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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Saturday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt

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Speaker 1: Parolt at Sports Talk Matt to follow me across all

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Speaker 1: socials after a four and oh, So weep of the

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Speaker 1: board on a Friday night, not bad two of those

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Speaker 1: this week.

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Speaker 2: Sweep on a.

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Speaker 1: Three and oh, sweep on a four and oh although

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Speaker 1: it's two point five units. We got both player props

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Speaker 1: right when Byama and Paul George both hit their player props.

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Speaker 1: So we gave out during the Discord channel. So two

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Speaker 1: and oh there. If you aren't in the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: this is why you should be in the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: on Fridays.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna do player props. Now.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna sprinkle it in as we go through the

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Speaker 1: NBA season, but for Fridays, for sure you'll get NBA

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Speaker 1: player props out of me from here on out.

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Speaker 2: So nice two and o night there.

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Speaker 1: We get two and oh on the plays I gave

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Speaker 1: out on the podcast over night, which was nice.

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Speaker 2: I mean that hockey over was fortuitous.

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Speaker 1: It was zero zero after one and then the third

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Speaker 1: period fireworks and we got going there with three, four, five, six, whatever.

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Speaker 1: The heck was goals, so over six and a half Nashville,

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Speaker 1: eleven straight overs for Dallas at home, Dallas Stars at

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Speaker 1: home over until further notice, and then we get the

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Speaker 1: basketball bet to come in and we get Iowa. They

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Speaker 1: blew out Nebraska in the second half. Nebraska shot like

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Speaker 1: crap from behind the arc. Like I thought, that is

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Speaker 1: a make or miss team that might be the number

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Speaker 1: one make or miss team in all of college basketball.

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Speaker 1: Thirty seven percent of their points come from behind the arc,

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Speaker 1: and they beat the number one team in the country.

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Speaker 1: Nebraska was not used to that, so that was a

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Speaker 1: predictable poor shooting night for the Huskers. They got waxed

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Speaker 1: by Iowa. We laid four, wasn't even needed twenty almost

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Speaker 1: twenty point win for Iowa. So four and oh up

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Speaker 1: two point five units on the night. There So, very

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Speaker 1: good week going as we head towards a Saturday. Now

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Speaker 1: this is very cool because we have a lot of

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Speaker 1: things going on, the first of which is the live stream, which,

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Speaker 1: by the way, there is no Sunday live stream.

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Speaker 2: I was wrong. I thought we were doing two.

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Speaker 1: We're just doing it on Saturday today noon eastern Okay,

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Speaker 1: same place, same time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: But we're doing all five games tomorrow, right, So I've

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Speaker 1: got two bets for the NFL games today on this podcast,

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Speaker 1: I will give you the teaser teasers plural for the

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Speaker 1: weekend tomorrow.

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Speaker 2: Okay.

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Speaker 1: So it's tough to do Wong teasers during the playoffs

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Speaker 1: because it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 2: And I'm going to cross days and I.

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Speaker 1: Got a bunch of things to tell you about during

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Speaker 1: the during the live stream today at noon Eastern. But

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Speaker 1: that's the only live stream. Nothing on Sunday, nothing on Monday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So Saturday is the six games. I would think it's

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Speaker 1: five games or six games, two today, three tomorrow, and

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Speaker 1: then one on Monday. So we'll have picks on the

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Speaker 1: podcast still. But I'm going to give you the teasers

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Speaker 1: tomorrow on the live stream starting at noon Eastern time

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Speaker 1: on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, so make sure you

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Speaker 1: tune in for that for the Super wild Card weekend

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Speaker 1: live stream for thirty minutes with myself at noon.

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Speaker 2: And I believe it's Andrew.

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Speaker 1: Erickson joining me tomorrow on the program because Pat fitz

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Speaker 1: Morris joined me last week, so I'm pretty sure it's

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Speaker 1: Andrew Erickson. Who's going to join us, But maybe I

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Speaker 1: have that flipped for who my co host is going

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Speaker 1: to be tomorrow from Betting Pros. Let me see if

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Speaker 1: I can grab that really fast. As to who that is,

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Speaker 1: I'm kind of blanking on who it's going to be, Uh,

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Speaker 1: Pat fitz Morris tomorrow. I was wrong. So that's who

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Speaker 1: we're talking to. Myself and Pat fitz Morse coming at

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Speaker 1: you at noon Eastern time on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. Now,

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Speaker 1: one more thing to tell you about, and if you

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Speaker 1: have not done this, you can jump in right now

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Speaker 1: before these games kick off with the Playoff Pickum Contest. Now,

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Speaker 1: somebody told me that this is already sold out. Okay,

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Speaker 1: but if it is, I will see if we can

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Speaker 1: extend and open it up to more entries for the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros Playoff Pick Them Contest twenty five dollars entries,

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Speaker 1: three max top ten get paid out. Game kicks off

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Speaker 1: starts today, So you got to get your picks in.

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Speaker 1: If you're in, make sure you get your picks in.

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Speaker 1: Don't forget about that. Betting Pros dot Com slash splash

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Speaker 1: is how you enter Betting Pros dot Com.

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Speaker 2: Slash splash.

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Speaker 1: I believe we had a maximum of one thousand entries,

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Speaker 1: and I think we may have hit it. But I'm

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Speaker 1: going to tell you about this in the discord channel

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Speaker 1: bettingpros dot Com slash Chat. If it is sold out,

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Speaker 1: I will see if we can add and open it

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Speaker 1: back up again for the morning to see if we

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Speaker 1: get them to kickoff. We can add some more entries,

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Speaker 1: because the more entries we get, the more money in

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Speaker 1: the prize pool, the better it's going to be. So

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Speaker 1: but if it's not sold out, Betting pro dot Com

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Speaker 1: slash splash to be a part of the Betting Pro

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Speaker 1: Playoff Pick Them contest with Betting Pros and Splash Sports. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it is Saturday. We got a big card. Okay, this

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Speaker 1: is what we do on Saturdays normally in college football

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Speaker 1: in the NFL. We're doing college basketball in the NFL

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Speaker 1: this time.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let me give you college basketball and then I'll

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Speaker 2: give you the NFL.

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Speaker 1: All right now. Oftentimes, you guys like bonus picks. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you want a bonus pick, something that's not official,

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Speaker 1: but something you may want to add on. If you like,

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Speaker 1: I like Southern Illinois today at home against Drake the

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Speaker 1: numbers two and a half. SIU is eight and one

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Speaker 1: ats at home, but I don't love it. Don't love it.

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Speaker 1: The numbers go from two and a half to three

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Speaker 1: at certain books. Drake played really well. I need to

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Speaker 1: see more of Drake before I can go back to

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Speaker 1: making some plays official. Excuse me when against Drake last

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Speaker 1: time out and we lost it because they did really well.

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Speaker 1: Indiana State got blown out at home. Drake's on the

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Speaker 1: road though, lost the last two road games, but better

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Speaker 1: in that game personally and watching it. But if you

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Speaker 1: want some extra valley basketball there, Southern Illinois plus two

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Speaker 1: and a half up against Drake. You guys know what

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Speaker 1: I do, right, I bet the teams that I watch.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about the Creighton Blue Jays up against

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Speaker 1: Saint John's. Look, I'm not in love with what I

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Speaker 1: have seen lately out of the Creighton blue Jays, Okay,

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Speaker 1: and I am concerned. Let's just say it that I

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Speaker 1: am concerned at what has happened, and I'm concerned at

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Speaker 1: the way things have gone down over the last couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks. There are warning signs with the Creighton Blue

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Speaker 1: Jays that make me, I don't want to say, throw

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Speaker 1: up a red flag. But they're not playing the way

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Speaker 1: that I like right now. Okay, they've had some good

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Speaker 1: wins and taken care of some bad teams, But the

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Speaker 1: Jays are at home laying eight points against Saint John's.

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Speaker 1: Now Saint John's is op K on the road ats,

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Speaker 1: they're not outstanding. They're four and four. The J's are

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Speaker 1: four and four as well, at home against the number.

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Speaker 1: They beat Providence, they didn't cover. They lost to Villanova outright.

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Speaker 1: They beat Alabama, they didn't cover. Those were the last

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Speaker 1: three home games for the Creighton Blue Jays. Four wins

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Speaker 1: in a row for Saint John's. They beat Providence at home,

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Speaker 1: didn't cover. They beat Villanova on the road, did cover

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Speaker 1: one by ten as three and a half point dogs.

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Speaker 1: They beat Butler at home, lay in six and a half,

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Speaker 1: one by sixteen. They didn't cover against Hofstraw on a

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Speaker 1: neutral court, it was eight and a half. They won

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Speaker 1: by five, but they still won. On the road against Yukon,

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Speaker 1: they were eleven and a half point dogs. They lost

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Speaker 1: by four. That's very impressive in my mind with these guys.

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Speaker 1: As to how they've played against West Virginia, they're laying five.

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Speaker 1: They won six more on West Virginia here in a second,

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Speaker 1: but we're going West Virginia. You know the games West

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Speaker 1: Virginia covered, Yukon covered, Villanova covered. Last three road games.

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Speaker 1: Saint John's has one let alone covered. They've won. This

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Speaker 1: team is athletic in the backcourt, and that's going to

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Speaker 1: be a problem for the Creighton Blue Jays.

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Speaker 2: All right. They've won three games in.

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Speaker 1: A row again. They beat De Paul on the road.

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Speaker 1: They didn't cover against Providence at home. They beat Georgetown

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Speaker 1: on the road. They lost to Marquette, they lost to Villanova,

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Speaker 1: they beat Alabama, but their last two home games, last

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Speaker 1: three home games, they have not covered. I don't trust

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Speaker 1: the Jays to cover eight. I didn't trust them. You

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Speaker 1: know the Providence number.

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Speaker 2: I did.

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Speaker 1: I laid it with them with Providence. It didn't come in.

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Speaker 1: They won by nine. I think they probably win the

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Speaker 1: game by five or six. I don't think the Jays

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Speaker 1: win this game. I think eight it's too heavy. I'm

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Speaker 1: taking Saint John's plus eight one point one units on

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Speaker 1: the Johnnys on the road in Omaha. It's going to

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Speaker 1: be cold, but I've seen these games before. Okay, it's

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Speaker 1: an afternoon game. People might not be in the building.

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Speaker 1: That is, the atmosphere gets kind of sleepy when these

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Speaker 1: games happen in Omaha.

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Speaker 2: They like night games.

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Speaker 1: They much prefer to play these games at night when

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Speaker 1: they can drink and party and get ready. And so

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Speaker 1: I've seen this before where like they just come out

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Speaker 1: a little bit sluggish and they never really get going.

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Speaker 1: And these are games I've seen the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 1: lose outright before at home as eight point nine point favorites.

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Speaker 1: I'm taking Saint John's plus eight for Saint John's, which

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Speaker 1: is by the way, right on the number for what

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Speaker 1: ken Pom has it. Ken Bom has it right on

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Speaker 1: eight for eight point win for the Jays. I'll take

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Speaker 1: Saint John's plus eight here at home, sorry, Saint John's

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Speaker 1: on the road at Creighton for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: Okay, bet number two. Let's talk about North Carolina.

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Speaker 1: They're laying twelve and a half points at home against Syracuse,

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Speaker 1: the number fourteen, that's what ken Pom has this ass

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Speaker 1: in eighty two sixty eight point win over Syracuse. North

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Speaker 1: Carolina is playing really well, Okay. They are the fifteenth

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Speaker 1: most efficient offense the country. They're one hundred and thirty

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Speaker 1: thirty in field goal percentage, they are seventieth and three

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Speaker 1: point percentage, only one hundred and seventy seventh in two

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Speaker 1: point percentage. But this is a team that has really

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Speaker 1: thrived getting to the rim. Offensive, rebounding and scoring. Baycot's

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Speaker 1: been tremendous. Their guard play has been awesome with R. J.

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Speaker 2: Davis.

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Speaker 1: Forty eight point eight percent of their points are coming

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Speaker 1: on two pointers here. That's really effective on the at

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Speaker 1: home and on the road when you get to the rim.

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Speaker 1: Syracuse's offense is just not good, okay. Effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage two hundred and twenty fourth, three point percentage two

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Speaker 1: hundred and sixty second, one hundred and sixty six and

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Speaker 1: two point percentage for this team, I mean, I mean Syracuse.

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Speaker 2: Does not play fast. I guess I'm sorry.

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Speaker 1: Through the back, they're playing much faster than normal with

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Speaker 1: coach Audrey, they're playing faster forty first in the country

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Speaker 1: for that.

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Speaker 2: But defensively they're okay.

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Speaker 1: They're not great. They're the middle of the pack. They

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Speaker 1: lost to Duke on the road eighty six to sixty six.

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Speaker 1: They lost to virgin on the road eighty four to

218
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Speaker 1: sixty two, and lost to Tennessee. They lost to Gonzaga.

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Speaker 1: The best win is a win on a neutral court

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Speaker 1: against Oregon, which was somewhat shocking. They beat Oregon eighty

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Speaker 1: three to sixty three. But you know, North Carolina has

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Speaker 1: been really, really good and really effective at home this year.

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Speaker 1: Their losses have all come on neutral courts. Lost to

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Speaker 1: Nova on a neutral in overtime, lost to Yukon on

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Speaker 1: a neutral in Connecticut, sorry, in Kentucky on a neutral.

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Speaker 1: Since the lost to Kentucky, they've beaten Oklahoma, Charleston, Southern,

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Speaker 1: Pitt Clemson, and NC State all on the road. We've

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Speaker 1: bet them with Pitt, Clemson and NC State. We're going

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Speaker 1: to keep betting the streak here for North Carolina to

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Speaker 1: win in North Carolina to cover. I think they cover

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Speaker 1: the twelve and a half points here. I know it's

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Speaker 1: a little bit of a bigger number, but I like

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Speaker 1: the twelve and a half points. We're laying it here

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Speaker 1: with North Carolina minus twelve and a half for this

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Speaker 1: right now, for one point one units and one more

236
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Speaker 1: bet in college basketball to give you guys officially Texas

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Speaker 1: in West Virginia, Okay, West Virginia has lost three games

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Speaker 1: in a row. West Virginia has lost five of six.

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Speaker 1: West Virginia, it's four and six at home. They're one

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Speaker 1: in four ats over the last five games, and they

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Speaker 1: haven't covered in their last three. They've only covered two

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Speaker 1: times in their last ten games. On the flip side,

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Speaker 1: Texas hasn't been awesome, okay, but this number opened at six.

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Speaker 1: It was bet down to five and a half here

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Speaker 1: in Las Vegas. I don't get the move here, and

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Speaker 1: it feels like a headfake just to get a lower

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Speaker 1: number to come in and take Texas big. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this number should be way higher. I do not understand

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Speaker 1: the five and a half. In fact, kempom has this

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00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:43,240
Speaker 1: as a nine point win, sorry, as a seven point

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Speaker 1: win for Texas seventy five to sixty eight. This is

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Speaker 1: a five and a half point line. We're getting good

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Speaker 1: value here on Texas. We're talking about an offense for

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Speaker 1: West Virginia. We've already gone through this. But West Virginia's

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Speaker 1: offense three hundred and seven effective field goal percentage one

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00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:03,520
Speaker 1: hundred and seventy fifth, efficient offense three hundred and fourteenth

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00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,480
Speaker 1: in three point percentage two hundred and ninety first, and

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Speaker 1: two point percentage. This team gets a lot of points

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Speaker 1: in you know, from non two pointers. Half their points

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00:13:13,840 --> 00:13:18,120
Speaker 1: come from behind from a two pointer, only twenty seven

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00:13:18,160 --> 00:13:20,600
Speaker 1: percent of their points come from behind the arc, and

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00:13:20,640 --> 00:13:22,320
Speaker 1: only twenty two percent of their points come from the

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Speaker 1: free throw line, which is not great. Fifty four point

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Speaker 1: nine percent of the points for Texas comes in the paint,

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00:13:28,520 --> 00:13:30,840
Speaker 1: twenty eight point two percent come from behind the arc.

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Speaker 1: Texas fifty ninth in three point percentage, forty eighth and

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00:13:35,040 --> 00:13:38,720
Speaker 1: two point percentage, thirty ninth in effective field goal percentage.

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Speaker 1: And defensively, Texas is good forty five point nine effective

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00:13:43,720 --> 00:13:45,920
Speaker 1: field goal percentage. That's thirty eighth fath in the country.

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Speaker 1: They are fifty second in an adjusted defensive efficiency. They

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Speaker 1: are twentieth and two point percentage. I mean, I mean

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Speaker 1: five and a give me Texas five and a half

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Speaker 1: on the road. I mean, my gosh, I don't know

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Speaker 1: how in the world you don't take this. This is

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Speaker 1: a really odd line move. To me. West Virginia just

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Speaker 1: is not a good basketball team, and they haven't been

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Speaker 1: a good basketball team for a while, and I don't

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Speaker 1: really understand why. I mean, last time out, Texas against Cincinnati,

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Speaker 1: there are five point dogs.

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Speaker 2: They won by one.

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Speaker 1: They lost at home in Texas Tech, they're laying sixteen, sorry,

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Speaker 1: six and a half. They lost by eleven. But at

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00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,600
Speaker 1: home against Texas Arlington, laying eighteen, they won by seventeen,

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Speaker 1: so they didn't cover there. But on the road against Marquette,

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00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:31,960
Speaker 1: they were eight and a half point dogs, but that

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00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,640
Speaker 1: was a revenge game for Shaka Smart and they lost

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00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,440
Speaker 1: by twenty one. They haven't played a ton of games

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Speaker 1: on the road, but they went on the road again

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati and they were dogs and they won the game.

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Speaker 1: Outright now, they're laying five and a half. I'm taking Texas,

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Speaker 1: all right. I just think Texas another two and three

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Speaker 1: on the road. ATS are away from home this year

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00:14:50,080 --> 00:14:52,560
Speaker 1: and they all have a great ATS number. But West

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00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:54,840
Speaker 1: Virginia this is not a good basketball team and they

295
00:14:54,840 --> 00:14:57,240
Speaker 1: are a fade until further known as home road.

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Speaker 2: Whatever.

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Speaker 1: We were on K State, they were catching two points.

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Speaker 1: They lost by fourteen. West Virginia. They were like case,

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Speaker 1: they were laying two points. West Virginia was a favorite

300
00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,440
Speaker 1: in that game. They lost by fourteen. That made no

301
00:15:09,600 --> 00:15:12,520
Speaker 1: sense whatsoever to me. But you know, we're coming in

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Speaker 1: here on Texas again. They're gonna bet West Virginia, I

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00:15:14,840 --> 00:15:18,280
Speaker 1: guess until they think they're gonna figure it out, but no,

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00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,160
Speaker 1: I don't buy it. Minus five and a half, lay

305
00:15:21,160 --> 00:15:22,840
Speaker 1: in the five and a half with Texas for one

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00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:25,560
Speaker 1: point one units. Okay, so three of plays in college

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Speaker 1: basketball Saint John's plus eight, North Carolina minus twelve and

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00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:31,640
Speaker 1: a half in Texas minus five and a half. Okay,

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00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:34,680
Speaker 1: to the NFL we go, and look, when we get

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Speaker 1: to this point in the season, just tread lightly. Okay,

311
00:15:39,080 --> 00:15:42,560
Speaker 1: the playoffs. This is just a minefield. Two games today,

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00:15:42,600 --> 00:15:46,960
Speaker 1: Cleveland at Houston, Miami at Kansas City. It's not going

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00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:50,440
Speaker 1: to be easy. But everyone is jumping on Cleveland. It's

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00:15:50,480 --> 00:15:53,400
Speaker 1: just it's such a weird thing. Cleveland is two five

315
00:15:53,440 --> 00:15:56,320
Speaker 1: and one ats on the road. I know Houston's four

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00:15:56,320 --> 00:16:00,520
Speaker 1: and five at home ats, but there's just certain things

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00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:03,560
Speaker 1: that jump off the page for me when it comes

318
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:08,840
Speaker 1: to where this this Cleveland defense on the road give

319
00:16:08,920 --> 00:16:11,680
Speaker 1: up ten more points than they do at home. I mean,

320
00:16:11,680 --> 00:16:14,880
Speaker 1: there are not a totally different team, but they're really

321
00:16:14,920 --> 00:16:17,240
Speaker 1: different with what they give up on the road versus

322
00:16:17,280 --> 00:16:19,240
Speaker 1: what they give up at home. And it has to

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Speaker 1: be acknowledged, it has to be looked at it and

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00:16:21,720 --> 00:16:25,120
Speaker 1: it's got to be talked about. So like, I am

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00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:29,320
Speaker 1: very interesting to see where this number closes, very interest

326
00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:33,720
Speaker 1: to see with number closes, because I am convinced that

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00:16:33,840 --> 00:16:37,640
Speaker 1: the money for Houston's gonna show up today because I

328
00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,920
Speaker 1: did not get the love for Cleveland early in the week.

329
00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:43,080
Speaker 2: I think CJ.

330
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Speaker 1: Stroud, I mean, you could say, Matt It's a rookie quarterback,

331
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Speaker 1: and Matt it's a rookie head coach, and in the

332
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Speaker 1: wild card round, Joe Flacco doesn't lose. Yeah, but this

333
00:16:51,840 --> 00:16:55,000
Speaker 1: Cleveland defense, I can't get around it. Like I think

334
00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:58,400
Speaker 1: the game goes over and I can't bet. I don't

335
00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:00,400
Speaker 1: want to bet totals in the playoffs and try to

336
00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:02,920
Speaker 1: avoid betting totals unless the weathers are really big concern

337
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,440
Speaker 1: and there are some really big weather games this weekend,

338
00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:08,520
Speaker 1: so that would That's where I'm gonna bet totals. But

339
00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:14,240
Speaker 1: otherwise at home in the postseason, this is the playoffs.

340
00:17:14,760 --> 00:17:18,480
Speaker 1: If the Browns played poorly defensively on the road in

341
00:17:18,520 --> 00:17:22,080
Speaker 1: the regular season, They're gonna play well defensively on the road.

342
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,760
Speaker 2: In the playoffs. CJ.

343
00:17:24,800 --> 00:17:28,480
Speaker 1: Stroud's gonna be over his head. I don't see it,

344
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:31,399
Speaker 1: and I know the defense has not been great for

345
00:17:31,480 --> 00:17:33,800
Speaker 1: the Texans, I'll give you that. And I know my

346
00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:37,480
Speaker 1: record with the Texans has not been great. I'll give

347
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:39,320
Speaker 1: you that. But the Texans are six and three this

348
00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:43,480
Speaker 1: year straight up at home. They're catching two points on

349
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:49,040
Speaker 1: the road. Cleveland three and five straight up. I love Flaco,

350
00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:52,520
Speaker 1: I love the offense. I love everything of what goes on.

351
00:17:52,760 --> 00:17:54,680
Speaker 1: There's so many cool things with Cleveland you can talk

352
00:17:54,720 --> 00:17:57,120
Speaker 1: about with how well they play and what they do.

353
00:17:57,280 --> 00:18:00,440
Speaker 1: I get all that, But to me, I'm taking the dog.

354
00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:03,560
Speaker 1: Give me plus two the Texans. Sorry, guys, I don't

355
00:18:03,560 --> 00:18:05,560
Speaker 1: know if you heard my daughter or not, but that

356
00:18:05,680 --> 00:18:07,960
Speaker 1: was a kid waking up screaming in my house.

357
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:09,240
Speaker 2: So I apologize.

358
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,119
Speaker 1: Let's go to the last game here for us on

359
00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:16,520
Speaker 1: the card, and that is the Dolphins up against the Chiefs. Look,

360
00:18:16,920 --> 00:18:19,880
Speaker 1: there's not a big handicap here. Okay, this is an

361
00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:25,200
Speaker 1: outdoor team dealing with ridiculous weather. And I mean like outdoors,

362
00:18:25,240 --> 00:18:27,440
Speaker 1: meaning like a warm weather team. In the Miami Dolphins,

363
00:18:28,000 --> 00:18:30,560
Speaker 1: they are not good. They are not good on the

364
00:18:30,640 --> 00:18:33,240
Speaker 1: road in the cold weather. They're not good in cold

365
00:18:33,280 --> 00:18:36,480
Speaker 1: weather period. Okay, the numbers are all stacked against Miami,

366
00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:39,720
Speaker 1: to his record on the road, to his record in

367
00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:43,640
Speaker 1: subarctic temperatures, the Dolphins record in blow forty to reads.

368
00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:46,280
Speaker 1: It's all bad. All of it's really bad. Okay, the

369
00:18:46,320 --> 00:18:50,760
Speaker 1: Casey Chiefs can't score. However, Miami Dolphins defense is decimated,

370
00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:53,720
Speaker 1: but the Chiefs offense is not good. The total is

371
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:57,840
Speaker 1: forty three and a half. We're talking wind wind chill

372
00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:03,000
Speaker 1: of negative thirty Exposed skin can frostbite within fifteen to

373
00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:05,439
Speaker 1: twenty minutes. They're telling people that when they go to

374
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:08,600
Speaker 1: the game, they cannot have anything any skin exposed whatsoever,

375
00:19:08,960 --> 00:19:12,400
Speaker 1: bundled up on, bundled up. This is gonna be disgusting.

376
00:19:12,440 --> 00:19:16,880
Speaker 1: Whether the balls are going to be absolutely unkickable, uncatchable,

377
00:19:17,800 --> 00:19:21,399
Speaker 1: it's gonna be complete misery in Kansas City. I'm betting

378
00:19:21,440 --> 00:19:23,560
Speaker 1: under forty three and a half. There's not much more

379
00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:26,920
Speaker 1: of a handicap than that. It's just these games weather

380
00:19:27,080 --> 00:19:31,000
Speaker 1: in wind, cold, extreme cold is really really tough. To

381
00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:35,280
Speaker 1: play in extreme cold with wind makes it even worse. Yes,

382
00:19:35,960 --> 00:19:38,240
Speaker 1: I know the running game for the Dolphins is better

383
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:40,560
Speaker 1: than the Chiefs. The Dolphins could be in the game.

384
00:19:40,880 --> 00:19:43,240
Speaker 1: The Dolphins could cover the four and a half. It's possible,

385
00:19:43,320 --> 00:19:46,680
Speaker 1: all right, just given the team speed. I don't think

386
00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,800
Speaker 1: it's a Tyreek Hill revenge game simply because of the weather.

387
00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,840
Speaker 1: And two is not gonna wear gloves today. Okay, I

388
00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:56,359
Speaker 1: mean I would wear gloves given the temperature in the wind,

389
00:19:56,440 --> 00:19:59,320
Speaker 1: but I just think we're not gonna see offense. I

390
00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 1: think they The reason why the number hasn't dropped more

391
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:04,040
Speaker 1: is because I think the pros want to come back

392
00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:04,960
Speaker 1: and they want to middle it.

393
00:20:05,040 --> 00:20:07,720
Speaker 2: So they've already bet forty five. They bet forty four.

394
00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:10,120
Speaker 1: So if you give them a forty one, you give

395
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:11,800
Speaker 1: them a forty, they're gonna go to middle it. They're

396
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:13,720
Speaker 1: gonna jump on the over and the books could get

397
00:20:13,760 --> 00:20:16,280
Speaker 1: middled and that could be really bad. They could lose

398
00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:18,919
Speaker 1: both bets if the thing falls like forty four, not

399
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:22,000
Speaker 1: good for the sports books. So I think that's why

400
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,480
Speaker 1: the number hasn't come down more. But they might be

401
00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:26,119
Speaker 1: waiting for the weather and see what the weather's going

402
00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:28,440
Speaker 1: to be like. But by all accounts, we're talking about

403
00:20:28,480 --> 00:20:31,720
Speaker 1: just one of the more historically cold games in the

404
00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:35,400
Speaker 1: postseason history of the NFL. It's just a principal play

405
00:20:35,560 --> 00:20:37,960
Speaker 1: under forty three and a half. If you want to

406
00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,080
Speaker 1: do a teaser, and I very well might do this,

407
00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:42,280
Speaker 1: and I might do this on a live stream. I

408
00:20:42,280 --> 00:20:43,359
Speaker 1: want to watch and see where.

409
00:20:43,200 --> 00:20:46,159
Speaker 2: The numbers go. But you could probably tease up, you know.

410
00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:49,000
Speaker 1: Take the Dolphins up here at forty three and a half,

411
00:20:49,040 --> 00:20:51,119
Speaker 1: take it to forty nine and a half, take under

412
00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:53,640
Speaker 1: take the Textans from two, bet them up to eight.

413
00:20:54,160 --> 00:20:56,000
Speaker 1: Not a bad teaser, all right, that's not a bad

414
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:57,960
Speaker 1: teaser at all. In fact, that might be a teaser

415
00:20:58,000 --> 00:20:59,879
Speaker 1: I play on the live stream. But we'll see how

416
00:20:59,880 --> 00:21:04,000
Speaker 1: it goes. Okay, full card five plays. By the way,

417
00:21:04,119 --> 00:21:06,640
Speaker 1: no player props yet for me tomorrow on the lotor.

418
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:08,640
Speaker 1: Today for the live stream, I'm not doing that today.

419
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,040
Speaker 1: The only two games and the weather and whatnot. I

420
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,000
Speaker 1: there won't be player props for the NFL, so I'm

421
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:16,160
Speaker 1: giving you five games for that reason. Saint John's plus eight,

422
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,360
Speaker 1: North Carolina minus twelve and a half, Texas minus five

423
00:21:19,400 --> 00:21:22,639
Speaker 1: and a half, Texans plus two under forty three and

424
00:21:22,640 --> 00:21:25,320
Speaker 1: a half for the Dolphins and the Chiefs.

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Speaker 2: I will talk to you in the.

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00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,400
Speaker 1: Betting Pros live stream at noon Eastern time nine am

427
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 1: Pacific time with myself and Pat fitz Morris. We'll be

428
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,200
Speaker 1: live on the Betting Pros YouTube channel for Super wild

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00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:37,959
Speaker 1: Card weekend minus Matt Parol following me across all socials

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00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt every morning. Theli Juice Podcast as

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00:21:41,040 --> 00:21:57,960
Speaker 1: being brought to you by Omaha Steaks dot com