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Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast.

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Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also, all right, here we

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Speaker 2: go throwing in so spectat I'm saying it's a.

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Speaker 1: Cat touch that all we see most gamblers when they

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Speaker 1: go to gamble, they go to Wind.

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Speaker 2: That's incredible.

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Speaker 3: Big bank, small banks.

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Speaker 2: I like to make money, all right, that is the

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Speaker 2: ultimate Kabaki.

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Speaker 3: Want to pa.

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Speaker 1: Man.

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Speaker 2: We are underway. Welcome to the Action Network Podcast, presented

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Speaker 2: by bet MGM. I'm Jill Gland and I'm joined by

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Speaker 2: Action Networks research director Evan Abrams. He's gonna join me

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Speaker 2: each and every week and we're gonna dive into all

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Speaker 2: the Sunday NFL Action who covered where the totals wins.

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Speaker 2: And we're also gonna hear from Brandon Anderson on what

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Speaker 2: he's seeing for week two with his Hot Reed segment.

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Speaker 2: And then at the end of the show, we're also

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Speaker 2: gonna check in with Vegas insiders Patrick Everson, he's got

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Speaker 2: boots on the ground and laws Vegas. He'll give us

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Speaker 2: some insight on how Sportsbook did this NFL Sunday. But first,

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Speaker 2: really low scoring start here, Evan. Full scoring was pretty brutal.

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Speaker 2: First half unders went seven and two, they were eight

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Speaker 2: and one, full game entering the afternoon they finished, they

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Speaker 2: went about nine to five entering Sunday Night Football full

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Speaker 2: game totals that went under as well ten and four

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Speaker 2: entering Sunday Night Football. We did see some underdogs barking

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Speaker 2: as well, saw the Buccaneers Houston. We're going to talk

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Speaker 2: about these teams a little bit more in the show.

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Speaker 2: And scoring in general, Evan definitely down over the last

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Speaker 2: four years. We've seen touchdowns kind of start to decrease

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Speaker 2: every year. We only saw seventy six in Week one

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Speaker 2: for the entire week, and entering Sunday Night Football, we

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Speaker 2: only have sixty six so far. So we are struggling

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Speaker 2: here for scoring. And one game that I think Evan

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Speaker 2: is going to see a little bit of difficulty scoring

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Speaker 2: is going to be Monday Football. The Bills and Jets,

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Speaker 2: we might not be seeing a lot of points coming

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Speaker 2: for this game, are already seeing it over under around

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Speaker 2: forty five and a half. Bills are around minus two favorites.

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Speaker 2: Last year's matchups really only finished around twenty to seventeen

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Speaker 2: for Buffalo or for the Jets twenty to twelve for Buffalo.

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Speaker 2: They both won each game, and the Bills offense pretty

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Speaker 2: stagnant last year in those matchups, low scoring, out puts,

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Speaker 2: low passing yards. For Allen, what are you making of

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Speaker 2: Monday Night Football? Are you looking at any picks? How

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Speaker 2: do you think this game will play out?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, so opening like forty eight down to forty five.

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Speaker 3: So not only have we seen like no scoring in

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Speaker 3: the games early on in the season, but this total

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Speaker 3: is also dropping and looking right now, we're recording this

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Speaker 3: on Sunday night, So Sunday night halftime, it's twenty six

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Speaker 3: nothing Cowboys, So you know, no scoring from one team.

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Speaker 3: One team got two defensive touchdowns basically, So I mean,

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Speaker 3: I'm looking at it that way. And then when you

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Speaker 3: come to an actual pick, I told you this earlier.

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Speaker 3: I'm gonna have a little fun with this since we're

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Speaker 3: gonna be doing this every night from every Sunday night

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Speaker 3: for Monday Night Football, and you're doing something for the

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Speaker 3: Action Network called the one to eighty Challenge, So I

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Speaker 3: was going to copy you, and I was going to

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Speaker 3: go with a player first touchdown, anytime touchdown around eighteen

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Speaker 3: to one each week, and hopefully we can hit a

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Speaker 3: few this year. So my first one is going to

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Speaker 3: be a Bills tight end, and obviously they added Kincaid,

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Speaker 3: but I think he's going to get more targets and

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Speaker 3: catches and even yards. But I think when it comes

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Speaker 3: to touchdowns, I like Dustin Knox and I think this

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Speaker 3: actually might be someone Yeah, you like as well. So

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Speaker 3: we're looking about seventeen eighteen to one for a Knox

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Speaker 3: for first touchdown. He was third in red zone targets

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Speaker 3: last year. He's also Josh's man, So I don't mind it,

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Speaker 3: and we're gonna take a flyer there.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. The rule of thumb with Knox is you always

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Speaker 2: want to kind of bet on him when he's over

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Speaker 2: plus two hundred. Last year he had nine games where

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Speaker 2: he had odds for anytime touchdown odds over plus two hundred.

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Speaker 2: He scored in six of them. So for me, with

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Speaker 2: Knox having fifteen touchdowns over the last two years, I

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Speaker 2: think this is still pretty good value. On the Jets side,

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Speaker 2: it's still a bit of a wait and see kind

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Speaker 2: of thing with Rogers at quarterback. You know, the offensive

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Speaker 2: line still isn't great. Definitely could see a sloppy start

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Speaker 2: based on the way that we've seen these games go

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Speaker 2: so far in Week one. But on the Jets side,

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Speaker 2: I'd be looking at Alan Lazard. He's around plus two

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Speaker 2: fifty to plus two seventy, and you know he was

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Speaker 2: coming off a down year last year, but he's still

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Speaker 2: finished with over one hundred targets and Aaron Rodgers brought

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Speaker 2: him over specifically because of that trust factor and the

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Speaker 2: Buffalo secondary. I still think they're a little dinged up

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Speaker 2: and overrated. They allowed eighteen touchdowns of wide receivers last year,

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Speaker 2: no Tremaine Emans. So I really think Alan Lazard could

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Speaker 2: be the guy for the Jets now Sunday games though, Evan,

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Speaker 2: we talked about this off air, and we were looking

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Speaker 2: at all the different games. You know, there's a lot

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Speaker 2: of different storylines here. Some of them were blowouts, but

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Speaker 2: I think we could be both in agreement. The game

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Speaker 2: of the week was the Dolphins and the Chargers. Dolphins

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Speaker 2: win thirty six to thirty four and win outright as

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Speaker 2: three point road dogs. The total went way over, it

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Speaker 2: was around fifty. You know, we saw a thirty six

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Speaker 2: to thirty four score. What was your first instinct, then

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Speaker 2: first impression here when you saw this game play up?

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Speaker 3: I mean in a week where like I said, at

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Speaker 3: the start, there weren't a lot of overs. This was

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Speaker 3: an over. I mean, this was an offensive explosion on

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Speaker 3: Miami side. I mean if you look at two and

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Speaker 3: Tyreek on pace for like eight thousand yards, Tyreek gun

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Speaker 3: pace for thirty six hundred yards. He talked about two thousand. Well,

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Speaker 3: this was like fourth most passing yards in a week

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Speaker 3: one for Tua, third most receiving yards in a week

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Speaker 3: one for Tyreek Hill. So both exploded on a charger

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Speaker 3: defense and honestly, overall, I think it was an okay

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Speaker 3: game for both teams. Like, I don't think I downgrade

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Speaker 3: either team going forward. I think both offenses look good

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Speaker 3: to a look good, So no complaints on my.

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Speaker 1: End, Yeah.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely. And last year's matchup, I mean they played last

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Speaker 2: year around Week ten. Last year's matchup pretty one sided.

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Speaker 2: This one was back and forth, felt like a heavy

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Speaker 2: way matchup. I mean, I'm not sure if defense was optional,

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Speaker 2: but both teams pretty much offensively did whatever they wanted.

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Speaker 2: Tyreek Hill, like you said, he was unstoppable, eleven catches,

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Speaker 2: two underd and fifteen yards. I think he's probably going

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Speaker 2: he is right now going to probably be the favorite

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Speaker 2: for Offensive Player of the Year. When the odds reopened

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Speaker 2: at bet MGM and River craiy Craft River cray Craft

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Speaker 2: sighting anytime touchdown odds around sixteen to one. He was

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Speaker 2: the biggest odds for a touchdown score this week. Caught

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Speaker 2: one of those touchdowns from Tua again. I think the

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Speaker 2: Dolphins are kind of on their way up. But I

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Speaker 2: don't want to sleep on the Chargers. I don't want

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Speaker 2: to just say it's same old Chargers kind of thing,

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Speaker 2: but it did kind of feel Chargers charging again.

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Speaker 3: I mean, the thing that my notes here now, I'm

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Speaker 3: just taking notes on every game. I mean to tons

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Speaker 3: of stuff all day. The J. C. Jackson pass interference

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Speaker 3: penalty to extend the half gave the Dolphins a forty

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Speaker 3: one yard field goal, so those three points ended up

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Speaker 3: kind of mattering. So but yeah, just a lot of offense.

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Speaker 3: I think in a day where you looked and you

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Speaker 3: talked about touchdowns are down, not so much in this game.

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Speaker 3: Both quarterbacks look good, both offensive schemes look good. So

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Speaker 3: no complaints.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, in the next game that I was thinking of too,

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Speaker 2: even though one team we're probably not going to be

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Speaker 2: thinking about them for Super Bowl anytime soon. But the

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Speaker 2: Jaguars and Colts. Incredibly fun game to bet and watch.

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Speaker 2: Calvin Ridley brought a whole new dynamic to the passing

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Speaker 2: game for the Jaguars, finished with over one hundred yards

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Speaker 2: and a touchdown. And yeah, at this point with the Jaguars,

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Speaker 2: I mean, they win thirty one to twenty, they cover,

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Speaker 2: the total goes way over forty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: But the overbetters, I think they were just waiting for

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Speaker 2: that defensive touchdown from the Colts because once that happened,

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Speaker 2: and then you're seeing the interception from Tony rich Project

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Speaker 2: or Anthony Richardson, Who's who is That's how I nickname

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Speaker 2: is Tony rich Project. Just huge for the over. And

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Speaker 2: then the fact that the Colts, like, if you're a

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Speaker 2: colt's better in this game. And the Colts have first

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Speaker 2: and goal from the three and they don't score a touchdown,

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Speaker 2: it just is a knife to the heart. It's a

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Speaker 2: brutal melt for anybody who was on the Colt side.

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Speaker 2: And another game too that was kind of as it

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Speaker 2: was going that was also decided kind of in the

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Speaker 2: final minutes. Was another game in the from the AFC South,

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Speaker 2: but the Titans versus the Saints, I mean that game

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Speaker 2: for me, Evan. You know, we didn't see an offensive

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Speaker 2: touchdown in that game until close to the end of

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Speaker 2: the third quarter with Rashid Shaheed, right, I mean, the

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Speaker 2: Titans ended up do covering the plus three, but the

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Speaker 2: undergoes way under at forty one and a half. Did

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Speaker 2: you have any money on the Titan Saints here?

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Speaker 3: So yeah, I actually I had money on the Colts.

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Speaker 3: So seeing all those drives come down into the red

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Speaker 3: zone and not turn into points multiple times, that was excellent.

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Speaker 3: But I did have the Titans, So I will praise Vrabel.

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Speaker 3: I will love the field goal. Thank you at the end.

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Speaker 3: We really appreciate that. I think it was possibly the

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Speaker 3: right move. I could see it from both sides. But

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Speaker 3: thank you for the field goal nonetheless. And then I

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Speaker 3: think we have to mention the fact that, you know,

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Speaker 3: people talking about Varibel as an underdog, but twenty five

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Speaker 3: eleven and one against the spread when he's a dog

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Speaker 3: of three or more now, So I mean, in this situation,

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Speaker 3: probably got a little bit lucky at the end there.

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Speaker 3: But again, Carr doesn't cover as a favorite Vrabel does.

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Speaker 3: I think one interesting thing when you're looking at touchdowns

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Speaker 3: Tennessee no touchdown, so cashed at eight to one as

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Speaker 3: a team total. But yeah, really difficult and obviously the

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Speaker 3: one node here officials just costed the Titans at seven points.

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Speaker 3: But blowing the dog Derek Carr fumble dead too early,

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Speaker 3: I thought we learned about this, but what a chaotic

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Speaker 3: play and obviously one point finish at the end, but unbelievable.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the Titans pretty much did whatever they

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Speaker 2: could to give the Saints this game, specifically Ryan Tannehill,

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Speaker 2: I mean three interceptions, but also I want to give

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Speaker 2: the Saints defense a little credit just because they did

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Speaker 2: not allow a touchdown. They sacked them three times, they

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Speaker 2: were ten and they only allowed two third down conversions

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Speaker 2: the entire game. The Titans Derek Henry finished with fifty

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Speaker 2: six yards and again Derek Carr, he threw the ball

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Speaker 2: way out. Normally when he does that, it's usually him

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Speaker 2: costing the Raiders to cover when he was with the Raiders.

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Speaker 2: This time he's doing the lord's work and covering for

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Speaker 2: the Titans betters here. So I just found that to

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Speaker 2: be hilarious. And then Rashid Shaheed, I was almost kind

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Speaker 2: of wondering if Derek Carr was cooked a little bit

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Speaker 2: in this game too, but Rashid Shaheed again cash is

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Speaker 2: at anytime touchdown at plus three fifty twenty five to

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Speaker 2: one for first touchdown. So those are some of the

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Speaker 2: most notable parts of those two games. Now, Evan, our

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Speaker 2: memories are made when you're there for live NFL action

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Speaker 2: and when you need tickets, our friends at Ticketmaster have

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Speaker 2: the best view of those pivotal plays. And if your

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Speaker 2: Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL and

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Speaker 2: we're bringing back the hot read from last season. So

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Speaker 2: it's time to hear from Brandon Anderson and this is

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Speaker 2: one of his specialties, Evan. So, Brandon, what do you

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Speaker 2: have for us for early Week two lines?

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Speaker 3: Booday on ice rights, ice cream.

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Speaker 1: Arms nineteen sound nineteen holt.

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Speaker 4: He welcome to the hot read. So what is the

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Speaker 4: hot read? How Rey is not just getting the right

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Speaker 4: picks for the week. It's about getting the right early

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Speaker 4: angles and getting that closing line value, sweet sweet CLV.

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Speaker 4: We're trying to get ahead of the number, ahead of

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Speaker 4: the lines, trying to anticipate where will the lines move?

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Speaker 4: What direction are these lines going to go? If we

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Speaker 4: can get that CLV and be ahead of the market

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Speaker 4: and be moving the right direction the market is over time,

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Speaker 4: that is a good way to win as a better

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Speaker 4: So for my first pick for week two, we're gonna

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Speaker 4: go with a classic example of a hot read.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna take the Seattle Seahawks plus five and a

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Speaker 4: half on the road at the Detroit Lions. So, first

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Speaker 4: thing I noticed here five and a half. As we

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Speaker 4: know no man's land, that number is not gonna stay

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Speaker 4: at five and a half. We know this. Numbers don't

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Speaker 4: sit there, they sit there for a while. This is

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Speaker 4: the book saying, you know what, why don't you decide?

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Speaker 4: Why don't you guys decide? Where is this number gonna go?

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Speaker 4: Is it gonna go up? Is it gonna go down,

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Speaker 4: and we already have a good hint where it's gonna

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Speaker 4: go because Sunday morning, before Seattle went out and laid

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Speaker 4: an egg, this line was minus three for Detroit, maybe three.

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Speaker 2: And a half as some books.

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Speaker 4: And before Thursday, when Detroit went out and beat the

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Speaker 4: defending champion Chiefs, this line was two and a half

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Speaker 4: for Detroit. So what's happened? Well, the Lions one, so

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Speaker 4: we nudged the lineup a little bit. Then the Seahawks

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Speaker 4: were terrible, absolutely terrible against the Rams at home, so

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Speaker 4: the line moved again. The Seahawks game, I don't have

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Speaker 4: a lot of positive takeaways from that one. They're pretty bad.

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Speaker 4: The Lions, you know, credit for the win against the Chiefs,

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Speaker 4: but it's not necessarily a win that moves the needle

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Speaker 4: on how do I think about the Lions as a team.

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Speaker 4: So overall, I think these teams are still pretty similar.

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Speaker 4: I think this is a pretty even matchup. We got

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Speaker 4: two pretty good offenses, two subpar defenses. Overall, my anticipation

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Speaker 4: coming into the season is that Seattle is probably slightly

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Speaker 4: better on defense. I think these are pretty even teams.

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Speaker 4: Maybe Seattle is even slightly better. They certainly weren't in

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Speaker 4: Week one. But a couple of trends to keep an

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Speaker 4: eye on here. Here's a big one that you need

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Speaker 4: to know for week two. We always know that we

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Speaker 4: want to overrate the teams coming off the week one performance.

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Speaker 4: We know this, we only have one game and we

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Speaker 4: know not to overract. But anyway, so here's the trend

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Speaker 4: in week two. Teams like the Seahawks that lost by

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Speaker 4: double digits or more when they're playing a team that's

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Speaker 4: not that so someone that didn't lose by double digits

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Speaker 4: any other result, like the Lions. Here since twenty twelve,

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Speaker 4: those teams are thirty six, eighteen and three against the

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Speaker 4: spread in week two, so sixty seven percent cover rate.

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Speaker 4: And if you're on the road like Seattle, twenty four

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Speaker 4: and one, eighty three percent cover rate. For teams like

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Speaker 4: the Seahawks, we know that it's hard to back a

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Speaker 4: team that looks so bad in week one, the only

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Speaker 4: game we have to go on. But history says we're

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Speaker 4: overreading the result and baking too much into the line,

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Speaker 4: and that line gives us value here on Seattle. By

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Speaker 4: the way, that week two trend we just talked about

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Speaker 4: that works for the Bears, the Bengals, the Giants, the Panthers,

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Speaker 4: and the Steelers week So keep that one in mind.

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Speaker 4: Those are all teams to be thinking about. Well, they

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Speaker 4: look pretty terrible in Week one, but maybe not in

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Speaker 4: Week two. Additionally, Pete Carroll thrives in this spot off

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Speaker 4: of a loss sixty one percent ats lifetime as an

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Speaker 4: underdog sixty percent ATS. This is just too many points.

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Speaker 4: We're playing, not just Seattle, we're playing the number. We're

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Speaker 4: playing that five and a half to come down. Last season,

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Speaker 4: Gino Smith shredded this Lion's defense forty eight points with

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Speaker 4: Seattle three hundred and twenty yards and two touchdowns for

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Speaker 4: him detroed score two. We might get a shootout, but

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Speaker 4: I think Seattle keeps it close, and I'll take the

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Speaker 4: Seahawks plus five and a half and for my second

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Speaker 4: pick for the week, too hot read. I'm gonna stay

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Speaker 4: in that opening game. We saw the Lions get the win.

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Speaker 2: Who lost?

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Speaker 4: Give me the Chiefs minus two and a half at Jacksonville. Now,

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Speaker 4: this is not a line that's gonna move a lot,

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Speaker 4: but it's all about that key number. We know the three.

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Speaker 4: We know how important that is. Right now, I get

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Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes under three points. I don't have a lot

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Speaker 4: of rules in life, but if I get Pat under three,

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Speaker 4: I'm usually gonna take it, and I'm taking this one

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Speaker 4: when Patrick Mahomes is either favored by three or less

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Speaker 4: or an underdog. For his career counting the playoffs, nineteen

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Speaker 4: six and one against the spread seventy six percent and

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Speaker 4: Patrick Mahomes off of a loss thirteen and three straight up,

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Speaker 4: he does not lose two games in a row, and

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Speaker 4: in those thirteen wins average win fifteen points a game.

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Speaker 4: He is not screwing around every single win by three

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Speaker 4: or more. Covering this line, so we know the Chiefs

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Speaker 4: didn't look good in Week one. What did we see Well,

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Speaker 4: we saw a team that has new tackles that took

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Speaker 4: a little time to get used to it. We saw

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Speaker 4: no Travis Kelcey, but he was questionable. We think maybe

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Speaker 4: he might play in this one. If he does, that's

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Speaker 4: going to move the line again toward Kansas City. We

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Speaker 4: saw these teams play last year. In fact, in the

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Speaker 4: regular season the Chiefs went up twenty to nothing. They

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Speaker 4: were crushing Patrick Mahomes average about point six EP per

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Speaker 4: play for the game, shredding the defense. So that was

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Speaker 4: an easy win in the playoffs, so it was closer

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Speaker 4: kind of. The Chiefs won by seven, they really won

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Speaker 4: by double digits. The Jaguars had a field goal with

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Speaker 4: eight seconds left. Last year, Kansas City had the number

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Speaker 4: one passing DVA offense. They did not in Week one.

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Speaker 4: But we trust Patrick Mahomes. We're going to trust five

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Speaker 4: years of data, not one week one game of data.

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Speaker 4: And the Jaguars last year thirtieth in passing defense, so

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Speaker 4: this is just a matchup. They did not didn't really

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Speaker 4: make the pass defense much better. Jacksonville wasn't really tested

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Speaker 4: by the Colts this week. Anthony richardson the rookie, so

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Speaker 4: we don't really know if their pass defense improved a lot.

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Speaker 4: And don't forget Jacksonville trailed Indianapolis rookie quarterback debut with

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Speaker 4: five minutes left, and Lawrence wasn't even that great by

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Speaker 4: some of the advanced metrics. So give me the Chiefs.

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Speaker 4: I just think it's a much better team. I know

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Speaker 4: we don't have Chris Jones, and all likelihood we may

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Speaker 4: not have Travis Kelsey. I'll like it at three anyway,

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Speaker 4: But if I'm getting it under the key number at

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Speaker 4: two and a half. I'm definitely grabbing this one. Keep

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Speaker 4: it easy, give me my Homes at two and a half.

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Speaker 4: I think this gets at least to three easily because

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Speaker 4: everyone else wants the Chiefs and Mahomes two, and it

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Speaker 4: probably gets passed three if Kelsey comes back to Thanks guys, all.

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Speaker 2: Right, Evan, Let's look at more of the games here. Now,

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Speaker 2: there were some pretty heavy heavyweight matchups here in Week one,

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Speaker 2: but a lot of these games were duds, you know. Bengals,

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Speaker 2: Browns forty nine Ers, Steelers, Eagles, Patriots maybe to a

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Speaker 2: lesser extent depending on what side you were. Let's start

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Speaker 2: with Bengals Browns. Browns just defensive show for them, twenty

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Speaker 2: four to three win as outright dogs, the under also

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Speaker 2: coming in at forty six and a half. Evan, This

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Speaker 2: is a total slog man eighty two yards passing combined

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Speaker 2: at half. This was the lowest passing yards in a

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Speaker 2: game for Joe Burrow career. He finished with eighty seven

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Speaker 2: passing yards. The Browns defense pretty tough all game, especially,

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Speaker 2: I think the weather really assisted them on that front.

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Speaker 2: You know, the Bengals only finished with six first downs total,

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Speaker 2: especially like just to put that in context, like they

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Speaker 2: averaged twenty two per game last year. That was fifth

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Speaker 2: in the NFL. So it's a significant drop. But I'm

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Speaker 2: not really willing to give too much credit here to

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Speaker 2: the Browns offense. Deshaun Watson to me, still looked pretty

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Speaker 2: much what we saw last year. I mean, I don't

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Speaker 2: really have a better word to say. He looked awful.

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Speaker 2: He might have had the worst like interception I've seen

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Speaker 2: since Nathan Peter, Like that throw over the middle was

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Speaker 2: just like what are you doing? Like how are you?

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Speaker 2: How is your contract fully guaranteed? But he didn't run

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Speaker 2: for a touchdown. Just too much conservative play calling right

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Speaker 2: now with the Browns. You know, the yards for per

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Speaker 2: completion were around five point six. I'm just not sure

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Speaker 2: if the Browns could be successful being this conservative and

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Speaker 2: banking on their defense like that. And to be honest,

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Speaker 2: I've been like, I'll say this with the Bengals, they

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Speaker 2: kind of threw win the white tow on this one.

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Speaker 2: I knew this game was over when Burrow got sacked

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Speaker 2: on fourth and four from his own thirty five. There's

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Speaker 2: ten minutes to go. You kind of knew that that

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Speaker 2: was coming here, did you?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? When he didn't have it. He didn't have it,

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Speaker 3: they pulled him. I think you said most of it here.

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Speaker 3: I don't think I need to repeat much. This was

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Speaker 3: just an awful game to watch, But I think moving forward,

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Speaker 3: it's weird to say, but Cleveland won the game. But

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Speaker 3: I'm still more worried about Deshaun Watson than I am

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Speaker 3: Joe Burrow, even in the loss. Like Cincinnati next week

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Speaker 3: against Baltimore, believe it's like a three point spread. I

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Speaker 3: think that's intriguing, assuming you know the bounce back and

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Speaker 3: Burrow's always struggled with Cleveland going one in five straight up.

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Speaker 3: It's twenty eight to fifteen and one straight up against

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Speaker 3: all other teams, and you know even against AFC North

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Speaker 3: eight and nine straight up for Burrow twenty one to

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Speaker 3: eleven and one against other divisions, so he also always

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Speaker 3: gets played close. Here. I think the one fear on

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Speaker 3: my end and the note I took Conklin got hurt

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Speaker 3: for the Brown Obviously that hurts going forward. They're at

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Speaker 3: Pittsburgh on Monday Night football, so that's intriguing. Fun bet

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Speaker 3: that did cash Cincinnati no touchdown in the entire game,

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Speaker 3: twenty two to one on their side, so just you know,

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Speaker 3: out of the mix, Burrow didn't look good, didn't get

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Speaker 3: any of the receivers involved like t Higgins had, you know,

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Speaker 3: no catches early. So I think they'll get back on track.

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Speaker 3: But I think the Browns have a serious issue. And

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Speaker 3: Watson hasn't looked good almost in any game. And this,

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Speaker 3: you know, rushing touchdown and then you know the slob

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Speaker 3: out there to get the win, good win, but didn't

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Speaker 3: look good to me.

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Speaker 2: Well, and they're facing the Steelers here coming up, and

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Speaker 2: I mean, if you judged to pay saw week one results,

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Speaker 2: that might not be as much of a challenge as

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Speaker 2: it was maybe entering a week one when we were

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Speaker 2: looking at this upcoming matchup. Because the Steelers got waxed

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Speaker 2: today by San Francisco. They lose thirty to seven. San

431
00:21:52,359 --> 00:21:55,200
Speaker 2: Francisco covers the minus one and a half, the under

432
00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:59,680
Speaker 2: forty one and a half also hits Pittsburgh very popular

433
00:21:59,720 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 2: dog today. And I mean, I don't want to overreact here, Evan,

434
00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:07,320
Speaker 2: That's not really my style. But are we ready to

435
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:10,320
Speaker 2: bail on Kenny Pickett? It was the preseason all a

436
00:22:10,400 --> 00:22:12,360
Speaker 2: mirage or was this the Niners defense?

437
00:22:12,760 --> 00:22:16,960
Speaker 3: I mean, listen, I think the preseason was much more hyped, obviously,

438
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:19,920
Speaker 3: and that always happens. To forget the preseason. I mean

439
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:23,080
Speaker 3: every single year the darling of the preseason, which seemed

440
00:22:23,119 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 3: like Pickett just ignore it. It just doesn't matter. But

441
00:22:25,920 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 3: I do think there's an opportunity potentially next week. I

442
00:22:28,640 --> 00:22:31,960
Speaker 3: kind of like Pittsburgh. You just faced the forty nine ers,

443
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:34,240
Speaker 3: you went against probably one of the best defenses in

444
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:38,600
Speaker 3: the NFL. Cleveland had you know, above performance, potentially against

445
00:22:38,600 --> 00:22:41,360
Speaker 3: a Bengals team where it basically shut them out. So

446
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 3: I think Pittsburgh's an interesting spot next week. It's the

447
00:22:44,160 --> 00:22:46,840
Speaker 3: bounce back, and I'll do you know, I'll start to

448
00:22:46,880 --> 00:22:49,040
Speaker 3: look at some trends and some different things. But my

449
00:22:49,119 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 3: guess would be when a team gets waxed like that

450
00:22:52,480 --> 00:22:54,639
Speaker 3: and gets put into this spot and they're they're getting

451
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:57,520
Speaker 3: one and a half at home. So I think Pittsburgh's intriguing.

452
00:22:58,160 --> 00:23:01,480
Speaker 2: Yeah, and a trend that I used to publish a lot.

453
00:23:01,720 --> 00:23:04,040
Speaker 2: I published it last year at Action Network. We'll be

454
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,679
Speaker 2: looking into this again for Week two, as teams that

455
00:23:07,040 --> 00:23:10,680
Speaker 2: lose by double digits in Week one have historically hit

456
00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:14,760
Speaker 2: ats sixty percent. As far as covering the following week,

457
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 2: so Pittsburgh would definitely qualify in that category. On the

458
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,600
Speaker 2: San Francisco side, though, I mean, I gotta say it,

459
00:23:21,960 --> 00:23:24,879
Speaker 2: brock Purty looked fantastic, Like I mean, I know they

460
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 2: were up twenty to nothing of the half, like this

461
00:23:26,720 --> 00:23:30,560
Speaker 2: game felt over by halftime. But Brandon Anderson, for example,

462
00:23:31,560 --> 00:23:34,320
Speaker 2: wrote about brock Purty's MVP chances a couple of weeks

463
00:23:34,359 --> 00:23:36,480
Speaker 2: ago on the Action Network. He was around fifty to

464
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:40,200
Speaker 2: one at that time. McCaffrey as well, was Offensive Player

465
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:43,040
Speaker 2: of the Year, probably third favorite behind Chase and Jefferson.

466
00:23:43,359 --> 00:23:46,240
Speaker 2: He had an amazing game as well. But I gotta

467
00:23:46,280 --> 00:23:48,880
Speaker 2: say I got to pour one out for Deontay Johnson.

468
00:23:49,840 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 2: I don't know if this guy can catch a break

469
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,240
Speaker 2: like he went the entire year last year, didn't catch

470
00:23:54,240 --> 00:23:56,520
Speaker 2: a touchdown, had over one hundred targets. He was the

471
00:23:56,520 --> 00:23:59,080
Speaker 2: only player last year who had over one hundred targets,

472
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:01,880
Speaker 2: didn't catch a touchdown, and then in the second second

473
00:24:01,960 --> 00:24:04,399
Speaker 2: quarter he pulls his hamstring and he's probably gonna be

474
00:24:04,440 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 2: up for a few weeks at least, so the touchdown

475
00:24:06,359 --> 00:24:11,040
Speaker 2: streak will continue for the time being. The Eagles Patriots,

476
00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:14,880
Speaker 2: this game looked like it was gonna be a blowout

477
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 2: by the Eagles, and then the Patriots defense started to

478
00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:20,840
Speaker 2: tighten up a little bit, you know. But the Eagles

479
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 2: do end up victorious. They win twenty five to twenty.

480
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,000
Speaker 2: They do cover the three and a half and the

481
00:24:25,080 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 2: over forty four comes through. But the defense by the Patriots,

482
00:24:29,800 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 2: I thought they played pretty solid overall and only one

483
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:36,080
Speaker 2: touchdown allowed on offense for field goals, so they were

484
00:24:36,200 --> 00:24:38,960
Speaker 2: kind of letting Philadelphia kind of take what they wanted.

485
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:40,680
Speaker 2: But at the same time, they were really tight on them.

486
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,119
Speaker 2: I mean, they had one of the most beautiful stripsacks

487
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:46,960
Speaker 2: on Jalen Hurts. It's one of the best form tackles

488
00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:49,000
Speaker 2: I think I've ever seen in an NFL game, where

489
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:51,120
Speaker 2: it just the ball just popped out. But the Patriots

490
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,600
Speaker 2: had so many chances, they just couldn't get out of

491
00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,760
Speaker 2: their own way, and the slow start kind of killed them,

492
00:24:55,800 --> 00:24:57,919
Speaker 2: like that pick six early by Darius Lay. It kind

493
00:24:57,920 --> 00:25:00,280
Speaker 2: of ended up being the deciding factor. I mean, it

494
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,359
Speaker 2: wasn't really a great way to celebrate Brady Night in Foxborough.

495
00:25:04,880 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 3: I mean, one thing I will say it was a

496
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:09,159
Speaker 3: tail of both two apps. It just mac looked so

497
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:12,320
Speaker 3: terrible when they trailed sixteen to nothing, and you know,

498
00:25:12,359 --> 00:25:14,720
Speaker 3: the passes weren't there. He sailed one that went to

499
00:25:14,760 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 3: the interception, and then the comeback surprised me. Like I'm

500
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,200
Speaker 3: not a New England guy. And every show you were.

501
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:23,720
Speaker 2: You were adamant about how the Patriots you were very

502
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 2: down on them before the start of the year.

503
00:25:25,480 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 3: And you know, the Bills they proved me wrong. The

504
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:30,480
Speaker 3: Bills being O'Brien and you know, and Belichick, they just

505
00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:33,159
Speaker 3: you know, the offense looked decent. Henry looked good, they

506
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,200
Speaker 3: were you know, he was spreading a little bit. I mean,

507
00:25:35,359 --> 00:25:37,359
Speaker 3: I still don't, you know, I don't. I don't have

508
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:40,360
Speaker 3: faith in Mac, but in this game he looked good

509
00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:43,000
Speaker 3: against an Eagles defense, and obviously, you know, was a

510
00:25:43,040 --> 00:25:44,480
Speaker 3: cornerstone last year with Hurts.

511
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:47,560
Speaker 2: So yeah, absolutely. And I think the one thing too,

512
00:25:47,680 --> 00:25:50,639
Speaker 2: is you're seeing more and more from the Eagles defense

513
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:52,520
Speaker 2: of where they can be exposed. I feel like the

514
00:25:52,560 --> 00:25:55,840
Speaker 2: Patriots their defense. Other teams are going to look at

515
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:57,440
Speaker 2: that tape and kind of see how they were able

516
00:25:57,440 --> 00:26:00,880
Speaker 2: to neutralize Jalen Hurts and kind of keep him under wraps.

517
00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:03,239
Speaker 2: I mean, Hunter, Henry and Kendrick Borne just went up

518
00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:05,479
Speaker 2: the seam on this defense over and over again. They

519
00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:09,480
Speaker 2: combined for three touchdowns. But yeah, even at the end

520
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,560
Speaker 2: of the game, like that fumble by Jalen Hurts, the

521
00:26:12,560 --> 00:26:14,200
Speaker 2: they go for they get cute and go for it

522
00:26:14,240 --> 00:26:15,920
Speaker 2: on fourth down and they don't get it turn it

523
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,040
Speaker 2: over again. They gave the pass plenty of chances, So

524
00:26:18,920 --> 00:26:20,960
Speaker 2: I'm maybe not as down on the Patriots as you are,

525
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:24,800
Speaker 2: but I think I think they let one go against.

526
00:26:24,480 --> 00:26:26,679
Speaker 3: The But I think it was impressive, like both guards

527
00:26:26,680 --> 00:26:29,400
Speaker 3: were out and we saw that announcement before kickoff and

528
00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,120
Speaker 3: the Patriots were still in the game, So there's definitely

529
00:26:32,200 --> 00:26:35,359
Speaker 3: more upside than I think I thought initially. And you

530
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,280
Speaker 3: had the Zeke fumble. I mean, a lot of things

531
00:26:37,280 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 3: did end up going wrong, so I think the Patriots

532
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,440
Speaker 3: definitely should have covered, so it's a positive thing for them.

533
00:26:44,920 --> 00:26:48,919
Speaker 2: One final game that I found pretty fun just because

534
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:53,040
Speaker 2: of the irony was the Buccaneers and the Vikings. The

535
00:26:53,080 --> 00:26:56,280
Speaker 2: Buccaneers coming out with a win, they cover the plus

536
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,159
Speaker 2: four and they under also hits at forty four and

537
00:26:59,440 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 2: a half. And the reason why I found this game

538
00:27:02,440 --> 00:27:05,159
Speaker 2: so amusing, Evan is the Vikings finally lose a one

539
00:27:05,200 --> 00:27:08,160
Speaker 2: score game. This is the case of the Vikings getting Vikings,

540
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 2: you know what I mean. They outpaced the Bucks and

541
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:14,639
Speaker 2: passing yards, total first downs, third down efficiency didn't matter

542
00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:18,400
Speaker 2: because they just had some dumb turnovers. Kirk Cousins got

543
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,840
Speaker 2: stripped twice, throws an interception, and if you look at

544
00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 2: the rushing attack for the Vikings in this game, now

545
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,359
Speaker 2: you can give credit to Vitave and the defensive line

546
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:30,359
Speaker 2: being able to hold Outsander Madison and check. But like

547
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,440
Speaker 2: I know, the Vikings didn't want to pay Dalvin Cook.

548
00:27:32,480 --> 00:27:35,159
Speaker 2: But Madison didn't really do the many favors either, Like

549
00:27:35,240 --> 00:27:38,199
Speaker 2: he was around three yards for Carrie. They only rushed

550
00:27:38,200 --> 00:27:41,320
Speaker 2: for two first downs the entire game. I really think

551
00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,040
Speaker 2: that was the difference. And you really saw that in

552
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,840
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter when when the Vikings just couldn't convert

553
00:27:45,840 --> 00:27:46,600
Speaker 2: a third down.

554
00:27:46,920 --> 00:27:48,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, the one thing I noted was the

555
00:27:48,760 --> 00:27:51,360
Speaker 3: line movement. You know, it got all the way down

556
00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:54,440
Speaker 3: to like four. Everyone was telling themselves, Okay, it's time

557
00:27:54,480 --> 00:27:56,639
Speaker 3: to buy Minnesota. This is probably the best value you're

558
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:58,640
Speaker 3: going to get on the line. You know, you got

559
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:00,600
Speaker 3: to go in at this point, and they looked they

560
00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:03,480
Speaker 3: did almost nothing in the offseason to get better on defense,

561
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,840
Speaker 3: and I think they got exposed. Here one fun fact

562
00:28:06,880 --> 00:28:08,840
Speaker 3: that I wrote down, and I was curious your thoughts.

563
00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 3: So I ended up betting Godwin and Evans both to

564
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:15,320
Speaker 3: score touchdowns today, and obviously Evans gets in the end zone. Godwin,

565
00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 3: I said to myself, if I do that every single week,

566
00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:20,720
Speaker 3: I feel like I might turn a profit at some

567
00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,320
Speaker 3: point if you get plus money. I feel like Baker's

568
00:28:23,359 --> 00:28:25,440
Speaker 3: going to go to both of them like often as

569
00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:28,040
Speaker 3: he did today, and Evan seemed to be his more

570
00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:30,560
Speaker 3: favorite of targets. But I do find it I kind

571
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 3: of feel like Baker's going to be tossing it and

572
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:34,280
Speaker 3: I think, you know, Tampa's going to be in some

573
00:28:34,359 --> 00:28:37,600
Speaker 3: high scoring games potentially. So it was just one note

574
00:28:37,600 --> 00:28:37,880
Speaker 3: I had.

575
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:40,400
Speaker 2: I think it's a bit of calumn a column b

576
00:28:40,560 --> 00:28:44,480
Speaker 2: I think the Vikings defense probably let Baker look a

577
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:46,760
Speaker 2: little bit better than maybe that we're used to. But

578
00:28:46,840 --> 00:28:49,240
Speaker 2: also at the same time, if you look at the

579
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:51,800
Speaker 2: type of wide receivers that he's had in his career,

580
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:54,080
Speaker 2: these are easily the two best wide receivers that he's

581
00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 2: ever had. And I mean nothing against you know, America Cooper.

582
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,520
Speaker 2: You know, like, let's just be real, like the are

583
00:29:00,840 --> 00:29:02,960
Speaker 2: the best that he's had so far. So the fact

584
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,720
Speaker 2: that he has that, I think that forgives him a

585
00:29:04,760 --> 00:29:07,080
Speaker 2: little bit in that spot. But you're right, especially when

586
00:29:07,120 --> 00:29:09,280
Speaker 2: you're getting those guys around plus two hundred and plus

587
00:29:09,320 --> 00:29:12,080
Speaker 2: two twenty because normally those guys, when they were having

588
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:14,240
Speaker 2: Tom Brady as their quarterback, they'd be around plus one

589
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,960
Speaker 2: ten plus one twenty to convert at any time touchdown.

590
00:29:17,080 --> 00:29:19,680
Speaker 2: You put Baker a quarterback, you're getting way more value,

591
00:29:19,760 --> 00:29:23,640
Speaker 2: especially against a Vikings defense on the road. All right, Well,

592
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 2: we've got six games here at the bottom of the barrel.

593
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:27,960
Speaker 2: These are the games that you know, we're happy the

594
00:29:27,960 --> 00:29:30,400
Speaker 2: football's back will watch it, but at the same time,

595
00:29:31,120 --> 00:29:33,000
Speaker 2: it's a bunch of men, Like that's kind of how

596
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:35,280
Speaker 2: I felt. We'll start off with the Panthers Falcons here

597
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 2: and Panthers Falcons. Falcons win twenty four to ten. They

598
00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,360
Speaker 2: cover the three and a half fairly easy. Game goes

599
00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:46,600
Speaker 2: easily under I mean, Bijon looked great, but Tyler Alzier

600
00:29:46,920 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 2: is the man like he ran for two touchdowns and honestly,

601
00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,640
Speaker 2: the Panthers, from what we saw in the preseason. They

602
00:29:52,720 --> 00:29:55,480
Speaker 2: kind of looked how we thought, and the Falcons did

603
00:29:55,480 --> 00:29:56,960
Speaker 2: what they were supposed to do. They ran the ball

604
00:29:56,960 --> 00:30:00,160
Speaker 2: a lot, they ran it efficiently. And uh, number one

605
00:30:00,160 --> 00:30:02,240
Speaker 2: picks now all in fourteen and one straight up in

606
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:05,240
Speaker 2: their last fifteen years, fifteen games one and fourteen against

607
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,640
Speaker 2: the spread since two thousand and three. I mean, we've

608
00:30:07,640 --> 00:30:09,840
Speaker 2: got to go back to Derek Carr's brother, David Carr

609
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:12,360
Speaker 2: for the last one in two thousand and two.

610
00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 3: I don't know how much you can say about this game,

611
00:30:14,560 --> 00:30:16,720
Speaker 3: aside from like, I think many people got it right.

612
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:20,200
Speaker 3: I think everyone liked Atlanta. Atlanta's offense looked decent. Kyle

613
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,040
Speaker 3: Pitts didn't get enough targets. Like, we're back to reality,

614
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:24,960
Speaker 3: We're back to everything we've been wanting. And I think

615
00:30:25,000 --> 00:30:28,520
Speaker 3: the Monster of Alger and Bijon is going to be great.

616
00:30:28,760 --> 00:30:31,480
Speaker 3: I think, you know, I have Bijon in fantasy, you know.

617
00:30:31,560 --> 00:30:33,320
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna get his touchdowns. I think they're

618
00:30:33,320 --> 00:30:35,880
Speaker 3: gonna split it a lot. You mentioned the number one

619
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:39,600
Speaker 3: pickstat right now, five and one straight up and ats

620
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:43,960
Speaker 3: in week one, So not great there, and uh, that's it.

621
00:30:44,320 --> 00:30:46,760
Speaker 3: I think the interesting thing Atlanta being a dog next

622
00:30:46,760 --> 00:30:49,680
Speaker 3: week against Green Bay, so at home, so getting all right,

623
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 3: it's only like a point point and a half now,

624
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:53,160
Speaker 3: so we'll see how that goes.

625
00:30:53,160 --> 00:30:55,000
Speaker 2: Well in the speak of the people getting it right,

626
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,760
Speaker 2: I'm not sure if the majority of people who were

627
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:02,240
Speaker 2: thinking about the Houston Texas since renaissance were maybe on

628
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 2: the same wavelength here because Baltimore just took care of business.

629
00:31:05,880 --> 00:31:08,560
Speaker 2: They win twenty five to nine, They cover the nine

630
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,479
Speaker 2: and a half, where they cover the ten depending on

631
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:14,040
Speaker 2: what you had. The undergoes under forty three and a

632
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:18,200
Speaker 2: half hits fairly easily. Honestly, it wouldn't be a Ravens

633
00:31:18,280 --> 00:31:21,800
Speaker 2: game without a running back injury and a random running

634
00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:24,560
Speaker 2: back touchdown score. You know, Justice Hill, he hits at

635
00:31:24,840 --> 00:31:28,080
Speaker 2: twelve to one, right after JK. Dobbins who scores an

636
00:31:28,080 --> 00:31:31,600
Speaker 2: amazing spinning touchdown, and then the next drive Terrace's Achilles.

637
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:35,560
Speaker 2: So that's really unfortunate. Now, and Raven's now twelve and

638
00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:37,880
Speaker 2: four against the spread in Week ones, and this is

639
00:31:37,920 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 2: right from your data most profitable Week one coach in

640
00:31:41,120 --> 00:31:42,440
Speaker 2: our bet Labs database.

641
00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:44,760
Speaker 3: Yeah, the only thing I got to say with Baltimore

642
00:31:44,760 --> 00:31:49,480
Speaker 3: aside from everything is just injuries. Just stinks, just sucks. Dobbins,

643
00:31:50,000 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 3: Stanley Williams just not good, especially going into a Cincinnati

644
00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,520
Speaker 3: game next week. And the great thing for Baltimore on

645
00:31:57,520 --> 00:32:01,400
Speaker 3: the other side was Flowers nine receptions, targets over two

646
00:32:01,400 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 3: and a half receptions, very easy, but he looked like

647
00:32:04,040 --> 00:32:07,240
Speaker 3: a big part of the offense. So gotta like that

648
00:32:07,320 --> 00:32:07,959
Speaker 3: going forward.

649
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 2: Cardinals Commanders, A lot of people like myself have the

650
00:32:11,720 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 2: Cardinals finishing with the worst record and they're on their way.

651
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 2: But they did cover the spread. They did lose, but

652
00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,040
Speaker 2: it was twenty to sixteen four the Commanders, and the

653
00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 2: total does go under. This game was a tough watch man.

654
00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,880
Speaker 2: Did you find anything from this game that entertained you

655
00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 2: at all other than the fact that Ron Rivera should

656
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:31,480
Speaker 2: probably be the first coach fired.

657
00:32:31,680 --> 00:32:33,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, God, that needs to end right now. That was

658
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:36,240
Speaker 3: honestly one of my notes. But Arizona fewest tickets of

659
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:38,480
Speaker 3: any game today, so obviously they get the cover for

660
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:42,600
Speaker 3: anyone who is dangerous enough to go in there. Howells line,

661
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 3: they looked awfully, got sacked six times, so that might

662
00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,560
Speaker 3: be something to look at going forward. And just one

663
00:32:47,560 --> 00:32:51,120
Speaker 3: fun stat under in Commander's home games now nineteen to

664
00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:55,520
Speaker 3: five and one last twenty five, so that's interesting going forward.

665
00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:58,560
Speaker 2: And Sam Haw did end up scoring a touchdown in

666
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,320
Speaker 2: that game. He was around plus two fifty for at

667
00:33:01,320 --> 00:33:05,680
Speaker 2: anytime touchdown in the AFC. West Raiders Broncos have a

668
00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:10,280
Speaker 2: nice little matchup maybe on paper, but finished result was

669
00:33:10,480 --> 00:33:14,200
Speaker 2: seventeen to sixteen for the Raiders. Raiders win as outright

670
00:33:14,280 --> 00:33:18,960
Speaker 2: dog undergoes forty three. I mean, Evan, the game started exciting,

671
00:33:19,640 --> 00:33:23,760
Speaker 2: you know, the Broncos go for go for a kickoff

672
00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 2: fake right off the hop, which is right up my alley.

673
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,040
Speaker 2: I love that kind of stuff. But after that, nothing

674
00:33:29,040 --> 00:33:31,600
Speaker 2: really happened. It felt like, honestly the same old Broncos.

675
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,480
Speaker 2: For anybody who listened to this podcast last year, we

676
00:33:33,480 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 2: always had the Broncos at the back end of the

677
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 2: pod because it was always the least interesting game because

678
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,280
Speaker 2: nothing ever happened. And Russell Wilson, yeah, he's sure he

679
00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:43,280
Speaker 2: had a higher completion percentage, but same thing like we

680
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:46,040
Speaker 2: were talking about with Deshaun Watson, just this conservative play

681
00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:48,360
Speaker 2: call where they never want to really throw it past

682
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,200
Speaker 2: five yards. You gotta let Russ Cook if you're gonna

683
00:33:51,200 --> 00:33:52,560
Speaker 2: pay him that kind of money, you gotta let him

684
00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: throw it downfield. Packers. Bears didn't really take long for

685
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,120
Speaker 2: the Justin Field type to go off the rails, right.

686
00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:02,080
Speaker 2: That was a like the Backers win thirty eight to

687
00:34:02,120 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 2: twenty win as a road dog, just own the Bears

688
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 2: continuously over forty and a half, very easily. Jordan Love

689
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:14,600
Speaker 2: has three passing touchdowns. Were you impressed with Love's Week

690
00:34:14,680 --> 00:34:17,120
Speaker 2: one debut? I guess with the Packers.

691
00:34:16,880 --> 00:34:20,359
Speaker 3: If yeah, really interesting? For yeah, I mean, I just

692
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:22,239
Speaker 3: have to look at it like he had no interceptions.

693
00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:25,560
Speaker 3: The Bears defense looked just terrible at times as they

694
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,279
Speaker 3: were allowing a Love to do anything. I just dug

695
00:34:28,360 --> 00:34:31,600
Speaker 3: up one fun stat so Green Bay quarterbacks three plus

696
00:34:31,680 --> 00:34:35,200
Speaker 3: passing touchdowns, zero interceptions against the Bears. Rogers did it

697
00:34:35,200 --> 00:34:38,279
Speaker 3: eleven times, Farve did it twice, and now Jordan Love

698
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:41,600
Speaker 3: it's just terrible now twelve twenty nine and one against

699
00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,320
Speaker 3: the spread against the Packers over the last twenty years,

700
00:34:44,560 --> 00:34:47,080
Speaker 3: at some point, Fields has to win games.

701
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:49,640
Speaker 2: I think it was almost like clockwork with Justin Field's

702
00:34:49,640 --> 00:34:52,279
Speaker 2: throwing an interception. He has now thrown an interception in

703
00:34:52,400 --> 00:34:54,960
Speaker 2: all five games that he has played against the Green

704
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:58,279
Speaker 2: Bay Packers. He was around minus one fifteen and if

705
00:34:58,320 --> 00:35:00,239
Speaker 2: you had the over, that pick six and the fourth

706
00:35:00,320 --> 00:35:02,840
Speaker 2: quarter essentially sealed it. And then they ended up scoring

707
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:06,560
Speaker 2: another touchdown as well to put the total over. But yeah,

708
00:35:06,560 --> 00:35:08,560
Speaker 2: I wouldn't have had. Jordan Love is one of two

709
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:11,239
Speaker 2: quarterbacks to throw three touchdowns today. I think that really

710
00:35:11,280 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 2: shocked me. Here, let's wrap it up here, Rams Seahawks,

711
00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:20,640
Speaker 2: I mean Seahawks. They just got run over by the Rams.

712
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:24,120
Speaker 2: Rams went thirty to thirteen, win as four and a

713
00:35:24,120 --> 00:35:27,399
Speaker 2: half point underdogs. The under comes through at forty four

714
00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:29,640
Speaker 2: and a half. Did you watch much of this one?

715
00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:32,479
Speaker 3: I watched a little bit of it. The only notes

716
00:35:32,520 --> 00:35:36,400
Speaker 3: here Kyroen and Akers both scored, so I seemed like

717
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:39,320
Speaker 3: they're going to be a dual backfield there. But anybody

718
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,120
Speaker 3: who had Pooka this week? I mean, what like without

719
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:47,759
Speaker 3: Coop there, Cooper Cup there fifteen targets for Puka, so

720
00:35:48,280 --> 00:35:50,359
Speaker 3: just nuts just looking at his way him and at

721
00:35:50,360 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 3: well were amazing. And the one good trend. McVeigh continues

722
00:35:55,440 --> 00:35:59,400
Speaker 3: to dominate Pe Carroll ten and four against the spread,

723
00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:03,000
Speaker 3: covering nine of his last ten against Pete.

724
00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:06,280
Speaker 2: And Gino Smith. The passing game just was not working

725
00:36:06,280 --> 00:36:08,120
Speaker 2: at all yet Of course, we saw a touchdown at

726
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:10,799
Speaker 2: DK Metcalf, but that was about it. They couldn't really

727
00:36:10,800 --> 00:36:13,520
Speaker 2: get anything going offensively. They were missing some key guys

728
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:16,479
Speaker 2: on defense as well, and I think we were talking

729
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:19,080
Speaker 2: about keeping a clean in the pocket. Matt Stafford had

730
00:36:19,120 --> 00:36:21,120
Speaker 2: the highest odds to throw an interception this week. Use

731
00:36:21,160 --> 00:36:24,080
Speaker 2: that minus one sixty kept it clean and they bled

732
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:26,920
Speaker 2: the clock pretty much the entire game. Really, we're in control,

733
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,359
Speaker 2: so the Rams start off with a win. Seahawks now

734
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:34,040
Speaker 2: have a uphill battle to climb. The NFL is back,

735
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752
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760
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762
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763
00:38:33,640 --> 00:38:37,279
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764
00:38:37,400 --> 00:38:41,960
Speaker 2: other states where prohibited promotional offers not available in Nevada

765
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,360
Speaker 2: and New York. And now we welcome in Patrick Everson

766
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,760
Speaker 2: from Vegas Insider. He is our boots on the ground

767
00:38:48,880 --> 00:38:52,520
Speaker 2: in Las Vegas and is very in tune with the

768
00:38:52,560 --> 00:38:56,000
Speaker 2: local sports betting scene. Now, Patrick, from your vibe and

769
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 2: the people that you've been speaking with, how did the

770
00:38:57,480 --> 00:39:00,880
Speaker 2: books do overall for this first NFL Sunday of the season.

771
00:39:01,200 --> 00:39:02,399
Speaker 2: I think it was a mixed bag.

772
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,680
Speaker 1: I didn't hear anything that like the public got over

773
00:39:04,719 --> 00:39:06,600
Speaker 1: on the books, because generally if the public does well,

774
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:09,960
Speaker 1: then the books do not do well, especially when it

775
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:13,560
Speaker 1: comes to the NFL, because parlays, and especially moneyline parlays

776
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:15,880
Speaker 1: are so popular, they roll those from favorite to favorite

777
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:18,479
Speaker 1: all day long, and probably would have rolled them into

778
00:39:18,560 --> 00:39:22,040
Speaker 1: Dallas tonight in all likelihood, Tomorrow is kind of interesting.

779
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,040
Speaker 1: You know, we'll have to see, you know, what survived

780
00:39:24,040 --> 00:39:26,160
Speaker 1: today to roll into tomorrow because there's certainly a lot

781
00:39:26,200 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 1: of public attention on the Jets, even though they are

782
00:39:28,480 --> 00:39:31,560
Speaker 1: the dog on Monday Night Football with the Buffalo Bills,

783
00:39:31,560 --> 00:39:31,920
Speaker 1: but it.

784
00:39:31,960 --> 00:39:34,880
Speaker 2: Sounded like kind of a kind of an up and

785
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:35,520
Speaker 2: down day.

786
00:39:35,800 --> 00:39:39,160
Speaker 1: One odds maker I spoke with pointing to the Patriots

787
00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:42,680
Speaker 1: the Eagles Patriots game as the Patriots being a big,

788
00:39:42,719 --> 00:39:45,399
Speaker 1: big need and that's despite there was sharp play coming

789
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,480
Speaker 1: in on the Patriots throughout the past week and multiple

790
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:50,960
Speaker 1: books they acknowledged this, And one odds maker said, even

791
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,080
Speaker 1: with the sharp play, obviously the public tends to overwhelm that,

792
00:39:54,160 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 1: and they had a lot of sharp play on New England.

793
00:39:56,360 --> 00:39:58,680
Speaker 1: Took that line down I believe as low as three

794
00:39:58,719 --> 00:40:01,840
Speaker 1: and a half even money on the Eagles, but the

795
00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:04,719
Speaker 1: book still needed New England because Philly was getting a

796
00:40:04,760 --> 00:40:07,160
Speaker 1: ton ton ton of public play, and Philly ultimately got

797
00:40:07,200 --> 00:40:10,120
Speaker 1: there and covered that final number. But I think one

798
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:13,000
Speaker 1: of the more interesting games that multiple oddsmakers talked about,

799
00:40:13,040 --> 00:40:16,680
Speaker 1: including the folks at BETMGM, was this Cardinal's Commander's Game.

800
00:40:16,760 --> 00:40:21,399
Speaker 1: There is such a tremendous anti Cardinals sentiment this season

801
00:40:21,520 --> 00:40:25,520
Speaker 1: Hill and its as bad as people perhaps expect the

802
00:40:25,560 --> 00:40:29,520
Speaker 1: Commanders to be, or at least not great, They're gonna ride.

803
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:32,239
Speaker 1: They were riding the Commanders like crazy. Scott Sheldon with

804
00:40:32,280 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 1: bet MGM Nevada. He's been behind the counter at BETEMGM

805
00:40:34,640 --> 00:40:37,399
Speaker 1: Nevada here for years. He told me late Saturday night,

806
00:40:37,440 --> 00:40:40,759
Speaker 1: He's like, I can't believe that the Commanders are a

807
00:40:40,800 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 1: seven point favorite against any professional team, but they were,

808
00:40:45,600 --> 00:40:48,240
Speaker 1: And in fact BETMGM here in Nevada took a significant

809
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:51,200
Speaker 1: six figure play on the Commanders at minus seven and

810
00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:54,000
Speaker 1: the Commanders did not get there. The Cardinals end up

811
00:40:54,080 --> 00:40:56,160
Speaker 1: covering the number, and that was really huge. There was

812
00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 1: one odds maker that told me they just they really

813
00:40:58,520 --> 00:41:03,120
Speaker 1: needed They couldn't have the Cardinals money line because for

814
00:41:03,160 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 1: whatever reason, this particular odds maker was seeing a lot

815
00:41:05,480 --> 00:41:07,440
Speaker 1: of action on Cardinals money line. As bad as the

816
00:41:07,440 --> 00:41:09,680
Speaker 1: Cardinals are expected to be, and with the fact that

817
00:41:09,719 --> 00:41:11,839
Speaker 1: it looks like they're tanking before the season, he would

818
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:15,760
Speaker 1: be kids. But they were all over Washington on the spread,

819
00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,440
Speaker 1: and he said, we just needed Washington by one to six.

820
00:41:19,960 --> 00:41:22,760
Speaker 1: So it turned out to be a really good result

821
00:41:23,120 --> 00:41:25,319
Speaker 1: for that particular odds maker and probably for most odds

822
00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:28,239
Speaker 1: makers that Washington ended up not covering that number in

823
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:29,080
Speaker 1: a four point win.

824
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:32,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, the fact that Washington was not able to cover

825
00:41:32,920 --> 00:41:37,120
Speaker 2: despite scoring two touchdowns while the Cardinals only scored one

826
00:41:37,160 --> 00:41:41,280
Speaker 2: touchdown that was not an offensive touchdown. Again, still boggles

827
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:44,480
Speaker 2: my mind. The Monday game, though, a lot of people,

828
00:41:44,680 --> 00:41:47,879
Speaker 2: especially if they were struggling with today, maybe they didn't

829
00:41:47,920 --> 00:41:49,800
Speaker 2: they weren't on the right side of that kind of result,

830
00:41:50,800 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 2: are going to be starting to look at the Bills

831
00:41:52,480 --> 00:41:56,239
Speaker 2: and Jets. Now Bill's sitting there around minus two. Are

832
00:41:56,280 --> 00:41:58,919
Speaker 2: we seeing any early action already for Monday's game?

833
00:42:00,120 --> 00:42:03,879
Speaker 1: Definitely, and mainly because it's such a I mean, Monday

834
00:42:03,920 --> 00:42:05,560
Speaker 1: night football is always going to be popular, but this

835
00:42:05,600 --> 00:42:08,239
Speaker 1: is at another level. You've got Aaron Rodgers joining his

836
00:42:08,280 --> 00:42:11,080
Speaker 1: new team. They were on hard knocks, which obviously is

837
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:14,320
Speaker 1: going to generate a betting boost, you know, usually for

838
00:42:14,400 --> 00:42:16,640
Speaker 1: the participant in hard knocks. It had that effect last

839
00:42:16,719 --> 00:42:20,400
Speaker 1: year on the Detroit Lions. So there's definitely activity on

840
00:42:20,440 --> 00:42:22,200
Speaker 1: this game. It's going to get a lot heavier over

841
00:42:22,239 --> 00:42:26,120
Speaker 1: the course of the day Monday. But from BETMGM earlier Sunday,

842
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,680
Speaker 1: you know, well in advance of kickoff on this game,

843
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,960
Speaker 1: it was the lead was actually toward the Bills about

844
00:42:31,960 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 1: two to one tickets and about sixty percent of money

845
00:42:34,320 --> 00:42:37,240
Speaker 1: on the bills on the spread, helping take that number

846
00:42:37,239 --> 00:42:38,960
Speaker 1: from minus one and a half to minus two and

847
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,319
Speaker 1: a half. And I know from talking from some oddsmakers,

848
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 1: and you know, perhaps to reiterate with with people listening

849
00:42:44,640 --> 00:42:47,160
Speaker 1: and watching, these numbers have been bet into, These lines

850
00:42:47,160 --> 00:42:48,879
Speaker 1: have been been into for months. Some of these games

851
00:42:48,880 --> 00:42:51,080
Speaker 1: have been up since May, depending on the on the

852
00:42:51,080 --> 00:42:53,439
Speaker 1: book you're checking at, but they've certainly been up since

853
00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:56,440
Speaker 1: May at bet MGM. And there was some sharp play

854
00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 1: early on that helped push Buffalo up a little bit,

855
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:01,160
Speaker 1: but it's been pretty stable in like that two and

856
00:43:01,200 --> 00:43:03,400
Speaker 1: a half range. And I do think it's going to

857
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:08,280
Speaker 1: be interesting tomorrow, Jill. I just can't see Aaron Rodgers

858
00:43:08,320 --> 00:43:10,960
Speaker 1: not taking some more public money, getting a little more support. Now.

859
00:43:11,000 --> 00:43:14,399
Speaker 1: Maybe he won't, but it seems like this should get

860
00:43:14,440 --> 00:43:17,840
Speaker 1: closer to two way play and I wouldn't be surprised.

861
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:21,600
Speaker 1: And in fact, and looking at benham Gym's numbers from earlier today,

862
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:25,360
Speaker 1: earlier Sunday as we speak to you, they were playing

863
00:43:25,360 --> 00:43:26,920
Speaker 1: the Jets a little bit more than the Bills on

864
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:29,080
Speaker 1: the money line. So they're liking that plus money on

865
00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:31,240
Speaker 1: the Jets with Aaron Rodgers, and maybe that's the direction

866
00:43:31,680 --> 00:43:33,319
Speaker 1: they'll decide to go. Maybe it's going to be a

867
00:43:33,360 --> 00:43:36,000
Speaker 1: case where and this isn't unusual, as I'm sure you

868
00:43:36,080 --> 00:43:39,399
Speaker 1: and everybody else knows who listens to you, they might

869
00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:41,480
Speaker 1: be in a position where they would love just to

870
00:43:41,640 --> 00:43:46,000
Speaker 1: really slim Bills win and a Jets cover to knock

871
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:49,240
Speaker 1: out the Bills spread liability and any of the Jets

872
00:43:49,560 --> 00:43:50,799
Speaker 1: moneyline liability.

873
00:43:51,040 --> 00:43:53,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, And it seems like with this kind of game

874
00:43:54,760 --> 00:43:57,600
Speaker 2: from a public standpoint, Buffalo has always been a very

875
00:43:57,600 --> 00:44:00,800
Speaker 2: public team, especially since Josh Allen is and quarterback. But

876
00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 2: when you've got that hard knocks team on the other

877
00:44:03,320 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 2: side and Aaron Rodgers, I'm with you, it feels like

878
00:44:06,160 --> 00:44:08,600
Speaker 2: the tickets and handle will probably end up being split,

879
00:44:08,640 --> 00:44:12,680
Speaker 2: with probably pros going more on the Buffalo side. Early

880
00:44:12,719 --> 00:44:15,000
Speaker 2: look at Week two, Patrick, Any game next week that's

881
00:44:15,040 --> 00:44:18,200
Speaker 2: already seeing early line movement, sharp action, anything that we

882
00:44:18,200 --> 00:44:21,480
Speaker 2: can look at already for week two, Yeah, definitely.

883
00:44:21,560 --> 00:44:23,680
Speaker 1: I talked with one odds maker this evening Sunday night

884
00:44:23,719 --> 00:44:26,880
Speaker 1: as I speak to you, and there's definitely already some activities,

885
00:44:27,120 --> 00:44:30,719
Speaker 1: some interesting really kind of changes from last week's look

886
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:33,520
Speaker 1: ahead lines, and I think the most interesting one is

887
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:37,360
Speaker 1: with the Kansas City Chiefs since they lost at home

888
00:44:37,520 --> 00:44:42,000
Speaker 1: in Week one to the Detroit Lions. So that one's interesting,

889
00:44:42,040 --> 00:44:44,040
Speaker 1: and I'm going back to my comments on this right now.

890
00:44:44,520 --> 00:44:46,920
Speaker 1: And what happened there was they had the Chiefs minus

891
00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:49,040
Speaker 1: three on the look ahead line against Jacksonville.

892
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:51,279
Speaker 3: This is Chiefs at Jacksonville.

893
00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,000
Speaker 1: So it's a rematch of an AFC Divisional round playoff

894
00:44:54,040 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 1: game last year that the Chiefs won but the Jags covered.

895
00:44:57,680 --> 00:45:00,080
Speaker 1: So the Chiefs for three on the look aheadline, and

896
00:45:00,080 --> 00:45:02,840
Speaker 1: this oddsmaker said, we reopened two and a half Chiefs

897
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:07,280
Speaker 1: after casees perceived struggles in the Thursday night game against Detroit.

898
00:45:07,280 --> 00:45:08,560
Speaker 1: And no, obviously you've got to give the lines some

899
00:45:08,600 --> 00:45:10,680
Speaker 1: credit there, but they did see they felt like the

900
00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:15,800
Speaker 1: Chiefs struggled. Where this goes from here, you know, obviously

901
00:45:15,920 --> 00:45:19,040
Speaker 1: is going to depend to some degree on Travis Kelcey.

902
00:45:19,640 --> 00:45:21,560
Speaker 1: You know what his outlook is over the course of

903
00:45:21,560 --> 00:45:23,720
Speaker 1: the next few days, the reports on him coming back.

904
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:27,800
Speaker 1: But what they felt, this oddsmaker felt reopening at three

905
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:30,040
Speaker 1: on the road with the Chiefs, they thought that might

906
00:45:30,040 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 1: have brought welcomed in too much of the sharp money

907
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:36,040
Speaker 1: right out of the gate. That said they totally expect

908
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,440
Speaker 1: the public to load up on Kansas City as usual,

909
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,839
Speaker 1: especially as I alluded to a moment ago, if there's

910
00:45:40,880 --> 00:45:43,920
Speaker 1: positive news on Travis Kelsey's health and he's got more

911
00:45:43,920 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 1: time to get well too. Remember the Chiefs were in

912
00:45:46,080 --> 00:45:48,040
Speaker 1: the Thursday night game. I don't have to play AU

913
00:45:48,080 --> 00:45:49,960
Speaker 1: until Sunday, so they get a couple of extra days.

914
00:45:50,160 --> 00:45:52,680
Speaker 2: All right, Well, Patrick, thank you again for joining me.

915
00:45:52,719 --> 00:45:54,600
Speaker 2: We'll have you back next week. Love to get a

916
00:45:54,640 --> 00:45:56,520
Speaker 2: little bit more of the pulse in Vegas. That is

917
00:45:56,560 --> 00:46:00,000
Speaker 2: Patrick Everson from Vegas Insider. Thank you, you bet, thank you.

918
00:46:00,320 --> 00:46:02,279
Speaker 2: And now I want to thank everybody for listening to

919
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:06,920
Speaker 2: the Action Network podcast presented by MGM. Enjoy Monday Night

920
00:46:06,920 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 2: Football and keep an eye over all of our NFL

921
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:25,280
Speaker 2: Week two podcasts right here on the Action Network.

922
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:30,920
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

923
00:46:30,960 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

924
00:46:33,760 --> 00:46:36,880
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler