1 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,320 Speaker 1: Welcome one and all to the Hammer Territory Podcast. 2 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 2: My name is Sean Coleman. 3 00:00:25,720 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 3: Hope, wherever you are and where ever you are listening, 4 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,880 Speaker 3: you yes you, yes, you, your friends, your family, everybody 5 00:00:33,960 --> 00:00:36,520 Speaker 3: is doing well, Hope anybody listening to Everybody in Braves 6 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 3: Country had a great Thanksgiving. 7 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:40,640 Speaker 2: It's good to be back with you once again. 8 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:43,440 Speaker 1: Like I say this, it's even a bit better to 9 00:00:43,520 --> 00:00:45,279 Speaker 1: be back with one of the best when it comes 10 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,880 Speaker 1: to breaking down the Braves Good Friend podcast partner Stephen Tolbert. 11 00:00:48,920 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 2: Stephen, good to see you against sir. Always glad to 12 00:00:51,840 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: do these with you. 13 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 4: What's up, buddy, It's been a minute. We were just 14 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,160 Speaker 4: talking offline. It's been over a week since we've done 15 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 4: one of these together. And I say during the season 16 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,080 Speaker 4: that never happens. We do two or three a week, 17 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:06,479 Speaker 4: and so yeah, we obviously you know, the podcast took 18 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:08,440 Speaker 4: a little bit of a break for Thanksgiving. We had 19 00:01:08,440 --> 00:01:11,680 Speaker 4: the show with Scott and Carlos that ran I think 20 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 4: the day before Thanksgiving. Scott and Bright did a show 21 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 4: on Sunday. So yeah, we're jumping back in and not 22 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:21,120 Speaker 4: a moment too soon, because we got some we got 23 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:23,800 Speaker 4: some very interesting stuff. That dropped this morning, and I 24 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:26,039 Speaker 4: was tweeting about it earlier today, and it was the 25 00:01:26,080 --> 00:01:30,200 Speaker 4: buzz online all day to day people you know, throwing 26 00:01:30,240 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 4: out takes, throwing out trades, and so yeah, we're gonna 27 00:01:34,120 --> 00:01:37,960 Speaker 4: jump right into this. This Byron Buxton stuff that dropped 28 00:01:38,240 --> 00:01:39,520 Speaker 4: about ten am this morning. 29 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:42,560 Speaker 1: So let's let's give a bit, let's set the stage 30 00:01:42,560 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: a bit with a little bit of a timeline, you know, 31 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: so you go back to the twenty twenty five trade deadline, 32 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: and it was a bit of a boring one for 33 00:01:51,080 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 1: the Braves, but perhaps the most intriguing interesting news came out. 34 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: I believe it was Dan Hayes, who covers the athletic 35 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 1: for the Twins. He mentioned that he wrote a story 36 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:07,040 Speaker 1: about the fact that some teams came coming about Byron Buxton, 37 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: who has a full no trade clause with the Twins. 38 00:02:09,200 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 1: And this was in the midst of Byron Buxton having 39 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: one of the best seasons of his career, one of 40 00:02:13,760 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: the best healthiest seasons he's had in quite a while. 41 00:02:18,200 --> 00:02:20,120 Speaker 1: And he mentioned that the Braves and the Mets were 42 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,280 Speaker 1: two of the teams that really stood out as having 43 00:02:22,360 --> 00:02:27,400 Speaker 1: interest in Buxton. But he also pointed out Buxton loves Minnesota, 44 00:02:27,480 --> 00:02:31,000 Speaker 1: and it was very unlikely, almost seemed impossible that he 45 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 1: was going to wave his no trade clause, but he 46 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,800 Speaker 1: was at least intriguing to see that was a target 47 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:39,919 Speaker 1: for the Braves. So we come in too the off 48 00:02:39,960 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: season and we start to, you know, kind of speculate, 49 00:02:42,960 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: you know, Okay, could we revisit Byron Buxton. Braves coaching 50 00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: staff gets a big turnover. A couple of notable names 51 00:02:52,280 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 1: on the coaching staff have ties. 52 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 2: To Byron Buxton. 53 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,239 Speaker 1: Don't want to you know, blow that out of proportion 54 00:02:57,360 --> 00:02:59,960 Speaker 1: or anything, but just something notable. And then we started 55 00:03:00,160 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: to hear rumblings, you know, Byron Buxton could be a 56 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: bit more open to waving that no trade clause depending 57 00:03:05,080 --> 00:03:08,440 Speaker 1: on what the Twins do. And then today Jeff Passon 58 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 1: and Kyle McDaniel of ESPN released their top twenty five 59 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:16,280 Speaker 1: trade candidates and Byron Buxton is number five on the list. Now, 60 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,120 Speaker 1: the thing that stood out to me, Stephen was this 61 00:03:19,280 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 1: was number one Byron Buxton. The first thing Jeff Passon mentioned, 62 00:03:23,040 --> 00:03:25,640 Speaker 1: Byron Buxton would be willing to trade to waive his 63 00:03:25,760 --> 00:03:28,920 Speaker 1: no trade clause in the right situation, especially if the 64 00:03:28,960 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: Twins quote unquote, we're going to trade away some of 65 00:03:31,440 --> 00:03:34,160 Speaker 1: their headliners. We're going to continue to go into a 66 00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,320 Speaker 1: full rebuild. At that point, Buxton would be willing. 67 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 2: To waive his no trade clause. 68 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 1: But even more eye opening to me is that he 69 00:03:43,920 --> 00:03:48,520 Speaker 1: specifically mentioned or hinted at the Braves in his opening 70 00:03:48,600 --> 00:03:52,360 Speaker 1: sentence about Byron Buxton. And the only player of that 71 00:03:52,440 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 1: top twenty five list that the Braves are connected to 72 00:03:55,360 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 1: is Byron Buxton. And more importantly than anything, Jeff Passon 73 00:03:59,520 --> 00:04:01,760 Speaker 1: didn't go to the links he did with Buxton and 74 00:04:01,840 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: the Braves with any other player, any other team. That 75 00:04:05,920 --> 00:04:10,080 Speaker 1: tells me there's smoke, that tells me that it's understood 76 00:04:10,560 --> 00:04:13,640 Speaker 1: that this is just more than a pipe dream or 77 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 1: speculation or something like that they're likely is proof of 78 00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 1: real interest. And that's where the most intrigued comes from from, 79 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 1: the most intriguing support we've gotten so far in this offseason. 80 00:04:28,040 --> 00:04:32,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this is this is as smoky as 81 00:04:32,839 --> 00:04:36,280 Speaker 4: you get for the Braves. You know, we don't get 82 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:39,080 Speaker 4: a lot of this. You know, you get the random 83 00:04:39,200 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 4: Twitter user, you know, making up fake trades and people 84 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,880 Speaker 4: respond to that. But this is not that, This is 85 00:04:46,920 --> 00:04:50,039 Speaker 4: not like chop till you drop sixty nine seven seven 86 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 4: five seven six, coming up with a fake trade and 87 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 4: everybody responding to it. This is Jeff Passen pointing out 88 00:04:57,800 --> 00:05:03,080 Speaker 4: specifically that Byron Buxton would wave his no trade clause 89 00:05:03,120 --> 00:05:05,960 Speaker 4: to go to Atlanta, mentioning Atlanta in the first sentence 90 00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 4: of his little excerpt on Buxton. Buxton is a Georgia native. 91 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:13,280 Speaker 4: I think most people know that by now, on top 92 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:17,280 Speaker 4: of the fact that there was already smoke when the Athletic, 93 00:05:17,320 --> 00:05:19,280 Speaker 4: like you mentioned Dan Hayes of the Athletic, who covers 94 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:21,599 Speaker 4: The Twins for the Athletic right after the trade deadline 95 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 4: mentioned the Braves called the Twins about Byron Buxton, and 96 00:05:25,839 --> 00:05:31,719 Speaker 4: at the time Buxton gave a very kind of no 97 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 4: nonsense answer about I am not waving my no trade clause. 98 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,720 Speaker 4: People remember, like it was a very very loud and 99 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:43,719 Speaker 4: clear no, I'm not I love in Minnesota. I'm not 100 00:05:43,760 --> 00:05:46,159 Speaker 4: waving my no trade clause. And you know, when you 101 00:05:46,200 --> 00:05:49,480 Speaker 4: have a full no trade clause, that can really kind 102 00:05:49,520 --> 00:05:51,359 Speaker 4: of be the beginning and the end of the conversation. 103 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 4: If you have no interest in waving your no trade clause, 104 00:05:53,520 --> 00:05:55,800 Speaker 4: then that's it. That's, you know, there's nothing else to 105 00:05:55,839 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 4: talk about, and so in my brain that has always 106 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,640 Speaker 4: been the number one in him to a deal for 107 00:06:01,680 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 4: Barton Buckston is the fact that he doesn't want to 108 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:07,120 Speaker 4: leave Minnesota. That's what made today's news so notable and 109 00:06:07,200 --> 00:06:10,040 Speaker 4: so interesting, not only that he's willing to do it, 110 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 4: but that the Braves were directly connected by the number 111 00:06:13,400 --> 00:06:17,160 Speaker 4: one insider in the entire sport, Jeff Passon of ESPN, 112 00:06:17,640 --> 00:06:21,039 Speaker 4: who breaks more news and is more connected than anybody. 113 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:28,880 Speaker 4: So this is a fascinating, fascinating conversation. I you know, 114 00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 4: I tweeted this out at like ten a nine am 115 00:06:32,680 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 4: something like that, and all day I've just been watching 116 00:06:35,080 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 4: my mentions, just listening to the conversations people are having 117 00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:43,000 Speaker 4: about the pros of Byron Buckston, the cons of Byron Buckston, 118 00:06:43,360 --> 00:06:48,240 Speaker 4: how much they think it will cost, like and there's 119 00:06:48,320 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 4: some wild opinions. Some people have some really out of 120 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 4: left field opinion. We're gonna talk about it all. The 121 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 4: thing I want to start with, and we'll get to 122 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,640 Speaker 4: the we'll get to the injury stuff, and we'll get 123 00:06:58,680 --> 00:07:01,719 Speaker 4: to the cost. The thing I want to start with first, though, 124 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:05,120 Speaker 4: is that you do not you are not given the 125 00:07:05,160 --> 00:07:09,480 Speaker 4: opportunity to trade for a talent like Byron Buxton. Basically, ever, 126 00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 4: these guys do not get traded. This is the Ronald 127 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:15,160 Speaker 4: 'cuney junior of the Minnesota Twins. And just think, if 128 00:07:15,160 --> 00:07:17,720 Speaker 4: you're a Braves fan, how willing would you be to trade? 129 00:07:17,760 --> 00:07:20,440 Speaker 4: Would you be trading ronaldal cune junior at any point? 130 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 4: Is that? This is that level of talent. This is 131 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 4: like a Superstar five tool. Yes, there's injury concerns and 132 00:07:28,520 --> 00:07:31,320 Speaker 4: we'll get to those in a minute, but at the 133 00:07:31,440 --> 00:07:34,720 Speaker 4: very beginning of this conversation, I want to highlight this point. 134 00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,280 Speaker 4: You do not get the opportunity to trade for players 135 00:07:38,280 --> 00:07:43,840 Speaker 4: of this caliber. Basically, ever, guys like this don't get traded. 136 00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:48,280 Speaker 4: And if there is a real possibility that the Braves 137 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:52,000 Speaker 4: can pull this off, they need to be hyper aggressive 138 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 4: about it because this is the kind of impact bat 139 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 4: that the Braves desperately need in their lineup in my opinion. 140 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:00,920 Speaker 4: And then we've talked about it all offseason, we talked 141 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 4: about during the season. I thought, I think people are 142 00:08:03,440 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 4: glossing over the holes in the offense too much. I 143 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:09,640 Speaker 4: know the team needs pitching, I know the team needs bullpen. 144 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,920 Speaker 4: But in my opinion, what we've watched the last two 145 00:08:13,000 --> 00:08:18,000 Speaker 4: years when everyone's healthy is not good enough. And somewhere 146 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,600 Speaker 4: along the way, the offense has gotten kind of ignored 147 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:23,800 Speaker 4: in all of these conversations about what the Brave should 148 00:08:23,800 --> 00:08:25,640 Speaker 4: do this offseason, and I think the offense should be 149 00:08:25,680 --> 00:08:28,160 Speaker 4: much higher on the list. And Byron Buxton is a 150 00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:31,440 Speaker 4: type of hitter that changes your lineup. He is a 151 00:08:31,560 --> 00:08:34,960 Speaker 4: dynamic top of the order, middle of the order, wherever 152 00:08:35,000 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 4: you want to put him. Guy can hit forty homers. 153 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:39,560 Speaker 4: You know, he's just a monster. He's like a one 154 00:08:39,679 --> 00:08:42,360 Speaker 4: thirty WRC plus hitter. You do not get those guys. 155 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:47,200 Speaker 4: Those guys do not become available very often. And so yes, 156 00:08:47,240 --> 00:08:49,920 Speaker 4: we're gonna get into the injury stuff. We're definitely gonna 157 00:08:49,920 --> 00:08:52,360 Speaker 4: get into how much it's gonna cost, because some people 158 00:08:52,360 --> 00:08:56,680 Speaker 4: are way off on that. But at the top, the 159 00:08:56,720 --> 00:09:00,760 Speaker 4: headline is guys at his level don't get trip very often. 160 00:09:00,760 --> 00:09:03,280 Speaker 4: If you have a chance to do it, you need 161 00:09:03,320 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 4: to be. 162 00:09:03,480 --> 00:09:09,559 Speaker 1: Aggressive one thousand percent. And again I want to hit 163 00:09:09,679 --> 00:09:14,280 Speaker 1: on I don't think that it's talked about enough. When 164 00:09:14,320 --> 00:09:17,560 Speaker 1: you when you see a guy who just is so 165 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 1: purely naturally talented. Like we see what Ronald d'acuna Junior 166 00:09:23,720 --> 00:09:27,120 Speaker 1: does and how he steals as talented as he is 167 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:31,240 Speaker 1: despite the injuries that he has had, Byron Buxton is 168 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,760 Speaker 1: at that level like that needs to be said, despite 169 00:09:34,800 --> 00:09:38,160 Speaker 1: all the injuries that he has had. Steven Here's where 170 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 1: he was at the age of thirty one this past year, 171 00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 1: ninetieth percentile or above according to Baseball sabot and batting 172 00:09:47,559 --> 00:09:53,200 Speaker 1: run value. Batting that base running value, expected slugging average, 173 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:57,040 Speaker 1: exit velocity, barrel percentage, hard hit percentage. He was eighty 174 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:01,160 Speaker 1: eight percent on bat speed, one hundred percent centile in 175 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 1: sprint speed. You want to talk about top one percent 176 00:10:05,520 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 1: athlete that has played baseball in history, and even more 177 00:10:09,320 --> 00:10:13,079 Speaker 1: rare an athlete who can put it all into effective 178 00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 1: function as a baseball player. I'm not trying to say 179 00:10:16,320 --> 00:10:18,520 Speaker 1: that Byron Buckson is a top ten player of all time. 180 00:10:18,960 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 1: He is one of the ten most naturally talented offensive 181 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,320 Speaker 1: players position players we've seen, maybe in our generation, I 182 00:10:26,360 --> 00:10:30,160 Speaker 1: will go that far. He is on an unbelievable natural 183 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 1: talent and the fact that it is still on so 184 00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 1: much display right now despite how injured he's been in 185 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:40,600 Speaker 1: the recent past that's what is amazing. And I mentioned 186 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 1: all that to say this. I know Alexanthopolis can talk 187 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: about needing to fill the shortstop position. I know that 188 00:10:47,000 --> 00:10:48,959 Speaker 1: Alex and Thoppolis can talk about needing to get a 189 00:10:48,960 --> 00:10:52,720 Speaker 1: starting pitcher, the bullpen, all that different stuff. We saw 190 00:10:52,880 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: yesterday the Zip's projections come out for the Braves and 191 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:01,199 Speaker 1: they reflected what the simple truth, the unfortunate truth is 192 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:05,080 Speaker 1: over the past two years, injuries and underperformance have been 193 00:11:05,120 --> 00:11:08,240 Speaker 1: the two big things that have made us not get 194 00:11:08,280 --> 00:11:11,280 Speaker 1: to expectations the past two years. It's been injuries for 195 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 1: the pitching staff, it's been underperformance for the offense. So 196 00:11:15,440 --> 00:11:17,680 Speaker 1: Alex and Dopplas can talk about pitching all he wants, 197 00:11:17,720 --> 00:11:19,280 Speaker 1: and I think he adds a notable name to the 198 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:24,720 Speaker 1: pitching staff. The pitching staff needs depth, the offense needs 199 00:11:24,760 --> 00:11:28,080 Speaker 1: a difference maker, and that's why you get aggressive for 200 00:11:28,240 --> 00:11:33,520 Speaker 1: Byron Buxton, especially especially when you have a situation. I 201 00:11:33,559 --> 00:11:36,080 Speaker 1: know an outfield. Adding an outfielder may not seem like 202 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:40,200 Speaker 1: the most conventional idea for the Braves, but when you 203 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,439 Speaker 1: add that type of talent to an outfield that already 204 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:46,000 Speaker 1: could use an extra talent. 205 00:11:45,840 --> 00:11:49,079 Speaker 2: Like that to really give guys, the ability. 206 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,600 Speaker 1: To remain fresh, remain healthy. It really is a good 207 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:54,560 Speaker 1: situation and more than anything, for three years and forty 208 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,080 Speaker 1: five million, it's an excellent ad. You want to talk 209 00:11:58,080 --> 00:11:59,960 Speaker 1: about a difference maker, you're not going to have an 210 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,160 Speaker 1: opportunity to get a better one than Byron Buckston. 211 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, so let's go through the pros real quick. We'll 212 00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:08,959 Speaker 4: go through I promise we're gonna go through the cons. 213 00:12:09,000 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 4: We're gonna talk about the injuries. I know people will 214 00:12:11,240 --> 00:12:13,160 Speaker 4: want to talk about that, but let's go through the 215 00:12:13,160 --> 00:12:14,040 Speaker 4: pros real quick. 216 00:12:14,520 --> 00:12:15,160 Speaker 2: So, first and. 217 00:12:15,120 --> 00:12:19,440 Speaker 4: Foremost, Byron Buxton is a superstar player. We just covered 218 00:12:19,440 --> 00:12:27,559 Speaker 4: that MVP level hitter, runner, fielder. He's awesome. He can 219 00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,960 Speaker 4: play center field, all right, he can play center field. 220 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:35,000 Speaker 4: And this is important because assuming you still have Michael 221 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:37,840 Speaker 4: Harris on the team, assuming Michael Harris is not part 222 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,120 Speaker 4: of the return again, and we'll talk about the return 223 00:12:40,160 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 4: at the end of this segment, you would have Ronald 224 00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:46,920 Speaker 4: Counter Junior, Michael Harris, Jerks from Pro Far, and Byron 225 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 4: Buxton all in the same outfit. And people might think, well, 226 00:12:49,400 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 4: that's too many when you have the DH that's a 227 00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,239 Speaker 4: perfect amount. When you have a DH. That's the absolutely, 228 00:12:55,360 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 4: this is what I wanted the Braves to do. For 229 00:12:57,040 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 4: the last six months. We've talked about it. I've lost 230 00:12:59,559 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 4: count him times we talked about I want the Braves 231 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 4: to add a dynamic outfielder that can rotate left field, 232 00:13:05,760 --> 00:13:09,280 Speaker 4: right field, centerfield, and DH. So you'd have four outfielders 233 00:13:09,280 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 4: for four spots left field, right field, centerfield, and DH 234 00:13:12,320 --> 00:13:15,600 Speaker 4: and keep everybody healthy. And Byron Buckston included in that. 235 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:18,040 Speaker 4: There's nobody that the Braves need to try to keep 236 00:13:18,080 --> 00:13:20,520 Speaker 4: healthy more than Ronald Knnue Jr. And if you add 237 00:13:20,520 --> 00:13:23,560 Speaker 4: Byron Buckston to their team, there's no two players you 238 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:25,800 Speaker 4: need to try to keep healthy more than Ronald Kannue Junr. 239 00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:27,960 Speaker 4: And Byron Buckston. And the best way to do that 240 00:13:28,080 --> 00:13:31,040 Speaker 4: is to use the DH and rotate these players in 241 00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 4: and out of playing the field. That's even more important 242 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 4: because right now the Braves don't have a DH. Like 243 00:13:40,000 --> 00:13:43,240 Speaker 4: I know Sean Murphy and Trick Baldwin. That's kind of 244 00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,000 Speaker 4: considered one of DH wants the catcher, the other one 245 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:48,040 Speaker 4: will catch when the other one DH is But we 246 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 4: don't know what Sean Murphy is gonna be like next year. 247 00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:52,720 Speaker 4: The guy just had hip surgery. Also, he's been extremely 248 00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:56,200 Speaker 4: inconsistent with the bat. I would much rather have just 249 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 4: a normal two catcher setup where one of them sits 250 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:02,520 Speaker 4: and the other one catches and let the outfielders dh. 251 00:14:03,000 --> 00:14:05,040 Speaker 4: I think that's a much better use of that position 252 00:14:06,600 --> 00:14:08,200 Speaker 4: on the offensive side of the ball. And this is 253 00:14:08,200 --> 00:14:11,319 Speaker 4: what Sean was just talking about. What are you gonna 254 00:14:11,360 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 4: get from Ozzie Alby's next year? What are you gonna 255 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:17,520 Speaker 4: get from Michael Harris next year? Are they actually gonna 256 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:20,160 Speaker 4: go get a real shortstop or is Mauricio Debond gonna 257 00:14:20,160 --> 00:14:22,240 Speaker 4: be the shortstop. If that's the case, you know what 258 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 4: you're gonna get out a shortstop, which is nothing good, 259 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 4: at least offensively. What are you gonna get out of 260 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:30,360 Speaker 4: Austin Riley next year? We don't know. I have no idea. 261 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 4: This is gonna piss some people off, but I'm gonna 262 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 4: say it anyways. We don't know what we're gonna get 263 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 4: out of Drake Baldwin next year. There's been plenty of 264 00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:41,320 Speaker 4: guys who have awesome rookie years and then come in 265 00:14:41,520 --> 00:14:46,920 Speaker 4: year two and struggle. The term sophomore slump came from somewhere. 266 00:14:47,200 --> 00:14:50,560 Speaker 4: It's because it happens. Well, yeah, it happens all the time, 267 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,000 Speaker 4: where your rookie year is better than your sophomore year 268 00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 4: and you come back down to earth a little bit. 269 00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,080 Speaker 4: It would not, it should not stun anybody. If that 270 00:14:58,160 --> 00:15:00,440 Speaker 4: happens to Drake Baldwin next year, that does mean he's 271 00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:02,720 Speaker 4: a bad player. It's just now. It happens all the time. 272 00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:05,000 Speaker 4: The only two hitters on the team I am one 273 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:09,000 Speaker 4: hundred percent confident, if healthy, are awesome right now are 274 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 4: Ronald Lacuna Junior in medals. That's it. Those are the 275 00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,960 Speaker 4: only two players I am one hundred percent confident if 276 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 4: they're healthy, they're gonna hit. That's not enough. There's just 277 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:22,600 Speaker 4: too many questions. And so if you're talking about the 278 00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:25,720 Speaker 4: pros of Byron Buxton, the contract which you just mentioned, 279 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:29,400 Speaker 4: fifteen million dollars a year is dirt cheap for his talent, 280 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:33,320 Speaker 4: dirt cheap. That's crazy. Three years of team control. He 281 00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 4: can he can dh he can play left field, he 282 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,480 Speaker 4: can play center field, he could play right field. You know, 283 00:15:38,520 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 4: if it's a tough lefty on the mound, you want 284 00:15:40,080 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 4: to give Michael Harris a day off, you could have 285 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:46,040 Speaker 4: a Kunya Buxton and profar in the lineup and Sid Harris. 286 00:15:46,560 --> 00:15:49,920 Speaker 4: It's a beautiful setup. It's a it's an ideal setup 287 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:53,800 Speaker 4: in my opinion. And then you've added a superstar. You've 288 00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:57,440 Speaker 4: you've you've now allowed yourself to have Mauricio Dubon be 289 00:15:57,520 --> 00:16:01,360 Speaker 4: the shortstop because you added a superstar bat somewhere else 290 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,080 Speaker 4: in the lineup, right, it gives you more flexibility to 291 00:16:04,080 --> 00:16:06,960 Speaker 4: not maybe have a great shortstop because you added an 292 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 4: MVP level bat to the top. So yes, in the 293 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:13,520 Speaker 4: next set, we're gonna talk about the cons. I'm gonna 294 00:16:13,520 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 4: talk about the injuries, We're gonna talk about the cost, 295 00:16:15,840 --> 00:16:18,560 Speaker 4: but I want to highlight the pros first. Byron Buckson 296 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:22,160 Speaker 4: makes a ton of sense for this roster top to bottom, 297 00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 4: on defense, d H up and down the lineup help 298 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,560 Speaker 4: answering some unknowns about what the lineup is going to be. 299 00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 4: It answers a lot of questions. 300 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,840 Speaker 1: And here's the other big thing. Talent wise, he adds 301 00:16:40,880 --> 00:16:43,600 Speaker 1: more speed. You want to talk about a potential healthy 302 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 1: Ronald Cuna Junior and Byron Buckson at the top of 303 00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:46,760 Speaker 1: the order. 304 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,360 Speaker 4: That's crazy to think about that. Think about Ronald Coone 305 00:16:49,440 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 4: Junior and Barron Buckson as you're one and two. 306 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, that's crazy. 307 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, but again, in a vacuum, it makes a lot 308 00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:00,840 Speaker 1: of sense. But the real world, a league baseball, it 309 00:17:00,840 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 1: doesn't exist in a vacuum, and there are reasons why. 310 00:17:04,160 --> 00:17:07,919 Speaker 1: As awesome as it would be, and for that reason, 311 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: as aggressive as the brain should be to go make 312 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,919 Speaker 1: it happen, there also are some reasons to be a 313 00:17:12,920 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: bit cautious. We'll discuss that, the coms, the cults, the injuries, 314 00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:21,480 Speaker 1: and ideas of potentially expanding it beyond Yron Buckston. We'll 315 00:17:21,480 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 1: discuss that in just a moment after a word from 316 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:24,480 Speaker 1: our partners KP. 317 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:28,960 Speaker 5: The website is chubbiesshorts dot com. The brand is Chubbies, 318 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 5: but it's not just shorts. 319 00:17:31,840 --> 00:17:34,320 Speaker 6: Yeah, don't be fooled by the website's name. This is 320 00:17:34,359 --> 00:17:36,640 Speaker 6: a one stop shop for all things that I love. 321 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:42,320 Speaker 6: Swimming trunks, golf polos, and even flannels. It fits me perfectly. 322 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 6: One stop shop is the place to go. 323 00:17:44,160 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 2: Yes, sir KP. 324 00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:48,280 Speaker 5: I've been wearing their flannel overshirt. It's like my favorite 325 00:17:48,320 --> 00:17:51,800 Speaker 5: flannel and your softest sweater having a little baby. 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Just head to chubbies shorts dot 336 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 5: com and make sure to support the show by telling 337 00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:24,840 Speaker 5: them that Foul Territory sent you. 338 00:18:27,640 --> 00:18:28,080 Speaker 2: So Steven. 339 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,920 Speaker 1: When we talk about Byron Buxton again, the the the 340 00:18:32,480 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: underlying metrics, the the you know, the overall production, you 341 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:39,280 Speaker 1: know when he's healthy, just the highlights that you see, 342 00:18:39,560 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 1: you can clearly see why he is such a special talent. 343 00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 1: But the reason why a lot of people may not 344 00:18:45,520 --> 00:18:48,480 Speaker 1: recognize that is because the simple truth is you just 345 00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,479 Speaker 1: don't see it for long stretches. It's rare to see that. 346 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:56,520 Speaker 1: This past season, Byron Buxton had a career high in 347 00:18:56,520 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: plate appearances with five hundred and forty two played appearances, 348 00:19:01,359 --> 00:19:04,000 Speaker 1: here's the issue with that. Not only is it only 349 00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:07,640 Speaker 1: the second time that he's had over five hundred played 350 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:10,040 Speaker 1: appearances in his career, he's played in the league for 351 00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,359 Speaker 1: a decade, there's only been two years when he's had 352 00:19:12,640 --> 00:19:17,040 Speaker 1: five hundred plate appearances. The other problem is is that 353 00:19:17,119 --> 00:19:21,439 Speaker 1: the first one happened in twenty seventeen. Between twenty seventeen 354 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 1: and twenty and twenty four, twenty eighteen twenty twenty four, 355 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:30,399 Speaker 1: Byron Buckston didn't clear four hundred plate appearances. Injuries, both 356 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:34,119 Speaker 1: of the freakish kind and both of the concerning kind, 357 00:19:34,600 --> 00:19:38,160 Speaker 1: have kind of defined Byron Buckston's career. And no matter 358 00:19:38,160 --> 00:19:42,000 Speaker 1: how talented he is, nothing beats the ability to be available, 359 00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 1: and that clearly is a question mark, as it should be, 360 00:19:44,840 --> 00:19:46,440 Speaker 1: especially as he gets into his thirties. 361 00:19:49,280 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, so you can't have the Barron Buston conversation without 362 00:19:51,720 --> 00:19:56,639 Speaker 4: talking about injuries and games played in miss games. And 363 00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 4: the undeniable fact is that over the last five years 364 00:20:02,800 --> 00:20:08,639 Speaker 4: Byron Buckson has averaged averaged about ninety nine games per season, 365 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:14,000 Speaker 4: so and again that's average. He had multiple seasons with 366 00:20:14,080 --> 00:20:17,479 Speaker 4: less than that. Now, the good news is last season, 367 00:20:17,560 --> 00:20:20,400 Speaker 4: like you just mentioned, he did you know. I think 368 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 4: it was like one hundred and thirty games. He got 369 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:25,800 Speaker 4: to five hundred plus player appearances, still put up a 370 00:20:25,840 --> 00:20:28,240 Speaker 4: five win season. And that is the one good thing 371 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:30,679 Speaker 4: about Bucks. And he is so good that even in 372 00:20:30,720 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 4: these seasons where he's only playing ninety one hundred games, 373 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 4: he's still putting up like four win seasons because that's 374 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 4: how talented he is. He doesn't need one hundred and 375 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,879 Speaker 4: sixty two games to put up a four win season. 376 00:20:42,000 --> 00:20:43,520 Speaker 4: And if you ever got one hundred and sixty two 377 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:45,439 Speaker 4: games out of him, he'd probably put up like a 378 00:20:45,440 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 4: seven win season. So he is incredibly productive when he's 379 00:20:49,080 --> 00:20:50,760 Speaker 4: on the field. He's just not on the field as 380 00:20:50,840 --> 00:20:52,679 Speaker 4: much as you need him. And this is why I 381 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 4: think the Braves specifically, I think why he is good 382 00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:58,760 Speaker 4: for the Braves and why the Braves would be good 383 00:20:58,760 --> 00:21:02,280 Speaker 4: for him because the Braves have three outfielders already. You 384 00:21:02,320 --> 00:21:06,400 Speaker 4: can rotate him at DH. This is critical for Acunya, 385 00:21:06,760 --> 00:21:11,120 Speaker 4: it's critical for Buston, it's critical for Harrison Profar. Let 386 00:21:11,119 --> 00:21:15,040 Speaker 4: these guys rest their legs, you know, two or three 387 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,400 Speaker 4: times a week. Michael Harris is a good enough defensive 388 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,000 Speaker 4: center fielder where you don't have to have. The Twins 389 00:21:21,080 --> 00:21:23,520 Speaker 4: had to have Barron Buckston in center field every time 390 00:21:23,520 --> 00:21:25,679 Speaker 4: he was on a field, because that's how good he is. 391 00:21:26,200 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 4: There was one season where hedged I remember, I think 392 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:31,359 Speaker 4: it was like twenty twenty three, where they wanted to 393 00:21:31,400 --> 00:21:34,000 Speaker 4: try to keep him healthy, But other than that, he's 394 00:21:34,000 --> 00:21:36,040 Speaker 4: pretty much always in center field because that's how good 395 00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 4: he is. It's really hard to keep his glove off 396 00:21:38,359 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 4: the field, especially when you're the Twins and you don't 397 00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,040 Speaker 4: have a ton of talent anyways, Well, the Braves have 398 00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:45,959 Speaker 4: plenty of The Blaves have plenty of defensive talent in centerfield. 399 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:48,400 Speaker 4: They don't have to play Barron Buxton in center field 400 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 4: the way the Twins had to. They also have you know, 401 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:54,480 Speaker 4: we have the DH in the National League. You can 402 00:21:54,880 --> 00:21:57,959 Speaker 4: rotate this DH spot and try to keep him healthy 403 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:01,920 Speaker 4: because the I mean, the god honest truth is he's 404 00:22:02,000 --> 00:22:07,280 Speaker 4: never been healthy enough to be a consistent player. I 405 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:10,520 Speaker 4: actually it's actually incredible how productive he's been when he 406 00:22:10,560 --> 00:22:13,199 Speaker 4: is in the lineup based on how much time he's missed, 407 00:22:13,560 --> 00:22:15,400 Speaker 4: because I don't know how he does. I mean, usually 408 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,760 Speaker 4: when guys miss as much time as he's missed, they 409 00:22:18,800 --> 00:22:21,000 Speaker 4: come back and they're rusty, they're not quite the same level. 410 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:22,560 Speaker 4: It takes a while to get going. We've seen that 411 00:22:22,600 --> 00:22:25,440 Speaker 4: with Akunya a couple of times. That doesn't happen to him. 412 00:22:25,440 --> 00:22:28,440 Speaker 4: He comes back the next day and he is all 413 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:31,320 Speaker 4: star Byron busted again. It's just a credit to how 414 00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:35,120 Speaker 4: unbelievably naturally talented this kid is. But yes, the injuries 415 00:22:35,119 --> 00:22:37,440 Speaker 4: are real, and you have to factor that in to 416 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:40,359 Speaker 4: any sort of trade. You know, anaych sort of trade 417 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,239 Speaker 4: cost is that there's a very good chance he's going 418 00:22:44,280 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 4: to play one hundred games. Now, those are going to 419 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:50,560 Speaker 4: be some insanely productive one hundred games, but it might 420 00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,720 Speaker 4: just be one hundred games. And that does factor into 421 00:22:53,760 --> 00:22:55,320 Speaker 4: the costs that you pay. And we're going to talk 422 00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 4: about cost here in a minute. But you have to 423 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 4: be honest with yourself and listen. Outfielders do not get 424 00:23:03,320 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 4: more healthy as they get older. They get less healthy. 425 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,200 Speaker 4: Outfield is not a you know, Barnbucks and I think 426 00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,679 Speaker 4: is thirty one about to be I think next year 427 00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,119 Speaker 4: is his age thirty two season. That is not a 428 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:17,120 Speaker 4: time when outfielders get healthier. That is usually a time 429 00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 4: when legs start to not be quite what they were 430 00:23:19,800 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 4: father time starts catching up. The fact that he was 431 00:23:22,080 --> 00:23:24,760 Speaker 4: still ninety ninth in sprint speed last year is absurd. 432 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 4: That's a really good sign that his athleticism has not 433 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:32,280 Speaker 4: gone anywhere. You know, it's not quite like a Kunya 434 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 4: where he's had two major knee reconstructions and so you 435 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:38,879 Speaker 4: worry about the athleticism long term. That's not Bucks, and 436 00:23:38,920 --> 00:23:42,520 Speaker 4: Bucks has always had. You know, It's been different types 437 00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:44,520 Speaker 4: of inergies with him. But the injuries have to be 438 00:23:44,560 --> 00:23:46,119 Speaker 4: accounted for it, and you have to be accounted for 439 00:23:46,200 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 4: when you talk about the trade package. They have to 440 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,879 Speaker 4: be accounted for when you talk about the lineup. Again, 441 00:23:50,920 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 4: I think the Braves need to be hyper aggressive with 442 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,520 Speaker 4: the DH and rotating these guys around to try to 443 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:58,160 Speaker 4: keep as many guys healthy as possible. But the injuries 444 00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,720 Speaker 4: matter and they have to be factored in. 445 00:24:01,320 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 2: Absolutely. 446 00:24:02,240 --> 00:24:05,399 Speaker 1: And again, you know, it's that one hundred to one 447 00:24:05,480 --> 00:24:07,919 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty games is likely what he would play 448 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,520 Speaker 1: if he was a member of your team, But with 449 00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:12,240 Speaker 1: the rotation that the Braves would have in place in 450 00:24:12,280 --> 00:24:15,760 Speaker 1: their outfield, it's also about what one hundred to one 451 00:24:15,800 --> 00:24:18,000 Speaker 1: hundred and twenty games that he plays and if he 452 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,879 Speaker 1: and Akoonie are both healthy going into the playoffs, that 453 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:25,760 Speaker 1: that is a championship worthy combination potentially, And that is 454 00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:29,639 Speaker 1: a reason why the Braves should be aggressive. But another 455 00:24:29,680 --> 00:24:31,479 Speaker 1: reason why, perhaps the biggest reason why I of all 456 00:24:31,480 --> 00:24:34,080 Speaker 1: the Braves should be aggressive, is that we can talk 457 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 1: about the injuries, we can talk about the history of 458 00:24:36,840 --> 00:24:39,479 Speaker 1: the injuries. You can look at the Twins situation and 459 00:24:39,520 --> 00:24:41,480 Speaker 1: think that they may be willing to want to get 460 00:24:41,560 --> 00:24:45,760 Speaker 1: off of his money. I want to make something very clear, 461 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:50,919 Speaker 1: if the Braves were to pursue Byron Buxton, it is 462 00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 1: going to hurt when it comes to the cost they 463 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:55,919 Speaker 1: are going to have to pay, just because of his 464 00:24:56,000 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: injury history, because of the long term money that he's owed, 465 00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:02,119 Speaker 1: because of the Twins situation. Yes, that those are contributing 466 00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: factors to why they may look to trade him. That 467 00:25:04,720 --> 00:25:07,359 Speaker 1: doesn't drive down the cost though to where it would 468 00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: not cost a lot. I think the Brave should be 469 00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:14,520 Speaker 1: willing to pay it. But it's going to exceed what 470 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,280 Speaker 1: many think it's going to be the type of payment 471 00:25:17,320 --> 00:25:21,439 Speaker 1: in terms of prospects that really will show up in 472 00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,120 Speaker 1: terms of the quality that will remain in the minor 473 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 1: league system. If they were to make the trade. 474 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:32,440 Speaker 4: Yeah. So one of the things that I've watched today 475 00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:35,520 Speaker 4: in mine mentions and other people's mentioned, you know, this 476 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:39,119 Speaker 4: conversation has been raging all day since passing Drop, this 477 00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:42,800 Speaker 4: is everybody's got a fake trade, right, everybody's got a 478 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:46,760 Speaker 4: fake trade idea of what it's going to cost. And 479 00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 4: I think almost universally, every fake trade, I mean, fake 480 00:25:50,920 --> 00:25:53,480 Speaker 4: trades are always terrible, but every fake trade I've seen 481 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 4: doesn't quite get that Byron Buckson is going to cost 482 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:03,520 Speaker 4: a ton. First of all, he's controlled for three more years. 483 00:26:03,520 --> 00:26:05,679 Speaker 4: This is not a rental in any way, shape or 484 00:26:05,680 --> 00:26:08,200 Speaker 4: for him. He has got three years of team control, 485 00:26:08,480 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 4: which is massive. That is tremendously valuable on the trade market. Second, 486 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,280 Speaker 4: like we've already talked about, he is a a one 487 00:26:15,359 --> 00:26:19,000 Speaker 4: superstar level talent, Ronald Cuno junior level talent, and these 488 00:26:19,040 --> 00:26:21,560 Speaker 4: guys do not come available very often. So there's also 489 00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:25,800 Speaker 4: almost a scarcity that gets tacked onto the value of 490 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,400 Speaker 4: just the odds and the chances that you're ever gonna 491 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:30,800 Speaker 4: be able to trade for somebody else like him is 492 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:35,280 Speaker 4: you know, it's not gonna come around again. And then third, 493 00:26:36,600 --> 00:26:40,440 Speaker 4: he makes fifteen million dollars a year, which is dirt cheap. 494 00:26:40,960 --> 00:26:43,360 Speaker 4: He's got I think it's three years and forty five 495 00:26:43,440 --> 00:26:45,760 Speaker 4: million dollars left on his contract. He signed a big 496 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:50,199 Speaker 4: contract extension with the Twins. I think twenty twenty one 497 00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:52,000 Speaker 4: or twenty twenty two, I can't remember what it was, 498 00:26:52,080 --> 00:26:55,160 Speaker 4: but he's he's about halfway through it now. But he's 499 00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,080 Speaker 4: got three years and four that's nothing. That's how much 500 00:26:58,160 --> 00:27:00,800 Speaker 4: Jersey Profile mix. And I got news for you. Barron 501 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:02,600 Speaker 4: Buckston is a hell a lot better in Jerkson Profar, 502 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:05,919 Speaker 4: but they make the same amount of money. So the 503 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,920 Speaker 4: trade cost is going to hurt. And I want Bradce 504 00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 4: fans to hear that. You know, trading Bryce Elder and 505 00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 4: Nacho Alvarez is not gonna get you, Barron Buxton. I've 506 00:27:21,119 --> 00:27:24,240 Speaker 4: seen too much of that trade and Hayden Harris and 507 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:28,439 Speaker 4: Nacho Alvarez and pick a nineteen year old from a 508 00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:32,080 Speaker 4: ball is not gonna get you, Barron Buxton. You need 509 00:27:32,119 --> 00:27:34,879 Speaker 4: to go to the very top of the Braves prospect list. 510 00:27:35,400 --> 00:27:38,040 Speaker 4: Like if I'm the Twins, the first name I asked for, 511 00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:40,879 Speaker 4: like I'm gonna ask for Drake Baldwin. The Braid's not 512 00:27:40,880 --> 00:27:43,119 Speaker 4: gonna say yes to that. But the next name I 513 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 4: asked for is gonna be Herston Waltrup. I want a 514 00:27:46,359 --> 00:27:48,280 Speaker 4: guy that I think might be able to start at 515 00:27:48,280 --> 00:27:51,479 Speaker 4: the top of my rotation for the next six seven years. 516 00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:55,240 Speaker 4: The next guy I'm asking for is cam Cameniddi or 517 00:27:55,280 --> 00:27:58,520 Speaker 4: maybe even a J. Smith Schalver. I'm asking for a 518 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 4: ton for like your top three prospects, and the Braves 519 00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:07,000 Speaker 4: don't have the best farm system in the world. Their 520 00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:11,280 Speaker 4: top three prospects are not exactly the same as another 521 00:28:11,320 --> 00:28:14,280 Speaker 4: team that maybe has a top ten farm system. Giving up, 522 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 4: you know, two of their top prospects and then another 523 00:28:16,640 --> 00:28:20,359 Speaker 4: one lower down, it's going to hurt. And I just 524 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:24,280 Speaker 4: what I don't want to see. What's gonna annoy me 525 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 4: is if I see all these people clamoring for a 526 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 4: Byron Buckston trade and then get mad at the team 527 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,480 Speaker 4: when they do it because it costs a lot, It's 528 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:35,000 Speaker 4: gonna hurt. It's gonna cost a lot. Now we're gonna 529 00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,320 Speaker 4: talk about the draft in a way the Braves can 530 00:28:37,359 --> 00:28:41,240 Speaker 4: potentially replenish some of those prospects at the end of 531 00:28:41,280 --> 00:28:44,880 Speaker 4: this show. But first and foremost, what I want people 532 00:28:44,920 --> 00:28:47,760 Speaker 4: to hear from this is that Byron trading for Byron 533 00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:51,560 Speaker 4: Buston is extremely expensive. He is the type of process 534 00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,560 Speaker 4: He's the type of player that never gets traded. He's 535 00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,360 Speaker 4: a type of talent that doesn't get traded. He's on 536 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 4: a contract that is dirt cheap. It's one of the 537 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 4: best players in Baseball's got three years of team control 538 00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:05,200 Speaker 4: that is crazy expensive. It is going to hurt. It 539 00:29:05,240 --> 00:29:07,560 Speaker 4: is going to be names you do not want to trade. 540 00:29:08,120 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 4: So just understand that. Understand that going in, and it 541 00:29:12,360 --> 00:29:14,640 Speaker 4: might it might be to the point where it's prohibibly, 542 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 4: prohibitively expensive. It might be the thing that stops the 543 00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 4: Brads from doing it. But we would be disingenuous if 544 00:29:22,600 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 4: we did not come on the show and say training 545 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,280 Speaker 4: for Byerbusten is going to be incredibly expensive. 546 00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,800 Speaker 1: And the other important factor into this is, as much 547 00:29:31,840 --> 00:29:34,680 Speaker 1: as we want to talk about how much this makes 548 00:29:34,680 --> 00:29:37,440 Speaker 1: sense for the Braves, and you know how he the 549 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 1: Braves may be the preference of Byron Buckston for different reasons. 550 00:29:41,840 --> 00:29:44,040 Speaker 1: I know that he has a full no trade clause, 551 00:29:44,560 --> 00:29:47,840 Speaker 1: but Jeff Passing hinted at it, and Byron Buxton probably 552 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 1: would have him sent up to do it. The Braves 553 00:29:49,800 --> 00:29:52,080 Speaker 1: are not the only team that he would raise his 554 00:29:52,160 --> 00:29:54,960 Speaker 1: no trade cause to go to. That's the one, But 555 00:29:55,000 --> 00:29:59,600 Speaker 1: more importantly, there probably are other teams out there, And 556 00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:01,800 Speaker 1: I'll go as far as saying, like the New York Mets, 557 00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:05,280 Speaker 1: for instance, who probably make a bit more sense for 558 00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 1: Minnesota to talk to than the Braves, because those teams 559 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:12,360 Speaker 1: probably would be able to offer a bit higher prospect 560 00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:15,480 Speaker 1: package just because of the quality that's in their system 561 00:30:15,680 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 1: that I. 562 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 4: Think the Mets have the number one farm system in basically. 563 00:30:19,800 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 1: And it's heavily filled with Position Blair prospects that is 564 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:29,000 Speaker 1: very realistic like that that could easily happen, and from 565 00:30:29,040 --> 00:30:32,960 Speaker 1: Minnesota's perspective, that's what they're going to value. As we 566 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:37,400 Speaker 1: mentioned going back to twenty fifteen, Byron Buxton was Minnesota's 567 00:30:37,440 --> 00:30:42,760 Speaker 1: Ronald Acuna JUNI. They're looking to rebuild potentially, So if 568 00:30:42,760 --> 00:30:46,200 Speaker 1: they're looking to do that, their best way to get 569 00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:48,920 Speaker 1: a successful start to the rebuild is hitting a home 570 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,840 Speaker 1: run with this Byron Buxton trade. And the Braves are 571 00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:54,720 Speaker 1: not in as good position as other teams to be 572 00:30:54,800 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 1: able to offer that. 573 00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:57,719 Speaker 4: Yeah, and that's a good This is not a salary. 574 00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:00,800 Speaker 4: They're not clearing salary with the Byron bucks and trade. 575 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:02,560 Speaker 4: Like some of the other deals they did at the deadline, 576 00:31:02,560 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 4: they were clearing salary. Byron Buckson for his talent level 577 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,400 Speaker 4: is underpaid by a ton. This is not a some 578 00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:12,880 Speaker 4: albatross contract that and I saw that too. We're like, well, 579 00:31:12,920 --> 00:31:14,720 Speaker 4: the Twins are trying to get off his money. His 580 00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,400 Speaker 4: money is a asset. 581 00:31:16,440 --> 00:31:19,240 Speaker 1: It is not a liability, especially coming after last season. 582 00:31:19,360 --> 00:31:19,520 Speaker 2: Yeah. 583 00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:23,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, he is so far in the green in terms 584 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:27,520 Speaker 4: of positive trade value and surplus trade value. His contract, 585 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:30,040 Speaker 4: in no way, shape or form is some albatross hanging 586 00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:33,239 Speaker 4: around their neck that they need to clear. People need 587 00:31:33,280 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 4: to get that out of their head. He makes nothing 588 00:31:35,560 --> 00:31:38,680 Speaker 4: relative to his talent level, So it's like it's just 589 00:31:38,760 --> 00:31:41,960 Speaker 4: like a Cunya, Just like Acunya he make. Acunya makes 590 00:31:41,960 --> 00:31:45,240 Speaker 4: seventeen million dollars next year. Buckston makes fifteen million dollars 591 00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 4: next year, and they're both like MVP level players. It's 592 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,800 Speaker 4: exactly like Ronald Acuna Junior. So this is not the 593 00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:54,400 Speaker 4: Twins needing to dump money and will be willing to 594 00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,040 Speaker 4: take whatever package this is if we're going to trade 595 00:31:57,080 --> 00:31:59,840 Speaker 4: our franchise, which is what Byron Buckson is we need 596 00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:03,080 Speaker 4: a monster haul in return that our fans see and 597 00:32:03,120 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 4: they're like, Okay, we're gonna rebuild, but at least we're 598 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:08,160 Speaker 4: kicking it off with a hell of a trade. And 599 00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:11,200 Speaker 4: that's like, that's the that's the mindset as a Braves fan, 600 00:32:11,200 --> 00:32:13,000 Speaker 4: you got to get into in terms of what this 601 00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 4: is gonna cost, and. 602 00:32:14,520 --> 00:32:17,720 Speaker 1: The Braves should be willing to trade that level of package. 603 00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:20,480 Speaker 1: But again it also needs to be understood what the 604 00:32:20,480 --> 00:32:23,760 Speaker 1: Braves can offer as that type of package in their 605 00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:26,160 Speaker 1: terms may not be to the level that other teams 606 00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:28,640 Speaker 1: could and that's going to be a big factor for 607 00:32:28,680 --> 00:32:31,080 Speaker 1: the twins. And for that being said, I know that 608 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:35,200 Speaker 1: you know Joe Ryan, Pablo Lopez, there are a couple 609 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,480 Speaker 1: other twins, and you know we have been talking about 610 00:32:37,480 --> 00:32:40,400 Speaker 1: a starting pitcher as well. Just to be candid, the 611 00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:44,160 Speaker 1: Braves do not have the assets needed to go after 612 00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,800 Speaker 1: a package deal of Byron Buxton and one of Joe 613 00:32:47,840 --> 00:32:51,280 Speaker 1: Ryan and Pablo Lopez to be able to get that 614 00:32:51,320 --> 00:32:55,120 Speaker 1: deal done. The reason why I say that Minnesota, if 615 00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:58,280 Speaker 1: you go to them and you ask for Byron Buckston 616 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:01,040 Speaker 1: plus one of Joe Ryan and Pablo Lopez, they're going 617 00:33:01,080 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: to come back and say, we need Spencer Swellenbach or 618 00:33:03,680 --> 00:33:07,280 Speaker 1: Drake Baldwin to be the centerpiece of the deal along 619 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,960 Speaker 1: with two of Hirst and Waldrip cam Kemmenedtti and Jr. 620 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:14,360 Speaker 1: Richie and the Twins are right in asking for that. 621 00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:17,320 Speaker 1: If they're trading that, do that level of duo in 622 00:33:17,360 --> 00:33:20,120 Speaker 1: low Pez and Ryan plus Buxton. I know I throw 623 00:33:20,160 --> 00:33:22,360 Speaker 1: a lot of names out there. I know that I'm speculating, 624 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:25,280 Speaker 1: you know, maybe to more than people may like. The 625 00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:28,240 Speaker 1: Braves do not have the goods or the Braves do 626 00:33:28,360 --> 00:33:31,000 Speaker 1: not do The Braves are not going to be willing 627 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,160 Speaker 1: to pay the level of goods that they'll need to 628 00:33:33,200 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 1: pay to land Byron Buxton plus a Pablo Lopez or 629 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:39,640 Speaker 1: a Joe Ryan Byron Bucks. If the Braves trade for 630 00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 1: Byron Buxton, that's going to be their it move. That's 631 00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:45,280 Speaker 1: going to be They're all in big move, not only 632 00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:48,120 Speaker 1: of this offseason, but of this window. I think that 633 00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,600 Speaker 1: needs to be made clear. It's worth doing, But expanding 634 00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,320 Speaker 1: on it just doesn't make sense. 635 00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:58,840 Speaker 4: Well, yeah, package package deals like that are very rare. Anyways, 636 00:33:58,920 --> 00:34:02,800 Speaker 4: if you're the selling, you can almost always get more 637 00:34:03,520 --> 00:34:07,280 Speaker 4: splitting the players up into separate deals because when you 638 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:10,640 Speaker 4: put them together, the values get kind of jumbled together 639 00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:14,800 Speaker 4: and you're not next to not necessarily maximizing either guy. 640 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:16,960 Speaker 4: And so teams don't typically do it when they have 641 00:34:17,120 --> 00:34:20,560 Speaker 4: multiple you know, anytime a team is fire selling like 642 00:34:20,600 --> 00:34:23,640 Speaker 4: the Twins just did at the deadline, they didn't combine 643 00:34:23,640 --> 00:34:26,360 Speaker 4: a bunch of players. They made seven different trades to 644 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,239 Speaker 4: you know, different teams. That's what you do if the 645 00:34:29,640 --> 00:34:32,560 Speaker 4: and I still think the Twins are gonna trade, their 646 00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,040 Speaker 4: GM came out at the beginning of the GM meetings 647 00:34:35,080 --> 00:34:38,680 Speaker 4: and said that they're gonna build around Pablo Lopez and 648 00:34:38,719 --> 00:34:42,120 Speaker 4: Joe Ryan. That doesn't make any sip. You don't rebuild. 649 00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:45,120 Speaker 4: You don't build around thirty year old pitchers. So that's 650 00:34:45,200 --> 00:34:48,920 Speaker 4: just that's is just the GM talking to avoid saying, yeah, 651 00:34:48,960 --> 00:34:50,960 Speaker 4: we're gonna sell these guys. I still think both guys 652 00:34:51,000 --> 00:34:53,279 Speaker 4: are gonna get traded. But yeah, if you're starting for 653 00:34:53,280 --> 00:34:55,560 Speaker 4: Byron Buckston, you're already giving up a chunk of your 654 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:58,120 Speaker 4: farm system. And the Braves, like we've talked about, they've 655 00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:00,000 Speaker 4: got good players at the top of their farm system, 656 00:35:00,280 --> 00:35:02,640 Speaker 4: but they don't have the depth. You know, I remember 657 00:35:02,760 --> 00:35:05,000 Speaker 4: last year the like when the Red Sox traded for 658 00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,680 Speaker 4: Garrett Crochet. The Red Sox made this massive trade for 659 00:35:09,719 --> 00:35:13,320 Speaker 4: Garrett Crochet and at the end still had Roman Anthony 660 00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:16,200 Speaker 4: and Marcelo Meyer and a bunch of other guys that 661 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,680 Speaker 4: are awesome prospects in their farm system. After they traded 662 00:35:19,960 --> 00:35:22,560 Speaker 4: for Garrett Crochet. Well, the Braves don't have that. The 663 00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:25,520 Speaker 4: Braves can't make a massive trade like that and still 664 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 4: have a bunch of you know, they don't have that level. Yes, 665 00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:32,879 Speaker 4: they can make one of these trades by combining enough 666 00:35:32,960 --> 00:35:36,279 Speaker 4: big time names, but that's kind of their limit right now. 667 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:38,920 Speaker 4: So yes, I do not see any sort of like 668 00:35:39,040 --> 00:35:42,280 Speaker 4: package deal. Those don't really happen that much anyways. Teams 669 00:35:42,320 --> 00:35:44,280 Speaker 4: just get more by splitting players up. So I would 670 00:35:44,280 --> 00:35:47,279 Speaker 4: not expect public I wouldn't expect. I honestly would not 671 00:35:47,360 --> 00:35:50,600 Speaker 4: expect the Byron Buxton deal to happen. Most trades don't happen. 672 00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:54,879 Speaker 4: I certainly wouldn't wouldn't expect some sort of package deal. 673 00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:58,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think that passon was correct and giving 674 00:35:58,160 --> 00:36:00,279 Speaker 1: it about a thirty five percent chance. 675 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:02,359 Speaker 4: And that might and that might be high. 676 00:36:02,680 --> 00:36:05,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think that's that's very fair because again, the 677 00:36:05,760 --> 00:36:07,840 Speaker 1: twins that they can always keep it, you know that 678 00:36:07,920 --> 00:36:08,960 Speaker 1: they can us. 679 00:36:09,080 --> 00:36:11,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, there's nothing forcing them to trade it. 680 00:36:11,360 --> 00:36:13,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it makes sense coming off the healthiest 681 00:36:13,680 --> 00:36:16,120 Speaker 1: season he's had in his career, plus the best season 682 00:36:16,160 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 1: he's had in his career. Arguably that does make sense. 683 00:36:18,719 --> 00:36:21,600 Speaker 1: But they don't have to trade him. But in terms 684 00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:23,360 Speaker 1: of the Braids, one other you know, point that I 685 00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:25,040 Speaker 1: think in terms of the off season that I think 686 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:28,000 Speaker 1: is worth making. Again, you're if you trade for Biban 687 00:36:28,040 --> 00:36:30,680 Speaker 1: Bucks and again that clearly is your big move of 688 00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:34,920 Speaker 1: the off season, as it should be. But but I 689 00:36:35,080 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 1: do think that there will be some significance in we 690 00:36:39,160 --> 00:36:42,960 Speaker 1: know the Braids want to add a starter, probably just 691 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:44,880 Speaker 1: as much as they want to add a bat. And 692 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,560 Speaker 1: even though I think going after Buckston should be where 693 00:36:47,560 --> 00:36:50,960 Speaker 1: they're their most aggressive, I think that them adding a 694 00:36:51,000 --> 00:36:54,640 Speaker 1: picture will probably happen first before a Buston deal does. 695 00:36:55,320 --> 00:36:57,680 Speaker 1: I think the level at which they go to to 696 00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,839 Speaker 1: add a picture couldn't give us a bit of an 697 00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:04,400 Speaker 1: encation how serious or how potentially likely a Buckston move is. 698 00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:06,920 Speaker 1: For instance, if the Braves were to go out and 699 00:37:07,000 --> 00:37:09,960 Speaker 1: sign you know, some type of picture like say it's 700 00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:11,960 Speaker 1: a Chris Bassett or somebody like that you know to 701 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:14,279 Speaker 1: a two year deal. You know, in the twenty five 702 00:37:14,280 --> 00:37:17,239 Speaker 1: to thirty million dollars deal, that's not that expensive of 703 00:37:17,239 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 1: a contract. You've not traded to way any prospects, and 704 00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:23,400 Speaker 1: you're not going out to get a headline guy. Agive, 705 00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 1: the Braves need reliable depth for their pitching rotation. If 706 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:28,080 Speaker 1: the Braves were to go to that level to go 707 00:37:28,080 --> 00:37:31,160 Speaker 1: get a starting pitcher, then you really could see, Okay, 708 00:37:31,200 --> 00:37:34,120 Speaker 1: they've added their starter, but they still have all that 709 00:37:34,160 --> 00:37:37,080 Speaker 1: they need to go make a Buston deal happen. Now, 710 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:39,920 Speaker 1: if the Braves were to go out and trade for 711 00:37:40,160 --> 00:37:43,480 Speaker 1: a what you would consider a frontline starter, I think 712 00:37:43,520 --> 00:37:46,800 Speaker 1: that makes a Buckston deal less likely. So in terms 713 00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,440 Speaker 1: of the timeline and kind of how to give an 714 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,480 Speaker 1: idea of how likely a bucks And deal were to happen, 715 00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 1: I don't think that the Buxton deal happened soon. I 716 00:37:55,200 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 1: think the Braves probably add their arm before they were 717 00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,680 Speaker 1: to pursue a Bucks sty. But I do think the 718 00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:03,560 Speaker 1: level to which they go and how they go about 719 00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:07,080 Speaker 1: adding that arm could give an indication of how serious 720 00:38:07,120 --> 00:38:08,800 Speaker 1: they are of getting Byron Buckston. 721 00:38:10,239 --> 00:38:12,560 Speaker 4: No, it's a good point. I mean, if they yeah, 722 00:38:12,600 --> 00:38:15,920 Speaker 4: if they If they call the Mariners and say, hey, 723 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:19,359 Speaker 4: we're gonna we want Lewis Castillo, you know what kind 724 00:38:19,360 --> 00:38:22,160 Speaker 4: of prospect package you're gonna need for him, then yeah, 725 00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:25,880 Speaker 4: that definitely decreases the chances you're gonna have enough left 726 00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,520 Speaker 4: to be And this is we don't frame it like 727 00:38:29,560 --> 00:38:31,080 Speaker 4: this a lot, but we need to frame it like 728 00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:35,400 Speaker 4: this more. You have to have the best offer for 729 00:38:35,480 --> 00:38:39,279 Speaker 4: Byron Buxton out of however many teams are bidding on him. 730 00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:44,239 Speaker 4: Your prospect package has to be the best. So what 731 00:38:44,360 --> 00:38:46,040 Speaker 4: are the odds that you can trade for a guy 732 00:38:46,080 --> 00:38:48,719 Speaker 4: like Luis Castillo or pick your favorite you know, pitch 733 00:38:48,760 --> 00:38:52,319 Speaker 4: er target and still have the best trade offer for 734 00:38:52,360 --> 00:38:55,279 Speaker 4: Byron Buckston. It's it's not high. It's probably one or 735 00:38:55,320 --> 00:38:58,240 Speaker 4: the other. But like you said, if they go and 736 00:38:58,280 --> 00:39:03,720 Speaker 4: sign Merril Kelly for you know, a reasonable contract sixteen 737 00:39:03,760 --> 00:39:06,280 Speaker 4: seventeen million dollars, don't have to give up the draft pick, 738 00:39:06,840 --> 00:39:08,960 Speaker 4: which again we're gonna talk about here in a second, 739 00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:11,839 Speaker 4: and don't give up any prospects obviously for a free 740 00:39:11,880 --> 00:39:14,960 Speaker 4: agent signing, then hell yeah, I mean you could certainly 741 00:39:14,960 --> 00:39:19,000 Speaker 4: see like big green light, they're clearly not gonna do 742 00:39:19,080 --> 00:39:21,480 Speaker 4: their big move on the rotation. Maybe their big move 743 00:39:21,560 --> 00:39:23,799 Speaker 4: is gonna be Byron Buckston. So you're right, it does. 744 00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:26,520 Speaker 4: It is an indication. You know, if they went out 745 00:39:26,520 --> 00:39:28,040 Speaker 4: and signed Ranger. You know, if we got the blue 746 00:39:28,040 --> 00:39:30,320 Speaker 4: box tomorrow that they went out and signed Ranger Suarez 747 00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:33,440 Speaker 4: and gave up the draft pick to do it, I 748 00:39:33,440 --> 00:39:35,239 Speaker 4: would probably be in the middle be like, well, they 749 00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 4: could technically still go get Bucksing because they haven't given 750 00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:39,719 Speaker 4: up any prospects yet, but that would be that would 751 00:39:39,719 --> 00:39:42,160 Speaker 4: be at the high end of their payroll because Suarez 752 00:39:42,239 --> 00:39:45,920 Speaker 4: is probably gonna cost twenty five million dollars and Buxton 753 00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:48,480 Speaker 4: would cost another fifteen. So then you get into like 754 00:39:48,560 --> 00:39:50,680 Speaker 4: luxury tax stuff, which're not gonna get into on this 755 00:39:50,719 --> 00:39:54,640 Speaker 4: show until it actually happens. Not gonna do hypothetical luxury 756 00:39:54,680 --> 00:39:57,640 Speaker 4: tax stuff. It gets way too complicated. So yeah, you're right, 757 00:39:57,680 --> 00:40:00,000 Speaker 4: I mean, what what they do there? And Scott made 758 00:40:00,120 --> 00:40:02,840 Speaker 4: this point in our DMS today, the picture market is 759 00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:06,640 Speaker 4: moving like we've seen multiple big time pictures. You know. 760 00:40:06,719 --> 00:40:09,640 Speaker 4: Obviously Dylan Ceese and the Sunny Gray Tray happen. There's 761 00:40:09,640 --> 00:40:11,680 Speaker 4: a couple more in the last couple of days. I 762 00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:15,600 Speaker 4: know Helsley signed, who's the guy from the KBO that 763 00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,440 Speaker 4: just signed his name just left my head haunts. Yeah 764 00:40:19,520 --> 00:40:21,279 Speaker 4: with the Blue Jays. Yeah, just got thirty million from 765 00:40:21,280 --> 00:40:24,480 Speaker 4: the Blue Jays. So the picture market is moving. We 766 00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:26,960 Speaker 4: could definitely see that move happen first. But I do 767 00:40:27,040 --> 00:40:31,120 Speaker 4: agree with you. I think you could certainly tell by 768 00:40:31,120 --> 00:40:34,400 Speaker 4: what they do on that side of the ball. You 769 00:40:34,440 --> 00:40:38,399 Speaker 4: could you could probably draw a line to does that 770 00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:40,520 Speaker 4: increase or decrease the likelihood of Buxton. 771 00:40:43,480 --> 00:40:46,640 Speaker 1: Absolutely, it's gonna be fascinating to watch at the end. 772 00:40:46,719 --> 00:40:49,680 Speaker 1: You know, We've talked about it from many different perspectives, 773 00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:51,200 Speaker 1: but I feel that me and Steven are on the 774 00:40:51,239 --> 00:40:54,520 Speaker 1: same page, and Stephen correct me if I'm wrong. If 775 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:56,680 Speaker 1: there is an off season to go get it done, 776 00:40:56,960 --> 00:40:59,080 Speaker 1: you have so many reasons to go get it done. 777 00:40:59,239 --> 00:41:01,480 Speaker 2: The team needs to, the offense needs it. 778 00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:03,680 Speaker 1: You know, you want to win now. In this window, 779 00:41:04,040 --> 00:41:07,440 Speaker 1: you have the ability to eventually replenish what you trade away. 780 00:41:07,880 --> 00:41:10,359 Speaker 1: With the fact that you have a pretty stacked opportunity 781 00:41:10,560 --> 00:41:13,600 Speaker 1: to make this a very good draft to add to your. 782 00:41:13,440 --> 00:41:15,799 Speaker 2: System, go get it done. 783 00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:19,040 Speaker 1: That doesn't mean that you need to go crazy in 784 00:41:19,120 --> 00:41:21,520 Speaker 1: getting it done. The Braves need to pay the high 785 00:41:21,520 --> 00:41:24,120 Speaker 1: cost that it's going to take. But if the opportunity 786 00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:26,920 Speaker 1: is there, get it done, get it squared away. It 787 00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:31,600 Speaker 1: seems like that there again, isn't just speculation, you know, 788 00:41:31,680 --> 00:41:34,720 Speaker 1: this isn't speculation. This seems to be more smoke than anything. 789 00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,160 Speaker 1: It seems like that there's general interest in wanting to 790 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:41,320 Speaker 1: get it done. If you see the finish line within 791 00:41:42,040 --> 00:41:45,520 Speaker 1: breach across it. Again, if it makes sense, but we 792 00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,000 Speaker 1: be willing to make it make sense, I think is 793 00:41:48,040 --> 00:41:50,279 Speaker 1: the best way to put it. But again we talk 794 00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:53,520 Speaker 1: about why the Braves should do it. It's because, as 795 00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,880 Speaker 1: we mentioned before, the Braves are really set up well 796 00:41:57,280 --> 00:41:59,799 Speaker 1: to add a lot of talent from the twenty twenty 797 00:41:59,800 --> 00:42:02,040 Speaker 1: six draft, which is expected to be one of the 798 00:42:02,040 --> 00:42:04,960 Speaker 1: best ones we've seen in a while. The opportunities there 799 00:42:04,960 --> 00:42:06,760 Speaker 1: for the Braves to add a lot of good talent 800 00:42:07,320 --> 00:42:09,919 Speaker 1: to their pharma system from the twenty sixth draft. More 801 00:42:10,000 --> 00:42:14,160 Speaker 1: on that in just a moment. So, Stephen, let's talk 802 00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:18,440 Speaker 1: about the two and twenty six draft, and most importantly, 803 00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:22,480 Speaker 1: let's talk about a week from now December ninth. Now, 804 00:42:22,960 --> 00:42:25,840 Speaker 1: when you I know that many people who listen to 805 00:42:25,840 --> 00:42:28,680 Speaker 1: this podcast as Braves fans, they're Hawks fans. We may 806 00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:31,120 Speaker 1: have some Hornets fans. We may have some Grizzlies fans, 807 00:42:31,239 --> 00:42:33,480 Speaker 1: We may have some Pelicans fans, so on and so forth. 808 00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:36,760 Speaker 1: I mentioned all those teams because in recent years those 809 00:42:36,920 --> 00:42:40,040 Speaker 1: team fans of those teams have been able to be 810 00:42:40,120 --> 00:42:43,920 Speaker 1: excited in the NBA Draft. Well, the Major League Baseball 811 00:42:43,920 --> 00:42:46,319 Speaker 1: now has a version of that's probably not to the 812 00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:50,000 Speaker 1: same level as the NBA Draft, honestly, but they do have. 813 00:42:50,200 --> 00:42:54,640 Speaker 1: The two thousand and twenty six draft lottery next Tuesday, 814 00:42:54,719 --> 00:42:57,160 Speaker 1: December Night, not sure at the time at the moment, 815 00:42:57,640 --> 00:43:00,360 Speaker 1: but it is noteworthy because the Braves are right middle 816 00:43:00,520 --> 00:43:04,320 Speaker 1: in terms of getting the potential to have a top pick. Now, 817 00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:07,200 Speaker 1: the ability for them to get an overall top pick 818 00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:10,080 Speaker 1: is pretty low, but they have I believe a forty 819 00:43:10,120 --> 00:43:14,000 Speaker 1: five percent chance to get a top six pick, and 820 00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:16,480 Speaker 1: I think like a seventy five percent chance. 821 00:43:16,400 --> 00:43:17,840 Speaker 2: To get a top eight pick. 822 00:43:18,200 --> 00:43:21,239 Speaker 1: This is a noteworthy night because the storyline of the 823 00:43:21,239 --> 00:43:23,920 Speaker 1: twenty sixth draft, that is that in terms of the 824 00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:27,080 Speaker 1: top ten of the twenty sixth draft, the position player 825 00:43:27,200 --> 00:43:29,600 Speaker 1: depth in this draft is one of the best in 826 00:43:29,680 --> 00:43:32,440 Speaker 1: terms of quality that we've seen in recent history. So 827 00:43:32,520 --> 00:43:35,240 Speaker 1: next Tuesday, December ninth. It's going to be an important 828 00:43:35,320 --> 00:43:37,399 Speaker 1: day that will tell us where the Braves will pick 829 00:43:37,400 --> 00:43:40,840 Speaker 1: in the first round, and that could really, really, really 830 00:43:41,320 --> 00:43:43,440 Speaker 1: be a good night for the Braves in terms of 831 00:43:43,480 --> 00:43:47,200 Speaker 1: again adding quality to their minor league system. 832 00:43:47,840 --> 00:43:52,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, so it came out today, I think it was today. 833 00:43:52,080 --> 00:43:55,600 Speaker 4: I think it was this morning that the comp or 834 00:43:55,719 --> 00:43:59,800 Speaker 4: the pick that the Braves got for Drake Baldwin winning 835 00:44:00,320 --> 00:44:03,320 Speaker 4: Rookie of the Year was gonna be the twenty sixth 836 00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:07,799 Speaker 4: pick in the draft, which I think has like three 837 00:44:07,880 --> 00:44:09,520 Speaker 4: and a half million dollars tied to it in terms 838 00:44:09,560 --> 00:44:12,040 Speaker 4: of its pool. And then on top of that, what 839 00:44:12,239 --> 00:44:15,520 Speaker 4: Sean was just talking about is they're gonna get a 840 00:44:15,520 --> 00:44:18,399 Speaker 4: top ten pick of some most likely get a top 841 00:44:18,440 --> 00:44:21,359 Speaker 4: ten pick. I think they're guaranteed to get a top 842 00:44:21,400 --> 00:44:23,000 Speaker 4: ten pick. I think they have like a seventy five 843 00:44:23,040 --> 00:44:24,759 Speaker 4: or eighty percent chance to get a top eight pick, 844 00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:26,640 Speaker 4: and then I think you would say like forty five 845 00:44:26,640 --> 00:44:30,920 Speaker 4: percent to get a top six. So it could be 846 00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:33,880 Speaker 4: a massive night for the Braves. And it's this this 847 00:44:33,920 --> 00:44:38,560 Speaker 4: does tie to the Buxton conversation because, like we just said, 848 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:40,680 Speaker 4: to trade for Buckston, you're gonna have to deplete your 849 00:44:40,680 --> 00:44:43,719 Speaker 4: farm system a little bit at the top, not a 850 00:44:43,719 --> 00:44:46,759 Speaker 4: little bit, a significant amount at the top to satisfy 851 00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:49,560 Speaker 4: whatever Minnesota is gonna ask for, because they're gonna be 852 00:44:49,560 --> 00:44:52,960 Speaker 4: able to ask that from a lot of teams. Well, 853 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:57,839 Speaker 4: you can then turn around in next July's draft and 854 00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:59,920 Speaker 4: replenish a lot of that talent because you're gonna have 855 00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:03,480 Speaker 4: I mean, let's be honest in terms of like ability 856 00:45:03,520 --> 00:45:06,359 Speaker 4: to add impact players. This is probably the bravest, most 857 00:45:06,360 --> 00:45:11,279 Speaker 4: significant draft in a decade since the rebuild. I think 858 00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:14,120 Speaker 4: that's fair. I don't think that's hyperbole. And you add 859 00:45:14,120 --> 00:45:15,480 Speaker 4: the fact that not only are they going to have 860 00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:17,520 Speaker 4: a top ten pick, but they've got this extra what 861 00:45:17,600 --> 00:45:21,120 Speaker 4: is effectively a first round pick, all of this draft 862 00:45:21,200 --> 00:45:24,399 Speaker 4: pool money, and obviously if they sign a qualified free agent, 863 00:45:24,440 --> 00:45:26,239 Speaker 4: they would lose that pick, so we need to mention that. 864 00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:29,359 Speaker 4: But if they don't sign a qualified free agent, if 865 00:45:29,360 --> 00:45:32,520 Speaker 4: they's instead trade for somebody like Byron Buxton as their 866 00:45:32,560 --> 00:45:35,680 Speaker 4: big move and keep that pick, they can add a 867 00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:38,960 Speaker 4: ton of talent, a ton of talent in the draft, 868 00:45:39,200 --> 00:45:43,160 Speaker 4: including like a clear headline whatever you take. You know, 869 00:45:43,239 --> 00:45:44,800 Speaker 4: let's say they get the fifth pick in the draft, 870 00:45:44,840 --> 00:45:47,640 Speaker 4: whatever it is. We'll know in a week. The draft 871 00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:49,560 Speaker 4: lotteries on Tuesday, in the middle of the Winter meetings. 872 00:45:49,640 --> 00:45:53,320 Speaker 4: Winter meetings start on Sunday. Let's say they take the 873 00:45:53,360 --> 00:45:55,560 Speaker 4: fifth pick. Well, whoever they take there, assuming it's a 874 00:45:56,480 --> 00:45:59,799 Speaker 4: guy who's around the that level of ranking in the 875 00:46:00,719 --> 00:46:02,360 Speaker 4: it's probably gonna be the best player in the Braves 876 00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:04,440 Speaker 4: farm system, or very close to the best player in 877 00:46:04,440 --> 00:46:06,759 Speaker 4: the Brais farm system, depending on where you have Cam 878 00:46:06,840 --> 00:46:09,759 Speaker 4: Kevin Dye and depending on how Jr. Richie and you know, 879 00:46:09,800 --> 00:46:11,920 Speaker 4: we'll see what these all these shortstops the Brave's drafted 880 00:46:11,960 --> 00:46:15,120 Speaker 4: last year end up doing next year. But yes, this 881 00:46:15,239 --> 00:46:20,360 Speaker 4: is a massive opportunity to significantly upgrade your farm system. 882 00:46:21,120 --> 00:46:25,000 Speaker 4: And it's a massive opportunity to potentially replenish your farm 883 00:46:25,040 --> 00:46:28,680 Speaker 4: system if you, for instance, make a very large trade 884 00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:32,320 Speaker 4: that's going to take multiple top prospects. So it's all connected. 885 00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:35,359 Speaker 4: We did learn today that the Baldwood pick is going 886 00:46:35,400 --> 00:46:38,040 Speaker 4: to be twenty six. We'll learn next week, a week 887 00:46:38,080 --> 00:46:41,960 Speaker 4: from today, actually what that top pick is where they 888 00:46:42,000 --> 00:46:45,160 Speaker 4: fall in the in the lottery. But yeah, it's a significant, 889 00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:47,800 Speaker 4: easily the most significant draft of the Braves in probably 890 00:46:47,800 --> 00:46:48,240 Speaker 4: a decade. 891 00:46:49,040 --> 00:46:51,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the only one that would compare to 892 00:46:51,040 --> 00:46:55,960 Speaker 1: it was the the two thousand and seventeen or eighteen 893 00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:59,399 Speaker 1: draft where they didn't sign the pitcher Carter Sam's Carter 894 00:47:00,160 --> 00:47:00,640 Speaker 1: than they. 895 00:47:00,480 --> 00:47:04,160 Speaker 4: Did car Start. Yeah, I guess those I guess those 896 00:47:04,160 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 4: rebuild drafts were pretty high, like I was. But he 897 00:47:08,239 --> 00:47:10,960 Speaker 4: was was a third third pickin he was under he 898 00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:13,479 Speaker 4: went under. They went under slot for him. Colin Wright 899 00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:14,520 Speaker 4: was like a fifth pick. 900 00:47:14,960 --> 00:47:15,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 901 00:47:15,160 --> 00:47:17,279 Speaker 1: The year after they didn't sign Carter Stewart, they had 902 00:47:17,280 --> 00:47:20,400 Speaker 1: the ninth pick and they picked picked say Langlers and 903 00:47:20,440 --> 00:47:22,120 Speaker 1: then they had the first pick and they picked Braid 904 00:47:22,120 --> 00:47:23,560 Speaker 1: and Shoe make. So that would that would be the 905 00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:27,239 Speaker 1: most recent draft that compares. But again I want to 906 00:47:27,280 --> 00:47:30,120 Speaker 1: talk about the addition of that twenty sixth pick due 907 00:47:30,160 --> 00:47:34,240 Speaker 1: to Drake Baldwin winning Rookie of the Year. The reason 908 00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,640 Speaker 1: why that again is so important is because of that 909 00:47:37,800 --> 00:47:40,719 Speaker 1: slot money and what the Braves can do with that 910 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:44,200 Speaker 1: slot money. We've talked about and want to reemphasize again. 911 00:47:44,640 --> 00:47:47,040 Speaker 1: Now that they've got all that money to work with 912 00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:49,799 Speaker 1: the really add quality talent in this draft, you could 913 00:47:49,880 --> 00:47:52,840 Speaker 1: replenish what you trade away to go get a difference 914 00:47:52,880 --> 00:47:55,520 Speaker 1: maker like a Byron Buxton. So it gives your reason 915 00:47:55,560 --> 00:47:57,680 Speaker 1: to be aggressive and go do it. But the other 916 00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,920 Speaker 1: point that I want to make is this is bec 917 00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,800 Speaker 1: because you have that extra pick and that extra slot money, 918 00:48:03,080 --> 00:48:05,680 Speaker 1: the Braves, whether it's been in the top ten or 919 00:48:05,719 --> 00:48:08,080 Speaker 1: whether it's been in the twenties, they more often than 920 00:48:08,120 --> 00:48:10,360 Speaker 1: not have wanted to take advantage of the slot money 921 00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:12,640 Speaker 1: and kind of go an underslot guy with their first 922 00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:14,759 Speaker 1: pick so they can have more money to work with 923 00:48:14,840 --> 00:48:17,279 Speaker 1: in the draft. I think that's fine if you want 924 00:48:17,320 --> 00:48:19,600 Speaker 1: to do it with that twenty six pick, But now 925 00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:21,720 Speaker 1: that you've got that twenty six pick in that slot money, 926 00:48:22,080 --> 00:48:24,560 Speaker 1: just like you can be aggressive into trade, go be 927 00:48:24,680 --> 00:48:29,400 Speaker 1: aggressive and get a headline, legitimate top five, six, seven 928 00:48:29,480 --> 00:48:30,840 Speaker 1: talent in what's. 929 00:48:30,680 --> 00:48:33,359 Speaker 2: Supposed to be a top heavy loaded. 930 00:48:33,080 --> 00:48:37,759 Speaker 1: Draft that really could bring your top position player in 931 00:48:37,880 --> 00:48:42,480 Speaker 1: years into the system. That's the other stage that the 932 00:48:42,520 --> 00:48:45,520 Speaker 1: Braves can be aggressive on. Because they landed this extra pick, 933 00:48:45,760 --> 00:48:48,400 Speaker 1: they could really land themselves. We want to talk about 934 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:51,680 Speaker 1: difference makers. They can give themselves a better shot of 935 00:48:51,760 --> 00:48:55,040 Speaker 1: landing that type of talent for the long long term 936 00:48:55,120 --> 00:48:57,719 Speaker 1: from this draft. So that is something else that I 937 00:48:57,760 --> 00:49:00,160 Speaker 1: want to see them do, especially if they were to 938 00:49:00,160 --> 00:49:02,040 Speaker 1: get a pick in the top five. By the way, 939 00:49:02,280 --> 00:49:06,040 Speaker 1: here kind of the odds breaks down. The Braves have 940 00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:08,720 Speaker 1: a seven and a half percent chance basically of getting 941 00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:11,440 Speaker 1: the first pick. They have a twenty five percent chance 942 00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:14,600 Speaker 1: of landing in the top three, forty five percent chance 943 00:49:14,640 --> 00:49:17,279 Speaker 1: of landing in the top six, seventy five percent chance 944 00:49:17,320 --> 00:49:19,319 Speaker 1: of landing in the top eight, and they basically have 945 00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,120 Speaker 1: ninety nine percent chance of landing in the top ten. 946 00:49:22,400 --> 00:49:26,000 Speaker 1: When I say their percentage chance, what I'm meaning is is, 947 00:49:26,000 --> 00:49:28,719 Speaker 1: out of one hundred percent, what are the odds that 948 00:49:28,760 --> 00:49:32,400 Speaker 1: they could potentially get each pick slot. That's how it 949 00:49:32,440 --> 00:49:35,960 Speaker 1: breaks down. So again, a seventy five percent chance to 950 00:49:36,040 --> 00:49:38,840 Speaker 1: land a top eight pick in a draft that is 951 00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:40,600 Speaker 1: supposed to be one of the deepest we've seen in 952 00:49:40,640 --> 00:49:43,680 Speaker 1: the top ten in terms of quality position player prospects. 953 00:49:44,200 --> 00:49:47,080 Speaker 1: Be aggressive as possible to get the best talent that 954 00:49:47,120 --> 00:49:47,439 Speaker 1: you can. 955 00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,200 Speaker 4: Yeah, And obviously, the way the draft is set up, 956 00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:53,640 Speaker 4: it's not only the fact that you get a higher 957 00:49:53,680 --> 00:49:55,520 Speaker 4: pick depending on where you land in the lottery, but 958 00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:58,160 Speaker 4: the higher the pick you get, the more bonus pull 959 00:49:58,200 --> 00:50:00,600 Speaker 4: money you get for each of your top ten picks. 960 00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:03,160 Speaker 4: I think it is so yeah, it's a massive deal. 961 00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,840 Speaker 4: And even in this last draft. You know the Braves 962 00:50:08,280 --> 00:50:10,560 Speaker 4: what you're talking about, how they usually go under slot 963 00:50:10,640 --> 00:50:12,759 Speaker 4: in the first round to they did that again in 964 00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:16,120 Speaker 4: twenty twenty five. You know, when they they drafted South 965 00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:19,759 Speaker 4: the Scene as their first pick. It was an underslought 966 00:50:19,800 --> 00:50:22,040 Speaker 4: deal so they could get I think Briggs, I think 967 00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:24,880 Speaker 4: his name was Briggs McKenzie, right, the guy at Belashue. 968 00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:26,160 Speaker 4: They had to they had to buy him out of 969 00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:26,800 Speaker 4: his commitment. 970 00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:29,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, they went They went overslot in the third and 971 00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:31,359 Speaker 1: fourth round because they went under slot in the first. 972 00:50:31,400 --> 00:50:34,759 Speaker 4: Yeah. So yeah, they do that a lot. And I 973 00:50:34,800 --> 00:50:37,279 Speaker 4: agree with you as long as they don't end up 974 00:50:37,280 --> 00:50:40,279 Speaker 4: losing that pick to a qualified free agent. I would 975 00:50:40,360 --> 00:50:42,600 Speaker 4: love to see them in that. You know, if it's 976 00:50:42,640 --> 00:50:47,600 Speaker 4: like a top five pick or whatever, be aggressive, maybe 977 00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:49,799 Speaker 4: go ad slaughter or maybe even overslought and go get 978 00:50:49,800 --> 00:50:52,239 Speaker 4: like a high, high level guy that's clearly the top 979 00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:56,319 Speaker 4: guy in the system. It's kind of a I want 980 00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:58,120 Speaker 4: to see the Braves Farms system get back to where 981 00:50:58,120 --> 00:50:59,960 Speaker 4: it's like at least in the top half of the league. 982 00:51:00,320 --> 00:51:03,080 Speaker 4: I know it's been underrated, probably because guys like Drake 983 00:51:03,120 --> 00:51:07,879 Speaker 4: Baldwin and Schwallenbach came out of nowhere and weren't really 984 00:51:07,960 --> 00:51:09,960 Speaker 4: ranked where they should have been. And so I do 985 00:51:10,000 --> 00:51:12,160 Speaker 4: think the Brave's farm system is better than it's been 986 00:51:12,640 --> 00:51:17,239 Speaker 4: publicly rated, but I still think it's been, you know, 987 00:51:18,120 --> 00:51:20,440 Speaker 4: below average. I would say, I still think it's been 988 00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:22,520 Speaker 4: in the bottom half of the league instead of the 989 00:51:22,520 --> 00:51:24,600 Speaker 4: top half of the league the last few years. So 990 00:51:24,640 --> 00:51:26,319 Speaker 4: I do want to see that system get back to 991 00:51:26,320 --> 00:51:29,600 Speaker 4: where it's a weapon that you can use at all times. 992 00:51:29,920 --> 00:51:33,239 Speaker 4: But yeah, this twenty twenty sixth draft is going to 993 00:51:33,320 --> 00:51:35,600 Speaker 4: be one of the biggest Braves drafts we've seen in 994 00:51:35,640 --> 00:51:38,040 Speaker 4: a long time. So and obviously we'll learn on Tuesday 995 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:39,840 Speaker 4: where they're picking in the first round. 996 00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:43,040 Speaker 1: But hey, that's kind of, you know, a silver lining. 997 00:51:43,480 --> 00:51:45,920 Speaker 1: You don't want to go through the struggles that the 998 00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:48,600 Speaker 1: Brave did is in the twenty five season to get 999 00:51:48,600 --> 00:51:50,480 Speaker 1: to this point, but now that we're past it, we 1000 00:51:50,520 --> 00:51:52,440 Speaker 1: can at least have some fun with it. It's just 1001 00:51:52,440 --> 00:51:56,080 Speaker 1: another added really exciting you know, aspect of this offseason 1002 00:51:56,200 --> 00:51:58,319 Speaker 1: for the future, and hopefully the Braiser will be able 1003 00:51:58,360 --> 00:52:01,680 Speaker 1: to take his full advantage of it as possible. You know, 1004 00:52:01,719 --> 00:52:05,800 Speaker 1: we typically don't mention split contract signings, minor league signings, 1005 00:52:05,840 --> 00:52:08,920 Speaker 1: these small kind of irrelevant signings that the Braves do, 1006 00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:10,920 Speaker 1: but do want to bring up a name that the 1007 00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:14,640 Speaker 1: Braves did add back into the system in Danny Young. 1008 00:52:14,760 --> 00:52:18,400 Speaker 1: Danny Young signed a split contract of Young will be 1009 00:52:18,480 --> 00:52:20,000 Speaker 1: I believe out until the middle of the season. I 1010 00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:23,120 Speaker 1: believe that he had Tommy John surgery early last year. 1011 00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:26,400 Speaker 1: This is his second stint with the Braves. He had 1012 00:52:26,440 --> 00:52:29,480 Speaker 1: a bit of a stint in twenty twenty three. Looked 1013 00:52:29,520 --> 00:52:32,560 Speaker 1: pretty good in the opportunities. 1014 00:52:31,760 --> 00:52:32,400 Speaker 2: That he had. 1015 00:52:32,760 --> 00:52:37,399 Speaker 1: But Steven, it's the intrigue of young stuff that if 1016 00:52:37,440 --> 00:52:40,680 Speaker 1: he comes back and proves to be healthy, it could 1017 00:52:40,680 --> 00:52:43,080 Speaker 1: be We've seen the Braves do this sign these injured 1018 00:52:43,120 --> 00:52:46,640 Speaker 1: pitchers because they're intrigued by their stuff. Danny Young could 1019 00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:49,240 Speaker 1: be a bit more notable of a signing than most 1020 00:52:49,480 --> 00:52:51,480 Speaker 1: because of his history with the Braves and also the 1021 00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:54,560 Speaker 1: fact that he has some pretty decent stuff when he's healthy. 1022 00:52:55,960 --> 00:52:58,239 Speaker 4: Yeah, a big strikeout guy. I mean, you go, look 1023 00:52:58,320 --> 00:52:59,960 Speaker 4: he is. So he's with the Braves in twenty three. 1024 00:53:00,360 --> 00:53:02,520 Speaker 4: Kind of a cup of coffee. I think he was 1025 00:53:02,520 --> 00:53:04,080 Speaker 4: actually with the Braves at the end of twenty two 1026 00:53:04,160 --> 00:53:07,719 Speaker 4: in the beginning of twenty three, you know, a couple 1027 00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:09,319 Speaker 4: of coffee I think they had like ten innings pitched 1028 00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:11,080 Speaker 4: to twenty three, and then he spent the last couple 1029 00:53:11,080 --> 00:53:13,719 Speaker 4: of years with the Mets with Jeremy Hefner. By the way, 1030 00:53:13,760 --> 00:53:15,879 Speaker 4: who's the braves new pitching coach. And I'm sure that's 1031 00:53:15,920 --> 00:53:19,560 Speaker 4: not a coincidence. But tons of strikeouts. Guy strikes out 1032 00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:24,480 Speaker 4: a ton of people. It's like a fastball, sinker slider combo. 1033 00:53:25,760 --> 00:53:27,439 Speaker 4: Not the hardest throw in the world, but just gets 1034 00:53:27,480 --> 00:53:29,040 Speaker 4: a ton of swing and miss. It's obviously a very 1035 00:53:29,080 --> 00:53:33,040 Speaker 4: funky arm angle. It's a very uncomfortable bat. The Braves 1036 00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:37,240 Speaker 4: always are interested in these kind of really strong strikeout 1037 00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:40,880 Speaker 4: to walk ratio guys, which is what Young is. And 1038 00:53:40,920 --> 00:53:43,920 Speaker 4: he signed a split contract, and I'm not gonna get 1039 00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:47,360 Speaker 4: into all the mechanics of that, but typically spec split 1040 00:53:47,400 --> 00:53:50,280 Speaker 4: contract guys are on the forty man like Videl Bruhan 1041 00:53:50,440 --> 00:53:53,840 Speaker 4: just signed a split contract and he's still in the forties. 1042 00:53:53,880 --> 00:53:56,640 Speaker 4: So I'm pretty sure Denny Young gets a forty man spot. 1043 00:53:56,800 --> 00:53:58,399 Speaker 4: And then you get X amount of money if you're 1044 00:53:58,400 --> 00:53:59,759 Speaker 4: in the majors, and you get X amount of money 1045 00:53:59,760 --> 00:54:03,520 Speaker 4: if you're the miners. It allows teams to send guys 1046 00:54:03,520 --> 00:54:05,880 Speaker 4: to the miners who maybe don't have mining the options. 1047 00:54:06,239 --> 00:54:08,960 Speaker 4: Like Videl Bruhan when he signed that split contract, can 1048 00:54:08,960 --> 00:54:10,479 Speaker 4: now be sent to the miners even though he doesn't 1049 00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,440 Speaker 4: have mining the options. Danny Young is the same. Now 1050 00:54:13,440 --> 00:54:15,040 Speaker 4: with Young, it's not as big a deal because, like 1051 00:54:15,040 --> 00:54:17,040 Speaker 4: Sewn just said, he's gonna be he's gonna be out 1052 00:54:17,080 --> 00:54:21,120 Speaker 4: to like July, maybe August with he had Tom and 1053 00:54:21,160 --> 00:54:24,200 Speaker 4: John surgery in May, so this is a second half 1054 00:54:24,200 --> 00:54:28,080 Speaker 4: of the season, you know, might get some reinforcements type 1055 00:54:28,080 --> 00:54:30,840 Speaker 4: of deal. It's very little money. As soon as the 1056 00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:33,040 Speaker 4: sixty day il opens back up when we get to 1057 00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:36,120 Speaker 4: spring training, Danny Young will immediately go on that, which 1058 00:54:36,120 --> 00:54:39,160 Speaker 4: will clear his forty man spot. So's there's not a 1059 00:54:39,200 --> 00:54:42,160 Speaker 4: lot of risk here. There's not a lot you're paying for. 1060 00:54:43,080 --> 00:54:46,240 Speaker 4: They're just they're banking on some upside with the strikeout stuff. 1061 00:54:46,880 --> 00:54:50,239 Speaker 4: They know Danny Young. Obviously, Jeremy Hefner really knows Danny Young, 1062 00:54:50,640 --> 00:54:52,399 Speaker 4: and I'm sure that connection helped a lot. So yeah, 1063 00:54:52,440 --> 00:54:53,960 Speaker 4: I'm not a big signing. We saved to Diddy in 1064 00:54:54,000 --> 00:54:56,080 Speaker 4: the show, but he is gonna be on the forty 1065 00:54:56,080 --> 00:54:57,960 Speaker 4: man for a little bit. So it's a big enough 1066 00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:01,719 Speaker 4: signing where we need to mention it split contract. He'll 1067 00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:04,239 Speaker 4: be on the sixty il when the season starts, and 1068 00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:06,279 Speaker 4: maybe some second half reinforcements. 1069 00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:08,000 Speaker 2: So here we go. 1070 00:55:08,280 --> 00:55:10,879 Speaker 1: I know that the Danny Young level of signing may 1071 00:55:10,880 --> 00:55:13,279 Speaker 1: not really get you going in terms of excitement, but 1072 00:55:13,400 --> 00:55:15,759 Speaker 1: this show was meant to get you going in terms 1073 00:55:15,800 --> 00:55:18,840 Speaker 1: of excitement. The connection to Byron buckson the hot stove 1074 00:55:18,920 --> 00:55:20,719 Speaker 1: heating up with some notable names. Some of the best 1075 00:55:20,719 --> 00:55:24,120 Speaker 1: pictures are off the market. The most obvious pictures are 1076 00:55:24,160 --> 00:55:26,239 Speaker 1: off the market now because of the stove is heating up. 1077 00:55:26,440 --> 00:55:30,000 Speaker 1: The braves getting more indications of just how beneficial the 1078 00:55:30,040 --> 00:55:33,400 Speaker 1: twenty twenty sixth draft could be. All of these things 1079 00:55:33,440 --> 00:55:36,080 Speaker 1: we could see come to fruition or we could get 1080 00:55:36,160 --> 00:55:38,799 Speaker 1: more insight on over the next ten to twelve days, 1081 00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:42,480 Speaker 1: especially with the Winter Beatings being next week. So buckle up, 1082 00:55:42,760 --> 00:55:44,640 Speaker 1: the riot is about to get a bit faster, but 1083 00:55:44,680 --> 00:55:47,080 Speaker 1: a bit more exciting, and we're gonna have you fully 1084 00:55:47,080 --> 00:55:50,440 Speaker 1: covered here on the Hammer Territory podcast. Steven Tolbort anything 1085 00:55:50,480 --> 00:55:52,200 Speaker 1: else from you as we wrap up this edition of 1086 00:55:52,239 --> 00:55:53,560 Speaker 1: The Hammer Territory podcast. 1087 00:55:54,560 --> 00:55:54,799 Speaker 2: Nope. 1088 00:55:54,880 --> 00:55:58,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, Winter meetings start this weekend, start on Sunday there 1089 00:55:58,360 --> 00:56:03,040 Speaker 4: from Sunday to Weinsday Thursday next week. So the Winter 1090 00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:06,839 Speaker 4: Meetings are where stuff gets real, where stuff happens. You'll 1091 00:56:06,840 --> 00:56:11,200 Speaker 4: see trade, you'll see signings. You know, most Winter meetings 1092 00:56:11,200 --> 00:56:13,880 Speaker 4: have at least one big move in them. This is 1093 00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:16,000 Speaker 4: not like the GM meetings, which is like a precursor 1094 00:56:16,040 --> 00:56:18,000 Speaker 4: the GM meeting or the Winter Meetings or worse, stuff 1095 00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:20,640 Speaker 4: actually really starts to happen. Teams really want to start 1096 00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:23,760 Speaker 4: focusing in on signings. Guys are already off the board. 1097 00:56:25,040 --> 00:56:27,040 Speaker 4: You got all the gms there and they're all focused 1098 00:56:27,040 --> 00:56:30,439 Speaker 4: on team building. There's nobody that's you know, doing other 1099 00:56:30,480 --> 00:56:33,720 Speaker 4: stuff or talking with owners. Everybody is in the building. 1100 00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,319 Speaker 4: I think it's in Orlando this year. Everybody's in the 1101 00:56:36,320 --> 00:56:38,680 Speaker 4: building and they're focused on team building, and so you 1102 00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:40,000 Speaker 4: can get a lot of stuff done in a short 1103 00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:42,120 Speaker 4: amount of time. I say all that to say, we're 1104 00:56:42,160 --> 00:56:44,320 Speaker 4: gonna have it cover whatever happens at the Winter Meetings, 1105 00:56:44,640 --> 00:56:48,200 Speaker 4: anything Braves related, we will have it covered on here 1106 00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:51,080 Speaker 4: the moment it happens. So if you're not subscribed, make 1107 00:56:51,120 --> 00:56:53,880 Speaker 4: sure you are. The off season is heating up in 1108 00:56:53,920 --> 00:56:54,399 Speaker 4: every way. 1109 00:56:55,440 --> 00:56:57,479 Speaker 1: Yeah, you know when we talk when people talk about 1110 00:56:57,480 --> 00:56:59,919 Speaker 1: how excited the first few days of Hitfel free agent 1111 00:57:00,400 --> 00:57:03,680 Speaker 1: is or NBA free agency, this is Baseball's version of that. 1112 00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:06,279 Speaker 1: So we get a buckle up. It hopefully is going 1113 00:57:06,360 --> 00:57:09,360 Speaker 1: to start to get real exciting. But hey, always a 1114 00:57:09,360 --> 00:57:11,239 Speaker 1: pleasure to do these with you, Steven. You can find 1115 00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:14,480 Speaker 1: Stephen Tobert at b Underscore Outliers, myself at the Stats 1116 00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:18,400 Speaker 1: Sac on Twitter, slash x. You can find Hammer Territory 1117 00:57:18,440 --> 00:57:20,880 Speaker 1: across all fourms and social media, part of the Foul 1118 00:57:21,040 --> 00:57:27,600 Speaker 1: Territory family of podcasts. Brad Scott me Stephen. You're gonna 1119 00:57:27,600 --> 00:57:29,160 Speaker 1: be seeing a lot of us over the next week 1120 00:57:29,240 --> 00:57:32,160 Speaker 1: or so breaking down all the latest rumors, signings, moves 1121 00:57:32,160 --> 00:57:35,480 Speaker 1: potentially what can occur. Hopefully there will need plenty of 1122 00:57:35,520 --> 00:57:38,120 Speaker 1: them as the Braves look to get back to contention 1123 00:57:38,600 --> 00:57:41,560 Speaker 1: next year and beyond. Until next time, Go Braves. We'll 1124 00:57:41,600 --> 00:57:43,840 Speaker 1: talk to you again soon here on the Hammer Territory 1125 00:57:43,840 --> 00:57:44,360 Speaker 1: podcast