1 00:00:06,200 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: Hello, and welcome to Stephanomics, the podcast that brings the 2 00:00:09,880 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: global economy to you. My name is Tom Orlick. I'm 3 00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:17,599 Speaker 1: the chief economist for Bloomberg. Now. With England entering a 4 00:00:17,680 --> 00:00:20,920 Speaker 1: period of national morning following our defeat in the European 5 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 1: Championship soccer final, your regular host Stephanie Flanders is taking 6 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: a break this week, So, like a young substitute stepping 7 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: nervously onto the pitch to take a crucial penalty, I'm 8 00:00:32,360 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: stepping in to host this week's discussion. Later in the podcast, 9 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,559 Speaker 1: we'll go to Vietnam to hear about how factory workers 10 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:43,200 Speaker 1: are sleeping on the factory floor to keep production humming 11 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: and the COVID outbreak under control. And here in the 12 00:00:46,680 --> 00:00:50,080 Speaker 1: US will dive into President Joe Biden's attempts to push 13 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:54,400 Speaker 1: back against monopoly power. First, though, here in the US, 14 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:58,080 Speaker 1: with concern from some parts of the political spectrum that 15 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: high unemployment benefits are eating a disincentive to work, Let's 16 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:06,039 Speaker 1: go to Bloomberg's own Olivia Rockman for a report on 17 00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,440 Speaker 1: the real barriers that some women are facing when they 18 00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: try to re enter the labor market and the human 19 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: cost when unemployment benefits are withdraw. America's economy is surging 20 00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,440 Speaker 1: coming out of the pandemic, and some politicians believe it 21 00:01:26,480 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: would be doing even better if not for generous unemployment 22 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 1: benefits put into place last March. They blame the US 23 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:37,959 Speaker 1: government's extra three weekly payments to unemployed people for keeping 24 00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,280 Speaker 1: workers at home, and about half of US governors have 25 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: ended the federal benefits. Still, their efforts to lure workers 26 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:48,480 Speaker 1: back into the office aren't working for a key demographic, 27 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,960 Speaker 1: parents of young children, and especially mothers. They simply don't 28 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:56,480 Speaker 1: have childcare options and can't return to work regardless of 29 00:01:56,520 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 1: unemployment checks. But there's and it's like I'll wake up 30 00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:02,280 Speaker 1: when my mom's getting undy for it, and I just 31 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:05,240 Speaker 1: start crying because just I'm just at a loss anymore, 32 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 1: you know, if it wasn't for my mom, but now 33 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: my mom has to struggle because of us. Calling Ker, 34 00:02:10,520 --> 00:02:14,240 Speaker 1: a single mom in Cleveland, Ohio, whose expanded benefits were 35 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,000 Speaker 1: cut off in late June, quit her job as a 36 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:21,000 Speaker 1: veterinary technician last year when her daughter's childcare center closed 37 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,919 Speaker 1: shortly after the two of them got COVID, and her 38 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,440 Speaker 1: six year old has since been diagnosed with a medical 39 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:31,360 Speaker 1: condition that weakens her immune system. Ker is desperate to 40 00:02:31,400 --> 00:02:33,880 Speaker 1: go back to work, but her young daughter hasn't been 41 00:02:33,919 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 1: cleared by her doctor to return to school just yet. 42 00:02:36,680 --> 00:02:40,720 Speaker 1: So I was really counting on this. At least until September. 43 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:43,360 Speaker 1: I would have been financially okay, you know, I had 44 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,840 Speaker 1: everything planned out, you know, with bills and everything. Now 45 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:48,640 Speaker 1: my mom she had to pick up. She's working like 46 00:02:48,720 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 1: eighteen hours a day, you know, to support cover me, 47 00:02:52,360 --> 00:02:55,040 Speaker 1: the rent, you know, of her everything, and it's not 48 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,800 Speaker 1: fair to her. It's like it's so it's so hard, 49 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 1: and you know, I want to go to work. I 50 00:03:00,840 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 1: don't want to sit at home. You know. That was 51 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:05,840 Speaker 1: like my time away with my kid, making my money, 52 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 1: you know, and three hundred a week is nothing compared 53 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:11,640 Speaker 1: to what I was making, you know, But at least 54 00:03:11,639 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 1: my head was still above water bringing in that extra 55 00:03:14,120 --> 00:03:16,360 Speaker 1: three hundred a week and didn't have to really worry 56 00:03:16,400 --> 00:03:20,160 Speaker 1: too much, you know. But now I don't know what 57 00:03:20,160 --> 00:03:22,799 Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. I really don't. We ended up having 58 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 1: to move back in with my mom. I can't afford 59 00:03:25,320 --> 00:03:27,400 Speaker 1: to live out of my own supported kid. There was 60 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: just no way, you know, I mean, so it was 61 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: like I was able to give my mom money to 62 00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:34,800 Speaker 1: you know, towards out of the three hundred a week 63 00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: towards the rent, towards the bills. And now it's like 64 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: that's why now this is being this money was taken away, 65 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 1: and she's she's working Monday through Saturday from three third. Well, 66 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: she leaves here at what's about two in the morning, 67 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,200 Speaker 1: so she works from two thirty in the morning until 68 00:03:49,360 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 1: three o'clock in the afternoon, and that's not fair to her. 69 00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:55,080 Speaker 1: She's sixty six years old. Like many of the moms 70 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 1: who have left the labor force to take care of 71 00:03:57,040 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: their children during the pandemic, Ker will have to start 72 00:04:00,000 --> 00:04:02,560 Speaker 1: a fresh job search when she's ready to return to work. 73 00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 1: Labor force participation for American women between the ages of 74 00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: twenty and fifty four remains well below pre pandemic levels, 75 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:15,120 Speaker 1: and while some economists expected to recover when schools more 76 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:18,680 Speaker 1: fully reopened this September, it's unlikely to be a rapid 77 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:22,919 Speaker 1: bounce back. Job openings are abundant in industries like restaurants 78 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: and hospitality, but finding something in a more specialized sector 79 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:30,800 Speaker 1: like veterinary medicine can take months, especially for candidates who 80 00:04:30,800 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: have gaps in their resumes. Yeah, I would have to 81 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:35,440 Speaker 1: start fresh. I would have to start all over. And 82 00:04:35,480 --> 00:04:38,240 Speaker 1: our jobs in your industry said that, are they limited 83 00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,159 Speaker 1: in your area? Like, would it be hard to find 84 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:45,279 Speaker 1: something immediately? It is hard, um, But hopefully for me 85 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: it I have a lot of connections, so I'm hoping. 86 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:51,919 Speaker 1: But it's it's it's hard to go from one, you know, 87 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: jumping from one job to another. Um, because it gets 88 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:58,080 Speaker 1: around like all this person's you know, job happened. I mean, 89 00:04:58,080 --> 00:05:00,680 Speaker 1: they kind of know my situation right now. But what 90 00:05:00,760 --> 00:05:02,840 Speaker 1: I did do I, you know, because I'm about tech. 91 00:05:02,880 --> 00:05:04,960 Speaker 1: I was a non registered about tech. And what I 92 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:08,240 Speaker 1: did was when all this started and she had to 93 00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,360 Speaker 1: be enrolled online, and I'm like, you know, since I'm 94 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:11,600 Speaker 1: gonna have to sit home with her, I don't want 95 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:13,640 Speaker 1: to just sit home. So I actually enrolled online to 96 00:05:13,760 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: school to get my license. I wasn't just gonna sit around. 97 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:19,039 Speaker 1: I need to make money when I when I go back, 98 00:05:19,080 --> 00:05:21,400 Speaker 1: you know, So hopefully through school I'll be able to 99 00:05:21,400 --> 00:05:24,400 Speaker 1: get a job. But nothing's guaranteed right now. You know, 100 00:05:24,440 --> 00:05:26,440 Speaker 1: a lot of places they're starting to close down because 101 00:05:26,440 --> 00:05:29,160 Speaker 1: they cannot get that help or people just still can't 102 00:05:29,160 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 1: afford it because of this pandemic. A lot of people 103 00:05:31,240 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: are hurting over here. It really sucks. Is that I 104 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:35,919 Speaker 1: was just offered a job through our city and I 105 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 1: had to pass it up because of everything that's going on. Yep. 106 00:05:40,680 --> 00:05:42,800 Speaker 1: And does it drive you crazy that like there's this 107 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:46,560 Speaker 1: narrative that, oh, people are just collecting unemployment and not working, 108 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 1: and here you are, like turning down a job exactly. 109 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: And that's what that I Oh, my gosh, I can't 110 00:05:51,520 --> 00:05:53,760 Speaker 1: even use the words that I want to use. Yeah, 111 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: I mean, because all these people are like, oh, now, 112 00:05:55,880 --> 00:05:57,440 Speaker 1: you guys can't sit around, you have to go get 113 00:05:57,440 --> 00:05:59,360 Speaker 1: a job. But it's like, you know what, there are 114 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,479 Speaker 1: truly some people that cannot go back to work right now. 115 00:06:03,880 --> 00:06:06,800 Speaker 1: By many measures, the U s economy has recovered from 116 00:06:06,800 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: the initial impact of the pandemic. Retail sales have surged 117 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 1: above pre pandemic levels, most businesses are open at full capacity, 118 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: and demand for residential real estate is booming, But the 119 00:06:17,960 --> 00:06:20,800 Speaker 1: labor market remains more than six million jobs short of 120 00:06:20,839 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 1: where it was before COVID. A big question in the 121 00:06:23,920 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: coming months will be what the lingering effect of the 122 00:06:26,000 --> 00:06:30,280 Speaker 1: pandemic will be on workers and when or whether workforce 123 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:34,440 Speaker 1: participation will return to where it was in early Kurse 124 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,200 Speaker 1: says that while she understands the frustration of businesses having 125 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:40,680 Speaker 1: trouble finding workers, there are circumstances that make returning to 126 00:06:40,720 --> 00:06:44,400 Speaker 1: work much more complicated than just submitting an application. I 127 00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:46,760 Speaker 1: just wish more people would hear us out, I mean, 128 00:06:46,839 --> 00:06:50,120 Speaker 1: and really see that some of us are struggling. We 129 00:06:50,200 --> 00:06:53,320 Speaker 1: don't have that luxury of going back to work. I mean, 130 00:06:53,920 --> 00:06:55,480 Speaker 1: some of us want to work. You know. I love 131 00:06:55,520 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: making my money. I mean more money going to work 132 00:06:57,400 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: than sitting home. Right, So I just, you know, I 133 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 1: wish really somebody would take the time and listen and 134 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:06,359 Speaker 1: really see, you know, there's got to be something that 135 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 1: can be done. I know that people are hiring and 136 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 1: they're they're you know, looking for workers, and I wish 137 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 1: I had an answer for that. I don't understand why 138 00:07:15,680 --> 00:07:19,200 Speaker 1: people won't call back for work, but I just I 139 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:21,560 Speaker 1: just wish they'd figure something out, you know. I mean, 140 00:07:22,920 --> 00:07:25,480 Speaker 1: there's people that are really struggling and it and it 141 00:07:25,480 --> 00:07:27,160 Speaker 1: it really sucks that they did this to us. It 142 00:07:27,240 --> 00:07:35,640 Speaker 1: really does. Thanks Olivia Rockman for that report and for 143 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 1: US Economy Watches It will be interesting to see what 144 00:07:39,120 --> 00:07:44,160 Speaker 1: happens in September when augmented unemployment benefits and nationwide and 145 00:07:44,200 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 1: the reopening of schools lifts some of the constraints on 146 00:07:47,640 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: childcare now as the global economy reopens, another driver of 147 00:07:52,360 --> 00:07:56,960 Speaker 1: distortions and a contributed to the uncomfortably high inflation we're 148 00:07:57,000 --> 00:08:00,679 Speaker 1: seeing in the US and elsewhere, is supply chains snarl ups. 149 00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 1: Shortages of semiconductors and other crucial components, is denting production 150 00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 1: of cars and other technology intensive products and sending prices 151 00:08:10,720 --> 00:08:16,760 Speaker 1: sky high. Vietnam, with its low wages and strategic location 152 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: in the East Asian electronic manufacturing hub, has been playing 153 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 1: an increasingly important part in global supply chains. Factories and 154 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 1: workers in Vietnam are taking some extraordinary steps to make 155 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:33,720 Speaker 1: sure production keeps humming through the COVID crisis. For more 156 00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:36,360 Speaker 1: on that, we go to Bloomberg's Win Win in Ho 157 00:08:36,559 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 1: Chi Minh City. When you've been reporting a fascinating story 158 00:08:41,000 --> 00:08:44,680 Speaker 1: about workers attempting to keep production going and dodge COVID 159 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 1: infections by sleeping on the factory floor, tell us what's 160 00:08:48,360 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 1: going on. Yeah, Well, Vietnam is fighting against a resurgeon 161 00:08:53,360 --> 00:08:56,760 Speaker 1: of COVID nineteen. So the nation is trying to protect 162 00:08:56,840 --> 00:09:00,520 Speaker 1: its reputation as an important part in the globoth text 163 00:09:00,520 --> 00:09:07,439 Speaker 1: supply chain. So it has gotten innovation with like thousands 164 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:11,200 Speaker 1: of workers sleeping on factory floors to keep production lines running. 165 00:09:12,160 --> 00:09:15,760 Speaker 1: Um Earlier in the northern provinces of Bunding and Bankzang, 166 00:09:15,880 --> 00:09:21,240 Speaker 1: two key manufacturing hub that home to Samson and FoST 167 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:26,599 Speaker 1: Gone luck Share those leading suppliers of apple authorities. There's 168 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 1: have asked about. You know, one hundred fifty thousand workers 169 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:34,199 Speaker 1: are living in industrial parks to reduce the risk of infection, 170 00:09:35,080 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 1: and recently in the commercial Huntum city about two hundred 171 00:09:39,880 --> 00:09:43,360 Speaker 1: companies have also set up or we'll set up soon 172 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:46,800 Speaker 1: sit over sites for thousands of workers to be able 173 00:09:46,880 --> 00:09:52,120 Speaker 1: to remain operations. So they are sleeping on either metal 174 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: burned bats with bamboo mats in uh you know, do 175 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:02,680 Speaker 1: mysteries U as well as intense in camp camping penn 176 00:10:02,760 --> 00:10:08,040 Speaker 1: species on cement flaws inside the factories and they're also 177 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 1: quarantined until they tested negative after returning from home. When 178 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:16,559 Speaker 1: have you spoken to some of the workers, what's the 179 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,920 Speaker 1: mood like? Well, I talked to the amount of the 180 00:10:19,920 --> 00:10:22,720 Speaker 1: phone because it's quite difficult to get to those factories 181 00:10:22,920 --> 00:10:26,360 Speaker 1: these days. So um, when I talked to them, most 182 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: of them uh quite um happy that they can still 183 00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:34,680 Speaker 1: go back to work because last month their factories got 184 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 1: shut down and they have to stay home with almost 185 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: no salaries. So although sleeping on the floor, uh kind 186 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:45,959 Speaker 1: of you know, some told some told me that it 187 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,719 Speaker 1: is a bit difficult to sleep at first, but then 188 00:10:48,760 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: they get used to it gradually. And the funny thing 189 00:10:52,120 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: is that they have accordition in thirty four hours, so 190 00:10:56,480 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 1: it's also better than living outside at they don't have 191 00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:05,880 Speaker 1: that kind of accordion ng. And in the factories they 192 00:11:05,960 --> 00:11:10,320 Speaker 1: share rooms and share bathrooms, but they feel quite safe 193 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:15,120 Speaker 1: inside though. So is the strategy working containing the virus 194 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:18,400 Speaker 1: while allowing production to continue or are we already seeing 195 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: more outbreaks? Well, that strategy seems really helpful with you know, 196 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: at LISTA to another prophecies of baton zion bounding in 197 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:34,760 Speaker 1: uh near Hannoi had them to contain the virus spread 198 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 1: and the number of new COVID cases falling down where 199 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:42,719 Speaker 1: every day and more areas in the two promises that 200 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: are now got removed lockdown or social distancing restrictions and 201 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:50,079 Speaker 1: most of the companies, most of the factories, they're now 202 00:11:50,160 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: able to reopen. Yeah, it looks like it's it works 203 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: when through this forward for us. How long do you 204 00:11:58,080 --> 00:12:00,680 Speaker 1: think these extraordinary measures will have to stay in place? 205 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:09,360 Speaker 1: The government is trying to accelerate its fascination program. Right now, 206 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 1: is has fascinated about four percent of its population of 207 00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:18,560 Speaker 1: UH ninety eight million, and it's trying to reach about 208 00:12:18,640 --> 00:12:22,120 Speaker 1: seventy percent of its population by early next year. One 209 00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:26,760 Speaker 1: queue next year. Until then there may be more factories 210 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:30,600 Speaker 1: will have to do the same arranging for the effect 211 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:34,320 Speaker 1: of their workers to sleep in the factories to keep 212 00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:38,319 Speaker 1: the production life running. Like earlier this week, authorities in 213 00:12:38,440 --> 00:12:42,160 Speaker 1: Orgimen City just all the companies in a high tech 214 00:12:42,160 --> 00:12:45,720 Speaker 1: park where Sam Suman Intel has factories to set up 215 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,160 Speaker 1: to arrange and set up on side sleeping accommodation for 216 00:12:48,200 --> 00:12:52,280 Speaker 1: the workers. I think that they are going to get 217 00:12:52,280 --> 00:12:54,840 Speaker 1: out of this, but it would take them time to 218 00:12:54,960 --> 00:12:58,040 Speaker 1: get back to where it was before. Thanks very much 219 00:12:58,080 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: to Bloomberg's Win Win for years that story well, remarkable 220 00:13:09,800 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 1: efforts there by workers in Vietnam sleeping in their factories 221 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,040 Speaker 1: to keep production going. Think about that the next time 222 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:19,679 Speaker 1: you pick up your smartphone. Now, let's return to the US, 223 00:13:19,920 --> 00:13:23,320 Speaker 1: where a growing area of concern for progressive economists and 224 00:13:23,400 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 1: lawmakers is the lack of competition in the economy. The 225 00:13:27,960 --> 00:13:31,720 Speaker 1: growing concentration in market power with a shrinking number of 226 00:13:31,760 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 1: firms grabbing a growing share of profits is bad for workers, 227 00:13:36,240 --> 00:13:39,760 Speaker 1: bad for customers, bad for startups, and in the end, 228 00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:42,600 Speaker 1: bad for the dynamism of the economy as a whole. 229 00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:46,120 Speaker 1: It's a tough problem to deal with, but the Biden 230 00:13:46,160 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 1: administration has made a down payment on a solution, with 231 00:13:49,520 --> 00:13:54,200 Speaker 1: an executive order aimed at boosting competition. In a moment, 232 00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,280 Speaker 1: we'll hear from Professor Maurice Stuckey, an expert in competition law. 233 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 1: But before we do that, let's speak to Bloomberg Zone 234 00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 1: and an edgeton. Anna covers the technology being here in 235 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:09,680 Speaker 1: d C. And of course it's the giant tech companies Amazon, Facebook, 236 00:14:09,720 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 1: Google and Apple that are in the sites of the 237 00:14:12,160 --> 00:14:16,840 Speaker 1: antitrust regulators. Anna, thanks for joining us my pleasure. First 238 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:19,840 Speaker 1: of all, tell us what's in this executive order. This 239 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 1: is a pretty broad executive order that looks at not 240 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:27,280 Speaker 1: just technology but industries across the economy. And how federal 241 00:14:27,320 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 1: agencies can use their power to write rules and regulations 242 00:14:31,920 --> 00:14:38,720 Speaker 1: that would encourage competition. Now we're talking about things like transportation, healthcare, agriculture, airlines. 243 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:40,880 Speaker 1: There are a lot of industries that could be affected 244 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 1: by this order, so pretty sweeping and was the motivation 245 00:14:44,520 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: for the Biden administration. Well, this is another indication about, 246 00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:51,920 Speaker 1: you know, kind of the antitrust movement in Washington. We 247 00:14:51,960 --> 00:14:54,800 Speaker 1: see a lot of energy on Capitol Hill trying to 248 00:14:55,040 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: strengthen antitrust laws. We also see Lena Khan uh note 249 00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:03,720 Speaker 1: doable antitrust expert appointed to head the FTC. And this 250 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: is kind of the Biden administration part of that note 251 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 1: to show an all of Washington approach to encouraging competition 252 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: across the economy. What's interesting about the Biden and executive 253 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,720 Speaker 1: order is this is something that Biden can do unilaterally. 254 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 1: You know, he doesn't have to uh negotiate a bill 255 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 1: getting through Congress in order for this to take effect. 256 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:24,120 Speaker 1: That limits how effective it could be and that it 257 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 1: could be undone by a future president. Becoming this early 258 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 1: in the Biden administration, it should give his federal agencies 259 00:15:30,760 --> 00:15:34,080 Speaker 1: plenty of time to implement these rules. To make potentially 260 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:39,080 Speaker 1: significant changes in the economy. An executive order limited in impact, 261 00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 1: potentially reversible by a future administration, but still a dying 262 00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:47,640 Speaker 1: payment on addressing this serious concern. Could you give us 263 00:15:47,680 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 1: an example of something that will change as a result 264 00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:54,000 Speaker 1: of this executive order. Yeah, there's an interesting movement for 265 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: the right to repair. I thought this was one of 266 00:15:55,840 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: the really interesting parts of the executive Order, and this 267 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 1: is this element would require manufacturers of farming equipment, for example, 268 00:16:03,800 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 1: to allow farmers to repair their own tractors and uh, 269 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,680 Speaker 1: you know, high tech equipment. It would also have implications 270 00:16:11,800 --> 00:16:16,840 Speaker 1: for consumer electronics, you know, especially users of Apple products. 271 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 1: When your iPhone breaks and you want to take it 272 00:16:19,720 --> 00:16:22,240 Speaker 1: to a local repair shop, a lot of times that's 273 00:16:22,240 --> 00:16:25,440 Speaker 1: not possible with this really complicated technology. So one thing 274 00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:29,480 Speaker 1: this executive Order would do is to require manufacturers to 275 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:33,360 Speaker 1: allow independent repair people to repair their products. And that 276 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 1: gives consumers a lot more choice in how they use 277 00:16:37,280 --> 00:16:40,240 Speaker 1: and kind of prolong the life of their of the 278 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:42,880 Speaker 1: things that they own. But it's something that manufacturers have 279 00:16:42,960 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 1: pushed back on. That's so interesting. I have a drawer 280 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 1: at home which is entirely full of redundant electronic equipment, 281 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 1: and I've always suspected that the manufacturers deliberately building in 282 00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:57,640 Speaker 1: obsolescence after a couple of years to force me back 283 00:16:57,640 --> 00:17:00,240 Speaker 1: to the shops to buy the latest addition. I'm glad 284 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:05,480 Speaker 1: to see that my intuition was close to the truth. So, Um, 285 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 1: the executive order has to be followed by legislation for 286 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:13,680 Speaker 1: this sort of broad strategy to work. Um, what should 287 00:17:13,720 --> 00:17:16,080 Speaker 1: we expect? There? Is there a bill passing into Is 288 00:17:16,119 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 1: there a bill in the works in Congress? Yeah, there's 289 00:17:18,280 --> 00:17:22,440 Speaker 1: a few interesting fronts on the antitrust battle in Congress. 290 00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: In the Senate Antitrust Subcommittee, Chairman Amy Klobchar has introduced 291 00:17:27,080 --> 00:17:30,240 Speaker 1: her own proposal, as has her ranking member Mike Lee, 292 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,960 Speaker 1: the ranking Republican in the Senate committee. And in the House, 293 00:17:33,040 --> 00:17:39,520 Speaker 1: we see um tech focused legislation from Representative Cicillini, Democrat 294 00:17:39,640 --> 00:17:43,439 Speaker 1: from Rhode Island, and Representative kin Buck, a Republican from Colorado. 295 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:47,280 Speaker 1: They would really take aim at for technology companies as 296 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:51,920 Speaker 1: as Apple, Amazon, Facebook, and Google. And these bills are 297 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:55,600 Speaker 1: bipartisan and would limit the way that these companies can 298 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,560 Speaker 1: present their own products, you know, in some cases, would 299 00:17:58,560 --> 00:18:00,960 Speaker 1: prohibit them from having those products in the first place, 300 00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,879 Speaker 1: that they compete with third party companies that depend on 301 00:18:03,880 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 1: their platforms. There's kind of different levels of seriousness of 302 00:18:07,600 --> 00:18:10,480 Speaker 1: this legislation and kind of a different chance that it 303 00:18:10,520 --> 00:18:13,120 Speaker 1: has of actually becoming law right now is it's written. 304 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 1: It doesn't look like these bills have a very good 305 00:18:15,080 --> 00:18:18,040 Speaker 1: chance of becoming law in this Congress. But the fact 306 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: that we're getting bipartisan support for these measures shows that 307 00:18:21,680 --> 00:18:24,400 Speaker 1: there is a lot of anger on both parties at 308 00:18:25,000 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 1: just how concentrated the economy has become and how hard 309 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 1: it is for small businesses and um different companies to 310 00:18:31,560 --> 00:18:35,399 Speaker 1: compete in in industries that have become very consolidated. Anna, 311 00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 1: thanks so much for your insights. Thanks so much. Well. 312 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:45,240 Speaker 1: Anna gave us the what's happened and some of the 313 00:18:45,320 --> 00:18:47,680 Speaker 1: what's next. For a little bit of the why it 314 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:51,119 Speaker 1: happened and is it enough, let's go to Maurice Stuckey, 315 00:18:51,359 --> 00:18:55,119 Speaker 1: a professor at the University of Tennessee, former prosecutor at 316 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:57,960 Speaker 1: the U S Department of Justice, and co author of 317 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:02,119 Speaker 1: the recent book Competition Overdo. Professor Stucky, thanks for joining us. 318 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:06,000 Speaker 1: Thank you now. In your book, you make the argument 319 00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:09,240 Speaker 1: that competition in and of itself isn't a good thing. 320 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:13,439 Speaker 1: What's needed is more positive some competition, you call it 321 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:17,840 Speaker 1: noble competition, which expands the size of the economic pie, 322 00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:21,439 Speaker 1: and less toxic competition which drives a race to the 323 00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:25,359 Speaker 1: bottom in standards and risks, gauging workers and consumers in 324 00:19:25,359 --> 00:19:29,240 Speaker 1: the process. Is the biden executive order going to the 325 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:32,560 Speaker 1: move the US closer to having the right kind of competition? 326 00:19:33,600 --> 00:19:37,800 Speaker 1: It is, so you have two problems right now. The healthy, 327 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:41,720 Speaker 1: noble type of competition is being squeezed out, and so 328 00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:47,040 Speaker 1: you have unhealthy competition, toxic competition, on one hand, and 329 00:19:47,080 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 1: then two little of the good types of competition on 330 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:53,560 Speaker 1: the other. So what this proposal seeks to do is 331 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,199 Speaker 1: two things. First, bring more of the healthy competition, and 332 00:19:57,240 --> 00:20:03,520 Speaker 1: then second, go after some of the exploitative competition. Where 333 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: we talk in our book about trip pricing. So here, 334 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:10,119 Speaker 1: for example, the airlines, they can't dangle a low price 335 00:20:10,480 --> 00:20:13,520 Speaker 1: in front of you and then have all of these 336 00:20:14,040 --> 00:20:16,679 Speaker 1: add on fees as you go through the process of 337 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,119 Speaker 1: booking of flight, which I think in the UK and 338 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:24,439 Speaker 1: many other jurisdictions is prohibited, but not in the United States. 339 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,920 Speaker 1: So my reading of the literature, Professor is that one 340 00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: of the reasons why antitrust regulation has become weaker over 341 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:38,119 Speaker 1: the last decades is because of a shift in the 342 00:20:38,200 --> 00:20:42,199 Speaker 1: sort of the legal philosophy. Back in the days of 343 00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:46,880 Speaker 1: Louis Brandeis and the trust busters of the early twentieth century, 344 00:20:47,320 --> 00:20:51,520 Speaker 1: there was a focus on market structure and how excessive 345 00:20:51,640 --> 00:20:56,439 Speaker 1: concentration of market power could be bad for consumers. But 346 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,959 Speaker 1: from the nineties seventies, with the rise of the Chicago School, 347 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:03,359 Speaker 1: there was a shift in view um and the new 348 00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 1: kind of antitrust philosophy takes a much narrower conception of 349 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 1: what's bad for consumers, and in fact holds that as 350 00:21:12,119 --> 00:21:15,720 Speaker 1: long as prices are coming down, there can't be any 351 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:19,560 Speaker 1: problem with competition. Could you give us a very brief 352 00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:25,360 Speaker 1: review of that transition from market structure to prices as 353 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:29,280 Speaker 1: the lens through which the courts interpret competition policy and 354 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:33,600 Speaker 1: talk about some of the effects that that's had. Sure. So, 355 00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:40,160 Speaker 1: the problem is that without any legislative change, the Supreme 356 00:21:40,200 --> 00:21:45,360 Speaker 1: Court incorporated the work of Work and other the Chicago 357 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: School of Theorists and looked at and I trust through 358 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 1: this consumer welfare lens, and the promise was that it 359 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:55,240 Speaker 1: would make markets more competitive and would bring greater certainty 360 00:21:55,280 --> 00:21:59,200 Speaker 1: to an I trust law. And it's failed on both measures. 361 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:02,320 Speaker 1: So what you see is that courts can say, well, 362 00:22:02,359 --> 00:22:06,120 Speaker 1: competition can be reduced so long as it doesn't harm 363 00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:09,679 Speaker 1: consumer welfare, and the only way to measure that is 364 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,760 Speaker 1: through pricing, and that's really not applicable in the digital 365 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 1: platform economy. The other problem with the consumer welfare lens 366 00:22:18,160 --> 00:22:21,760 Speaker 1: is that it misses over half the picture. You don't 367 00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:25,919 Speaker 1: really see the impact that mergers can have on workers 368 00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:29,040 Speaker 1: and their wages. You don't see the impact that these 369 00:22:29,080 --> 00:22:33,280 Speaker 1: mergers can have on farmers um and you see this 370 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:36,679 Speaker 1: in the Biden Order. Is that a lot of the 371 00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:42,359 Speaker 1: harm has also happened upstream, where consumers are being squeezed 372 00:22:42,720 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 1: in their wages or the prices that they may pay 373 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:49,040 Speaker 1: because farmers are also being squeezed as a result. So 374 00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,360 Speaker 1: does the Executive order Now, I mean that the Federal 375 00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:55,640 Speaker 1: Trade Commission and other agencies have the space they need 376 00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,640 Speaker 1: to rewrite the rules, an engineering more of the right 377 00:22:58,640 --> 00:23:02,760 Speaker 1: type of competition pull in the face of skeptical courts. 378 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 1: Do we fundamentally need new legislation? Right? We really need both. 379 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:13,280 Speaker 1: One thing is both the Republicans and the Democrats in 380 00:23:13,359 --> 00:23:17,480 Speaker 1: their separate reports and Congress on the Digital platform economy 381 00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: have voice concerned that the courts have gone too far 382 00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: and clamping down on anti trust. So now the agencies 383 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:30,800 Speaker 1: as well and the are are raising that same concern. 384 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,639 Speaker 1: And the courts have to listen because they're there to 385 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:39,560 Speaker 1: interpret the law and not their gloss that they added 386 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:43,119 Speaker 1: to the law, including this consumer welfare standard. And in 387 00:23:43,160 --> 00:23:46,480 Speaker 1: particular it's a Supreme Court that is the primary culprit 388 00:23:46,480 --> 00:23:50,840 Speaker 1: here because it infrequently visits anti trust, but when it 389 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,480 Speaker 1: does it really makes a muck of things. So one 390 00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 1: thing is that the courts should listen and have a 391 00:23:56,840 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 1: little bit more ubrous. But the other thing in which 392 00:23:59,720 --> 00:24:03,439 Speaker 1: you see is going on in Europe um, particularly with 393 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:07,080 Speaker 1: the Digital Markets Act to Digital Services Act and Germany 394 00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:12,080 Speaker 1: in upgrading its competition law and the UK likely doing 395 00:24:12,119 --> 00:24:16,520 Speaker 1: the same, is that we need new tools to tackle 396 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,320 Speaker 1: some of the problems in the digital platform economy and 397 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:24,880 Speaker 1: and I trust is often too slow, takes way too 398 00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,879 Speaker 1: much time, and the outcomes are too unpredictable, so we 399 00:24:28,920 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 1: need greater certainty. Market participants should be able to know 400 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:37,640 Speaker 1: what is expected of them and when there is a violation, 401 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,119 Speaker 1: it can be quickly redressed, and for that we need 402 00:24:41,320 --> 00:24:45,639 Speaker 1: statutory reform. So it sounds like the Biden executive orders 403 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:49,119 Speaker 1: an important first step, but we also need to change 404 00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: your heart by the courts, action by regulatory agencies, and 405 00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:59,200 Speaker 1: ultimately legislation to move the US economy more towards that 406 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,800 Speaker 1: new ball competition, which Professor Stucky writes about in his 407 00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:07,280 Speaker 1: book Competition Overdose. Professor Stucky, thank you so much for 408 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: your time, Thank you for having well. The Stephonomics team 409 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:18,919 Speaker 1: have given all they can, but in the battle to 410 00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: answer all the economics questions, the best result we can 411 00:25:22,040 --> 00:25:24,919 Speaker 1: hope for is a draw. So as extra time on 412 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,840 Speaker 1: the podcast draws to a close, it only remains for 413 00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:31,159 Speaker 1: me to thrack the ball of economic analysis into the 414 00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:35,359 Speaker 1: wooden upright of incomprehension and then head in hands. Thank 415 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:40,640 Speaker 1: our contributors Olivia Rockman, Win Win Anna Edgertant and Professor 416 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:45,720 Speaker 1: Morris Stuckey, Producer Mike Sasso, and sound engineer Magnus Henrickson. 417 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,520 Speaker 1: Please join us next week when you're regular host, The 418 00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:53,320 Speaker 1: eponymous Stephanie Flanders will be back and normal standards of 419 00:25:53,480 --> 00:26:01,159 Speaker 1: economic insight and humor will be restored