1
00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:14,800
Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

2
00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,360
Speaker 1: morning edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is

3
00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:19,080
Speaker 1: Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

4
00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:22,120
Speaker 1: sports Talk Matt. Each every morning we're here on Bettingpros

5
00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,080
Speaker 1: dot com YouTube for the video and wherever you get

6
00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:27,800
Speaker 1: your audio podcasts being brought to you by bet MGM.

7
00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,440
Speaker 1: The bet MGM offered ten dollars to win one hundred

8
00:00:30,440 --> 00:00:32,680
Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event with a new account

9
00:00:32,840 --> 00:00:36,159
Speaker 1: at BETMGM promo code Juice one fifty at sign up

10
00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,680
Speaker 1: betmgm dot com or on the bet mgm app. If

11
00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:40,800
Speaker 1: you ever forget it, it's always above me right here

12
00:00:41,040 --> 00:00:43,280
Speaker 1: on YouTube for you guys can get it. Okay, So

13
00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:47,600
Speaker 1: there's no other way of saying yesterday except yikes. That

14
00:00:47,720 --> 00:00:51,839
Speaker 1: was a pretty embarrassing performance because I really did actually

15
00:00:51,920 --> 00:00:55,720
Speaker 1: think and somebody sent me a DM and said, hey, Matt,

16
00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,080
Speaker 1: did you know those Bowl games that you picked tonight

17
00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,880
Speaker 1: on the podcast? Those games are at on the seventeenth

18
00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:04,960
Speaker 1: of December. And I said, right, the seventeenth of December

19
00:01:05,000 --> 00:01:09,040
Speaker 1: is tomorrow, and they went, no, the seventeenth of December

20
00:01:09,080 --> 00:01:11,440
Speaker 1: is a week from now, and I went, uh oh,

21
00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,920
Speaker 1: that's not good. So yeah, I gave you two bets

22
00:01:15,920 --> 00:01:19,640
Speaker 1: for next week, so we'll be good there. But that's

23
00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:22,479
Speaker 1: not that's a bad move by me, I honest to gosh.

24
00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:24,920
Speaker 1: It just it's been one of those weeks. It's been

25
00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,880
Speaker 1: one of those crazy weeks, and I'm glad to get

26
00:01:27,920 --> 00:01:31,000
Speaker 1: to the weekend. I've got another crazy week starting next week,

27
00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:32,560
Speaker 1: and it's just one of those times of the year

28
00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:36,680
Speaker 1: where you know, life and jobs and work and everything

29
00:01:36,680 --> 00:01:39,240
Speaker 1: else kind of came crashing all together. So on me,

30
00:01:39,680 --> 00:01:43,520
Speaker 1: I apologize. That's a bad look on me, But the

31
00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:47,039
Speaker 1: picks are live. They're just not going to cash or

32
00:01:47,120 --> 00:01:49,480
Speaker 1: it's not going to be you know, eligible till next week.

33
00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:52,600
Speaker 1: So I do apologize for that. I gave out a

34
00:01:52,680 --> 00:01:56,000
Speaker 1: Son's teaser that got annihilated, or Celtics teaser that got

35
00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:58,760
Speaker 1: annihilated for half a unit. I tease the Celtics to

36
00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:01,520
Speaker 1: plus nine. They lost by twenty seven or whatever it was.

37
00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,920
Speaker 1: They just everyone was on the Celtics. Everyone said, Man,

38
00:02:04,920 --> 00:02:07,400
Speaker 1: they can't be this bad, can they? Yeah, they can

39
00:02:07,480 --> 00:02:09,440
Speaker 1: be this bad. Boston is really in a lot of

40
00:02:09,480 --> 00:02:12,119
Speaker 1: trouble right now. Tough West Coast road trip. We saw

41
00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,360
Speaker 1: Atlanta do this, right, They go off on the road

42
00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:16,640
Speaker 1: playing all these tough teams and they just get killed.

43
00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,120
Speaker 1: And good teams out west at home, and teams on

44
00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,400
Speaker 1: the East Coast just not really having anything for it.

45
00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:25,720
Speaker 1: And boy oh boy, that was a bad performance by Boston.

46
00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,239
Speaker 1: Big win for the Sun. So that down a half

47
00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:30,600
Speaker 1: a unit. Yesterday own one down a half a unit.

48
00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,160
Speaker 1: So here is what I am doing today. I am

49
00:02:34,160 --> 00:02:37,799
Speaker 1: going to get funky. There's no discord chat. I'm tied

50
00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,880
Speaker 1: up all day today, so I'm getting funky. Okay, I

51
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:44,840
Speaker 1: am going to give you guys a couple of plays.

52
00:02:45,480 --> 00:02:49,280
Speaker 1: I've got a UFC parlay, I've got a boxing parlay,

53
00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,480
Speaker 1: I've got a same game teaser college football bet, and

54
00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:59,480
Speaker 1: I've got a straight college basketball bet. Two units, four plays. Look,

55
00:03:00,520 --> 00:03:02,800
Speaker 1: this might be incredibly stupid. You might laugh at this.

56
00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,440
Speaker 1: You might go matth these are stupid bets. But let's

57
00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:08,240
Speaker 1: go through it and have some fun anyway. Okay, let's

58
00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:11,880
Speaker 1: start with Army Navy number is seven. Total is thirty

59
00:03:11,919 --> 00:03:15,480
Speaker 1: four and a half. For fifteen consecutive years, the under

60
00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:18,799
Speaker 1: has hit in this game fifteen straight. It did hit

61
00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:22,079
Speaker 1: thirty three and a half. Thirty three and a half

62
00:03:22,720 --> 00:03:24,920
Speaker 1: before it finally came back up to its current spot

63
00:03:24,960 --> 00:03:27,920
Speaker 1: at thirty four and a half. Okay, Army's offense has

64
00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:29,639
Speaker 1: been pretty good this year. They put up a lot

65
00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:34,680
Speaker 1: of points. Navy historically has dominated, but Army is the

66
00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,400
Speaker 1: better football team this year. I think there's some value

67
00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,400
Speaker 1: here in pulling the total down to twenty eight and

68
00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:44,640
Speaker 1: a half and betting the over. Now you might say, Matt,

69
00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,119
Speaker 1: why don't you just turn around and say, hey, take

70
00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,240
Speaker 1: the thirty four and a half and put it up

71
00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:52,440
Speaker 1: to forty and a half and take the under. Here's

72
00:03:52,520 --> 00:03:57,160
Speaker 1: why this game, historically speaking, the totals have been somewhere

73
00:03:57,160 --> 00:04:00,720
Speaker 1: in the mid forties, and for fifteen straight games it's

74
00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:05,080
Speaker 1: gone under. At some point that's going to snap. At

75
00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,720
Speaker 1: some point. We're going to see the over hit. At

76
00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:09,920
Speaker 1: some point it's going to get you know, the football

77
00:04:10,000 --> 00:04:12,800
Speaker 1: is gonna get kicked around, you're gonna pick six, a

78
00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:15,960
Speaker 1: punt return for a touchdown. Just something weird is going

79
00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,000
Speaker 1: to happen. And twenty eight points going over it. Scoring

80
00:04:19,040 --> 00:04:22,120
Speaker 1: twenty nine points for both teams just doesn't seem like

81
00:04:22,160 --> 00:04:24,800
Speaker 1: a lot given Armies offense and the numbers that Army

82
00:04:25,000 --> 00:04:27,679
Speaker 1: Army's offense is put up, so I don't mind pulling

83
00:04:27,720 --> 00:04:30,719
Speaker 1: down to twenty eight and a half points and going over.

84
00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:33,760
Speaker 1: I think Army can score twenty eight by themselves, to

85
00:04:33,800 --> 00:04:37,800
Speaker 1: be quite honest, and then Navy. I don't think Navy's

86
00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:41,720
Speaker 1: gonna score more than fourteen seventeen points here. Okay, I

87
00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:43,960
Speaker 1: think this game has the chance to be a blowout.

88
00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,400
Speaker 1: I've seen a lot of people on Navy. I don't

89
00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:48,320
Speaker 1: fully get it, except that they're saying, you know, it's

90
00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:51,039
Speaker 1: always these tight games they play. It's Army Navy throw

91
00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,240
Speaker 1: the records out. And while I do agree with that,

92
00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,560
Speaker 1: I do think Army is the better team. If you

93
00:04:55,560 --> 00:04:57,560
Speaker 1: watch those games over the last fifteen years, you know

94
00:04:57,640 --> 00:05:00,880
Speaker 1: Navy has had the historically better team and has dominated.

95
00:05:01,200 --> 00:05:04,000
Speaker 1: I think Army has the better team. Army is gonna dominate.

96
00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:07,520
Speaker 1: So I got this. Okay, same game teaser for college football.

97
00:05:07,800 --> 00:05:09,800
Speaker 1: Not something i'd recommend doing all that often, but I

98
00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,000
Speaker 1: think there is some value here. I'm gonna pull Army

99
00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:15,280
Speaker 1: down to minus one, just win the game, and I'm

100
00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:17,000
Speaker 1: gonna take the total down to twenty eight and a

101
00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:20,200
Speaker 1: half and I'm gonna bet the over. Okay, let's hope

102
00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:22,920
Speaker 1: for like a twenty eight fourteen final, you know, somewheer

103
00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,840
Speaker 1: twenty seven to fourteen final, somewhere in that range. And

104
00:05:26,000 --> 00:05:28,120
Speaker 1: I mean it could even be twenty seven to twenty one. Okay.

105
00:05:28,680 --> 00:05:31,040
Speaker 1: I just think there is value on the over here.

106
00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,920
Speaker 1: I think the narrative is so loud. Everyone's gonna bet

107
00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,880
Speaker 1: the under. No one wants the over, So I'm gonna

108
00:05:36,880 --> 00:05:39,279
Speaker 1: pull it down and take the over. Half a unit.

109
00:05:39,920 --> 00:05:43,520
Speaker 1: We are going half a unit for Army Navy, Army

110
00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,200
Speaker 1: minus one over twenty eight and a half even money.

111
00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:49,600
Speaker 1: I got an even money, which I was kind of surprised.

112
00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:53,400
Speaker 1: Six point teaser on this game is even money, not

113
00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:56,839
Speaker 1: the NFL. It's college football. So half a unit there

114
00:05:56,880 --> 00:06:00,440
Speaker 1: you go. First play even money, Army minus one over

115
00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:02,800
Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half. Let's get at least thirty

116
00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,080
Speaker 1: points in that game, and then Army wins the game.

117
00:06:05,160 --> 00:06:08,760
Speaker 1: Okay for the other half a unit, all right, I'm

118
00:06:08,800 --> 00:06:11,960
Speaker 1: going to come in and look at BYU and Creighton,

119
00:06:12,520 --> 00:06:16,840
Speaker 1: and my goodness, BYU, this is a neutral site game

120
00:06:16,880 --> 00:06:20,960
Speaker 1: and Sooux falls South Dakota. This game. To me, the

121
00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,520
Speaker 1: Creighton Blue Jays are a banged up team right now,

122
00:06:23,600 --> 00:06:26,960
Speaker 1: They're one in four against the spread over the last five.

123
00:06:27,320 --> 00:06:29,000
Speaker 1: They're two and two on the road. But they just

124
00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:32,159
Speaker 1: got killed at home against Iowa State. There were five

125
00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:34,960
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites and they lost by six. Sure,

126
00:06:34,960 --> 00:06:37,320
Speaker 1: they beat North Dakota State, and they beat you know,

127
00:06:37,360 --> 00:06:40,919
Speaker 1: Southern Illinois Edwardsville and Southern Illinois. They won that game,

128
00:06:40,960 --> 00:06:43,320
Speaker 1: But like their their best win in the game of

129
00:06:43,320 --> 00:06:46,240
Speaker 1: the year is on the road at Nebraska. Catching three

130
00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:48,920
Speaker 1: points in Nebraska sucks. Okay, they're a bad team too,

131
00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,120
Speaker 1: I just don't think the Jays are a very good team.

132
00:06:51,160 --> 00:06:53,640
Speaker 1: On the other side, BYU, they're always hard to play

133
00:06:53,680 --> 00:06:56,000
Speaker 1: because of their age. So many of their players are

134
00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:58,479
Speaker 1: in their twenties already. These are men. They're three and

135
00:06:58,560 --> 00:07:01,400
Speaker 1: one on the road again spread Right now, they're five

136
00:07:01,440 --> 00:07:03,880
Speaker 1: and three over their last eight games here to start

137
00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:06,640
Speaker 1: this season, in three of the last four games they've covered.

138
00:07:06,720 --> 00:07:08,800
Speaker 1: They're coming off a home win against Utah State where

139
00:07:08,800 --> 00:07:11,440
Speaker 1: there were six point favorites they won by eleven. Beat

140
00:07:11,480 --> 00:07:13,360
Speaker 1: Missouri State as one and a half point favorites, they

141
00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,040
Speaker 1: won by six. I don't care that BYU has a

142
00:07:16,040 --> 00:07:18,880
Speaker 1: little number next to their name. I'm just very concerned

143
00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,920
Speaker 1: about the Jays defense and the Jays being able to

144
00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:26,000
Speaker 1: slow down a BYU team that can score. Okay, I

145
00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:29,400
Speaker 1: mean Creighton scores seventy two points per game and BYU

146
00:07:29,440 --> 00:07:31,760
Speaker 1: scores seventy four points per game. I think there is

147
00:07:31,800 --> 00:07:33,880
Speaker 1: some value on the over here. I just don't know

148
00:07:33,920 --> 00:07:38,280
Speaker 1: if the Jays score enough. Personally, I think defensively, BYU

149
00:07:38,360 --> 00:07:40,480
Speaker 1: can get after it and really slow down the Creighton

150
00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:44,280
Speaker 1: Blue Jays. Here. I laid five and a half BYU

151
00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,120
Speaker 1: minus five and a half for a half of units.

152
00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,080
Speaker 1: I think they take care of business relatively easily against

153
00:07:50,120 --> 00:07:53,480
Speaker 1: a young, inexperienced Creating Blue Jays team. Just tough to

154
00:07:53,520 --> 00:07:56,720
Speaker 1: play when the physical nature of BYU basketball and the

155
00:07:56,760 --> 00:07:59,400
Speaker 1: age of the players that they're playing with, and where

156
00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,200
Speaker 1: the Jays are right now, you just don't like where

157
00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:02,960
Speaker 1: they are mentally. You just don't like what I'm seeing

158
00:08:02,960 --> 00:08:04,800
Speaker 1: of the Creating Blue Jays at all. So I'm gonna

159
00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:07,280
Speaker 1: lay the five and a half BYU minus five and

160
00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,280
Speaker 1: a half for a half a unit. Okay, So let's

161
00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:14,640
Speaker 1: talk some boxing, all right. This comes from little birdies,

162
00:08:14,840 --> 00:08:16,960
Speaker 1: all right, And I like to do this a lot

163
00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:22,320
Speaker 1: because well, I have access to people and I have

164
00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:27,760
Speaker 1: been told, and this dude, Nonito Donare was training at

165
00:08:27,760 --> 00:08:32,120
Speaker 1: my gym. He looked phenomenal by all accounts. He is

166
00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:35,720
Speaker 1: minus three to eighty. The fight is happening at Carson, California.

167
00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:39,079
Speaker 1: A whole big contingency of people from my gym are

168
00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:42,720
Speaker 1: driving over tomorrow morning to watch this fight. I just

169
00:08:42,840 --> 00:08:46,000
Speaker 1: need Nonito to ghetto victory. Most likely he gets it

170
00:08:46,080 --> 00:08:48,840
Speaker 1: via a knockout. Here. It's a headline event of this

171
00:08:48,920 --> 00:08:52,960
Speaker 1: event over. It's a bantamweight title fight. But I am

172
00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:56,679
Speaker 1: going with Nonito Nnare minus three eighty for the first

173
00:08:56,760 --> 00:09:01,240
Speaker 1: leg on this boxing parlay and then the controversial or

174
00:09:01,280 --> 00:09:05,280
Speaker 1: somewhat suspect side of this. This is a plus one

175
00:09:05,440 --> 00:09:11,320
Speaker 1: forty half a unit parlay. Richard Kami Komy versus my

176
00:09:11,520 --> 00:09:19,440
Speaker 1: favorite boxer in Lomonchenko. Okay, Lomanchenko is incredible. Lomanchenko is

177
00:09:19,480 --> 00:09:23,560
Speaker 1: a fighter that will get all the belts back. He

178
00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:27,559
Speaker 1: will go and fight and most likely have a chance

179
00:09:27,600 --> 00:09:30,680
Speaker 1: to get a couple of really big wins soon and

180
00:09:31,440 --> 00:09:37,400
Speaker 1: get his belt back. I just think that this fight

181
00:09:38,360 --> 00:09:41,320
Speaker 1: has the potential to go a little bit farther than

182
00:09:41,400 --> 00:09:47,360
Speaker 1: people think. Okay, and yeah, I do think we're all

183
00:09:47,400 --> 00:09:50,760
Speaker 1: looking ahead to George Cambosis Junior in his big victory

184
00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,000
Speaker 1: and say, okay, so how does this happen? It would

185
00:09:53,040 --> 00:09:57,640
Speaker 1: be the facillity Lolomonchenko to Australia to fight George cambosas

186
00:09:58,040 --> 00:09:59,839
Speaker 1: it could will most likely be a pay per view fight.

187
00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:03,120
Speaker 1: Don is gonna be a top rank fight on ESBN plus.

188
00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:08,000
Speaker 1: I just think Lomonchenko is not gonna come diving in here.

189
00:10:08,679 --> 00:10:10,720
Speaker 1: I just don't think. I think this is a tough

190
00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:13,719
Speaker 1: fighter in Richard Komi. I think it's a dude who

191
00:10:13,760 --> 00:10:16,760
Speaker 1: will get picked apart, and I think Lemonchenko will be

192
00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:21,720
Speaker 1: able to score and win rounds like crazy. I just

193
00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:24,520
Speaker 1: don't know if this is going to be a fast fight,

194
00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,800
Speaker 1: even though if you look at what Tafima Lopez did

195
00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,360
Speaker 1: a couple of years ago to this dude, he knocked

196
00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:32,320
Speaker 1: him out in the second round, all right, just cleaned

197
00:10:32,320 --> 00:10:34,520
Speaker 1: his clock, So there is a little bit of a

198
00:10:34,520 --> 00:10:38,560
Speaker 1: fear there. However, I do think this fight goes more

199
00:10:38,600 --> 00:10:41,080
Speaker 1: than eight and a half rounds. I think there's a

200
00:10:41,200 --> 00:10:43,760
Speaker 1: chance that Lomonchenko ends it in the tenth, eleventh of

201
00:10:43,800 --> 00:10:46,920
Speaker 1: the twelfth. That's very possible, okay, and maybe he turns

202
00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,240
Speaker 1: it on late and goes for the knockout. But the

203
00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:51,120
Speaker 1: over under on the rounds is eight and a half.

204
00:10:51,160 --> 00:10:55,079
Speaker 1: There is no value in betting Lemonchenko at minus eleven hundred,

205
00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,160
Speaker 1: So I'm looking for value here to come in on

206
00:10:57,200 --> 00:11:00,319
Speaker 1: a boxing parlay, and I'm gonna go with the over. Okay,

207
00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:03,679
Speaker 1: I think Lomonchecko knocks this guy out late or wins

208
00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:05,960
Speaker 1: on the cards, but I do think there is a

209
00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,360
Speaker 1: chance that Coley's gonna stick around here and fight. I

210
00:11:09,400 --> 00:11:11,040
Speaker 1: was talking to a lot of people at my gym

211
00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:13,360
Speaker 1: and they think this dude's got enough of a chin

212
00:11:13,679 --> 00:11:17,440
Speaker 1: to hang around, and Lomanchenko is he's got the power,

213
00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:21,280
Speaker 1: but it's about accumulated power. If you can stay away

214
00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,760
Speaker 1: from just getting hit four or five times and the

215
00:11:23,840 --> 00:11:28,400
Speaker 1: long combinations, you can keep yourself upright. Lomanchenko wins, But

216
00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:30,720
Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet over eight and a half rounds for

217
00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:34,120
Speaker 1: Lomonchenko in New York here for ESBN plus with top

218
00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:37,679
Speaker 1: rank and get Richard Comy combined with Nonito to win

219
00:11:37,800 --> 00:11:40,320
Speaker 1: his fight at minus three to eighty to plus one

220
00:11:40,440 --> 00:11:43,760
Speaker 1: forty parlay for boxing out of half a unit Okay,

221
00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,760
Speaker 1: half a unit over eight and a half rounds and

222
00:11:46,840 --> 00:11:50,000
Speaker 1: Nonito to win here tonight at minus three to eighty

223
00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,400
Speaker 1: at plus one forty, all right, and that takes us

224
00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:58,880
Speaker 1: to the UFC event that will happen UFC two sixty

225
00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:04,079
Speaker 1: nine here in Las Vegas. Oo boy. Both title fights

226
00:12:04,640 --> 00:12:08,199
Speaker 1: Comane in Maine have a total of one and a

227
00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:13,360
Speaker 1: half rounds. They're both juiced to the over Juliana Pana

228
00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:17,320
Speaker 1: trying to keep herself away from Amanda Nunez and Charles

229
00:12:17,320 --> 00:12:22,760
Speaker 1: Olivera up against Dustin Poier. I lean towards a Dustin

230
00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:27,120
Speaker 1: Poorier ko in the third or the fourth round. I

231
00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,920
Speaker 1: don't think that Poorier will make the same mistake that

232
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:32,400
Speaker 1: Michael Chandler made with Olivera when he had him hurt

233
00:12:32,400 --> 00:12:35,200
Speaker 1: in the first round. Olivera was able to recover and

234
00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:38,320
Speaker 1: then ultimately won the fight in the second round. I

235
00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:41,600
Speaker 1: know when when you watch the fights for guys who

236
00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,760
Speaker 1: want to take fights to the ground, I expect a

237
00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:49,080
Speaker 1: very cautious beginning to this fight for Dustin Pourier. He

238
00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:52,280
Speaker 1: wants to pick his spots. He knows that Olivera, if

239
00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:54,640
Speaker 1: he gets him on the ground, he's in big trouble. Okay,

240
00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:56,960
Speaker 1: That's what happened to him against Abib. He does not

241
00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:58,880
Speaker 1: want to be on the mat. So I think it's

242
00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:00,800
Speaker 1: going to be a lot of stork and there's gonna

243
00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:03,120
Speaker 1: be a lot of technical striking. There's gonna be a

244
00:13:03,160 --> 00:13:07,720
Speaker 1: lot of staying away from Charlozlovera Charlie Lavera early and

245
00:13:07,760 --> 00:13:10,400
Speaker 1: then try to crack him third, fourth round, try to

246
00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:13,560
Speaker 1: crack him all right, total is one and a half rounds.

247
00:13:13,640 --> 00:13:16,680
Speaker 1: I'm going over one and a half rounds. I can

248
00:13:16,760 --> 00:13:19,360
Speaker 1: easily see this fight ending in the third round one

249
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:21,520
Speaker 1: way or the other. But I'm gonna go over one

250
00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,559
Speaker 1: and a half rounds at minus one ninety and I'm

251
00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:29,600
Speaker 1: gonna parlay this with Amanda Nunez up against Juliana Pana.

252
00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:33,920
Speaker 1: I think she can keep herself upright, Okay, I think

253
00:13:33,960 --> 00:13:37,800
Speaker 1: she's got the potential. She's gonna lose this fight. But

254
00:13:38,120 --> 00:13:40,800
Speaker 1: when is she gonna lose this fight? Nuna is back

255
00:13:40,840 --> 00:13:44,319
Speaker 1: at one thirty five. Amanda Nuna's average fight time is

256
00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:47,600
Speaker 1: nine minutes and eleven seconds at one thirty five. You

257
00:13:47,679 --> 00:13:51,800
Speaker 1: got Juliana Penia at eleven minutes and nineteen seconds here.

258
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:56,560
Speaker 1: Amanda's an absolute beast, right, Can Pania keep herself away? Yep?

259
00:13:56,600 --> 00:13:59,120
Speaker 1: That's gonna be the big concern, but I think she can.

260
00:13:59,160 --> 00:14:01,880
Speaker 1: It's a five round fight. Okay. Again, when you have

261
00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:04,560
Speaker 1: five round fights, title fights, this is where the first

262
00:14:04,640 --> 00:14:06,719
Speaker 1: round can be kind of a feeling out process and

263
00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:09,520
Speaker 1: then you see the shark go after it and attack

264
00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:12,559
Speaker 1: noon Az strikes landed per minute four and a half.

265
00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:16,640
Speaker 1: Oh boy, striking actually fifty one percent. On the other side,

266
00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:20,600
Speaker 1: though Julian Openia is hard to hit. Strike absorbed per

267
00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:25,640
Speaker 1: minute one point seven for Julian Openia. Okay, she can move,

268
00:14:26,160 --> 00:14:29,320
Speaker 1: she can keep herself active minus one forty to go

269
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:32,320
Speaker 1: over one and a half rounds. I need both fights

270
00:14:32,400 --> 00:14:35,240
Speaker 1: to go seven minutes and thirty seconds. If I can

271
00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,600
Speaker 1: get both fights over seven minutes and thirty seconds to

272
00:14:38,640 --> 00:14:42,680
Speaker 1: plus one sixty parlay plus one sixty, I'm gonna do

273
00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,640
Speaker 1: it half a unit plus one sixty parlay. We're going

274
00:14:45,760 --> 00:14:49,240
Speaker 1: Charles Olvera versus Dustin Poier over one and a half rounds,

275
00:14:49,480 --> 00:14:52,760
Speaker 1: and Julian Openia against Amanday Nunez. We're going over one

276
00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:56,200
Speaker 1: and a half rounds at minus one forty parlaying those

277
00:14:56,240 --> 00:15:00,480
Speaker 1: two together to plus one sixty parlay. All right, recap

278
00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:05,280
Speaker 1: the plates here. We're going half a unit BYU minus

279
00:15:05,320 --> 00:15:08,360
Speaker 1: five and a half neutral court against the Creton Blue Jays.

280
00:15:08,640 --> 00:15:15,200
Speaker 1: We're going half a unit Army Navy Army minus one

281
00:15:15,560 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 1: Navy over twenty eight and a half points, half a

282
00:15:18,840 --> 00:15:21,600
Speaker 1: unit even money on that one minus one ten for

283
00:15:21,640 --> 00:15:25,360
Speaker 1: BYU boxing. We're going over eight and a half rounds

284
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:29,080
Speaker 1: for Lil Munchenko. Combined with Nonito's victory at minus three

285
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:32,000
Speaker 1: to eighty, that's a plus one forty parlay half a unit.

286
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:34,360
Speaker 1: And we're going over one and a half rounds for

287
00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:37,520
Speaker 1: both co main events made both COBOL title fights at

288
00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:40,360
Speaker 1: UFC two sixty nine over one and a half minutes

289
00:15:40,400 --> 00:15:43,720
Speaker 1: for Nonez and for Pori eight Olo Vera. That's a

290
00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,040
Speaker 1: plus one sixty parlay that we're going to try to

291
00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:48,720
Speaker 1: get into. All right, kind of a weird day, different

292
00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:52,000
Speaker 1: day on a Saturday, but I apologize again for last night.

293
00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:54,640
Speaker 1: Let's have some fun two units in play, kind of

294
00:15:54,640 --> 00:15:57,000
Speaker 1: funky and wild, but why not. Let's enjoy it and

295
00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,640
Speaker 1: have some fun here watching football and fights for the

296
00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:01,440
Speaker 1: most part are coming up here on Saturday. There are

297
00:16:01,480 --> 00:16:04,600
Speaker 1: some big college basketball games. I'm just I'm gonna watch.

298
00:16:04,680 --> 00:16:07,960
Speaker 1: This is a great evaluation time. Like Eileen Kentucky today,

299
00:16:08,160 --> 00:16:10,320
Speaker 1: you know, laying four and a half five points. I

300
00:16:10,320 --> 00:16:15,320
Speaker 1: thought about taking Kentucky today. I thought about taking a

301
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,600
Speaker 1: bunch of teams today. But I'm just I know nothing

302
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:19,680
Speaker 1: that I'm gonna come around with officially as of right now.

303
00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:21,880
Speaker 1: I may throw some personal plays out there, but nothing

304
00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:24,000
Speaker 1: officially that I'm gonna jump in here for either of

305
00:16:24,040 --> 00:16:26,920
Speaker 1: the plays. But those four bets, two units in play.

306
00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:29,640
Speaker 1: Mine is Matt Paroltz to following me on Twitter at

307
00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:31,960
Speaker 1: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it's the Dally

308
00:16:32,000 --> 00:16:45,520
Speaker 1: Juice Podcast, always being brought to you by BETMGM