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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Milman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: We are heading into week twelve. We are coming off

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Speaker 1: a fantastic four and one winning week, winning across the board,

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Speaker 1: making it back me and my bff, my companion, my

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Speaker 1: compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, saw him in Dad

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Speaker 1: What a fun bounce back week, dad Man. We went

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Speaker 1: four and one. That felt great. We felt really confident.

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Speaker 1: There are a couple of things that I'm really proud

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Speaker 1: of us for. And before we get to all that,

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Speaker 1: let me do some housekeeping here. Today is Tuesday of

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Speaker 1: Thanksgiving Week. As this tradition, we will not be posting

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Speaker 1: a podcast on Thursday. It's the one day of the

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Speaker 1: year we let Matt Mitchell out of the basement again

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Speaker 1: for those of you listening live on AM, we appreciate it.

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Speaker 1: So today we will do our foxhold. We will do

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Speaker 1: our sign and says, we will do our exact decision.

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Speaker 1: We will do our scoot roulette. We will do our

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Speaker 1: big balls better the week we will do as much

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Speaker 1: as we can of the money line round Robin. We

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Speaker 1: ask for patients, We ask for understanding because it's Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: As you guys know, one of the keys to this

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Speaker 1: show is that we make decisions on Tuesday, that we

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Speaker 1: reserve the right to change on Thursday and then reserve

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Speaker 1: the right to change again on Sunday. As lines move,

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Speaker 1: as lineups come out, as injuries happen, as as coaching,

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Speaker 1: as player changes, QB changes happened. So take everything we're

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Speaker 1: saying with the usual Tuesday grain of salt. They are

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Speaker 1: lead means, they are indicators. They are meant to give

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Speaker 1: you signals as to which way we think the money

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Speaker 1: is going to go, and lines we might want to

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Speaker 1: jump on now. Um, but no that between now and Sunday,

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Speaker 1: the whole funkload can change. Assignment. Anything to add to that, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I would say this year we've done pretty well. Me

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Speaker 1: and child will do this show. Our contest I believe

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Speaker 1: opens midday Wednesday and Wednesday night I'll put I'll put

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Speaker 1: our picks in from the Tuesday show. I feel like

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Speaker 1: most weeks we only really change maybe one or two picks.

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Speaker 1: So I feel like this year more than others Tuesday,

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Speaker 1: are we pretty much locked in and we kind of

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Speaker 1: know we like the only thing that really changes again,

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Speaker 1: and we're getting injury updates like that's a big deal,

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Speaker 1: especially if you get later into the season. So if

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Speaker 1: anything we do change picks from Tuesday on Sunday, I

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Speaker 1: would say nine percent of the time it's going to

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Speaker 1: be injury related. I would say that I'm really proud

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Speaker 1: of us because the Falcons on Sunday got down to

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Speaker 1: two and a half in the contest. They were at

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Speaker 1: three and a half. We love the Falcons at two

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Speaker 1: and a half. You talked about her and convinced me.

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Speaker 1: We betted at two and a half. We didn't like

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Speaker 1: it at three and a half, but we didn't love

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Speaker 1: the Bears enough at three and a half to make

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Speaker 1: it a contest play. So we bet the Falcons two

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Speaker 1: and a half or we did not make it a

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Speaker 1: contest play at three and a half. And I was

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Speaker 1: really proud of us for the conversation we had about

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Speaker 1: it on Sunday morning. For you, that was probably one

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Speaker 1: of your better weeks of picks. Like you were dead

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Speaker 1: on the Bengals. You love that one. You were dead

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Speaker 1: on with the forty nine Ers. Chargers, Yeah, Chargers, Uh,

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Speaker 1: it just looks like the bad miss. Obviously it was

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Speaker 1: Houston and like we both you know, we had our

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Speaker 1: question marks about it, but it's just rough. We're like,

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Speaker 1: you know a week that you know we went seven

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Speaker 1: and two or eight and two on our picks. It

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Speaker 1: was like, man, how do we let Houston sneak in there?

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Speaker 1: Like we should have should have fought it off. But

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Speaker 1: it was again, it was just a week where I

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Speaker 1: felt like the professionals took a lot of sides. Again

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Speaker 1: that that Dallas when you know that goes into that.

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Speaker 1: I would say before midnight on Sunday, I started betting it.

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Speaker 1: Basically my goal is that I'm taking a stand like that. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's there's only a couple of big bets all year.

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Speaker 1: Is to get as much money as I can down

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Speaker 1: all week without bringing too much notice to either me

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Speaker 1: or my runners. Start betting on Sunday, still betting it

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Speaker 1: comes Sunday morning, so it's just a really large wager. Again,

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Speaker 1: that's why I can get good information. I can give

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Speaker 1: good inforation win back where you know, again, I'm not

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Speaker 1: thinking huge bets like that every weekend, but there are

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Speaker 1: certain weeks Like, immediately I saw that number, I knew

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Speaker 1: it was gonna be one of those bets. Just waiting

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Speaker 1: for the information and check out again. We talked about

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Speaker 1: the D line first to OH line. That was a

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Speaker 1: huge mismatch in that game. I just want to clarify that.

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Speaker 1: People ask me like, hey, I would love to buy

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Speaker 1: you a beer. I'm down to have a drink if

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Speaker 1: you see me a sports book. I'm not there to

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Speaker 1: get a drink. I'm literally there to either make money

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Speaker 1: or drop off money and then get out. So I

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Speaker 1: had a couple of questions about that. I love the

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Speaker 1: fans again. Me and Chad met a bunch of fans.

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Speaker 1: Good at been cooler dudes. Everyone's been so nice. So no,

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Speaker 1: no negative experience for me with a fan yet. I'm

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Speaker 1: glad you said all that. Speaking of learning, the other

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Speaker 1: thing that I was really proud of us about on

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Speaker 1: Sunday you mentioned Cincinnati. I love Cincinnati. This week took

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Speaker 1: On took On, raybon un convinced me of the Steelers.

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Speaker 1: I said, we got a bet off because I love

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Speaker 1: the Bengals. It was it was everything. Normally the Steelers

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Speaker 1: would be an automatic take three and a half Tomlin

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Speaker 1: ra ra at Home Dog Divisional Dog. But it like situationally,

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Speaker 1: I just felt like the Steelers they played their hand.

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Speaker 1: They did it the week before. The Bengals are a

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Speaker 1: better team. My favorite conversation of the season was Sunday,

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Speaker 1: we're talking about the last team that we want to take.

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Speaker 1: We're talking about the Bengals. We're talking about the Niners.

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Speaker 1: You didn't love those they were big numbers. You didn't

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Speaker 1: like being on the out side. The wise guys were

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Speaker 1: on the other side. I love the Colts. You shed

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Speaker 1: your biases, you let go of your emotion. You knew

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Speaker 1: it was a big number, and we're like, let's put

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Speaker 1: in the Colts, and I just so excited for us.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, I mean again, that's one of those which

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Speaker 1: trade information. Someone gave me that game and I was like,

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Speaker 1: all right, I'll take your word for it. Like you

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Speaker 1: like again, I had the numbers where I thought that

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Speaker 1: was game was closer to six six and a half,

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Speaker 1: So at the time I didn't think there was great value.

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Speaker 1: Where someone came back and be like, no, this number

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Speaker 1: should be three two and a half and I was like,

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Speaker 1: holy shit, all right, you think there's three and a

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Speaker 1: half points of value. So I think that was the

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Speaker 1: first thing I said to you, and you were like, okay,

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Speaker 1: Like I love that, let's let's put it in. Then

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Speaker 1: you had two really good picks. I should have bought

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Speaker 1: it on them and got rid of the Houston. But

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Speaker 1: that's how it goes. It's tough to go five and

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Speaker 1: oh as well as we see week in and week out.

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Speaker 1: So back to seventy from the season. So feeling pretty

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Speaker 1: good heading into week twelve with the bye week included.

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Speaker 1: We got five weeks left, really five weeks left and

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Speaker 1: making picks, so I gotta make him count, make him count.

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Speaker 1: Let's get rolling. Thursday is coming up. It's Thanksgiving. It's

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Speaker 1: three games, a lot of games on the board, a huge,

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Speaker 1: huge here it comes, wait for it menu, Happy Thanksgiving gamblers.

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Speaker 1: We're thankful for you. No bye weeks. Bills, Lions. The

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Speaker 1: Bills are on the road. They are nine and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites. I think you like the Bills in

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Speaker 1: this game, and to me, I love the lines at

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Speaker 1: bet road favorites. Um, Thanksgiving, That's just what I do.

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Speaker 1: Evan AMers is gonna put out the trend. I believe

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Speaker 1: it's en a t S since two thousand three or

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Speaker 1: two thousand four. Just Road Favorites Thanksgiving. They pay out

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Speaker 1: every year. I do the same thing. I mean, people

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Speaker 1: are gonna catch on if you listen to podcasts every year.

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Speaker 1: I bet the Road Favorites and I fade the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: It's been very profitable. The Cowboys just lay eggs on Thanksgiving.

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Speaker 1: I believe they are one in ten and they're last eleven.

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Speaker 1: A t s, just a lot of trends. I like

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Speaker 1: to ride, like going with the Bills here, I get

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Speaker 1: where Chad's coming from. Right lines, feel like they spark something.

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Speaker 1: Here is the three straight wins they have now three

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Speaker 1: straight wins and Simon, guess what, guess talk to me.

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Speaker 1: We were huge fans the Lions over five and a

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Speaker 1: half or six and a half, got to six and

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Speaker 1: a half, got up to six and a half. We

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Speaker 1: were huge fans of that. Before the season began. There

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Speaker 1: now at four wins for the year. We thought that

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Speaker 1: was a lost cause, right so we thought it was over.

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Speaker 1: I checked with Kerner Sean Kroner, I checked with Nick Giffen,

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Speaker 1: I checked with Billy Ward. I checked with all the

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Speaker 1: analytics geniuses at the Action Network team we've got a

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Speaker 1: better than average shot of the Lions covering that six

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Speaker 1: and a half wind total for the year. The three

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Speaker 1: that we loved where we should tell people three we love,

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Speaker 1: we love the Jets under five and a half. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna lose that, although who knows our reasoning, though everyone

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Speaker 1: can say they agree that we were just trying to

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Speaker 1: fade Zach Wilson were Yeah, Zack Wilson, we love the

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Speaker 1: Lions over and we love the Bears under. I think

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Speaker 1: we got a good chance at cash and two of

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Speaker 1: those three. Yeah, we'll again. It's a lot of games left,

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Speaker 1: a lot of games anyways, your love for Detroit, I

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Speaker 1: guess we won't have this one in there won't be

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Speaker 1: in the contest. Look, I feel like it's a big number,

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Speaker 1: it's a road number. It's a short week. The Bills

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Speaker 1: traveled back and forth. Uh, they finally got right, but

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Speaker 1: they did not look good in that game for most

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Speaker 1: of the game. And um, the Lions at home are

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Speaker 1: always a live dog, and you've got to be up

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Speaker 1: by I think you have to be up by seventeen

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Speaker 1: points with two minutes left and have the ball with

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Speaker 1: the Lions having no time outs left for this for

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Speaker 1: this side to be safe. That's what I can My

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Speaker 1: mindly thing is it's like the Bills have had their

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Speaker 1: stinker games and they still win them. They're due for

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Speaker 1: just a dominant performance. I just expect Josh Allen in

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Speaker 1: this primetime spot to kill team again. I thought it

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Speaker 1: was really fishy. This line was nine and a half.

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Speaker 1: I made this line seven. So historically, I think the

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Speaker 1: value is on the lines. I'm no fool here. I

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Speaker 1: know exactly what the sports perk to do, and they

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Speaker 1: have the exact same trends we do. The favorites on

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Speaker 1: the road are very profitable the teams. They're the only

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Speaker 1: road favorite this week. So I just again have to

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Speaker 1: take this number. It's it's one of those trends I

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Speaker 1: like to ride. All right, Well, you and I gonna

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Speaker 1: agree to disagree. We're on the bus getting ready to

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Speaker 1: broadcast the traditional Thanksgiving Day game, and John, as you

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Speaker 1: think about all the people around the country sitting down

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Speaker 1: to enjoy Thanksgiving with their friends and their families, we

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Speaker 1: indeed have a lot to be thankful for. To me,

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Speaker 1: there's nothing better. There's just certain things that go together,

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Speaker 1: you know, the turkey, the family, the tradition football, and

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Speaker 1: we have it all today. The Giants on the road

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Speaker 1: at the Cowboys. Cowboys nine point favorites in this game.

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Speaker 1: It feels high. It feels really really high. That feels

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Speaker 1: like I kind of want to fade the Cowboys off

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Speaker 1: of that massive win which we all saw coming and

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Speaker 1: take the Giants after finally sort of regressing a little

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Speaker 1: bit against these Detroit Lions. Yeah, I think the Giants

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Speaker 1: looked like what most people expected them to be this year,

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Speaker 1: like Daniel Jones making stupid plays on third down, not

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Speaker 1: taking the run when he should, forcing balls in there,

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Speaker 1: Quan having no no running room because the offensive line

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Speaker 1: can't get him any holes or space to break out. Again,

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Speaker 1: it's a miracle that this team has performed as well

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Speaker 1: as they have this year. The Giants, they're just regression.

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Speaker 1: We called for it, We've been calling for it. We

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Speaker 1: expected it. They tried giving that way that game away

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Speaker 1: to the Texas. The Texans are just that bad. They

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Speaker 1: couldn't take it. Detroit clearly is much better than we predicted. Again,

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Speaker 1: all week, that line was at three. The public was

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Speaker 1: all over the Giants, and clearly, you know, a quarter

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Speaker 1: to that game, you're like Okay, this is gonna be

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Speaker 1: all those games. The lines are just gonna dominate them.

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Speaker 1: So in this position in year I I I agree

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Speaker 1: with you, chat, I'm walking right into it with with

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Speaker 1: the Giants. It's like, you know, divisional game, I always

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Speaker 1: fade the Cowboys already knows me and the Giants. The

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Speaker 1: fact that the Cowboys just had arguably their best win

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Speaker 1: of the year. I mean they dominated on both sides

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Speaker 1: of the ball and every way against that Vikings team.

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Speaker 1: I think it's one of the worst losses the Vikings

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Speaker 1: ever had. Um at home again, they could have found

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Speaker 1: something here in Pollard, like he's He's produced now four

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Speaker 1: straight games, incredible games, and they're just using them really smart.

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Speaker 1: This Dallas offense, Like anytime Dac needs a big play,

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Speaker 1: if it's not just a little dump off to him,

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Speaker 1: it's a big handoff, it's a big deal. So I'm

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Speaker 1: not gonna lie to you. Of all the three games,

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Speaker 1: this is the one I had the least confidence in betting.

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Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad just talked about, it's like situationally,

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Speaker 1: we have to take it. Just the number feels like

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Speaker 1: it's grossly big just because of what happened. But I

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Speaker 1: do think, honestly, I do think the publicill end up

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Speaker 1: being on this giant side. So um as we see

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Speaker 1: here Tuesday, I bet this side it's not gonna be

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Speaker 1: one of my bigger belts about the money, uh and

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Speaker 1: the majority of the tickets are both on the Giants

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Speaker 1: at this point. By the way, what's interesting is the

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Speaker 1: Lions and uh, Lions tickets and money are just about

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Speaker 1: evenly split Lions bills. Yeah, it sounds about right. I mean, well,

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Speaker 1: we'll see how that game shapes shapes up. I kick off,

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Speaker 1: But look at you and me, a couple of wise guys.

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Speaker 1: We can't agree on it. We're on different sides of it.

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Speaker 1: That's that's pretty much. We're reflective of the public and

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Speaker 1: the and the wise guys. That's what we are. We

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Speaker 1: reflect society. Simon. Patriots at the Vikings. This one's interesting.

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Speaker 1: It's bouncing around plus three plus two and a half

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Speaker 1: plus three plus two and a half money on the Patriots, Yep,

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Speaker 1: tickets on the Vikings. Sharp call of the week. This

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Speaker 1: is one of the really smart group. Reached out to

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Speaker 1: a couple of different people telling them they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: on this one on Sunday grabbed it through while you can.

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Speaker 1: There's still threes out there, so again, they've moved the

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Speaker 1: number in a couple of books, but you can still

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Speaker 1: find a three out there if you shop around. So

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Speaker 1: I'd grab that now. It's just gonna be a professional play.

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Speaker 1: Like again, as soon as I saw this number, I

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Speaker 1: liked it. Hearing the smart groups on it gave me

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Speaker 1: more confidence. I kind of talked about chat earlier. It's

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Speaker 1: it's a classic defensive line versus all offensive line mismatch,

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Speaker 1: which we saw last week with this Vikings team. There's

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Speaker 1: just too many injuries. Again, Kirk, that game was even

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Speaker 1: on him last week. He had no time. Guys were

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Speaker 1: just in his lap that entire game. I expect the

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Speaker 1: exact same thing here. This New England team that I

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Speaker 1: know people sleep on him. They have one of the

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Speaker 1: better defenses of football, and they have the third highest

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Speaker 1: graded the line in football right now in my opinion.

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Speaker 1: So I'm looking at a team here that you know

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Speaker 1: they played bad. Like, do you think Belichick is gonna

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Speaker 1: let them get off that they won by a punt

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Speaker 1: return last week? No, He's gonna treat that as if

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Speaker 1: it's a loss. He's gonna be on their ass on

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Speaker 1: a short week. I would love to take the Vikings

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Speaker 1: in a bounce back spot. They just don't him an

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Speaker 1: offensive line. Kirk's can have no time. Cook's gonna have

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Speaker 1: no whole was to run through hate that matchup. Flip

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Speaker 1: to the other side. What do we just see? We

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Speaker 1: saw Dallas is running all over this Vikings team. What

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Speaker 1: doesn't even want to do They want to run the

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Speaker 1: ball with their two headed monster and that's how they're

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Speaker 1: gonna do in this game. So no brainer. Grabbed the

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Speaker 1: plus three. Um, hope I can convince Chad to take

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Speaker 1: this one. I know he doesn't want to do it

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Speaker 1: because it's the late night one, but I feel like

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Speaker 1: he'll come around on it. Where it's just a smart play. Again,

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Speaker 1: if you're down three offensive alignment and you already have

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Speaker 1: a bad offensive line that which the Vikings did, right,

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Speaker 1: that's a big deal. Again. I'm we're sitting here on Tuesday.

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Speaker 1: We just have to go off in branch we have

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Speaker 1: right now. This to me, that just feels like it's

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Speaker 1: gonna go down to two and a half. I just

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Speaker 1: feel like more people are gonna bet this on the

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Speaker 1: Patriots side to split. There's only one three out there

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Speaker 1: right now. Wow. So yeah, if you could get that,

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Speaker 1: I would because again, I think it's gonna keep going

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Speaker 1: because again it's it's just a smart smart spot to

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Speaker 1: take this Patriots team where I agree with people the

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Speaker 1: Vikings should bounce back. They gotta drop a couple of games. People,

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Speaker 1: This is not a team that's gonna go twelve and

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Speaker 1: five on the season. The Kings just aren't that good

338
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Speaker 1: to me. They're a closer to a eleven and eleven

339
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Speaker 1: and seven, ten and eight, ten and seven. I should

340
00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:11,800
Speaker 1: say like team, they're just they're inflated because of their record.

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Speaker 1: When you go through all those games, it was really

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Speaker 1: Kirk putting that team on his back and getting them

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Speaker 1: these bunch of wins they probably shouldn't have won. So

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Speaker 1: they have a bunch of aggression coming up. This is

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Speaker 1: one of those games I see them having aggression in. Um, yeah,

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Speaker 1: don't need the Patriots to win, We just need them

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Speaker 1: to cover two and a half, cover the three. So

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Speaker 1: I would grab that now if I could. Uh, what

349
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Speaker 1: did you think of? Earlier today? You and I were

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Speaker 1: on Green Dot Daily at Action Network HQ follow it

351
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Speaker 1: on Action Network YouTube. In the Action Network gap is

352
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Speaker 1: where we talk about setting the betting agenda for the

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Speaker 1: day every day at New and Eastern. I said, my

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Speaker 1: favorite bet for Thanksgiving was the Vikings first quarter minus

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Speaker 1: one and a half. It's fun. I mean, you gave

356
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Speaker 1: out good reasons, right, Like the Patriots haven't scored in

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Speaker 1: the first quarter. You expect Minnesota right to come out

358
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Speaker 1: with a good game script, right, Ryan trying to put

359
00:17:58,600 --> 00:18:01,000
Speaker 1: up points. So don't hate You're coming from only my

360
00:18:01,040 --> 00:18:03,000
Speaker 1: only knock on to be that's minus one and a half,

361
00:18:03,040 --> 00:18:05,359
Speaker 1: which is like you're kind of paying for the juice

362
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Speaker 1: of what you just said. The Patriots have not performed

363
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Speaker 1: well in the first quarter. You've been a bounce back

364
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Speaker 1: spot here from Kirk. I just think full game, prime

365
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:15,680
Speaker 1: time Kirk. He's gonna put his team in trouble eventually.

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Speaker 1: I agree with you. I will be playing the Patriots

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Speaker 1: plus three. But I'm very much looking forward to just

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Speaker 1: watching the first quarter and going to bed because in reality,

369
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Speaker 1: in reality, like like I'm tired. By the end of

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Speaker 1: the day, I will have had a full day with

371
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Speaker 1: my dad, wife, my kids, my son home from college,

372
00:18:36,240 --> 00:18:38,840
Speaker 1: my seven year old niece, my stepbrother is going to

373
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Speaker 1: be in town. I love them. All, but it's gonna

374
00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:43,920
Speaker 1: be a lot. We will have been together for thirty

375
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,680
Speaker 1: six hours by the time this game comes on the air,

376
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Speaker 1: and like, I'll be ready for bed at nine o'clock.

377
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Speaker 1: And it just feels like this will probably the only

378
00:18:51,560 --> 00:18:54,440
Speaker 1: under I'll be on. I'll be on the other two overs. Um,

379
00:18:54,480 --> 00:18:57,240
Speaker 1: this is just a classic. I'll just take this under

380
00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,119
Speaker 1: and hold my nose. Uh, just to to offense? Is

381
00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:04,000
Speaker 1: that seemed like they're going to struggle in in this matchup. Finally,

382
00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:09,720
Speaker 1: the Ravens visiting the Jaguars. I know you love this game.

383
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:14,639
Speaker 1: Jacks with four point dogs at home percent of the

384
00:19:14,680 --> 00:19:21,200
Speaker 1: early money on the Baltimore Ravens. Simon says, oh boy,

385
00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:31,320
Speaker 1: oh boy, doing what people who mutat us so much goodness,

386
00:19:31,359 --> 00:19:33,919
Speaker 1: but we have to do it. This is uninflated line

387
00:19:34,160 --> 00:19:37,520
Speaker 1: the public. They have too much faith in this Ravens

388
00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,680
Speaker 1: team that just has not been showing us that they

389
00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:42,840
Speaker 1: deserve this much faith. Right, they've struggled these last couple

390
00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:46,000
Speaker 1: of weeks, ever since their number one receiver went down.

391
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,080
Speaker 1: We've seen their issues with Mark Andrews, Right, he's just

392
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,000
Speaker 1: not looked right. He's been banged up his last couple

393
00:19:50,000 --> 00:19:52,639
Speaker 1: of weeks. I just like the Jaguars. I feel like

394
00:19:52,680 --> 00:19:55,119
Speaker 1: they're a team that's getting right. Come and have a

395
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Speaker 1: bye week. This is a great spot for you know,

396
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,800
Speaker 1: Doug in a whole week with him. I mean again,

397
00:20:01,480 --> 00:20:03,080
Speaker 1: who knows what they worked on. They he had an

398
00:20:03,080 --> 00:20:05,280
Speaker 1: interview I saw two days ago where we talked about

399
00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 1: him and Lawrence got together. They worked on a lot

400
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:09,040
Speaker 1: of stuff. They talked about a bunch of stuff about

401
00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:11,479
Speaker 1: what was good from the beginning of the year and

402
00:20:11,520 --> 00:20:13,480
Speaker 1: what they can work on and what they get improved on.

403
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:17,360
Speaker 1: So again, to me, it feels like we're buying low

404
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,280
Speaker 1: on the Jaguars team that don't. Like you just said,

405
00:20:19,280 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 1: the numbers, no one's gonna be betting them right. This

406
00:20:21,560 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 1: is your classic pros verse. Joe's just like last week again,

407
00:20:27,280 --> 00:20:29,280
Speaker 1: that Colts number made no sense to the public. They

408
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,600
Speaker 1: didn't get what was happening, why they were getting such

409
00:20:31,640 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 1: a good deal and taking this Eagles team. That's the

410
00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:37,160
Speaker 1: same thing here with this Ravens team. Seven and three,

411
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:40,440
Speaker 1: they've earned it. Like the three losses they've had this year,

412
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:42,920
Speaker 1: they were self inflicted, right, they had the bills, They

413
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 1: gave that game away at the end there they had Miami.

414
00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:46,800
Speaker 1: They gave that game away. They had a lot of

415
00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,879
Speaker 1: self inflicted games. This just feels like got bad spot

416
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,000
Speaker 1: for this Ravens team. Like they're just going up against

417
00:20:52,040 --> 00:20:54,320
Speaker 1: the team that matches up very well for them on defense.

418
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:56,200
Speaker 1: They want to take away they run. That's what the

419
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,400
Speaker 1: Jaguars excel at. Now you're forcing the Ravens. The past,

420
00:20:59,440 --> 00:21:01,640
Speaker 1: we've seen how Ravens just the passing game just isn't

421
00:21:01,680 --> 00:21:05,320
Speaker 1: there right now. So a big number at four, magging

422
00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:06,960
Speaker 1: that my Simon says, I just do. I think this

423
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,280
Speaker 1: will go to three and a half three by Sunday

424
00:21:09,400 --> 00:21:11,960
Speaker 1: kick off again. This is just gonna be a professional game.

425
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:15,120
Speaker 1: They'll take this number every time. So you can still

426
00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,080
Speaker 1: grab the four now at fan do I'll grab it

427
00:21:17,119 --> 00:21:20,320
Speaker 1: before it moves. I mean, what's interesting about this game,

428
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:26,000
Speaker 1: this team is we've believed in the Jaguars so much

429
00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:28,360
Speaker 1: as much as we're in Atlanta Falcons podcast, we might

430
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:32,520
Speaker 1: be at Jacksonville Jaguars podcast, and they have led us

431
00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:36,720
Speaker 1: down so many times this year. You know, we have

432
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:41,000
Speaker 1: told ourselves we're not betting the Jags anymore, and yet

433
00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,760
Speaker 1: here we are, we see ourselves in a position of

434
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:49,600
Speaker 1: betting the Jaguars. I'm with you. I agree, it's just

435
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: you know, it's the kind of thing that makes you

436
00:21:53,400 --> 00:21:58,840
Speaker 1: puke after thanksgetting yeah, I feel like again that's my

437
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:00,800
Speaker 1: job to be a profession an a little better. It's

438
00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:04,040
Speaker 1: just like, get over yourself, Like, it's not the Jaguars

439
00:22:04,040 --> 00:22:05,960
Speaker 1: fault that I lost money. That's my own damn fault.

440
00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,080
Speaker 1: I should have known better. This feels are a good

441
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:09,919
Speaker 1: spot to take him, So try not to blame the

442
00:22:09,960 --> 00:22:13,720
Speaker 1: Jaguars for my shortcomings. Don't hate the player, hate the game.

443
00:22:15,640 --> 00:22:17,480
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477
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:26,240
Speaker 1: at the Browns. Buccaneers off by Browns getting blown out,

478
00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:29,399
Speaker 1: although I will say they got blown out late like

479
00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,360
Speaker 1: they were in that game, and that they played well

480
00:24:32,359 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 1: in that game. Three and a half right now Browns, Yeah,

481
00:24:36,600 --> 00:24:39,639
Speaker 1: so basically they're all pro center just got put on

482
00:24:39,680 --> 00:24:42,000
Speaker 1: I R. So that's like a big deal for them,

483
00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:46,040
Speaker 1: and they're run game. I want to take Cleveland, I

484
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,040
Speaker 1: really do. I feel like this is the right time

485
00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:51,720
Speaker 1: to take them against a buck team that a little overvalued.

486
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:54,480
Speaker 1: Like in games they the games, the one against the Rams,

487
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:56,479
Speaker 1: the Rams kind of gave that game away to them,

488
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 1: the game they want to get the Seahawks. That was

489
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 1: kind of Geno revert and backed himself again. They were

490
00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:04,080
Speaker 1: losing big in that game and Gino came all the

491
00:25:04,119 --> 00:25:06,359
Speaker 1: way back. He put up a fight. He just couldn't

492
00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:08,280
Speaker 1: get there right, you know enough times so to me,

493
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 1: unless you have a huge, huge letdown spot from Brissett. Yeah,

494
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,400
Speaker 1: this could burn us again. He's not been good this year.

495
00:25:16,440 --> 00:25:18,639
Speaker 1: Per set the Cleveland they have a bad record. They

496
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 1: are a bad team. So if we had to pick

497
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,040
Speaker 1: between the two evils to put in one between the

498
00:25:24,119 --> 00:25:26,479
Speaker 1: Jaguars and Cleveland, we'll pick one of them. There's no

499
00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:28,520
Speaker 1: chance both these are going in the contest, so I

500
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:30,800
Speaker 1: can tell you that much. Yeah, it's gonna be one

501
00:25:30,920 --> 00:25:32,440
Speaker 1: if you want to get. If you want to get

502
00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:34,239
Speaker 1: the hook and you like the Browns, get it now.

503
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,240
Speaker 1: Because it's a three and a half. I think it's

504
00:25:36,240 --> 00:25:39,480
Speaker 1: gonna keep going up though, honestly, because yeah, just because

505
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,400
Speaker 1: it's a big it's a big injury the offensive line

506
00:25:41,440 --> 00:25:45,679
Speaker 1: like that, that's a big deal. Um, we know that

507
00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,920
Speaker 1: team they needed they need to get the ball running

508
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:52,080
Speaker 1: to really get things going. So uh, yeah's interesting number.

509
00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,679
Speaker 1: I'll be watching. But don't rush. You don't have the rusher.

510
00:25:54,720 --> 00:25:59,159
Speaker 1: Got that three and a half? All right? Well I

511
00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:04,320
Speaker 1: may have done that ready, Um, so bad on me.

512
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:09,640
Speaker 1: The Chicago Bears are visiting the New York Football Jets.

513
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:13,040
Speaker 1: We don't know a lot right now to me, like

514
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:17,199
Speaker 1: this is a wait and see, don't rush. Justin field

515
00:26:17,280 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: dislocated left shoulder, non throwing shoulder, even if by some

516
00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:26,520
Speaker 1: miracle he does play, and I would say, Bears, for

517
00:26:26,600 --> 00:26:30,639
Speaker 1: God's sakes, he's proven how good he is. You've proven

518
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,840
Speaker 1: what you can do with him offensively. You know what

519
00:26:32,880 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: the game plan should be next year. He's got a

520
00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:37,920
Speaker 1: dislocated left shoulder that's gonna take six weeks to heal.

521
00:26:38,680 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 1: Shut him the funk down, right, get as high a

522
00:26:42,359 --> 00:26:45,560
Speaker 1: pick as you can get. Get that offensive lineman. You need,

523
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:49,120
Speaker 1: start thinking about what you need to support the defense, Like,

524
00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:54,560
Speaker 1: let's not jeopardize the next decade to play the New

525
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 1: York fucking Jets, who we don't even know who their

526
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:58,959
Speaker 1: quarterback is going to be. So I don't know why

527
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,040
Speaker 1: anyone's betting this game this point because people like me,

528
00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:04,640
Speaker 1: like I'm all over the Jets love the Jets. Could

529
00:27:04,680 --> 00:27:07,320
Speaker 1: give two ships through the Jets quarterback because he literally

530
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:12,399
Speaker 1: just playing the spot situationally, the Bears. What makes them work?

531
00:27:12,680 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 1: Justin fields? Guess what's broken? Justin fields? It's that simple.

532
00:27:16,960 --> 00:27:20,520
Speaker 1: It's like, Okay, I banged up justin fields. I love it.

533
00:27:20,520 --> 00:27:23,080
Speaker 1: He's greaty, he's tough, he's gonna try to play. The

534
00:27:23,160 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 1: Jets have one of the best defenses in football, Like

535
00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,000
Speaker 1: they're gonna beat the ship up if he does play,

536
00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,760
Speaker 1: I think pretty quick. I don't think he's gonna think

537
00:27:29,760 --> 00:27:31,560
Speaker 1: it's gonna be worth it. Like I think he's gonna

538
00:27:31,600 --> 00:27:33,399
Speaker 1: get banged up here if he tries to force himself

539
00:27:33,480 --> 00:27:37,000
Speaker 1: into this game. So give me anyone but Zack Wilson.

540
00:27:37,040 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: That would make my day if we found out again

541
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:43,000
Speaker 1: Flacco as much I love to bury the guy. He

542
00:27:43,080 --> 00:27:45,320
Speaker 1: can run the system. He's got the balls to get

543
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,280
Speaker 1: the ball downfield. Zack looks scared. Like Zach. We all

544
00:27:48,320 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 1: know he hasn't talent. It's all mental. We've seen the

545
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,199
Speaker 1: time and time again. That's what most of football is

546
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,560
Speaker 1: here in the quarterback position. Like these guys all talent,

547
00:27:56,080 --> 00:27:59,480
Speaker 1: once they get broken mentally, that's it again. Baker Mayfield,

548
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: you can you can throw on his film from his

549
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,600
Speaker 1: rookie year. He looks like a completely different quarterback. He

550
00:28:05,640 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: had confidence, he had balls, he would go downfield. Now

551
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:11,280
Speaker 1: he's terrified. Anytime he does go downfield, it's a force

552
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:15,680
Speaker 1: into two guys. It's just bad reads. So, man, I

553
00:28:15,760 --> 00:28:17,520
Speaker 1: get where you're coming from. Where It's like, this is

554
00:28:17,560 --> 00:28:19,159
Speaker 1: just so gross. I don't want to touch it right now,

555
00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:21,879
Speaker 1: and there's so much unknowns, but I'm just gonna grab

556
00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,480
Speaker 1: it just in case it Fields is out, Like that's

557
00:28:24,480 --> 00:28:26,320
Speaker 1: a big that's gonna move this number, like this could

558
00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,560
Speaker 1: jump up to six. So I'll grab the four. I'll

559
00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:29,960
Speaker 1: grab the four and a half now in the Jets

560
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:34,760
Speaker 1: and if if Justin plays, great, If not, that's okay too.

561
00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:36,119
Speaker 1: To me, the big deal is where we want to

562
00:28:36,119 --> 00:28:38,320
Speaker 1: see who the quarterback is for this Jets team, because

563
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,800
Speaker 1: I don't like the juji right now with that team.

564
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:44,200
Speaker 1: Like you can tell Zack Wilson a lot of X

565
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,960
Speaker 1: players talking about him, you know, in that conference not

566
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,480
Speaker 1: owning up to playing shitty and having a bad game.

567
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: That's a bad look, like really bad look. So to me,

568
00:28:53,520 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 1: that's a big deal. It's a really bad look. Yeah,

569
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,720
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that the reaction it's gott And there's been

570
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:03,640
Speaker 1: a lot of memes going around comparing Josh Allen to

571
00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:08,480
Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. How Josh Allen will, like after a game

572
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:11,840
Speaker 1: when he plays badly, will sit there and just bad

573
00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:15,640
Speaker 1: mouth himself like he is the worst person in the world.

574
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:19,480
Speaker 1: Where there's a story going around that Justin Fields in

575
00:29:19,520 --> 00:29:22,560
Speaker 1: the locker room after the game against Atlanta, stood up

576
00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:25,520
Speaker 1: and said to his defense, I apologize. This is on me.

577
00:29:25,760 --> 00:29:28,400
Speaker 1: You gave us chances to win, we didn't take advantage

578
00:29:28,400 --> 00:29:30,800
Speaker 1: of them. And then you've got Zack Wilson just being

579
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:35,600
Speaker 1: like yeah, good, yeah, such a such a bad look.

580
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:38,440
Speaker 1: Not do she You wouldn't be too if you look

581
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:41,120
Speaker 1: like him. I mean he has a good looking guy. Yeah.

582
00:29:41,760 --> 00:29:46,480
Speaker 1: The Bengals are on the road at the Titans. I

583
00:29:46,560 --> 00:29:51,040
Speaker 1: love the Bengals last week, even against the good Steelers defense.

584
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:54,160
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow, you know, it's getting into the point where

585
00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:57,920
Speaker 1: he's through the rust of not having played much during

586
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,880
Speaker 1: the early part during preseason um and not done much

587
00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:05,360
Speaker 1: during the offseason. This team is just getting better. DJ

588
00:30:05,480 --> 00:30:08,560
Speaker 1: Reader is back. I think that's a big deal. What

589
00:30:08,680 --> 00:30:12,160
Speaker 1: scares me and I think I like the Bengals here.

590
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 1: What scares me is that the Titans continue to cover

591
00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: for reasons that are unknown because they're not that good

592
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:25,560
Speaker 1: of a team. Big balls better the week, Cincinnati Bengals,

593
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:32,680
Speaker 1: So let me ask something. I agree, but why is

594
00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:34,920
Speaker 1: that a big balls better the week? Like taking the

595
00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:38,840
Speaker 1: big d The Titans haven't They've covered in like eight

596
00:30:38,920 --> 00:30:41,600
Speaker 1: straight weeks. Ray Blow is an underdog. We all know

597
00:30:41,680 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 1: the numbers this is. This is gonna be a spot chat.

598
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,200
Speaker 1: I feel like we're gonna be kind of loan on,

599
00:30:46,360 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 1: like maybe a couple of pros will better with us,

600
00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:51,360
Speaker 1: but Joe Public will be on the Titans. They'll tease

601
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 1: the Titans up to eight or seven and a half,

602
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:56,880
Speaker 1: like they're they're gonna love this number this week. Um

603
00:30:56,920 --> 00:31:01,200
Speaker 1: to me, the biggest advantages the Titans only weaknesses they

604
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,440
Speaker 1: can be passed on and lucky for us. I shouldn't

605
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 1: say lucky, but it seems like Joe Mixon is gonna

606
00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,480
Speaker 1: be out. So my pe grynds are receiving back. We

607
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,560
Speaker 1: saw it last week how Dominie was catching the ball

608
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,760
Speaker 1: in the backfield. That's what the Bangos at Danny will

609
00:31:13,800 --> 00:31:15,960
Speaker 1: be against Tennessee. That's how they're gonna beat them. It's

610
00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,560
Speaker 1: passing the ball moving through the air. So giving me

611
00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:22,600
Speaker 1: this number under three, I honestly think it's a gift. Um. Again,

612
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:24,720
Speaker 1: we saw these two teams playing the playoffs last year.

613
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:27,960
Speaker 1: I think the Titans sacked him like ten times. I'm

614
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:31,440
Speaker 1: not even exaggerating, and they still lost that game. This

615
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,640
Speaker 1: Bengals O line is much improved. Um, this should be

616
00:31:34,680 --> 00:31:37,520
Speaker 1: a good matchup for this Bangals team. So, just based

617
00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:40,920
Speaker 1: off the regression we expect from Tennessee here, they should

618
00:31:40,960 --> 00:31:43,800
Speaker 1: drop this game. But not only that, I think they're

619
00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:45,480
Speaker 1: sucking the public in a little bit. So it's not

620
00:31:45,480 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 1: surprising to see the money and the tickets coming in

621
00:31:47,400 --> 00:31:51,400
Speaker 1: early on Tennessee. Um again, two and a half to

622
00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:53,960
Speaker 1: one and a half. As long as you get under three,

623
00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:59,160
Speaker 1: I would take this Bengals number. M hmm. I was

624
00:31:59,240 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 1: leading to that as executive decision, and you just stepped

625
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,080
Speaker 1: on me. We'll do it. We all go with different

626
00:32:04,080 --> 00:32:07,920
Speaker 1: big balls. No, I'll find an exact decision. I'm just

627
00:32:07,960 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 1: trying to give the people winners chat. That's that's what

628
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 1: I try to do. Yeah, like I did last week

629
00:32:12,320 --> 00:32:16,760
Speaker 1: with Cincinnati as our big balls and the Chargers in

630
00:32:16,840 --> 00:32:22,240
Speaker 1: my scoot roulette. Don't talk to me about winners. You're

631
00:32:22,240 --> 00:32:25,480
Speaker 1: on a heater. Heater. Have you look in the app

632
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:28,440
Speaker 1: right now? For the last thirty days, I am fucking

633
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:33,160
Speaker 1: crushing it right, I found a fucking groove al right.

634
00:32:33,200 --> 00:32:37,920
Speaker 1: The text is a thirteen point underdogs at Miami. I mean, look,

635
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:44,280
Speaker 1: we don't want to Yeah, we're not mad at us,

636
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:46,320
Speaker 1: but what can we do? We have to be? What

637
00:32:46,360 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 1: are we supposed to do? I know I hate it?

638
00:32:49,600 --> 00:32:52,760
Speaker 1: What are we supposed to do? I won't I will

639
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 1: not I promise you will not hit up Chat on Sunday.

640
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:56,960
Speaker 1: I will not say we have to put this one in,

641
00:32:57,720 --> 00:33:03,600
Speaker 1: but I will be bet in Houston. Um, it's it's bad.

642
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:07,640
Speaker 1: Houston is bad and everywhere they are bad. It's it

643
00:33:07,800 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 1: is not fun again when we're down fourteen nothing in

644
00:33:10,120 --> 00:33:12,680
Speaker 1: the first quarter. That's why I'll text Chat and say,

645
00:33:12,680 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 1: thank God we didn't put this in our five because

646
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:18,800
Speaker 1: it's just God, They're just bad. So yeah, I'll bet

647
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:22,360
Speaker 1: it with the four other people. Um, it's miserable. Existence

648
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: will be one of my smaller bets. It's definitely gonna

649
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:26,440
Speaker 1: win because no one's gonna bet, and then that's just

650
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:29,480
Speaker 1: how it goes. But Miami is good, like a move

651
00:33:29,520 --> 00:33:32,040
Speaker 1: the ball. They're all healthy right now, to is healthy.

652
00:33:33,040 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 1: I get it. If you want to take Miami is

653
00:33:35,200 --> 00:33:37,640
Speaker 1: a big favorite here. Um, I just I feel like

654
00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:39,680
Speaker 1: this line is by three points higher than it should be,

655
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:44,520
Speaker 1: so I'll just I'll take Houston. I would say nobody

656
00:33:44,560 --> 00:33:48,880
Speaker 1: should take Miami. It's either a bet Houston, or don't

657
00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,560
Speaker 1: bet it at all, but don't be the person who's

658
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:55,080
Speaker 1: betting Miami. That's what like Dann Ravel is gonna bet Miami,

659
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:57,720
Speaker 1: and I can't fault them though, like that Houston. I

660
00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 1: said it last week. I didn't get why the Pros

661
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,800
Speaker 1: were making this when they're bigger bets where Houston they're

662
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:03,800
Speaker 1: taking a risk. He's gonna be the worst team of football.

663
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,680
Speaker 1: Like they really are that bad where they could have

664
00:34:06,760 --> 00:34:10,319
Speaker 1: quit on love you at this point. And again it's

665
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,440
Speaker 1: not that I think they've quit on love You. I

666
00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:15,000
Speaker 1: think the league is just figured out Davis Mills. Like

667
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:19,080
Speaker 1: you watch him against these defenses now, he's forever uncomfortable.

668
00:34:19,080 --> 00:34:20,799
Speaker 1: He doesn't like throwing to his left, so they just

669
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:23,239
Speaker 1: shade everything to his right and it makes him uncomfortable.

670
00:34:23,280 --> 00:34:26,399
Speaker 1: So um, that might be the major issue here where

671
00:34:26,480 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: he's just so bad and they have no other option.

672
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:30,919
Speaker 1: Good for them, right, they're gonna tank this year. They're

673
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:33,480
Speaker 1: gonna get a great quarterback in this draft. But for

674
00:34:33,560 --> 00:34:36,960
Speaker 1: this year, man, it's hard putting money behind this kid

675
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:39,520
Speaker 1: at QB where he just he's regressed every week since

676
00:34:39,560 --> 00:34:41,359
Speaker 1: that Week one game against the Colts. He just has

677
00:34:41,400 --> 00:34:46,560
Speaker 1: not produced this year. Should we make this our fox off? Fuck? No, no,

678
00:34:46,880 --> 00:34:50,680
Speaker 1: stay away. Tell me how you really feel about it? Again,

679
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:52,760
Speaker 1: I feel like we have to bet it. But people

680
00:34:52,760 --> 00:34:54,840
Speaker 1: are like yelling at us about the Houston pick and

681
00:34:54,880 --> 00:34:57,640
Speaker 1: I got it, Like that sucked, that was horrible. So

682
00:34:57,800 --> 00:35:02,880
Speaker 1: I get where they're coming from. All right, well, uh,

683
00:35:03,000 --> 00:35:05,000
Speaker 1: no one else is going to do it except for us,

684
00:35:05,080 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 1: that by definition puts us in the Foxhole. That's true,

685
00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:12,719
Speaker 1: just saying, and like I like, there's a lot of

686
00:35:12,760 --> 00:35:16,800
Speaker 1: games coming up. I feel mediocre about most of them. Um,

687
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:20,479
Speaker 1: so it's tough on Tuesday. I'm not sure we'll find

688
00:35:20,480 --> 00:35:24,160
Speaker 1: a game that is a more obvious Foxhole game in

689
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:26,799
Speaker 1: the Texans. In fact, I feel like we're doing a

690
00:35:26,800 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 1: disservice to the definition and who we are as a

691
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,160
Speaker 1: podcast and who we are as better as if we

692
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:36,479
Speaker 1: don't make the Texans are foxholl I mean, Jesus Christ,

693
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,239
Speaker 1: you're taking that think of a stand. Yeah we can.

694
00:35:39,280 --> 00:35:40,799
Speaker 1: We can make it our fox will if you feel

695
00:35:40,840 --> 00:35:46,719
Speaker 1: that strongly. I feel strongly. Oh God, look, this is

696
00:35:46,760 --> 00:35:49,239
Speaker 1: what we do. We're betting the Jags. You just said,

697
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:53,239
Speaker 1: Simon says, its Jags plus four. I mean come on,

698
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:57,920
Speaker 1: this is what we do. They've shown a little life

699
00:35:57,920 --> 00:35:59,440
Speaker 1: when you poke them with a stick. Right now, we're

700
00:35:59,440 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 1: poking he's of the stick and we get nothing. We

701
00:36:01,719 --> 00:36:06,120
Speaker 1: bet Davis Mills, he's a back door, cover, almost cover,

702
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:11,160
Speaker 1: get close machine. He is the guy who tempts you

703
00:36:11,680 --> 00:36:14,759
Speaker 1: late in the game, and we will be tempted when

704
00:36:14,800 --> 00:36:18,160
Speaker 1: they're down twenty and there's no reason for Miami to

705
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:25,239
Speaker 1: play defense anymore. And Davis Mills keeps going falcons on

706
00:36:25,280 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 1: the road at the Commanders. I'm seeing some four and

707
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:32,440
Speaker 1: a half's out there. Yeah, yeah, peak Commanders, this is

708
00:36:32,480 --> 00:36:35,680
Speaker 1: the peak of the Commanders. They're getting four and a half.

709
00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:38,560
Speaker 1: Maybe that's because Chase is coming back, right, that's a

710
00:36:38,560 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 1: big upgrade of their d line. But man, this is

711
00:36:42,560 --> 00:36:46,120
Speaker 1: crazy to think that. I mean, there's still in fourth

712
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,839
Speaker 1: place the NFC East. They've turned it around again. Heineke's comment,

713
00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 1: he's played well, he's made big throws. Their offenses clicking.

714
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:56,400
Speaker 1: Their defense has been playing well, right. Even in that

715
00:36:56,480 --> 00:36:59,399
Speaker 1: Eagles game, they were giving up yards, but they're tough,

716
00:36:59,440 --> 00:37:02,600
Speaker 1: fault hard yards and again they were going after the ball.

717
00:37:02,640 --> 00:37:05,880
Speaker 1: They stripped the Eagles on three different plays. So to me,

718
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,439
Speaker 1: Washington might be stepping in front of the train right now.

719
00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:11,680
Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad's gonna talk about like four

720
00:37:11,719 --> 00:37:14,680
Speaker 1: and a half four. It's a lot of points for

721
00:37:14,680 --> 00:37:17,520
Speaker 1: a Washington team that you know, they play teams close

722
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:21,200
Speaker 1: in Atlanta, loves close games. All year they've played close games.

723
00:37:21,239 --> 00:37:23,480
Speaker 1: They give teams they are best shots. Especially with that

724
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:26,240
Speaker 1: run game. They just ball control, slow the game down.

725
00:37:26,320 --> 00:37:30,640
Speaker 1: So e D and I don't mean the kind that

726
00:37:30,680 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 1: needs viagra. Executive decision, the choice between the unthinkable and

727
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:45,319
Speaker 1: the impossible. Are you with ex executive decision? Come on?

728
00:37:45,960 --> 00:37:49,479
Speaker 1: Are you telling me? Taylor Heineke should be a four

729
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 1: or four and a half point favorite over anybody right now?

730
00:37:53,640 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 1: Like he is a wild card, great backup team rallies.

731
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:03,520
Speaker 1: It's impressive what he's been doing. Beating the Eagles was impressive,

732
00:38:03,680 --> 00:38:06,840
Speaker 1: a lot of luck. Beating the Texans was impressive. We

733
00:38:06,960 --> 00:38:11,239
Speaker 1: thought the Texans would cover. But the Falcons are a

734
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:16,479
Speaker 1: great match for this Washington team. Strength on strength, Right,

735
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 1: They're going to run the ball, and the Washington Commanders

736
00:38:21,760 --> 00:38:23,879
Speaker 1: they're going to try to stop the run, and they're

737
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:29,480
Speaker 1: good at that. But this is about controlling the clock.

738
00:38:30,560 --> 00:38:33,880
Speaker 1: It's about the Falcons being very good in close games.

739
00:38:34,280 --> 00:38:37,760
Speaker 1: Eight of eleven games this year one score or less.

740
00:38:38,680 --> 00:38:42,279
Speaker 1: Seven of those games four points or less. That's why

741
00:38:42,320 --> 00:38:44,839
Speaker 1: the hook is so important here. There is a team

742
00:38:44,840 --> 00:38:47,440
Speaker 1: that just plays close games, whether they win or they lose,

743
00:38:47,640 --> 00:38:51,080
Speaker 1: they just play very close games. They don't make mistakes.

744
00:38:51,760 --> 00:38:55,520
Speaker 1: That's what you're betting beyond anything else. You're betting the

745
00:38:55,560 --> 00:39:01,000
Speaker 1: situation and you're betting the matchup. Couple people are gonna

746
00:39:01,000 --> 00:39:03,000
Speaker 1: say that Atlanta struggled on the road this year, which

747
00:39:03,040 --> 00:39:04,840
Speaker 1: is fair criticism they have. If you look at the

748
00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:07,640
Speaker 1: data this year, they have definitely struggled on the road.

749
00:39:08,239 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 1: There's no home field advantage here with Washington, so I

750
00:39:10,920 --> 00:39:13,200
Speaker 1: kind of throw that one out in this position. Then

751
00:39:13,239 --> 00:39:17,719
Speaker 1: for Broncos, oh god, they're two and a half point

752
00:39:17,760 --> 00:39:21,719
Speaker 1: favorites of Carolina. That's how bad Carolina is that the

753
00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,479
Speaker 1: Broncos are two and a half point favorites on the road,

754
00:39:25,120 --> 00:39:28,759
Speaker 1: and this Broncos team is just dreadful. This is an

755
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:33,000
Speaker 1: auto play on the under for sure. Um, but what

756
00:39:33,040 --> 00:39:36,160
Speaker 1: do we think of the side here? I immediately regretted

757
00:39:36,239 --> 00:39:38,480
Speaker 1: spending any time on this game. Work in the number,

758
00:39:38,440 --> 00:39:40,800
Speaker 1: you're trying to figure this game out. It was truly pointless,

759
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,520
Speaker 1: where it's like I don't know where I'm getting from

760
00:39:42,520 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: either quarterback. I know exactly what I'm getting from both defenses.

761
00:39:46,560 --> 00:39:48,600
Speaker 1: Chad just nailed it. I'll just take the under pass

762
00:39:48,680 --> 00:39:51,160
Speaker 1: on this game, Like am I want to take Carolina

763
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:53,759
Speaker 1: because who the hell is Denverna be catching points right now?

764
00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:57,120
Speaker 1: They got nothing working. Um, just an absolute train wreck

765
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,400
Speaker 1: of the season. It's real shame. Chad then listen to

766
00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:04,200
Speaker 1: his co host All Summer talking about how bad Russell

767
00:40:04,239 --> 00:40:06,880
Speaker 1: Wilson has that I ever imagined to be this bad. No,

768
00:40:07,239 --> 00:40:10,560
Speaker 1: this is crazy. It is crazy how bad he is

769
00:40:10,680 --> 00:40:12,920
Speaker 1: and the whole since the whole situation is so crazy,

770
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,960
Speaker 1: I just can't believe they gave him that contract. Um.

771
00:40:16,239 --> 00:40:19,040
Speaker 1: Just feel so terrible with Denver fans. So, yeah, I'd

772
00:40:19,040 --> 00:40:21,640
Speaker 1: love to take Panthers here. Maybe I will if it's

773
00:40:21,640 --> 00:40:24,880
Speaker 1: same Donald at quarterback, but Baker Mayfield can't do it,

774
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:28,719
Speaker 1: can't do it, So I'll just take the under So. Um,

775
00:40:28,880 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: we have a stat. Evan Abrams put it out. I

776
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:37,520
Speaker 1: believe our crack research lead. The total in this game

777
00:40:37,600 --> 00:40:40,319
Speaker 1: is thirty five. Wow. I think it's one of the

778
00:40:40,360 --> 00:40:45,360
Speaker 1: lowest totals in the past twenty years. I'd still play that.

779
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,080
Speaker 1: I'd still play the under. Yeah, I mean the lowest

780
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:51,279
Speaker 1: total in college football was I think it was the

781
00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:53,279
Speaker 1: same thing. It was like thirty three or thirty four.

782
00:40:53,760 --> 00:40:58,360
Speaker 1: It went under. So I mean clearly it's sometimes you

783
00:40:58,400 --> 00:41:00,840
Speaker 1: really can't go low enough. Um. Yeah, it won't be

784
00:41:00,880 --> 00:41:03,359
Speaker 1: fun taking this on there, but I just have no

785
00:41:03,440 --> 00:41:06,200
Speaker 1: faiths in you know, these offenses where both defenses are

786
00:41:06,280 --> 00:41:10,360
Speaker 1: just really supreme. The Raiders and the Broncos went to

787
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:17,080
Speaker 1: overtime tied at sixteen. Yeah, they just can't score Denver

788
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,240
Speaker 1: and they keep everyone from scoring. Speaking of the Raiders,

789
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:22,760
Speaker 1: they're on the road. They're three and a half point

790
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:28,520
Speaker 1: underdogs at Seattle. No brainer. Take Seattle here every time.

791
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,560
Speaker 1: Raiders coming off a big overtime divisional win, now going

792
00:41:31,600 --> 00:41:34,279
Speaker 1: on the road, back to back road games. What a

793
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,520
Speaker 1: gift for the Seahawks, which we love. We love the

794
00:41:36,520 --> 00:41:41,719
Speaker 1: Seahawks team. Great fun story, only fears Gina turning back

795
00:41:41,760 --> 00:41:43,799
Speaker 1: and go Pumpkin. He's had a week now thinking about

796
00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:46,760
Speaker 1: how great has started. The year has been a little scary.

797
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,319
Speaker 1: But I'll take this number every time. There are just

798
00:41:50,040 --> 00:41:52,520
Speaker 1: one team's a bottom dweller. They've been bad all season,

799
00:41:52,560 --> 00:41:55,880
Speaker 1: they had bad coaching. The other team has really again

800
00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:57,920
Speaker 1: shown all of us how dead wrong we were coming

801
00:41:57,960 --> 00:42:00,480
Speaker 1: to the season with the Seahawks team. Carol is a

802
00:42:00,480 --> 00:42:02,600
Speaker 1: way better coach when we gave him credit for right.

803
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:05,520
Speaker 1: He's a great motivator of men, you know, has played

804
00:42:05,520 --> 00:42:08,560
Speaker 1: outstanding lee the running game and working for the Seahawks

805
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 1: right now, that's the raiders biggest weakness is they really

806
00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:14,239
Speaker 1: cannot stop the runs. So in this position, we know

807
00:42:14,320 --> 00:42:18,960
Speaker 1: exactly what the Seahawks are gonna do. Again, Raiders are desperate.

808
00:42:19,000 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 1: I get where people are gonna say, like this game,

809
00:42:21,239 --> 00:42:22,680
Speaker 1: this is gonna be a lot for them, because this

810
00:42:22,760 --> 00:42:24,600
Speaker 1: really is their season. If they can somehow pull this

811
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:27,040
Speaker 1: one off, maybe get some more momentum, they can maybe

812
00:42:27,040 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 1: make the playoffs. I just don't see it, Like they

813
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:32,400
Speaker 1: just seem like an immature team. That team has so

814
00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:34,360
Speaker 1: many issues. Again, we heard all about all the fighting

815
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:37,879
Speaker 1: and everything like that great win, great win against Denver.

816
00:42:38,480 --> 00:42:41,000
Speaker 1: This is a completely different breed here. Like the Seahawks

817
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,040
Speaker 1: have played well all season, they had one bad half

818
00:42:43,040 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 1: against Tampa. I'm not gonna let them throw me off that.

819
00:42:45,960 --> 00:42:48,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna keep riding the Seahawks team. So I like

820
00:42:48,080 --> 00:42:50,360
Speaker 1: this number and getting under four. I think it's important

821
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:54,960
Speaker 1: because that four is becoming more and more of a key. Uh.

822
00:42:55,080 --> 00:42:58,680
Speaker 1: Speaking of four, it looks like the send the San

823
00:42:58,719 --> 00:43:01,600
Speaker 1: Diego the Los Angeles charter is around the road visiting

824
00:43:01,600 --> 00:43:08,960
Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals as uh short road favorites. Every fiber

825
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:13,080
Speaker 1: in my body screaming you take Arizona here. I can't

826
00:43:13,120 --> 00:43:16,640
Speaker 1: do it. I just cannot do it. That was embarrassing

827
00:43:16,640 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 1: what they did in Mexico. Even if Kyler comes back,

828
00:43:19,719 --> 00:43:22,520
Speaker 1: it feels like this team has lost. The locker room

829
00:43:22,600 --> 00:43:26,000
Speaker 1: is lost. Bad, just bad, bad bad, And I just

830
00:43:26,000 --> 00:43:27,920
Speaker 1: want to fade it because it's charges the favorite. Me

831
00:43:27,960 --> 00:43:30,520
Speaker 1: and Chad, we love taking the Chargers the big dog

832
00:43:30,560 --> 00:43:33,439
Speaker 1: because they always will lose by three. We hate taking

833
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,320
Speaker 1: them as big favorites. So again, this is one of

834
00:43:36,360 --> 00:43:38,279
Speaker 1: those I wish we could talk about later in the week.

835
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:41,960
Speaker 1: I would have more information on this game, But sitting

836
00:43:41,960 --> 00:43:44,600
Speaker 1: here Tuesday, I'll go chalk and I take it with

837
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 1: the Chargers. But it's just doesn't feel great because it's

838
00:43:47,719 --> 00:43:49,759
Speaker 1: just a bad position to be in. This is not

839
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:54,880
Speaker 1: a game that the Chargers as favorites it's a bad spot.

840
00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:59,160
Speaker 1: The Cardinals off a huge loss in prime time, You're

841
00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:01,879
Speaker 1: automatically getting a point and a half of value here.

842
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:04,759
Speaker 1: It's really about what is your tolerance for betting on

843
00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:08,560
Speaker 1: Cliff Kingsbury, betting on Kyler Murray assuming that he's back.

844
00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:12,160
Speaker 1: Will this team be that much better? They are a mess?

845
00:44:12,600 --> 00:44:15,960
Speaker 1: So you've just got to really be comfortable playing a

846
00:44:16,040 --> 00:44:18,960
Speaker 1: number because that's what you're doing here. Like, I wouldn't

847
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,080
Speaker 1: bet the Chargers in this spot, even though we kind

848
00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:25,960
Speaker 1: of even though like it's disgusting, because the Cardinals are

849
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:29,160
Speaker 1: the team where the value is. Yeah, and again it's

850
00:44:29,160 --> 00:44:32,560
Speaker 1: just luckily for us, there's fifteen other games this week,

851
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:34,000
Speaker 1: so it's just not one of those I'm gonna spend

852
00:44:34,040 --> 00:44:36,839
Speaker 1: that much time on. No, there's only four games left

853
00:44:36,840 --> 00:44:40,719
Speaker 1: to talk about. We have given away our foxhol are,

854
00:44:41,160 --> 00:44:44,360
Speaker 1: which is the Texas plus thirteen. Our Simon says Jack's

855
00:44:44,360 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 1: plus four our exact decision Atlanta plus four and alf

856
00:44:47,520 --> 00:44:49,880
Speaker 1: four and a half big ball since he minus one

857
00:44:49,880 --> 00:44:53,400
Speaker 1: and a half. The Rams are on the road as massive,

858
00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,680
Speaker 1: massive underdogs against the Kansas City Chiefs, two touchdown underdogs.

859
00:45:00,400 --> 00:45:01,840
Speaker 1: What are we supposed to do here? I have no

860
00:45:01,880 --> 00:45:03,799
Speaker 1: idea what Staffords are gonna be playing or not, So

861
00:45:03,920 --> 00:45:07,239
Speaker 1: no Stafford, no Cup. I guess I'll go Chiefs. But

862
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:08,960
Speaker 1: me and you had to talk all the time. We

863
00:45:09,000 --> 00:45:11,040
Speaker 1: usually like to fade. My home is a big favorite,

864
00:45:11,080 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 1: so I know the pros will probably on the Rams,

865
00:45:13,719 --> 00:45:16,480
Speaker 1: but we got on the Chalk. I'll go with since

866
00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 1: a year, but no real feel for this game. We're

867
00:45:19,000 --> 00:45:21,799
Speaker 1: going with the Rams. We're not We're not putting in

868
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,399
Speaker 1: the contest, but if we're taking a stand right now,

869
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,839
Speaker 1: we're going with the Rams. I gotta say, I gotta

870
00:45:27,840 --> 00:45:29,799
Speaker 1: The public does win though, Chad, you are aware of that,

871
00:45:29,920 --> 00:45:33,200
Speaker 1: right yeah, but not as often as the wise guys

872
00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:37,759
Speaker 1: st It feels like, alright, well, I'm just saying that

873
00:45:37,840 --> 00:45:41,239
Speaker 1: the last two picks, we have been letting the perception

874
00:45:42,920 --> 00:45:46,880
Speaker 1: of the bad team get in the way of making

875
00:45:47,600 --> 00:45:52,759
Speaker 1: the right decision. I disagree. This is this is the

876
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:54,560
Speaker 1: problem with Chatty. But this guy gets a little bit

877
00:45:54,600 --> 00:45:56,359
Speaker 1: of power, a little bit of winning, he turns into

878
00:45:56,400 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 1: a fucking monster. This is why I have to keep

879
00:45:58,160 --> 00:46:01,480
Speaker 1: him locked down, keep him home, because this is what happens.

880
00:46:03,440 --> 00:46:06,319
Speaker 1: I've been saying the same thing since before you were

881
00:46:06,400 --> 00:46:16,279
Speaker 1: fucking born young. Yeah that's so. Look, we don't have

882
00:46:16,320 --> 00:46:17,920
Speaker 1: to put them in the contest. We don't have to

883
00:46:17,920 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 1: make him one of our other bad chance. I'm not

884
00:46:19,680 --> 00:46:22,000
Speaker 1: betting the Rams. I'm not putting I'm not asking people

885
00:46:22,000 --> 00:46:24,919
Speaker 1: to put their good money on the Rams. Okay, well

886
00:46:25,760 --> 00:46:28,600
Speaker 1: I will. I'm going to tell you I am not

887
00:46:28,719 --> 00:46:34,640
Speaker 1: afraid of that. Uh. The Saints also massive underdogs visiting

888
00:46:34,680 --> 00:46:38,280
Speaker 1: the Niners. I loved the Niners last night. I felt

889
00:46:38,400 --> 00:46:41,799
Speaker 1: very strongly about it. I feel less strong now just

890
00:46:41,840 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 1: because I think the delta, like the value was gone,

891
00:46:45,239 --> 00:46:47,520
Speaker 1: you know, because of how well they played. I think

892
00:46:48,440 --> 00:46:52,840
Speaker 1: we we we were riding the leading edge into the

893
00:46:52,960 --> 00:47:01,120
Speaker 1: Niners and the Saints. You know, yeah, an they're bad again. Situationally,

894
00:47:01,200 --> 00:47:02,920
Speaker 1: I feel like you'll agree, though, this is kind of

895
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,439
Speaker 1: where you take the Saints like, of course you do,

896
00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:09,560
Speaker 1: is that was an incredible game. It's more about me

897
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:13,279
Speaker 1: looking at them and thinking, Okay, they're now going to

898
00:47:13,400 --> 00:47:15,879
Speaker 1: be talked about all week, will be the most bet

899
00:47:15,880 --> 00:47:18,160
Speaker 1: team for Super Bowl, no doubt all week. Like people

900
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:19,680
Speaker 1: are just gonna be putting money on them because the

901
00:47:19,719 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: hype is real. Because again, Jimmy earned it, like that

902
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:25,520
Speaker 1: was his best game. Of the season, and again people

903
00:47:25,520 --> 00:47:27,799
Speaker 1: were like, well, you said Jimmy has been playing bad

904
00:47:27,800 --> 00:47:29,880
Speaker 1: this year, but the numbers bear out otherwise. It's I

905
00:47:29,960 --> 00:47:33,040
Speaker 1: was more of out looking at their schedule, Um, look

906
00:47:33,080 --> 00:47:35,920
Speaker 1: at who they played defensively, and then you add in

907
00:47:35,960 --> 00:47:39,959
Speaker 1: that he has Debo kittle Auk and again before even

908
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,120
Speaker 1: the fact that McCaffrey got there, they were still a

909
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:44,880
Speaker 1: good running team. So that was my disappoint where it's like,

910
00:47:44,960 --> 00:47:47,040
Speaker 1: this guy has all the talent around him, this team

911
00:47:47,080 --> 00:47:49,040
Speaker 1: should be scoring more, they should be doing more when

912
00:47:49,040 --> 00:47:52,120
Speaker 1: they really weren't. Again, that was the perfect game, like

913
00:47:52,280 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 1: running the ball, passing, it was all clicking. We all

914
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:57,439
Speaker 1: know the NFL doesn't worked that way. It's so weak

915
00:47:57,480 --> 00:47:59,520
Speaker 1: the week there's just highs and lows. It's all about

916
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,480
Speaker 1: the match as well. So for me, the Saints, you're

917
00:48:03,480 --> 00:48:05,960
Speaker 1: expecting to get a little bit more healthy here and

918
00:48:05,960 --> 00:48:08,880
Speaker 1: in the matchup where we already know the public is

919
00:48:08,880 --> 00:48:11,040
Speaker 1: gonna come in really heavy on this four Niners team.

920
00:48:11,040 --> 00:48:12,919
Speaker 1: They will be in every ten tea, I mean three

921
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:16,239
Speaker 1: team ten point parlay like that's that's gonna be the

922
00:48:16,280 --> 00:48:18,319
Speaker 1: move this week. It is taking big favorites like this,

923
00:48:18,400 --> 00:48:20,600
Speaker 1: So there's Ben a couple of upsets along the way,

924
00:48:20,640 --> 00:48:21,960
Speaker 1: and this is one of these I have marked as

925
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:25,440
Speaker 1: an upset um Saints. Again, it's gonna take a lot

926
00:48:25,480 --> 00:48:27,640
Speaker 1: from the win out right, But that's you expect in

927
00:48:27,680 --> 00:48:30,919
Speaker 1: these kind of games where everything broke right these last

928
00:48:30,960 --> 00:48:32,799
Speaker 1: couple of weeks for the four nineers, you expect things

929
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 1: not that really work and be so smooth and this

930
00:48:35,200 --> 00:48:36,920
Speaker 1: in these upcoming games. And this is one of those

931
00:48:36,920 --> 00:48:40,319
Speaker 1: games where again the Saints, they've been bad this year,

932
00:48:40,640 --> 00:48:42,600
Speaker 1: but we've seen Andy kind of figure it out. So

933
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,200
Speaker 1: it's not a prime time game. It is. I guess

934
00:48:46,200 --> 00:48:47,680
Speaker 1: you could say it's a little bit of prime time.

935
00:48:47,719 --> 00:48:49,960
Speaker 1: But as long as it's not a Thursday night, Monday

936
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:51,840
Speaker 1: night or Sunday night game, I'm gonna back any A

937
00:48:51,880 --> 00:48:54,960
Speaker 1: Dalton uh And I like him in the spot. I

938
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:58,040
Speaker 1: would say, should we be thinking about this for Foxholme

939
00:48:58,040 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 1: instead of Texas? There? You, uh, foxhel were the fox.

940
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:10,160
Speaker 1: Let's clide down into the Foxhole. I would much much

941
00:49:10,640 --> 00:49:13,239
Speaker 1: much would appreciate that much more, all right, So let's

942
00:49:13,239 --> 00:49:15,200
Speaker 1: do that. Let's do Saints plus nine and a half

943
00:49:15,200 --> 00:49:17,759
Speaker 1: for the Foxhole. Because if you look at the like

944
00:49:17,880 --> 00:49:19,719
Speaker 1: one of these things is not like the other If

945
00:49:19,760 --> 00:49:22,480
Speaker 1: you're talking about the games that are double digit or

946
00:49:22,480 --> 00:49:26,200
Speaker 1: near double digit favorites and dogs, the Saints are much

947
00:49:26,239 --> 00:49:29,359
Speaker 1: better than the Texas. They're much better than the Rams. Yeah,

948
00:49:29,360 --> 00:49:32,399
Speaker 1: and again with Houston, it feels like that's a bet

949
00:49:32,400 --> 00:49:33,960
Speaker 1: mean you're making because we know we're getting value on

950
00:49:34,000 --> 00:49:35,840
Speaker 1: the line, and we know that only five other people

951
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:37,600
Speaker 1: are betting that, and that tends to be good for

952
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:40,120
Speaker 1: the books. Where the Ram scares me because I feel

953
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:42,279
Speaker 1: like that's a huge number, Like I kind of want

954
00:49:42,280 --> 00:49:43,759
Speaker 1: to take the Rams because what you just said, that's

955
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:46,440
Speaker 1: such a huge number. The Chiefs really don't blow with

956
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:48,480
Speaker 1: teams out like that, and that's gonna be a backdoor,

957
00:49:48,520 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 1: open all game where the Saints here. It just because

958
00:49:51,840 --> 00:49:54,120
Speaker 1: that we're getting two points of free value, just because

959
00:49:54,160 --> 00:49:57,000
Speaker 1: of that last game, like that big blowout in the

960
00:49:57,120 --> 00:50:00,919
Speaker 1: primetime game that was so dominant. We have to take

961
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 1: the three points here. The Saints um hopefully gets to ten,

962
00:50:04,360 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 1: like I've seen a couple of books get close. But

963
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:08,000
Speaker 1: then you look and there's couple of books at nine.

964
00:50:08,040 --> 00:50:09,719
Speaker 1: So I grab the nine and a half just to

965
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:11,680
Speaker 1: be safe in case it does drop down to nine

966
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:17,920
Speaker 1: packers on the road at the Eagles seven point underdogs.

967
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:19,880
Speaker 1: Right now, I didn't really know what the much to

968
00:50:19,920 --> 00:50:21,759
Speaker 1: do with this game. Like part of me wants to

969
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:24,239
Speaker 1: just take green Bay blindly because we know that green

970
00:50:24,239 --> 00:50:25,880
Speaker 1: Bay wants to run the ball and we know the

971
00:50:25,920 --> 00:50:28,840
Speaker 1: Eagles have struggled against the run. Um Eagles seemed like

972
00:50:28,840 --> 00:50:30,880
Speaker 1: they're going through it right now because that injury to

973
00:50:30,960 --> 00:50:33,680
Speaker 1: god Her that was a big deal. On offense, they

974
00:50:33,680 --> 00:50:35,800
Speaker 1: had multiple times a tight ends either had drops or

975
00:50:35,840 --> 00:50:39,440
Speaker 1: made bad penalties that slowed down that offense. We've seen

976
00:50:39,480 --> 00:50:41,600
Speaker 1: it on defense, the Jordan Davis injury. They brought in

977
00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:44,520
Speaker 1: two guys who actually played well at the d tackle position.

978
00:50:45,560 --> 00:50:48,200
Speaker 1: But man, that that's that's a lot to ask picking

979
00:50:48,239 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 1: two guys off the street now to come and stop

980
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:53,319
Speaker 1: Aaron jones Um and a J. Dillon Again, that's that's

981
00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:56,160
Speaker 1: what green Bay wants to do. So as an Egos fan,

982
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 1: I'm hoping they're cooked, like green Bay has just done

983
00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:01,040
Speaker 1: for this season. They're gonna quit on the season now

984
00:51:01,080 --> 00:51:03,520
Speaker 1: that they're they're they'll kind of give up here. But

985
00:51:04,600 --> 00:51:07,399
Speaker 1: I just can't see this green Bay team. They stick

986
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,279
Speaker 1: in most of these games, and the reason they've been

987
00:51:09,320 --> 00:51:12,759
Speaker 1: bad the public is they've been favorite most weeks. We've

988
00:51:12,800 --> 00:51:14,359
Speaker 1: kind of been taking them here every now and then

989
00:51:14,360 --> 00:51:16,200
Speaker 1: as a dog, and it's been working out for us. Chad.

990
00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:19,560
Speaker 1: So in the back of my mind, I'm looking at

991
00:51:19,560 --> 00:51:23,080
Speaker 1: this number, I'm saying, okay, seven, that's a fair number.

992
00:51:23,280 --> 00:51:25,280
Speaker 1: But I leaned towards the Green Bay in this position

993
00:51:25,280 --> 00:51:27,960
Speaker 1: just because again, I think the Eagles got issues right

994
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:32,200
Speaker 1: now with the injuries on offense and defense. Yeah, I

995
00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:34,240
Speaker 1: think they were a little bit better against the Colts.

996
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:38,440
Speaker 1: They found a way. Obviously, they added the two defensive linemen.

997
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,160
Speaker 1: I think the defensive lineman, with another week of practice,

998
00:51:42,040 --> 00:51:44,360
Speaker 1: get a little more comfortable that a little more effective.

999
00:51:44,640 --> 00:51:47,960
Speaker 1: Peckers are not a great running team, so uh, it

1000
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:51,440
Speaker 1: matches up well for them because the Eagles defensive backfield

1001
00:51:52,040 --> 00:51:55,839
Speaker 1: is really good, and so I like the matchup here.

1002
00:51:56,280 --> 00:51:58,480
Speaker 1: I don't have a lean because I think it's priced

1003
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,360
Speaker 1: about right. Yeah, it's not a it's not a contest

1004
00:52:01,360 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 1: play for me. It just seems like what the number

1005
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:06,160
Speaker 1: should be for a prime time game. Like I already

1006
00:52:06,160 --> 00:52:08,600
Speaker 1: know the public end of the night, they'll either have

1007
00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:10,719
Speaker 1: the Eagles moneyline, I have him in a teaser. They'll

1008
00:52:10,760 --> 00:52:13,120
Speaker 1: just take the seven, so to me that that seems

1009
00:52:13,120 --> 00:52:15,759
Speaker 1: like a fair number for this game. Last game on

1010
00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:18,400
Speaker 1: the board, the Steelers on the road at the Colts

1011
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:22,600
Speaker 1: Monday Night Football, Jeff Saturday getting interviewed by all those

1012
00:52:22,640 --> 00:52:26,640
Speaker 1: old colleagues at ESPN as a two and a half

1013
00:52:26,719 --> 00:52:31,840
Speaker 1: point home favorite against the Pittsburgh Steelers in that great defense.

1014
00:52:33,480 --> 00:52:36,760
Speaker 1: I don't have a strong opinion. I think I probably

1015
00:52:36,880 --> 00:52:41,279
Speaker 1: lean Steelers, but not Steelers in a contest kind of way,

1016
00:52:41,440 --> 00:52:47,960
Speaker 1: just sort of coaching matchup defense matchup. Yeah, another prime

1017
00:52:48,000 --> 00:52:50,319
Speaker 1: time under a game. I'll just probably just take the

1018
00:52:50,440 --> 00:52:52,120
Speaker 1: under let it, let it, let it play out the

1019
00:52:52,120 --> 00:52:55,400
Speaker 1: way will But I don't know, just a funky number,

1020
00:52:55,440 --> 00:52:58,239
Speaker 1: like I wanted to take Pittsburgh at plus three. The

1021
00:52:58,280 --> 00:52:59,879
Speaker 1: fact now that it's down to two and a half

1022
00:53:00,040 --> 00:53:02,719
Speaker 1: is no surprise. Like the Sharps came in they took

1023
00:53:02,719 --> 00:53:06,080
Speaker 1: the three as well. Um, but now is the value

1024
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 1: shifted to the Colts, Like should we backing the Colts

1025
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:11,760
Speaker 1: team that clearly they played better at home. Again, they

1026
00:53:11,840 --> 00:53:13,920
Speaker 1: took the Eagles the whole game to beat him. They

1027
00:53:13,960 --> 00:53:17,319
Speaker 1: took the Chiefs down all the way. So again, mat

1028
00:53:17,480 --> 00:53:20,040
Speaker 1: Ryan's clearly a different, different player for this team, like,

1029
00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:22,000
Speaker 1: so we had to throw out those couple of games

1030
00:53:22,040 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 1: that he didn't start that might be factored into this

1031
00:53:24,760 --> 00:53:26,960
Speaker 1: line here, like this game probably should be closer to

1032
00:53:27,560 --> 00:53:29,759
Speaker 1: three minus three and a half, where the Colts are

1033
00:53:30,400 --> 00:53:33,520
Speaker 1: most likely the better team, but just hard to get

1034
00:53:33,520 --> 00:53:37,040
Speaker 1: behind them. Um at three, but at two and a half,

1035
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:38,560
Speaker 1: it makes me want to take the Colts. But if

1036
00:53:38,600 --> 00:53:40,880
Speaker 1: you can still find three, I go Pittsburgh. Right, you

1037
00:53:40,960 --> 00:53:44,120
Speaker 1: got j j W back, got Fitzpatrick back at defense,

1038
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:48,319
Speaker 1: embarrassing loss at home. You expect Tom gonna get the

1039
00:53:48,320 --> 00:53:50,600
Speaker 1: boys right, get them bounced back in this pisition where

1040
00:53:51,200 --> 00:53:52,880
Speaker 1: I don't know how Saturday, I don't know how Satura

1041
00:53:52,960 --> 00:53:54,479
Speaker 1: is gonna do the loss. Right, this is the first

1042
00:53:54,480 --> 00:53:57,080
Speaker 1: time he's lost as head coach. I know exactly how

1043
00:53:57,080 --> 00:54:00,560
Speaker 1: Tomlin responds after losses. So, just knowing the history and

1044
00:54:00,680 --> 00:54:03,640
Speaker 1: exactly I'm gonna get from the Pittsburgh team, I'll just

1045
00:54:03,680 --> 00:54:05,640
Speaker 1: take the three. If I can't get the three, I

1046
00:54:05,640 --> 00:54:07,439
Speaker 1: guess I'll just pass on it and go with you under.

1047
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:09,520
Speaker 1: I think that's the right call. Sim And I think

1048
00:54:09,560 --> 00:54:12,440
Speaker 1: he talked yourself into making good, good decision there. Um,

1049
00:54:14,040 --> 00:54:17,360
Speaker 1: all right, we've gone through every game our foxhold is

1050
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:21,080
Speaker 1: Saints plus nine and a half. Simon says Jacks plus four,

1051
00:54:21,520 --> 00:54:25,320
Speaker 1: exact decision, Atlanta plus four and a half, Big Balls

1052
00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:29,719
Speaker 1: since minus one and a half. The leans we have

1053
00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:33,160
Speaker 1: right now, Simon, tell me if I forget anything. Jack's

1054
00:54:33,200 --> 00:54:37,600
Speaker 1: plus four, Jets minus four and a half since minus

1055
00:54:37,719 --> 00:54:40,760
Speaker 1: one and a half, Atlanta plus four and a half,

1056
00:54:41,560 --> 00:54:45,120
Speaker 1: Seattle minus three and a half, Saints plus nine and

1057
00:54:45,120 --> 00:54:49,040
Speaker 1: a half. Those are the leans for our contest. If

1058
00:54:49,080 --> 00:54:53,279
Speaker 1: we decide not to take a bye, so far, we

1059
00:54:53,360 --> 00:54:57,560
Speaker 1: reserve the right to change it. Reminder, Simon and I

1060
00:54:57,920 --> 00:55:01,640
Speaker 1: do the show. Convinced me send mornings at eleven am

1061
00:55:01,760 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 1: at Action Network HQ watching the Action Network GAP watch

1062
00:55:05,560 --> 00:55:10,240
Speaker 1: it on YouTube. After the show was over, I called Simon.

1063
00:55:10,960 --> 00:55:13,520
Speaker 1: We talked about what we've learned from the previous few

1064
00:55:13,600 --> 00:55:15,239
Speaker 1: days and decided what games we're going to put in

1065
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:18,600
Speaker 1: for the contest. So this is where we lean things

1066
00:55:18,600 --> 00:55:22,640
Speaker 1: could change. We owe a scoot Roulette, we own a

1067
00:55:22,640 --> 00:55:26,480
Speaker 1: money line round robin. When all hope is lost, all

1068
00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:34,040
Speaker 1: that's left is relief. Let's play roulette. Scootroulette. We both

1069
00:55:34,040 --> 00:55:36,480
Speaker 1: won last week, so you wont and I one, so

1070
00:55:36,640 --> 00:55:39,080
Speaker 1: you'd be up to um eight wins and I'm up

1071
00:55:39,120 --> 00:55:43,719
Speaker 1: to nine ones, so go first. And oh yeah, by

1072
00:55:43,760 --> 00:55:45,919
Speaker 1: the way, I guess it was like our social media

1073
00:55:45,920 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 1: team tagged us and uh stuckies, Uh like six pack show,

1074
00:55:50,200 --> 00:55:52,560
Speaker 1: like we have like good weeks. So I didn't know

1075
00:55:52,600 --> 00:55:54,520
Speaker 1: you would go through and your right little comments when

1076
00:55:54,520 --> 00:55:58,120
Speaker 1: you put our fives in there. Yeah, what's cracked me up?

1077
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:00,400
Speaker 1: Just here in Chad's view of like, I don't know,

1078
00:56:00,880 --> 00:56:02,520
Speaker 1: you just put things in there that I just wouldn't

1079
00:56:02,520 --> 00:56:05,719
Speaker 1: put Like it just cracks me up. But you're the

1080
00:56:05,719 --> 00:56:08,719
Speaker 1: best chat I like to relay our conversation. Yeah, you

1081
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:11,360
Speaker 1: just feel like something like Simon's a fan of the Eagles,

1082
00:56:11,360 --> 00:56:12,680
Speaker 1: so this is a hard pick for him to make

1083
00:56:12,719 --> 00:56:15,000
Speaker 1: on the culture. It's like, couldn't be further from the truth.

1084
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:18,000
Speaker 1: I could care less, But that's what you said. That

1085
00:56:18,080 --> 00:56:21,319
Speaker 1: was our conversation. I just yeah, I said, as an

1086
00:56:21,320 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 1: Eagles fan, I hate that to do this, But that

1087
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:25,560
Speaker 1: doesn't really matter. Like I never don't make a bet

1088
00:56:25,600 --> 00:56:27,799
Speaker 1: because of the Eagles. Just don't. People don't freak out

1089
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:31,080
Speaker 1: about that. Me and Chad, we're just talking nothing nothing

1090
00:56:31,120 --> 00:56:34,400
Speaker 1: too serious there. Uh, We're just we're just a couple.

1091
00:56:34,400 --> 00:56:38,200
Speaker 1: Of guys. Scutal funk man, this is tough to do

1092
00:56:38,239 --> 00:56:42,439
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, my favorite bet. It's fucking brutal. I can't

1093
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:45,160
Speaker 1: do the Jaguars because I can't let them do that

1094
00:56:45,239 --> 00:56:48,440
Speaker 1: to me. Oh God, I want too so bad? Like

1095
00:56:48,600 --> 00:56:53,320
Speaker 1: give me, um? Can I get plus three on the Patriots? Sure?

1096
00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:59,600
Speaker 1: All right? Give me Patriots? All right? Plus three? I'm

1097
00:56:59,640 --> 00:57:04,800
Speaker 1: tap in um. Oh god, this is tough. I'm taking

1098
00:57:05,040 --> 00:57:09,239
Speaker 1: Uh Jesus Christ, I can't believe it's coming down to

1099
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:16,000
Speaker 1: me for Since or the Saints. I'm taking Since minus

1100
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:23,320
Speaker 1: one and a half ship fucking terrible, right, that's terrible

1101
00:57:23,480 --> 00:57:30,600
Speaker 1: for the round robin money line, round robin, sucking awful.

1102
00:57:31,560 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 1: M yeah, all right, buck money line, around robin. Start

1103
00:57:38,160 --> 00:57:41,280
Speaker 1: off with the Patriots. Do you get a little Thursday

1104
00:57:41,400 --> 00:57:47,280
Speaker 1: night beginner? Oh man? Because I like these teams on

1105
00:57:47,280 --> 00:57:49,200
Speaker 1: the spread, bets hard seeing them when, but we gotta

1106
00:57:49,240 --> 00:57:55,440
Speaker 1: do it. Jaguars number two, our favorite big dog of

1107
00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:59,680
Speaker 1: the week. Give us the Saints money line. I'll take

1108
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:01,720
Speaker 1: some of the they'll he'll help bump the number up.

1109
00:58:03,120 --> 00:58:05,560
Speaker 1: I mean, Chad's right. Like again, it's it's a kind

1110
00:58:05,560 --> 00:58:08,240
Speaker 1: of game where it's tough to pick it. Because we

1111
00:58:08,280 --> 00:58:10,800
Speaker 1: don't know who the quarterback is going to be. But

1112
00:58:10,880 --> 00:58:12,480
Speaker 1: the Chargers are just one of those teams that they

1113
00:58:12,520 --> 00:58:15,600
Speaker 1: just seem like they can't win these games. So if

1114
00:58:15,680 --> 00:58:19,280
Speaker 1: Chad's b are, that would take Arizona. Um, how are

1115
00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:22,600
Speaker 1: we not taking Atlanta? Atlanta is a good one. I

1116
00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:24,440
Speaker 1: was gonna. I was in between them or Pittsburgh. As

1117
00:58:24,480 --> 00:58:27,280
Speaker 1: I sit here, you like that more than picture? Well?

1118
00:58:27,280 --> 00:58:29,560
Speaker 1: I like Atlantic because it'll just boost the boost the

1119
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:31,360
Speaker 1: number a little bit. All right, let's throw out. Let's

1120
00:58:31,360 --> 00:58:37,000
Speaker 1: throw out them? Should we throw out? Let's throw at Arizona.

1121
00:58:37,040 --> 00:58:41,880
Speaker 1: The throw at Arizona, We'll put planning for you. I'll

1122
00:58:41,880 --> 00:58:49,920
Speaker 1: throw Pittsburgh in from me, all right, all right, Pats, Jags, Saints, Pittsburgh, Atlanta.

1123
00:58:50,000 --> 00:58:54,840
Speaker 1: That is our money line round robin parlay. Last week

1124
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:58,640
Speaker 1: we were right about the Lions and the Chargers. All right,

1125
00:59:00,000 --> 00:59:01,720
Speaker 1: Think we've done all we can do here? Right? If

1126
00:59:01,720 --> 00:59:04,600
Speaker 1: I missed it a long, long one, well listen, we

1127
00:59:04,680 --> 00:59:07,400
Speaker 1: got It's basically two shows and one. So what I

1128
00:59:07,400 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 1: would say is, thanks to everyone who listened on AMP.

1129
00:59:10,600 --> 00:59:16,000
Speaker 1: Thank you to Matt Mitchell, our producer extraordinaire, uh our

1130
00:59:16,080 --> 00:59:18,480
Speaker 1: favorite fives one more time all right, I wanna, I

1131
00:59:18,520 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 1: wanna reminder. He's telling us to remind everybody on our

1132
00:59:21,200 --> 00:59:27,280
Speaker 1: fave five leads. Jack's plus four, Jets minus four and

1133
00:59:27,320 --> 00:59:31,720
Speaker 1: a half, Since minus one and a half, Atlanta plus

1134
00:59:31,800 --> 00:59:34,800
Speaker 1: four and a half, Seattle minus three and a half,

1135
00:59:35,320 --> 00:59:41,880
Speaker 1: Saints plus nine and a half. All right for Matt Mitchell,

1136
00:59:42,280 --> 00:59:45,200
Speaker 1: for Simon Hunter. I am Chad Millman. This has been

1137
00:59:45,200 --> 00:59:49,440
Speaker 1: the favorite podcast from the Volume podcast Network. Download from Apple, podcast,

1138
00:59:49,480 --> 00:59:52,800
Speaker 1: from Spotify, wherever you get your podcasts. We are so

1139
00:59:52,880 --> 00:59:55,760
Speaker 1: thankful for our listeners. We are thankful for the people

1140
00:59:55,760 --> 00:59:57,680
Speaker 1: who are listening on app. We are thankful for the

1141
00:59:57,680 --> 01:00:01,280
Speaker 1: people who are downloading the podcast. We are thankful for

1142
01:00:01,760 --> 01:00:05,160
Speaker 1: our partners at the Volume. We are thankful for Matt Mitchell.

1143
01:00:05,640 --> 01:00:08,320
Speaker 1: I am thankful for Simon. Simon is thankful for me.

1144
01:00:08,440 --> 01:00:11,720
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell is thankful for both of us. Until next time,

1145
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,240
Speaker 1: I love you, m