pop back up.

813
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:10,640
Speaker 2: He makes a ton of contact in the zone eighty

814
00:36:10,719 --> 00:36:13,280
Speaker 2: nine and eighty eight percent over the last two years.

815
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:18,279
Speaker 2: Doesn't like doesn't have like incredibly worrisome chase and like

816
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,880
Speaker 2: with percentages, it only struck out seventeen percent of the time.

817
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,520
Speaker 2: I think brooks Lee has a legitimate shot to pop

818
00:36:25,560 --> 00:36:28,080
Speaker 2: that twenty homer marker. He gets the ball in the

819
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,520
Speaker 2: air enough two that I think like he's just a

820
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 2: gimme for fifteen homers, and he's probably gonna hit it

821
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 2: a predominant spot in that lineup because the Twins are

822
00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 2: just kind of messy right now. So I think brooks

823
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:40,839
Speaker 2: Lee is It's a deeper league option. Maybe not someone

824
00:36:40,880 --> 00:36:42,799
Speaker 2: that's going to be on like you know, like if

825
00:36:42,800 --> 00:36:45,160
Speaker 2: you're playing an ESPN or a twelve and fifteen man,

826
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:46,920
Speaker 2: but he's a guy would keep an eye on this

827
00:36:47,000 --> 00:36:49,360
Speaker 2: year because I think we could see some big increases

828
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:51,920
Speaker 2: in some of that batting profile. He could top twenty

829
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:54,320
Speaker 2: homers and he can maybe even be a top fifteen

830
00:36:54,640 --> 00:36:56,720
Speaker 2: third baseman by next season.

831
00:36:57,719 --> 00:37:00,160
Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about the other end of the spectrum. Hear,

832
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:02,240
Speaker 1: those are the sleepers. Let's talk about the busts. Welsh,

833
00:37:02,239 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 1: why don't you give us your bust to the position

834
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:05,040
Speaker 1: at third base? All right?

835
00:37:05,080 --> 00:37:06,520
Speaker 2: So I got a bigger name, and this is a

836
00:37:06,560 --> 00:37:09,920
Speaker 2: guy that I do like, but I am going to

837
00:37:10,120 --> 00:37:13,319
Speaker 2: bust Alex Bregman for this year. I do think when

838
00:37:13,360 --> 00:37:16,080
Speaker 2: I think of like talking to you guys about a bus,

839
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,319
Speaker 2: I think it's got to be like a significant type

840
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:21,120
Speaker 2: of player. And Alex Bregman, what was he on our list?

841
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:25,600
Speaker 2: I think number seven, And you know, like we've obviously

842
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:28,200
Speaker 2: seen the power just never become what it was before

843
00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,520
Speaker 2: twenty six, twenty five. He only hit eighteen last year.

844
00:37:31,520 --> 00:37:35,080
Speaker 2: He doesn't steal any bases. Batting average is fine, but

845
00:37:35,120 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 2: I'm also looking at the ballpark. He wasn't great, you know,

846
00:37:39,239 --> 00:37:42,520
Speaker 2: in Boston as far as like the stats go, like

847
00:37:42,560 --> 00:37:45,560
Speaker 2: batting average is there, RBIs are there, but like that

848
00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:48,080
Speaker 2: was a really hitter friendly environment. As a matter of fact,

849
00:37:48,120 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 2: for right handed hitters. It was like top ten in

850
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:54,560
Speaker 2: overall ballpark factor. If you do righty's and lefties. It

851
00:37:54,600 --> 00:37:56,720
Speaker 2: was like number two, Like, so a great ballpark factor.

852
00:37:57,320 --> 00:38:00,600
Speaker 2: He's going to the Cubs, who have the second worst

853
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,640
Speaker 2: overall ballpark factor for right handed hitters. So there is

854
00:38:04,680 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 2: a potential power suppression that's going to go on. Obviously,

855
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,640
Speaker 2: he's walking, he's getting on base. They've got some guys there.

856
00:38:11,760 --> 00:38:13,640
Speaker 2: It would have been cool if like Kyle Tucker was

857
00:38:13,640 --> 00:38:16,200
Speaker 2: there with him, But like to me, it's kind of

858
00:38:16,239 --> 00:38:20,280
Speaker 2: similar to like the Boston lineup. I think the power

859
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,120
Speaker 2: is going to be pushed down in suppress. And I

860
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,080
Speaker 2: think my big argument would be when you look positionally

861
00:38:25,520 --> 00:38:30,160
Speaker 2: and he's going seven Iohanio Swarrez is behind him. I'll

862
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:32,680
Speaker 2: take Swarez if he hits forty plus homers and hits

863
00:38:32,680 --> 00:38:36,480
Speaker 2: two forty in Cincinnati before I'll take Alex Bregman and

864
00:38:36,520 --> 00:38:39,600
Speaker 2: he's cheaper. Jordan Westberg, i think, is going to compliment

865
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,480
Speaker 2: the same stats. I think Matt Chapman is going to

866
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:46,440
Speaker 2: compete with Alex Bregman as far as the statistical categories go.

867
00:38:47,400 --> 00:38:49,640
Speaker 2: I just don't think it's a really great environment for him.

868
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:51,320
Speaker 2: I'm not sure the Cubs are going to be blowing

869
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,640
Speaker 2: the doors off as far as the runs go, and

870
00:38:53,680 --> 00:38:54,960
Speaker 2: I think at the end of the day, it's just

871
00:38:55,000 --> 00:38:57,680
Speaker 2: not going to make sense where he was being drafted.

872
00:38:57,719 --> 00:38:59,760
Speaker 2: And also, because I said before, the position kind of stinks,

873
00:38:59,760 --> 00:39:01,359
Speaker 2: so he's going to be pushed up. I just don't

874
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:03,600
Speaker 2: think it's there's going to be a great return on value.

875
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,200
Speaker 2: So I'm going to pick Alex Bregman as my bust.

876
00:39:06,960 --> 00:39:09,359
Speaker 1: All right, Joe, you alluded to your bust earlier, so

877
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 1: if you can, for everybody right now, elaborate on why

878
00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:14,800
Speaker 1: people should stay away from Mark Ventos this season.

879
00:39:15,080 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's not as flashy as well said. It's it's

880
00:39:17,600 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 3: better to have a higher name here. But when I'm

881
00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 3: looking at the top twelve or so in the consensus,

882
00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:26,360
Speaker 3: there's nobody that I see as like a glaring bust

883
00:39:26,360 --> 00:39:28,280
Speaker 3: to me. When I'm looking at our ECR, the first

884
00:39:28,360 --> 00:39:32,080
Speaker 3: name that stands out like a sore thumb as Mark Ventos.

885
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,439
Speaker 3: Somebody was doing their rankings during Happy Hour because somebody

886
00:39:35,480 --> 00:39:38,680
Speaker 3: put him as their number seven third baseman for this season,

887
00:39:38,880 --> 00:39:41,680
Speaker 3: and I just can't get behind it at all. He

888
00:39:41,719 --> 00:39:44,960
Speaker 3: is number fifteen overall in the expert consensus rankings, but

889
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,840
Speaker 3: he doesn't have a job. It's even worse than I

890
00:39:47,880 --> 00:39:50,799
Speaker 3: think Matt Shaw situation, because I could see Shaw kind

891
00:39:50,800 --> 00:39:52,680
Speaker 3: of sneaking in playing time here and there. I do

892
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:55,240
Speaker 3: not see it with Viento's I think the Brett Bady

893
00:39:55,320 --> 00:39:57,440
Speaker 3: is going to be the DH and maybe, you know,

894
00:39:57,480 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 3: if you're getting a couple of lefties in a row,

895
00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:01,719
Speaker 3: you can stickos into a lineup. He'll be a short

896
00:40:01,760 --> 00:40:04,800
Speaker 3: side of a platoon there. But I mean he doesn't

897
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,520
Speaker 3: hit for average, he doesn't steal the runs in RBI

898
00:40:07,600 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 3: totals were pretty suppressed last year. The power output went down,

899
00:40:10,840 --> 00:40:12,759
Speaker 3: and when you look at the play discipline, it is

900
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 3: awful fifteen percent swinging strike rate, the zone contact rate

901
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:19,640
Speaker 3: is below eighty percent. The chase rate's not horrible, but

902
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:21,880
Speaker 3: it's not great either. There's not a lot that's working

903
00:40:21,880 --> 00:40:24,200
Speaker 3: for him here. If I could project an everyday job

904
00:40:24,520 --> 00:40:26,960
Speaker 3: in this lineup, then I could maybe get behind it

905
00:40:27,000 --> 00:40:28,239
Speaker 3: and say, you know what, maybe he can get back

906
00:40:28,280 --> 00:40:30,360
Speaker 3: and give me twenty five homers and drive in a

907
00:40:30,360 --> 00:40:32,359
Speaker 3: good number of runs. I don't know if he's even

908
00:40:32,400 --> 00:40:34,839
Speaker 3: going to play seventy five games this year the way

909
00:40:34,880 --> 00:40:37,400
Speaker 3: they're currently constructed, outside of a big injury or something.

910
00:40:37,760 --> 00:40:41,000
Speaker 3: Mark Vento's has no business being in the top twenty five,

911
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:42,120
Speaker 3: let alone the top fifteen.

912
00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:43,040
Speaker 1: As far as I see.

913
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:44,960
Speaker 2: It, I agree. I just want to say I agree too,

914
00:40:45,000 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 2: because the short side platoon on Viento's just makes it

915
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,359
Speaker 2: like impossible to understand unless he was going to start

916
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 2: playing some outfield spot where there really isn't either a

917
00:40:54,040 --> 00:40:54,600
Speaker 2: spot either.

918
00:40:54,680 --> 00:40:58,319
Speaker 1: So I degalation. I think there's another shooting drop here

919
00:40:58,320 --> 00:40:59,880
Speaker 1: with a trade for some of these guys. Because they

920
00:40:59,880 --> 00:41:04,160
Speaker 1: got Mauricio, They've got Baby, They've got Viento's. It's a

921
00:41:04,200 --> 00:41:05,799
Speaker 1: little bit of a log jammer of these extra guys

922
00:41:05,840 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 1: that are kind of versatile that all can kind of do,

923
00:41:08,800 --> 00:41:10,600
Speaker 1: you know, a little bit of everything there. I just

924
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 1: feel like some other team's going to scoop one of

925
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:13,920
Speaker 1: them up, and the Mets are going to make a

926
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:15,480
Speaker 1: move for another bullpen piece or something else.

927
00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,320
Speaker 2: You know what's tricky is I think Jordan Lawler is

928
00:41:18,360 --> 00:41:22,040
Speaker 2: in the exact same situation as Viento's. There's no I mean,

929
00:41:22,120 --> 00:41:24,319
Speaker 2: it's a little bit better because technically, if they want

930
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 2: to have him compete with Blaisee Alexander in left field,

931
00:41:27,120 --> 00:41:28,719
Speaker 2: he could end up doing that. But third base is

932
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:31,040
Speaker 2: dead now with Nolan Aernado. You have a couple of

933
00:41:31,080 --> 00:41:34,040
Speaker 2: these young guys that are just in limbo. They live

934
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:36,399
Speaker 2: in the void right now. It's like if they could

935
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,200
Speaker 2: go somewhere else, they would be viable. Viento's I would

936
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 2: take over Lawler because I think Lawler might.

937
00:41:40,719 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 1: Well, I was gonna say, a Vento showed you a

938
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 1: twenty seven home run season twenty twenty four. Well, like heay,

939
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:47,080
Speaker 1: Lawler hasn't shown you much at the big level yet,

940
00:41:47,080 --> 00:41:48,040
Speaker 1: but he's been hurt a lot.

941
00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:50,120
Speaker 2: Dude, if you had put Vento's in like Cincinnati or

942
00:41:50,160 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 2: even Arizona or something like that, like, oh, a friendly environment.

943
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:54,759
Speaker 1: Actually, I thought Arizona would be a stute for, you know,

944
00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:56,719
Speaker 1: picking him up and staid they, you know, signing a

945
00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:58,960
Speaker 1: guy in Carlos Santatah was one hundred and twelve years old.

946
00:41:58,960 --> 00:42:01,360
Speaker 1: Why take a shuttle gall Vento's say, came out a

947
00:42:01,400 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 1: corner and see what happens.

948
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:06,040
Speaker 2: Defense, dude, that's all that they're playing, no offense.

949
00:42:06,080 --> 00:42:08,560
Speaker 1: I guess, all right, So let's talk must haves here

950
00:42:08,600 --> 00:42:11,440
Speaker 1: before we get out. Joe Rico, give me your must

951
00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 1: have guy here for twenty twenty six.

952
00:42:13,520 --> 00:42:16,120
Speaker 3: It pains me greatly, but it's a Los Angeles Dodger

953
00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 3: and it's Max Munci. So Max Munsky's had an issue

954
00:42:19,200 --> 00:42:22,440
Speaker 3: with his vision for many years apparently, which is bizarre

955
00:42:22,520 --> 00:42:25,160
Speaker 3: considering he has four thirty five home run seasons, but

956
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:27,400
Speaker 3: apparently he isn't able to see the ball up until

957
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:30,759
Speaker 3: this year. So in April he gets glasses, and after

958
00:42:30,960 --> 00:42:33,160
Speaker 3: or April thirtieth, he gets glasses. After that, it was

959
00:42:33,200 --> 00:42:35,960
Speaker 3: seventy two games of a nine to seventy ops, a

960
00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,160
Speaker 3: one sixty six WRC, plus, he walked more than he

961
00:42:39,200 --> 00:42:41,520
Speaker 3: struck out, had the best barrel and hard hit rates

962
00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:43,080
Speaker 3: that he's had or the heart hit rate was the

963
00:42:43,080 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 3: best of his career, the barrel rate was the best

964
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 3: in several years, and he had nineteen home runs in

965
00:42:47,200 --> 00:42:49,680
Speaker 3: seventy two games. When you're looking at this lineup, this

966
00:42:49,920 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 3: embarrassment of riches where he's probably gonna be batting fifth,

967
00:42:52,880 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 3: the guy's hitting in front of him. He got four MVPs.

968
00:42:55,239 --> 00:42:57,000
Speaker 3: You got Otana, you got Betch, you got Tucker, you

969
00:42:57,000 --> 00:42:59,440
Speaker 3: got Freeman. I think that we could see a thirty

970
00:42:59,440 --> 00:43:02,239
Speaker 3: home run, hundred RBI season from Monsei. He is to

971
00:43:02,320 --> 00:43:04,640
Speaker 3: this point, I've done six drafts. He is my most

972
00:43:04,719 --> 00:43:07,719
Speaker 3: drafted player of all positions. I don't understand why he

973
00:43:07,760 --> 00:43:09,840
Speaker 3: is still being drafted outside of the top two hundred

974
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:11,839
Speaker 3: and fifty picks. I mean, if it doesn't work out,

975
00:43:11,880 --> 00:43:13,520
Speaker 3: you drop him and you move on. But at a

976
00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:15,880
Speaker 3: position that's so terrible to get the fifth hitter and

977
00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:19,240
Speaker 3: the Dodgers lineup, I think it's a no brainer every draft.

978
00:43:19,680 --> 00:43:22,879
Speaker 2: I'm I know Joe hates him.

979
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:26,640
Speaker 1: Joe hates I know not I as much as I

980
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 1: might hate him, I do because he's an all or

981
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 1: nothing kind of guy. But Arico's right. You know, he

982
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,719
Speaker 1: had his little Lasik surgery or they guess glasses on

983
00:43:33,760 --> 00:43:36,440
Speaker 1: whatever he got. You know he had he had his

984
00:43:36,480 --> 00:43:37,360
Speaker 1: little uh.

985
00:43:39,840 --> 00:43:41,160
Speaker 2: Know, don't you have some glasses around here?

986
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:44,000
Speaker 1: The most important thing Son, That's what it is. But

987
00:43:44,200 --> 00:43:47,040
Speaker 1: Max Mounsey still, in my opinion, should not be ranked

988
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:50,480
Speaker 1: behind Colson Montgomery or Matt Shaw or a couple of

989
00:43:50,560 --> 00:43:52,480
Speaker 1: other guys he's behind. So as much as I have

990
00:43:52,520 --> 00:43:54,280
Speaker 1: a problem with Max Munsey, I don't have a problem

991
00:43:54,320 --> 00:43:57,000
Speaker 1: with what Joe Rico's saying, which he is in extreme value.

992
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:58,680
Speaker 1: So who is your must have Welsh?

993
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:01,040
Speaker 2: Yeah, I said it before I Yes, I think that's

994
00:44:01,080 --> 00:44:03,840
Speaker 2: actually a super sexy one. And I like that RICA

995
00:44:03,920 --> 00:44:05,480
Speaker 2: put that in because I think that makes a lot

996
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 2: of sense. There's a lot of run support in the Dodgers.

997
00:44:08,280 --> 00:44:10,040
Speaker 2: Mine has a little bit less of it. But I'm

998
00:44:10,080 --> 00:44:11,560
Speaker 2: just going back to it because I said it before.

999
00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,959
Speaker 2: It's Matt Chapman. It's sexy because he's a top ten guy.

1000
00:44:15,320 --> 00:44:17,560
Speaker 2: But just trying to reiterate and hit home that like

1001
00:44:17,680 --> 00:44:19,759
Speaker 2: when Max Month or when Matt and you got that

1002
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:22,319
Speaker 2: in my head, when Matt Chapman begins to fall. I

1003
00:44:22,360 --> 00:44:25,440
Speaker 2: think there's an advantage in so many different areas, whether

1004
00:44:25,480 --> 00:44:28,839
Speaker 2: you have a third basement or not, Matt Chapman legitimately

1005
00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:32,600
Speaker 2: can compete because I think eighty percent of corner infield

1006
00:44:32,640 --> 00:44:35,280
Speaker 2: spots in fantasy are going to be occupied by first baseman.

1007
00:44:35,560 --> 00:44:38,520
Speaker 2: But you have a chance to put Matt Chapman in

1008
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:41,600
Speaker 2: and deplete the field of third basement while also having

1009
00:44:41,640 --> 00:44:44,560
Speaker 2: a guy that I think is very complementary to like

1010
00:44:45,000 --> 00:44:47,960
Speaker 2: you know, first base twelve or thirteen or something like that.

1011
00:44:48,200 --> 00:44:50,080
Speaker 2: And I just think you're going to You're gonna get

1012
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,640
Speaker 2: like a four core with maybe some stolen based stats,

1013
00:44:52,640 --> 00:44:54,120
Speaker 2: maybe none of them are going to be elite, but

1014
00:44:54,840 --> 00:44:58,640
Speaker 2: ninety ninety twenty five to thirty with decent batting average.

1015
00:44:58,680 --> 00:45:01,239
Speaker 2: I think I think Giants team is going to be

1016
00:45:01,320 --> 00:45:03,840
Speaker 2: very competitive this year, and he's going cheap enough that

1017
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:05,840
Speaker 2: I think he just fits a lot of different molds.

1018
00:45:06,080 --> 00:45:07,960
Speaker 2: And you know, like I said, screws the rest of

1019
00:45:08,000 --> 00:45:10,160
Speaker 2: your draft mates that are out there that I like

1020
00:45:10,200 --> 00:45:12,560
Speaker 2: Matt Chapman, but it is a different type of must

1021
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:16,439
Speaker 2: have because Ricos is like anybody can have Max Mnci

1022
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:18,439
Speaker 2: because he's going outside the top fifteen. So I really

1023
00:45:18,480 --> 00:45:20,760
Speaker 2: like that one. But I think you get my strategy.

1024
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:21,960
Speaker 2: Matt Chapman is my must have.

1025
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:26,200
Speaker 1: All right. That'll do it for third base. Second Base

1026
00:45:26,239 --> 00:45:28,399
Speaker 1: will be the next show we're gonna record next week,

1027
00:45:28,480 --> 00:45:30,680
Speaker 1: so keep an eye out for that. Subscribe to the channel,

1028
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,000
Speaker 1: and then of course you can binge watch all the

1029
00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:35,359
Speaker 1: ultimate guys for every single position. We're gonna go through

1030
00:45:35,400 --> 00:45:37,680
Speaker 1: the pitchers as well. It's gonna be fantastic. We've got

1031
00:45:37,680 --> 00:45:39,680
Speaker 1: a great guests coming up for you as well, So

1032
00:45:39,760 --> 00:45:43,480
Speaker 1: make sure if you're looking for these sleepers, the most drafted,

1033
00:45:43,520 --> 00:45:46,960
Speaker 1: the must draft guys, the biggest buss and every single

1034
00:45:47,120 --> 00:45:49,200
Speaker 1: position you need to be with us for the ultimate

1035
00:45:49,239 --> 00:45:52,040
Speaker 1: guides here at every position here Fantasy Bros. MLB. That'll

1036
00:45:52,080 --> 00:45:53,959
Speaker 1: do it for us, but the story of the game

1037
00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:56,160
Speaker 1: goes on for Joe Rico in the Welsh. I'm Joey P.

1038
00:45:56,719 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 1: We'll see you next time, Gibs.

1039
00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:01,640
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to The Fantasy pro this Fantasy Baseball podcast.

1040
00:46:01,880 --> 00:46:04,280
Speaker 4: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

1041
00:46:04,320 --> 00:46:07,239
Speaker 4: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

1042
00:46:07,320 --> 00:46:11,000
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1043
00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:13,960
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1044
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,160
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