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Speaker 1: Hey guys, I'll worry it's a Monday. It's time for

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Speaker 1: another edition of the Daily Juice Podcast here on Bettingpros

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Speaker 1: dot Com, always being brought to you by bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parrelji, your host. For the last

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Speaker 1: three hundred and eleven consecutive mornings we have been here

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Speaker 1: for the Daily Juice Podcast. So yesterday we got off

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Speaker 1: kind kind of a rocky start. We lost our first

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Speaker 1: bet with the what was it Red Sox run line

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Speaker 1: did not come through. Red Sox blew that game. They

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Speaker 1: were leading for almost the entire game and they blew that.

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Speaker 1: And then the under did not or the over did

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Speaker 1: not come in for Tampa as they win the game

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Speaker 1: two to one. It was the only NHL game on

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Speaker 1: the dock gade yesterday, which kind of a bummer. So

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Speaker 1: we were owing to to start looking kind of shaky,

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Speaker 1: but then the Knicks came back and well, Houston is

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Speaker 1: a kind of an automatic bet against until the end

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Speaker 1: of the year. I don't know what the books are

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Speaker 1: going to do. They're getting destroyed twenty plus points the

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Speaker 1: last two games. We were on both those games. It

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Speaker 1: was when we cashed on both those games, so I

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Speaker 1: don't know what the Books really can do. Maybe they're

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Speaker 1: going to put lines like sixteen seventeen. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: It's there's just no talent on that team. They're shutting

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Speaker 1: down players, they're not playing for anything, and they're taking

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Speaker 1: on teams that are playing for things that are important.

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Speaker 1: So when the Rockets are playing, it's just kind of

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Speaker 1: like an auto fire, and we'll bet against them, and

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Speaker 1: I think the entire betting public will be on against them.

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Speaker 1: And you know, we got eight. I think the closing

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Speaker 1: number was ten and a half, and it was everyone

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Speaker 1: cashed it. You know, was never a game in the

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Speaker 1: second half, so that was rough for anybody who was

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Speaker 1: on the other side. The Books got destroyed in that game, so,

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Speaker 1: you know, not great for us. I'm not crying for

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Speaker 1: the Books by any means, but it's just one of

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Speaker 1: those teams at this time of the year. They're done

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Speaker 1: and they want to go play golf, and they've got

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Speaker 1: other things to go out and do, and they want

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Speaker 1: to go back to their lives and they don't want

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Speaker 1: to be COVID nineteen tested every day anymore. So you know,

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Speaker 1: I get it. I feel for them, but you know,

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Speaker 1: we'll take the Wins until their season is officially over

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Speaker 1: over the next couple of weeks. So Nick's good win.

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Speaker 1: I like what the Knicks are doing. More on them

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Speaker 1: coming up here in a couple of seconds. It is

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Speaker 1: a Monday. That means it's time for the Discord bet.

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Speaker 1: We are four and two by my count I believe

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Speaker 1: on our discord bet, which is what you guys. It's

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Speaker 1: a crowdsource bet. We go in the discord channel and

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Speaker 1: I ask you guys to nominate different bets and then

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Speaker 1: we take three of them and then we go ahead

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Speaker 1: and vote. And if you guys want to be a

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Speaker 1: part of that, the Discord channel is a great place

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Speaker 1: to be and you can get there by going to

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Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com slash chat, bettingpros dot com slash chat,

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Speaker 1: or if you're on YouTube watching this video, you can

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Speaker 1: click the link which is below me here on the

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel, and you guys can get in

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Speaker 1: and be a part of it. And it's a lot

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Speaker 1: of fun. And look, you know, the community we're building

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Speaker 1: is going to be you know, there's good apples and

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Speaker 1: bad apples. It happens. Hopefully you guys can kind of

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Speaker 1: help you know, roll with the punches if you will.

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Speaker 1: I know some people have you know, DM ME different

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Speaker 1: things about like man that the community is growing really fast,

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Speaker 1: and we got a lot of new people in there,

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Speaker 1: and sometimes they get the you know, get the gig.

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Speaker 1: Sometimes they don't. But you know, for the most part,

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Speaker 1: we really are happy to have it and really excited

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Speaker 1: to have all of you be a part of the

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Speaker 1: community that we're trying to build here for the Daily

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Speaker 1: Jews and for Betting Pros. And we'll have even more

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Speaker 1: cool things coming down, even more cool opportunities to interact

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Speaker 1: with me and Dan Harris and the rest of the

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Speaker 1: guys at Betting Pros. So you know, it is it

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Speaker 1: is entering our one year. We're getting close. Right July

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Speaker 1: the seventh or so will be our one year anniversary.

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Speaker 1: And I mean, it's it's been a ton of fun.

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Speaker 1: It's just been a wild experience and I really really

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Speaker 1: have enjoyed it, and we've loved having bet MGM along

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Speaker 1: for most of the months. And you guys know the offer.

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Speaker 1: It's a twenty dollars bet to win one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: and for any event you can bet twenty bucks and

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Speaker 1: any event and one hundred bucks in free wagers regardless

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Speaker 1: of the outcome of that wager. It's available when you

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Speaker 1: use that promo code Juice one hundred when you sign

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Speaker 1: up for a new account with BETMGM. It's available in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia,

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Speaker 1: and the Great State of Iowa. Okay. So let's get

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Speaker 1: to the discord bet here, because it's your bet, and

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Speaker 1: so the plays. The options were Warriors plus three, Dodgers

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Speaker 1: money line or this bet the Islanders taking on the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers. Well, why because everyone's gonna bet against the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers until we can't bet against them anymore. Right,

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Speaker 1: There aren't no incredible trends to get into. There's not

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Speaker 1: a million different stats to point out except that Buffalo's

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Speaker 1: really bad and the Islanders remindus three hundred on the

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Speaker 1: money line. The Islanders are seven and two and they're

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Speaker 1: last nine games straight up, playing on one day's rest.

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Speaker 1: They are fifteen to five in their next game following

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Speaker 1: a win. Over your last twenty games. They've been playing

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Speaker 1: really good hockey lately, twenty one to ten over the

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Speaker 1: last thirty one games and against the Islanders. The home

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Speaker 1: team is four and oh in the matchups, which could

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Speaker 1: maybe lead to Buffalo, but the favorite is seven to

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Speaker 1: zero in the last seven meetings, and well, the Sabers

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Speaker 1: are not favored in this game. It's a big number here,

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Speaker 1: but it is plus money on the puck line for

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Speaker 1: the New York Islanders, given the way that they play

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Speaker 1: and that they haven't been as explosive offensively as you

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Speaker 1: may would have liked for a team that you were

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Speaker 1: going to go ahead and back on the puck line.

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Speaker 1: But I think this is going to be a relatively

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Speaker 1: easy walk in the park. I don't. I would be

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Speaker 1: pretty surprised to see Buffalo have anything here. They're down

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Speaker 1: to what five more games before they're done is a

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Speaker 1: seven o'clock Eastern time start. So far, the Islanders are

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Speaker 1: six k no with two games remaining. Actually they have

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Speaker 1: two games left. Excuse me, these next two days we

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Speaker 1: could bet against the Sabers next two games they'll play

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Speaker 1: Monday Tuesday. But the scores have been three to one

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Speaker 1: three nothing, three two five two five two five two.

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Speaker 1: All numbers point towards another puck line win for the

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Speaker 1: New York Islanders. Who aren't great on the road, by

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Speaker 1: the way, they're eleven twelve and two on the road,

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Speaker 1: but in the games played at Buffalo U three nothing,

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Speaker 1: three to one the two finals with the games played

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Speaker 1: at Buffalo, So hopefully we'll take another three to one

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Speaker 1: victory here. Maybe want to bet the under as well.

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Speaker 1: Maybe a good play here for this at five and

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Speaker 1: a half, but puck line Islanders plus one oh six

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Speaker 1: is the number I got tonight. Plus one oh six

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Speaker 1: for the Islanders on the puck line taking on the

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Speaker 1: Buffalo Sabers for bet number one. Bet number two. Let's

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Speaker 1: talk about the New York Knicks at Memphis. Back to back, okay,

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Speaker 1: back to back again. It Memphis is favored by three.

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Speaker 1: This team, the New York Knicks, is something though. Over

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Speaker 1: the last ten games, the New York Knicks are nine

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Speaker 1: and one against the spread. They are four and one

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Speaker 1: over the last five. They've covered their last two games,

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Speaker 1: and they are forty one twenty two and one against

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Speaker 1: the spread this year, and they're catching points. Now. Memphis

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Speaker 1: isn't bad either. Okay, they're thirty nine and twenty four.

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Speaker 1: It's really good against the spread. But over the last

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Speaker 1: five they're two and three, six and ten over the

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Speaker 1: last ten and at home they're nineteen and twelve. It's okay.

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Speaker 1: On the road, the Knicks are twenty and eleven, and

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Speaker 1: yes they are on a back to back. But if

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Speaker 1: you look at the standings as to what's going on

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Speaker 1: with the NBA here, it is really interesting to watch

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Speaker 1: how many of these teams are close together. Knicks, Hawks, Heat, Celtics.

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Speaker 1: Celtics are now the seventh seed after losing last night

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Speaker 1: to the Portland Trailblazers in a crazy game. But they lost.

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Speaker 1: They could have They may have lost both their stars

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Speaker 1: for a couple of games, as Jason Tatum and Jalen

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Speaker 1: Brown cracked legs together late in that game and left

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Speaker 1: went right to the locker room with under a minute

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Speaker 1: to play. So we'll see what the says. So those

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Speaker 1: guys are going forward. But the Knicks have a game

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Speaker 1: and a half lead on Atlanta for the four seed,

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Speaker 1: and they've got a game and a half lead on

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Speaker 1: Miami also for the four seed. But we're talking about

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Speaker 1: four teams with three spots to avoid the play in tournament,

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Speaker 1: and we're gonna come right down to the wire here

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Speaker 1: as to who gets in. So every game the playoffs

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Speaker 1: basically start now for these teams that they can't rest,

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Speaker 1: they can't sleep, they can't take a night off again,

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Speaker 1: be like, oh, it's on a back to back, it

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Speaker 1: doesn't matter. I think the Knicks might win this game outright,

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Speaker 1: I will sprinkle on the money line, but the official

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Speaker 1: play I'm taking Knicks plus three and look to ride

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Speaker 1: this wave where the Knicks have been just crazy. Only

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Speaker 1: one game dating back to the third of April have

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Speaker 1: the Knicks failed to cover, and that was the game

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Speaker 1: against Phoenix where they lost by eight at home after

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Speaker 1: they had covered for what like twelve straight games. And

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Speaker 1: then now they're on another streak. They picked right back

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Speaker 1: up again, laying four against Houston, won by night so

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Speaker 1: laying four against Chicago, one by nineteen, laying ten against

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Speaker 1: Houston they won by twenty five, So doing well now

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Speaker 1: catching points here as a dog against Toronto, against Atlanta,

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Speaker 1: against New Orleans, against Dallas, against New Orleans, they have

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Speaker 1: covered their last five times five games catching points. So

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Speaker 1: this is just the Knicks in a must win situation,

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Speaker 1: in a crucial situation. You know. For Memphis they're playing

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Speaker 1: for a lot as well, but they're pretty well stuck

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Speaker 1: in the play in tournament. I mean, they're not going

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Speaker 1: to catch Dallas Mavericks or three and a half games

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Speaker 1: behind them. They're three and a half games behind the

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Speaker 1: Portland Trail Blazers, and yeah, the Golden State Warriors are

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Speaker 1: right behind them. But in all honesty, it doesn't really matter.

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Speaker 1: I mean, okay, if you're I guess you could say,

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Speaker 1: if you're the nine seed versus the eight seed, you

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Speaker 1: win one game to advance versus winning two games to advance.

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Speaker 1: But you know, eight nine kind of interchangeable. But I'm

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Speaker 1: not saying Memphis doesn't need to win. But I think

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Speaker 1: the Knicks are playing for a little bit more. They're

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Speaker 1: hotter right now, and I'm going to take the Knicks

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Speaker 1: plus three here tonight and probably sprinkle the money line

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Speaker 1: as well. One more NBA play to talk about, and

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Speaker 1: that is well, those Warriors that we were discussing. The

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Speaker 1: Warriors are on the road at New Orleans for two games,

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Speaker 1: back to back games here on the road, and these

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Speaker 1: are must wins for me with my with my Golden

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Speaker 1: State Warriors over thirty six and a half wins, they

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Speaker 1: need to win these two games. New Orleans is favored

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Speaker 1: by three line opened up a two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Money came in here on New Orleans. The Golden State

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Speaker 1: Warriors are twenty six and thirty eight against the number

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Speaker 1: this season. The New Orleans Pelicans are forty and twenty

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Speaker 1: four over the last ten games, though New Orleans is

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Speaker 1: just five and five, including one in four. Sorry, sorry,

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Speaker 1: this is the Excuse me now against the spread. Excuse me,

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Speaker 1: this is over on situation. So the over New Orleans

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Speaker 1: is forty and twenty four. The Warriors to the over

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Speaker 1: are twenty six and thirty eight, but over the last

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Speaker 1: five games, New Orleans is one in four to the over.

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Speaker 1: Warriors are two and three five and five over the

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Speaker 1: last ten and four and six over the last ten

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Speaker 1: for Golden State to the over. Okay, the total of

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Speaker 1: this game is two thirty six and a half. My

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Speaker 1: guess is, and this is just a guess, but my

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Speaker 1: guess is, you guys are going to get a better

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Speaker 1: number than I had, because I think the public comes

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Speaker 1: in and says New Orleans, Golden State, Steph Curry and

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Speaker 1: Zi and Williamson hammer the over. So I get it

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Speaker 1: at two thirty six and a half. I think you

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Speaker 1: guys are going are gonna get a better number, but

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Speaker 1: when you look at the way these teams have played

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Speaker 1: over the last two weeks. So for the Warriors, they

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Speaker 1: didn't cover for four straight games, then they covered two

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Speaker 1: straight against Dallas and Minnesota. More because of who they played.

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Speaker 1: They gave up one thirty three to Dallas and give

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Speaker 1: up one twenty six to Minnesota. That's unacceptable. They scored

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirteen against Houston and the under came

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Speaker 1: in by thirty three points in their last game. In

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Speaker 1: the games before that, the totals were two thirty three,

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Speaker 1: two twenty eight and a half, two forty and a

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Speaker 1: half and two twenty six and a half and the

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Speaker 1: under came in on all those games. On the other

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Speaker 1: side against Minnesota, same situation here for New Orleans. They

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Speaker 1: won the game, but they gave up one hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty six points to the t Wolves over cleared it

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Speaker 1: by thirty seven points. But the game before that two

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Speaker 1: thirty two and a half under, two twenty nine and

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Speaker 1: a half under, two twenty nine and a half under,

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Speaker 1: and two twenty eight and a half under under by

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Speaker 1: ten six and a half, three and a half and

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Speaker 1: twenty eight and a half against Oklahoma City Denver the

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Speaker 1: Clippers in San Antonio. Look, I know the the natural

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Speaker 1: inclination here is to say, okay, these two teams play,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go play the over. But these are playoff games.

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Speaker 1: In particular for the Warriors, these are playoff games, and

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Speaker 1: they talked about it being playoff games. I don't think

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Speaker 1: this is just going to be, you know, bombs away

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Speaker 1: at all costs. I think this is actually going to be,

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Speaker 1: you know, a pretty good basketball game. And I think

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Speaker 1: we could see a higher scoring game. But I don't

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Speaker 1: think two thirty six and a half. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: I think we're probably looking at a game, you know,

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Speaker 1: somewhere in like the one fourteen, one twelve range, like

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Speaker 1: somewhere in there. It's gonna be tight. Okay, I'm not

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Speaker 1: saying that we're not going to be counting free throws

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Speaker 1: coming down to the end, saying can we get this under?

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Speaker 1: But both these teams over the last couple of weeks

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Speaker 1: have been playing games consistently to the under while the

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Speaker 1: public comes in and bets the over. And the books

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Speaker 1: know this. So the books are juicing it up a

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Speaker 1: point or two because they already know the public's going

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Speaker 1: to come in here and bet the over and drive

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Speaker 1: it up even higher. So call it a Steph Curry tax,

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Speaker 1: call it a Zion tax, whatever you want to call it.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't really matter. This number is high. It's really

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Speaker 1: high at two thirty six and a half. So to me,

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Speaker 1: I think this is a number or where we go

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Speaker 1: under and hopefully you guys get even a better number

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Speaker 1: coming up tomorrow and this morning when you guys are

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Speaker 1: listening to the podcast. All right, So we went two

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Speaker 1: and oh and the player props yesterday we got the

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Speaker 1: Joel embiid over and the Derek Rose over for points

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Speaker 1: relatively easily. So we bounced back after an zero to

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Speaker 1: three day a couple of days ago to go two

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Speaker 1: and oh on the props. So that's we're what eight

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Speaker 1: and three over the last eleven prop bets for us,

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Speaker 1: so we will have two of those going again. And

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Speaker 1: kind of having two units in play has been kind

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Speaker 1: of my mo o for the last couple of months

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Speaker 1: really during the pandemic, and I'm not going to stop now.

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Speaker 1: I like it. It's a good number, it's a good

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Speaker 1: monetary number. I'm comfortable where I'm at bankroll lies by

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Speaker 1: going ahead and committee that every night. So we're going

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Speaker 1: two player props quarter unit each coming up in the

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Speaker 1: Discord channel. Betting Pros dot COM's last chat to get

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Speaker 1: into the Discord channel that will be happening later on.

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Speaker 1: Everyone wants to know, like when's not going to drop

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Speaker 1: the props normally? I mean just depends on the day.

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Speaker 1: Like most days, it's between one and two o'clock Pacific time,

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Speaker 1: between four and five Eastern most days. Okay, that's a ballpark.

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Speaker 1: Some days are earlier, some days or later, but that's

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Speaker 1: the ballpark. As to where I'm gonna be for the

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Speaker 1: player props. When you guys are looking for the player props,

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Speaker 1: good ballpark sends to kind of jump in and ask somebody, Hey,

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Speaker 1: has he posted the player props yet? If it's four o'clock,

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Speaker 1: five o'clock, ask, if it's two o'clock eastern, don't ask. Okay,

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Speaker 1: don't ask. That's just not no. I'm still on the radio.

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Speaker 1: I'm still on the air, Okay, so let's not do

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Speaker 1: that two o'clock eastern. I'm still doing my radio job.

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Speaker 1: So uh not that, but we have to that, Okay.

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Speaker 1: So the plays the Discord bet is puck line Islanders

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Speaker 1: over the Sabers. We're going Nicks plus three on the

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Speaker 1: road at Memphis. I don't hate a money line play

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Speaker 1: there either. And we're going under two thirty six and

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Speaker 1: a half for the Grizzlies. And sorry for the Pelicans

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Speaker 1: and the Warriors. Excuse me, Pelicans and the Warriors under

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Speaker 1: two thirty six and a half tonight, half unit on

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Speaker 1: all three bets. Here for a Monday's pushing the odds.

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Speaker 1: No Monday's Daily Juice. Sorry see talking radios. Sorry, excuse me,

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Speaker 1: I've never done that's first. That's the first time I've

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Speaker 1: ever done that. That's pretty good. The first time I've

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Speaker 1: ever screwed up my radio show with my podcast, I apologize.

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Speaker 1: The Daily Juice podcast you're on Bettingpros dot com. We

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Speaker 1: are brought to you by bet MGM. We are back

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Speaker 1: each and every single morning. My name is Matt Parolti.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: Every morning it's the Daily Juice