WEBVTT - Interview Only w/ Gene Sperling - What Biden Got Right & The Fight For Economic Dignity

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<v Speaker 1>my guest today is a man who's quite literally been

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<v Speaker 1>in the room where it happens on and off for

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<v Speaker 1>over three decades of American economic He is the only

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<v Speaker 1>person to serve as a director of the National Economic

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<v Speaker 1>Council under two different presidents, Bill Clint and Barack Obama,

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<v Speaker 1>and most recently served as the White House coordinator for

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<v Speaker 1>the American Rescue Plan for President Biden. I'll ask him

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<v Speaker 1>what he did as a child staffer for Jimmy Carter's presidency.

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<v Speaker 1>So she's worked for every Democratic presidency in my adult lifetime.

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<v Speaker 1>It is Gene Sperling, and what I have him on

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<v Speaker 1>today is actually he's got a new gig these days.

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<v Speaker 1>He's the founder and executive director of what is dubbed

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<v Speaker 1>the Economic Dignity Lab at Georgetown's McCourt School of Public Policy. Look,

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<v Speaker 1>Gene is a think tanker who's actually been a practical

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<v Speaker 1>government's servant as well. Sometimes you get your think tankers

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<v Speaker 1>who throw out white papers and ideas, and you get

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<v Speaker 1>your government servants who take those white paper and ideas well.

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<v Speaker 1>Jean's kind of been on both sides of it and

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<v Speaker 1>is one of the few people I know that while

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<v Speaker 1>he's wonky, he also understands campaign politics and that is

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<v Speaker 1>a unique breed of individual because it's not an easy

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<v Speaker 1>thing to find. And you know, he's got the quirky

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<v Speaker 1>sense of humor like I like I do, and like

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<v Speaker 1>I like. So, mister Sperlin, good to see.

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<v Speaker 2>You, Thank you, Chack, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 1>In fact, I have to say I didn't know this story.

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<v Speaker 1>I was asking this. You know, why he's coming to

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<v Speaker 1>us from California and I'm here going I just think

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<v Speaker 1>of Gene as a d c's DC guy, and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>going to make you quickly tell this just the shortened

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<v Speaker 1>version of the story. You're an Angelino because of a

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<v Speaker 1>fun little Hollywood meets politics meets real life meets your

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<v Speaker 1>personal life. Tell us about it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, well, you you know, you could have said I've

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<v Speaker 2>worked for four presidents, because I had four years where

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<v Speaker 2>I was a consultant or part time writer for Jed Bartlett,

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<v Speaker 2>the president on the NBC TV show The West Wing.

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<v Speaker 2>But yes, the fact I'm coming from you in Santa

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<v Speaker 2>Monica or that seems to be my main residence right now,

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<v Speaker 2>does not feel comfortable to me. I grew up in

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<v Speaker 2>ann Arbor, Michigan. We only came to La twice in

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<v Speaker 2>my youth, and both times was to watch Michigan lose

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<v Speaker 2>to Southern cal in the road. And so when people

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<v Speaker 2>ask me where I'm from, it's ann Arbor. When they

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<v Speaker 2>ask me where I've worked, it's Washington, d C. So

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<v Speaker 2>it's very hard for me to kind of acknowledge that

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<v Speaker 2>I just happened to be here. But the story was

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<v Speaker 2>is that when I got done with Clinton, I'd gotten

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<v Speaker 2>to know some of the people on the TV show

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<v Speaker 2>West Wing. I really dug in. I worked on a

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<v Speaker 2>really good story and I sent it in and they

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<v Speaker 2>asked me to do an interview. I went out to

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<v Speaker 2>LA and it just happened to be Hey, where Aaron

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<v Speaker 2>Sorkin couldn't meet with me because he had a little

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<v Speaker 2>legal trouble in an airport. But they set up a

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<v Speaker 2>meeting for me with all the writers in the commissary.

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<v Speaker 2>It's very exciting. You walk in. There's guys from Er

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<v Speaker 2>walking around.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it is the old The studio commissaries truly are

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<v Speaker 1>Star Wars bar scenes. You never know who you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>run into.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, just going through at the beginning, through the gate,

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<v Speaker 2>you think of blazing saddles and them crashing through. So

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<v Speaker 2>I go there. I introduced myself. First person on the

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<v Speaker 2>left is name Alison Abner. She's just starting her second

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<v Speaker 2>year writing for the West Wing, and I say hello,

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<v Speaker 2>and what the heck? We got married. We've been together

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<v Speaker 2>twenty five years, so I've been you know, I've been

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<v Speaker 2>a bicoastal you know, spouse, and that means we've probably

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<v Speaker 2>lived about a third of the time in DC, a

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<v Speaker 2>third of the time in Santa Monica and a third

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<v Speaker 2>of the time, including the entire Biden White House, I

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<v Speaker 2>commuted back and forth every single week, even more than

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<v Speaker 2>a California member of Congress.

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<v Speaker 1>Would you are it allows you mess? Uh? You know,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, I don't know if that's a good thing

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<v Speaker 1>or a bad thing about showing off in a life.

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<v Speaker 1>If you've hit all these great statuses on airplanes, it

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<v Speaker 1>means you're never at home.

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<v Speaker 2>No, you know. For me, what it's about is I

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<v Speaker 2>work like crazy on planes so that every moment I'm home,

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<v Speaker 2>I can be with my family. So I'd say the

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<v Speaker 2>only time this whole thing was unbelievably painful was my

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<v Speaker 2>third year with President Obama. My wife had gone back

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<v Speaker 2>to start restarter her TV writing career. My son graduated

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<v Speaker 2>from high school, and I had about ten months where

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<v Speaker 2>I was commuting back and forth, and my daughter was

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<v Speaker 2>like seven or eight, and I used to get in

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<v Speaker 2>the car and just cry sometimes. But this last time,

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<v Speaker 2>thanks to zoom and other things I didn't have, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>you could kind of be half there, half here. And

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<v Speaker 2>my daughter was sixteen seventeen and eighteen, and everybody knows

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<v Speaker 2>at sixteen seventeen and eighteen. They're not dying for you

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<v Speaker 2>to be there in their face every single night. So

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<v Speaker 2>if that part was okay.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me I want to dispense with one thing about

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<v Speaker 1>West Wind. I have been people always assume I love

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<v Speaker 1>the show, and I always say, you know what, I've

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<v Speaker 1>never I've never watched a full season, and let me

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<v Speaker 1>tell you why, gee, and you can tell me and

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<v Speaker 1>tell me why I'm wrong, because I know you're going

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<v Speaker 1>to be a defender, and I mean this, It's not

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<v Speaker 1>as if I've seen quite a few episodes and they're

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<v Speaker 1>really good and they're really interesting. Don't get me wrong,

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<v Speaker 1>but I always found him more unrealistic than realistic. And

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<v Speaker 1>what I always hated was when people say, why can't

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<v Speaker 1>it be done like it was on West Wing? And

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<v Speaker 1>I'm like, because west Wing was never you know, and

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<v Speaker 1>I've had this argument. I've actually I got arguments a

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<v Speaker 1>wrong word, a strong word, A debate with mister Sorkin

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<v Speaker 1>where because he did it with Newsroom too, where he's

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<v Speaker 1>creating a utopia of what could be if you had

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<v Speaker 1>a year to prepare for every news cycle, for instance

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<v Speaker 1>in Newsroom, or you had five years of historical context

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<v Speaker 1>to then figure out how to have done it. So

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<v Speaker 1>and perhaps I'm like too jaded because I'm old hotline guy.

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<v Speaker 2>Right, you're too jaded because you're old hotline.

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<v Speaker 1>I understand that. Tell me make the best case for

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<v Speaker 1>somebody today of why West Wing actually is emblematic of

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<v Speaker 1>how governing works well.

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<v Speaker 2>Listen, It's hard for me to think about the current

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<v Speaker 2>White House and how it functions well, but I would

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<v Speaker 2>say that if that for looked at the last couple

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<v Speaker 2>administrations and the years of Republican administrations before that, I

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<v Speaker 2>really do feel that there is a core truth in

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<v Speaker 2>the West Wing, which that the people there who are

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<v Speaker 2>there are privileged to be there, really are there to

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<v Speaker 2>do good for the world, but they're in a very

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<v Speaker 2>highly toxic and political environment. And so I think the

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<v Speaker 2>way that West Wing is more realistic than some of

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<v Speaker 2>the other you know, Scandal and other shows out there,

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<v Speaker 2>is that those shows tend to show people who are

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<v Speaker 2>only there to self deal to corrupt things. And I

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<v Speaker 2>think what the West Wing did show was a group

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<v Speaker 2>of people who were trying to do something idealistic, but

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<v Speaker 2>they're in a very very political environment. And if you're

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<v Speaker 2>not political political and you don't deal with those issues

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<v Speaker 2>you don't do well. I think what makes me sad

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<v Speaker 2>a little bit is I spent a long time telling

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<v Speaker 2>people that that's the way white Houses really were. I'm

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<v Speaker 2>not quite so sure that the West Wing is an

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<v Speaker 2>accurate perception of the current White House.

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<v Speaker 1>West Wing or Veep, who portrays staffers best.

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I liked Veep too because I think Veep. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>of course, in Veep, nobody's really a good guy, but

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<v Speaker 2>it's meant as a satire.

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<v Speaker 1>It's meant I guess, I mean.

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<v Speaker 2>It's showing the real conflicts people are dealing with from

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<v Speaker 2>a kind of cynical point of view. But I still

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<v Speaker 2>really enjoyed that. I enjoyed the other shows too. I

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<v Speaker 2>just used to not like when people would kind of

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<v Speaker 2>think that that was more realistic than the West Wing.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, I hate when people say politics is like house

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<v Speaker 1>of cards.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm like, no, it's stop.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, Like, I'm like stop, that is not and that

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<v Speaker 1>would so that's where I always get I you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I would vacinate that. Then then again, like you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I can watch a few Good Men two thousand times,

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<v Speaker 1>and I probably watched it two thousand times, So it's

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<v Speaker 1>not that I don't love a good. Aaron Sorkin script,

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<v Speaker 1>that's for sure. I mean, the man is a genius

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<v Speaker 1>television writer. There's no doubt about it.

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<v Speaker 2>When it comes to dialogue, all right, whenever I see Aaron,

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<v Speaker 2>he's he asked me how how my wife Allison is doing?

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<v Speaker 2>And I say, we're still together. And he says the

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<v Speaker 2>two lasting things of the West Wing residual checks and

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<v Speaker 2>gene and Allison's marriage.

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<v Speaker 1>By the way, right when HBO Max was going to

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<v Speaker 1>get rid of it, there was like an uproar and

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<v Speaker 1>it reminded people, so it kept the checks coming, right.

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<v Speaker 2>It really is. One thing I really will say is

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<v Speaker 2>the number of people who I've seen actually go into

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<v Speaker 2>public service. I mean, famously Cody Keenan.

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<v Speaker 1>Who well, you're right, who watched it in it like

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<v Speaker 1>inspired them to do it.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, And I think, you know, I don't think

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<v Speaker 2>it was a TV show for me, but I think

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<v Speaker 2>you would see, you know, I'd see people huddled around

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<v Speaker 2>RFK when I was a kid in sixty eight, and

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<v Speaker 2>you know, I think sometimes you know that perception that

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<v Speaker 2>that's something positive, that you can do good things, that

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<v Speaker 2>you don't have to be the candidate to make a difference,

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<v Speaker 2>and help people's lives or fight for justice. I think

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<v Speaker 2>it's a positive thing and it's still pretty influential on

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of college campuses around the country.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, it has had a lot of staying power. Have

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<v Speaker 1>you how serious have reboots been thrown around?

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<v Speaker 2>I think it's more people toying with people. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, I stay in touch with Brad Whitford in

0:12:57.720 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 2>Delay Hill, and I did run in and I get

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<v Speaker 2>to see Aaron Sorkin and Martin when we did a

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<v Speaker 2>twenty fifth anniversary celebration at the White House. But I

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<v Speaker 2>think there was once where I kind of was like, hey, guys,

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<v Speaker 2>if this happens and I'm out of government, remember me.

0:13:16.840 --> 0:13:18.880
<v Speaker 2>And I kind of got the word back. Now we're

0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:22.680
<v Speaker 2>we're just toying with you, but we'll see.

0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.080
<v Speaker 1>Before I get to what you're working on. Because I think, look,

0:13:26.120 --> 0:13:28.560
<v Speaker 1>I think and we've been I think we were in

0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:30.680
<v Speaker 1>a room together not too long ago. I think AI

0:13:30.800 --> 0:13:36.200
<v Speaker 1>job displacement is going to drive political debates fear of

0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:39.440
<v Speaker 1>AI job displacement over the next decade. Whether it hits

0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:42.040
<v Speaker 1>is another story. Right, there's the fear of it and

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:45.000
<v Speaker 1>then there's the actual fear is going to drive a

0:13:45.040 --> 0:13:47.320
<v Speaker 1>lot of political particularly in twenty twenty eight. So I

0:13:47.360 --> 0:13:49.080
<v Speaker 1>want to get to that. But before we get to that,

0:13:50.640 --> 0:13:52.640
<v Speaker 1>what's the state of the economy. What do you look

0:13:52.679 --> 0:13:56.720
<v Speaker 1>at on a week to week basis to give your

0:13:56.840 --> 0:14:00.720
<v Speaker 1>bit to what touchstones do you look at to determine

0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:04.360
<v Speaker 1>whether this is a good economy, a bad economy, or

0:14:04.400 --> 0:14:05.400
<v Speaker 1>a shaky economy.

0:14:06.280 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 2>So I think there's moments where you pretty much know

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:13.920
<v Speaker 2>what you're looking for. Things are pretty clear, even if

0:14:13.920 --> 0:14:16.880
<v Speaker 2>you don't know what the exact narrative how it's going

0:14:16.960 --> 0:14:19.000
<v Speaker 2>to turn out, you know what the narrative is. This

0:14:19.040 --> 0:14:22.160
<v Speaker 2>is a little bit of a tricky time. I think

0:14:22.200 --> 0:14:26.920
<v Speaker 2>that what you were looking for after the kind of

0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:31.120
<v Speaker 2>worst of the post pandemic supply chain shocks and global

0:14:31.120 --> 0:14:35.200
<v Speaker 2>inflation was you were looking for what everybody called the

0:14:35.360 --> 0:14:38.600
<v Speaker 2>soft landing, and what that meant was that we would

0:14:38.680 --> 0:14:43.840
<v Speaker 2>be able to return to more of a normal, stable economy.

0:14:44.160 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 2>So the Biden economy had amazing job growth, incredibly low unemployment,

0:14:49.560 --> 0:14:55.240
<v Speaker 2>but there was also high inflation. And you know, people

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 2>will fight forever, people like myself will say it was global,

0:14:59.360 --> 0:15:02.680
<v Speaker 2>it was every where. It didn't wasn't really a factor

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:06.280
<v Speaker 2>of Biden policies. But whatever you thought the cause was,

0:15:06.680 --> 0:15:11.680
<v Speaker 2>people wanted to see that soft landing. So what's interesting

0:15:12.280 --> 0:15:17.960
<v Speaker 2>is that you've had pretty close to what people hope for.

0:15:18.240 --> 0:15:23.440
<v Speaker 2>So when you had high inflation, you can remember that

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 2>Larry Summers famously said, Oh, the only way you're going

0:15:27.720 --> 0:15:30.720
<v Speaker 2>to bring this down is to have ten percent unemployment

0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:34.400
<v Speaker 2>or two years of seven and a half percent unemployment

0:15:34.440 --> 0:15:37.280
<v Speaker 2>or five years of six percent. Well that didn't happen.

0:15:37.360 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 2>So the good news was that we've been able to

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 2>so far avoid a you know, avoid caming inflation inflation

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:52.840
<v Speaker 2>only in a Paul Voker sense of well, I was.

0:15:52.800 --> 0:15:54.520
<v Speaker 1>Just gonna say, let me let let's put a pause

0:15:54.600 --> 0:16:00.760
<v Speaker 1>before you jump to that part. Doesn't this reinforce not

0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:04.480
<v Speaker 1>a belief anymore? But is this now a confirmation that

0:16:04.520 --> 0:16:11.880
<v Speaker 1>this was essentially COVID related, COVID inspired, COVID driven, and

0:16:12.840 --> 0:16:16.480
<v Speaker 1>because we had the artificial stoppage and then and then

0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.400
<v Speaker 1>suddenly it's sort of like kinking a hose and then

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm kicking it and a surge of product and a

0:16:21.040 --> 0:16:23.760
<v Speaker 1>surge of money, and a surge of this. You know,

0:16:23.880 --> 0:16:25.840
<v Speaker 1>as fast as it went up is as fast as

0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 1>it went down. The fact that it didn't take ten

0:16:30.320 --> 0:16:33.359
<v Speaker 1>percent interest rates and it didn't take ten percent unemployment.

0:16:35.080 --> 0:16:38.120
<v Speaker 1>Is that now confirmation for you that this was global

0:16:38.200 --> 0:16:40.560
<v Speaker 1>and ninety five percent COVID?

0:16:41.400 --> 0:16:43.800
<v Speaker 2>I think for me it is. I think it is

0:16:43.840 --> 0:16:46.480
<v Speaker 2>for a lot of people. I think it's hard to have,

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.560
<v Speaker 2>you know, this easy objective conversation because one, there's so

0:16:50.680 --> 0:16:55.880
<v Speaker 2>much politics involved, and you know, there's such a desire

0:16:56.040 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 2>for the current administration to blame the last administration. There's

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.640
<v Speaker 2>so many people on the Democratic side that are just

0:17:02.920 --> 0:17:09.560
<v Speaker 2>disappointed that Joe Biden lost and that people ignored people

0:17:09.640 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 2>were so unhappy about prices. So there's so much political debate.

0:17:15.160 --> 0:17:18.520
<v Speaker 2>But you know, I do think that for a lot

0:17:18.560 --> 0:17:22.720
<v Speaker 2>of people, I cited an article Mark Zandy from Moody's,

0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 2>Peter orzag Our, former O and B director, and others

0:17:26.560 --> 0:17:30.520
<v Speaker 2>who definitely feel that the fact that this came down

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:39.640
<v Speaker 2>without engineering a recession was evidence that this was overall

0:17:40.040 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 2>globally inspired, pandemic related supply shot chain that said people

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 2>will still debate the American rescue plan, and I don't

0:17:53.320 --> 0:17:57.600
<v Speaker 2>think there's I think politically you'll hear Republicans now say,

0:17:57.760 --> 0:18:01.320
<v Speaker 2>oh my god, everything that happened you know bad was

0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:06.000
<v Speaker 2>due to Joe biden American Rescue Plant. That's clearly not true. Clearly,

0:18:06.080 --> 0:18:09.280
<v Speaker 2>the American Rescue Plan had some very good effects in

0:18:09.359 --> 0:18:12.280
<v Speaker 2>making US the leader and growth in the G seven, lower,

0:18:12.359 --> 0:18:19.200
<v Speaker 2>unemployment less scarring long term negative impacts. But people will

0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:23.080
<v Speaker 2>debate the inflation impact, and I think that the reasonable

0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:27.160
<v Speaker 2>debate says, hey, maybe it led to inflation here being

0:18:27.200 --> 0:18:30.359
<v Speaker 2>a point or a point half higher than it would

0:18:30.359 --> 0:18:33.480
<v Speaker 2>have been, but it had these good parts. And I'd

0:18:33.480 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 2>say the people who are most critical would say, no,

0:18:35.680 --> 0:18:39.080
<v Speaker 2>it's more like three points higher. But I think you

0:18:39.119 --> 0:18:42.800
<v Speaker 2>and I both know that in twenty twenty two, after

0:18:42.920 --> 0:18:47.960
<v Speaker 2>Putin invaded Ukraine, you know, inflation almost everywhere in the

0:18:48.000 --> 0:18:54.200
<v Speaker 2>world was seven eight nine percent, regardless of whether people

0:18:54.200 --> 0:18:57.200
<v Speaker 2>had done a major fiscal stimulus. And you also saw

0:18:57.720 --> 0:19:02.119
<v Speaker 2>every head of state did poorly everywhere in the world.

0:19:02.840 --> 0:19:05.160
<v Speaker 1>Now, that could be an antim.

0:19:05.680 --> 0:19:10.480
<v Speaker 2>A reincumbent, you know, an incumbent in that setting, but

0:19:10.840 --> 0:19:13.280
<v Speaker 2>you know, for me, I think it is you know,

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:15.760
<v Speaker 2>I think the fact that inflation went up everywhere and

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:18.800
<v Speaker 2>the way it came down, you know, it does confirm

0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:23.200
<v Speaker 2>that this was not fundamentally about fiscal policy. But about

0:19:23.240 --> 0:19:26.480
<v Speaker 2>the pandemic. But again, to be fair to some of

0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:29.600
<v Speaker 2>the people who disagree with me, they would say, you know,

0:19:29.720 --> 0:19:33.240
<v Speaker 2>it's a more nuanced analysis.

0:19:37.040 --> 0:19:39.159
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<v Speaker 1>from now. In an economics class, that might look at

0:22:32.240 --> 0:22:36.440
<v Speaker 1>a couple of case studies about what you do in

0:22:36.920 --> 0:22:41.800
<v Speaker 1>a in an economic crisis. Either one that's directly about

0:22:41.800 --> 0:22:44.120
<v Speaker 1>the economy, like what we had with the housing crisis

0:22:44.119 --> 0:22:47.040
<v Speaker 1>and the Great Recession, or something like COVID which sort

0:22:47.040 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 1>of impacted the global economy. One of the things that

0:22:52.320 --> 0:22:55.359
<v Speaker 1>my simple hot take has always been, we had two

0:22:55.480 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 1>choices with COVID. We either had inflation or recession, and

0:23:02.119 --> 0:23:05.520
<v Speaker 1>if we didn't throw money, If we had handled COVID

0:23:05.520 --> 0:23:10.040
<v Speaker 1>the way we'd handled the housing crisis, which is to

0:23:10.080 --> 0:23:13.440
<v Speaker 1>be fiscally a bit small sea conservative about how much

0:23:13.480 --> 0:23:16.920
<v Speaker 1>money we threw at the issue, we probably prevent inflation,

0:23:18.080 --> 0:23:22.600
<v Speaker 1>but we might have had a massive recession. The less

0:23:22.720 --> 0:23:25.640
<v Speaker 1>I've always felt is if that COVID, coming just within

0:23:25.680 --> 0:23:30.360
<v Speaker 1>a decade of the Great Recession, sort of got everybody thinking, hey,

0:23:30.400 --> 0:23:32.640
<v Speaker 1>we better if we're not sure, throw a little bit

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:37.679
<v Speaker 1>more money at it. Let's not underfund, let's overfund. Do

0:23:37.720 --> 0:23:39.720
<v Speaker 1>you think fifty years from now, That's how we'll look

0:23:39.760 --> 0:23:41.479
<v Speaker 1>at those two events. And it's sort of when it

0:23:41.480 --> 0:23:45.280
<v Speaker 1>comes to government intervention, the economic crisis, the Great Recession

0:23:45.280 --> 0:23:48.080
<v Speaker 1>will always be seen as an example of government not

0:23:48.160 --> 0:23:52.560
<v Speaker 1>doing enough, and COVID will be seeing as an example

0:23:52.600 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>of when government does a little too much. I know

0:23:56.160 --> 0:23:58.680
<v Speaker 1>I'm being very I'm asking for a black and white

0:23:58.720 --> 0:24:03.879
<v Speaker 1>hot take on something that be incredibly it's generally speaking, I've.

0:24:03.760 --> 0:24:07.320
<v Speaker 2>Actually written on this exact topic. I wrote in the

0:24:07.640 --> 0:24:11.520
<v Speaker 2>Wall Street Journal a while ago on the lessons learned argument.

0:24:11.960 --> 0:24:16.120
<v Speaker 2>And I think people will debate this. I think that

0:24:16.160 --> 0:24:19.120
<v Speaker 2>there's kind of a will be you know. I think

0:24:19.160 --> 0:24:22.600
<v Speaker 2>some people will make it a more simple argument of

0:24:24.280 --> 0:24:26.600
<v Speaker 2>you know, but even then there's a question of lessons

0:24:26.680 --> 0:24:32.120
<v Speaker 2>learned or lessons overlearned. So the lessons over learned argument

0:24:32.440 --> 0:24:38.639
<v Speaker 2>was one you did too little in the financial crisis.

0:24:38.800 --> 0:24:41.240
<v Speaker 2>I don't think by the way that was by intent

0:24:41.680 --> 0:24:44.199
<v Speaker 2>by President Obama as someone there. I just think you

0:24:44.240 --> 0:24:46.320
<v Speaker 2>couldn't get it, couldn't get to politically.

0:24:46.440 --> 0:24:50.000
<v Speaker 1>Look by the way in fairness politically it will I mean,

0:24:50.040 --> 0:24:54.760
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't cross that that number. It had to be under.

0:24:54.520 --> 0:24:57.320
<v Speaker 2>A true exactly. You know. There was sometimes people think

0:24:57.440 --> 0:25:02.560
<v Speaker 2>there was just debate, but I do that there was

0:25:02.760 --> 0:25:06.520
<v Speaker 2>also a sense in two thousand and eight, two thousand

0:25:06.560 --> 0:25:09.320
<v Speaker 2>and nine that if you were wrong, maybe you could

0:25:09.359 --> 0:25:12.600
<v Speaker 2>come back and get more. And I think one of

0:25:12.640 --> 0:25:17.520
<v Speaker 2>the lessons that was learned there was, hey, you may

0:25:17.560 --> 0:25:23.119
<v Speaker 2>only get one shot, so you might go bigger because

0:25:23.200 --> 0:25:30.120
<v Speaker 2>you may not get another shot. Two is the insurance policy.

0:25:30.480 --> 0:25:35.199
<v Speaker 2>Other things might happen, like who would have predicted Putin

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:38.240
<v Speaker 2>was going to invade Ukraine. As you remember, in the

0:25:38.280 --> 0:25:42.440
<v Speaker 2>financial crisis, there was the Greece in eure a financial crisis.

0:25:42.760 --> 0:25:46.080
<v Speaker 2>So another argument is put a little extra because there

0:25:46.160 --> 0:25:49.280
<v Speaker 2>might be unknowns that are going to slow you down

0:25:50.760 --> 0:25:54.480
<v Speaker 2>even more. One lesson I really think we learned well

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 2>was that when you don't do enough right away, there's

0:25:58.640 --> 0:26:02.240
<v Speaker 2>a lot of long term suffering that takes place, long

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:05.960
<v Speaker 2>term unemployment, young people who couldn't get into the job

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:09.800
<v Speaker 2>market for four or five years. Economists actually have a

0:26:09.840 --> 0:26:13.640
<v Speaker 2>phrase that makes sense. They call it scarring, and it's right.

0:26:13.720 --> 0:26:16.399
<v Speaker 2>What it means is they didn't These people didn't just

0:26:16.480 --> 0:26:20.400
<v Speaker 2>suffer for a year or two. Their lifetime earnings were changed.

0:26:21.240 --> 0:26:25.719
<v Speaker 2>Their rates of divorce and alcoholism and suicide or deaths

0:26:25.720 --> 0:26:30.399
<v Speaker 2>of despair were changed. So one good lesson learned was

0:26:30.520 --> 0:26:34.080
<v Speaker 2>that in this financial crisis you had a lot of

0:26:34.119 --> 0:26:36.800
<v Speaker 2>strength right away and so you didn't get the long

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:41.000
<v Speaker 2>term unemployment. We had a policy that actually prevented millions

0:26:41.000 --> 0:26:44.400
<v Speaker 2>of people from being evicted. So I think on the

0:26:44.440 --> 0:26:49.760
<v Speaker 2>whole the argument will be that the American Rescue Plan

0:26:50.160 --> 0:26:55.399
<v Speaker 2>did properly learn the lessons. The counter will be, well,

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:59.439
<v Speaker 2>but maybe you overlearned by doing a little bit too much.

0:26:59.520 --> 0:27:02.680
<v Speaker 2>And that's the people who will argue that the American

0:27:02.720 --> 0:27:06.160
<v Speaker 2>Rescue Plan, even if it wasn't the cause of all

0:27:06.200 --> 0:27:09.600
<v Speaker 2>the inflation or even most of inflation, kind of added

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.080
<v Speaker 2>to it. And that's where I think you will continue

0:27:12.480 --> 0:27:15.720
<v Speaker 2>to have the debates where people like myself will say,

0:27:16.359 --> 0:27:20.520
<v Speaker 2>and probably Jared Bernstein would say, and Peter orzagnersay, didn't

0:27:20.560 --> 0:27:23.720
<v Speaker 2>have that much, but my friend Jason Furman would say,

0:27:24.720 --> 0:27:26.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, you should have done a bit more. I

0:27:26.880 --> 0:27:29.840
<v Speaker 2>do think what will happen going forward, Chuck, from now

0:27:29.880 --> 0:27:32.560
<v Speaker 2>on is that I do think you had an entire

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:37.160
<v Speaker 2>generation of people who had never seen significant inflation. And

0:27:37.200 --> 0:27:38.200
<v Speaker 2>so I'm not.

0:27:38.080 --> 0:27:40.879
<v Speaker 1>Sorry, that's one hundred percent right. Like I you know,

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:42.720
<v Speaker 1>I would sit there and say, I had a memory

0:27:42.760 --> 0:27:47.240
<v Speaker 1>of my of my parents excited when interest rates got

0:27:47.359 --> 0:27:50.320
<v Speaker 1>from win from double digits to single digits. So I

0:27:50.400 --> 0:27:53.880
<v Speaker 1>had at least remembered that era and of the era

0:27:53.920 --> 0:27:56.320
<v Speaker 1>of the late seventies and early eighties, and it did.

0:27:56.359 --> 0:27:59.119
<v Speaker 1>I mean, we were one of those working class families

0:27:59.160 --> 0:28:02.200
<v Speaker 1>that we couldn't afford a house until the interest rates

0:28:02.240 --> 0:28:05.639
<v Speaker 1>finally got to I think it was just under nine percent,

0:28:05.920 --> 0:28:09.600
<v Speaker 1>and we could finally get into a house exactly. That

0:28:09.760 --> 0:28:10.400
<v Speaker 1>was a big deal.

0:28:11.400 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 2>Four. When Reagan runs on mourning in America, things really

0:28:16.359 --> 0:28:18.560
<v Speaker 2>aren't very good inflation.

0:28:18.359 --> 0:28:19.560
<v Speaker 1>They were better than they were.

0:28:20.240 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 2>That's the key it had. People remembered things being bad

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:28.960
<v Speaker 2>for so long that when it improved, Reagan got lots

0:28:29.000 --> 0:28:32.520
<v Speaker 2>of credit. And what hurt President Biden is that even

0:28:32.560 --> 0:28:37.879
<v Speaker 2>when inflation came down, people still remembered beef and milk

0:28:38.120 --> 0:28:42.280
<v Speaker 2>and cheese and eggs being lower. And so I do

0:28:42.360 --> 0:28:46.720
<v Speaker 2>think that even though I don't believe the American Rescue

0:28:46.760 --> 0:28:51.000
<v Speaker 2>Plan was the cause of most or even the significant

0:28:51.000 --> 0:28:53.960
<v Speaker 2>amount of the inflation, do I think that next time

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:57.239
<v Speaker 2>around people will think about it more, or worry a

0:28:57.240 --> 0:29:01.440
<v Speaker 2>little bit, or do the balance more. Yes, because they've

0:29:01.520 --> 0:29:05.040
<v Speaker 2>now lived through a world where they saw President Biden

0:29:05.520 --> 0:29:08.240
<v Speaker 2>do what you and I would have predicted would have

0:29:08.280 --> 0:29:12.120
<v Speaker 2>been a winning hand going into twenty four, which was

0:29:12.440 --> 0:29:17.360
<v Speaker 2>inflation coming down under three percent, record low unemployment, and

0:29:18.040 --> 0:29:23.040
<v Speaker 2>all of those things were dwarfed by people's unhappiness with

0:29:24.440 --> 0:29:28.480
<v Speaker 2>everyday prices that they went to the grocery store and

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:32.760
<v Speaker 2>saw and that is both a politic that's an economic lesson,

0:29:32.800 --> 0:29:35.000
<v Speaker 2>but it's also going to be a political lesson for

0:29:35.640 --> 0:29:36.640
<v Speaker 2>I think a generation.

0:29:37.000 --> 0:29:39.200
<v Speaker 1>I mean, what the seventies taught me and especially now

0:29:39.240 --> 0:29:43.800
<v Speaker 1>looking in hindsight, is that inflation is nonpartisan, or inflation

0:29:43.920 --> 0:29:46.400
<v Speaker 1>is bipartisan, however you want to say it. In this respect,

0:29:46.640 --> 0:29:52.840
<v Speaker 1>inflation took down three presidents, Right, Richard Nixon loses support

0:29:52.880 --> 0:29:55.400
<v Speaker 1>among Republicans. People always forget this. If the economy is better,

0:29:55.520 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 1>Nixon fights harder and Republicans probably fight on his behalf

0:29:58.400 --> 0:30:03.120
<v Speaker 1>and maybe, but you know, the bad economy was was

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:05.520
<v Speaker 1>a secret sauce in that that made it easier to

0:30:05.600 --> 0:30:09.400
<v Speaker 1>dump him. Forward. Look at the end of the day, right,

0:30:09.520 --> 0:30:13.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, whip inflation now that terrible you know slogan

0:30:13.320 --> 0:30:16.960
<v Speaker 1>he had wi n win Whip inflation Now that didn't work.

0:30:17.240 --> 0:30:19.800
<v Speaker 1>And then Carter you know, one because of it and

0:30:19.840 --> 0:30:22.719
<v Speaker 1>then immediately lost because of it. So the point is

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 1>is that it was a reminder that the American public

0:30:25.560 --> 0:30:28.400
<v Speaker 1>just focuses on what's in front of them, not what

0:30:28.720 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>not always what what was, it's what is, and inflation

0:30:33.280 --> 0:30:34.880
<v Speaker 1>is one of those what is or the other.

0:30:34.720 --> 0:30:39.680
<v Speaker 2>Thing too is that if you're preventing, if you have

0:30:39.840 --> 0:30:43.719
<v Speaker 2>greater job growth, lower unemployment, those things are good and important.

0:30:44.240 --> 0:30:48.600
<v Speaker 2>They don't affect everybody, you know, the inflation does. Now.

0:30:48.640 --> 0:30:51.520
<v Speaker 2>One thing you and I did know politically was we

0:30:51.560 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 2>did know that gas prices have a disproportionate impact on

0:30:56.160 --> 0:30:57.600
<v Speaker 2>presidential approval.

0:30:58.000 --> 0:31:00.480
<v Speaker 1>Well that and that also is a scar from the

0:31:00.520 --> 0:31:05.480
<v Speaker 1>seventies and gas lines and I mean, my those are

0:31:05.560 --> 0:31:08.720
<v Speaker 1>bright memories for me, right, but I think what.

0:31:09.320 --> 0:31:13.600
<v Speaker 2>Was learned in twenty three and twenty four was that

0:31:13.760 --> 0:31:18.840
<v Speaker 2>it's not gas prices per se, it's everyday prices that

0:31:19.000 --> 0:31:22.640
<v Speaker 2>somebody is confronted with on a week by week basis.

0:31:23.080 --> 0:31:27.000
<v Speaker 2>And so even though inflation's coming down, even though the

0:31:27.120 --> 0:31:30.520
<v Speaker 2>job market is good, people are going through the grocery

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:35.400
<v Speaker 2>line or the gas line and they're not happy. And

0:31:35.440 --> 0:31:38.720
<v Speaker 2>that's hitting a much wider number of people. And the

0:31:38.760 --> 0:31:43.840
<v Speaker 2>other thing that's interesting is, I mean you could say

0:31:43.840 --> 0:31:46.840
<v Speaker 2>it's American, but you could also say we learned its global.

0:31:47.200 --> 0:31:52.240
<v Speaker 2>You can't name one incumbent head of state in the

0:31:52.360 --> 0:31:57.800
<v Speaker 2>post pandemic period that did very well, not a single one.

0:31:58.440 --> 0:32:00.880
<v Speaker 2>And so you know, I think I think it's an

0:32:00.960 --> 0:32:06.960
<v Speaker 2>unusual combination of inflation all the strains of the pandemic,

0:32:07.440 --> 0:32:10.000
<v Speaker 2>but it's kind of you know, one thing you can't

0:32:10.000 --> 0:32:12.920
<v Speaker 2>do is say if only Joe Biden had done like

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:16.840
<v Speaker 2>incumbent x or Y had done. There are no ones.

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:22.160
<v Speaker 2>So that again does suggest that the kind of unhappiness

0:32:22.200 --> 0:32:25.960
<v Speaker 2>of people dealing with everyday price is going higher. And

0:32:26.000 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 2>it's what makes things so puzzling about President Trump is

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:34.960
<v Speaker 2>that he now has seen all these things happen. He's

0:32:35.080 --> 0:32:39.680
<v Speaker 2>learned this lesson. He's got the benefit of hindsight, and

0:32:40.840 --> 0:32:43.200
<v Speaker 2>this is a point people never make, but they need

0:32:43.240 --> 0:32:46.600
<v Speaker 2>to when he comes in. Not only is inflation a

0:32:46.600 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 2>little under three percent, every major forecaster in the country

0:32:51.440 --> 0:32:54.720
<v Speaker 2>is projecting it's going down to two percent. So I

0:32:54.760 --> 0:32:57.480
<v Speaker 2>think a lot of people on like the Bien Economic team,

0:32:57.560 --> 0:33:01.440
<v Speaker 2>are like, boy, bad luck for us. Our soft landing

0:33:01.680 --> 0:33:04.400
<v Speaker 2>is on its way, and it's going to land because

0:33:04.440 --> 0:33:06.040
<v Speaker 2>of the hard work we did.

0:33:06.040 --> 0:33:08.360
<v Speaker 1>With President time in a row that Trump inherit's a

0:33:08.400 --> 0:33:10.680
<v Speaker 1>healing economy from a democratic president, right.

0:33:10.640 --> 0:33:12.800
<v Speaker 2>I know. And then he goes out of his way

0:33:12.920 --> 0:33:18.920
<v Speaker 2>to ignore every political lesson and put tariffs on everyday products.

0:33:19.080 --> 0:33:21.480
<v Speaker 2>So That's why I've said before. You know, when they

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:24.920
<v Speaker 2>say it's the Biden economy, I say, no, it's the

0:33:24.960 --> 0:33:28.520
<v Speaker 2>self inflicted wound economy. You could have just done nothing

0:33:28.720 --> 0:33:31.920
<v Speaker 2>and coasted on the Biden economy. You've gone out of

0:33:31.960 --> 0:33:35.840
<v Speaker 2>your way to keep inflation not just higher, but in

0:33:35.960 --> 0:33:41.080
<v Speaker 2>a lot of those everyday products. That makes people so unhappy.

0:33:42.280 --> 0:33:45.280
<v Speaker 1>There is I'm curious your take on whether it is.

0:33:45.360 --> 0:33:49.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure you don't think it's fair that service for

0:33:49.080 --> 0:33:51.239
<v Speaker 1>the in the Biden white House might be seen as

0:33:51.240 --> 0:33:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a demerit if you run for president. But what do

0:33:53.400 --> 0:33:55.160
<v Speaker 1>you make of this issue for Pete Budet?

0:33:57.080 --> 0:34:01.080
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, I think, yeah, I think it's a

0:34:01.160 --> 0:34:04.920
<v Speaker 2>long ways to go. And you know, I'm like you,

0:34:05.000 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm an addict, so I a political you know, I'm

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:15.319
<v Speaker 2>as much of a so I follow it. But I

0:34:15.360 --> 0:34:19.760
<v Speaker 2>think it's a long ways a way. I do think

0:34:19.800 --> 0:34:25.279
<v Speaker 2>that I do think that that people are you know,

0:34:25.320 --> 0:34:28.720
<v Speaker 2>I think the debate that happened in the Biden White

0:34:28.719 --> 0:34:31.960
<v Speaker 2>House and where some of us might have different views,

0:34:32.280 --> 0:34:36.480
<v Speaker 2>has been greatly exaggerated. It's as if like President Biden

0:34:36.880 --> 0:34:41.360
<v Speaker 2>didn't care about affordability. Of course he was running, you know,

0:34:41.480 --> 0:34:45.799
<v Speaker 2>He was the one who did the prescription drugs, you know,

0:34:46.080 --> 0:34:49.640
<v Speaker 2>bring down prescription drugs and key things. He was the

0:34:49.640 --> 0:34:54.240
<v Speaker 2>one focusing on lowering electricity and energy prices. Our whole

0:34:54.560 --> 0:34:58.480
<v Speaker 2>we had a major childcare initiative, which, even as you

0:34:58.520 --> 0:35:01.880
<v Speaker 2>saw with may Or Mundami, one of the key issues.

0:35:02.400 --> 0:35:05.000
<v Speaker 2>So I think people are wrong to think there wasn't

0:35:05.000 --> 0:35:08.520
<v Speaker 2>affordability focus. I think what it really came down to,

0:35:09.680 --> 0:35:11.520
<v Speaker 2>and maybe where I sometimes had a little bit of

0:35:11.560 --> 0:35:14.880
<v Speaker 2>a different view, was that I did get my political

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:19.040
<v Speaker 2>upbringing with Bill Clinton. And Bill Clinton was known as

0:35:19.160 --> 0:35:22.239
<v Speaker 2>the feel you're paying guy, and there's truth to that.

0:35:22.680 --> 0:35:25.600
<v Speaker 2>Bill Clinton told me in my first few months in

0:35:25.640 --> 0:35:30.160
<v Speaker 2>the White House when I was writing the statements from him,

0:35:30.480 --> 0:35:34.799
<v Speaker 2>he said, never write a statement that wouldn't seem right

0:35:34.840 --> 0:35:38.960
<v Speaker 2>to somebody in one of the thirty worst economic counties.

0:35:40.239 --> 0:35:44.760
<v Speaker 2>That so, in other words, stay connected and touched first.

0:35:45.239 --> 0:35:48.239
<v Speaker 2>I think what happened with Biden was there was a

0:35:48.360 --> 0:35:52.040
<v Speaker 2>conflict between that and the saying, hey, if you don't

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:55.279
<v Speaker 2>put forward your best foot, nobody would so wrong.

0:35:55.480 --> 0:35:58.600
<v Speaker 1>It was the wrong lesson learned from Trump. I think

0:35:58.640 --> 0:36:01.520
<v Speaker 1>there's a there's a there's a it's interesting you say

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:06.080
<v Speaker 1>that there's a chunk of Democrats who think, hey, the

0:36:06.160 --> 0:36:08.640
<v Speaker 1>lesson to learn from Trump is bullshit, like he does.

0:36:10.280 --> 0:36:14.160
<v Speaker 2>No, I think, you know, look, I'm very I defend

0:36:14.200 --> 0:36:16.920
<v Speaker 2>a lot of the things we've done, and I realized

0:36:17.000 --> 0:36:20.439
<v Speaker 2>things are hard choices. I do think we probably could

0:36:20.480 --> 0:36:26.960
<v Speaker 2>have done a better job of starting by recognizing people's

0:36:27.800 --> 0:36:32.520
<v Speaker 2>unhappiness and then try to and then connecting, try to

0:36:32.520 --> 0:36:35.600
<v Speaker 2>explain why we're doing things to do better. But I

0:36:35.640 --> 0:36:39.839
<v Speaker 2>will say, Chuck that you know, at the time, there

0:36:39.880 --> 0:36:44.040
<v Speaker 2>were lots of smart political people who were saying, why

0:36:44.080 --> 0:36:47.160
<v Speaker 2>aren't you guys bragging about record job growth enough? Why

0:36:47.200 --> 0:36:50.279
<v Speaker 2>aren't you bragging if the president doesn't do that? So

0:36:51.200 --> 0:36:55.279
<v Speaker 2>I will say, but I will agree that I think

0:36:55.320 --> 0:37:00.440
<v Speaker 2>we could have maybe focused more on first, you know, connect, Hey,

0:37:00.480 --> 0:37:04.040
<v Speaker 2>we're not happy prices are up. Explain to people that

0:37:04.120 --> 0:37:07.560
<v Speaker 2>we're doing everything we can explain why we want to pass.

0:37:07.960 --> 0:37:12.239
<v Speaker 2>But start more from the basis of a little bit

0:37:12.239 --> 0:37:15.759
<v Speaker 2>of Clintonian feel your pain. But I don't think that

0:37:15.880 --> 0:37:20.240
<v Speaker 2>should be confused with the idea that Joe Biden wasn't

0:37:20.239 --> 0:37:23.479
<v Speaker 2>out there fighting for a child tax credit, which gave

0:37:23.520 --> 0:37:26.840
<v Speaker 2>people a few thousand dollars more in their pocket, fighting

0:37:26.880 --> 0:37:32.279
<v Speaker 2>for lower healthcare costs. I think criticisms of like, you know,

0:37:32.320 --> 0:37:35.560
<v Speaker 2>I think people who want to show their new and

0:37:35.680 --> 0:37:40.040
<v Speaker 2>change oriented are going to probably pick some holes at

0:37:40.080 --> 0:37:44.879
<v Speaker 2>Biden alum in the primaries. That's kind of basic politics.

0:37:45.320 --> 0:37:47.719
<v Speaker 2>But I think in the end people will have a

0:37:47.800 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 2>time chance to say what they could do and what

0:37:51.239 --> 0:37:54.839
<v Speaker 2>they could and the truth was, Joe Biden had the

0:37:55.000 --> 0:38:00.040
<v Speaker 2>tiniest of margins. So like on a Biparson infrastructure bill.

0:38:00.080 --> 0:38:02.360
<v Speaker 1>I mean, imagine what imagine what your job would have

0:38:02.400 --> 0:38:05.080
<v Speaker 1>been like had it been a Republican Senate with a

0:38:05.120 --> 0:38:08.600
<v Speaker 1>Democratic House, which was the most likely scenario before the

0:38:08.640 --> 0:38:10.040
<v Speaker 1>Georgia Rubbins. No.

0:38:10.160 --> 0:38:11.920
<v Speaker 2>So we got a lot of good things done, but

0:38:12.040 --> 0:38:15.239
<v Speaker 2>when those things got done, you couldn't always do them

0:38:15.280 --> 0:38:20.560
<v Speaker 2>exactly like you want, So you couldn't like necessarily get

0:38:20.600 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 2>everything out the door as fast as you wanted or

0:38:24.200 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 2>things like that. But you know, again, we've got a

0:38:28.040 --> 0:38:30.600
<v Speaker 2>lot there's gonna be a lot of primary candidates. They're

0:38:30.600 --> 0:38:32.520
<v Speaker 2>going to take a lot of shots at each other.

0:38:33.080 --> 0:38:36.280
<v Speaker 2>I tend to like and know most of the people

0:38:36.520 --> 0:38:39.640
<v Speaker 2>that people are talking about, So I'm looking at people

0:38:39.680 --> 0:38:43.080
<v Speaker 2>I basically admire and I'm kind of like sitting back

0:38:43.120 --> 0:38:46.040
<v Speaker 2>and kind of watching like I'm Chuck Todd, wanting to

0:38:46.080 --> 0:38:48.480
<v Speaker 2>see who's good, who's effective.

0:38:48.040 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 1>Well, the most likely what's the most likely scenario of

0:38:51.120 --> 0:38:54.200
<v Speaker 1>one of them? When's the presidency? Jean Spurley's going to

0:38:54.239 --> 0:38:54.680
<v Speaker 1>go work for.

0:38:56.480 --> 0:39:00.040
<v Speaker 2>I will say that from a family perspective, for me

0:39:00.160 --> 0:39:03.279
<v Speaker 2>to go out with that would be both you know,

0:39:03.320 --> 0:39:06.759
<v Speaker 2>from a human perspective, would be arrogant to suggest that

0:39:07.680 --> 0:39:09.880
<v Speaker 2>you know somebody would want you again, and from a

0:39:09.880 --> 0:39:15.440
<v Speaker 2>family perspective forecasting that would probably not do well for me.

0:39:16.280 --> 0:39:20.759
<v Speaker 2>Right now, we're focused on the upsides of not being

0:39:20.760 --> 0:39:21.440
<v Speaker 2>in the government.

0:39:25.040 --> 0:39:27.160
<v Speaker 1>This episode of the Chuck Podcast is brought to you

0:39:27.200 --> 0:39:30.000
<v Speaker 1>by American Financing. Let's be honest, the math just isn't

0:39:30.000 --> 0:39:32.879
<v Speaker 1>adding up lately. Between the grocery store and those skyrocketing

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<v Speaker 1>insurance premiums. Even with a steady job, more families are

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<v Speaker 1>insurance is incredibly important. I know from personal looksience. I

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<v Speaker 1>was sixteen when my father passed away. We didn't have

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<v Speaker 1>any money. He didn't leave us in the best shape.

0:41:06.080 --> 0:41:10.320
<v Speaker 1>My mother, single mother, now widow, myself sixteen, trying to

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<v Speaker 1>figure out how am I going to pay for college

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<v Speaker 1>and lo and behold, my dad had one life insurance

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<v Speaker 1>policy that we found wasn't a lot, but it was

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<v Speaker 1>important at the time, and it's why I was able

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<v Speaker 1>to go to college. Little did he know how important

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<v Speaker 1>that would be in that moment. Well, guess what. That's

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<v Speaker 1>dot com slash chuck. So again, that's Ethos dot com

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0:42:31.280 --> 0:42:34.239
<v Speaker 1>something you should really think about, especially if you've got

0:42:34.280 --> 0:42:40.640
<v Speaker 1>a growing family. So let's talk about where is what.

0:42:40.800 --> 0:42:44.680
<v Speaker 1>You're one of the few people who understands economists speak

0:42:45.160 --> 0:42:47.880
<v Speaker 1>and sort of Americans speak, right, which is why I

0:42:47.960 --> 0:42:52.279
<v Speaker 1>think you've been a popular staffer to bring in for presidents,

0:42:52.360 --> 0:42:56.160
<v Speaker 1>because you're just you're not just thinking like an economist

0:42:56.719 --> 0:42:59.279
<v Speaker 1>and a data guy, but sort of you're able to

0:42:59.320 --> 0:43:05.560
<v Speaker 1>fuse it with sort of realistic, realistic policy that you

0:43:05.600 --> 0:43:08.600
<v Speaker 1>can sell. Right. There's one thing about proposing policy, but

0:43:08.640 --> 0:43:12.000
<v Speaker 1>it's policy you can actually sell to the public. I

0:43:12.040 --> 0:43:17.080
<v Speaker 1>think the pitchforks are being sharpened. There's definitely distrust and

0:43:17.200 --> 0:43:22.080
<v Speaker 1>anger at sort of corporate America generally and the biggest

0:43:22.080 --> 0:43:26.880
<v Speaker 1>companies specifically AI. Job displacement's probably going to fuel this

0:43:27.160 --> 0:43:33.880
<v Speaker 1>even more it is. Is it inevitable that just becomes

0:43:33.960 --> 0:43:42.480
<v Speaker 1>just some sort of anger driven political movement, or is

0:43:42.520 --> 0:43:46.600
<v Speaker 1>there a chance for somebody to, you know, for this

0:43:46.760 --> 0:43:49.239
<v Speaker 1>not to end up down that road, Like I think

0:43:49.280 --> 0:43:51.400
<v Speaker 1>it's we're inevitably going to go there. We're gonna have

0:43:51.440 --> 0:43:54.319
<v Speaker 1>to have this moment that we end up there. Maybe

0:43:54.360 --> 0:43:56.000
<v Speaker 1>it's a little bit like the first part of the

0:43:56.000 --> 0:43:58.520
<v Speaker 1>twentieth century, but there really is sort of almost a

0:43:58.600 --> 0:44:03.080
<v Speaker 1>revolt against some of these folks here because of the frustrations,

0:44:03.160 --> 0:44:05.440
<v Speaker 1>and it will be this sort of white collar blue

0:44:05.480 --> 0:44:12.440
<v Speaker 1>collar a mix. But maybe I'm wrong, and maybe AI

0:44:12.640 --> 0:44:16.160
<v Speaker 1>is more like what you know, computers in everyday life

0:44:16.200 --> 0:44:19.480
<v Speaker 1>turned into increased productivity and all boats rows.

0:44:20.840 --> 0:44:23.799
<v Speaker 2>So you know, I've never been somebody you know who

0:44:23.920 --> 0:44:27.000
<v Speaker 2>like starts running to a camp, you know, when I see,

0:44:27.120 --> 0:44:31.280
<v Speaker 2>you know, like with a policy tribe, because I often

0:44:31.360 --> 0:44:35.719
<v Speaker 2>don't think that it's helpful in finding what's good economic

0:44:35.800 --> 0:44:39.560
<v Speaker 2>policy or even what's good economic message to think like

0:44:39.640 --> 0:44:42.000
<v Speaker 2>you have to be in a single camp or the other.

0:44:42.400 --> 0:44:45.279
<v Speaker 2>So of course I run into people who feel like,

0:44:45.320 --> 0:44:49.320
<v Speaker 2>oh my god, everything we need does has to sound

0:44:49.400 --> 0:44:53.520
<v Speaker 2>kind of quote centrist or practical, and then other side

0:44:53.560 --> 0:44:56.360
<v Speaker 2>who are saying no, every single thing needs to be

0:44:56.480 --> 0:45:00.880
<v Speaker 2>populist anger, I don't know that the world looks like that.

0:45:01.160 --> 0:45:04.680
<v Speaker 2>I would say that to me, You've got to do

0:45:04.800 --> 0:45:08.719
<v Speaker 2>maybe two things together, which is one, you do need

0:45:08.760 --> 0:45:12.719
<v Speaker 2>to be an optimist about people's lives. You do need

0:45:12.760 --> 0:45:20.200
<v Speaker 2>to show that you want to see more people meet

0:45:20.239 --> 0:45:24.040
<v Speaker 2>the American dream, not just tread water, but get ahead

0:45:24.560 --> 0:45:27.640
<v Speaker 2>and maybe own a house, have a little nest stake

0:45:27.760 --> 0:45:33.560
<v Speaker 2>for their retirement. You need that optimism and positive view.

0:45:33.680 --> 0:45:38.360
<v Speaker 2>And I do think that presidents who've done well have

0:45:38.560 --> 0:45:41.719
<v Speaker 2>done that and so. But on the other hand, I

0:45:41.719 --> 0:45:46.879
<v Speaker 2>don't think you can hold back when there's clear economic injustice.

0:45:47.520 --> 0:45:51.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't know that Americans are, you know, have a

0:45:51.400 --> 0:45:56.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm against you know, business or corporate America. I think

0:45:56.239 --> 0:45:58.799
<v Speaker 2>they understand that that's where a lot of jobs and

0:45:58.880 --> 0:46:01.920
<v Speaker 2>growth come. But they are against when they think the

0:46:02.000 --> 0:46:06.680
<v Speaker 2>system is rigged, or when a bottom line that affects

0:46:07.080 --> 0:46:13.399
<v Speaker 2>a chosen few is doing is more important than your

0:46:13.520 --> 0:46:17.759
<v Speaker 2>lives and your struggle. So I think you need to

0:46:18.120 --> 0:46:20.960
<v Speaker 2>I think what we need is to have a degree

0:46:21.120 --> 0:46:23.719
<v Speaker 2>of optimism that we are the ones who can be

0:46:23.800 --> 0:46:26.799
<v Speaker 2>good for the economy. We are the ones that can

0:46:26.840 --> 0:46:30.240
<v Speaker 2>help you get ahead, and that doesn't mean being down

0:46:30.480 --> 0:46:33.799
<v Speaker 2>on everybody who's a major job creator. But on the

0:46:33.920 --> 0:46:39.000
<v Speaker 2>other hand, people don't believe people who believe in markets

0:46:39.000 --> 0:46:43.120
<v Speaker 2>and capitalism, which I think is most Americans still believe

0:46:43.360 --> 0:46:47.000
<v Speaker 2>that the ultimate purpose of what they do is not

0:46:47.160 --> 0:46:53.240
<v Speaker 2>big bonuses for the CEO or just extracting profits for shareholders.

0:46:53.560 --> 0:46:57.239
<v Speaker 2>They think, as I've written about in my book in

0:46:57.280 --> 0:47:00.359
<v Speaker 2>the past and now, they think that the ultimate goal,

0:47:00.600 --> 0:47:04.760
<v Speaker 2>rightly is does it benefit typical people? Does it provide

0:47:05.000 --> 0:47:10.440
<v Speaker 2>economic dignity? And so when they see people doing things

0:47:10.480 --> 0:47:15.200
<v Speaker 2>that are just about extracting profits from them, when they

0:47:15.239 --> 0:47:18.760
<v Speaker 2>see a kind of economic policy that is not geared

0:47:18.840 --> 0:47:23.200
<v Speaker 2>towards creating more jobs, good jobs, jobs with dignity, jobs

0:47:23.239 --> 0:47:25.960
<v Speaker 2>with respect, then they're going to be angry. And I

0:47:26.000 --> 0:47:28.799
<v Speaker 2>think it is okay to tap into that anger. And

0:47:28.880 --> 0:47:32.279
<v Speaker 2>I think it is okay to say I believe in

0:47:32.640 --> 0:47:36.640
<v Speaker 2>our American market based system, but the goal of that

0:47:36.719 --> 0:47:41.040
<v Speaker 2>market based system is ultimately the well being and economic

0:47:41.080 --> 0:47:45.160
<v Speaker 2>dignity of working families. And if you have a system

0:47:45.600 --> 0:47:49.160
<v Speaker 2>that is rigged to benefit just the few and not

0:47:49.480 --> 0:47:53.640
<v Speaker 2>typical American families, then yeah, you should be anger angry

0:47:53.680 --> 0:47:57.600
<v Speaker 2>about that, and nobody running for president in the Democratic

0:47:57.640 --> 0:48:02.880
<v Speaker 2>side should be hesitant in pressing that anger. And I

0:48:02.960 --> 0:48:05.319
<v Speaker 2>won't just I'll take a second just to start on

0:48:05.400 --> 0:48:08.040
<v Speaker 2>the AI if you want. But it's also a good

0:48:08.120 --> 0:48:11.320
<v Speaker 2>example of that, you know. I mean, if you listen

0:48:11.400 --> 0:48:14.640
<v Speaker 2>to people now, you might think, if you're listening to

0:48:14.680 --> 0:48:17.600
<v Speaker 2>the White House, that well, AI is just going to happen,

0:48:18.080 --> 0:48:20.680
<v Speaker 2>and maybe it's going to hurt a lot of jobs,

0:48:20.880 --> 0:48:26.080
<v Speaker 2>and we should preempt states from trying to regulate it

0:48:26.120 --> 0:48:28.680
<v Speaker 2>in any way, or make sure people have protections of

0:48:28.760 --> 0:48:32.640
<v Speaker 2>privacy or against abusive surveillance, or to make sure that

0:48:32.680 --> 0:48:37.359
<v Speaker 2>we're dealing with job dislocation. And the response comes by no, no, no,

0:48:37.400 --> 0:48:40.280
<v Speaker 2>we have to rush, rush, rush to get more GDP

0:48:41.160 --> 0:48:44.600
<v Speaker 2>and greater growth. And I think they will lose people

0:48:44.800 --> 0:48:48.600
<v Speaker 2>because people will ask the question I've said, but what's

0:48:48.640 --> 0:48:52.320
<v Speaker 2>the ultimate point if why would we have a policy

0:48:52.680 --> 0:48:56.840
<v Speaker 2>that's not good for jobs, it's not good for the

0:48:56.960 --> 0:49:00.719
<v Speaker 2>typical family. And I think that it's not maybe the

0:49:00.760 --> 0:49:03.960
<v Speaker 2>front and center issue now, but I think it will be,

0:49:04.040 --> 0:49:06.320
<v Speaker 2>and I think it will be part of that bigger picture,

0:49:06.440 --> 0:49:10.640
<v Speaker 2>which is what is the ultimate goal of our economy,

0:49:10.640 --> 0:49:14.120
<v Speaker 2>and if people think it's just to have some enormous

0:49:14.160 --> 0:49:19.120
<v Speaker 2>wealth and five or six AI companies and we'll just

0:49:19.239 --> 0:49:24.160
<v Speaker 2>deal with the effect on job loss and income loss

0:49:24.239 --> 0:49:26.560
<v Speaker 2>as an after effect. People are going to be angry.

0:49:26.640 --> 0:49:29.800
<v Speaker 2>They're going to be rightly angry. And I think people

0:49:29.920 --> 0:49:33.400
<v Speaker 2>going in twenty eight will do better not to be

0:49:33.880 --> 0:49:37.319
<v Speaker 2>like they're head in the sand about AI or the

0:49:37.320 --> 0:49:39.920
<v Speaker 2>good things it could do. But people who are going

0:49:39.960 --> 0:49:43.840
<v Speaker 2>to say, front and center, my goal is you your job,

0:49:44.440 --> 0:49:47.320
<v Speaker 2>whether your children can be as well off as you are.

0:49:47.520 --> 0:49:53.000
<v Speaker 2>And when I'm thinking about AI, I'm thinking that about

0:49:53.000 --> 0:49:57.759
<v Speaker 2>how we shape it to serve average people. Technology is

0:49:57.840 --> 0:50:02.279
<v Speaker 2>not destiny. Democracy determines our destiny.

0:50:04.000 --> 0:50:06.160
<v Speaker 1>Some of the proposals that are out there about AI

0:50:06.239 --> 0:50:10.040
<v Speaker 1>job displacement remind me of some of the ideas that

0:50:10.160 --> 0:50:15.040
<v Speaker 1>you guys attempted to implement during sort of the the

0:50:15.080 --> 0:50:18.319
<v Speaker 1>era of the nineties, the free trade era of the nineties, right,

0:50:18.400 --> 0:50:21.719
<v Speaker 1>And I remember one of the central promises on NAFTA was,

0:50:22.280 --> 0:50:24.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, when when if factories went away, there'd be

0:50:25.160 --> 0:50:26.480
<v Speaker 1>there was always you know, there was going to be

0:50:26.480 --> 0:50:30.360
<v Speaker 1>money there for retraining and job displacement. And the money

0:50:30.400 --> 0:50:32.839
<v Speaker 1>was there and there was retraining, but it turned out

0:50:32.840 --> 0:50:36.080
<v Speaker 1>that didn't take right. There were weren't a lot, There

0:50:36.080 --> 0:50:38.600
<v Speaker 1>weren't as many people interested in some of the retraining

0:50:38.600 --> 0:50:42.560
<v Speaker 1>opportunities that were offered. I don't and I'm curious what

0:50:42.680 --> 0:50:45.400
<v Speaker 1>lessons you take away from that as you think about

0:50:46.120 --> 0:50:49.560
<v Speaker 1>developing Frank what I assume will potentially be a policy

0:50:49.560 --> 0:50:53.919
<v Speaker 1>that next a new president may may be influenced by

0:50:54.560 --> 0:50:57.959
<v Speaker 1>I sort of how to manage this displacement. The displacement's

0:50:58.000 --> 0:51:01.040
<v Speaker 1>going to happen. And you know, I'm I'm I am

0:51:01.880 --> 0:51:04.560
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm a capitalist. You know, I think we

0:51:04.640 --> 0:51:07.759
<v Speaker 1>just want capitalism with a little bit of guardrails. And

0:51:07.760 --> 0:51:10.360
<v Speaker 1>in every technology, right, this has been true of the

0:51:10.400 --> 0:51:13.080
<v Speaker 1>media business, and it's true of really anything. Right, you

0:51:13.120 --> 0:51:17.560
<v Speaker 1>get a new technology, there's immediately fragmentation. Maybe you get

0:51:17.560 --> 0:51:20.640
<v Speaker 1>a thousand startups, and then eventually you get consolidation, and

0:51:20.680 --> 0:51:22.919
<v Speaker 1>then a new technology comes and the cycle can begin

0:51:22.960 --> 0:51:26.360
<v Speaker 1>all over again. Globalization, in some ways right, the idea

0:51:26.360 --> 0:51:29.799
<v Speaker 1>of free trade, which of course the upside was there's

0:51:29.840 --> 0:51:32.520
<v Speaker 1>not a fruit you can't get any any month of

0:51:32.520 --> 0:51:36.120
<v Speaker 1>the year in America now, which was not true when

0:51:36.160 --> 0:51:37.920
<v Speaker 1>you and I were growing up. It was not true

0:51:38.000 --> 0:51:40.359
<v Speaker 1>in the eighties and nineties. But that's what free trade

0:51:40.400 --> 0:51:43.279
<v Speaker 1>has done right in many ways, And that's just it's

0:51:43.520 --> 0:51:45.879
<v Speaker 1>I always use I like to use produce because it's

0:51:45.880 --> 0:51:49.160
<v Speaker 1>the simplest example of what free trade has meant. Like

0:51:49.800 --> 0:51:52.399
<v Speaker 1>you realize that you know, you're you get to eat

0:51:52.520 --> 0:51:55.040
<v Speaker 1>certain fruits year round now and back in the day

0:51:55.160 --> 0:51:59.640
<v Speaker 1>you couldn't. But there was certainly right that. Arguably, the

0:51:59.800 --> 0:52:05.360
<v Speaker 1>the seeds of the Trump victories of sixteen and twenty

0:52:05.400 --> 0:52:11.080
<v Speaker 1>four were planted with the globalization and free trade movement

0:52:11.239 --> 0:52:15.760
<v Speaker 1>of the nineties. So what policies do you now wish

0:52:15.840 --> 0:52:20.520
<v Speaker 1>where it implemented better than and what parallels do you

0:52:20.520 --> 0:52:24.000
<v Speaker 1>see as you think about what AI job displacement and

0:52:24.560 --> 0:52:27.439
<v Speaker 1>what benefits are necessary to ease that pain.

0:52:27.960 --> 0:52:30.879
<v Speaker 2>So I guess I would disagree with one of your premises,

0:52:31.040 --> 0:52:32.040
<v Speaker 2>which was that.

0:52:32.200 --> 0:52:33.920
<v Speaker 1>I throw a lot in there. So the fact that

0:52:33.960 --> 0:52:36.880
<v Speaker 1>you only disagree with one premise maybe is a small victory.

0:52:37.840 --> 0:52:41.440
<v Speaker 2>So, first of all, I think the core issue when

0:52:41.480 --> 0:52:44.880
<v Speaker 2>you look back on kind of the Clinton agenda was

0:52:45.000 --> 0:52:49.520
<v Speaker 2>that Bill Clinton came in with the view that you know,

0:52:49.560 --> 0:52:52.799
<v Speaker 2>there was going to be greater global integration and that

0:52:52.960 --> 0:52:56.520
<v Speaker 2>we really needed a robust response.

0:52:56.600 --> 0:52:58.960
<v Speaker 1>And so and by the way, you guys, you know,

0:52:58.960 --> 0:53:01.040
<v Speaker 1>a huge opportunity in from of you, right, we basically

0:53:01.120 --> 0:53:05.160
<v Speaker 1>the end of the Cold War. This was the peace divoting.

0:53:05.680 --> 0:53:08.520
<v Speaker 2>No, And I think that a lot of what he

0:53:08.560 --> 0:53:11.200
<v Speaker 2>was trying to do was integrate more of the world

0:53:11.200 --> 0:53:13.440
<v Speaker 2>to avoid some of the issues we're having now with

0:53:13.520 --> 0:53:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Russia and China. So there was a big foreign policy element.

0:53:17.480 --> 0:53:21.839
<v Speaker 2>But the vision was that you would have universal health care,

0:53:22.280 --> 0:53:26.960
<v Speaker 2>there would be a major universal training program for anybody

0:53:27.040 --> 0:53:30.600
<v Speaker 2>who lost a job for any reason, and then you

0:53:30.680 --> 0:53:35.440
<v Speaker 2>would also have significant place based investment in places. And

0:53:35.480 --> 0:53:39.479
<v Speaker 2>I think what happened with President Clinton was they didn't

0:53:39.520 --> 0:53:42.439
<v Speaker 2>get that. We didn't get healthcare, and then we didn't

0:53:42.440 --> 0:53:46.719
<v Speaker 2>even get to propose our universal training proposal because we

0:53:46.800 --> 0:53:52.640
<v Speaker 2>lost the Congress for all six years, both houses. So

0:53:53.160 --> 0:53:56.640
<v Speaker 2>I don't think that we ever got to test out

0:53:57.080 --> 0:54:01.760
<v Speaker 2>what that we ever got to test out what truly

0:54:01.840 --> 0:54:06.240
<v Speaker 2>having a robust safety net would be like, I don't

0:54:06.280 --> 0:54:09.239
<v Speaker 2>think it ever got to be put in place in

0:54:09.280 --> 0:54:13.640
<v Speaker 2>the way that it might have if Democrats had controlled

0:54:13.640 --> 0:54:16.840
<v Speaker 2>both houses for four or six years. So one, I

0:54:16.840 --> 0:54:20.160
<v Speaker 2>don't think we ever tested two, which is very relevant

0:54:20.400 --> 0:54:24.400
<v Speaker 2>is that globalization turned out to be much more dramatic

0:54:24.640 --> 0:54:29.000
<v Speaker 2>than anybody would have thought at the times. And then

0:54:29.040 --> 0:54:32.400
<v Speaker 2>you had eight years of a Republican administration that wasn't

0:54:32.480 --> 0:54:38.200
<v Speaker 2>really willing to adjust to that or do anything. So

0:54:39.880 --> 0:54:43.880
<v Speaker 2>I guess i'd say number one, we still have just

0:54:44.080 --> 0:54:47.880
<v Speaker 2>huge holes in what I think of as an economic

0:54:47.920 --> 0:54:51.320
<v Speaker 2>dignity net of making sure people are working or doing

0:54:51.360 --> 0:54:54.719
<v Speaker 2>their best or living lives of economic dignity even in

0:54:54.800 --> 0:54:59.000
<v Speaker 2>moments of disruption. And I think what globalization showed is

0:54:59.040 --> 0:55:02.960
<v Speaker 2>that even the there were lots of benefits to the

0:55:03.000 --> 0:55:07.160
<v Speaker 2>Internet era. And look, it wasn't just trade agreements, it

0:55:07.320 --> 0:55:10.560
<v Speaker 2>was the Internet, it was globalization. It was just a

0:55:10.640 --> 0:55:14.480
<v Speaker 2>smaller world, even though there were benefits to that. You

0:55:14.640 --> 0:55:19.400
<v Speaker 2>can't have an economy where you say, hey, for sixty

0:55:19.640 --> 0:55:22.960
<v Speaker 2>or seventy percent of you, this is nice because you're

0:55:22.960 --> 0:55:26.360
<v Speaker 2>getting lower prices and mode choices, but there's like a

0:55:26.400 --> 0:55:29.560
<v Speaker 2>portion of you that are watching your community spiral down.

0:55:29.880 --> 0:55:32.920
<v Speaker 2>You're losing your hopes, your dreams, you're watching your father

0:55:33.040 --> 0:55:36.359
<v Speaker 2>or grandfather become an alcoholic. And so one of the

0:55:36.360 --> 0:55:39.640
<v Speaker 2>things that I talked about with economic dignity is you

0:55:39.719 --> 0:55:44.480
<v Speaker 2>have got to have policies that aren't just good for

0:55:44.640 --> 0:55:48.880
<v Speaker 2>GDP or don't just lower prices for some people. Generally,

0:55:49.320 --> 0:55:53.000
<v Speaker 2>you have to have policies where everybody feels they're not

0:55:53.160 --> 0:55:57.000
<v Speaker 2>being left behind. And you know, I wouldn't put as

0:55:57.040 --> 0:56:00.600
<v Speaker 2>much blame on anything Bill Clinton did, but I would

0:56:00.640 --> 0:56:07.560
<v Speaker 2>say that the accumulation of policies over twenty thirty years

0:56:07.600 --> 0:56:11.520
<v Speaker 2>did not put in place the type of job creation

0:56:11.719 --> 0:56:17.239
<v Speaker 2>focused protections, checks on abuse of corporate power that were

0:56:17.320 --> 0:56:21.240
<v Speaker 2>necessary to make sure everyone has economic dignity for all.

0:56:21.520 --> 0:56:26.000
<v Speaker 2>So where AI becomes relevant is that globalization was a

0:56:26.040 --> 0:56:30.640
<v Speaker 2>bigger shock than we might the people might have known,

0:56:31.200 --> 0:56:36.440
<v Speaker 2>and the holes in our safety net or our insurance

0:56:36.440 --> 0:56:40.640
<v Speaker 2>of economic dignity for all became more painful. I think

0:56:40.680 --> 0:56:43.399
<v Speaker 2>that's how you should look at AI. I don't think

0:56:43.440 --> 0:56:47.279
<v Speaker 2>AI is just another technology. I think AI is likely

0:56:47.360 --> 0:56:50.880
<v Speaker 2>to have a greater impact on job disruption and a

0:56:50.880 --> 0:56:54.160
<v Speaker 2>greater impact on maybe even the reduction of the amount

0:56:54.160 --> 0:56:58.680
<v Speaker 2>of jobs in the private sector than we've seen before.

0:56:59.040 --> 0:57:02.239
<v Speaker 2>And so now is the time to me not to

0:57:02.360 --> 0:57:04.759
<v Speaker 2>sit back and watch and just say, oh my god,

0:57:04.880 --> 0:57:08.200
<v Speaker 2>tens of millions of jobs are being lost, or react

0:57:08.239 --> 0:57:12.040
<v Speaker 2>by just having a UBI program that writes checks to people.

0:57:12.440 --> 0:57:16.920
<v Speaker 2>Now is the time to start shaping, to make shaping

0:57:17.040 --> 0:57:19.720
<v Speaker 2>our economy, and to me, I talked about three things

0:57:19.760 --> 0:57:23.800
<v Speaker 2>and what I wrote as an Economic Dignity Coumpact for AI. One,

0:57:24.320 --> 0:57:28.680
<v Speaker 2>let's create more dignified jobs where we know we need more,

0:57:28.960 --> 0:57:32.840
<v Speaker 2>which are helping families with disability, helping people come out

0:57:33.080 --> 0:57:36.400
<v Speaker 2>of prison, helping people with addiction, helping people coach more

0:57:36.440 --> 0:57:40.440
<v Speaker 2>people on their healthcare. There may be twenty million missing

0:57:40.560 --> 0:57:45.400
<v Speaker 2>jobs there that could employ people, have a tighter labor market,

0:57:45.480 --> 0:57:49.080
<v Speaker 2>and deal with a lot of dislocation. That's number one.

0:57:49.160 --> 0:57:51.760
<v Speaker 2>We have the power to do that. We also have

0:57:51.800 --> 0:57:55.840
<v Speaker 2>the power to create tax incentives and subsidies that encourage

0:57:55.880 --> 0:58:00.600
<v Speaker 2>a company to augment use AI to augment jobs supplosed

0:58:00.680 --> 0:58:05.280
<v Speaker 2>to displace jobs or to redeploy people. We control our

0:58:05.360 --> 0:58:09.520
<v Speaker 2>economic policy. We should be doing that now. Secondly, going

0:58:09.560 --> 0:58:12.400
<v Speaker 2>to the point I talked about, let's create an economic

0:58:12.440 --> 0:58:15.960
<v Speaker 2>dignity floor for everyone, so that if there is a

0:58:16.200 --> 0:58:20.080
<v Speaker 2>worse disruption than we thought, unlike what happened in communities

0:58:20.120 --> 0:58:23.720
<v Speaker 2>and globalization, now we're going to have programs that focus

0:58:23.840 --> 0:58:27.400
<v Speaker 2>on jobs, on helping people find new jobs, of making

0:58:27.400 --> 0:58:31.120
<v Speaker 2>sure you still have health insurance. And then the third issue,

0:58:31.120 --> 0:58:32.840
<v Speaker 2>which is going to be the toughest than the one

0:58:32.880 --> 0:58:37.360
<v Speaker 2>that hits us, is what are those overall policies that

0:58:37.480 --> 0:58:41.000
<v Speaker 2>help people move to the next job. I just believe

0:58:41.040 --> 0:58:43.880
<v Speaker 2>that we are a country where we care about work,

0:58:43.920 --> 0:58:47.680
<v Speaker 2>we care about contribution, we care about purpose and potential.

0:58:48.000 --> 0:58:50.200
<v Speaker 2>And what I don't like is that everybody's kind of

0:58:50.720 --> 0:58:52.920
<v Speaker 2>you know, you've got a White House that's just saying

0:58:52.960 --> 0:58:56.040
<v Speaker 2>go as fast as you can and geez if it

0:58:56.120 --> 0:59:01.400
<v Speaker 2>causes lots of disruption, kind of too bad, that that

0:59:01.440 --> 0:59:04.600
<v Speaker 2>can't be our policy. Our policy going forward must be

0:59:05.160 --> 0:59:08.840
<v Speaker 2>AI is going to happen. You can't stop it all,

0:59:09.200 --> 0:59:13.080
<v Speaker 2>but you can have policies that shape to make sure

0:59:13.160 --> 0:59:16.440
<v Speaker 2>that it is serving the American people. What is the

0:59:16.520 --> 0:59:21.120
<v Speaker 2>point of an economy having high growth and high productivity

0:59:21.120 --> 0:59:25.720
<v Speaker 2>growth if it creates unhappiness for a large portion of

0:59:25.760 --> 0:59:29.240
<v Speaker 2>the economy. That's the focus I want to do in

0:59:29.280 --> 0:59:33.000
<v Speaker 2>my Economic Dignity lab is to focus on our goal.

0:59:33.040 --> 0:59:36.320
<v Speaker 2>What is our ultimate goal? Every day? It's not higher

0:59:36.360 --> 0:59:40.600
<v Speaker 2>GDP and productivity growth that makes people unhappy. It's higher

0:59:40.640 --> 0:59:45.600
<v Speaker 2>growth and productivity growth that leads to more opportunity, more dignity,

0:59:46.400 --> 0:59:48.880
<v Speaker 2>more upward mobility for more Americans.

0:59:49.240 --> 0:59:51.040
<v Speaker 1>You know, Shared Brown's going to love the fact that

0:59:51.080 --> 0:59:53.560
<v Speaker 1>you use the word dignity so much. The dignity of

0:59:53.640 --> 0:59:55.240
<v Speaker 1>work myself.

0:59:56.800 --> 1:00:00.560
<v Speaker 2>I wrote the book twenty twenty. The title is Economic Dignity.

1:00:00.640 --> 1:00:04.000
<v Speaker 2>So I've got here. It is right here, I copyrighting

1:00:04.000 --> 1:00:08.280
<v Speaker 2>the word dignity. Take that, Take that, take that, share it.

1:00:18.160 --> 1:00:23.320
<v Speaker 2>Let me get you out of here on this. When

1:00:23.440 --> 1:00:27.520
<v Speaker 2>is a company too big to regulate? And when is

1:00:27.640 --> 1:00:30.160
<v Speaker 2>when do you fear that a company's becomes bigger than

1:00:30.160 --> 1:00:33.480
<v Speaker 2>a nation state? And what happens there? I mean, like

1:00:33.800 --> 1:00:35.640
<v Speaker 2>I used to think of this as sort of perverted

1:00:35.720 --> 1:00:38.400
<v Speaker 2>Bond James Bond plot.

1:00:38.120 --> 1:00:42.479
<v Speaker 1>Lines, and but the fact of the matter is these

1:00:43.080 --> 1:00:48.920
<v Speaker 1>huge companies are bigger than most nation states. And what

1:00:48.960 --> 1:00:54.760
<v Speaker 1>does that mean right that they're they're that that's it

1:00:55.200 --> 1:01:00.520
<v Speaker 1>is different than what we've had. And does our government

1:01:00.560 --> 1:01:03.040
<v Speaker 1>of a responsibility from preventing that or do you let

1:01:03.080 --> 1:01:05.080
<v Speaker 1>capitalism be capitalism?

1:01:05.760 --> 1:01:08.040
<v Speaker 2>Well, again, I think it goes back to the tests

1:01:08.080 --> 1:01:15.160
<v Speaker 2>that we have before. The purpose of structuring our economy

1:01:15.400 --> 1:01:20.840
<v Speaker 2>is not for the companies themselves. It's not for the

1:01:20.880 --> 1:01:26.160
<v Speaker 2>CEOs themselves. It's to have an economy that benefits people's

1:01:26.240 --> 1:01:32.880
<v Speaker 2>lives and gives people more opportunity. So when companies start,

1:01:33.160 --> 1:01:38.920
<v Speaker 2>when companies get so large or integrated that they I

1:01:38.960 --> 1:01:41.000
<v Speaker 2>think there's two things you have to worry about. One,

1:01:41.040 --> 1:01:44.760
<v Speaker 2>when you don't have true competition, you know, I mean

1:01:45.280 --> 1:01:50.160
<v Speaker 2>Adam Smith was not writing about a market economy where

1:01:50.200 --> 1:01:54.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, for big AI or big tech companies controlled everything.

1:01:54.160 --> 1:01:57.919
<v Speaker 2>It was about how to have competition and why competition

1:01:58.560 --> 1:02:03.480
<v Speaker 2>would through some form of process he said invisible hand,

1:02:03.520 --> 1:02:08.120
<v Speaker 2>I'll say a little more notable hand. Make sure that

1:02:08.160 --> 1:02:12.400
<v Speaker 2>it's benefiting everybody. So one when is that working? The

1:02:12.480 --> 1:02:15.080
<v Speaker 2>other way? Now, I know a lot of people aren't

1:02:15.120 --> 1:02:19.680
<v Speaker 2>always happy with everything Lena Khan did, but I'm more

1:02:19.720 --> 1:02:22.040
<v Speaker 2>of a fan of hers, and I think that what

1:02:22.160 --> 1:02:25.320
<v Speaker 2>she did and looking at big Tech and Amazon, was

1:02:25.360 --> 1:02:29.880
<v Speaker 2>to look and say, in reality, are these large companies

1:02:30.320 --> 1:02:35.440
<v Speaker 2>suppressing competition and hurting people or are they actually encouraging it?

1:02:35.480 --> 1:02:37.840
<v Speaker 2>So you should have that test. And then the second

1:02:37.840 --> 1:02:41.800
<v Speaker 2>test is a democracy test. If the size and power

1:02:41.880 --> 1:02:48.480
<v Speaker 2>of companies mean that they are disproportionately determining our policies

1:02:48.880 --> 1:02:52.960
<v Speaker 2>as opposed to our democratic processes based on what's best

1:02:53.080 --> 1:02:56.480
<v Speaker 2>for people. Then I think that's the problem.

1:02:56.720 --> 1:02:58.560
<v Speaker 1>So for me, it's not you know, you've been on

1:02:58.640 --> 1:02:59.320
<v Speaker 1>K Street lately.

1:03:00.080 --> 1:03:03.800
<v Speaker 2>It's not just the size, but what is the impact?

1:03:03.920 --> 1:03:05.240
<v Speaker 2>And I think the reason.

1:03:05.040 --> 1:03:07.000
<v Speaker 1>How do you say that? I would say arguably right

1:03:07.000 --> 1:03:10.760
<v Speaker 1>now that the between there are two industries that are

1:03:10.800 --> 1:03:13.680
<v Speaker 1>over indexed in Washington and they seem to get whatever

1:03:13.720 --> 1:03:16.120
<v Speaker 1>they want because of how much campaign money they give,

1:03:16.600 --> 1:03:19.160
<v Speaker 1>and that is the crypto and AI.

1:03:19.960 --> 1:03:23.320
<v Speaker 2>Well, I think there's a lot to be said for that,

1:03:23.600 --> 1:03:27.080
<v Speaker 2>and I think, look, I think there's always been big

1:03:27.160 --> 1:03:33.720
<v Speaker 2>companies who use political contributions and lobbying power to get

1:03:33.760 --> 1:03:37.560
<v Speaker 2>what they want at the benefit at the expense of

1:03:37.600 --> 1:03:40.120
<v Speaker 2>what might be the common good, and that is a

1:03:40.160 --> 1:03:44.640
<v Speaker 2>real problem. I think what's a little more concerning on

1:03:44.760 --> 1:03:48.840
<v Speaker 2>the AI front, though, is the idea that there could

1:03:48.840 --> 1:03:54.040
<v Speaker 2>be four or five or six companies that actually are

1:03:54.320 --> 1:03:59.680
<v Speaker 2>almost determining the structure of the economy, not just benefiting

1:04:00.280 --> 1:04:03.560
<v Speaker 2>their company at the expense of some higher prices for

1:04:03.680 --> 1:04:08.640
<v Speaker 2>other people, which is itself very problematic, but where it

1:04:08.720 --> 1:04:12.920
<v Speaker 2>looks like they're determining policy. And I do see sometimes

1:04:12.960 --> 1:04:15.480
<v Speaker 2>when I look at the White House, you know, I

1:04:15.520 --> 1:04:21.720
<v Speaker 2>do wonder our six or seven companies contributing whispering in

1:04:21.800 --> 1:04:25.840
<v Speaker 2>the ear. Are you seeing companies, you know, whether it's

1:04:25.920 --> 1:04:32.360
<v Speaker 2>crypto or AI or other places, actually part of deals

1:04:32.360 --> 1:04:37.919
<v Speaker 2>that are actually benefiting in a more corrupt way individuals

1:04:37.920 --> 1:04:42.120
<v Speaker 2>associated with the administration. That is very concerning. Now, look,

1:04:42.240 --> 1:04:45.600
<v Speaker 2>some of the heads of these big AI companies have

1:04:45.880 --> 1:04:49.160
<v Speaker 2>notably gone out and said, we need to think about

1:04:49.200 --> 1:04:53.240
<v Speaker 2>what's best for the country. But the fact is that

1:04:53.280 --> 1:04:56.440
<v Speaker 2>when I still look at what's happening every day, it

1:04:56.480 --> 1:05:02.560
<v Speaker 2>looks like rush fast, hygien growth, high wealth, get things

1:05:02.600 --> 1:05:07.200
<v Speaker 2>built as quickly as possible, and those discussions about what's

1:05:07.240 --> 1:05:10.920
<v Speaker 2>best for jobs or people or the economic dignity of

1:05:10.960 --> 1:05:14.040
<v Speaker 2>people is being lost. And my prediction is going to

1:05:14.080 --> 1:05:17.560
<v Speaker 2>what you said at the beginning, is if people don't

1:05:17.600 --> 1:05:21.640
<v Speaker 2>start talking about how to shape AI so that it

1:05:21.800 --> 1:05:27.120
<v Speaker 2>is benefiting everyone, they're going to get a backlash that

1:05:27.120 --> 1:05:31.880
<v Speaker 2>that might be even harsher than is desired.

1:05:31.960 --> 1:05:34.960
<v Speaker 1>So we never do prevent very well so it's.

1:05:34.840 --> 1:05:39.640
<v Speaker 2>Benefiting everyone, and not have this perception that the White

1:05:39.640 --> 1:05:42.880
<v Speaker 2>House listens to five or six major companies and they

1:05:43.240 --> 1:05:47.760
<v Speaker 2>not the American people are determining what the what the

1:05:47.800 --> 1:05:49.720
<v Speaker 2>path of our economic future will be.

1:05:50.760 --> 1:05:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Well, take me back to your time in the Biden

1:05:53.480 --> 1:05:56.880
<v Speaker 1>White House when these AI companies were looking for more

1:05:56.880 --> 1:06:03.000
<v Speaker 1>government assistance to excel rate what they were doing. Did

1:06:03.040 --> 1:06:06.680
<v Speaker 1>you feel like they had a gun to the head, like, well,

1:06:06.800 --> 1:06:08.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, you either help us out here we're going

1:06:08.360 --> 1:06:10.400
<v Speaker 1>with the other guys, or I.

1:06:10.320 --> 1:06:12.960
<v Speaker 2>Can't you know, at this time of that life, I

1:06:13.080 --> 1:06:16.080
<v Speaker 2>wasn't the National Economic consol Director, so I was running

1:06:16.080 --> 1:06:17.320
<v Speaker 2>the American Rescue.

1:06:17.360 --> 1:06:18.920
<v Speaker 1>You didn't really have a good you didn't have a

1:06:18.920 --> 1:06:19.840
<v Speaker 1>good window into that.

1:06:20.000 --> 1:06:22.840
<v Speaker 2>With the air I didn't see as much. But I

1:06:22.920 --> 1:06:27.440
<v Speaker 2>never had the feeling. No, I never had that that feeling.

1:06:27.560 --> 1:06:31.280
<v Speaker 2>And to be quite honest, I think in some ways,

1:06:31.800 --> 1:06:35.280
<v Speaker 2>the Trump White House has invited that, you know. I

1:06:35.320 --> 1:06:39.000
<v Speaker 2>think I don't think that the AI companies would feel like,

1:06:39.720 --> 1:06:43.880
<v Speaker 2>oh my, if you didn't do exactly what Joe Biden wanted,

1:06:44.360 --> 1:06:46.640
<v Speaker 2>he was going to go out and punish you, or

1:06:46.680 --> 1:06:51.280
<v Speaker 2>single you out, or call in the Justice Department, the

1:06:51.320 --> 1:06:55.360
<v Speaker 2>criminal part of the Justice Department on you. I think that,

1:06:57.000 --> 1:06:59.800
<v Speaker 2>you know, I think what you've seen more recently is

1:07:00.240 --> 1:07:02.800
<v Speaker 2>really the most unattractive thing I think I've seen in

1:07:02.800 --> 1:07:06.720
<v Speaker 2>my political life, which is that the most well off

1:07:06.840 --> 1:07:11.040
<v Speaker 2>people and the most well off companies are the first

1:07:11.080 --> 1:07:17.800
<v Speaker 2>ones to take a knee and to and to do

1:07:17.880 --> 1:07:21.560
<v Speaker 2>whatever this administration wants. So as much as I agree

1:07:22.000 --> 1:07:25.720
<v Speaker 2>that we need to be concerned about the lobbying and

1:07:25.800 --> 1:07:31.040
<v Speaker 2>political power of major companies and are determining the path

1:07:31.080 --> 1:07:34.920
<v Speaker 2>on AI, in this situation, it's a little bit like

1:07:35.040 --> 1:07:39.480
<v Speaker 2>the White House kind of invited it, you know, a

1:07:39.560 --> 1:07:42.160
<v Speaker 2>little bit of give money.

1:07:42.240 --> 1:07:43.600
<v Speaker 1>As I said, you know he's not.

1:07:44.600 --> 1:07:45.760
<v Speaker 2>And you'll have influence.

1:07:45.880 --> 1:07:49.120
<v Speaker 1>And if not everybody knows, everybody knows how it works.

1:07:49.240 --> 1:07:51.200
<v Speaker 1>You write a big enough check to the right entity,

1:07:51.280 --> 1:07:52.160
<v Speaker 1>you're going to get a meeting.

1:07:52.640 --> 1:07:54.880
<v Speaker 2>So I just don't think you would have seen that

1:07:55.000 --> 1:07:58.680
<v Speaker 2>kind of behavior, you know, towards the Biden administration, because

1:07:58.720 --> 1:08:01.000
<v Speaker 2>one it wouldn't have been tolerant but too On the

1:08:01.080 --> 1:08:06.280
<v Speaker 2>other hand, we wouldn't have been out there telling American companies,

1:08:07.640 --> 1:08:12.480
<v Speaker 2>you know, do as we say, or or American universities

1:08:12.560 --> 1:08:15.400
<v Speaker 2>or American law firms that you have to get in

1:08:15.520 --> 1:08:18.400
<v Speaker 2>line or there's going to be consequences. They may not

1:08:18.439 --> 1:08:21.920
<v Speaker 2>have liked our climate policy, they may have disagreed with

1:08:21.960 --> 1:08:26.080
<v Speaker 2>some anti trust policy, but the notion of you contribute

1:08:26.120 --> 1:08:29.920
<v Speaker 2>and get in line, or you will face consequences. Was

1:08:30.080 --> 1:08:34.080
<v Speaker 2>just not part of the bid. No Harris administration.

1:08:34.640 --> 1:08:35.800
<v Speaker 1>All right, I'm going to get you out of here

1:08:35.800 --> 1:08:37.519
<v Speaker 1>on what I think is the toughest question. I'm gonna

1:08:37.520 --> 1:08:43.120
<v Speaker 1>ask you, Jim Harball. Good feelings are bad feelings when

1:08:43.120 --> 1:08:44.599
<v Speaker 1>you think about Michigan football.

1:08:45.680 --> 1:08:46.439
<v Speaker 2>Good feelings.

1:08:47.920 --> 1:08:50.880
<v Speaker 1>You know, you look at this situation because you know,

1:08:51.360 --> 1:08:54.439
<v Speaker 1>are you do you wish he were still there? Or

1:08:54.439 --> 1:08:56.519
<v Speaker 1>do you feel like, Nope, we got our title and

1:08:56.600 --> 1:08:57.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm glad he left.

1:08:58.280 --> 1:09:01.400
<v Speaker 2>I think that for a while of reasons it made

1:09:01.439 --> 1:09:05.320
<v Speaker 2>sense for him to go. But look, I've been just

1:09:05.600 --> 1:09:10.559
<v Speaker 2>an incredible Michigan football, Michigan basketball, Detroit Lions, Detroit Tigers,

1:09:10.560 --> 1:09:14.000
<v Speaker 2>Detroit Pistons fan for six nice runners.

1:09:14.680 --> 1:09:16.840
<v Speaker 1>It's finally coming together six seven.

1:09:17.080 --> 1:09:20.559
<v Speaker 2>So I've never had a football team in the I've

1:09:20.640 --> 1:09:24.280
<v Speaker 2>never had the Lions in the super Bowl, the Tigers.

1:09:24.320 --> 1:09:26.840
<v Speaker 2>We've had two World Series in my life. So let's

1:09:26.880 --> 1:09:31.320
<v Speaker 2>just say I'm not I'm more like the AI startup

1:09:31.439 --> 1:09:34.960
<v Speaker 2>than Navidia. You know, Navidia is like the Patriot fans.

1:09:35.000 --> 1:09:39.120
<v Speaker 2>They have so much, they have so much. But I

1:09:39.200 --> 1:09:45.000
<v Speaker 2>will say that two thousand that two thousand and three,

1:09:45.080 --> 1:09:49.880
<v Speaker 2>two thousand and four. I mean that NCAA championship game,

1:09:50.400 --> 1:09:53.320
<v Speaker 2>being there with my family at Michigan Ohio State, being

1:09:53.320 --> 1:09:56.280
<v Speaker 2>there at the Rose Bawl when they beat Alabama. I

1:09:56.280 --> 1:09:59.000
<v Speaker 2>think that was kind of like you said, your whole life,

1:09:59.120 --> 1:10:02.320
<v Speaker 2>if we ever won an national championship outright like that,

1:10:02.840 --> 1:10:05.160
<v Speaker 2>I won't ask for anything more. I feel like I

1:10:05.200 --> 1:10:07.560
<v Speaker 2>have to honor that for a few more years.

1:10:07.760 --> 1:10:11.280
<v Speaker 1>And and you you never felt like the ninety seven

1:10:11.400 --> 1:10:13.960
<v Speaker 1>title was just because you split it with Nebraska. It

1:10:14.000 --> 1:10:15.040
<v Speaker 1>never felt perfect.

1:10:17.000 --> 1:10:19.880
<v Speaker 2>It did never feel quite as perfect, though I was

1:10:20.040 --> 1:10:22.920
<v Speaker 2>very happy, and I still to this day. You ready

1:10:22.920 --> 1:10:27.200
<v Speaker 2>for this. When Michigan came for their their ceremony with Bill,

1:10:27.360 --> 1:10:27.559
<v Speaker 2>did you.

1:10:27.560 --> 1:10:30.600
<v Speaker 1>Guys invite them both? By the way, that Clinton the.

1:10:30.600 --> 1:10:34.920
<v Speaker 2>Same day, but they had separate ceremonies. Interesting and the

1:10:35.080 --> 1:10:38.240
<v Speaker 2>and the Bill Clinton and the Michigan one was right

1:10:38.320 --> 1:10:41.400
<v Speaker 2>before a budget meeting, so they gave Bill Clinton a

1:10:41.520 --> 1:10:45.200
<v Speaker 2>hat that he wore, and he came into the budget meeting.

1:10:45.200 --> 1:10:47.599
<v Speaker 2>He was in the cabinet office and the first thing

1:10:47.640 --> 1:10:50.639
<v Speaker 2>he did was fling me the cap. So I still

1:10:50.760 --> 1:10:54.280
<v Speaker 2>have the hat that the ninety seven Michigan football team

1:10:55.280 --> 1:10:59.599
<v Speaker 2>presented to him, and I also had the benefit of

1:11:00.160 --> 1:11:05.479
<v Speaker 2>Jim Harbaugh brought the team to d C during the

1:11:05.520 --> 1:11:09.120
<v Speaker 2>Biden administration. I got invited to go over and be

1:11:09.240 --> 1:11:11.559
<v Speaker 2>the dinner speaker at one of their whole dinners and

1:11:11.640 --> 1:11:14.760
<v Speaker 2>hang out with him and them, and so oh, he

1:11:15.000 --> 1:11:17.720
<v Speaker 2>will always be thankful for Jim Harbaugh for that. You know.

1:11:17.760 --> 1:11:19.920
<v Speaker 1>It's funny about Jim Harbaugh, and I take it you've

1:11:19.960 --> 1:11:21.600
<v Speaker 1>gotten to know him a little bit. A lot of

1:11:21.640 --> 1:11:25.519
<v Speaker 1>people try to pigeonhole his politics. I'm guessing he's like

1:11:25.600 --> 1:11:28.240
<v Speaker 1>most Americans. It's not as predictable as people try to

1:11:28.280 --> 1:11:30.920
<v Speaker 1>make them out to be. He's pretty passionate on some issues,

1:11:30.960 --> 1:11:34.400
<v Speaker 1>like I know, reproductive rights and things like that, and

1:11:34.479 --> 1:11:36.640
<v Speaker 1>so people just assume he's in one place, but he

1:11:36.680 --> 1:11:41.160
<v Speaker 1>seems like he's genuinely like your typical Midwestern independent. There's

1:11:41.200 --> 1:11:43.040
<v Speaker 1>a little bit of you don't quite know where he's

1:11:43.080 --> 1:11:43.519
<v Speaker 1>coming down.

1:11:43.600 --> 1:11:45.719
<v Speaker 2>Well, you know, yes, And it goes to the question

1:11:45.800 --> 1:11:48.400
<v Speaker 2>you asked me before. I think people who sit around

1:11:48.439 --> 1:11:52.639
<v Speaker 2>and think, oh, should we be angry, populist or centrist,

1:11:53.000 --> 1:11:55.200
<v Speaker 2>it's not the right way to think. Think about real

1:11:55.280 --> 1:11:58.280
<v Speaker 2>people what's best for their lives. What's best for their family.

1:11:58.640 --> 1:12:01.040
<v Speaker 2>That's gonna I think, as we said, that's going to

1:12:01.080 --> 1:12:04.160
<v Speaker 2>make for some populist anger, but it's but you should

1:12:04.200 --> 1:12:07.160
<v Speaker 2>think about their lives. And I think, yes, Jim Harbaugh

1:12:07.200 --> 1:12:09.560
<v Speaker 2>is one of those people that's a bit more complicated.

1:12:09.640 --> 1:12:13.200
<v Speaker 2>It's very clear his wife is very pro life and

1:12:13.240 --> 1:12:17.160
<v Speaker 2>he's respected. That is the other hand. The real highlight

1:12:17.360 --> 1:12:19.880
<v Speaker 2>of my you know, one of the highlights of my

1:12:20.640 --> 1:12:24.120
<v Speaker 2>time in the Bide administration was I was speaking to

1:12:24.240 --> 1:12:29.200
<v Speaker 2>the Legal Service Legal services, you know, the people who

1:12:29.360 --> 1:12:35.080
<v Speaker 2>represent the poor, and as they brought, knowing my background,

1:12:35.080 --> 1:12:39.040
<v Speaker 2>they brought Jim Harbaugh on to introduce me. Why because

1:12:39.200 --> 1:12:44.360
<v Speaker 2>Jim Harbaugh has been a huge advocate of legal services

1:12:44.400 --> 1:12:48.320
<v Speaker 2>for the poor and is actually on the National Advisory Board.

1:12:48.880 --> 1:12:51.960
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, he's a little more complicated, and I think

1:12:52.000 --> 1:12:54.680
<v Speaker 2>a lot of Americans are a little more complicated and

1:12:54.840 --> 1:12:55.760
<v Speaker 2>exactly that way.

1:12:56.040 --> 1:12:59.519
<v Speaker 1>So have you become LA's only Chargers fan now, because

1:12:59.520 --> 1:13:01.479
<v Speaker 1>I know there's people are looking for Charger fans in

1:13:01.600 --> 1:13:02.799
<v Speaker 1>LA if they find them.

1:13:03.360 --> 1:13:06.840
<v Speaker 2>Now, I'm a Lions fan. I'm lucky enough to kind

1:13:06.880 --> 1:13:10.640
<v Speaker 2>of know a couple of the owners of the Commanders.

1:13:10.680 --> 1:13:13.320
<v Speaker 2>So I think if I have a second team now

1:13:14.920 --> 1:13:18.080
<v Speaker 2>it's the Commanders, but first team first and always will

1:13:18.120 --> 1:13:19.679
<v Speaker 2>always be the Detroit Lions.

1:13:20.000 --> 1:13:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Well look, it's a you know I. The only good

1:13:22.760 --> 1:13:24.320
<v Speaker 1>news for you living out there in la Is you

1:13:24.400 --> 1:13:26.120
<v Speaker 1>might be able to see Tarik Schooble pitch as a

1:13:26.160 --> 1:13:28.840
<v Speaker 1>Dodger before the season ends, which will really piss you off.

1:13:28.880 --> 1:13:30.720
<v Speaker 2>The only good news for me being out in la

1:13:31.160 --> 1:13:35.160
<v Speaker 2>Is One word weather, second word weather, third word weather.

1:13:37.240 --> 1:13:38.960
<v Speaker 1>Jane, It's always fun to talk with you. Good to

1:13:39.000 --> 1:13:40.639
<v Speaker 1>catch Thanks all right, my friend.

1:13:40.800 --> 1:13:41.160
<v Speaker 2>Bye bye,