WEBVTT - It's a Numbers Game: Young Conservative OBLITERATES Woke Talking Points 0:00:02.360 --> 0:00:05.120 Welcome back to a numbers game podcast. Happy Monday. I 0:00:05.160 --> 0:00:07.960 hope you have had a great day so far. I 0:00:08.039 --> 0:00:10.520 want to tell you all the whole story. The year 0:00:10.600 --> 0:00:13.720 was nineteen ninety four, and there was once a boy 0:00:13.800 --> 0:00:17.119 named Ryan and his mother made him broccoli and he 0:00:17.200 --> 0:00:19.440 threw it out and blamed his little brother and it 0:00:19.560 --> 0:00:23.480 wasn't right. And I did do it, and my brother 0:00:23.560 --> 0:00:26.000 never forgot it. But thirty one years later, I received 0:00:26.000 --> 0:00:31.040 a screenshot on my phone from that said brother showing 0:00:31.160 --> 0:00:34.440 my picture of my podcast with a one star review. Now, 0:00:34.479 --> 0:00:36.800 I know I'm not a hero in this story or 0:00:36.840 --> 0:00:39.720 a victim in any sense of the word. But if 0:00:39.800 --> 0:00:42.680 you think a thirty one year vengeance tour is a 0:00:42.680 --> 0:00:45.240 little too much, please give me a five star review 0:00:45.320 --> 0:00:51.080 on Apple Podcasts or Spotify or regular listeners podcast. I 0:00:51.120 --> 0:00:54.240 think a thirty one year jihad is needs a little 0:00:54.560 --> 0:00:58.000 support from my listeners, so please like and subscribe and 0:00:58.000 --> 0:00:59.440 give me a five star review. I needed to get 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:00.840 that out of the way because I thought it was 0:01:00.880 --> 0:01:03.920 one hilarious and my brother did that and too. Always 0:01:04.000 --> 0:01:06.039 encouraging people to give a review to the podcast because 0:01:06.080 --> 0:01:08.520 it does help if people find it and listen to it. 0:01:08.640 --> 0:01:11.039 So this episode is a bit of a mashup. I 0:01:11.080 --> 0:01:13.600 have some data, I have an interview, and I have 0:01:13.720 --> 0:01:16.959 some fascinating DC gossip that I think you'll all really like, 0:01:17.000 --> 0:01:18.840 and then of course ask me anything. So first on 0:01:18.880 --> 0:01:21.679 the data. Everyone is talking about the New York Times 0:01:21.760 --> 0:01:26.920 article about voter registration and the Democrats numbers plummeting nationwide. Now, 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:28.760 for those who listen to the show very often, I 0:01:28.800 --> 0:01:31.880 have talked about this a lot New Jersey in California especially, 0:01:31.920 --> 0:01:36.199 and how it has reflected poorly on the Democratic Party. Unfortunately, 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:39.000 most Americans don't listen to this podcast. So the Times 0:01:39.080 --> 0:01:41.880 article seems like it's brand new, and I want to 0:01:41.920 --> 0:01:44.920 go through the information really explain it to you in 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:47.280 a deep way. The article is by Shane Goldmacher and 0:01:47.360 --> 0:01:49.720 Jonah Smith. I'm not familiar with Jonah Smith, but Shane's 0:01:49.720 --> 0:01:52.880 a very solid journalist. I actually invite him on this podcast. 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:56.360 So he writes the Democratic Party is hemorrhaging voters long 0:01:56.440 --> 0:01:59.160 before they even go to the poles. Of the thirties 0:01:59.240 --> 0:02:02.880 dates that track to registration by political party, Democrats lost 0:02:02.880 --> 0:02:06.080 ground to Republicans in every single one between twenty twenty 0:02:06.240 --> 0:02:08.920 and twenty twenty four, often by a lot. The four 0:02:09.040 --> 0:02:12.000 year swing towards Republicans add up to four point five 0:02:12.400 --> 0:02:16.160 million voters, a deep political hole that could take Democrats 0:02:16.240 --> 0:02:19.120 years to climb out for out of And they use 0:02:19.280 --> 0:02:20.440 L two data to cite this. 0:02:20.480 --> 0:02:22.160 All I've used L two. L two is just a 0:02:22.240 --> 0:02:25.640 voter data company. 0:02:25.760 --> 0:02:27.320 So basically, if I say, hey, I'm going to do 0:02:27.320 --> 0:02:30.360 a school board election in lim Brook, Long Island, or 0:02:30.360 --> 0:02:32.680 whatever the case is, L two can provide me data 0:02:32.720 --> 0:02:35.000 of who's likely to vote most most often, what party 0:02:35.000 --> 0:02:37.720 they're registered under. It's a good company anyway. They use 0:02:37.760 --> 0:02:41.480 that data to justify what they're talking about. So a 0:02:41.480 --> 0:02:44.480 little background in fact, For the first instance, twenty eighteen 0:02:44.560 --> 0:02:47.800 more new voters nationwide chose to be Republicans than Democrats 0:02:47.880 --> 0:02:50.840 last year. All told, Democrats lost two point one million 0:02:50.919 --> 0:02:53.320 registered voters between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four in 0:02:53.360 --> 0:02:56.520 those thirty states that allow people to register by political party, 0:02:56.520 --> 0:02:59.240 and Republicans gain two point four million. Consider this, In 0:02:59.280 --> 0:03:04.040 twenty eighteen, Democrats accounted for thirty four percent of new 0:03:04.320 --> 0:03:08.160 voter registrations nationwide. Republicans were only twenty get In twenty 0:03:08.200 --> 0:03:12.240 twenty four, Republicans had overtaken Democrats. For years, the left 0:03:12.240 --> 0:03:16.200 had relied on sprawling network of nonprofits which solicit donations 0:03:16.200 --> 0:03:20.320 from people whose identities they do not disclose, to register 0:03:20.440 --> 0:03:24.480 black and Latino young voters. Though the groups are technically nonpartisan, 0:03:24.880 --> 0:03:28.600 there is an underlying assumption that most of these voters 0:03:28.639 --> 0:03:31.799 will be Democrat. You can't just register young Latino or 0:03:31.840 --> 0:03:34.000 young black voter and assume that they're going to know 0:03:34.080 --> 0:03:37.080 that it's Democrat and that they have the best policies, 0:03:37.160 --> 0:03:40.560 says MS. Cardona, who is a liberal person. Okay, so 0:03:41.360 --> 0:03:44.640 stop right there with the article. Buck Sexton had mentioned 0:03:44.680 --> 0:03:46.480 this in his podcast, and he was one hundred percent right. 0:03:46.640 --> 0:03:53.600 Liberals have been scamming tax nonprofit statuses for years to 0:03:53.760 --> 0:03:58.480 bolster Democratic voter registration. They knew that going into major 0:03:58.600 --> 0:04:02.600 urban areas and looking for someone with dark skin would 0:04:02.640 --> 0:04:05.560 be a positive assumption that they are more than likely 0:04:05.640 --> 0:04:07.840 than not to be Democrat, and probably nine times out 0:04:07.880 --> 0:04:12.280 of ten in many cases. But these nonprofits, and I 0:04:12.320 --> 0:04:15.040 give them credit, I mean, listen, they have worked the 0:04:15.080 --> 0:04:19.240 system for a long time to give tax breaks to 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:21.599 these liberal donors. Basically, a liberal donor will give a 0:04:21.680 --> 0:04:24.480 nonprofit a million dollars or however how much they get 0:04:24.480 --> 0:04:26.880 to write off on their taxes as being you know, 0:04:27.320 --> 0:04:30.640 beneficial to society, and Democrats get more into registered voters. 0:04:30.640 --> 0:04:33.080 I mean, at least Scott Presler has a super pack 0:04:33.120 --> 0:04:35.560 where he doesn't get a tax break, you know, for 0:04:35.720 --> 0:04:40.000 registering Republicans. This is explicitly using the tax code to 0:04:40.000 --> 0:04:43.960 benefit to benefit Democrats. They claim that the reason they 0:04:44.080 --> 0:04:46.760 can't do this anymore though in the same capacity that 0:04:46.800 --> 0:04:49.200 they used to, is because of President Trump and how 0:04:49.279 --> 0:04:54.679 President Trump has changed the parties. So what they're missing 0:04:54.760 --> 0:04:56.960 from the story, what Democrats are missing from this narrative, 0:04:56.960 --> 0:04:59.240 And with the New York Times reporters, and they're good reporters, 0:04:59.240 --> 0:05:01.920 but what they're missing from this is that this didn't 0:05:01.960 --> 0:05:05.520 happen between twenty and twenty four. It did partially, but 0:05:05.640 --> 0:05:09.120 this has been going on for a long time, right, 0:05:09.240 --> 0:05:12.480 this at least the last four election cycles. So there's 0:05:12.680 --> 0:05:15.400 for a liberal firm called Catalyst, and they did this 0:05:15.520 --> 0:05:17.560 big breakdown of the twenty twenty four election in the 0:05:17.600 --> 0:05:24.280 past four elections, specifically looking at young minorities Democrats. This 0:05:24.320 --> 0:05:27.200 is among young black men, young black men being those 0:05:27.200 --> 0:05:30.560 who are under thirty years old. Democrats won ninety four 0:05:30.640 --> 0:05:34.200 percent of young black men in twenty twelve, ninety percent 0:05:34.240 --> 0:05:37.960 in twenty sixteen, eighty five percent in twenty twenty, and 0:05:38.120 --> 0:05:41.359 seventy five percent in twenty twenty four. That means that 0:05:41.480 --> 0:05:46.200 a quote nonprofit that is registering voters in the inner city, 0:05:46.240 --> 0:05:49.880 and they're almost all likely Black or Latino, they had 0:05:50.040 --> 0:05:53.680 a chance for every twenty five people they registered to 0:05:53.760 --> 0:05:55.640 vote in one of the two major political parties, twenty 0:05:55.640 --> 0:05:58.160 four of them would be guaranteed Democrats young Black men 0:05:58.560 --> 0:06:02.200 twenty four to twenty five twelve years ago. It's not 0:06:02.240 --> 0:06:04.520 that long ago, but a little by little it's been 0:06:04.520 --> 0:06:07.960 taken away. For young Hispanic it's been young Hispanic men. Rather, 0:06:08.000 --> 0:06:11.320 it's been even more extreme. Democrats went from winning seventy 0:06:11.440 --> 0:06:14.320 one percent of young Latino men in twenty twelve to 0:06:14.480 --> 0:06:17.760 sixty seven percent in twenty sixteen, to sixty three percent 0:06:17.760 --> 0:06:20.920 in twenty twenty, to forty seven percent in twenty twenty four. 0:06:20.960 --> 0:06:23.679 It's all according to catalyst, and I want to point 0:06:23.680 --> 0:06:25.680 out that it is a trend because it is important 0:06:25.720 --> 0:06:30.560 to notice. Very few major political changes happen overnight. Right 0:06:30.680 --> 0:06:35.119 even the white working classes changed for Republicans. The last 0:06:35.120 --> 0:06:38.120 time that there was a overnight transformation, I would say 0:06:38.200 --> 0:06:41.800 would be like Cubans in the nineteen sixty who did 0:06:41.920 --> 0:06:45.360 change overnight with the Cuban missile crisis and the Bay 0:06:45.400 --> 0:06:49.440 of Pigs, like it was a overnight transformation. But that's 0:06:49.440 --> 0:06:51.360 probably the last one. It's probably the last time there 0:06:51.400 --> 0:06:55.600 was an overnight transformation of a specific demographic for a 0:06:55.640 --> 0:07:00.200 specific reason, because Democrats among young black men lost four 0:07:00.200 --> 0:07:03.240 percent between twenty twelve to twenty sixteen, five percent from 0:07:03.240 --> 0:07:05.760 twenty sixteen to twenty twenty, and ten percent from twenty 0:07:05.760 --> 0:07:10.000 twenty twenty twenty four. Among young Latino men four percent 0:07:10.000 --> 0:07:13.360 from twenty twelve, four percent from twenty sixteen, and then 0:07:13.440 --> 0:07:16.280 sixteen percent between twenty twenty and twenty twenty four. They 0:07:16.440 --> 0:07:20.160 had that shift going on, they just refused to notice 0:07:20.160 --> 0:07:23.040 it until it was too big, and not to notice 0:07:23.200 --> 0:07:25.720 until instead of going from twenty four out of twenty 0:07:25.720 --> 0:07:28.680 five young black men being Democrats to being three out 0:07:28.680 --> 0:07:32.080 of four, which is substantially less, and they don't want 0:07:32.080 --> 0:07:36.120 to risk bolstering so many more Republicans. Okay, back to 0:07:36.160 --> 0:07:39.680 the article not so long ago. In twenty eighteen, democrats 0:07:39.720 --> 0:07:43.040 accounted for sixty six percent of new voters under forty 0:07:43.080 --> 0:07:45.680 five who registered with one of the two major parties. 0:07:46.040 --> 0:07:48.760 Yet in twenty twenty four, that share has fallen to 0:07:49.040 --> 0:07:52.880 forty eight percent. In other words, Republicans went from roughly 0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:56.760 one third of newly registered voters under forty five to 0:07:56.880 --> 0:08:00.320 a majority in over six years. The story is leaker 0:08:00.320 --> 0:08:03.080 for Democrats in some key states. In Nevada, which releases 0:08:03.160 --> 0:08:06.360 particular detailed data, Republicans added twice as many voters under 0:08:06.400 --> 0:08:09.640 thirty five as Democrats did. The shift among men is 0:08:09.640 --> 0:08:13.200 substantially different. From nearly forty nine percent of newly registered 0:08:13.280 --> 0:08:16.560 voters and a major party chose the Democrats in twenty twenty, 0:08:16.920 --> 0:08:20.400 that number went to thirty nine percent in twenty twenty four. 0:08:20.680 --> 0:08:24.800 I want to focus on men because that's really where 0:08:24.800 --> 0:08:27.760 you're seeing these crazy numbers. Zachary Donini, who I've had 0:08:27.760 --> 0:08:30.240 on this podcast. He is a data scientist for Decision Desk. 0:08:30.920 --> 0:08:35.560 He posted that young white men, young white men, those 0:08:35.679 --> 0:08:38.760 being probably under thirty, definitely under thirty, maybe even under 0:08:38.760 --> 0:08:43.400 twenty five, are really the catalyst. Now there's a big 0:08:43.440 --> 0:08:45.840 shift among young Latinos. They're a majority of young Latino 0:08:45.880 --> 0:08:50.000 men voting, registering Republican one in four young black men. 0:08:50.480 --> 0:08:52.160 But I want to talk about young white men for 0:08:52.200 --> 0:08:54.640 a second, because it is the biggest demographic among young 0:08:54.640 --> 0:08:57.600 men in this country. Young white men, according to Ainy, 0:08:57.760 --> 0:09:02.320 are registering or a Republican at an on precedented level. 0:09:03.040 --> 0:09:06.240 White men born in the eighties and early nineties, my 0:09:06.400 --> 0:09:09.400 generation right, who came of age when George W. Bush 0:09:09.440 --> 0:09:11.000 was president, and I know some people like him. I 0:09:11.040 --> 0:09:13.720 thought it was a horrible president. But they almost broke 0:09:13.760 --> 0:09:16.680 fifty to fifty Democrat Republican white men, which is like 0:09:16.720 --> 0:09:19.760 the Republican's key demographic. It was really bad when they 0:09:19.760 --> 0:09:21.840 started registering voting because the other the Iraq War, and 0:09:22.000 --> 0:09:25.320 Bush was just horrible. Now, young white men who register 0:09:25.440 --> 0:09:29.120 for one of the two major parties register seventy one 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:33.240 to twenty nine Republican. It is the highest amount of 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:38.640 any generation recorded since the nineteen thirties. Seventy one to 0:09:38.920 --> 0:09:42.760 twenty nine. That is fifty That was almost fifty points, 0:09:42.840 --> 0:09:46.480 or it's forty five points, whatever, it's forty two. Sorry, 0:09:46.640 --> 0:09:50.080 my internal math numbers coup in catching up forty two points. 0:09:50.240 --> 0:09:53.880 So although it's a six point Republican majority among young Latinos, 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:58.000 and it's they're losing young young blacks by fifty points 0:09:58.040 --> 0:10:01.560 instead of you know, ninety two points. That forty two 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:05.640 point bump for young white men is the game. It's 0:10:05.679 --> 0:10:08.480 it's that that is the number game. That is their path. 0:10:09.080 --> 0:10:11.280 As they continue to vote, as they vote more frequently, 0:10:11.320 --> 0:10:13.720 as they start paying taxes and becoming older and being 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:18.559 more involved, that is the game for Republicans to grow substantially. 0:10:19.280 --> 0:10:24.760 Growing up hearing that you're a cancer for being a 0:10:24.800 --> 0:10:27.679 young white man, being you're part of the patriarchy, you 0:10:27.800 --> 0:10:32.600 are responsible for the victimhood of all generations throughout history, 0:10:33.480 --> 0:10:37.840 absolutely propelled this group of people. And even young white women, 0:10:37.880 --> 0:10:41.240 by the way, register a majority Republican fifty three to 0:10:41.280 --> 0:10:44.320 forty seven. Obviously not nearly as much as men. But 0:10:44.440 --> 0:10:48.120 it's not what you would think watching the internet where 0:10:48.120 --> 0:10:50.440 you see that all these like blue haired, short shaped, 0:10:50.760 --> 0:10:54.440 you know, white women who are all screaming about abortion progressive. 0:10:54.440 --> 0:10:59.080 No majority white women, young white women are registering Republican. Now, 0:10:59.640 --> 0:11:02.520 I want to remind you all that the trend of 0:11:02.600 --> 0:11:05.679 young people and minorities moving to the right is not 0:11:05.800 --> 0:11:10.120 isolated to America. We're seeing trends among minorities in basically 0:11:10.280 --> 0:11:14.120 every part of the Anglo world, in Australia, in Canada 0:11:14.200 --> 0:11:18.280 and the UK, more and more, especially Indian and Arab 0:11:20.000 --> 0:11:23.280 immigrant children who are registering to vote in those countries 0:11:23.400 --> 0:11:26.920 are increasingly voting for the Republican like party of the 0:11:27.000 --> 0:11:30.840 Tories or the Canadian Conservative Party or whatnot. Zachary Dnini 0:11:30.880 --> 0:11:34.160 once again, he actually looked at the name Mohammad, which 0:11:34.200 --> 0:11:36.360 is Zachary is so smart. He looked at the name 0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:39.200 Mohammad because it's obviously a very specific ethnicity, it's a 0:11:39.360 --> 0:11:44.400 very specific religion. Men who were born in nineteen sixty 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:48.800 with the name Mohammad registered eighty eight to twelve Democrat. 0:11:50.200 --> 0:11:52.679 Men born in two thousand and five with the name 0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:58.000 Mohammad registered fifty nine forty one Democrat. Look at that 0:11:58.240 --> 0:12:01.560 drop with this demo graphic, and this is a demographic 0:12:01.600 --> 0:12:06.439 who probably is pro Gaza, probably is or on the 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:08.720 side of the palace stating and people. Rather, this is 0:12:08.720 --> 0:12:12.280 a demographic who has a lot in common on its 0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:14.679 space of the Democratic Party, and yet they are abandoning 0:12:14.720 --> 0:12:17.800 them because the people who run the Democra Party aren't 0:12:18.600 --> 0:12:22.760 screaming college educated women or black activists saying you should 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:25.280 feel bad. I need reparations, I am the victim, or 0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:28.199 don't you shouldn't arrest somebody for burning down a building, 0:12:28.280 --> 0:12:30.360 burning down a school, not a school, but you know, 0:12:30.400 --> 0:12:32.920 a store or whatever. Now let's look at some key states, 0:12:33.000 --> 0:12:38.199 because remember, only thirty states have registered people by party registration. Okay, 0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:42.040 so places like Texas, Michigan, Virginia, Wisconsin, they don't register 0:12:42.080 --> 0:12:44.080 people by party. I wish they did it make my 0:12:44.080 --> 0:12:46.080 life a lot easier, but they don't. So I'm going 0:12:46.120 --> 0:12:48.160 to go over a few states because I think that 0:12:48.160 --> 0:12:51.240 that's important, just to highlight a few. One last thing 0:12:51.360 --> 0:12:55.079 voter registration except for new voters. Right, if you're eighteen 0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:57.160 in registering for the first time, you obviously didn't change party. 0:12:57.160 --> 0:13:00.199 But if you are changing parties and you're thirty, you're 0:13:00.240 --> 0:13:02.480 forty or fifty or sixty or whatever, it is the 0:13:02.600 --> 0:13:07.439 last thing to do before you've been a full transformation 0:13:07.600 --> 0:13:10.040 from one party to the other. In other words, no 0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:12.560 one who at fifty five years old, who has voted 0:13:12.600 --> 0:13:16.040 most of their life, who's re registering party registration as 0:13:16.080 --> 0:13:18.640 a Republican is because they're voting Republican for the first 0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:21.760 time ever. And not in most cases. Rather, so you're 0:13:22.000 --> 0:13:25.520 likely have voted Republican. If you're a demok registered Democrat 0:13:25.679 --> 0:13:27.559 and you're making the switch or vice versa, you have 0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:31.319 voted Republican for ten years, but you're friendly changing parties. 0:13:31.600 --> 0:13:34.360 So it's the last thing that ever ends up happening. Okay, 0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:37.640 So let's look at West Virginia because it is the 0:13:37.640 --> 0:13:39.640 most extreme cases. It's not a swing state that on 0:13:39.760 --> 0:13:44.760 many congressional seats, but it is the It's almost all white, 0:13:44.880 --> 0:13:48.280 it is working class, very little college education, and it 0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:52.160 is a zeitgeist into the or it is a it 0:13:52.280 --> 0:13:55.840 is a it is a perfect analogy into the broader 0:13:57.160 --> 0:14:00.400 crisis democrats are having with white working class people. Remember 0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:03.640 West Virginia, for as Republican as it is now, was 0:14:03.679 --> 0:14:05.960 one of the few states that Jimmy Carter won over 0:14:06.040 --> 0:14:08.079 Ronald Reagan in nineteen eighty. It is a state that 0:14:08.160 --> 0:14:10.640 voted for Bill Clinton twice. It is a state that 0:14:12.240 --> 0:14:14.400 probably if Hillary Clinton was the nomine in two thousand 0:14:14.400 --> 0:14:16.679 and eight, she'd be competitive, and Al Gore almost won 0:14:16.760 --> 0:14:20.400 it in two thousand, so that's not that long ago. 0:14:20.560 --> 0:14:24.120 It was a solid, solid democratic state, more democratic than 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:28.520 like New Jersey, was from twenty sixteen until August twenty 0:14:28.600 --> 0:14:33.560 twenty five, Democrats lost forty one point five percent of 0:14:33.720 --> 0:14:38.880 all their registered voters in that state forty forty one 0:14:38.880 --> 0:14:43.160 point five percent. Republicans grew their registration by twenty six percent. 0:14:43.520 --> 0:14:46.160 And I'm using twenty sixteen right, which is different than 0:14:46.200 --> 0:14:49.080 the New York Times article, because here's what happened. Between 0:14:49.080 --> 0:14:52.120 twenty sixteen and twenty twenty. Most state Democratic parties saw 0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:54.920 a big bump because it was you know, Trump's in power, 0:14:54.960 --> 0:14:58.200 it's fascism, it's you know, everyone puts your pink pussy 0:14:58.200 --> 0:15:00.160 hats on and sit there and start screaming into the 0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:03.200 wild like that was happening for those four years, and 0:15:03.240 --> 0:15:08.120 that bolster Democrat registration, and then twenty twenty happens. Obviously, yes, 0:15:08.200 --> 0:15:13.240 Biden's in charge, but the great wokeism happens, and you know, 0:15:13.360 --> 0:15:16.240 everyone's being me tooed and everyone's being canceled, and everyone's 0:15:16.240 --> 0:15:17.880 are racist, and you know, we have to have the 0:15:17.880 --> 0:15:20.400 trans bathing suits for six year olds of target. All 0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:22.480 that stuff happens post twenty twenty. But I'm looking at 0:15:22.480 --> 0:15:27.320 the long view from twenty sixteen. Okay, in Nevada, since 0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:30.240 twenty sixteen, No Democrats have actually grown their voter registration 0:15:30.360 --> 0:15:32.680 in Nevada. Nevada is a very fast growing state, so 0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:36.840 this makes sense. Democrats gained thirty three thousand, five hundred 0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:41.760 registered voters. Republicans gained almost one hundred and nineteen thousand 0:15:41.800 --> 0:15:47.280 registered Republicans. In New Hampshire, a semi swing state which 0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:51.440 has Republican local government Democrat federal government, Democrats have lost 0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:54.040 five percent of all their registered voters, Republicans have gained. 0:15:54.080 --> 0:15:56.800 Republicans actually have a plurality of all or sorry, they 0:15:56.840 --> 0:15:59.520 have more registered Republicans in the state of New Hampshire 0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:03.480 than Demorcrats. In Pennsylvania, the most important swing state in 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:08.840 the country, Democrats have lost sixteen percent of all their 0:16:08.880 --> 0:16:13.920 registered voters since twenty sixteen. Republicans have gained six percent. 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.640 I have increased their popular their numbers by six percent. 0:16:17.080 --> 0:16:21.960 You have to two things. Democrats had nine hundred thousand 0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:26.280 more registered voters than Republicans in twenty sixteen. That's down 0:16:26.320 --> 0:16:30.400 to fifty nine thousand this time. And Scott Presser has 0:16:30.440 --> 0:16:31.840 done a lot of work and people have done a 0:16:31.880 --> 0:16:34.120 lot of work in Pennsylvania. But there's one thing that 0:16:34.160 --> 0:16:36.040 no one ever talks about, and I want to talk 0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:40.240 about it for one second, about Pennsylvania specifically. In twenty sixteen, 0:16:40.880 --> 0:16:42.520 there was an article I think it was my, it 0:16:42.560 --> 0:16:44.200 was my Nate Cohen, it was by It was in 0:16:44.200 --> 0:16:46.480 five point thirty eight. It's called like the missing white voter. 0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.760 If Trump can find them, there are there were. As 0:16:49.760 --> 0:16:53.920 a twenty sixteen there were forty four million non college 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:59.320 educated white Americans who were not registered to vote, and 0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:03.000 million of them lived in one state in particular, and 0:17:03.040 --> 0:17:06.680 that was Pennsylvania. So what happened in twenty twenty three 0:17:06.960 --> 0:17:09.800 that didn't really make a lot of national news, Well, 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:14.160 Governor Josh Shapiro announced automatic voter registration for people when 0:17:14.200 --> 0:17:18.040 they get driver's licenses, So everyone who renews, all of 0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:19.800 a sudden has to register, vote, and register in a 0:17:19.840 --> 0:17:23.600 major political party. And though the decline for the Democratic 0:17:23.720 --> 0:17:28.600 Party was happening before that happened, it expedited the process. 0:17:29.160 --> 0:17:33.879 Republicans started gaining thousands more than Democrats after that happened 0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:37.920 because all the non college educated white Americans who never 0:17:38.040 --> 0:17:39.960 bothered to vote, but all of a sudden it had 0:17:40.000 --> 0:17:43.959 to register to vote, who were registering Republican in huge numbers, 0:17:44.000 --> 0:17:46.440 and that was a major game changer in Pennsylvania that 0:17:46.480 --> 0:17:48.920 I think Joshapiro did not think long terms. I don't 0:17:48.920 --> 0:17:50.240 know if you would have done the same thing over 0:17:50.240 --> 0:17:52.639 again if he would have known how horrible it was 0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:56.800 for his party, last, but not least, the state of Florida. 0:17:56.840 --> 0:17:59.600 Because this is I mean, this is this is the 0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:02.440 whole kit and kaboodle. Democrats in twenty sixteen and three 0:18:02.560 --> 0:18:06.000 hundred and fifty thousand more registered members of their party 0:18:06.000 --> 0:18:10.920 than Republicans. And since twenty sixteen, Democrats lost seven hundred 0:18:11.240 --> 0:18:15.480 thousand registered members their party and Republicans gained one million, 0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:20.479 one million. It is a collapse of a party that 0:18:20.560 --> 0:18:23.439 has no chance in the third largest day in this 0:18:23.520 --> 0:18:27.760 country for a very, very, very long time. I don't 0:18:27.760 --> 0:18:30.120 even know how you rebuild a party in that kind 0:18:30.160 --> 0:18:34.640 of situation. And once again, the differs from what I'm 0:18:34.640 --> 0:18:36.639 saying in the New York Times. I'm looking at the 0:18:36.720 --> 0:18:40.399 long view, looking since twenty sixteen, because I think that 0:18:40.480 --> 0:18:43.960 it's important to see that even when you count the 0:18:44.080 --> 0:18:47.919 resist Trump voter surge that happened when you know he 0:18:48.040 --> 0:18:50.320 first took office and Madonna sanctioned to blow up the 0:18:50.320 --> 0:18:52.200 White House and all the rest of it, and Kathy 0:18:52.200 --> 0:18:54.840 Griffin is holding up a you know, is a fake 0:18:54.920 --> 0:18:58.800 head and is bleeding, even when you include that Democrats 0:18:58.840 --> 0:19:01.439 are in a worse place years later, even when you 0:19:01.480 --> 0:19:04.680 consider all of that. Okay, that's enough for the data. 0:19:04.800 --> 0:19:07.679 I have a great interesting guest coming up next. I 0:19:07.680 --> 0:19:09.359 saw him online and I was like, I got to 0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:11.280 talk to this kid. I think you guys would find 0:19:11.320 --> 0:19:17.439 him fascinating. That's coming up right after this. So I 0:19:17.480 --> 0:19:20.920 was scrolling on Twitter a couple of days ago, maybe 0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.720 a wee could go now, and I came across this 0:19:24.119 --> 0:19:26.720 episode of Jubilee. It's this kind of crazy website where 0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:29.480 twenty people scream at one person, and there was an 0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:33.560 activist by name Amanda Seals. I think I'm pouncing her 0:19:33.600 --> 0:19:36.719 last thing correctly, and she was debating twenty black conservatives 0:19:36.720 --> 0:19:39.200 and this young man, Matt Nuclear who's with us today, 0:19:39.400 --> 0:19:42.200 was on and he was really smart and came across 0:19:42.280 --> 0:19:44.639 really thought provoking, and I want to have him on 0:19:44.640 --> 0:19:48.160 the pod and talk about the debate experience and how 0:19:48.200 --> 0:19:52.120 he became such a well spoken conservative. And you're eighteen 0:19:52.160 --> 0:19:52.800 years old, right. 0:19:52.680 --> 0:19:56.160 Matt, I Indiana, i'ma maintained, I'm turning nineteen in two months, 0:19:56.359 --> 0:20:00.800 So how did you get invited to Jubilee. I've been 0:20:00.840 --> 0:20:03.520 doing like TikTok live debates for a bit, and I 0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:06.520 believe that they invited me from that specifically. It's not 0:20:06.560 --> 0:20:08.440 like I asked them to come on. And I was 0:20:08.440 --> 0:20:11.880 supposed to originally do a different episode that was canceled. 0:20:11.960 --> 0:20:14.440 But because they, you know, like my performance on the 0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:17.479 episode that got canceled, they invited me back to debate 0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.160 a radical, you know, black person, and I was like, sure, 0:20:20.160 --> 0:20:20.600 I'll do it. 0:20:21.240 --> 0:20:23.840 So how long are you there for? By the way, 0:20:23.880 --> 0:20:27.919 is it hours and hours? I believe I believe that 0:20:28.000 --> 0:20:29.639 was three hours or two hours? 0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:31.360 It was that long. Okay. 0:20:31.680 --> 0:20:34.680 So now Amanda I never heard of Amanda Steals before. 0:20:35.040 --> 0:20:36.320 Her position was. 0:20:36.400 --> 0:20:41.280 What her position essentially was that reparations were just and necessary. 0:20:41.400 --> 0:20:43.040 I mean she's also now came out and to that 0:20:43.080 --> 0:20:45.119 black on black crime does not exist and it's not 0:20:45.240 --> 0:20:49.399 something of any relevancy whatsoever. And essentially that you know, 0:20:49.560 --> 0:20:51.840 black people are being oppressed by white people and this 0:20:51.880 --> 0:20:54.679 is why these sort of disparities exist. 0:20:55.160 --> 0:20:59.840 Now, you were you were really really smart, and how 0:20:59.880 --> 0:21:03.480 you came across what was your biggest oppositions to what 0:21:03.520 --> 0:21:03.800 she said? 0:21:03.800 --> 0:21:07.720 Are you naturally very conservative? Yeah, I am typically very 0:21:07.720 --> 0:21:11.640 conservative on basically almost everything, Okay, but I just naturally 0:21:11.640 --> 0:21:15.280 opposed to these handout to that this really isn't going 0:21:15.320 --> 0:21:17.000 to fix any problem. Like I told her, if you 0:21:17.040 --> 0:21:20.840 hand every black person fifty thousand dollars check in America, 0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:23.480 it isn't really going to increase the median huscle income 0:21:23.520 --> 0:21:26.680 by any significant amount in the next decade or two. 0:21:27.320 --> 0:21:29.879 It's not really going to change anything significantly. What we 0:21:29.880 --> 0:21:32.679 need to do is bring back the black nuclear family 0:21:33.000 --> 0:21:36.200 and you know, you know, stop the issues and reference 0:21:36.240 --> 0:21:38.520 to violence and reference to gain crime, and then we 0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:40.880 can see some improvements. But this idea that handing people 0:21:40.920 --> 0:21:44.440 a check is going to change something radically is just humorous. 0:21:44.880 --> 0:21:47.320 Now, how was she packs each other? I think you 0:21:47.400 --> 0:21:49.840 dm me said that she wanted to cut you off, 0:21:49.920 --> 0:21:52.680 or she didn't want parts of what you said aired right. 0:21:53.240 --> 0:21:55.040 No, No, it's it's she just didn't want to debate me. 0:21:55.040 --> 0:21:57.960 Like there was a point where, like I said, redlining 0:21:58.000 --> 0:22:00.320 didn't exist to the extent that you know, they tried 0:22:00.359 --> 0:22:02.199 to act as if it existed, and you didn't want 0:22:02.240 --> 0:22:04.119