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Speaker 1: What's up guys now?

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Speaker 2: Are you welcome into a Tuesday morning edition of the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice Podcast. I am your host every single morning.

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Speaker 2: My name is Matt Parolt. You can follow me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. We're here on bettingpros dot com,

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Speaker 2: always being brought to you by BETMGM with our bet

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Speaker 2: you sign up at betmgm. Okay, so let's recap yesterday

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Speaker 2: one of those days. Okay, So the good? The good

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Speaker 2: was the over in the Sun's game correct, the over

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Speaker 2: in the Bruins game correct, half unit wagers the wrong,

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Speaker 2: the Bucks got annihilated. More on the trends of home

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Speaker 2: teams here in one seconds, and then I went oh

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Speaker 2: and two on props Nick Pavetta, I got greedy. I

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Speaker 2: cannot recommend and this is something I'm gonna tell you guys.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to recommend minus two hundred wagers. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So Nick Pivetta, his over five and a half strikeouts

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Speaker 2: was like minus one eighty or two hundred. DraftKings was

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Speaker 2: two hundred. His over six and a half strikeouts was

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Speaker 2: plus one oh six. So clearly the books thought that

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Speaker 2: six was the number for Nick Pivetta. What did Nick

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Speaker 2: Pivetta end with against the Marlins?

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Speaker 1: Six?

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Speaker 2: He had two batters in the fifth inning. He had

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Speaker 2: about ninety five pitches, but he had two batters where

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Speaker 2: he was one in two and zero and two on

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Speaker 2: that if he had struck them out, we would have

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Speaker 2: cashed instead. He couldn't get out of the inning. The

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Speaker 2: Red Sox get out of the inning. I had the

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Speaker 2: Red Sox on the money line that cashed. I had

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Speaker 2: the Sons minus five yesterday that cash, but the Bruins lose.

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Speaker 2: I had them on the puck line Nope. And I

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Speaker 2: did that first period under one and a half goals.

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Speaker 2: They score a goal two minutes in and then with

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Speaker 2: one minute left to go in the period, we could

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Speaker 2: not survive. And we couldn't get out of the first

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Speaker 2: period with a one nothing lead for the Bruins. Instead

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Speaker 2: it's a one to one game, and we lost that

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Speaker 2: wager as well. So two and two there, I go

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Speaker 2: two and one on my half unit bets and I

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Speaker 2: go zero and two on prop bets. So because of

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Speaker 2: that reason, prop betting right now now baseball is different,

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Speaker 2: but in the playoffs, betting on props is really difficult.

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Speaker 2: So there are two NBA games in two NHL games,

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Speaker 2: so I've got bets on all four of those games

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Speaker 2: going here tonight, and I'm just gonna bet sides here

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Speaker 2: tonight today. And I'm a little bit scared of it,

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Speaker 2: to be quite honest, because sometimes this is really good

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Speaker 2: or sometimes it's really bad. So I'm a little bit

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Speaker 2: concerned about what I'm.

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Speaker 1: About to do here today.

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Speaker 2: But it's a Tuesday, so if I fall f out

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Speaker 2: of my face, I'll have a chance to kind of

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Speaker 2: rebound for the week and whatnot. And I'm not going

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Speaker 2: to do player props today, so I've got kind of

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Speaker 2: a crazy easy week coming up, and so because of

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Speaker 2: that reason, I'm going to try to maybe not do

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Speaker 2: many player props because I've got the four hour radio show,

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Speaker 2: and then like on Tuesday, I'm tied up all afternoon.

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Speaker 2: On Wednesday, I'm tied up all afternoon. On Thursday, I'm

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Speaker 2: tied type up all afternoon, and Friday I get a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a reprieve, but not really. So it's

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Speaker 2: kind of a nuts a nuts week for me. So

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Speaker 2: I may not once I get out of the radio show,

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Speaker 2: I may have tons of times to do the prop

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Speaker 2: and the research and whatnot. So that's why I'm probably

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Speaker 2: gonna be a little bit late on the props this week.

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Speaker 2: But we'll see. I did not remember and did not

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Speaker 2: have the time today to do the discord bet conversation.

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Speaker 2: So normally there's a discord bet coming here on Tuesday,

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Speaker 2: there's not. I need to find a time on Tuesday afternoon,

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Speaker 2: and it's I haven't really figured.

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Speaker 1: It out yet.

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Speaker 2: I think I can do it at four o'clock Pacific,

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Speaker 2: seven o'clock Eastern. I think I've got an alarm on

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Speaker 2: my phone. I'm going to try to get it all

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Speaker 2: done and talk to you guys for twenty minutes or

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Speaker 2: so to get these things up for a Wednesday. So

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Speaker 2: I don't want to go too long because Friday is

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Speaker 2: the parlay.

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Speaker 1: And I don't want to go too deep.

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Speaker 2: So I'm gonna try my best today to get us together,

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Speaker 2: to have the conversation, to take picks and plays and

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Speaker 2: whatnot for you guys to recommend stuff for the discord bet.

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Speaker 2: So I do apologize there should have been a discord

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Speaker 2: bet here today. There's not because I couldn't have time.

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Speaker 2: I didn't have time and it couldn't get it done unfortunately.

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Speaker 2: So I do have four bets though, two NBA and

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Speaker 2: two NHL to get to here coming up today. But

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Speaker 2: let me tell you about the person who won the

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Speaker 2: Shaquille O'Neill signed jersey. It's in Canada. It's in Ontario.

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Speaker 2: It's in Alliston, Ontario. John, in Alliston, Ontario, you have

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Speaker 2: won the autographed shaquilll O'Neil jersey. I can tell you

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Speaker 2: that the Canadians winning things does not go over well.

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Speaker 2: I love you guys listening. I love you guys in

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel. It's awesome. But I can tell you

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Speaker 2: how that's gonna go over. It's gonna go over like

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Speaker 2: a lead balloon here with people when they find out

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Speaker 2: that the Schech jersey was won by somebody from Canada,

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Speaker 2: But congrats, I got to figure out how to mail

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Speaker 2: it to you. I don't really know how to do that.

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Speaker 2: I've got the thing here in my office. I got

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Speaker 2: to mail it to you, but you'll get it at

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Speaker 2: some point very soon. You'll get the autograph Shaquille Neil

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Speaker 2: Jersey for me, and I'll said Betting Pros and Pristine Auction.

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Speaker 1: And so this month it's the Yannis Onto.

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Speaker 2: Takoupo autographed basketball that is up for grabs. If you've

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Speaker 2: not left a review yet, go and do it now

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Speaker 2: Apple or Stitcher, screenshot, go and drop it off Bettingpros,

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Speaker 2: dot Com, slash Juice.

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Speaker 1: Fill out the form and you're in. If you've already

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Speaker 1: done it.

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Speaker 2: You're already in for our giveaway during the month of June,

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Speaker 2: which will be a Yannis Onto to Coupo autographed basketball.

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Speaker 2: So John and Ontario look out for your package arriving

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Speaker 2: at some point and then your future from Betting Pros

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Speaker 2: and myself with the autograph Shaquille or Neil Jersey. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's talk NBA basketball first, then we'll talk hockey. Let's

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Speaker 2: start with Atlanta in Philadelphia. You guys know how I

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Speaker 2: feel about it. I like them a lot. Okay, I'm

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Speaker 2: a little bit concerned about Philadelphia here in terms of

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Speaker 2: the over. I wanted at the over in this game,

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Speaker 2: but I'm concerned that Philly's defense is gonna ratchet up

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Speaker 2: big time. I'm also a little concerned about Joel Embiid's

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Speaker 2: knee after playing a lot of minutes in the first game,

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Speaker 2: what will look like in game number two? However, this

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Speaker 2: is I'm gonna follow a trend here from last night.

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Speaker 2: Home teams backs against the wall, either in a Game

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Speaker 2: one or a game two setting. In what happens in basketball,

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Speaker 2: you ride that home crowd. Philly's gonna be on fire tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia on the year is twenty four, fifteen to one

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Speaker 2: to the number. The number is five. Joel Embiid is playing.

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Speaker 2: Something tells me this is gonna be a double digit

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Speaker 2: win for Philadelphia.

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Speaker 1: I think Atlanta going home.

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Speaker 2: Like Atlanta wins game one, Philly wins Game two, Atlanta

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Speaker 2: wins Game three, in Game four, Philadelphia wins Game five.

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Speaker 2: If Atlanta wins Game six, that's how I see this

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Speaker 2: series going over. Okay, And for that reason, I think

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Speaker 2: this is the game Philadelphia gets, and I think they

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Speaker 2: get it kind of easily. I think embeed in Simmons

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Speaker 2: and Harris. I think that they they locked down Atlanta,

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Speaker 2: and I don't think Bogdanovich is going to shoot the

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Speaker 2: way he's shot in game one. I think you'll see

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Speaker 2: some defensive adjustments. I think Doc Rivers is a very

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Speaker 2: good defensive coach. I think Philadelphia will lock down defensively.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Atlanta shoots the ball that well tonight.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna lay the five points here at Philadelphia. Very

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Speaker 2: much a chalk play, very much a public play. I

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Speaker 2: just think Philadelphia gets it done.

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Speaker 1: Okay.

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Speaker 2: I think Philly, as long as Joel Embiid can play

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Speaker 2: and play the way he played in Game one, I

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Speaker 2: don't need thirty points out of him. I just need

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Speaker 2: the minutes. I need the shots. I need the influence

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Speaker 2: on the game that he had. He can score twenty

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Speaker 2: five and that's fine, but I need him to be

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Speaker 2: on the floor for a while. By all accounts, he's okay.

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Speaker 2: By all accounts, he should be good to go. Oh

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Speaker 2: and yeah, he's playing. It's just pain management. Basically, there's

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Speaker 2: no structural damage.

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Speaker 1: I guess to the knee.

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Speaker 2: It's a slightly tor meniscus, but it's more about pain

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Speaker 2: and shooting the knee up and then dealing with the

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Speaker 2: next day. It probably becomes a bigger problem later in

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Speaker 2: the series, but I.

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Speaker 1: Don't think right now.

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Speaker 2: Philadelphia minus five laying it with Atlanta tonight in Game

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Speaker 2: two of the best of seven series. Second NBA game,

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Speaker 2: we're talking about the Clippers in the Utah Jazz. How

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Speaker 2: can anybody pick the Clippers right now? Okay, the Clippers

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Speaker 2: are a complete mess. Utah is one of the best

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Speaker 2: teams in the NBA. At home against the spread, twenty

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Speaker 2: five and fourteen this year. Now, the Clippers were twenty

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Speaker 2: one and seventeen and one against the number. On the road,

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Speaker 2: They've covered their last two games. In fact, they're four

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Speaker 2: and one over their last five against the number. Utah

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Speaker 2: four and one over their last five. They've covered their

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Speaker 2: last four games, all against Memphis. They've been sitting, they've

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Speaker 2: been waiting. This is going to be a rocking atmosphere

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Speaker 2: for Utah. The Clippers are coming in.

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Speaker 1: Utah.

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Speaker 2: Fans believe that they get past the La Clippers here.

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Speaker 2: The Utah Jazz are going to the NBA Finals, which

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Speaker 2: is what the bet. I've got so I'm hoping that happens.

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Speaker 2: Utah versus Phoenix could be an incredible Western Conference final.

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Speaker 2: I hope we see it. I think Utah would win

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Speaker 2: that series. But look out for Chris Paul. I mean,

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Speaker 2: Utah is gonna have to be healthy, and they got

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Speaker 2: to keep that backcourt healthy. But I mean there's so

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Speaker 2: many cool things to break down if we get Utah

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Speaker 2: versus versus LA. The line is three and a half.

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Speaker 2: I think that line's too short. I don't trust these

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Speaker 2: Clippers at all.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we don't know which team's going to show up.

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Speaker 2: I mean the team that had their backs against the

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Speaker 2: wall and they won by fifteen in Game seven, or

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Speaker 2: the team that lost, you know, as seven and a

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Speaker 2: half point favorites, lost by five at home to Dallas,

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Speaker 2: or the team that lost in Game one by ten,

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Speaker 2: or the team that lost in Game two by six.

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Speaker 2: Don't know what to make of the Clippers. Not gonna

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Speaker 2: trust them. I am going to trust Utah at home

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Speaker 2: in one of the best home environments in the end

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Speaker 2: and one of the best home records against the spread

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Speaker 2: in the NBA, with a Clipper team coming in with

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Speaker 2: a buzzsaw waiting for him, Utah is going to be

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Speaker 2: fired up. I would be stunned if this game goes

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Speaker 2: to the LA Clippers. This is all Utah and game

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Speaker 2: number one. To me, I wouldn't hate to play on

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Speaker 2: the under in this game, but I'm just going to

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Speaker 2: lay the three and a half here, Utah three and

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Speaker 2: a half. Lay it at home against the Clippers last night.

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Speaker 2: It was home team, home team, blowout and cover. I

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Speaker 2: don't think it's going to be blowout, but I do

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Speaker 2: think home team wins and covers both games coming up

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Speaker 2: here tonight for a Tuesday. Those are the two plays

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Speaker 2: in the NBA, the two plays coming at you for

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Speaker 2: the NHL. Let's start with the Lightning and the Hurricanes.

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Speaker 2: All right, So this series has been pretty interesting. Game one,

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Speaker 2: two to one Lightning in Carolina. Game two, two to

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Speaker 2: one Lightning in Carolina. Game three in Tampa three two

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Speaker 2: overtime win for the Hurricanes. Game four and come back

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Speaker 2: with a six to four win. So we've already seen

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Speaker 2: that the Lightning can score and win games on the road.

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Speaker 2: They took games one and two. This Game five is

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Speaker 2: back in Carolina. You know they're gonna be buzzing around,

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Speaker 2: but down three to one, you know, that in the

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Speaker 2: back of their mind. There's just something going on with Carolina.

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Speaker 2: They just aren't good enough. Vascalski is so darn good,

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Speaker 2: you just have you know, Brandon Point is playing so well,

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Speaker 2: Stampcoas and company. I just I'm just gonna lay the

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Speaker 2: mis one twenty here. I think Tampa ends the series.

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Speaker 2: I think eventually just the better team. I mean, maybe

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Speaker 2: Carolina wins and forces a Game six. That's possible, but

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Speaker 2: I just think there's too much firepower for Tampa, and

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Speaker 2: if Carolina wants to play tight like they did in

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Speaker 2: Game one, in Game two, they just can't stop Tampa

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Speaker 2: from scoring. Like it's Tampa's gonna wind up with more goals.

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Speaker 2: So they you know, they went up tempo in Game four,

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Speaker 2: changed it up, opened it up, and they lost six

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Speaker 2: to four. So when they go tight, they lose two

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Speaker 2: to one. When they go wide open, they lose six

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Speaker 2: to four. This is the defending champs. They're just too good.

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Speaker 2: The environment's going to be crazy. I'm just taking Tampa

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Speaker 2: to win this game. I just think that a better,

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Speaker 2: better hockey team. I don't think it matters about on

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Speaker 2: the road and the home crowd. I just think we've

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Speaker 2: seen that Tampa is just the better hockey team, and

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Speaker 2: Tampa is going to win this game. I'm laying the

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Speaker 2: mines one twenty and I'm going with Tampa over the

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Speaker 2: Carolin Hurricanes. And for the fourth play the Vegas Golden

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Speaker 2: Knights and the Colourable Avalanche. I will have a personal

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Speaker 2: play on the under. All right, under five and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'll have a personal play on it. But I don't

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Speaker 2: want to go completely chalk here and give you three favorites,

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Speaker 2: and it's really boring, all right, the number is too

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Speaker 2: good to pass up for the Vegas Golden Knights plus

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Speaker 2: one thirty plus one forty, somewhere in that range.

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Speaker 1: If you look at.

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Speaker 2: Expected goals, Vegas dominating. If you look at high risk,

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Speaker 2: high danger opportunities, Vegas dominating. Vegas knew in Game two

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Speaker 2: that they had a chance to take one and steal one,

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Speaker 2: and they missed it. They came back in Game three

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Speaker 2: and they won the game.

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Speaker 1: Three to two. Then they knew they could beat Colorado.

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Speaker 2: In Game four, Vegas wins five to one, and you

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Speaker 2: start to see them believe they can beat and knock

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Speaker 2: out Colorado. The Avalanche are on their heels. They're asking

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Speaker 2: their goaltender to do too much, and this is going

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Speaker 2: to go down as either one of the most brilliant

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Speaker 2: moves in postseason history. If Vegas goes on to win

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Speaker 2: the Stanley Cup. The fact that they gave Marc Andre

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Speaker 2: Florey four days of rest in the middle of the

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Speaker 2: postseason and they punted on Game one. If Vegas comes

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Speaker 2: back and wins this series, boy boy, boy, could that

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Speaker 2: be remarkable. Vegas is dominating puck possession. Vegas is dominating

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Speaker 2: really every facet of this series right now. They should

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Speaker 2: have won Game two, they won Game three, they won

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Speaker 2: Game four. Vegas will win Game five. I don't care

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Speaker 2: about the home stats.

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Speaker 1: I get it.

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Speaker 2: Colorado's been great during the regular season, four and two

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Speaker 2: in games. If you look at the games played at Colorado,

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Speaker 2: the Vegas Golden Knights won three nothing at Colorado.

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Speaker 1: They won three to.

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Speaker 2: Two at Colorado in the regular season. They've won there.

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Speaker 2: They should have won Game two in the postseason. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I know the avalanche of two and zero at home,

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Speaker 2: and I know the atmosphere is going to be rocking,

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Speaker 2: But I really think that the Knights have figured out

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Speaker 2: how to neutralize what Colorado.

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Speaker 1: Tries to do.

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Speaker 2: Take away their speed, stop their transition game, and if

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Speaker 2: you stay out of the penalty box, you can beat Colorado.

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Speaker 2: That's the key. Stay out of the penalty box and

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Speaker 2: you beat Colorado. Give me the Vegas gold Knights. Give

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Speaker 2: me the plus money.

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Speaker 1: Okay, plus one thirty is what I laid.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to get a worse number than you guys

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Speaker 2: because I'm here in Vegas, so I get worse numbers

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Speaker 2: when it comes to the Golden Knights. Plus one forty

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Speaker 2: plus one fifty. I'm taking Vegas here. I think Vegas

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Speaker 2: is winning this series. I thought so at the beginning

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Speaker 2: of the season. I thought so at the beginning of

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Speaker 2: this series. We have that bet going with Vegas to

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Speaker 2: win this series. We've got the bet on the Golden

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Speaker 2: Knights to win the Stanley Cup. I mean, there's just

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Speaker 2: a lot we've got riding here on Vegas. I'm not

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Speaker 2: getting off them now. I love the way that they're playing.

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Speaker 2: Can the Avalanche win this game? Of course they can.

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Speaker 2: But I think Vegas has a ton of confidence right now,

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Speaker 2: and I think Colorado was searching a little bit. They

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Speaker 2: hadn't been down by two goals at all during the season,

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Speaker 2: and I think they started to look ahead a little bit, thinking, oh,

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Speaker 2: this is going to be kind of an easy series.

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Speaker 2: And they got smacked in the mouth and things have changed,

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Speaker 2: and I want to see if the Avalanche respond. I'm

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Speaker 2: not so sure they're going.

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Speaker 1: To be able to.

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Speaker 2: Okay, this is just this is a huge game in

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Speaker 2: this series. I'm taking the plus money. Maybe the wrong bet,

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Speaker 2: but give me the plus money with Vegas at plus

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Speaker 2: one thirty on the money line to win Game five

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Speaker 2: of this series. So our four plays for you going

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Speaker 2: today again. I won't be doing player props today. That's

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Speaker 2: why I'm giving you four bets. Two in the NBA

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Speaker 2: Philly minus five, Utah minus three and a half, Lightning

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay NHL money line minus one twenty Vegas winning

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Speaker 2: over Colorado at plus one thirty, all for a half

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Speaker 2: a unit for plays for us here on a Tuesday's

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice. My name is Matt Perotiko. Follow me on

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Speaker 2: Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Every single morning it's the

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Speaker 2: Daily Juice podcast right here on Betting pros dot Com,

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Speaker 2: being brought to you by bet imgm