1 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:18,120 Speaker 1: Hey, guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning 2 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,239 Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice podcast with me Matt Peralt. 3 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me across all of my socials 4 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: at Sports Talk Matt and welcome to a really big 5 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:30,040 Speaker 1: day of college basketball here on the last day of 6 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:33,280 Speaker 1: the month of February. Now I will recap the whole 7 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: month coming up. I'll give you what we did later 8 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: last night on the Discord channel. I gave you the 9 00:00:41,120 --> 00:00:44,480 Speaker 1: Boston Celtics covering the seventeen and a half. They scored 10 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,360 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty million points against the Nets. It 11 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: was the same handicap that we had against the Spurs, 12 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:53,600 Speaker 1: but I did include Boston with the parlay, which did 13 00:00:53,640 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: not come in because of well, betting parlays is a 14 00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 1: bad idea, so that went down unfortunately. But the hockey 15 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:03,600 Speaker 1: game that did not go the way I wanted it to. 16 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: It was a three to two win for the Buffalo Sabers, 17 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 1: so that is a one in two night for us. 18 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:14,160 Speaker 1: We get the Michigan game correct, Michigan with a big 19 00:01:14,200 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: win on the road against the Aliani. There now ten 20 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:18,640 Speaker 1: and zero on the road, so that was a good 21 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,240 Speaker 1: play there. But the NBA play does not come in. 22 00:01:21,319 --> 00:01:23,120 Speaker 1: The Panthers play does not come in. But if you 23 00:01:23,120 --> 00:01:25,040 Speaker 1: bet the Celtics game was a two and two days, 24 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 1: so kind of a flat down point one or officially 25 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:31,240 Speaker 1: down one point one for us. But it's why being 26 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:34,080 Speaker 1: on the Discord channel and sometimes a good thing. I'll 27 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 1: find my way into a bet that I like and 28 00:01:36,120 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 1: I'll tell you about it, and we won't make it official, 29 00:01:38,720 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 1: but we'll put it on the Discord channel, and a 30 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 1: bunch of you guys did capitalize on that bet. So 31 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,280 Speaker 1: if you've not joined the Discord channel, bettingpros dot com, 32 00:01:47,319 --> 00:01:50,160 Speaker 1: slash Chat and I hang out in the Daily Juice 33 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: channel there on our discord all the time. Now I 34 00:01:54,000 --> 00:01:55,680 Speaker 1: won't be in there. I'll be in there the other day. 35 00:01:55,800 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: I got a ton of basketball I'm gonna watch all 36 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: day long. Can't wait. Great game. I'm going to a 37 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 1: concert with my daughter on the Strip in Vegas tonight. 38 00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: If you guys are familiar with the band The Head 39 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:10,680 Speaker 1: and the Heart, they're playing a fifteen year anniversary show 40 00:02:10,680 --> 00:02:13,920 Speaker 1: tonight where they're playing their debut album from start to finish. 41 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 1: If you know that band, you know why that's cool. 42 00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:18,200 Speaker 1: So I'm taking my daughter to go see that tonight 43 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 1: at virgin So I'm excited for that. So I won't 44 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 1: be around at night, but I will be around during 45 00:02:22,480 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: the day on the Discord channel watching college basketball with 46 00:02:25,080 --> 00:02:27,080 Speaker 1: you guys. I got three bets for you coming up 47 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,240 Speaker 1: here for today. No, it does not include the Creating 48 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 1: Blue Jays, although I do think on Senior Day not 49 00:02:33,160 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: a bad day to back the Jays at home. They 50 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,840 Speaker 1: tend to play well, it's providence they're not very good 51 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:42,519 Speaker 1: Senior Day, so I don't mind a bet on the 52 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:44,639 Speaker 1: Jay is today. I don't mind a bet on the 53 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 1: under for Duke in Virginia to start the day. I 54 00:02:47,880 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: don't think that game is going to be very high scoring. 55 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:51,920 Speaker 1: Virginia's gonna take the air out of the ball, not 56 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:54,360 Speaker 1: let Duke get after it, so don't mind to play there. 57 00:02:54,400 --> 00:02:57,520 Speaker 1: But those are not official bets, just plays that if 58 00:02:57,520 --> 00:02:59,040 Speaker 1: you want to take. I'll have a ton of bets 59 00:02:59,080 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 1: going today, but these are my three official plays. So 60 00:03:01,800 --> 00:03:03,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna give you here in just one second. But 61 00:03:03,760 --> 00:03:06,959 Speaker 1: first we need to tell you about our friends at 62 00:03:06,960 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: hard Rock Bet. They are the title sponsor of the 63 00:03:09,400 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast. 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Are playing? 73 00:03:51,960 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 1: Get my English? Right here on a Friday night. Here's 74 00:03:54,720 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 1: where we start with. Okay, three bets all in college basketball. 75 00:03:58,480 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 1: Let's start with Kansas and Arizona. Fifteenth ranked KU according 76 00:04:05,280 --> 00:04:10,120 Speaker 1: to Ken Palm. Third ranked Arizona. Now Darreon Peterson didn't 77 00:04:10,120 --> 00:04:12,480 Speaker 1: play in the first game. He had an illness. It 78 00:04:12,480 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 1: didn't matter. KU won the game, so Peterson's expected to 79 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:20,360 Speaker 1: play in this game. And the number is ten and 80 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: a half. I'm a little bit confused. I'm not gonna lie. 81 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:30,920 Speaker 1: I'm a little confused by this number. Kansas has won 82 00:04:31,000 --> 00:04:34,000 Speaker 1: eight of their last ten and covered in seven of 83 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 1: their last ten. Arizona is five and five over their 84 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:42,679 Speaker 1: last ten games against the number. They're eight and two 85 00:04:43,440 --> 00:04:48,520 Speaker 1: straight up. But Arizona at home hasn't been good to cover. 86 00:04:48,880 --> 00:04:52,760 Speaker 1: In their last two games against BYU and Texas Tech, 87 00:04:53,040 --> 00:04:55,680 Speaker 1: they were laying ten and a half, same number as 88 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 1: tonight didn't cover, and they were laying nine and a 89 00:04:58,360 --> 00:05:03,160 Speaker 1: half against Texas Tech didn't cover. K you already beat 90 00:05:03,200 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 1: Arizona and they're catching ten and a half points. They 91 00:05:06,560 --> 00:05:11,640 Speaker 1: beat Arizona without Peterson and now Peterson is expected to 92 00:05:11,839 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 1: play and the numbers ten and a half. Look, I'm 93 00:05:18,040 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 1: wrong all the time, Okay, sometimes I don't know what 94 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 1: the heck I'm talking about. But this is a ten 95 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:33,280 Speaker 1: point win. According to KEMPOM four, Arizona seventy nine sixty nine. Okay, 96 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:36,799 Speaker 1: but given the way that KU has played this year, 97 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:42,600 Speaker 1: you have a KU defense that's tenth in efficiency up 98 00:05:42,640 --> 00:05:48,200 Speaker 1: against the eighth ranked offensive efficient offense in Arizona KU's defense, 99 00:05:48,240 --> 00:05:53,160 Speaker 1: they are fifth in effective field goal percentage. They travel 100 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 1: with their defense, they're sixteenth and three point defense. They're 101 00:05:56,320 --> 00:06:00,480 Speaker 1: tenth in two point defense. Arizona's offense is good. They're 102 00:06:00,560 --> 00:06:03,599 Speaker 1: eighth in efficiency forty fifth in effective field goal percentage 103 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:06,400 Speaker 1: eightieth and three point shooting, and fifty second and two 104 00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:10,039 Speaker 1: point shooting. But KU's offense, I mean they're facing a 105 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:14,760 Speaker 1: very good defense for Arizona third inefficiency, seventh in effective 106 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:17,880 Speaker 1: field goal percentage on defense for Arizona forty six and 107 00:06:17,920 --> 00:06:21,359 Speaker 1: then three point defense. They're fourth in two point defense. 108 00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: This could be a very low scoring, grinding type of 109 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:28,040 Speaker 1: game and the game goes under. If the game goes under, 110 00:06:28,160 --> 00:06:31,760 Speaker 1: I like points. I like the dog. KU may not 111 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: win the game, but I think KU keeps it within 112 00:06:34,560 --> 00:06:38,080 Speaker 1: double digits. I think they lose by single digits. Mchail 113 00:06:38,160 --> 00:06:40,960 Speaker 1: Memorial Call Center is an awesome venue. It's going to 114 00:06:41,000 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 1: be a rocking atmosphere out west here. It's a one 115 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:47,839 Speaker 1: o'clock Pacific time start, four pm Eastern time start for 116 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:52,960 Speaker 1: KU and Arizona. But I'm taking points. Give me the points. 117 00:06:53,320 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: I'm going KU plus ten and a half up against 118 00:06:56,040 --> 00:07:00,640 Speaker 1: Arizona for one point one units. Two games are in 119 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 1: the SEC. Let's go to Alabama against Tennessee. Alabama lost 120 00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:10,880 Speaker 1: the first matchup between these two teams in Alabama. They 121 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 1: were laying three and a half points and they lost 122 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: the game outright. Tennessee, in fact, has won five straight 123 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 1: games against Alabama. Believe me, that does not sit well 124 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:26,040 Speaker 1: here with Alabama to lose to Tennessee this much in 125 00:07:26,120 --> 00:07:29,840 Speaker 1: college basketball, in particular, because how good Nate Oates has been. 126 00:07:30,560 --> 00:07:33,840 Speaker 1: Alabama eight and two straight up over their last ten games, 127 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:37,680 Speaker 1: but just four and six against the number. Tennessee. Eight 128 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,160 Speaker 1: and two also straight up for them, But they're six 129 00:07:40,240 --> 00:07:43,760 Speaker 1: and four against the number. This has been ticking up. 130 00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:45,800 Speaker 1: It opened at four and a half. We're up to 131 00:07:46,000 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: five and a half here. You may very well get 132 00:07:48,120 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 1: a six here with this number for Alabama up against Tennessee. 133 00:07:53,000 --> 00:07:57,360 Speaker 1: But I like the tide and the tide. I think 134 00:07:57,360 --> 00:08:00,320 Speaker 1: this is maybe a chance for them to split with Tennessee. 135 00:08:00,440 --> 00:08:04,440 Speaker 1: Where Tennessee one in Tuscaloosa and now here in Knoxville, 136 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:08,360 Speaker 1: Alabama goes up there and repays the favor. These teams 137 00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: very similarly. You know, in terms of stats, it's a 138 00:08:11,960 --> 00:08:16,560 Speaker 1: four point win. According to Ken Palm numbers five and 139 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:21,120 Speaker 1: a half. Alabama's offense is third inefficiency. They're up against 140 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:26,000 Speaker 1: the fourteenth most difficion defense in Tennessee. Alabama's pace of play, 141 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:29,840 Speaker 1: Like we talked about their average possession length is seventh 142 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:33,960 Speaker 1: in the country fifteen point two seconds, but Tennessee grinds it. 143 00:08:34,600 --> 00:08:37,319 Speaker 1: They are two hundred and forty third on defense. They 144 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:40,160 Speaker 1: make you work, and on the flip side, Tennessee two 145 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:44,720 Speaker 1: hundred and fourth, two hundred and fourth for their average 146 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:47,720 Speaker 1: posession length on offense against Alabama, they try to make 147 00:08:47,720 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 1: you play fast, thirty third in terms of defense and speed. 148 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 1: Effective field goal percentage, Tennessee is not very good, one 149 00:08:55,240 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 1: hundred and thirty second versus the sixtieth best defense for 150 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:02,600 Speaker 1: effective field one percentage. The three ball is not the 151 00:09:02,640 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 1: friend of the balls. They're one hundred and thirty ninth 152 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 1: in three point shooting. They're one hundred and fortieth and 153 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 1: two point shooting. We know Bama can shoot threes fifty 154 00:09:10,880 --> 00:09:14,400 Speaker 1: ninth in the country. Alabama getting forty one point nine 155 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:17,640 Speaker 1: percent of their points from behind the arc. That is 156 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: six in the country. Bama hits their threes, Bama should 157 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:25,000 Speaker 1: win this game. If Bama doesn't, they may struggle. Tennessee 158 00:09:25,080 --> 00:09:27,760 Speaker 1: is twenty second in three point defense. They clearly are 159 00:09:27,800 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 1: good and difficult to score on from behind the arc. 160 00:09:30,880 --> 00:09:34,920 Speaker 1: But again Tennessee one in Tuscaloosa. I think Alabama might 161 00:09:34,920 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 1: return the favor. I don't hate a money line play 162 00:09:37,520 --> 00:09:40,800 Speaker 1: here with Alabama to win on the road against Tennessee 163 00:09:40,840 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 1: and snap this win streak that the Balls have over 164 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:46,199 Speaker 1: the Crimson Tide. But to be safe, let's just go 165 00:09:46,200 --> 00:09:49,240 Speaker 1: ahead and take the points Alabama plus five and a half. 166 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:51,360 Speaker 1: That should be minus one ten, not plus one ten, 167 00:09:51,400 --> 00:09:55,120 Speaker 1: but minus one ten for one point one units. And 168 00:09:55,280 --> 00:09:59,240 Speaker 1: finally we go to Arkansas and Florida and these this 169 00:09:59,320 --> 00:10:01,720 Speaker 1: number really is a prize me because I told you 170 00:10:01,720 --> 00:10:06,080 Speaker 1: guys a couple days ago, I am done fading Florida, 171 00:10:06,120 --> 00:10:08,440 Speaker 1: like not not doing it numbers nine and a half. 172 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,959 Speaker 1: Arkansas on the road this year is eight and four 173 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:18,440 Speaker 1: to the under. Florida at home this year is eight 174 00:10:18,840 --> 00:10:23,000 Speaker 1: four and one to the under. Florida in the SEC 175 00:10:23,320 --> 00:10:27,400 Speaker 1: is nine five and one to the under. Well, Arkansas 176 00:10:27,440 --> 00:10:30,120 Speaker 1: is eight and seven to the over. Their last three 177 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 1: games have gone over against Texa and m Missouri and Alabama, 178 00:10:35,200 --> 00:10:38,040 Speaker 1: but this number being one sixty nine and a half. 179 00:10:38,640 --> 00:10:41,439 Speaker 1: Two of the last three games going under, including the 180 00:10:41,520 --> 00:10:45,080 Speaker 1: last home game for Florida going under against South Carolina 181 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 1: where it was one fifty four and a half and 182 00:10:47,400 --> 00:10:50,120 Speaker 1: it went under. I think when you look at the 183 00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:54,679 Speaker 1: way these teams are going to play, this is just 184 00:10:54,960 --> 00:10:57,400 Speaker 1: Florida has just done this to a lot of teams. 185 00:10:57,640 --> 00:11:00,160 Speaker 1: They've just sort of taken the air out of the 186 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:03,760 Speaker 1: ball and not allowed teams to get up and down 187 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:07,199 Speaker 1: because they're so long, they're so difficult to face, and 188 00:11:07,240 --> 00:11:10,280 Speaker 1: they're just a tough defensive team and they play even 189 00:11:10,480 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 1: harder at home. That's why the number is at nine 190 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,000 Speaker 1: and a half. It is somewhat tempting to go ahead 191 00:11:15,040 --> 00:11:17,120 Speaker 1: and just take the number and just say, Okay, we'll 192 00:11:17,200 --> 00:11:19,600 Speaker 1: lay the nine and a half with Florida. But I mean, 193 00:11:19,679 --> 00:11:23,360 Speaker 1: Arkansas has some talent, and Arkansas can you know, sometimes 194 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 1: Arkansas can get themselves hot, and they've played well recently. 195 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:30,800 Speaker 1: I like Arkansas's team chances in the NUBA Tournament, so 196 00:11:30,840 --> 00:11:34,120 Speaker 1: I'm not really looking to lay that type of number 197 00:11:34,160 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 1: here with Florida, given it's a conference game, and I 198 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,800 Speaker 1: could see this game being a bit tighter than people think. 199 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 1: I love the Gators in the NUBA tournaments. I think 200 00:11:44,200 --> 00:11:47,520 Speaker 1: they're going to be a completely horrific team to face 201 00:11:47,960 --> 00:11:50,560 Speaker 1: because of their length and their rebounding ability. But if 202 00:11:50,600 --> 00:11:54,160 Speaker 1: they hit their threes, good luck. Like you're just going 203 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:56,360 Speaker 1: to be really up against it if you have to 204 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: play it against Florida. But rather than laying the nine 205 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 1: and a half points, I think we can come in 206 00:12:01,400 --> 00:12:04,120 Speaker 1: and take the under here in this game and feel 207 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:07,600 Speaker 1: pretty good about taking the under between these two teams, 208 00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:10,160 Speaker 1: and I just think we're going to see a lower 209 00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 1: scoring game than some people think on this one sixty 210 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:16,559 Speaker 1: nine and a half. Again, I like Florida, but I 211 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 1: would prefer just to lay the points here. I mean 212 00:12:19,240 --> 00:12:22,360 Speaker 1: play the under, not lay the points. Under one sixty 213 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: nine and a half for Arkansas and Florida at minus 214 00:12:25,920 --> 00:12:29,520 Speaker 1: one ten. So three plays in college basketball for US 215 00:12:29,559 --> 00:12:32,600 Speaker 1: here today on a Saturday, Ku plus ten and a half, 216 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:37,000 Speaker 1: Alabama plus five and a half, Arkansas at Florida under 217 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:41,520 Speaker 1: one sixty nine and a half for US here today. 218 00:12:41,760 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 1: It's going to be a pretty big basketball weekend. Spurs 219 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,560 Speaker 1: play against the Knicks coming up on Sunday. That's going 220 00:12:47,640 --> 00:12:49,560 Speaker 1: to be a lot of fun looking forward to that. 221 00:12:49,720 --> 00:12:51,800 Speaker 1: Minus Matt Parolt, you guys can follow me across all 222 00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 1: my socials at Sports Talk Matt every morning wherever you 223 00:12:54,679 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: guys get your podcasts. It is the Daily Juice Pside 224 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: Dinside psent from the center present Center