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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Betting Pros Podcast. I'm Pat Fitzmorris, joined

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Speaker 1: as always by Bau mcbrair. The Florida Swing is over.

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Speaker 1: The PGA tour now moves west and into Texas. Today

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Speaker 1: we're going to preview the Texas Children's Houston Open from

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Speaker 1: a betting perspective. We'll also recap the VLSPAR Championship, and

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Speaker 1: at the end of the show, we will make our

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Speaker 1: one and done picks for the week. You can just

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Speaker 1: ignore mine and pay attention to Bose if you're playing

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Speaker 1: these one and done leagues. The Betting Pros PGA podcast

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Speaker 1: is sponsored by Underdog. Fantasy. Fantasy football enthusiasts already know

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Speaker 1: that Underdog is the place to go for fantasy football

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Speaker 1: bestball contests, but you might not have known that Underdog

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Speaker 1: also has golf contests. Sign up for Underdog if you

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Speaker 1: plus there's a special pick available for you in the lobby.

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Speaker 1: More on Underdog and it's golf contests a little later.

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Speaker 1: Well Bow, After a pretty good run for us over

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Speaker 1: the last month or so, we came up empty on

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Speaker 1: the final leg of the Florida Swing, although there was

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Speaker 1: briefly some hope for your long shot pick last week.

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Speaker 1: Kevin Roy, who went off at five hundred to one,

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Speaker 1: shot an opening round sixty five to get our hopes

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Speaker 1: up and was one off the lead, stumbled a bit

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Speaker 1: on Friday, bounced back on Saturday, but then just couldn't

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Speaker 1: get it going on Sunday. Roy did finish tied for twelve,

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Speaker 1: so it was a valiant effort for a five hundred

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Speaker 1: to one long shot, but the winner was Peter Malnotty,

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Speaker 1: longtime PGA Tour also ran member of the PGA Tour

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Speaker 1: Policy Board, so I guess now he won't have to

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Speaker 1: set himself up with exemptions to get in any events.

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Speaker 1: He'll be exempt for a while, better known probably for

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Speaker 1: wearing bucket hats and playing a yellow ball than for

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Speaker 1: contending in tournaments. But credit where credit is due. Mal

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Speaker 1: Noddy opened with a sixty six and closed with a

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Speaker 1: very impressive sixty seven on a Sunday when birdies were

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Speaker 1: not that not that easy to come by on the

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Speaker 1: copper Head course, so Melnotty began his back nine with

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Speaker 1: three straight birdies, then made a clutch birdie on the

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Speaker 1: par three seventeenth, hitting his t shot within seven feets

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Speaker 1: and draining the putt. Malnatty also caught a really nice

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Speaker 1: break on the sixteenth hole. For those of you who

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Speaker 1: saw hit his approach shot into some thick rough and

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Speaker 1: a rules official allowed him to take a drop onto

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Speaker 1: the fringe of the green, which was pretty interesting because

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Speaker 1: of a sprinkler head. Melntty was then able to get

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Speaker 1: up and down for a par, goes on to that

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Speaker 1: birdie in the next hole, so he finished twelve under par,

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Speaker 1: two shots better than Cameron Young, who's still looking for

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Speaker 1: that elusive first win. I don't want to throw any

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Speaker 1: shade at Cam Young, though he posted four rounds in

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Speaker 1: the sixties at the Valspar, which is not easy to do.

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Speaker 1: Even though we didn't hit a winner at Valspar, I

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Speaker 1: feel like we got this sort of tournament we were expecting.

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Speaker 1: With Scotti Scheffler taking the week off, there were a

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Speaker 1: lot of players in contention over the weekend. After two rounds,

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Speaker 1: we had a multi way tie for the lead in

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Speaker 1: about thirty players within three shots of the lead. Scotty

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Speaker 1: doesn't show up and all of a sudden, things get

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Speaker 1: a lot more competitive what say you bo and he

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Speaker 1: takes in the valspar well.

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Speaker 2: I didn't completely strike out. I profited on the week

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Speaker 2: as a whole thanks to top five bets on both

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Speaker 2: Cameron Young and Xander Schoffley, and I also had a

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Speaker 2: top twenty bet on Kevin Roy which was seven to one.

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Speaker 2: So it turned out, oh nice, turned out pretty profitable.

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Speaker 2: Even though I didn't have Peter mul naughty. I had

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Speaker 2: it surrounded, so we didn't make as much as we

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Speaker 2: could have, but we did make a good chunk in

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Speaker 2: return on investment, So I finished the Florida Swing on

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Speaker 2: a positive note, even though it wasn't maybe what we

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Speaker 2: were looking for with that outright Cam Young win, which

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Speaker 2: would have been I think twenty two or twenty five

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Speaker 2: to one. That would have been really sweet. But I'll

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Speaker 2: take the nine hundred and fifteen k and are one

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Speaker 2: and done. We'll talk about that later. That was a

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Speaker 2: great pick by me, I must say. But I love

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Speaker 2: the belstart. I actually am a big fan of this

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Speaker 2: upcoming event that we're going to talk about in Houston

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Speaker 2: because even though it's not carnage, it's bomb and gouge,

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Speaker 2: which is my own type of play.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm excited about Houston too. We have not seen

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Speaker 1: Houston in the spring for a while and it's a

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Speaker 1: different type of golf than these guys have been playing

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Speaker 1: in Florida. We'll get to details on that in just

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Speaker 1: a moment, but first, our friends at Underdog Fantasy are

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Speaker 1: letting you make picks on your favorite golfers all season long.

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Speaker 1: Just pick higher or lower on selected stats for two

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Speaker 1: to five golfers and you can win up to twenty

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Speaker 1: times your money in a single they You can also

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Speaker 1: make rivals picks, choosing, for example, which of two golfers

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Speaker 1: we shoot a better score in a round. Golf picks

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Speaker 1: can be combined with player stats from other sports too,

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Speaker 1: So go sign up today at Underdog Fantasy with the

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Speaker 1: promo code BP Golf to get your first deposit matched

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Speaker 1: up to one hundred dollars, and there's a special pick

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Speaker 1: available for you in the lobby as well. So bo Yes,

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Speaker 1: the Houston Open is once again a spring events. The

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Speaker 1: last four editions of the Houston Open were played in November,

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Speaker 1: and the tournament wasn't played at all in twenty twenty three.

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Speaker 1: But back in twenty eighteen, the Houston Open it was

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Speaker 1: the week before the Masters. Now it's two weeks before

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Speaker 1: the Masters, but it seems like the host course, Memorial

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Speaker 1: Park might be a pretty good tune up for Augusta.

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Speaker 1: It's a par seventy course that's going to play to

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Speaker 1: seven four hundred and thirty five yards, so it's on

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Speaker 1: the longside, and as with Augusta National, pretty generous fairways

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Speaker 1: and if you miss the fairway, the rough is not

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Speaker 1: super penal. The shorter rough is going to be a

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Speaker 1: welcome change for a lot of these guys after what

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Speaker 1: they encountered in Florida the last few weeks with some

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Speaker 1: pretty gnarly rough. There was also, or is very little

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Speaker 1: water compared to what these guys have been seeing at

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Speaker 1: places like Copperhead and TPC Sawgrass and of course Bay Hill. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so I think water comes into play on only a

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Speaker 1: handful of holes. And there are only about twenty bunkers

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Speaker 1: on the entire course. There used to be a lot more,

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Speaker 1: but there was a redesign about five years ago and

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Speaker 1: they took out about two thirds of the bunkers on

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Speaker 1: the course. Three of the twenty bunkers surround the eighteenth Green.

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Speaker 1: The greens are Bermuda they're big, they're fast. There are

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Speaker 1: a lot of runoff areas around the greens, so we're

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Speaker 1: probably gonna see a lot of chip shots from tight

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Speaker 1: lot guy this week. There are a lot of long

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Speaker 1: par fours here bo. Five of them measure four hundred

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Speaker 1: and ninety yards or longer, and three of them are

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Speaker 1: five hundred yards or longer, including the five hundred and

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Speaker 1: five hundred and twenty two yard first haul and the

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Speaker 1: five hundred and three yard finishing hole. The fourteenth hole

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Speaker 1: is five hundred and twenty nine yards long, so we

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Speaker 1: are going to see some long approach shots this week.

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Speaker 1: Five par threes, two of them over two hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: but three of them are pretty short by PGA Tour standards,

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Speaker 1: ranging from one hundred and fifty five yards to one

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Speaker 1: hundred and eighty two yards. Memorial Park has hosted the

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Speaker 1: Houston Open three times. The three players who've won here.

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Speaker 1: Tony Final won the last Houston Open to be played

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Speaker 1: at Memorial Park in November of twenty twenty two, finished

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Speaker 1: sixteen under power, four shots ahead of Tyson Alexander. Jason

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Speaker 1: Kokrak won at Memorial Park in twenty twenty one with

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Speaker 1: a score of ten under par and Carlos Ortiz won

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Speaker 1: here in November twenty twenty with a score of thirteen

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Speaker 1: under par. And oh yes, Bo, we should talk about

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Speaker 1: the weather this week because things could get interesting in Houston.

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Speaker 1: They are expecting benign conditions on Thursday, sunny with light

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Speaker 1: winds highs in the upper seventies, but then the wind

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Speaker 1: picks up in the next three rounds and Friday, Saturday

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Speaker 1: and Sunday. They are talking about wins in the fifteen

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Speaker 1: mile an hour to twenty five mile an hour range.

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Speaker 1: This course is no pushover to begin with, Bo, and

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Speaker 1: the average score I think is something like seventy point five,

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Speaker 1: so it's half a stroke over par. If the Texas

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Speaker 1: wind blows fifteen to twenty five for three days of

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Speaker 1: this tournament, we're going to see some big numbers. Don't

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Speaker 1: you think? What do you take? What do you make

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Speaker 1: of Memorial Park? And what will it take to conquer

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Speaker 1: this course.

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Speaker 2: It'll take a pretty decent total bag experience to win here.

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Speaker 2: Where the average score is just a hair over par,

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Speaker 2: your winning score is probably going to be in the

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Speaker 2: neighborhood twenty under. Still, I expect to see some sixty

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Speaker 2: fives and sixty six is or if you get a

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Speaker 2: guy who goes out there shoots sixty seven or sixty

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Speaker 2: eight for four days, that could do it. This is

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Speaker 2: a This is of course that even with wind, it's

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Speaker 2: kind of to be expected. It's Texas. It's I mean

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Speaker 2: that the one thing you know about Texas weather is

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Speaker 2: it's windy a lot, and it's going to dry this

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Speaker 2: course out. It's going to make those greens even faster.

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Speaker 2: It's going to put more of an emphasis on the

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Speaker 2: short game. So I do think that the particular style

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Speaker 2: of golfer I'm looking for is a long hitter who

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Speaker 2: is good at scrambling, so getting in and out of trouble,

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Speaker 2: in getting the advantage that comes with driving distance and

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Speaker 2: having a shorter club on approach. Because of those longer

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Speaker 2: par fours that are you mentioned, it's going to be

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Speaker 2: important for guys that have shorter mid irons that even

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Speaker 2: if they're not as precise on a coach, they can

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Speaker 2: get away with it. And that's that's that quintessential bomb

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Speaker 2: and gouge type course. That's why Tony Feenales won here.

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Speaker 2: That's why Jason Kokrak one here. These are guys that

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Speaker 2: hit the tar out of the ball off the tee

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Speaker 2: and after that it's just making a score putting the

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Speaker 2: ball in the hole. So short game is important, driving

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Speaker 2: distance and of course approach long approach distances. I'll be there,

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Speaker 2: but I'm looking for guys who can score R four's

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Speaker 2: par fives. I'm looking for guys that don't really have

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Speaker 2: a weak spot when it comes to scoring birdies because

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Speaker 2: they're still going to be out there. This course is

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Speaker 2: not a pushover, but it's also not among the toughest

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Speaker 2: on tour, and the field is stronger than it has

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Speaker 2: been in years past because of where it falls on

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Speaker 2: the calendar. As a pre master's tune up.

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Speaker 1: Well, we'll get to some of the players in just

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Speaker 1: a minute, but first, if you want a chance to

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Speaker 1: win a free one year Betting pros Premium subscription, you

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Speaker 1: need to subscribe to the Betting Pro YouTube channel right now,

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Speaker 1: comment below in this video and that's it. We'll be

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Speaker 1: announcing a winner right here on the channel, so be

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Speaker 1: sure to turn on those notifications so you can be

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Speaker 1: alerted when new episodes are up and to claim your prize.

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Speaker 1: So Scotty Scheffler is back in action this week bo

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Speaker 1: and he opens as a massive favorites. It's funny. Bo

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Speaker 1: I was on DraftKings looking at the odds earlier today,

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Speaker 1: saw that he was plus three hundred and said, wow,

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Speaker 1: pretty low. Half an hour later he was plus two sixty.

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Speaker 1: People were pounding him at plus three hundred, and they

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Speaker 1: moved the odds down to plus two sixty. I mean

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Speaker 1: that is peak Tiger Woods, A peak Tiger Woods price

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Speaker 1: on Scotty Scheffler shorter than three to one. That's just amazing.

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Speaker 1: Then it's Wyndam Clark at plus twelve hundred, will Zelatoris

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Speaker 1: and Saheith Thigala at plus two thousand, Tony Feena at

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Speaker 1: plus twenty two hundred, Jason Day at plus twenty five hundred,

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Speaker 1: Seewoo Kim at plus twenty eight hundred, Alex Norn at

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Speaker 1: plus thirty five hundred, Keith Mitchell plus four thousand, and

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Speaker 1: Tom Hogy and Steven Jaeger at plus forty five hundred.

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Speaker 1: First of all, Bo, do you have any interest in

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Speaker 1: betting Scottie Scheffler at such short odds? I mean two

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Speaker 1: straight wins? He's finished second and ninth in his last

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Speaker 1: two trips to Houston plus two sixty. What do you think?

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Speaker 2: And It's tempting. Really, it really is tempting because the

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Speaker 2: guy has such a penchant for winning tournaments and staring

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Speaker 2: down some of these same guys we saw him two

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Speaker 2: weeks ago, stare every single one of these guys at

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Speaker 2: the end and say I'm just better, and prove it

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Speaker 2: that he was just better. At plus two sixty, that's

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Speaker 2: a far cry from plus five point fifty that we

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Speaker 2: got with his last win. I'm gonna I'm gonna shy

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Speaker 2: away because it takes a lot of investment to put

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Speaker 2: into one golfer, and yes, he is the best golfer

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Speaker 2: in the world, but that's a lot of investment to

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Speaker 2: get any bang for your buck getting action on this tournament.

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Speaker 2: I'd rather do it the fun way and just tip

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Speaker 2: my cap to Scotty if he wins again, gimme Wyndham Clark.

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Speaker 2: I think Wyndam Clark, who's finished runner up to Scotty

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Speaker 2: the last two tournaments, I think he's going to get

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Speaker 2: him this week because the course fits him a little

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Speaker 2: bit better. This is one tournament that Scotty, even though

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Speaker 2: he is a Texan, has not won this tournament yet.

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Speaker 2: They say yet, because he fairy well could win this one,

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Speaker 2: But I think Wyndham Clark at plus twelve hundred has

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Speaker 2: been in such good form, and he's got the distance,

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Speaker 2: and he's got this scoring ability to hang with anybody

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Speaker 2: on a course like this. So I'll start there, and

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Speaker 2: then I'm going to Sahitigala because this guy is another

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Speaker 2: He's kind of a poor man's Wyndham Clark, except his

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Speaker 2: short games immaculate. That's one thing that stands out for

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Speaker 2: me with Degala is he's a long hitter, but if

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Speaker 2: he's wayward on approach, it doesn't seem to affect him.

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Speaker 2: This guy's short game's insanely good. So I love the Gala.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna skip Tony Finow this week because his recent

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Speaker 2: form has been terrible. I can't play a guy who's

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Speaker 2: playing so poorly at such short odds. And then I'll

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Speaker 2: wait till the next year. But those two guys, Clark

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Speaker 2: and Theyala are the ones that I have circled in

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Speaker 2: boldened and italisized on my sheet.

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Speaker 1: Yeah Clark, I mean you mentioned the back to back

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Speaker 1: runner up finishes and he did finish sixteenth in his

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Speaker 1: last trip to Houston. You mentioned Fenw just not being

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Speaker 1: in formed like I totally agree. It's been nine weeks

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Speaker 1: since he recorded a top ten and Valspar let's see,

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Speaker 1: missed the cut at Valspar forty fifth of the Players Championship.

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Speaker 1: What about will Zalatorus. So he missed the cut in

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Speaker 1: his most recent event, the Players Championship, but in his

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Speaker 1: three previous events thirteenth, second, and fourth.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and he's in really good form too. I think

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Speaker 2: his short game's good, but his putting has been so bad.

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Speaker 2: It's been better, but it's not like he didn't have

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Speaker 2: that Scottie Scheffler turnaround yet. So I'm gonna skip Wills

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Speaker 2: Alatauris except for a DFS where he certainly has the

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Speaker 2: firepower to score lots in points and fantasy as an

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Speaker 2: outright guy at twenty to one, it's tempting because he

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Speaker 2: does have the ability to do go out and do that.

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Speaker 2: But I'm looking at Clark and thik Ala go and

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Speaker 2: I trust them more in four rounds of golf, Like,

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Speaker 2: if I'm saying first round leader, I might throw a

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Speaker 2: little bit on Wills Alataurs to be the first round

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Speaker 2: leader because he's got that go low type of ability.

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Speaker 2: But as far as four solid rounds to put together

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Speaker 2: to win this tournament. It's gonna take that. And I

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Speaker 2: don't know if Willy Z has more than three good

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Speaker 2: days in him yet.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, that's fair man. I'm mildly interested in. I'm a HOGI.

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Speaker 1: Seawu is interesting. Seawoo Kim has not missed a cut

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Speaker 1: all year, finished sixth at the Players Championship, and he

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Speaker 1: has five top twenty five finishes in the eight events

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Speaker 1: he's played in twenty twenty four. Pretty good, but I

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Speaker 1: feel like I never know when he is going to contend,

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Speaker 1: like seriously contend. It's just really unpredictable, Like I either

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Speaker 1: want to bet Seawou every week or not at all,

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Speaker 1: and I'm just so far it's been not at all

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Speaker 1: and I think I might just continue that trend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he hasn't had that winning for me yet this season.

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Speaker 2: He's been steady, but steady doesn't pay the bills in

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Speaker 2: this business, so let him go a little bit. This

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Speaker 2: is kind of a place where he should do well.

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Speaker 2: So I'm kind of interested to see if he rounds

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Speaker 2: into some kind of form this week, but I'm not

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Speaker 2: going to count on it. I'm not going to bet

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Speaker 2: on it. As far as Hogi goes I don't know, man,

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Speaker 2: that reason for him is shaky at best.

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Speaker 1: Fair. Yeah, steady doesn't necessarily pay the bills, or at

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Speaker 1: least it doesn't help you cash big oversized checks, Bo,

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Speaker 1: but it does get you a nice sponsorship deals sometimes.

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Speaker 1: So there's that, all right. Let's look at some of

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Speaker 1: the mid range options. Your guy, Kurt kitty Yama, nor

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Speaker 1: Cal Representing and Bo Hostler are both at plus five thousand.

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Speaker 1: Jake Knapp, Billy Horschel, and Aaron Raye R Plus fifty

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Speaker 1: five hundred, Mackenzie Hughes, Doug gimm and Akshay Batia R

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Speaker 1: Plus six thousand, Taylor Moore and Torborne Olison are plus

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Speaker 1: seven thousand, Taylor Montgomery, Patrick Rogers and Luke List are

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Speaker 1: plus seventy five hundred, and Joel Damon, Cam Davis and

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Speaker 1: Ben Griffin R Plus eight thousand. Do you like anyone

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Speaker 1: from this group?

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Speaker 2: Bo? This whole group is loaded with guys. I like.

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Speaker 2: Not a big fan of Kittiyama in this event, because

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Speaker 2: even though he's a longer hereter, he's more of a

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Speaker 2: grinder type. So I guess if the wind is up

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Speaker 2: three of those days, then I could maybe sneak some

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Speaker 2: Kittiama live bets in. But I'm looking at Oo Hostler,

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Speaker 2: who ranked extremely high in mid Model, and Jake Knapp,

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Speaker 2: who fits this course like a glove. This is another

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Speaker 2: type of place where you get the guy with that

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Speaker 2: crazy ball speed and a really decent short game to

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Speaker 2: kick off of that. They can have a fifty five

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Speaker 2: to one. That's the similar number we got in Mexico

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Speaker 2: and he won before. He's got every bit the firepower

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Speaker 2: that I expect to do well here. And then you're

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Speaker 2: going down to Mackenzie Hughes and I'll throw some a

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Speaker 2: little bit at Luke List. I think maybe on the

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Speaker 2: live side, just because you're Teina Green, guys here with

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Speaker 2: a little bit of short game can do really well.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. So Jake Napp, you you mentioned his win at

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Speaker 1: the Mexico Open and then followed it up with a

335
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Speaker 1: fourth place finish at the Cognizant Classic in early March.

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Speaker 1: But then he was fifty seventh of the Arnold Palmer

337
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Speaker 1: Invitational and forty fifth of the Players Championship. But hey,

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Speaker 1: I mean, maybe it's it's just a Florida thing.

339
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Speaker 2: Some guys verses for courses those are position. Yeah, horses

340
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Speaker 2: and He's not a positional guy. He's a hit it

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Speaker 2: as far as I can see, and then deal with

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Speaker 2: it later.

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Speaker 1: And he's going to encounter some roomy or fairways this week,

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Speaker 1: so I understand the appeal bo Hostler, native Texan. Recent

345
00:19:19,400 --> 00:19:23,359
Speaker 1: form has not been great. It hasn't been terrible either.

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Speaker 1: Got off to a really nice start, I think at

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Speaker 1: the beginning of the California Swing at the Amex and

348
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Speaker 1: whatever followed that did pretty well, Oh, Pebble, the at

349
00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:38,640
Speaker 1: and T. But since then, you know, hasn't got it cooking.

350
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:40,960
Speaker 1: But maybe this is a place where he starts to

351
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:43,359
Speaker 1: find his game again. I could see that you mentioned

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Speaker 1: Mackenzie Hughes bow three trips to Memorial Park. He's finished seventh,

353
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Speaker 1: twenty ninth, and sixteenth. He's coming off a third place

354
00:19:52,080 --> 00:19:54,800
Speaker 1: finish at Valspar and has finished thirtieth or better in

355
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Speaker 1: three straight events. Hughes has done well in some various

356
00:19:58,840 --> 00:20:02,040
Speaker 1: strokes gained Cat Gory's on this course, and the numbers

357
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,880
Speaker 1: also suggest that he is a decent wind player, which

358
00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,879
Speaker 1: could really help him if the wind does in fact

359
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:12,120
Speaker 1: blow hard on Friday through Sunday. So I like him.

360
00:20:12,760 --> 00:20:15,600
Speaker 1: Aaron Raye is kind of interesting finish nineteenth and seventh

361
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Speaker 1: and his two previous trips here. But he only has

362
00:20:18,359 --> 00:20:22,560
Speaker 1: one third top thirty and eight starts in twenty twenty four,

363
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Speaker 1: and that was a nineteenth place finish, So not exactly

364
00:20:25,119 --> 00:20:26,040
Speaker 1: in top form.

365
00:20:26,440 --> 00:20:29,399
Speaker 2: You're playing aar and rye. Just pivot to Doug Gimm,

366
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,320
Speaker 2: who's playing out of his mind right now. Doug Gim's

367
00:20:32,320 --> 00:20:35,200
Speaker 2: a much better player right now and fits this golf

368
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Speaker 2: course better because he's a par five annihilator.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he has been playing really well, although not well

370
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Speaker 1: enough to cash in my top twenty bet last week bo,

371
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Speaker 1: but I don't call it against him. What about long

372
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:50,080
Speaker 1: shots anyone who could potentially come out of left field

373
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Speaker 1: and win this week.

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Speaker 2: That's the fun part about this tournament is even though

375
00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,120
Speaker 2: we have a Scottie and a Windham Clark, and Will

376
00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,280
Speaker 2: Zelaturs here and a Tony feal Is, I have a

377
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,160
Speaker 2: feeling that there's going to be a few guys that

378
00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 2: pop up from one hundred to one or deeper. First

379
00:21:06,480 --> 00:21:10,720
Speaker 2: one being another NorCal guy. Cameron Champ played extremely well

380
00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:12,800
Speaker 2: last week, and of course that didn't even really fit

381
00:21:12,880 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 2: him his game. I was impressed to see Cam Champ

382
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:21,360
Speaker 2: show up last week at the Valspar.

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Speaker 1: I was shocked.

384
00:21:22,480 --> 00:21:24,600
Speaker 2: I was like, Cameron Champ is competing at the vals

385
00:21:24,640 --> 00:21:28,679
Speaker 2: Bar right now, He's actually in contention, and that surprised me.

386
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:32,280
Speaker 2: That means he's found something because typically we only see

387
00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:35,680
Speaker 2: Cam Champ at this type of tournament where it's longer,

388
00:21:36,400 --> 00:21:41,399
Speaker 2: wider fairways, the lighter rough where his distance advantage comes through.

389
00:21:41,840 --> 00:21:45,120
Speaker 2: So Camp Champ in one hundred and ten to one, that's

390
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:50,320
Speaker 2: spectacular number for him. And then going down even farther

391
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:53,520
Speaker 2: if you have guys that are playing well right now,

392
00:21:54,160 --> 00:21:57,240
Speaker 2: Peter mal naughty, don't sleep on the guy who just

393
00:21:57,359 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 2: won one hundred and thirty to one. He's riding a

394
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,120
Speaker 2: hot riding good hot form. I like that number on him,

395
00:22:03,400 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 2: and I'll go right back to the well. On Bud Callie,

396
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,080
Speaker 2: he didn't have He missed the cup by one shot.

397
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:11,960
Speaker 2: At the vals Bar. He looked pretty good. Still, he

398
00:22:12,040 --> 00:22:14,800
Speaker 2: had a couple blow up holes that killed his entire weekend.

399
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,240
Speaker 2: But he's playing really well this year. He's one hundred

400
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:21,359
Speaker 2: and fifty to one. You can go down even farther

401
00:22:21,440 --> 00:22:23,280
Speaker 2: in there's guys down here that I'm going to throw

402
00:22:23,320 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: a couple bucks on. Brandon wo Hayden Springer and let's

403
00:22:30,119 --> 00:22:32,359
Speaker 2: go all the way down here, all the way down.

404
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:37,840
Speaker 2: We just keep scrolling, just keep scrolling. He's way down here.

405
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:42,400
Speaker 2: Eric Barnes three hundred and fifty to one. You can

406
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:45,240
Speaker 2: also throw some hen Rico Hoe who showed up last week,

407
00:22:45,480 --> 00:22:48,680
Speaker 2: who's also three three hundred and fifty to one. There's

408
00:22:48,680 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 2: guys down here who have no business being that long,

409
00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:54,840
Speaker 2: but we're going to take advantage of it. Even if

410
00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:56,800
Speaker 2: you're throwing a top twenty or top forty bet or

411
00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,399
Speaker 2: even a mad cut bet on some of these guys,

412
00:23:00,119 --> 00:23:01,919
Speaker 2: You're you're going to want to make sure that you

413
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:05,960
Speaker 2: put those names on your on your radar. Alejandro Toasty,

414
00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 2: he's an Argentinian on longest cities on tour. I think

415
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:11,160
Speaker 2: he's going to show up this week too.

416
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:14,840
Speaker 1: Really, what is the appeal with Barnes at three hundred

417
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:15,480
Speaker 1: and fifty to.

418
00:23:15,359 --> 00:23:19,160
Speaker 2: One, all striking, just t degree and he's he's got it.

419
00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,520
Speaker 2: His short game has them been great, which shows up,

420
00:23:22,840 --> 00:23:24,960
Speaker 2: But three hundred and fifty to one, you're not expecting

421
00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,360
Speaker 2: to check all the boxes by any stretch.

422
00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:32,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm kind of curious. I don't know if their

423
00:23:32,640 --> 00:23:35,760
Speaker 1: games really fit the course, but Ryan Palmer at two

424
00:23:35,880 --> 00:23:38,760
Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to one just strikes me as too

425
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,920
Speaker 1: good a player to have odds that long, even though

426
00:23:40,920 --> 00:23:43,240
Speaker 1: he hasn't really gotten anything cooking yet. It's still early

427
00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 1: in the year. And Stuart Sink, who was you know doing? Okay?

428
00:23:47,800 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 1: What was it last week or two weeks ago? It

429
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:53,199
Speaker 1: was just this last week, right, he was had to

430
00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:55,560
Speaker 1: share the lead for a while three hundred to one.

431
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: I mean, like, I know, he's an older dude and

432
00:23:59,320 --> 00:24:02,280
Speaker 1: maybe this core is just too long for him at

433
00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:05,320
Speaker 1: this point. But I don't know. Oh, you know, you know,

434
00:24:05,400 --> 00:24:09,160
Speaker 1: I don't like betting defending or guys coming off wins.

435
00:24:10,000 --> 00:24:13,520
Speaker 1: So Peter melnaughty if you're gonna bet someone who wears

436
00:24:13,560 --> 00:24:16,760
Speaker 1: a bucket hat, Baul, what about your guy Joel Damon

437
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:19,960
Speaker 1: who you were touting last week? He's eighty to one

438
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:23,760
Speaker 1: this week, only finished forty ninth at Valspar, but it's

439
00:24:23,800 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 1: finished fifth and ninth and two previous trips to Memorial Park.

440
00:24:27,840 --> 00:24:30,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's a place where his short game, which

441
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:33,040
Speaker 2: is pretty solid, can show up. He's not a long

442
00:24:33,119 --> 00:24:36,600
Speaker 2: hitter by any stretch, but he doesn't make that many mistakes.

443
00:24:36,760 --> 00:24:39,920
Speaker 2: And where I worry about him is even though he

444
00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 2: finished well in those two tournaments before the vlsmar is off,

445
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,719
Speaker 2: the tea game is pretty shaky, and that is an

446
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:50,159
Speaker 2: important factor here where he played well here in the past.

447
00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,480
Speaker 2: He was also a lot less shaky at that moment.

448
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:57,359
Speaker 2: But I'll always root for Joel Damon. Whether I'm a

449
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,880
Speaker 2: a bet on him, I'm actually gonna look at those

450
00:25:00,160 --> 00:25:03,280
Speaker 2: in that same area. I love Toasty Alejandro. Toasty at

451
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:06,520
Speaker 2: three hundred and fifty to one is going to be

452
00:25:06,560 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 2: a dark horse sleeper for me.

453
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:14,080
Speaker 1: Oh okay, I like the Toasty. The toasty wager, We're

454
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,919
Speaker 1: gonna have to do that. I'll piggyback you on that one.

455
00:25:18,080 --> 00:25:20,520
Speaker 1: What one more guy, I gotta mention Matty Schmidt again.

456
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,160
Speaker 1: I talked about him last week. Paul missed the cut

457
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 1: in his first six events of twenty twenty four, and

458
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:30,360
Speaker 1: the last three weeks he's found something tenth, twenty sixth,

459
00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:35,080
Speaker 1: and seventeenth. So I'm just gonna roll with another small

460
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:36,880
Speaker 1: little outright on Matti Schmidt this week.

461
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:40,480
Speaker 2: He's a bomber. We love bombers at this course. Matty

462
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 2: Schmidt is a volatile pick. Let's just say that volatiles,

463
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,960
Speaker 2: but I sometimes that's what it takes.

464
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 1: So what do you have on your betting card as

465
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: of now bow?

466
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 2: So I'm going out there full unit outright bets on

467
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:59,199
Speaker 2: Wyndham Clark and Sahiti Gala. I'm doing half units on

468
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 2: Oha Slur and Jake Napp along with top tens on

469
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,640
Speaker 2: both of them. And I'm gonna throw a bunch of

470
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:13,120
Speaker 2: buckshots five bucks on Cam Champ and on Alejandro Toasty,

471
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:16,879
Speaker 2: and I'm starting to talk myself into another one on

472
00:26:16,960 --> 00:26:17,840
Speaker 2: Bud Colly.

473
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:23,320
Speaker 1: Nice I too. I'm going to bet Saheith Thigala. I'm

474
00:26:23,320 --> 00:26:25,879
Speaker 1: thinking about Zala Taurus have not done it yet, so

475
00:26:26,080 --> 00:26:30,160
Speaker 1: right now just Thigala, Mackenzie Hughes. I'm gonna bet at

476
00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:36,160
Speaker 1: sixty to one. Akha Battia bou We said last week

477
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:37,960
Speaker 1: that we were off the wagon until he showed us

478
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:41,120
Speaker 1: something finished seventeenth last week. I think I'm gonna get

479
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:46,360
Speaker 1: back on and then small outrights on Joel Damon, Matti Schmidt,

480
00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 1: Ryan Palmer and Stuart sank So.

481
00:26:51,200 --> 00:26:52,000
Speaker 2: My guy Toasty.

482
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,000
Speaker 1: Yeah. Actually, i think I'm gonna make a very small

483
00:26:56,000 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 1: outright on Toasty and I'm did I say nap I've

484
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,840
Speaker 1: got a piggy back you on Jake Nap too. You're

485
00:27:01,880 --> 00:27:06,399
Speaker 1: so right about that. I mean, like Florida, positional golf

486
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,960
Speaker 1: not his thing, bomb and gouge, that's his thing. So

487
00:27:10,080 --> 00:27:12,520
Speaker 1: I'm on board with it, all right, BO, Let's get

488
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:14,720
Speaker 1: to our one and done picks. I am any deep

489
00:27:14,760 --> 00:27:17,760
Speaker 1: freeze right now. I've had three straight players miss the cut,

490
00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:20,880
Speaker 1: the latest being Sam Burns, who you know just won

491
00:27:22,240 --> 00:27:24,600
Speaker 1: VALSPARTWO the last three years and at a top ten

492
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 1: and then misses the cut for me, So another week

493
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:30,720
Speaker 1: of zero one and done money. You, on the other hand,

494
00:27:30,760 --> 00:27:34,040
Speaker 1: took Cameron Young outstanding call got you the solo second

495
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:38,359
Speaker 1: good for nine hundred and fifteen thousand dollars and another

496
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:42,080
Speaker 1: six hundred, nine hundred and fifteen six hundred. So you're

497
00:27:42,080 --> 00:27:44,520
Speaker 1: destroying me now, Bo. You are up over four point

498
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,199
Speaker 1: three million and I am at about one point two million,

499
00:27:48,000 --> 00:27:50,800
Speaker 1: and you are up first this week. Which way you're

500
00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:51,119
Speaker 1: gonna go?

501
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:54,920
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with Wyndham Clark, all right.

502
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:58,720
Speaker 1: I will. I will go see Heath Igala this week,

503
00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:00,320
Speaker 1: so I.

504
00:28:00,480 --> 00:28:02,960
Speaker 2: Prea vote for both of our sakes that Thigala does

505
00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:07,640
Speaker 2: well so obvious reasons. But last week. Sam Burns cost

506
00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,840
Speaker 2: me a lot of money in DFS because he was

507
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:11,920
Speaker 2: the only guy in a bunch of my lineups that

508
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,720
Speaker 2: missed the cut. I had a bunch of long shots

509
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:16,960
Speaker 2: make the cut and score a bunch of points for me,

510
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:20,720
Speaker 2: and I had one lineup that would have won three

511
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,800
Speaker 2: different tournaments if Sam Burns had just made the cut.

512
00:28:23,840 --> 00:28:25,840
Speaker 2: But he missed it by a one shot and that

513
00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 2: was it.

514
00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:29,840
Speaker 1: I just kept waiting for him to get something going

515
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,080
Speaker 1: and just did not do it in either of the

516
00:28:32,080 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 1: first two runs. Still only missed it by one one stroke,

517
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:40,440
Speaker 1: but man, that was depressing. Zero and yes, and that

518
00:28:40,640 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 1: is going to do it. For this week's show, I

519
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:46,280
Speaker 1: want to thank our sponsor, Underdog Fantasy. Sign up for

520
00:28:46,360 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 1: Underdog with the promo CODEVP Golf to get your first

521
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,240
Speaker 1: deposit match up to one hundred dollars plus a special

522
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:54,520
Speaker 1: pick available for you in the lobby, and please come

523
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,040
Speaker 1: join Bo and I again next week when we will

524
00:28:57,080 --> 00:29:01,680
Speaker 1: be previewing the Valero Texas Open. We're getting closer and

525
00:29:01,760 --> 00:29:05,560
Speaker 1: closer to the Master's poe two weeks away. But next

526
00:29:05,600 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 1: week the final tune up Fillera Texas Open. Until then,

527
00:29:09,640 --> 00:29:10,880
Speaker 1: so long everyone.

528
00:29:10,880 --> 00:29:13,480
Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

529
00:29:13,560 --> 00:29:15,920
Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

530
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,360
Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

531
00:29:19,640 --> 00:29:22,240
Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

532
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:26,000
Speaker 3: Instagram at betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

533
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:39,960
Speaker 3: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros