WEBVTT - Iran Blows Up US Drone 0:00:10.800 --> 0:00:17.040 You are entering the freedom hunt. The Iranians shoot down 0:00:17.160 --> 0:00:22.160 a US drone. President Trump says it was a big mistake. 0:00:22.760 --> 0:00:26.840 Are we heading toward a military conflict of some kind 0:00:27.080 --> 0:00:30.960 with the Mullahs in Tehran? We'll get into that whilst 0:00:31.040 --> 0:00:33.320 everything else going on today on the buck Sexton Show. 0:00:34.680 --> 0:00:38.320 This is the bus Sexton Show, where the mission or 0:00:38.400 --> 0:00:42.560 mission is to decode what really matters with actionable intelligence. 0:00:44.720 --> 0:00:48.720 Magno mistake, American. You're a great American. Again, the buck 0:00:48.760 --> 0:00:58.880 Sexton Show begins. He's a great guy. Now, Lauran made 0:00:58.880 --> 0:01:03.120 a big mistake. This drone was in international waters. Clearly, 0:01:03.160 --> 0:01:07.120 we have it all documented. It's documented scientifically, not just words. 0:01:07.880 --> 0:01:15.800 And they made a very bad mistake. Okay, you'll find out. 0:01:16.319 --> 0:01:22.040 You'll find out. You'll find out, obviously, obviously you know 0:01:22.080 --> 0:01:24.520 we're not going to be talking too much about it. 0:01:24.680 --> 0:01:26.600 You're gonna find out. They made a very big mistake, 0:01:27.800 --> 0:01:33.760 a very big mistake, the President says about Uranians. Welcome 0:01:33.760 --> 0:01:35.640 to the buck sex and show everybody. Great to have 0:01:35.680 --> 0:01:38.800 you here. Privilege and the pleasures always. So here's what 0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:43.960 we've got going on. Possibility of a millet, not just 0:01:44.000 --> 0:01:47.960 a military showdown, but real military action here. I can 0:01:48.000 --> 0:01:50.920 tell you that some in the news business because they 0:01:50.920 --> 0:01:52.920 tend to reach out ahead of time and want to 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:56.600 know availability for folks like me who have a national 0:01:56.600 --> 0:01:59.560 security background to speak to these issues. There's at least 0:01:59.640 --> 0:02:07.480 a a preparation for a getting ready for the possibility 0:02:07.600 --> 0:02:12.040 of US strikes. Don't know when, don't know where, don't 0:02:12.040 --> 0:02:14.960 know if they'll happen at all, but there are whisperers 0:02:15.000 --> 0:02:19.480 of it right now in DC. We may fire a 0:02:19.480 --> 0:02:22.200 whole bunch of missiles or who knows what and who 0:02:22.200 --> 0:02:26.440 knows where, But that the Iranians need to be taught 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:30.440 a lesson here that they're lashing out against the Trump 0:02:30.480 --> 0:02:33.959 administration in response to yes to pull out from the 0:02:34.000 --> 0:02:36.720 Iran nuclear Deal, but also the crippling sanctions Irani and 0:02:36.800 --> 0:02:41.280 economies in really rough shape right now, that we need 0:02:41.320 --> 0:02:43.440 to send the Iranians a message that this will not 0:02:43.600 --> 0:02:47.919 be tolerated. This is not going to not going to fly. 0:02:48.080 --> 0:02:49.840 Pardon the expression, because they shot a drone out of 0:02:49.840 --> 0:02:54.280 the sky. There's no human casualty in this. But the 0:02:54.360 --> 0:02:58.960 drone they shot out of the sky was a hundred 0:02:58.960 --> 0:03:04.320 million dollar p of equipment flying in international airspace. Shot 0:03:04.360 --> 0:03:08.880 down by a sophisticated surface to air missile system. This 0:03:09.000 --> 0:03:12.880 was the drone was an RQ for a Global Hawk, 0:03:13.919 --> 0:03:22.040 which gives intelligence, real time surveillance, reconnaissance, and intelligence gathering capability. Clearly, 0:03:22.080 --> 0:03:24.079 the US wants to keep an eye on what's going 0:03:24.120 --> 0:03:28.320 on in the Strait of Hormus, and so that's why 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:31.560 we had this one hundred and thirty million dollar playing 0:03:31.600 --> 0:03:33.840 with a wingspan of about one hundred and thirty feet, 0:03:35.080 --> 0:03:36.880 flying around trying to keep an eye on things. The 0:03:36.880 --> 0:03:40.200 Iranian shot it out of the sky. This is what 0:03:40.320 --> 0:03:43.480 you would call in the history textbooks an international incident, 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:47.480 and these are the types of incidents that can lead 0:03:47.520 --> 0:03:52.680 to much more severe, much more serious conflicts. Depends on 0:03:53.240 --> 0:03:56.600 how one side chooses to escalate and how the other 0:03:56.640 --> 0:04:03.080 side retaliates. Here's just my baseline on all of this. 0:04:03.360 --> 0:04:07.160 I think that a war with Iran would be a 0:04:07.240 --> 0:04:10.360 terrible idea. I think that we should have learned at 0:04:10.360 --> 0:04:12.880 this point the lessons of a Rock and Afghanistan. It 0:04:13.040 --> 0:04:16.120 is not only is it not our job to try 0:04:16.320 --> 0:04:22.160 and overthrow the government in Iran and rebuild that country 0:04:22.200 --> 0:04:26.880 and help them bring about a multi confession, well just 0:04:26.960 --> 0:04:32.080 a multi ethnic if not multi confessional democracy. That's not 0:04:32.120 --> 0:04:34.479 our mandate, that's not our job. And not only should 0:04:34.520 --> 0:04:38.520 we not try it, but I would offer to you 0:04:38.560 --> 0:04:41.080 that we would be foolish to try it, given what 0:04:41.120 --> 0:04:44.200 we already know about our efforts in that part of 0:04:44.200 --> 0:04:46.320 the world. I would really like to have a whole 0:04:46.320 --> 0:04:48.720 generation pass where we don't have a real war going 0:04:48.760 --> 0:04:52.359 on in the Middle East that we are fighting. Wouldn't 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:56.120 that be nice? We have since I was in college, 0:04:56.120 --> 0:04:57.880 and I'm now getting to be old enough that I 0:04:57.920 --> 0:05:00.479 can't I can't even find all the gray hairs my beard. 0:05:01.240 --> 0:05:04.400 We have been at war in the Middle East in 0:05:04.400 --> 0:05:10.360 some capacity now, stretching back for almost twenty years. I 0:05:10.440 --> 0:05:12.480 really don't think we should be adding another war on 0:05:12.560 --> 0:05:15.560 our play now. This is where a lot of people 0:05:15.680 --> 0:05:19.640 that are very hawkish on the issue of Iran would 0:05:19.680 --> 0:05:23.200 come forward and say, but we're not saying that it 0:05:23.240 --> 0:05:25.520 would be a war. We're just saying, if to do something, 0:05:25.560 --> 0:05:28.960 you have to send a message, all right. I can 0:05:29.080 --> 0:05:32.320 understand that we did have the Trump administration fire a 0:05:32.320 --> 0:05:36.840 whole bunch of missiles into Syria after children had been 0:05:36.839 --> 0:05:40.240 gassed there. So the president United States did that, and 0:05:40.320 --> 0:05:43.400 we're not at war with the Assad regime as a result, 0:05:44.200 --> 0:05:46.280 even though that is certainly an active war, but they 0:05:46.279 --> 0:05:48.160 did not declare war on us. We're not at war 0:05:48.200 --> 0:05:51.839 with the Assad regime. How would the Iranians react, though 0:05:51.880 --> 0:05:55.200 nobody really particularly knows. I'm not even sure in some 0:05:55.240 --> 0:06:01.760 ways the Iranians know. But Trump is going back and 0:06:01.800 --> 0:06:04.479 forth in public on this a bit. He's saying that, well, Wan, 0:06:04.640 --> 0:06:07.159 he's making sure it is known that there will be 0:06:07.200 --> 0:06:10.760 action taken against the irudience that this happens again, or 0:06:11.320 --> 0:06:15.000 perhaps he'll already be reaction to this one incident. As 0:06:15.000 --> 0:06:17.520 it is, he has said that this was a He 0:06:17.600 --> 0:06:19.680 keeps saying it's a mistake, it's a mistake. Well, we'll 0:06:19.680 --> 0:06:24.440 see what exactly he means by that. Play eleven. I 0:06:24.520 --> 0:06:28.280 have a feeling I may be wrong, and I may 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:30.400 be right, but I'm right a lot. I have a 0:06:30.440 --> 0:06:33.479 feeling that it was a mistake made by somebody that 0:06:33.560 --> 0:06:36.720 shouldn't have been doing what they did. I think they 0:06:36.720 --> 0:06:38.560 made a mistake, and I'm not just talking to the 0:06:38.600 --> 0:06:41.359 country made a mistake. I think that somebody under the 0:06:41.400 --> 0:06:46.440 command of that country made a big hip. Let's just 0:06:46.480 --> 0:06:48.760 see what happens. She just let's see what happens. It's 0:06:48.839 --> 0:06:50.800 all going to work out. I find it hard to 0:06:50.800 --> 0:06:52.840 believe it was intentional, if you want to know the truth. 0:06:52.880 --> 0:06:54.839 I think that it could have been somebody who was 0:06:55.720 --> 0:07:00.040 loose and stupid that that it will be able to 0:07:00.120 --> 0:07:02.840 we put back and you'll understand exactly what happened. But 0:07:02.880 --> 0:07:05.960 it was a very foolish move, that I can tell you. 0:07:06.520 --> 0:07:10.120 So the President saying here that he finds it hard 0:07:10.200 --> 0:07:13.480 to believe it was intentional, says it was a very 0:07:14.640 --> 0:07:19.600 foolish move. Well, I think what he's saying is that 0:07:19.640 --> 0:07:21.880 he doesn't believe that this order was necessarily given from 0:07:21.920 --> 0:07:25.160 the very top of the Iranian government, and I think 0:07:25.160 --> 0:07:28.600 that they's probably wrong on that. I think the Iranians 0:07:28.680 --> 0:07:31.520 this is exactly this is exactly what you would expect 0:07:32.200 --> 0:07:37.679 as an escu esculatory measure against us from the Iranians. 0:07:37.720 --> 0:07:40.840 It doesn't no casualties because I think they realize if 0:07:40.880 --> 0:07:44.120 they kill a bunch of American sailors or airman airman, 0:07:44.240 --> 0:07:48.000 or or anybody for that matter, there's a very real 0:07:48.080 --> 0:07:55.760 chance that the US response would be severe, that we 0:07:55.800 --> 0:07:59.360 would come back and hit them in ways that would 0:07:59.400 --> 0:08:02.840 be way worse than anything they've experienced up to this point. 0:08:03.600 --> 0:08:09.160 So if you're looking for a measured response to the Iranians, 0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:10.480 you have to keep in mind that it's likely the 0:08:10.560 --> 0:08:14.440 Iranians themselves we're taking a measured response here. There are 0:08:14.440 --> 0:08:16.320 other things that they could do, the other ways that 0:08:16.360 --> 0:08:23.280 they could hit us. But then there's this. It's in 0:08:23.320 --> 0:08:26.440 the area you're hearing about it that there are people 0:08:26.480 --> 0:08:28.280 you have to remember, who are very senior in the 0:08:28.360 --> 0:08:33.040 national security complex in this country. There are people who 0:08:34.520 --> 0:08:40.880 have been hoping to get to a new Iranian regime somehow. 0:08:40.920 --> 0:08:43.200 They've been hoping to push us towards, push the Iranians 0:08:43.200 --> 0:08:46.360 toward that for the better part now of thirty or 0:08:46.400 --> 0:08:50.960 forty years. And some of those who have been working 0:08:50.960 --> 0:08:53.839 the issue at least for a few decades are still 0:08:53.880 --> 0:08:57.280 in Capitol Hill, are still in the White House, in 0:08:57.320 --> 0:09:01.320 the National Security apparatus. They really want that to happen. 0:09:01.800 --> 0:09:03.880 And Trump is being asked about this a little bit. 0:09:03.920 --> 0:09:06.720 Trump is being asked questions like, are you on board 0:09:06.760 --> 0:09:08.920 with all of your advisors? Is there anybody who's pushing 0:09:08.960 --> 0:09:11.600 you in directions that you're uncomfortable with? In terms of 0:09:11.600 --> 0:09:16.480 your Iran response, and here's the presence that played twelve. Yeah, 0:09:16.520 --> 0:09:18.040 that has of your administration. Who are I find to 0:09:18.160 --> 0:09:21.000 push you into No, not at all, not at all. 0:09:21.080 --> 0:09:23.560 In fact, in many cases it's the opposite. But I 0:09:23.600 --> 0:09:25.920 will say, look, I said I want to get out 0:09:25.920 --> 0:09:28.360 of these endless wars. I campaigned on that. I want 0:09:28.360 --> 0:09:31.280 to get out. We've been in Afghanistan for nineteen years. 0:09:31.280 --> 0:09:34.920 As you know, we've reduced very substantially in Afghanistan. We 0:09:35.679 --> 0:09:37.800 beat the Caliphate. We took back one hundred percent of 0:09:37.800 --> 0:09:40.560 the Caliphate when it was ninety nine percent. Justin I 0:09:40.600 --> 0:09:43.160 said we're gonna get out, We're gonna start peeling back, 0:09:43.160 --> 0:09:45.120 and everybody went crazy because it was ninety nine. So 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:46.600 I said, all right, so we'll finish it up. So 0:09:46.600 --> 0:09:49.440 we got one hundred percent, and we're pulling that back 0:09:49.440 --> 0:09:51.440 out of Syria. We're pulling a lot of people back. 0:09:52.160 --> 0:09:54.319 But this is something, this is a new wrinkle, this 0:09:54.400 --> 0:09:57.000 is a new fly in the ointment. What happened shooting 0:09:57.000 --> 0:10:01.080 down the drone and this kind will not stand forth 0:10:01.080 --> 0:10:05.319 that I can tell you. Thank you very much. I 0:10:05.360 --> 0:10:09.600 appreciate that the president understands that part of his mandate, 0:10:09.679 --> 0:10:13.280 part of what got him elected and it wasn't. An 0:10:13.320 --> 0:10:16.760 insignificant way that he separated himself from the rest of 0:10:16.760 --> 0:10:19.319 the republican field was that he was willing to say 0:10:19.320 --> 0:10:21.880 the Iraq war was a bad idea and that we 0:10:21.920 --> 0:10:24.640 should not be engaged in these wars for regime changed 0:10:24.640 --> 0:10:27.800 purposes in the Middle East. I know that the the 0:10:27.920 --> 0:10:30.800 regime change advocates, and there are many of them out there, 0:10:32.200 --> 0:10:34.439 they will generally not say, let's land one hundred and 0:10:34.440 --> 0:10:40.240 fifty thousand soldiers in Iran and do this whole thing 0:10:40.280 --> 0:10:43.959 all over again that we've done before. But I also 0:10:44.080 --> 0:10:48.439 note that there's a there is a correlation, not a causation, 0:10:48.520 --> 0:10:52.120 but there are certainly there's a momentum to we're going 0:10:52.200 --> 0:10:56.079 to start with some military strikes against Iran, and then 0:10:56.200 --> 0:11:00.200 if that isn't enough, then what if we just side 0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:03.240 that Iran has to be stopped or Iran has to 0:11:03.240 --> 0:11:05.800 be punished severely enough that they will change their behavior, 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:08.920 and they don't change their behavior. How far away are 0:11:08.920 --> 0:11:16.319 we really becoming much more heavily invested in in Iranian 0:11:16.360 --> 0:11:19.840 regime change than we want to be? It is true, 0:11:19.880 --> 0:11:23.600 and I just because Democrats are even some very far 0:11:23.679 --> 0:11:25.800 left to say it doesn't mean that it's necessarily wrong. 0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:27.880 It is true that a war in Iran would be 0:11:27.920 --> 0:11:31.680 a disaster, one for which this country has no stomach. 0:11:31.880 --> 0:11:36.320 We just it's not our fight. Stopping the Iranians from 0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:40.680 bad behavior by being willing to slap at them when 0:11:40.679 --> 0:11:46.120 necessary with military precision strikes, the continued crush of sections 0:11:46.120 --> 0:11:49.000 on their economy, freezing them out from the international community. 0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:52.400 That all makes sense, But this is the blunder I 0:11:52.480 --> 0:11:56.560 just don't want Trump to make. He's in such a 0:11:56.600 --> 0:11:58.960 good position going into this twenty twenty election. There's so 0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:02.199 much about everything that he's done up to this point. 0:12:03.360 --> 0:12:04.920 I think he should be proud of, and that has 0:12:04.920 --> 0:12:08.080 really shown the American people the kind of results that 0:12:08.120 --> 0:12:11.920 would make us want to vote for him again. But 0:12:12.040 --> 0:12:15.240 a way to throw it all in the trash been 0:12:15.320 --> 0:12:18.680 very quickly is to find himself dragged into some war 0:12:18.960 --> 0:12:22.319 in the Iran. Look in the early days with Obama 0:12:22.320 --> 0:12:26.000 and Syria, I was I was writing pieces about how 0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:28.280 we can do a little bit here, a little bit there, 0:12:28.320 --> 0:12:30.520 but it better be very minimal, no ground troops. Syria 0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:34.400 is not our war, and I stand behind that, and 0:12:34.880 --> 0:12:38.240 that's the case in Iran. This is not. It's it's 0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.480 our fight when they do things to us, and we 0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:44.760 need to respond to that. But the overall narrative of 0:12:44.800 --> 0:12:48.600 events for our relationship or lack thereof, with Iran can't 0:12:48.640 --> 0:12:51.040 be that we really are just trying to find a 0:12:51.080 --> 0:12:55.040 way to overthrow their government and help get something else 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:58.520 going there. That's just a terrible idea, and it's a 0:12:58.559 --> 0:13:00.679 way for the president to lose the second term of 0:13:00.720 --> 0:13:06.160 his presidency. If Trump gets dragged into a protracted conflict 0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:09.400 with Iran, I don't know if he can win re election. 0:13:09.840 --> 0:13:12.120 I think people are we're all so tired of it. 0:13:12.160 --> 0:13:13.560 We're all so sick of it. We don't want to 0:13:13.559 --> 0:13:16.360 hear it anymore. And for those of you were saying, oh, Buck, 0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:18.680 but you don't want to be don't do Neville, chamberlain 0:13:18.720 --> 0:13:21.360 an appeasement, everything else. Okay, Well, you know, if I'm 0:13:21.360 --> 0:13:24.679 not saying if the Iranian start blowing civilian airliners out 0:13:24.679 --> 0:13:28.400 of the sky, or if the IRGC starts landing in 0:13:28.920 --> 0:13:32.040 rubber Dinghy's on Long Island trying to do sabotage operations, 0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:34.480 that we don't do whatever we have to do. I'm 0:13:34.480 --> 0:13:37.040 just saying, insofar as we have a choice in these matters. 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:40.880 In so far as this is not yet determined that 0:13:40.960 --> 0:13:44.920 we have to go to a full scale military conflict 0:13:44.920 --> 0:13:48.800 with Iran, we need to avoid it at almost all costs, 0:13:48.800 --> 0:13:53.199 not at all costs, at almost all costs. My generation, 0:13:53.280 --> 0:13:57.120 the generation above me, the generation below me, many of 0:13:57.200 --> 0:13:59.160 us have spent way too much time already in parts 0:13:59.200 --> 0:14:01.600 the Middle East that he didn't want to visit and 0:14:01.840 --> 0:14:05.880 really don't want to go back to. And I certainly 0:14:06.760 --> 0:14:09.240 wouldn't want to. I'll tell you this, all of you 0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:11.000 who are listening this. I know many of you who 0:14:11.000 --> 0:14:14.480 listen serve yourselves, but I wouldn't want to be the 0:14:14.520 --> 0:14:16.200 officer or the I wouldn't want to be the commander 0:14:16.200 --> 0:14:18.240 in chief. That's a better way of saying it. That 0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:20.280 told your son or your daughter, yeah, you're going to 0:14:20.400 --> 0:14:24.080 now go and be part of the provincial reconstruction team 0:14:24.680 --> 0:14:27.680 for Tehran, you know, because we just took over that 0:14:27.760 --> 0:14:32.560 country again. It's just it's very unnerving that we could 0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:35.560 even be having a discussion about that as a possibility. 0:14:36.160 --> 0:14:38.240 That's where we are. I think that Trump's got this though. 0:14:38.280 --> 0:14:42.040 I think he knows that you can project strength, you 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:45.880 can do things without doing everything and as long as 0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.640 that's his mantra and that's his focus, I think he'll 0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.640 come out of this okay. But everyone is a bit 0:14:52.680 --> 0:14:56.320 on edge over this right now, and I can understand why, 0:14:57.000 --> 0:15:00.360 because there's the Iranian response. We have to consider perhaps 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.880 to talk a bit more about that. On the flip side, 0:15:02.920 --> 0:15:10.040 Stay with me. A US Navy RQ four was flying 0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.680 over the Gulf of Oman and the Strait of Hormus 0:15:12.760 --> 0:15:15.880 on a recent surveillance mission in international airspace in the 0:15:15.960 --> 0:15:20.720 vicinity of recent IRGC maritime attacks when it was shot 0:15:20.760 --> 0:15:24.680 down by an IRGC surface to air missile fired from 0:15:24.680 --> 0:15:28.800 a location in the vicinity of Goruk, Iran. This was 0:15:28.840 --> 0:15:32.640 an unprovoked attack on the US surveillance asset that had 0:15:32.680 --> 0:15:36.920 not violated Iranian airspace at any time during its mission. 0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:41.600 This attack is an attempt to disrupt our ability to 0:15:41.680 --> 0:15:46.000 monitor the area following recent threats to international shipping and 0:15:46.160 --> 0:15:50.800 the free flow of commerce. Iranian reports that this aircraft 0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:56.520 was shot down over Iran are categorically false. The aircraft 0:15:56.640 --> 0:16:00.720 was over the Strait of Hormuz and fell into international waters. 0:16:01.760 --> 0:16:05.280 I mean, Trump, I think said that he doesn't believe 0:16:06.280 --> 0:16:08.480 that this was intentional from the Iranians at the very 0:16:08.520 --> 0:16:10.960 top of the command chain to give the Iranians a 0:16:11.040 --> 0:16:14.360 chance to back down. That would be my guess as 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.360 to why Trump would say that, because this was clearly 0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:20.440 the Iranians and very likely that they did get this 0:16:20.560 --> 0:16:22.920 order from the very top. I don't think there's some 0:16:23.000 --> 0:16:25.480 rogue Samsite operator who's like, Yeah, I'm just gonna blow 0:16:25.520 --> 0:16:27.800 a one hundred and thirty million dollars us playing out 0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:29.600 of the sky and see what that does for me, 0:16:29.800 --> 0:16:33.800 See what that does for my career. But it is 0:16:33.840 --> 0:16:36.520 interesting to watch the media go back and forth, depending 0:16:36.520 --> 0:16:40.400 on the hour of the day between Trump is a 0:16:40.480 --> 0:16:42.760 warmonger who wants to go to war with Iran and 0:16:42.880 --> 0:16:47.000 Trump isn't being strong enough in response to the Iran 0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:51.480 of to Iran. There's never any wow. Trump is handling 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:53.000 this the way we want him to. And that just 0:16:53.040 --> 0:16:56.080 goes to show you that the press isn't even rooting 0:16:56.160 --> 0:17:01.320 for an outcome here. The press is rooting for something 0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:07.040 to be bad for Trump. The press is rooting for 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:12.800 the Trump. For President Trump to have some negative result, 0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:17.280 that's the most important thing. So it doesn't matter what 0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:19.040 he does. They're going to be opposed to it. They're 0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:21.520 going to say that's that's bad and we should all 0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:24.600 be very, very concerned about this. I will say Nancy 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:29.560 Pelosi surprisingly is willing to say that Trump does not 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:32.199 want to go to war. So play clip five. I 0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:35.159 think it's a dangerous situation. The high tension wires are 0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:40.240 up in the region. We have to be strong and 0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:43.760 strategic about how we protect our interest. We also cannot 0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:46.960 be reckless in what we do. So it would be 0:17:47.000 --> 0:17:50.159 interesting to see what they have to say whether the 0:17:51.359 --> 0:17:53.480 I don't think the president wants to go to war. 0:17:53.600 --> 0:17:56.440 There's no appetite for going to war in our country. 0:17:58.400 --> 0:17:59.960 The president doesn't want to go to wars. She said, 0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:04.520 there's no appetite for going to war in our country. Um, true, 0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:09.040 that is true. I think the country does not want 0:18:09.080 --> 0:18:10.600 to go to war. The president does not want to 0:18:10.600 --> 0:18:12.639 go to war. I don't think we're going to go 0:18:12.720 --> 0:18:16.560 to war. We just need to urge caution here. There's 0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:20.359 another component of this, though, and that is remember they 0:18:20.359 --> 0:18:22.560 were telling us the Iran deal with some great deal. 0:18:24.440 --> 0:18:28.960 Isn't that a laughable proposition in retrospect, isn't that And 0:18:29.040 --> 0:18:32.800 that's absolutely ridiculous when you see what this Iranian regime, 0:18:32.840 --> 0:18:34.600 how it acts and what it's doing. We'll get the 0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:40.479 more this coming up. They made a big mistake by 0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:43.960 shooting our drone down in and of itself to tweet that, no, 0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:47.720 pus provocative is to shoot the drone down. PUS provocative 0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:50.679 is to blow up a Japanese oil tanker with a 0:18:50.800 --> 0:18:55.400 Japanese prime minister in your office trying to start negotiations 0:18:55.400 --> 0:18:59.880 with the United States. Push provocative is having your proxy 0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:05.440 shoot into Saudi Arabia. Trump's not the problem. The Iranians 0:19:05.440 --> 0:19:09.000 are the problem, which will be easy to forget in 0:19:09.000 --> 0:19:11.520 the days ahead as the media covers this, they will 0:19:12.359 --> 0:19:14.679 use every opportunity. Look, this is where you really do 0:19:14.760 --> 0:19:17.200 see the mainstream media rooting against the country and rooting 0:19:17.200 --> 0:19:22.040 against America, because the interests of this country right now 0:19:22.080 --> 0:19:28.560 are to have some calm restored to the situation in 0:19:28.600 --> 0:19:31.040 the Middle East and have the Iranians back down and 0:19:31.200 --> 0:19:35.960 stop acting like this belligerent party. You know, we don't 0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:41.080 have sanctions against Uruguay. We're not bullying Thailand all the time, 0:19:41.119 --> 0:19:44.720 you know, we don't. America doesn't just pick random countries 0:19:44.760 --> 0:19:47.480 to say, hey, you know what, we just want you 0:19:47.520 --> 0:19:49.840 to do some things differently. So we're going to cut 0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:54.359 you off from the international financial system and have you know, 0:19:55.200 --> 0:19:59.320 military might right next door in case you really step 0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:01.400 out of line. I mean, that's not how we operate. 0:20:02.200 --> 0:20:05.720 We're in this situation because the Iranians are the largest 0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:08.720 state sponsor of terror in the world, and the Iranian 0:20:08.760 --> 0:20:13.680 regime very much wants to continue acting in this way 0:20:13.760 --> 0:20:17.160 even though they got this sweet deal from the Obama administration. 0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.359 You know, if the Iranians had a different mindset, if 0:20:21.359 --> 0:20:24.440 the Iranian leadership a different mindset, once Trump walked away 0:20:24.440 --> 0:20:26.280 from the deal, they should have just gone to the 0:20:26.280 --> 0:20:29.920 European European partners and said, guys, come on, we sign 0:20:29.960 --> 0:20:32.960 this in good faith. We you know, you need to 0:20:33.000 --> 0:20:35.320 work with us here. We need to But no, I 0:20:35.320 --> 0:20:38.760 mean their response is, Okay, you're gonna do that. We're 0:20:38.760 --> 0:20:42.440 gonna put limpet minds on the side on the wholes 0:20:42.200 --> 0:20:45.760 of ships and international waters. In the straighter horror moves, 0:20:45.760 --> 0:20:49.960 We're gonna threaten the whole world. I mean, remember, the 0:20:49.960 --> 0:20:53.400 the oil issue as it pertains to the straighter horror 0:20:53.400 --> 0:20:55.560 moves is way more than just a US issue, where 0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:58.560 every major country in the world is affected by this. 0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:01.399 So this isn't something the Iranians can just do and 0:21:01.440 --> 0:21:04.640 then say, well, we're trying to upset the Americans. This 0:21:04.840 --> 0:21:07.280 very quickly would turn into Iran versus the world. In 0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:11.080 Iran doesn't have the doesn't have the fight for that. 0:21:13.000 --> 0:21:16.200 So here we have a circumstance where the Trump administration 0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:19.160 may get the Mullahs to back down, and it may 0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:21.840 require us to slap them down first. I think that's very, 0:21:22.720 --> 0:21:25.440 very possible. But the Obama administration deal that so many 0:21:25.480 --> 0:21:29.320 of us were deeply critical of at the time, it 0:21:29.400 --> 0:21:32.600 was a bad deal. That is a true thing. It 0:21:32.680 --> 0:21:37.919 was a very poorly conceived, poorly constructed deal that was 0:21:37.960 --> 0:21:46.920 all about getting a foreign policy legacy for President Obama, 0:21:47.040 --> 0:21:49.000 and it did not solve any of our problems in 0:21:49.000 --> 0:21:50.720 Ita East. In fact, I think you could argue very 0:21:50.720 --> 0:21:54.239 clearly it made them worse. There were decisions made by 0:21:54.280 --> 0:21:58.360 the Obama administration about foreign policy that revolved around how 0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:03.000 the Iranians would react to this. In essence, we don't 0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:05.199 want the Iranians to be too upset with us, so 0:22:05.280 --> 0:22:08.959 we won't do this in Syria or that in Yemen, 0:22:09.160 --> 0:22:12.400 or this in Iraq. That was the approach for years, 0:22:14.000 --> 0:22:17.040 and that's how you have in Iran that was emboldened 0:22:17.080 --> 0:22:20.440 and felt like it was in its best strategic position 0:22:21.240 --> 0:22:22.879 in decades in the Middle East, which I think you 0:22:22.880 --> 0:22:27.200 could vary. Now with the Iraqi rival taken out, Egypt 0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:29.480 is really a shadow of it of its former self 0:22:29.520 --> 0:22:32.359 in terms of military force projection and then broader Middle East, 0:22:32.359 --> 0:22:37.800 and our only real counterbalance against the Iranians is Saudi Arabia, 0:22:37.840 --> 0:22:41.400 which as we all know, brings its own huge set 0:22:41.400 --> 0:22:47.120 of problems. The Iranians felt like they were making real 0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:49.159 progress and if you look at a map in the 0:22:49.160 --> 0:22:53.480 Middle East where they had proxy armies, whether it's Hezbollah 0:22:53.520 --> 0:22:59.520 in Lebanon, Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas in Gaza and 0:22:59.560 --> 0:23:05.760 the West, the Houthy militia and Yemen, the Shia Militia's 0:23:05.960 --> 0:23:08.760 and mulkata Alsader's outfit of THEO the Soders have had 0:23:08.800 --> 0:23:13.040 a break with the Iranians. But in Iraq, there's a 0:23:13.080 --> 0:23:16.720 lot of places where Iran has been able to extend 0:23:16.720 --> 0:23:21.640 its influence pretty dramatically, and it had an economic recovery 0:23:21.680 --> 0:23:24.160 because of what Obama was willing to do. Now Trump 0:23:24.200 --> 0:23:27.320 has turned that around at some point, the Iranians may 0:23:27.359 --> 0:23:30.840 decide that it's just worth it to do what the 0:23:30.840 --> 0:23:34.919 president do what Trumps is telling them to do, and 0:23:35.040 --> 0:23:37.200 that's how you win. You know, this is one part 0:23:37.240 --> 0:23:40.200 of Trump's approach on foreign policy, on all policy issues, 0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.280 is he has an understanding of the need for leverage 0:23:43.280 --> 0:23:46.560 and pressure that you can only get so far by 0:23:46.840 --> 0:23:50.119 asking really politely, by going up, whether it's dealing with 0:23:50.160 --> 0:23:54.200 the political opposition Nancy Pelosi, the Democrats and Schumer, or 0:23:54.240 --> 0:23:58.360 it's dealing with Kim Jong owner. Although look the Kim 0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:00.679 jong un stuff with Trump, I can and explain it, 0:24:00.840 --> 0:24:02.600 I don't. I don't know why he thinks it's a 0:24:02.600 --> 0:24:06.119 good idea to be so tight and so cozy with 0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:08.320 Kim Jong un. I don't know what to tell you. 0:24:08.800 --> 0:24:11.399 It strikes me as odd. But I give him a 0:24:11.440 --> 0:24:13.880 lot of leeway because everyone else has failed an issue. 0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.760