Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Fantasy Pros MLB. This is Leading
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Speaker 1: prizepicks dot com. I am Joey p I am tired today.
Speaker 1: Yesterday was a long evening of the NFL Draft. Five
Speaker 1: straight hours of commercial free football. That's what we had
Speaker 1: over at Fantasy Pros. It was a great draft, a
Speaker 1: lot of fun. Chris Welsh did not have to do
Speaker 1: five straight hours of football. He got to sit back
Speaker 1: and enjoy the draft.
Speaker 2: My favorite part about the Draft two coverage was very professional,
Speaker 2: is very well done. I wanted to be a part
Speaker 2: of it just because it was so well done. My
Speaker 2: favorite part though, was Joe in almost like a full
Speaker 2: on suit and every single other person in a hoodie.
Speaker 2: That was my favorite part was like it was like
Speaker 2: Freedman and Derek Brown backwards hats hoodies on well. One
Speaker 2: of the Russell I think was sitting on a couch
Speaker 2: wearing a T shirt and Joe is a full on suit,
Speaker 2: with like the pocket that's up the joint.
Speaker 1: That's what I do. And I told everybody that's what
Speaker 1: I was gonna do. I encourage him all to do
Speaker 1: it with me, and of course none of them did.
Speaker 1: And I said, Ericson, you might have.
Speaker 2: Actually, now that I'm thinking about it, Erickson.
Speaker 1: Had a collared shirt, so he actually had a shirt
Speaker 1: with a collar. So Ericson, I'm starting to pull along
Speaker 1: with me a little bit. But you know, it's an
Speaker 1: NFL draft. I mean everyone's wearing you know, their classy stuff.
Speaker 1: There you go, Doctor glenn'say. Interests for the job you want,
Speaker 1: not the job you got. Well, actually want the job
Speaker 1: I've got, but I want to just you know, it's
Speaker 1: NFL Draft. Let's do something special. It's always a special
Speaker 1: day here on our show. Also for a fantasy pros.
Speaker 1: MLB leading off always a good time. There's lots of
Speaker 1: baseball to get to, so let's get after it. Well,
Speaker 1: so let's start with the headline of despite giving up
Speaker 1: five runs and six innings, joey Otani did go got
Speaker 1: his fourth win yesterday. A weird game obviously, bro Tani
Speaker 1: so he basically nearly hit for the cycle. He had
Speaker 1: one really weird inning and then kind of bounce back.
Speaker 1: But the most important thing is he hit the eight
Speaker 1: strikeout mark, not over the eight and a half, so
Speaker 1: we cashed on that. So once again the big number
Speaker 1: comes in the under see that.
Speaker 2: I was watching that game for a lot of different reasons,
Speaker 2: but was funny. It was there was one inning that
Speaker 2: destroyed him. He gave up multiple homers a's in here.
Speaker 2: I think it was like Langole Ears and Rooker or whatever,
Speaker 2: and he just completely fell apart in that inning. And
Speaker 2: I have been I think I mentioned it on here.
Speaker 2: I've been a little bit obsessed and I'm trying to
Speaker 2: find the right one. With a ladder bet. It's like
Speaker 2: a ladder match shoe, but the ladder bet with kings.
Speaker 2: And you know what a ladder bet is, right, I know, yeah.
Speaker 1: Joking because it's a wrestling.
Speaker 2: Well, Frank Stample and I are both kind of obsessed
Speaker 2: with it. So we're texting and we're trying to find
Speaker 2: the guy and we're going to do it together. And
Speaker 2: yes we were talking about Otani, but we were both like,
Speaker 2: m I know it's the a's. Everyone feels like they're
Speaker 2: going to strike out thirteen. So we talked through it
Speaker 2: and we're like, we're not gonna do it. And we
Speaker 2: did the same thing with Seae McClanahan. Both would have
Speaker 2: been big fail. So we are insanely smart for not
Speaker 2: doing it, but we were. I was dialed in because
Speaker 2: I wanted to see, if you know, where the gut
Speaker 2: was on the actual performance. And he did fall short
Speaker 2: of the eight and a half k prop and it
Speaker 2: was a messy He was that one, really dirty messy
Speaker 2: inning against A's.
Speaker 1: Yeah, a messy day. Two Urius blew my parlay jerk.
Speaker 1: I don't know what he's trying to do there. Explain
Speaker 1: to the people about the latter bet for those who
Speaker 1: don't know or understand what that is.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so let's say Otani's prop it was really way
Speaker 2: too high, but it's one you could technically do today
Speaker 2: with Jacob de Gram if you went it was eight
Speaker 2: and a half. So what were you in theory would do?
Speaker 2: And Chris Meenie like a week ago, did like this
Speaker 2: really great breakdown of it and it was with Otani
Speaker 2: and it was a huge cash day. So let's say
Speaker 2: it's at eight and a half and you got to
Speaker 2: have the alt strikeouts and let's say eight strikeouts is
Speaker 2: minus you know, one seventy, okay, to two units there.
Speaker 2: Then you go to nine strikeouts and let's say that's
Speaker 2: minus one ten, you do maybe a unit and a half.
Speaker 2: Then you go to what was that ten strikeouts, that's
Speaker 2: plus probably one seventy one eighty something like that. Now
Speaker 2: you would go a unit. Eleven strikeouts, you'd put half
Speaker 2: a unit. Twelve strikeouts you would put a quarter of
Speaker 2: a unit, and it's usually about five bets. You go,
Speaker 2: and the assumption is that the player is going to
Speaker 2: smash what that current prop is said at. But it's
Speaker 2: obviously difficult. You got like, you gotta find the right
Speaker 2: guy Cooke, like a week and a half ago, Matt
Speaker 2: Strom when he was projected at like six and he
Speaker 2: struck out eleven. That would have been a killer smashing
Speaker 2: ladder bed. But you gotta invest because you're probably putting
Speaker 2: four units onto one thing. So it's just finding the
Speaker 2: right guy. And I'll keep looking. I'll keep looking out there, Joe,
Speaker 2: trying to.
Speaker 1: Go there might be one today because I went on
Speaker 1: an entire monologue yesterday about why the eight and a
Speaker 1: half has been two high all year. But today with
Speaker 1: Jacob de gram and the circus nancies in I think
Speaker 1: I might I might be changing my tune with that
Speaker 1: specific one. More on that to come, as hopefully Welsh
Speaker 1: unfreezes from his internet. We shall see there he is,
Speaker 1: he's unfrozen. Now you're slowly catching back up while we
Speaker 1: catch you back up. Manny Machado was dropped to the
Speaker 1: fifth spot in the batting order. He is hitting a
Speaker 1: buck twenty nine four for his last thirty one going
Speaker 1: into his last eight games a five to twenty six ops.
Speaker 1: So obviously you know things have not gone well for
Speaker 1: many matchatto. We continue to talk about trading for him.
Speaker 1: I still stay that is the case. It's still where
Speaker 1: I'm going. And I know we've talked about this. We
Speaker 1: got the trade chart over at fantasypros dot com. Get
Speaker 1: check that out. But it is a difficult situation because
Speaker 1: you are looking at dealing in a for a third
Speaker 1: basement and have to have a third basement there. I
Speaker 1: continue to say, if you've got Chapman, if you've got Muncie,
Speaker 1: two of those third basemen who are just well above
Speaker 1: where they should be even for a breakout great season,
Speaker 1: it's gonna come crashing down. Those are the kind of
Speaker 1: guys you build the Many Machado package around. What do
Speaker 1: you think about that those two guys specifically, and trying
Speaker 1: to pull either him or even Nolan Arnatto who could
Speaker 1: throw into this bin. Also of third baseman who have
Speaker 1: been very disappointing in month one.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm definitely like Abye on Many Machado Eronatto is interesting.
Speaker 2: You know the team, it's been a whole team thing.
Speaker 2: The entire team has been struggling. They haven't been hitting.
Speaker 2: I'm in on Manya Michada. Well, here's one kind of
Speaker 2: interesting one for this weekend. Go and check it out.
Speaker 2: Derek Carty on Twitter put out a really interesting thread
Speaker 2: about how the bat X projected model for this weekend.
Speaker 2: For these games that are going to go into Mexico
Speaker 2: with San Diego have a team. I have a total
Speaker 2: run around seventeen on the bat X because of the
Speaker 2: high elevation. The elevation of Mexico is way higher than
Speaker 2: in Colorado, and you're gonna see like some big offensive
Speaker 2: totals that are going to come out and books are
Speaker 2: kind of not sure what to do yet. I'm saying
Speaker 2: all this to say, like there's a really good environment
Speaker 2: offensive environment for guy to maybe get going, and this
Speaker 2: might be a really good place for maybe Manny Machado
Speaker 2: to start a street going on, and you want to
Speaker 2: get ahead of these guys. Like I'm worried about Wan Soto.
Speaker 2: I've been saying kind of by him, but I kind
Speaker 2: of I'm a little bit worried about the approach of
Speaker 2: what's going on right now. Can't hit lefties, but many
Speaker 2: Machado is such a bye for me to him for
Speaker 2: him to get going. So I love the idea of
Speaker 2: what you said, whatever packages you got to do to
Speaker 2: get both of these players. Sure, but Manna Michada would
Speaker 2: be a priority and he might get going this weekend.
Speaker 2: If that happens, cost is going to kind of go away.
Speaker 1: Wan Soto since he's gone over to the Padres, has
Speaker 1: not been the same Wan Sodo. Is that something that
Speaker 1: we can both agree on right Because if you look here,
Speaker 1: you go here are the splits. I just brought it
Speaker 1: up here to look at it. Juan Soto as a
Speaker 1: Washington National. Here's the slash two ninety one, four twenty seven,
Speaker 1: five thirty eight with a nine to sixty six ops
Speaker 1: as the San Diego Padre, which now is up to
Speaker 1: seventy nine games, so half a season two eighteen three
Speaker 1: seventy three, three seventy five, slugging, seven forty eight ops.
Speaker 1: That's a two hundred point difference in OPS as a
Speaker 1: Padre opposed to Washington National. Do you think it has
Speaker 1: to do with the West Coast sight lines of the ballpark?
Speaker 1: Does it have to do with him pressing? Like I
Speaker 1: can't figure out why this is because this is one
Speaker 1: of the absolute slam dunk best players in baseball and
Speaker 1: then he's gone to San Diego and he has been
Speaker 1: anything but that over these last eighty games.
Speaker 2: I think I could I could like sit here, I
Speaker 2: think you could do the same thing. We could sit
Speaker 2: here and like probably come up with like all these
Speaker 2: different like mental are these different reasons of like what
Speaker 2: could be here or there? We could speculate? It seems
Speaker 2: very mental to me.
Speaker 1: Here.
Speaker 2: You know, interesting stat from this year is his XBA
Speaker 2: is the worst of his career. Those expected batting average,
Speaker 2: He's got a one eighty three batting average, which is insane.
Speaker 2: His expected batting average is better, by the way, by
Speaker 2: about fifty points, but it's a two thirty eight. That's
Speaker 2: the worst of his career, except he's hitting the ball
Speaker 2: harder than he's ever hit it in his career fifty
Speaker 2: six percent. There's been a lot of ground balls. He
Speaker 2: cannot hit fastballs right now, and that's his problem. And
Speaker 2: I think he's cheating last year hit two ninety two
Speaker 2: against fastballs, two to zero four this year, and it
Speaker 2: looks like the focus has been, you know, trying to
Speaker 2: hit breaking pitches. So I don't know when how that's
Speaker 2: going to adjust. You could argue you're playing with like
Speaker 2: a much higher scale of talent around you, though he
Speaker 2: did play with Bryce Harper for a bit. I have
Speaker 2: a hard time understanding it. The only thing you can
Speaker 2: do is no, this is an insanely talented player that's
Speaker 2: going to end up getting this fixed. He's hitting the
Speaker 2: ball crazy hard, which is like a really good underlying
Speaker 2: thing for them to fix it. It's just at what level.
Speaker 2: And I think people are panicking, panicking, panicking about him.
Speaker 2: That's why he is a Bye and Machad. I think
Speaker 2: both of these guys are buys.
Speaker 1: I will.
Speaker 2: I just have to admit though that, like the level
Speaker 2: of where Sodo's at and it extending across really has
Speaker 2: me like worried it doesn't.
Speaker 1: Understand you make it, so make some good arguments. I'm
Speaker 1: going to continue to think he is better than what
Speaker 1: we've seen in his Padre days. And I mean we
Speaker 1: have seen this before. There's been guys who go to
Speaker 1: teams to get tree and then they just don't, you know,
Speaker 1: for for whatever reason, don't perform well in that environment.
Speaker 2: Machado I think, struggled in his first move from Baltimore.
Speaker 1: Eighty games now of now.
Speaker 2: So that's why I'm saying I'm worried. That's why I'm saying,
Speaker 2: like this is kind of a worry. It won't stop
Speaker 2: me from buying, because that's kind of the crazy person
Speaker 2: I am. I would still buy because I think people
Speaker 2: are freaked out about Sodo. But I'm a little bit worried,
Speaker 2: Like what level is this? Has Soto gone from a
Speaker 2: potential like batting title champion to maybe he is a
Speaker 2: two sixty two seventy hitter who could still you know,
Speaker 2: thirty homers and he's in an insane environment around you know,
Speaker 2: guys like Tatis and Amachada where he can score runs.
Speaker 1: But oh but Welsh, the problem is that you know,
Speaker 1: he's got a contract looming, so he's got to figure
Speaker 1: this out here. He's got to figure it out fast,
Speaker 1: because if he doesn't, if you're going to have at
Speaker 1: the end of the day, it's going to be what
Speaker 1: about two hundred plus games that he's going to have
Speaker 1: as a San Diego Padre when all said and done,
Speaker 1: when he hits free agency. Yeah, that's that's gonna be
Speaker 1: an issue. If the Alaska people are gonna look at
Speaker 1: that and still look at the agency, something's wrong with
Speaker 1: this player, something wrong. So it's an interesting piece right now.
Speaker 1: There's a question here in the chat. Can I move
Speaker 1: George Springer for a decent pitcher and a decent picture
Speaker 1: excuse me for Juan Soto. That's from Trent. I don't
Speaker 1: think you can. I don't think that's enough. I think
Speaker 1: you need a better outfielder than George Springer who's perennially hurt.
Speaker 1: But again it's a really I don't think that's enough.
Speaker 1: Like I'm I'm a Jan Sodo manager. If you give
Speaker 1: me like Sonny Gray, and I'm just saying like there's
Speaker 1: there's a guy who's been more than decent so far
Speaker 1: this year, Sunny Gray and George Springer. I'm not dealing
Speaker 1: won Sodo like I'm gonna wait this one.
Speaker 2: I was gonna say, what if it was Springer and
Speaker 2: like Logan Gilbert, No, I's still soda, I think, But
Speaker 2: it's I think there's some sinking teams that would consider that.
Speaker 2: Outside of like Springer getting hit on the hand the
Speaker 2: other day, I think that people like revs Up people
Speaker 2: getting worried again.
Speaker 1: But I don't know.
Speaker 2: I think there's some people worried out there enough if
Speaker 2: you were to give them that depth package, which I
Speaker 2: think people would move on in see.
Speaker 1: But you know what, I always want the elite player.
Speaker 1: The depth is great and all, but I want the
Speaker 1: elite player. That's what I want.
Speaker 2: Yeah, the trade for me always.
Speaker 1: Yeah, as much as you can, and sometimes you can't
Speaker 1: afford it, Like sometimes if you've got multiple stars and
Speaker 1: you don't have enough depth and you do have to
Speaker 1: make one of those kind of moves it but you
Speaker 1: gotta get like close to one A talent back. The
Speaker 1: Braves activating Michael Harris from the ten day IL so
Speaker 1: that's good in time for this met series coming up.
Speaker 1: Tyler Molly was removed from the Thursday game against the
Speaker 1: Royals due to right posterior elbow swords. So Twins pitchers
Speaker 1: dropping like flies the last few days. Aaron Judge was
Speaker 1: removed again Thursday due to right hip discomfort. He's striking
Speaker 1: out a ton this year too, Do we just say
Speaker 1: that too? Just look at a Judge strike.
Speaker 2: Well, that's also part of the like the ground stuff.
Speaker 2: We'll talk about it. I don't know if he's in
Speaker 2: the lineup today because well, now.
Speaker 1: You're starting to smell what the rock is cooking here.
Speaker 1: Kentami Eta will likely require trip to the IL, no kidding.
Speaker 1: The MRI showed a muscle strain and some inflammation, but
Speaker 1: no structural damage, so that I think as good a
Speaker 1: news as you can if you're the Twins. The Reds
Speaker 1: put Will Myers on the IL, but good news here.
Speaker 1: You get ricey ol Iglesia is working his way back,
Speaker 1: and you also get Justin Verlander with a rehab start
Speaker 1: today for double A. So there you go. Hopefully we'll
Speaker 1: all hold our breath and things will go well on
Speaker 1: that front. If you're looking for three up and three down,
Speaker 1: we've got to hear Brett Baty three for three with
Speaker 1: a homer and a walks. The Mets have a comeback.
Speaker 1: Brandon law. I am so mad that I didn't have
Speaker 1: more Brandon Lau. He was so cheap, and I kept
Speaker 1: looking at him on draft boards, going what's to stop
Speaker 1: me from just he is such a great value and
Speaker 1: great power. Three for four, another home run, three RBI
Speaker 1: for him yesterday in the big fourteen to five Sha
Speaker 1: lacking of the White Sox and Mitch Keller ruined my
Speaker 1: parlay along with Julio Urias. Ten strikeouts for him, two
Speaker 1: runs over six innings. Is Mitch Keller starting to emerge
Speaker 1: as the guy that we were hoping he would become someday?
Speaker 2: I think all those guys are look at all those well,
Speaker 2: I'm not like all the.
Speaker 1: Hey, they've had three good starters here. Yeah.
Speaker 2: But also it's gonna turn. I know it's gonna turn.
Speaker 2: But right now, the Dodgers are a team you can
Speaker 2: pick on with strikeouts. I don't think it's quite caught
Speaker 2: up where like the books treat them like the Reds
Speaker 2: or the Tigers. But it's like you can pick on
Speaker 2: that team for guys that can pump the zone. Also,
Speaker 2: if you look at his the spray chart in the zone,
Speaker 2: he was just pitching all inside the zone too. Guys
Speaker 2: just we're having bad hacks at it, just swinging through pitches.
Speaker 2: So niche Keller has definitely changed the arsenal and that's
Speaker 2: been good. But the Dodgers are playing like a next
Speaker 2: level bad as far as how they're approaching strikeouts right now.
Speaker 1: Continuing on here with the downs, Julio Urias boo six
Speaker 1: runs over five and two thirds. Dank boo hard boo
Speaker 1: for you, Julio Yuriy, Julio Booius. That's your name today,
Speaker 1: my friend, that's right, got him? Got him? Joe, Yeah,
Speaker 1: I owned him. Please. You know, it's funny about Urius,
Speaker 1: Like I like Julio URIs is a pitcher, but I
Speaker 1: am nowhere near as excited about him as some other
Speaker 1: people are, like that he is a at an absolute ace.
Speaker 1: This like he's good. But I mean, even going into
Speaker 1: the season, if he asked me what had Urius or
Speaker 1: Castillo is, there's no hesitation to me saying Castillo.
Speaker 2: Let me ask you this we did. It's really funny
Speaker 2: you brought this up. I was doing the CBS Fantasy
Speaker 2: Baseball Today podcast and we were talking about Zach Gallen
Speaker 2: and it was said that I don't that it was
Speaker 2: Frank I don't know if Towers did it, but Frank
Speaker 2: had said Urius over Gallon rest of season.
Speaker 1: I was like, well, that's just wrong, no way.
Speaker 2: I was like, no way, this is gall like Gallen
Speaker 2: is above or it was like in the same area
Speaker 2: and the same tier, and I think he's like a
Speaker 2: level above.
Speaker 1: And I like, there's no way you could see the
Speaker 1: end of Zach Gallon season last year and not have
Speaker 1: wanted Zach Gallen over Urius Low. I mean, there's just
Speaker 1: I mean, then you weren't really paying attention to the numbers.
Speaker 1: And I'm not saying Chriss isn't paying attention. Chris is great,
Speaker 1: but I'm just saying, like it's this hope. And I
Speaker 1: think it's because Urius we've had around so long, because
Speaker 1: he was what you know, like eleven years old when
Speaker 1: he was pitching in Double A and everybody was so excited,
Speaker 1: look at this guy. He's always playing up and we've
Speaker 1: been hearing and hearing and hearing, and again it's not
Speaker 1: that he's a bad picture, but like we were one
Speaker 1: to anoint to guys at ACE, that's a very rarefied
Speaker 1: air and I don't like that he's been.
Speaker 2: Better though, well, I'll say that, well, I'll push back
Speaker 2: a little bit to say like he has been better
Speaker 2: this year. I mean, he has been really solid. It's
Speaker 2: just that last start absolutely blew up. I think it
Speaker 2: was like the most runs he's given up over I
Speaker 2: don't even remember what time it was. But the batting
Speaker 2: average has got like a three fifty batting average against
Speaker 2: his fastball this year, and that's like not gonna it's
Speaker 2: not gonna work. It's not gonna work at all. But yeah, Galleas.
Speaker 1: Isn't even in the top twenty five in EL right
Speaker 1: now in Major League baseball.
Speaker 2: Yeah, well not after that start. If you would have
Speaker 2: looked at the start before, it.
Speaker 1: Might have been a little bit different. Well, but I mean, look,
Speaker 1: there's been some guys who had some bad starts. I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, not everybody's been perfect. Here.
Speaker 2: I'm just saying a gallon gallant golon got lit up
Speaker 2: in this first Remember you were ready to get You're
Speaker 2: ready to sell him, You're like I was.
Speaker 1: I was saying, I have to know where we're going
Speaker 1: because I was worried he was hurt because it was
Speaker 1: a couple there. I was like, okay, if there's an
Speaker 1: injury and Gallon's had injury history. So that was my
Speaker 1: whole point with Gowen, which is I'm a by on Gallon,
Speaker 1: but you have to look at your circumstances of your
Speaker 1: team and make sure you could take on that risk.
Speaker 1: That was the conversation his the ras at two fifteen now,
Speaker 1: by the way, so it's pretty darn good. Here are
Speaker 1: the downs besides bourious Zach Granki seven earned runs in
Speaker 1: three point two winnings. Well, he's just hanging on for
Speaker 1: the long term, isn't. He'sa granky You gotta you gotta
Speaker 1: hand it to old Zach like he's just a Swan
Speaker 1: song though, is it?
Speaker 2: It's a Swan song? I mean when you throw like
Speaker 2: a sixty seven mile an hour curveball and you throw,
Speaker 2: you know, eighty eight, maybe it's not.
Speaker 1: You can I don't know, man. Jamie Moore on walk.
Speaker 2: Is going up, so I know he's got to cover that.
Speaker 1: Well, it's it's tough out there in the streets. Dylan
Speaker 1: Cees nine hits, six earned runs in a homer. He
Speaker 1: falls to another loss as well. Uh so that's the
Speaker 1: the losers from yesterday. There you go. But fortunately we
Speaker 1: have winners and we want to pick more winners. We
Speaker 1: want you to pick more winners on Prize Picks. Use
Speaker 1: that promo code leading off, run to prize picks dot
Speaker 1: Com or just you know, walk your fingers over to
Speaker 1: the app download and of course you'll get one hundred
Speaker 1: percent of posit match up to one hundred dollars of
Speaker 1: prize pigs when you use the promo code leading off. Welsh,
Speaker 1: what do you have for the boys and girls today
Speaker 1: in the prize picking.
Speaker 2: I'm switching it up. I am going with the loser
Speaker 2: pool today. And what I mean by that is we
Speaker 2: are playing all the unders. We're going under to see
Speaker 2: everything is under for Fantasy scores today. This is the
Speaker 2: Little Mermaid Bregman score under Fantasy score. And you know
Speaker 2: how I did this too, is I went and played
Speaker 2: some BVP and looked at guys who absolutely struggle on
Speaker 2: their verses versus pitchers today. So we went Bregman underscore,
Speaker 2: Santandeer's score under. And Schwarber, who's going up against the
Speaker 2: lefty score under. So Bregman, Santande or Swarber all Fantasy
Speaker 2: scores all under. That's about all right.
Speaker 1: I've got some I got some overs that's what I got.
Speaker 1: So you went the unders. I went the overs. I
Speaker 1: know I said what I said yesterday, but about the
Speaker 1: eight and a half strikeout being a number you typically
Speaker 1: just want to go under every time you see it.
Speaker 1: But in the circumstance against the Yankee lines, they've got
Speaker 1: a lot of youth in it, and Aaron Judge striking
Speaker 1: out a ton Jacob de Gram at home here against
Speaker 1: the Yankees on the road, it's eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I think you can get over it.
Speaker 2: I will tell you I was gonna do this. It
Speaker 2: is now nine.
Speaker 1: Oh it's a good thing. I locked it in at
Speaker 1: eight and a half.
Speaker 2: It has already moved to nine for everybody. Because I
Speaker 2: was going to join you in this when it was
Speaker 2: eight and a half. I was like, yes, sir, but
Speaker 2: that has moved.
Speaker 1: This is why you got to get up early. Bird
Speaker 1: gets the worm, not the Ryan Warmly worm, but like
Speaker 1: the regular worm, the good prize picking worm. Also you
Speaker 1: got the combos. I finally got some combos on the
Speaker 1: sheet this morning. Geez. It only took me till like
Speaker 1: the end of April. Alec Manoa and Castillo eleven and
Speaker 1: a half striker strikeouts for the pitchers over Aaron Nola
Speaker 1: and fran Bervaldez twelve and a half picture strikeouts combined
Speaker 1: over So I like those two overs there, so I'm
Speaker 1: the over king. Today. Let's talk about some bets betting
Speaker 1: pros dot com slash leading off yesterday's NFL bets. By
Speaker 1: the way, I had three major investments. Two came to
Speaker 1: fruition two of the three, which was the Patriots taking
Speaker 1: a corner, which they did with their first pick, and CJ.
Speaker 1: Stroud still going number two overall. Despite all the nonsense noise,
Speaker 1: stick to your guns, stay true, stay true to what
Speaker 1: your eyes tell you. Don't listen to all these nonsense.
Speaker 2: Saw ericson hit a sixty to one to two on
Speaker 2: hims going to the Lions.
Speaker 1: And he he hit it today. He invested it right
Speaker 1: before the show. He saw it come across and he
Speaker 1: betted yes, sir, yeah, yes, or other show right before.
Speaker 1: It was tremendous. All right. So today I've got a
Speaker 1: three leg parlay for you, Parlay of the Day Miami
Speaker 1: on the money line. This is a tight number there,
Speaker 1: and I know Stroman's been good. I'm just gonna go
Speaker 1: with Lizardo here. I'm just gonna take the better odds.
Speaker 1: It's a little this is the kooky one. The rest
Speaker 1: is easy. The Detroit Tigers, EDWARDO. Rodriguez haz bit very well.
Speaker 1: They're at plus one ten taking the Tigers, taking the
Speaker 1: Rangers at minus two fifteen against the Yankees and Clark
Speaker 1: Schmidt today. So Marlins, Tigers, Rangers put it together, you
Speaker 1: get plus four ninety seven. And again it's a little
Speaker 1: diceier than some of the other ones I've thrown out recently,
Speaker 1: but you know, sometimes when you play it safe like
Speaker 1: yesterday and go all right, Dodgers and Urius even if
Speaker 1: he's mediocre win. No, not the case, So I am
Speaker 1: going to go ahead with that. I'm also going the over,
Speaker 1: as I said on Betting Pros eight and a half.
Speaker 1: I already locked that in on Jacob deGrom in my
Speaker 1: early bets this morning over on BP. So follow me
Speaker 1: on there when you download the app. That way you
Speaker 1: can be ahead of the curve before these numbers move.
Speaker 1: Edward Arriguez four and a half strikeouts over, it's ridiculous.
Speaker 1: Minus one forty two on VP. Max Freed over four
Speaker 1: and a half strikeouts two. You're getting that one as well.
Speaker 1: Those are easy. Gimme numbers. What are you giving the
Speaker 1: people on the betting side today for the game?
Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, and your parlay. The only adjustment
Speaker 2: I might make if I were making it is maybe
Speaker 2: moving that Tigers to like a like a first five,
Speaker 2: you know, like a Tiger's money line first five or
Speaker 2: something like that, just.
Speaker 1: Because if they could just get to Lang Lang is
Speaker 1: Lang has gotten better recently, I think, yeah, yeah, no,
Speaker 1: these are good ones, rough start, but getting better.
Speaker 2: Jacob de Gram, I'm with you on the strikeouts. I
Speaker 2: bet it solo. It's just like one thirty, which is
Speaker 2: actually a pretty good number. Obviously, maybe they're thinking he's
Speaker 2: not going to go deep into it. It's just such
Speaker 2: a huge number in general. So I'm gonna go with
Speaker 2: that one. Sticking with it. I've got a little strikeout parlay.
Speaker 2: I'm going with Grayson Rodriguez strikeouts and Jacob de Grom.
Speaker 2: I know you're like EDWARDO today of the Tiger strikeout
Speaker 2: a ton. Grayson has struck out six plus and I
Speaker 2: think all but one of his starts. So I'm pairing
Speaker 2: those two together. De Gram and Grayson, I get plus
Speaker 2: one seventy. I'm also going back. I know jinx it,
Speaker 2: but I've been very good on the team totals through
Speaker 2: the first five and I'm going to go with the
Speaker 2: Texas Rangers team total runs two and a half runs
Speaker 2: over the first five innings up against the Yankees and
Speaker 2: Clark Schmidt. I believe Clark Schmid has only not given
Speaker 2: up three runs in one start this season, so he
Speaker 2: has got lit up. Great thing in the chat came up.
Speaker 2: By the way, Joe, my number one road snack are combos.
Speaker 2: I don't eat combos ever else in my entire life,
Speaker 2: I don't touch them. But when I go on a
Speaker 2: road trip some reason, I get to a gas station,
Speaker 2: almost look like the best thing on them.
Speaker 1: They're crunchy, they're filling, they're very textural. If that's a word,
Speaker 1: I think it is. I get that, and that's also cheese.
Speaker 1: It's not something you're looking for, but when you're in
Speaker 1: the Wall Wall or the seven eleven, or wherever the
Speaker 1: hell you are, the quick check it makes sense because.
Speaker 2: But it's not even That's what's so interesting too. There's
Speaker 2: something special about a road trip gas station, not because
Speaker 2: you're like, well, you go to your your qt's and
Speaker 2: stuff that's local That's one thing. You get on a
Speaker 2: road there's there's nothing around. You hit in desert for
Speaker 2: twenty miles and you pull up that gas station is
Speaker 2: an oasis and everything else in there looks amazing. Get
Speaker 2: me a yellow Gatorade. Yep, oh, I didn't even see that.
Speaker 2: Give me a yellow Gatorade and extra shark cheese combo
Speaker 2: and we're going road trip gatoring. The sharp cheese combos
Speaker 2: were golden.
Speaker 1: I can't disagree because the combos are good. Are you
Speaker 1: a pizza flavored combos guy? Or now? No?
Speaker 2: What they smell?
Speaker 1: You get that weird pepperoni garlicky smell and then you're
Speaker 1: in the car and it's in the car, no trapped
Speaker 1: in a small space there for a long period of time.
Speaker 1: Here's one from Sabo's goggles. Michael Harris is back. I
Speaker 1: don't know if he is starting though. Are you throwing
Speaker 1: Michael Harris right back to the Wolves here and starting
Speaker 1: him against the Mets this weekend? If he's in the lineup?
Speaker 1: I would I would too.
Speaker 2: I mean, it is a lefty today, so there's something
Speaker 2: to consider. Like looking at like today today, that might
Speaker 2: not be the best, But I don't know. In general,
Speaker 2: I'm probably not going to try to play like headhead matchup,
Speaker 2: daily matchup games with Michael Harris. Just get him back
Speaker 2: in the lineup, throw him back in.
Speaker 1: Because the draft costs you had on him. I mean
Speaker 1: he was a third fourth one pick.
Speaker 2: Also, what are you replacing him with?
Speaker 1: Like?
Speaker 2: Are you taking? Like, here's an interesting one if you
Speaker 2: have like a Jake Swinsky. Swinsky has been awesome. Maybe
Speaker 2: I don't, but if you just have some you know
Speaker 2: Jabroni out there, Yeah, get Michael Harris back in. Stolen
Speaker 2: base potential. I think that's something he would do if
Speaker 2: he can actually get on base and hit a lefty.
Speaker 1: Yeah. Also, don't forget everybody. So Rare dot Com is here,
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Speaker 1: Here the little dfs talk de Gram's eleven point four.
Speaker 1: He is super expensive. I'm okay with it, like I'm
Speaker 1: good best Jacob de gram lineup wins tonight. I think
Speaker 1: there's oppo potential here. I like Manoa going against Castillo.
Speaker 1: Castello's very high price, Manoa turned things around. So Manoah's
Speaker 1: an interesting oppo play. If you're gonna go that route,
Speaker 1: you're gonna save money because uh, Castillo's eleven k as well,
Speaker 1: Manoa just nine point eight max free nine point four
Speaker 1: against the Mets, an even better pivot potentially if you're
Speaker 1: looking to go down that board Atlanta, Texas, Arizona. That's
Speaker 1: where I want to spend money on offense this week
Speaker 1: Joe today, at least probably for the weekend as well.
Speaker 1: Joey Manessa's two point six, Nixon Zel two point three
Speaker 1: on FD and Michael Bush just two point two super
Speaker 1: cheap there. We'll see if Michael Bush is in the
Speaker 1: lineup and get some hits going. Now, we've got the
Speaker 1: weekend home run call going up. Before we get to that,
Speaker 1: let's take a look at the board. The big board, BHB,
Speaker 1: Daddy at eleven, Razor at eleven at prime time, caluson, Yoshi,
Speaker 1: Masters all on there actually prime and Cal have ten,
Speaker 1: then Yoshi, Jeremy Hall, Blue Harvester, cirsiz annaball hd uh
Speaker 1: Is that a hen of Bell Sanchez? Is that? Could
Speaker 1: that be? He's just hanging out retired.
Speaker 2: I'm playing anymore, not gonna get suspended for a month.
Speaker 1: And help us in Miami at nine. So leaderboard a
Speaker 1: little stuck right now, I'm gonna unstick it this weekend
Speaker 1: with Jose Ramirez, let's go. I want to see four
Speaker 1: home runs when I come back here on Monday. I
Speaker 1: want one today, one on Saturday, and two on Sunday.
Speaker 1: That's what I That's what I want weekend. I want
Speaker 1: to tear against the Boston Red Sox. Well, where are
Speaker 1: you going with your home runs for the weekend.
Speaker 2: All right, well I'm gonna go. I'm gonna do a
Speaker 2: little flippy flip here. I'm gonna go with Austin Riley
Speaker 2: on today on Friday, going up against David Peterson the
Speaker 2: good batting average again.
Speaker 1: It's funny. Well, this was the first guy I put in,
Speaker 1: Oh wasn't really, and then I took him out for Ramirez.
Speaker 1: So I'm I'm hoping for you, but I will be
Speaker 1: a little upset, uh if.
Speaker 2: I'm But I'm taking him today on the weekend, So
Speaker 2: mark this down. Whoever Marxist mayor on the weekend Saturday Sunday,
Speaker 2: I'm taking Fernando Tatis Junior and I'm going up with
Speaker 2: that bat all we talked about with the big run
Speaker 2: totals for this weekend in Mexico. So I'm gonna go
Speaker 2: with Tatis for Saturday and Sunday. Today will simply be
Speaker 2: Austin Riley.
Speaker 1: Here's another important question that needs to be answered. Matt
Speaker 1: Flood wants you an extra toasty on your combos.
Speaker 2: That's fine, Yeah, I actually like.
Speaker 1: What's the extra toastiness?
Speaker 2: Extra toasty cheese. It's I think much better than comb like.
Speaker 1: I don't like the extra toasty anything.
Speaker 2: Oh really, I mean I like you like your toast.
Speaker 1: Like generally like just toast. How do you like your toast?
Speaker 2: I don't like it burnt. I don't like. I'm not
Speaker 2: a burnt big, burnt anything type of guy. Now, just
Speaker 2: a nice layer, just a.
Speaker 1: Nice, nice, light layer of toast. That's it's gotta.
Speaker 2: It's gotta like the bread dyed like it's it's hard,
Speaker 2: you know, it's kind of harder. It's crispy. It's not
Speaker 2: like flopping. But we don't want the crisp.
Speaker 1: All right, Let's take a quick look here at the
Speaker 1: end of the month before we close shop today, because
Speaker 1: we're gonna have you at the end of April when
Speaker 1: we come back. Is going to be a new month, Yes,
Speaker 1: it is over on Monday. Sonny Gray at the top
Speaker 1: of the leader board, point six to two ERA. Where
Speaker 1: will Sonny Gray be this time next month?
Speaker 2: It's what as far as era, Yeah, it's point.
Speaker 1: Six to two. Give me that number. What is it?
Speaker 2: Two point seven eight?
Speaker 1: That sounds about right to be. I like that one.
Speaker 1: Looking at the strikeout leaders in Major League Baseball, Zach
Speaker 1: Gallon at number one at fifty one, Spencer Schreider forty nine,
Speaker 1: Shoheotani at forty six, and then Garrett cole Over at
Speaker 1: forty four, So pretty good grouping there. OPS leader right
Speaker 1: now obviously is Max Munsey. These are obviously the top
Speaker 1: five leaders in OPS that we all had going into
Speaker 1: the season. Max Munsey, Matt Chapman, Brandon Marsh, Jared Kalnick,
Speaker 1: and Louise Urries just like we wrote it up, just
Speaker 1: like we wrote now. And if you want to keep going,
Speaker 1: James Outman, Sean Murphy and then some guy named Ronald
Speaker 1: Acuna who I've never heard of, Yandi Diaz, and Mike
Speaker 1: Trout another new guy. So you got Akunyan Trout, two
Speaker 1: guys from the top grouping of players right from the
Speaker 1: first round. The other eight in OPS leaders all guys
Speaker 1: that went from varying different rounds to even waiver wire ads.
Speaker 1: Isn't that stunning.
Speaker 2: It's like, you gotta love it. That's the parody. There's
Speaker 2: a parody of baseball that those players have been some
Speaker 2: of the best in this entire game right now.
Speaker 1: It's it's just it's it's my favorite thing. I love
Speaker 1: it so much. I was gotta look back to last April.
Speaker 1: In the hitting category, here were the top ten ops guys.
Speaker 1: Taylor Ward obviously remember his hot Street, Jose Ramirez, Noan, Aaronado,
Speaker 1: Manny Machado, Like these are names that we know, right.
Speaker 1: Anthony Rizzo is in there. JP Crawford, Josh Bell, CJ.
Speaker 1: Crohn and because he had a huge April last year
Speaker 1: and Ty France. So obviously April can be a little weird.
Speaker 1: So just remember that when these assets like you have
Speaker 1: got Max Munsey, you have got Matt Chaman. Right now,
Speaker 1: you gotta be looking ahead, folks, You gotta be looking ahead.
Speaker 1: There's going to be a come down, so don't be
Speaker 1: there for that. Go trade those assets for better proven talents.
Speaker 2: Would you trade Chapman and like a lower pitcher to
Speaker 2: get Machado? Right, maybe like a middle picture, like a
Speaker 2: middle ish picture. Right, I understaw Chapman and let's go
Speaker 2: back to Gilbert Chapman and Gilbert you do that for Machado.
Speaker 1: Yes, I do. Pichado was MVP for the first half
Speaker 1: of last year. Things will turn around. I don't know
Speaker 1: what's going on there in San Diego, but maybe for
Speaker 1: a Nando Tatis will come and give everybody some special
Speaker 1: vitamins and everything will be all right. On that note,
Speaker 1: we're gonna go away for the weekend. Enjoy your weekend.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be rainy and crappy here. I'm sure all
Speaker 1: the flag football games will get canceled, which I don't
Speaker 1: want to happen. I want to go out there and
Speaker 1: coach this weekend, but we shall see if the weather
Speaker 1: holds out. Hopefully everybody else. You go out there, enjoy yourself,
Speaker 1: enjoy the baseball games, Enjoy the rest of the NFL
Speaker 1: Draft tonight over on our discord. If you're a premium
Speaker 1: member again Fancybros dot Com Slash Discord, it's free to join.
Speaker 1: But if you go to Fancypros dot Com slash Premium again,
Speaker 1: the premium is the place to be a Fantasy pros.
Speaker 1: You can hang out with Thor Debro, Scott bog and
Speaker 1: Pathfitts Morris. That are gonna be breaking down Day two
Speaker 1: of the NFL Draft for you guys, and I know
Speaker 1: you love the NFL Draft, so that'll do it for us.
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for the Welsh.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey p. We'll see a Monday kids later