1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:04,800 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. I'm just about that action also. 2 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:11,880 Speaker 2: All right, here we go the growing in zone spect. 3 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,320 Speaker 3: I'm saying it's a catch toucht. 4 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,960 Speaker 4: We'll see most gamblers when they go to gamble, they 5 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 4: go to win. 6 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:21,760 Speaker 3: That's incredible. 7 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money. All right, 8 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:27,960 Speaker 2: this is the ultimate kabation. 9 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 3: You want to pat and we are underway. 10 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,440 Speaker 5: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by FanDuel. This 11 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 5: is your NFL Week five Best Bets episode. 12 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 3: Your host Brendan las Sheen today joined as usual by. 13 00:00:45,320 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 5: Three Action Network experts who will be going through their 14 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,640 Speaker 5: three favorite bets for the upcoming Week five Sunday Monday slate. 15 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:55,720 Speaker 5: As a reminder, you can follow along on the Action 16 00:00:55,840 --> 00:01:01,360 Speaker 5: app by following our account Action Network NFL. Those four 17 00:01:01,440 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 5: words will get you to what we discuss on this episode. 18 00:01:05,720 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 5: D Episodes in the Future twenty one thirteen and two 19 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:13,320 Speaker 5: is our record one month into the season. Nice work 20 00:01:13,319 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 5: by Brandon Anderson in week four three and oh sweep 21 00:01:16,920 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 5: to keep us over five hundred. Joining Brandon today, Luke 22 00:01:20,520 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 5: Swain otherwise known as Vegas Refund, and Jill Galant is back. 23 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:28,080 Speaker 5: As a reminder, you can catch Jill Sunday mornings, hosting 24 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 5: the Touchdown Show ten thirty am Eastern, streaming live on 25 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,880 Speaker 5: the Action app Action Network HQ, Twitter, and you can 26 00:01:34,920 --> 00:01:38,880 Speaker 5: also find Jill in company on the Action Network YouTube page. 27 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,160 Speaker 5: Before we get to picks, just want to do some 28 00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 5: news and notes, some nuggets before we start. 29 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 3: Underdogs keep rolling. 30 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,080 Speaker 5: They're off to a great start similar to last year, 31 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 5: thirty eight, twenty five and one against the spread, so 32 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 5: we'll see if we have more dogs in our picks today. 33 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 5: Unders continue to roll thirty eight and twenty six for 34 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:01,080 Speaker 5: the season. Unders at Night have been doing well as well, 35 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:03,240 Speaker 5: nine to four to the number. 36 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 3: So those are some things to keep in mind. 37 00:02:05,360 --> 00:02:09,519 Speaker 5: And the Atlanta Falcons are the lone team undefeated against 38 00:02:09,520 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 5: the spread through the first month of the year. I 39 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 5: don't know if we'll have Atlanta in our picks, so 40 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:17,880 Speaker 5: let's get there, shall we. Our first best bet of 41 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:18,480 Speaker 5: the day will. 42 00:02:18,360 --> 00:02:19,120 Speaker 3: Come from Brandon. 43 00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 5: But as a reminder, these guys have not consulted one 44 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:25,119 Speaker 5: another before starting this record, so there could be some overlap, 45 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 5: there may be some contradictions. It's every man for himself 46 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,960 Speaker 5: here on these best bets. So without further ado, Brandon Anderson, 47 00:02:32,440 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 5: your first pick. 48 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 2: Please. Yeah, I'm gonna start us off with a favorite. 49 00:02:36,840 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 2: I'm going to back the Miami Dolphins minus three in 50 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,519 Speaker 2: New York to play the Jets. Look, we sold high 51 00:02:43,639 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 2: last week on Miami. They were three and oh, flying 52 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:49,359 Speaker 2: high coming into that Thursday night game, and everyone knew 53 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,200 Speaker 2: that was a bad spot. They were exhausted after the 54 00:02:52,240 --> 00:02:55,079 Speaker 2: long game in the heat again him Buffalo, it was 55 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:58,160 Speaker 2: a short week on the road, Tua was injured. We 56 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 2: knew it was a bad spot. Now they lost as expected, 57 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:06,160 Speaker 2: and just as expected, we're buying low that Now we've 58 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,680 Speaker 2: swung too far the other way, and the odds of 59 00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: shifted in our favor. Here, this line I think moved incorrectly. 60 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:16,799 Speaker 2: On Sunday. It was minus six Dolphins into Sunday, came 61 00:03:16,840 --> 00:03:19,240 Speaker 2: out of it minus three, and I remember Miami didn't play. 62 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,040 Speaker 2: So all that happens Sunday to change things is the 63 00:03:22,120 --> 00:03:25,160 Speaker 2: Mighty Jets won a football game. Wait to go, Jets. 64 00:03:25,240 --> 00:03:28,720 Speaker 2: We're so happy for you. You beat Mitch Trubisky, you beat 65 00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:30,920 Speaker 2: Kenny Pickett, the first time you ever stepped on a 66 00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:34,320 Speaker 2: football field in the NFL. You beat a team that's 67 00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 2: an extra point from being zero to four, took a 68 00:03:36,680 --> 00:03:40,360 Speaker 2: late comeback and that moved the line by a field goal. 69 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:42,800 Speaker 2: I don't see it. I feel like there's value here 70 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,960 Speaker 2: on Miami. We're itching to see this line move up, 71 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 2: and it's been kind of scooting towards that minus three 72 00:03:48,760 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: and a half all weeks. You want to get that 73 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:53,160 Speaker 2: three bet in while you can look. I know Tua 74 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:56,720 Speaker 2: is out and we got Teddy Bridgewater, but Teddy, I 75 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,640 Speaker 2: think it's probably the best backup quarterback in the league. 76 00:04:00,160 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: Fine against Cincinnati, and don't forget this is a system thing. 77 00:04:03,640 --> 00:04:07,680 Speaker 2: Mike McDaniel has this offense coming. We still have Tyreek Hill, 78 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 2: we still have Jalen Waddle up against a bottom of 79 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:15,880 Speaker 2: five passing DVA defense. Teddy Bridgewater aka Teddy Gloves aka 80 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: Teddy covers forty two and twenty one against the spread 81 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:24,119 Speaker 2: a lifetime sixty seven percent, even better on the road 82 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:30,120 Speaker 2: twenty four and six ats eighty percent road cover rate Lifetime. 83 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,320 Speaker 2: Dolphins have won four in a row against the Jets, 84 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:36,520 Speaker 2: eight out of the last nine. I think this line 85 00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:39,440 Speaker 2: a week ago might have ended up closing at a touchdown. 86 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 2: We're getting out of a field goal, so I have 87 00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:43,359 Speaker 2: to like the value. I will back the Dolphins on 88 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 2: the road to cover. 89 00:04:45,080 --> 00:04:48,400 Speaker 5: Straight up when Bridgewater filled in for Drew Brees just 90 00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:51,279 Speaker 5: a few years ago. Now, that was encouraging the way 91 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:53,000 Speaker 5: he stepped in and helped that team. 92 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:53,559 Speaker 3: Stay in the race. 93 00:04:53,960 --> 00:04:57,920 Speaker 5: And also just using recency bias, I don't care. That 94 00:04:58,040 --> 00:05:01,039 Speaker 5: throw he made on third down last Thursday night, to 95 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:04,560 Speaker 5: me was like, Okay, Teddy's a solid backup, came right 96 00:05:04,600 --> 00:05:07,840 Speaker 5: in uncomfortable situation we're all aware of it, makes a 97 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,279 Speaker 5: third and long completion to extend to drive. 98 00:05:10,360 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 3: The Dolphins were alive. 99 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 5: In that game against the Bengals, despite the fact Cincinnati 100 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:17,760 Speaker 5: covered and Brandon laid it out nicely there with the 101 00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:21,360 Speaker 5: record he has against the number Teddy covers. Indeed, Luke 102 00:05:21,440 --> 00:05:24,520 Speaker 5: swayin your first best bet please. 103 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:26,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, So my first one, I'm gonna go with the 104 00:05:26,200 --> 00:05:30,800 Speaker 1: Patriots minus three taking on the Lions at home, where 105 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,600 Speaker 1: this is really somewhat of a fade to the Lions, 106 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 1: who have played all four of their games indoors against 107 00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:40,560 Speaker 1: some defenses that are pretty poor. 108 00:05:41,320 --> 00:05:42,320 Speaker 3: Where the perception of. 109 00:05:42,279 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: The lines right now is they are this air raid. 110 00:05:44,720 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 1: They're putting up thirty points a game. Jared Goff is revitalized, etc. 111 00:05:49,120 --> 00:05:50,839 Speaker 1: Where I think they go into New England against a 112 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 1: head coach in Bill Belichick obviously who knows him very 113 00:05:54,640 --> 00:05:57,080 Speaker 1: well and might have ruined him when he was on 114 00:05:57,120 --> 00:06:00,360 Speaker 1: the Rams. If anyone remembers the Super Bowl Patriot it's 115 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:03,240 Speaker 1: ramswers ended at thirteen to three, where I just see 116 00:06:03,279 --> 00:06:07,760 Speaker 1: this as a total game perceptionally that the Patriots are 117 00:06:07,760 --> 00:06:10,680 Speaker 1: gonna look a lot better than they actually are and 118 00:06:11,040 --> 00:06:13,800 Speaker 1: the Lions have looked a lot better than they actually are, 119 00:06:14,240 --> 00:06:18,280 Speaker 1: And I just totally see minus three being value where 120 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:20,760 Speaker 1: it's somewhat of one of those lines that just doesn't 121 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:22,599 Speaker 1: make sense that makes a lot of sense after you 122 00:06:22,640 --> 00:06:25,640 Speaker 1: dig in. So I'll just take Patriots minus three at home. 123 00:06:26,320 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 5: Doesn't sound like DeAndre Swift's gonna play amen ros Saint 124 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,320 Speaker 5: Brown is questionable. So not only it's a great note 125 00:06:32,360 --> 00:06:36,039 Speaker 5: on how they've only played indoors, but also their skill, 126 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,680 Speaker 5: guys being out, you're not facing the softest puppy poo 127 00:06:39,760 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 5: defense in Seattle. But yeah, Philly Washington, both at home 128 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:47,640 Speaker 5: at Minie and then home to Seattle. That's the slate 129 00:06:47,760 --> 00:06:51,240 Speaker 5: so far for the Detroit Lions. Joe gallots back, what's up, Jill, 130 00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:52,359 Speaker 5: what's your first best bet. 131 00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 4: All right, guys, I got a real gross one here, 132 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 4: And if I had to compare it to something, it's 133 00:06:58,279 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 4: kind of like if I like on Fear Factor and 134 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 4: then just swallowed like random animal dick just to make 135 00:07:05,200 --> 00:07:07,560 Speaker 4: a few bucks. That's what this pick feels like. And 136 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:10,200 Speaker 4: it's the Cardinals plus five and a half. And I 137 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:13,520 Speaker 4: like the Cardinals here mainly because of the number. This 138 00:07:13,680 --> 00:07:16,840 Speaker 4: was less than three. No way am I playing. But 139 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 4: I like the we're covering the three or four here, 140 00:07:18,520 --> 00:07:20,120 Speaker 4: and I think it's gonna be a closer game than 141 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,400 Speaker 4: people realize, like the Cardinals obviously, you know we you 142 00:07:23,480 --> 00:07:25,320 Speaker 4: just have to ask Brandon Anderson what we think of 143 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,400 Speaker 4: the Cardinals and you can find out pretty quickly. But 144 00:07:27,560 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 4: kind of what the consensus is of the Cardinals out there, 145 00:07:30,120 --> 00:07:31,400 Speaker 4: that they've been been a mess. 146 00:07:31,840 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 2: And but the one. 147 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 4: Thing that I've been they've been pretty good at stopping 148 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,960 Speaker 4: the run. Only eighty seven yards per game, that's fifth 149 00:07:38,000 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 4: in the NFL, the fifth and opponent rushing first downs allowed. 150 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:42,720 Speaker 4: I think that's gonna be able to slow down this 151 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:45,240 Speaker 4: Eagles offense a little bit. Because what do the Eagles 152 00:07:45,320 --> 00:07:47,480 Speaker 4: love to do. They love to run the ball and 153 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:50,760 Speaker 4: left tackle Jordan Malata. He's dealing with the shoulder injury. 154 00:07:50,760 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 4: He may not play this weekend, and if the Eagles 155 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 4: have to start passing, I do like my chances here 156 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 4: for the Cardinals to keep it close. Now, I did 157 00:07:57,440 --> 00:07:59,400 Speaker 4: dig up a couple of trends. I do feel a 158 00:07:59,400 --> 00:08:02,160 Speaker 4: little trend fomo here sometimes when Brandon brings them up. 159 00:08:02,840 --> 00:08:06,559 Speaker 4: But Cardinals nineteen nine and two ahts and thirty games 160 00:08:06,640 --> 00:08:10,040 Speaker 4: is a dog under Kingsbury five and three ahts when 161 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 4: their home dogs are three or more eight and two 162 00:08:12,600 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 4: straight up and against the spread in their last ten 163 00:08:14,560 --> 00:08:17,160 Speaker 4: October games, because this is a team that usually starts 164 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:19,640 Speaker 4: strong and then fades near the end. But I will 165 00:08:19,680 --> 00:08:22,160 Speaker 4: say I did Braidon. I still have to give you credit. 166 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:24,360 Speaker 4: I did steal one of your trends just from your 167 00:08:24,440 --> 00:08:26,640 Speaker 4: article that you did right on the Action Network, just 168 00:08:26,680 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 4: kind of recapping and previewing these week's games. 169 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 2: And even though you did end. 170 00:08:29,960 --> 00:08:32,319 Speaker 4: Up passing on this game, I still saw this trend 171 00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 4: and thought I had to use it. Kingsbury twelve oh 172 00:08:36,200 --> 00:08:38,920 Speaker 4: one ats as an underdog against coaches who haven't won 173 00:08:38,920 --> 00:08:41,360 Speaker 4: a Super Bowl, including ten two and one straight up, 174 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 4: and these were his words, not mine. Loves Nick Sirianni, 175 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 4: but he ain't want to ring yet. So Cardinals plus 176 00:08:46,960 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 4: five and a half is my first pick of Week five. 177 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 3: All right, very good again. 178 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 5: Eagles are four and oh for the first time since 179 00:08:52,840 --> 00:08:56,200 Speaker 5: two thousand and four, and they had not done that 180 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:59,559 Speaker 5: before four in the early nineties, so their last five 181 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:03,120 Speaker 5: and oh star was the four Super Bowl season. Hopefully 182 00:09:03,120 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 5: for Kyler, there's no video game update and the homework 183 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 5: gets done in time to hang in this game. 184 00:09:08,240 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 3: Let's go back to Brandon Anderson for pick two. 185 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:14,800 Speaker 2: I had to do it. I gotta fade my Minnesota Vikings. 186 00:09:14,800 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Chicago Bears, my local Bears plus 187 00:09:18,360 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 2: seven and a half on the road in Minnesota. So 188 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 2: key thing to look at here. I have an article 189 00:09:23,960 --> 00:09:26,920 Speaker 2: up at Action. I were breaking down what happens to 190 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 2: a team when they play football in London and then 191 00:09:30,559 --> 00:09:33,319 Speaker 2: don't have that bye week afterward. We've only seen that 192 00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,920 Speaker 2: five times ever before this week. We've got both teams 193 00:09:36,960 --> 00:09:39,600 Speaker 2: now Vikings and the Saints in that spot this week. 194 00:09:40,080 --> 00:09:42,840 Speaker 2: And what I found for my research not only five games, 195 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:45,800 Speaker 2: so small sample, of course, but what I found is 196 00:09:45,840 --> 00:09:48,800 Speaker 2: that we see what you would expect to see a tired, 197 00:09:48,880 --> 00:09:52,520 Speaker 2: a jet legged team. That those teams are three and 198 00:09:52,600 --> 00:09:55,880 Speaker 2: two to the under on their team total, allowing opponents 199 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 2: four and one to the over on their team total, 200 00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,600 Speaker 2: and all five I have post London teams were tied 201 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,880 Speaker 2: or trailing in the fourth quarter the following week. So 202 00:10:06,480 --> 00:10:09,560 Speaker 2: I think this is a great, great situational spot for 203 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:13,440 Speaker 2: the Bears. The Vikings three and a one, they're a 204 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,520 Speaker 2: bit overvalued right now. They beat up on the Packers 205 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 2: week one. We know that's kind of a post preseason 206 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,440 Speaker 2: thing where the Packers have not really been playing their guys. 207 00:10:22,800 --> 00:10:26,840 Speaker 2: But since then they got destroyed by the Eagles and 208 00:10:26,880 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 2: then they beat yay, the Lions and the Saints one 209 00:10:29,920 --> 00:10:32,480 Speaker 2: in three teams in the last minute that they needed 210 00:10:32,600 --> 00:10:35,360 Speaker 2: escapes to get off the field. For the Bears are 211 00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 2: not a good team. There's not a play on. Hey, 212 00:10:37,600 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 2: I think the Bears are good. I do not think 213 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: the Bears are good. However, I do think the Bears 214 00:10:41,920 --> 00:10:44,439 Speaker 2: are good at running ball, and the Vikings have not 215 00:10:44,559 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 2: stopped the run well, so you give Khalil Herbert some 216 00:10:47,800 --> 00:10:50,880 Speaker 2: run and maybe David Montgomery if he's healthy. The Bears 217 00:10:50,920 --> 00:10:54,280 Speaker 2: also have Jalen Johnson solid corner to match up with 218 00:10:54,480 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 2: Justin Jefferson, and I think the Chicago get their pass 219 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 2: pressure home. The Vikings also allow some big explosive plays. 220 00:11:01,960 --> 00:11:04,920 Speaker 2: So even though Justin fields only throws like once a quarter, 221 00:11:05,440 --> 00:11:08,040 Speaker 2: maybe you connect on a long ball or two. And 222 00:11:08,080 --> 00:11:10,680 Speaker 2: then there's the stat first five weeks of the season 223 00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 2: division underdogs of six or more points eighty one, fifty 224 00:11:14,640 --> 00:11:18,000 Speaker 2: five and two against the spread, sixty percent cover rate. 225 00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,400 Speaker 2: The Bears play the Vikings tough. They've won five of 226 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 2: the last eight, even though Chicago's never very good and 227 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:27,760 Speaker 2: these games are usually close. We've got four one score 228 00:11:27,800 --> 00:11:29,840 Speaker 2: games out of the last five in the rivalry. So 229 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: I love this, especially now that we get the hook. 230 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:35,480 Speaker 2: Chicago plus seven and a half. Get it at the 231 00:11:35,520 --> 00:11:38,240 Speaker 2: hook if you can. It's been sitting at seven almost 232 00:11:38,280 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: all week, So grab the Bears to keep this one 233 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 2: close on the road. 234 00:11:42,720 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 3: I've come to find out Brandon in your research. 235 00:11:45,000 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 5: Also, is this true that it's a choice for the 236 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 5: team if they want to buy after London, they can 237 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 5: take that, and they chose not. 238 00:11:51,640 --> 00:11:54,360 Speaker 2: To it is Yeah. I don't know when that switched. 239 00:11:54,360 --> 00:11:56,640 Speaker 2: I believe it used to just be mandated that team 240 00:11:56,800 --> 00:11:59,600 Speaker 2: just automatically had a bye week, but of course most 241 00:11:59,800 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 2: London games tend to be early in the season. Around 242 00:12:02,240 --> 00:12:04,840 Speaker 2: this time of the year, you want the late by week, 243 00:12:04,920 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 2: like any NFL team wants to rest week ten, eleven, 244 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:10,920 Speaker 2: twelve somewhere in there. Once you've had the injuries, you 245 00:12:10,960 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 2: need a chance to take the week off. So you 246 00:12:12,840 --> 00:12:14,680 Speaker 2: have to make that choice. Do I want the early 247 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:17,800 Speaker 2: buye a week and the rest after London or do 248 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,800 Speaker 2: I want to wait till I might need it longer. 249 00:12:21,320 --> 00:12:23,400 Speaker 2: We've got these two teams this week, We've got two 250 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:26,959 Speaker 2: more next week London game, Packers, Giants this Sunday. They 251 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,920 Speaker 2: don't take the week off the week after, So my 252 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,680 Speaker 2: instinct is we might see teams make very different choices 253 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:36,319 Speaker 2: a year from now if this goes poorly for these 254 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:36,920 Speaker 2: four teams. 255 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 5: Here looking forward to seeing what that looks like for 256 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 5: the Giants and the Packers and their respective numbers in 257 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,199 Speaker 5: the following week. Justin fields four and ten against the 258 00:12:44,200 --> 00:12:46,120 Speaker 5: spread as a starter, three and nine against the number 259 00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 5: as a dog. But Brandon likes he and the Bears 260 00:12:49,200 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 5: chances to. 261 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 3: Turn this around. Let's go to Luke for his second pick. 262 00:12:53,240 --> 00:12:55,079 Speaker 1: So my stegd one is going to be Ravens minus 263 00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 1: three on Sunday Night Football against the Bengals, which to me, 264 00:12:58,559 --> 00:13:00,640 Speaker 1: this is just a two and two Ravens team that 265 00:13:01,280 --> 00:13:03,080 Speaker 1: very easily could be four and oh or three and 266 00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:06,319 Speaker 1: one if it wasn't for two combats by the Dolphins 267 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,679 Speaker 1: and the Ravens. So perceptually, when you look at the 268 00:13:08,679 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 1: Blackburn you see a two and two team. I do 269 00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 1: think if there are four and oh or three and one, 270 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:15,040 Speaker 1: the line would be a lot higher. And they're facing 271 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,960 Speaker 1: a Bengals team that lived off the big play last 272 00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 1: year and really is struggling to do the same this year, 273 00:13:21,480 --> 00:13:25,120 Speaker 1: whether it is because Joe Mixon just isn't getting any 274 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:28,480 Speaker 1: yards where they can't set these big plays up for 275 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:31,959 Speaker 1: with the run, Joe Mixon's averaging I think less than 276 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,839 Speaker 1: three yards to carry. And then you go to the 277 00:13:34,880 --> 00:13:37,160 Speaker 1: Bengals have faced where if you look at the quarterbacks 278 00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,600 Speaker 1: of Bengals that face, you got Cooper Rush, Joe Flacco, 279 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:44,560 Speaker 1: Mitch Trubisky, and then Tua slash Teddy. So when you 280 00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:49,679 Speaker 1: go from that crew of quarterbacks to Lamar Jackson, that 281 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,160 Speaker 1: is a step up in class to me. And the 282 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:55,920 Speaker 1: Bengals looked pretty bad against the Dolphins. Honestly, they cover, thankfully, 283 00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 1: but I think if to have played that entire game, 284 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 1: the Dolphins would have won easily. They probably should have 285 00:14:00,960 --> 00:14:04,880 Speaker 1: at least covered even with Teddy Bridgewater. But Ravens minus 286 00:14:04,920 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 1: three coming off another tragic loss on Sunday Night football, 287 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:10,360 Speaker 1: that's it. 288 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:14,839 Speaker 3: Okay, very good. So you like the Ravens to bounce back. 289 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,600 Speaker 5: That this team is going to be annoying just for 290 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,440 Speaker 5: the record, like your bet might hit. But they're just 291 00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:22,120 Speaker 5: the ebbs and flows of the Ravens. And not even 292 00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:24,520 Speaker 5: talk I haven't we haven't even mentioned John Harbaugh's decision 293 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,400 Speaker 5: making on fourth down. And I mean the collective, the 294 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 5: collective wei when he mentions the analytics crew in Baltimore. 295 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 3: I think I honestly I saw it. 296 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 1: There's a tweet which with like Twitter topics is possibly 297 00:14:36,400 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 1: go back. But it's like they've led in, like they've 298 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 1: had a lead for all but like ten minutes this 299 00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 1: entire season. That's crazy, that's nuts. 300 00:14:47,160 --> 00:14:48,960 Speaker 2: All that matter is when it hits those zeros. So 301 00:14:49,320 --> 00:14:51,160 Speaker 2: Baltimore's got closed these things out. 302 00:14:51,640 --> 00:14:56,000 Speaker 3: Yep, yep, okay. Joe Galot second best bet. 303 00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 4: All right, We're gonna go to the Chargers and Browns, 304 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,600 Speaker 4: and I'm gonna the over forty seven and a half. 305 00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 4: And part of the reason is that the Chargers are 306 00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:06,040 Speaker 4: just one of these teams that are a classic overteam. 307 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,840 Speaker 4: Like they've got a defense that's struggling, giving up twenty 308 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:12,120 Speaker 4: seven points per game, three touchdowns per game. That's twenty 309 00:15:12,160 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 4: fourth in the NFL. The points per game is thirty 310 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 4: first in the NFL. I mean, they just let the 311 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:18,560 Speaker 4: Texans score twenty four on them, and that's a season 312 00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 4: high for the Texans, by the way. They just wanted 313 00:15:20,480 --> 00:15:23,360 Speaker 4: to bring that up. Also, their run defense pretty bad 314 00:15:23,400 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 4: so far, nine rushing touchdowns allowed their second and opponent 315 00:15:26,560 --> 00:15:29,320 Speaker 4: yards per carry, and they're facing the Browns that are 316 00:15:29,480 --> 00:15:32,360 Speaker 4: top five in that category and rushing yards per game. 317 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 4: And I think this is gonna be a game where 318 00:15:34,480 --> 00:15:36,320 Speaker 4: you see Nick Chubb go for two or three towns 319 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 4: and some long touchdowns too. We watched Damian Pierce run 320 00:15:38,640 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 4: for a seventy five yarder on them last week. But 321 00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 4: the Chargers offensively, that's where the upside is for this 322 00:15:44,160 --> 00:15:46,800 Speaker 4: play Like they have a top five passing offense still, 323 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,400 Speaker 4: and whether team is really good at defending the pass 324 00:15:49,480 --> 00:15:51,120 Speaker 4: or not, it doesn't really matter for them. They're gonna throw, 325 00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,040 Speaker 4: and they're gonna throw a lot. And the Browns defensive 326 00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 4: stats is kind of another thing that stood out to 327 00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,040 Speaker 4: me because they're middle of the pack in the NFL 328 00:15:58,080 --> 00:16:02,320 Speaker 4: defending the pass against these guys Mitch Trubisky, Joe Flacco, 329 00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 4: Baker Mayfield, m Marcus Mariota not exactly guys that are 330 00:16:06,360 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 4: going to Canton and they're going to be playing Justin 331 00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:11,000 Speaker 4: Herbert in that offense this week. And if we're just 332 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 4: looking even just as last year for recent results, they 333 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,720 Speaker 4: played last year at SOFI Stadium, Chargers had the over 334 00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:18,000 Speaker 4: by themselves. They had forty seven points and combined for 335 00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,960 Speaker 4: almost ninety points. So yeah, I love the over forty 336 00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:22,640 Speaker 4: seven and a half in this matchup this year. 337 00:16:23,240 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 3: Okay. 338 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:27,880 Speaker 5: Any concern about the Chargers injuries, like you where you 339 00:16:27,920 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 5: at on Herbert and how Allen looks is that they Herbert. 340 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:35,440 Speaker 4: Did practice on Wednesday, So that's encouraging because he hadn't 341 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:38,720 Speaker 4: practiced on a Wednesday since the injury. I mean, Keenan 342 00:16:38,720 --> 00:16:41,320 Speaker 4: Allen obviously that you would like to have him out there, 343 00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 4: but I think from a receiver standpoint, that's not the 344 00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:45,720 Speaker 4: issue I think just right for them right now. It's 345 00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 4: the play calling and the defense that's been the biggest 346 00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:48,360 Speaker 4: issue for them. 347 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:51,400 Speaker 5: Okay, fair enough, it's the fate of the defenses here. 348 00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:54,000 Speaker 5: Offense will take care of business. Yeah, and Eckler had 349 00:16:54,040 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 5: one of his better games against Houston. But yes, Chargers 350 00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 5: suspect defensively that Houston right back in that game. They 351 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:01,200 Speaker 5: still covered the spread, but let them right back in 352 00:17:01,240 --> 00:17:04,080 Speaker 5: it to make it a sweat. Okay, best bet number three, 353 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:05,400 Speaker 5: starting with Brandon Anderson. 354 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 2: All Right, Well, we faded the Vikings coming off of 355 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:11,400 Speaker 2: that London game, and I'm going back to the same 356 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 2: position here. Who the Vikings play. They've played the Saints. 357 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 2: They're also on a London post London trip, and I 358 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:20,879 Speaker 2: will fade the Saints as well. I'll take Seattle Seahawks 359 00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,560 Speaker 2: plus five and a half on the road in New Orleans. 360 00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:26,399 Speaker 2: This line doesn't make any sense to me. Like we 361 00:17:26,480 --> 00:17:28,920 Speaker 2: talked about all the trends about the post London team, 362 00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:33,240 Speaker 2: so again that favors Seahawks team total over Saints scoring 363 00:17:33,440 --> 00:17:37,879 Speaker 2: under and Seahawks having a chance late. Seattle's offense top 364 00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:43,200 Speaker 2: five offensively in DVOA and EPA for play and success rate. 365 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:46,840 Speaker 2: Gino Smith I noticed this week is the number one 366 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:51,840 Speaker 2: grated quarterback in the NFL at PF five. This offense 367 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:53,800 Speaker 2: is playing well, whether we want to admit it or not. 368 00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,040 Speaker 2: They are showing up. And the Saints defense, the mighty 369 00:17:57,200 --> 00:17:59,080 Speaker 2: vaunted a Saints D that we thought was going to 370 00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:02,960 Speaker 2: be really good, has been fine. They've been all right, 371 00:18:03,240 --> 00:18:06,160 Speaker 2: they've been okay. Pass rush is not really getting home. 372 00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:10,200 Speaker 2: The Saints' offense ring second to last in drive success rate. 373 00:18:10,560 --> 00:18:14,199 Speaker 2: They can't get on the field long enough offensively to 374 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 2: give their defense a chance. Now, maybe Seattle's defense is 375 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,840 Speaker 2: the perfect solution for that, that's an easy point here. 376 00:18:20,880 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 2: But the Saints have injuries to their quarterback, their running back, 377 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:29,679 Speaker 2: their receiver, their left tackle. That's your offense. And New 378 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:32,639 Speaker 2: Orleans is a late comeback Week one from zero to 379 00:18:32,720 --> 00:18:37,640 Speaker 2: four themselves. So this preseason look aheadline was right at 380 00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 2: this number. So nothing has moved here. I don't understand 381 00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 2: that have we watched the Saints or Seahawks for the 382 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:46,480 Speaker 2: last month. Seattle's been much better than we thought. The 383 00:18:46,520 --> 00:18:49,600 Speaker 2: offense is good, and the Saints have been pretty lifeless 384 00:18:49,600 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 2: for the most part and not super competitive in some 385 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,800 Speaker 2: of their games. So a few trends for you. We 386 00:18:54,840 --> 00:18:58,080 Speaker 2: know we all have the trends. Gino Smith underdog sixty 387 00:18:58,119 --> 00:19:01,199 Speaker 2: three percent against the spread, Carol has a dog sixty 388 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:04,360 Speaker 2: one percent, and then the flip side. Dennis Allen has 389 00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:07,920 Speaker 2: a favorite twenty five percent cover rate. Jameis Winston's a 390 00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,040 Speaker 2: favorite if he starts thirty one percent cover rate. So 391 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:14,120 Speaker 2: I like the Seahawks a lot here. I will play 392 00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 2: the Seahawks team total over. That's that London trend. I'll 393 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:20,000 Speaker 2: play Seattle plus five and a half. I'll play Seattle 394 00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:21,959 Speaker 2: money line too. I think the Seahawks go in and 395 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 2: get a win in New Orleans. 396 00:19:24,080 --> 00:19:26,639 Speaker 5: Sounds like we'll get the red rifle at quarterback again. 397 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:32,199 Speaker 5: Michael Thomas did not practice Wednesday, but he's questionable coming in. 398 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:33,240 Speaker 3: There's hope there. 399 00:19:33,680 --> 00:19:36,960 Speaker 5: Yeah, And Seattle's top half of the league in total yards, 400 00:19:37,040 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 5: passing yards, rushing yards, and that PFF stat is on 401 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:47,320 Speaker 5: Gino Smith's wild whopping. Okay, Luke swayin your final best bet, 402 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,800 Speaker 5: I'm gonna go against Brandon here and goes Saints minus 403 00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 5: five and a half. I know, coming back from London, 404 00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 5: is it a tough trip. 405 00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,159 Speaker 1: But at the same time you have the Seahawks. It 406 00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 1: just went from Seattle to Detroit, from Detroit back home, 407 00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: and now they're going from Seattle to New Orleans. So 408 00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,199 Speaker 1: to me, so they go from to recap. They go 409 00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:12,520 Speaker 1: from Seattle to Detroit back home to New Orleans with 410 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:16,239 Speaker 1: a one pm game, which to me, that travel that 411 00:20:16,280 --> 00:20:20,119 Speaker 1: the Seahawks have in this spot equals out the London 412 00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: travel that the Saints have coming home. 413 00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:23,920 Speaker 3: I mean Jamis Dalton. 414 00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 2: It really doesn't matter to me. 415 00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:27,439 Speaker 1: I think they're pretty much the same, and you have 416 00:20:27,520 --> 00:20:31,439 Speaker 1: a historically bad pass defense in Seattle, where I know 417 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:34,360 Speaker 1: the Saints have injuries, but the Lions had a ton 418 00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:36,960 Speaker 1: of injuries this past week and they put up thirty plus. 419 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:39,719 Speaker 1: To me, this is a game where this is going 420 00:20:39,760 --> 00:20:42,920 Speaker 1: to be gino versus the Niners in the second half 421 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 1: three weeks ago, who failed to score. I'm not saying 422 00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:48,200 Speaker 1: that the Niners defense, but I think they can bring 423 00:20:48,920 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 1: the pressure rate that's San Franz to let's say a 424 00:20:51,760 --> 00:20:56,840 Speaker 1: poor man's rate. I just think Seattle's defense is so 425 00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: bad and I have faded them purely based off their 426 00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: defense multiple times this year, and it really is a 427 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:06,959 Speaker 1: defense that is going to make an offense look a 428 00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,760 Speaker 1: lot better than they actually are. And we just saw 429 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:14,720 Speaker 1: what the Lions did without DeAndre Swift and company against Jared. 430 00:21:14,480 --> 00:21:15,320 Speaker 3: Goff last week. 431 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:18,320 Speaker 1: And it's just a tough spot where the travel situations 432 00:21:18,359 --> 00:21:20,800 Speaker 1: pretty much equal out each other for me. So I'll 433 00:21:20,840 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 1: take Saints minus five and a half. 434 00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:24,160 Speaker 3: You care to respond, Brandon? 435 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:25,879 Speaker 5: And by the way, looking at the action app the 436 00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,719 Speaker 5: money is coming in on Seattle sixty two percent of 437 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 5: the bets, eighty seven percent of the money coming in 438 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 5: on Seattle plus five and a half. 439 00:21:33,840 --> 00:21:37,120 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean we'll see that. It's it's entirely possible. 440 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 2: We get the Sunday night, and I'm going, what did 441 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:42,679 Speaker 2: I do? Gino Smith on the road in New Orleans 442 00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:45,159 Speaker 2: against a really good defense? What was I thinking? And 443 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 2: I think that that's an easy counter argument. I think 444 00:21:48,600 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 2: it might be reductionist though, because look I pointed out 445 00:21:51,560 --> 00:21:54,840 Speaker 2: the Gino stat But really get Seattle's offense. They have 446 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: good weapons, Rashad Penny is playing well. The receivers we 447 00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,879 Speaker 2: know are good, and I think the offensive line is 448 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,359 Speaker 2: really surprised. They've brought in a couple of rookies there. 449 00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 2: Line has been much better. Like bor Russell Wilson, I 450 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,280 Speaker 2: only got out of Seattle just as we got this 451 00:22:10,440 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 2: great offensive situation. I don't think by any stretch Gino 452 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:17,440 Speaker 2: Smith is the number one quarterback now. I do think 453 00:22:17,600 --> 00:22:21,880 Speaker 2: that Shane Waldron's offense is actually dealing and setting things 454 00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,440 Speaker 2: up well for a quarterback to just do the right 455 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 2: thing and make the right plays and succeed. By the way, 456 00:22:27,359 --> 00:22:29,320 Speaker 2: Russ doesn't really like to make the right plays, likes 457 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,080 Speaker 2: to do his own thing. So I think that they're 458 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:35,000 Speaker 2: setting Seattle up for success. And they're doing a lot 459 00:22:35,040 --> 00:22:38,080 Speaker 2: of these long churning drives. They're getting that four or 460 00:22:38,119 --> 00:22:41,280 Speaker 2: five yards on first down, they're moving things along, So 461 00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:45,600 Speaker 2: I think they're setting Gino up for success. I like Seattle. 462 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:48,399 Speaker 2: I may email words when Gino Smith loses to New 463 00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,439 Speaker 2: Orleans and I'm like, oh, right, Gino Smith. But we 464 00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:51,960 Speaker 2: shall see. 465 00:22:52,240 --> 00:22:54,600 Speaker 5: By the way, the Saints are just two and seven 466 00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:56,640 Speaker 5: straight up and against the number in their last nine 467 00:22:56,680 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 5: home games in Brandon, you failed to mention the other 468 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,199 Speaker 5: weapon they have, right, Jill. It's Will Disley, who is 469 00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:06,840 Speaker 5: the honorable mention anytime touchdown score that leads to Jill's 470 00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 5: final pick for us. 471 00:23:08,240 --> 00:23:11,400 Speaker 4: Yeah, and Will Disley is definitely the Seahawks MVP so far. 472 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,560 Speaker 4: Three touchdowns and four games. If you would just blindly 473 00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:15,760 Speaker 4: better me be up like over eleven units of profit 474 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 4: taking a tight end for the Seattle Seahawks. But I 475 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,360 Speaker 4: am going to move over to Monday night football and 476 00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,920 Speaker 4: I'm gonna be looking at the Chiefs Raiders game, and 477 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:28,680 Speaker 4: I like the Chiefs minus four on the first half spread. 478 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:31,639 Speaker 4: And part of the reason is just how strong the 479 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:33,920 Speaker 4: Chiefs come out in these games. In twenty twenty two, 480 00:23:34,320 --> 00:23:36,920 Speaker 4: they've won three of the first four halves by four 481 00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,439 Speaker 4: points or more. They trailed ten to seven to the 482 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,160 Speaker 4: Chargers and then proceeded to pretty much kick the crap 483 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:44,560 Speaker 4: out of them. But this is an offense that has 484 00:23:44,600 --> 00:23:47,320 Speaker 4: really consistently started strong. Like they're second in the NFL 485 00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:49,760 Speaker 4: in first half points per game with eighteen. Opponents are 486 00:23:49,760 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 4: averaging eleven points per game. Last season, for example, they 487 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 4: were second and first half points per game at fifteen 488 00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:58,320 Speaker 4: and a half, whereas opponents averaged around ten point nine. 489 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,080 Speaker 4: And then it also picks up and they're playing at arrowhead, 490 00:24:01,160 --> 00:24:03,359 Speaker 4: like in eight home games last year, the Chiefs averaged 491 00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:05,720 Speaker 4: I just want to double check this average sixteen point 492 00:24:05,720 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 4: one points, while opponents only averaged nine point two, So 493 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,040 Speaker 4: there's a seven point difference there. And last season against 494 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,200 Speaker 4: the Raiders, which was a playoff team by the way, 495 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:17,560 Speaker 4: Chiefs just destroyed them each time combine for eighty nine 496 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:20,240 Speaker 4: total points. They scored the Raiders thirty five to three 497 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 4: and seventeen to ten in both of those first halves. Also, 498 00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,560 Speaker 4: just putting this out there, Cian Derek cars int prop 499 00:24:27,800 --> 00:24:30,240 Speaker 4: out there. It's hovering around minus one ten. Don't really 500 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:32,920 Speaker 4: want to throw out the free money term, but since 501 00:24:32,960 --> 00:24:35,560 Speaker 4: twenty eighteen, he has faced the Chiefs eight times and 502 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 4: he's thrown a pick in seven of them. 503 00:24:37,040 --> 00:24:38,000 Speaker 2: So you know what to do with that? 504 00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:42,760 Speaker 5: Okay, very good, really quick. I know we'll recap the picks. 505 00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:44,879 Speaker 5: But Luke, I meant to ask you about the Patriots, 506 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:46,240 Speaker 5: do you care who the quarterback is? 507 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: It is funny because if anyone listened to the last 508 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:52,879 Speaker 1: week's show, it was praying how we don't want to 509 00:24:52,920 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 1: bet against the QB unknown, which Zappie came in and 510 00:24:57,400 --> 00:24:59,520 Speaker 1: he did well. Where I really don't think there's any 511 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:03,320 Speaker 1: different Hoyer and Zapian. I think the Lions, like I 512 00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:08,080 Speaker 1: can totally see the Lions defense making Zappie look phenomenal. 513 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:10,040 Speaker 1: And then all of a sudden, of course, because everyone 514 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:14,120 Speaker 1: wants to overreact as this ridiculous QB controversy, which I'm 515 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,200 Speaker 1: all for for what it's worth in terms of there 516 00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 1: being a controversy. But yeah, I really, I mean I 517 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,040 Speaker 1: prefer Zappi to be honest, I just think there's upside 518 00:25:23,040 --> 00:25:27,000 Speaker 1: where we there's the unknown of having upside where Hoyer 519 00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:29,399 Speaker 1: we know we're gonna get. Lion's defense is going to 520 00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:30,400 Speaker 1: make either of them look good. 521 00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:33,160 Speaker 5: Luke's gonna be under the weather on Sunday because he's 522 00:25:33,200 --> 00:25:36,560 Speaker 5: got Zappi Feva, yep, Brandon. 523 00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:38,440 Speaker 2: What he got. Yeah, I was just gonna say too, 524 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,280 Speaker 2: I'm on the other side of this one because I 525 00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:42,440 Speaker 2: gave out Lions I think on our hot Reads Sunday 526 00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:45,359 Speaker 2: night or maybe look Ahead. I forget which one, but 527 00:25:45,400 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 2: we talked about yeah last Friday when we talked about 528 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,919 Speaker 2: the Lions and we were fading Brian Hoyer. I know 529 00:25:51,040 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 2: the answer to the question you asked, Luke, I absolutely, 530 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,960 Speaker 2: as a Lions better would prefer Hoyer on the field, 531 00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:00,000 Speaker 2: not Zappy. I know what I'm getting in the hois 532 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:03,600 Speaker 2: I'm getting a losing quarterback. Dude, is zero to twelve 533 00:26:03,960 --> 00:26:07,000 Speaker 2: since twenty sixteen October, last time you want a game, 534 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:09,480 Speaker 2: I don't know what I'm getting in daily Zappy, and 535 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 2: I think it's telling that when I expected this line 536 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,800 Speaker 2: to move toward Detroit. Now, granted, the line's lost and 537 00:26:15,840 --> 00:26:17,840 Speaker 2: the Patriots played close, so that's kind of part of 538 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:21,679 Speaker 2: the line movement. But once Hoyer was injured and Zappy 539 00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:24,720 Speaker 2: came in, this line moved toward New England. Now I 540 00:26:24,760 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 2: don't agree with that. I still feel good about Detroit. 541 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:29,000 Speaker 2: So I guess Luke and I are had to head 542 00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:31,760 Speaker 2: on two of these games here, but I would certainly 543 00:26:31,800 --> 00:26:34,880 Speaker 2: feel better against our guy Brian Hoyer. I don't feel 544 00:26:34,880 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 2: as good about Bailey Zappy, and I think he gives 545 00:26:37,320 --> 00:26:39,480 Speaker 2: me a little bit more of a chance more No 546 00:26:39,520 --> 00:26:42,040 Speaker 2: unknown too, you know what you're getting with Hoyer. You 547 00:26:42,080 --> 00:26:44,760 Speaker 2: don't really know how to prepare for Zaby. You know, 548 00:26:44,880 --> 00:26:48,080 Speaker 2: we had the Action Network podcast. We love our Zappi fever, 549 00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:50,680 Speaker 2: so we're excited to see him out there, and I 550 00:26:50,720 --> 00:26:53,000 Speaker 2: am less excited to fade mister Zappy. 551 00:26:53,320 --> 00:26:55,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's definitely worth discussing. 552 00:26:55,040 --> 00:26:57,280 Speaker 5: We got to get all the Zappi talk in before 553 00:26:57,600 --> 00:26:58,800 Speaker 5: Mac Jones is back. 554 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:01,760 Speaker 3: But yes, big fans of Zappi Action. 555 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:04,680 Speaker 5: Network, Big Bets on Campus, our other podcast that covers 556 00:27:04,720 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 5: college football, So yeah, we're all over the Zappi fever 557 00:27:08,760 --> 00:27:10,439 Speaker 5: these days. By the way, Brian Hoyer has not been 558 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 5: a practice this week, so it feels like it's going 559 00:27:12,359 --> 00:27:14,399 Speaker 5: to be Zappi and mac Jones is moving around. But 560 00:27:14,800 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 5: I wanted to clarify that because I'm like, how do 561 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 5: they not ask him if he cares about the quarterback? 562 00:27:18,760 --> 00:27:21,080 Speaker 5: And notice how we mentioned everything about the Patriots and 563 00:27:21,080 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 5: did not get into the quarterback. That was I should 564 00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:24,800 Speaker 5: not have let you get away with that, but I 565 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:29,600 Speaker 5: made sure to get back to that. So faily Zappy. 566 00:27:30,280 --> 00:27:31,040 Speaker 3: Okay, very good. 567 00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:33,160 Speaker 5: Before you wrap the show, let's take a quick look 568 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,560 Speaker 5: at next week's lines for NFL Week four. 569 00:27:35,600 --> 00:27:38,680 Speaker 3: We just talked about it the look aheadline. We're talking Lions, Patriots. 570 00:27:38,880 --> 00:27:41,200 Speaker 5: So we do this because if we like any numbers now, 571 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,080 Speaker 5: we want to get them now before Sunday's Action Monday's 572 00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:46,640 Speaker 5: Action to get the pick in. Brandon, you're on this 573 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:47,439 Speaker 5: this week, what do you like? 574 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,040 Speaker 2: Well, I gotta just tail basically the two picks I 575 00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:52,600 Speaker 2: just made early in the podcast. The Dolphins play the 576 00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,320 Speaker 2: Vikings next week. The Dolphins are minus one at home. 577 00:27:56,480 --> 00:27:59,520 Speaker 2: I like Miami if I believe and the picks we 578 00:27:59,560 --> 00:28:01,679 Speaker 2: just talked to. If I think Miami goes to New 579 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:04,160 Speaker 2: York and takes care of the Jets, like Luke said, 580 00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:06,560 Speaker 2: they maybe should have won that Thursday night game, that 581 00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,760 Speaker 2: would be an undefeated team. That would be a team 582 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 2: flying high, that would feel very confident in. Meanwhile, if 583 00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:16,160 Speaker 2: I'm right about the Vikings, they look wah against the Bears, 584 00:28:16,200 --> 00:28:20,000 Speaker 2: a third straight mediocre opponent, and suddenly we're readjusting a 585 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,560 Speaker 2: little bit, saying, hey man, this Dolphins offense is still 586 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:25,800 Speaker 2: pretty dangerous with all those weapons, and I don't know 587 00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:29,000 Speaker 2: about those Vikings these days. I think this line moves 588 00:28:29,000 --> 00:28:31,600 Speaker 2: a little bit, maybe even to the three or further. 589 00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:33,560 Speaker 2: That's why I want to grab this on the look ahead. 590 00:28:33,920 --> 00:28:36,480 Speaker 2: Don't forget Minnesota still has a bit bit of that 591 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,760 Speaker 2: jet lag residue. And now we go to the Miami 592 00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 2: Heat right before they get to the bye week. So 593 00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 2: could that be a spot where they just kind of 594 00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:45,720 Speaker 2: call off the dogs. They're like, you know what, let's 595 00:28:45,760 --> 00:28:47,880 Speaker 2: get out of here, Let's get home. Get some rest. 596 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 2: We got through this, Let's get to the back half 597 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 2: of the season. And then there's this too. Vikings second 598 00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 2: to worst defense in the NFL at allowing explosive pass plays. Hey, 599 00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:02,280 Speaker 2: guess who has explosive pass plays? Jalen Wattle and Tyreek Hill. 600 00:29:02,640 --> 00:29:05,320 Speaker 2: So if our guy Teddy, who's had a little experience 601 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:07,440 Speaker 2: with the Vikings, you might recall if you can just 602 00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:10,640 Speaker 2: put the ball up there and let Tyreek and Waddle 603 00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:13,520 Speaker 2: do their thing, I think that the Dolphins will be 604 00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:16,160 Speaker 2: in a good spot to maybe even run away with something. 605 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised to see another replay of the 606 00:29:19,160 --> 00:29:22,600 Speaker 2: Eagles Vikings game we had earlier. So I'm a Vikings fan. 607 00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:25,080 Speaker 2: I had to wear my purple jersey here to offset 608 00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:29,040 Speaker 2: the karma. I'm picking twice against the Vikings. Give me 609 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,040 Speaker 2: Miami minus one on the look ahead. 610 00:29:31,440 --> 00:29:33,840 Speaker 3: You're being fair. Anyone care to respond to that pick? 611 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:36,680 Speaker 1: I feel like, just like from like a public relations 612 00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:40,080 Speaker 1: standpoint two, it won't be playing, But like we're just 613 00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:41,400 Speaker 1: assuming Teddy's. 614 00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,360 Speaker 2: Playing for a couple of weeks, right, I think So 615 00:29:43,720 --> 00:29:47,160 Speaker 2: that's that's basically what you just said. I think for 616 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:49,880 Speaker 2: the sake of the NFL and everyone involved. We are 617 00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,680 Speaker 2: expecting Teddy to be on the field a while and. 618 00:29:52,680 --> 00:29:55,640 Speaker 5: Jill maybe Kirk Cousins pro a pick in the Miami Heat. 619 00:29:55,720 --> 00:29:58,320 Speaker 5: That sounds fun and promising. 620 00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:00,880 Speaker 4: It almost feels like a layer. But I'm sorry, I 621 00:30:00,880 --> 00:30:04,720 Speaker 4: don't disrespect the vikings here in the spot. But yeah, 622 00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:06,920 Speaker 4: I mean, if Xavier and Howard is playing again, he's 623 00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,960 Speaker 4: a little bit banged up. Hopefully he still plays against 624 00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:11,360 Speaker 4: the Jets this week. But you know, it's just one 625 00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 4: of those things that you're gonna see some players cramp up, 626 00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:17,160 Speaker 4: and it's like they don't consider this Miami Heat that 627 00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:20,239 Speaker 4: we could keep talking about every time in September, that 628 00:30:20,640 --> 00:30:22,920 Speaker 4: teams are getting dehydrated and then they're you know, in 629 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:25,040 Speaker 4: and out of place pretty much the entire second half. 630 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:27,960 Speaker 2: By the way, Brendan, you you asked Luke about the quarterback, 631 00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:30,360 Speaker 2: so I'll respond and advance to the quarterback here too. 632 00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 2: Sean Kerner's rankings. He puts out the ranking I have, Okay, 633 00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:36,080 Speaker 2: how do we value each quarterback to the spread? So 634 00:30:36,120 --> 00:30:38,720 Speaker 2: he's worked for the season to be fair, but Tua 635 00:30:38,760 --> 00:30:41,200 Speaker 2: was only a one and a half point upgrade on Teddy. 636 00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,320 Speaker 2: Teddy is the highest backup in the league, Teddy, is 637 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:45,800 Speaker 2: higher than a couple of the starters coming in. So 638 00:30:46,000 --> 00:30:48,600 Speaker 2: I think the question is, did do we see enough 639 00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:51,920 Speaker 2: in three games from Tua that that line should have 640 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,560 Speaker 2: moved up a bunch? Did Tua really make the leap? 641 00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:57,160 Speaker 2: And is that valuable? Because I think that's the line 642 00:30:57,200 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 2: movement we're seeing here in both Dolphins games. I think 643 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:04,200 Speaker 2: the line is down because of Tua being out. I 644 00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,760 Speaker 2: don't believe that. I think Miami's offense made the leap. 645 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,560 Speaker 2: Mike McDaniel made the leap and all those weapons and 646 00:31:09,600 --> 00:31:12,280 Speaker 2: the speed. Did I think this is an overreaction to 647 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:13,360 Speaker 2: two against Teddy. 648 00:31:13,800 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 1: I've been totally off the to a bandwagon forever, but 649 00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,000 Speaker 1: like within those first couple of weeks, like I was 650 00:31:19,040 --> 00:31:22,440 Speaker 1: definitely starting to come around on him, like, actually, whether 651 00:31:22,520 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 1: that's the new offense or maybe he's just better than 652 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:30,640 Speaker 1: I thought he was. Whether if those rankings are preseason, 653 00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 1: like I personally, I think I would adjust them myself 654 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,640 Speaker 1: because I was definitely for some and I was very 655 00:31:37,680 --> 00:31:40,680 Speaker 1: off of Tua like and I have been since the draft, 656 00:31:40,840 --> 00:31:42,760 Speaker 1: and I was very much coming around on him. 657 00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, but I think I think the I think the 658 00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:45,560 Speaker 3: fair though. 659 00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,720 Speaker 5: The fair argument on that is everything's got to go 660 00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:50,440 Speaker 5: right for that guy. I mean, he even admits he's 661 00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:52,480 Speaker 5: admitting impress conferences the week of the game that I 662 00:31:52,520 --> 00:31:55,440 Speaker 5: can't see over the offensive line, so the protection better 663 00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,600 Speaker 5: be good, Hill and Waddle better get open Kazicki, whoever 664 00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:01,360 Speaker 5: it may be, and it's all gotta go perfect. I 665 00:32:01,360 --> 00:32:03,640 Speaker 5: don't think we're gonna have issues with Teddy Bridgewater seeing 666 00:32:03,640 --> 00:32:08,880 Speaker 5: over helmets going forward. He's a little taller. Okay, let's 667 00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,560 Speaker 5: recap the picks for week five, so our week a 668 00:32:11,600 --> 00:32:15,280 Speaker 5: week again. Our Week six look ahead is Miami at 669 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 5: home against the Vikings minus one. 670 00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:19,360 Speaker 3: That's the look aheadline. 671 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,520 Speaker 5: Brandon picking against the Vikings twice on this episode wearing 672 00:32:24,000 --> 00:32:28,280 Speaker 5: a Vikings jersey. Brandon's on Miami minus three, the Bears 673 00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:31,440 Speaker 5: plus seven and a half, and he likes Seattle plus 674 00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 5: five and a half. Luke is on the Patriots Zappi 675 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:37,640 Speaker 5: Fever minus three and a half. 676 00:32:38,640 --> 00:32:41,120 Speaker 3: He's also got Baltimore. 677 00:32:40,600 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 5: Minus three on Sunday Night, and he's going against Brandon. 678 00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:46,959 Speaker 5: He likes New Orleans minus five and a half at 679 00:32:46,960 --> 00:32:51,120 Speaker 5: home coming back from London. And finally, Jill's got a 680 00:32:51,160 --> 00:32:53,880 Speaker 5: stinky one hold your Nose Arizona plus five and a 681 00:32:53,920 --> 00:32:56,560 Speaker 5: half against the Eagles. Jill also likes the over in 682 00:32:56,680 --> 00:32:59,400 Speaker 5: Chargers Browns forty seven and a half the over and 683 00:32:59,480 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 5: he's got Caans of City first half minus four and 684 00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,080 Speaker 5: a half. All of the odds again, brought to you 685 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,800 Speaker 5: by the Fandel sportsbook That'll do It Here on the 686 00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 5: Action Network Podcast for a week five NFL best bets. 687 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,960 Speaker 5: Thanks to Brandon Anderson, Luke Swayin, Joe Golon for joining 688 00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,560 Speaker 5: us today. I'm your host, Brendan glass Sheen. Best of 689 00:33:16,640 --> 00:33:18,800 Speaker 5: luck with your picks this weekend. Everybody, We'll see you 690 00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,440 Speaker 5: again Monday morning, right here on the Action Network Podcast.