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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Thursday

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Speaker 1: morning episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Parant.

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Speaker 1: You guys can always follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. This podcast every morning being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM and the offer that's available right now

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Speaker 1: for new users, the one thousand dollars first bet offer

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Speaker 1: when you use the promo code Juice at betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: Promo code Juice at betmgm dot com. Okay, it is

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Speaker 1: a ten and one start to the week. Another sweep.

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Speaker 1: We swept it on Monday. We swept it on Wednesday.

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Speaker 1: That is the first time I believe that we've gone

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Speaker 1: two of three days with sweeps. And we almost got

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Speaker 1: a yesterday or Tuesday, we almost got to sweep as well.

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Speaker 1: So went three and one, so not bad. Four and no,

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Speaker 1: I knew that number or for Alabama Tennessee was funky.

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Speaker 1: It didn't make any sense. That game was never in over.

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Speaker 1: Did you see the steam on that game? That steam

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Speaker 1: was crazy. It went all the way to one forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half. That game never came close to

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Speaker 1: one thirty from my math is right, I mean, my goodness, gracious,

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Speaker 1: that was an under game that was a horrible bet

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Speaker 1: by the pros. And look, I'm not saying I'm beating

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Speaker 1: pros consistently, but when I see Kenpom having a number

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Speaker 1: like that, you don't see five and a half six

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Speaker 1: points on totals, or do you? Because I have another

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Speaker 1: one tonight that I want to give you, guys, another

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Speaker 1: total that doesn't seem right just based on Ken Palm's projections.

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Speaker 1: The books generally follow ken Pom and they're not, which

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Speaker 1: is really interesting. They're taking positions. I don't hate it,

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Speaker 1: but they're taking positions. It was one forty was the

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Speaker 1: projection for Kempom for Bama Tennessee, and we bet under

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Speaker 1: one forty five and a half. It closed an under

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Speaker 1: one forty seven and a half and it never came

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Speaker 1: close to getting into the one forties. So we'll take it.

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Speaker 1: Hockey's been very good this year. As I talked about,

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Speaker 1: the gift Parlay comes in plus one forty four. We've

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Speaker 1: done some damage. Now. I'm not saying we're the only

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Speaker 1: ones doing this, but the books are really going slow

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Speaker 1: now because normally it's ten o'clock Pacific time. Normally, by

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Speaker 1: this time at night, the gift numbers are out on

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Speaker 1: DraftKings more than anything. They're not out tonight. Now. I

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Speaker 1: don't know if that's because of people following, trailing, people

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Speaker 1: knowing what I mean. I don't know. DraftKings might be

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Speaker 1: getting hit on these gift parlays and so they're gonna

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Speaker 1: slow play it to see which goaltenders are in. I

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Speaker 1: don't know. But I got a goal. Actually have a

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Speaker 1: yes and a no gift parlay today. I have a

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Speaker 1: under one and a half goals parlay today. I've got

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Speaker 1: a hockey total, I've got a hockey puck line, and

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Speaker 1: I have a college bas ketball total. So I've got

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Speaker 1: four bets in hockey in one bet in college basketball,

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Speaker 1: four units plus in play today. Why well, we're ten

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Speaker 1: and one. All right, we're up ten units I believe,

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Speaker 1: I think somewhere in that range for the week. Okay,

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Speaker 1: way up. So like, why are we stopping? Why are

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Speaker 1: we gonna slow down? Let's not slow down, Let's keep going.

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Speaker 1: So let's push our luck a little bit. This is

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Speaker 1: what I do when I'm playing blackjack. I tend to

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Speaker 1: get a little aggressive. I start double betting, I start

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Speaker 1: doubling down, I start being more aggressive on the table

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Speaker 1: until I go cold. I'm gonna go cold. But in

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Speaker 1: the meantime, let's push it right. Let's see what we

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Speaker 1: can do now. It could blow up in our face.

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Speaker 1: I might go zero to five tonight and we're dave

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Speaker 1: back to ten and six. That's happened consistently, but we're

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Speaker 1: still ten and six. So I think it's worth it

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Speaker 1: to go ahead and be this aggressive coming up here today.

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Speaker 1: So if you don't like betting hockey, come on, guys,

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Speaker 1: get on board with betting hockey. It's profitable. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter if you don't know it. Just bet it and

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Speaker 1: watch if it cashes. Because so far this week it's

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Speaker 1: been very very good. So I'm back with a couple

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Speaker 1: of four place exactly in hockey coming at you here

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Speaker 1: in just one second. But before we do anything else,

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure when we're going to pull for the

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Speaker 1: then you leave a comment underneath this video. Many people

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Speaker 1: betting smarter, not harder. All right, let's get right into

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Speaker 1: it with the gift parlay. It's actually a gift, yes

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Speaker 1: and no. So I have told you about our guy

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Speaker 1: Chris Auto at PSU Auto. If you are not following him,

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Speaker 1: you should. The amount of work he is doing, it's unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: He's gotta tip. I think he's got his tips. Open.

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Speaker 1: Tip this dude. Okay, if you're winning money, tip this dude,

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Speaker 1: don't tip me. Tip Chris. Okay, this is a bet.

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Speaker 1: I don't know the odds on all right. I can't

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Speaker 1: tell you the odds. It's gonna be plus money, Okay,

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Speaker 1: I don't know what, but it's gonna be plus money

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Speaker 1: plus one forty plus one fifty plus one sixty, I

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Speaker 1: don't know. In the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com slash chat,

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Speaker 1: I'll give you the official number in the morning, okay.

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Speaker 1: So when I when I can bet, it is in

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Speaker 1: the morning. So I'll get up West Coast time, look

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Speaker 1: at the numbers, make the bet. I'll tell you what

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Speaker 1: bet I made at what number, But I'm making the

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Speaker 1: bet regardless, all right. So Winnipeg is sticking on Colorado tonight. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So this is an interesting situation. Sorry, Columbus, not Colorado Columbus. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: I let make sure I'm saying this correctly. I was like,

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Speaker 1: wait a minute, doesn't sound they played back to back

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Speaker 1: last night. We're playing Columbus Winnipeg against Columbus here tonight.

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Speaker 1: It is a seven o'clock Eastern time start. Columbus at

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Speaker 1: home is eleven seventeen and two. They stink. Winnipeg at

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Speaker 1: home are on the road by the fourteen eleven in one.

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Speaker 1: The Jackets three to one, four three three nothing, four

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Speaker 1: to three three two. Okay, so they do give up goals. However,

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Speaker 1: Winnipeg is on a hell of a streak right now

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Speaker 1: when it comes to a no goal in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes. Nine of the last twelve games Winnipeg is

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Speaker 1: a no to a goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: Winnipeg is also the second worst team in all of

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Speaker 1: hockey to a goal in the first ten minutes twenty

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Speaker 1: six times out of fifty four games. That is, and

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Speaker 1: they will only hit it three times over their last

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Speaker 1: seven games for thirty percent. Obviously, now Columbus is six

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Speaker 1: and four over their last ten, but Columbus is only

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Speaker 1: fifty five percent on the entire season. Winnipeg just doesn't

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Speaker 1: give up goals early in the game. I'm gonna jump

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Speaker 1: in here with a no goal in the first ten

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Speaker 1: minutes for Winnipeg and Columbus. That's probably going to be

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Speaker 1: plus money, but maybe it might be even money somewhere

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Speaker 1: in that range. I'm gonna pair this up with the

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Speaker 1: Vegas Golden Knights up against the San Jose Sharks, because

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Speaker 1: these two teams are more crazy. I don't mind even

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Speaker 1: betting the over one and a half goals when it

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Speaker 1: comes to these two teams. But man alive San Jose

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Speaker 1: at Vegas. Here are the numbers. Vegas is sixteen and

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Speaker 1: three over their last nineteen games to a yes gift.

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Speaker 1: San Jose is twenty and five over their last twenty

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Speaker 1: five games to a yes to a goal in the

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Speaker 1: first ten minutes, and they've hit their last five games

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Speaker 1: in a row that they've done this. Vegas has become

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Speaker 1: an over team at home. They've had a lot of

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Speaker 1: games coming up where they've seen goals being scored consistently.

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go no Columbus in Winnipeg to a

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Speaker 1: goal in the first ten minutes, combined with a parlay

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Speaker 1: leg of a yes for San Jose in Vegas. Again,

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Speaker 1: I don't know the odds on this, but I'm guessing

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Speaker 1: that's going to be somewhere around plus one thirty plus

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Speaker 1: one forty. Half a unit play on this. Okay to me,

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Speaker 1: goaltenders don't matter in this. These streaks are so long

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Speaker 1: that involves both goaltenders. It's more about the team itself,

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Speaker 1: less about the goaltenders. Is the overall team? No goal Winnipeg,

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Speaker 1: Colorado first ten minutes, Yes goal, San Jose, Vegas gold

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Speaker 1: Knights first ten minutes. Half a unit? Bet on that?

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Speaker 1: What am I doing with the other half a unit? Well,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to go to a no goal in the

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Speaker 1: first sorry, under one and a half goals in the

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Speaker 1: first period, going to bring in the Boston Bruins. Here.

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Speaker 1: The Bruins up against the Nashville Predators. Boston nine to

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Speaker 1: one over their last ten games to a first period under.

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Speaker 1: We missed it last game against the Stars. Okay, still

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Speaker 1: nine to one though, but we missed it last game.

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Speaker 1: All Mark should start in net for Boston. That's good.

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Speaker 1: Sorrow's a net for the Nashville Predators. Nashville isn't awful.

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Speaker 1: They are five and five over the last ten. They

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Speaker 1: are twenty seven out of fifty one games. That's fifty

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Speaker 1: two point nine percent of the time. To it over

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Speaker 1: in the first period for one and a half goals,

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Speaker 1: But I think it's one nothing or nothing nothing here

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Speaker 1: totals five and a half in this game. The books

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Speaker 1: are projecting a lower scoring game. Nashville is at home.

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Speaker 1: You expect Nashville to play tight against the Boston Bruins.

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Speaker 1: We have seen games recently where it's gotten wacko with Nashville,

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Speaker 1: all right, so that definitely worries me a little bit.

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Speaker 1: But because Boston has been so dominant to a first

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Speaker 1: period under Nashville can't score. Boston can score one, but

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Speaker 1: Nashville can't score. They gave up the goal to the Stars.

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Speaker 1: Nashville doesn't score all that often, so let's make sure

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Speaker 1: that Nashville doesn't get a goal here, no goal or

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Speaker 1: under one and a half. Boston and Nashville and I'm

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Speaker 1: going to go back to Colorado in Winnipeg, and I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna double down on this. So if Winnipeg and College

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Speaker 1: sorry Columbus, not Colorado. If Winnipeg and Columbus is a

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Speaker 1: high scoring first period, I'm gonna be in trouble. Okay,

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Speaker 1: both bets will lose, will lose a unit on this,

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Speaker 1: but I'm comfortable doing that because I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: going to happen Winnipeg to a first period over They

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Speaker 1: have missed it eight of the last ten games, and

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Speaker 1: they are the second, last, second or worst team going

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Speaker 1: over one and a half goals in the first period

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Speaker 1: in all of hockey just twenty two times in fifty

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Speaker 1: four games. Have we seen this with Winnipeg or growing

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Speaker 1: up with Columbus, who is four and six over the

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Speaker 1: last ten and they are a flat fifty percent coin

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Speaker 1: flip for them so combine that with Winnipeg no goal,

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Speaker 1: are under one and a half goals in the first period, Winnipeg,

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Speaker 1: Columbus under one and a half goals, Boston and Nashville.

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Speaker 1: That's a plus money bet for sure. No goal Winnipeg,

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Speaker 1: Colorado in the first ten minutes. Yes goal for San

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Speaker 1: Jose in Vegas. Half a unit got that, Okay? Two bets,

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Speaker 1: two half units, two parlays. Pushing our luck a little

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Speaker 1: bit on this. We'll see how we do on this,

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Speaker 1: but I'll give it in the in the Discord channel

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Speaker 1: the actual numbers I will be betting on this coming

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Speaker 1: up bettingpros dot Com, slash Chat Now. Other two bets

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Speaker 1: in hockey Saint Louis against the New Jersey Devils. This

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Speaker 1: is going to be a fun hockey game. Saint Louis

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Speaker 1: is sixteen eight and two to the over at home

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Speaker 1: this year. They're an under team on the road. They're

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Speaker 1: an over team at home seven to and one to

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Speaker 1: the over over the last ten games for Saint Louis,

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Speaker 1: and this is an even money bet at DraftKings to

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Speaker 1: bet the over New Jersey. He is six six and

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Speaker 1: four over the last ten and while yes, the last

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Speaker 1: couple of games have been going under. Saint Louis is

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Speaker 1: scoring on this home stand, like aggressively scoring on this

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Speaker 1: homestand and Jordan Bingington has been bad. Right now, it's

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Speaker 1: Vanachek and Biddington, which is who is being projected. Bennington

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Speaker 1: has given up over the last five games four goals,

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Speaker 1: three goals, three goals, five goals, two goals, No boy,

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Speaker 1: no for Jordan Bingington. Vanta Chick's been better, but he's

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Speaker 1: good for two goals, so this is good. The first

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Speaker 1: matchup was a five to three win for the Blues

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Speaker 1: at New Jersey. New Jersey's a much better, the best

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Speaker 1: road team in hockey, so you want to take New Jersey.

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Speaker 1: That's okay, but it's pricey. Jersey's favored on the road,

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Speaker 1: Saint Louis being an over team. You probably I think

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Speaker 1: it's a four to three win for New Jersey, but

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Speaker 1: I'm not really. I don't want to lay the mist

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Speaker 1: one fifty. This is an even money bet. It's shorter

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Speaker 1: juice to go ahead and get involved with this. And

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Speaker 1: you just need Vanichick to give up two, preferably three goals.

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Speaker 1: He's given up two, two, four, two and two over

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Speaker 1: his last five starts in the NHL, gave up four

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Speaker 1: goals to Vancouver. Then on the road on this road

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Speaker 1: trip he's given up two and two, lost to Minnesota

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Speaker 1: in a shootout, lost beat Columbus three to two in

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Speaker 1: their last his last game. So to me, I think

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Speaker 1: you go ahead and take the even money and bet

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Speaker 1: the over given Saint Louis's run in Biddington's available propensity

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Speaker 1: to give up goals over six and a half goals

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Speaker 1: at even money for Saint Louis and New Jersey and

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Speaker 1: the last bet in hockey. I don't know if you

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Speaker 1: guys have been betting the Flyers on the puck line,

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Speaker 1: but it's minus one thirty and this is the best

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Speaker 1: team in hockey on the puck line by a ways.

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Speaker 1: On the road, the Philadelphia Flyers are twenty two and

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Speaker 1: five on the puck line. That is a seventeen unit profit.

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Speaker 1: If you've bet every game on the road for the

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Speaker 1: Flyers on the puck line, that's laying half a goal

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Speaker 1: or catching a half a goal. Tonight they happen to

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Speaker 1: be catching half a goal at the Seattle Kraken. The

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Speaker 1: total of this of this game is six. Very possible

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Speaker 1: to have a three to two final or a four

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Speaker 1: to three final in this game. The Kraken also are

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Speaker 1: thirteen and thirteen at home. On the puck line, the

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Speaker 1: Kraken are plus money. They're plus one ten to MIAs

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Speaker 1: one thirty for the Flyers at DraftKings right now for

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Speaker 1: them for the puck line, I just think whenever you

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Speaker 1: see this with the Flyers, they're just playing hard. They're

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Speaker 1: not losing. But Twitterrella doesn't have these guys, you know,

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Speaker 1: just skating around for fun. They're pushing it, they're playing hard,

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Speaker 1: and they're eleven nine and seven on the road. Seven

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Speaker 1: losses in a shootout or overtime for these guys. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so they play hard all the way through Seattle is

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Speaker 1: thirteen to ten and three. The first matchup against these

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Speaker 1: two teams, Flyers lost four to three. Let's lose three

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Speaker 1: to two or four to three or get a Flyers

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Speaker 1: outright victory here plus one and a half goals the Flyers.

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Speaker 1: Let's hope Carter Hart plays well. We should get Jones

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Speaker 1: in net tonight. The projective, I mean, it's Grubauer is

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Speaker 1: being projected according to what I'm looking at right now,

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Speaker 1: but not always being consistent. But Grubauer has not been bad.

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Speaker 1: I'm okay with Grubauer in net here, you know, just

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Speaker 1: don't get burned too badly. The Flyers aren't scoring a

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Speaker 1: ton of goals. Both these teams give up three point

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Speaker 1: zero nine goals per game this year. Let's have a

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Speaker 1: three to three game, go to overtime and we cash

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Speaker 1: the money line or the puck line rather, Flyers minus

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Speaker 1: one thirty plus one and a half goals for one

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Speaker 1: point three units. All right, So four bets three units

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Speaker 1: going in hockey for tonight Boston, nash Phil Winnipeg, Colorado

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Speaker 1: under one and a half goals parlay Winnipeg, Colorado, No,

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Speaker 1: San Jose, Vegas, Golden Knights, Yes, gift parlay no and

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Speaker 1: a yes gift parlay again, don't know the odds yet

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Speaker 1: on that till the morning. Saint Louis, New Jersey over

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Speaker 1: six and a half at even money and puckline for

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Speaker 1: the Flyers at plus one and a half goals at

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Speaker 1: minus one thirty For those four bets, four point three

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Speaker 1: units in play here Now one more bet, Ohio State's

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Speaker 1: at Iowa. Now, this game is being projected by Ken Palm,

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Speaker 1: and we looked at Ken Palm last night and we

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Speaker 1: talked about the numbers. Kenpom has this as an eighty

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Speaker 1: two to seventy seven win for Iowa over Ohio State.

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Speaker 1: All right, so the number here Iowa was favored by

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Speaker 1: seven and a half. The total was one fifty three.

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Speaker 1: So the total is off and the side is off

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Speaker 1: from what Ken Palm is projecting. So if you were

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Speaker 1: to take Ohio State, you'd be getting two and a

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Speaker 1: half points of value on Ohio State. Ohio State played

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Speaker 1: against Iowa and Ohio State killed them in the first

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Speaker 1: matchup ninety three to seventy seven. Okay, Ohio State killed Iowa.

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Speaker 1: I would give up ninety three points on the road

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Speaker 1: Ohio State. Maybe there's some payback here for Iowa. But

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Speaker 1: you look at the Hawkeyes at home, they are ten

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Speaker 1: and four to the over at home, Ohio State is

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Speaker 1: seven and five to the over. Iowa is ten and

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Speaker 1: four in Big Ten play to the over now, Ohio

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Speaker 1: State is five and nine. I get that, but Ohio

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Speaker 1: State scored ninety three points on them in the first matchup.

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Speaker 1: Iowa doesn't match up well against these teams. Against the Hawkeyes,

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Speaker 1: one fifty nine is what the total is being projected

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Speaker 1: at by Kenpom. The total right now is one fifty

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Speaker 1: three six points. That's more than last night with Alabama

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Speaker 1: and Tennessee. This is another game where I'm scratching my head,

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Speaker 1: going what am I looking at? Iowa at home is

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Speaker 1: an overteam. Iowa in the Big Ten is an overteam.

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Speaker 1: Iowa gave up ninety three points in the first matchup

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Speaker 1: to Ohio State. What are we doing? In the first

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Speaker 1: matchup the total was one fifty four. Now we're going down.

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Speaker 1: The first game cleared it by sixteen points. Now we're

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Speaker 1: going down. Why because the game against Minnesota went under.

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Speaker 1: Last game for Iowa and at the last three of

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00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:35,359
Speaker 1: the last four for Ohio State have gone under. The

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Speaker 1: Michigan State game was sixty two to forty one. That's

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Speaker 1: Michigan State. That was at home. But are we overreacting

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Speaker 1: that dramatically? I don't get it. They gave up sixty

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Speaker 1: nine points Northwestern. They gave up sixty two points to

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Speaker 1: Michigan State. They only scored sixty three and forty one.

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Speaker 1: They haven't scored anywhere near the ninety points since they

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Speaker 1: did it to Iowa. They scored sixty seventy sixty sixty

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Speaker 1: nine x three and forty one. But the Hawk guys

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Speaker 1: don't play defense like this is just we just know

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Speaker 1: this when you look at the matchup for these two

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00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,600
Speaker 1: teams where they are talking about the twenty sixth best

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Speaker 1: offense in Ohio State in the country in the fifth

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Speaker 1: best offense in the country for Iowa. Defensively, Iowa is

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00:19:16,640 --> 00:19:20,520
Speaker 1: one hundred and forty fifth with adjusted defensive efficiency and

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Speaker 1: Ohio State is ninety fourth. Like these are not great

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Speaker 1: defensive teams, these are very good offensive teams. In terms

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Speaker 1: of shooting percentage. Ohio State is in the top one

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Speaker 1: hundred for three point field goal percentage and Iowa's three

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00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:37,080
Speaker 1: point defense right now is ranked two hundred and third

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00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:39,720
Speaker 1: in the country. You can knock down the three against

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Speaker 1: Iowa almost at will. Iowa, on the other hand, is

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Speaker 1: a top one forty team shooting the three. But they

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00:19:46,560 --> 00:19:50,480
Speaker 1: are very good in terms of their overall possession, how

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Speaker 1: fast they play, average possession length, they're fifteenth in the

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00:19:54,359 --> 00:19:59,000
Speaker 1: country fifteen point seven seconds per possession. They go. Their

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Speaker 1: tempo is fast, they pushed tempo. A lot of possessions

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Speaker 1: are scoring. They look to shoot a lot turn the

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Speaker 1: ball over. I mean steel percentage. Ohio State is in

355
00:20:10,640 --> 00:20:13,680
Speaker 1: the top fifteen for steel percentage. They don't hit their

356
00:20:13,720 --> 00:20:15,520
Speaker 1: free throws. That's I don't like what the buck guys.

357
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:17,480
Speaker 1: They don't hit their free throws. They're almost three hundred

358
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:21,359
Speaker 1: in the country in free throw percentage. Not great or

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00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,760
Speaker 1: sorry sorry in field goal attempts per game. Iowa's defense

360
00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:26,800
Speaker 1: they don't foul all that much, which is good for Iowa.

361
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:29,920
Speaker 1: But Iowa hits their free throws. Ohio State's defense doesn't

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00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:35,719
Speaker 1: foul all that much, but defensively they're not great. They're okay.

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00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:41,680
Speaker 1: Over one point fifty three Iowa and Ohio State one

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00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:45,000
Speaker 1: point one units, six points of value. We're going over

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Speaker 1: Hawkeyes at home. The game's on ESPN two at Carver

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00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:53,399
Speaker 1: Hawkey over Ohio State and Iowa today. All right, so

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Speaker 1: we got a bunch of plays going here, a lot

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00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,560
Speaker 1: of fun going, and I think it should be Well,

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Speaker 1: what did I say, I said four units? I meant sorry,

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Speaker 1: I mean We've got three point three units going in

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Speaker 1: hockey in one point one units going, So four point

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Speaker 1: four units in total going here today. This is going

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Speaker 1: to be a fun day. Ten in one mark so far.

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Speaker 1: Let's push our luck here a little bit on a

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Speaker 1: Thursday and see what we come and do. Two hockey parlays,

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Speaker 1: two hockey full unit bets in one college basketball bet

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Speaker 1: to give you here with Iowa and Ohio States minus

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Speaker 1: Matt Paroltz. Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every single morning it is the Daily Juice Podcast being

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Speaker 1: brought to you by bet MGM