1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:07,040 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 2: This is the Bloomberg daybreakurate podcast, available every morning on Apple, 3 00:00:13,000 --> 00:00:16,120 Speaker 2: Spotify or wherever you listen. It's Thursday, the twenty ninth 4 00:00:16,120 --> 00:00:19,599 Speaker 2: of May in London. I'm Caroline Hepcot. Coming up today. 5 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:23,760 Speaker 2: Trump's tariffs blocked. A US trade court rules that most 6 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 2: of the US presidents sweeping global levies are illegal. Markets 7 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 2: gain as traders digest the latest twist in the trade story, 8 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:36,680 Speaker 2: as well as upbeat Nvidia earnings. Plus the UK government 9 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 2: says that it is prepared to use legislation to force 10 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:44,400 Speaker 2: pension funds to invest in private markets and the domestic economy. 11 00:00:44,840 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 2: Let's start with a roundup of our top stories. A 12 00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:50,640 Speaker 2: US trade court has blocked most of President Donald Trump's 13 00:00:50,640 --> 00:00:54,040 Speaker 2: global tariffs. A panel of three judges at the US 14 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:58,440 Speaker 2: Court of International Trade in Manhattan issued a unanimous ruling 15 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 2: that they were illegally in posed under an emergency law. 16 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:06,360 Speaker 2: The judges rejected the government's argument that President Trump had 17 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 2: authority to unilaterally issue tariffs under a law intended to 18 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:16,120 Speaker 2: address financial transactions during national emergencies. The court has ordered 19 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 2: the tariffs to be stopped within ten calendar days. We 20 00:01:20,040 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 2: got reaction from the former IMF Chief economist Olivier Blanchard. 21 00:01:24,959 --> 00:01:27,759 Speaker 3: A not a legal scholar, but it was clear that 22 00:01:27,800 --> 00:01:31,040 Speaker 3: the so called reciprocity tariffs, which was ten percent of 23 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:35,360 Speaker 3: cost of ward, doesn't have a national security justification, which 24 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 3: is when he has used to actually put tariffs. 25 00:01:37,680 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 2: So I think this one is. 26 00:01:38,600 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 3: Probably in trouble and there's going to be legal steps, right, 27 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 3: but I suspect that he will have to think this 28 00:01:45,959 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 3: one off. You're replaced by something he will basically, I 29 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 3: think tried to get tariffs against particular countries. We'll see 30 00:01:53,680 --> 00:01:56,920 Speaker 3: how it goes. It's just one more level of uncertainty. 31 00:01:58,000 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: Olivier Blanchard, now of the Peas Institute, speaking there to 32 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,559 Speaker 2: Bloomberg as President Trump's Justice Department said that it will 33 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 2: appeal the ruling. A White House spokesperson added that it 34 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 2: is not for unelected judges to decide how to properly 35 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:17,160 Speaker 2: address a national emergency. The order covers President Trump's global 36 00:02:17,200 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: ten percent flat tariff increased rates on China and other countries, 37 00:02:21,919 --> 00:02:26,920 Speaker 2: as well as fentanyl related levees on China, Canada, and Mexico. 38 00:02:27,520 --> 00:02:31,520 Speaker 2: Other tariffs imposed under different powers by President Trump, including 39 00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 2: on steel, aluminium, and vehicles remain in place now. The 40 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,880 Speaker 2: court's ruling has led to a surge in stock markets, 41 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:43,680 Speaker 2: the S and P five hundred and Nasdaka futures gaining 42 00:02:43,720 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 2: one point six percent and two percent, respectively, while shares 43 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 2: in Asia are rising zero point six percent on the news. Meanwhile, 44 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:54,720 Speaker 2: the dollar strengthened on the decision, but it remains significantly 45 00:02:54,760 --> 00:02:59,120 Speaker 2: down from its February high. Timothy Murray is Chief Asia 46 00:02:59,160 --> 00:03:03,160 Speaker 2: Pacific equitiesash is at Goldman Sachs. He's urging caution on 47 00:03:03,240 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 2: the possible upside for markets. 48 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:09,079 Speaker 4: With the SMP and other global market serving rallied well 49 00:03:09,120 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 4: over twenty percent from the lows in early April. April seventh, 50 00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:15,960 Speaker 4: the SMP aple night for the mscaa Asia Pacific Extrapan Index, 51 00:03:16,320 --> 00:03:18,560 Speaker 4: a lot of optimism has already been priced in, so 52 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:20,120 Speaker 4: I think it's we have to say this is a 53 00:03:20,120 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 4: fundamentally constructive development from the standpoint of lowering tariff risk, 54 00:03:24,840 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 4: but not all the risk is off the table and 55 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:27,639 Speaker 4: markets have well priced there. 56 00:03:28,440 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 2: Timothy Murray as that while this might be considered a 57 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:35,200 Speaker 2: body blow, it's not the final rendering. Now. The comments 58 00:03:35,240 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 2: come after President Trump's century high tariffs and his plan 59 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 2: to cut taxes in the US, which has spooked investors 60 00:03:42,720 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 2: who caught onto a Cell America trade and mid concerns 61 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:51,000 Speaker 2: that the trade will would hurt global growth. Now, in 62 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,560 Speaker 2: other news this morning, billionaire Elon Musk has announced that 63 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:57,840 Speaker 2: he's stepping down from President Trump's administration. The Tesla CEO 64 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,400 Speaker 2: shared on x yesterday that his time i'm as a 65 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,280 Speaker 2: formal advisor in the White House is over. By law, 66 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:06,640 Speaker 2: Musk's status as a temporary government worker was set to 67 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,720 Speaker 2: expire as soon as tomorrow, the exact date determined by 68 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 2: the number of days worked. This was raised questions about 69 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:16,960 Speaker 2: the Department of Government efficiency effort that he spearheaded, which 70 00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: fell short of its own high expectations for cost savings. 71 00:04:21,480 --> 00:04:25,960 Speaker 2: His departure comes shortly after Musk criticized the Presiden's flagship 72 00:04:26,040 --> 00:04:28,799 Speaker 2: tax bill in a recent interview, and after he told 73 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 2: Tesla investors in April that he would devote more time 74 00:04:32,520 --> 00:04:36,760 Speaker 2: to the firm. In earnings news, n Vidia CEO Jensen 75 00:04:36,839 --> 00:04:40,119 Speaker 2: Wong says that Chinese AI rivals are taking on US 76 00:04:40,200 --> 00:04:44,560 Speaker 2: firms as their technology develops. Speaking to Blueberg, he warned 77 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,000 Speaker 2: the companies like Huawei and others are filling the void 78 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:52,679 Speaker 2: left by the American departure from the Chinese market. 79 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:59,240 Speaker 4: Without American technology, the availability of Chinese technology will fill 80 00:04:59,279 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 4: the market. 81 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 2: And so you know, whatever we offer has. 82 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,320 Speaker 4: To at least at least be competitive and has to 83 00:05:05,360 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 4: add value to the market. 84 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:10,599 Speaker 2: That was Nvidia's Jensen Wong speaking their too Bloomberg. He 85 00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 2: went on to highlight the shrinking gap between US products 86 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:19,320 Speaker 2: and their Chinese alternatives, pointing to similarities between Huilawei's latest 87 00:05:19,360 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 2: AI chip and Nvidia's own Age twenty product. US restrictions 88 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,440 Speaker 2: on experts to China have effectively locked Nvidia out of 89 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,640 Speaker 2: the country, and this is the largest market for chips 90 00:05:30,640 --> 00:05:34,160 Speaker 2: in the world, causing expected losses of eight billion dollars 91 00:05:34,200 --> 00:05:39,039 Speaker 2: in sales for Nvidia this quarter alone. Bed officials back 92 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:42,039 Speaker 2: to patient stance on interest rates, blaming the rising risk 93 00:05:42,120 --> 00:05:45,599 Speaker 2: from tariffs to both inflation and unemployment in the US. 94 00:05:45,880 --> 00:05:49,240 Speaker 2: The minutes from the Central Bank's May meeting pointed to 95 00:05:49,279 --> 00:05:53,479 Speaker 2: an increase in economic uncertainty since April. Federal Reserve reporter 96 00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:58,160 Speaker 2: Amara mcquai says that the document underlines that wait and 97 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,120 Speaker 2: see approach from many policy made and. 98 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 5: The minutes underscore once again just how much tariffs are 99 00:06:04,160 --> 00:06:07,840 Speaker 5: complicating the economic outlook and how focused FED officials are 100 00:06:07,880 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 5: on ensuring that teriffs do not lead to persistent inflation 101 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 5: or inflation expectations becoming unchecked. 102 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:18,440 Speaker 2: FED reporter Amara Omaqui speaking there, even with the latest 103 00:06:18,560 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 2: tariff reprieve, duties on imports do remain historically elevated, and 104 00:06:23,480 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 2: many businesses have put hiring and investment decisions on hold 105 00:06:27,440 --> 00:06:30,720 Speaker 2: in the US. So that's on those FED minutes, as 106 00:06:30,720 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 2: I say here. In the UK though, very interesting story. 107 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,719 Speaker 2: So the government says that it is planning to require 108 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 2: pension funds to invest in private markets and the domestic economy. 109 00:06:41,800 --> 00:06:44,880 Speaker 2: It's a move that's widely opposed by the City of 110 00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:48,839 Speaker 2: London's investment managers Bloombergs, James Orcock has more now. 111 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:52,800 Speaker 6: Two weeks ago, Chancellor Rachel Reeves gathered with Britain's major 112 00:06:52,839 --> 00:06:55,960 Speaker 6: pension funds to agree to put five percent of their 113 00:06:56,000 --> 00:07:00,240 Speaker 6: assets into UK private markets. Bloomberg aster at the time 114 00:07:00,320 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 6: if she would ever force them into it. 115 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 7: We don't need to mandate them if people are willing 116 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 7: to sign a voluntary accord, and today we've shown that 117 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 7: that is possible. With seventeen businesses representing ninety percent of 118 00:07:12,200 --> 00:07:15,240 Speaker 7: active savers signing up voluntarily to this. 119 00:07:15,920 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 6: Now the Chancellor plans to legislate to give herself the 120 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:22,600 Speaker 6: power to set legally binding targets anyway, just in case 121 00:07:23,320 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 6: some of the CEOs who signed up to the pact 122 00:07:25,280 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 6: are worried they fit acting in the best interests of 123 00:07:28,200 --> 00:07:31,760 Speaker 6: their savers will clash with investing in the government's priorities. 124 00:07:31,920 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 6: In London, James Wilcock, Bloomberg Radio. 125 00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:37,240 Speaker 2: So those are a few of our top stories for 126 00:07:37,400 --> 00:07:40,920 Speaker 2: you this morning. Let's think about the markets then, as 127 00:07:40,960 --> 00:07:44,880 Speaker 2: we do see this another tariff bombshell. Mascias specific INDATEX 128 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:47,280 Speaker 2: up by six cents of one percent. You've got the 129 00:07:47,280 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 2: cost beat up by one point seven percent. Japanese stocks 130 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,880 Speaker 2: hired this morning, and the stock futures are flying right now. 131 00:07:54,000 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 2: Nasdaq futures up almost two percent. S and P five 132 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,840 Speaker 2: hundred evenly features up one point six percent. European stop 133 00:08:00,000 --> 00:08:02,360 Speaker 2: which is also up by one point three percent this 134 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:06,600 Speaker 2: morning on this ruling by the court in Manhattan. As 135 00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:10,200 Speaker 2: for ten yere treasury yields, they trade currently at four 136 00:08:10,240 --> 00:08:13,520 Speaker 2: point five percent by a couple of basis points this morning, 137 00:08:13,520 --> 00:08:16,480 Speaker 2: and the dollar is also stronger by a quarter of 138 00:08:16,480 --> 00:08:19,880 Speaker 2: one percent on the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index this morning. 139 00:08:20,200 --> 00:08:23,280 Speaker 2: There is still, though, you have to lay into the 140 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:27,120 Speaker 2: enthusiasm in markets for the reversal of tariffs, the fact 141 00:08:27,160 --> 00:08:29,800 Speaker 2: that it could also set up a major clash effectively 142 00:08:29,800 --> 00:08:32,960 Speaker 2: between the US judiciary and the executive branch. So maybe 143 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:36,280 Speaker 2: there's more uncertainty for tariffs to come. Anyway. We're going 144 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:38,440 Speaker 2: to talk a bit more in a moment with all 145 00:08:38,440 --> 00:08:42,600 Speaker 2: the analysis about that US Trade Court decision blocking President 146 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 2: Trump's global tariffs, and we'll also get you the market 147 00:08:45,720 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 2: reaction to it. It's hugely important story. But before we 148 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,600 Speaker 2: get to that, there's something else that has caught my 149 00:08:52,640 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 2: eye this morning. Traders do always love a pithy term 150 00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:59,400 Speaker 2: for a big idea, don't they, Tina, there's no alternative 151 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:03,800 Speaker 2: fomo fear of missing out and now Taco Trump always 152 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:06,319 Speaker 2: chickens out. Have you heard this phrase? It has been 153 00:09:06,320 --> 00:09:12,000 Speaker 2: adopted by traders investors basically seizing on market declines right 154 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 2: after the president makes tariff threats because they expect him 155 00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:18,679 Speaker 2: ultimately to relent. For example, when he did that last 156 00:09:18,679 --> 00:09:20,960 Speaker 2: week with Europe and the thread of fifty percent tarifs 157 00:09:21,040 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 2: and he delayed it. Well, he was asked about this 158 00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:28,480 Speaker 2: very issue. A reporter asked President Trump about this, and 159 00:09:28,559 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: he sounded pretty annoyed about this idea, and he went 160 00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:37,680 Speaker 2: on to explain why he was doing this and the 161 00:09:37,720 --> 00:09:39,880 Speaker 2: idea about negotiation. Have listened to what he said. 162 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,599 Speaker 8: It's called negotiation. You set a number, and if you 163 00:09:43,679 --> 00:09:45,360 Speaker 8: go down. You know, if I set a number at 164 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:48,400 Speaker 8: a ridiculous high number and I go down a little bit, 165 00:09:48,559 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 8: you know a little bit, they want me to hold 166 00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 8: that number. One hundred and forty five percent tariff even. 167 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:56,600 Speaker 8: I said, man, that really got up. You know how 168 00:09:56,600 --> 00:09:59,480 Speaker 8: it got because of fent and all and many other things, 169 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 8: and you hit it it up. I said, where are 170 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:04,959 Speaker 8: we now? We're one hundred and forty five percent. I said, whoa, 171 00:10:05,120 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 8: that's high. 172 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,920 Speaker 2: President Trump there, Well, he bristled. Really the idea that 173 00:10:09,960 --> 00:10:14,000 Speaker 2: traders sort of see his draconian trade threats as blustered 174 00:10:14,160 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 2: by any big sell off related to Trump tariff threats. 175 00:10:17,320 --> 00:10:20,280 Speaker 2: But of course that was before the tariffs were blocked 176 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,120 Speaker 2: by a panel of three judges in the United States. 177 00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 2: So one story that really caught my eye today. But 178 00:10:26,920 --> 00:10:30,320 Speaker 2: speaking of that, court decision. Let's get more details on it. 179 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:35,440 Speaker 2: Because those judges blocking most of President Trump's global tariffs, 180 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:39,800 Speaker 2: deeming them illegal something that Trump administration is appealing. So 181 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,320 Speaker 2: what does the ruling mean? Joining us now our Hong 182 00:10:42,400 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 2: Kong News Desk editor Jill Desis, Good morning, Jill. Which 183 00:10:46,600 --> 00:10:50,400 Speaker 2: tariffs is the court blocking and which remain? Can you 184 00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:51,520 Speaker 2: sort through them? 185 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,640 Speaker 9: Yes, Good morning, Caroline. So, as you just said, this 186 00:10:54,720 --> 00:10:58,000 Speaker 9: is a pretty significant ruling because it actually does affect 187 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:01,640 Speaker 9: most of the Trump tariffs. This is specifically targeting the 188 00:11:01,640 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 9: ones that he invoked through executive order. The idea behind 189 00:11:06,559 --> 00:11:08,480 Speaker 9: it was that he was declaring the use of some 190 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 9: emergency powers in order to affect these tariffs that the 191 00:11:12,520 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 9: court is saying was illegal. And so this is mostly 192 00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:20,640 Speaker 9: the global flat rate tariff that Trump you know, orchestrated, 193 00:11:21,040 --> 00:11:23,720 Speaker 9: also all of those elevated rates on China, some others, 194 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:27,360 Speaker 9: the fentanyl related tariffs on China, Canada and Mexico. So 195 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:31,320 Speaker 9: what it doesn't include are tariffs imposed under different powers. 196 00:11:31,360 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 9: So there's you know, levees that are unaffected. That included 197 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 9: tariffs on steel, aluminum, and automobiles. But aside from that, 198 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 9: I mean, when we're talking about that big blanket global 199 00:11:41,160 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 9: tariff rollout that Trump was talking about. That really being 200 00:11:43,760 --> 00:11:46,400 Speaker 9: the target of this in what's now in question in 201 00:11:46,440 --> 00:11:48,160 Speaker 9: the courts is I think very significant. 202 00:11:48,600 --> 00:11:51,880 Speaker 2: Yeah. Absolutely. This is the IEPA law that President Trump 203 00:11:51,960 --> 00:11:55,680 Speaker 2: cited as a justification for the tariffs, so law dating 204 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 2: back to nineteen seventy seven. Look, the court has given 205 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,080 Speaker 2: the administration ten calendar days to act, but then the 206 00:12:02,080 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 2: government's also appealing the ruling. So what does that mean? 207 00:12:07,320 --> 00:12:09,760 Speaker 9: Well, so this is where it gets very murky. So 208 00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:13,559 Speaker 9: what that court order says is that the administration has 209 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 9: ten days to you know, basically follow this effectuate they said, 210 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,360 Speaker 9: you know, to effectuate the order. But the order also 211 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 9: didn't provide any specific directions of steps that the Trump 212 00:12:24,360 --> 00:12:28,320 Speaker 9: administration must take to unwind the tariffs. I mean, you know, 213 00:12:28,520 --> 00:12:30,640 Speaker 9: it's it's, you know, sort of this idea of okay, well, 214 00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:32,959 Speaker 9: if you've got ten days, that just mean in ten 215 00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,960 Speaker 9: days time, are all the border agents going to stop 216 00:12:35,960 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 9: collecting duties on anything crossing over. I mean it's kind 217 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 9: of you know, difficult to imagine how exactly the Trump 218 00:12:41,559 --> 00:12:44,360 Speaker 9: administration would enforce that, or you know, whether it wants 219 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 9: to enforce that. I guess for one thing. The other 220 00:12:46,920 --> 00:12:49,840 Speaker 9: thing that's really in question here is obviously, because the 221 00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 9: Trump administration is appealing this, so the Trade Court in 222 00:12:54,480 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 9: New York that we've been talking about, that's part of 223 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 9: the US federal court system. So you can imagine a 224 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:01,560 Speaker 9: scenario where, you know, the Trump administration, which is now 225 00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 9: doing this, it's appealing this to a federal appeals court. 226 00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 9: It could it's something that could end up in front 227 00:13:06,120 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 9: of the Supreme Court of the United States. And so 228 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:10,680 Speaker 9: really the question there is whether you know, an appellate 229 00:13:10,720 --> 00:13:13,360 Speaker 9: court or if it does end up before the Supreme Court, 230 00:13:13,440 --> 00:13:17,200 Speaker 9: whether they you know, institute a motion to stay any 231 00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:19,520 Speaker 9: lower court decisions so that you know, we can you know, 232 00:13:19,600 --> 00:13:21,360 Speaker 9: kind of continue to see how all of this is 233 00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:22,760 Speaker 9: going to play up. But again, I think that's just 234 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:25,520 Speaker 9: a long rambling way of saying it's still very murky 235 00:13:25,559 --> 00:13:27,600 Speaker 9: on how exactly you know this this all plays out 236 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 9: right now? 237 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:32,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, okay, So then any response about tariff relief from China, 238 00:13:32,840 --> 00:13:36,280 Speaker 2: of course a major issue between the US and China. 239 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,680 Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean, obviously we're still you know, waiting for 240 00:13:39,760 --> 00:13:41,880 Speaker 9: a response there. I mean, you know, we're we've obviously 241 00:13:41,920 --> 00:13:45,240 Speaker 9: reached out to those relevant channels. But you know, I imagine, 242 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:46,800 Speaker 9: you know, there's got to be something coming down the 243 00:13:46,800 --> 00:13:49,920 Speaker 9: pipeline here. I think at this point, Caroline like just 244 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 9: you know, obviously this isn't the end of the tariff story, 245 00:13:53,960 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 9: and you know, any chance that you know that you know, 246 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 9: a higher court does ultimately say that Trump can go 247 00:13:59,559 --> 00:14:01,199 Speaker 9: ahead with these tariffs, but I do think that it's 248 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 9: just worth highlighting that you know, this this still remains 249 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:06,680 Speaker 9: a blow in the sense that, you know, it adds 250 00:14:06,720 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 9: to that additional uncertainty over whether Trump can enforce you know, 251 00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 9: what was really kind of the signature piece of his 252 00:14:12,720 --> 00:14:15,920 Speaker 9: tariff agenda. And when you consider the fact that I think, 253 00:14:15,960 --> 00:14:17,800 Speaker 9: you know, really two things to mention here. I mean, 254 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 9: first of all, there's still a lot of trade deals 255 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,360 Speaker 9: with countries around the world that have not yet been completed, 256 00:14:22,400 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 9: so a big question as to how this actually enters 257 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 9: the negotiations there. And then also, I mean, you know, 258 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 9: the tariffs were kind of held up. Is this idea 259 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 9: of providing revenue to offset you know, the impact from 260 00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,360 Speaker 9: tariffs from Trump's you know, big beautiful tax bill. So 261 00:14:36,440 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 9: I think that there's still a lot to kind of 262 00:14:38,520 --> 00:14:40,200 Speaker 9: juggle here, and I think it's going to be really 263 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 9: really interesting to see whether this goes forward and you know, 264 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 9: whether these tariffs actually end up taking effect. 265 00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:48,000 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, and what the reaction film businesses might be 266 00:14:48,080 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 2: also whether they could be front loading of impults again 267 00:14:51,000 --> 00:14:55,160 Speaker 2: for example, I mean the Federal Reserve minutes yesterday. Also 268 00:14:55,880 --> 00:14:59,280 Speaker 2: they cut down on the growth expectations for the US 269 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:03,320 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six. But that all of that now looks 270 00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,280 Speaker 2: again a bit out of date, doesn't it. 271 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:06,520 Speaker 10: Yeah. 272 00:15:06,640 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 9: I mean, you know, it reminds me of back when 273 00:15:09,400 --> 00:15:11,320 Speaker 9: you know, originally you were seeing some of these tariffs 274 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:14,480 Speaker 9: go into a factor. You had you know, Trump announcing 275 00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:16,880 Speaker 9: you know, just higher tariffs or lower tariffs are changing 276 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 9: his mind on different things. And you know how many 277 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 9: different you know really started investment banks were just revising 278 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:24,840 Speaker 9: their global growth forecasts, you know, left, right and center. 279 00:15:24,920 --> 00:15:26,720 Speaker 9: I mean, it does I think just add to this, 280 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:29,720 Speaker 9: you know, continued story of a lot of uncertainty, as 281 00:15:29,760 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 9: you mentioned, particularly for a lot of those exporters that 282 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 9: have to worry about whether they should continue front loading 283 00:15:34,280 --> 00:15:36,640 Speaker 9: things or whether they should change from their strategies. And 284 00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:38,720 Speaker 9: I think yeah, just really really adds to that that 285 00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 9: overall volatility picture. 286 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:42,960 Speaker 2: It certainly does. Yeah, indeed, and the Fed minutes also 287 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:46,720 Speaker 2: showed that policymakers were boosting their inflation expectations too. But 288 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:50,400 Speaker 2: as you say, it pointed policymakers pointed to uncertainty, you'll 289 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 2: point into uncertainty. Jill, thank you so much for being 290 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:55,200 Speaker 2: with me this morning, our Hong Kong News Desk editor 291 00:15:55,280 --> 00:15:58,240 Speaker 2: Jill de sis Well. Investors, of course, are scrambling to 292 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:01,640 Speaker 2: understand the consequences of the court ruling. Stop futures are 293 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 2: celebrating the dollar's caught a bid, But does it mean 294 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 2: more uncertainty in markets in the days ahead? Our Markets 295 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:12,520 Speaker 2: Live shash is Mary Nicola joins me. Now, Mary, good morning. 296 00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:16,000 Speaker 2: How are markets reacting? How do you see what's going 297 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 2: on with investors? 298 00:16:17,760 --> 00:16:20,480 Speaker 1: Oh, as you pointed out, they're celebrating this. It's just 299 00:16:20,560 --> 00:16:23,160 Speaker 1: been such a good day for stocks. It's been good 300 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 1: day for resentiments, with equity futures rising. You've seen across 301 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 1: the board green even in Asia. So it has been 302 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,880 Speaker 1: a really strong day in terms of the Essentially, the 303 00:16:34,880 --> 00:16:38,520 Speaker 1: Trump administration has been dealt a big blow on tariffs, 304 00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 1: and the market is realizing that this is great news, 305 00:16:42,240 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: especially for growth not only for growth in the US 306 00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 1: but growth globally, So there could be an unwine of 307 00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,600 Speaker 1: just what expectations are for growth, and that's what's really 308 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:54,400 Speaker 1: fueling sentiment. 309 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, does it change things though structurally when it comes 310 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 2: to the US dollar, which has been on this big 311 00:17:01,080 --> 00:17:03,640 Speaker 2: leg lower this morning, we're up a little bit. Does 312 00:17:03,680 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 2: it change the structural set up? So? 313 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:09,479 Speaker 1: I don't think so, because I think there's still a 314 00:17:09,520 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 1: lot of uncertainty out there in terms of how this 315 00:17:12,400 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: all plays out. Does of course, now we're in an 316 00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:19,520 Speaker 1: environment where the Trump administration is going to appeal with 317 00:17:19,560 --> 00:17:22,040 Speaker 1: the courts. Then we're going to see what if it 318 00:17:22,080 --> 00:17:25,399 Speaker 1: gets to the Supreme Court, So it's going to be 319 00:17:25,440 --> 00:17:28,320 Speaker 1: a long drawn out battle and how it ends ends 320 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:32,200 Speaker 1: will be difficult to gauge as of now. So there's 321 00:17:32,280 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 1: still and then of course you have an added concern 322 00:17:35,280 --> 00:17:39,720 Speaker 1: over you know, does does the Trump administration even abide 323 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:42,239 Speaker 1: by the rules of the court and the and the 324 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: court order as we've seen in the in some cases 325 00:17:45,280 --> 00:17:49,720 Speaker 1: recently where they haven't. So it's and that would really 326 00:17:49,960 --> 00:17:53,720 Speaker 1: bring up concerns about the US's rule of law, the 327 00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:58,000 Speaker 1: and and just bring back that Cell America concern the 328 00:17:58,040 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 1: Sell America trade and concern over policies and how they 329 00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:03,760 Speaker 1: are unfolding in the US. 330 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:07,439 Speaker 2: Yeah, so that's what's happening in the US. But of course, 331 00:18:07,880 --> 00:18:11,119 Speaker 2: closer to where you are, the response in China and Asia, 332 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:12,720 Speaker 2: what would you pick out? 333 00:18:13,440 --> 00:18:16,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, I think what has been the clearest thing because 334 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 1: especially in Asia, we've had both the combination of Nvidia 335 00:18:20,680 --> 00:18:24,720 Speaker 1: results and then of course this this terriff reprieve. But 336 00:18:24,840 --> 00:18:28,679 Speaker 1: I think what's interesting is just how currencies have reacted 337 00:18:28,920 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 1: because obviously dollar downside was a big, big, big trade 338 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:35,320 Speaker 1: and then of course we had comments from the Bank 339 00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:40,199 Speaker 1: of Korea governor who said that FX was discussed. So 340 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:44,080 Speaker 1: there is still a lot of appreciation pressure on these currencies, 341 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:47,480 Speaker 1: especially to fix these the imbalances that they have with 342 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:51,919 Speaker 1: the US, and that Yes, sure today we're seeing the 343 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:55,520 Speaker 1: dollar as a rising star, but it still doesn't take 344 00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:59,840 Speaker 1: away the appreciation pressures on the currencies in the region, 345 00:19:00,640 --> 00:19:01,879 Speaker 1: and that's not going to go away. 346 00:19:03,119 --> 00:19:05,840 Speaker 10: This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, your morning brief on the 347 00:19:05,880 --> 00:19:08,960 Speaker 10: stories making news from London to Wall Street and beyond. 348 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:13,200 Speaker 2: Look for us on your podcast feed every morning, on Apple, Spotify, 349 00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 2: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. 350 00:19:15,280 --> 00:19:18,320 Speaker 10: You can also listen live each morning on London DAB Radio, 351 00:19:18,359 --> 00:19:21,080 Speaker 10: the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. 352 00:19:21,080 --> 00:19:23,880 Speaker 2: Our flagship New York station, is also available on your 353 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:28,600 Speaker 2: Amazon Alexa devices. Just say Alexa Play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 354 00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:30,160 Speaker 2: I'm Caroline Hepka and. 355 00:19:30,080 --> 00:19:32,760 Speaker 10: I'm Stephen Carroll. Join us again tomorrow morning for all 356 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:35,200 Speaker 10: the news you need to start your day right here 357 00:19:35,240 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 10: on Bloomberg day Break Europe