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Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome on into the Betting Pros College

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Speaker 1: Football look Ahead. It is a fantastic Sunday. Week one

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Speaker 1: of the college football season is just about in our

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Speaker 1: rearview mirror. We still have a few games tonight, but

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Speaker 1: right now we are going to be taking a look

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Speaker 1: ahead to next week, breaking down the lines that you

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Speaker 1: need to be jumping on early, and of course for

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Speaker 1: all of that analysis. Joining me here on the program

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Speaker 1: as always the God of Thunder himself, thor Nystrom Thor.

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Speaker 1: It is a great day. I'm feeling good, coming off

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Speaker 1: a fantastic Syracuse win that we are going to talk

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Speaker 1: more about in this program. How are you doing today.

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Speaker 2: You're feeling good. I'm feeling good. You're looking good with

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Speaker 2: that Syracu shirt on the epic day for Dino Babers

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Speaker 2: in the Syracuse program yesterday ambushing Louisville. We'll definitely get

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Speaker 2: to that pint. What a fun time it was to

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Speaker 2: have a full slate of college football back on a Saturday.

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Speaker 2: I was tickled pink yesterday.

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Speaker 1: It feels so good. You throw it on in the

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Speaker 1: morning right when you wake up for me here on

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Speaker 1: the West Coast, and then you just have college football

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Speaker 1: all throughout the day. Made some good bets made actually

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Speaker 1: didn't make any bad bets. I didn't make too many,

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Speaker 1: but I was happy. I jumped in on Ohio State

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Speaker 1: at the end of the third quarter four and a

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Speaker 1: half live line. They covered that nicely for me. I

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Speaker 1: was good to go, And of course I want to

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Speaker 1: bet on my Syracuse Orange. But right now, we are

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Speaker 1: putting Week one in the rearview mirror. We are moving

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Speaker 1: on to Week two here, and that has to start

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Speaker 1: off with the biggest name, biggest names, biggest game of

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Speaker 1: the week here. It doesn't get much bigger than Texas

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Speaker 1: versus Bama. And the line right now in this one

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Speaker 1: is a whopping eighteen. And you know I was actually

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Speaker 1: going to be going with Bama in this spot. I

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Speaker 1: don't care what the spread is because I do not

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Speaker 1: believe Texas is back, but you have some thoughts on

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Speaker 1: where this game actually should be.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the line is a little objectively short

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Speaker 2: right now. You know my adjusted line on this one

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Speaker 2: is Alabama by fourteen and a half. Keep in mind

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Speaker 2: that this game is in Austin, so Alabama's going to

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Speaker 2: have to travel there. But all that being said, I

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Speaker 2: understand why it's inflated, you know, three and a half

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Speaker 2: points roughly, and only over one key number, which is

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Speaker 2: you know, one of the most key numbers. So like

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Speaker 2: I think, basically, by setting that number at eighteen, Vegas

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Speaker 2: is allowing the market to bat it one way or

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Speaker 2: the other, you know, whether that comes down closer to

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Speaker 2: seventeen or whether the money goes the other way. And

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Speaker 2: then he got a couple of points to get up

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Speaker 2: to twenty. But I think objectively that the fair spread

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Speaker 2: would be about fourteen and a half. We didn't get

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Speaker 2: a ton of information on these two teams on Saturday

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Speaker 2: because they were both playing crappy opponents. I will say,

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Speaker 2: though I watched parts of both of those games, Alabama

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Speaker 2: looked as advertised, you know, and I spent all summer

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Speaker 2: talking about how this Alabama team profiled is as a

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Speaker 2: team that could be one of the best of my

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Speaker 2: lifetime in college football. They looked every bit of that. Now, again,

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Speaker 2: they were playing Utah State, so it's you know, you

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Speaker 2: take it somewhat with the grant assault of though Utah

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Speaker 2: State did win eleven games last year, although they struggled

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Speaker 2: with Yukon and the opener, so you know, however you

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Speaker 2: want to view that. But Bryce Young having the five

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Speaker 2: throwing touchdowns in the first half, he ran for a

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Speaker 2: bunch of yards too, and had another rushing touchdown. By

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Speaker 2: the time it was halftime, I was already a laugher.

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Speaker 2: They were pulling all the starters and then Texas. They

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Speaker 2: didn't run away with it quite as much against ULL Monroe,

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Speaker 2: but they were also yanking their starters super duper early.

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Speaker 2: This game is going to be really interesting to see.

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Speaker 2: What is quinn yours? We were not going to get

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Speaker 2: an indictment of that or a referendum on that in

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Speaker 2: the U mon Roe game. He got his asked and

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Speaker 2: Martin told during the game, though I don't know if

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Speaker 2: you saw that on on Twitter.

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Speaker 1: Hole.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he got to tell Darrett the game. And I

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Speaker 2: also found it funny what kind of car that nineteen

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Speaker 2: year old is driving? What a life? If your Quinn yours?

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Speaker 2: But they pulled yours early when you knew they were

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Speaker 2: going to do. They wanted to get Hudson card work.

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Speaker 2: They pulled beje On early, which you probably knew that

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Speaker 2: they were going to do, not trying to get him

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Speaker 2: hurt and everything like that. But I think for this

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Speaker 2: game that the cliff notes of it is objectively fair.

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Speaker 2: Spread is a little bit lower than it is. But

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Speaker 2: if you want to bet Bama, certainly understand you just

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Speaker 2: have to pay a tax.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I think I'm gonna I think I'm going

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Speaker 1: to have to pay that tax. As much as I

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Speaker 1: hate taxes, in this particular instance, I am here for

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Speaker 1: sitting down on my couch and watching Texas get a

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Speaker 1: preview of what is to come when they join the

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Speaker 1: SEC and how big of a mistake this might just

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Speaker 1: be for them. I'm ready to see this happening here

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Speaker 1: and the nil deals. I mean, obviously you got this

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Speaker 1: guy riding around in an Aston Martin at nineteen. The

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Speaker 1: cash is already coming in, sure, but they haven't really

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Speaker 1: been able to buy all of the players that they

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Speaker 1: want just yet, so we're still not going to see

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Speaker 1: the same taxes. I think BAM is going to be

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Speaker 1: able to walk all over them in this game.

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Speaker 2: And also, as you know, Nick Saban's former assist have

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Speaker 2: not been able to buy wins against Nick Saban. I

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Speaker 2: believe that Jimbo Fisher last year when they upset him

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Speaker 2: with Zach Calzada, and I'm upsetting Bama I believe that

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Speaker 2: was the first time Nick Saban had ever lost to

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Speaker 2: an assistant Maybe one other time, but it's either once

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Speaker 2: or twice. His record against the former assistants is one

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Speaker 2: of the most absurd records in all the sports. Kirby

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Speaker 2: smart that that was one, so's it's only happened twice.

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Speaker 2: They were both last year. But I mean prior to that,

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Speaker 2: he had this ridiculously long winning streak. Sark is this

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Speaker 2: is not sort of the matchup that you're looking forward

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Speaker 2: to in Week two if you're Sark, But it's certainly

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Speaker 2: going to provide a very definitive measuring stick for the Longhorns.

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Speaker 1: So I want to move on from Bama. But before

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Speaker 1: I do, you mentioned that this could potentially be the

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Speaker 1: best team that you've ever seen. So you think that

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Speaker 1: this Bama team is better than the two a year?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I do. Yeah. The offense, you know, I

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Speaker 2: you can't put it up against twenty nineteen LSU because,

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Speaker 2: I mean, because you know that one is like the

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Speaker 2: most dominant don't off maybe the most dominant offense in

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Speaker 2: college football history. But this offense for Bama is just

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Speaker 2: a step below that, I think. But their defense is

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Speaker 2: better I want to see. You know, this is gonna

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Speaker 2: be a great one. You know, when they play a

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Speaker 2: team like Texas with all the offensive weapons that Texas has,

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Speaker 2: but they play an offense like that and then some

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Speaker 2: of the sec offenses that they're going to face, I

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Speaker 2: want to see how that defense does. But they have

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Speaker 2: so many studs on that defense, of course, led by

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Speaker 2: Will Anderson, who appears to be the second coming of

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Speaker 2: like Derek Thomas cross with Lawrence Taylor. That kid is stupid,

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Speaker 2: like it's it's ridiculous. You don't often, you know where

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Speaker 2: you're watching the defender and you can't take the eyes

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Speaker 2: off of the defender. But whenever Will Anderson is on

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Speaker 2: the field, you're watching Will Anderson and not the opposing offense.

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Speaker 2: It ridiculously good. And that kid's probably as close to

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Speaker 2: a lock to go in the top three in April

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Speaker 2: as you can possibly get at this time, especially for

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Speaker 2: a defender.

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Speaker 1: All right, now, moving on from Bama, moving down the board. Here,

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Speaker 1: another big matchup, or at least a big brand name

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Speaker 1: rivalry match up. Here we have USC versus Stanford. The

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Speaker 1: lines at ten and a half, and you think that

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Speaker 1: this one is a little bit like right, around where

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Speaker 1: it shipping.

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Speaker 2: I do, yeah, you know, and USC the lines. It's

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Speaker 2: one of those things when you're running your numbers on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: They're one of the first teams I look down to

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Speaker 2: see where that number ends up when it pops up

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Speaker 2: of because you know, I'm always curious what or This season,

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna be very curious what their spreads are every

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Speaker 2: single game because they're another team like Bama where you know,

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Speaker 2: you would presume that you would have to pay the tax.

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Speaker 2: The interesting thing about about this one was last week

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Speaker 2: we had talked about that where it was a bit

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Speaker 2: over on Rice, you know, against my number. USC ends

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Speaker 2: up covering it pretty easily anyway, because the defense ended

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Speaker 2: up stepping up. They had all these different pick sixes. Stanford,

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Speaker 2: it's a totally different thing where Rice they don't really

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Speaker 2: have a quarterback. They play like three of them, and

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Speaker 2: none of them are good. Stanford, that's one of the

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Speaker 2: things that they're the best at. They have an NFL

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Speaker 2: prospect at quarterback in Tanner McKee. And this line, going

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Speaker 2: back to my original point and to what you were saying,

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Speaker 2: very in line my projected number with the Las Vegas spread.

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Speaker 2: The line opened at USC minus ten and a half.

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Speaker 2: My line's actually USC minus eleven point two. So you know, conversely,

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Speaker 2: I actually am showing just the slightest bit of value

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Speaker 2: on USC. But this is a very tricky matchup for them.

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Speaker 2: We talked last week about how they were going up

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Speaker 2: against Mike Bloomgren, David Shaw's former offensive coordinator, and what

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Speaker 2: Bloomgrim was going to try to do to keep that

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Speaker 2: score closer. He wasn't able to succeed because of how

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Speaker 2: bad hist quarterbacks are. Now USC goes and places the

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Speaker 2: real David Shaw right the mentor to bloom grit and

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Speaker 2: show can actually do it. They have a bunch of

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Speaker 2: value who guys on their offensive line. But the really

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Speaker 2: important thing for Stanford in this game is will that

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Speaker 2: offensive line take this step forward when last year they

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Speaker 2: I don't know another way to point, they stung, especially

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Speaker 2: in comparison to what their recruiting pedigree was over the offseason.

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Speaker 2: Did that group jump up in me? Stanford needs to

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Speaker 2: be able to control this ball or they need to

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Speaker 2: be able to move the chains on the ground. And

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Speaker 2: if they're able to do that, McKee through the play

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Speaker 2: action passing game is going to hit some explosive passes,

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Speaker 2: but that's definitely going to be the key for them.

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Speaker 2: I also just thought it's notable to note that this

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Speaker 2: line is not being taxed by Vegas for usc like

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Speaker 2: the last one was.

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Speaker 1: That is an important thing to watch out for. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they were able to steam Rice last week. This one,

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Speaker 1: like you said, the quarterback play going to be a

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Speaker 1: little bit of a step up. And this is a

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Speaker 1: rivalry game. These teams do hate each other a lot.

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Speaker 1: We'll see it's going to be an interesting one ten

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Speaker 1: and a half eleven points. Wherever the line ends up falling,

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Speaker 1: I might actually have to throw something on this. Want

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Speaker 1: to track all of your wagers in one place, check

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Speaker 1: out the Betting prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com slash picktracking.

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Speaker 1: It syncs up with your sportsbooks to tally which picks

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Speaker 1: hit and which miss, and gives you a live look

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Speaker 1: at what the public is doing, so you can use

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Speaker 1: real time tracking to determine which place to make and

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Speaker 1: which to fade. Get on the leaderboard and quickly become

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Speaker 1: a sharp by using the free advice we have to

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Speaker 1: offer at bettingpros dot com slash pick Tracking. But let's

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Speaker 1: move on here to Baylor because they are absolutely on

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Speaker 1: fire after that Week one win, and they're going to

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Speaker 1: be taken on the Storm and Mormons of Brigham Young

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Speaker 1: BYU only a three point Wait am I reading this right?

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Speaker 1: BYU favored in this one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah? Yep yeah. The BYU opened as was a three

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Speaker 2: point favorites. My my adjusted line or I'm sorry, BYU

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Speaker 2: opened in Vegas is a two and a half point favorite.

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Speaker 2: My adjusted line on it is BYU minus three in

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Speaker 2: my Power ratings. These two teams are very very close. BYU.

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Speaker 2: They get the few extra points because of the home

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Speaker 2: field advantage. That's basically why they're favored by the two

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Speaker 2: and a half by by the three. It's an interesting game, right.

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Speaker 2: Like Baylor, I felt that the market and the sports

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Speaker 2: books were sleeping on them over the summer. I thought

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Speaker 2: that the the win total number that that the sportsbooks

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Speaker 2: tossed up for Baylor seven and a half was disrespectful.

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Speaker 2: There weren't many teams where you looked at it and

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Speaker 2: you're like, wow, that's that is not a lot of

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Speaker 2: respect in comparison to what we just saw that team

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Speaker 2: was and what they have back and stuff like that.

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Speaker 2: I was definitely an him, definitely higher on Baylor than

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Speaker 2: than the market. And then the sportsbooks are you mentioned

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Speaker 2: their first game, they you know, they opened against an

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Speaker 2: FCS team, but what was really you know, the defense dominated.

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Speaker 2: Of course the team they were playing couldn't move the

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Speaker 2: ball at all.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, you all you anames the great days.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, the more notable thing was Blake Shape and looked awesome.

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Speaker 2: He was the quarterback that they chose over Jerry Bohannon.

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Speaker 2: Jerry Bohannon was Baylor's starter last year. He did a

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Speaker 2: decent job. You know, Baylor made a big Bowl game.

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Speaker 2: They won double digit games, but Bohannon was a bit limited.

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Speaker 2: He was a dual threat who could who could get

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Speaker 2: the ball down the field, but he had some accuracy

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Speaker 2: issues that that that the coaching staff felt held back

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Speaker 2: the offense. So they actually named Blake shape and the

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Speaker 2: starter coming out of spring ball. And I had asked

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Speaker 2: my uh my Baylor contact. I said, I said, you know,

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Speaker 2: I want to be like, what's his face on the

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Speaker 2: NBA ESPN, NBA when he says, no, why would they

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Speaker 2: do that? A windhorse? Yeah? What what? Now? Why would

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Speaker 2: Baylor do that? Why would they tell their starter from

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Speaker 2: last year that he is not going to start in

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Speaker 2: spring ball when you know that he's going to transfer

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Speaker 2: once he hears that news. And what my Baylor contact

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Speaker 2: told me was exactly they they wanted to slough off

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Speaker 2: Jerry bohan and they wanted to give this this job

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Speaker 2: to shape and and let shape and know like it's

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Speaker 2: it's your job. They knew they were going to lose

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Speaker 2: Bohann and they were cool with that. So shape and

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Speaker 2: looked good. The passing game looked good, but the starters

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Speaker 2: were getting yanked early. So you know, we don't have

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Speaker 2: a referendum on the whole thing yet. B YU. We

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Speaker 2: were just talking about Garry Bohannon. They actually opened with

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Speaker 2: with South Florida, who is now starting Jerry Bohannon. That

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Speaker 2: starting quarterback BYU annihilated USF, which the past couple of

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Speaker 2: years would not have been impressive. USF was one of

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Speaker 2: the worst teams in all of college football. I do

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Speaker 2: think that there's significantly improved this year. That was not

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Speaker 2: the matchup to show it, of course, but they had

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Speaker 2: a whole bunch of starters back, and they had Bohannon back,

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Speaker 2: so I actually think beating them by twenty nine on

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Speaker 2: the road is impressive. You know, like contextually this one

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Speaker 2: that the spread of the game is probably too close

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Speaker 2: for me to end up betting this. But I am

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Speaker 2: super bullish on Baylor this year, and so I'm definitely

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Speaker 2: gonna consider that. If that line stays beneath three, it's

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Speaker 2: a game I'm going to handicap this week. And if

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Speaker 2: by the time I decide on where I want to

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Speaker 2: go with it, if it's still beneath three, I'll consider

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Speaker 2: laying a bet on Baylor. But I did not bet

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Speaker 2: that one yet today.

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Speaker 1: Now the next one up here, it was an upset

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Speaker 1: and a heartbreaking upset for you, Utah losing to Florida

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Speaker 1: in Gainesville. And now Florida they are going to be

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Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites against Kentucky in their

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Speaker 1: next matchup here. And you think that now the pendulum

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Speaker 1: is swinging back the other way. Florida is now getting

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Speaker 1: too much respect.

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Speaker 2: I do, yeah, I mean, if that game Utah was

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Speaker 2: basically what I thought they were going to be. You know,

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Speaker 2: Utah played really well and they had control of that

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Speaker 2: thing for the longest and longest times, and then Anthony

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Speaker 2: and Richardson just pulled out the Superman Cape at the

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Speaker 2: end of the game, punctuated by that absolutely ridiculous play

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Speaker 2: on the two point conversion where Utah had him dead

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Speaker 2: to rights two different guys Russian free, and he sloughed

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Speaker 2: one of them off, and then he ran around the

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Speaker 2: other one and then hit a guy wide opening the

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Speaker 2: end zone. No one is even close to him, and

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Speaker 2: they end up winning by three. But if that thing

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Speaker 2: had gone a couple of those other bounces had gone

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Speaker 2: against them, I think this game, you're talking about an

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Speaker 2: opening line that would have been much closer to my

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Speaker 2: adjusted number. As is, Florida opens a five and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorite, which struck me as a little rich

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Speaker 2: in the moment I ran my numbers. I have Florida

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Speaker 2: minus two point six in this game. I think that

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Speaker 2: tax it's only because of what happened at the very

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Speaker 2: very end of that Utah game. Florida did look a

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Speaker 2: bit better than I thought they would for sure. I mean,

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Speaker 2: like we had talked last week on the show about

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Speaker 2: the couple specific areas that we needed to see Florida

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Speaker 2: like sort of actionable against a good team, the offensive

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Speaker 2: line and then the defense. The offensive line absolutely looks better.

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Speaker 2: That kid that Napier brought from Louisiana, this enormous offensive guard,

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Speaker 2: like three hundred and thirty pounds. He was really good

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Speaker 2: against Utah, And then I think some of the other

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Speaker 2: guys around him that the returning guys have gotten a

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Speaker 2: little bit better as well. They don't have to play

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Speaker 2: for Dan Mullen and that dippy offensive line coach they

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Speaker 2: had anymore either, So maybe maybe that helps as well.

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Speaker 2: But Florida's a bit better than I thought, you know,

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Speaker 2: seven days ago. But we can't forget about Kentucky either,

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Speaker 2: you know, like talking about like Anthony Richards and putting

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Speaker 2: on the Superman cap. Will Levis, you know, looked really

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Speaker 2: good yesterday as well when they were they played Miami

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Speaker 2: of Ohio, not the best opponent, but Levis went twenty

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Speaker 2: one for thirty two three hundred and three yards three touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: showed off the mobility again in Miami of Ohio. They're

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Speaker 2: not like a bottom fifteen team like they're they're you know,

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Speaker 2: sort of a mid tier G five, not an FCS team,

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Speaker 2: or it's not like UMAs or something like that. They

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Speaker 2: controlled that game, you know, and and put them away

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Speaker 2: emphatically in the second half. This is a fascinating game

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Speaker 2: where it's it's which quarterback is going to show up

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Speaker 2: and sort of like, you know, like, how do I

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Speaker 2: put this when when we're leaving that game, who are

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Speaker 2: all the announcers going to be like that guy just

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Speaker 2: proved that he is the guy to go in the

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Speaker 2: first round. You know, he just planted his flag like

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Speaker 2: in the first round. The whoever wins this quarterback matchup

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Speaker 2: is they're probably gonna end up covering this spread. I

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Speaker 2: do like Kentucky in this game. I just I think

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Speaker 2: that that the line is too high. I would be

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Speaker 2: a little bit surprised if the line doesn't fall back

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Speaker 2: a little bit. I would expect it to be closer

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Speaker 2: to you know, to four by kickoff. Vegas sort of

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Speaker 2: put that you know, I was talking before about the

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Speaker 2: dead zone that they had set that other number in.

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Speaker 2: They put this one in there as well at five

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Speaker 2: and a half, where they're gonna let the market sort

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Speaker 2: of decide and bat it one way or the other.

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Speaker 2: But with that many points, I like Kentucky.

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Speaker 1: Now let's move on here from some of these larger games,

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Speaker 1: the big brand names, and let's go and talk about

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Speaker 1: some of the games that you actually do feel the

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Speaker 1: spreads are very much off and where we do have

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Speaker 1: some betting advantage here. And let's start off with the

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Speaker 1: largest discrepancy you have between your line and Vegas Arizona

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Speaker 1: versus Mississippi State. You have a seven and a half

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Speaker 1: point dogs at home in this one, and you think

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Speaker 1: that that line is just playing off.

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Speaker 2: I do, yeah, And it's this is an interesting stance

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Speaker 2: for me to take because all of last week I

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Speaker 2: was talking about Arizona on my live stream with with

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Speaker 2: Mike Farrell. You know, yesterday Thomas is the producer on that.

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Speaker 2: You know I was talking about, you know, Wildcats take

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Speaker 2: the Wildcats on the money line, stuff like that. They

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Speaker 2: end up upsetting San Diego State. They were one of

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Speaker 2: the most surprising teams of Week one, sort of what

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Speaker 2: I had hoped and some other people in the industry

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Speaker 2: that were sort of bullish on what Jed Fish was

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00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,320
Speaker 2: doing their head coach behind the scenes. You know, this

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Speaker 2: pass offseason, signing a top twenty five recruiting class, signing

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Speaker 2: close to a top twenty five transfer portal class, and

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Speaker 2: everything like that. We knew that the talent was better.

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Speaker 2: They're gonna be way better at quarterback way better in

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Speaker 2: the receiving room, the defense was going to improve against

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Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera, and all that stuff. We could

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Speaker 2: see it on the field yesterday against against San Diego

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Speaker 2: State Arizona. I mean, it wasn't a close win. They

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Speaker 2: ended up winning that game by eighteen points. You know,

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00:18:42,880 --> 00:18:44,959
Speaker 2: at halftime they were up twenty four to ten. They

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Speaker 2: never looked back. DeLaura looked really good for his debut there,

390
00:18:48,680 --> 00:18:51,440
Speaker 2: twenty two of thirty five for two hundred ninety nine yards,

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Speaker 2: four touchdowns. The kid who looked really good was the

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Speaker 2: receiver that they brought in from UTEP, Jacob Cowing. Eight catches,

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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty two yards and three touchdowns. But

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Speaker 2: all that being said, I feel like that upset win

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Speaker 2: sort of that emphatic upset went on the road, Like

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Speaker 2: I feel like Vegas knew that there was some sharps

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Speaker 2: that were circling Arizona. A bunch of people that had

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Speaker 2: bet the over, you know, a bunch of my sharp friends.

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Speaker 2: I bet the over on that was a very low

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Speaker 2: number three three and a half something like that over

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Speaker 2: the summer. So they knew people were Polish on Arizona.

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Speaker 2: Then they watched Arizona go out and absolutely whip a

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Speaker 2: San Diego State team that is always solid every single year.

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Speaker 2: You know that they're winning double digit games, are right

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Speaker 2: under it in the G five. I feel like this

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Speaker 2: line has way over corrected because I feel like the

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Speaker 2: sportsbooks are sort of trying to protect their backside from

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Speaker 2: getting hammered on Arizona again like they did in Week one,

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Speaker 2: so they flipped this line to try to incentivize bets

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Speaker 2: on the other side. My justice ligne on this one

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Speaker 2: was it was like Missippi State, let me pull it

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Speaker 2: up real quick. My just a ligne of this game

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Speaker 2: is Missippi State minus fourteen point one, but live what

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Speaker 2: it opened out was Missing State minus seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think that line needs to be in the double digits.

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Speaker 2: I recognize that the game is in Arizona. That's fine. Again,

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Speaker 2: I loved what Fish did. I was advocating for him,

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Speaker 2: you know, in the summer and then last week as well.

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Speaker 2: But this Mississippi State team is really, really good, and

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Speaker 2: there's an I think that there's an enormous qualitative difference

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Speaker 2: between these two teams that you're gonna see manifest on

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Speaker 2: the field on Saturday. Arizona was impressive in week one,

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Speaker 2: so is Mississippi State. Missippi State looked friggin awesome. You know,

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Speaker 2: they were probably playing a team well, I guess maybe

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Speaker 2: you'd say that they were maybe close coming in, but

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Speaker 2: they were playing Memphis and another super duper solid G

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Speaker 2: five team. Missippi State boat raced them. They beat him

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Speaker 2: forty nine to twenty three. Will Rogers threw for four

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Speaker 2: hundred and fifty yards and five touchdowns. I mean, and

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Speaker 2: now they're going and playing this Arizona State team where

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Speaker 2: probably their biggest question mark is on defense, that the

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Speaker 2: line's too short and it's an overreaction to what Arizona did.

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Speaker 2: I like Misssippi State in that one.

434
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:01,159
Speaker 1: The next one up is going the other way a

435
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:05,600
Speaker 1: little bit here, Penn State playing Ohio, not Ohio State,

436
00:21:05,640 --> 00:21:08,680
Speaker 1: but just Ohio. The spread in this one Penn State

437
00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 1: by twenty five and a half. And you don't think

438
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:13,400
Speaker 1: that's enough points to be giving them?

439
00:21:13,840 --> 00:21:15,359
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know you asked me on the

440
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:18,040
Speaker 2: show last week. We had a discussion about this about

441
00:21:18,080 --> 00:21:21,480
Speaker 2: when do you bet, you know, with the really high numbers,

442
00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:23,720
Speaker 2: when when it's you know, around you know, when you're

443
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,159
Speaker 2: getting over twenty four and you're getting up high twenties

444
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: or into the thirties. And you know, I told you

445
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:30,679
Speaker 2: I generally stay away from those games, but when I

446
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:34,000
Speaker 2: bet them, it's usually on the underdog in situational spots

447
00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:35,920
Speaker 2: where you know, where I think I'm getting the advantage there.

448
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,720
Speaker 2: This one is one of those rare instances where I

449
00:21:40,080 --> 00:21:42,840
Speaker 2: actually like the favorite in a game with the big spread.

450
00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:46,520
Speaker 2: I was surprised this line was released at twenty five

451
00:21:46,560 --> 00:21:49,280
Speaker 2: and a half. Seems it seems at least three point

452
00:21:49,320 --> 00:21:51,440
Speaker 2: short to me, to be honest. My just a line

453
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 2: on it is Penn State minus thirty one point two Ohio.

454
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,760
Speaker 2: And you know they probably got a couple of points

455
00:21:58,760 --> 00:22:01,919
Speaker 2: of credit on the spread at Ohio for beating Florida

456
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 2: Atlantic on Saturday. Florida Atlantic was a team that in

457
00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:10,120
Speaker 2: week zero had blown out. They've blown out an FBS team,

458
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:13,760
Speaker 2: one of the Charlotte right, they beat Charlotte, so you know,

459
00:22:13,760 --> 00:22:16,959
Speaker 2: and then yeah, so Florida Atlantic had beaten Charlotte by

460
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,359
Speaker 2: thirty points in week one. Then they turn around and

461
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:23,240
Speaker 2: Ohio beats them. That's really the only thing I can

462
00:22:23,760 --> 00:22:26,560
Speaker 2: point to to explain that the close to six point

463
00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:30,560
Speaker 2: discrepancy here. Why Ohio is getting this kind of credit.

464
00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,520
Speaker 2: But Ohio, it's not like they were like awesome in

465
00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:36,399
Speaker 2: that game, like they had to fend off Florida Atlantic

466
00:22:36,440 --> 00:22:39,800
Speaker 2: at the very end Nikosi Perry, Florida Atlantic's quarterback three

467
00:22:39,880 --> 00:22:42,760
Speaker 2: for three hundred and sixty four yards and five touchdowns

468
00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:46,040
Speaker 2: in that game. Ohio is getting ripped on their defense.

469
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:50,160
Speaker 2: I'm okay with Ohio. Like as far as a MAC team,

470
00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:51,720
Speaker 2: I think I was a little bit higher on them

471
00:22:51,760 --> 00:22:54,280
Speaker 2: than some others heading into the season. But this is

472
00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:57,280
Speaker 2: a totally, you know, different animal heading into to playing

473
00:22:57,320 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 2: Penn State in that environment and with where this line

474
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 2: is set, that the value is on the favorite, and

475
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:05,040
Speaker 2: it's one where I would bet it early in the

476
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:07,639
Speaker 2: week because I expect by kickoff that this thing is

477
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:10,480
Speaker 2: going to be north of twenty eight points. So if

478
00:23:10,520 --> 00:23:13,280
Speaker 2: you grab this one now and get it under twenty eight,

479
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,520
Speaker 2: that's a ticket you're going to be one to want

480
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:16,960
Speaker 2: to be holding on Saturday. I think.

481
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:21,240
Speaker 1: Now, how about this battle of two teams that Syracuse

482
00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:23,480
Speaker 1: has a bit of a rivalry with. Here, we've got

483
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 1: Northwestern going up against Duke and Northwestern eight point favorites

484
00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 1: in this one, and same story, you feel that this

485
00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:31,280
Speaker 1: is not enough.

486
00:23:32,000 --> 00:23:33,959
Speaker 2: No, I don't. Yeah, we got the nerd boll here,

487
00:23:34,000 --> 00:23:37,159
Speaker 2: don't we Yeah, I mean the live It opens up

488
00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 2: at eight. My adjusted line on this game is Northwestern

489
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,879
Speaker 2: minus thirteen point four, so I have an overlay of

490
00:23:43,200 --> 00:23:48,480
Speaker 2: four points of value showing for Northwestern. Duke is another

491
00:23:48,520 --> 00:23:50,760
Speaker 2: one where you know this is going to be the

492
00:23:50,800 --> 00:23:53,280
Speaker 2: example in several of these games where I talk about

493
00:23:53,280 --> 00:23:56,920
Speaker 2: where the values on the other side. Duke looks surprisingly good.

494
00:23:57,080 --> 00:24:00,439
Speaker 2: In Week one they beat Temple thirty to nothing, and

495
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,680
Speaker 2: I think that's a part of the reason why this

496
00:24:02,760 --> 00:24:05,520
Speaker 2: line opens up beneath ten, where I think it probably

497
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,440
Speaker 2: should open up like more like ten and a half

498
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:10,879
Speaker 2: eleven range something like that. You got to keep in mind,

499
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:15,080
Speaker 2: Temple is an abomination. They have been for years. It

500
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,240
Speaker 2: is not getting any better. And and you know, the

501
00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:19,919
Speaker 2: last guy they had in their carrier or whatever, they

502
00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:22,560
Speaker 2: got rid of him, but the talent level had sunk

503
00:24:22,640 --> 00:24:25,360
Speaker 2: so far on on on on that squad, and they

504
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:27,680
Speaker 2: did not go out and sign the transfer portal. Guys,

505
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:30,080
Speaker 2: I think that I would have being a new coach

506
00:24:30,119 --> 00:24:32,879
Speaker 2: taken over like a sort of a cratered out situation

507
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:35,960
Speaker 2: like that. There was there was more continuity then I

508
00:24:36,000 --> 00:24:39,880
Speaker 2: would have liked, because the continuity was was bad players,

509
00:24:40,160 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 2: and that that's what we saw in Week one. I'm

510
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 2: not going to get Duke a whole bunch of credit

511
00:24:43,760 --> 00:24:47,640
Speaker 2: for blowing out a bad Temple team. Northwestern. They beat

512
00:24:47,680 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 2: a legitimate team. We we you know, in a in

513
00:24:49,880 --> 00:24:54,160
Speaker 2: a very wonky circumstance. You know when they in weeks zero,

514
00:24:54,240 --> 00:24:59,119
Speaker 2: you go to Dublin and you beat uh Nebraska in

515
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,760
Speaker 2: a game where you had come back and you know,

516
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:05,120
Speaker 2: the offense played very well and you know they had

517
00:25:05,119 --> 00:25:06,880
Speaker 2: to sort of, you know, get a couple of bounces

518
00:25:06,960 --> 00:25:08,800
Speaker 2: and then they had to have Scott Frost help him

519
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,280
Speaker 2: out with his stupid on side kick call and everything

520
00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:11,600
Speaker 2: like that.

521
00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 1: That was incredible, crazy, just nuts.

522
00:25:16,160 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 2: Vintage Scott Frost.

523
00:25:17,400 --> 00:25:19,320
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, how is he still there?

524
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 2: Yeah? Every single close game, it's it's, you know, all

525
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,479
Speaker 2: the close losses, he figures out a way to snatch

526
00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,080
Speaker 2: defeat from the jaws of victory and then that that

527
00:25:28,200 --> 00:25:30,159
Speaker 2: was the way he did it there. But but that

528
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,479
Speaker 2: being said, even if Northwestern had lost that game by

529
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 2: a field goal as opposed to winning it by a

530
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,000
Speaker 2: field goal, I still would have been way more bullish

531
00:25:37,080 --> 00:25:39,960
Speaker 2: on them than I was heading in. You know, we

532
00:25:40,000 --> 00:25:43,040
Speaker 2: had sort of talked about, like offensive line really good

533
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,440
Speaker 2: for Northwestern Skeronski's a Round one prospect, stuff like that.

534
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:48,840
Speaker 2: We knew the backfield depth is gonna be awesome because

535
00:25:48,840 --> 00:25:50,880
Speaker 2: cam Porter was coming back, and camp Porter looked good

536
00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 2: sort of sort of you know Claire and Hall specifically

537
00:25:54,560 --> 00:25:57,800
Speaker 2: and in their first game. But Helenski, he was the

538
00:25:57,880 --> 00:26:01,879
Speaker 2: guy that there Northwestern's quarter back where that was the

539
00:26:01,920 --> 00:26:04,760
Speaker 2: thing that you wanted to see because Helensky was terrible

540
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:07,480
Speaker 2: last season. He had transferred in there, he had like

541
00:26:07,520 --> 00:26:10,520
Speaker 2: a truncated, weird camp. The coaches had given him a

542
00:26:10,520 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 2: lot of excuses and were like, you know, like over

543
00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:16,000
Speaker 2: the offseason they were talking of Polensky as this guy

544
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,400
Speaker 2: whose game was going to jump up, you know now

545
00:26:18,400 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 2: that he'd been around the team for a year now,

546
00:26:20,200 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 2: that he was going to get a full camp, everything

547
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,159
Speaker 2: like that. There was a lot of pessimism in the

548
00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:27,800
Speaker 2: media expressed about Helenski's ability to do so. But he

549
00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,960
Speaker 2: actually played really well. You know, it was Nebraska, but

550
00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:33,800
Speaker 2: but he played really well in that first game. I

551
00:26:33,840 --> 00:26:36,760
Speaker 2: think Northwestern is not getting enough credit in this game,

552
00:26:36,960 --> 00:26:38,800
Speaker 2: Like I said, I think this spread should be you know,

553
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:41,840
Speaker 2: low double dit It's like minus ten to minus eleven range.

554
00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,080
Speaker 2: Minus eight is too short. Northwestern is one of the

555
00:26:45,080 --> 00:26:47,840
Speaker 2: tickets that I'm currently holding that I that I bought

556
00:26:47,880 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 2: this morning, So I like Northwestern on that one.

557
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:53,840
Speaker 1: Guys, real quick, remember when you're looking for free picks

558
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:57,199
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559
00:26:57,200 --> 00:26:59,639
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560
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561
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562
00:27:04,600 --> 00:27:08,120
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563
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564
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:15,080
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565
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566
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:23,879
Speaker 1: today in the Apple or Google Play stores. The next

567
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,680
Speaker 1: one up here for us, And this is a bit

568
00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:30,640
Speaker 1: surprising to me, but maybe not surprising, but New Mexico

569
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 1: takes on Boise State and Boise State on the road

570
00:27:34,320 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 1: seventeen point favorites despite the absolute lackluster performance yesterday.

571
00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:43,960
Speaker 2: Yeah in my line, and well, let's touch on that

572
00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:48,040
Speaker 2: first Boise State, Man, was that a shocking game and

573
00:27:48,160 --> 00:27:51,679
Speaker 2: just an absolute terrible performance? You know, I don't know

574
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 2: if that was just so what Hank Bochmeier, their quarterback,

575
00:27:55,160 --> 00:27:58,040
Speaker 2: ends up getting benched in the first half after he

576
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,160
Speaker 2: had turned the ball over three times. By that point,

577
00:28:01,200 --> 00:28:04,199
Speaker 2: the game was already so far away from Boise that,

578
00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,159
Speaker 2: like it wasn't like the backup quarterback came in and

579
00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,480
Speaker 2: actually played pretty good. And I'll talk about that in

580
00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,000
Speaker 2: the second because that's a kid that may be starting

581
00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:14,159
Speaker 2: in this game. We'll have to see about that. But like,

582
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:16,280
Speaker 2: by that point, the game script had gotten so far

583
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,679
Speaker 2: away from you it was hard to take stuff from that.

584
00:28:18,920 --> 00:28:22,280
Speaker 2: So it's like, was that game just Hank Bachmeier woke

585
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:24,560
Speaker 2: up and on the wrong side of the bed and

586
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,880
Speaker 2: then just sort of gave that game away before and

587
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:30,840
Speaker 2: it's not going to be predictive for these next eleven games.

588
00:28:31,240 --> 00:28:33,760
Speaker 2: Or did we get sort of a little insight into

589
00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:37,000
Speaker 2: new Boise State? You know, like that we expect Boise

590
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:38,880
Speaker 2: States to always be a specific thing. They're one of

591
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:42,880
Speaker 2: the most consistent teams in college football. Could that game

592
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 2: yesterday have been an indication that they're going to be

593
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:49,440
Speaker 2: taking a slight step backwards this year. This game probably

594
00:28:49,480 --> 00:28:51,480
Speaker 2: is not going to provide the referendum on that. However,

595
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,160
Speaker 2: if they don't cover this number, then it might be

596
00:28:54,160 --> 00:28:57,880
Speaker 2: pointing towards that. My number on this game was you know,

597
00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,200
Speaker 2: it opens at seventeen bois say min seventeen. My number

598
00:29:01,240 --> 00:29:03,880
Speaker 2: on this game is Boise State minus twenty two point four.

599
00:29:04,280 --> 00:29:06,760
Speaker 2: So I'm sure on value on Boise State. However, I

600
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,240
Speaker 2: will say that number does not bake in injuries or

601
00:29:10,800 --> 00:29:14,000
Speaker 2: you know, like quarterback questions or whatever. You know, it's

602
00:29:14,040 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 2: just sort of like, you know, in a vacuum. Right, Yeah,

603
00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:20,040
Speaker 2: so you have the quarterback thing going on at Boise State.

604
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 2: They also had a couple of key injuries. They had

605
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,800
Speaker 2: a rotational injury or I'm sorry, a rotational receiver who

606
00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:27,840
Speaker 2: broke his leg who's going to be out for the season.

607
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:29,600
Speaker 2: But they thought this kid could break out this year,

608
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:32,440
Speaker 2: so that one hurt Austin Bolt. What was this kid's name.

609
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:35,959
Speaker 2: They also lost their top cornerback, Markel Reid, to an

610
00:29:36,000 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 2: injury in that Oregon State game. It looks like both

611
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,560
Speaker 2: those guys are gonna certainly Bolt is going to miss

612
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:43,840
Speaker 2: this game. It looks like Reid could miss this game

613
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,240
Speaker 2: as well. He needed a cart to get off the field,

614
00:29:46,440 --> 00:29:48,560
Speaker 2: so they might be without one of their top corners

615
00:29:48,920 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: that in this game, though that shouldn't matter quite as

616
00:29:51,920 --> 00:29:55,960
Speaker 2: much because New Mexico they don't really throw the ball.

617
00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,120
Speaker 2: They had brought in one of my former friends at

618
00:29:59,240 --> 00:30:03,040
Speaker 2: university at Cana, this backup quarterback Miles Kendrick, who's like

619
00:30:03,160 --> 00:30:08,280
Speaker 2: this little teeny squirt of a quarterback who scrambles around.

620
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,800
Speaker 2: And New Mexico is trying to fold more option concepts

621
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:13,920
Speaker 2: into the offense this year, I think because they knew

622
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:15,640
Speaker 2: they weren' gonna be able to throw the ball anyway,

623
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:18,240
Speaker 2: so they're trying to run, run, run, So maybe maybe

624
00:30:18,280 --> 00:30:20,560
Speaker 2: the loss of Reed doesn't hurt as much. But the

625
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,120
Speaker 2: bigger thing for Boise State and decide, you know, or

626
00:30:23,160 --> 00:30:24,920
Speaker 2: in informing if they're going to be able to cover

627
00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:28,440
Speaker 2: a number at seventeen right now, is what do they

628
00:30:28,440 --> 00:30:30,920
Speaker 2: do with quarterback? And how does that guy play? If

629
00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:33,600
Speaker 2: they go back with Bachmeyer, do we get the Bachmeyer

630
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,680
Speaker 2: we got the last couple of years, you know, where

631
00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:38,080
Speaker 2: he's steady Eddie and the potty, So you know, remember

632
00:30:38,120 --> 00:30:40,080
Speaker 2: Brett Rippen for you know, from Boise he say, like

633
00:30:40,080 --> 00:30:42,200
Speaker 2: a guy like that, or a right handed Kellen Moore,

634
00:30:42,280 --> 00:30:44,840
Speaker 2: maybe you know, maybe a step back from that, but

635
00:30:45,280 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 2: something like that. Or are you going to get bad

636
00:30:47,360 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 2: Hank again? And or are they going to go with

637
00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,040
Speaker 2: the freshman this kid that they played in the last game,

638
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,200
Speaker 2: who is totally different from the Boise State quarterbacks that

639
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:59,720
Speaker 2: we've seen in recent years. This kid's name was Teylon Green.

640
00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,960
Speaker 2: He became the first Bois State quarterback to rush for

641
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:05,920
Speaker 2: over one hundred yards in a game since twenty fourteen.

642
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 2: And he did that in you know, two and a

643
00:31:08,120 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 2: half quarters or whatever, finished nineteen for twenty eight hundred

644
00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:14,280
Speaker 2: and fifty five yards, did throw an interception, but he

645
00:31:14,320 --> 00:31:17,480
Speaker 2: also ran for two touchdowns in addition to run for

646
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,400
Speaker 2: over one hundred. It's a very interesting decision there. I

647
00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,920
Speaker 2: do think that there's some value on Boise, but I

648
00:31:22,920 --> 00:31:25,680
Speaker 2: did want to mention some of those other ancillary factors

649
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:28,160
Speaker 2: that could explain why this number is a bit lower

650
00:31:28,960 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 2: that Vegas opened this number of bit below what my

651
00:31:31,640 --> 00:31:32,600
Speaker 2: projected numbers are.

652
00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,440
Speaker 1: The next one up, the Terrapins take on Charlotte in

653
00:31:36,720 --> 00:31:39,840
Speaker 1: Charlotte and the spread in this one, Maryland favored by

654
00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:43,959
Speaker 1: twenty five and a half points here for and you

655
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,280
Speaker 1: think that maybe shouldn't.

656
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 2: Be that high. No, I don't now this one. You

657
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 2: can certainly explain it because Charlotte has looked like Charlotte's

658
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:57,040
Speaker 2: looked like legitimately one of the worst teams in the FBS.

659
00:31:57,360 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 2: Over the first two weeks. They get smacked around by

660
00:32:00,160 --> 00:32:02,720
Speaker 2: n FAU team that turns around and loses to a

661
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 2: mid tier MAC team in Ohio, and then the next

662
00:32:05,520 --> 00:32:10,320
Speaker 2: week Charlotte loses at home by seventeen points to FCS

663
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:14,080
Speaker 2: William and Mary. And it's not great. No, it's not

664
00:32:14,160 --> 00:32:16,640
Speaker 2: it's not great. And like you could be like, well,

665
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,080
Speaker 2: you know, at least Charlotte was leading heading into the

666
00:32:19,120 --> 00:32:21,840
Speaker 2: fourth quarter, but then someone else could just counter like

667
00:32:22,000 --> 00:32:23,880
Speaker 2: but they got up scored twenty one to nothing in

668
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:26,560
Speaker 2: the fourth quarter by an FCS team when they lost,

669
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,480
Speaker 2: when Charlotte had already lost their opener, Like it's not

670
00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:32,320
Speaker 2: a must win game, I suppose, like it's Charlotte, but

671
00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:35,600
Speaker 2: like that that's a game that you can't lose, you know,

672
00:32:35,760 --> 00:32:38,000
Speaker 2: like you just you can't lose that after you just

673
00:32:38,040 --> 00:32:40,920
Speaker 2: coughed away the opener. So now Charlotte's zero and two

674
00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: again have not looked good. But Charlotte does have talent

675
00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:48,440
Speaker 2: on that team. Their receiving corps in particular is very

676
00:32:48,560 --> 00:32:51,360
Speaker 2: very good, and it did look like will Heally was

677
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:54,560
Speaker 2: about to make a jump last year before that team

678
00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:57,600
Speaker 2: cratered down the scretch and now they've started even worse

679
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 2: than they ended last year. The one thing I will

680
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,720
Speaker 2: say about about Charlotte, I am showing this this line

681
00:33:03,800 --> 00:33:06,760
Speaker 2: value on them. A part of the offensive struggles they

682
00:33:06,760 --> 00:33:09,640
Speaker 2: had have coincided with the injury to Chris Reynolds, their

683
00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:13,160
Speaker 2: starting quarterback. They try to go with this James Foster

684
00:33:13,280 --> 00:33:15,920
Speaker 2: kid who had he had signed with Texas A and

685
00:33:16,040 --> 00:33:18,720
Speaker 2: M Originally he transferred in there, so you could understand

686
00:33:18,760 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 2: why Charlotte would want to go with him. He's not

687
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,880
Speaker 2: looked the best so far. They've also tried this kid

688
00:33:23,960 --> 00:33:28,040
Speaker 2: named Xavier Williams. Williams look better against William and Mary.

689
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:30,400
Speaker 2: He threw for a little over two hundred yards rush

690
00:33:30,480 --> 00:33:33,440
Speaker 2: for two touchdowns. But they're gonna have to figure something

691
00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,200
Speaker 2: out with that quarterback situation until they get Reynolds back.

692
00:33:36,560 --> 00:33:38,960
Speaker 2: That being said, Charlotte is aside that I'm gonna be

693
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:43,240
Speaker 2: sniffing around this week because in my opinion, Maryland should

694
00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:46,200
Speaker 2: not be laying near four touchdowns on the road to

695
00:33:46,240 --> 00:33:50,320
Speaker 2: almost any FBS team. Maryland does have the good passing offense,

696
00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,600
Speaker 2: but the rushing offense, you know, I'm not sure about

697
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:56,360
Speaker 2: that yet. I think that's that's not you know, that's

698
00:33:56,440 --> 00:33:59,080
Speaker 2: like an average a little bit below average FBS type unit.

699
00:33:59,240 --> 00:34:01,320
Speaker 2: And then the defense is that all kinds of issues too.

700
00:34:01,360 --> 00:34:05,440
Speaker 2: So if Charlotte's offense is doing anything at all, and

701
00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:07,640
Speaker 2: certainly if the quarterbacks can get the ball to that

702
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 2: really really strong receiving corps that Charlotte has, I think

703
00:34:10,719 --> 00:34:12,880
Speaker 2: that Charlotte should be able to stay within this number.

704
00:34:13,840 --> 00:34:17,000
Speaker 1: The next game up here is a Big ten matchup,

705
00:34:17,040 --> 00:34:19,120
Speaker 1: at least I'm pretty sure it's a Big ten matchup.

706
00:34:19,200 --> 00:34:21,640
Speaker 1: Now both of these teams, I think this team has

707
00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:24,839
Speaker 1: moved into the conference. Michigan is going to take on

708
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 1: Hawaii in this one in the Big House, and Michigan

709
00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:31,720
Speaker 1: laying forty eight and a half in this.

710
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 2: One, yeah, I mean much less how I get an

711
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:38,640
Speaker 2: invitation at the Big Ten after that their first couple

712
00:34:38,640 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 2: of games, they might need to worry about getting kicked

713
00:34:40,480 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 2: out of the MWC. Legitimately, one of the worst teams

714
00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:45,560
Speaker 2: in the FBS.

715
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:48,279
Speaker 1: I legit want to see this. I want to see

716
00:34:48,320 --> 00:34:53,400
Speaker 1: conference realignment end with Hawaii in the ACC. Make it

717
00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 1: the any Coast Conference.

718
00:34:54,960 --> 00:34:57,200
Speaker 2: Well, that would be good. You know, I would love

719
00:34:57,239 --> 00:34:58,520
Speaker 2: it if they were in the Big Ten, as in

720
00:34:58,640 --> 00:35:01,320
Speaker 2: Iowa Grad being able to travel to the away games.

721
00:35:01,360 --> 00:35:03,719
Speaker 2: There would be no better road trip than than Honolulu,

722
00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:08,040
Speaker 2: of course, but Hawaii. You know, we're talking about different

723
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,680
Speaker 2: levels and context of this stuff, but for where they

724
00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 2: were one of the most disappointing teams objectively over the

725
00:35:14,160 --> 00:35:17,640
Speaker 2: first couple weeks of college football. The first game they

726
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:21,800
Speaker 2: got absolutely boat raced by Vanderbilt. I had heard a

727
00:35:21,880 --> 00:35:25,319
Speaker 2: quote where Vanderbilt like they were talking about how like

728
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:28,000
Speaker 2: they weren't even scoring the many points against like their

729
00:35:28,040 --> 00:35:30,880
Speaker 2: scout team. And then they go put up sixty plus

730
00:35:30,920 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 2: at Hawaii. And then the next week, this past week,

731
00:35:34,960 --> 00:35:38,640
Speaker 2: Hawaii had another just an absolute stinker of a performance.

732
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:42,160
Speaker 2: That one was at home against Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky

733
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:46,040
Speaker 2: the week before struggled mightily to put away an FCS team.

734
00:35:46,239 --> 00:35:48,760
Speaker 2: Then the next week they have to travel four thousand

735
00:35:48,760 --> 00:35:52,080
Speaker 2: miles to Honolulu, and then they beat the crap out

736
00:35:52,080 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 2: of out of Hawaii. Hawaii has not been able to

737
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,600
Speaker 2: find a starting quarterback. That's you know, that's their biggest

738
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,880
Speaker 2: issue right now because obviously Timmy Chang the new coach,

739
00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,279
Speaker 2: bringing back the run and shoot, you have to have

740
00:36:02,320 --> 00:36:05,160
Speaker 2: a guy there that can throw the ball. They tried.

741
00:36:05,400 --> 00:36:07,680
Speaker 2: They started it out with this Brennan Schrager kid. I

742
00:36:07,719 --> 00:36:10,359
Speaker 2: knew Brennan Schrager stunk because I watched him last year

743
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:14,640
Speaker 2: when when Chevon Cordero was injured. He has okay arm strength,

744
00:36:14,719 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 2: but he's one of those kids that can't hit the

745
00:36:16,560 --> 00:36:19,399
Speaker 2: broad side of a barn. Like his accuracy is really

746
00:36:19,480 --> 00:36:22,600
Speaker 2: really bad and so like you at him and the

747
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:26,040
Speaker 2: last game he threw four interceptions. He only had two

748
00:36:26,080 --> 00:36:28,840
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty yards on thirty three attempts. Then they

749
00:36:28,920 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 2: went to Joey Yellen at the very end of the game,

750
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:32,640
Speaker 2: a guy who had been a value who had recruited

751
00:36:32,840 --> 00:36:35,400
Speaker 2: at his former stop. He wasn't much better. Four of

752
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,200
Speaker 2: eleven for thirty six yards in an interception. We haven't

753
00:36:38,200 --> 00:36:40,640
Speaker 2: seen Kaman Cooper yet. He was a four star that

754
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:42,960
Speaker 2: it signed with Mike leash at Wazu back in the day.

755
00:36:43,440 --> 00:36:45,200
Speaker 2: They might want to give cam On Cooper a look

756
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:48,160
Speaker 2: because these other two kids are not it. Hawaii again,

757
00:36:48,680 --> 00:36:51,400
Speaker 2: one of the worst teams in the FBS. Now you

758
00:36:51,440 --> 00:36:54,480
Speaker 2: go to Michigan, a team that has been very, very good,

759
00:36:55,360 --> 00:36:58,880
Speaker 2: especially since the start of last season, at covering large spreads,

760
00:36:59,040 --> 00:37:01,600
Speaker 2: which you would not typically associate with them. I believe

761
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 2: that Jim Harbaugh is five and one against the spread

762
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:07,200
Speaker 2: in his last six games as a thirty plus point favorite.

763
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,480
Speaker 2: That probably those two things Hawaii's thinking and then and

764
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:16,040
Speaker 2: then that probably in conjunction, explains why this line you

765
00:37:16,120 --> 00:37:19,879
Speaker 2: get sticker shock when you look at it, like, yeah,

766
00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:23,320
Speaker 2: I mean it opened right now, it's forty eight and

767
00:37:23,360 --> 00:37:26,200
Speaker 2: a half. It opened lower than that. It was funny

768
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,120
Speaker 2: when the lines opened to day, I think it opened

769
00:37:28,160 --> 00:37:31,160
Speaker 2: at forty It was like at forty five or maybe

770
00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:34,360
Speaker 2: forty six, like something like that. And one of my buddies,

771
00:37:34,360 --> 00:37:37,680
Speaker 2: who's a Michigan alump, had texted me like, oh my god, like,

772
00:37:37,760 --> 00:37:40,040
Speaker 2: have you seen the Michigans? But you know, your eyes

773
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:42,600
Speaker 2: kind of bug out when you see it, and you know,

774
00:37:42,640 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 2: and I told him what my adjusted number on that

775
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,640
Speaker 2: game was, which is Michigan minus forty three point eight.

776
00:37:48,040 --> 00:37:50,799
Speaker 2: But then you know, in a couple hours between when

777
00:37:50,840 --> 00:37:52,840
Speaker 2: I was texting with him and then coming onto the show,

778
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,440
Speaker 2: that line, the early money is very clearly coming in

779
00:37:56,480 --> 00:37:59,279
Speaker 2: on Michigan. That line's already up to Michigan minus forty

780
00:37:59,320 --> 00:38:01,520
Speaker 2: eight and a half. By the time we get to kickoff,

781
00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 2: we may have the Michigan Wolverines laying over fifty points,

782
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:10,239
Speaker 2: which is gonna be absolutely crazy in bonkers, but in

783
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: this case it's probably justified. My system is showing a

784
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,080
Speaker 2: little bit of line value. On Hawaii, I don't think

785
00:38:17,120 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 2: I could take the Rainbow Warriors up on that though,

786
00:38:19,719 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 2: after what I've seen and because of Jim Harbaugh's recent

787
00:38:22,560 --> 00:38:25,120
Speaker 2: success laying enormous numbers.

788
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:30,000
Speaker 1: Tommy DeVito and the Orange and Blue of Illinois did

789
00:38:30,040 --> 00:38:32,880
Speaker 1: not get it done for us this week. But now

790
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 1: they play another orange team here in the Virginia Cavaliers,

791
00:38:37,560 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 1: and they are laying three and a half points in

792
00:38:39,719 --> 00:38:41,440
Speaker 1: this one. And you think that the quite frankly, the

793
00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 1: wrong side is favored here.

794
00:38:43,120 --> 00:38:46,120
Speaker 2: I do. And don't get me started on that Illinois indianality.

795
00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:48,040
Speaker 1: Rude. I kailed you on that.

796
00:38:48,120 --> 00:38:52,439
Speaker 2: I tail Oh my gosh, yeah, you know, not only

797
00:38:52,440 --> 00:38:54,160
Speaker 2: did I bet the sides and stuff like that, and

798
00:38:54,200 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 2: I had money line tickets. I also had Illinois in

799
00:38:58,080 --> 00:39:01,640
Speaker 2: a couple of parlays, so where where they were the

800
00:39:01,640 --> 00:39:04,880
Speaker 2: only leg that ended up losing I had. I had

801
00:39:04,880 --> 00:39:08,480
Speaker 2: a joke on Twitter that I got bela mud.

802
00:39:08,719 --> 00:39:11,920
Speaker 1: Still I still want to know how did they wave

803
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,560
Speaker 1: off of too many men on the field penalty there

804
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,880
Speaker 1: and redo the down? That made no sense to me.

805
00:39:17,520 --> 00:39:19,640
Speaker 2: There was a lot of things about that game that, yeah,

806
00:39:19,760 --> 00:39:23,000
Speaker 2: that didn't make any sense. And yeah, Bilamo, you know,

807
00:39:23,040 --> 00:39:26,560
Speaker 2: at times he was like acting more aggressive than you

808
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 2: would think, you know, with some decisions than other ones.

809
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:32,439
Speaker 2: He was acting way too conservative, like like even Mike

810
00:39:32,520 --> 00:39:34,480
Speaker 2: Zimmer was watching the game at home and being like

811
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,520
Speaker 2: you should probably go for it there, you know, or

812
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,759
Speaker 2: like you know, you know whatever. It was just a

813
00:39:38,800 --> 00:39:41,239
Speaker 2: really weird coade for game. At least Beilama had some

814
00:39:41,280 --> 00:39:44,000
Speaker 2: self awareness after the game, and it's like this one's

815
00:39:44,040 --> 00:39:46,080
Speaker 2: on me, like you know, we we we you know,

816
00:39:46,200 --> 00:39:49,399
Speaker 2: probably should have won that game, and YadA YadA. This

817
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 2: game you mentioned the line opens at three and a half.

818
00:39:52,880 --> 00:39:54,680
Speaker 2: It's sort of a similar situation to what we were

819
00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 2: talking about last week, you know, with with Illinois just

820
00:39:57,239 --> 00:40:00,719
Speaker 2: in flipped where Illinois, you know, my had them as

821
00:40:00,719 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 2: a short favorite, and Indiana had opened it as a

822
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:06,600
Speaker 2: three and hal point favorite in this one. Uh, Virginia.

823
00:40:06,880 --> 00:40:09,759
Speaker 2: My system has them installed as the one point one

824
00:40:09,800 --> 00:40:12,799
Speaker 2: point favorite, So I'm showing four point six points a

825
00:40:12,840 --> 00:40:19,680
Speaker 2: line value on on on the Cavaliers. I'm sorry, Illinois,

826
00:40:20,200 --> 00:40:23,080
Speaker 2: very clearly delineated team. We we know what we're gonna

827
00:40:23,080 --> 00:40:25,480
Speaker 2: get from that from them. They're gonna play in all

828
00:40:25,520 --> 00:40:27,800
Speaker 2: these these close games that are going to be decided

829
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 2: by coin flips at the end. Unless the team is just,

830
00:40:30,200 --> 00:40:33,560
Speaker 2: you know, way way better than them. Virginia, We're gonna

831
00:40:33,560 --> 00:40:36,160
Speaker 2: have to see. But they they have so much talent,

832
00:40:36,239 --> 00:40:40,440
Speaker 2: specifically in in the passing game with you have Brendan

833
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:43,160
Speaker 2: Armstrong back and then their receiving corps. I think this

834
00:40:43,200 --> 00:40:45,200
Speaker 2: is maybe what people don't realize. They have one of

835
00:40:45,200 --> 00:40:48,480
Speaker 2: the best receiving cores in the FBS. They legitimately go

836
00:40:48,600 --> 00:40:50,520
Speaker 2: four deep with guys that are going to play in

837
00:40:50,560 --> 00:40:53,799
Speaker 2: the NFL. The rest of their team is what they're

838
00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,880
Speaker 2: gonna have to sort out. But you have a dominant

839
00:40:55,920 --> 00:40:59,120
Speaker 2: passing attack on on the one side, I think that

840
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:02,839
Speaker 2: they match up pretty well against against Illinois. Like Basilac

841
00:41:03,000 --> 00:41:06,600
Speaker 2: stinks and Indiana's receiving course stinks, but they had some

842
00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:11,799
Speaker 2: successful passing plays against Illinois. Illinois does not have the

843
00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:14,520
Speaker 2: best secondary and so I think Virginia is basically going

844
00:41:14,600 --> 00:41:16,439
Speaker 2: to be able to move the ball it will against them.

845
00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:18,440
Speaker 2: I do think Illinois is gonna be able to do

846
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:21,560
Speaker 2: the thing of running, But if Illinois wants to go

847
00:41:21,719 --> 00:41:25,000
Speaker 2: score for score with Virginia, I don't think it's gonna

848
00:41:25,000 --> 00:41:28,000
Speaker 2: turn out well for them. And speaking to something that

849
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:30,359
Speaker 2: we had talked about in a previous episode about how

850
00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,200
Speaker 2: Bilama wanted to go more up tempo with de Vito.

851
00:41:33,680 --> 00:41:36,799
Speaker 2: They're not playing breakneck pace, but they are playing a

852
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:40,320
Speaker 2: bit faster than we've seen in recent years. Beilama seemed

853
00:41:40,320 --> 00:41:43,040
Speaker 2: to be leaning towards wanting to do that all season.

854
00:41:43,880 --> 00:41:45,919
Speaker 2: If he comes into this game and sees how fast

855
00:41:46,000 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 2: Virginia plays, because they're a team that plays at the

856
00:41:48,239 --> 00:41:51,640
Speaker 2: break neck pace. If Virginia could sort of real Brett

857
00:41:51,640 --> 00:41:55,160
Speaker 2: Bilama in to even ticking up his pace to play

858
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:57,200
Speaker 2: a little bit more, that is going to play into

859
00:41:57,239 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 2: Virginia's hands, not into Brett Bilama hands. This is the

860
00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,160
Speaker 2: kind of game where Brett Bieliman needs to coach like

861
00:42:02,239 --> 00:42:04,560
Speaker 2: he used to and run that play clock down to

862
00:42:04,600 --> 00:42:07,279
Speaker 2: two every time before this nap. They need to keep

863
00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:09,920
Speaker 2: they need to Illinois needs to protect their defense in

864
00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:12,520
Speaker 2: this game, give them as much rest as possible before

865
00:42:12,520 --> 00:42:14,960
Speaker 2: the next time they have to defend Brennan Armstrong and

866
00:42:15,040 --> 00:42:17,480
Speaker 2: all those receivers across the field. But I do like

867
00:42:17,560 --> 00:42:19,680
Speaker 2: Virginia in this game. I think the wrong team is favored.

868
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:23,520
Speaker 1: All right, I will probably be telling you on that

869
00:42:23,560 --> 00:42:26,600
Speaker 1: one for sure with Virginia. But right now, let's move

870
00:42:26,640 --> 00:42:30,040
Speaker 1: to another team in orange here, and it's an OSU

871
00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:33,799
Speaker 1: team as well. Oregon State gonna head down the interstate

872
00:42:33,840 --> 00:42:38,640
Speaker 1: on the interior of California to take on Fresno, and

873
00:42:38,840 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 1: Oregon gonna be favored by a point in this one.

874
00:42:41,040 --> 00:42:43,400
Speaker 1: And again another case where you think the wrong team

875
00:42:43,480 --> 00:42:44,560
Speaker 1: is the slight favorite here.

876
00:42:45,040 --> 00:42:47,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's it's you know, it's another instance of

877
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:51,359
Speaker 2: an overreaction to a week one game. Oregon State, as

878
00:42:51,400 --> 00:42:53,760
Speaker 2: we were talking about a little bit ago, looked awesome

879
00:42:53,840 --> 00:42:56,120
Speaker 2: against Boise State in the opener. They win thirty four

880
00:42:56,160 --> 00:42:58,920
Speaker 2: to seventeen, and it was a game that essentially was

881
00:42:59,000 --> 00:43:02,240
Speaker 2: over even before halftime. At halftime, that game was twenty

882
00:43:02,239 --> 00:43:04,280
Speaker 2: four to nothing. And like I said, you know, Bachmeyer

883
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:07,160
Speaker 2: been benched and they bring in this freshman, et cetera.

884
00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,480
Speaker 2: You know, so you have that, and I think that

885
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:12,279
Speaker 2: they're you know, you're gonna have to pay a little

886
00:43:12,280 --> 00:43:14,840
Speaker 2: bit of a tax on on on Oregon State if

887
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,960
Speaker 2: you want to go to that side. Meanwhile, with with

888
00:43:17,080 --> 00:43:20,719
Speaker 2: Fresno they look pretty good too, It's just you know,

889
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:24,279
Speaker 2: they weren't. It wasn't as marquis of a matchup, So

890
00:43:24,440 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 2: I don't think that they're quite that Fresno State is

891
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:29,640
Speaker 2: quite getting their respect, probably that they should be. Week one,

892
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:32,160
Speaker 2: they played an FCS opponent, cal Poly. They beat the

893
00:43:32,200 --> 00:43:33,560
Speaker 2: crap out of cal Pad, but it's you know, as

894
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:37,080
Speaker 2: cal Poly whatever. But remember, Fresno State brings back an

895
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:40,759
Speaker 2: NFL prospect, a quarterback, legitimate one in Jkyner who's going

896
00:43:40,800 --> 00:43:42,719
Speaker 2: to throw for a billion yards this year at three

897
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:45,920
Speaker 2: hundred and seventy seven last week for two touchdowns, win

898
00:43:46,040 --> 00:43:49,600
Speaker 2: thirty six for forty two. That's that's pretty stupid. They also,

899
00:43:50,000 --> 00:43:53,359
Speaker 2: interestingly enough, they brought back a couple good, really good

900
00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:56,279
Speaker 2: wide receivers. They seem to have phound another one in

901
00:43:56,320 --> 00:43:59,520
Speaker 2: the transfer portal, this kid named Nico Remigio, I think,

902
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:01,600
Speaker 2: is how you announce his last name. He had been

903
00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:04,799
Speaker 2: a Cal for a couple different years, and you know,

904
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:07,839
Speaker 2: it was just like a solid sort of veteran. There

905
00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,840
Speaker 2: wasn't as much excitement about him as as some of

906
00:44:09,880 --> 00:44:12,440
Speaker 2: these other guys that had entered the transfer portal. Fresno

907
00:44:12,520 --> 00:44:15,399
Speaker 2: State signs him as a transfer in what I think

908
00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:17,399
Speaker 2: is going to come to be viewed as a very

909
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 2: very sneaky signing. Remigio broke out in the first game

910
00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:24,400
Speaker 2: nine catches for one hundred yards. He was getting peppered

911
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:27,040
Speaker 2: with targets right from the jump. I think it's very

912
00:44:27,080 --> 00:44:30,359
Speaker 2: possible that Remigio was just caught in an awful circumstance

913
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:33,239
Speaker 2: with Cal, because that's a team that does not want

914
00:44:33,239 --> 00:44:36,160
Speaker 2: to throw. You know, Justin Wilcox, their coach, former defensive

915
00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,080
Speaker 2: coordinator at Wisconsin, very much plays in that, you know,

916
00:44:39,120 --> 00:44:42,320
Speaker 2: Brett beelma Ethos, you know, of slowing the game down,

917
00:44:42,520 --> 00:44:45,480
Speaker 2: not not as much throwing, clock control, running the ball,

918
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:48,440
Speaker 2: stuff like that. Remigio looks like he's a player for

919
00:44:48,760 --> 00:44:51,200
Speaker 2: Fresno State. Fresno State is a bunch of guys coming

920
00:44:51,239 --> 00:44:53,600
Speaker 2: back as well. I like Fresno State a little bit

921
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,200
Speaker 2: more than than Oregon State just in a vacuum, and

922
00:44:56,239 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 2: Fresno State is the team that's at home in this one.

923
00:44:59,440 --> 00:45:02,280
Speaker 2: My line this game is Fresno State minus two point three.

924
00:45:02,680 --> 00:45:05,880
Speaker 2: Vegas decided to open Oregon State as the very small

925
00:45:05,920 --> 00:45:09,040
Speaker 2: favorite at minus one, I think in large part because

926
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:11,400
Speaker 2: of that performance against Boise State. But a lot of

927
00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:14,160
Speaker 2: that stuff I don't think is translatable. You're not gonna

928
00:45:14,160 --> 00:45:18,040
Speaker 2: get three first quarter turnovers from Jay Hayner like you

929
00:45:18,080 --> 00:45:20,400
Speaker 2: did in that game and then the next three quarters.

930
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:22,560
Speaker 2: You really don't have to play the game this one.

931
00:45:22,560 --> 00:45:25,320
Speaker 2: They're gonna have to earn, and I like Fresnel State.

932
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:29,560
Speaker 1: The next game up here. A lot of offense last week.

933
00:45:29,640 --> 00:45:34,320
Speaker 1: I was really quite frankly impressed yesterday in four innings,

934
00:45:34,640 --> 00:45:37,200
Speaker 1: a good work for the Iowa Hawk guys winning seven

935
00:45:37,239 --> 00:45:40,200
Speaker 1: to three over South Dakota State in what is the

936
00:45:40,239 --> 00:45:44,200
Speaker 1: weirdest score line you may ever see. For three first

937
00:45:44,320 --> 00:45:48,120
Speaker 1: quarter points, three second quarter points, and two safeties in

938
00:45:48,160 --> 00:45:49,640
Speaker 1: the third and fourth quarter to get.

939
00:45:49,600 --> 00:45:50,160
Speaker 2: Us to seven.

940
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:53,640
Speaker 1: You don't see that every day. But can they get

941
00:45:53,680 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 1: the offense going against Iowa State in this one where

942
00:45:57,320 --> 00:45:58,880
Speaker 1: they're three and a half point favorites.

943
00:45:59,160 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 2: Not only do you not see it every day, we

944
00:46:01,560 --> 00:46:04,400
Speaker 2: don't even remember the last time we saw it. My

945
00:46:04,800 --> 00:46:06,960
Speaker 2: friend Eric head home with from NFL dot com and

946
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:09,399
Speaker 2: put out a tweet that it was at least through

947
00:46:09,440 --> 00:46:12,080
Speaker 2: the year two thousand. Since the year two thousand, no

948
00:46:12,160 --> 00:46:15,560
Speaker 2: other team has scored exactly seven points via two safeties

949
00:46:15,560 --> 00:46:18,160
Speaker 2: in a field goal. So at least Iowa was figuring

950
00:46:18,200 --> 00:46:20,759
Speaker 2: out a creative, creative way to win this ball game.

951
00:46:20,880 --> 00:46:24,799
Speaker 2: Their defense also ended up outscoring both of the opposing offenses.

952
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:28,840
Speaker 2: It was also hilarious the two scoring drives. You know,

953
00:46:28,880 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 2: there was two field goals in the game, and of

954
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:34,080
Speaker 2: course I watched it every down. You probably see my mug.

955
00:46:34,320 --> 00:46:36,799
Speaker 2: I'm in Iowa grad, so I subjected myself to it.

956
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:40,439
Speaker 2: The two scoring drives. One of them Iowas field goal.

957
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:42,560
Speaker 2: They had gotten the ball in awesome field position because

958
00:46:42,560 --> 00:46:45,640
Speaker 2: they pinned South Dakota State really deep, and so then

959
00:46:45,640 --> 00:46:47,560
Speaker 2: they punted it and you know, they returned it like

960
00:46:47,560 --> 00:46:49,399
Speaker 2: to the thirty five or something. It was a three

961
00:46:49,480 --> 00:46:51,360
Speaker 2: and out where they gained five yards and then they

962
00:46:51,440 --> 00:46:53,440
Speaker 2: kicked the long field goal that was their field goal.

963
00:46:53,719 --> 00:46:56,920
Speaker 2: Then the scoring drive for South Dakota State they picked

964
00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:01,560
Speaker 2: off Spencer Petros, Iowa quarterback, who absolutelys they pick them

965
00:47:01,600 --> 00:47:04,200
Speaker 2: off in Iowa side of the field. They did get

966
00:47:04,200 --> 00:47:06,280
Speaker 2: one first down on that drive, but that was it.

967
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:08,920
Speaker 2: It was like seven plays for like twelve yards was

968
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,919
Speaker 2: that drive and then they kicked the field goal. Whole

969
00:47:11,960 --> 00:47:15,560
Speaker 2: point being. Iowa's offense is absolutely terrible. But as I

970
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:18,720
Speaker 2: said on Twitter yesterday, this is the most Kirk Farence

971
00:47:18,760 --> 00:47:22,040
Speaker 2: team that has ever existed, because this maybe Kirk Ferrance's

972
00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:25,200
Speaker 2: worst offense, and I'm talking of his career, you know,

973
00:47:25,280 --> 00:47:27,000
Speaker 2: twenty plus, you've been there forever.

974
00:47:28,520 --> 00:47:31,000
Speaker 1: It is really amazing that a team can somehow make

975
00:47:31,080 --> 00:47:35,520
Speaker 1: Illinois's three possessions inside the fifteen with zero points not

976
00:47:35,680 --> 00:47:37,279
Speaker 1: the worst offensive performance of.

977
00:47:37,200 --> 00:47:41,960
Speaker 2: The week, right, I mean, indeed, you combine that awful

978
00:47:42,000 --> 00:47:45,520
Speaker 2: offense with what is going to be, if not the

979
00:47:45,560 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 2: best combination of defense and special teams the fearance has

980
00:47:48,480 --> 00:47:51,800
Speaker 2: had at Iowa way up there, like you know, top three,

981
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,000
Speaker 2: Iowa's defense is nasty, and we knew it was going

982
00:47:54,080 --> 00:47:55,919
Speaker 2: to be nasty. They're bringing back a whole bunch of guys.

983
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:58,760
Speaker 2: They have several stars on that defense. They have stars

984
00:47:58,760 --> 00:48:02,320
Speaker 2: at every single level, all American candidates, certainly a linebacker,

985
00:48:02,360 --> 00:48:05,759
Speaker 2: and then the secondary super duper nasty, and then their

986
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:08,200
Speaker 2: special teams are really really good. Like the punter that

987
00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 2: they have, this kid named Tory Taylor from Australia, probably

988
00:48:11,080 --> 00:48:13,439
Speaker 2: gonna be in the NFL. He's got a big, big

989
00:48:13,520 --> 00:48:16,600
Speaker 2: leg and he is awesome at the directional kicking, but

990
00:48:16,640 --> 00:48:19,200
Speaker 2: also like the coffin corner stuff like that. So I

991
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:21,400
Speaker 2: was able to do the thing of just you know,

992
00:48:21,719 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 2: the paint dry thing, you know, and just playing the

993
00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,440
Speaker 2: field position game. And then you know you're around midfield.

994
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:28,320
Speaker 2: You pin the other team deep, so you start with

995
00:48:28,360 --> 00:48:30,480
Speaker 2: the ball in midfield, you don't do anything on offense,

996
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:32,840
Speaker 2: you punt it back to him. They're pinway back again.

997
00:48:33,160 --> 00:48:35,600
Speaker 2: Eventually something will happen for you. But that's how it's

998
00:48:35,600 --> 00:48:37,799
Speaker 2: gonna have to happen. Sort of for Iowa this year,

999
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:41,680
Speaker 2: it appears at least until they're starting running back comes back.

1000
00:48:41,760 --> 00:48:44,480
Speaker 2: Because Gavin Williams did miss the first game. I think

1001
00:48:44,520 --> 00:48:46,440
Speaker 2: that was something that was a little bit overlooked. He'd

1002
00:48:46,480 --> 00:48:49,439
Speaker 2: been ruled out right before it, you know, so maybe

1003
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 2: some people overlooked that. But Lashawn Daniels, the backup, didn't

1004
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:55,080
Speaker 2: have the best game. I think he ran for like

1005
00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,120
Speaker 2: seventy yards, but it's on like three yards of carry.

1006
00:48:57,280 --> 00:48:59,840
Speaker 2: Part of that might have been offensive line stuff. You know,

1007
00:49:00,440 --> 00:49:03,160
Speaker 2: it's not because he's necessarily super duper limited, but it's

1008
00:49:03,160 --> 00:49:06,759
Speaker 2: also because South Dakota State realized pretty quick into that

1009
00:49:06,760 --> 00:49:08,560
Speaker 2: game that they could just stack the box because Spencer

1010
00:49:08,600 --> 00:49:12,040
Speaker 2: Pete Ross was terrible. Spencer pet Trod wouldn't even be

1011
00:49:12,080 --> 00:49:13,960
Speaker 2: starting in the SCS, or shouldn't even be starting in

1012
00:49:13,960 --> 00:49:16,080
Speaker 2: the SCS in my opinion. You want to talk about

1013
00:49:16,120 --> 00:49:19,080
Speaker 2: accuracy of VERSU lacking pocket presence, So that is what

1014
00:49:19,120 --> 00:49:23,760
Speaker 2: I was going to have to overcome this year. But again, nasty, nasty,

1015
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:27,279
Speaker 2: top three defense maybe in the entire nation, and top

1016
00:49:27,520 --> 00:49:29,920
Speaker 2: three to five special teams unit in the nation, but

1017
00:49:30,000 --> 00:49:33,319
Speaker 2: then like a bottom twenty offense out of the one

1018
00:49:33,360 --> 00:49:35,840
Speaker 2: hundred and thirty one FBS teams. That's the combo you

1019
00:49:35,880 --> 00:49:38,440
Speaker 2: got there. I always stay, we're still gonna have to

1020
00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 2: see on them. We haven't gotten a whole bunch of

1021
00:49:40,560 --> 00:49:43,120
Speaker 2: information because they played Southeast Missouri State and the opener

1022
00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:45,960
Speaker 2: did win forty two to ten. The new kid that

1023
00:49:45,960 --> 00:49:48,799
Speaker 2: they're starting for brock Perty, this one hundred deckers kid,

1024
00:49:48,960 --> 00:49:50,879
Speaker 2: He looked pretty good. Twenty five for thirty one twitter

1025
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:53,839
Speaker 2: ninety three yards, four touchdowns. That running back that took

1026
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:56,960
Speaker 2: over for bretze Hall. Another young kid, Jarill Brock, he

1027
00:49:56,960 --> 00:49:58,960
Speaker 2: looked pretty good too. He had one hundred four yards

1028
00:49:59,000 --> 00:50:02,160
Speaker 2: in a touchdown. Again, you know, it's an SCS opponent.

1029
00:50:02,400 --> 00:50:04,799
Speaker 2: Iowa State had turned over a lot of a lot

1030
00:50:04,800 --> 00:50:08,200
Speaker 2: of their roster this offseason because this was the year

1031
00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:11,280
Speaker 2: that you know, we knew that like Campbell was building

1032
00:50:11,280 --> 00:50:13,400
Speaker 2: it up towards last season when they had all the

1033
00:50:13,719 --> 00:50:16,239
Speaker 2: seniors he had Purty, and you had Breis Haw, and

1034
00:50:16,239 --> 00:50:18,319
Speaker 2: you had Cole l r. And you know, all the

1035
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 2: different guys that they had. They lose all those guys.

1036
00:50:21,080 --> 00:50:24,080
Speaker 2: This is more like the new look young Cyclones. So

1037
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:26,120
Speaker 2: we'll have to see when they play a real opponent,

1038
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:28,400
Speaker 2: specifically that you know, it's going to come down to

1039
00:50:28,600 --> 00:50:31,640
Speaker 2: two Deckers and and to Brock. Can Brock run it

1040
00:50:31,719 --> 00:50:34,920
Speaker 2: all on this Iowa defense. I'm not sure that he

1041
00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:38,759
Speaker 2: will be able to. I really don't. And then Hunter Deckers,

1042
00:50:39,440 --> 00:50:42,080
Speaker 2: you know what is he going to give you? Hunter

1043
00:50:42,160 --> 00:50:44,840
Speaker 2: Deckers is certainly more talented than Brock Purty. You know,

1044
00:50:44,880 --> 00:50:48,240
Speaker 2: Brock Purty is more like your Ian book scrambling around

1045
00:50:48,440 --> 00:50:50,880
Speaker 2: noodle arm kind of a guy, whereas Hunter Deckers was

1046
00:50:50,920 --> 00:50:53,360
Speaker 2: like a legitimate four star. You know that that was

1047
00:50:53,440 --> 00:50:56,399
Speaker 2: like an enormous recruiting win for them. But we've never

1048
00:50:56,480 --> 00:50:58,760
Speaker 2: seen him, you know, like over a full game against

1049
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:00,840
Speaker 2: a good defense before, So this one's going to be

1050
00:51:00,840 --> 00:51:04,120
Speaker 2: really interesting. I am showing line value on the Hawkeyes.

1051
00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,520
Speaker 2: I think this line was was open a bit short,

1052
00:51:07,600 --> 00:51:10,000
Speaker 2: especially in the fact that this game is in Iowa City.

1053
00:51:10,320 --> 00:51:14,040
Speaker 2: It was open short because of how brutal Iowa's offense looked,

1054
00:51:14,040 --> 00:51:17,000
Speaker 2: and fair enough with that. But my numbers in a

1055
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:19,600
Speaker 2: vacuum have have installed Iowa as a six and a

1056
00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 2: half point favorite, So I'm showing a little bit of

1057
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,120
Speaker 2: line value on Iowa. You're just gonna have to hold

1058
00:51:24,120 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 2: your nose and hope for the best with that offense.

1059
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:28,279
Speaker 1: Now, one more game here before we get to your

1060
00:51:28,280 --> 00:51:33,600
Speaker 1: hammer of the week. UAB versus Liberty. Liberty catching four

1061
00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,080
Speaker 1: points in this one, and you think that is too

1062
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:37,640
Speaker 1: many points for them to be catching.

1063
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:43,280
Speaker 2: Yeah with with with an asterisk. Yeah, So the UiB

1064
00:51:43,600 --> 00:51:45,799
Speaker 2: opens as a four point favorite on the road. My

1065
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:50,080
Speaker 2: justin line was UAB minus one point six UA B

1066
00:51:50,239 --> 00:51:54,359
Speaker 2: had a dominant defensive performance against the subdivision team in

1067
00:51:54,400 --> 00:51:56,880
Speaker 2: Week one. They did not have their starting running back,

1068
00:51:56,920 --> 00:51:59,760
Speaker 2: Dwayne McBride. You're gonna want to check on his status

1069
00:51:59,800 --> 00:52:02,479
Speaker 2: if you're interested. On either side of this game. Dwayn

1070
00:52:02,520 --> 00:52:04,279
Speaker 2: McBride is one of the best CHIE five running backs

1071
00:52:04,320 --> 00:52:06,640
Speaker 2: last year, so it'll be interesting to see if he plays.

1072
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,240
Speaker 2: But on the other side, we have really big injury

1073
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:11,239
Speaker 2: news that I think is also playing a part in

1074
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:14,880
Speaker 2: the way that this line opened. Liberty had signed Charlie

1075
00:52:14,920 --> 00:52:19,160
Speaker 2: Brewer from Utah via Baylor, where he started his career

1076
00:52:20,040 --> 00:52:22,720
Speaker 2: in the transfer portal, in an attempt to replace Malik

1077
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:26,600
Speaker 2: Willis at quarterback. Brewer, you know, starts out this game

1078
00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:28,880
Speaker 2: and then he gets injured right away and he is

1079
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 2: out for I believe the next two months. He's out

1080
00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:37,080
Speaker 2: for the timeline they gave him was with six to

1081
00:52:37,120 --> 00:52:40,200
Speaker 2: eight weeks. He has a broken hand, which he'll suffered

1082
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:43,839
Speaker 2: in their overtime win against Southern mess So he's going

1083
00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:47,120
Speaker 2: to be out until you know what, late October, and

1084
00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:50,239
Speaker 2: probably so what Liberty did when when he first went

1085
00:52:50,280 --> 00:52:52,480
Speaker 2: out of the game, because it was pretty early, they

1086
00:52:52,640 --> 00:52:55,920
Speaker 2: brought in this veteran backup that I had never heard of,

1087
00:52:56,480 --> 00:52:58,359
Speaker 2: and it you know, it's it's pretty hard to get

1088
00:52:58,360 --> 00:53:00,480
Speaker 2: a quarterback into an FBS game that I've never heard of.

1089
00:53:00,560 --> 00:53:03,840
Speaker 2: It is this kid named Jonathan Bennett, I guess. But

1090
00:53:04,400 --> 00:53:07,040
Speaker 2: Bennett stunk. He went maybe this is why I'd never

1091
00:53:07,040 --> 00:53:09,200
Speaker 2: heard of him before. He went seven for eighteen for

1092
00:53:09,280 --> 00:53:12,280
Speaker 2: thirty eight yards. And so then Hugh Freeze did probably

1093
00:53:12,320 --> 00:53:15,360
Speaker 2: what he should have done right at the start, he

1094
00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:18,319
Speaker 2: went to the bullpen for Cayden Salter. For people that

1095
00:53:18,440 --> 00:53:22,720
Speaker 2: don't know Caiden Salter. Caden Salter came out of high school,

1096
00:53:23,040 --> 00:53:26,080
Speaker 2: was a value he would recruit. Signed with Tennessee. Was

1097
00:53:26,080 --> 00:53:30,200
Speaker 2: a consensus top one hundred and seventy five overall recruit. Solid, solid,

1098
00:53:30,200 --> 00:53:34,000
Speaker 2: four star recruit. It was top ten overall quarterback as well.

1099
00:53:34,680 --> 00:53:37,680
Speaker 2: Dual threat kid was not only a start on the gridiron,

1100
00:53:37,760 --> 00:53:41,000
Speaker 2: but was also fabulous in track and field, like all

1101
00:53:41,040 --> 00:53:43,920
Speaker 2: the different events, the three hundred meters and the different

1102
00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:46,120
Speaker 2: sprints and the hurdles and all that different stuff. Was

1103
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:49,719
Speaker 2: a star. But he signed with Tennessee and he got

1104
00:53:49,760 --> 00:53:53,040
Speaker 2: in trouble off the field almost immediately after he got there,

1105
00:53:53,120 --> 00:53:55,400
Speaker 2: or it came to light one or the other Tennessee

1106
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:58,520
Speaker 2: didn't really have an option but to say, hey, Kady,

1107
00:53:58,520 --> 00:54:00,279
Speaker 2: you got to get out of here and boot off

1108
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:03,920
Speaker 2: the team. So then he was available Liberty, which would

1109
00:54:03,960 --> 00:54:06,000
Speaker 2: never get out, you know, sort of like with Malik Willis,

1110
00:54:06,040 --> 00:54:07,839
Speaker 2: although Malik Willis had been on campus for a couple

1111
00:54:07,840 --> 00:54:10,000
Speaker 2: of years at Auburn, just couldn't get on. But like,

1112
00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:13,960
Speaker 2: you don't usually get access to this kind of recruits

1113
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 2: or those kind of athletes unless it's a special circumstance

1114
00:54:17,760 --> 00:54:20,439
Speaker 2: like that. They bring in Keyton Salter and sign him.

1115
00:54:20,600 --> 00:54:23,319
Speaker 2: Then he opens the season as QB three, but he

1116
00:54:23,400 --> 00:54:25,520
Speaker 2: quickly gets into the game because of Brewers injury, and

1117
00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:30,239
Speaker 2: then this Bennett's thinking and Salter looked awesome, very very

1118
00:54:30,280 --> 00:54:33,759
Speaker 2: good in a game where it was very very nip

1119
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:35,520
Speaker 2: and tuck kind of a game. If Salter had not

1120
00:54:35,560 --> 00:54:37,879
Speaker 2: played the way that he did, Liberty would have lost

1121
00:54:37,920 --> 00:54:41,400
Speaker 2: that game. They ended up beating Southern Miss in multiple overtimes.

1122
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,480
Speaker 2: But Keiton Salter went eight for thirteen in that game,

1123
00:54:44,520 --> 00:54:47,959
Speaker 2: one hundred and forty eight yards, two touchdowns, sixty five

1124
00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:51,840
Speaker 2: rushing yards. I think the important point here, assuming that

1125
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:54,759
Speaker 2: Keyton Salter is going to start on Saturday, haven't heard

1126
00:54:54,760 --> 00:54:57,720
Speaker 2: word on that. I would be stunned if Hugh Freeze

1127
00:54:57,760 --> 00:55:00,759
Speaker 2: decides not to start him. Talent wise, between him and

1128
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:05,040
Speaker 2: that Bennett character, it's not even close. But the interesting

1129
00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:07,879
Speaker 2: thing to note about Salter is his game is far

1130
00:55:07,960 --> 00:55:11,239
Speaker 2: more similar to Malik Willis than Charlie Brewer, the guy

1131
00:55:11,280 --> 00:55:13,120
Speaker 2: that they expected to be starting this year. There was

1132
00:55:13,160 --> 00:55:16,520
Speaker 2: modifications that they had built into the offense for Charlie Brewer,

1133
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:20,160
Speaker 2: who is more of your He's a pocket passer. He's

1134
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,440
Speaker 2: a pocket passer with a new alarm. But he does

1135
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:24,879
Speaker 2: have pocket presence, he does have accuracy. He just can't

1136
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:26,200
Speaker 2: get the ball down the field. You're not going to

1137
00:55:26,239 --> 00:55:29,160
Speaker 2: get much utility with him running the ball. Again, Keaton

1138
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 2: Salter is is way more on the Malik Willis philum.

1139
00:55:32,880 --> 00:55:36,000
Speaker 2: Extremely athletic kid, has a strong arm. You know, he's

1140
00:55:36,040 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 2: a very loose sort of arm action that you associate

1141
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:41,880
Speaker 2: with with Malik Willis. Nobody has that kind of arm strength,

1142
00:55:41,880 --> 00:55:46,000
Speaker 2: but more in that vein certainly so liberty. Now, Hugh

1143
00:55:46,000 --> 00:55:47,600
Speaker 2: Freese is going to be able to go back more

1144
00:55:47,640 --> 00:55:50,120
Speaker 2: to the concepts that they were doing last year, and

1145
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,640
Speaker 2: a lot of the returning skill guys were already super

1146
00:55:52,680 --> 00:55:55,759
Speaker 2: comfortable with so I actually, you know, you see it

1147
00:55:55,800 --> 00:55:58,040
Speaker 2: a G five team that had signed a guy that

1148
00:55:58,120 --> 00:56:00,640
Speaker 2: we all knew of in Charlie Brewer, who had thrown

1149
00:56:00,680 --> 00:56:02,680
Speaker 2: for over ten thousand yards in the P five, and

1150
00:56:02,680 --> 00:56:05,279
Speaker 2: then you see he gets injured in week one. Your

1151
00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:08,400
Speaker 2: natural assumption would be, oh, man, that team's going to

1152
00:56:08,440 --> 00:56:10,680
Speaker 2: be a dog until he comes back, that they're for

1153
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:13,840
Speaker 2: sure a fade. I actually don't think that in this case,

1154
00:56:14,040 --> 00:56:16,960
Speaker 2: because if Keen Salter takes over as I expect him to,

1155
00:56:17,480 --> 00:56:19,960
Speaker 2: the ceiling of your offense now goes up. Well, you

1156
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:22,240
Speaker 2: had with Brewer is more of the cost certainty stuff.

1157
00:56:22,440 --> 00:56:25,120
Speaker 2: But don't forget Charlie Brewer was a guy who two

1158
00:56:25,200 --> 00:56:28,160
Speaker 2: or three games into last season, Utah could not move

1159
00:56:28,200 --> 00:56:30,120
Speaker 2: the ball at all, and they started out like one

1160
00:56:30,160 --> 00:56:34,280
Speaker 2: and two or whatever. They told Charlie Brewer essentially that

1161
00:56:34,320 --> 00:56:36,319
Speaker 2: they definitely yanked ab out of the starting lineup, but

1162
00:56:36,320 --> 00:56:38,719
Speaker 2: that Charlie Brewer is like, fine, I'm taking my ball

1163
00:56:38,760 --> 00:56:41,720
Speaker 2: and going home or whatever. Right after that, Utah's offense

1164
00:56:41,760 --> 00:56:44,600
Speaker 2: got awesome. It didn't get worse. It got way better.

1165
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:47,680
Speaker 2: When Cameron Rising took over, just took an enormous jump up,

1166
00:56:47,719 --> 00:56:49,520
Speaker 2: So I think that's something to keep an eye on.

1167
00:56:49,640 --> 00:56:52,120
Speaker 2: I do see some line value on liberty here. If

1168
00:56:52,160 --> 00:56:54,760
Speaker 2: you're interested in liberty though, that this is a situation

1169
00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:57,440
Speaker 2: that I would monitor. I'll be monitoring it. But if

1170
00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:59,879
Speaker 2: I was, you look into the reports looking too who

1171
00:57:00,000 --> 00:57:02,640
Speaker 2: they say that they're going to start different statuses like that.

1172
00:57:03,000 --> 00:57:05,399
Speaker 2: If it's Salter, though, this is a team that I'm

1173
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:07,520
Speaker 2: going to be potentially looking to back here over the

1174
00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:08,200
Speaker 2: next month.

1175
00:57:09,000 --> 00:57:12,080
Speaker 1: All right, now, it is time, my friend, for your

1176
00:57:12,200 --> 00:57:14,960
Speaker 1: Hammer of the week. And I know where you're going here,

1177
00:57:15,360 --> 00:57:18,240
Speaker 1: and you know it's the one game we haven't talked about.

1178
00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:20,840
Speaker 1: We said we were going to get to here the

1179
00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:25,320
Speaker 1: greatest football team in the state of New York. My

1180
00:57:25,520 --> 00:57:29,040
Speaker 1: Friendino Baber's risen from the dead. We were on a

1181
00:57:29,080 --> 00:57:32,560
Speaker 1: phone call last week where I told you Syracuse is

1182
00:57:32,600 --> 00:57:34,560
Speaker 1: between a rock and a hard place where they want

1183
00:57:34,560 --> 00:57:36,440
Speaker 1: to get rid of them, but they can't because of

1184
00:57:36,480 --> 00:57:39,479
Speaker 1: his contract. And then here we go right out the gate.

1185
00:57:39,920 --> 00:57:44,320
Speaker 1: I'm not saying we want Bama, I'm saying we want Buffalo.

1186
00:57:44,480 --> 00:57:47,200
Speaker 1: Josh Allen wishes he could be the dual threat that

1187
00:57:47,320 --> 00:57:51,600
Speaker 1: Garrett Trader is here. Syracuse takes on the Huskies of

1188
00:57:51,680 --> 00:57:56,000
Speaker 1: Connecticut as twenty and a half point favorites. Here in

1189
00:57:56,080 --> 00:57:57,280
Speaker 1: this one, oh.

1190
00:57:57,120 --> 00:58:00,280
Speaker 2: Man, that's a tough act for me to follow. Must

1191
00:58:00,320 --> 00:58:02,360
Speaker 2: have at your place yesterday last night. It must have

1192
00:58:02,360 --> 00:58:05,080
Speaker 2: been like manna falling from the sky, you know, when

1193
00:58:05,120 --> 00:58:08,800
Speaker 2: Syracuse was just absolutely running it up on Louisville. One

1194
00:58:08,840 --> 00:58:11,280
Speaker 2: of the most stunning Like I know that you're a

1195
00:58:11,360 --> 00:58:15,680
Speaker 2: Syracuse guy, but objectively, one of the most stunning results

1196
00:58:15,720 --> 00:58:19,040
Speaker 2: of Week one. Louisville goes in there as I think

1197
00:58:19,080 --> 00:58:21,280
Speaker 2: though that line closed it like Louisville minus five and

1198
00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:24,920
Speaker 2: a half, Louisville mineus six. Somewhere in that rage they

1199
00:58:25,080 --> 00:58:29,560
Speaker 2: got annihilated. Syracuse beats him thirty one to seven. After

1200
00:58:29,600 --> 00:58:31,920
Speaker 2: the first quarter it was ten to seven. It was

1201
00:58:32,000 --> 00:58:35,120
Speaker 2: close ish from there on out. It was all Syracuse.

1202
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:39,360
Speaker 2: Louisville couldn't do a thing, and Syracuse was essentially doing

1203
00:58:39,400 --> 00:58:42,120
Speaker 2: whatever it wanted to it played. There was a brief

1204
00:58:42,160 --> 00:58:45,200
Speaker 2: stretch where Tucker got pulled out, but yeah, that was

1205
00:58:45,240 --> 00:58:45,920
Speaker 2: a hard attack.

1206
00:58:46,000 --> 00:58:50,080
Speaker 1: Inducing everyone in my college group chat just went up. Yep,

1207
00:58:50,400 --> 00:58:54,480
Speaker 1: there it goes. That fleeting figment of happiness that we

1208
00:58:54,600 --> 00:58:56,600
Speaker 1: had is gone. And then he came back in the game.

1209
00:58:56,640 --> 00:58:57,440
Speaker 1: We couldn't believe it.

1210
00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,480
Speaker 2: And that's the important thing for both Syracus fans and

1211
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:02,960
Speaker 2: then people interested in betting on Syracuse. By far their

1212
00:59:02,960 --> 00:59:05,720
Speaker 2: best player, Sean Tucker comes back into the game look

1213
00:59:05,800 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 2: fine in the second half, so his his availability will

1214
00:59:08,480 --> 00:59:12,000
Speaker 2: not be compromised going forward. Garrett Strader looked pretty good too.

1215
00:59:12,280 --> 00:59:14,440
Speaker 2: And I think that and I'm talking about as as

1216
00:59:14,480 --> 00:59:16,760
Speaker 2: a thrower, as good as you're gonna get Garrett Trader

1217
00:59:16,800 --> 00:59:20,120
Speaker 2: to look. I think that that's notable because Baber's over

1218
00:59:20,160 --> 00:59:22,360
Speaker 2: the offseason did something really interesting. I'm not going to

1219
00:59:22,440 --> 00:59:24,480
Speaker 2: go back to my Brian when Horse, but he did

1220
00:59:24,480 --> 00:59:27,040
Speaker 2: something that was that was very interesting. Where got rid

1221
00:59:27,040 --> 00:59:30,240
Speaker 2: of the offensive coordinator, brings in Robert and I from Virginia.

1222
00:59:30,440 --> 00:59:32,760
Speaker 2: The only reason that and I was available was because

1223
00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:35,280
Speaker 2: his buddy, Bronco menen Hall, who he had worked for,

1224
00:59:35,680 --> 00:59:39,920
Speaker 2: you know under forever he Bronk ben In Hall, decides

1225
00:59:39,960 --> 00:59:42,600
Speaker 2: to walk away from the game. So then Virginia brought in,

1226
00:59:42,720 --> 00:59:45,160
Speaker 2: you know, the Clemson offensive coordinator, and he wanted his

1227
00:59:45,160 --> 00:59:47,280
Speaker 2: own guy running the offense. But Robert and I is

1228
00:59:47,720 --> 00:59:51,640
Speaker 2: you know, going back, you know, decade plus, he's viewed

1229
00:59:51,680 --> 00:59:54,280
Speaker 2: as one of the most respected offensive coordinators in the game,

1230
00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:57,480
Speaker 2: and his strategy has always been this quick, hitting, sideline

1231
00:59:57,480 --> 01:00:00,280
Speaker 2: to sideline passing game that then opens up the rest

1232
01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:02,360
Speaker 2: of it and then you can start playing tempo, you

1233
01:00:02,440 --> 01:00:05,320
Speaker 2: start confusing the defense, get him tired, and stuff like that.

1234
01:00:05,720 --> 01:00:09,800
Speaker 2: What was interesting thinking about him melding with this personnel

1235
01:00:10,000 --> 01:00:13,360
Speaker 2: was Syracuse their foot that they were led with, and

1236
01:00:13,400 --> 01:00:15,760
Speaker 2: the thing that they were by far the best at

1237
01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:19,439
Speaker 2: it was that physical rushing attack with you have both

1238
01:00:19,480 --> 01:00:21,880
Speaker 2: Schrader and then you had Tucker where it was like

1239
01:00:22,040 --> 01:00:25,680
Speaker 2: it's like sort of option concepts but out of the shotgun.

1240
01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:28,760
Speaker 2: You know, it's like it wasn't rich Rod West Virginia,

1241
01:00:28,920 --> 01:00:30,960
Speaker 2: but it was like, you know, it was more in

1242
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:32,880
Speaker 2: that sort of a vein of an offense. And they

1243
01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:35,600
Speaker 2: were not throwing nearly as much. You wondered if Schrader,

1244
01:00:35,720 --> 01:00:38,840
Speaker 2: who's a big kid with good mobility, has a decent arm,

1245
01:00:38,960 --> 01:00:41,680
Speaker 2: but the accuracy has never been there, you wondered how

1246
01:00:41,680 --> 01:00:44,800
Speaker 2: that would translate, at least as far as game one goes.

1247
01:00:45,120 --> 01:00:47,640
Speaker 2: The returns are pretty good eighteen for twenty five and

1248
01:00:47,640 --> 01:00:50,600
Speaker 2: thirty seven yards and two touchdowns throwing the ball and

1249
01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:53,680
Speaker 2: of course Tucker looked good as well. You wonder with that,

1250
01:00:54,200 --> 01:00:57,240
Speaker 2: is you know what was this? Was it that Syracuse

1251
01:00:57,320 --> 01:01:00,280
Speaker 2: is way better than we think? Is that Louisville was

1252
01:01:00,320 --> 01:01:03,280
Speaker 2: way worse than we think? Is it a combination of both.

1253
01:01:04,200 --> 01:01:06,040
Speaker 2: We'll have to see on that in these weeks coming up.

1254
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:09,439
Speaker 2: But absolutely Syracuse is better than we thought coming into

1255
01:01:09,480 --> 01:01:11,880
Speaker 2: the year. And I think that there's reasons again that

1256
01:01:11,960 --> 01:01:14,560
Speaker 2: you can explain it. They're going to be better passing

1257
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:16,720
Speaker 2: the ball this year, and that is naturally going to

1258
01:01:16,760 --> 01:01:19,280
Speaker 2: keep defenses from stacking the box, which is the only

1259
01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:21,760
Speaker 2: way that you could stop Tucker and the Strader ground

1260
01:01:21,760 --> 01:01:25,800
Speaker 2: game last year. Looking into this one, this line opened

1261
01:01:25,800 --> 01:01:28,880
Speaker 2: at Syracuse minus twenty and a half. They're at yukon.

1262
01:01:29,720 --> 01:01:31,960
Speaker 2: The surprising part to me was that it did not

1263
01:01:32,040 --> 01:01:35,120
Speaker 2: open up north of twenty one and a half, particularly

1264
01:01:35,160 --> 01:01:38,160
Speaker 2: in lieu of that result against Louisville. And maybe that

1265
01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:40,320
Speaker 2: was just an opener where you're coming off the night

1266
01:01:40,360 --> 01:01:43,680
Speaker 2: games before, so maybe that whole thing had not been

1267
01:01:43,720 --> 01:01:46,360
Speaker 2: baked in. I don't know, It's hard for me to

1268
01:01:46,440 --> 01:01:49,720
Speaker 2: explain it. Otherwise, my line on this one was Syracuse

1269
01:01:49,760 --> 01:01:53,520
Speaker 2: minus twenty five point four, and I like Yukon a

1270
01:01:53,600 --> 01:01:56,600
Speaker 2: decent amount. Like I backed them in Week one when

1271
01:01:56,600 --> 01:02:00,400
Speaker 2: they had that competitive game against Utah State. Last week

1272
01:02:00,560 --> 01:02:02,960
Speaker 2: they beat an FCS team. Their offense really didn't do much,

1273
01:02:02,960 --> 01:02:04,960
Speaker 2: but they only gave up three points, but you know,

1274
01:02:05,640 --> 01:02:08,080
Speaker 2: an FCS team. But I like them fine. They definitely

1275
01:02:08,080 --> 01:02:10,520
Speaker 2: give effort for Jim Moore, they're going to be better

1276
01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:12,760
Speaker 2: than they've been in seasons past, but they're going to

1277
01:02:12,800 --> 01:02:16,400
Speaker 2: have major problems on offense here and having a good

1278
01:02:16,400 --> 01:02:18,320
Speaker 2: offense against Syracuses where you'd think you'd be able to

1279
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:20,600
Speaker 2: score points, although they just held the team that with

1280
01:02:20,680 --> 01:02:24,640
Speaker 2: Malie Cunningham, multiple NFL running backs, and some NFL receivers

1281
01:02:24,680 --> 01:02:28,200
Speaker 2: to seven points and zero literally zero in the last

1282
01:02:28,200 --> 01:02:31,560
Speaker 2: three quarters combined. So we'll see. Maybe Syracuse defense is

1283
01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:35,440
Speaker 2: significantly better than we thought. But Yukon's offense major problems,

1284
01:02:35,480 --> 01:02:39,280
Speaker 2: both with the personnel overall, but then also the quarterback

1285
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:41,400
Speaker 2: that they thought was going to be their quarterback. But

1286
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:44,160
Speaker 2: also like you know, one of their two best offensive

1287
01:02:44,160 --> 01:02:47,560
Speaker 2: players take one Roberson, who Jim Mora had signed from

1288
01:02:47,600 --> 01:02:50,800
Speaker 2: Penn State. Robertson had been the top backup to Sean Clifford.

1289
01:02:51,040 --> 01:02:52,720
Speaker 2: He brings him in and was going to build the

1290
01:02:52,760 --> 01:02:55,600
Speaker 2: offense around him, and then they're running back Nathan Carter

1291
01:02:55,960 --> 01:02:58,320
Speaker 2: and then you know try to do you know, maybe

1292
01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:01,160
Speaker 2: sort of a sort of a version of what Syracuse

1293
01:03:01,200 --> 01:03:03,520
Speaker 2: did last year of just running the ball a lot,

1294
01:03:03,760 --> 01:03:06,760
Speaker 2: the clock control things, you know, that sort of stuff.

1295
01:03:06,880 --> 01:03:10,080
Speaker 2: But takewon. Roberson got hurt immediately in that game against

1296
01:03:10,120 --> 01:03:12,880
Speaker 2: Utah State. The backups that they have tried have not

1297
01:03:13,040 --> 01:03:15,880
Speaker 2: been good with Yukon. That was the reason why they

1298
01:03:15,920 --> 01:03:18,200
Speaker 2: lost to Utah. Say, I believe if Roberson had not

1299
01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:21,080
Speaker 2: gotten hurt in that game, I actually think Yukon probably

1300
01:03:21,120 --> 01:03:24,200
Speaker 2: would have sprung the upset. Like I think the difference

1301
01:03:24,240 --> 01:03:26,840
Speaker 2: is that big between him and his backups, and Yukon

1302
01:03:26,960 --> 01:03:29,440
Speaker 2: was in that thing until the bitter end. The backups

1303
01:03:29,440 --> 01:03:32,320
Speaker 2: also did not play very good this past game. Like

1304
01:03:32,320 --> 01:03:35,400
Speaker 2: I said, they were playing the FCS team Central Connecticut.

1305
01:03:35,520 --> 01:03:39,760
Speaker 2: They win twenty eight to three. That the quarterback that

1306
01:03:39,800 --> 01:03:43,560
Speaker 2: they played this Zion Turner. He threw for one hundred

1307
01:03:43,560 --> 01:03:46,720
Speaker 2: and seventy two yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. His

1308
01:03:46,880 --> 01:03:50,480
Speaker 2: QBR was twenty six point nine, so not terribly impressive.

1309
01:03:50,720 --> 01:03:53,840
Speaker 2: He's also he also does not give you the level

1310
01:03:53,880 --> 01:03:56,560
Speaker 2: of mobility to take on Roberson does That was what

1311
01:03:57,160 --> 01:03:59,680
Speaker 2: his foot was led with. I think Yukon is going

1312
01:03:59,760 --> 01:04:02,400
Speaker 2: to be overwhelmed here by Syracuse. They're gonna be overwhelmed,

1313
01:04:02,440 --> 01:04:05,360
Speaker 2: certainly by the rushing game. You can put it in

1314
01:04:05,360 --> 01:04:08,200
Speaker 2: the books that Tucker is going to have two home

1315
01:04:08,280 --> 01:04:11,960
Speaker 2: runs at least on the ground. And then if Schrader

1316
01:04:12,120 --> 01:04:14,479
Speaker 2: is throwing as well as he did in the last game,

1317
01:04:14,800 --> 01:04:18,000
Speaker 2: I think Yukon has really really cooked. I also struggle

1318
01:04:18,040 --> 01:04:19,520
Speaker 2: you flip the ball or you flip it to the

1319
01:04:19,560 --> 01:04:21,640
Speaker 2: other side of the field. I struggle to see how

1320
01:04:21,640 --> 01:04:24,120
Speaker 2: this Yukon offense is going to move the ball with

1321
01:04:24,360 --> 01:04:29,200
Speaker 2: Zion Turner, you know, the backup quarterback until Robertson comes back.

1322
01:04:29,240 --> 01:04:31,720
Speaker 2: They're gonna have issues there. I do like the running

1323
01:04:31,760 --> 01:04:34,160
Speaker 2: back Nathan Carter. Nathan Carter is a good player. He's

1324
01:04:34,160 --> 01:04:36,160
Speaker 2: a legitimately good player. He's going to get a look

1325
01:04:36,160 --> 01:04:38,440
Speaker 2: from the NFL, maybe as a UDF. Maybe you can

1326
01:04:38,440 --> 01:04:40,640
Speaker 2: speak into one of the last rounds. But he's a

1327
01:04:40,720 --> 01:04:43,480
Speaker 2: legitimately good player. But Syracuse is going to be able

1328
01:04:43,480 --> 01:04:46,720
Speaker 2: to gang up on them, as Syracuse was frustrated last

1329
01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:49,160
Speaker 2: year when everyone decided to gang up on Tucker so

1330
01:04:49,320 --> 01:04:51,000
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to give Yukon a little bit

1331
01:04:51,040 --> 01:04:52,680
Speaker 2: a taste of the medicine that they had to choke

1332
01:04:52,760 --> 01:04:55,320
Speaker 2: down last year. Now they can throw the ball. Now,

1333
01:04:55,360 --> 01:04:57,720
Speaker 2: the defense is better. I think Syracuse is going to

1334
01:04:57,760 --> 01:04:59,640
Speaker 2: boat race Yukon on Saturday.

1335
01:05:00,040 --> 01:05:02,000
Speaker 1: And I certainly hope so. My biggest worry with this

1336
01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 1: team was the penalties. The penalties in that game were

1337
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:07,840
Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous. They need to get those under control. But

1338
01:05:09,360 --> 01:05:12,800
Speaker 1: even with Jim Mora, even with Yukon looking not quite

1339
01:05:12,840 --> 01:05:16,000
Speaker 1: like the Yukon of old, maybe definitely for better, but

1340
01:05:16,080 --> 01:05:19,880
Speaker 1: how much better? I'm drinking the kool aid. I'm excited

1341
01:05:19,920 --> 01:05:22,320
Speaker 1: about what this team is doing in one week. One

1342
01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:24,680
Speaker 1: game has completely made me do a one to eighty

1343
01:05:24,720 --> 01:05:27,760
Speaker 1: from well Ware Basketball School. It's time for basketball season

1344
01:05:27,760 --> 01:05:32,200
Speaker 1: already to okay, hang on a second dust off that

1345
01:05:32,520 --> 01:05:35,040
Speaker 1: number one, to dust off that number one trophy. We

1346
01:05:35,160 --> 01:05:38,000
Speaker 1: might be we might be making a college football playoff

1347
01:05:38,080 --> 01:05:38,480
Speaker 1: run here.

1348
01:05:38,560 --> 01:05:42,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, how far you've come in five, six, seven days?

1349
01:05:42,600 --> 01:05:44,680
Speaker 2: You know? I remember we had that one phone call

1350
01:05:44,960 --> 01:05:47,240
Speaker 2: where you were you were pretty low on Dino, you know,

1351
01:05:47,400 --> 01:05:49,760
Speaker 2: heading into this season and stuff like that, and then

1352
01:05:50,400 --> 01:05:52,600
Speaker 2: now we have the thirty one to seven one, and

1353
01:05:52,640 --> 01:05:54,840
Speaker 2: you're like the coach and you know, like in the

1354
01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:57,360
Speaker 2: in the locker room after the game, who's just want

1355
01:05:57,360 --> 01:05:59,320
Speaker 2: to blow out? Who's like yelling at the defense because

1356
01:05:59,360 --> 01:06:02,200
Speaker 2: they gave up like one long completion and you're talking

1357
01:06:02,240 --> 01:06:05,880
Speaker 2: about the penalties. I love this, and I think Syracuse

1358
01:06:05,920 --> 01:06:08,640
Speaker 2: is heading towards two to zero and Dino might be

1359
01:06:08,840 --> 01:06:11,000
Speaker 2: rallying back here into the good grace. A guy who

1360
01:06:11,040 --> 01:06:13,080
Speaker 2: was on one of the hottest seats, if not the

1361
01:06:13,160 --> 01:06:16,120
Speaker 2: hottest seat in all of college football heading into the season.

1362
01:06:16,520 --> 01:06:19,520
Speaker 2: He basically took the flame from his seat, walked him

1363
01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:22,600
Speaker 2: across the field, and added those to the inferno that

1364
01:06:22,720 --> 01:06:26,160
Speaker 2: is now around Scott Sadderfield. The pressure has gone down

1365
01:06:26,200 --> 01:06:27,800
Speaker 2: a little bit on Dino. I think it's gonna go

1366
01:06:27,840 --> 01:06:30,120
Speaker 2: down a little bit more after they take this gimme

1367
01:06:30,160 --> 01:06:33,240
Speaker 2: win against Yukon and then you start talking about can

1368
01:06:33,280 --> 01:06:35,560
Speaker 2: Dino get back into the ball game. He's been there.

1369
01:06:35,680 --> 01:06:38,320
Speaker 2: This is year seven now year six seven only been

1370
01:06:38,360 --> 01:06:39,920
Speaker 2: to the one bowl game, but that was the awesome

1371
01:06:39,920 --> 01:06:43,720
Speaker 2: season where they won double digit games. This team could

1372
01:06:43,760 --> 01:06:45,800
Speaker 2: be headed back to a bowl game, which is going

1373
01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:47,840
Speaker 2: to extend Dino's time there and that would be awesome

1374
01:06:47,880 --> 01:06:49,200
Speaker 2: because Dino Baber is the man.

1375
01:06:49,760 --> 01:06:53,000
Speaker 1: I as a person, absolutely nothing I can say about

1376
01:06:53,080 --> 01:06:55,800
Speaker 1: him other than great things. I would love to see

1377
01:06:55,800 --> 01:06:58,040
Speaker 1: this all work out. I'd love to see Syracuse going

1378
01:06:58,120 --> 01:07:00,680
Speaker 1: bowling again. But for now, that is gonna wrap it

1379
01:07:00,840 --> 01:07:04,280
Speaker 1: up for us here, Thor. If people want to find

1380
01:07:04,320 --> 01:07:06,120
Speaker 1: you in the great work you're doing, what's the best

1381
01:07:06,120 --> 01:07:06,880
Speaker 1: way they can do that.

1382
01:07:07,280 --> 01:07:09,640
Speaker 2: You can find me on Twitter at thor Ku, or

1383
01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:12,120
Speaker 2: you can find my work on Betting Pros, predominantly a

1384
01:07:12,120 --> 01:07:14,320
Speaker 2: little bit of Fantasy Pros, but mostly on betting pros.

1385
01:07:14,520 --> 01:07:15,880
Speaker 2: And we got a whole bunch of it. You know,

1386
01:07:16,040 --> 01:07:19,200
Speaker 2: the show with Thomas, we got shows with Bogman. Middle

1387
01:07:19,200 --> 01:07:21,440
Speaker 2: of the week. We got our live show Thomas and

1388
01:07:21,480 --> 01:07:25,640
Speaker 2: I do with Mike Ferrell on Saturday's kickoff show leading

1389
01:07:25,680 --> 01:07:27,400
Speaker 2: into the Kickoffs for an hour and a half, go

1390
01:07:27,520 --> 01:07:29,720
Speaker 2: through every game, deep dive, betting deep dive in every

1391
01:07:29,760 --> 01:07:33,160
Speaker 2: single game, DFS props, different stuff like that, and then

1392
01:07:33,400 --> 01:07:37,000
Speaker 2: my updated power rankings already submitted to the editor. Those

1393
01:07:37,000 --> 01:07:39,640
Speaker 2: should be up either tonight or tomorrow morning. I'll have

1394
01:07:39,680 --> 01:07:42,680
Speaker 2: week one notes up on Betting Pros on either on

1395
01:07:42,920 --> 01:07:47,360
Speaker 2: either on Monday, Or on Tuesday morning with all my

1396
01:07:47,400 --> 01:07:50,360
Speaker 2: adjusted lines for every game this week against the Las

1397
01:07:50,440 --> 01:07:54,200
Speaker 2: Vegas spread, and then going through and talking about some injuries,

1398
01:07:54,360 --> 01:07:56,600
Speaker 2: some notable things also some games that you're gonna want

1399
01:07:56,600 --> 01:07:59,320
Speaker 2: to hit early on in the week. We hit on

1400
01:07:59,360 --> 01:08:02,200
Speaker 2: some injuries and this year several injuries didn't get to

1401
01:08:02,200 --> 01:08:04,400
Speaker 2: all of them, like, for instance, Tyler Shuck, Texas Tech

1402
01:08:04,440 --> 01:08:07,200
Speaker 2: starting quarterback, he is hurt again here at his left

1403
01:08:07,200 --> 01:08:10,080
Speaker 2: shoulder again and it's gonna be missing what looks to

1404
01:08:10,120 --> 01:08:13,840
Speaker 2: be at least a month. So like they got some

1405
01:08:13,920 --> 01:08:16,400
Speaker 2: issues that. There were some other quarterback injuries as well.

1406
01:08:16,920 --> 01:08:18,599
Speaker 2: Check that one out. We couldn't We didn't have time

1407
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:21,360
Speaker 2: to get to all of them on this episode, but

1408
01:08:21,479 --> 01:08:23,200
Speaker 2: checked out out and we'll go through the rest and

1409
01:08:23,960 --> 01:08:25,320
Speaker 2: how those are affecting lines.

1410
01:08:26,080 --> 01:08:29,040
Speaker 1: All right, Thank you so much as always, Thor. We

1411
01:08:29,080 --> 01:08:31,840
Speaker 1: will catch you right back here next week, And of

1412
01:08:31,920 --> 01:08:34,679
Speaker 1: course you can check out the Wednesday show that will

1413
01:08:34,760 --> 01:08:38,040
Speaker 1: drop on podcast platforms of your choice, specifically, whatever you're

1414
01:08:38,160 --> 01:08:41,120
Speaker 1: listening or watching this show on, you'll be able to

1415
01:08:41,200 --> 01:08:45,360
Speaker 1: catch the Wednesday show there. And of course Saturday Mornings

1416
01:08:45,680 --> 01:08:48,440
Speaker 1: with Scott, Saturday.

1417
01:08:48,040 --> 01:08:50,360
Speaker 2: Mornings with Mike Saturday Mornings with Mike.

1418
01:08:50,400 --> 01:08:53,479
Speaker 1: Saturday Mornings with Mike. Guys, that's gonna do it for

1419
01:08:53,560 --> 01:08:57,400
Speaker 1: us here. Best of luck this week at Sean Tucker

1420
01:08:57,400 --> 01:08:59,480
Speaker 1: for Heisman, Go Syracuse

1421
01:09:01,439 --> 01:09:07,160
Speaker 2: Ps