1 00:00:01,200 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: The volume Collin Coward Podcast presented by FanDuel Sports Book. 2 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,639 Speaker 1: No better place to bet the action than on FanDuel 3 00:00:09,680 --> 00:00:12,920 Speaker 1: Sports Book during the football season. There's a lot of reasons. 4 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:17,239 Speaker 1: It's America's number one sports book. Incredibly easy to use, 5 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: super safe, totally secure, super fast payouts in as quick 6 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,720 Speaker 1: as two hours. You're not going to get that anywhere. Also, 7 00:00:24,840 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: same game parlay bets, live betting. It's the best. Hey, 8 00:00:28,680 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: if you're new, just download the FanDuel Sports Book App. 9 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,159 Speaker 1: I did it in fifteen seconds. Get started now sign up. 10 00:00:34,640 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: Please use the promo code Colin so they know we 11 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:40,600 Speaker 1: sent you. Please use the promo code Collins c O 12 00:00:40,760 --> 00:00:51,440 Speaker 1: l I in FanDuel sports Book App. Sign up. Hi, 13 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: everybody Sharpen Square with Chad Millman will be coming up 14 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:58,240 Speaker 1: in ten minutes. But first, fake questions, real answers every 15 00:00:58,280 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 1: Friday Morning podcast. If I want to talk about but 16 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: don't want to wait for you to ask me, here 17 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 1: we go. Dear Colin, Hey, you got a little blowback 18 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:09,320 Speaker 1: for saying that you received a weird text about Aaron 19 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:13,199 Speaker 1: Rodgers just like Boomerissias and did what are you going 20 00:01:13,240 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: to say? Well, I'm just telling you what happened. Sorry 21 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: if that makes you uncomfortable. Yes, I received a text 22 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: several years ago from a number in Virginia that had 23 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:26,600 Speaker 1: bizarrely detailed information about the Packers and Aaron Rodgers. I 24 00:01:26,640 --> 00:01:28,960 Speaker 1: didn't say it was a fact that Aaron was behind it. 25 00:01:29,560 --> 00:01:32,640 Speaker 1: I didn't say anybody in Green Bay was absolutely or 26 00:01:32,680 --> 00:01:35,240 Speaker 1: definitively behind it. I said it was fishy as hell, 27 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:38,760 Speaker 1: especially once I got that boomeros sias and stuff. First 28 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 1: of all, if you want to blame somebody for spreading misinformation, 29 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,760 Speaker 1: how about Aaron Rodgers. He's giving people medical advice and 30 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: telling them to follow doctor Joe Rogan about vaccines. Aaron 31 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:54,560 Speaker 1: often wants the media to be more responsible. Yeah, yeah, 32 00:01:54,600 --> 00:01:58,440 Speaker 1: I really liked your vaccine hocus pocus. He's not really 33 00:01:58,480 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 1: anybody to tell anybody who's responsible and irresponsible. Aaron is 34 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:05,520 Speaker 1: one of those guys that wants to see both sides 35 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: of a story. Well, I'll give you my side. My 36 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 1: side is that was a weird text. Boomer got a 37 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: weird text. They were both from the same state. I 38 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 1: wanted to tell the story. All the anti media people 39 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:23,120 Speaker 1: aren't really antimedia packer fence. You guys in the media 40 00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 1: You're not antimedia, You're just anti media. You don't agree 41 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 1: with right. You think Rachel Maddow and that Russian Trump 42 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: story's nonsense. You don't trust her. You're a conservative, and 43 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 1: by the way, you liberals don't trust these conservatives because 44 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:43,760 Speaker 1: of what Tucker Carlson says every night. People only want 45 00:02:43,880 --> 00:02:48,280 Speaker 1: media they agree with. Even liberals love Bill Maher until 46 00:02:48,280 --> 00:02:51,400 Speaker 1: he sort of takes a moderate conservative side. Then they 47 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: go to Twitter and say, mars Toast, I haven't watched 48 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:57,880 Speaker 1: him in twenty years. It's sort of like liberals do 49 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:00,919 Speaker 1: with Dave Chappelle. Now I'm suddenly supposed to believe he's 50 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: not funny because of a joke he did that landed 51 00:03:03,919 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 1: poorly to many people. Stop you consume the media. It 52 00:03:09,280 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: doesn't matter if you like it. Dear Colin, what do 53 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:16,520 Speaker 1: you make of the Houston Texans firing David Culley. Well, 54 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,560 Speaker 1: he signed a two year contract and even though I 55 00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:23,680 Speaker 1: think he deserved a second year. Lots of relationships are 56 00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,880 Speaker 1: stop gaps. Sometimes you date, sometimes you marry, sometimes your rent, 57 00:03:27,919 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 1: sometimes you buy, sometimes you lease, sometimes you bay. We 58 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: all have employment options where we don't plan on working 59 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:39,400 Speaker 1: in a company forever. David Culley, in my opinion, deserved 60 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:42,720 Speaker 1: a second year. I thought the Texans play hard despite 61 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: very limited talent. I mean how they beat the Chargers 62 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,720 Speaker 1: late in the season. But this was not a five 63 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 1: year contract. He got a massive, massive payout to leave. 64 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: Everybody understood it was a stop gap move because no 65 00:03:59,080 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 1: elite candidates wanted it last year because of several reasons, 66 00:04:04,120 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: one bad ownership and the other the Deshaun Watson mess. 67 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,920 Speaker 1: But folks, this is the way life works. Anybody think 68 00:04:12,000 --> 00:04:15,080 Speaker 1: Joe Biden's a two term president. Do I think there 69 00:04:15,120 --> 00:04:20,040 Speaker 1: should be more black coaches? Absolutely? Do? I think it 70 00:04:20,120 --> 00:04:25,839 Speaker 1: feels like African American coaches have to prove themselves more. Absolutely. 71 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:29,360 Speaker 1: I hated the Brian Flores firing. But in this instance, 72 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:32,919 Speaker 1: David Culley, we knew it going in. This was a 73 00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:36,239 Speaker 1: short contract. This was going to be a short term 74 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:42,840 Speaker 1: solution to a big, long term problem. Dear Colin, how 75 00:04:42,880 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 1: come Tom Brady looks great at forty four and Big 76 00:04:45,000 --> 00:04:50,440 Speaker 1: Band looks done at thirty nine. Well, successful people often 77 00:04:50,480 --> 00:04:54,920 Speaker 1: know there's one thing more important than learning, and that's 78 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:59,280 Speaker 1: unlearning the easy parts learning. It's getting rid of bad 79 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 1: habits and bad ideas and pivoting to new stuff. That's hard. 80 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: You've got to be self critical. Tom Brady at forty 81 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:08,640 Speaker 1: four looks like a totally different person at twenty two. 82 00:05:08,839 --> 00:05:13,480 Speaker 1: He's thinner, he looks better, big bench. Thirty nine looks 83 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,760 Speaker 1: like a totally different person than twenty nine in a 84 00:05:15,800 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 1: bad way. Benz always reminding me of Brett Farve. Good 85 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 1: old boys, lack discipline, had mobility, took a lot of hits, 86 00:05:24,080 --> 00:05:27,279 Speaker 1: kind of conservative, kind of stubborn. Both didn't have nearly 87 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:30,279 Speaker 1: the same success late in their careers as they did early. 88 00:05:30,920 --> 00:05:34,400 Speaker 1: Football's always been from scheme to coaching to body, a 89 00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 1: game of evolving. It's constantly changing. Even the rules are. 90 00:05:39,480 --> 00:05:42,359 Speaker 1: It's not the bomb it out gun slinger league it 91 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,880 Speaker 1: used to be. The quarterbacks now that are crushing are 92 00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:48,799 Speaker 1: more efficient. I want to have a twenty year career 93 00:05:48,800 --> 00:05:51,360 Speaker 1: in the league. You got to be willing to unlearn 94 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:57,240 Speaker 1: as much as learn. Dear Colin, what's something that fans 95 00:05:57,320 --> 00:06:01,760 Speaker 1: do that to you is annoying and drives you? Now? Well? 96 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:06,279 Speaker 1: Fanzo was rip coaches and players that they would actually 97 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:10,839 Speaker 1: be thrilled to have on their team. Remember when TiO 98 00:06:11,080 --> 00:06:14,039 Speaker 1: planted the football in the Dallas Star and the cowboy 99 00:06:14,080 --> 00:06:16,479 Speaker 1: fan said, what a jerk, and then he became a 100 00:06:16,520 --> 00:06:19,200 Speaker 1: cowboy and two hours later he was their favorite player. 101 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:23,200 Speaker 1: This reminds me of Jim Harball. How many Ohio State 102 00:06:23,240 --> 00:06:26,960 Speaker 1: fans are there listening? Any of you in Chicago. You've 103 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 1: been banging on Harball for years at Michigan. Wouldn't you 104 00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 1: take him as your head coach? Oh? My bad? You're 105 00:06:34,400 --> 00:06:37,720 Speaker 1: gonna go with Brian Dable, a coordinator who's never been 106 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: a head coach, over a guy with a sixty five 107 00:06:40,800 --> 00:06:43,760 Speaker 1: percent winning percentage and a Super Bowl trip in Jim Harball. 108 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:48,440 Speaker 1: It's like Jimmy Garoppolo. Everybody bangs on Jimmy Garoppolo. He 109 00:06:48,480 --> 00:06:51,479 Speaker 1: has a career passer rating of almost ninety nine, a 110 00:06:51,560 --> 00:06:57,360 Speaker 1: career completion percentage of almost sixty eight. You're a Washington fan, 111 00:06:57,520 --> 00:07:00,760 Speaker 1: a Pittsburgh fan, a Denver fan, you wouldn't take him. 112 00:07:01,960 --> 00:07:05,520 Speaker 1: Be careful about bagging on coaches and players because you 113 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: may be desperate and have a vacancy really soon at 114 00:07:09,040 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 1: those positions. Dear Colin, Lots of athletes are underrated and overrated. 115 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,760 Speaker 1: We know that. Give me an athlete in your opinion 116 00:07:18,880 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: that doesn't get nearly as much credit as he should. 117 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:26,160 Speaker 1: I'll give you somebody Eli Manning. Because his brother is Peyton, 118 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 1: we immediately overlook him. But a quarterback is probably not 119 00:07:31,680 --> 00:07:34,240 Speaker 1: going to look as great when you compare him to 120 00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:36,360 Speaker 1: one of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. It's like 121 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:40,360 Speaker 1: saying Janet Jackson was a disappointment because she wasn't Michael Jackson. 122 00:07:40,760 --> 00:07:43,960 Speaker 1: Janet Jackson was a huge star for twenty years. Listen, 123 00:07:44,000 --> 00:07:46,520 Speaker 1: the Giants were a mess before Eli, and now they're 124 00:07:46,520 --> 00:07:49,400 Speaker 1: a mess. They were four and twelve and two thousand 125 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,080 Speaker 1: and three, they draft him. By two thousand and five, 126 00:07:52,080 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 1: they're eleven and five. By two thousand and seven, they 127 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. He's MVP two eleven. They do 128 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:01,280 Speaker 1: it again, both times over Brady and Belichick. After the 129 00:08:01,320 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 1: twenty fifteen season, they give it a Coughlin. In twenty 130 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,040 Speaker 1: sixteen with Eli, they go eleven and five and it's 131 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:11,360 Speaker 1: all downhill from there. His last full season was twenty eighteen. 132 00:08:11,560 --> 00:08:14,400 Speaker 1: For the record, ELI had a passer rating that year 133 00:08:14,400 --> 00:08:16,800 Speaker 1: of ninety two and a half. Do you know where 134 00:08:16,840 --> 00:08:19,360 Speaker 1: that would be this year? Somewhere between Mac Jones and 135 00:08:19,440 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: Josh Allen. Eli Manning has never gotten the credit he deserved. 136 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:29,400 Speaker 1: The Giants were a disaster right before they drafted him, 137 00:08:29,440 --> 00:08:33,160 Speaker 1: and a disaster right after they bailed on him. His composure, 138 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:38,480 Speaker 1: his intelligence, his decency, his commitment, his leadership are one 139 00:08:38,520 --> 00:08:42,720 Speaker 1: of the primary reasons they've been a mess for all 140 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 1: but the eli years, in the last twenty five years. 141 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,080 Speaker 1: All right, I bring in my buddy Chad Milman, sharp 142 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:56,560 Speaker 1: or square. I make my picks. He takes them and 143 00:08:56,600 --> 00:08:59,360 Speaker 1: pokes and prods them. So I hear that you listen 144 00:08:59,400 --> 00:09:01,839 Speaker 1: to my radio show of yesterday. What did you make 145 00:09:01,880 --> 00:09:07,320 Speaker 1: of me? The orator espousing theories and belief systems? What'd 146 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:11,160 Speaker 1: you make of it? Listen? You know there are very 147 00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:14,120 Speaker 1: few people who are a bigger fan of yours than 148 00:09:14,160 --> 00:09:17,720 Speaker 1: I am. Blah blah blah whatever. Maybe there might be 149 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 1: no one else who was as talented in media as 150 00:09:20,760 --> 00:09:26,440 Speaker 1: you are. Please go on this whole. Tom Brady, you know, 151 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 1: had a better the conversation about the MVP. You were 152 00:09:30,280 --> 00:09:32,760 Speaker 1: talking about Burrow, you're talking about Aaron Rodgers, You're talking 153 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: about Tom Brady and your take Tom Brady shouldn't really 154 00:09:37,559 --> 00:09:43,520 Speaker 1: be in consideration because his roster was better. That's idiotic. 155 00:09:43,960 --> 00:09:47,680 Speaker 1: Like the goal is to win as many games as possible, 156 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: to perform as well as you can and to take 157 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:53,880 Speaker 1: your team to the highest level. So your argument is 158 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 1: that two years ago Tom Brady took over a roster 159 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,480 Speaker 1: that was eight and eight with Jameis Winston, and because 160 00:10:00,480 --> 00:10:02,760 Speaker 1: he won them the Super Bowl. Yeah, all it's really 161 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 1: doing is saying he was okay. He just had really 162 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 1: good players behind him. Well, no, I didn't say he 163 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:11,360 Speaker 1: was okay. I said, if you're making me vote between Burrow, Rogers, 164 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: and Brady, they're all absolutely candidates. I would vote for 165 00:10:15,559 --> 00:10:18,840 Speaker 1: Burrow because he's overcoming more. He hasn't much. He has 166 00:10:18,880 --> 00:10:22,240 Speaker 1: to face the Steelers defense, the Bengal or the Ravens defense, 167 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:25,880 Speaker 1: and the Browns defense twice. He wins the division with 168 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,640 Speaker 1: the worst offensive line in the playoffs, and we don't 169 00:10:28,640 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: even know if Zach Taylor's a coach because he couldn't 170 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: win before he got there, whereas we know fundamentally Green 171 00:10:34,320 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 1: Bay's well run. I think you can vote for any 172 00:10:36,400 --> 00:10:39,120 Speaker 1: of them. I was just saying, if you really want 173 00:10:39,160 --> 00:10:42,600 Speaker 1: to count everything, Aaron Rodgers missed the game against the Chiefs, 174 00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 1: Burrow played the Chiefs and Outdual Mahomes. I could take 175 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:50,000 Speaker 1: that as one tenth. Brady I think has a better 176 00:10:50,120 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 1: roster top to bottom than Green Bay and Cincinnati. I 177 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: really think Tampa's roster when healthy is the best roster 178 00:10:57,120 --> 00:10:59,800 Speaker 1: in football. I mean when Leonard, Fournette and Gronk and 179 00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,840 Speaker 1: I think it's the best roster in football. So I'm 180 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: I don't care who anybody votes for. I'm just saying, 181 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:08,960 Speaker 1: if we're gonna go, here's what bothers me. If Aaron loses, 182 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: it's gonna be Oh, it's because of the vaccine stance. 183 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:16,040 Speaker 1: And I'm like, people, the two greatest years ever in 184 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,959 Speaker 1: league history for a quarterback Peyton Manning had one, Brady one, 185 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 1: it had one. Neither was a unanimous MVP. Like, it's 186 00:11:23,640 --> 00:11:27,480 Speaker 1: inches not feed on this stuff exactly. I also thought 187 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 1: number one, I love Hubbarkish, who has come out and 188 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:34,440 Speaker 1: made all these statements about Aaron Rodgers. Ye gave me 189 00:11:34,559 --> 00:11:38,600 Speaker 1: my fairy first job in journalism. I grew up outside Chicago. 190 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: My end of my freshman year at Indiana University, I 191 00:11:43,120 --> 00:11:45,120 Speaker 1: needed to get a job for this summer I go 192 00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,199 Speaker 1: back home. I wanted to work in journalism. I look 193 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:49,959 Speaker 1: in the phone book. I grew up in a town 194 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:51,960 Speaker 1: called the Highland Park. Look in the phone book for 195 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 1: which is on the north shore of Chicago. Its where 196 00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:55,839 Speaker 1: all the John Hughes movies were made for all like 197 00:11:55,880 --> 00:11:59,719 Speaker 1: the old people like still recognize the reference. So I 198 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 1: look in the phone book and I'm looking for sort 199 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: of local media and one of the lines for local 200 00:12:06,000 --> 00:12:10,559 Speaker 1: media is Pro Football Weekly, which was a national magazine 201 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 1: which I did not know was located ten minutes from 202 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:19,240 Speaker 1: my house in a small office complex. I go there. 203 00:12:19,280 --> 00:12:21,240 Speaker 1: I call. I'm like, hey, I got into the university. 204 00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:23,439 Speaker 1: I'm a freshman, I'm a journalism major. You guys got 205 00:12:23,440 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 1: any internship opportunities? They say, why don't you come in 206 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:29,360 Speaker 1: when you get home? So I go in. I interview 207 00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:34,400 Speaker 1: and with hub Arkish, who runs Pro Football Weekly. They 208 00:12:34,440 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: give me a job on the spot, making eight dollars 209 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:40,360 Speaker 1: an hour as an editor because the editor they had 210 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:42,360 Speaker 1: an editor who I'm that Friday, had just quit to 211 00:12:42,440 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 1: go cover the Bears for like a local school, local newspaper. 212 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:47,439 Speaker 1: So I worked as an editor of Pro Football Weekly 213 00:12:47,440 --> 00:12:49,960 Speaker 1: in my first job, and Hubbarkish was my boss. Yeah. 214 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 1: I didn't like his reason for not voting for Aaron, 215 00:12:52,240 --> 00:12:54,160 Speaker 1: but I don't have a problem if you don't vote 216 00:12:54,200 --> 00:12:56,840 Speaker 1: for Erin. I just didn't like his reasoning because he 217 00:12:56,840 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: thinks he's a jerk. Yeah, didn't make sense. Also, you 218 00:13:00,520 --> 00:13:02,679 Speaker 1: had a clip today not to make this all about you. 219 00:13:02,679 --> 00:13:04,839 Speaker 1: On your podcast. You had a clip today about Kevin 220 00:13:04,920 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 1: Durant saying we're not answering to the media, And as 221 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:10,400 Speaker 1: soon as he said it, I'm like, of course, there's 222 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: no one ingrier who drives more pleasure from doing well 223 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:17,959 Speaker 1: and then telling the media that he doesn't care about 224 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 1: them than Kevin Durant. And then you said it, which 225 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 1: means all he does is care about the media. Yeah, 226 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:26,319 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers and Kevin Durant preached to us Weekly, I 227 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 1: don't care about the media, meaning you care constantly about 228 00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:32,320 Speaker 1: the media. It bothers you and we all get it 229 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:35,720 Speaker 1: all right, Here we go, Sharper Square listen. Raiders at 230 00:13:35,720 --> 00:13:38,280 Speaker 1: the Bengals. I've gone back and forth on this. I 231 00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:40,280 Speaker 1: would take the Raiders and the points. And here's why 232 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: I worry about the Bengals offensive front. You can't correct it. 233 00:13:45,440 --> 00:13:49,120 Speaker 1: They don't run the ball unless it's a necessity. They 234 00:13:49,160 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 1: want to throw, they want to do deep drops, and 235 00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 1: the Raiders have a pass rush. I think we're going 236 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:56,400 Speaker 1: to see points in this game. But the Bengals. I 237 00:13:56,440 --> 00:13:59,200 Speaker 1: talked to Greg Kosel this week. He said, listen, the Bengals, 238 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,440 Speaker 1: not that they've given up on the run game, but 239 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:06,439 Speaker 1: they've identified what they are. They're a big play down 240 00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: the field offense. Well, these two teams played earlier. They 241 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,960 Speaker 1: couldn't block the Raiders at all. So I just think 242 00:14:12,960 --> 00:14:16,120 Speaker 1: the points is too many. It's like minus four and 243 00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 1: a half now. I think I take the Raiders and 244 00:14:18,920 --> 00:14:21,920 Speaker 1: the points, although I think the Bengals win close sharper square, 245 00:14:22,960 --> 00:14:26,800 Speaker 1: so it's totally sharp. I think you're getting the worst 246 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:29,760 Speaker 1: of the number. And for the record, I'm telling you 247 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:32,280 Speaker 1: it's sharp. I bet the Bengals at four and a half, 248 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 1: and I think I'm on the opposite side of a 249 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 1: lot of professional betters. You are one hundred percent sharp. 250 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,200 Speaker 1: Here so many trends, and we're going to talk about 251 00:14:40,240 --> 00:14:44,440 Speaker 1: this with a lot of the games today. Favor NFL short. 252 00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:50,080 Speaker 1: NFL short underdogs on the road in the playoffs, dogs 253 00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:53,440 Speaker 1: are fifteen and three in wild Card weekend ten and 254 00:14:53,560 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: eight straight up road dogs fourteen and two, fifty five 255 00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 1: percent overall since two thousand and three, the other numbers 256 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 1: are since twenty seventeen, and the Raiders fit this bill right, 257 00:15:09,000 --> 00:15:11,160 Speaker 1: and a lot of wise guys came in and they 258 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 1: started betting on the Raiders. When the line was a 259 00:15:13,520 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 1: little bit higher, they bet it down to five and 260 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,320 Speaker 1: a half, they bet it down to five. Now it's 261 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,880 Speaker 1: down to four and a half. You can find a 262 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 1: lot of sort of similarities between these two teams offensively 263 00:15:24,080 --> 00:15:27,560 Speaker 1: and defensively, sort of accordin to the advanced metrics, they're 264 00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:31,320 Speaker 1: kind of in the same spot. And so it's a 265 00:15:31,440 --> 00:15:34,240 Speaker 1: huge pros Joe's game. Eighty percent of the money on 266 00:15:34,320 --> 00:15:37,600 Speaker 1: the Raiders majority in the bets, and the Bengals you're 267 00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,480 Speaker 1: one hundred percent on the right side. I'm just going 268 00:15:40,520 --> 00:15:43,680 Speaker 1: to give you a different take that I favor the 269 00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 1: Bengals a you talk about Joe Burrow, I just think 270 00:15:47,400 --> 00:15:50,200 Speaker 1: he's the kind of guy who's a playmaker, and in 271 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,320 Speaker 1: this scenario when the line is shrinking with a smaller number, 272 00:15:54,560 --> 00:15:56,840 Speaker 1: it favors him late game or I have a lot 273 00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:58,520 Speaker 1: more faith than him than I do in the Raiders. 274 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,840 Speaker 1: And I'm also so a little bit concerned for the Raiders. 275 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 1: They had a massive overtime game. The defense played nearly 276 00:16:05,720 --> 00:16:09,240 Speaker 1: ninety snaps late Sunday night. They've got to tune around 277 00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,600 Speaker 1: play the first game on Saturday. It's a short week 278 00:16:11,640 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 1: for them. We've seen them lose to bad teams. So 279 00:16:15,760 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 1: that's why I like the Bengals a little bit more. 280 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:21,160 Speaker 1: But I will tell you again, you're on the right side. 281 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:27,560 Speaker 1: You're making the right call. NFL playoffs are here to 282 00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:31,000 Speaker 1: celebrate FanDuel Sports Books giving all customers, all of them, 283 00:16:31,040 --> 00:16:33,440 Speaker 1: up to one hundred dollars bonus on same game parlays. 284 00:16:34,040 --> 00:16:37,320 Speaker 1: Just play the same game parlay on any Super wild 285 00:16:37,320 --> 00:16:39,960 Speaker 1: Card weekend game, get a bonus, win or lose, win 286 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 1: or lose. The more you bet, the more you get. 287 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,520 Speaker 1: Payouts in two hours. 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In Michigan, Tennessee, redline 304 00:17:32,760 --> 00:17:34,639 Speaker 1: is one one hundred and eighty nine seventy nine, or 305 00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,639 Speaker 1: go to one one hundred dot and West Virginia or 306 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: called one eight hundred next step or text next step 307 00:17:38,800 --> 00:17:44,720 Speaker 1: to five three three four two. Arizona Patriots. I take 308 00:17:44,760 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: them plus four against the Bills. It's going to be 309 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,800 Speaker 1: five degrees, not snowing, slight wind, but that's going to 310 00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 1: hurt the offense, and it's obviously more skill. That's the 311 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,199 Speaker 1: kind of weather you drop passes in. It's five degrees. 312 00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:00,320 Speaker 1: The Bills are the better football team. Newing One's going 313 00:18:00,359 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 1: to run the football short in the clock, give themselves 314 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 1: a shot. I like the fact that New England lost 315 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:11,520 Speaker 1: more recently to them and was kind of dominated. I 316 00:18:11,600 --> 00:18:13,719 Speaker 1: think it's hard to beat Belichick back to back. I mean, 317 00:18:13,800 --> 00:18:16,200 Speaker 1: Miami through the years has had average coaches that have 318 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: split with him. It is hard. Brian Flores did it 319 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 1: this year, beat him both times. It is a limited 320 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: team against the good defense. But the Bills are missing 321 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,480 Speaker 1: their top corner from earlier this year. I take the 322 00:18:27,560 --> 00:18:31,480 Speaker 1: Patriots and the points sharper square, totally sharp, another pros 323 00:18:31,600 --> 00:18:34,080 Speaker 1: Joe's game. The wise guys are coming in on the 324 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,919 Speaker 1: Patriots and the public is coming in on the Bills. 325 00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:43,000 Speaker 1: So I mentioned some stats before about road, about about 326 00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:48,960 Speaker 1: underdogs in the playoffs since twenty seventeen, NFL underdogs in 327 00:18:49,080 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 1: the playoffs twenty nine and seventeen, and this especially favors 328 00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:59,159 Speaker 1: short underdogs. And so we've got two outliers and the 329 00:18:59,160 --> 00:19:00,840 Speaker 1: Steelers in the Chiefs. I know we'll get to those, 330 00:19:01,240 --> 00:19:05,080 Speaker 1: but the other games, like we're talking about short dogs. 331 00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 1: It's why you like the Raiders, it's why everybody likes 332 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:10,920 Speaker 1: the Patriots. That is professional better. All right, I'm gonna 333 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,760 Speaker 1: take the Eagles plus eight and a half at the Buccaneers. 334 00:19:13,840 --> 00:19:16,119 Speaker 1: Now here's the one thing that worries me. The Bucks 335 00:19:16,160 --> 00:19:19,159 Speaker 1: are a great red zone offense. They get touchdowns, not 336 00:19:19,320 --> 00:19:22,639 Speaker 1: field goals. But I think the Eagles, Jalen Hurts is 337 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: now healthy, are a handful to play. This is not 338 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 1: your typical run offense. They lead the NFL and big 339 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:31,160 Speaker 1: plays by the way, big plays being ten yard plus 340 00:19:31,320 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 1: runs and twenty yard plus passes. Tampa is beat up. 341 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,720 Speaker 1: They are a beat up football team, and the Eagles 342 00:19:39,960 --> 00:19:45,640 Speaker 1: all year long, even against good defenses, have been bizarrely productive. 343 00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:49,920 Speaker 1: I think Tampa wins, but an offense that was completely 344 00:19:50,080 --> 00:19:53,840 Speaker 1: limited in the first round last year gave them trouble. 345 00:19:54,640 --> 00:19:58,040 Speaker 1: I think the Eagles keep it close. Weather's a non factor. 346 00:19:59,320 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 1: The healthier team is Philadelphia. I worry about Brady getting 347 00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:06,639 Speaker 1: in the ren zone. He gets seven's not threes, and 348 00:20:06,760 --> 00:20:09,880 Speaker 1: that could push the line higher and push the score higher. 349 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:14,919 Speaker 1: But I would take the Eagles. Sharper square very sharp again. 350 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:19,520 Speaker 1: Another huge pros Joe's game. Sixty three percent of the 351 00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:22,840 Speaker 1: bets on the Bucks fifty eight percent of the money 352 00:20:22,920 --> 00:20:24,960 Speaker 1: on the Eagles. That tells you professionals are coming in 353 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: on the Eagles. This line opened at ten. It got 354 00:20:28,359 --> 00:20:31,080 Speaker 1: that down to eight and a half. Bookmakers saw that 355 00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:35,040 Speaker 1: was sort of the hard stop for professionals, better for 356 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 1: professional betters. When it got to eight and a half, 357 00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,040 Speaker 1: it went back up to nine and then went back 358 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,440 Speaker 1: down to eight and a half. One thing I will 359 00:20:42,480 --> 00:20:45,919 Speaker 1: correct you on weather is expected to be a factor. 360 00:20:46,040 --> 00:20:49,440 Speaker 1: It could be very windy. There could be a thunderstorms. 361 00:20:49,840 --> 00:20:53,280 Speaker 1: The reason the professional better is like this game is 362 00:20:53,359 --> 00:20:57,080 Speaker 1: they do expect it to be relatively low scoring. They 363 00:20:57,200 --> 00:21:00,800 Speaker 1: do expect the Eagles to be pretty concerned with Jalen 364 00:21:00,880 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: Hurts in his first NFL playoff game, and they've just 365 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,840 Speaker 1: proven like they're going to run the ball. That's what 366 00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:09,200 Speaker 1: they like to do. And I think a lot of 367 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:11,359 Speaker 1: guys are saying, not only do we like the Eagles 368 00:21:11,400 --> 00:21:13,119 Speaker 1: in the game, we're also going to bet the Eagles 369 00:21:13,119 --> 00:21:15,400 Speaker 1: in the first half because we've seen the Eagles play 370 00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,920 Speaker 1: a very slow tempo a lot of games for the 371 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:22,119 Speaker 1: Eagles zero points, three point seven points, So take a 372 00:21:22,160 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 1: little taste on the Eagles in the first half too. 373 00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:25,960 Speaker 1: All Right, this is the strangest one. I love the 374 00:21:26,040 --> 00:21:30,119 Speaker 1: Niners all week, all week. Now, everybody loves the Niners. 375 00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,720 Speaker 1: It's no longer an upset. So at three I would 376 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:38,880 Speaker 1: probably take Dallas Sharper square square. So this was also 377 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: on the radio today. You talked about you want to 378 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:45,480 Speaker 1: bet against Bob from Sheboygan right, using the forty nine 379 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:48,920 Speaker 1: ers as your example. Number one. As a Chicago in 380 00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:52,720 Speaker 1: northern Chicago and north shore of Chicago in the suburbs, 381 00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:57,280 Speaker 1: I've been a Sheboygan a million times. It's beautiful in Sheepoygan. 382 00:21:57,600 --> 00:21:59,560 Speaker 1: You can spend time. You can't get a good bowl 383 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,560 Speaker 1: of soup. Sheboygan. I've been told, oh my god, are 384 00:22:02,600 --> 00:22:05,160 Speaker 1: you kidding me? It's like the soup capital of the Midwest. 385 00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:07,560 Speaker 1: Of course you can get a good bowl of soup. 386 00:22:07,600 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 1: And Sheboygan, what are you going to do in Wisconsin 387 00:22:09,920 --> 00:22:11,960 Speaker 1: other than get a good bowl of soup? My wife, 388 00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 1: but we lived in New York. We first started living 389 00:22:13,720 --> 00:22:15,360 Speaker 1: in New York. I used to always say to her, 390 00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,200 Speaker 1: I want to move back to Chicago. I want to 391 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:19,399 Speaker 1: move back to Chicago. She looks at me and she goes, Listen. 392 00:22:20,280 --> 00:22:23,680 Speaker 1: If I have the option between going to the Hampton's 393 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: for the summer or going to Sheboygan, why would I 394 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:30,760 Speaker 1: go back to Chicago jokes on hercus I moved her 395 00:22:30,760 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: to central Connecticut. Now we can't get anywhere. But Sheboygan's 396 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 1: great Bob from Sheboygan is going to be on the Cowboys. 397 00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: The pros are going to be on the Niners. And 398 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 1: you know you talked about this with Cosell. Right, you 399 00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 1: talked with Greg Cosell. You talked about Greg Kittle being 400 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:49,720 Speaker 1: able to get open over the middle, George about about 401 00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 1: George Kittle, Right, you talked about that about Deebo Samuel 402 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 1: getting open. Right, Like, this is where the forty nine 403 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 1: ers will have an advantage. And then on defense they 404 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:02,280 Speaker 1: can ConTroll the line of scrimmage because their rushchie offense 405 00:23:02,359 --> 00:23:04,480 Speaker 1: is so good, and they can make the Cowboys one dimensional, 406 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:08,239 Speaker 1: which is not great when Ezekiel Elliott has not been 407 00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:10,480 Speaker 1: able to function very well as a running back and 408 00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:14,679 Speaker 1: Dak has struggled as a quarterback. So it's a coaching 409 00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,080 Speaker 1: mitch match mismatch. I think it's a personnel in miss match. 410 00:23:18,359 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 1: I think the wise guys like the forty nine ers. 411 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:24,280 Speaker 1: What's scaring them is the very first thing you said. 412 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:27,119 Speaker 1: The wise guys don't like to be with public dogs, 413 00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 1: and the forty nine Ers are becoming a public dog. 414 00:23:30,760 --> 00:23:33,520 Speaker 1: They are the team that everybody thinks is going to 415 00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 1: cover against the Cowboys or potentially beat the Cowboys. So 416 00:23:37,160 --> 00:23:39,200 Speaker 1: that's giving them a little bit of pause. But they're 417 00:23:39,200 --> 00:23:41,720 Speaker 1: on the Niners. Steelers plus twelve and a half at 418 00:23:41,760 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: the Chiefs. I've been saying Kansas City's offense is uneven. 419 00:23:45,480 --> 00:23:47,880 Speaker 1: Pittsburgh though, I'm not sure how they can move the ball. 420 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,600 Speaker 1: Mike Tomlin's a great underdog coach, but I've got to 421 00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: tell you Pittsburgh is painful offensively, and I have a 422 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:00,680 Speaker 1: feeling the Chiefs went in a rid out. I know 423 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,600 Speaker 1: it's square, right, It's a little bit square, but not 424 00:24:05,440 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 1: totally square, Like this is one where you're not going 425 00:24:08,720 --> 00:24:10,920 Speaker 1: to get a consensus. The line has moved down a 426 00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:12,840 Speaker 1: little bit, went from about thirteen and a half to 427 00:24:12,960 --> 00:24:15,880 Speaker 1: twelve and a half. So you know, the professionals came 428 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,800 Speaker 1: in on the Steelers. But everything you said is why 429 00:24:21,080 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 1: guys are thinking about the Chiefs. And I mentioned sort 430 00:24:24,800 --> 00:24:28,480 Speaker 1: of the advantage and what the metrics and the analytics say, 431 00:24:28,560 --> 00:24:34,000 Speaker 1: or the stats say about underdogs in the playoffs that 432 00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:37,040 Speaker 1: are of less than a touchdown more than a touchdown, 433 00:24:38,320 --> 00:24:42,600 Speaker 1: they tend to cover. The favorites tend to cover. And 434 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,399 Speaker 1: this is a spot where the Chiefs of twelve and 435 00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:49,359 Speaker 1: a half, we know it's a rah rah Mike Tomlin situation. 436 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:54,600 Speaker 1: His defense is going to have to carry the cheerleading 437 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,920 Speaker 1: for this team, and I do think like the one 438 00:24:57,960 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: thing they do really well is rush the passer. Patrick 439 00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,920 Speaker 1: Mahomes knows how to handle the rush. This Chiefs team 440 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: could score fourteen points and still cover the spread because 441 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:09,919 Speaker 1: the Steelers might not be able to score at all. 442 00:25:10,080 --> 00:25:13,560 Speaker 1: Big Ben in the last three games he was only 443 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:17,520 Speaker 1: his average completion went for seven point two yards. I 444 00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:20,879 Speaker 1: know his yards per attempt were four Like he just 445 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:24,200 Speaker 1: looks washed. I think like he's holding it together with 446 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:28,520 Speaker 1: duct tape right now. Finally, I don't like this as 447 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:31,439 Speaker 1: a bet. I take the Cardinals plus four or now 448 00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,200 Speaker 1: plus three and a half on FanDuel at the Rams, 449 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:37,520 Speaker 1: I would take the Cardinals, not with any confidence. By 450 00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:39,200 Speaker 1: the way, there's only two of these games. I love 451 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 1: the Patriots plus the points, the Eagles plus the points, 452 00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,680 Speaker 1: and I could be talked into the Bengals if it 453 00:25:45,760 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 1: got down to like four. I think that's a really 454 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:51,359 Speaker 1: strong play. I don't want to touch this, but I 455 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: would say Cardinals plus three and a half four feels 456 00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:56,400 Speaker 1: like the right side Sharper square. I mean they faced 457 00:25:56,440 --> 00:26:00,080 Speaker 1: each other. Mcvayh own's Cliff, so he owns them like 458 00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:05,280 Speaker 1: Shanahan owns mcmay. McVay owns Cliff Kingsbury. But I just 459 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 1: think the Cardinals are the hardest team for me in 460 00:26:08,920 --> 00:26:11,400 Speaker 1: the second half of the year to bet on because 461 00:26:11,480 --> 00:26:13,960 Speaker 1: so much of their offense is based on ad living 462 00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,280 Speaker 1: by Kyler Murray. I don't feel like I have any 463 00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,959 Speaker 1: control on any of the data. If he gets flushed out, 464 00:26:20,000 --> 00:26:22,399 Speaker 1: he's often more dangerous than when he's in the pocket. 465 00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:25,880 Speaker 1: So I find them really hard to bet on. There's 466 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:30,359 Speaker 1: not a lot of certainties with their offense. Remember in 467 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,159 Speaker 1: the beginning of the year we said by the end 468 00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:39,120 Speaker 1: of the year, you're going to earn your sharp certificate. 469 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,879 Speaker 1: You just earned it, Boom, because your analysis in this 470 00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:49,080 Speaker 1: game is exactly how the wise guys are thinking. They 471 00:26:49,160 --> 00:26:52,480 Speaker 1: don't love it. They know the Cardinals at plus four 472 00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,360 Speaker 1: plus three and a half on the right side, They 473 00:26:56,480 --> 00:27:00,439 Speaker 1: know that the Rams secondary is in such bad shape. 474 00:27:00,720 --> 00:27:05,080 Speaker 1: They just signed Eric Weddle, who hasn't played since before COVID. 475 00:27:05,640 --> 00:27:10,680 Speaker 1: They know that Matthew Stafford has been struggling mightily. His 476 00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:13,719 Speaker 1: QB rating has dropped in the second half of the year. 477 00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:18,040 Speaker 1: YPA yards per attempt is down, interceptions have shot up. 478 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,240 Speaker 1: What did a Key to Leap say on your podcast 479 00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 1: after the Stafford signing in the summer that other players 480 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:28,960 Speaker 1: in the league were saying, Matthew Stafford like nobody is 481 00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,480 Speaker 1: afraid of him. Nobody was thinking it's an automatic Super 482 00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:37,320 Speaker 1: Bowl trip for the Rams. Arizona's defense is sixth in DVOA, 483 00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 1: which is like the fancy way of saying their defense 484 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,840 Speaker 1: plays really well when you try to wait their schedule 485 00:27:44,200 --> 00:27:48,240 Speaker 1: against the rest of the league. It's really good Defensively. 486 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 1: They have outgained the Rams extensively in the two games 487 00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:57,920 Speaker 1: they've played. So everything you're saying about wanting to take 488 00:27:57,960 --> 00:28:01,680 Speaker 1: the Cardinals is right. But Cliff Kingsbury is a terrible coach. 489 00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,280 Speaker 1: Come November, just awful. Like this team has been dreadful 490 00:28:05,760 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 1: since the second half of the year. Started one good 491 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: game against the Cowboys, against the Cowboys team with a 492 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:15,040 Speaker 1: bad coach that was struggling. You take the Cardinals and 493 00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:18,200 Speaker 1: you hold your nose. Yeah, I really like the Patriots. 494 00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:23,639 Speaker 1: I really like the Eagles, and I and I should 495 00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,880 Speaker 1: I wait on the Bengals until game time? You can? 496 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:30,159 Speaker 1: I mean, look, there's continuing the money is continuing to 497 00:28:30,280 --> 00:28:34,280 Speaker 1: come in. I took the four and a half, So 498 00:28:35,680 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 1: if you like the Bengals, take the four and a half. 499 00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:42,960 Speaker 1: That would be my advice. That today FanDuel had the 500 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:45,840 Speaker 1: lowest number at four and a half. I don't know 501 00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:50,440 Speaker 1: that it will get to four. I think it like 502 00:28:50,800 --> 00:28:54,240 Speaker 1: for some games. If you're thinking about it, the Patriots 503 00:28:54,360 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 1: might get interesting, like as it gets closer, if you 504 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 1: love the Patriots, it might get the four and a 505 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:01,440 Speaker 1: half by one day. Um, so you might want to 506 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: stick around and wait. You might want to wait on that, 507 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,200 Speaker 1: but you're not wrong. Like the game, the wise guys 508 00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:09,320 Speaker 1: have all circled as the Patriots. Um, and they all 509 00:29:09,400 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: love the Bucks. I mean they all love the Eagles. 510 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:15,520 Speaker 1: So your your spidy sense is spot on. All right, buddy, 511 00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:19,160 Speaker 1: can't wait, talk soon, Talk to you. Chad Melman, Chief 512 00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:36,440 Speaker 1: content Officer, Action Network. The Volume