WEBVTT - Lamar vs. Jayden 0:00:04.339 --> 0:00:06.699 NFL Game Deview is a production of the NFL in 0:00:06.779 --> 0:00:12.259 partnership with iHeartRadio. 0:00:12.819 --> 0:00:15.819 Everybody opening games about Mercedes Bins have to play making 0:00:15.979 --> 0:00:17.979 right to your friend Sentia Freeland. As you can see, 0:00:18.179 --> 0:00:21.339 we're missing Greg formation. Greg has chosen to abandon us 0:00:21.379 --> 0:00:21.939 to go to London. 0:00:22.339 --> 0:00:24.379 I mean, they just fit send him on the fancy trips. 0:00:24.419 --> 0:00:26.379 He does all the cool fancy things, doing all the 0:00:26.459 --> 0:00:27.819 fancy fanciness whatever. 0:00:28.379 --> 0:00:31.539 But Greg Nation, do not worry. We still have all 0:00:31.619 --> 0:00:34.219 of his picks. And we're also gonna hear from Greg 0:00:34.299 --> 0:00:36.939 in a special message, not just for you guys, but 0:00:37.059 --> 0:00:37.659 for us as well. 0:00:37.779 --> 0:00:40.419 I really hope that it's from his hotel room again, 0:00:40.459 --> 0:00:42.099 because that one was special last year. 0:00:42.179 --> 0:00:44.739 It was like a dimly lit selfie where it's like 0:00:44.779 --> 0:00:47.059 you could see a lamp, like you could be in Sheboygan. 0:00:47.179 --> 0:00:48.899 You have to be in London. If we get to 0:00:48.939 --> 0:00:51.579 look at our season long standings, it is Cynthia still 0:00:51.699 --> 0:00:55.459 rocking the Crown Digital only this time. I was able 0:00:55.499 --> 0:00:57.259 to pick up a game last week to get alive, 0:00:57.539 --> 0:01:01.139 but it could all go horribly wrong this week. I honestly, 0:01:01.779 --> 0:01:04.659 I don't mind if if I'm losing in the standings 0:01:04.659 --> 0:01:07.339 as long as Lamar and the Ravens keep doing stuff 0:01:07.419 --> 0:01:11.739 like this fumbling the snap, Yeah, not just dropping the snap, 0:01:12.259 --> 0:01:15.499 but getting back up a stiff arm of Adrian Harbor twice, 0:01:15.939 --> 0:01:20.219 and then the fade away throw touchdown to Isaiah Likely. 0:01:20.419 --> 0:01:23.259 It was a fun play, a fun moment, and the 0:01:23.419 --> 0:01:26.659 Ravens now winners of three straight and we get a 0:01:26.779 --> 0:01:31.339 big first installment of Lamar versus Jayden this week. Oh 0:01:31.419 --> 0:01:33.899 that meat on the bone is a great game. This 0:01:34.019 --> 0:01:36.659 week the Commanders and the Ravens, two former Heisman Trophy 0:01:36.699 --> 0:01:39.699 winners squaring off on Lamar and Jaden Greg's got Baltimore 0:01:39.939 --> 0:01:42.299 winning by a touchdown. How do you see this game going? 0:01:42.339 --> 0:01:44.139 So I don't have a full touchdown, but I have 0:01:44.339 --> 0:01:46.379 the same winner I have twenty eight to twenty four. 0:01:46.699 --> 0:01:48.899 I just want to talk about Derrick Henry because I 0:01:49.019 --> 0:01:51.499 took some questions this week about is he okay? I'm like, 0:01:51.539 --> 0:01:54.059 what are you talking about? Is he right? Like it's 0:01:54.099 --> 0:01:57.819 okay that you know, other people like Jay Flowers had 0:01:57.939 --> 0:02:00.459 you know, one hundred yards. But when I'm looking at 0:02:00.499 --> 0:02:03.779 the opportunity for him in this matchup, don't forget that 0:02:03.979 --> 0:02:08.539 washing Hington's defense is also on the outsides, specifically very 0:02:08.619 --> 0:02:11.299 susceptible to the run. So I expect another big game 0:02:11.339 --> 0:02:13.859 from Derrick Henry. But this score is close, which means 0:02:14.179 --> 0:02:16.699 it could be a very fun, high scoring game for 0:02:16.899 --> 0:02:19.819 fantasy purposes. So everyone's in play in this game. 0:02:19.939 --> 0:02:21.819 Yeah, and the Commanders have been in a few games 0:02:22.219 --> 0:02:24.659 like that this season. I also have the Baltimore Ravens 0:02:24.699 --> 0:02:28.099 twenty six twenty three. I've loved the improvements from this 0:02:28.259 --> 0:02:30.659 Commander's defense that we've seen in the past couple of weeks, 0:02:30.779 --> 0:02:33.499 but there's a butt here to Coach Quinn's defensive unit. 0:02:33.939 --> 0:02:37.099 Those improvements came against an inconsistent Cardinals team as well 0:02:37.099 --> 0:02:39.899 as one of the worst offenses in the league in Cleveland. 0:02:40.019 --> 0:02:42.779 They've given up eleven touchdown passes on the season. They've 0:02:42.819 --> 0:02:46.659 got no interceptions thus far. If they get a couple here, 0:02:46.739 --> 0:02:49.059 I still believe in the capacity of the Ravens defense 0:02:49.139 --> 0:02:52.059 to make plays Lake, just like they did against Joe Burrow. 0:02:52.779 --> 0:02:55.859 Plus the game's in Baltimore. I've got a Justin Tucker 0:02:55.939 --> 0:02:59.259 field goal as a difference for me. So Commanders fans, 0:02:59.739 --> 0:03:01.659 we love the excitement. You can meme away. 0:03:01.819 --> 0:03:03.939 Does anyone call this like the Battle of the DMV. 0:03:04.539 --> 0:03:07.019 It's well, the folks in Baltimore would prefer the Battle 0:03:07.019 --> 0:03:07.579 of the Beltway. 0:03:07.899 --> 0:03:10.779 They got it that we are not the DMV, understand, 0:03:10.859 --> 0:03:14.339 and so Battle of the Beltway are meme us away. 0:03:14.459 --> 0:03:17.539 Meme get the memes. I did the swing because it's 0:03:17.579 --> 0:03:19.299 like the Beltway series, but this isn't base. 0:03:19.259 --> 0:03:20.019 I get it. I get it. 0:03:20.099 --> 0:03:23.179 Anyway, Thank you. A really fun game. It's going to 0:03:23.219 --> 0:03:26.059 be a long four years barring like a super Bowl 0:03:26.139 --> 0:03:28.459 or a trade or something before we see Jayden and 0:03:28.579 --> 0:03:29.739 Lamar going gets you. 0:03:29.939 --> 0:03:30.459 That's crazy. 0:03:30.539 --> 0:03:33.819 But let's do this guy or that guy passing yards 0:03:33.939 --> 0:03:36.499 two hundred and eighty five, not just passing total yards. 0:03:37.259 --> 0:03:38.539 Jadean Daniels or Lamar Jackson. 0:03:38.699 --> 0:03:40.339 I mean, I wish there could be a secret option 0:03:40.539 --> 0:03:42.579 of both, because I actually think both of them hit 0:03:42.659 --> 0:03:45.099 this number. But I'm actually looking at Lamar Jackson in 0:03:45.179 --> 0:03:48.219 this matchup for both the yards on the ground and 0:03:48.419 --> 0:03:50.419 through the air. In fact, he could get closer to 0:03:50.539 --> 0:03:52.859 that two to eighty five in the air than jade 0:03:52.859 --> 0:03:55.379 and Daniels per my math. So when I'm looking at this, 0:03:55.499 --> 0:03:57.659 it's like Jackson has a great opportunity on the ground 0:03:57.659 --> 0:03:59.379 but he has a good opportunity through the air as well, 0:03:59.419 --> 0:04:01.619 whereas Jayden and Daniels, he'd be more reliant on the 0:04:01.699 --> 0:04:03.859 run game to hit that number. So if that's how 0:04:03.859 --> 0:04:05.739 you want to think about it, then great. I think 0:04:05.819 --> 0:04:08.979 Lamar Jackson absolutely exceeds this total yard number. 0:04:09.499 --> 0:04:11.659 All right, looking forward to that game and we'll move 0:04:11.699 --> 0:04:14.099 on here on game debut. I hate Cynthia to bring 0:04:14.219 --> 0:04:15.139 up some bad memory. 0:04:15.259 --> 0:04:16.499 What are you talking? What are we doing? 0:04:16.619 --> 0:04:19.299 We're going to the last time the Detroit Lions faced 0:04:19.299 --> 0:04:22.059 off against the Dallas Cowboys. We have to just short. Yeah, 0:04:22.099 --> 0:04:24.939 we got a big time rematch between the Lions and 0:04:24.979 --> 0:04:28.419 the Cowboys. Greg's got the Lions winning by ten And Cynthia, 0:04:28.579 --> 0:04:31.099 I believe your squad will get revenge here. Not against 0:04:31.099 --> 0:04:33.779 flags on the field, but against the Dallas Cowboys. 0:04:33.859 --> 0:04:35.819 No flag is safe either, both of them. 0:04:36.419 --> 0:04:38.099 Don't bring any flags of the game. A Lions fan 0:04:38.179 --> 0:04:40.379 will come and get you. I think they win off 0:04:40.459 --> 0:04:42.739 the basis of that run game, and not just how 0:04:42.819 --> 0:04:45.699 good they are at it, but just how bad the 0:04:45.779 --> 0:04:48.499 Cowboys have been this season. I did see some improvement 0:04:48.539 --> 0:04:50.579 last week against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but I'm gonna need 0:04:50.619 --> 0:04:53.179 to see more than that consistently to believe that they 0:04:53.179 --> 0:04:56.059 could play the run against this team, including one of 0:04:56.099 --> 0:04:59.059 the most efficient success rate runners in the entire league 0:04:59.099 --> 0:05:01.539 and David Montgomery. You have to go back to November 0:05:01.619 --> 0:05:04.019 of twenty twenty three, the last time an opponent came 0:05:04.059 --> 0:05:06.139 in to AT and T Stadium. It didn't go for 0:05:06.179 --> 0:05:08.259 one hundred yards. I feel like the only reason that 0:05:08.339 --> 0:05:10.299 didn't happen was because it was a score fest between 0:05:10.379 --> 0:05:13.339 Geno Smith and Dak. I see the Lions running all 0:05:13.419 --> 0:05:14.139 over the Cowboys. 0:05:14.459 --> 0:05:16.979 I love that. I also have the Lions in this 0:05:17.139 --> 0:05:21.539 matchup twenty six to twenty four is my Yes, we've 0:05:21.579 --> 0:05:24.619 got that really ferocious Rory the Lion. Who's my favorite? 0:05:24.659 --> 0:05:27.339 Do you know that Dak Prescott is undefeated against three teams? 0:05:27.699 --> 0:05:29.659 One is the Steelers, one is the Bengals, and the 0:05:29.739 --> 0:05:32.419 third is the Lions on five tricks. That is no 0:05:32.579 --> 0:05:35.339 more after this game. Why because the defense is improved 0:05:35.379 --> 0:05:37.059 and one of the areas you can see it is 0:05:37.139 --> 0:05:40.739 one Kirby Joseph. Yes, he was limited on the injury report, 0:05:40.819 --> 0:05:44.139 but he has played lights freaking out this season. He's 0:05:44.139 --> 0:05:48.059 allowed as many receptions three as he has interceptions also three, 0:05:48.299 --> 0:05:51.659 this guy has a zero point zero passer rating allowed 0:05:51.739 --> 0:05:55.019 in coverage. You can't you truly can't get better than that. 0:05:55.419 --> 0:05:57.659 It is impossible that aod as you can. It is 0:05:57.779 --> 0:06:00.699 truly impossible. So it's just one of the ways that 0:06:00.819 --> 0:06:03.139 you see a difference in the defense. This year. We 0:06:03.339 --> 0:06:06.459 saw c d. Lamb run Rough shot over the Lions 0:06:06.539 --> 0:06:09.139 defense last year. This is a remade defense. And that 0:06:09.339 --> 0:06:11.579 is one example you can speak to and be like, hey, 0:06:11.819 --> 0:06:13.619 this guy's on the team last year, but everything is 0:06:13.659 --> 0:06:14.219 different now. 0:06:14.819 --> 0:06:18.139 Yet they play a lot of men away, but the 0:06:18.299 --> 0:06:20.779 men back there have gotten better and they haven't for talent. 0:06:21.019 --> 0:06:22.899 And I also love that the lower scale of passer 0:06:22.979 --> 0:06:25.939 rating makes sense. Zero makes sense to me. One fifty 0:06:25.979 --> 0:06:26.779 eight point three. 0:06:26.939 --> 0:06:28.339 Do you know do you know what it is when 0:06:28.339 --> 0:06:30.139 you throw it into the ground? Well said thirty nine 0:06:30.139 --> 0:06:30.619 point six. 0:06:31.339 --> 0:06:35.619 It's fun. It's fun. Why Not Face is a showdown 0:06:35.699 --> 0:06:38.259 between former number one overall picks and it's going down 0:06:38.699 --> 0:06:43.299 with Greg in London. Live from London, Trevor Lawrence and 0:06:43.379 --> 0:06:45.739 the Jaguars take on Kayleb Williams and the Bears on 0:06:45.899 --> 0:06:49.899 NFL Network, Rise, Shine and Watch Sunday, October thirteenth and 0:06:49.979 --> 0:06:52.299 nine to thirty am Eastern only on NFL Network and 0:06:52.539 --> 0:06:57.739 NFL Plus subscription is required for NFL Plus. It is 0:06:57.819 --> 0:07:00.659 the Jags and the Bears at Tottenham Hotspurs Stadium. The 0:07:00.779 --> 0:07:03.379 Bears have rolled off two straight wins, while the Jags 0:07:03.419 --> 0:07:06.619 picked up their first win against Indy at home last week. 0:07:06.699 --> 0:07:09.939 So let's check in with Greg Rolsenthal in London for 0:07:10.019 --> 0:07:10.379 his pick. 0:07:12.179 --> 0:07:13.939 All right, you guys gave you so much grief about 0:07:13.979 --> 0:07:16.539 my location last time. This time, I'm in the Greenwood 0:07:16.659 --> 0:07:20.899 Sports Up, the official home of the Chicago Bears this week, 0:07:21.019 --> 0:07:22.739 so there's no mystery who I'm taking it. 0:07:22.939 --> 0:07:23.899 In Jax Spears. 0:07:23.979 --> 0:07:26.699 It's the Caleb Williams coming out party. I think this 0:07:26.779 --> 0:07:28.779 is a one sided game. I always grew for great 0:07:28.819 --> 0:07:31.059 games in London, but I think this Bears defense has 0:07:31.099 --> 0:07:33.859 played so well. They shut down Trevor Lawrence and Caleb 0:07:33.859 --> 0:07:38.499 Williams gives you some of those USC Heisman Trophy winning plays. 0:07:38.899 --> 0:07:42.459 Big performance. Bears win twenty nine to ten. This will 0:07:42.459 --> 0:07:43.779 get on the good side of our Bears. 0:07:43.859 --> 0:07:44.299 Producer. 0:07:44.859 --> 0:07:47.739 There it is with sweetness alongside. Thank you, Greg. So 0:07:47.859 --> 0:07:49.979 he's rolling with the Bears. How are you feeling about this. 0:07:50.139 --> 0:07:52.579 I actually have the exact same score and winner as Greg, 0:07:52.619 --> 0:07:55.299 which is hilarious. And by the way, Greg looks fabulous. 0:07:55.339 --> 0:07:57.619 Whatever that lighting is is really working for him, and 0:07:57.659 --> 0:08:00.659 you know what else is working. Caleb Williams on downfield passes. 0:08:00.899 --> 0:08:02.939 In the beginning of the season, we were not seeing 0:08:02.979 --> 0:08:05.699 this kind of production. But last week against the Panthers, 0:08:05.739 --> 0:08:07.899 they could have just run the football. The game script 0:08:07.979 --> 0:08:10.739 dictated that. However, what do they do? They kept throwing deep, 0:08:10.819 --> 0:08:13.299 get him those reps. He had a deep touchdown to 0:08:13.819 --> 0:08:17.059 DJ Moore, he had an intermediate pass touchdown to DJ Moore. 0:08:17.299 --> 0:08:20.339 So more touchdowns, more passing yards, more air yards. This 0:08:20.579 --> 0:08:24.339 is a nice improvement in Jacksonville. Their defense is extremely 0:08:24.459 --> 0:08:27.059 vulnerable in those two levels of the defense, so I 0:08:27.099 --> 0:08:28.699 think it's gonna be a nice one for Kalla Williams 0:08:28.699 --> 0:08:29.099 and the Bears. 0:08:29.339 --> 0:08:31.219 I am going to break up the meme alert here 0:08:31.259 --> 0:08:33.539 because I agree with every single thing that you said. 0:08:33.579 --> 0:08:36.579 But just in evaluating this game and how things are going, 0:08:36.859 --> 0:08:39.979 crave on, I started with the Bears win, and then 0:08:40.019 --> 0:08:41.779 I went back to see the Colts game and just 0:08:41.939 --> 0:08:45.539 how good Trevor Lawrence was playing on his twenty fifth birthday, 0:08:45.539 --> 0:08:48.179 and it just wasn't really awesome. I mean, we had 0:08:48.419 --> 0:08:53.019 the strange touchdown, there was one really head scratching interception 0:08:53.299 --> 0:08:56.419 that Trev had last week, but the connection with Brian 0:08:56.499 --> 0:08:59.779 Thomas Junior is going tank. Bigsby had his coming out party. 0:08:59.779 --> 0:09:02.339 I think Travis etn is playing through some things right now. 0:09:02.419 --> 0:09:06.219 But I just truly believe that, to borrow a gregism 0:09:06.699 --> 0:09:10.379 on this, this team is currently better than a one 0:09:10.419 --> 0:09:14.059 in four football team. And despite how much improvement we've 0:09:14.059 --> 0:09:16.579 seen from the Bears in that offense, it's hard to 0:09:16.659 --> 0:09:18.739 go overseas and win. And the Jacks just have so 0:09:18.859 --> 0:09:21.299 much experience team wise and playing in this game. I 0:09:21.339 --> 0:09:23.499 think that has a slight little bit of a factor. 0:09:23.539 --> 0:09:26.459 So will I like it? Strayba like it? It's Kaiser 0:09:26.539 --> 0:09:29.659 Whitez led Cardinals defense going up against the Packers at 0:09:29.819 --> 0:09:32.939 lambeau Field, Kyler's squad coming off that big win against 0:09:32.939 --> 0:09:35.539 the forty nine ers. Greg likes green Bay in this one. 0:09:35.899 --> 0:09:37.619 What do you like? I mean, me and Gregor are 0:09:37.659 --> 0:09:39.779 basically twins so far in this one. So I have 0:09:39.859 --> 0:09:42.139 green Bay twenty six to twenty. I want to point 0:09:42.179 --> 0:09:45.859 out something about Xavier McKinney Giants fans, avert your ears. 0:09:45.979 --> 0:09:48.619 This guy has made some history. Why well, if you 0:09:48.659 --> 0:09:51.499 look at the opportunity that he's had to intercept the football, 0:09:51.539 --> 0:09:53.659 interceptions can be fickle. Do you have any games they 0:09:53.739 --> 0:09:55.739 played five? Do you know how many interceptions he has? 0:09:55.899 --> 0:09:56.139 Five? 0:09:56.219 --> 0:09:58.179 Yeap, that would be one per game. And you know what, 0:09:58.619 --> 0:10:01.499 that is the most through five games for any Packer. 0:10:01.579 --> 0:10:04.139 It is the most since the merger of a guy 0:10:04.259 --> 0:10:06.459 who went from one team to another team. To have 0:10:06.659 --> 0:10:09.419 in the first five games, that's a lot of intercepting. 0:10:09.579 --> 0:10:12.379 That's a lot of just making sure that other offenses 0:10:12.459 --> 0:10:14.579 have a hard time. So let's just give him some 0:10:14.659 --> 0:10:17.739 love there. I said, I was very questionable about what's 0:10:17.819 --> 0:10:19.939 this Green Bay Packer team going to be look like? 0:10:20.139 --> 0:10:22.179 Be Like with Jeff Haffley, we didn't know he came 0:10:22.219 --> 0:10:24.619 from BC. I went to BCA. I watched those games. 0:10:24.899 --> 0:10:27.379 You know, it's worked out well for Xavier McKinney for sure. 0:10:27.659 --> 0:10:30.619 Yeah, it's one of those acquisitions that clearly right has 0:10:30.659 --> 0:10:32.699 improved the defense. The defense a big part of why 0:10:32.739 --> 0:10:35.259 I'm taking the Packers to win this football game. But 0:10:35.419 --> 0:10:38.819 ultimately I think the Arizona Cardinals keep it very, very close. 0:10:38.859 --> 0:10:42.699 Because Jonathan Gannon's unbeaten in the division against Shanahan McVay, 0:10:42.739 --> 0:10:46.659 not Shanahan McVeagh, Tree or anything like that. Literally Kyle 0:10:46.779 --> 0:10:49.739 Shanahan and Sean McVay, and a win here against Matt 0:10:49.819 --> 0:10:52.299 Lafleur would have me feeling all trendish and like, hey, 0:10:52.579 --> 0:10:55.699 he's got this offense absolutely figured out. Not quite ready 0:10:55.739 --> 0:10:57.459 to go there yet because there's a lot of Packers 0:10:57.539 --> 0:10:59.819 talent that they have to deal with. But with the Cardinals, 0:11:00.779 --> 0:11:03.859 I've got them covering this game. Tough base based on 0:11:03.859 --> 0:11:06.819 the run that they had, especially last week, making things 0:11:06.899 --> 0:11:09.819 tough for Jordan Mason, who leads the NFL in yardage, 0:11:10.059 --> 0:11:12.859 as well as they had Brock Purty shut out in 0:11:12.899 --> 0:11:14.899 the second half of the first time in the entire 0:11:15.019 --> 0:11:19.099 Brock Party Kyle Shanahan era, they're not even a top 0:11:19.139 --> 0:11:22.459 pressure defense. They're getting pressure on Brock. So yeah, I'm impressed. 0:11:22.499 --> 0:11:23.259 I've got them covered. 0:11:23.339 --> 0:11:25.659 I like the Brock Party era just has a certain 0:11:25.739 --> 0:11:28.259 era to like, Hey, we're since the Brock Party era. 0:11:29.339 --> 0:11:32.259 That's it, We're in it. This is Brock's worthly So 0:11:32.579 --> 0:11:35.899 Cardinals fans, there you have it. We are all onemus 0:11:35.899 --> 0:11:38.219 away Pckers let us know, send us the pictures because 0:11:38.259 --> 0:11:38.619 we love it. 0:11:38.779 --> 0:11:38.979 We do. 0:11:39.099 --> 0:11:41.659 Actually, Bob salidn't love the news. The huge news coming 0:11:41.899 --> 0:11:44.019 coming out of Flooring Park this week the Jets firing 0:11:44.459 --> 0:11:47.339 their head coach Robert Sala twenty and thirty six in 0:11:47.499 --> 0:11:50.299 just over three seasons for Gang Green, Jeff Ulbrick named 0:11:50.299 --> 0:11:53.739 the team's interim head coach. The j e Ts. Jets 0:11:53.779 --> 0:11:56.739 are two to three now on the season. Is a 0:11:56.779 --> 0:11:59.019 tough spot, I guess, to try to keep your job 0:11:59.379 --> 0:12:01.939 in London against arguably the best team in the NFL. 0:12:01.979 --> 0:12:04.059 They play host now to Josh Allen and the Bills 0:12:04.179 --> 0:12:06.379 coming up Monday night. The last time Rodgers played Buffalo, 0:12:06.739 --> 0:12:09.939 we remember it was unfortunate for the Jets. That's the 0:12:10.019 --> 0:12:12.299 game where he was injured in Week one of twenty 0:12:12.379 --> 0:12:14.979 twenty three. So does Gang Green come out there and 0:12:15.019 --> 0:12:17.459 get a win for their interim head coach you? 0:12:17.979 --> 0:12:20.419 Unfortunately in this one, I have Buffaloes. I was a 0:12:20.419 --> 0:12:23.059 little surprised because usually you know, there's some mayhem that 0:12:23.139 --> 0:12:25.019 happens when you have a different play caller, et cetera. 0:12:25.099 --> 0:12:27.779 But twenty three to nineteen is where I netted out 0:12:27.819 --> 0:12:31.099 in this in large part because of Josh Allen's ability 0:12:31.219 --> 0:12:34.659 to run the football. When he scrambles, things are good 0:12:34.979 --> 0:12:37.139 for the Bills. When he runs the football near the 0:12:37.179 --> 0:12:39.419 goal line, you know what happens, gets to the ends 0:12:39.459 --> 0:12:42.259 out six. But if you look at his EPA, so 0:12:42.459 --> 0:12:45.019 his expected points added on each run, it's point eight eight. 0:12:45.259 --> 0:12:48.339 That is ridiculous. That means like almost one full point 0:12:48.459 --> 0:12:51.939 for every time he's running. That's a very high number. 0:12:51.979 --> 0:12:53.659 Think of like point five as being out of this 0:12:53.819 --> 0:12:57.259 world high. So that's almost double that ridiculous. So Bill's 0:12:57.259 --> 0:12:59.299 win this one, especially because the old line you saw 0:12:59.379 --> 0:13:02.099 them there the line in that last play, Deon Dawkins 0:13:02.219 --> 0:13:04.499 was just standing there. He's like, I got this problem. 0:13:05.259 --> 0:13:07.099 The other guy's got. We're fine. Even you don't even 0:13:07.139 --> 0:13:08.259 need me for this one. Go ahead. 0:13:08.899 --> 0:13:10.419 I think the thing that the Jets need is a 0:13:10.459 --> 0:13:12.299 little bit of luck right now, and considering the way 0:13:12.339 --> 0:13:14.579 the season's gone, they haven't gotten it. And now it 0:13:14.619 --> 0:13:16.739 would be a lot get it to think that after 0:13:16.819 --> 0:13:19.179 going nine of thirty against the Houston Texans that Josh 0:13:19.179 --> 0:13:22.179 Allen is gonna lay another stinger. I've got the Bills 0:13:22.219 --> 0:13:24.419 winning as well, twenty four to twenty I'm adding a 0:13:24.459 --> 0:13:27.019 point to both of your totals in this case because 0:13:27.099 --> 0:13:30.019 I don't really know what the Jets can change on 0:13:30.259 --> 0:13:34.539 offense in a week. Todd Downing, I believe, based on history, 0:13:34.579 --> 0:13:37.099 at least as an upgrade over Nathaniel Hackett as a 0:13:37.139 --> 0:13:39.459 play caller. I agree with Jeff Wahlbrook on that one. 0:13:39.779 --> 0:13:42.459 But unless he's been preparing in the dark corners of 0:13:42.499 --> 0:13:46.059 the facility somewhere for this shot, I don't really know 0:13:46.699 --> 0:13:49.459 how things can get less difficult for Aaron Rodgers, who's 0:13:49.499 --> 0:13:51.379 one of the best throwers of the football that we've 0:13:51.419 --> 0:13:54.859 ever seen, but right now, the wide open percentage is 0:13:54.899 --> 0:13:56.979 one of the lowest for starters in the league. He's 0:13:56.979 --> 0:14:00.539 got a negative seven completion percentage over expected. He's just 0:14:00.619 --> 0:14:02.699 having to do so much. Some of that are drops 0:14:02.739 --> 0:14:04.579 they have seven this year, but other teams more. It's 0:14:04.619 --> 0:14:05.299 just really hard right now. 0:14:05.379 --> 0:14:07.059 And even on the other side, it's not like Josh 0:14:07.099 --> 0:14:10.819 Allen's playing against Aaron Rodgers. Josh Allen plays against the defense. 0:14:10.779 --> 0:14:14.339 And so it's something. Greg has the Bills winning this one. 0:14:14.459 --> 0:14:18.339 So here's our opportunity. Juts fans, it's been a rough week. 0:14:18.939 --> 0:14:19.419 We're sorry. 0:14:19.859 --> 0:14:22.539 The first touchdown score odds have JK. Dobbins at the 0:14:22.579 --> 0:14:25.779 top than Javonte Williams, followed up by Lad McConkie, Quentin Johnson, 0:14:26.099 --> 0:14:30.419 and then Bo Nicks getting into the end zone. This 0:14:30.579 --> 0:14:33.779 is according to Caesars Sportsbook. The Chargers at Broncos at 0:14:33.819 --> 0:14:36.099 Mile High Sean Payton Squad, the winners of three in 0:14:36.139 --> 0:14:38.739 a row Cynthia starting zero to two. Greg's got the 0:14:38.819 --> 0:14:41.659 Chargers winning by one. Here's the thing, me and Greg 0:14:41.739 --> 0:14:43.619 Rosenthal are on the same page. I have been winning 0:14:43.659 --> 0:14:46.499 by one as well, a final score of seventeen to 0:14:46.659 --> 0:14:51.459 sixteen based on purely just rest. For Justin Herbert, it's 0:14:51.499 --> 0:14:55.579 been a lot. He breaks bones on both hands last year. 0:14:55.659 --> 0:14:57.499 He goes through where coaching change, then he comes out 0:14:57.539 --> 0:14:59.939 as high unkle sprain. He plays multiple games on that. 0:15:00.699 --> 0:15:03.659 A bye could not have come at any better time 0:15:03.979 --> 0:15:06.499 for any team because this team needs Justin Herbert to 0:15:06.539 --> 0:15:09.059 do so much, and I think he does just enough, 0:15:09.499 --> 0:15:12.339 just enough against arguably the best defense in the NFL. 0:15:12.379 --> 0:15:14.259 SIN they have a one point well I have a 0:15:14.299 --> 0:15:16.899 one point win too, but just for the Denver Broncos 0:15:16.979 --> 0:15:19.619 the other way around. So twenty to nineteen ooh prime 0:15:19.699 --> 0:15:23.619 number pee peepee peepepe pep just sure the computer has entered. Yes, 0:15:23.859 --> 0:15:26.219 Why because this defense isn't just good against the past. 0:15:26.259 --> 0:15:28.739 You saw that Patzertan interception. Don't do that. Don't do that. 0:15:29.219 --> 0:15:31.579 But you also have a good opportunity to stop them 0:15:31.619 --> 0:15:34.059 in the run game too. And without Rashaun Slater and 0:15:34.179 --> 0:15:36.419 without Joe Alt, who are both on the injury report 0:15:36.619 --> 0:15:39.299 and probably not looking like they're going to play, it 0:15:39.419 --> 0:15:43.339 is going to be extremely difficult to withstand that blitz 0:15:43.379 --> 0:15:45.779 and it is coming for you Unlike every single play. 0:15:45.859 --> 0:15:47.739 This is the highest blitzing team in the league. And 0:15:47.859 --> 0:15:50.299 you know what happens on first down fifty four percent 0:15:50.339 --> 0:15:52.139 of the time, it is a blitz. So you're not 0:15:52.219 --> 0:15:54.139 even to be able to get those opportunities to get 0:15:54.179 --> 0:15:57.739 those nice like ground and pound Jim Harbaugh like runs 0:15:57.779 --> 0:15:59.659 right in the beginning. You're gonna have a hard time 0:15:59.739 --> 0:16:02.099 with that. To it means more obvious passing downs, which 0:16:02.139 --> 0:16:04.419 is why this You blitz for two reasons, either because 0:16:04.419 --> 0:16:06.499 you can't get a pass rush or because you trust 0:16:06.539 --> 0:16:08.739 your back end of your defense so much. This is 0:16:08.779 --> 0:16:10.699 all about trust for them, so they're going to stop 0:16:10.739 --> 0:16:12.059 the run and then it's going to be hard. 0:16:12.259 --> 0:16:14.779 I trust my pick significantly less because I do agree 0:16:14.939 --> 0:16:17.619 Passer ten and Riley Molls playing some really good football 0:16:17.619 --> 0:16:19.819 at corner for the Denver Broncos. That was Seize the 0:16:19.859 --> 0:16:23.819 Season presented by Caesars Sportsbook. Download the Caesars Sportsbook app 0:16:23.819 --> 0:16:26.459 and official sponsor of the NFL. New users place your 0:16:26.499 --> 0:16:28.899 first bet up to one thousand dollars. If you lose, 0:16:29.179 --> 0:16:31.659 you'll get it back as a bonus bet. Use promo 0:16:31.779 --> 0:16:34.419 code TV one thousand. Must be twenty one or older. 0:16:34.659 --> 0:16:38.579 See Caesars dot com backslash promos for full terms. All right, 0:16:38.659 --> 0:16:40.899 let's get to some quick fix. We talked about the 0:16:41.019 --> 0:16:44.179 Cardiac Falcons. They're heading to Carolina. What do you see 0:16:44.219 --> 0:16:45.059 taking place, Cynthia. 0:16:45.259 --> 0:16:49.179 I say, another one point win, not one point one 0:16:49.219 --> 0:16:52.939 possession win, twenty five to eighteen for Atlanta. Welcome back 0:16:52.979 --> 0:16:56.379 to my fantasy squad and the end zone, Baijon Robinson. 0:16:56.619 --> 0:16:58.899 He's only been there once so far this season. I 0:16:58.939 --> 0:17:02.019 thank you every fantasy player's dismay, but this is a 0:17:02.059 --> 0:17:04.819 great opportunity against a defense that has struggled in both 0:17:04.859 --> 0:17:07.739 the pass and the run. I think Bejon here gets everything. 0:17:07.779 --> 0:17:09.899 Good for Kirk Cousins because he has a really different 0:17:09.939 --> 0:17:11.699 split when he's not under pressure and when he is, 0:17:11.739 --> 0:17:13.499 so run the football, keep pressure away. 0:17:13.579 --> 0:17:16.299 All Right, we all agree, we've got the Falcons, Greg 0:17:16.379 --> 0:17:18.979 and me included. Let's go to the Steelers and the Raiders. 0:17:19.299 --> 0:17:22.659 A classic Gardner Minshew has been benched in favor of 0:17:22.739 --> 0:17:25.139 Aid and O'Connell. And welcome to the starting lineup again, 0:17:25.179 --> 0:17:28.299 Aidan O'Connell. Here come the Pittsburgh Steelers. I like the 0:17:28.379 --> 0:17:31.179 Pittsburgh Steelers in this one, as do both you and Greg. 0:17:31.299 --> 0:17:34.059 I've got it twenty to sixteen just because it's tough, 0:17:34.299 --> 0:17:37.099 like A and O'Connell has been in some rough starting situations, 0:17:37.459 --> 0:17:41.459 and now we've got the Pittsburgh Steelers coming into Las Vegas. 0:17:41.979 --> 0:17:45.059 It's it's been tough for An O'Connell. I'm not sure 0:17:45.299 --> 0:17:48.019 how Antonio Pierce felt about this quarterback battle. And now 0:17:48.099 --> 0:17:49.939 we're just kind of in a situation where Colin A 0:17:50.019 --> 0:17:53.179 and Colin B aren't necessarily working. That doesn't lead me 0:17:53.259 --> 0:17:55.219 to a lot of confidence. And maybe we could see 0:17:55.219 --> 0:17:56.659 some Russell Wilson, who knows. I don't know if the 0:17:56.659 --> 0:17:59.539 Steelers are gonna need too much the Colts and the Texans, 0:17:59.819 --> 0:18:03.419 Cynthia and Jacksonville excuse me, and the Titans coming off 0:18:03.459 --> 0:18:05.339 there by this week, do you think that propels them 0:18:05.379 --> 0:18:05.699 to a win? 0:18:06.299 --> 0:18:08.339 Well, yes, I think they win, but just by one 0:18:08.379 --> 0:18:11.699