1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 2: All right, here we go. 3 00:00:11,320 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 1: Spreading the court ten seconds or maining. It just goes 4 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 1: show up to the basket, under the basket, it's the 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:18,720 Speaker 1: truth for the wind. 6 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:26,479 Speaker 2: God make a miracle. I sup the water hit that 7 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: one from the parking lot. What's up the generation? Welcome 8 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:32,559 Speaker 2: to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is the 9 00:00:32,680 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 2: National Championship Betting preview and Final four recap. I'm stucky 10 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:39,240 Speaker 2: in joining me today our fellow BBOs co hosts Mike 11 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 2: Calabres and Greg Wawdell. It's the last episode of the year. 12 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: I salute all of you who have been with us 13 00:00:48,840 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 2: on another journey from the College Football Conference previews in 14 00:00:53,880 --> 00:00:57,600 Speaker 2: July until now. They'll be here again before you know it. 15 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 2: But this is the last episode. We had some optimism 16 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 2: boys coming into the Final four, and I think the 17 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:08,000 Speaker 2: Final four delivered. Maybe I'm just saying that because Houston 18 00:01:08,040 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 2: came back. If they didn't, I would have come on 19 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 2: your and said this tournament has been awful. So a 20 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 2: little recency bias there and Chad Baker Mazzara coming through 21 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: with four to threes. For me, I was the guy 22 00:01:19,000 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: in the book cheering for the random three At the end, 23 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 2: Someone's like, what why is this guy cheering for this 24 00:01:23,680 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 2: random three? So, but I thought both games delivered. Greg. 25 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:30,559 Speaker 2: I'm gonna start with you two questions for you. First, 26 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:33,280 Speaker 2: what were your thoughts on both games? And to tell 27 00:01:33,360 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 2: us about being in San Antonio for the final four? 28 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: How was the crowd, how's the atmosphere? What was the 29 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 2: split of fans? All of that? 30 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:44,959 Speaker 3: It's been special. I told you guys coming in that, 31 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 3: you know. I think I've tried to be the optimist 32 00:01:47,360 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 3: throughout this Madness List tournament on It's gonna pay off, 33 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:53,760 Speaker 3: and I think it did pay off last night. Now, 34 00:01:53,840 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 3: Houston's heroics late made that worth it. If we just 35 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:00,240 Speaker 3: got a duke blowout, we would have a more or 36 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 3: taste in our mouth here. But no, it is. It's 37 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:07,320 Speaker 3: our fourth year of being here, credentialed for these games. 38 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:12,600 Speaker 3: It's always an experience I feel fortunate for. But truthfully, 39 00:02:12,639 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 3: this year just feels different. It feels like the caliber 40 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,680 Speaker 3: of each of these teams is so much higher than 41 00:02:19,720 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 3: it has. The fan base is all showed out. Houston 42 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 3: definitely ended up feeling like the hometown team, which makes sense. 43 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:29,480 Speaker 3: But I think they also got the added boost of 44 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 3: everybody wants to see Duke lose. You've got Florida fans 45 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,960 Speaker 3: sticking around. They showed out that are desperately hoping their 46 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:38,799 Speaker 3: team plays Houston then not Duke, and I think the 47 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 3: youth for the Blue Devils kind of succumb to that. 48 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 3: It was a goosebumps filled experience for everybody in that 49 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 3: arena down the stretch of that game last night, but 50 00:02:48,160 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 3: it was high level hoops. I thought, I really do 51 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,400 Speaker 3: feel like all four of these teams are national title 52 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,520 Speaker 3: caliber worthy if things broke their way. You saw good 53 00:02:56,560 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 3: Auburn for twenty minutes last night, you saw good Duke 54 00:02:59,000 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 3: for thirty five minutes last night, and uh, I still 55 00:03:01,919 --> 00:03:04,119 Speaker 3: think we're in for a treat in the championship game too. 56 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:09,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, dude. What Duke Houston felt like to me was 57 00:03:10,800 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 2: obviously I'm still gonna bring this up because I'm still bitter. 58 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:16,040 Speaker 2: Was Texas Tech Florida, where I was like, Texas Tech, 59 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,360 Speaker 2: this game, they've they've they've won this game. And I 60 00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 2: felt like that as someone who had Houston my I remember, 61 00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,520 Speaker 2: I was like, okay, I have five and a half five. 62 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,800 Speaker 2: I was trying to figure out ways where we could 63 00:03:29,840 --> 00:03:32,800 Speaker 2: pull an old miss against Michigan State, right, like, all right, 64 00:03:32,840 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 2: how can we get the ball just down seven with 65 00:03:36,480 --> 00:03:38,680 Speaker 2: eight seconds left and then hit a shot to get 66 00:03:38,680 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: in the back door? Like that was what? And I'm 67 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: an eternal optimist when it comes to bets. Didn't think 68 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,400 Speaker 2: Houston was gonna win that game out right and that, 69 00:03:47,400 --> 00:03:49,080 Speaker 2: but it had the similar feel of like I do, 70 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:51,720 Speaker 2: like Texas Tech has this game against Florida and then 71 00:03:51,720 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 2: you're just like, whoa, what happened similar field in this game? 72 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:56,960 Speaker 2: Like you're like, wait, what just happened in this game? 73 00:03:57,800 --> 00:04:01,200 Speaker 2: That was awesome way to end the night. And then 74 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:08,240 Speaker 2: credit credit, Like Clayton is just Steph Curry the end 75 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:11,640 Speaker 2: of games at this point, like tip your cap. The 76 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:16,360 Speaker 2: shots he makes, the just clutch gene out of controls 77 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 2: insane at this point. Credit to him. It's amazing that 78 00:04:21,600 --> 00:04:25,200 Speaker 2: he was at Iona a couple of years ago. Crazy 79 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:26,640 Speaker 2: Calbary's what are your thoughts on? 80 00:04:26,760 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 4: Oh? 81 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:28,480 Speaker 2: But by the way, Greg one more this question. He 82 00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,279 Speaker 2: said this to fourth year and a right done, final four. 83 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 2: I'll put you on the spot, but how would you 84 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,640 Speaker 2: rate all four just overall experience wise? 85 00:04:36,200 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 3: Ooh, this is definitely number one thus far. I hope 86 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:41,919 Speaker 3: we get a great game Monday that just pays it 87 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 3: off for us. But if we do, it's it's bar 88 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 3: none ahead of it. 89 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:47,000 Speaker 2: You know. 90 00:04:47,800 --> 00:04:51,240 Speaker 3: I think the Caleb Love Duke's gotta be two. I 91 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:54,640 Speaker 3: mean just that that whole rivalry was still probably even 92 00:04:54,800 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 3: a slight smidge above last night, just given how much 93 00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,920 Speaker 3: the entire arena hated each each other, and you knew 94 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 3: it was coach K's last run at it. That's something 95 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,159 Speaker 3: you'll never replicate. It was tough because I thought Yukon 96 00:05:06,279 --> 00:05:10,400 Speaker 3: Purdue last year was like a great championship game, and 97 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,120 Speaker 3: on paper it was a great Purdue crowd. They were 98 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,600 Speaker 3: the two best teams. It was eedy, it was clinging, 99 00:05:17,240 --> 00:05:19,800 Speaker 3: but just how dominant Yukon was sucked the life out 100 00:05:19,800 --> 00:05:22,479 Speaker 3: of the arena both years. And call me a mid 101 00:05:22,480 --> 00:05:24,839 Speaker 3: major hater if you want, I just did not enjoyed 102 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:27,960 Speaker 3: the San Diego State Miami final four. It felt like 103 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,119 Speaker 3: we were watching non top twenty five teams there. 104 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,720 Speaker 2: So what about arena wise? Any major difference between San 105 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 2: Antonio and not Really? 106 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 3: I will say the Riverwalk experience downtown is phenomenal here, 107 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 3: like for Final four destinations, you want something where there's restaurants, bars, 108 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 3: everything in walking distance. They're sleeping arrangements, hotels all there, 109 00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 3: and if you have a hotel downtown, you're five minutes 110 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,960 Speaker 3: away from everything that you need the entire weekend. Like 111 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:58,160 Speaker 3: I know, there was a bunch of players were out 112 00:05:58,200 --> 00:05:59,520 Speaker 3: last night. It's one of the funny parts of the 113 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 3: Final Four, right is when well, your season ends, you're 114 00:06:02,120 --> 00:06:03,800 Speaker 3: just a regular human being. Now you want to have 115 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,960 Speaker 3: some fun. Not to throw any names, but I think 116 00:06:07,320 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 3: your guy that hit some tickets for you last night, 117 00:06:10,000 --> 00:06:12,640 Speaker 3: Stuck was having a nice time last night from the 118 00:06:12,720 --> 00:06:13,680 Speaker 3: sounds of it, and. 119 00:06:13,880 --> 00:06:15,960 Speaker 2: He deserves it, deserves all the fun. 120 00:06:16,360 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 3: He walked off. This is Baker Mazar we're talking about. 121 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:20,120 Speaker 3: By the way he walked off and said, I did 122 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:22,359 Speaker 3: it for my island. I want him to know he 123 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,039 Speaker 3: did it for Degenerate Nation. That's what he did, Stuck. 124 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 2: He actually played really well that entire game, Like just 125 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,320 Speaker 2: what his passes. He was locked in from the get 126 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:34,880 Speaker 2: and I thought we were cooked because report comes out 127 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:38,920 Speaker 2: forty minutes before the game. Hey, he tore a ligament 128 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 2: and his thumb during practice this week, and Tracy Wilson 129 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 2: is like he looks clearly hampered and bothered by it, 130 00:06:47,360 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 2: and I'm like, of course, this is the guy I 131 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,839 Speaker 2: choosed for a prop amaze and then he hit his 132 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:54,279 Speaker 2: second three and I was like, we got a chance, 133 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,080 Speaker 2: and he played very well. But Calbary's what are your 134 00:06:57,080 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 2: thoughts on the final four? 135 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:03,000 Speaker 5: Well, starting with Auburn Florida, I just I feel bad 136 00:07:03,040 --> 00:07:06,479 Speaker 5: that Auburn didn't go down swinging with a full deck 137 00:07:06,480 --> 00:07:09,800 Speaker 5: at everyone at one hundred percent. Broom clearly was laboring 138 00:07:09,840 --> 00:07:12,240 Speaker 5: through all of his injuries. And then one of the 139 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 5: reasons why I liked Auburn so much the entire season 140 00:07:14,560 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 5: was their depth. And you look at three of their 141 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:21,400 Speaker 5: guards in Jones, in Miles, in Pettiford, they did nothing 142 00:07:21,600 --> 00:07:23,240 Speaker 5: like they were just absolute. 143 00:07:24,840 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 3: I mean, and granted, you know, he's a young kid. 144 00:07:28,000 --> 00:07:29,240 Speaker 2: You're gonna have meames like that. 145 00:07:29,320 --> 00:07:32,960 Speaker 5: But for someone that I liked watching play all year long, 146 00:07:33,000 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 5: and I felt like he had that dog in him 147 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 5: and no, you know, opportunity was too big for him. 148 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:39,239 Speaker 5: The lights never shown too bright. 149 00:07:39,480 --> 00:07:40,400 Speaker 2: But yeah, he was bad. 150 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:44,239 Speaker 5: And then the Duke game, I mean, listen, I stuck 151 00:07:44,280 --> 00:07:47,360 Speaker 5: my neck out there. I basically laid out the formula 152 00:07:47,600 --> 00:07:49,880 Speaker 5: and said that if Duke gets into a close game, 153 00:07:49,920 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 5: I don't believe in them, and people were chirping me 154 00:07:52,600 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 5: all week. So sometimes it's more than just went in 155 00:07:55,320 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 5: the bet. It's winning the exact narrative that you think 156 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 5: is gonna come out there. I felt incredible that I 157 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 5: let that wash over me. 158 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:03,400 Speaker 2: I was at a party. 159 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 5: Everybody was rooting against Duke, even people that didn't have 160 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:09,040 Speaker 5: gambling interests, and they knew that was at least my 161 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 5: theory on the game. 162 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:10,760 Speaker 2: So to see it. 163 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:14,200 Speaker 5: Come down to isolation ball for Cooper flag he misses 164 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:16,680 Speaker 5: that shot. The only thing I'll say, even though I 165 00:08:16,760 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 5: was all in on Houston, I wanted them to win. 166 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 5: I certainly wanted them to cover that foul on Cooper 167 00:08:22,160 --> 00:08:25,000 Speaker 5: flag like you're making that call on situation. 168 00:08:25,040 --> 00:08:28,720 Speaker 2: And the reps I thought were great both games in 169 00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:31,720 Speaker 2: the sense that neither was dictated by the reps right 170 00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:33,920 Speaker 2: Like there was no hey, why is this team in 171 00:08:33,960 --> 00:08:37,600 Speaker 2: the bonus with eleven to go? That that flag foul 172 00:08:37,760 --> 00:08:39,160 Speaker 2: was come on? 173 00:08:40,160 --> 00:08:41,560 Speaker 3: And I agree Stuck. 174 00:08:41,640 --> 00:08:43,720 Speaker 5: It's like with a team like Houston that plays so 175 00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:48,680 Speaker 5: aggressively every single opportunity for contact, they're playing physically through 176 00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:50,840 Speaker 5: you know, every single possession. 177 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 2: It can be very. 178 00:08:51,679 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 5: Difficult to officiate a game like that accurately. For forty minutes, 179 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:56,840 Speaker 5: I thought they did so, but yeah, that flag. 180 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:58,400 Speaker 2: And they're letting things go the whole game, like, let 181 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 2: don't call that. You gotta be consistent. But I did 182 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:04,400 Speaker 2: think the rest were good overall, in the sense that 183 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 2: I felt like I wasn't at one point being like, 184 00:09:07,800 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 2: oh my god, stop with these calls. Stop overtaking the game. 185 00:09:11,000 --> 00:09:16,280 Speaker 2: But that was definitely a miscall flag. Incredible season. I 186 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 2: wish I was happier of like Duke going down, like 187 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 2: Duke getting upset and out of bet like it was nice. 188 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:26,760 Speaker 2: Don't get me wrong, but this Duke we talked about it. 189 00:09:26,800 --> 00:09:30,120 Speaker 2: This Duke team wasn't your typical I hate this team. 190 00:09:30,200 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 2: I hate the players on this team. I love Shy 191 00:09:33,200 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 2: or flags. Awesome that they they had a great season 192 00:09:35,200 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 2: and probably win that game ninety eight times out of 193 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:42,199 Speaker 2: one hundred. They play it again in the way that 194 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 2: it played out, and sometimes that's just the way college 195 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 2: basketball games go at the end. 196 00:09:46,600 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 6: Hey everyone, Producer David Payne here, I typically don't hop 197 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 6: in like this. I try to pick my spots and 198 00:09:51,320 --> 00:09:52,720 Speaker 6: I'm not sure if this should be one or not. 199 00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:55,920 Speaker 6: But as a man with multiple duke positions, I couldn't 200 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 6: sleep last night. In fact, anytime a sportsbook would give 201 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:02,520 Speaker 6: me an sweat bet, I'd place it on some wild 202 00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,600 Speaker 6: parlay with the thought that if, or more like when 203 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 6: it didn't hit, I'd just take the bonus bed credit 204 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:10,720 Speaker 6: and put it on whatever Duke's current odds were to 205 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:13,000 Speaker 6: win it all. And that's gone on for weeks, So 206 00:10:13,720 --> 00:10:16,360 Speaker 6: just jumping on to say I'm a complete square. On 207 00:10:16,400 --> 00:10:19,559 Speaker 6: the other hand, as a college basketball purist, I knew 208 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 6: that game's result was exactly what the tournament needed, and 209 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 6: the moment the game ended, the first person I messaged 210 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:28,080 Speaker 6: was Patrick Everson, a Vegas insider, to see if he'd 211 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:31,800 Speaker 6: be free for one last market report. So, without further ado, 212 00:10:31,960 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 6: here's Patrick. 213 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:35,480 Speaker 1: All right, thanks a lot, guys, Stucky. 214 00:10:35,559 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 4: It sounds like I missed you at the super book 215 00:10:38,160 --> 00:10:40,200 Speaker 4: on Saturday evening. I don't know how that happened, but 216 00:10:40,240 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 4: it certainly looks and sounds like you had a great time, 217 00:10:44,080 --> 00:10:46,600 Speaker 4: especially since you think I saw you had a Houston 218 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:48,400 Speaker 4: plus eight and a half plus nine and a half ticket. 219 00:10:49,400 --> 00:10:51,840 Speaker 1: Very very well done, holy smoked. 220 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 4: So that's obviously where we have to pick up and 221 00:10:54,360 --> 00:10:58,440 Speaker 4: kind of recapping the final four what happened on Saturday night. 222 00:10:59,040 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 4: And again this is Patrick so Vegas Insider. You can 223 00:11:01,600 --> 00:11:03,880 Speaker 4: find my content at Vegas Insider dot com and sometimes 224 00:11:03,920 --> 00:11:05,199 Speaker 4: at Action Network as well. 225 00:11:05,880 --> 00:11:08,600 Speaker 1: Look, this was a huge, huge. 226 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 4: Result that a lot of the sports books really needed 227 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:14,720 Speaker 4: and a lot of the public betting masses did not need. 228 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,080 Speaker 4: The public has been riding Duke all season long. They 229 00:11:18,080 --> 00:11:21,160 Speaker 4: were riding Duke in the championship futures, no doubt. They 230 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 4: were riding Duke and parlays and moneyline parlays and all that. 231 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:30,120 Speaker 4: So this was just this incredible last minute since essentially 232 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 4: comeback of Houston was just a huge turn of the 233 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:37,160 Speaker 4: tables and a whole lot of money went from seemingly 234 00:11:37,200 --> 00:11:40,040 Speaker 4: being in the public betting masses hands straight into the 235 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:42,800 Speaker 4: sports book's hands. And I got a couple of comments, 236 00:11:42,840 --> 00:11:45,559 Speaker 4: a couple of great comments on it just after the 237 00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:48,360 Speaker 4: game ended last night, just after Houston finished without eleven 238 00:11:48,360 --> 00:11:52,200 Speaker 4: to one run to knock off Duke seventy to sixty seven. 239 00:11:53,080 --> 00:11:55,679 Speaker 4: Scott Shelton here at betam Jim Nevada, who had previously 240 00:11:56,240 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 4: this was a really interesting dichotomy. 241 00:11:58,240 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: I've got to lay this all out. It's just too good. 242 00:12:00,840 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 4: I talked to Scott maybe midway through the second half. 243 00:12:05,000 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 4: Duke was building its lead, you know, it was double 244 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 4: digits at one point, and I had Scott on the 245 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:14,160 Speaker 4: phone at that point, and everybody was assuming on social 246 00:12:14,200 --> 00:12:17,120 Speaker 4: media and odds makers buying the counter and me right 247 00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:19,880 Speaker 4: here doing my job that this was going to be 248 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:22,959 Speaker 4: a Duke victory and another you know, another nail on 249 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 4: the coffet of bookmakers, and another heralded prize for the 250 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 4: betters as moneyline parlay tickets to keep cashing. Another favorite 251 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,920 Speaker 4: was going to win, and in this case probably winning cover. 252 00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 4: And Scott Shelton said, at that time, I keep in 253 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 4: mind Duke's up double digits. He said, it's a disaster. 254 00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 4: We're gonna get killed on Duke tonight. We got killed 255 00:12:41,400 --> 00:12:43,960 Speaker 4: on Duke first half. They're gonna kill us on Duke 256 00:12:44,120 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 4: second half. They piled on Duke second half. He said, 257 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 4: they're going to kill us on Duke second half. They're 258 00:12:48,000 --> 00:12:50,400 Speaker 4: gonna kill us on Duke full game. Then they're going 259 00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,480 Speaker 4: to come back and kill us on Duke Monday night, 260 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:55,120 Speaker 4: and then that's going to kill us on Duke futures too, 261 00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 4: so he and I'm sure many others were resigned to 262 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 4: Duke winning that game. Now we get this incredible comeback 263 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 4: in the last minute twenty or so. I went back 264 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:11,160 Speaker 4: to Scott and he said a complete collapse by Duke 265 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:16,240 Speaker 4: was just what we needed. So a very different tone 266 00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 4: from Scott Shelton and from multiple other odds makers after 267 00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 4: Houston made that run. Rich Zanko, who is the head 268 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 4: of college basketball trading for Caesar Sports, says, it feels 269 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,120 Speaker 4: like the Houston Cougar's committed a felony stealing that game 270 00:13:29,160 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 4: down the stretch, but it's a felony that the folks 271 00:13:32,720 --> 00:13:34,960 Speaker 4: behind the counter are certainly happy. 272 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,559 Speaker 1: To be a part of, if you will. Like I said, 273 00:13:37,600 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 1: this was a huge swing of money in both the. 274 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 4: Duke second Half, Duke money line, Duke moneyline parlays, Duke 275 00:13:45,520 --> 00:13:50,240 Speaker 4: straight bet parlays, and particularly Duke futures at betam Jam 276 00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:52,319 Speaker 4: and I'm sure this was case elsewhere. Duke was the 277 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:56,319 Speaker 4: number one liability in championship futures, and odds makers across 278 00:13:56,360 --> 00:13:58,760 Speaker 4: the country were really indicating for the past week or 279 00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,439 Speaker 4: so they really wanted to see Duke not win the 280 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:06,000 Speaker 4: national title. So just an incredible sequence of events on 281 00:14:06,120 --> 00:14:08,600 Speaker 4: Saturday night, and you know, touching on that early game 282 00:14:08,640 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 4: a little bit, another win for the public betting masses 283 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:15,640 Speaker 4: before that stunning upset with Florida winning outright and covering, 284 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:19,160 Speaker 4: so Florida favorite wins and covers money line. 285 00:14:19,200 --> 00:14:20,480 Speaker 1: Parley's look to be in good shape. 286 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:22,600 Speaker 4: Obviously, as I just alluded to, they didn't finish in 287 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,160 Speaker 4: good shape if you took Duke as the second leg 288 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:28,560 Speaker 4: of that. But what I was told was that with 289 00:14:28,560 --> 00:14:30,800 Speaker 4: Florida down at halftime, a lot of betters came in 290 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,240 Speaker 4: on Florida. Second half piled on Florida, and those bets 291 00:14:34,240 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 4: obviously got there, So you know, that was a good 292 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 4: outcome for the betters, and the betters are probably going 293 00:14:41,240 --> 00:14:44,160 Speaker 4: to be rooting for Florida on Monday night. I went 294 00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:48,200 Speaker 4: back and forth with BETEMGM Seamus McGhee Sunday morning, and 295 00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 4: he indicated there is a little bit of early interest 296 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:53,720 Speaker 4: on Houston at plus one and a half minus one fifteen, 297 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 4: but the book is going to be rooting for Houston 298 00:14:57,160 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 4: more than likely by the time we get to tip. 299 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,800 Speaker 4: It's probably going to be I wouldn't be surprised anyway 300 00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:04,120 Speaker 4: if it's more Florida money than Houston money. But on 301 00:15:04,200 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 4: top of that, Houston is a much better outcome in 302 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,800 Speaker 4: the futures market. Seamus McGee again Betam Jam. He said, 303 00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:10,840 Speaker 4: the book is good to both those teams, they're winners 304 00:15:10,840 --> 00:15:15,240 Speaker 4: to both, but they do significantly better to Houston winning 305 00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:17,280 Speaker 4: the national titles. So Betam Jam is going to be 306 00:15:17,320 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 4: rooting for Houston, I can tell you, and talks that 307 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 4: I've had with other odds makers, including Caesar Sports, They're 308 00:15:23,160 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 4: going to be rooting for Houston on Monday Night as well. 309 00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:28,520 Speaker 4: I don't think that's too surprising. For whatever reason, Houston 310 00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 4: didn't capture. Even though Houston's been great all season and 311 00:15:31,200 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 4: they were one of the four number one seeds and 312 00:15:33,960 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 4: just had a fantastic year, they never captured the imagination 313 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 4: the way Duke did and always does because Duke is 314 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:43,840 Speaker 4: a perennial contender. Didn't capture the imagination the way Florida did. 315 00:15:44,400 --> 00:15:47,280 Speaker 4: Most books were pretty good to Auburn Houston and would 316 00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 4: have loved in Auburn Houston final probably, but at least 317 00:15:50,160 --> 00:15:52,720 Speaker 4: they still get Houston and Houston with a chance to 318 00:15:53,640 --> 00:15:55,280 Speaker 4: I don't know if I'd call it an upset tomorrow night. 319 00:15:55,360 --> 00:15:57,720 Speaker 4: This is practically a coin toss game on Monday Night. 320 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:01,120 Speaker 4: But at least a couple that I would guess quite 321 00:16:01,120 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 4: a few are actually rooting for Houston, especially when you 322 00:16:03,680 --> 00:16:08,040 Speaker 4: factor in championship futures, where again Houston didn't really capture 323 00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 4: the imagination. Now that said, Caesar Sportsbook did take a 324 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:17,400 Speaker 4: ten thousand dollars bet last June on Houston at twenty 325 00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,440 Speaker 4: two to one, So if that ticket gets there, that 326 00:16:20,480 --> 00:16:22,520 Speaker 4: better cash is out for two undred and twenty thousand dollars, 327 00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:25,360 Speaker 4: and Caesars will happily pay that better two urn and 328 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,920 Speaker 4: twenty thousand dollars rather than have Florida win the championship. 329 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:31,040 Speaker 4: I think. So that's where we are there, and a 330 00:16:31,080 --> 00:16:34,200 Speaker 4: couple more elements before I let you go at hard 331 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 4: Rock bet last spring sometime, a customer there bet a 332 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:46,720 Speaker 4: five leg futures parlay five dollars at odds of plus three, three, six, 333 00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:50,080 Speaker 4: five nine. Tennessee to win the College World Series, Dodgers 334 00:16:50,080 --> 00:16:52,480 Speaker 4: to win the World Series, Ohio State to win the 335 00:16:52,480 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 4: College Football Playoff, Eagles to win the Super Bowl. Got 336 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,760 Speaker 4: all four of those all he needed to collect one 337 00:16:58,880 --> 00:17:02,680 Speaker 4: hundred and sixty eight thousand dollars was duped to win 338 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:07,600 Speaker 4: March Madness Wolf. But I will say that Better sold 339 00:17:07,880 --> 00:17:10,119 Speaker 4: a fifty percent stake of his ticket before the Elite 340 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,679 Speaker 4: eight for twenty thousand, two hundred and fifty dollars, So 341 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 4: the Better did get out pretty well on just a 342 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:19,800 Speaker 4: five dollars bet. And also this to pass along from 343 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:25,080 Speaker 4: Picket Sports, which tracks bets at multiple legal, regulated sports 344 00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,000 Speaker 4: books across the country. They noted there were three bets 345 00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:31,720 Speaker 4: tracked on Houston moneyline in game at eighty to one 346 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,919 Speaker 4: late in the second half before Houston made that wild comeback. 347 00:17:35,960 --> 00:17:38,040 Speaker 4: I'm sure those betters did not expect to cash those 348 00:17:38,080 --> 00:17:42,480 Speaker 4: eighty to one tickets, but they did just an incredible 349 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:45,360 Speaker 4: final four to really put some spark in a tournament 350 00:17:45,359 --> 00:17:47,400 Speaker 4: that needed it. And again, if you want to check 351 00:17:47,400 --> 00:17:50,480 Speaker 4: out more on the Championship game, head over to my 352 00:17:50,520 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 4: action report my odds and Action report on Vegas Insider 353 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 4: dot com. It will update multiple times between now and 354 00:17:56,359 --> 00:18:00,560 Speaker 4: tip off on Monday night with odds action movement, what. 355 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:03,480 Speaker 1: The book's needs are, what the liabilities are, and so forth. 356 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:07,399 Speaker 4: And again, just can't stress enough that was that was 357 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 4: just the kind of game that the NCAA tournament needed 358 00:18:10,359 --> 00:18:14,399 Speaker 4: and had sorely lacked until Sunday night. Just absolutely amazing 359 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:18,800 Speaker 4: finish and unfortunately not one that favored the betters, but 360 00:18:19,000 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 4: uh it was. It was a huge win and a 361 00:18:21,480 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 4: huge swing of money for the bookmakers. 362 00:18:32,960 --> 00:18:38,280 Speaker 7: Pair Corse shots and mascot suzz A Beata. 363 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:52,919 Speaker 8: Up that so largess bar, keep cheering, disappearing freshman with 364 00:18:52,960 --> 00:18:57,000 Speaker 8: a hot hand shoots and scores. 365 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:05,720 Speaker 2: We are down to two. We have Houston and Florida. 366 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 2: Florida is a one and a half point favorite. Total 367 00:19:11,560 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 2: has some folks ticked up from one forty and a 368 00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 2: half to one forty one and a half. I can 369 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 2: tell you I'm gonna be on Houston right off the bat. 370 00:19:22,440 --> 00:19:22,879 Speaker 3: I don't know. 371 00:19:22,960 --> 00:19:24,280 Speaker 2: I'm trying. I don't know what a split of this 372 00:19:24,320 --> 00:19:27,639 Speaker 2: game is gonna be. Maybe it's close. I would assume 373 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:30,240 Speaker 2: people are gonna slant towards Florida, but I don't know. 374 00:19:30,280 --> 00:19:32,239 Speaker 2: I could be wrong on that. Greg Curio's to get 375 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,800 Speaker 2: your thoughts, initial thoughts, what you like for the game. 376 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:36,840 Speaker 2: What do you got? 377 00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,320 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm struggling with this one because maybe it's just 378 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:44,320 Speaker 3: being overcome by the end of that Duke game last 379 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:47,199 Speaker 3: night and feeling the crowd into it. But like my 380 00:19:47,320 --> 00:19:51,639 Speaker 3: initial reaction was Houston as a slight dog here is 381 00:19:51,680 --> 00:19:54,400 Speaker 3: almost too good to pass up. I've been in love 382 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:58,200 Speaker 3: with just the idea of Samson's program finally getting over 383 00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,520 Speaker 3: the hump. We all know marches and incredibly fickle beast. 384 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 3: It's a fluky tournament and he's had national championship worthy 385 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:10,840 Speaker 3: teams five consecutive years. To slay the dragon that is 386 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:15,640 Speaker 3: Duke in your home state, three hours from campus, just feels. 387 00:20:15,280 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 2: Too good to be true. 388 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 3: But the more I sit on this, I'm starting to 389 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:21,720 Speaker 3: think about the matchups. I'm starting to think about the 390 00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 3: best player on the floor, and it's starting to remind 391 00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:28,760 Speaker 3: me a little bit of that Wisconsin team twenty fifteen 392 00:20:29,320 --> 00:20:33,440 Speaker 3: that slayed the dragon in Kentucky, and you just think, oh, 393 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:35,399 Speaker 3: they did it. They're over the hump, but Ryan's going 394 00:20:35,480 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 3: to do it, and then you get to the final 395 00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:40,480 Speaker 3: game and there's just a more talented team waiting for you. 396 00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,560 Speaker 3: I think I'm leading Florida at this point, and I 397 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 3: know it's not the most confident pitch from me, but 398 00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:51,439 Speaker 3: you mentioned it's Douc Clayton has been unbelievable. He's the 399 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 3: best player left in this field. He's probably been the 400 00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:57,359 Speaker 3: best player this entire tournament, even when Auburn and Duke 401 00:20:57,400 --> 00:21:00,600 Speaker 3: were here. I mean, he's on a Kemba Walker run. 402 00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:03,399 Speaker 3: I believe the number was back to back thirty point 403 00:21:03,480 --> 00:21:06,200 Speaker 3: games in the Elite eight onward for the first time 404 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:09,480 Speaker 3: since Larry Bird. He's doing things that we've never seen 405 00:21:09,520 --> 00:21:12,679 Speaker 3: since I've been alive. And the clutch gene is ridiculous. 406 00:21:12,680 --> 00:21:15,280 Speaker 3: And he's done it Steph Curry, Fataway's he's done it 407 00:21:15,320 --> 00:21:17,800 Speaker 3: game to the free throw line, He's just made the 408 00:21:17,840 --> 00:21:20,640 Speaker 3: big shots. He never wastes a possession when the game 409 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:23,480 Speaker 3: is in the balance, And I think about how Houston 410 00:21:23,560 --> 00:21:26,359 Speaker 3: is gonna, you know, be able to use their physicality 411 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:30,360 Speaker 3: and try and target him. But they have small guards, 412 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 3: and I don't think small guards are the way to 413 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 3: get to Walter Clayton. You know, I did spend probably 414 00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:37,359 Speaker 3: too much time when Duke had a ten point lee 415 00:21:37,440 --> 00:21:39,280 Speaker 3: last night thinking about what would happen if they put 416 00:21:39,280 --> 00:21:41,840 Speaker 3: Cooper flag on him. That's kind of the one thing 417 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:44,320 Speaker 3: that would have taken me off of Walter Clayton. I 418 00:21:44,359 --> 00:21:47,720 Speaker 3: don't think Houston has an answer for him quite frankly, 419 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:50,919 Speaker 3: and Florida's front court is a lot better than they 420 00:21:50,960 --> 00:21:53,080 Speaker 3: get credit for. I mean, I think people have come 421 00:21:53,119 --> 00:21:55,960 Speaker 3: around narratively on them this season, but seeing it in person, 422 00:21:56,240 --> 00:21:58,560 Speaker 3: they're huge. They got four different guys that do four 423 00:21:58,600 --> 00:22:02,080 Speaker 3: different things, and it was really bad in the semi final. 424 00:22:02,119 --> 00:22:05,040 Speaker 3: I think he's gonna bounce back. Hawk is a monster 425 00:22:05,119 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 3: who's not afraid of physicality. So the more I sit 426 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 3: on this boys, I think Florida is the play. I 427 00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:14,040 Speaker 3: would have had this as Florida minus three at Florida 428 00:22:14,119 --> 00:22:16,080 Speaker 3: minus one. I think I have to bet the Gators 429 00:22:16,160 --> 00:22:17,679 Speaker 3: just on the money line and lay a little bit 430 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:18,240 Speaker 3: of juice. 431 00:22:18,840 --> 00:22:20,520 Speaker 2: I can't play. I mean, look, margins are thin this 432 00:22:20,560 --> 00:22:23,399 Speaker 2: time here it's a national title. I did think like 433 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 2: the Duke Florida line was off. I mean that Duke 434 00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:27,840 Speaker 2: Houston line was off, but looking back, maybe it wasn't. 435 00:22:28,960 --> 00:22:32,200 Speaker 2: Sometimes results don't always paint the whole picture. But yeah, 436 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 2: I'm gonna a little. I do think Houston could have 437 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:36,800 Speaker 2: some success in the offensive glass. They will number one. 438 00:22:36,800 --> 00:22:38,960 Speaker 2: They'll keep floridau of transition. I always think that is 439 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:41,040 Speaker 2: a huge one of the things I was worried about 440 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:45,360 Speaker 2: against Auburn is against Auburn, they're gonna get transition opportunities. 441 00:22:45,960 --> 00:22:47,680 Speaker 2: Not gonna get that against Houston. I think that's goal 442 00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:53,000 Speaker 2: number one. When playing Florida, a little potential edge could 443 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:57,600 Speaker 2: be this Florida staff is awesome from an analytics standpoint, 444 00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 2: from a game prep Standpointston's offense and like, it's pretty simple, right, 445 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,399 Speaker 2: you know what you're gonna get if you look at 446 00:23:06,400 --> 00:23:09,640 Speaker 2: what Florida has done when they've had time to prepare 447 00:23:09,880 --> 00:23:16,879 Speaker 2: this tournament versus the quick turnaround right Yukhan quick turnaround 448 00:23:17,119 --> 00:23:21,520 Speaker 2: arguably should have lost Texas Tech Quick Turnaround arguably should 449 00:23:21,560 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 2: have lost. Now quick turnaround it might not be as 450 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,920 Speaker 2: big of an advantage as Florida usually has with their 451 00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,480 Speaker 2: insane game planning. And there's what their staff, which doesn't 452 00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:36,159 Speaker 2: get enough credit. So maybe that's a little edge in 453 00:23:36,240 --> 00:23:39,960 Speaker 2: favor of Houston. I wouldn't blame anybody for backing either 454 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:44,199 Speaker 2: side here, and the difference might just be Clayton is 455 00:23:44,280 --> 00:23:46,720 Speaker 2: on one right now, and you know the game is probably 456 00:23:46,760 --> 00:23:49,360 Speaker 2: gonna be close. It's Houston Florida. These teams are awesome, 457 00:23:49,680 --> 00:23:51,640 Speaker 2: and that just might end up being the difference Calbary's 458 00:23:51,640 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 2: what are're seeing here in. 459 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 5: Terms of prep a look ahead matchup. 460 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:56,639 Speaker 2: It wasn't fifty to fifty. 461 00:23:56,680 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 5: They weren't doing fifty percent prep on Houston, fifty percent 462 00:23:59,359 --> 00:24:02,160 Speaker 5: prep on Duke. It was clear that they were figuring 463 00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:04,240 Speaker 5: that they were going to get Duke. So I think 464 00:24:04,240 --> 00:24:07,360 Speaker 5: that absolutely plays a part in this when I look 465 00:24:07,359 --> 00:24:10,600 Speaker 5: at it, though, Like, yes, Walter Clayton has been phenomenal, 466 00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:12,919 Speaker 5: I would be shocked if he didn't play at a 467 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,400 Speaker 5: high level again in this game. But they dug themselves 468 00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 5: holes time and time again in this tournament. Like it 469 00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:22,560 Speaker 5: wasn't just a one off against Yukon against Texas Tech. 470 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 5: They dig a hole against Auburn and they come out 471 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 5: guns blazing in the second half and just blow them away. 472 00:24:28,520 --> 00:24:32,479 Speaker 5: Houston has the formula to protect a lead. And just 473 00:24:32,520 --> 00:24:35,040 Speaker 5: like I was saying with Duke looking at that Clemson 474 00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:36,879 Speaker 5: matchup that they lost was their last loss of the 475 00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:40,200 Speaker 5: entire season. Teams that play slow, teams that shoot really 476 00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:43,200 Speaker 5: well from three point range and have an elite defense. 477 00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:46,720 Speaker 5: I'm looking for that direct comp and Tennessee beat this 478 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 5: Florida team by twenty. Now, Florida won two out of 479 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:52,040 Speaker 5: three in the series. So certainly, if they can impose 480 00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 5: their pace and get anything in transition, this could go 481 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 5: sideways and they could. 482 00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 2: Win by double digits. That's absolutely on the table. 483 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,520 Speaker 5: But at least I have a direct comp and Houston 484 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:04,000 Speaker 5: is clearly a much better version than Tennessee. So I'm 485 00:25:04,040 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 5: going to go with a correlated event. I'm gonna go 486 00:25:05,680 --> 00:25:08,399 Speaker 5: under and I'm gonna go Houston money line. And I 487 00:25:08,440 --> 00:25:11,639 Speaker 5: think if they strategically can get the ball out of 488 00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,240 Speaker 5: Clayton's hands, even a handful of possessions, where against any 489 00:25:15,240 --> 00:25:17,440 Speaker 5: other defense, he's allowed to cook and pull some of 490 00:25:17,480 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 5: these rabbits out of his hat, which he's done time 491 00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:22,919 Speaker 5: and time again. In this tournament, their whole defense is 492 00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:25,959 Speaker 5: built around those traps and those double teams and forcing 493 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:28,560 Speaker 5: the ball out of guards and out of the hands 494 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:29,280 Speaker 5: of post players. 495 00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 3: So I think there's a chance. 496 00:25:30,880 --> 00:25:33,960 Speaker 5: I understand from a size perspective that you look at 497 00:25:33,960 --> 00:25:36,679 Speaker 5: it and you say, you know, their guards being so small, 498 00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:39,440 Speaker 5: that's not necessarily the way to bother Clayton made the 499 00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:42,080 Speaker 5: same argument with Duke, where it's like Duke's starting entire 500 00:25:42,160 --> 00:25:45,399 Speaker 5: team was huge, and they were still bothered in crunch 501 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,200 Speaker 5: time and important possessions in the second half and had 502 00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,919 Speaker 5: turnovers and also force them into shots that they wouldn't 503 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,520 Speaker 5: necessarily take if they're playing against some more passive defense, 504 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,119 Speaker 5: certainly a drop defense. So I'm gonna go with Houston here. 505 00:25:56,119 --> 00:25:58,240 Speaker 2: Are going to roll with them again Florida. 506 00:25:58,280 --> 00:25:59,919 Speaker 5: I just think if they do what they've done this 507 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,320 Speaker 5: entire tournament and they dig an eight or ten point 508 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:05,120 Speaker 5: hole and Houston's grinding the game down and they want 509 00:26:05,160 --> 00:26:06,879 Speaker 5: to play in the upper fifties and low sixties, I 510 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 5: think they're finally going to get a bit all right. 511 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:12,720 Speaker 2: Another endorsement for Houston, Greg, are you just leaning Farda? 512 00:26:12,720 --> 00:26:13,800 Speaker 2: Are you gonna end up playing them? 513 00:26:14,160 --> 00:26:16,680 Speaker 3: I think I'm gonna end up playing them, But I mean, 514 00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,520 Speaker 3: certainly hearing Calabris go through the preparation standpoint too, I 515 00:26:19,560 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 3: think it's a great point. It doesn't make me feel 516 00:26:22,080 --> 00:26:25,480 Speaker 3: stronger in my case here, but I'm going to take 517 00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:27,879 Speaker 3: myself from a lean to an official play. I just 518 00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:31,800 Speaker 3: want to be aligned with Walter Clayton coming into this game, 519 00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:35,400 Speaker 3: and if that lost time I had, all. 520 00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:37,720 Speaker 2: Right, Before we get to some player prop thoughts, it's 521 00:26:37,760 --> 00:26:42,239 Speaker 2: time for a quick at read. But my guys from 522 00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,679 Speaker 2: edge Boost, who I love. If you are listening to 523 00:26:45,720 --> 00:26:49,000 Speaker 2: the show, I know that you're probably like me and 524 00:26:49,119 --> 00:26:50,919 Speaker 2: like betting as much as I do. 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Make sure you 588 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,800 Speaker 2: check out the guys at Underdog. So if you're gonna 589 00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 2: do an Underdog entry tomorrow, some quick thoughts before we 590 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:26,840 Speaker 2: wrap this up, any Greg, I'll start with your creating 591 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:30,040 Speaker 2: quicklyans on player props that you're looking at. Besides or 592 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,240 Speaker 2: you just want to endorse mister Clayton some more. 593 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:35,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I got two guys that are not Walter Clayton 594 00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 3: that I am gonna sprinkle on from a prop perspective. 595 00:30:38,720 --> 00:30:41,560 Speaker 3: One is Elijah Martin, and I can tell you just 596 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:45,640 Speaker 3: from seeing it in person. I thought his Final Four 597 00:30:45,720 --> 00:30:49,280 Speaker 3: experience was a huge factor. Yesterday when Auburn was really 598 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 3: jumping on Florida early, I thought Martin just paced them. 599 00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:55,080 Speaker 3: He had ten points in the first ten minutes, finished 600 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:59,600 Speaker 3: with seventeen. He's a guy had a huge scoring performance 601 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 3: in their Final four game against San Diego State two 602 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,240 Speaker 3: years ago, twenty six points. I feel like he's a 603 00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:10,440 Speaker 3: big game guy, and I think, to Calbarys's point, if 604 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,800 Speaker 3: I'm Houston, I think the entire game plan here has 605 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:16,200 Speaker 3: to just be how can we get the ball out 606 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 3: of Clayton's hands. We will live with Elijah Martin, we 607 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:21,400 Speaker 3: will live with Will Richard beating us. Martin is the 608 00:31:21,400 --> 00:31:23,520 Speaker 3: guy who I think will benefit from that if Houston 609 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,200 Speaker 3: is capable. I see plus one seventy for him at 610 00:31:27,240 --> 00:31:31,600 Speaker 3: fifteen points, up to plus three eighty for eighteen, plus 611 00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:34,960 Speaker 3: seven hundred for twenty. He doesn't have a twenty point 612 00:31:35,000 --> 00:31:38,000 Speaker 3: game since all the way back on January fourth, so 613 00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,239 Speaker 3: I wouldn't advise going big there. But I think I 614 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,920 Speaker 3: am going to do a small Elijah Martin points ladder 615 00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:45,360 Speaker 3: in this game and then just to hedge my side 616 00:31:45,440 --> 00:31:49,480 Speaker 3: with Houston here. If Houston wins this game, to me, 617 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:52,959 Speaker 3: it will be critical that Milo Susan is good. Milos 618 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:55,960 Speaker 3: Susan he has not been great. He has two straight 619 00:31:56,000 --> 00:31:59,000 Speaker 3: really quiet performances. I think he's been really bothered by 620 00:31:59,040 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 3: the physicality in the size that he saw from Tennessee 621 00:32:01,840 --> 00:32:04,960 Speaker 3: and Duke. But he was stellar against Purdue. He's been 622 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,640 Speaker 3: great against teams like Arizona in the Big Twelve Tournament 623 00:32:07,680 --> 00:32:09,920 Speaker 3: this year. He's a big game guy who was really 624 00:32:09,920 --> 00:32:12,720 Speaker 3: playing phenomenal ball the final two months of the season. 625 00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:15,440 Speaker 3: To me, he had plenty of opportunities against Duke, but 626 00:32:15,560 --> 00:32:18,960 Speaker 3: they just kept going to Crier, who was like unconscious 627 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:23,680 Speaker 3: in the second half. So to me, again, stack ranking 628 00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,680 Speaker 3: this if I'm trying to put myself in Todd Golden shoes, 629 00:32:26,960 --> 00:32:29,160 Speaker 3: I think they're gonna be really focused on Crier. I 630 00:32:29,160 --> 00:32:30,920 Speaker 3: think they're probably going to try and use some size 631 00:32:30,960 --> 00:32:33,800 Speaker 3: to bother Emmanuel Sharp and those pull up threes. I 632 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:37,000 Speaker 3: think they're probably gonna stick Walter Clayton on Uzon, And 633 00:32:37,680 --> 00:32:40,800 Speaker 3: to me, Clayton is probably a lot more focused on 634 00:32:40,880 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 3: carrying the offensive burden for this Florida team. I think 635 00:32:43,160 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 3: sometimes he can get a little academical defensively. Muzan's going 636 00:32:46,480 --> 00:32:49,120 Speaker 3: to have to match him on a possession by possession basis. 637 00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:51,920 Speaker 3: He can score up to twenty points. His numbers are 638 00:32:52,000 --> 00:32:55,840 Speaker 3: very similar to Elijah Martin's. I see it right now 639 00:32:56,000 --> 00:32:59,160 Speaker 3: at plus one sixty fifteen points, plus three eighty eighteen 640 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 3: points plus six fifty twenty points. So I'm gonna put 641 00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:05,560 Speaker 3: small ladders together. Elijah Martin Milos, who's on points and 642 00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:06,680 Speaker 3: those will be my prop place. 643 00:33:07,760 --> 00:33:11,880 Speaker 2: It's you brought up Elijah Morton, Elijah Martin's Final four experience. 644 00:33:12,400 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 2: We've had multiple guys. This is kind of sums up 645 00:33:15,640 --> 00:33:20,160 Speaker 2: the new landscape of college basketball. We've had multiple players 646 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,600 Speaker 2: this Final four that have played in a Final four 647 00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:29,240 Speaker 2: for multiple teams before this year. Only happened twice in 648 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 2: the history of college basketball once and I think in 649 00:33:30,920 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 2: the seventies with someone on Duke and then someone on 650 00:33:33,520 --> 00:33:34,880 Speaker 2: Carolina in the eighties. I could be wrong by that, 651 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:36,240 Speaker 2: but I know it only happened twice once in the 652 00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:39,080 Speaker 2: seventies once in the eighties. Kind of the new world 653 00:33:39,120 --> 00:33:43,240 Speaker 2: and you had that experience could come in Handy Calabrese, 654 00:33:43,960 --> 00:33:45,960 Speaker 2: what are you seeing from a player prop perspective? A good, 655 00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:47,520 Speaker 2: good call, and I think broom Will stayed under right 656 00:33:47,520 --> 00:33:49,280 Speaker 2: on his total points in every process. 657 00:33:49,680 --> 00:33:52,480 Speaker 5: Broom was far under on that one, and like I said, unfortunately, 658 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 5: it's because he was banged up. He was laboring through. 659 00:33:55,920 --> 00:33:57,960 Speaker 5: Greg beat me to the punch. But I'm going to 660 00:33:58,440 --> 00:34:00,600 Speaker 5: go for the big swing with yu Zam. I think 661 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:03,120 Speaker 5: he gets to twenty points and it's plus what's six 662 00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,440 Speaker 5: fifty out there in the market. You look at his 663 00:34:05,560 --> 00:34:08,160 Speaker 5: shot volume in the second half of the season, went 664 00:34:08,200 --> 00:34:11,279 Speaker 5: through the roof, scored twenty plus against Arizona, the Big 665 00:34:11,280 --> 00:34:13,960 Speaker 5: Twelve title game, scored twenty plus in the game winner 666 00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:18,919 Speaker 5: against Purdue. So the offense can very naturally flow through 667 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 5: him and he can have opportunities. And I think this 668 00:34:21,560 --> 00:34:24,320 Speaker 5: is a bit of a market overreaction to him disappearing 669 00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,680 Speaker 5: against Duke. He also had four fouls, so he didn't 670 00:34:26,680 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 5: get to his normal amount of minutes. Yes, you know, 671 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,799 Speaker 5: Crier was a magnet to the ball leading the game, 672 00:34:31,800 --> 00:34:34,080 Speaker 5: and rightfully so. But I think this is an opportunity 673 00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:37,600 Speaker 5: to hop back on a player who could put up six, seven, eight, 674 00:34:37,760 --> 00:34:40,520 Speaker 5: nine threes in this game. All of a sudden when 675 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:42,759 Speaker 5: you get that kind of three point volume against a 676 00:34:42,800 --> 00:34:45,640 Speaker 5: team like this in Florida. Who By the way, this 677 00:34:45,680 --> 00:34:47,440 Speaker 5: is a little bit of my hedge. If it's a 678 00:34:47,440 --> 00:34:49,440 Speaker 5: lower scoring game, I think Houston can win it. That's 679 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:52,239 Speaker 5: going to benefit my parlay action in terms of the 680 00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:54,880 Speaker 5: koogs and under. But if it does become a faster, 681 00:34:55,080 --> 00:34:57,600 Speaker 5: uptempo game, the scoring has got to come from somebody, 682 00:34:57,640 --> 00:34:59,960 Speaker 5: So I think it's going to be an opportunity to 683 00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,000 Speaker 5: hit a huge one to end the season on six 684 00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:05,760 Speaker 5: to one and anywhere in that neighborhood really caught my attention. 685 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 5: Some of these ladders can get really lucrative. 686 00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:10,719 Speaker 2: So I'm on him to have a big night. Well, 687 00:35:11,440 --> 00:35:15,520 Speaker 2: Greg spoiled your party, you spoil mine. I'm gonna I'm 688 00:35:15,520 --> 00:35:19,360 Speaker 2: gonna have a little Baker Mazzar run it back ladder 689 00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:23,279 Speaker 2: three on New's end. So we'll make it a consensus there. 690 00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:27,600 Speaker 2: Calibers and I like Houston, Greg likes Florida, wouldn't doubt, 691 00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:30,160 Speaker 2: wouldn't blame anyone for taking you to side. Margins are 692 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:31,719 Speaker 2: thin this time of the year. Let's just have an 693 00:35:31,719 --> 00:35:36,800 Speaker 2: incredible game to cap off an incredible final four. That'll 694 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,920 Speaker 2: do it for us. I have to thank so many people. 695 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:43,200 Speaker 2: I won't get to them ma all, but just from 696 00:35:43,920 --> 00:35:49,319 Speaker 2: Colin and I mean to Tanner the guy, to the 697 00:35:49,320 --> 00:35:54,640 Speaker 2: three Man Weave guys, obviously, Mike, Greg. All of the 698 00:35:54,680 --> 00:35:58,960 Speaker 2: producers on the back end are prop guys who I 699 00:35:59,000 --> 00:36:00,480 Speaker 2: think we'll have a live prop show if you're looking 700 00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:02,319 Speaker 2: for more player prop insights, We'll probably have something with 701 00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:06,040 Speaker 2: Kerner d or Nick on Monday. If you're listening to 702 00:36:06,040 --> 00:36:09,880 Speaker 2: this today. But everyone was awesome. Most importantly, I just 703 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:11,960 Speaker 2: need to thank all of you for tuning in every week, 704 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,920 Speaker 2: for sweating with us from college football until college basketball. 705 00:36:16,400 --> 00:36:20,760 Speaker 2: I appreciate all of you. This show, this podcast wouldn't 706 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 2: exist without all of you. I look forward to sweating 707 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,840 Speaker 2: college football and college basketball every single year. This is 708 00:36:27,840 --> 00:36:30,319 Speaker 2: a labor of love and I'm so lucky that I 709 00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,440 Speaker 2: get to do this and I appreciate every one of you. 710 00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 2: So I hope we close out the season on a 711 00:36:37,920 --> 00:36:42,040 Speaker 2: strong suit with some winners. But thanks again. And college 712 00:36:42,040 --> 00:36:43,680 Speaker 2: football previous will be here before we know it, and 713 00:36:43,760 --> 00:36:47,200 Speaker 2: then college basketball will be starting up before we know it. 714 00:36:47,239 --> 00:36:50,279 Speaker 2: Basically a year round sport at this point with the 715 00:36:50,320 --> 00:36:53,640 Speaker 2: transfer portal. But thanks again, gents, Thanks again to all 716 00:36:53,719 --> 00:36:56,560 Speaker 2: of you. Make sure you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe, tell friend, 717 00:36:56,600 --> 00:36:58,719 Speaker 2: tone Enemy, five star view. They really help us this 718 00:36:58,760 --> 00:37:02,040 Speaker 2: time of the year. Do appreciate it. Good luck on 719 00:37:02,120 --> 00:37:06,400 Speaker 2: the national title and we will see you in the summer. 720 00:37:06,920 --> 00:37:21,360 Speaker 7: Cheers, head coorse shots and mascot Suzzer Beata, show. 721 00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:25,480 Speaker 1: That shot, nus bar, keep cheering. 722 00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:30,480 Speaker 8: Disappearing freshman with a hot hand shoots and scores. 723 00:37:31,040 --> 00:37:37,120 Speaker 3: Sad sle you pri. 724 00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:40,120 Speaker 7: Oh no no mat a little madness in my let 725 00:37:40,200 --> 00:37:41,080 Speaker 7: me out my moment joke. 726 00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:57,000 Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 727 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,920 Speaker 1: If you or someone you care about has a gambling crow, 728 00:38:00,520 --> 00:38:00,880 Speaker 1: help is 729 00:38:00,920 --> 00:38:06,560 Speaker 5: Available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler 730 00:38:06,640 --> 00:38:06,960 Speaker 5: Sure