1 00:00:01,360 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Bloomberg Markets Podcast. I'm Paul Sweney. Along 2 00:00:04,120 --> 00:00:06,200 Speaker 1: with my co host of Bonnie Quinn. Every business day 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 1: we bring you interviews from CEOs, market pros, and Bloomberg experts, 4 00:00:10,400 --> 00:00:13,600 Speaker 1: along with essential market moving news. Find the Bloomberg Markets 5 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: Podcast on Apple Podcasts or wherever you listen to podcasts, 6 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:22,040 Speaker 1: and on Bloomberg dot com. In the Business Roundtable, an 7 00:00:22,160 --> 00:00:25,760 Speaker 1: organization of nearly two hundred CEOs change its core statement 8 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: on the purpose of a corporation. For two decades, it 9 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:33,720 Speaker 1: has said that companies should primarily strive to maximize shareholder returns. 10 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:36,800 Speaker 1: Its new statement, however, called on companies to deliver value 11 00:00:36,840 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 1: to all stakeholders beyond shareholders. Our next guest has a 12 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 1: fascinating column out on this topic. Joe No Sarah Bloomberg 13 00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 1: Opinion Commis is out with a fascinating colum that's getting 14 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: a lot of attention on Wall Street and beyond. Joe 15 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: talked to us about this concept here of stakeholders above 16 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: and beyond perhaps just shareholders, and how that whole discussion 17 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: maybe changing as a result of this pandemic. Wait, it's 18 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: getting a lot of attention on Wall Street. Yes, sir, 19 00:01:07,440 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 1: nice to know, so, Joe. I mean, it's just it's 20 00:01:11,040 --> 00:01:13,680 Speaker 1: fascinating here. I mean, you know again we you know, 21 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:15,559 Speaker 1: when I went to business school, it was all about 22 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:21,319 Speaker 1: maximizing shareholder returns. Maximize. And I was in the room 23 00:01:21,360 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: when the phrase was invented. I was in the I 24 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,360 Speaker 1: was in the Worldife Fast Story in two June, watching 25 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:31,759 Speaker 1: Boone Pickens try and take over his first city services, 26 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: first big takeover play. Yeah, that that was. It's how's 27 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,920 Speaker 1: what's changing here? If anything? Well, you know what, what 28 00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:43,880 Speaker 1: you gotta remember, maximizing shareholder value has not always been 29 00:01:45,000 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: you know, the synequa non of of of American business. 30 00:01:48,320 --> 00:01:51,960 Speaker 1: It hasn't been um you know, in in in in 31 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 1: the thirties and the forties and the fifties and the sixties. Uh, 32 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:01,960 Speaker 1: companies viewed themselves as having a wide range of constituents 33 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:06,600 Speaker 1: of whom shareholders were one. I mean, I remember, well 34 00:02:06,640 --> 00:02:10,880 Speaker 1: I don't really remember, but GE had before Jack weltch Um, 35 00:02:11,000 --> 00:02:15,240 Speaker 1: Red Red Jones the CEO. You know, he was considered 36 00:02:15,840 --> 00:02:18,920 Speaker 1: the most important CEO of his time. And in the 37 00:02:18,960 --> 00:02:21,119 Speaker 1: ten years he had the job, the stock went down nine. 38 00:02:22,720 --> 00:02:26,600 Speaker 1: It was a different world. So so yeah, maximizing shareholder value. 39 00:02:26,639 --> 00:02:29,080 Speaker 1: There was no question that more emphasis needed to be 40 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:31,840 Speaker 1: put on shareholders, no question at all. And there's no 41 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:35,880 Speaker 1: question that companies needed to, you know, get leader and meaner. 42 00:02:35,919 --> 00:02:37,440 Speaker 1: There was a lot of fact there was a lot 43 00:02:37,520 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 1: of sluggishness, and we were letting um uh arrivals from 44 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,519 Speaker 1: abroad eat our lunch and autos and other and other areas. 45 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 1: But now the pendulum swung too far and it got 46 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:53,800 Speaker 1: that gave us Enron, and it gave us drug prices 47 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: that that that never stopped going up, and it gave 48 00:02:56,840 --> 00:02:59,640 Speaker 1: us you know, the Bowling seven thirty seven max, which 49 00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: is definitely directly related to wanting to keep the stock 50 00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,440 Speaker 1: stock price high at board and so, and then you 51 00:03:07,520 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: have the pandemic where companies really had to step up 52 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,560 Speaker 1: and think about their employees and think about the country 53 00:03:15,639 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 1: and what they could do for the country. And that 54 00:03:17,760 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 1: and that um sentiment is kind of closer to what 55 00:03:22,200 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: happened in the sixties and the fifties than it is 56 00:03:25,360 --> 00:03:28,400 Speaker 1: to maximizing shareholder value. And the argument that I make 57 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 1: in my column is that if you want to get 58 00:03:31,000 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: rid of income intequality or reduce it and get back 59 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 1: to a country that has good middle class jobs and 60 00:03:38,840 --> 00:03:41,440 Speaker 1: a sense for people that they can they can do 61 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:43,680 Speaker 1: better in life than their parents, or they can do 62 00:03:43,760 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: well in life. You know, you just can't focus on shareholders. 63 00:03:48,040 --> 00:03:50,400 Speaker 1: You have to as you know, you have to think 64 00:03:50,400 --> 00:03:53,720 Speaker 1: of other things, broader things. And I think what we've 65 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:57,360 Speaker 1: discovered over this time of this pandemic and even a 66 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 1: little earlier, is that a lot of corporate executive have 67 00:04:00,480 --> 00:04:03,800 Speaker 1: come to understand that and have come to realize that 68 00:04:03,880 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 1: you can't have a narrow slice of the country doing 69 00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:08,920 Speaker 1: well and everybody else doing poorly. As I recall, this 70 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 1: was a theme a Devil as well. It was stakeholders 71 00:04:13,640 --> 00:04:16,599 Speaker 1: for a cohesive and sustainable world. So it sounds like 72 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 1: all of these organizations doubles the Business round Table, they're 73 00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: look like the Supreme Court. They sort of go where 74 00:04:21,800 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 1: the public mood needs them to go at some point. So, Joe, 75 00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:31,080 Speaker 1: what happens now? How does you know David Solomon and 76 00:04:31,360 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: Jamie Diamond and all of these people, you know, make 77 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 1: that a reality or will it be up to these 78 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:39,920 Speaker 1: new regulators that we're hearing a lot about. Well, I 79 00:04:39,960 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: don't really think a lot of companies are going to 80 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,920 Speaker 1: do this completely on their own without some kind of 81 00:04:46,960 --> 00:04:51,320 Speaker 1: prompting UM. So, you know, I think it's I think Biden, 82 00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: I think this is something Joe Biden should talk about. 83 00:04:54,160 --> 00:04:58,240 Speaker 1: But I also think it's something that the administration can 84 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:01,719 Speaker 1: take some steps to create an sent ups UM. It 85 00:05:01,839 --> 00:05:04,320 Speaker 1: can create tax in centers for factories built in the 86 00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:07,160 Speaker 1: US or percentage of the workforce that stays and that 87 00:05:07,160 --> 00:05:09,719 Speaker 1: that stays UH in the US. It can use the 88 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: Defense Production Act to um UH to force a certain 89 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:18,159 Speaker 1: amount of manufacturing in the U S a natural security ground. 90 00:05:18,240 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 1: For instance, you know it was in nuts that we 91 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:24,279 Speaker 1: had no in masks that except for three M everything 92 00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:27,400 Speaker 1: else was made in China. UM. So that's another sort 93 00:05:27,400 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: of thing you can do. Infrastructure I think could be 94 00:05:29,760 --> 00:05:34,520 Speaker 1: huge because if they actually had an infrastructure program, they 95 00:05:34,520 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 1: could set a wage for workers that would be very 96 00:05:38,120 --> 00:05:41,280 Speaker 1: attractive and that companies would have to match if they 97 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:44,680 Speaker 1: wanted to keep their employees. UM So, you know. I 98 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: and by the way, the fifteen dollar minimum wage I 99 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:50,400 Speaker 1: think has the potential to be huge if that If 100 00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:53,720 Speaker 1: that becomes long, Joe and your columny talk talk to 101 00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:58,120 Speaker 1: us about a company named demo Tech. Is the story there? Oh? 102 00:05:58,160 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 1: So Demotech is a is a families, small family owned 103 00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:05,000 Speaker 1: company in Miami, and they make surgical supply suitors and 104 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: things like that. So the pandemic comes along and they 105 00:06:08,360 --> 00:06:12,920 Speaker 1: realized there's a huge shortage of PPE personal protection equipment, 106 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: and so they hire a bunch of people, six hundred people, 107 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:19,240 Speaker 1: and they invest millions of dollars and they kind of 108 00:06:19,240 --> 00:06:24,279 Speaker 1: set up a PPE division. Um uh, you know, yeah, 109 00:06:24,320 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 1: they want to make money, but it was a lot 110 00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,359 Speaker 1: of it. The motivation was to help the country because 111 00:06:28,360 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 1: they could see in Miami and Florida and elsewhere, hospitals 112 00:06:31,520 --> 00:06:35,600 Speaker 1: didn't have the stuff they needed. And um, once to 113 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 1: get approval by the FDA, things went really well all 114 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,920 Speaker 1: summer long. But when I talked to the Demotech executives, 115 00:06:42,560 --> 00:06:46,479 Speaker 1: they told me that already the buyers were starting many 116 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 1: of the buyers were starting to shift their buying back 117 00:06:49,200 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 1: to China. And that's exactly the kind of thinking that 118 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 1: is really destructive, you know, because what they're doing is 119 00:06:56,040 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 1: that they're sacrificing the security of having an American made 120 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:05,599 Speaker 1: product for the you know, the price, the cheaper price 121 00:07:05,640 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: they can get from China. That's exactly what it got 122 00:07:08,400 --> 00:07:10,480 Speaker 1: us into this problem in the In the first place, 123 00:07:10,560 --> 00:07:14,880 Speaker 1: and so um the guy from Dynetech basically said, if 124 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,480 Speaker 1: I don't, if the government doesn't get involved here, I'm 125 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:19,040 Speaker 1: not gonna be able to stay in this business because 126 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,280 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have any customers left. And I think 127 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,440 Speaker 1: that's tragic, both in terms of the jobs that they 128 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:26,920 Speaker 1: created and also in terms of the national security implications 129 00:07:27,000 --> 00:07:30,320 Speaker 1: that we have discovered during this pandemic. Who do you 130 00:07:30,360 --> 00:07:32,440 Speaker 1: see taking a lead on this show? I mean, will 131 00:07:32,440 --> 00:07:37,080 Speaker 1: the likes of Jeff Bezos do something? I doubt I be, 132 00:07:37,480 --> 00:07:41,640 Speaker 1: but I think it could well very well be Jamie Diamond. Uh. 133 00:07:41,680 --> 00:07:44,560 Speaker 1: He has talked quite a bit about this, and he 134 00:07:44,680 --> 00:07:48,840 Speaker 1: has um My buddy Andrews. Storkin had a column the 135 00:07:48,880 --> 00:07:51,520 Speaker 1: other day and The Times and deal Book about um 136 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:57,160 Speaker 1: uh a group that he has of stinkers who who 137 00:07:57,200 --> 00:07:59,680 Speaker 1: helped him, who had put together a memo saying that 138 00:07:59,720 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 1: if we don't solve inequality, you know everything else, um, 139 00:08:05,000 --> 00:08:07,480 Speaker 1: everything else doesn't matter. This is what has to be done. 140 00:08:07,680 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 1: And Jamie has made some very tough statements about you know, 141 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 1: as a company, CEOs have to start doing things that's 142 00:08:14,480 --> 00:08:18,239 Speaker 1: not necessarily best in their best short term business interests. 143 00:08:18,320 --> 00:08:21,320 Speaker 1: Even if if they helped the country. Joe, thank you, 144 00:08:21,400 --> 00:08:24,280 Speaker 1: fabulous column Biden has once an essentially chance to fix 145 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 1: capitalism joan Oh Sarah Bloomberg opinion columnist who had alread 146 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: everybody to have a read of this one. It is 147 00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 1: NFL Championship playoff weekend. In the first game Tampa Bay 148 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,840 Speaker 1: Buccaneers against the Green Bay Packers, and in the second 149 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 1: game a David versus Goliath. We have the Buffalo Bills 150 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,520 Speaker 1: against the Kansas City Chiefs. It's getting that game is 151 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: getting a little bit heated in the grocery aisles. Interesting story. 152 00:08:48,840 --> 00:08:52,560 Speaker 1: Bert Flickingshare, Managing Director, Strategic Resource Group, joins us here Bert, 153 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:56,320 Speaker 1: what's going on in some of these UH supermarket chains 154 00:08:56,360 --> 00:09:00,800 Speaker 1: in Buffalo and beyond? Uh? Paul Joe, s CEO of 155 00:09:00,920 --> 00:09:06,200 Speaker 1: legendary four generation Dashes Markets family ninety seven years is 156 00:09:06,360 --> 00:09:09,960 Speaker 1: reversing the proverbial curse of the cookie number thirty four 157 00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,679 Speaker 1: Cookie Gilchrist and the curse of the fireman number twelve. 158 00:09:14,040 --> 00:09:19,439 Speaker 1: Darryl la Monica from current Bills quarterbacks same area from 159 00:09:19,520 --> 00:09:24,600 Speaker 1: Fresno and Gilchrist and Lamonica were key in leading the 160 00:09:24,640 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: Bills to their first and only championships and they never 161 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:31,040 Speaker 1: got put on the Wall of Fame, and UH wound 162 00:09:31,160 --> 00:09:34,680 Speaker 1: wound up losing January one, sixty seven and the Kansas 163 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:37,760 Speaker 1: City Chiefs for the first time, UH first chance to 164 00:09:37,760 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 1: get into the Super Bowl, and they've been trying to 165 00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 1: beat Kansas City in a championship game since. And and 166 00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:47,439 Speaker 1: um so the Dash families taking all the Kansas City 167 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:51,880 Speaker 1: Masterpiece barbecue sauce office shelves of all the Dashes stores 168 00:09:51,920 --> 00:09:56,280 Speaker 1: and replacing it with Guy uses African American locally owned 169 00:09:56,280 --> 00:10:03,319 Speaker 1: and operated UM Black Family Fuses preservative free, sugar free 170 00:10:03,320 --> 00:10:06,680 Speaker 1: and gluten free barbecue sauce, which is out selling the 171 00:10:06,760 --> 00:10:13,360 Speaker 1: Kansas City Masterpiece barbecue sauce. No no, I, I just 172 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:18,640 Speaker 1: just just just an old entrepreneur um and uh five 173 00:10:18,679 --> 00:10:23,640 Speaker 1: generations of coming out of foster farms and orphanages helping 174 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:29,439 Speaker 1: us start the food food industry there and enhanced with 175 00:10:29,960 --> 00:10:33,240 Speaker 1: ten thousand since Red and Red and White, I g 176 00:10:33,400 --> 00:10:38,080 Speaker 1: A and rex Al drug stores that my ancestors co founded. Well, 177 00:10:38,120 --> 00:10:40,080 Speaker 1: that is an amazing story. Love to hear all of 178 00:10:40,120 --> 00:10:42,400 Speaker 1: that sometime, But bart it tells me that that Kansas 179 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: City Barbecue Hall must have been pretty good in the 180 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:47,920 Speaker 1: first place it was ever on those shows, it was 181 00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:52,319 Speaker 1: good um vanni, but it was Craft combining with Hinz, 182 00:10:52,360 --> 00:10:56,920 Speaker 1: combining with Buffett and three G and reportedly, uh, the 183 00:10:57,120 --> 00:11:00,120 Speaker 1: ingredients and the quality wasn't as good as uh what 184 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:03,160 Speaker 1: Joe Dash and his team noticed with Ge Hughes. And 185 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:07,760 Speaker 1: they always support um um minority and African American and 186 00:11:08,240 --> 00:11:12,560 Speaker 1: United Nations of entrepreneurs on on the US and Canadian border. 187 00:11:12,880 --> 00:11:16,560 Speaker 1: So it was giving a great entrepreneur a chance. And 188 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 1: as Paul said in the David Goliath Versus Goliath story, 189 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:23,280 Speaker 1: Gee Hughes is barbecue sauce uh knocks off and is 190 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:28,360 Speaker 1: is out selling the Kansas City Craft barbecue sauce by 191 00:11:28,360 --> 00:11:32,680 Speaker 1: a factor of a thousand percent. All right, Bert, So again, 192 00:11:32,760 --> 00:11:37,080 Speaker 1: it's a NFL playoff weekend, typically a big time for 193 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,080 Speaker 1: bars and restaurants as people watch the games, but of course, 194 00:11:40,160 --> 00:11:43,440 Speaker 1: across much of the country, Uh, that is not an option. 195 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:45,280 Speaker 1: What are we seeing from some of the grocers. Are 196 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:49,319 Speaker 1: they seeing their sales of you know, chicken wings and 197 00:11:49,559 --> 00:11:51,959 Speaker 1: you know, sodas and beer. Are we're seeing that really 198 00:11:52,400 --> 00:11:54,400 Speaker 1: kick up here because there's nowhere else to go to 199 00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:59,200 Speaker 1: watch the games? Paul, Yes, record breaking sales on the 200 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg term an all food retail was down two percent 201 00:12:02,559 --> 00:12:07,560 Speaker 1: less month. Dashes is up over over and and every 202 00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 1: week is a record breaking week, bigger than any Thanksgiving 203 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:14,720 Speaker 1: week or Christmas Sonica week. Uh they ever had, So 204 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:19,040 Speaker 1: like you said, chicken wings, beef on wick, all of 205 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:24,920 Speaker 1: what the Catoloni family, Uh, the co founded Dashes calls 206 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:29,959 Speaker 1: hometown favorites, and uh it's on the Bloomberg terminal trailing 207 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: twelve months. Restaurant sales are down, So Dashes is preparing 208 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:38,720 Speaker 1: meals and its commissaries and kitchens in the stores and 209 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:42,559 Speaker 1: delivering it to seniors or letting people pick up curbside 210 00:12:43,520 --> 00:12:48,280 Speaker 1: or get chef quality prepared meals from Dashes chefs and 211 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,600 Speaker 1: Dashes is literally putting Amazon's new Whole Foods prototype store 212 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 1: on Niagara falls out of business and going toe to 213 00:12:56,080 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 1: toe with all the big golias from Walmart to Target, UH, 214 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:03,079 Speaker 1: to Costco, to b J's to Wegmans to all all 215 00:13:03,200 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 1: the all of which are doing extremely well. We're out 216 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,959 Speaker 1: of time, but two quick questions, who wins this weekend 217 00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:13,520 Speaker 1: and who goes bankrupt? More broadly in retail this year 218 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:19,160 Speaker 1: and quickly reversed the curse of the cookie and Darryl Lemonica, 219 00:13:19,559 --> 00:13:24,080 Speaker 1: uh bose went by a point and UH for retailers 220 00:13:24,160 --> 00:13:28,760 Speaker 1: that go bankrupt still worried about UH Neiman Marcus not 221 00:13:28,920 --> 00:13:33,960 Speaker 1: doing a boomerang bankruptcy UM and Neeman and Bergdorf boomerang 222 00:13:34,200 --> 00:13:39,120 Speaker 1: boomerang back into bankruptcy this year. UH food draw drag 223 00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 1: and off price retail record breaking sales continue for the 224 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:48,440 Speaker 1: foreseeable future. Bert fabulous. I love the broad range of 225 00:13:48,559 --> 00:13:50,480 Speaker 1: things that you can speak of, Paul. Do you agree 226 00:13:50,480 --> 00:13:53,400 Speaker 1: with his call for the weekend? I hope so. I'd 227 00:13:53,520 --> 00:13:56,000 Speaker 1: be a nice story to see the Buffalo Bills kind of. 228 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:58,320 Speaker 1: I think it's been twenty seven years and they've had 229 00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 1: a tough go, but they got a great new young quarterback. 230 00:14:00,679 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 1: But two good games this weekend, and the big winners 231 00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:09,679 Speaker 1: are the TV networks. Yes, record breaking rating exactly for sure. Well, 232 00:14:09,679 --> 00:14:12,440 Speaker 1: Bert Pleconder, as we don't have to really point out, 233 00:14:12,480 --> 00:14:15,280 Speaker 1: is a Buffalo soun So thanks for joining us today. 234 00:14:15,280 --> 00:14:17,600 Speaker 1: Bert's he is managing director of course, as well as 235 00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:22,040 Speaker 1: Strategic Resource Group. Don't often get to talk to about sports, 236 00:14:22,080 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 1: but this is a great opportunity. So thanks to Sambling, 237 00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:27,600 Speaker 1: our producer for setting that one up. Bert is obviously 238 00:14:27,640 --> 00:14:30,440 Speaker 1: a retail expert and talks to us generally about how 239 00:14:30,480 --> 00:14:33,600 Speaker 1: retailers are doing. So I guess we'll set our our 240 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:40,120 Speaker 1: timers to see what happens this weekend. Once again, existing 241 00:14:40,120 --> 00:14:44,760 Speaker 1: homeshill surprising to the upside. In December seven point six 242 00:14:44,800 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 1: point seven six million homes were sold. That was more 243 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,800 Speaker 1: than the six point five six million economists we're looking for, 244 00:14:52,160 --> 00:14:55,680 Speaker 1: and the previous month was revised upwards as well. Let's 245 00:14:55,680 --> 00:14:58,400 Speaker 1: bring in Logan Motor Shammy, housing data analysts and columnists 246 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,080 Speaker 1: for Housing Wire, just to give us a board update 247 00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:05,160 Speaker 1: on where we are housing wise. Is there continued demand 248 00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 1: out there Logan for you know, suburban and ex urban housing. Absolutely, 249 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,360 Speaker 1: you know a lot of these A lot of this 250 00:15:13,480 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 1: hot data that we're seeing in existing home sales is 251 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:19,040 Speaker 1: actually just a makeup demand for the lost months that 252 00:15:19,120 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 1: we had during COVID and purchase application data has been 253 00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:26,320 Speaker 1: positive year over year for about thirty eight weeks right now, 254 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,040 Speaker 1: So the story is going to continue. It's pretty much, 255 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:31,480 Speaker 1: you know, keep it simple. We have the US has 256 00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 1: the best housing demographics ever. Mortgage rates are at the 257 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 1: lowest levels ever, so housing demand will be stable for 258 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:41,680 Speaker 1: the only the only issue is how hot can home 259 00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,880 Speaker 1: prices go after you know, having an extremely hot year 260 00:15:46,280 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 1: last year, going into one with lower mortgage rates and 261 00:15:50,000 --> 00:15:53,280 Speaker 1: the economy coming back, logan talk to us about supply. 262 00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 1: We we you know, as as you mentioned, the demand 263 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:59,040 Speaker 1: dynamics seemed to be in place for the near and 264 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: intermediate term talk supply of homes, and this is a 265 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:07,320 Speaker 1: problem is with months with supply solo all time lows 266 00:16:07,440 --> 00:16:09,200 Speaker 1: UH as of today, and some of that is just 267 00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: a function of you know, inventory falls toward the end 268 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 1: of the year. Unless mortgage rates go up higher, we 269 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:19,240 Speaker 1: can be in this very low inventory environment for all 270 00:16:19,240 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 1: of which again the problem is that home prices can deviate, 271 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:27,040 Speaker 1: you know, from what normally would have been the occurrence 272 00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,920 Speaker 1: if there is a typical expansion or where I mean, 273 00:16:30,320 --> 00:16:32,840 Speaker 1: COVID has kept mortgage rates lower than it should be. 274 00:16:32,920 --> 00:16:36,840 Speaker 1: So if the economy comes back, does hire mortgage rates 275 00:16:36,880 --> 00:16:40,080 Speaker 1: bring more supply? That's what we want. We we don't 276 00:16:40,120 --> 00:16:42,800 Speaker 1: want this kind of hot, hot home price growth year 277 00:16:42,840 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 1: after year after year. And you know, I know a 278 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 1: lot of people are thinking, well, people are just going 279 00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 1: to move around work from home, and that will bring 280 00:16:50,000 --> 00:16:54,080 Speaker 1: more supply. The velocity of inventory only really comes when 281 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,640 Speaker 1: rates come a little bit higher. You know, typically demand 282 00:16:56,640 --> 00:17:00,000 Speaker 1: gets better inventory they flat or go lower. So high 283 00:17:00,040 --> 00:17:02,200 Speaker 1: our mortgage rates right now are the only thing that 284 00:17:02,240 --> 00:17:07,240 Speaker 1: could help the inventory situation. Well, there's also those nine 285 00:17:07,280 --> 00:17:09,879 Speaker 1: million unemployed logan, I presume none of these are people 286 00:17:09,880 --> 00:17:13,600 Speaker 1: buying homes. The majority of the people that were unemployed 287 00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:17,359 Speaker 1: in this crisis were renters or people that would you know, 288 00:17:17,920 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 1: fall into the renter financial profile. Higher wage income Americans 289 00:17:24,840 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: didn't lose his money, uh jobs as that group did, 290 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:32,160 Speaker 1: so it didn't impact the housing data as much. We 291 00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:35,320 Speaker 1: we froze as a country for for about five or 292 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: six months months. Purchased application data were down big year 293 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: over year, and then it stopped going down and just 294 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:44,120 Speaker 1: ran up. Hired. We've gotta b shape recovery, and then 295 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 1: we've been making up. I think that's the big thing 296 00:17:47,040 --> 00:17:50,399 Speaker 1: that people should realize. This parabolic rise in existing home 297 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,680 Speaker 1: sales is all makeup demand. It will eventually come back 298 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:56,760 Speaker 1: down to a normal trend, and that normal trend should 299 00:17:56,800 --> 00:17:58,960 Speaker 1: not be looked at in a negative way. We ended 300 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:02,159 Speaker 1: the year of five point six four million, so we 301 00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:04,600 Speaker 1: still have this big deviation from monthly sales to where 302 00:18:04,680 --> 00:18:08,360 Speaker 1: total sales trends are, so sales will come down slowly 303 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: and then we'll find a normal train and will take 304 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:13,640 Speaker 1: it from there. But again, the lowest mortgage rates ever, 305 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: the best demographics that are can facilitate unhealthy price growth. 306 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:19,520 Speaker 1: We don't want that. We want the economy to recover. 307 00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 1: We want mortgage rates to go higher. It'll cool the 308 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:24,800 Speaker 1: market down, it will bring balance back, because this is 309 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 1: about a balanced market right now. Look and talk to 310 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:31,399 Speaker 1: us about the mortgage market, the underwriting market, and and 311 00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:35,239 Speaker 1: kind of are we are the mortgage writers. Are they 312 00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:37,840 Speaker 1: writing good mortgages? Talk to us about that, because that's 313 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,520 Speaker 1: where we got into some trouble. Obviously back in the 314 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:44,040 Speaker 1: in the financial crisis post we've had the best loan 315 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:47,640 Speaker 1: profile ever in US history. Most of these loans are 316 00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 1: all six slow debt cost loans with rising wages. So 317 00:18:52,680 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 1: this is one of the reasons why the housing market 318 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:57,359 Speaker 1: did so well. We didn't have any kind of exotic 319 00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:03,520 Speaker 1: loan debt structures or anything that would facilitate unnecessary inventory 320 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:07,520 Speaker 1: to increase. And part of that also is problematic because 321 00:19:07,560 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 1: you're not going to get um inventory to skyrocket anytime soon. 322 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:16,560 Speaker 1: When demand is good. So uh, the the underranting standards 323 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:19,600 Speaker 1: are perfect. That's that's one area in the US economy 324 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:21,639 Speaker 1: we don't have to worry about. The thing we have 325 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 1: to do is always make sure not to ease lending 326 00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:28,800 Speaker 1: standards to facilitate more home sales at risk co owners. 327 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 1: And so far there's nothing out there that would that 328 00:19:32,040 --> 00:19:35,240 Speaker 1: would require even that discussion. Logan, what happens if we 329 00:19:35,320 --> 00:19:38,080 Speaker 1: get a major sell off in equity markets? What happens 330 00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:41,400 Speaker 1: to demand? Then, well, sell off an equity markets means 331 00:19:41,400 --> 00:19:44,440 Speaker 1: body yields go down, mortgage rates sold. Yeah, but listen, 332 00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:46,800 Speaker 1: mortgage rates are low. It's not the mortgage that's going 333 00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:49,600 Speaker 1: to stop people. But what if their wells gets gets uh, 334 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,200 Speaker 1: you know, torn us under in an equity market sell 335 00:19:52,240 --> 00:19:56,680 Speaker 1: off equity markets sell off in relationship to home would 336 00:19:56,720 --> 00:20:00,240 Speaker 1: probably the higher end market. Maybe you don't get that 337 00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 1: two to three million home buyer, but outside of that 338 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:06,600 Speaker 1: not really. It's just we have a lot of young people. 339 00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 1: Just to give some perspective, ages twenty seven to thirty 340 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:12,480 Speaker 1: three is about thirty two and a half million people. 341 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:15,879 Speaker 1: People need somewhere to live as long as they're employed. 342 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:20,959 Speaker 1: Even if the stock markets you know, we've had corrections 343 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 1: all through the longest economic expansion ever. In the last one, 344 00:20:24,640 --> 00:20:28,960 Speaker 1: home sales just moved along. So a big equity sell off. 345 00:20:29,359 --> 00:20:31,640 Speaker 1: My impact maybe the higher end markets in New York 346 00:20:31,680 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 1: and California or Miami or Connecticut, but that's not it 347 00:20:35,280 --> 00:20:39,280 Speaker 1: just doesn't have that kind of velocity if employment levels 348 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:44,000 Speaker 1: are high or mortgage interested. It's just certain marketplaces would 349 00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:47,359 Speaker 1: be impacted. Logan talked to us about the construction of 350 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,320 Speaker 1: housing for kind of that first time buyer. We've heard 351 00:20:50,359 --> 00:20:52,919 Speaker 1: in the past that that kind of inventory was just 352 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 1: not being created. Well, one thing that's been positive, uh 353 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:00,960 Speaker 1: in housing is that after when the when the when 354 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:02,960 Speaker 1: the builders and new home sales had had a really 355 00:21:03,000 --> 00:21:07,840 Speaker 1: big salesmith builders have been building smaller homes. And the 356 00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:10,520 Speaker 1: question is now is does that continue or is this 357 00:21:10,600 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 1: theme of all people want bigger homes because they want 358 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 1: an extra room for their you know, for their for 359 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: their family members, or for their office. We'll see how 360 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,240 Speaker 1: that goes. But that has actually been a real good 361 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:24,119 Speaker 1: positive for this country that builders started to incorporate smaller 362 00:21:24,160 --> 00:21:26,840 Speaker 1: homes into the mix, which means they could compete with 363 00:21:26,920 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 1: the existing home sales market, which is much bigger, provides 364 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,879 Speaker 1: a cheaper home, and has a geographic advantage over the 365 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:38,719 Speaker 1: new home sales market. So that trend hopefully continues UH 366 00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:42,320 Speaker 1: one and many years out because they were just building 367 00:21:42,320 --> 00:21:45,520 Speaker 1: bigger and bigger homes and then they got the memo 368 00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,680 Speaker 1: after thank you got it, Hey, Logan, thank you so 369 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:51,200 Speaker 1: much for joining us. We appreciate it as always Logan 370 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,320 Speaker 1: multi Shami housing data analysts also columnists for the Housing 371 00:21:55,320 --> 00:21:58,920 Speaker 1: Wire based in Irvine, California, giving us some more color 372 00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,000 Speaker 1: Vanny on what has been a real bright spot in 373 00:22:01,040 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 1: the US economy, that being housing for sure, and it's 374 00:22:04,800 --> 00:22:08,320 Speaker 1: definitely helped keep things afloat. You have to wonder about 375 00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: about urban housing, hol does that come back at some 376 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,760 Speaker 1: point and if so, when, Yeah, exactly right. So there's 377 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 1: been that migration out of some some urban centers into 378 00:22:18,119 --> 00:22:23,480 Speaker 1: the suburbia. It's been an interesting issue to follow this 379 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,560 Speaker 1: time of the week. To bring in our Laurence So, 380 00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:28,520 Speaker 1: our social professor of Emergency Medicine at the Johns Hopkins 381 00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,119 Speaker 1: School of Medicine. We should note that the Bloomberg School 382 00:22:31,119 --> 00:22:33,840 Speaker 1: of Public Health is supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, founder 383 00:22:33,880 --> 00:22:37,560 Speaker 1: Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Lauren, thanks so much for 384 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:39,800 Speaker 1: joining us. We always appreciate talking to you on this 385 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: weekly segment. I guess what's new here is I guess 386 00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:48,000 Speaker 1: the re emergence, if you will, of uh Dr Anthony Fauci. 387 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:49,840 Speaker 1: What does that mean to the folks do you think 388 00:22:49,880 --> 00:22:55,840 Speaker 1: in the healthcare industry? I think it's it starts a 389 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,560 Speaker 1: sort of with the breath of relief and a reminder 390 00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:00,840 Speaker 1: that we're going to I get back to the hard 391 00:23:00,880 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 1: work of using um and creating science to really come 392 00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 1: combat this pandemic. It's a place that we sort of 393 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:12,320 Speaker 1: in the responses, haven't felt comfortable in for a long time. 394 00:23:12,960 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 1: And I think I can speak for many, if not all, 395 00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:18,320 Speaker 1: my colleagues to say that it was really great to 396 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: see him sort of not mince words, to get up 397 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 1: there and say that they're that you know, he he 398 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,000 Speaker 1: is excited to be able to say that if he 399 00:23:26,040 --> 00:23:28,879 Speaker 1: doesn't know something, he doesn't know something, and UM that 400 00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 1: there's going to be a change in how we approached 401 00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:35,800 Speaker 1: science with this new administration. Yeah, absolutely, not mincing his words. 402 00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:38,679 Speaker 1: I want to point of a story that has just emerged, 403 00:23:38,720 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 1: and it's about Wall Street leaders Lauren making the case 404 00:23:43,080 --> 00:23:46,600 Speaker 1: to allow them be part of the vaccine distribution, particularly 405 00:23:46,720 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 1: in New York City, but also maybe beyond New York City. 406 00:23:50,240 --> 00:23:53,840 Speaker 1: It definitely New York State Goldman J. If you Morgan 407 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,600 Speaker 1: KK or among firms on the call with the state 408 00:23:56,720 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 1: asking if they can, if they can provide distribution and logistics. 409 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:03,840 Speaker 1: Is this wise? I mean, it's obviously on these companies 410 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:07,679 Speaker 1: interests to try to do this, But I mean, is 411 00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 1: it the best way to go? Or is it is 412 00:24:09,520 --> 00:24:14,000 Speaker 1: it maybe getting into some dangerous territory. I think one 413 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:15,359 Speaker 1: of the things that we have to do is be 414 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:19,480 Speaker 1: careful that we don't UM, you know, throw too many 415 00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:23,480 Speaker 1: different types of options into how we do vaccine rollout. UM. 416 00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:26,879 Speaker 1: We have clear and UM official recommendations from a C 417 00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:30,440 Speaker 1: I P on who should get vaccine when and UM 418 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:34,200 Speaker 1: what the priority groups are. I think UM the Administration 419 00:24:34,359 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 1: does see a plan forward to accelerate vaccine distribution and 420 00:24:38,760 --> 00:24:43,359 Speaker 1: UM that includes both UM upticks in in manufacturing and 421 00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:46,440 Speaker 1: infrastructure and things like that, but also in public messaging 422 00:24:46,520 --> 00:24:51,439 Speaker 1: around vaccine. And so I think the logistics and the 423 00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:56,200 Speaker 1: sort of UH quality improvement side would be really valuable. 424 00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: But I also think that UM we have to be 425 00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,000 Speaker 1: careful that we don't just continue really change the plan 426 00:25:01,160 --> 00:25:04,360 Speaker 1: right as new plans are getting started and starting to streamline, 427 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:07,120 Speaker 1: because there's gonna always be that team when a new 428 00:25:07,119 --> 00:25:10,879 Speaker 1: plan isn't implemented, of the learning curve and getting it 429 00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,840 Speaker 1: in place and getting the infrastructure around it. Um. But 430 00:25:14,280 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 1: we can't switch the plan every time. We don't see 431 00:25:17,560 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 1: that immediate upticking speed. So we we really have to 432 00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,840 Speaker 1: give the new strategy the opportunity to play out and 433 00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:29,479 Speaker 1: and get vaccine into the arms of the people. Lauren rightfully, 434 00:25:29,520 --> 00:25:31,679 Speaker 1: So the vaccines or it seemed to be front and 435 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,680 Speaker 1: center on peoples in people's minds. Talk to us though 436 00:25:34,720 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 1: about therapeutics treating people that are in hospital with the virus. 437 00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,119 Speaker 1: Where are we now? How are we How is it 438 00:25:43,160 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 1: different from saying, you know, almost a year ago, um, 439 00:25:46,480 --> 00:25:51,080 Speaker 1: I think this is the place that we sounds like 440 00:25:51,200 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: we might have lost Lauren. If she's there, she can 441 00:25:54,320 --> 00:25:59,600 Speaker 1: absolutely chime in again. But a very interesting conversation there. 442 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:02,040 Speaker 1: Poll just as we see that Italy's numbers have begun 443 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:04,399 Speaker 1: to drop after five weeks of gains and the R 444 00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,520 Speaker 1: right is below one again, so that is a little 445 00:26:06,560 --> 00:26:09,840 Speaker 1: bit of a good sign at least four some countries. Yeah, absolutely, 446 00:26:09,880 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 1: And I think you know, I was, I was asking 447 00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 1: Lauren sour about the therapeutics that you know, presumably they've 448 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:18,640 Speaker 1: made some enhancements there and maybe that will factor through 449 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,680 Speaker 1: in uh in some of the statistics as we see 450 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,320 Speaker 1: going forward here. So UM, but I think we have 451 00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,919 Speaker 1: Lauren back. So Lauren, I was asking about therapeutics kind 452 00:26:26,920 --> 00:26:30,760 Speaker 1: of where we now versus when we started this. Yeah. Absolutely, 453 00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:32,199 Speaker 1: I mean I think this is a place where we 454 00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:36,840 Speaker 1: would have liked to see UM improvements a little further along, UM, 455 00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:41,040 Speaker 1: some more options and our toolkit so to speak. UM, 456 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:44,720 Speaker 1: the you know, rem deservere. Some of the steroid options 457 00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 1: that we have are are promising, and I do think 458 00:26:47,600 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 1: our standard of care has improved significantly in the ability 459 00:26:50,520 --> 00:26:53,440 Speaker 1: to effectively care for to manage these types of patients. 460 00:26:53,760 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: I think one thing we would like to see, UM 461 00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:59,359 Speaker 1: is some more work in the repurpose drug space and 462 00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:02,640 Speaker 1: that that your full randomized control trial design. We learned 463 00:27:02,640 --> 00:27:04,800 Speaker 1: a lot from some of the trials coming out of 464 00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:06,720 Speaker 1: the UK, but we would like to see those drugs 465 00:27:07,040 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: implemented into a true placebo controlled our CT so we 466 00:27:11,320 --> 00:27:13,639 Speaker 1: can better understand them. I think this is a space 467 00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,880 Speaker 1: for continue. We're going to continue to do a lot 468 00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 1: of work, but it is going to be UM. It's 469 00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:23,280 Speaker 1: going to be a long haul. I mean, we important 470 00:27:23,320 --> 00:27:25,040 Speaker 1: for the study design. We still have a lot of 471 00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:26,960 Speaker 1: COVID patients. But I think the hope is that as 472 00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:30,359 Speaker 1: the patients decline UM with the vaccine, that will have 473 00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:34,000 Speaker 1: fewer patients enrolling in studies, which UM is great for 474 00:27:34,080 --> 00:27:36,600 Speaker 1: the patient population, but not so great for the study 475 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:40,720 Speaker 1: design of these therapeutics. So it's going to be a drag. Briefly, Lauren, 476 00:27:40,840 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 1: the Biden administration came in instead of going to be 477 00:27:43,320 --> 00:27:45,159 Speaker 1: a priority, and you know that it was going to 478 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:50,480 Speaker 1: overhauld the way vaccine distribution so one had been being done. 479 00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:53,480 Speaker 1: Are there countries that are doing it better? Though? Can 480 00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,360 Speaker 1: you point to examples? And I think there are countries 481 00:27:57,400 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 1: that are doing a really good job here. I think 482 00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:01,840 Speaker 1: Israel is an example that's been held up a lot 483 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:06,040 Speaker 1: UM as really being successful in this space. I think 484 00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:08,119 Speaker 1: one of the challenges in the US is that we 485 00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,760 Speaker 1: don't have a nationalized health system, which some of the 486 00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:12,840 Speaker 1: other countries that have been able to do this better. 487 00:28:13,440 --> 00:28:16,800 Speaker 1: UM really can leverage, right because they have one electronic 488 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:19,200 Speaker 1: health record, they have a system that can move patients 489 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:22,399 Speaker 1: more um efficiently, and then they can leverage things like 490 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:26,560 Speaker 1: UM their military or their versions of national national guards 491 00:28:26,720 --> 00:28:30,840 Speaker 1: to to really broadly have a systematic approach that that 492 00:28:30,960 --> 00:28:33,800 Speaker 1: affects the entire health system. Lauren, thank you so much, 493 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:38,680 Speaker 1: as always, Lauren Sour of Johns Hopkins, thanks for listening 494 00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 1: to Boomberg Markets podcast. You can subscribe and listen to 495 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:45,920 Speaker 1: interviews at Apple Podcasts or whatever a podcast platform you prefer. 496 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:49,920 Speaker 1: I'm Bonnie Quinn. I'm on Twitter any Quinn. Paul Sweeney, 497 00:28:49,920 --> 00:28:52,560 Speaker 1: I'm on Twitter at pt Sweeney. Before the podcast, you 498 00:28:52,560 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 1: can always catch us worldwide at Bloomberg Radio